Crime and Chesa Boudin's Recall, and Elon Musk's Twitter Plan, with Jason Calacanis and David Sacks | Ep. 337
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 36 minutes
Words per Minute
195.39265
Summary
Two critical elections are happening today in California and these are big. They could send a very clear message to the Democratic Party nationwide that people are fed up with rising crime, rampant homelessness, and district attorneys who let criminals walk free to re-offend.
Transcript
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Welcome to The Megyn Kelly Show, your home for open, honest and provocative conversations.
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Hey everyone, I'm Megyn Kelly. Welcome to The Megyn Kelly Show.
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Two critical elections happening today in California and these are big.
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They could send a very clear message to the Democratic Party nationwide
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that people are fed up with rising crime, rampant homelessness and district attorneys
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So much sympathy these DAs have for those who break the law
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and very little for those who are their victims.
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One critical race is to replace the outgoing Los Angeles mayor, Eric Garcetti.
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Today's primary is mainly seen to be between two candidates,
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Democratic Congresswoman Karen Bass, and recent Republican,
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but now turned Democrat, billionaire developer, Rick Caruso.
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The other race, and we've been talking about this for months now,
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is the recall election against San Francisco DA Chesa Boudin.
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who's the son of two members of the Weather Underground,
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They went to jail for being part of this Brinks armored car robbery
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in which two cops and a security guard were killed.
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And little Chesa had to be raised by two other domestic terrorists,
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Shockingly, he doesn't really want to enforce the law against anybody.
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And yet San Franciscans are elected this guy anybody,
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He thinks homeless camps are fine and shouldn't be touched.
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He promised not to touch any crimes like prostitution
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or even public urination, and on and on the list goes.
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Turns out San Franciscans actually have a problem with that.
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My guests today have had a big hand in the effort to try to oust Chesa Boudin.
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David Sachs is a successful entrepreneur, a venture capitalist,
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who runs Kraft Ventures, and he's a co-host of the popular tech podcast,
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He's also a member of the so-called PayPal Mafia.
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Also joining us today, another co-host of the All In podcast,
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and one of Silicon Valley's most successful angel investors.
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But what if you or a partner needs to step away?
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count on Canada Life's flexible life and health insurance
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So I live out here now in Connecticut, but on the Northeast,
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and I've had this day on my calendar for a long time,
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and that's nothing compared to what you guys have had
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and how hard you've worked and waited for this day to finally get here.
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And we'll start with Chesa Boudin, that this is it.
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This is the day that San Franciscans get to decide
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he ran against somebody who promised to be tougher on crime,
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They finally get their say on whether they regret that choice.
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Yeah, this is – so June 7th is the day that we have the recall election.
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And exit polling, all the polling looks like San Francisco is going to vote to recall Chesa Boudin.
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I mean, he won election in a – he won his office of district attorney in an off-year election in late 2019.
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It was a low-turnout election, and with ranked-choice voting,
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he only got something like 36 percent first-choice votes, and he narrowly sweeped by.
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Since then, he's implemented this agenda of decarceration,
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which is to release as many offenders as possible.
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That is his mission, and the result has been, you know, chaos and lawlessness in San Francisco.
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And I think that people in San Francisco have had enough,
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and I think they're likely to recall him today.
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You know, lately, the press has shifted, Jason,
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to the only people who really want to get rid of Chesa Boudin are rich Silicon Valley elites,
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to whom homelessness is just – it's a blight on the attractiveness of their city.
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And we've heard Chesa Boudin say, this is a Republican-led effort,
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and also disparaging the police because the police union doesn't like him.
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It's Silicon Valley elites, it's the Republicans, and it's the police.
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Yeah, I mean, the devil mixes the lies with the truth.
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So, of course, anybody who is running a right-wing news source is going to jump on this story
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So, sure, you might get some Republican donations on the margin to a situation like this.
