GOP's Next Move, FTX's Crash, and Men Out of Work, with Sen. Rand Paul, Jeffrey Tucker, and Nick Eberstadt | Ep. 435
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 35 minutes
Words per Minute
179.14803
Summary
Rand Paul joins Megynkellekis to discuss his re-election victory and what s going on with the Democratic Party. Plus, the latest on the Biden scandal, the crypto billionaire exposed as a fraud, and the alarming number of men out of work.
Transcript
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Welcome to The Megyn Kelly Show, your home for open, honest, and provocative conversations.
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Hey everyone, I'm Megyn Kelly. Welcome to The Megyn Kelly Show.
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Later, we're going to have the latest on the Biden megadonor, crypto billionaire,
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who has been exposed as a fraud. This is unbelievable. We're going to go in depth.
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Plus the alarming number of men out of work permanently, it seems, and the effect it's
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having on our society. But we begin with former President Trump. We are now just hours away from
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his apparent announcement, expected announcement that he is running for president in 2024. Mr.
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Trump truthing early this morning, quote, hopefully today will turn out to be one of the most important
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days in the history of our country. His announcement comes after Carrie Lake lost her bid to become the
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next governor of Arizona. Lake has yet to concede, tweeting out Arizonans no BS when they see it.
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The GOP, meantime, inching closer and closer to officially gaining control of the House.
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They've already been projected to win, but it's not official yet. There is still a lot of soul
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searching going on regarding what went so wrong a week ago today for the party. Senator Ted Cruz
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said yesterday he is, quote, so pissed he cannot even see straight. So it's going to be interesting
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to hear from my next guest. Joining us now for his first interview since winning re-election,
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Kentucky Senator Rand Paul. Senator, welcome back to the program.
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Yeah, great to see you. So Ted Cruz is very angry. How are you feeling?
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Yeah, I guess I don't get angry. I try to get even. I try to figure out how we do better in the future,
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what we did wrong, and look to the next election. I try not to look backwards.
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The one thing that is very clear, both in my re-election, which we won overwhelmingly,
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and across the country, is we're the party of rural America. You know, I had 10 counties where
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I got over 85 percent of the vote. I had another 10 counties or 15 counties where I got over 80 percent
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of the vote. Throughout most of rural Kentucky, I averaged over 70 percent of the vote.
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In our two big cities, I lost 60-40. Fortunately for Kentucky, our big cities don't dominate the
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population. But you go to Georgia, and Atlanta basically equals the population outside of Atlanta.
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So the urban equals the rural vote in Georgia. And it used to be otherwise. You know, Georgia was
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Republican for a couple decades, but the rural vote outnumbered the urban vote considerably during
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that period of time. And now Atlanta's grown to become even. So there are a lot of different ways
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to look at it. Personally, I think one way to look at it is we have to get more African-American
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vote. I think we also need to get more every sort of ethnic group, Asian-Americans as well. I think we
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have great inroads there, Hispanic-Americans, but particularly African-Americans. If we can get to
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where we're getting a more substantial portion of that vote, I think there is a way that where the
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urban-rural divide can be broken and we can do better. I know that when you won, you won earlier
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in the evening last Tuesday. You believed that you were in the middle of a red wave, as so many
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had predicted. Now, it's funny to listen to some of these more left-leaning shows and anchors say,
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you know, how the right was predicting a red wave. Well, that's not true. It was coming from the left
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and the right. Virtually everyone, with just a couple of exceptions, believed the only question was
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how big the wave would be. So you thought you were in the middle of a red wave. It didn't wind up
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happening. Why do you think it didn't? You know, there are some interesting things that are going
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to have to be analyzed. There are people saying that we won a significant majority of the votes
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for Congress, but didn't win a significant number of new seats. Some of that has to do with how the
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seats are districted. So gerrymandering can have something to do with it. I also think that it's very,
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very hard to win a vote where the ballots are mailed to everyone. You know, when it used to
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take some initiative to vote, I think that the voters tended to be people with more initiative
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and people, I believe, to be probably more involved and maybe better informed about politics.
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Now, like in Nevada, you know, it's very difficult to win when the franchise has become complete through
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mailing the ballots to everyone. I think it's also harder to verify who these are. Now, I'm not
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saying there was widespread fraud, but I am saying it's easier to verify who someone is if they show
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up. And the sort of tragic comedy of Arizona, not looking at Chad's, but looking at everyone's
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signature, shows that they know that there could be a problem and they're trying to prevent it.
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But that problem doesn't exist when you vote in person with an ID. And so I really think that
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it also, I guess, creates more doubt on the part of the voter. You know, even though I can't say,
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oh, well, there was fraud, it makes me worry that I see all the candidates that I'm for winning on
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the same day of the election. And then I see drip by drip by drip as the votes keep coming in over
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weeks that they lose their elections. And so I think if they want to encourage, you know, the left
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says they, you know, it's all about democracy for them. If they want to encourage support of
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democratic voting, we'd all be more encouraged to believe the results if they all came in in a very
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timely fashion or counted that day. Why a state would take early voting and not start counting them
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before the day of the election. And it takes two weeks for Arizona to count. It's mail-in ballots.
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For goodness sake, they should start counting them two weeks before the election's over.
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So, you know, I think that there are a lot of things going on with the way the elections are
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run that make a difference. The 10 states that send out ballots to everyone, nine out of 10 are
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dominated by Democrats. Utah is the only exception. So I think how we run our elections is important.
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And like in Kentucky, I think 95 to 98 percent of people showed up and voted in person,
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which I think is a better way to run an election.
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It's the way we always used to do it and worked out fine. And there wasn't a lot of election
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denialism going on back in those days. What about Trump? New York Post, Wall Street Journal,
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some on Fox pointing the finger at him as responsible for bad candidate quality,
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making certain candidates embrace his election denialism. J.D. Vance has an op-ed out today
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saying, don't blame Trump. What the GOP needs to do is build a turnout machine, get more money,
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saying our party has one major asset, contra-conventional wisdom, to rally the voters we
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need. President Donald Trump, now more than ever, we need his leadership to turn these voters out.
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And we suffered from his absence from the stage. So which camp are you in?
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I think it's easy for people to have arguments when you lose. Everybody's got an argument because
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nobody wants to take responsibility. But it's probably an all of the above that there's a
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little bit of everything involved in why people lose. But when you say it's candidate quality,
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you know, if I were one of those candidates, I'd take offense to that. But just for example,
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Dr. Oz, I think he's an intelligent, well-spoken. He was on daytime television for 10 to 15 years.
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He connects with people. I've seen him do the one-on-one town halls.
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He really can talk to people and listen to people. And hands down, he knew the information
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better and could, you know, present himself in a debate. His opponent was and is severely impaired.
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And yet the opponent won. So I think it's unfair to Dr. Oz and also not an accurate thing to say,
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oh, Fetterman was the better quality candidate and Oz was lacking in quality. That's not right.
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To blame it all on Trump's not right. To blame it all on McConnell's not right.
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It's a combination of things, but it's also, I guess I'm not big into the blame game. I'm into
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what do you have to do moving forward? For example-
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That may require some blame, right? Like if there was one major force working for evil,
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you know, like some teller, like John Podoritz, I keep mentioning him because he's a
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never-Trumper who really thinks Trump is to blame for all this stuff.
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Then we need to know that, right? So, I mean, an honest look would require factoring in everything
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Yeah. And I guess, but the thing is, if I'm looking at Pennsylvania,
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I'm looking at a state that they describe as Alabama in between Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.
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The rural part of Pennsylvania is probably as conservative maybe as Kentucky is,
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but Pittsburgh and Philadelphia dominate. Probably together,
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they're more than half of the vote would be my guess.
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And so the problem really is, if you want to win Pennsylvania, you know,
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instead of getting 10% of the black vote, we need to get 20% or 25%.
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Now, it's easier said than done. We've been saying it forever.
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But I can give you an example. In our state, our attorney general is Republican, African-American.
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Our previous lieutenant governor, when we had a Republican governor, African-American.
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Good friend of mine. She served in the military and also came out of the Tea Party.
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And I met at some of the first Tea Party movements.
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We had several other candidates that were great candidates, all African-American,
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all running as Republican. You just have to keep doing that year in and year out
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till the African-American public says, well, these Republicans aren't too bad. Maybe I'll consider it.
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Yeah. I said that until they look at the party and say to themselves,
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OK, this no longer looks like a white country club.
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You know, you got people like you mentioned, Daniel Cameron.
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You got Winsome Sears, Lieutenant Governor in Virginia and so on.
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And the party is definitely becoming more diverse.
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There's no question about it. But yeah, bigger numbers, especially now that they're losing so many
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Let me ask you this because there's I'm not that interested in this, but I should spend a minute
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You know, who should be in the leadership? McConnell.
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Should he be the leader of the minority now in the Senate?
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Should Kevin McCarthy be the leader over in the House?
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Would you support McConnell and do you support a vote before Georgia's decided?
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I think it's probably better to wait on the vote.
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I think that we don't know who's going to be the senator from Georgia,
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but we also don't know who the senator is from Alaska.
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She's probably going to win, I think, in the ranked choice.
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I guess she doesn't get to vote now because she hasn't been declared the senator for January.
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Or is it fair to Herschel Walker just to say, oh, yeah, we really want you to win,
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but you don't get to vote on who the leader is.
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It makes no sense to have the vote now, though.
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OK, what about Trump's going to announce tonight?
