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00:00:27.920Without fail, every couple of years we're told that we're in the midst of the single most important election cycle in the history of the country.
00:00:36.880It's good marketing, for one thing, a handy way for media outlets to generate some interest in their election coverage.
00:00:43.460Plus, it plays on our natural human bias to believe that everything that's happening right now is more important than anything that's happened before.
00:00:50.840After all, no one wants to feel like they're living through a boring period of history,
00:00:55.020so we're all very familiar with this kind of hyperbole. And as a result, because we hear it
00:01:00.820so often, we generally tune it out. You know, we're told it's the most important election cycle
00:01:05.320ever, over and over and over again, and we just ignore it. Well, after what happened on Tuesday,
00:01:11.420we have to get out of that habit effective immediately, because there is no doubt that
00:01:16.6002028 will indeed be a pivotal election cycle, unlike anything else we've ever seen. It will
00:01:24.500be make or break for the United States as we know it. I know we've heard that a million times,
00:01:30.220but this time it is actually true. And for the next two years, Donald Trump can use the veto
00:01:35.980power to shut down the Democrats' worst legislation. After that, our future is entirely in the hands
00:01:41.740of the next president. Should a socialist Democrat win, there will be nothing stopping Democrats from
00:01:47.300packing the courts, adding new states, nationalizing critical industries, opening the borders, all of
00:01:52.940which they have promised to do explicitly the moment they return to power, and they will do.
00:01:57.580And if you doubt any of that, take a look at this exit poll.
00:02:00.48033% of voters had a strongly or somewhat favorable view of socialism, and virtually all of them were Democrats.
00:02:07.42012% of voters had a somewhat unfavorable view of socialism, meaning they saw some value in the ideology.
00:04:16.700They'll bankrupt as many Trump officials and advisors as they can.
00:04:19.440They'll run up the legal fees just like they did after January 6th.
00:04:22.740It'll be a reminder of just how weak and ineffective Republicans were when they had control of both houses of Congress.
00:04:29.940Republicans had the chance to root out Democrat corruption, but they chose to do nothing.
00:04:34.380They had the chance to systematically dismantle and destroy left-wing radicals and their networks and funders, and they didn't.
00:04:41.820Charlie's murder should have led to a ruthless nationwide crackdown on left-wing extremism, but it didn't.
00:04:48.520So Democrats will turn around and do all the things that Republicans were too scared to do.
00:04:52.600And if they win the presidency, they're going to finish what Charlie Kirk's assassin started.
00:04:57.200They're going to imprison, kill, or otherwise neutralize any conservative who would challenge them.
00:05:04.180And it's really worth harping on this point for just a moment.
00:05:07.500Charlie was murdered, the most shocking and consequential political assassination since JFK.
00:05:13.980And this was not far off the heels of Donald Trump's, the attempted assassination of Donald Trump.
00:05:22.800And this was even worse in some ways because many Americans spent the following months openly celebrating the murder.
00:05:30.420Republicans had the opportunity to respond to these events by rooting out the murderous leftists and the networks that fund and support them, but they didn't.
00:05:40.700If Democrats had been in office when one of their most prominent leaders was assassinated
00:05:45.280in front of a live audience on camera, the ruthless crackdown on right-wingers that followed
00:05:50.920would have made their January 6th prosecution seem like a walk in the park.
00:05:55.680But, you know, because that's how they operate, and Republicans don't.1.00
00:06:00.620They're also going to break every norm that idiot Republicans in Congress decided to honor1.00
00:06:05.400over the past two years. And if you need evidence of that, here's Tallarico, the incoming senator0.99
00:06:12.580from Texas, making it explicit. Listen. He says in the Senate you would vote to abolish the
00:06:17.220filibuster. Yes. I believe that the majority has the right to govern in this country.
00:06:22.980And the filibuster, which is not in the Constitution, it's a Jim Crow relic. It is0.92
00:06:28.280leading to gridlock in our nation's capital. It's why we can't bring down the cost of groceries
00:06:34.660and gas and utilities and health care.
00:06:37.440It's why we can't get this economy back on track.
00:07:43.060The Republican majority in Congress, until it's gone in January, can pass all of this by a strict majority vote if they abolish the filibuster.
00:15:29.720And so there will be no way to put any reliable controls on it.
00:15:34.400So should we ban big tech companies from creating, not AI, but creating specifically a self-perpetuating alien supermind that evolves on its own and would be by definition out of our control, leaving us at its mercy and helpless to program or meaningfully guide it in any way?
00:15:55.580Should we tell them they can't do that?
00:15:59.600Okay, tech companies should not be allowed to fundamentally alter the course of human civilization and create a species of intelligence that could enslave us if it wanted to.
00:16:09.580Why should they have the right to upend and possibly destroy human society itself?
00:16:14.840Which, by the way, these companies are openly saying that that might be the result.
00:16:21.160Like, who died and appointed these Silicon Valley weirdos to be emperors of the universe?
