Konstantin Kissen, a Russian-born British commentator, has been trying to warn the West about this very scenario, and now he s one of the few who got it exactly right. Plus, we speak to a reporter on the ground in Ukraine as to what she s seeing there.
00:00:00.420Welcome to The Megyn Kelly Show, your home for open, honest, and provocative conversations.
00:00:11.700Hey everyone, I'm Megyn Kelly. Welcome to The Megyn Kelly Show.
00:00:15.220Horror and international outrage at this hour as Russia launches the largest attack on the European continent since World War II.
00:00:23.800We expect to hear from President Biden any moment now following a meeting with America's closest allies.
00:00:28.940They are trying to determine the best course of action against an emboldened Vladimir Putin who has already threatened any country that interferes with, quote, consequences you have never seen.
00:00:41.860So I'm questioning whether that's a reference to Russia's nuclear arsenal.
00:00:47.160Overnight, Russian forces invaded Ukraine by air, by land, and by sea.
00:00:51.340You can see, if you watch this on YouTube, the areas hit from this New York Times map that we're showing.
00:00:58.540Basically, it's a map of Ukraine covered in red.
00:01:02.660Reports suggest dozens of innocent people have already been killed, including civilians, many more injured as shelling and missiles rained down.
00:01:13.360The news also rocking global financial markets as stocks plummet and oil prices soar.
00:01:17.820No surprise there. And chillingly, it may have also emboldened China as we get reports this hour of Chinese fighter jets getting way too close for comfort with Taiwan.
00:01:31.100We have every angle covered, the politics, the economics, the military action, with a series of great, great guests today, including former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.
00:01:39.120Plus, we will speak live with a reporter on the ground in Ukraine as to what she is seeing there.
00:01:44.940But we begin today with Konstantin Kissen, a Russian-born British commentator who has been trying to warn the West about this very scenario.
00:01:55.080He's one of the few who got this exactly right, predicting what would happen here.
00:01:59.660And now he says the wool is being lifted from our eyes and it will have a massive impact on our lives and our children's lives for decades to come.
00:02:09.020Konstantin, great to have you. You you've been right.
00:02:12.680You predicted what would happen. And today you have a long thread that I was reading on Twitter that I thought, oh, my gosh, this is this is chilling because you put it in exactly the right perspective.
00:02:22.520First of all, explain your ties to Ukraine so people understand how personal this is for you.
00:02:26.540Well, I'm from Russia. My father is of Russian descent. My mother is of Ukrainian descent.
00:02:32.320I'm Russian. Therefore, I was born in Russia, grew up there until I moved to the UK.
00:02:36.720My wife is Ukrainian and we have family Russian speaking, a few Ukrainian speaking, both in Russia and in Ukraine.
00:02:44.300Some pro-Russian in this conflict, some pro-Ukrainian.
00:02:47.100So I think I have a breadth of perspectives from that region that I'm sort of incorporating into the things that I'm saying.
00:02:53.720Mm hmm. And you you write about how many predicted Vladimir Putin will never invade.
00:03:00.600He's not going to do that. He doesn't really have a reason to do.
00:03:04.280He's just saber rattling and sort of sight of the anti-establishment voices on the left and the right telling us that, look, let's just make concessions.
00:03:12.720We will secure peace. We don't want to upset Putin any more than we have.
00:03:16.620You know, he's ticked off about the NATO thing. Let's just not let's just that's not a big thing for us.
00:03:21.960Let's stand down and not upset the guy dead wrong, as you point out now.
00:03:26.780Yeah, well, it hasn't worked out that way.
00:03:29.900And, you know, I don't understand why people are so shocked and surprised today when there have been people predicting this who actually and the first person who predicted this is Vladimir Putin himself.
00:03:40.760It seems to me that journalists both here and the UK and in America have simply failed to go and listen to his one hour speech that he gave two days ago in which he explains very clearly what is about to happen, why he believes it should happen.
00:03:52.920And, Megan, if I just take a few seconds to lay out what he said, the first thing he said is he spent 40 minutes of an address to the nation talking about the history of the Soviet Union, Russia and Ukraine.
00:04:05.380And the purpose of that section was essentially to explain that the existence of Ukraine is a mistake.
00:04:11.860The existence of Ukraine is a result of a series of weak decisions made by weak Soviet leaders, starting with Vladimir Lenin.
00:04:18.880And he explained that Russia should not hold itself to those decisions because they were made in the wrong circumstances by weak people and there were poor decisions at the time.
00:04:29.880The second thing he explains is essentially that those weak decisions meant that the Russian nation, the Russian people, were split apart artificially by these weak decision makers.
00:04:41.540And so a portion of the Russian nation has now found itself for some reason being part of Ukraine.
00:04:47.780The rest of it, he says, is former territories of Poland and Hungary.
00:04:52.820And from that itself, you knew that this was never going to stop with the two eastern regions, because if you look at the part of Ukraine that used to be in the Russian Empire, that used to be Russian speaking, that used to be populated by ethnic Russians, that extends all the way up to the capital, Kiev, and possibly beyond.
00:05:10.420So there was never any way this was going to be just the two so-called breakaway regions.
00:05:18.580And the second thing that he explains, and I really invite people to go and watch particularly the second part of the speech, is he sort of uses the term CIA more than Alex Jones.
00:05:29.280He keeps talking about the CIA, NATO, it's not a defensive alliance, they're placing missiles right on our borders, and we have to defend ourselves.
00:05:38.400And the rhetoric is distinctly Cold War-ish.
00:06:33.920Referred to the Ukrainians as Nazis and sort of said, it's our duty to protect those folks inside of Ukraine who are Russian,
00:06:41.880who are being treated this way by the Ukrainians.
00:06:44.680And this is one area in which the Biden administration has tried to get out ahead of Vladimir Putin, saying these are false flag operations.
00:06:52.580You know, these alleged incidents of violence that are committed in these regions have so far, as far as we can tell, been committed by Russians trying to make it look like Ukrainians are cracking down on these groups.
00:07:03.140And Biden's been out there over and over trying to predict Vladimir Putin's plans were now told in an effort to expose the intelligence so that Putin would know we knew what he was going to do.
00:08:05.540But what does it matter if you're not willing to use your hard and soft power around the world?
00:08:10.020If we spend more time talking about gender pronouns or whether cloth masks stop the spread of COVID or focusing on all this other tangential nonsense, when there's very real things going on in the world.
00:08:21.080And the moment the West takes its eye off the ball.
00:08:24.060And I'm so glad, Megan, this is one of the things that I think makes you such a robust commentator on these issues.
00:08:31.920And this is what I've been trying to get people to understand.
00:08:34.000And this is not about evil Vladimir Putin or evil Xi Jinping.
00:08:38.880This will happen if the West withdraws, if the West is weak, is perceived to be weak, if it's distracted.
00:08:45.700The people around the world who've always wanted more land, more power, more money, more prosperity, who want to knock America off its perch at the top of the pantheon, they're going to do what they've always wanted to do.
00:08:59.300Right. I mean, you I know you guys on your podcast podcast talk about this all the time.
00:09:04.100We do as well about, you know, for lack of a better term, wokeness.
00:09:08.080It's not what this is about, but it's related because we're so intent on on navel gazing internally, talking about how bad we are convincing others, how bad we are convincing ourselves, how terrible we are.
00:09:19.780Rather than leaning into the fact that we remain the leader of the free world, that others believe it, too.
00:09:25.220And they see that we're distracted with this internal nonsense.
00:09:27.480And indeed, in the case of Vladimir Putin, he touts it, too.
00:09:30.400He pumps it with his bots to try to create more division.
00:09:43.240We're talking about Black Lives Matter and whether we should have biological men swimming against biological women because they call themselves women.
00:09:51.140This is the stuff upon which we found ourselves obsessed.
00:09:53.740While the while geographic borders may be shifting, freedoms may be lost.
00:09:59.000We've been living in a dream world, Megan.
00:10:01.100We've been living in a dream world where we pretend that people can change their sex and or, you know, the most important thing for our society is to focus on what something that happened 300 years ago and all of this other stuff.
00:10:14.160And frankly, I know that you had your run ins with President Trump and I was certainly not a big fan of his at all.
00:10:47.560And this is the most important point, Megan, that you made so beautifully is if we don't believe in our values in the West, how could we possibly defend them?
00:10:56.680If we think that we're evil, racist bigots, why on earth would we try to spread our values around the world or defend people who want to be free, who want democracy, who want liberty, who believe in the same things that we believe?
00:11:09.040Why would we possibly support and defend them if we don't even like ourselves?
00:11:16.600Yes, he was strong, but he was also unpredictable.
00:11:18.900And that had a great way of keeping our foreign adversaries off kilter.
00:11:22.940You never knew what he was going to do.