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We expect he certainly has given all indications.
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His tweet this morning has a picture of himself sort of leaping through the air with a Trump 2024
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And is this a good idea so soon in the process?
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You know, I would prefer that it wait once again till after December 6th
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and that we concentrate on the seat in Georgia.
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it will appear to some people that it's all about him and not so much about,
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So I think it would be better for him to wait till after December 6th.
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As far as my decision, you know, I haven't decided whether I'm going to get involved
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I'm pretty sure I'm not going to be personally involved as a candidate,
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but I don't think that at this point I'm going to get involved too much
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because there's so many things that, you know, I just came from a meeting.
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I'm hoping the Senate, when they see the House move forward, will say,
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maybe we should try a bipartisan investigation over here.
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But like I saw your interview the other day, it was one of the best ones I did.
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And, you know, I think the counterpart was Alina Chen.
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And that was just wonderful, incredibly informative.
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And we knew we need to see this because the next virus that leaks from a lab
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And we have a death wish if we're going to keep doing this research without any controls on it.
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And I had three doctors who came in recently, scientists, all peer-reviewed many, many journal
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articles, and they all came to the same conclusion.
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This type of research needs to be treated as if it were a nuclear weapon.
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It needs to be controlled by an independent agency.
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And tax dollars shouldn't be sent willy-nilly to communist or totalitarian countries
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I'm, I'm, that's my biggest disappointment in seeing the GOP not take control of the Senate
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is I really wanted to see you run those hearings.
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I mean, it could still happen, as you point out, but could it happen in the House alone?
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I feel less confident about how that will go, but could it?
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You know, the, the leaders over there are very much into it.
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And I know the two that will be prominent in this will be, uh, Jim Jordan and Jamie Comer
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Uh, one, uh, Jim Jordan will be chairman of the judiciary and Jamie Comer will be chairman
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And, uh, I know they're very interested in this investigation.
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They want to get to the truth, you know, one, because we care about this happening again.
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It isn't so much, you know, I think blame goes where it goes, but to me, this isn't so much
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the blame game, it's looking forward to saying the virus COVID-19 killed 0.3%, but that was
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But if we had a virus that killed 20%, that'd be 60 million people in our country.
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And there are viruses that they're experimenting on that can kill 20, maybe even 50% of the
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And this is a, this is a death wish for, for civilization.
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That's why one of the scientists put this a death wish for civilization.
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And I, I am still trying with my Democrat colleagues here to get them to agree to a
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bipartisan, uh, investigation and it's not completely out of the question and maybe they'll
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see it going on in the house and say, well, gosh, we don't want just the Republicans to
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Maybe we will have a bipartisan investigation in the, in the Senate.
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Um, lastly, I know you're short on time, but I have to ask you about Nancy Pelosi, whose
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She came out and spoke about it for the first time on the Sunday shows and really took aim
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at disrespectful Republicans because she did not like the way some were speaking about
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It was the Republican reaction to it, which was disgraceful.
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But that trauma is intensified by the ridiculous, disrespectful attitude that the Republicans and
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there's no, nobody disassociating themselves from the horrible response that they gave to
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Well, you would think that there would be some level of responsibility, but what, what you
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see, what the reaction is on the other side to this, to make a joke of it.
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So she didn't much appreciate people saying anything other than I'm so, so sorry for what
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I know you were on the receiving end of a vicious attack that punctured your lung.
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You had six ribs broken when somebody, a neighbor ran down a hill and slammed into you.
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And, um, I wonder if you received above board treatment of the kind she's demanding from Nancy
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You know, I rarely agree with Nancy Pelosi on anything, but on this, I do.
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I think some of the accounts of her husband were despicable and, uh, I had a great deal
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I was struck once in the back so hard that six ribs were broken.
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We're talking about broken in half where the ends rubbed upon each other until they could
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And so, uh, the left-wing media thought was hilarious, including Nancy Pelosi's daughter,
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who basically tweeted out that my neighbor was her hero.
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My political opponent this time around, we crushed him in the election.
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Um, but I wouldn't debate him because he actually put an ad out mocking it and celebrating the
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So no, the left-wing MSNB, uh, MSNBC anchors laughed on air and said it was the funniest
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And so, no, I, I went through a terrible amount of pain.
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I still have health issues related to this and no sympathy, not only no sympathy, but
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mocking and still to this day, people who worked for my opponent call calling the person
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who attacked me, their hero every day online this.
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So I don't like what they did to Paul Pelosi, but I think Nancy needs to talk to her daughter.
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I mean, her daughter's part of the same kind of crazy left-wing anger.
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And there's crazy right-wing anger and, uh, Paul, Paul Pelosi deserves nothing but our
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He's just an innocent man who was, uh, uh, attacked.
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And I think we should have nothing but sympathy or empathy for that.
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Even now, uh, and in Navarro over on the view sends out some message suggesting, oh, some
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GOPers like McConnell and Romney condemned the attack on Paul Pelosi.
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And then others tried to score points by comparing to Rand Paul getting decked by his
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I know your wife, Kelly, of whom I am a fan, uh, tweeted out what exactly this felon did
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when he attacked you and said, um, this guy had violent anti-Trump social media, yet you
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belittle his violence because you don't like Rand.
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It's got to hurt in a few different ways for you and your family.
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Um, Anna Navarro is, uh, you know, she's, she's a comedy and, uh, nothing, nothing about
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She's, uh, not a Republican, not a conservative, and it's just a farce to have her on the air
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claiming to represent that she's in any way Republican, but, uh, she's not very insightful
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She, uh, we were on one time with the show and we were talking about my book, the case
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against socialism that our wife and I wrote together.
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And in the book, one of the themes is basically that there isn't a kinder, gentler, nice sort
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of socialism that they tend to go hand in hand with state sponsored violence.
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And I was talking about Maduro and Chavez in Venezuela.
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And, uh, she's yelling at me on the couch saying, I was saying that they were socialists
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and she was like, no, no, they're murderers and thugs.
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And I said, precisely there are socialists and murderers and thugs.
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You just don't get it, but she wants them to be just evil people.
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So people want Hitler to be evil, what he was, but they don't want to acknowledge that
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he was a socialist or they want to say, well, yeah, Stalin was evil, but they don't want
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to acknowledge that he was a socialist or Pol Pot or Mao.
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So the consistent theme with all these people is evil, but it's also socialism.
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And, uh, this is the kind of subtlety that Anna Navarro is not capable of, but, uh, you
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know, I think her, her form of buffoonery, I guess it appropriately is on a show featuring
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Senator Paul, always a pleasure talking to you.
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We'll definitely be watching what your next move is and, uh, what your, your colleagues
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over there in the house are going to do when, and if they do take control of the gavel, all
00:19:22.620
Coming up, a deep dive into the crazy FTX story.
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And we're going to explain exactly why it has such far reaching implications into the
00:19:38.800
If you have not heard the name Sam Bankman free before or SBF, you're about to learn a
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whole lot more about him, whether you listen to this program or you don't, because his name
00:19:48.060
is everywhere and it's going to be for quite some time.
00:19:50.840
He is a multi-billionaire at just 30 years old, reportedly, thanks to cryptocurrency.
00:19:57.760
And he has been a mega donor for the Democrats, a funder of left-leaning media outlets and
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the major lobbyist in DC for the industry he represents.
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And now over the past week, it all came crashing down.
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And there are major questions to be answered about how this happened.
00:20:15.880
Jeffrey Tucker is the founder and president of the Brownstone Institute and knows the
00:20:26.960
And I hope you're right that this becomes a big source of controversy.
00:20:30.180
I'm not very optimistic based on the New York Times article this morning, but.
00:20:35.680
But it's going to be tough because, I mean, it's just such a colossal failure and implosion
00:20:40.740
that it's going to be tough to ignore, at least the financial papers, but beyond.
00:20:44.020
And OK, so this guy, SBF, he's 30 years old and he starts he went to MIT.
00:20:57.420
He works for a traditional firm, as I understand it, for four years or so, and then decides at
00:21:02.500
the age of 26 he's going to get into the crypto business.
00:21:05.420
And and what is his crypto business and what made it different from the other crypto businesses?
00:21:09.780
Well, there were many exchanges in the U.S. now.
00:21:13.060
I mean, there's Gemini, there's Coinbase, there's very, very many legitimate crypto exchanges
00:21:17.860
But he decided that he was smarter and fancier than the rest of them.
00:21:21.580
And he would he would take on the industry in 2019 and started FTX.
00:21:28.260
And just strangely, out of nowhere, he he kind of rocketed up and passed up the market capitalization
00:21:40.620
He talked a different game from, say, the Winklevoss twins or, you know, the head of Coinbase
00:21:49.140
He was all about marketing himself as a socially conscious business person, so to speak.
00:21:55.760
So it was all about ESG and DEI or what he called effective altruism.
00:22:05.160
So he became a big Washington presence and then pushed all the other buttons, right?
00:22:11.060
He bought a stadium, the FTX stadium in Miami, you know, hired fancy stars, you know, Katy Perry,
00:22:20.740
you know, advertised the Super Bowl with Tom Brady and Larry David.
00:22:26.660
So, you know, you had all these buttons being pushed.
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I tell you, there's other funny things about him.
