Kamala Harris unveiled her first policy position this week: No tax on tips. Sound familiar? It must, because former President Donald Trump came up with it too. We discuss that with the EJ. Vance media tour this week, while the VP nominee on the Democratic side entirely avoids all media attention. We also do a deep dive on the media's gaslighting on various political stories, including Tim Walsh's actual record in Minnesota, which is far more radical than the corporate media is portraying.
00:03:05.440Well, the reason that Trump and Vance are out there so much doing interviews is that the media has made it impossible for them to dominate a national news cycle until since Harris was elevated to the top of the Democratic ticket three weeks ago.
00:03:25.280And the same thing should be happening for Harris until she sits for interviews.
00:03:30.460It should be very, very difficult for her to dominate the news cycle simply with rallies and speeches.
00:03:41.340It is the fault of the press that's allowing her to lead the headlines and lead the front pages of newspapers with positive press every single day without sitting for interviews or taking critical questions.
00:03:52.480But that is precisely the reason that you see Trump and Vance out there in advance.
00:03:56.820I think actually, Megan, did a better job in that CNN interview than he did on your show responding to questions about that.
00:04:03.960I think he after, you know, a rough week rollout has has found a more solid footing as Trump's vice presidential nominee.
00:04:11.840I thought he did a nice job in that interview.
00:04:13.540So what we're seeing now, though, instead of the media demanding access and even in the absence of access, just doing in-depth reporting on these insane policy positions that they have said that they hold and that in Tim Walsh's case that he has enacted as governor of Minnesota, they're doing stories on Trump allegedly calling Kamala Harris a bitch behind closed doors.
00:05:12.840If he, in response to being called a sexual predator fraudster criminal by her openly, behind closed doors may have said she's a bitch.
00:05:20.680I don't know if you saw Mike Allen of Axios tweet out the story, but he put three siren emojis on top of Kamala Harris reportedly being called a bitch by Trump.
00:05:31.340Like, this is some major piece of news.
00:05:33.600And again, it just shows how little they understand about their own audiences.
00:05:38.360The news consumer, the news consumer, the American public, who, for so many of them, you can tell them that Donald Trump has been calling Kamala Harris a bitch.
00:05:47.080You could call, they could hear that he called the Statue of Liberty a bitch and they would still vote for him because they think Kamala Harris's policies are terrible.
00:05:56.120And they're scared of the extreme policies of the left and the media doesn't.
00:06:01.840And another reason they don't ask Kamala Harris's questions, like the one about Waltz's extreme LGBT children policy, is because they don't understand that that does also matter to voters.
00:06:11.300They have no understanding of their audience.
00:06:12.960So they get tied up in these ridiculous stories about Donald Trump allegedly calling Kamala Harris a bitch that does not matter to anyone, let alone doesn't matter to the degree.
00:06:24.020No. And you know what? With the way they manipulate the narratives, they could easily be doing stories right now on how J.D. Vance, to the point Eliana just made, found his footing, how he has been media forward.
00:06:35.460While Kamala Harris and Tim Waltz hide from the press, J.D. Vance is going out there.
00:06:39.200We know if he were a Democrat, that is the story that they would be doing on J.D. Vance, that he is crushing it in interviews, that even though he's getting bad press, he's going and talking to journalists.
00:06:48.820He's talking to them on the plane. He's talking to them in sit downs. He was all over the Sunday shows this week. But no, none of that. We're still talking about the cats.
00:06:55.860Well, speaking of calling Statue of Liberty a bitch, when Bo Deedle, colorful character at Fox News, who's off and on Hannity, ran for mayor, there was some quote in his campaign where he was like,
00:07:06.700I'm going to keep this city safe, you know, all the way up from the Bronx down to that slut in New York Harbor.
00:07:12.820But that's so so Bo Deedle. The other thing we've gotten today is J.D. Vance pictured in a female Halloween costume like he was there saying he likes drag because like I mean, like many people, one year on Halloween in 2012,
00:07:33.060he dressed up, I don't know what it was, but he was wearing a blonde wig and was in women's clothing.
