Tonight, President Trump delivers his first Oval Office address since taking office. Democrats are planning to disrupt the speech with props, including hand clappers and empty egg cartons. Megyn talks about why this is a bad idea, and why we should be worried.
00:53:35.500Yes, literally not making it up, where people are getting laid off like they went to NOAA on Monday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, where hundreds of workers had been laid off last week.
00:53:49.220They wore pink vests, and they sang, my friends, here is a soundbite.
01:01:12.600I want to say that it's an amazing thing because I am weirdly probably on Rachel Maddow's side on this one when it comes to I didn't like how it was handled.
01:01:26.260I think Zelensky probably shouldn't have been baited in that way and actually said he expressed regret today because of the situation that that resulted in.
01:01:36.520But I absolutely would never say and you didn't hear us say in the two hour podcast that we did about this at any point that this was a result of some conspiratorial Donald Trump is under the control of the FSB.
01:01:52.360This stuff has been debunked time and again and this is the reason that despite the fact they're in opposition and as Megan you know this very well is that when you're in opposition network and opposition magazine newspaper whatever you tend to have circulation and viewership numbers that go through the roof.
01:02:08.880When you're in opposition there's have cratered and the reason is is that people might not like this you know people might not support the way Donald Trump handled this and J.D.
01:02:19.160Vance handled this but I don't think that the the instinct is to say they are under the control of the Kremlin.
01:02:25.540I don't that's not why and it's actually a pretty embarrassing and juvenile way of thinking of it at this point after it's been thoroughly researched and debunked but there are other reasons that people can make in my opinion a desperately wrong call vis-a-vis Ukraine.
01:02:46.100And I don't think it the only explanation for that is the man must be either a fascist or a Russian stooge that is she can't let it go it's like it would you delude yourself with a conspiracy theory like most conspiracy theorists you cannot let it go you know you even when it's been totally disproven you just still hold on you're like but I know better than all these other people.
01:03:07.860And so with every new news story she's looking for proof of the lies that she told us for four years I will say this we talked about it yesterday Mark Halperin conducted a poll with an independent pollster named WIC and they showed that the reaction to that exchange was overwhelmingly in Trump's favor among American voters.
01:03:31.920So they they actually thought Trump handled himself very well and some 62 percent said they found Zelensky's behavior offensive.
01:03:40.460And then there's this on Trump's overall policy with Ukraine where it's going to be painful it's not going to be settled on terms anybody who feels bad for Ukraine is going to like but it is going to stop the killing at least for now.
01:03:54.080Here's Harry Enten over on CNN talking about how Trump's doing with the populace on this it's not for.
01:03:58.840So I think the easiest way we can kind of just ask this is do Americans like the way that Trump's handling his job and compared to how they felt about Joe Biden so this is the net approval rating you look at Joe Biden back in 2024 he was 22 points underwater holy cow you look at Donald Trump it's just a different planet entirely I mean the gulf between these two is wider than the Gulf of America or Mexico depending on which side of the aisle you stand on he's at plus two.
01:04:23.460And so on this simple question I think Americans are saying okay Donald Trump's doing all right on this.
01:04:29.680You know I just I'll just give you one more where he's talking about what Americans want now versus what they wanted in 22.
01:04:37.420Because that want a quick end of the war look at this you go back to August of 2022 it was at 31 percent now we're at 50 percent.
01:04:44.800I mean that is a rocket ship upwards in terms of the Americans who want a quick end to the war even if it means Russia keeps the captured Ukraine land.
01:04:52.740One of the reasons why we're seeing this as Americans who say Russia is an enemy you go back to 2023 it was 64 percent and that CBS News YouGov poll it was down to 34 percent.
01:05:03.320Now there is a chunk that believes that Russia is an unfriendly nation but the percentage who believe that they're either an ally or friendly that's up to 34 percent as well.
01:05:10.600Basically equal to the percentage who say that they're an enemy.
01:05:15.840I just want to say that our friend Harry Enten he's really undergone a change since the election his New York accent is a lot more pronounced now.