00:16:30.820You've got these AI trillionaires who are sitting there just pontificating about all the ways that they are currently going to completely alter your life and your children's lives, and potentially for the worse.
00:16:44.920And we're supposed to sit back and say, well, okay, do whatever you want.
00:16:49.960Make the world into whatever you want it to be.
00:16:52.480We're a giant video game for you people to play.
00:16:54.920Is that what we're supposed to say? If Republicans are going to take the opposite position,
00:16:59.860which I think is political death, and maybe more than just political death,
00:17:04.300they better have a very, very compelling argument. But so far, they don't.
00:17:10.320Shouting about China is not a compelling argument. Telling us that this technology
00:17:15.680might destroy civilization, but it's going to happen anyway, so oh well, also not a compelling
00:17:20.240argument. So this is an issue we can't escape. And if Democrats are the only ones taking it
00:17:24.880seriously and trying to come up with solutions, even if you think they're bad solutions, and
00:17:29.040ultimately their solutions will be bad, we'll be pretty confident about that. If they're the only
00:17:33.320ones doing it, though, they will win. Okay? And when we talk about Democrats winning, we don't
00:17:38.900just mean on the national level. To understand the total picture, you need to consider what
00:17:42.500happened on Tuesday at the state level. But before we get into the bad news, we'll, I mean,
00:17:46.940get back to the bad news, I suppose. We'll start with one note of optimism that I can find. Pretty
00:17:53.200much the only bright spot is that in various ballot initiatives. And this is significant.
00:17:57.380Voters made some good conservative decisions, even in places where you wouldn't expect it.0.84
00:18:02.620So voters in Washington state, Arizona, Colorado, Nebraska voted to ban so-called trans athletes,
00:18:08.440meaning male athletes and women's sports. Although Colorado and Washington are still
00:18:12.420counting votes. That's where it looks like it's headed right now. 52% of voters in exit polls said
00:18:17.740that trans rights, quote unquote, have gone too far. Meanwhile, voter ID requirements passed by
00:18:23.180landslide margins in Nevada by 25 points, North Carolina by 20 points, Ohio by 31 points.
00:18:28.960So even though Republicans lost major statewide races in all three of these states,
00:18:32.940there was still overwhelming support for the same ballot measures that conservatives have
00:18:36.320been demanding in some form or another for several years. In fact, Democrats won the Senate race in
00:18:41.900North Carolina by 20 points, but a constitutional amendment requiring voter ID passed by the same
00:18:47.120large margin of 20 points. And the amendment specifically requires all voters, not just those
00:18:53.620presenting to vote in person, to present photo identification before voting. It passed
00:19:00.060overwhelmingly along with amendments to cap property taxes and income taxes. These are all
00:19:04.160conservative ideas that are passing with strong margins, even as voters went for the Democrat
00:19:08.920candidate, which, not to bring us back to the negative part of it, but that also makes it all
00:19:13.120the more frustrating that the SAVE Act was never passed by Republicans, because you see how
00:19:17.440overwhelmingly popular it is. That is a major piece of legislation, would be a major victory
00:19:23.740that they could have done, and it would have been hugely popular on both sides of the aisle.
00:19:30.820And they didn't even do that. They didn't even pass a popular piece of legislation with bipartisan
00:19:38.780support. Maybe not bipartisan support in Congress, but bipartisan support among normal people.
00:19:45.280They didn't even do that. Along the same lines, in California, of all places, voters overwhelmingly
00:19:50.600rejected a wealth tax on billionaires, which the socialists had been demanding. The vote was
00:19:54.820something like 55 to 45 against the wealth tax. That was Proposition 40. And not only that, by the
00:20:00.540same margin, voters in California also passed a ban, Proposition 42, on new state personal property
00:20:05.840taxes and certain retroactive state taxes. Basically, Prop 42 would prevent any wealth
00:20:11.160taxes in the future, including new state taxes on personal assets, including retirement accounts,
00:20:15.480investments, and business interests. So this was a total loss for the socialists on a major part
00:20:19.960of their platform in a very left-wing state. Meanwhile, voters in Wisconsin voted to end DEI,
00:20:26.380a measure passed 56 to 43 that, quote, prohibits government entities from discriminating or
00:20:31.100granting preferential treatment based on race, sex, color, ethnicities, or national origin
00:20:34.840in public employment, education, contracting, and administration.
00:23:25.100So how do we explain why Republicans were demolished, even as voters expressed a preference for various conservative principles and agenda items?
00:23:35.580Well, the answer to that is multifaceted, but the primary answer seems pretty obvious.
00:23:41.360It's because this election was mainly about the fact that a lot of people now hate Donald Trump.
00:23:48.700He's always been despised by a huge number of Americans,
00:23:52.200but he used to also have a huge, extremely enthusiastic fan base to counteract it.
00:23:57.340Well, now that fan base has dwindled to some degree, which is what it's always going to.
00:24:02.600You can't maintain that level of political enthusiasm indefinitely. Nobody can.