00:07:37.360It was a Halloween costume. And now he's supposed to be a hypocrite, hypocrite, you see, because the Republicans don't like drag in front of young children.
00:07:47.480They did this same thing to Carrie Lake. Carrie Lake spoke out about drag being forced on little kids in public spaces and schools.
00:07:56.840And then they were like, she had a drag queen come and perform at her birthday party. It's not the same thing.
00:08:04.560And any rational person knows that. But I guess we're just going to go with he's like a drag queen now.
00:08:11.840It's also so insulting to actual drag, like actual drag artists like J.D. Vance just put they would do better than that wig on.
00:08:19.260He looks like a women's study professor. Like, that's my guess as to what this costume was.
00:08:23.140And by the way, Eliana, didn't you go to Yale?
00:08:28.060Yeah. Are your friends as mean as J.D. Vance's friend friends?
00:08:32.520Because every day another one releases some private correspondence with the guy, private pictures of a party.
00:08:38.200They seem like terrible people, by the way.
00:08:41.440Well, he went to the law school, which is like the most radical school within Yale.
00:08:46.760Well known for that. But the correspondence is quite interesting.
00:08:51.480The correspondence that's gotten a lot of attention is his correspondence with a friend of his who is trans.
00:08:57.580And at no point in the correspondence that this person has released is he disrespectful in any way.
00:09:04.740I actually thought it reflected quite well on him.
00:09:08.760And I wasn't quite sure what the upshot of that story was, other than he was that he was totally respectful to a friend with whom he had developed personal disagreements.
00:09:21.620He was loving, kind, and supportive of this trans person.
00:09:26.520The person broke up their friendship because he came out publicly and said he doesn't want these treatments for children.
00:09:32.560And that was enough for this person to completely turn on him, try to publicly humiliate him, go to the New York Times, go to CNN, elsewhere to try to embarrass him publicly.
00:09:43.140This person's a bad person. This person's an ass. All right. That's it. That's all there is to it.
00:09:47.700A bad friend, as is whoever tried to embarrass J.D. Vance with a stupid Halloween costume.
00:09:52.840I mean, it's just so absurd to try to make that a comparison.
00:09:55.680Listen, the gyrating leather strap bondage drag performances that we're seeing in, like, the bluest of blue states in front of the young ones,
00:10:05.960trying to make them look at some guy's naked ass with nothing but a leather strap through his crack.
00:10:11.880That is not the same as a law student male going as some sort of a female character on Halloween.
00:10:18.620I hate to break it to you, but that's another thing normal people understand.
00:10:26.140The New York Times quoted another friend of Vance's from law school who cited as the reason for friction in their relationship that Vance's barbs about the elites at Yale became too pointed.
00:10:40.280And the Times actually quotes this as some kind of shot at Vance, as if any normal person would take umbrage at the fact that J.D. Vance, you know, arrived at Yale and found the place snobby and out of touch,
00:10:56.280or that he's criticized, you know, Ivy League elite since then.
00:11:00.520It's that genre of journalism of what your former classmate said about you is is not a strong one.
00:11:08.760I don't know. I got to talk about empty calories. All right.
00:11:12.660So now particularly, by the way, at a school like Yale, full of strivers who one can presume are incredibly envious of where he's ended up in life compared to them.
00:11:25.440Yeah, I know. Well, the same thing. And I've got Tim Walsh every day criticizing him for graduating from Yale Law School and going on to work for Peter Thiel as a Silicon Valley billionaire.
00:11:34.300He's like, oh, sure. He's working class. Sure. He went to Yale Law School. Hello. That's the American dream, Emily. Right.
00:11:40.800To like get yourself up, improve your circumstances.
00:11:44.040I was gonna say Minnesota's own Eliana Johnson went to Yale.
00:11:48.940No, now she's a partisan hack elite. You're not allowed to do that because then you're not you've lost all touch with your roots.
00:11:55.360I wish I could say it was a working class success story, you guys.
00:12:53.140All right, so first, I'm just gonna give you, I'm gonna give you what she said on Saturday in Vegas, where she slipped in a new proposal, allegedly of hers.