00:11:25.040You knew that it was going to be in America's best interests and you knew that it could be shocking and that it would be strong and it would be decisive.
00:11:31.340And it might not even please his base back here at home, which made him a bigger threat to people like Putin.
00:11:36.120But the second thing is he kept our energy resources flowing.
00:11:40.840You know, he he shut down the Nord Stream, too.
00:11:42.720He didn't allow this pipeline of money to be flowing to Vladimir Putin from Germany and Europe and at least try to fight it.
00:11:48.940And that's one of the first things Joe Biden revived when he came into office was basically Russia's coffers making Putin richer and more emboldened.
00:11:58.900So while Putin I mean, sorry, Biden may talk tough about Putin.
00:12:02.460His actual behavior really hasn't been.
00:12:05.160And Trump, in a way, was exactly the opposite.
00:12:08.020He said things about Vladimir Putin like, oh, you know, O'Reilly said he's a killer.
00:12:13.020So wasn't the rhetoric wasn't as tough, but the actual behaviors actually deterred Vladimir Putin in a lot of meaningful ways because they kept him a little poorer and a little bit more off kilter.
00:12:24.460And I think what you're likely to see is, in my opinion, this is in terms of consequences for the world.
00:12:30.180This event will have repercussions that will eclipse maybe even 9-11 in terms of the sort of impact it will have on the world.
00:12:36.780And one of the things I think this spells is the complete and utter end of globalization.
00:12:41.720The idea that we're going to buy our gas from Russia or buy, you know, mission critical technology or manufactured goods from China or like we do in the UK, we're going to sell off our electricity networks to foreign nations.
00:12:57.240The energy security is going to come right to the top of the list.
00:13:00.400Countries are going to make sure that they can heat their pensioners' homes, irrespective of whether Vladimir Putin allows them to or not.
00:13:07.500And I think this is going to lead to a massive rejigging of the geopolitical chessboard with consequences, which I think at this point are very difficult to predict.
00:13:15.960OK, and that leads us to this sort of, you know, for lack of a better term, America first mentality of a lot of folks on the anti-establishment right here in America who think that the way you're talking sounds more like a neocon.
00:13:29.320We can't be the policeman of the world. This is somebody else's problem. And say more like, I don't care what's happening in Ukraine.
00:13:35.380I care about what's happening in America's borders, you know, and not familiar with the country.
00:13:39.820It's not in NATO. So we have no contractual obligation to defend them.
00:13:43.680So, you know, we got our own problems here to them. You want them to know what?
00:13:48.000Well, I hear them and I would agree with them pretty much all of the time.
00:13:51.880You know, I was a vehement critic of the war in Iraq. Even the war in Afghanistan, to my mind, was a mistake.
00:13:58.260And we've seen that, obviously, in the last few months with what's happened there.
00:14:02.700The Syria, Libya, I mean, we could go down the list. All of those were terrible mistakes.
00:14:06.700And the West has, you know, undermined its own moral credibility on these issues.
00:14:10.640But I don't think that I first of all, I'm not a neocon at all.
00:14:14.760But what I am trying to get people to understand, Megan, is this ain't about Ukraine.
00:14:20.360This is about you. This is about your children.
00:14:23.260If Vladimir Putin thinks we're in a Cold War, it doesn't matter that you want to put America first.
00:14:28.540Yes, America shouldn't be the policeman of the world.
00:14:30.900But the question you have to ask yourself is, who is?
00:14:33.800If you want to vacate that space that America has occupied, who is going to fill it?
00:14:40.160Who is going to come in and be the world's top dog?
00:14:43.240Who is going to come in and set the rules by which we play?
00:14:46.440Now, you've got two options. You've got Russia or China, right?
00:14:49.880Do you want either of those nations to be the one that's leading the world?
00:14:53.160Because you've got to remember, yes, America shouldn't necessarily have to be the world's policeman.
00:14:57.580And yes, I mean, the parallels with the BLM situation are so strong here,
00:15:01.140because, of course, we had the whole defund the police thing, which resulted in a massive spike in crime.
00:15:06.260And this is exactly what will happen on the international stage if America withdraws, as it has done in recent decades.
00:15:12.140You're going to see people doing things that we in the West don't want to happen.
00:15:16.820So, you know, I'm against the illegal foreign wars.
00:15:20.180I'm not suggesting we send troops to Ukraine right this second to fight against Russia.
00:15:25.140I think that would be a terrible mistake for the world at this point to be talking in that way.
00:15:28.980But I think people need to realize this ain't Iraq, guys.
00:15:32.400This ain't Afghanistan. It's not Syria. It's not Libya.
00:15:34.560This is a strategic adversary who is taking advantage of our weakness.
00:15:39.240And they are looking to see how we respond, just like the Chinese are.
00:15:43.440And how we respond is going to determine the fate of the Western world for decades to come.
00:15:48.800Hmm. No one's talking about putting boots on the ground in terms of U.S. troops.
00:15:55.480I've seen it from the left, from the right, from all quarters now for serious sanctions against Russia, sanctions that would actually hurt.
00:16:04.340Not, you know, you know, a couple of banks, not a couple of oligarchs can't access, you know, their pads in London.
00:16:09.920But there are a couple of ways we could go.
00:16:12.680I mean, we could amp it up to the point where they can't access their money through U.S. banking,
00:16:17.100where we throw out the Russians who are attending American colleges, who are the children of said oligarchs and so on.
00:17:00.860But I think your point about energy security, if you remember, we talked about it earlier.
00:17:04.360You know, what Germany has done to its own nuclear industry by just purely on ideological grounds, shutting down nuclear power plants, making themselves reliant on Russia, is just an absurd move politically.
00:17:16.420And I think it reflects a naivete that, as I say, I think is over.
00:17:31.120We can't be relying on Chinese manufactured goods for the things that make the difference between our people surviving and dying in hospitals.
00:18:11.460So we have to keep our pain in perspective.
00:18:14.880But Biden's also looking at midterm elections and then a presidential race in the not-too-distant future after that.
00:18:21.300And realistically, is he going to have to open back up America's energy resources and allow not just us, but maybe our European friends to start tapping into them?
00:18:32.280Yeah, I'd be surprised if this isn't the death knell of the green agenda, at least for the moment.
00:18:36.580I think the sort of net zero that we talk about here in the UK, our electricity and gas bills are about to double here, literally overnight, double, Megan, because of green subsidies, because we're so desperate to solve that particular problem.
00:18:52.640But I think what we're starting to see is these sort of airy-fairy ideas about how wouldn't it be nice if we all lived in little mud huts or whatever these people want?
00:19:02.920There are some very serious men around the world who are coming for us.
00:19:06.840And in order to deal with that, we're going to have to supply our own energy and deal with that issue as a priority.
00:19:13.040Otherwise, we are going to rely on them and we're going to be vulnerable to blackmail and weak in the face of that.
00:19:18.920So I think you're going to see some very dramatic changes in public opinion on these issues and in terms of the political leadership's decisions.
00:19:25.980But I'm curious to see how American public opinion and British public opinion will break on this issue, whether people understand the seriousness of what we're dealing with or whether the people we talked about earlier who want to pretend this is some kind of Iraq or Afghanistan situation are going to triumph.
00:19:43.960You know, Constantine, one of the nicest pieces of existing in the digital world, right, with my show here and so on, as opposed to being tied to cable, is the exposure to a whole host of really smart, interesting thinkers who you wouldn't see on cable just because they don't have a deal to be a Fox News contributor, for example.
00:21:11.480So reading your piece this morning, you know, you don't mince words either.
00:21:17.100You talk about The Wall Street Journal not mincing words.
00:21:18.640You don't mince words either, talking about how we are witnessing the largest land war in Europe since 1945, an unprovoked attack by an autocratic superpower with nuclear weapons.
00:21:30.180Exactly the nightmare scenario that the U.S., NATO and the European Union aimed to prevent.
00:21:46.360I suppose, you know, if I say the worst case scenario, the really worst case scenario would be this somehow spilling over across the border and Russian forces shooting on NATO ally forces.
00:21:55.540But clearly, this is not a limited incursion into the Donbass region.
00:22:00.340This is not a – clearly, it wasn't a feint.
00:22:02.340Clearly, this was not saber rattling and Putin trying to get some sort of cheap concessions or something like that.
00:22:08.460This looks like a full – you know, this is a full-scale land invasion.
00:22:11.940It certainly looks like they want to conquer the whole country.
00:22:15.840Meg and I have this, you know, nightmare scenario where I'm going to tell you something.
00:22:19.300By the time we end the conversation, the circumstance on the ground will have changed.
00:22:22.500But as of right before we got on here, there was footage on CNN of Russian paratroopers around an airport that was like 15 miles from Kiev.
00:22:32.940And so this looks like an attempt to encircle the Ukrainian forces in the eastern part of the country, cut them off, and effectively take over, if not the entire country of Ukraine, take over a big chunk of it.