01:05:23.540Suddenly it's just out of bruising like crazy.
01:05:28.240This opinion change has been going for a while Americans had an instinctive and I think correct at least that I share with desire to support Ukraine.
01:05:38.080In the wake of them getting invaded unprovoked by Russia which was Vladimir Putin's fault and not as Donald Trump has suggested on various times Zelensky's fault and other people have suggested that to Elon Musk and other people have blamed Zelensky for this.
01:05:51.220So I think it's shameful and it becomes a conspiracy theory of its own on the right that we're seeing playing out here and there.
01:05:58.180But so what happens if the U.S. United States public preferably through their congressional representatives decide that it's time to stop supporting Ukraine or at least just say hey look we gave you a lot of money for a lot of time but now we don't see a path to victory.
01:06:13.500We feel like we're throwing a lot of money and also this should be a European led initiative to begin with which is something that I agree with that latter bit for sure should have been that three years ago should have been that 30 years ago.
01:06:26.460Okay so what does what should an administration do with that set of information.
01:06:31.180I think there's an honorable way to go to them and say hey look this is going to wind down.
01:06:35.260If you want someone else to be your chief sponsor go with God but we we don't see a path to victory we're not going to give you that money.
01:06:43.180But that's not what the Trump administration has done and it remains to be seen sure if there's going to be a conflict with a foreign leader and getting all talky and barky in the White House Americans are going to support the president and the president is you know lighting something on fire being completely bizarre.
01:06:57.580We are patriotic people and we rally behind our own.
01:07:00.040But what should the honorable thing to do it should be sort of like we are stepping back now from this role.
01:07:06.740We don't want to say who's going to you know we're not going to dictate terms to people but Trump is not satisfied with that.
01:07:13.200He wants to end the war and he wants to be seen as the one who ended the war and so now we're going from basically leaning very hard on the Ukraine side to starting to lean a little bit on the Russia side.
01:07:24.060And that is a less honorable path and I don't know if Americans who are tired and growing increasingly weary of this war are going to like that particular part of the side switching.
01:07:36.700We want to be seen as Americans generally want to be seen as having a moral stance in the world.
01:07:42.480Being on Russia's side even if it's a realistic response which is how J.D. Vance and Donald Trump position this like hey look we're the only ones who are acknowledging the reality that Ukraine can't win so now what.
01:08:06.380That was a tweet or a post a true social post but he didn't say that to his face and I will I encourage you and you are busy guys who have a lot going on but you should go back and take a look at the video we did yesterday.
01:08:17.020It's it's on our YouTube feed right now where we went through every one of the moments leading up to the big moment where things really melted down between them.
01:08:24.680And we showed how Zelensky was antagonizing Trump with the eye rolls and the size and interrupting him and correcting him over and over and over and Trump took it he took it he took it he took it he was he was taking the high road guys but Trump is Trump and the American people elected him knowing who he is this is not a way to get on his good side.
01:08:51.060He should have been flattered he definitely shouldn't have not have been antagonized and where did Trump not forget JD where did Trump lose it Trump lost it when Zelensky said the danger may be coming to you.
01:09:02.300And that's when he came in and was like you're not going to talk that way in the Oval Office to the American people now now I'm done now it's over I don't blame Trump at all for his behavior in the Oval and JD it didn't get mad or really interjected at all until he'd seen all that behavior by Zelensky the stuff I'm talking about go back and look at the video.
01:09:19.460And then he was called by his first name in what was obviously a disrespectful moment that's I said this yesterday it's one thing world leaders don't usually call each other by their first names but they'll occasionally do it in a moment of levity or warmth you know we're like whatever Trump might say like BB and I go go way back or we had a moment back when we were having lunch you know.
01:09:42.640But where it's tense and you're in the middle of this escalating thing where the guy's eye rolling at you and by the way he has said very very critical things about JD prior to this day and vice versa so they don't like each other and then you lean over and in front of the press you're like you refer to him as JD what are you talking about JD explain yourself.