00:22:33.400
He became a sort of a cartoon style caricature of these sort of youthful seeming geniuses that
00:22:40.980
have become to come to be valorized over the last 10 years, almost just inhabiting an archetype,
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you know, with the leg twitch and the disheveled look and unwilling to wear anything but cargo
00:22:55.060
shorts and T-shirts and sneakers and, you know, had the look of somebody who just guzzled sodas
00:23:02.480
You know, he had that, you know, and the MIT thing and, you know, this sort of, this structured
00:23:09.600
really to get rid of incredulity that would normally affect venture capitalists.
00:23:14.540
He pushed all the buttons and so celebrated as the next JP Morgan, the world's first trillionaire
00:23:21.340
and adoring media interviews saying, tell us about, tell us about your philosophy.
00:23:34.860
Just as great as we think you are, explain why you're even greater.
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My philosophy is that you should become rich so that you can give your money away to good
00:23:59.800
Off camera was his $40 million, you know, estate in the Bahamas, you know.
00:24:04.760
I know, I think I know the place that he was staying in the Bahamas because I recognize
00:24:13.980
I think it's the Albany Resort down in the Bahamas.
00:24:16.760
And it's a very swanky place that Tiger Woods and others have invested in.
00:24:21.020
And we've never stayed in that place that he's in because it's ridiculously expensive.
00:24:27.740
It's right in the marina looking at all the yachts.
00:24:30.180
And so, yeah, his little humble Toyota Camry story is a lie, too.
00:24:33.840
So but let me just back up for people who don't follow it like I don't.
00:24:38.100
The exchange, when you say he started the FTX exchange, that's that's a place where people
00:24:48.940
So if you want to invest in, you know, Bitcoin, you might buy it on his FTX exchange, correct?
00:25:01.180
You know, once you get on the blockchain, you can move money here.
00:25:05.980
You can do it all from your cell phone or store all your assets in a in a in a in a cold
00:25:14.640
You know, you don't need this exchange is where you need them is for the on ramps and the off
00:25:19.940
So if you're moving dollars to crypto, you need somebody to make the exchange for you.
00:25:24.200
And if you want to convert your crypto back into dollars, you need somebody to do that
00:25:29.860
So exchanges have always been part of the industry.
00:25:33.700
Back before 2013, there were anybody could run an exchange, you know, because it was kind
00:25:41.840
Treasury said, if you're going to run an exchange, you have to register as a money exchange, same
00:25:48.020
And that means registering in every state, which means you're going to spend six figures
00:25:52.140
and comply with thousands of pages of stuff and so on.
00:25:56.820
So the industry actually became just a few dominant players, you know, after that, they're
00:26:02.900
good people and they are running a legitimate business, you know, from Coinbase to Gemini.
00:26:10.560
And what you do with the exchange, you just link them up to your bank account and buy and
00:26:16.200
And a lot of people use them to custody their assets and and play play games, right?
00:26:25.560
And you know how it is the same as with the stock market.
00:26:28.440
When the market's going up, everybody's a genius, you know?
00:26:34.160
So he not only had FTX the exchange, but he had FTT.
00:26:38.280
He created his own Bitcoin or like sort of cryptocurrency FTT.
00:26:43.800
I'll run the exchange and I'll have my own coin, too, that people can buy.
00:26:47.600
And then he had this company, Alameda, I guess, which is more it's like the is it like
00:26:56.120
Is it like a hey, Megan, you want to invest in crypto?
00:27:01.240
We'll probably use the FTX exchange and buy the FTT coin.
00:27:04.620
But we're just going to take this hassle off your hands.
00:27:08.580
And they engaged a lot of mergers and acquisitions.
00:27:11.780
So Alameda research was used for a lot of purposes and receiving funds and manipulating
00:27:16.340
funds, moving them in or out of the industry, holding a gigantic portion of FTT.
00:27:24.000
And, you know, you should be clear about these tokens.
00:27:27.200
You know, anybody can create a token of any name in about 20 seconds.
00:27:30.940
I can make it I can make a Megyn Kelly while I'm talking to you right now, you know, and
00:27:35.000
and so but the value is zero until I market it.
00:27:42.700
So Alameda research is considered to be a market maker in Wall Street terms.
00:27:47.280
But I mean, what that meant was just a sort of a way to pump up the value of FTT.
00:27:53.260
So a lot of the danger of these institutions, they become these strange sort of perpetual motion
00:27:58.620
You know, well, my company is backed by my token.
00:28:06.340
And he had this band of, you know, very sketchy characters helping him run these these corporations
00:28:12.460
and these entities out of this Bahamian resort.
00:28:21.500
One of them was bragging about how she she's not good at math.
00:28:26.140
There was no stop loss program and all of this is coming home to roost now.
00:28:30.120
So while while the goose was looking good, everybody said they're all brilliant.
00:28:36.740
And now the blooms coming off the rose as we realize what's really going on.
00:28:43.860
He's he's good at sort of creating this weird image.
00:28:46.580
As you said, he's sort of like he's right at a central casting for who the media loves
00:28:51.420
Like he's a little I don't know if he's on the spectrum or what, but they like that.
00:28:56.020
They promote that the way he dresses to his little verbal and physical tics.
00:29:00.680
And since he'd come from MIT, I was at a legitimate bank for a while.
00:29:05.360
I was like, oh, OK, he's got credentials, kind of like Madoff, Madoff, too.
00:29:11.700
And so during the height of crypto, I guess he must have had some value to the company
00:29:16.900
and started to parlay that into dazzling things like having FTX in the name of the Miami Heat
00:29:23.000
Stadium and partnering with Tom Brady, all these things.
00:29:26.060
And then more money came in, more money came in, and then we'll get to the collapse in
00:29:30.960
But then the media came in, too, and the media had a big role in creating this guy's image.
00:29:39.700
Well, it was the adoring interviews and and and and and the fact that he sort of expressed
00:29:47.680
You know, I mean, he was a really a piece of work and acting.
00:29:51.480
And it's funny because, you know, you can be these days woke ideology.
00:29:55.700
You can find and it's like it's like a can you open up and dump it out of the table,
00:30:02.860
So it's climate change, pandemic planning, socially conscious investing, giving away all
00:30:11.820
I mean, it's all these sort of buzzwords they use.
00:30:15.580
But he really set out to say, look, I'm one of you.
00:30:19.220
And then he backed it up with with lots of donations to the Democratic Party.
00:30:22.960
So that so one of the things that's funny about the crypto world is every new token has
00:30:27.500
to have a stick, you know, a marketing gimmick.
00:30:30.120
Well, his his value added to the crypto world was basically woke ideology and all the fashionable
00:30:36.220
causes associated with him, you know, among which was this this backing of of Ukraine and
00:30:46.160
and the war with Russia, which we can get to in a minute.
00:30:56.160
And and you would think that, as you mentioned earlier, that, you know, the the CEO of Alameda
00:31:02.420
Research, for example, says, oh, you don't need anything other than elementary school math,
00:31:16.340
So wait, a couple of soundbites that I want to get in here first.
00:31:18.720
Here's a soundbite with credit to Jesse Waters, who turned me on to this as I watched his opening
00:31:24.580
This has got a little bit from a YouTube profile that was done on this guy, Sam, saying, like,
00:31:31.500
And here's just to color in the lines on this image that we've created for the audience.
00:31:39.420
Okay, the guy you see next to me is the most generous billionaire in the world.
00:32:15.840
But now here now watches this next clip of Sam talking about how he wants to fund Democrats.
00:32:21.700
And you can see the leg twitch and the press building him up and why they fell in love with
00:32:27.980
him because his messaging, as weird as the guy seems, was spot on.
00:32:34.360
In the end, I want to do what's right for the country.
00:32:36.200
You think every money you spend in politics should be disclosed publicly?
00:32:40.680
If there was a norm where every dollar that everyone donated in politics was to be disclosed
00:32:45.600
publicly, I would have a lot of sympathy for that.
00:32:50.540
I haven't thought carefully about it enough to know.
00:32:52.500
But it sounds like what you're saying is maybe there's some donations that you have
00:32:55.840
made that you wouldn't make if you knew they were going to be immediately public.
00:32:58.720
So I think I don't I don't generally think about it that way.
00:33:02.540
OK, so the more he says he's going to donate, although he's like and I want more and more
00:33:09.900
disclosure, although I'm going to keep my company in the Bahamas where I don't have to
00:33:16.100
But the numbers that he actually wound up giving to Democrats were staggering, have been
00:33:21.260
I mean, up until last week, have been absolutely staggering.
00:33:26.420
And and and one of his rackets was, you know, arguing for this regulation, the transparency and
00:33:32.160
all this kind of stuff, I mean, you know, and then buying off all the people who would
00:33:36.440
be investigating him and otherwise looking carefully at his at his business operations.
00:33:42.040
So I read somebody said a couple of days ago, it's a great line that he hoped to become
00:33:48.120
too big to jail, which I thought was a very interesting phrase.
00:33:52.560
I mean, it's sort of paying protection money for his his little racket.
00:33:56.940
And the more money he gave away and and the more he engaged in the sort of marionette, you
00:34:03.200
know, child genius routine, the less incredulous people were.
00:34:08.280
And the more people are celebrating him as the world's most generous, enlightened soul,
00:34:16.820
So none of us understand is just making this this empire that's going to fund all, you know,
00:34:23.140
D&C friendly charities, you know, all over the country.
00:34:26.780
And, you know, his brother even established a pandemic.