00:22:45.620And, you know, maybe leave some sort of rump state on the western part of the country.
00:22:52.500This is, you know, really, really bad.
00:22:54.620And I don't – it clearly is no way to restore the status quo.
00:22:58.560This is probably the best case scenario we can hope for at this point is that Ukrainians fight hard, fight well, extract a real, you know, price on Putin.
00:23:07.780It sounds like the resistance in the northern part of the country is going pretty well.
00:23:46.460Then what Ukraine's saying right now is help and at least make it a no-fly zone.
00:23:52.500We need people like America to step in and at least create a no-fly zone because as soon as they knock out these military installations, in are going to come the ground troops and then we're really going to be exposed.
00:24:07.460At this point, I have not heard a lot of serious talk about that here in Washington or in other European capitals.
00:24:13.760I don't think that's a likely scenario.
00:24:15.680I think you may – yeah, you're going to see – there's going to be more talk of economic sanctions, which, oh, by the way, I think if you want to summarize the problem for the Biden administration, the U.S. government, our NATO allies, and the EU, is that we came to a gunfight with economic sanctions.
00:24:31.780And Vladimir Putin is not a guy who is deterred by economic sanctions.
00:24:35.760There is no amount of pain you're going to be able to inflict on the Russian economy that is more important to him than his vision of himself as this grand figure of history who is going to reclaim the Russian ancestral cultural homeland.
00:24:52.280This was about something more important to him.
00:24:54.040And so I think the only thing that had a chance of deterring him was, you know, letting – making it very clear that every inch of Ukrainian soil he and his, you know, military forces were going to try to take were going to pay a high price – pay a high price in blood.
00:25:09.060Like I said, there's some – we've sent them the Javelin anti-hank missiles.
00:25:49.840It didn't do – it's just a debating society.
00:25:52.360It has no real impact on the facts on the ground.
00:25:56.340And folks, generally the Democratic Party, generally on the left, is like, no, no, no, it's this important instrument of international diplomacy and all that stuff.
00:26:02.680Well, I think it's now – it's not quite the League of Nations, but it's utterly irrelevant to deterring aggressive forces.
00:26:10.400And, you know, you can see this in Russia and Ukraine.
00:26:13.480I think you can say the U.N. clearly was a non-entity in the Taliban's takeover of Afghanistan.
00:26:18.040And I would not count on the U.N. being an effective tool in deterring conflict between, say, China and Taiwan.
00:26:24.520Yeah, even today you had Richard Haas of the Council on Foreign Relations in the New York Times saying,
00:26:29.820what we really need to do is take it to the U.N. General Assembly.
00:26:32.200You know, I'll give you the thing about Russia heading the Security Council.
00:26:35.940They're not really going to sanction themselves because they're going to say, well, we need to go to the General Assembly.
00:26:39.020Like, really? Still? The U.N.? They're dead to us. They are no good to us. We have to forge on without them.
00:26:44.200And early this week, the New York Times, who I'm not in the usual business of praising,
00:26:48.880had this very detailed account of how Russia was denounced by all of our allies at the U.N. Security Council.
00:26:54.380The last line of the article was, and then the council adjourned, taking no action.
00:26:59.420It was just this, like, yes, okay, we can all go there and we can say this is terrible.
00:27:50.420And you might be thinking, like, why would Russia go there?
00:27:52.360Well, if you look at a map, first of all, Belarus, which is kind of this, you know, crony state, sidekick state to Vladimir Putin's Russia.
00:28:01.640They went to a whole bunch of Russian troops, went into Belarusian territory for joint military exercises,
00:28:07.100which fairly obviously were a preparation to invade Ukraine from another front.
00:28:12.440And just to pause, Jim, we're putting the map up there. Belarus is right next to Ukraine.
00:28:16.220It's it's by Poland. And it's another country that apparently is much more friendly to Russia because we're getting reports that they're helping Russia out with respect to this attack.
00:28:24.820I think a lot of Americans never even heard of Belarus prior to today.
00:28:27.600So it's just, you know, just just just to get our bearings.
00:28:30.860It's there. And it's not really helpful to us at the moment. Go ahead.
00:28:34.100And Lukashenko, who's the, you know, been called the last dictator in Europe over there.
00:28:38.560He's kind of Putin's mini me. Just picture a guy who goes along with everything Russia wants to do, you know, gets a lot of financial support from Russia and basically sees himself as Putin's sidekick.
00:28:51.200Well, the shortest distance between a this is where I wish I had my John Madden telestrator here.
00:28:55.540The shortest distance between a Ukrainian border and Kiev is coming down from Belarus and a part of the the Chernobyl exclusion zone where the nuclear power plant was and where all the radiation was back in 1986 is right in that area.
00:29:09.600So it's one of those things where a lot of people have I've seen people asking, why would Russian troops even go anywhere near that?
00:29:14.900Well, it's in the way that you could go around it.
00:29:17.280And Lord knows if I was commanding troops, I wouldn't want going anywhere near those places with that kind of radiation.
00:29:21.960Russian. But, you know, basically, if there's anything we've learned, if you ever watched that Chernobyl miniseries on HBO, Russians don't worry about radiation the way the rest of us do.
00:29:31.680They're kind of laid back about that in a way that sometimes gives them that warm, glowing feeling a little later on.
00:29:40.680All right. So let's just talk about. Yes, we brought sanctions.
00:29:43.140And that's what we expect Joe Biden to say in moments, soon as he takes to the mics, that we're going to be giving the super severe sanctions.
00:29:50.060I mean, we sort of withheld some. We trickled some out and they're going to trickle more out.
00:29:54.880And now this should be the super severe sanctions. But what's what's that going to look like?
00:29:59.520And realistically, what could it look like that would that would make him hurt?
00:30:04.900Right. Like that would actually hurt him in terms of the money.
00:30:09.200Before I tear into our president during a ongoing foreign policy crisis, I'll begin by saying something a little bit nice.
00:30:15.280I think Biden has focused on this. I think he has really tried.
00:30:19.260I think he's met with, you know, foreign leaders and communicating with them recently.
00:30:23.300I think he's been trying to galvanize NATO to to create a unified, tough response to this.
00:30:30.000I think fairly obviously it failed. It did not succeed.
00:30:32.640And I don't know if Biden's the kind of guy who's capable of doing this, but I'll give him I'll give him a few points for trying.
00:30:37.580I do note that and I wrote about this at pretty, pretty considerable length this morning in my newsletter, The Morning Jolt.
00:30:44.460All winter long, Biden, Anthony Blinken, Vice President Harris, they all kept using this phrase swift and severe sanctions.
00:30:51.560We're going to unleash sanctions on him like he's never seen. These are the strongest sanctions we've ever seen.
00:30:56.200And so you kind of created these expectations of, OK, you know, this this should really be something.
00:31:01.420When they unveiled them this week, the first thing is they said they're going to come out in tranches, little groups.
00:31:07.020They could just use the term little groups. I don't know why they use the term tranches, but whatever.
00:31:10.740And it was there weren't nothing. I mean, they're targeting the two banks that are closest to the Kremlin and Russian military targeted a couple oligarchs and their family members.
00:31:18.760And they made it tough for Russian sovereign debt. Those are steps.
00:31:22.780And I'm not going to say it's nothing. But the first thing is that if you're doing it in tranches or small groups, well, then it's not swift and severe.
00:31:30.260If you're saving some for later, if you're saying, well, later, we're going to use some of we might do some of this stuff later on.
00:31:34.540But the big one that everybody wanted to talk was the swift financial banking system.
00:31:38.860Basically, it's how you move money from one country to another.
00:31:41.320And we did this once against the Iranians. And it basically, you know, really have a huge impact on a country's economy.
00:31:47.200As of this morning and before we started having this conversation, Megan, it sounded like a couple of European countries, including Germany, did not want to go forward with this.
00:31:55.160And I'm looking at that and I'm thinking, like, what are you waiting for? Mushroom clouds?
00:32:00.240You know, this is a full scale invasion. Like what? Oh, well, it's not bad enough for us to cut off Russian banks from the rest of the world.
00:32:07.280You know, that that step is mind boggling.
00:32:10.160There are a whole bunch of other gestures that are not not necessarily gut punches, but I think are useful in symbolism.
00:32:16.520Back in 1983, Ronald Reagan, after the Russian shot down Korean Airlines passenger jet 007, they blocked Aeroflot, the Russian airlines, from landing in U.S. flights.
00:32:27.840And I think right before we started having this conversation, the United Kingdom announced they were taking that step.
00:32:33.340We could expel the children of Russian oligarchs and Russian government officials that are studying in American universities and colleges.
00:32:39.180I mean, we may do this. We just didn't do this, you know, a couple of days ago when it might have had more impact.