01:10:01.380And so JD gave him shot back it wasn't a nasty answer but there was a tone to it that showed things were starting to go down and then the rest is history but anyway my point is simply I really don't think Trump behaved badly in that I think he was antagonized over and over and over and to the extent that Donald Trump's capable of taking that kind of needling on the world stage in front of the American public he did it.
01:10:26.080And then finally they pushed him too far when they started to threaten the safety of Americans and to me it was totally understandable.
01:10:33.100I think on that point there's a language issue and a big language issue.
01:10:38.820I mean Zelensky is a not a great English speaker and what he was trying to convey in that moment where Donald Trump lost it with him is that Trump had previously said you know I watched all 45 minutes of it had said the the ocean between us and that had come up two more times.
01:10:54.000And Zelensky brings it up that last time that kind of sets Trump off and you know what I took him to be saying and this is a kind of a boring thing that people have said for years is he's trying to express that you know if we allow the Russians to do this though they'll be emboldened and that will come to other countries including America.
01:11:17.200The notion won't protect you and I just I think that that was a more benign thing than maybe Trump read it and I've rewatched it a bunch of times and I keep every time I rewatch it I realize the clumsiness.
01:11:31.540I mean you notice right afterwards he goes on Brett Baer show in about three or four pretty basic words he has to he has to consult with the translator offset who yells what the words are and he said okay okay and he and he continues his answer.
01:11:44.540And it's just like it's a the reckless thing which I said previously on our podcast is that doing that in that situation in such a kind of hinge moment when your language skills are questionable and not 100 percent.
01:12:00.880I mean anyone who speaks a foreign language understands that when you when you're not like a fluent speaker you're going to miss a lot of tone and intonation.
01:12:07.880Right. And I think that that was a huge problem. I mean I think if if Zelensky grew up in Queens but happened to be the leader of Ukraine much like the leader of Estonia grew up in New Jersey in the past that it would have been a completely different exchange.
01:12:23.720I mean judging those tones and everything it became quite difficult.
01:12:26.460I think I think quickly that I think quickly Zelensky screwed up for his people.
01:12:32.300He's eaten his words and I wouldn't be surprised if Donald Trump announces a signing of a minerals deal at the State of the Union address tonight.
01:12:40.560So let's see screwed up but I don't think Trump took the high road in the run-up to the meeting.
01:12:44.900There's a lot of diplomatic activity in the week 10 days there beforehand and and I don't think Zelensky was treated particularly nicely in that process.
01:12:53.100He wasn't but it's it's you know it's the problem that Zelensky faced in the lead-up in the in the meeting still is there's I mean a total and utter power imbalance and it's like it's it's very annoying.
01:13:05.180But one of the things he challenged Trump on was Trump keeps saying that we've spent 350 billion dollars on Ukraine.
01:13:10.840I don't know where Trump's getting that number from.
01:13:13.840I cannot find what's in 350 billion or how he's getting there.
01:13:16.800We got to 250 billion I could find that and then there's one source that says well, you've just limited to this particular kind of aid.
01:13:25.320It's more like 115 billion, which would put the Europeans at 136 billion above us, but you'd have to limit our aid down to one particular thing and our aid has been vast and we've been doing military training and we've been doing you know sending munitions and so on.
01:13:37.380So I think that if you look at our Pentagon, there's no question we've spent more than the Europeans and Zelensky was trying to say that we haven't and Trump handled it what he handled it.
01:13:50.180Yes, they kind of agreed to disagree, but like it is true that we have done the lion's share.
01:13:55.780The United States has done the lion's share in funding this war on behalf of Ukraine.
01:13:59.880And where have we gotten to a stalemate to a place like I don't understand.
01:14:03.740Like I look at it from the Rachel Maddow point of view and I or yours, Moynihan, since you say it's similar on this issue substantively.
01:14:12.760What is it that Trump should be insisting on that he's not?
01:14:18.380He, I think, accurately perceives the American people do not have the appetite for American boots on the ground to maintain security in Ukraine.
01:14:27.500So he thinks the Europeans should do it, which makes a lot of sense because it is their backyard and Ukraine is part of Europe.