00:13:04.660When I am president, we will continue our fight for working families of America.
00:13:31.720So she stole that from Trump, which he tweeted out, and he was 100% right.
00:13:35.720It was his proposal, and he made it months ago, and he explained how he came up with the idea when he spoke at the Republican National Convention.
00:17:13.620Either way, if he were a Democrat, one big storyline of this election would have been how he came up with that idea, because it's really brilliant.
00:17:22.680And it's a very powerful political narrative.
00:17:25.660And that's obviously why Kamala Harris is cribbing it.
00:17:28.980I mean, in Nevada, this goes a very, very long way towards, you know, appealing to working class voters who are hugely supportive of Donald Trump more than they have been for other Republican candidates.
00:18:04.080Trump tweeted out, uh, or posted on true social, uh, Kamala Harris, whose honeymoon period is ending and is starting to get hammered in the polls.
00:18:11.960Just copied my no taxes on tips policy.
00:18:53.440She, you know, I guess if you can't beat him, join him, but there'll be no acknowledgement, Eliana, that she completely copied Trump's homework.
00:19:01.620Well, it's quite interesting, um, it to take a serious look at this, that this is the one specific policy proposal she's put out to date.
00:19:12.320And it is one of Trump's policy proposals.
00:19:15.920Not only that, but this is a proposal, as Emily mentioned, that's aimed at the working class.
00:19:20.000And these are the voters that the Democratic Party over the past eight years has been bleeding to the GOP.
00:19:27.040So, um, if you want to think about what Kamala Harris may try to do, and we're supposed to see more economic policies from her this week.
00:19:34.100Um, I think that's the way to look at this.
00:19:36.780I saw a headline on Mediaite the other day suggesting that you were displeased that 538's been, like, the forecast has been suspended.
00:19:52.260They're now affixing a note to the top of it, uh, where it could formally be found.
00:19:56.780The forecast saying, as of July 21st at 2 p.m. Eastern, um, President Biden has suspended his campaign for the Democratic Party, um, whatever, for president.
00:20:06.060And I guess they, they decided to suspend the forecast, um, and you suggested, at least according to Mediaite, that this is being done for political reasons.
00:20:19.960I don't think it's being done for political reasons as much as maybe to save them a model they don't trust, or that could be embarrassing to them in some ways.
00:20:28.320Um, they had said back in July that their model had Biden doing substantially better than Kamala Harris.
00:20:35.180Um, which I don't think made any sense at the time, and definitely doesn't make any sense now, given the polling.
00:20:41.360Their model actually doesn't look very much at polling.
00:20:43.300It relies on things like the economy and incumbency.
00:20:46.160So, you know, I don't know why they don't have the model back on.
00:20:49.460Um, it's one of the most fascinating periods in American political history.
00:20:53.000I mean, the amount of attention paid to anything having to do with the horse race and politics and polls is very high right now.
00:20:59.600So I can't speak to what's going on there, but like, I mean, there's an issue, Megan, where if you leave a brand and they get to keep the brand name, I mean, 538 was, I'm no longer associated with it, but they have the brand name.
00:21:09.540And it's a little bit of an awkward spot if, if, if you think they're putting out a product that doesn't live up to, I mean, I'm a demanding person, but it doesn't live out up to the standards that you created.
00:21:21.020The people I work with are still there, but they, they hired a new guy that, um, that I infuted with and thought, you know, was not someone I would have hired.
00:21:27.900Um, and so whatever, I mean, you know, I got the model, I got my model, I got, I have myself.
00:21:33.520And so I got the valuable things out of that relationship, but it's frustrating to have a version of a product that is not, not the product that you helped create.
00:21:53.300But do you think that there is, I mean, cause that's maybe they'll start the forecasting now that Kamala's back and it's going well for her.
00:21:59.260I mean, because to me, it seems so obvious that they lost interest in doing that when it, when it looked like Joe Biden was doing so poorly.
00:22:05.520Well, cause their forecasts have been the most optimistic forecast for Biden, right?
