Trump's Compelling VP Pick of J.D. Vance, and Biden Refuses to Lower the Temperature, with Charlie Kirk, Hogan Gidley, and David Plouffe | Ep. 839
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 41 minutes
Words per minute
187.36455
Harmful content
Misogyny
19
sentences flagged
Hate speech
14
sentences flagged
Summary
J.D. Vance grew up in Appalachia, dealing with family turmoil, poverty, societal decay, and family addiction, and eventually his path to a better life. He writes that at various points, his family threatened to cut off his ear, stabbed and shot random transgressors.
Transcript
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Welcome to The Megyn Kelly Show, live on Sirius XM channel 111 every weekday at noon east.
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Hey everyone, I'm Megyn Kelly. Welcome to The Megyn Kelly Show. 48 hours after nearly being
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assassinated, Donald Trump shows up at the RNC in Milwaukee with a bandage on his ear and a defiant
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smile on his face. It was a huge day for the GOP as Mr. Trump announced Ohio Senator J.D. Vance as
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his running mate, ignoring the DEI urges within his own party to go with a woman or a minority.
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In a minute, I'm going to be joined by Turning Point's Charlie Kirk, who also spoke last night
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at the convention and was there for it all. I'm very excited to speak with him. But first,
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take a look at Mr. Trump's entrance last night, coming out like he was a UFC fighting champ.
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And I had to start again, just my children and my life. My purpose, and that is
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to elect Donald J. Trump as the next president of the United States.
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He is here tonight to show his courage, his defiance against somebody who tried to kill
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him. You will not take this man down. He has the courage, the strength, and he will be
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What a way to begin. There is so much news happening and we have a packed show.
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We're going to get into President Biden's interview last night with Lester Holt, where despite his
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own calls to lower the temperature during an Oval Office address to the nation, he did
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anything but. Even Lester was taken aback. But first, we have to talk about J.D. Vance.
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Now, I first met J.D. back in 2017, about a year after his book, Hillbilly Elegy, became
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a New York Times bestseller. The book dropped in the middle of the 2016 election cycle. It was
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J.D.'s personal story of growing up in Appalachia, dealing with grave family turmoil, poverty,
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societal decay, abuse, family addiction, and eventually his path to a better life.
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Though not explicitly a political book, it did help explain to coastal elites some of
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why Trump's message to the forgotten men and women of middle America, to working class Americans,
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helped propel him to victory. J.D. was quickly deemed the voice of the Rust Belt.
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He spent his earliest years in the backwoods of Jackson, Kentucky, a hillbilly born to
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a proud hillbilly family, as he says. He writes that at various points, his family threatened
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to cut off his ear, stabbed and shot random transgressors. You got to read the book and
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believed it was a sin punishable by grave bodily injury to insult someone's mother. When J.D.
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was still young, his family moved to Middletown, Ohio, a steel town north of Cincinnati, once
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booming but eventually a casualty of globalization. J.D. watched as the jobs dried up and the basketball
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courts grew covered with weeds. My home, he writes in Hillbilly Elegy, was a hub of misery.
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Vance's mother and father divorced when he was just a toddler, his father up and left,
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abandoning him. His mother, Beverly, was addicted to drugs, eventually heroin. She brought man after
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man into the home, some abusive to her in front of her young son. J.D.'s childhood was full of trauma
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like this, which I asked him about. Being sworn at, insulted, or humiliated by your parents.
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Sure. Check. Being pushed, grabbed, or having something thrown at you. Check. Having parents
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who were separated or divorced. Check. Living with an alcoholic or a drug user. Check. Living with
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someone who is depressed or attempted suicide. Check. Watching a loved one be physically abused.
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Check. Check. You're batting a thousand. Yeah. J.D.'s mother, angry with him once after a fight,
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apologized to her son, and then after the apology, put him in a car, began driving erratically,
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and threatened to crash and kill her terrified little boy. As she began accelerating, J.D. jumped out
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of the car and ran for help. This is in the book, and he told it to me as well. The police were called by
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a concerned neighbor, and 12-year-old J.D. watched as the authorities took his mother away.
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I remember I was just really sad and felt very lonely because I'm sitting in the back of this
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police cruiser. They've just arrested my mom. The relief of having survived another day was gone,
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and then I just wanted somebody to come and take me away, and that was actually Lindsay. That was who,
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sorry. Why does that particular moment bring tears?
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One, it's just such a crystal clear memory, and so it's hard almost not to feel the same way that
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I felt as a 12-year-old kid sitting in the back of that police cruiser. But I also think that that
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moment is kind of a microcosm of my entire life, is that there was this brief moment of terror
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into feeling really lonely, and then there was Lindsay. I would die for that kid,
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and I know he would too. Lindsay, J.D.'s sister. She's five years older than J.D., but at the time
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of that incident, she was only 17. It was after this that J.D. went to live with his strict,
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no-nonsense, gun-toting grandma, and we do mean gun-toting. She had 19 loaded guns all over her
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house. Known to the family as Mamaw, she was perhaps the most consequential in a series of
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strong women who saved J.D. from what could have been a dark path.
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Mamaw, when she died, I think the number is 19 handguns loaded that we found in her house at
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various places. She also wasn't afraid to threaten using it. Yeah, she said, look, you're going to
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come and stay with me, and if anybody has a problem with it, they can talk to my gun.
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Mamaw, who told J.D. never to believe, quote, these fucking losers who think the deck is stacked
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against them. You can do anything. It was so iconic that Ron Howard made her character the
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star of his movie based on J.D.'s book. She was played by Glenn Close.
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Jen, I never win. Well, if you don't like it, find some lame-ass loser to play with.
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You gotta take care of business. You gotta go to school. You gotta get good grades to even have a
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chance. Mom was the best in her class. What's the point? I'm talking about a chance. You might
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not make it, but you sure as hell won't if you don't try. Why do you even care what I do?
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Who's gonna take care of this family when I'm gone?
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It wasn't easy. There were many more ups and downs in his childhood, but J.D.'s grandparents,
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Mamaw, and his granddad, who lovingly called J.D. things like shithead,
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and taught him how to take and deliver a punch, drilled into this little boy the importance of
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good grades as a pathway to a better life. And eventually, J.D. found his way. He enlisted in
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the Marines. He served overseas in Iraq, where Mamaw and Lindsay wrote to him every day. He came home
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a more disciplined young man, slimmed down, motivated. He applied to and was accepted at
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Ohio State University, which he completed in two years, less than half the time expected,
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earning summa cum laude honors and completing a double major. And then the seemingly impossible
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admission into Yale Law School, one of the most competitive programs in the country.
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That is where he met his future wife, Usha, and another hugely influential woman in his life,
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his professor and my friend, Amy Chua, author of Battle Hymn of the Tiger Mother. Chua convinced
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J.D. to write down some of his incredible childhood stories in a memoir, and also to consider marrying
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Usha, whom she could see was very, very good for J.D. When I interviewed him in 2017, he had just
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returned from a post-law school stint in San Francisco, working for investor Peter Thiel,
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and was determined to do something locally now, back in his home area, to help his home community.
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I spent a fair amount of time with J.D. and Usha, just as she was about to have her first
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of three babies, and simultaneously head off to clerk for Chief Justice John Roberts. She's an
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overachiever, too. And I asked about whether politics might be in their future.
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I think someday, if the time is right, and if he really feels that that's the best way that he
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can contribute to his home, then I think that would be a great idea.
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Why do you get uncomfortable when that idea comes up?
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I just, I think that, you know, when people ask me if I want to run for office,
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part of me wonders, like, do they think I just give off a used car salesman vibe?
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Don't you think it's more born of hope that you could be a, you could be a real change agent?
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Yeah, no, I think that's the optimistic take on it. I'm very flattered when people ask me,
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and you never say never, but it's just not something that I think about doing right now.
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Never say never is right. Less than eight years later, he's in line to become potentially the
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next vice president of the United States and the Republican Party's future. The man who could
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carry on Trump's political legacy. His story is the definition of the American dream. It's
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inspirational. As with most stories like JD's, there are some realities to this path out of trauma
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that are not all rainbows and unicorns. And that led to what I think is the most poignant part
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of our time together. A discussion about how it's all affected him and his enduring bond with one of
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the women key to his survival of these traumas. His sister, Lindsay. Do you think he's dealt with
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this stuff? I think that he thinks that he has. I think that this book, writing it was a very good
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step. When I finished the book, I felt a little worried about you. I wondered if you had really
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dealt with everything. That's interesting. And when I met with Lindsay, she wondered too.
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What do you think? That's a really good question. I've never been asked this. I think that the
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honest answer is that I probably haven't dealt with everything, but that that's part of growing up and
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living your life is you're constantly dealing with this stuff and you're constantly working through it.
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The book is not an effort to sort of finally work through all of these things that happened when
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I was a kid. It's the beginning of an effort that will probably take me for the rest of my life. And
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I'm okay with that. Wow. Yesterday, this was J.D. Vance on stage in Milwaukee, Wisconsin,
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as he accepted the nomination for vice president of the United States on the GOP ticket.
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Delegates and alternates, ladies and gentlemen, I am proud to announce that
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Senator J.D. Vance has the overwhelming support of this convention to be the next vice president of
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the United States. Wow. I'm not going to lie. That brought a tear to my eye. I have a very soft spot in
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my heart for this guy, 39 years old and the embodiment of the American dream.