01:14:35.160That makes perfect sense to me, but he didn't.
01:14:38.920Well, today he pulled all eight because he's mad now.
01:14:57.920I would like some of these rare earth materials that we really need because Russia and Ukraine are rich with them and the United States is not.
01:15:05.020And China is rich with them and we are not.
01:15:09.340And it wouldn't be too terrible for you either because we'll give you all this money in exchange for it and we'll have this ongoing economic presence there and actual physical presence as we work with you to try to extract this stuff that will be a deterrent in other ways to Putin.
01:15:37.360I'm on the Ukrainian side on this and I think that Putin and the gang in the Kremlin are horrible, monstrous dictatorship and is what it is.
01:15:48.960But I will say this, that when it comes to what Zelensky was asking for, and he kept on interceding and saying this, and it's a frustrating thing for Ukrainians, is not getting a security guarantee because they've had security guarantees in the past.
01:16:03.600I mean, they made a security guarantee by giving up their nuclear weapons after the Cold War that we give you, we give up our weapons and we have the protection that we need.
01:16:21.820If Trump gave him that, and there was a moment in which Trump suggested he might be open-minded to it yesterday, but Zelensky didn't take the W, it just kept stepping over Trump.
01:16:30.420But I don't, in general, I don't think Trump wants to give that.
01:16:33.460But Biden, nor Obama, it's not on the table.
01:16:50.180So if we sent troops over there to be the enforcers of this deal as the security for Ukraine, you know, security guarantees, then we're involved.
01:16:58.280Then if Putin crosses the line again, it's a war between Russia and the United States.
01:17:06.740No, I don't want American soldiers over there either.
01:17:09.520I don't think that's the only way of doing it.
01:17:11.020I mean, Donald Trump, of course, he's saying that there is a way of doing that, that it would deter people.
01:17:16.280It would deter people in the Kremlin if we had Americans working on the ground there, which I just don't believe because we had Americans working in Kiev when it was trying.
01:17:25.760They were trying to surround it in 2000.
01:17:27.020But if that brings me back, what is it he should be offering that will calm the other side down?
01:17:32.500What do they want from Trump that he's not giving?
01:17:35.140Well, there's no conversation about a number of things.
01:17:37.260There's no conversation about the status of various Ukrainian cities that are under Russian occupation.
01:17:43.180There's no conversation about the tens of thousands of children that have been stolen from Ukrainians.
01:17:49.500I mean, this is not a controversial thing.
01:18:02.400It doesn't appear that there's much negotiation.
01:18:03.920No, it's you give us minerals and we give you hundreds of billions in aid.
01:18:08.500I mean, it's not we're not getting it for they're not giving it up for free.
01:18:12.580Well, we don't know if that's I mean, there's the contours of that deal are unclear to anybody, both people involved and people like myself.
01:18:20.040Well, that's reportedly what they're negotiating, that we will continue our ongoing economic investment in Ukraine in exchange for the minerals.
01:18:25.760We want and by the way, all the monies that we've given so far, virtually every dollar is unsecured.
01:18:31.300And Trump keeps saying with the Europeans, it was secured.
01:18:33.540They got loans and we and we gave gifts.
01:20:49.560Like NATO has been able to Western European countries have been able to underfund NATO and benefit from their security without the burden of responsibility for NATO's decisions forever.
01:20:59.480And so what Ukraine needs in order to survive, to make a ceasefire, something different than just like a five years to wait before Russia pulverizes you again, is for someone to secure their their future.
01:21:11.660That someone should be Western Europe.
01:21:13.880Western Europe says they want that to happen, but they actually so far lack the balls to actually do that.
01:21:20.320So everyone's dancing around each other in these negotiations trying to get over that fact.
01:21:24.120I think Donald Trump and I disagree with how he's done it and sort of the approach, I think he's accelerated towards that future, a future that needs to happen, which is that Western Europe has to put on its big boy pants.
01:21:48.660That's the reality, unless they dramatically change their spending habits and live up to military commitments they've made previously that they've been flouting for years.
01:22:18.240But listen to The New York Times, The Daily, having this discussion.