00:22:09.240When Biden left the race, they still had it at 50, 50, which I think is, is simply wrong based both on the polling and based on kind of common sense.
00:22:18.880Right. I mean, this is a guy who was having trouble delivering even prepared remarks and certainly anything off, off, but off a teleprompter was very difficult for, for the president.
00:22:29.800I mean, the guy who runs the model, I think has definitely seemed like he's more of a partisan leaning Democrat, but look, I, I, you need to separate out your rooting interest from your ability to do analysis and reporting.
00:22:55.920And I'm not going to indulge, you know, critiques from Democrats because people say all of a sudden when we had Trump way ahead, they're like, oh, Nate is MAGA now.
00:23:03.300Right. Nate's being funded by the right wing.
00:23:04.780And now that, now that it's 50, 50 again, or we actually have Harris slightly ahead, then, oh, you're back in good graces.
00:23:09.880I think people don't understand that some folks are able to separate out their journalism from, you know, I think it's fine as a citizen to have opinions about public affairs and for transparency reasons to even articulate that for context when you're going on the media appearance or, or writing about the election.
00:23:26.260But we can decouple these things from one another.
00:23:28.580I think it's, I think people are, are, should hold themselves to a higher standard of being able to, you know, walk and chew gum at the same time.
00:23:35.880Yeah. I mean, it's been a while since I've taken statistics and probability, but those seem like models that one could follow irrespective of one's bias.
00:23:45.140However, I guess there are some people who put inputs into the models that could change the outcome and they do.
00:23:51.820It's a fine line because when you're building a model, especially for elections, you know, the other thing I do is sports and in sports, there are hundreds of NFL games played every year and thousands of baseball games.
00:24:03.240It's easier to kind of have the data speak for itself.
00:24:06.040For elections, we have one election every four years.
00:24:08.360The political climate is always changing.
00:24:10.780So you have to be more assumption driven and that requires you to think very carefully about like, you know, what are the assumptions I make if I actually had to bet my own money on this election?
00:24:21.820That's the standard I think people should use because otherwise you get in a trap where, where your rooting interest tends to, you know, surface in all types of different ways with all these decisions that you make when you build the forecasts and, and, and how you average a polls together or what standards you have for X and Y and Z.
00:24:37.240So, um, it's a hard problem, actually, it's, it's a difficult problem.
00:24:41.120And, and, you know, the longevity I have having done it since 2008, it's a real asset.
00:24:46.000Cause I, I've been, it's not my first rodeo.
00:24:50.920So just to take a look at your latest probability, you've got Harris at 54.8% chance of winning the electoral college Trump at 44.7.
00:25:01.700So not quite a 10 point difference between them, but you know, the, the race has shifted dramatically toward the Dems favor since the substitution.
00:25:11.360Um, we went back and, you know, I know that you, you know, this, but you had predicted that Hillary had something like a 71% probability of winning in 16.
00:25:21.840So that's just as a caution for the audience that this doesn't mean that Harris is going to win.
00:25:26.140It's, it's a probability based on an input of what all the latest polls or the polls that you trust.
00:25:32.400Like, how do you come, how do you decide what goes into the, uh, the mix?
00:25:36.040We, we try to be as inclusive as possible, right?
00:25:39.360As long as it's a, it's a professional poll, professional scientific poll.
00:25:43.300We include it regardless of the political ideology of the pollster, you know, if there are polls that are amateur polls, like someone doing it on a blog and they pay 300 bucks for a survey monkey survey, not those, but we are the most inclusive of the different sites.
00:25:57.380Cause we believe in the wisdom of consensus and the wisdom of crowds.
00:26:01.280Um, and there are years where some of the polls people, uh, demean as outliers wind up being right.
00:26:06.820And so we're kind of following a, following a process there.
00:26:09.200And to the other thing you said, I mean, look, Harris is, it's basically a coin flip.
00:26:13.48054, 46 is not much removed from a coin flip.
00:26:16.260Um, and you're right that in 2016, Trump won with longer odds.
00:26:23.860Now, what I would say is a poker player, gambler, sports better is that you look at where is your prediction relative to the market?