00:34:30.920
It's called something like Fund Against Pandemics or Pandemic Planning Fund or something like
00:34:35.820
that solely for the purpose of receiving some of the 30 billion dollars of the Biden administration
00:34:47.480
So every time you see Sam out there going on about the importance of preventing the next
00:34:51.700
pandemic, you know, he's basically shilling for his for his brother.
00:34:55.120
And then then you have his his mother, you know, who herself was a co-founder of Mind the
00:35:04.040
So you you could see how he surrounded himself with with all this protection, all these these
00:35:12.460
And you mentioned the fact he was in the Bahamas.
00:35:17.360
Why would you be in the Bahamas as a crypto exchange?
00:35:21.460
There are some regulations in the US that you don't like and you would like to get rid
00:35:25.760
of some regulations, some costs of doing business, some taxes.
00:35:30.160
I do find it really interesting that all the champions of all these hyper regulations of
00:35:35.820
the crypto industry suddenly became adoring worshipers of Sam Bankman Freed, you know,
00:35:47.020
I mean, why didn't Bill Clinton, you know, why didn't something go off in his head?
00:35:50.440
This guy may not be entirely on the up and up here.
00:35:58.900
No, but they kept saying, no, this is entirely normal.
00:36:01.700
Oh, lots of great business people see the Bahamas as a friendly place because, you know,
00:36:07.480
the ocean views and fancy houses and that sort of thing.
00:36:10.780
I mean, you know, you had every reason to suspect this guy was running a racket.
00:36:19.260
Three years to go from nothing to one of the dominant crypto exchanges in the world, Larry
00:36:26.140
David chilling for you and buying stadiums in Miami kept giving me a break.
00:36:30.120
I mean, looking back and I have to tell you, Megan, like within the community of Bitcoin
00:36:39.060
and related currencies and Ethereum and all these crypto world, people were very suspicious
00:36:47.100
And let's not forget, you know, the company that finally brought him down with a series
00:36:51.920
of tweets was the CEO of Binance because they were involved with a deal.
00:36:58.100
Either, you know, Binance was going to buy FTX or FTX was going to buy Binance.
00:37:05.980
And once they started doing due diligence, the CEO of Binance said, you know, I'm highly
00:37:12.640
I don't think that the numbers are really adding up.
00:37:15.460
If I were you, I mean, the subtext is I were you, I would watch your money carefully,
00:37:22.020
Well, it turned out, of course, that his suspicions were exactly right.
00:37:26.960
Sam had been using depositors money in his exchange to subsidize his mergers and acquisitions
00:37:35.460
and activity that were being run by Alameda Research.
00:37:40.900
Hold on one second because I'm going to set that up for the audience.
00:37:43.740
But before I go there, I just want to give some of the numbers.
00:37:48.080
He gave well, he said that he expected to give north of one hundred million in the next
00:37:53.280
presidential election and that he had a soft ceiling of one billion with the spending likely
00:38:02.680
He gave 10 million plus to back President Joe Biden in 2020.
00:38:08.060
He has hired a network of political operatives and spent tens of millions more shaping Democratic
00:38:15.780
So I'm sure, you know, Tuesday was a complicated day for him because his company was being exposed
00:38:22.480
And yet all of these people who he had backed were winning elections and he was ready to
00:38:28.200
He had also backed a bunch of media companies through the brother.
00:38:34.480
Thanks to the brother, Gabe, who was going to run all that.
00:38:36.920
But he was also putting a bunch of dough into companies like Vox, The Intercept, ProPublica,
00:38:44.700
the Law and Justice Journalism Project, and most recently, Semaphore, which is that's that's
00:38:54.340
In any event, from the formerly of The New York Times.
00:38:56.440
So he put a bunch of money in all these left leaning, you know, some would take issue with
00:39:03.960
But yeah, organizations and many of them then went on to cover him very favorably or got
00:39:10.300
the money right after they did a favorable piece on him.
00:39:22.060
And, you know, what is it, 48 hours later, just a just a few days later, the the whole
00:39:28.720
funding machinery of the of the Democratic Party and all the associated media companies
00:39:35.440
that have been engaged in censorship and partisanship, you know, all along the whole thing just falls
00:39:41.680
apart, you know, just very conveniently, a few days after the midterms that he basically
00:39:46.160
funded through his magic bean company in the Bahamas.
00:39:49.940
I mean, there's there's a lot of very strange things going on here, I would say.
00:39:54.020
Maybe it's just a complete coincidence of the timing.
00:39:57.680
But, you know, you've got major distortions of political decisions that the American people
00:40:06.700
are engaged in, you know, use with thanks to hundreds of millions of dollars of fake money
00:40:13.720
and phony companies and fraudulent activities and Ponzi schemes.
00:40:18.540
It you know, you think about it, how much how much trouble did Trump go through on the Russian
00:40:23.820
investigation to find out how much interference was there?
00:40:26.460
Well, we should have at least that much, you know, sort of focus and intrepid concern for
00:40:32.760
what happened and the relationship here between FTX and the midterm elections that just took
00:40:40.020
You know, I don't know what's going to happen with that 10 million dollars.
00:40:46.920
Now you've got a lot of investors who are going to be hurt as a result of this guy not
00:40:51.620
So does he give it back or do these Democratic politicians give back the money?
00:40:57.720
I mean, they're busy paying off their debts and so on.
00:41:03.700
And I don't know, you know, one really does wonder.
00:41:09.420
Look, I'm sure the books are a mess if there are any.
00:41:17.400
And the elementary school education, you know, of the CEO there.
00:41:23.860
And maybe the whole thing was just intended to come and go in three years.
00:41:30.160
But but, you know, the FTX was founded just right after Biden declared in 2019 and in three
00:41:36.600
And I have I have people who have been in this industry a very long time.
00:41:47.060
They're serving their customers very faithfully.
00:41:51.320
They you know, they they have a good relationship with their customers.
00:41:56.040
And this punk shows up out of nowhere with all the right connections.
00:42:00.320
And loving media coverage of his eventual trillionaire status, the new Warren Buffett, the J.P.
00:42:10.160
And he gives it all, you know, gives away vast amounts of money.
00:42:13.260
I mean, second only to Soros, to the to the Democratic Party and and the media covering
00:42:23.140
And Megan, I'm sure you have seen this before, but it shows you just how how dopey people can
00:42:30.400
become when when they believe that there's a magic money tree out there and that they're
00:42:34.860
going to be able to pluck the leaves off of it at will.
00:42:37.940
And that's that's why he got a free pass instead of using his MIT education and his obviously
00:42:43.940
brilliant mind to create something that was actually a value.
00:42:47.080
He used it to pay off the relevant people who would expose his fraud.
00:42:51.600
I mean, that's that's how he used his brilliance.
00:42:55.600
The party in power, which he had a hand in putting in power, the media who would expose
00:43:02.860
I mean, even today, I know this is one of the things that's concerning you.
00:43:06.060
Even today, today, post the Chapter 11 filing, which was Friday, and he's now been exposed
00:43:15.960
They did a fawning piece on him in The New York Times, which The Times is critics are talking
00:43:19.800
about as if they wrote something to the equivalent of Bernie Madoff.
00:43:23.020
Well, he made a couple of bad investments, but his heart was in the right place.
00:43:30.660
I nearly fell out of my chair when I read that.
00:43:38.560
This guy was running a Ponzi scheme and robbing people all over the place.
00:43:42.720
Instead, The New York Times says, well, it's been a tough time in the crypto world.
00:43:56.740
But fortunately for him, he's getting a lot of sleep and thinking through things.
00:44:12.960
It's like a messaging system for a whole network of media.
00:44:17.240
This is how we're going to speak about this issue, people.
00:44:26.640
And so it's a signal to the whole media now to cover the FTX scandal, which is a scandal
00:44:37.560
I mean, this could just, you know, the failure of FTX, it could be the Lehman Brothers of our
00:44:45.040
I mean, there could be a lot of things that are going to unravel from this.
00:44:57.540
It's a story whether you like it or not, whether you covered it right in the first instance or
00:45:01.920
Everyone needs to get on board and correct their past sins.
00:45:05.120
I want to go over how the implosion took place with Alameda and how that like, because it
00:45:09.160
relates to what's happened in the crypto market over the past year and and just how bad it
00:45:14.060
is, because I heard Charles Payne on Fox News say yesterday, this is Enron times two.
00:45:19.280
Enron times two is a phrase nobody wants to hear.
00:45:23.960
They brought down Arthur Anderson, one of the top six accounting firms in the world when
00:45:28.700
they went down because they weren't looking over the books.
00:45:30.960
I don't know whether anybody looks over the books in crypto, but all things that I want
00:45:41.080
I feel like we only booked you until like right now, but I need you to stay a little longer
00:45:46.800
We'll keep Jeffrey here and we'll we'll pick it up on the opposite side of this break.
00:45:52.620
And don't forget, folks, that you can find this show, the Megan Kelly show live on Sirius
00:45:56.740
XM Triumph Channel 111 every weekday at noon east and the full video show and clips by subscribing
00:46:02.660
to our YouTube channel, YouTube dot com slash Megan Kelly.
00:46:07.020
If you prefer your your news via audio, like an audio podcast, you can go ahead and follow
00:46:12.640
us at download Apple, Spotify, Pandora Stitcher, wherever you get your podcast.
00:46:16.220
There you find our full archives with more than four hundred and thirty shows.
00:46:19.260
And in the meantime, if you're a podcast lover, you should know that I not only am I no longer
00:46:27.340
I don't I don't think I'm even in the number one spot.