01:22:21.920It's Michael Barbaro, the host with Peter Baker, the White House correspondent for The New York Times.
01:22:28.400Time and time again, Europeans have said, yeah, we're going to step up and take more of the burden from the United States without actually following through.
01:22:35.980And they have risen to the occasion with Ukraine over these last three years.
01:22:39.740They've actually donated more money for Ukraine's defense than the United States has.
01:22:43.640You may have heard Trump say the opposite.
01:23:16.580I mean, you know, they don't expect U.S. to put troops on the ground.
01:23:19.860What they would like would be air support or logistical support or intel support and mainly just political and geopolitical support.
01:23:27.800The idea that the United States is behind them on this and that Russia ought not to try anything because it would not just be aggravating Europe, aggravating the United States and taking a real chance there.
01:23:37.060And it's not clear that Trump wants to do that.
01:23:43.000They need to not keep aggravating President Trump.
01:23:46.260President Trump, I think, probably would get around to, you know, intel support if that's where we are.
01:23:52.920That's a much different commitment than we're going to send American military to Ukraine and be the first defense against Vladimir Putin, which puts us in a war if Putin gets hungry again.
01:24:21.080And I don't care if he doesn't like the way Trump's talking in the Oval.
01:24:24.960He has no bargaining power, none, zero.
01:24:28.340He is in a supplicant position and he needs to know that when he's over here dealing with our commander in chief to whom he owes and needs everything, from whom he needs everything.
01:24:43.160So you can act all high and mighty with a bunch of swagger, but there's only one real player here and it's us.
01:24:49.680And that's why we are speaking to Putin and Trump is trying to speak nicely to Putin and not say the terrible things about Putin.
01:24:57.340He understands all the things that you said, Matt.
01:24:59.880He's trying to negotiate in the way that he knows how he it works for him.
01:25:04.600If you compliment him, if you flatter him, he's trying to do exactly that with Putin because that in Trump's head is the price of getting a deal done.
01:25:14.600It's air fucking relevant to the rest of us.
01:25:17.680We should not be paying, getting upset or drawing conclusions from any of that language.
01:25:22.640We should be looking at what Trump accomplishes.
01:25:25.080But when dealing with Trump, you should know how to play him and that there's no excuse for Zelensky to have gone in there and to have been openly antagonistic, given the power imbalance and given what we know about Trump.
01:25:38.720I would just say briefly that I think there was obviously a miscalculation.
01:25:41.980I would agree with that with respect to Zelensky's approach.
01:25:44.980But another miscalculation might be that if this is diplomacy, if it is uniquely sensitive, even if Donald Trump wants to use the particular tactics he's most comfortable with, that he should be having most of these conversations in private, that he should be having his envoys conduct most of these conversations in person.
01:26:02.860And that the fundamental issue with this meeting on Friday is that it was a room full of people with cameras.
01:26:09.280Like that should not have happened, even if they thought they were going to sign this deal.
01:26:13.460And had they been able to do that, given the administration's stated objective of achieving a peace as quickly as possible, we would be far closer to that if this blow up had happened behind closed doors.
01:26:24.780And the opportunity that I think J.D. Vance missed first and that Donald Trump eventually missed as well was to say, you know what?
01:27:50.720And then you have your arguments about security guarantees and how many times Putin has violated them behind closed doors leading up to phase two when you're trying to convince America to do more and be the backstop to the Europeans that everybody knows the Europeans need.
01:28:04.720The Zelensky blew it and he tried to antagonize Trump over security guarantees, which is part two during the part one.
01:28:14.080There were too many players in the room.
01:28:16.520And he had been amped up by Democrats like Chris Murphy and Mark Kelly before he even got there, who I believe pushed that guy into the wrong headspace when he went into what was one of the most important meetings of his life.
01:28:31.340Wait, you want something else quickly before we go?
01:28:33.040No, I was going to say just I was going to say, you know, it plays into the conspiracy theory when you said it's very abnormal for J.D. Vance to be there.