00:32:45.800Blocking Russian oil and gas import. We have been importing a lot more oil and gas from Russia over the past year.
00:32:51.380And that is extraordinarily frustrating. And I can't help but think that one of the reasons Putin is walking around and feeling so cocky is because world energy prices are so high.
00:33:00.080And his position as an oil and gas exporter gives them more financial leverage over Europe and stuff like that.
00:33:06.000Oh, by the way, I'm glad we put sanctions on the companies that were building the Nord Stream 2 pipeline.
00:33:12.080Again, a day late and a dollar short, because once Russia controls the pipelines that are currently running through Ukraine, they don't need Nord Stream 2 nearly as much as they did before.
00:33:22.000Can you just expand on that? Because I think most people haven't been following that that closely.
00:33:24.980I understand Nord Stream 2 is bad because that gets energy from Russia to Germany and keeps Russia's coffers filled.
00:33:32.240But his backdoor plan doesn't seem to mind because if he if he controls Ukraine, then what?
00:33:38.820Go ahead and expand on that. Yeah. So for a long while, you know, U.S. officials look at this and said, oh, this doesn't look good.
00:33:44.320This is going to you know, this will be great for Germany if you if you like being dependent upon Russia for your energy.
00:33:49.860If you don't like that, then this is a terrible idea. Unfortunately, Gerhard Schroeder, the former German chancellor, is serving on the board of a Russian energy company.
00:33:59.760Picture a former president going and taking a job on like a Chinese energy company or something like that.
00:34:05.260That kind of would be the equivalent there. And Angela Merkel thought this was a terrific idea.
00:34:09.740And this is, oh, by the way, this helps them shut down nuclear plants.
00:34:12.800This allows them to in their minds, well, we're going green because the oil and gas isn't coming from us.
00:34:17.440It's coming from somewhere else. I don't think that is a, you know, terribly great long term thinking there.
00:34:23.280But for a while, the U.S. was trying to pressure them. The Trump administration pressured and Biden came into office and initially was saying we oppose the Nord Stream 2 pipeline.
00:34:30.680The Germans really wanted to go ahead with this. And I, you know, the Biden administration dropped their opposition to Nord Stream 2.
00:34:37.780I think there's this idea that, well, we'll make this as a unilateral concession.
00:34:42.220And if we do this, you know, Putin and Russia will be more cooperative with us.
00:34:46.620Surprise! It didn't work out that way. Vladimir Putin was not any more cooperative or nice over this.
00:34:51.440And I think that, you know, the Biden administration ended up with egg on their face.
00:34:54.540They turned back to to opposing Nord Stream 2. And it's worth noting that no gas has gone through it yet.
00:35:00.680Germany said a couple of days ago that they were halting the permitting process.
00:35:05.320And we're not going to let you go ahead with that paperwork there. That's going to slow you down.
00:35:09.640Megan, my attitude is where are the eco-extremists when we need them?
00:35:13.500Now I've got a pipeline I'd really love to see them blow up.
00:35:16.280And I would not mind to see someone, you know, wink, wink, blow that up to ensure that that pipeline never gets completed or used to minimize this.
00:35:25.420And oh, by the way, we should be developing all of our energy resources and saying, look,
00:35:29.020you don't need to be dependent upon this maniacal autocrat for your energy supplies.
00:35:33.700We're the United States of America. We got oil. We got shale. We got gas. We got wind. We got solar.
00:35:39.080Liquid natural gas. We're going to send oil to everybody who needs it. And we're not going to be bullies about it.
00:35:44.100Boy, it's a great opportunity. But hey, we've got to save the world. Greta Thunberg says we can't do that.
00:35:48.180Oh, my Lord. And you were predicting, I mean, because people do wonder what what's going to happen back here at home and what what should we be expecting?
00:35:56.180And certainly higher gas prices is on the list. We're going to see maybe Europe, you said, flooded with refugees.
00:36:04.680People pay attention to that just now. I mean, frankly, you know, you travel's open back up.
00:36:09.480People are starting to go to Europe again in a way that we couldn't during the pandemic.
00:36:13.560And certainly we're going to see that in places like Poland. They're already predicting that as citizens try to flee.
00:36:19.120And all eyes, of course, are on China as well. I mean, what do you think Americans should be thinking about right now?
00:36:25.740Uh, not much good. Maybe we'll get a really good HBO sequel series to Chernobyl out of this.
00:36:33.600That's that's the only silver lining that I can find here.
00:36:36.600Yeah. I mean, the first thing is you're going to notice it at your gas pumps, probably when you fill up this weekend.
00:36:40.900Not that gas was cheap before, but this is probably going to end up being a you know, I wouldn't be surprised if there was an immediate panic bump.
00:36:47.980And then just generally, you've got a major foreign policy crisis.
00:36:51.560I assume there'll be at least some effort on a full on sanctions and some sort of effort to reduce U.S. imports of Russian oil supplies.
00:37:01.500And oh, by the way, we're getting into the spring and summer and traditionally, Americans drive more than so.
00:37:06.100All of that is going to expand demand and supply is going to remain about the same or maybe even constrained more because of this conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
00:37:13.480So gas prices are going to be terrible.
00:37:15.460We saw how the waves of refugees coming in from Syria and also some from Afghanistan and other parts of the Middle East were destabilizing to European politics about, you know, the middle bomb mid to late Obama years, shall we say that I suspect, you know, you will see some echo of that in European politics.
00:37:36.120But not right before we came on, apparently Chinese state run television is running some sort of documentary or program that is comparing Ukraine to Taiwan.
00:37:49.020I don't know if this means, OK, yeah, the Chinese invasion is going to come immediately.
00:37:53.340I do think China is watching this very closely.
00:37:55.720And just to just to update you on that, because I mentioned this during our a block, but you weren't here yet.
00:38:01.820Reuters is reporting that Taiwan's Air Force scrambled again on Thursday to warn away nine Chinese aircraft that entered its air defense zone, according to Taiwan's defense ministry.
00:38:12.320This on the same day as the invasion in Ukraine.
00:38:14.980So obviously they're watching and maybe flexing some muscle.
00:38:18.520I mean, I don't think where anybody's predicting Chinese invasion sometime soon, but there's no question that how we handle what's happening right now in Ukraine is going to be front and center for the Chinese.
00:38:30.600Yeah, I mean, Chinese incursions of Taiwan airspace by itself is not necessarily anything new, but it definitely feels differently this morning.
00:38:37.600The other thing which I think is we haven't necessarily recognized or, you know, only a few Americans are kind of really thinking through the ramifications of is, you know, back in the end of the Cold War, Ukraine had a lot of people said that Ukraine had nuclear weapons.
00:38:52.820The bet was that Soviet nuclear weapons were stored on Ukrainian soil.
00:38:57.380Ukraine by itself did not have the ability to detonate or use those weapons.
00:39:00.460But part of the deal was to say, OK, we're going to ship them all back to what's becoming Russia.
00:39:04.680And in exchange, we, the West, will ensure you'll never get invaded by Russia.
00:39:09.740And that was a deal between the United States and Russia and Ukraine.
00:39:15.340Maybe was the UK involved in that, too?
00:39:17.080But I mean, yeah, basically everyone in NATO was partied to all this.
00:39:20.920And I think it's almost like Russia doesn't care about treaties, you know.
00:39:32.860Well, but that's a good point, because what's the lesson there?
00:39:36.220OK, give up your your nukes and we'll have your back, except when we don't, which we aren't.
00:39:41.500And what other countries now that don't have nukes like Japan?
00:39:45.840I know South Korea are thinking, hmm, opportunity.
00:39:49.880As every country that is not already explicitly guaranteed protection under the nuclear umbrella of the United States is now thinking.
00:39:57.000It's got to be thinking very seriously.
00:39:58.700If we don't have a nuke, somebody someday is going to do the same thing to us.
00:40:01.980The only way we can ensure our sovereignty, our security and our security and preserving our borders as they are is to have a nuke of our own.
00:40:10.400We have a lot of bad consequences coming out of what's happening between Russia and Ukraine right now.
00:40:14.880I think a giant international nuclear arms race could be another one of those really bad ones.
00:40:18.720Because do I would I trust Japan with a nuclear weapon?
00:40:21.600Would I trust, you know, these are generally stable, wise, non reckless regimes, but not all governments around the world are or maybe they have a stable government now.
00:40:32.620But at some point down the road, somebody who's a little more cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs ends up running those countries.
00:40:38.000So that was another reason we really wanted to deter this.
00:40:42.020And I think that, you know, despite trying to I think you can point to some some Biden went into office wanting to create a kept emphasizing a stable and predictable relationship with Russia.
00:40:55.580I think it was very clear Vladimir Putin never wanted stable or predictable government.
00:41:00.940You pointed out on National Review that Biden sounds like John Wayne talking about, oh, he's never dealt with me, you know, wait until I get in there.