00:46:29.420
Doug Brunt, my husband, is on fire with his new podcast.
00:46:33.360
I'm getting so many nice compliments from his fans on it.
00:46:37.320
It's called Dedicated, Dedicated with Doug Brunt.
00:46:42.060
He sits down with these well-known authors and he talks about their writing process, their
00:46:46.580
biggest busts, how they came up with the ideas, their book to movie rights.
00:46:50.740
He asked Lee Child, who he had in mind when he wrote Jack Reacher.
00:47:00.760
And that is he wrote Beautiful Ruins, among many others.
00:47:04.240
One of the great things about I'm loving about the podcast is writers are great with words
00:47:08.060
and you listen to Jess Walters talk about something as simple as how he loves his favorite
00:47:12.860
And suddenly you're transported to a better place.
00:47:20.740
Jeffrey Tucker of the Brownstone Institute is still with me talking FTX and its founder
00:47:26.520
SBF, Sam Bankman-Fried, the guy who is the son of two Stanford professors who are totally
00:47:34.240
donated to left-wing causes, as it turns out, is their son.
00:47:38.900
And he pumped some $40 million into this election cycle, not counting the $10 million he gave to
00:47:47.720
And as I told you, he was aiming to do between $100 million and $1 billion in the coming election.
00:47:53.420
So that's the guy who has now fallen, totally imploded as a fawning media and industry experts
00:48:01.100
just continue to look the other way, just continue to look the other way.
00:48:07.000
And this does feel very much like a Ponzi scheme.
00:48:09.340
Our producer, our executive producer, found a clip of Sam speaking in front.
00:48:16.240
I don't know who he's talking to, but he's he's speaking to CNN in July and he's talking
00:48:26.120
Because I think that when you have something which is basically an empty product, which
00:48:30.400
I do think is true of some places, some assets in crypto, that is something where there's
00:48:37.700
certainly real crash potential from it and where there's a lot less utility being brought
00:48:43.980
And so I think that's a much less healthy piece of the ecosystem, whatever you want
00:48:54.540
So let's just let's talk about how it was exposed and how it came crumbling down.
00:49:03.660
And as I understand it, he, Sam, FTX, was thinking about buying Binance, which is very
00:49:11.560
And then as it turns out, he didn't have the money to do that.
00:49:14.920
And then Binance, which was a rival, too, was looking at buying FTX.
00:49:19.460
And this is where things started to fall apart for FTX.
00:49:24.120
Well, so let's just be clear that this scam could have gone on forever if the prices had
00:49:33.380
If there's ever more money pouring into the Ponzi scheme, it can go on in perpetuity.
00:49:37.500
And in fact, Madoff lasted for, what, two decades or something like that.
00:49:45.620
So FTX faced a lot of pressure this year in 2022 when the crypto sector began to kind
00:49:55.220
of fall apart in light of Jerome Powell's dramatic changes in the federal funds rate, right?
00:50:05.860
And what people didn't really entirely understand, which is now more and more obvious, is that
00:50:10.640
we've been living in an era for 14 years of relatively cheap money, right?
00:50:15.060
I mean, so we've had zero interest rate policies.
00:50:17.960
When inflation came along, interest rates turned dramatically negative.
00:50:22.420
That means that you can't make money by saving in the old-fashioned way.
00:50:26.960
Instead, you have a lot of money chasing return anywhere and everywhere.
00:50:31.180
Over 14 years, that's included a lot of things, you know, financial markets, of course.
00:50:38.980
Students took on, you know, tons of student debt to get their credentials.
00:50:44.480
They could get, you know, cushy six-figure jobs, all of which are being eliminated now from many
00:50:50.960
But one of the sectors to really benefit from this era of cheap money was the crypto sector,
00:50:56.800
And we like to think that crypto somehow had an immaculate conception in 2009 and lived
00:51:06.900
And that may have been true for the first, you know, three, four, five years.
00:51:11.200
But in the meantime, once it became fashionable, it just became yet another place to dump a lot
00:51:15.840
of money that benefited from the cheap money policies that Ben Bernanke started in 2008.
00:51:20.940
So when Jerome Powell started tightening rates and he wants to get them into the positive
00:51:28.960
After the pandemic hit, the Fed was always trying to tighten.
00:51:33.840
But then he got talked into, once again, going to the floor and zero interest rates policy
00:51:43.940
That worked fine for about the first year until the inevitable inflation began, because unlike
00:51:51.540
Bernanke, who put all the fresh, you know, money into the vaults of the Fed, the policy
00:51:57.620
of the U.S. Congress was to distribute it widely as if from a helicopter, right?
00:52:02.040
So we had some $6 trillion printed over the course of, you know, 18 months that just was dropped
00:52:09.380
Well, remember, well, that fueled inflation, got very high, really started squeezing business
00:52:15.900
margins and really lowering real wages and creating a very close to being a crisis kind
00:52:23.880
Jerome Powell did not want his legacy to go down as creating the greatest inflation in America
00:52:29.080
in 40 years and destroying the domestic value of the dollar in terms of goods and services.
00:52:33.540
would rather be known as the only truly heroic Fed governor in the post-war period, which
00:52:43.280
So he set out to crush this inflation by tightening money and getting to a terminal rate of interest
00:52:50.340
that's positive and restoring some sanity to the system.
00:52:55.120
So but that with that came the end this year of this sort of wild scramble for return.
00:53:01.800
Is this one of the reasons why if I bought Bitcoin a year ago, it was at something like
00:53:08.980
$54,000 for one, and now I'm told it's more like $14,000 a year later?
00:53:16.080
Yeah, it's experienced a 75% crash in value, which we've seen before in this space, you know,
00:53:22.500
and everybody in it should be aware that that's how volatile it is.
00:53:25.820
But I think what's important here is that we've seen crypto really benefit from the loose
00:53:30.840
money, especially in 2020, is not a coincidence that we peaked at $65,000, you know, which
00:53:41.020
And everybody's panicked about a return to $10,000 and lower.
00:53:46.980
And that's in what is the most reputable token.
00:53:51.540
But, you know, you've got 20,000 listed tokens out there.
00:53:54.660
And most of them are just going to vanish into the same area.
00:53:59.240
So FTT is his token, and it trades on FTX, his exchange, and it's helped along by his market
00:54:09.920
And they, like everybody else, were affected by this dynamic that you're just discussing.
00:54:14.940
It's been a very rough year for crypto, all crypto.
00:54:17.920
It's been a rough year for everybody in this industry.
00:54:19.860
Yeah, but he was seen as sort of a golden boy still in this time.
00:54:23.840
And he started buying up distressed firms that were going down left and right during
00:54:28.980
But let's advance the discussion, because I want to get to a couple other points before
00:54:50.700
But, you know, when you've got a whole industry that lives off confidence, it's devastating
00:54:56.380
So you got, you know, FTX got tested with some withdrawals, the crypto equivalent of
00:55:06.980
It's just like it's a wonderful life, you know, in the famous scene.
00:55:12.160
Yeah, the guy from Binance saying bad things about STX, whatever, this company, and I want
00:55:18.380
Which would be fine if he had kept full reserves like any reputable crypto exchange
00:55:25.440
In fact, all the exchanges have sent out, you know, big notes to all the customers.
00:55:29.140
Just to be clear, we're keeping full reserves around here.
00:55:33.740
If you want it back, we'll give it back to you.
00:55:35.880
But, you know, if you withdraw your funds, it's not going to make us illiquid.
00:55:43.540
Well, he was using deposit of money and converting it to FTTs, shoving it over to Alameda Research,
00:55:52.160
One was to pump up the value of FTT and move it in a way that was sort of surreptitious or
00:55:58.540
And then Alameda Research was able to get this.
00:56:03.800
You shouldn't have 29-year-olds in this kind of world.
00:56:08.080
What they started doing, once these exchanges around the country and the world were starting
00:56:12.300
to fail in light of the lower prices for the crypto market in general, he thought the
00:56:19.320
way to fix this was to buy up a bunch of companies, which he did with Alameda Research.
00:56:25.920
Now, initially, that looked like, wow, this genius, my goodness, he's just gobbling up
00:56:32.640
You know, this guy is just liquid, like you can't believe.
00:56:39.800
Well, I'm doing it because I feel a moral obligation to this community.
00:56:44.740
You know, we just can't abandon our friends in times of need.
00:56:48.560
So this is, for me, another example of my effective altruism at work.
00:56:58.340
It just never, never, there's no end to the depth of your virtue and your socially conscious
00:57:04.020
Well, what he was actually doing was trying to, first of all, the inevitable, right?
00:57:08.020
He was trying to perpetuate the con game in light of the tighter money and the collapse
00:57:18.800
Maybe he was trying to put it off to the end of the midterms.
00:57:22.600
Look, the end was nigh already months ago, six months ago.
00:57:25.840
So he just wanted to squander as much money as possible and get it out there and keep
00:57:33.160
Like he, when there was a run on the bank, effectively, he did not have the pot of money
00:57:38.020
He'd been spending it over at Alameda to keep that afloat.
00:57:44.980
Like you're going to go to jail for doing that kind of shit.
00:57:48.760
And this is what he's dealing with right now, where he absolutely could be facing some very
00:57:53.700
It's well beyond the collapse of his company at this point.
00:57:59.380
The New York Times article this morning really rattled me because I'm afraid that his too-big-to-jail
00:58:08.540
There are a lot of people that are on the case.