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further. Text MK to 989898 now. Joining me now, Charlie Kirk, the founder and CEO of Turning Point
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USA. He's also the host of The Charlie Kirk Show and author of the brand new book,
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Right Wing Revolution, How to Beat the Woke and Save the West. Charlie, welcome back. I know you
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also spoke yesterday, but my God, J.D., I'm thrilled that he's the pick. How about you?
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I couldn't be happier. Thanks, Megan, for having me. I was pushing for this for quite some time. I was an
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early endorser of J.D.'s Senate primary when he was at one or two percent in the polls in Ohio,
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and nobody thought he had a chance, and he was up against the establishment and tens of millions
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of dollars, and that's a story worth telling as well. I was getting very emotional watching that
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video because J.D.'s a dear friend, and I hope your audience understands the more you get to know
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J.D. Vance, the more you're going to like him. His family is extraordinary. He is a good, smart man,
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and I put it in that order. He is a decent person of high integrity, wonderful family. He's in it for the
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right reasons. There are some really important similarities that J.D. Vance has with President
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Trump, such as being a class traitor. It's important to remember, Megan, that when that
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book came out, he was so celebrated by the left-wing elite. He was the keynote speaker at the Aspen Ideas
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Festival. He was on every major left-wing network of being celebrated as the guy who can explain why
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Donald Trump has such a big following. J.D. Vance, over a series of years, made a decision to forsake
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that type of popularity and to go into not just a career in politics, but to get into a pattern of
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advocacy that led him into politics. It is an extraordinary rise. You said it so perfectly, Megan,
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only in America, and only in America is it possible where a young man, and he's older than me, but he's
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relatively young in the modern political dynamic, can come from absolute poverty, be abused, raised by
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his grandmother, had all the odds stacked against him to become the nominee for vice president of the
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United States for the front-runner and former president. How did we get here? Well, I mean, we got
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here first and foremost through divine providence, and I'm sure we're going to talk about that over the
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last week, just the fact that this convention is still going on in its current form or fashion.
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But secondly, it's a testament to J.D. J.D. did not want this, Megan. I hope everyone understands in
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the audience, you know, almost everyone who was going for vice president had, like, war rooms, and
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they had, you know, lobbying campaigns, and they were going after this to try to buddy up to Trump for
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the last nine months or 10 months. When J.D.'s, his name was first floated to become Trump's vice
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president, potentially, in February and March, he's like, me? Like, what? He's like, yeah, I love Trump,
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but like, what? And this is a guy who didn't ask for it. He didn't plan for it. He's not full of that
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kind of naked political ambition that I find to be so disgusting and repulsive. Things just kind of come
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to him, and people see in him the best of the Trump movement, forgotten America, someone who lived
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that story and who will fight for those voters in Washington, D.C. You know, I said this before to
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our audience here, and I said this isn't like a said in a romantic way, but my time with him,
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and we were there for a few days, led me to believe that this is a beautiful man. He's a beautiful man,
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and I think that opening shows you what I mean. He's thoughtful, he's soulful, he's reflective,
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he's introspective, and I happen to love the fact that his good character, his survival was shaped by
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women. It was his mamaw who got him through this, this childhood and her strength. His sister,
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with whom he has such a loving and dear relationship to this day, loved Lindsay. And then I love the fact
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that it's Amy Chua at Yale Law School, who's like one of the only non-woke, amazing, like normal
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professors at Yale Law School who would help him take the next step. You know, that she saw in him,
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this is not just the next generation of lawyer. This is a special guy whose voice needs to be heard
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well beyond the Yale Law School campus and the campuses of white shoe law firms in America.
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She helped steer him, and she helped Usha, too, who had, you know, two federal clerkships,
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including, as I said, for the Supreme Court. So to me, that speaks so well of him, like that,
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the Republican Party, as you know, still gets demonized by the Democrats as like a bunch of
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just moronic, burly men, you know, toxic men who want to take away the rights to abortion.
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And like, yes, J.D. is pro-life, but that is a man who respects women and whose very character
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was shaped by strong women. Without a doubt. And I mean, it's important to understand that the men
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and J.D.'s life failed him. And who's who filled the void? As you went, you went through the list
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beautifully. And so look, and J.D. has a huge heart. He just he he radiates sincerity. And you
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know that because I mean, I'm around. Look, honestly, Megan, I'm gonna have to go through
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some sort of detox. I'm here at the RNC right now. And there are so many political creatures
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crawling around here. It's so disgusting. You know, it's always about it. No, I mean, honestly,
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it's like always about an angle. And I want something from you. And they just they just ooze
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that sort of stench of, you know, I'm trying to game the system with J.D. It's completely different.
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And it's not just me. I'm going to tell you a true story. So this is the middle of the Veep
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stakes. We have our people's convention in Detroit, Michigan, and we have nearly 10,000 people there.
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And I was like, hey, J.D., we're doing a straw poll for the vice presidency. If you want to try to make
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it, you know, I think you'll do very well because the audience likes you. It's like, yeah, you know,
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it's my 10 year wedding anniversary. He's like, that's a top priority for me. He said,
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but let me see what I can do. So he prioritizes the wedding anniversary and he texts like the day
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before. He's like, OK, I think I can make it on Sunday. I said, great. So my team calls me and
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they said, hey, J.D.'s coming. But he's driving himself from Columbus. It's like, what do you mean
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he's driving himself? This is a U.S. senator, Megan, with who might be the next vice president United
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States or the selection for VP, who literally got in a car early on Sunday morning, drove three and a
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half hours to Detroit by himself, staffed himself, was so warm to all of our staff, probably on almost
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no sleep, you know, took every picture, signed every every book that was asked of him, gave an
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amazing speech, got back in the car so he could be back at dinner in Columbus, Ohio. I mean, like
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that's that's so unheard of. I mean, there are people that come and speak at our events that are
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running for dog catcher and they come with an entourage and a posse that makes, you know, most
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rappers look as if they're understaffed. J.D. Vance is, you know, driving himself. And it's just
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like he's like, yeah, it's just like I'm a regular guy. He doesn't think of himself as if he's, you
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know, better than you or that he's part of some sort of, you know, high society class. And I think
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that he adds a dynamic and an element to the Trump ticket that will grow as time goes on. People are
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going to deepen their understanding of what the MAGA agenda really is. And also there is a youthful
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dynamic, which I am so pleased that the data is screaming at us right now. Please put somebody
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on the ticket under the age of 50. Please put somebody on the ticket under the age of 50. And
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now you have Biden, 81, Trump, 78, Kamala Harris, either 58 or 59, late 50s. And now J.D. Vance,
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39. I mean, that is a serious contrast who can really be a communicator to 35 year old voters
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who are struggling to buy a home and struggling to build a family. And so I think this was the
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best pick that Donald Trump could make. And more than anything else, he has a decent and a good
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person. And that is so hard to find in American politics. That's right. He when I interviewed him,
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it was seven years ago, he was 32. He was there. He wasn't even old enough to run for president at
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that point. And now here he is seven years later, you know, saying yes to potentially filling the
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most important role in the nation. God forbid something should happen to President Trump if
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this ticket wins. I do want to say Usha, an absolute star. And not only is she brilliant,
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I mean, truly brilliant. She went to Yale undergrad and then she went to Yale law school and she might
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have done a stint to Cambridge too. I can't remember. But, um, so she is a very successful
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lawyer in her own right. But when he talked about her, he talked about how she too was one of these
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strong women in his life who helped him in the next chapter. She helped him understand how to manage
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his emotions, how to find calm in the storm, how to not let anger dictate how he responds in any given
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moment. You know, he talked about how there was, um, if he has road rage and he wants to get out
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and settle it hillbilly style, you know, Usha was kind of like showing him in the beginning of their
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relationship, there was another way JD and was teaching him like conflict resolution in a
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relationship and to, to, to sever what had become as it does with a lot of people who grew up in a
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household, like he did almost an addiction to trauma, you know, like you need to recreate it
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probably. So you get a different result, but also because it gives you an adrenaline surge.
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You know, at first he talked about how, and he wrote in his book, how he was scared when he heard
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all the fighting going out on his house, his mother being abused and would cover his ears and cry when
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he was really little. And then he got to this point that's even more dangerous where he put his ear up
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against the door to hear it. And those scars needed to be addressed before he could have a healthy
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relationship with Usha. And so she helped him, you know, she's been helping him learn how to be,
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as they say, quote, in relationship in a healthy way. It's just, as I see this man stand out there
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last night, you know, slimmer, he looked great. I love the beard, um, just more together. He stepped
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in with his leadership role. I see the product of all these chapters of his life, which he's been very
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awake for and paying attention, you know, to where they're taking him and where his life could go.
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And I do believe he's on a journey of self-discovery that it would be an honor for the rest of us to
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watch unfold in its next chapter before the United States. This is, they don't come much better than
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this, Charlie. No, they don't. And there's so many similarities with Donald Trump and then so many
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differences. And so Donald Trump, of course, was born, uh, in a different life with a different
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upbringing. Right. And there, but in the same way, they're both class traitors and they both seem,
00:24:28.780
see the world very similarly. And I just think it's this hopeful Testament that you could still
00:24:34.180
make it in this country and that there still is a fighting chance. If you have at least one or two
00:24:40.240
people that are willing to pour into you, I guarantee you, Megan mama is going to get a
1.00
00:24:44.320
mention in the vice presidential acceptance. I guarantee it. I guarantee his book to her.