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But the truth is, San Francisco is overwhelmingly Democrat,
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and you can only vote in the recall election if you live in the city.
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So it is not technically possible for him to be recalled, for the recall to be on the ballot
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or for today to happen unless San Franciscans themselves vote him out.
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You don't need to really – you can just trust your eyes on this one, as Sachs says often.
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If you were to walk through San Francisco 20 years ago, 10 years ago, 5 years ago,
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and then during Chesu Boudin's reign of terror, it is stark, the difference.
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People, you know, places like Walgreens are closing up shop here
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because they just can't sustain, you know, operating in a city.
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And it's really tragic because, you know, if you really double-click on what's happening here,
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the crime is based largely on a super drug known as fentanyl
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And these two drugs are radically different than other drugs that we've seen,
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and they cause people to live a really horrific existence
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and being supported by the policies that San Francisco has chosen.
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But anybody who's had somebody addicted to these kind of super drugs
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and people who have been addicted to it themselves say the only time that they,
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you know, get help and the backstop is when there are consequences.
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It's a very hard discussion for us to have as a society.
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But there must be consequences to people breaking into people's homes,
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to people, you know, having psychotic breaks on the street
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because they're so hopped up on what really are super drugs
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So I think the bigger picture, of course, is if San Francisco,
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And Michael Schellenberger, if he does win and he starts debating Newsom,
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maybe we're seeing a tipping point where, you know, California, which has been blue,
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Maybe they don't want these really far radical left policies.
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And maybe they want to be more like Clinton Democrats
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and maybe balance the budget and have some reasonable policies
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that are actually effective for the citizens of the state.
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That would be quite eye-opening, right, in a city like San Francisco.
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And that's what's so interesting about this is you've got the bluest of the blue cities,
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This isn't like, you know, in the heart of Ohio.
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Some DA went a little too soft and Ohioans are rising up.
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And even the mayor, London Breed, has changed her tune mightily
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when it comes to defunding the police and so on.
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But, you know, David and I have talked about this before,
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about I did a very long interview of Bill Ayers,
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and I got to know him and the Weather Underground pretty well
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in terms of their history and what they're all about.
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So, of course, it wasn't a big surprise to find out that his son,
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And to say he's a bleeding heart is to make him sound kind and benevolent.
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It's that he cares more, to me, about the criminals
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than he does about the law-abiding citizens of San Francisco.
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Where is his empathy for the people who are getting hurt,
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who are getting attacked, who are getting robbed,
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who are having their businesses robbed so many times
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But even the very blue voters, David and Sam Fran,
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in San Francisco has really turned against Chesa Boudin
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while the assailant recorded the whole thing on his phone.
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And Chesa Boudin later said that the perpetrator
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There's another case in which an elderly Asian man
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and he was kicked in the face by some sort of psychotic perpetrator.
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where a therapist comes to your house once a week.
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that the family of the elderly man who was attacked supported it.
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getting away with not just what Boudin has called
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quality of life crimes, like the ones you've mentioned,
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where a local reporter named Susan Dyer Reynolds,
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And the perpetrator's now out walking the streets.
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who are now walking the streets of San Francisco
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I mean, over something like he released during COVID,
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that somehow he's going to make all of us safer
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where their kids, their families are in danger.