00:58:09.860
A lot of independent journalists on Twitter are on the case and are discussing the details
00:58:14.620
of this because God knows you can't depend on the mainstream media at this point.
00:58:19.100
The Wall Street Journal actually has run some pretty good stuff.
00:58:21.520
But the New York Times, if that's the signal of how we're going to treat this situation,
00:58:25.960
it's going to be like child genius, you know, business gets ahead of them.
00:58:35.140
You know, sometimes people are too smart for this world.
00:58:38.740
But the media has a couple of reasons to do this.
00:58:40.520
Not only did they cover for him and not ask the right questions when he was growing weirdly
00:58:45.300
quickly, they love him because he's this altruistic guy, in their view, who's helping a bunch of
00:58:51.300
Democrats get elected in this midterm cycle and Joe Biden last time around and clearly
00:58:57.880
But on top of that, there appears to be some sort of relationship with Ukraine that you
00:59:02.880
referenced 20 minutes ago that they would also approve of.
00:59:06.380
And now I've looked at this six different ways.
00:59:22.040
They have a crypto donations partnership with FTX.
00:59:25.980
I mean, of all the companies and all the things that you can invest in, Ukraine has chosen
00:59:33.000
Then FTX, as I mentioned, gives a bunch of money, 40 million this past cycle to Democrats.
00:59:44.060
But I'm just saying, like, originally, it seems like a lot of that Ukrainian money came from us,
00:59:48.460
went through FTX and wound up in the pocket of these Democrats who then vote for more aid
00:59:53.500
to go to Ukraine and who then gets more money from us again.
00:59:59.380
And round and round and round it goes, which, you know, most of the media is very pro this
01:00:06.780
And this is yet another reason why they may very well want to look the other way.
01:00:11.000
Have I I realize I've gone down 101 on the Ukraine relationship, but have I summarized
01:00:22.800
And the only question is, you know, was this purely a coincidence, purely an accident, or
01:00:29.600
was it a well thought out money laundering scheme?
01:00:39.100
You know, I'm I'm old enough to remember the Iran-Contra scandal in the 1980s, which,
01:00:43.880
you know, was under investigation for nearly two years because the right administration
01:00:49.020
wanted to get money to the Contras and this was the Congress wouldn't allocate it.
01:00:54.580
So that's it was it was messy and it was scandalous.
01:01:01.560
You know, if you're you're going to be giving aid to Ukraine, Ukraine deposits the money in
01:01:08.500
And then FTX gives the money back again to media sources that support the Democrats and
01:01:15.500
direct candidates with with that are that are favored by the DNC and the Democrats and that
01:01:28.200
And, you know, you talk about election interference.
01:01:32.040
You know, I mean, presumably we care about that stuff.
01:01:41.420
And by the way, again, that's why I listen to you very carefully.
01:01:57.380
So by that, I mean, the dollar here is a dollar there.
01:02:00.580
So the Ukrainian government's getting money that are deposited with FTX.
01:02:03.500
FTX feeds it to Democratic candidates and causes, you know, among which, as we mentioned
01:02:10.900
earlier, his brother with the pandemic fund, which itself had been endorsed by many Democratic
01:02:16.060
candidates and they brag about it on their site.
01:02:18.160
So, you know, we're talking about a real money machine here.
01:02:24.900
Would they have resorted to something this sketchy, this shady?
01:02:32.840
Well, I'll tell you, one of the independent journalists you mentioned, I think, is Alex
01:02:39.260
He used to write for The New York Times and now they hate him because he pushed back on
01:02:46.660
Everyone should understand already that Sam Bankman Freed was far more dangerous than Bernie
01:02:53.040
Madoff mostly avoided small investors and picked up marks through word of mouth.
01:03:03.200
Sam Bankman Freed is about to become a litmus test for the elite media.
01:03:06.760
Will they investigate him half as hard as they chase Bernie Madoff?
01:03:14.100
Or will S.B.F.'s story, like the lab leak, become too ugly to Democrats to be pursued?
01:03:23.060
Berenson is so insightful and he's a good one to follow because he has a nose for these
01:03:30.640
things and he has a tendency to tell the truth as far as he knows it.
01:03:35.240
I'm so grateful that we live in a time where people like him can have a platform because
01:03:39.280
God knows at this point we can't trust The New York Times to run this down.
01:03:44.200
Yeah, well, what about that comment about the Madoff comparison?
01:03:46.920
Madoff made it so that people would come to him begging to invest their pension fund.
01:03:51.840
But this individual investor thing, this, you know, using Tom Brady, using Larry David at the
01:03:57.220
Super Bowl, these kinds of ways of getting into the pockets of small investors who tend to be
01:04:04.820
I don't know exactly who the victims are, but what about that?
01:04:08.420
I think it's a really interesting distinction because there is a lot of winking and nudging
01:04:12.600
going on with the Madoff thing for years, you know, 20 years.
01:04:16.340
Well, it's a little strange that he's guaranteed a 9% return whether the markets are up or down,
01:04:21.220
but, you know, he seems to know what he's doing.
01:04:30.960
You couldn't get in to Madoff's stuff without, you know, millions to throw around.
01:04:39.600
There wasn't anybody, no normal person suspected that FTX was a scam.
01:04:48.160
And it's made everybody in the industry, you know, have a lot of scrupulous people, legitimate businesses
01:04:55.800
that are doing legitimate work trying to reach customers, custody of their money, provide services to people.
01:05:01.640
This scam artist came along and marketed it to so many people in these populist ways with easy interfaces.
01:05:09.560
Oh, just put your bank account in here, buy a bunch of crypto, get it back anytime, watch it go up and up and up forever.
01:05:21.760
And, you know, you have to, but we should also be angry.
01:05:24.680
You know, look at all the VC investors I noticed this morning that they're all talking about suing him.
01:05:31.980
I mean, why didn't you recognize that this inarticulate silly man, you know, you had no standards whatsoever?
01:05:40.540
I mean, people would get on Zoom calls with a guy and he would babble a bunch of inanities.
01:05:48.940
Let's just sign over a lot of VC funding to that company.
01:05:52.460
I will say this is where the media comes in, too.
01:05:56.500
Usually these people get exposed because some savvy media journalist who follows the industry, like Theranos, hello, this is what happened there,
01:06:03.960
gets a hold of the story, starts digging deeper and has the freedom to do an expose, which raises the alarm.
01:06:12.040
All the pieces about this guy are fawning about his stupid car and his beanbag.
01:06:17.460
So, you know, in their defense, everyone should have been paying more attention.
01:06:20.700
It's such, it discredits in many ways, I would say just the left in general, because, you know, is it really enough just to virtue signal?
01:06:34.440
And to just say the word climate change over and over again and pandemic planning and socially conscious investing and effective altruism.
01:06:42.760
You just mutter a bunch of cliches, be connected with the right crowd, just send a bunch of signals, and then you can depend on a vast machinery out there to cover for you and to apologize for you and to celebrate you, you know, and to valorize you.
01:07:00.460
Is that really how disconnected we've become from reality?
01:07:07.640
And I guess that gets back to my point about the cheap money.
01:07:09.680
In an age of cheap money, you know, 0% interest rates for 14 years, that's the habit we got into in this country.
01:07:15.220
Instead of looking at values, you know, real economic value, at profit and loss, at return, open books.
01:07:30.260
But I think you raise a good point about what now?
01:07:41.180
And how many others are going to follow if this has a domino effect on the industry?
01:07:45.780
All questions we will take up as the story unfolds.
01:07:54.000
All right, coming up next, a deep dive into the decline of men in the workforce with some alarming numbers.
01:08:00.920
Now we're switching gears and turning to a topic that desperately needs more attention.
01:08:08.020
It's a topic our friend Mike Rowe discussed with us last time he was on the show.
01:08:11.340
The disappearance of men from the workforce in America.
01:08:16.300
Today, over 7 million men of prime working age are neither working nor looking for work.
01:08:23.460
This is bad for those individual men and for us as a society.
01:08:28.860
Here to discuss it is the author of Men Without Work, Nick Eberstadt.
01:08:43.720
We can do a work rate, an employment rate for the prime age men.
01:08:47.920
If you take a look at last month's numbers, they're lower than they were in 1940 at the tail end of the Great Depression.
01:08:55.440
So, we really do have a depression scale problem for work for men in the United States.
01:09:01.740
If you look at the 21st century as a whole, the work rate for prime age men is actually substantially lower than it was in 1940.
01:09:13.340
So, we've basically got a 1937 scale work crisis for men in America.
01:09:20.700
And we're missing it because we only look at the unemployment rate and at the number of people employed.
01:09:27.900
We forget to look at the numbers for people who are neither working nor looking for work.
01:09:33.580
For every guy who is out of work and looking for a job these days, there are over four who are neither working nor looking for work.
01:09:42.880
So, if you track the unemployment happy talk, you are missing four-fifths of the problem.
01:09:51.340
Some of them were, but many of them are long-term dropouts from the workforce.
01:09:59.400
What you see if you look over the history of the post-war era is a series of declining trajectories, almost like failing rockets.
01:10:10.960
Each younger group works less at any given age, in their 20s, 30s, 40s, 50s, than the group before them.
01:10:23.920
And so, now you have a very large number of men who are basically long-timers out of the workforce altogether.
01:10:35.220
Well, one reason that doesn't fly is that we can't say they're at home taking care of other people.
01:10:44.540
There is an enormous care chasm between guys who are out of the workforce and women who are out of the workforce.