00:24:50.160
Yeah. We need more mama. The stories about her unbelievable. I remember talking to him,
00:24:54.420
he came on again and we talked, um, you know, on this show, but he, um, there's a story about how
00:25:00.480
the, the grandpa papa, he was boozing and staying out too late and not treating mama. Right. And let
00:25:09.780
me tell you, it's not a good idea. You should not treat mama poorly. And she said, if you do this again,
00:25:15.820
I'm going to kill you. And he came home that her husband drunk yet again, misbehaving. And she set
00:25:23.320
him on fire. Now this is not a recommendation, but he was okay. But this is just to underscore
00:25:31.220
mama was quite a woman. And this is JD's, you know, this is the person who made him tough,
1.00
00:25:38.500
but also loving, you know, weirdly. I mean, she was the most affectionate and kind to JD who I
00:25:45.020
mentioned. She was calling him shithead things like, but she absolutely adored this kid and would
00:25:50.160
not let him set a low bar for himself, you know, helped him get a library card, made sure that he
00:25:54.900
was getting access to the right books, you know, taught him morals like the poor don't steal from
00:25:59.580
the poor. That's the lowest form of low, um, taught him how to take a punch. She, because there is
0.87
00:26:04.800
in hillbilly culture a thing. And in other cultures, you know, you don't let certain things
00:26:08.640
happen. You have to fight. And he writes in the book about how he was afraid of it. And so she
00:26:13.040
punched him in the face because she's, and he was taken aback and she said, was that so bad? And he
00:26:18.560
said, actually, no. And she said, well, that's what it feels like. So you'll be okay. And the next day
00:26:22.840
he went to school and he stuck up for a kid who was being bullied and he punched the bully in the fit in
00:26:27.080
the gut. And that bully never bothered him or the other kid again. So it's like, it's kind of street
00:26:32.120
justice. And I know today people will be like, Oh, but it produces someone of extraordinary
00:26:37.960
character. And to me, it's exciting that he could be, you know, the vice president is an important
00:26:43.560
position in some ways, but it's more about him taking the baton from Trump next gen. You know,
00:26:49.040
Trump is term limited, obviously, if he wins again and we need somebody else to be the standard bearer
00:26:53.600
pretty soon. Yeah. And just honestly, let's, let's make sure we give credit to president Trump.
00:26:59.200
There was a aggressive lobbying campaign against JD Vance, the likes of which I could,
00:27:06.660
I could write a short book and I have text messages to prove it. Uh, cause I was pushing
00:27:11.400
for JD both privately and publicly. It's not a mystery. And I was using every ounce of political
00:27:18.060
capital I had with president Trump and the team, uh, to try to make the case for JD. And I'll tell you
00:27:24.620
some of the worst people as Tucker Carlson said in this entire American political system,
00:27:30.480
we're doing everything they could to prevent JD from becoming VP. Why? Well, because JD has a
00:27:37.760
contrarian, but I believe correct view on the Ukrainian conflict that we should not send hundreds
1.00
00:27:43.120
of billions of dollars unrestricted to a foreign nation. He's not a Johnny come lately.
0.93
00:27:47.900
No, he's not. And by the way, I think they're most angry that he's being proven right. And that
00:27:53.940
he has exposed them all as frauds and liars and that his whole perspective is let's stop the killing
00:27:59.980
and also are the homeland must be prioritized above foreign abstractions. But president Trump,
00:28:07.700
you know, he gets knocked a lot. And I think this last week has really been hopefully a clarifying
00:28:12.600
moment for people of the media has been lying to you about Donald Trump repeatedly. You know,
00:28:17.900
how many times have we heard, Oh, Donald Trump is a coward who can't stand up for himself. Okay.
00:28:21.380
He got shot. And the way he responded when he got shot was one of the most heroic, unbelievable,
00:28:26.180
uh, just moments in American history. We're always told that, Oh, Donald Trump is going to choose
00:28:31.840
people around him that just confirm him because, you know, he's, uh, he's not willing to stand up for
00:28:37.620
what he believes in. Wow. I mean, he basically said, look, I want to now create a multi-generational
00:28:46.360
movement that goes beyond me. That's a big deal, Megan. I mean, that's not a, that's not a light
00:28:52.680
decision. Think about it. He could have chose some of the other people in the running that were closer
00:28:57.280
to him in age that had no charisma that could raise a bunch of money. And that was, they were
00:29:02.700
interesting as watching paint dry, you know, exactly who I'm talking about, right? These,
00:29:06.980
these finalists, okay, that would have been the safe pick, but then honestly, there's no guarantee
00:29:13.160
that the movement, excuse me, that Donald Trump built would continue that it would survive what
00:29:19.680
Donald Trump did. And this is why they were howling and screaming these neoconservative neoliberals
00:29:26.200
that wing of the party that I just can't stand because now they know that all of a sudden there has
00:29:31.780
been a cementing of this worldview. And for someone who's 30 years old, who has been trying to make
00:29:38.260
sure that this change in the Republican party is permanent, not temporary. This is one of the biggest
00:29:44.000
deals imaginable. So credit to president Trump. He stood up to some very, very powerful people.
00:29:49.700
He, uh, understood it and, and saw the game 10, 20, 30 years, uh, down, down the path. And he picked an
00:29:58.280
extraordinary man. Um, and he trusted his instinct and he trusted his instinct. I don't know, it was a
00:30:05.040
month or two ago on the show. Cause all things for me relate back to Willy Wonka and the chocolate
00:30:08.740
factory, my favorite movie. And, uh, I was saying this pick for Trump could be like Willy Wonka needing
00:30:16.000
to go outside of the industry to find a child, not an adult who would want to do everything his own
00:30:22.300
way. Not that JD is a child, but I was making the point that like you could get somebody who you,
00:30:26.120
who, who would take the baton and continue the traditions as you've established them in this
00:30:29.900
very successful venture, or you could bring in somebody else who would want to do everything
00:30:34.100
their own way. And I think ultimately he chose somebody who would take the baton and continue the
00:30:39.000
MAGA tradition and the way that Trump has created it. And I think that was, that's exactly what the
00:30:44.340
party needed because I think the rest of the Republican party is going to, and already is
00:30:48.620
coming home to Trump as they did in 16. And I do think, you know, he should do something to keep a,
00:30:55.920
the movement alive, but also to win back some of the male slippage that he suffered in 20 versus 16.
00:31:03.940
He did not need to get a big boost with Hispanic men or black men. He's doing very well with those.
00:31:10.220
He does well with white men too, but there had been some slippage from 16 to 20. And for once
00:31:15.320
you had a leader who said, I see that. And I actually care. I care about white men.
0.63
00:31:19.720
I want them to feel invigorated and see the future. I'm not doing a diversity pick. I'm not doing a
00:31:24.980
woman because people tell me I have problems with suburban women. I'm doing what I think is right.
00:31:29.340
So credit to Trump. I've got to keep, you go with it, but I have so much else to get to.
00:31:33.340
I love it. The fact that you have to pick based on affirmative action criteria is stupid. And Trump
00:31:39.220
basically threw out the whole DEI worldview by saying no competence and merit over characteristics
00:31:45.260
that don't matter. Yes. Okay. So, um, already the media has got the knives out for JD and they're
00:31:52.620
thrilled, right? Because they were, they would have been terrified of one of these more establishment
00:31:55.580
picks, um, who they secretly, you know, would love instead of Trump. So with JD, they know what you
00:32:01.800
and I know they saw what we just discussed. They know his life story is extremely powerful and will
00:32:06.840
resonate with a lot of voters. So they're trying to make him into some demon, you know, scary
00:32:11.920
conservative, which he's really not. He's nationalist populist and he's conservative, but he's, I don't,
00:32:18.140
he's not like Ted Cruz conservative. Now there's anything wrong with Ted Cruz. Um, and already Joe
00:32:23.360
Biden's out, you know, the new and reformed Joe Biden, who's going to lower the temperature is out with
00:32:26.820
an ad about JD. And it happens to use a piece of my interview with JD Vance that we just excerpted
00:32:33.820
from back from when I was at NBC. Let me show you, it's just a six second clip. Here it is.
00:32:40.060
Absolutely. I've criticized a lot of Trump's rhetoric and I'm not a big fan of some of the
00:32:44.420
things that he said, but there were. Okay. I'm not a big fan of some of the things that he said.
00:32:49.800
First of all, the campaign tweeted out that what he actually said was, I'm not a big fan of his,
00:32:53.560
a big fan of Trump. That's not what he said. There is a distinction between I'm not his fan
00:32:59.640
and I'm not a big fan of one of some of the things that he has said. So just, just for clarity. But
00:33:04.200
secondly, take a look at the longer clip in this exchange between yours truly and JD.
00:33:09.960
Do you think that it explains why when the so-called coastal elites were getting very upset over the many
00:33:17.140
offenses that Trump caused some of the sexism, some of the foul mouth language that this was not
00:33:24.660
particularly shocking because a lot of these folks had grown up around that? Absolutely. I've criticized
00:33:30.180
a lot of Trump's rhetoric and I'm not a big fan of some of the things that he said, but there was
00:33:34.820
almost a sense where people were offended by Trump, not because of the substance of what he said, but
00:33:41.220
because of how he said it. Good society people should not talk in this way. And I just never
00:33:47.860
quite understood that, that criticism. Completely bastardized by the Biden campaign like that,
00:33:56.980
as are half of the things they're saying about him. However, having said that, Charlie, he was
00:34:01.300
critical of Trump in 2016 because virtually everybody was critical of Trump 2016. The media wants to
00:34:07.780
pretend there's no evolution on Trump from 16 to 24. I think that this was act and I, I, in my private
00:34:14.660
and public lobbying campaign for JD Vance, I decided to lean into the negative as one of the leads
00:34:20.100
because I, of course, going to come up. So I was talking to the president multiple times about this
00:34:24.340
and I said, Mr. President, everyone around you is going to say that JD said bad things about you.