00:26:29.840Um, the belief there, and if you wanted to bet on Trump, you could get odds of six to one on Trump.
00:26:35.240So we said it should be actually three to one.
00:26:37.180So if you're a gambler and you looked at our forecast, you'd say, I have a good bet on Trump because when it pays off, it'll pay off more than enough to make it for the times when, when the, you know, the favorite wins.
00:26:47.560So from my standpoint, that was what I call a plus expected value forecast, meaning you play out the election a hundred times and you make money from it.
00:26:54.940Um, but understandably, you know, not many people before have come from this poker playing background into becoming this prominent election forecaster.
00:27:02.400So understandably, I know why kind of like the conventional media is not going to get that and that's okay.
00:27:07.580It's a hazard of doing the job, but I do want to emphasize that the uncertainty is there for a reason.
00:27:14.340They were off in both 2016 and 2020, 2020.
00:27:17.380Biden had a big enough lead in the polls that he held on, but like they were off by four or five points again in states like Wisconsin.
00:27:24.460Hmm. So what, I mean, there, of course, at this point in the race, there are many Republicans who are starting to get very worried, right?
00:27:34.340Because Trump looks so much better four weeks ago than he does today.
00:27:37.280We had the New York Times Siena poll that came out yesterday showing, uh, Harris over Trump by four points in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, the must win Pennsylvania.
00:27:48.060Uh, we had Cook Political Report moving three states in the Sun Belt from lean R to toss up, including Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, which Trump had been looking really good in Nevada, which is not historically blue, but he, sorry, red, but, uh, he'd been looking really good there.
00:28:06.080So a lot of Republicans are starting to get very nervous with these polls coming in.
00:28:11.180You've got Trafalgar, which is historically, I guess, more friendly toward, uh, Republican voters.
00:28:18.780They understand them a little bit better.
00:28:20.120I think the way he polls is very interesting.
00:28:21.940He's got likely voters, uh, at least in Pennsylvania today, Trump up to all within the margin of error.
00:28:28.160So how do we make sense of today's polling on this race?
00:28:31.900I mean, that's kind of exactly what a polling average is designed for, where it includes the New York Times, and it includes the Trafalgar's.
00:28:39.220Um, I don't mean to totally compare them.
00:28:40.940I mean, we have pollster ratings based on the historical accuracy and, and, you know, Trafalgar has had great years and not so great years, for example.
00:28:47.620Um, look, there's a pretty clear consensus that Kamala Harris is ahead in most national polls right now by an average of two or three points.
00:28:56.580Um, national polls, however, do not determine the election because the popular vote doesn't determine the election.
00:29:02.280In Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, she's ahead by a point, maybe two points, but that's really within the margin of error of the polls, right?
00:29:10.780If you had the election today, which would be a little bit weird, but if, if you had the election today and Trump won Wisconsin, that would be not surprising in the least, right?
00:29:19.280I mean, I think you'd take Harris at 50-50 odds, but it's, it's very close.
00:29:24.000And the fact that, look, one way to look at it is that we've had three straight close elections with Trump.
00:29:29.700One where he came out a little bit ahead, one where he came out a little bit behind, um, and Harris is like a league average Democratic candidate, right?
00:29:38.780I mean, you know, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by two points.
00:29:41.380I frankly think Kamala Harris is a better candidate than Hillary Clinton.
00:29:44.660So if she wins by three points, the popular vote, then you have a close electoral college raise where I think she might be the slightest favorite, um, but would be very competitive.
00:29:55.420So to those despairing on the right, it's too soon for that.
00:29:59.700To those celebrating on the left, same message.
00:30:02.720No, look, I, um, I think both parties have, look, Democrats went from a terrible position.
00:30:09.640I mean, Biden was way behind and I think if anything, our model overrated Biden's chances, because he was not able to do the normal things that a candidate does.
00:30:27.340I mean, that, that feels great when you're a poker player and you're down to your last few chips and all of a sudden you're a real player in the game.
00:30:34.300Um, um, but like Democrats are maybe getting a little bit carried away here.
00:30:39.900Um, Kamala Harris is going to have her convention next week.