01:10:53.840
If you ask these guys, and we do in these different labor surveys, you know, why aren't you at work?
01:11:00.200
Only a tiny fraction of them say that it's not because there are any jobs for them.
01:11:04.360
And today, that would be kind of implausible if you look at the peacetime, you know, labor shortage that we've got going on.
01:11:14.960
Some of them say that it's because of health problems.
01:11:17.660
Some of them say that it's because of other problems.
01:11:20.180
But it's not because of a lack of work, and it's not because of things that they're doing at home.
01:11:25.420
When did the problems start in earnest, like these big numbers?
01:11:30.740
For the first two decades of the post-war era, there was no sign of this problem at all.
01:11:36.960
Then starting around 1965, a flight from work by men started to become evident in these numbers.
01:11:46.080
And the really weird thing about this flight from work is that it's almost like a straight line from the 1960s to today.
01:11:53.960
I mean, you know, people are a little bit disorderly and, you know, irregular.
01:11:59.020
But if you look at the numbers themselves, it's almost tracking a straight line from through the 60s and 70s, 80s, 90s, 2000s, the 2010s.
01:12:10.960
It's been going on with almost, you know, kind of geophysical regularity now for almost 60 years.
01:12:24.600
They got paid by the government to stay at home.
01:12:27.880
The pandemic induced a lot of stress, anxiety, depression in people that they're struggling to get over to this day.
01:12:33.300
I don't get 50 years of men leaving the workforce more and more and more.
01:12:39.480
Well, it's clearly unnatural because for, what, 10,000 generations, 50,000 generations in Homo sapiens in our species, men are kind of like a natural provider force.
01:12:53.200
And now you have an enormous contingent of men in modern America who are cast into this unnatural role as dependence upon society.
01:13:02.860
You couldn't have something like this happening if we weren't as fantastically prosperous as we are today.
01:13:08.540
You go through the 70s, 80s, 90s, 2000s, up to the present, and you can come up with different kind of explanations that kind of work in part.
01:13:20.600
One of the things that is said about rich countries in general is that they've been affected by what economists call structural and economic transformation, decline of manufacturing, outsourcing.
01:13:38.440
I mean, there's some truth to that in depressing work rates and labor force participation for men all around the world, but it doesn't really explain what you see in our country.
01:13:51.820
I mean, you wouldn't have a straight line out of the workforce if this was a consequence of the business cycle, right?
01:14:01.380
You'd see the China shock when China entered the WTO.
01:14:07.560
Is it related to women entering the workforce in greater numbers?
01:14:11.140
I mean, are these like, you know, is it a role reversal where these guys are staying home and the wives are bringing home the bacon?
01:14:17.360
Well, you know, there are some people who argue that.
01:14:25.100
It's just since the end of World War II that they got paid for it in the labor force.
01:14:28.860
But there was this huge influx of women into the labor force after World War II, and if they were displacing men, you know, the participation rates would have flatlined.
01:14:41.740
Instead, what we saw is that the participation rates went way up for like 50 years, from 1950 to, you know, the end of the century.
01:14:50.740
And that means that women were kind of supplementing men.
01:14:53.160
Since 2000, the participation rates for both men and women have been going down, so they've both been feeling the same pain.
01:15:02.780
There's also something that I mention in this book, which we might want to keep our eye on.
01:15:10.740
I'm not sure that it's a four-alarm fire yet, but it's, let's say, a yellow flashing light.
01:15:16.460
This is the women without work problem for prime-age women who are out of the workforce and don't have kids at home and aren't currently married.
01:15:27.660
There are about three million of them, and some of the patterns that they're reporting about their own lives, what they do with their own time, their drug use, are looking a little bit too close for comfort to what I show in this book about the guys.
01:15:42.400
What's prime-age? What is the prime age? What's the range?
01:15:52.700
Oh, same as in the television key demo that we use to base our advertisement rates on, 25 to 54. That's the money spot.
01:16:00.300
Yeah, yeah. Well, I mean, I didn't come up with this. I wasn't smart enough to come up with this demographic, but it's kind of self-evident.
01:16:06.800
You know, prime working age is 25 to 54, but it's not just all dollars and cents. I mean, this is also a key group for raising, you know, raising children, starting families.
01:16:18.980
It's got a tremendously important social component to it, too. And a lot of the dropouts, a lot of the male dropouts, they're disproportionately unmarried, don't have kids at home.
01:16:31.320
I mean, you drop out of the workforce, you're also dropping out of family, you're dropping out of community.
01:16:37.080
One of the things which I think is really kind of spooky that you see from looking at some of these numbers is how the workforce dropout guys say that they're spending their time.
01:16:50.100
What do they do between waking up and going to sleep, right?
01:16:54.920
I want to get to that one second, like how they're spending their time.
01:16:58.460
But before we get to that, like if you said this, this began in like even the 90s, I would get it.
01:17:03.140
Opioid crisis hits. People are, you know, they're pulled into this darkness.
01:17:07.320
And then sometimes it's hard to find a job, right?
01:17:10.780
Like if you're an active addict or even a non-using addict, you have a criminal record.
01:17:16.680
All this makes re-entering the workforce much tougher, right? Much tougher.
01:17:21.740
So that I would get starting back 30 years before that.
01:17:27.580
If you said this started in 2007, the advent of the iPhone, I'd say I get it.
01:17:32.560
People, it's addictive. You spend all day. You can't pull yourself away.
01:17:36.560
You said COVID, right? Like this is a much bigger problem.
01:17:41.660
And against it is the genetic gravitational pull of hunter-gatherer, support, family, be the man.
01:17:50.300
You know, like it's the same reason why, you know, women like me who work can't deny that for most of us, there is this biological pull to be with our children.
01:17:58.180
And like that, that's why we wrestle so much when we're not all day.
01:18:03.700
I don't, I still don't get it, but I do think those events I mentioned probably exacerbated it.
01:18:11.840
The decline in the post-war era of the previous family system, you know, the two-parent family norm, guys who are not in the workforce are way more likely not to be in families either.
01:18:27.460
The rise of the modern welfare state, our European cousins tell us that we're terribly stingy, but in 1965, we were even stingier.
01:18:40.140
The welfare state was still a twinkle in Lyndon Johnson's eye back then.
01:18:43.980
And one of the things which we have seen over the last half century, I think, is how terribly destructive the whole disability archipelago of benefit payments for being out of work because you're said to be not able to work has been.
01:19:05.660
We had this incredible long-term crime wave that was followed by this explosion of punishment.
01:19:12.360
We've got tens of millions of adult ex-cons in the United States today as well.
01:19:18.280
We don't track them very well, but it's clear that they're disproportionately overrepresented in this men without work problem.
01:19:26.100
Yeah, because they can't work if they have to check the box on whether they committed a crime.
01:19:28.700
Who's going to hire a guy who committed a crime if they've got, in today's day and age, four other applicants who didn't commit a crime?
01:19:35.140
Or, you know, they just do a background check on you if you, depending on the job you're applying for, it makes it almost impossible for people who are ex-cons to find work, which is a problem for all of us.
01:19:48.220
It's not good to have ex-cons sitting there out of work doing absolutely nothing.
01:19:52.940
Yeah, and you could, and certainly there are millions and millions of ex-cons who can be rehabilitated, who can re-enter work, re-enter family, re-enter society.
01:20:04.280
We've got this strange thing in the United States.
01:20:06.600
We're basically a data-oriented country, but we've cloaked all of the ex-cons in statistical invisibility.
01:20:12.900
For some reason, Uncle Sam has no interest in coming up with information about their circumstances.
01:20:18.980
Now, that means, among other things, that we can't have evidence-based policies in the United States for getting them back to work because we don't have the evidence.
01:20:29.200
How big a factor was COVID, right, when we started literally paying people to sit on their couch?
01:20:35.120
Even people who didn't need the check were getting the check of, how much was it?
01:20:47.700
Well, I mean, obviously, COVID was a catastrophe.
01:20:52.040
But most of the people, the overwhelming number of people who died from COVID were older than labor force age.
01:21:00.160
There are still some people who are at home sick with long COVID who say they can't work because of long COVID.
01:21:06.800
But that's, in the scheme of things, a pretty small number.
01:21:12.600
We're about 4 million short of where we would have been on pre-COVID trends in terms of workforce total numbers,
01:21:21.360
which coincidentally is about the increase in unfilled jobs in the United States since before COVID.
01:21:30.160
This isn't all men, this isn't all these prime age guys we've been talking about.
01:21:34.120
We've got a new face to the flight from work in modern America.
01:21:39.020
Most of that gap is older former workers, men and women 55 and older,
01:21:46.680
who were the kind of sole ray of sunshine in the pre-pandemic, you know, kind of tableau,
01:21:52.940
because their work rates had been going up for a generation.
01:21:55.660
Also, we're seeing more of the younger women, I think, in this labor force dropout population for the time being.
01:22:08.240
Not to dumb it down, but like, you know, it takes money to live.
01:22:13.920
Well, Megan, your listeners, of course, you and I and your listeners are paying.
01:22:19.620
Uncle Sam, which is either us right now or our children and unborn grandchildren in deferred debt payments, right?
01:22:28.920
We had this extraordinary thing that happened during the pandemic crisis.
01:22:33.560
Pandemic crisis is the only time in history that I'm aware of when disposable income for a population actually increased during a national economic crisis.