00:34:28.500
I think that's exactly why you should select him. He said, well, what do you mean? I said, because
00:34:32.180
there's a lot of people in the country that have said negative things about you that have grown and
00:34:37.060
seen who you are and they want you as president again. And now you have a VP that can connect to
00:34:42.660
them and say, I was a skeptic. Now I'm a believer. I was someone that wasn't sure. And now I am a
00:34:47.860
committed devotee, not just someone in DC who always just has perfectly tailored talking points.
00:34:54.500
And so I thought this was actually a differentiator that was an olive branch to the part of the country
00:35:00.980
that might've said, Oh, I, who's this Trump guy? I don't get it. And all of a sudden they would look
00:35:04.340
and they'd say, wow, maybe all of my operating assumptions have been incorrect. Maybe I have
00:35:10.980
been focusing on the wrong things where Trump micro might bother me. Okay. Trump might say words
00:35:17.060
I don't like and tweet stuff, but Trump macro is the best president of our lifetime where we have
00:35:22.100
peace and prosperity and we have a border and we don't have men's and women's sports, all this stuff.
00:35:25.940
And I think JD Vance is, is a perfect person to be able to tackle that. Cause if we are being honest,
00:35:34.660
if we want to beat Joe Biden in November, I think that having a vice president who can kind of joke
00:35:40.740
and be like, Hey, how many in this audience have been Trump skeptics before Megan? I bet a lot of
00:35:44.900
hands would go up and he can, cause he, cause he's that talented. Yeah, exactly. JD Vance is that
00:35:52.020
talented. He's that smart. He can like shrug it off and say, Hey, if we were only going to buy people
00:35:56.980
that, um, were behind Donald Trump when he got down the escalator, we would not win many electoral votes,
00:36:02.420
right? But politics is about addition, not subtract, subtraction, multiplication, not division.
00:36:07.860
So I think it's a, actually an, a potential huge positive for the campaign. It's amazing when you
00:36:14.820
look at, you know, the, the, now they're trying to paint him as like this, as I said, crazy, crazy
00:36:19.460
guy. We pulled just the bills that he sponsored that are in committee right now. Let me give you
00:36:24.180
a list. All right, quickly. Um, he's only been in the Senate for a year and a half, the protection of
00:36:28.660
women and girls in sports act. It's obvious from its name, what that's about protecting minors from
0.96
00:36:33.140
medical malpractice, meaning the, these surgeries that were performing on underage people,
00:36:37.140
cutting off penises. He's against it. Same protect children's innocent act to present,
00:36:42.180
to protect children from some of these crazy drugs that are sterilizing them.
00:36:45.620
The border safety and security act of 2023. Yes. Suspend the entry of aliens, uh, in order to
1.00
00:36:51.220
achieve the operational control of the border. Correct. The death tax repeal act. Thank you.
00:36:55.620
Yes. If we want to pass money to our children upon our death, shouldn't we be able to without
00:36:58.740
the government taking half? Yes. Uh, the English English language, English language unity act of 2023
00:37:04.420
to declare English as the official language of the U S kids online safety act to protect children
00:37:08.980
on the internet and endless wars act. Correct. Um, Kate's law stop illegal reentry act to increase
00:37:16.580
penalties for individuals who illegally reenter the U S after being removed, secure the border act,
00:37:21.060
uh, schools, not shelters act to stop people from using schools as a shelter for aliens who are not
00:37:26.660
here lawfully. Uh, the Lake and Riley act to require the sec, uh, the Homeland security department to
00:37:31.940
actually force these sanctuary cities to cooperate. I could go on these, these, these, these are not
00:37:38.580
extreme. I've virtually everybody listening to the show and I have plenty of people who are not
00:37:42.820
Republicans listening would agree with all of those Charlie. Totally. And this is what's important
00:37:48.740
is that JD Vance is going to be smeared as this like radical conservative. Okay. Yes, he is a
00:37:54.980
conservative, but he's someone that is not as ideological as you would imagine. He wants a
00:38:01.220
restoration of the normal. And that's why he's so well liked in Ohio. So wait, what did we just go
00:38:05.780
through the list of? Okay. We believe in borders that we should have a unified language. We believe
00:38:11.060
that men should not be in female sports and that children should not be victims of
00:38:15.220
unproven and medieval medical experiments. These are this wars. Yes. And no endless wars. And also
00:38:23.300
this is what's really important is that those are things that he knows are losing issues for the
00:38:29.620
Democrats. And it's a fun and important new wrinkle to the MAGA agenda that is beyond just what we saw
00:38:37.380
in 2016 and 2020 specifically the trans issue with the children, men and women's sports. And I think
00:38:44.580
you're going to hear more about that, uh, Megan in the coming days, uh, at the convention as this
00:38:49.140
culminates. And so, yeah, and look, he's only been there for quite some time, but you know what you
00:38:53.620
saw and all that led that legislative pattern, a pattern of moral clarity that JD Vance was not
00:38:59.780
going there to try to get committee assignments that is there to do a job and that he's there to
00:39:04.500
fulfill the mandate from his voters. And he's there to do the right thing. And he will do that as vice
00:39:09.540
president and he will be steady and wise counsel to Donald Trump to reinstitute title nine the way it
00:39:16.100
should be. There'll be no men and female sports. I mean, just imagine the first week of a Trump
0.65
00:39:21.140
Vance presidency. It, the 90% of this executive garbage that Joe Biden has done with the men and
00:39:28.820
female sports, all that will be undone. And JD Vance will make sure it happens.
1.00
00:39:33.460
Mm hmm. And Trump has come fully come on board to where you and I are on the gender stuff.
00:39:40.260
He's gotten it. I think he just wasn't paying attention to a lot of that stuff early on,
00:39:43.860
but he's there now. And you hear even the New York times was doing a thing on Trump saying,
00:39:48.340
yeah, on the gender stuff, he's going to crack down. He, but LGB rights are safe under Trump.
1.00
00:39:53.560
He's not going to mess with LGB, but yes, on this trans stuff with minors and girl sports,
00:39:58.260
Trump is on team GOP fully, which is good. Um, I want to move on to Trump and the assassination
00:40:04.820
attempt, which is almost disappeared from the mainstream media 72 hours after it happened,
00:40:10.060
Charlie. It's amazing how the left wing press has moved right on. They do not want anything
00:40:14.100
that's going to make Trump look strong, look sympathetic, look good, look heroic. Certainly
00:40:19.200
not. And, um, in the wake of the media reporting, we are getting some shocking facts on the secret
00:40:25.560
service failure. Now, um, the latest headlines are that the shooter was spotted by law enforcement
00:40:31.900
nearly 30 minutes before the shots were fired. We show the audience, the video yesterday showing
00:40:38.300
the people being like, he's up there, he's up there, he's on the roof. But now we know it was
00:40:41.620
nearly 30 minutes. He was spotted before he actually unleashed fire and the secret service
00:40:48.300
while saying that local law enforcement was told of a suspicious person by rally attendees.
00:40:53.200
Um, it's unclear whether or when this was relayed to the secret service. So there's still more
00:41:00.680
questions than answered about how this massive failure took place. What do you make of it?
00:41:07.460
I hope it's incompetence, Megan. And I'm, we are flirting with potential either gross negligence
00:41:15.040
or malevolence. And so let me just read this reporting from Sean Davis, who's legit from the
00:41:20.280
Federalist, by the way, this guy is, he's the real deal. Secret service had snipers inside the
00:41:25.340
building. The assassin used, they took pictures of him. They watched him pull out a range finder
00:41:30.300
to get the exact distance to Trump. They radioed the secret service command post about the assassin.
00:41:35.680
They all knew that he was there. Who gave the order to do nothing until the assassin shot Trump,
00:41:41.440
killed an innocent man on stage and fired a round after round after round.
00:41:44.880
This is a mainstream reporting now where multiple secret service agents were indifferent about an
00:41:52.300
assassin climbing on a roof and having an unobstructed 120 yard shot of Donald Trump.
00:41:57.800
We keep on hearing that it's incompetence. That's pretty hard to believe at this point.
00:42:03.580
Were there people that just didn't care about the protection of Donald Trump? Are these people
00:42:08.460
that are that stupid? I mean, is it, is this, is this really, is this what we're supposed to just
00:42:14.580
believe that this is just a failure of intellect or that this is all DEI? And so here's a very simple
00:42:20.720
question. As soon as there was commotion or chatter, why don't you pull Donald Trump off stage?
00:42:27.860
You should say, Hey, put him on stage right now. We got some weird stuff going on.
00:42:31.140
In fact, they're saying we're blaming local law enforcement garbage. That is, that is nonsense.
00:42:37.920
And still we have no resignations. We have no firings. We probably have a great coverup going on.