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and if that's true does he really get to unwind
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current management and elon and i i suspect that
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doubling down on their on their censorship so i
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based on what he said publicly is look i relied
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on their public filings and public statements so
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publicly for many years is that the bot problem is
01:23:37.700
five percent or less and he's saying listen when i
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sample my own account and i look at my followers or i
01:23:44.200
look at my own tweets and the likes and reactions they
01:23:46.960
get the bots seem to be a lot more than five percent
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so i need you twitter's management to answer my reasonable
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questions about this and twitter has refused to so now if
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the deal falls apart over this then what happens is
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twitter's gonna have to make a decision do we sue elon musk for
01:24:04.400
the billion dollar kill fee that he would otherwise be
01:24:07.080
obligated to pay and if they do twitter uh elon's defense against
01:24:11.560
that is going to be but you didn't give me all the information you didn't answer
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my questions and then they're going to have to go
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to trial and i think the issue will very quickly
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uh become uh what did twitter's management know about the bot problem
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basically answer elon's questions and what will the discovery show
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a chain of correspondence between twitter execs saying
01:24:38.260
uh that would look very very bad for them and so i think if this deal doesn't
01:24:45.460
that lawsuit could be very embarrassing for twitter executives i mean could there
01:24:48.300
be a securities fraud lawsuit against him by the government but against not him
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this problem in their sec filings they could have bigger problems than a lawsuit
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against elon right and that and that would all come down to the
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discovery you know what did twitter executives know when do they know it
01:25:04.180
and what does the discovery show i mean are there emails between twitter executives
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saying that hey we have a bot problem uh well don't look into that don't fight
01:25:12.880
that too hard because it would hurt our revenue
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elon's contention is look the reason why this is important is
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70 percent of twitter's revenue is brand advertising
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and the the ad rates depend on how many eyeballs are looking at that advertising
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and if i don't know 25 percent of the eyeballs are fake because they're
01:25:31.640
actually bought accounts then a lot of twitter's ad revenue could go away
01:25:35.460
so you know is there correspondence is there discovery within twitter
01:25:41.480
showing that people were aware of this problem and didn't want to look
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too closely into it because it could have an adverse impact on revenue
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by the way i'm not saying that's the case but that's the kind of liability
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that i think twitter would face and it will be really interesting to see if the
01:25:55.720
deal falls apart does twitter sue elon and subject itself to that kind of
01:26:02.300
exposure or do they just let it kind of quietly go away go away and and i think
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the answer to that question will tell you how much exposure twitter executives feel
01:26:11.660
like they have on that question do you do you also think are you also as doubtful
01:26:18.060
well it seems like uh they're at this uh impasse where elon is saying i need this
01:26:25.820
information i can't proceed without it and twitter is basically saying they won't give
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it to him so unless this impasse gets resolved i think the deal probably does fall apart
01:26:33.100
um although what like you like jason i'd like to see uh elon buy the company
01:26:38.780
yeah i think david nailed it megan when you when you look at the discovery process
01:26:43.940
they've been talking about the bot problem for a decade so there'll be every level of
01:26:48.940
executive talking about this and certainly um you know the number five percent is like
01:26:54.540
a very specific round number and you know less than five percent doesn't seem very credible