01:22:47.180
This was because of the fire hose of money, borrowed money, that was shot at households with the $600 a week and the $300 a week and other interventions, right?
01:22:57.480
During the years 2020 and 2021, the national savings rate more than doubled, which is to say that households had more money than they could spend from these transfers.
01:23:11.460
And a nest egg of over $2.5 trillion was put aside just from these transfers.
01:23:18.020
That's apart from other wealth effects, you know, the zero interest rate that your previous guest was talking about.
01:23:24.300
And, you know, $2.5 trillion is a lot of money.
01:23:29.780
And an awful lot of people use this either to supplement their earnings or to substitute for their earnings.
01:23:36.600
And I think what we're seeing right now is a certain amount of, you know, being out of the workforce on premature or maybe premature and unsustainable retirement.
01:23:46.680
I mean, they better realize, like, those checks, maybe they still have dough in the bank, but that doesn't last very long.
01:23:51.860
You know, even if it's $1,200 a month or $2,400 a month, that does not last, get you very far.
01:23:58.200
We're about at the point where that money should be running out.
01:24:03.800
So now to the question of what they are doing all day.
01:24:06.760
We would like to fantasize that they are doing like what my mom used to do when she was a little younger.
01:24:12.860
Or in her free time, she would drive the other ladies who are elderly to church on Sundays.
01:24:18.680
And I've got a big friend who's into meals on wheels and so on.
01:24:22.620
So that's not really how they're spending their time.
01:24:26.660
So shortly after the end of the Stone Age, I was taught economics.
01:24:31.960
And back in those days, as a kind of a mental tick, economists would say you were either working or you had leisure.
01:24:40.620
Now, that is a wrong way of looking at it because leisure is a very special way of using your free time.
01:24:46.740
It's a way of using your free time to restore yourself or to elevate yourself.
01:24:51.660
It's also possible to use free time in a way that degrades you or degrades you and others.
01:24:57.600
And unfortunately, that's what we see in the self-reported time uses for male dropouts from the workforce.
01:25:07.920
They say that they do almost no civil society stuff of the type your mom used to do.
01:25:14.360
They say almost no religion worship, almost no charitable or volunteering activities.
01:25:23.880
But they say they do very little, strangely little, help around the house, either with chores and housework or with looking after people in the home.
01:25:40.920
The surveys don't tell us what they're looking at or what type of screens.
01:25:44.300
But like 2,000 hours a year on average of looking at screens, I mean, that's as much as a full-time job for a lot of people.
01:25:54.140
And some of these surveys ask the poignant question, do you use pain medication?
01:26:01.360
One of the pre-COVID surveys showed that almost half of the dropouts are reported using pain pills or pain medication every day.
01:26:14.980
So it's not just sitting at home playing Call of Duty or whatever.
01:26:22.000
And need I say, this is not a springboard for getting you back into the labor market.
01:26:27.760
It's much more likely to be a kind of a pathway towards deaths of despair.
01:26:35.740
These people, they need mental health services.
01:26:41.400
It doesn't sound like they're like, you love my existence on the government dime.
01:26:49.880
To me, it's like yet another reinforcement that we need more readily available mental health assistance in this country, whether it's via Zoom or just cheaper and better, by the way, because too often cheaper means crappy.
01:27:02.660
No, it's a portrait of suffering and misery and anomie and loneliness and disconnection.
01:27:12.320
I mean, you can play video games while, you know, you can watch television, you can do all sorts of things to entertain yourself a little bit.
01:27:20.020
But if you substitute those things for like your real life, you're going to be in a in a pretty tough place.
01:27:27.940
Yeah, you need to look at another person's flesh and bones face and body and have eye contact in person.
01:27:39.380
To jump back to something else you mentioned, the long COVID.
01:27:41.860
I feel like you wrote something I must have been from the book.
01:27:46.880
I can't remember, but it was something about how the long COVID numbers don't add up with the actual COVID that went around.
01:27:52.660
Like there's some question about whether these people really have long COVID.
01:27:57.860
I only made the distinction between numbers of people who reported having long COVID and happened to be out of the workforce and numbers of people who said they were out of the workforce because of long COVID.
01:28:11.860
So kind of accidentally, two of those groups overlap a lot.
01:28:17.300
But when you ask people, are you out of the workforce because you have long COVID, you've got a surprisingly small number about right now, about 400,000 persons.
01:28:30.220
400,000 is a lot of people, but it doesn't account for the majority of that gap.
01:28:34.460
I mean, COVID obviously is like such a disruptor, but I do think that and I do believe in long COVID.
01:28:42.640
I don't I don't dismiss that, that some people are suffering with that.
01:28:48.680
However, I also think there are people who just say they have it because it's something that's accepted.
01:28:56.940
It'll get you out of judgment from a lot of people in terms of your wanting to stay at home on your couch and watch TV all day.
01:29:06.180
I don't maybe like maybe we need the return of some stigma for those who just don't work.
01:29:12.120
You know, I'm so glad that you mentioned the word stigma because we seem to have veered into this kind of value free, judgment free, you know, kind of environmental space.
01:29:30.460
Stigma is the kinder, gentler version of enforcing social norms, kinder and gentler than the police state.
01:29:41.040
Right. It's a way of kind of helping people, you know, straighten up and and fly right.
01:29:47.540
And one thing which is self-evident to those of us who, you know, have long lives in the workforce is that work isn't just dollars and cents.
01:29:59.380
And work is a service to other people that helps you complete yourself.
01:30:09.080
It helps you, you know, kind of earn your own kind of success, no matter what your station is.
01:30:14.420
And being attached to the world through the workforce, like being attached through family or being attached through community.
01:30:23.280
You know, it's good for us in ways that go way beyond dollars and cents.
01:30:28.160
There was that old funny Greek guy, Aristotle, who said that human beings are social creatures and we are social creatures and we suffer if we're not in society.
01:30:40.260
Yeah, it's like you think working is so important, I think, just gives you a purpose and makes you feel like you matter.
01:30:46.860
It could be any job, but especially if you manage to line it up with something that thrills you or excites you.
01:30:57.040
If you don't work and you think you're just going to be sitting around, you're going to be doing your favorite things, you're going to be whatever, gardening, or you're going to be reading, you're going to be, I don't know.
01:31:05.100
I think the odds are higher that you're going to be searching the screen.
01:31:07.920
After a while, you're going to be on that damn screen all day doing something that probably depresses you.
01:31:12.140
It's just the least amount of effort for the highest return, but it's not good for you.
01:31:20.600
I mean, I wouldn't even know where to begin if we're going to solve this problem.
01:31:24.880
Well, I mean, every one of us, I think, can do a little bit on this.
01:31:37.040
It's important for all sorts of reasons that go beyond the dollars and cents.
01:31:41.480
I mean, we have these conversations around the kitchen table or around the public square.
01:31:45.440
I mean, being able to tell the truth on this kind of matters to begin with.
01:31:50.800
There are things which we can do in our social conventions, which I think matter a lot.
01:31:57.460
During my lifetime, I have seen the death of the summer job.
01:32:01.580
And when I was a kid, you know, when I was a teen, it was a thing.
01:32:05.960
You know, boys and girls, teens all got summer jobs.
01:32:10.400
Ten years put, you know, postponing work for ten years has no good consequences for society.
01:32:17.040
Government can do some things, and it can also avoid doing some things, and those might help.
01:32:26.220
It's kind of a scandal that the educational establishment has omerted the word vocational.
01:32:32.180
That kind of tells you a little bit about the problem.
01:32:35.880
I think we need to turn the disability insurance system, the government disability system, on its head and flip it from being subsidizing and encouraging dependence and helplessness to a kind of a work-first principle.
01:32:51.980
We had a great welfare reform in the 1990s for single moms that did very well.
01:32:59.740
Also, I'd kind of like to see more information about the ex-felons.
01:33:05.460
I mean, I'd like to see us at least take them out of the statistical darkness.
01:33:15.940
I mean, I don't have the magic wand to fix the family in America.
01:33:19.320
I don't have the magic wand to get us back to 1965 value systems.
01:33:25.160
But if we know what we're missing, we can kind of grope towards solutions, I think.
01:33:30.860
So I've painted a pretty sobering picture, but I don't think that this is one that we give up hope on because it's been a very bad bet for people who've bet against the United States of America for about 250 years.
01:33:46.360
Hmm. Well said. Wow. Thank you for calling attention to it, for writing the book, for sharing your expertise with us.
01:33:53.440
Really, really appreciate it. And it's just scary. All this is very scary.
01:34:02.160
Oh, so interesting. Ron DeSantis weighing in just now.
01:34:05.420
One of the things I've learned in this job is when you're leading, when you're getting things done, you take incoming fire.
01:34:13.660
Oh, we'll hear what President Trump has to say tonight.
01:34:19.460
I have my alarm set. My team and I are going to be on a group text.
01:34:22.700
And we're very much looking forward to discussing it all with you tomorrow, starting at noon, live on Sirius XM Triumph Channel 111.
01:34:30.720
And we will dive into the announcement with those in the GOP who are happy to see Trump in the 24 race and those who are not.
01:34:46.420
It's such a fun correspondence with a bunch of highlights of the week's news and highlights from the show.
01:34:52.040
And what you see Mr. Strudwick doing this week will shock you more than any other thing you've ever seen before.
01:35:01.580
Don't forget to download the show, the podcast and YouTube.com.
01:35:13.480
Thank you for listening to The Megan Kelly Show.