00:42:44.660
And I am incredibly cynical and jaded in the short term. When it comes to this,
00:42:49.420
nobody was fired. No one was fired from the Afghanistan withdrawal. Nobody was fired with
00:42:55.140
our handling of COVID and all the lies associated. In fact, the opposite, all those people are making
00:42:59.160
more money than ever. And they've ascended in high society. No one was fired or held accountable from
00:43:05.080
the signing of that letter for the Hunter Biden laptop or the coverup that ensued there. Why should
00:43:10.120
we believe that anyone should be fired when Donald Trump got shot? Megan, I was watching a lot of
00:43:16.140
mainstream networks. What the calisthenics that they have to go through with their diction and their
00:43:21.880
vocab choices to not say the term Trump got shot is, is unlike anything I have ever seen. I mean,
00:43:28.600
it's as if, or the a word assassination. That's right. They're saying, uh, yes, at the incident,
00:43:33.960
uh, Oh, Oh, the incident, CNN said that he fell on stage when this happened. Yes. These,
00:43:40.280
these are bad people. Okay. The media is full of bad people. They're not incompetent. They're not just
00:43:46.340
partisans. These are bad human beings who deep down many of them. If you could read their private
00:43:53.240
thoughts, they wanted Donald Trump to actually die on that stage. And only by the grace of God and by
00:44:00.520
divine providence and the turning of a head and a slight gust of wind, did it just hit his ear?
00:44:06.280
I would, I wonder how many registered Democrats in this country actually know that Donald Trump got
00:44:11.540
shot, not just had shrapnel at him. I actually, I think that would be a very interesting thing to find
00:44:17.260
out, but Megan, we actually have Keith Olbermann out there suggesting he wasn't shot at all and
00:44:22.200
that he's made the whole thing up. These people are just are, I keep on using that word. They're
00:44:27.700
repulsive. They are the lowest of the low. And again, I just, there's so many elements here to
00:44:33.780
unpack. You have Barack Obama and Bill Clinton. I'll say, you know, thoughts and prayers. Oh, really?
00:44:39.480
You said he was Hitler. Basically many of you, like if Hitler got shot at, would you say thoughts
00:44:45.160
and prayers for Vlad for Hitler or for Vladimir Putin? You guys compared to Putin repeatedly. So
00:44:50.800
which, so one of those is a lie, either he's not Putin or Hitler, or you actually don't mean thoughts
00:44:56.880
and prayers for Donald Trump. And you hope that he got his, his brains blown out. This was, we were,
00:45:02.260
we were anywhere between one inch to two inches, Megan from civilizational chaos. Yeah. We were one,
00:45:09.480
I mean, they, they say it would have been a civil war. No, yeah. I hope you were, I hope you're
00:45:14.300
wrong. And I think you're right. They say football is a game of inches. The civilization is now a game
00:45:19.280
of inches. It was, it was scary on so many levels. I, I want to say this, all the reporting we've seen
00:45:26.740
so far is that it was local officials in that building and not the secret service. I realize Sean
00:45:32.260
is reporting it was secret service. We had a secret service, former guy on the show yesterday and a
00:45:36.640
security expert with ties to all these folks who are, you know, investigating this and involved.
00:45:41.080
And they seem to say it's, it was the local authorities, but they were not giving the secret
00:45:45.520
service a pass. They were saying, nonetheless, the local authorities and the area outside the
00:45:50.880
perimeter is ultimately the responsibility of the secret service as well. Just because some pieces get
00:45:56.520
delegated doesn't mean it's still not on the shoulders of the secret service. Whose main mission
00:46:00.140
is to protect the life of the president. Uh, so we'll find out, but yes, now the reporting is pretty
00:46:04.720
universal that there were at least three agents of some sort, local or secret, um, inside the building
00:46:09.980
and people were calling attention to this guy and nothing was done until a moment before he fired the
00:46:17.340
trigger at Trump. You know, one cop hoisted another cop up who looked on the rooftop and got threatened
00:46:23.440
with the gun and went back down as opposed to taking on the gunman, which I realized easy for me to
00:46:28.180
say, but I'm not in law enforcement. I'm not courageous like that. That's why I sit at an anchor desk all day.
00:46:32.740
How did he get on the roof? I mean, yeah, well, there's some reports. I don't know whether this
00:46:39.100
drove that, but that he climbed a ladder that may or not may or may not have, doesn't look like there
00:46:42.800
was a ladder there because, um, how, why did the cop have to hoist somebody? Um, did he have help?
00:46:48.340
All of this needs to be investigated. Yes. And so first of all, I don't trust any of the investigators.
00:46:52.480
I bet they're actively covering things up and destroying evidence because that's what they do.
00:46:56.580
The, the, the secret service director, who's another DEI pick where her experience before this
00:47:01.640
was protecting Pepsi cans and potato chips, not an exaggeration. She was the head of Jill Biden's
0.99
00:47:07.620
favorite. Yeah. Jill Biden's favorite, who is a DEI pick. And she has been more concerned about
00:47:13.840
diversifying the secret service. You saw the people around Donald Trump. They're not exactly people
00:47:19.160
that you would want to be protecting a president United States. They can't holster a weapon. They
00:47:23.320
weren't even strong enough to be able to bring Donald Trump to the vehicle. The secret service
00:47:26.980
director, Kim Cheadle says this snipers weren't on the roof where Thomas crook shot because it was
00:47:32.140
sloped and unsafe. That's right. That, that, that, that is, that is something that, um,
00:47:39.960
she should be fired immediately. Well, of course, but she's, but even if she's fired,
1.00
00:47:43.500
she'll keep her pension and she'll go get hired at a corporate job for security. I, her goal was to
1.00
00:47:48.420
make 30% of the secret service female. And I want to just make one more point here, Megan.
00:47:52.860
You were so kind to me when I made my, uh, my remark about DEI and black pilots,
00:47:58.920
which got taken out of context, you gave me an opportunity to defend myself and the media came
00:48:02.860
after me hard and you were very kind to me. The point I was making back in February is the same
00:48:07.200
point. Now I will get people killed. Okay. This is not a joke that the fact that you start hiring
00:48:13.840
based on characteristics that don't matter is one of the reasons why Donald Trump felt too,
00:48:20.360
it was two inches away from getting his brains blown out and this country on the brink of a
00:48:25.280
second American civil war. It's terrifying. I, I still can't quite believe that it happened and
00:48:33.120
that the media wants to move on so quickly, even from this, but I understand why polling wise and,
00:48:37.680
you know, electorally speaking now, Charlie, the news is that they're stuck with Biden.
00:48:43.120
They're going to keep him. You know, they know they can't push him out now because the GOP is
00:48:46.960
completely united and they can't have divisions within the Dem party. I think that's still good
00:48:52.280
for Republicans for team Trump. What do you think? Cause there is some polling coming out now. There
00:48:57.700
was something from morning consult showing that Biden actually went up post assassination attempt
00:49:04.920
of Trump and five 38 is reporting that Joe Biden is ever so slightly more likely to win
00:49:11.880
than Donald Trump. So how do you stand on all of that? Yeah. I mean, it's probably a good thing
00:49:17.720
to run against Joe Biden. Remember, we have not really had an opportunity to take the case against
00:49:21.720
Joe Biden recently. He's had a lot of uninterrupted TV time. I think that we're going to be fine when
00:49:26.740
it comes to that kind of contrast. I still give us a 50 50 shot of winning this election, but let me
00:49:31.760
tell you one thing that we need to be cautious about. And we predicted this on our podcast last week
00:49:35.940
and we are proven correct. You're going to see Joe Biden, the Bernie Sanders populist.
00:49:41.000
He says that he's going to freeze rents at 5% across the country. He's making some very radical
00:49:46.420
left-wing promises. Why? The donors are turning on him. The oligarchs of the Democrat party are
00:49:51.520
turning on him, but the people that aren't turning on him is AOC and Bernie Sanders. They're giving him
00:49:57.200
counsel and the counsel is lean in to the most revolutionary, radical ideas of the Democrat party,
00:50:03.880
which will reinvigorate your base, expand your margins, and be able to have two populists
00:50:09.500
running in this election. That's my biggest concern, Megan, is that Joe Biden starts promising
00:50:14.900
free stuff, starts doing mass amnesty before the Supreme Court can reverse it, starts giving out
00:50:20.120
loan forgiveness before the Supreme Court can reverse it. That is the biggest concern, is that Joe Biden
00:50:25.840
no longer being puppeteered or controlled by his donor masters is a Joe Biden that politically
00:50:33.520
could be far more dangerous than I think people realize.
00:50:38.560
Charlie Kirk, a lot to think about. The battle's not over. Four months to go, and there's a lot
00:50:44.040
yet to be done. Great to see you. We'll see you out in Milwaukee. We're on our way.
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It's a big week. Tomorrow, we will be coming to you live from the RNC in Milwaukee. And boy,
00:52:45.200
do we have some great interviews lined up for you. This, as the GOP celebrates and President Biden
00:52:51.800
finds himself on the defensive, trying to re-energize his campaign. He had a testy exchange
00:52:58.600
with Lester Holt of NBC News last night. We'll get to that. But the bigger issue for Team Biden
00:53:04.080
is still voter sentiment. A brand new New York Times poll taken after the debate, but before
00:53:10.500
the president's news conference after NATO last Thursday, and before the assassination attempt
00:53:16.720
against former President Trump, finds the Biden campaign is struggling in two must-win states,
00:53:21.880
at least. In Pennsylvania, Mr. Trump is ahead of Joe Biden, 48 to 45. In Virginia, it's the reverse,
00:53:32.220
President Biden leading former President Trump by three points. But this is a state Mr. Biden won
00:53:36.500
by more than 10 points in 2020. So he's up, but not by much. Joining me now, Hogan Gidley,
00:53:45.200
former national press secretary for the Trump campaign. He's now vice chair at the Center for
00:53:49.080
Election Integrity. And David Plouffe, who's a former White House senior advisor to then President
00:53:53.620
Barack Obama. He now hosts the campaign managers with Kellyanne Conway and David Plouffe. Hogan,
00:54:02.100
David, great to see you both. David, it's been so long. Thanks for coming on. Good to see you.