00:30:42.940And typically that produces a further boost in the polling.
00:30:45.900So I think August will remain a rough month for the GOP.
00:30:50.240Um, but September, she will face a different type of pressure.
00:30:53.860The pressure being a perceived front runner, potentially.
00:31:00.200I mean, being an underdog is a powerful kind of constituents or powerful meme.
00:31:04.300In American politics, it's a sympathetic situation.
00:31:06.800And, and in some ways, in some ways it's a great story, right?
00:31:09.840I mean, she takes over this old guy and performs way better than people thought, um, rises in the polls, could become the first woman president.
00:31:16.880It's understanding, understandable why voters and certainly the media find this story compelling, but, but usually there are twists once you get after Labor Day and having this debate, September 10th, which by the way, is still pretty early for a debate.
00:31:29.460Um, that's the most obvious fork in the road for a momentum swing.
00:31:34.480Have you been able, Nate, when you've been watching the media, I mean, it's been such a whiplash, right, of them eventually deciding Biden had to go, okay, we're going to do our shoe leather reporting.
00:31:47.360We're suddenly interested in all of his fails and stumbles.
00:31:50.640And then as soon as she got anointed, it was like, not interested anymore, forgot all our shoe leather problems.
00:31:58.300Let's just let her, let's let her coast and be her PR agents on the back of the plane and back of the bus and not insist on interviews, et cetera.
00:32:04.420Yeah, look, I think the Biden story should have been covered first and foremost as a governance story.
00:32:14.560You know, how much uptime does Biden have seems like a valid question.
00:32:18.420And by the way, I think these questions can be asked of Trump, too.
00:32:21.260I think, I think candidates should be more transparent about their medical records and their mental health and things like that as well.
00:32:26.840And people should have the right to ask questions.
00:32:28.320But yeah, it's, it's not a great look that once the force race aspect of the story was resolved, that, that the story faded from the headlines so quickly.
00:32:37.820Because it's about, you know, if there's a 3 a.m. phone call from, from North Korea, then do you have the best person in office to take that job?
00:32:45.460And, and I don't know, I mean, I, I, you know, the fact that Biden's been cagey about his diagnosis, if he has one, it's not been, it's not been a great look.
00:32:54.340And it's a sign of how, I mean, what's weird about me is like, you know, I'm someone who is kind of in the liberal media establishment, but also critical of it at times.
00:33:03.820And I think in election years in particular, you sometimes see behavior that's more, more strategic, I guess I'd say.
00:33:11.880I mean, that's such a sweet interpretation of it.
00:33:14.500But well, I mean, I'm corrupt if you ask me, but that's me.
00:33:17.960But on your point about Joe Biden, Tom Bevan over at RealClearPolitics actually went and pulled the president's schedule just to see what he's actually doing, what Joe Biden's actually doing.
00:33:57.260They feel like he deserves it because he stepped down.
00:34:00.180So it's like out of respect, even though we have two wars going, the Middle East and Ukraine, and we may be seeing an expansion of one or both.
00:35:29.800Again, I am a little conflicted out here.
00:35:31.500I freelance for the New York Times, so I don't want to speak, you know, and you should account for that conflict.
00:35:35.560Look, I think the issue is that it's kind of the pipeline issue where the Times is hiring from lots of elite colleges and universities, young people from elite colleges and universities.
00:35:45.460And, you know, they're very bright people.
00:35:47.180I mean, they get the best and brightest people in their class, but people coming out of those elite institutions are progressive Democrats.
00:35:55.140And, look, there are more journalists than you might expect, Megan.
00:36:29.840All our concerns about being kind toward people with special learning and so on, out the window when it's Elon Musk, who everybody knows is on the spectrum.
00:36:49.940Look, I mean, I worked in these spaces as well, and I think there are a lot of good people there.
00:36:54.800I think sometimes the people who care more about the journalistic standards are reluctant to speak up to younger colleagues who want to take the newsroom in a more progressive direction.
00:37:05.400And you have a lot of internal battles.