00:41:12.420He's actually more aggressive than ever.
00:41:13.620Yeah, you know, there are a lot of criticisms to be made about Joe Biden and your program is only two hours, so I won't list out all of them.
00:41:21.700But one of the ones that comes to mind is how much he talked on the campaign trail as if these problems were easy.
00:41:29.180And, oh, you know, we're going to shut down the virus.
00:41:31.720And all these other examples of how we're going to have these really quick.
00:41:34.680Well, you know, it turns out Vladimir Putin is a real cold, heartless, evil SOB who is always looking for leverage.
00:41:41.500And it was not just a matter of, oh, if we're nicer to him or, you know, he's going to be intimidated by the longtime senator from Delaware with his cool aviator glasses.
00:41:49.580You know, in the end, you know, there was this, I think it was about, you know, late 2019.
00:41:55.260There's this short video that Biden recorded for his campaign.
00:41:58.300It's on Twitter and I'd link to it today.
00:42:00.080And it's it's him saying, you know, Putin knows that when I become president, his days of tyranny and intimidating the U.S. and Eastern Europe are over.
00:42:18.820And, you know, look, every president, you know, every presidential candidate oversimplifies things on a campaign trail.
00:42:25.860But I think Biden is particularly guilty of making people think this was going to be easy, getting in there and not really knowing how he was going to achieve his goals.
00:42:34.740And it turns out Putin is not nearly as intimidated of Biden as Biden seemed to think he was going to be.
00:42:41.160And he does not have NATO is not as unified as they.
00:42:44.460I mean, the fact that the European countries wouldn't go along with these swift banking restrictions makes it sound like for the past three months, Biden has been saying swift and severe sanctions.
00:42:55.120When in the background, NATO is like, no, no, we're not doing this.
00:43:15.880But I want to talk about whether do we think Putin just made a veiled nuclear threat?
00:43:20.480And is that just utter nonsense, given the, you know, obviously consequence of that?
00:43:24.980And also the call by the Ukrainian leader and the president there now saying he needs everyone, everyone, anybody who has had any weapons training to grab a weapon and fight.
00:43:35.300And that sounds like it's getting more dire by the moment.
00:43:37.880We're going to pick it up right there.
00:43:39.140After a quick break, I want to tell the audience, update on President Biden.
00:43:41.600His scheduled remarks now pushed back to 1.30 p.m. Eastern time.
00:44:00.800Representative Michael McCall on the House Foreign Affairs Committee saying that we haven't seen anything like this since Hitler.
00:44:07.880Hitler invaded Poland in World War II.
00:44:09.600I just hope this is not the beginning of World War III.
00:44:14.340Similar responses from others across the aisle.
00:44:17.380Former Defense Secretary Leon Panetta saying what's at stake is whether we've learned the lessons from World War II that we cannot allow a tyrant to invade a sovereign democracy and get away with it.
00:44:26.140NATO Supreme Allied Commander Admiral James Stavridis coming out and saying this is the beginning of a significant campaign.
00:44:33.800If this isn't shock and awe, he says, I don't know what would be.
00:44:37.380We're on a rocket ride back to the 1930s.
00:44:40.240Putin will attempt to terrify the Ukrainian people.
00:44:45.980And when you look at what Putin himself said, it gets even scarier.
00:44:49.520He said, no one should have any doubts that a direct attack on our country will lead to the destruction and horrible consequences for any potential aggressor.
00:44:57.320To anyone who would consider interfering from the outside.
00:44:59.900If you do, you will face consequences greater than any you have faced in history.
00:45:05.480Some speculating that may be a dark threat reference to the use of nuclear weapons.
00:45:12.620But realistically, unless Putin's gone completely out of his mind, he knows that's not an option.
00:45:19.320I can give you a pessimistic take, an optimistic take, and then a bonus pessimistic take based on that statement.
00:45:24.960The first one is that, at least on paper, according to stated Russian military strategy, they don't see nuclear weapons as something that's like far and away separate from their use of their conventional military forces.
00:45:36.960They've always said that they see that as just another military tool and that they will not hesitate to use them in the, you know, in the execution of their objectives.
00:45:45.820Now, that may be, you know, that sounds like saber rat.
00:45:48.140Like nobody likes to talk about, oh, we're just going to use nuclear weapons willy nilly.
00:45:51.080But for what it's worth, it's not like they would say, oh, this is, you know, something we've never done.
00:45:55.180We have a no first strike policy or anything like that.
00:45:58.380The optimistic take I can give you is that even if you think Putin is now losing his marbles and apparently has spent the better part of the past two years in remarkable isolation, which is, you know, and I think a couple other leaders, like the leader of Finland who said they met him, seemed like his personality had changed.
00:46:14.840That he had become angrier, more erratic, you know, this is not great news to if you're nothing about that is reassuring.
00:46:22.900That said, if you want to take Ukraine, you don't want to take a radioactive wasteland, which is one of the reasons I wouldn't send my troops through the Chernobyl zone.
00:46:30.680But by and large, if you, you know, if you're, if you're using a nuclear weapon on a target, you're basically making it unworkable.
00:46:39.180And the last thing that kind of comes to mind is just the requisition.
00:46:50.840One of my visits over there, I interviewed him at Kaliningrad, which is the site of the nuclear weapons arsenal.
00:46:55.940And the thought of something from that site being used on these innocent Ukrainians, on those of us who may step in to help in some way, again, not boots on the ground, but in some way militarily or otherwise.
00:49:00.420And whether it was the effort in Georgia or the effort in Crimea or the expansion of the warm water port in the Mediterranean, each of these is a step along to way what he sees as rectifying this historic embarrassment, the destruction of the Soviet Union.
00:49:16.320Sadly, the people of those places, those former satellite countries don't want to be anything to do with Russian leadership.
00:49:22.560And thus, you see the conflict today in Ukraine, the Ukrainian people standing, fighting valiantly, trying to remain separate and apart from this thug and this autocrat.
00:51:12.600Don't forget, Ukraine has a significant piece of the global wheat supply.
00:51:16.800These are these are economic things that if he's able to get control and obtain the capacity to tax and regulate this place, will have real benefits to him.
00:52:01.200I mean, just hypothetically, I realize we're not there yet, but could he could he start go collecting those?
00:52:05.480I mean, what do you think it would take to get America involved militarily in a serious way?
00:52:11.200Because we cannot we cannot have a Hitler.
00:52:13.640I mean, we cannot have a madman in Europe running around conquering other countries that have done nothing to it.
00:52:19.900I hope this moment will be the one that convinces American leadership and NATO and the European countries that this is serious business that they need to get about doing what we asked them to do in 2017 and 18, which was to spend some money.
00:52:35.000You all are spending less than two percent of your GDP to defend your own nation.
00:52:37.980And it seemed like a long ways away, I suspect, if you were German or French or you were sitting on the Atlantic and not on the eastern edge of freedom's frontier.
00:52:46.940I hope this will create the resolve necessary.
00:53:20.760It's not about meetings at the UN or NATO meetings.
00:53:23.660This is about real deeds that will put pressure on his regime and convince him that it's just too costly to do what it is he's intending to do.
00:53:51.500But the sanctions he's put in place today have told him this is just this is just a small step along the way towards your ultimate success.
00:53:58.480I promise you, Vladimir Putin sees the sanctions that Biden announced yesterday and says, oh, they don't care about this.
00:54:07.140A third idea would be to announce today that we're going to start supporting the world's largest energy exporter, the United States of America.
00:54:14.020We are going to flood global markets with American crude oil and American natural gas, cutting in half, maybe by two thirds the price of gasoline and the price of crude oil, refined products and natural gas.
00:54:27.140This is a John McCain joked about it being a gas station.
00:54:29.860And if we cut off his revenue stream, the profitability of Russian energy, this will deal an enormous blow to the people of Russia.
00:54:37.660And then ultimately, I hope that they will put the pressure on Vladimir Putin that we ultimately the list is long.
00:54:56.880Yeah, you you made a point in a tweet or an article that you wrote recently saying that what the Biden administration did with Putin's finances is we basically put his economy on super warp by allowing the Nord Stream to like we we've said, yes, great.
00:55:16.180And without asking, wait, what does Putin do when he's feeling powerful?
00:55:19.820What does Putin do when he's controlling oil markets and knows he's got this spigot of money coming in?
00:55:27.020Megan, today is not the day for politics, but when you put climate change at the top of your foreign policy agenda, right, when the first person to go meet Vladimir Putin from the Biden administration is not Secretary Blinken or the president, but Secretary Kerry, when you put that at the top of the list, the bad guys just smile.
00:55:44.540They shake your hand and say, you bet we'll work on carbon right alongside you.
00:55:48.280And then they proceed to pollute and invade.