01:26:59.240
uh and you know the exposure to twitter of taking this to the mat um would be so great
01:27:06.440
to have misstated that for so many quarters that the shareholder lawsuits and the chaos from
01:27:12.740
that executives liability if they were lying or if they were misrepresenting in any way
01:27:18.600
i mean it would just cause utter chaos i mean and we're talking for years of lawsuits that
01:27:23.960
would take i don't know david you're the attorney here but i mean the amount of time it would
01:27:27.960
take for this to all hash out would be measured in years and in the meantime that company is already
01:27:33.880
mismanaged and not running properly and so this kind of distraction for management uh would i think
01:27:40.360
lead them to say hey listen you can be a shareholder in the company maybe we do a modest breakup fee
01:27:46.020
like you know 100 million dollars or something and let's all move on as friends and we love having
01:27:50.640
you on the platform and it didn't work out but that's okay we we believe there's a bright future
01:27:54.440
for twitter uh or you know hey here's another price 34.20 or something uh you know right or i mean
01:28:01.320
or twitter's board or twitter could renegotiate or they could be willing to renegotiate or elon could
01:28:05.960
renegotiate so neither side is obligated to renegotiate but but that would be a pretty good
01:28:11.240
outcome i mean obviously the the stock market and really the the market for growth stocks has gone
01:28:17.480
down precipitously since they worked out this deal i think uh twitter's own share price is down
01:28:22.380
something like 30 if i were on the board knowing everything i know about this management team and
01:28:28.360
how distracted they are and how many issues there are at the company wouldn't you rather want to take
01:28:33.220
a lower price from elon remember his premium is relative to twitter share price and the stock
01:28:39.560
market in general if the overall stock market has declined because of higher interest rates and
01:28:44.620
inflation is it really that bad an outcome to renegotiate the price down to reflect where the
01:28:50.240
market is today yeah um if i were on the board i'd be seriously thinking about that option yeah why
01:28:55.080
would they give him the information david that to me is a very strange moment in time he's asking for
01:29:01.700
information they won't give it that to me seems bizarre if they really do want to you know finish
01:29:06.420
the deal wouldn't they want the information well they want to give him the information i suspect they
01:29:10.560
don't want to open the door where if they basically give him the information he's looking for first of
01:29:15.200
all the answers may not be very good uh or the answers may be that they either might be the wrong
01:29:21.180
answers or they might not be very detailed elon's asking for details about their methodology how did
01:29:26.560
you come up with the five percent maybe they don't have a good answer to that maybe they don't want
01:29:31.560
to be subjected to scrutiny on that point yeah uh but i suspect that so that's part of it and then i
01:29:36.560
think also if they maybe they're thinking that hey if we start answering his questions here we're kind
01:29:41.860
of um waving our argument that uh that you've given up your due diligence rights well and and what to
01:29:48.960
what extent i mean what's your thought on the argument that this is just pretextual that elon saw what you
01:29:55.280
saw the stock market fell tesla i never know how to characterize what's happening with the tesla
01:30:00.400
stock because you see like it fell 10 and then the next day it's like no that was bullshit it didn't
01:30:04.280
wait what do you mean i don't get it either fell or it didn't fall anyway but they say tesla may may
01:30:09.380
or may not have been struggling and uh he announced this week that there could be there were going to
01:30:13.500
be i think uh potentially as much as 10 of the staff uh being cut and then a hiring freeze as well
01:30:20.920
but then he kind of backtracked on it so i mean like i truly i have no idea uh what the status is
01:30:26.000
of tesla but the argument is that this is all pretextual because he's losing money and he can't
01:30:31.080
he can't lose money at tesla and lose money at twitter and he's looking for an excuse to get out
01:30:35.520
of the deal well as of this moment tesla's market cap is 743 billion so it's still a very highly valued
01:30:43.660
company and elon is still if not the richest one of the top few richest people in the world so he
01:30:49.800
still has the means to do this he has backers it's not only his money so i think elon has the
01:30:55.920
means to do this i don't think he has to walk away it's not like he's in distress or anything based on
01:31:00.240
what's happening in the market so okay um you know if twitter wants to maintain or the the idea that
01:31:07.680
uh this is a pretext they're gonna have to sue elon they're gonna have to sue him to go get that
01:31:13.380
billion dollar kill fee and we know what elon's response is going to be he's going to have a counter
01:31:17.500
complaint and it's going to start this discovery process and my guess is that twitter doesn't want
01:31:23.240
to go there if this deal falls apart my guess is they just walk away in discovery you got to lift