00:37:07.580You know, one thing about the Times is that, you know, at the Times, the kind of more traditionalists actually said, hey, if you want to turn this into like a progressive newspaper, then this is not the place for you exactly.
00:37:17.180And they've shifted a lot from kind of the peak of 2020, peak wokeness or whatever you want to call it.
00:37:23.720I read so much stuff and, you know, and I might not say that about outlets X, Y, and Z.
00:37:28.140I don't want to make enemies now, but there are outlets that I wouldn't say that about.
00:38:22.860And she's going to be worse than him because she is a San Francisco liberal who destroyed San Francisco.
00:38:30.400And then as the attorney general, she destroyed California.
00:38:34.620OK, so he's getting a little bit more on message there at the end.
00:38:39.120But Nate, do you think and I realize you're more in the statistics and probability game, but do you think there's a chance they actually might sub out Biden before November so she could run as an incumbent?
00:38:51.540I mean, I don't know that we can connote an advantage to her.
00:38:57.000It would certainly make her campaigning schedule more difficult.
00:38:59.240But I do think there's a chance just because if you look at, look, I spent a lot of time looking at curves, right?
00:39:04.900Curves for how baseball players are going to do or how the polls are trending.
00:39:08.460And the trajectory for Biden is, you know, seems to be pretty negative.
00:39:13.420That instead of an occasional senior moment, that that's kind of like the norm now.
00:39:17.860And we also know if you look at actuarial tables or if you just had older relatives that once you kind of hit the late 70s, early 80s, that you often hit an inflection point where someone goes from having good days most of the time to bad days most of the time.
00:39:35.300And so, yeah, I mean, the fact that he wanted to be president for another four years, if you extend out that curve, I mean, that was, you know, kind of an untenable ask of voters.
00:39:45.120It's the main reason that he was losing. But it's a perfectly logical question to ask.
00:39:49.800You know, why not just step aside now?
00:39:52.540I think that's perfectly logical. And the media should ask that question more.
00:40:00.320We were gaslit on President Joe Biden's mental acuity for years.
00:40:04.100As recently as March, we had MSNBC telling us this was the best Joe Biden ever, most cognitively fit, better than ever.
00:40:12.060And then they were exposed at that debate. But the lie was never acknowledged.
00:40:16.800They just moved on. Same for Vice President Kamala Harris.
00:40:21.300She defended the president as totally fine, mentally robust even for years, never came clean, just quietly subbed in for him.
00:40:29.700And three weeks later, hasn't said one word about any of it.
00:40:35.400The same media is now telling us Harris is suddenly a wordsmith, someone who speaks with merry conviction, has social warmth.
00:40:46.800And that was from The Wall Street Journal. Imagine what the left is saying about her and is tougher.
00:40:52.540She's tougher than the guy who just got shot in the face and rose up with a fist pump.
00:40:57.780The same media is telling us that those two Olympic boxers who won gold medals this weekend did not test X, Y and are, in fact, female.
00:41:09.980But they did test X, Y and they are male.
00:41:13.640The International Boxing Association is on record through its doctor saying as much.
00:41:17.380And now we've had the former NBC and L.A. Times reporter, Alan Abramson, come forward and verify earlier reports that he personally saw the test results and they showed male.
00:41:29.320Similarly, Amin Khalif, the one boxer from Algeria, her trainer, his trainer, has revealed, reports Redux Mag, that a French hospital found a problem with Khalif's chromosomes and that Khalif was well aware he, quote, might not be a girl.
00:41:44.940Well, this, as a commissioner of the Spanish Boxing League, comes forward to reveal that Khalif was considered too dangerous for women to fight in Spain, saying, quote, whoever we put Khalif with was injured, end quote, and that they had to pair Khalif with one of Spain's top male boxers before finding an even match for Khalif.
00:42:06.420Even the IOC, which had been maintaining that these two boxers were female based on their passport identifications as female, appeared to give up the game this weekend, saying, quote,
00:42:19.520It is not as easy as some may now want to portray it that the XX or the XY is the clear distinction between the men and the women.
00:42:28.700This is scientifically not true anymore, and therefore, these two are women.