00:55:52.120What do you think the number one thing Trump would do if you were president would be?
00:55:55.000I think he would have done a lot more to prevent this in the first instance.
00:55:59.920I get asked all the time, would this have happened?
00:56:59.800I know you've been honest about the fact that President Trump really wanted you to take a look at that.
00:57:04.700And how do we drive a wedge in between those two as opposed to create circumstances where they're embracing one another and that it was a lot harder than it looked.
00:57:13.120So can you give us some perspective on the risks that we're looking at here and and whether it's still possible to sort of pull a Nixon and like divide the two of them by giving one of them what they want?
00:57:47.220Saving lives, demonstrating that working with the West provided a more secure country for you with the kinds of things that we were working on.
00:57:53.920It was difficult to do, Megan, to be honest with you.
00:58:26.840You know, if you don't acknowledge your enemy's assets, their capabilities, you'll you'll call them the JV and you'll end up getting your head cut off.
00:58:34.700That's what President Obama did to ISIS.
00:58:36.840We had to come in and solve that problem for him and for America as well.
00:58:41.600Look, Putin can can understand American power.
00:58:45.400But what we ought to do is find a place where his look to the West is desire to say, can I really find a way to find a relationship with the West that works for me was something that we were intent upon seeking common course, common.
00:59:22.920But if it is convenient for the moment to work alongside the Chinese Communist Party, they they do share a desire to expand their their hegemon, their space.
00:59:33.980And they also share a deep understanding that human life doesn't matter.
00:59:37.560They in that sense, Xi and Putin are cousins.
00:59:40.440We do our best to create space as between them and do our do our best to make sure that we have that resources and assets and singular focus on the Chinese Communist Party that the next 50 years are going to demand.
00:59:54.260How I mean, how likely is it that we do see action by China with respect to Taiwan now?
01:00:03.500I've been worried about it for a long time.
01:00:06.300Xi also is someone who seizes moments of opportunity.
01:00:09.940He might well see this as a moment of opportunity as well.
01:00:13.360He's already put an enormous amount of pressure on Taiwan.
01:00:15.780I'm actually going to travel there a week from now to demonstrate American support for the people of Taiwan and to talk with their leadership about the things they can do to defend themselves.
01:00:26.840We have to wonder whether Xi Jinping might not say if America is not prepared to lead, if they're not prepared to build out alliances with Australia, with South Korea, with Japan, with India, with all of our our economic partners in the region, then maybe I just can get a green light.
01:00:44.580And maybe I, too, could do something like what Putin is doing today in Ukraine, in Taiwan, and the world will simply shrug its shoulders.
01:00:51.280That'd be really bad for the United States of America to go on about the reasons.
01:00:56.740But we should start with the very semiconductors that people are listening to your podcast on were most certainly made in either South Korea or Taiwan.
01:01:05.380We need to do our level best to make sure we continue to be able to defend our national security and not depend on high-end technology that comes from a place that would be under the control of Xi Jinping.
01:01:16.580Well, and isn't this one of the proposals with respect to Putin to take away his ability to access those semiconductors and lean on technology firms and other countries providing him to not do so?
01:01:27.740Because, I mean, that would certainly undermine his abilities militarily and otherwise.
01:02:28.260We are on the cusp, it appears, of signing a piece of paper that will prove worthless in making sure that Iran doesn't end up with a nuclear weapon.
01:02:36.800And we worked really hard and made progress at denying them the wealth and resources they need to build out a nuclear weapons program.
01:02:44.340It looks like we're about to hand them five, seven, ten billion dollars with which to conduct terror campaigns around the world.
01:02:50.880And this axis of partners from Russia to China to Iran and North Korea is real in their disdain for the West.
01:02:58.780It is real in their belief that America and the West are in decline and to see to see Putin make this kind of advance without real cost imposed on him does run the risk of a series, a cascading series of problems to protect American interests.
01:03:12.880And that they'll come out and they'll celebrate that document and tell us that it's made America more safe and that Iran is abandoning its hopes for a nuclear weapon.
01:03:20.060And it will be just as true as it's ever been, which is not at all, right?
01:03:59.040The use of our Intelligence Committee or special forces to go into Ukraine and provide more hand-to-hand support.
01:04:06.760We have real capabilities and we need to impose real costs on Vladimir Putin.
01:04:11.020I have to be a little careful making about the things I speak about, but make no mistake about it.
01:04:17.380We should provide weapon systems to the resistance inside of Ukraine.
01:04:22.020If it turns out that Zelenskyy has to flee the country and set up a government somewhere else in Poland or someplace else in Europe, we should support that government.
01:04:30.100We shouldn't recognize whatever scumbag Vladimir Putin puts and installs in Kiev.
01:04:35.160We should make sure that that government is under pressure every day and always we know how to do these things.
01:04:41.400And so, yes, all the tools that America has in its kit bag ought to be used to impose real costs, real costs on the person who was the aggressor and who's already killed Ukrainians.
01:04:52.060I have a friend there named Father Oleg who's in Ukraine.
01:04:56.220He's in the Orthodox Church, the Ukrainian Orthodox Church.
01:05:08.260We ought to provide them the tools, assistance, intelligence that they need to continue this resistance as long as Vladimir Putin has wrongly taken over that country.
01:05:17.620There's a call now from the army in Ukraine calling on reservists and anyone who can hold a weapon, anyone who can hold a weapon to attack.
01:05:28.380I mean, realistically, what's going to happen here?
01:06:02.260But it could well be the case that the Russians, in a matter of days, might well come to have at least cut off significant pieces of the Ukrainians' military capacity to reinforce the capital city.
01:06:18.740I got to ask you, because the Supreme Allied Commander, Admiral James Javridis, he came out and said, we are fully activating NATO response forces, 30,000 troops.
01:06:29.600We're going to flood them forward to the borders of the alliance.
01:06:32.600He says, if you are waking up in Europe this morning, you want to be in NATO.
01:07:10.120You will have NATO countries that want to do less and others who are demanding that they do more.
01:07:14.760I hope that he can bring them together.
01:07:16.780I think it makes excellent sense to move those NATO forces forward, to move them to the Baltic states.
01:07:21.520The next most likely target for Vladimir would be to go into Estonia or Latvia or Lithuania.
01:07:27.780So I think the statement he made is a good one.
01:07:31.240The next thing we would need to see is that not only are they moving those forces to the right places to protect and defend NATO,
01:07:37.240but they are providing them with the tools that they need, all the support to maintain that.
01:07:41.340So they're not just putting them there for a week or an hour or a month, but they are making clear to Vladimir Putin that we understand that he has a long term plan and that the West,
01:07:49.980those of us who are civilized and decent and don't conduct wars of aggression, that we have a long term plan as well.
01:07:55.300It's unbelievable to think about these innocent Ukrainians just sitting there trying to grab guns.
01:08:01.060And if they happen to defend themselves over what, what did they do?
01:08:13.440And that's what he's doing and trying to recapture them as in an attempt to reclaim some sort of Soviet glory, which may exist only in his own mind.
01:08:22.840Meanwhile, his chief sort of press officer slash chief of staff, Dmitry Peskov, is out there saying Ukraine needs to be freed of Nazis.
01:08:34.300That's the kind of propaganda they're offering to the Russian people who, according to the reports, are either totally in favor of Vladimir Putin or concerned because they got a lot of relatives in Ukraine and they don't see it as an enemy.
01:08:46.040They don't see it as something to be conquered.
01:08:48.860I'll give you the last word as we await President Biden on what the American people should be going to bed thinking about tonight.
01:08:54.820Megan, that my final thought is along those same lines, I'm praying for the Ukrainian people, the women, the children, those that are fighting against this Russian aggression.
01:09:04.300I pray that they are successful and that we get a good outcome.
01:09:08.580I also pray for resolve from America's leaders.
01:09:11.160I want America's leadership to be successful.
01:09:13.240If we can get back on our front foot, if we can begin to truly impose costs so that Vladimir Putin has to see them and feel them and the people of Russia can feel them and the leaders around him can feel it, then we have a chance of turning the tide.
01:09:24.800If not, I fear that we're in for an awfully long struggle.
01:09:29.200Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, always a pleasure.
01:10:46.460So at the moment when already for more than 16 hours almost, the Ukrainian army is really trying to deter this incredible, formidable force, you know, which we couldn't even imagine in any other conflict of our generation.
01:11:02.660That's what Ukraine face if there are any, you know, emergency things which could be done by the West.
01:11:09.640If we speak about this SWIFT thing or imposing no-flight zone, of course, that feels like that's something which still could be done.
01:11:21.160And yet most of the analysts over here who know what they're talking about say that's not going to happen, that the United States and that its European allies would not be prepared to go that far.
01:11:33.640That would be, you know, what should I say?
01:11:36.500I was, again, I was asked for a lot of time today by the Western colleagues, what should we do?