01:31:28.840
the dress up there's no way around it as uncomfortable as it may be you got to show the
01:31:32.800
details and that's where it gets very ugly can i ask you before we go to on a more expansive question
01:31:38.200
about big tech because there have been layoffs there there's a headline today about i think it's
01:31:43.860
microsoft slowing the growth of a cyber security venture projected growth was 4 000 jobs now it's
01:31:48.580
just 200 jobs uh being added lift says giving this lower than expected recovery uh and so on we're
01:31:56.660
going to significantly slow slow hiring tesla again i mentioned what he said coinbase hiring pause now of
01:32:03.060
course you know crypto has been hit hard but they're on a hiring pause for new and backfill roles for the
01:32:08.180
foreseeable future and rescinding a number of accepted offers so are we looking at a larger big tech
01:32:13.640
slowdown you know mass layoffs recessionary type attitude right now oh oh yes i mean that's already
01:32:22.120
happening um i think we uh the tech stocks have been in correction for the last six months and it
01:32:28.440
accelerated in april and may and if you megan if you just look at the indices the big indices like the
01:32:33.780
dow jones like the sb 500 even the nasdaq you don't realize how uh hard bro stocks have been hit so
01:32:40.820
the indices are off somewhere between 15 and 25 that's because they're so weighted towards these
01:32:45.600
large cap companies but if you look at the new ipos the spacks the new listings the software companies
01:32:52.160
sort of the high flyers from last year they are off 60 70 80 even 90 and that has now trickled down all
01:32:59.820
the way to early stage financing in silicon valley the big crossover investors like tiger and kotu and d1
01:33:06.580
they are out of the market they've pulled back funding tremendously and there is a recession
01:33:11.760
happening in silicon valley already companies are freezing their hiring plans they're conducting
01:33:16.540
layoffs um they there is a real uh downturn already in silicon valley and i think it's sort of the canary
01:33:23.600
in the coal mine for the uh economy as a whole uh the economy right now is on very shaky ground
01:33:28.840
yep it's not going to give you a last word jason well as you say the good news is uh you know the
01:33:34.760
prices of the companies was unsustainable and uh you know people were hiring for scenarios a year or two
01:33:42.380
out salaries were a little bit out of control you'd have 10 offers for every executive in silicon valley
01:33:48.100
and talent was being diluted across many different companies and so now uh when you see all the big
01:33:54.680
companies you know go on a hiring freeze maybe some of the smaller companies make deeper cuts 10 or less
01:34:00.080
pretty much insignificant that's like a reorg but when you see the 25 cuts that means the company
01:34:05.240
really has some fundamental problems and challenges they have to deal with and so people taking this
01:34:09.500
hard medicine and then correcting their balance sheets uh in big companies and people doing it
01:34:14.060
personally uh means people will start to get back to work and we've had very low participation uh you
01:34:20.200
know in terms of the economy and people going back to work and even going back to offices so
01:34:24.800
i think this is uh actually a healthy part of the process and i think the country will be stronger
01:34:29.180
for it i'll predict the three or four quarter recession and then a very slow recovery into you
01:34:35.020
know 2023 um but i don't think this is going to be cataclysmic i think it's going to be very similar
01:34:39.560
to what happened in 2008 well i hope it's not cataclysmic it's like you think about all the people
01:34:44.020
who are already dealing with the gas prices and the grocery prices and you know the the fears about the
01:34:48.820
housing market next and now it's like layoffs and a recession it's just it's just terrible you can feel
01:34:53.000
the stress from here you guys thank you so much for the thought leadership and for coming on the
01:34:57.020
show and for sparring and for all of it and uh look forward to hearing your reaction no matter what
01:35:02.080
happens today in san francisco thanks for coming on thanks for having me and we'll have an update
01:35:07.800
for you tomorrow on what happens in those uh elections as well would love to know your thoughts
01:35:12.200
on the show had some ups in dallas didn't it write me write me at uh if you go on apple podcasts
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01:35:38.720
forget to tune into the show tomorrow because our friends from the ruthless podcast will be here
01:35:43.840
such great guys always enjoy talking to them um looking forward to it in the meantime you can also
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go subscribe at youtube.com slash megan kelly if you check out that video i was talking to you about
01:35:53.120
about what happened to that woman in la oh my god it really puts a human face or at least picture
01:36:01.040
to what these soft on crime da's reap you know what their policies reap thank you for coming along uh with
01:36:09.880
us as we delve into these issues and a full update for you on california tomorrow
01:36:16.680
thanks for listening to the megan kelly show no bs no agenda and no fear