00:54:06.780
It's great to see you, Megan. Okay, so there's a lot going on today. Can I just ask you, let me kick
00:54:12.720
it off here, Hogan, because the RNC is still underway. We've got another big night tonight.
00:54:15.860
Right. And what I'm seeing in the news right now, people reacting pretty strongly to people like
00:54:21.860
Amber Rose, who got up there. She's a rapper in her own right. She's, I think, best known for being
1.00
00:54:28.040
Kanye West's ex-girlfriend. She's got 24 million followers on Instagram. She is of mixed race,
00:54:37.840
which is relevant to her appearance at this RNC because she got up there and talked about how she
00:54:44.320
used to hate Donald Trump, thinking he was a racist, and then rethought it. I'm gonna get
00:54:50.960
your reaction to her first. It's not 25. And I believe the left-wing propaganda that Donald Trump
00:54:56.240
was a racist. My father said, no, he's not, Amber. What are you talking about? And when I insisted,
00:55:04.320
he said, prove it. So to prove my father wrong, I did my research and looked into all things Donald
00:55:11.700
Trump. I realized Donald Trump and his supporters don't care if you're black, white, gay, or straight.
00:55:22.260
So I let go of my fear of judgment, of being misunderstood, of getting attacked by the
00:55:27.500
left, and I put the red hat on, too. Thank you.
00:55:30.940
I want to thank my father, who's in the audience tonight, for opening my eyes. He served over 20
00:55:37.440
years in the U.S. military. Thank you for your service, Dad.
00:55:42.340
Okay, so Hogan, what did you make of it? Because I've seen Van Jones say this was
00:55:47.020
very effective for the Republicans and scares him as a Democrat. But then I've seen commentators
00:55:52.380
like the Daily Wire's Matt Walsh saying, why would you have, he called her, I think, a slut
00:55:56.960
like that up there at the Republican convention? Well, look, first things first, when she came
00:56:03.700
into the hall, there were a lot of people around me who said, now, who is this? They had no idea,
00:56:07.840
despite her 25 million followers, as you just pointed out, still. To be honest, same.
00:56:12.880
Yeah, it's just a million more than me, so that's fine. But listen, she was so dynamic in her
00:56:19.440
conversation with the people in that hall because, like so many out there now, she was on the side of
00:56:26.000
hating Donald Trump. And if there's one thing Donald Trump loves more than a day one supporter,
00:56:31.740
it's a convert. He loves the convert because he can tell that story. And putting her up there was
00:56:37.380
so savvy politically. But I'll tell you, some of the biggest applause lines of the night came from
00:56:42.800
her when she was talking about her switch and being tested by her own father, pushing her to actually
00:56:48.560
defend her position. She couldn't do it. And she went down the rabbit hole and started figuring out
00:56:52.540
what Donald Trump was about. She realized the commentary from the left, the accusations,
00:56:57.400
didn't have any merit at all. And it was a really interesting conversation to have in that hall
00:57:02.840
because, as you know, that doesn't happen much on the Republican side to see someone like that.
00:57:07.320
And while the Matt Walshes and others are offended by it, and I get a lot of the opposition to it,
00:57:12.680
Donald Trump doesn't, will never, he does it now, but will never have more political capital,
00:57:17.560
I think, than he does right now. And working to use that to try and broaden out that tent and get
00:57:23.540
voices on his side that he hasn't had before, that the Republican Party hasn't had before,
00:57:30.420
Van Jones, the quote was something to the effect of, she's a bunker buster for the Democrats.
00:57:38.340
That's what he said about her. I'm trying to find the exact language, David, but he was saying
00:57:42.980
that she's a threat because she's appealing to disaffected Democrats who are not in love with
00:57:48.660
Joe Biden and still might be flirting with, I like Trump, but I'm afraid to say it.
00:57:55.100
Right. So having been responsible for conventions in the past, I think sometimes we can,
00:57:59.960
they all seem big in the moment, the speeches, and then the question is,
00:58:03.040
is there any lingering? I always look at it as, is somebody going to vote or behave differently
00:58:07.640
based on an event, in this case, a convention speech? So I think it was a smart pick.
00:58:12.020
I think generally politicians don't break through on social media because most people are going to
00:58:17.400
witness the Republican convention, at least up until Thursday night, through podcasts,
00:58:21.780
through social media, through TikTok and Instagram. So if someone like that is now going to be posting
00:58:26.260
frequently between now and the election day and both messaging, that can be effective. So I think,
00:58:32.140
you know, that was always our challenge in the conventions I was part of is, you know, obviously the
00:58:36.680
networks want to cover the big names, but it's the real people, particularly when it's a,
00:58:40.640
somebody who surprises people. Like I'm surprised that person's at the Republican convention. I'm
00:58:45.800
surprised that person's at the Democratic convention. And to Hogan's point about growth,
00:58:49.620
I mean, that's necessary. You know, Megan, you and I talked a lot back in 16, Donald Trump won that
00:58:54.780
in kind of a black swan event, but he won it with less than 47% of the vote, obviously a terrible 18 for
00:59:01.100
the Republican party. He lost in 20, again, not getting over 47% of the vote and a bad 22 that he was in
00:59:08.020
part responsible for. So I think the question is, no, I don't think J.D. Vance's selection that
00:59:13.720
suggests he's focused on growth, but that has to be where it is. And his poll standing now is
00:59:18.740
stronger than we've seen in the last two elections because there are polls, they could be wrong, but
00:59:23.520
he's at 47, 48, 49, as opposed to 45, 46. So just speaking as a practitioner, particularly when you
00:59:31.120
have some wins behind your back, and I agree with Hogan that he does, that's the moment when you
00:59:35.800
want to capitalize and give people a permission structure. Because, you know, this race, my
00:59:41.400
guess is, will tighten. We'll talk about whether it's Harris or Biden or somebody else. I don't
00:59:45.840
think it'll stay this wide, but Trump has a real lead right now. It's the most significant
00:59:50.360
concern, I think, for Democrats in a presidential race since 1988 to caucus George H.W. Bush going way
00:59:56.440
back. So Trump should do everything he can right now to solidify his gains. There's no question one
01:00:01.160
of his strengths right now is with Black voters, particularly men. He's over 20 percent in most
01:00:07.240
polls. Hispanic voters, he's over 40 in some. Young voters doing better. What's interesting about that
01:00:13.000
is, of course, he's outperforming Republican candidates pretty dramatically. Biden's
01:00:18.800
underperforming Democratic candidates pretty dramatically. So I think for Trump, he's probably most
01:00:24.720
focused on locking in some of those gains with younger voters and voters of color, but probably
01:00:30.060
wants to see some of that transfer to his party as well in the weeks to come. You know, Frank Luntz,
01:00:36.600
longtime focus group runner who's on Fox News a bunch of times and now he's been everywhere.
01:00:42.160
But he does that. He makes his living by polling groups of voters and having them react live to various
01:00:47.540
events. He does both. And he just sent out a post on X, which struck me. He writes,
01:00:52.880
Last night, voters saw a Republican Party that they and I have never seen before.
01:00:57.140
A stage filled with hardworking taxpayers, African-Americans, working women, union members
01:01:01.860
and delegates dancing in the aisles, speeches bashing corporate America and the status quo.
01:01:07.620
We witnessed the realignment of American politics, Trump style. Hashtag GOP convention.
01:01:13.300
Hogan, I think he's exactly right. I mean, it's pretty extraordinary to see those groups as described
01:01:17.000
at the Republican Party versus just four to eight years ago. Well, I guess it would have to be eight
01:01:21.500
years ago. Yeah, there's no question. And even the rhetoric Donald Trump had back in 2016 about
01:01:26.420
people coming across the southern border, so many Republicans in the establishment said it's going
01:01:30.660
to kill him with Hispanics. But we saw gains with Donald Trump over someone like Mitt Romney or even
0.98
01:01:35.840
George W. Bush. And now it's gotten even bigger. People are looking at Donald Trump and realizing
01:01:40.700
regardless of your race, religion, color or creed, the policies are what matters. And when you see
01:01:45.840
exorbitant prices for gas and for groceries, that happened because we had a change and a shift in
01:01:52.960
economic policy from from the Trump administration to the Biden administration. And when you start to
01:01:57.960
see so many different faces and so many different attitudes and beliefs show up at a Republican
01:02:01.900
convention, you realize what Donald Trump has done to build out and broaden out that tent. We were joking.
01:02:08.900
I had some friends we were talking about backstage that we'd never seen anything like this before at a
01:02:12.720
Republican convention. And that's true. I don't think anyone could have done it except for Donald
01:02:17.520
Trump. But he's willing to go into these places. We've seen how many campaign stops in areas that, you
01:02:24.540
know, no Republican would dare try. Never would you see that before. And he goes right in there. And people
01:02:30.140
love him and people hug him. But David's right, too. What does that mean ultimately for getting out the
01:02:35.260
vote, getting those people to turn out to the polls? Because all of this stuff and Donald Trump has had a
01:02:40.280
string of incredible victories. The Republican Party has had a new cycle like I've never seen
01:02:45.660
in my 25 years in politics. So I'm just waiting for some shoe to drop at this point, if I'm being
01:02:49.960
honest. But it continues to kind of snowball. It's that Haley Barber thing. The good get better
01:02:55.020
and the bad gets worse. The good is getting better right now for Donald Trump. And to showcase
01:03:00.200
everything after an assassination attempt, you see a big victory in court. Now we're at this
01:03:05.820
convention. The first night was a home run. And you mentioned single moms who couldn't make
1.00
01:03:09.960
ends meet. A person with on fixed income and he was having trouble with the prices. Amber Rose,
01:03:15.300
you had the head of the Teamsters Union, for heaven's sakes, coming here and talking directly
01:03:19.120
to Republican voters. You're seeing a shift. It really has been impressive. Let's play that because
01:03:25.200
the Teamsters president showed up at the Republican National Convention. And it was very interesting to
01:03:31.760
listen to him talk about Trump. He had the old like, whether you like him or not, kind of precursors
01:03:37.320
to his remarks. But he landed it. It was kind of fun to watch Trump's reaction to watch 24.