01:11:42.540And we are saying, but also, as we understand, for a long time, Ukraine was kind of warned on there would be some imminent attack.
01:11:50.860So there was some hope that, you know, the plans should be in place.
01:11:55.280Because as we understand, there was no any will of Ukrainian state to fight this war.
01:12:02.960The Ukrainian president was addressing the Russian citizens, by the way, he does it still.
01:12:08.020So in this way, if not, we have two options, you know, they're going together.
01:12:13.800But indeed, I want to add that despite everything, for all these hours, many hours, there are the fighting going on all over the country by the regular Ukrainian armed forces in order to deter, you know, the Russian troops, which are coming all over.
01:12:31.800You know, there are 2,000 kilometers long border with Russia.
01:12:37.540There are the platoons deployed in the south, in the east, in the west.
01:12:42.280But of course, what we understood that almost all major towns were in that way hit, not really civilians areas, but there are civilian casualties.
01:12:52.240But as we understand, Russia kind of as a former Soviet state, Ukraine is also a former Soviet state, knows kind of the maps where the military objects, warehouses, you know, airfields, or, you know, even like military units.
01:13:09.400So that's where they target. And I also should say that quite a lot of like Westerners were skepticism, whether Ukraine could stand even for a couple of hours.
01:13:19.260So I do think at this moment we're coming to the night here that would be, you know, we're splitting, spilling to the second day.
01:13:25.480But I do think that, you know, like Ukraine is buying this time still to deter, still to protect its population.
01:13:33.600Hmm. What tell us what you're hearing with respect to your relatives in Ukraine and their experience of airstrikes or seeking shelter or friends that you've talked to.
01:13:44.140So, you know, as I just said, people should imagine in the U.S. that Ukraine is as large as France.
01:13:51.040You know, it's populated. We're living in the megapolisis.
01:13:54.840It's not that easy to overtake a megapolisis, even like with, you know, troops which which are deployed.
01:14:00.960However, it's it's possible to, you know, damage and hurt.
01:14:06.900We lived for many years, especially in the you know, most of the Ukraine, apart from the where conflict was fought in a quite a usual Western way, in that way that your audience lives today.
01:14:18.060So for everybody, it's shock. You know, despite the war is there, despite of the warning, you still couldn't imagine that scale of the attack because it's it's really unthinkable from the human point of view, from the historical point of view.
01:14:30.960I may be kind of moving a bit from the personal moment, but I really want to say that, like following all the other wars, it's way bigger.
01:14:39.760You know, it's way which we had in our generation. So the people thought they could, you know, go to the west of the country.
01:14:47.120There are, you know, welcome by their relatives, by friends. But, you know, there were not just really traffic jams at the moment when it was really clear that Russia is targeting, you know, like not just capital, which they probably want to want to overtake.
01:15:04.340Would it be safe to travel? Of course, Ukrainian rail will works. Airlines, of course, not. But the railway works. The roads are there.
01:15:12.460So people thought, like, should we just wait for these days to be safe?
01:15:17.600And in this regard, also, people, they're not calm, they're afraid, but they keep some dignity in how do they respond.
01:15:28.180They, you know, everybody who is active trying to do something, you know, active.
01:15:32.660And of course, people try to care about their kids, elderly, you know, parents.
01:15:38.200So they were asked to stay at home, maybe go to shelters, you know, under the houses, in the basements of the houses.
01:15:48.260So that's where we are. But the electricity, the water or like mobile connection, it still works.
01:15:55.620It's also not the miracle. It's also like the part of the, you know, state is trying to, you know, to make it possible.
01:16:02.660Yeah, that's right, because that would ensure real panic if the electricity went out and the ability to get water and so on went out.
01:16:10.000The I understand your husband, you're a war correspondent, so you've been through something like this before.
01:16:14.800Your husband, I'm told you had a little talk with him about not not going on the balcony and how to protect oneself.
01:16:22.760I'm told he took a trip this morning to get to get something that would keep keep you guys safe.
01:16:28.160Yeah, we are both journalists. And so for us, it's, you know, how to say it, we I can't say easy, but I think that's this sense of purpose is there because I think I would be really mad, you know, like just to be there and read the news.
01:16:44.860We still, you know, figure out what is the most important.
01:16:49.860My husband is Russian. He works for independent Russian media.
01:16:53.860And, you know, it's also quite a important work to convey the message for the Russian citizens, which also so for the whole day we are kind of we receiving, you know, this request for forgiveness and for, you know, how ashamed a lot of people in Russia feels.
01:17:14.420But Ukrainian president who was who is actually a very famous actor and persona well known across Russia, he addressed the Russian citizens and Russians, the Russian residents yesterday in Russia, you know, like do something.
01:17:30.420He's still in his meetings, which which has like almost every hour he speaks.
01:17:35.000He tried to say, like, go to the streets. But no, it's you know, it's hardly possible if you speak about Russia.
01:17:39.420Hmm. He his message, unlike the bizarre rant we got from Vladimir Putin about how Ukraine's basically part of Russia and always has been.
01:17:49.180And if you want to throw down, then he's going to throw down. He's I mean, it's just he went on.
01:17:53.380But Zelensky's message was very different to the American people.
01:17:56.540Sorry, to the Ukrainian people saying, I want to address all citizens of Russia.
01:17:59.780We are separated by more than 2000 kilometers of mutual borders, along which 200000 of your soldiers and 100 and 1000 armored vehicles are standing.
01:18:09.840Your leadership has approved their step forward onto the territory of another country.
01:18:13.820The step could become the beginning of a big war.
01:18:16.660This could cause at any moment, any provocation, a spark, a spark that could burn everything down.
01:18:22.420You're told this flame will liberate the people of Ukraine, but the Ukrainian people are free.
01:18:26.780You are told we hate Russian culture. How can one hate a culture?
01:18:30.840Neighbors always enrich each other culturally.
01:18:33.420However, that doesn't make them a single whole. It doesn't dissolve us into you.
01:18:37.080We're different. But that's not a reason to be enemies.
01:18:39.920He says, listen to the voice of reason. The people of Ukraine want peace.
01:18:43.600The authorities in Ukraine want peace and they're doing everything they can for it.
01:18:48.440We don't need war, but we will defend ourselves.
01:18:51.160We won't attack, but defend ourselves. By attacking, you will see our faces, not our backs, our faces.
01:18:58.720Oh, the problem is the Russian people won't hear that, will they, Natalia? They won't see it.
01:19:05.760So, and he said that probably they won't, but there are the reasonable people who would.
01:19:10.280But again, it may be sounded unavoidable and, you know, not something you can move.
01:19:16.060But I do think this address is also have a very more strong moral, has very strong moral stance for the world.
01:19:25.420Understanding that indeed this conflict is absolutely black and white and there is no any reason to attack Ukraine.
01:19:32.120There is no real pretext. There is this madness of Vladimir Putin and also being in touch.
01:19:38.340I'm working with the topic for so many years.
01:19:40.860So I even talked to some people who some time ago were close to the Russian government.
01:19:46.220They are not there and they feel the shame.
01:19:48.700And they say, I said, like, what is the reason?
01:19:50.620And they said, like, he's crazy. We can't say he just hate Ukraine with the reason because it's different, because it's democratic.
01:19:56.620It's exactly what he doesn't want Russia to be.
01:19:59.800And there is this huge country just nearby, which showed that pluralism is possible, where democracy is possible.
01:20:06.840And this also strange, you know, that's also very difficult to add because we hoped, and I think a lot of people hope,
01:20:16.000that there are those pragmatists in the Kremlin who would say, OK, this ruins economy.
01:20:21.100This would ruin, you know, everything we have, the peace we have in the globe.
01:20:25.520But we see that such decisions are driven by the people who just, you know, hate the other people.
01:20:33.460But honestly, it's very odd for me to say that.
01:20:37.360And I talk to you talking to a lot of people now.
01:20:40.880You know, the only thing it feels sometimes that the only thing which in fact works,
01:20:44.840these are those javelins, which the anti-air defense missiles, which were, you know, given to Ukraine,
01:20:52.080because we see that, you know, though Ukraine is a smaller army, but it, as I said earlier,
01:20:58.780it deters to as long as possible the Russian army.
01:21:05.200And the Ukrainians' idea is to really to show that it's not, it should be unconquerable for Russia.
01:21:13.800It should be the case when they can't occupy it.
01:21:18.100But of course, the life should be changed.
01:21:21.260It should be saved before we get to that stage.
01:21:24.980What, I mean, you know the Ukrainian people.
01:21:27.140What would happen if Vladimir Putin exercise, if he gains control over Ukraine and not just the military sites,
01:21:35.440but over Ukraine and installs a new president, somebody who's loyal to him,
01:21:41.160what will, how will the Ukrainian people react?