01:28:42.520And they didn't sign that beforehand when Zelensky said, quite, quite frankly, that he was willing to sign it.
01:28:47.700So I do understand those conspiracy theories that he was baited into it in some way because it's just the chronology of it is kind of strange.
01:28:56.020I just don't believe it because I believe much more that Trump like the conspiracy theory is that the deal was like falling apart and it wasn't favorable to Trump and Trump couldn't get Putin to agree to it.
01:29:05.440Like, I.E. having European security forces patrol Ukraine and so that Trump did something to tank the deal in that Oval Office meeting so that it didn't look like his dealmaking skills were bad.
01:29:16.380It, you know, it made it look like, oh, Zelensky's a hothead, you know, fell apart.
01:29:20.040That doesn't sound right to me because Trump is not shy about owning up to any reality, good or bad.
01:29:42.800Jody Vance himself, who has always had a very, very negative idea of Zelensky and the war in Ukraine, where Trump has been a little more kind of, you know, not on one side or another, more willing to kind of negotiate a deal.
01:29:56.080I mean, the entire thing that he says is that, you know, until until you say we can promise peace, until you want to work towards peace, I cannot give you the weapons of war.
01:30:07.260I mean, that is and as you pointed out, Megan, I mean, that is part of that deal is that we will give you the weapons of war if you promise peace.
01:30:13.460I don't think that that's something that J.D. Vance has ever wanted at all.
01:30:17.220So, I mean, that strikes me as more plausible, less plausible that it was Trump, you know, in some kind of nine.
01:30:22.920I hear you. And there's no question J.D. is not a Zelensky fan or a fan of this, you know, of Ukraine.
01:30:28.400But I also just think it's much more consistent with Trump to have wanted the win and to have wanted to run around being like, I got the minerals deal.
01:30:37.240And that loser who was there before me got nothing.
01:30:40.220He got us further and further entrenched in this thing.
01:30:42.700And I got us the minerals deal, which, you know, Trump is all about that.
01:30:45.760Like, we're about to annex Greenland because he wants minerals.
01:30:49.420He wants like this is important to Trump.
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01:34:48.780So, bit by bit, some distance out from the November election and the debacle of the June debate with Biden and Trump, truth bombs are starting to emerge here, there, and everywhere.
01:35:06.880And you mentioned one earlier in the show.
01:35:09.120Chuck Todd sat down with Steve Schmidt of the Lincoln Project and listened to this.
01:35:16.500You know, Joe Biden never should have been there in the first place, right?
01:35:20.500Number one, he shouldn't have run for president.
01:35:22.120I completely got so angry at Joe Biden, the man, when I read the transcript of the Hunter Biden trial.
01:35:30.360And when I realized that not one, not two, but three Biden children were all dealing with drug problems in 2018.
01:35:42.340And Joe Biden said, now's a perfect time to run for president.
01:36:38.440I'm reminded earlier, you mentioned how it was in March or April of last year when there was the fundraiser that Joe Biden went to Radio City Music Hall instead of the funeral of the cop.
01:36:50.440We were on your show that morning, and we talked about that.
01:37:05.860So Chuck Todd, dude, welcome to the whatever this is.
01:37:09.720But like that stuff about Joe Biden being a family man guy for 50 years and it being a bunch of horse pucky and people knowing that it's horse pucky and that his family is an absolute catastrophe.
01:37:56.060I guarantee you, if you go and look at what Chuck Todd said for the past eight years, you're definitely going to find some things that are sharp elbowed and that have opinions.
01:38:06.540What do you think that people, when they see that, they're like, yeah, there is a kind of conspiracy in the media of silence because they don't like Donald Trump.
01:39:16.260Yeah, well, it was a grift when he was there.
01:39:18.000And I think that he left under under a cloud.
01:39:20.800But, you know, it's amazing that this is the same person that that was talking about how he's going to get wealthy from being being the anti-Trump man.
01:39:30.740You can't trust anybody, anybody other than Mark Zuckerberg, that is, who decided to put it all out there, guys.
01:39:37.440And the minute we have left, here he is at his wife's 40th birthday party.