00:24:09.100And so, but without that, he's now left being the most despised politician of our lifetime.
00:28:06.860communists, and foreigners live in concentrated areas where the Electoral College dilutes their
00:28:12.760vote. And to that end, there's something called the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact,
00:28:17.880you should know about, where states would award their electoral votes to whatever candidate wins
00:28:23.540the nationwide popular vote, regardless of what candidate actually wins the individual state.
00:28:29.400And states have individually passed this compact into law. The compact activates only when
00:28:34.000participating states plus DC collectively possess at least 270 electoral votes. Already 18 states
00:28:40.120plus DC have enacted the compact representing 220 of the necessary 270 electoral votes. And now
00:28:47.580after Tuesday, they're going to have enough to hit the 270 threshold. So this is from Axios.
00:28:55.880Quote, Democrats sweeping state houses, Gaines Tuesday, have opened a path to effectively
00:29:01.080replacing the Electoral College with a national popular vote in time for the 2028 presidential
00:29:06.360election without needing to amend the Constitution. Democrats have won control of the governorship
00:29:11.040and both legislative chambers in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada,
00:29:16.120enough to push an agreement called the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact
00:29:19.720beyond the 270-vote threshold required to take effect. The five states would still need to
00:29:25.300enact the compact. It's not clear if it will be a priority for the new Democratic states.
00:29:31.080This is one of the reasons a conservative Supreme Court is important. As Axios points out, various law professors have argued the compact is unconstitutional without congressional approval under the compact clause of the Constitution, which prevents states from entering into agreements with each other without the consent of Congress.
00:29:47.680But if Democrats are able to pack the Supreme Court, none of that matters. And of course, given that John Roberts and Amy Coney Barrett aren't really conservative, there's a chance they'll get it done anyway in time for the 2020 election.
00:30:00.860There's also a chance that Democrats fail to get this done.
00:30:03.460Michigan, as Axios points out, failed to enact the compact the last time Democrats controlled
00:37:46.720And maybe that will ultimately turn out to be the case.
00:37:48.720But it's also true that he was the best Republican governor in the country and is perhaps the
00:37:54.060only legitimate Republican success story in the entire country right now.
00:37:58.220whether he's able to seize the moment or not remains to be seen, but he clearly understands
00:38:04.840the moment. And we're going to play two clips here to show that, but watch.
00:38:10.160Let's just be clear about what happened last night. This is close to an extinction level event
00:38:17.740for Republicans in many parts of the country, as we have seen probably in the last hundred years.
00:38:23.920In January, when everyone in office leaves who were either term limited or got voted out of the 10 largest states in this union, only one state will have Republican control of their state, the state of Florida.
00:38:41.500Well, you know, here's the problem that when people would say that, and if you're going to do
00:38:47.160huge conservative things that are going to reorient the country for a generation, fine. But I saw no
00:38:53.940indication that the current group of Republican senators were interested in doing that type of
00:39:00.280bold conservative change. I mean, why haven't we done immigration, shut off H-1B visas? Why haven't
00:39:07.180we codified Trump's immigration executive orders. Why haven't we stripped jurisdiction from the
00:39:14.080federal courts over deportation cases? There's so many things that could have been done.
00:39:19.300They didn't even attempt it, Laura. They would say, oh, if only we needed 50 votes,
00:39:23.300we would have done it. You don't have 50 votes for doing conservative things. You've never shown
00:39:27.920that you'll do conservative things, even with 50 votes. So I hear you. I'd love to see all this
00:39:33.300great stuff being done. I just never saw an indication that they did it. And look, this
00:39:37.880midterm, no question was a rebuke of the president and the Congress by Democrats, independents and
00:39:45.460some Republicans that crossed over. But a lot of our voters who stayed home, they stayed home
00:39:51.300because they were frustrated with the lack of productivity from Republicans in the House and
00:39:57.100Senate. That's just a fact. They were promised big things and they didn't deliver it. So it's
00:40:02.800really both sides of Pennsylvania Avenue. It's not just one. So Ron DeSantis, a real contender.
00:40:09.620This is the approach we need to adopt. If we're going to have any chance of bringing this country
00:40:13.640back from the brink, Republicans have to actually demonstrate the same level of commitment as
00:40:18.460Democrats. You know, we don't really need any more trolling. We don't need any more.
00:40:27.480like we don't need a president. We don't need leaders on the political scene who we think are
00:40:35.680like funny and entertaining. These people are not here to entertain us. There's enough
00:40:42.600entertainment out there. We don't really need that from our politicians. I don't need you to
00:40:45.860be funny. I don't need you to entertain me. I don't need you to be relatable. I mean, you do
00:40:51.920need to come off as authentic as we talked about, but I don't need to feel like you're my friend.
00:40:57.480I don't need you to be a troll, you know.
00:41:01.180We need a candidate who understands the stakes and takes them seriously.
00:41:05.500And for his part, J.D. Vance put out a surprisingly honest and comprehensive assessment of the election.