01:21:44.480So, first of all, you know, Ukrainians as ever, society is diverse.
01:21:49.460And a couple of months ago, I would say there would be ugly political battles
01:21:52.780and Russia always wants to divide and conquer.
01:21:56.660The country is absolutely united at the moment.
01:24:09.840What I understand in different towns, you know, there are less people on the street.
01:24:15.680There was imposed curfew for the first time in our history, honestly.
01:24:21.580And, you know, it's a difficult decision.
01:24:24.040I don't think that any country also of this size would be ready to prepare for something like that when all of its territory is attacked by, you know, by a mighty force.
01:24:36.820You know, like you can't have that many basements.
01:24:59.220But I should say, being afraid, being scared of what we're living through, it doesn't mean people panic because, you know, it gives some hope.
01:25:10.620You know, there is some stoicism in what is going on.
01:25:14.120There is, I should tell the audience that we're two minutes now from hearing from President Joe Biden.
01:25:19.420We've been given the two-minute warning before our president speaks to the latest response to what's happening in Ukraine.
01:25:25.280There's an article in the National Review over here, a popular right-leaning publication written by a former Marine, Mark Antonio Wright, who had the following thoughts.
01:25:36.980And by God, that's more important than the price that Americans will pay at the pump.
01:26:03.240There are more important things than our pocketbooks.
01:26:05.360Pray for all the young men at the front, young men who will soon face the fury of modern mechanized combat, young men with families and loved ones at home, young men who only wish to defend their country and, if possible, make it home alive.
01:26:20.280And pray for all the civilians who will, over the next days and weeks, get caught in the crossfire.
01:26:25.500To the Kremlin, they are not people or even names or numbers.
01:26:28.960Shame on us if we treat them that way.
01:26:30.700Vladimir Putin has unleashed this horror, but he won't be the one to pay its most tragic price.
01:26:39.380Our thoughts are with you and your countrymen today.
01:26:53.920Vladimir Putin has been planning this for months, as we've been saying all along.
01:26:58.560He moved more than 175,000 troops, military equipment and positions along the Ukrainian border.
01:27:06.160He moved blood supplies into position and built a field hospital, which tells you all you need to know about his intentions all along.
01:27:14.900He rejected every good faith effort the United States and our allies and partners made to address our mutual security concerns through dialogue, to avoid needless conflict and avert human suffering.
01:27:28.000For weeks, for weeks, we have been warning that this would happen.
01:27:33.500And now, it's unfolding largely as we predicted.
01:27:36.680In the past week, we've seen shelling increase in the Donbass, a region in eastern Ukraine controlled by Russian-backed separatists.
01:27:46.000The Russian government has perpetrated cyberattacks against Ukraine.
01:27:51.740We saw a staged political theater in Moscow, outlandish and baseless claims that Ukraine was about to invade and launch a war against Russia.
01:28:03.520We saw a flagrant violation of international law in attempting to unilaterally create two new so-called republics on sovereign Ukrainian territory.
01:28:22.920And at the very moment that the United Nations Security Council was meeting to stand up for Ukraine's sovereignty, to stave off invasion, Putin declared his war.
01:28:35.120Within moments, moments, missile strikes began to fall on historic cities across Ukraine.
01:28:41.580Then came the air raids, followed by tanks and troops rolling in.
01:28:45.960We've been transparent with the world.
01:28:49.780We've shared declassified evidence about Russia's plans and cyberattacks and false pretexts so that there could be no confusion or cover-up about what Putin was doing.
01:29:06.040And now, he and his country will bear the consequences.
01:29:08.740Today, I'm authorizing additional strong sanctions and new limitations on what can be exported to Russia.
01:29:17.960This is going to impose severe costs on the Russian economy, both immediately and over time.
01:29:23.900We have purposely designed these sanctions to maximize the long-term impact on Russia and to minimize the impact on the United States and our allies.
01:29:35.260The United States is not doing this alone.
01:29:37.680For months, we've been building a coalition of partners representing well more than half the global economy.
01:29:46.080Twenty-seven members of the European Union, including France, Germany, Italy, as well as the United Kingdom, Canada, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, and many others, to amplify the joint impact of our response.
01:29:58.640I just spoke with the G7 leaders this morning, and we're in full and total agreement.
01:30:03.700We will limit Russia's ability to do business in dollars, euros, pounds, and yen to be part of the global economy.
01:30:15.380We're going to stunt the ability to finance and grow the Russian military.
01:30:20.300We're going to impose major, and we're going to impair their ability to compete in high-tech 21st-century economy.
01:30:28.100We've already seen the impact of our actions on Russia's currency and the ruble, which early today hit its weakest level ever, ever in history.
01:30:41.300The Russian government's borrowing rates spiked by over 15%.
01:30:45.980In today's actions, we've now sanctioned Russian banks that together hold around $1 trillion in assets.
01:30:54.500We've cut off Russia's largest bank, a bank that holds more than one-third of Russia's banking assets by itself, cut it off from the U.S. financial system.
01:31:03.920And today, we're also blocking four more major banks.
01:31:08.660That means every asset they have in America will be frozen.
01:31:13.080This includes VTB, the second-largest bank in Russia, which has $250 billion in assets.
01:31:21.740As promised, we're also adding the names to the list of Russian elites and their family members that were sanctioned as well.
01:31:30.200As I said on Tuesday, these are people who personally gained from the Kremlin's policies, and they should share in the pain.
01:31:38.760We will keep up this drumbeat of those designations against corrupt billionaires in the days ahead.
01:31:45.980On Tuesday, we stopped the Russian government from raising money from U.S. or European investors.
01:31:51.880Now, we're going to apply the same restrictions to Russia's largest state-owned enterprises, companies with assets that exceed $1.4 trillion.
01:32:02.840Some of the most powerful impacts our actions will come over time, as we squeeze Russia's access to finances and technology, for strategic sectors of its economy, and degrade its industrial capacity for years to come.
01:32:16.380Between our actions and those of our allies and partners, we estimate that we'll cut off more than half of Russia's high-tech imports.
01:32:25.000It will strike a blow to their ability to continue to modernize their military.
01:32:29.860It will degrade their aerospace industry, including their space program.
01:32:34.500It will hurt their ability to build ships, reducing their ability to compete economically.
01:32:39.000And it will be a major hit to Putin's long-term strategic ambitions.
01:32:57.880We'll be there to bring together the leaders of 30 allied nations and close partners to affirm our solidarity.
01:33:06.060And to map out the next steps we will take to further strengthen all aspects of our NATO alliance.
01:33:13.580Although we provided over $650 million in defensive assistance to Ukraine just this year, it's last year, let me say it again.
01:33:23.520Our forces are not and will not be engaged in a conflict with Russia in Ukraine.
01:33:29.220Our forces are not going to Europe to fight in Ukraine, but to defend our NATO allies and reassure those allies in the East.
01:33:38.740As I made crystal clear, the United States will defend every inch of NATO territory with the full force of American power.
01:33:45.900And the good news is, NATO is more united and more determined than ever.
01:33:52.860There is no doubt, no doubt that the United States and every NATO ally will meet our Article 5 commitments, which says an attack on one is an attack on all.
01:34:03.580Over the past few weeks, I ordered thousands of additional forces to Germany and Poland as part of our commitment to NATO.
01:34:10.120On Tuesday, in response to Russia's aggressive action, including its troop presence in Belarus and the Black Sea, I've authorized the deployment of ground and air forces already stationed in Europe to NATO's eastern flank allies, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania.
01:34:27.860Our allies have also been stepping up, adding the other allies, the rest of NATO, adding their own forces and capabilities to ensure collective defense.
01:34:39.960And today, within hours of Russia's unleashing its assault, NATO came together and authorized and activated an activation of response plans.
01:34:49.040This will enable NATO's high readiness forces to deploy and when and where they are needed to protect our NATO allies on the eastern boundaries of Europe.
01:35:00.540And now I'm authorizing additional U.S. force capabilities to deploy to Germany as part of NATO's response, including some of the U.S.-based forces that the Department of Defense placed on standby weeks ago.
01:35:12.860I've also spoken with Defense Secretary Austin and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, General Milley, about preparations for additional moves should they become necessary to protect our NATO allies and support the greatest military alliance in the history of the world, NATO.
01:35:28.820That's going to do it for our two hours today. We'll have everything covered for you again tomorrow.
01:35:33.040So far, what we're hearing is more sanctions, military to some NATO countries, but no boots or military assistance in Ukraine, as expected.
01:35:44.880This from Dan Crenshaw as we close out the show.
01:35:47.160Ukrainian government giving weapons to anyone who wants to fight. Good. Get some.
01:35:52.160May God be with you as you fight for your freedom. We'll see you tomorrow.
01:35:58.200Thanks for listening to The Megyn Kelly Show. No BS, no agenda and no fear.