01:03:42.940
No other nominee in the race would have invited the Teamsters into this arena.
01:03:49.240
You can have whatever opinion you want. But one thing is clear. President Trump is a candidate
01:03:56.540
who is not afraid of hearing from new, loud and often critical voices. And I think we all can agree
01:04:05.160
whether people like him or they don't like him. In light of what happened to him on Saturday,
01:04:15.940
And then Trump smiled after he said that last part. David, what did you make as a Democrat of
01:04:29.320
Well, again, it's a moment. And I think one question will be, what does the Trump campaign
01:04:33.140
do with that? Are they going to advertise using those words? Are they going to try and reach
01:04:36.660
union members, Teamsters and others? We'll see. That is going to be an important battle.
01:04:41.300
You know, I think the service unions, Democrats still dominate in terms of electoral performance.
01:04:48.480
You know, some of the building trades unions, it's more competitive. And so Biden's numbers right now,
01:04:53.460
as challenged or they are, you know, are being held up in part because he's doing really well
01:04:58.440
with seniors, including, you know, white seniors, you know, middle aged voters, including a lot of
01:05:04.200
union members. So that's been a place where you've not seen the erosion that we've seen amongst
01:05:08.420
younger voters and some voters of color. Although, you know, there's plenty of union voters
01:05:12.980
who are voters of color. And, you know, that's going to require a lot of sophisticated data analysis
01:05:18.360
to see what's happening there. But listen, I'm surprised because I've been studying Republican
01:05:22.800
conventions for longer than I'd like to admit. And I don't remember a single one that was really
01:05:27.940
focused on growth, you know, speaking to people who may disagree with you on a lot of issues,
01:05:33.940
really going back, Megan, historically to the 92, you know, convention, which is such a disaster
01:05:39.060
with Pat Buchanan and George H.W. Bush. McCain, I didn't think did a good job of that. Romney did
01:05:44.120
not do a good job of that at 12, although he probably would have been a good candidate to do
01:05:48.700
that. But it was really talking to the base. And Trump, I think, is in a place right now where he's
01:05:54.100
got to worry about turnout for sure. But you're less focused on the base right now. You're more focused
01:05:59.940
on growth. And so any voices that, you know, I think add to that ability to create a permission
01:06:04.800
structure is smart. Now, Democrats will have a response, most importantly, in the campaign.
01:06:09.720
Most of the unions are supporting Biden. Almost all of them are. They're going to spend real money
01:06:13.280
out there, you know, driving a message both for Biden against Trump. So, again, we don't want to
01:06:19.080
overreact, in my humble view, as a practitioner to a moment like that, because we'll see what effect
01:06:25.400
really the question will be is, what does the Trump campaign do with it?
01:06:28.900
You know, that's interesting. That's fascinating to listen to somebody who's actually helped get a
01:06:32.700
guy elected twice. Talk about, OK, this is how significant it is versus could be if it's used
01:06:39.240
properly. Next. Well, it's going to happen next. Randy Weingarten shows up. What's happening? This
01:06:45.900
is an unusual Republican convention. In the meantime, I want to shift a little and talk about Joe Biden,
01:06:52.620
because there was a report by CNN's John King yesterday that I was thought was very interesting
01:06:57.860
about the polls and how it's going over on Team Blue. And I'm trying to find my sheet. Here it is.
01:07:08.040
OK, so it's the headline piece on CNN is private efforts by private efforts to nudge Biden to step
01:07:14.440
aside. Continue. And he's gotten his hands on this. Well, reports about polling memos from,
01:07:23.760
quote, seasoned and respected Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg, sharing his take that Biden
01:07:29.120
is on track to lose the election and that these polls by Stanley Greenberg, these memos are being
01:07:34.960
shared with top Biden aides and indeed maybe Biden himself as the private efforts to get Biden to step
01:07:42.580
down. Continue reporting that the public calls have quieted since the assassination attempt on on
01:07:48.120
President Trump because the Democratic Party wants to look unified. And it's just the timing feels off
01:07:53.520
now in the wake of that. But that behind the scenes, the effort remains robust. Quote, lose everything
01:07:59.040
is how one Democrat described a polling memo Greenberg sent to Biden's inner circle. Quote,
01:08:03.960
devastating was the one word answer of a second Democrat close to the White House who's familiar
01:08:08.260
with the Greenberg memos saying, look, he he's not going to he's not going to win. And the vast
01:08:14.420
majority of the party does not see him as up to serving for more years. So do you know this guy,
01:08:19.320
Stanley Greenberg, David? And what do you make of this report? I do. If I recall, Stan was pretty
01:08:25.340
critical of Barack Obama and his election prospects. So I take it with a grain of salt.
01:08:30.240
That being said, as a Democrat, obviously, you don't like where the race is right now.
01:08:36.180
And I don't think we should engage in something that I think we've seen Republicans,
01:08:40.100
not Hogan and Megan, you guys are the exception, but engage in, you know, cherry picking polls,
01:08:46.160
I think on balance, the public polls that are, I think, trustworthy, and then certainly the private
01:08:52.240
polls that have been covered. And I certainly see some are concerning. Now, when I talked to
01:08:57.240
Kellyanne Conway, she'll be the first person to tell you and Kellyanne knows this electorate quite
01:09:01.680
well, Joe Biden could still win. We had Jason Miller from the Trump campaign on our podcast
01:09:05.800
a couple of weeks ago. He said the same thing. Why is that? Well, it's because we live in a
01:09:10.900
divided country and Donald Trump is still a challenged political figure, even though he has
01:09:16.340
had a good few weeks here politically, the debate really, I think, changing the race most dramatically
01:09:22.140
in the near term. But, you know, he still has a pretty low ceiling. That being said, I think what
01:09:28.380
you're seeing is Democratic candidates for the Senate, Democratic candidates for the House,
01:09:33.320
other folks running for state and local office, have seen erosion at the top of the ticket.
01:09:38.600
Now, do I think that Joe Biden is going to lose Pennsylvania by five to seven? I don't believe
01:09:44.360
that. I think it will be closer than that. But at the end of the day, the deficit here is real. And
01:09:49.580
it's not just the head to head. As you know, his approval rating is in the 30s, anywhere from 70 to 80%
01:09:55.420
of the public's concerned about his fitness for office. We don't have a lot of energy for young
0.99
01:09:59.320
people. This doesn't bring me any joy in saying this, but I've always believed in life. But
01:10:03.800
certainly in politics, you know, if you don't face the truth and admit where you are, it's hard to
01:10:12.240
smartly course correct. So I think that debate will continue. I agree with you. It probably settles
01:10:17.680
down this week publicly, maybe through Thursday. I think you'll then see more people come out. I mean,
01:10:22.360
right now, I think Joe Biden is the odds on favorite to be the nominee. There'll still be folks raising
01:10:27.760
questions. So we'll ultimately see. And the question for me is if Biden is the nominee,
01:10:32.140
the thing that stresses me out is the calendar, as it always did when I used to run campaigns.
01:10:38.080
And by the way, people start voting in battleground states in about 80 days.
01:10:41.980
So you don't have to November 5th. You got to change the structure of the race between now and
0.90
01:10:48.020
early October, and you can't waste a day. And so I think the Lester Hold interview last night,
01:10:52.840
you know, Biden had some good moments. But I think when he was talking about Lester not
01:10:57.740
asking him questions about issues and things, listen, every candidate gets frustrated by the
01:11:02.440
press. Donald Trump certainly gets frustrated by the press. But a good candidate takes a question,
01:11:07.160
can respectfully answer the question, and then move it to the message you want to drive.
01:11:11.300
And right now, we're stuck in this dynamic where I think Joe Biden's on the defensive.
01:11:16.740
Most incumbents around the world, I don't care who you are in today's politics, cannot win a
01:11:22.800
referendum. You've got to turn it into a choice and a searing choice. Joe Biden failed to do that
01:11:28.020
in the debate. A little bit better, I thought, in his press conference last week. Last night in the
01:11:31.860
interview, I didn't think great. So that's the question is, and I think Democrats are continuing
01:11:35.640
to wrestle. And I'll just end here, Megan. As most, you know, weighted decisions in life are,
01:11:41.000
it's not like there's a good option and a bad option. You know, there's risk with change. So if Joe
01:11:45.480
Biden were to step down, let's say Kamala Harris is the nominee or someone else, I think she would be the
0.98
01:11:49.980
odds on favor to replace him. There's no guarantee. The one thing we learn every presidential cycle,
01:11:54.560
you've covered a lot of them, is there's candidates that look on paper like they will walk into the
01:11:59.560
White House, Ron DeSantis being the latest example. And this presidential stage chews people up. Very
01:12:08.620
Right. I mean, it's just the graveyard is littered, Democratic and Republican. So we'll see. But the
01:12:14.860
one thing I'd say is a different Democratic candidate, you know, may not do as well with
01:12:19.740
seniors as Joe Biden. And that's a big issue. They may not do as well in some working class areas.
01:12:24.420
So there's risk. But again, there's a delta right now between Democrats running for Senate
01:12:29.200
and Joe Biden with younger voters, with Black voters, Hispanic voters. So I think that's what
01:12:33.960
a lot of Democrats are wrestling with is, is that something that gets better if we had a different
01:12:38.720
candidate? But at the end of the day, only one person with the voting shares here,
01:12:46.160
Hogan, David mentions Joe Biden with Lester Holt last night and the answer where he kind of got
01:12:51.140
all over Lester and tried to dodge on his own debate performance and instead turn it around
01:12:55.100
on the media for not making that debate about Trump. Here's that soundbite watch.
01:13:03.580
In your last TV interview, you were asked if you had watched the debate. Your answer was,
01:13:11.040
I've seen pieces of it. I've not watched the whole debate.
01:13:13.800
Are you seeing what they saw, which was moments of, frankly, that appeared to be, you appeared
01:13:21.580
Lester, look, why don't you guys ever talk about the 18 to 28 lies he told?
01:13:28.120
Where are you on this? Why didn't the press ever talk about that?
01:13:32.580
I just asked the question because the idea that you may or may not have seen what some of these
01:13:38.980
other folks have seen. You're not on the same. I'd have to see. I was there.
01:13:45.080
I'd have to see it. I was there. By the way, seriously, you won't answer the question,
01:13:49.720
but why didn't the press talk about all the lies he told? I haven't heard anything about that.
01:13:53.500
We have reported many of the issues that came up during that debate.
01:14:00.000
Here's part of the problem with that, Hogan, as I see it. Not only is it obviously a dodge,
01:14:04.720
but you can't attack Lester Holt because Lester Holt is not a hateable figure. He's a sweet guy.
01:14:10.680
You know, trust me, even I had a very negative experience at NBC, but not with that guy. He
01:14:14.240
was actually very sweet to me the whole time. Like you can't make a villain out of him. That's not
01:14:18.700
going to be an option for you when you're on the ropes like Joe Biden was there. And he says,
01:14:22.620
you know, I don't have to watch it. I was in it. The question that he's asked was,
01:14:26.180
did you watch it? That's what Stephanopoulos asked him. And he said, I, he, he wasn't sure.
01:14:32.000
So it's now he's landed on, I didn't have to watch it. I was there, but you couldn't even remember
01:14:37.600
days after whether you'd seen it. Anyway, what did you make of it?
01:14:41.440
Well, so many things wrong with that, obviously. Uh, listen to watch someone of the left,
01:14:48.180
like Joe Biden, complain about the media is so rich on its face. The left has been coddled by
01:14:56.120
the mainstream media, the press, the legacy media, whatever you want to call them,
01:15:00.480
especially Joe Biden. I mean, the guy's been in office for half of a century.
01:15:04.140
They've been carrying his water that entire time. They've been covering up for his mistakes,
01:15:09.040
his problems, his bad policies for the last four years. And that problem on the debate stage was
01:15:15.280
now the veneer was all the American people saw it with their own eyes and the press kind of had to
01:15:19.640
pretend as though they didn't know anything about it. And, and that this is all new information for
01:15:24.260
them when it obviously wasn't. And so to watch Joe Biden attack someone like Lester Holt, and you
01:15:29.280
said, yes, he's a very likable figure. I was with him this week, a more sweet man. There is not on
01:15:34.860
this planet. And, and, and Joe Biden couldn't say, Hey, I called those things out on stage. Cause he
01:15:40.880
didn't. The issue in that debate was the way Joe Biden looked the way he responded, the slack jaw,
01:15:47.020
the staring off into the distance that has long been his problem, but it was on the,
01:15:51.200
on the main stage for all the world to see. And you talked about falling off that presidential
01:15:56.280
stage. Yes. No lights burn hotter. No stage is bigger than that of the presidential. And in all
01:16:01.880
deference to my good friend, Rick Perry, you can oops yourself off that stage in a hurry. There's a
01:16:06.580
long way to go though, between now and the election. David's absolutely right. A lot is going to change.
01:16:11.620
There will be ebbs and flows, of course, but moments like this for Joe Biden do not help him.
01:16:17.140
Yes. He had some flubs in here. Yes. He had some mistakes. We know he's frail. We know he's feeble.
01:16:22.420
We know he's fragile. That to me is not really the issue because while the American people see that
01:16:28.380
they're more concerned about how his policies have impacted their lives and how their own economies
01:16:32.960
are bad because of him. And when he goes up on a, on a friendly like George Stephanopoulos
01:16:37.900
or like Lester Holt and botches that simple task, 93% of the news coverage on Donald Trump by every
01:16:45.340
available measure and every, uh, uh, available data point was negative 93%. And this guy has one bad
01:16:52.860
cycle and he's complaining about it. I just find that to be so rich. And one more thing.
01:16:57.620
Totally brought upon himself that, you know, that was not a media generated controversy.
01:17:01.580
Yes. It's, it's his fault. And I'll say this because as we look at this convention and I'm
01:17:06.260
here and people are walking by. So if you hear something, I'm sorry, they're just loud and they're
01:17:09.420
excited. But watching Republicans try to expand and grow this tent is fascinating because we're in July.
01:17:16.600
Joe Biden is still trying to shore up his base. He's still going to black churches and trying to say,
01:17:21.560
remember me, I'm Joe Biden. It's July. People will start voting in a few months. And so when he has
01:17:27.620
opportunities to try and turn the narrative, when he has an opportunity to try and say, no, I promise
01:17:32.380
I'm a steady hand. I can make this country better. I can make your life better. He doesn't do it.
01:17:37.300
He complains. And it is a serious issue, not just for Joe Biden, but for the Democrats writ large.
01:17:43.500
80 days. That is the phrase I'm going to be taking away with me today. 80 days. It's such a short
01:17:49.280
window to turn an aircraft carrier around if we believe that, you know, I'm mildly interested in
01:17:55.880
these national polls, but I'm much more interested in the likely voters in the battleground states,
01:17:59.700
which have been consistently strong for President Trump. And I have yet to see that changing,
01:18:04.580
especially in the blue wall states in, you know, Michigan and Wisconsin, Minnesota, that whole region
01:18:12.380
there. And then Pennsylvania, where, you know, J.D. Vance is from. That's basically his territory.
01:18:18.000
Ohio is right next to Pennsylvania. That's where he grew up. And that's another play that's going to
01:18:22.420
work well there, that white working class in those states. I think they're going to respond well to
01:18:26.200
J.D. And I know the media is jumping all over him about, oh, you know, you didn't like Trump.
01:18:30.520
He said terrible things about Trump, which he did for sure. He did not like Trump. But his life story,
01:18:35.900
I think, is a big part of why he was chosen. It's absolutely inspirational. I think all those people,
01:18:41.540
once they hear that, are going to be very moved, as I was by J.D. Vance. He's he's an inspirational
01:18:48.480
figure. Now, the media, let's see if they let that through. But I want to stand on Joe Biden for a minute.
01:18:53.380
So here's the thing. There's a bit of a quandary right now for the Democrats, David, because
01:18:57.140
forgive me for putting it this way, but because of the assassination attempt, because they want to
01:19:03.820
continue slugging Donald Trump as hard as humanly possible. But it's a little hard because the
01:19:12.920
nation's sympathies are with him at the moment. We all saw what happened on Saturday. I think most
01:19:17.580
humans were inspired by the way he handled it. And then you had Joe Biden come out in the White
01:19:22.460
House and say, we've got to lower the temperature, lower the temperature. So but then he goes on with
01:19:26.180
Lester and it didn't seem like a lowering of the temperature moment. He brought up a lot of tropes
01:19:32.100
about Donald Trump that have been debunked. So you tell me what they're supposed to do with this.
01:19:37.300
Let's let's watch a little bit of that. There's there's no place at all for violence
01:19:44.700
in politics in America. None. Zero. For example, you know, the January 6th, you know, the attack
01:19:52.340
on the Capitol. I watched what happened in Charlottesville, Virginia. He said they're very fine
01:19:56.400
people on both sides. But have you taken a step back and done a little soul searching
01:20:01.960
on things that you may have said that could incite people who are not balanced?
01:20:07.480
My my my opponent is engaged in that rhetoric. He talks about to be a bloodbath if he loses,
01:20:12.760
suspend the sentences of all those who were arrested and sentenced to go to jail because
01:20:18.400
of what happened in the Capitol. This doesn't sound like you're you're turning down the heat,
01:20:22.700
though. You've talked about. No, no, no, no. Look, when I'm turning down, we have to stop
01:20:27.380
the whole notion that there are certain things that are contrary to our our democracy that
01:20:35.760
we're for. So so what what can you and what will you do at least things you can control
01:20:41.820
to lower down the temperature, the rhetoric out there?
01:20:46.960
Continue to talk about the things that matter to the American public. It matters whether or
01:20:52.560
not you accept the outcome of elections. It matters whether or not you, for example,
01:20:58.560
talk about how you're going to deal with the border instead of talking about people as being
01:21:03.000
vermin. And I mean, those things matter. That's the kind of language that is inflammatory.
01:21:11.700
So, I mean, just for the record, the fine people thing has been debunked over and over and over,
01:21:15.440
including by left wing fact checkers. That's not what Trump said. The bloodbath thing was a comment
01:21:20.940
made by Trump in the economic context where he's talking about how China wants to take advantage of
01:21:25.380
us by building plants in Mexico and hurting American workers and that if they if they think
0.75
01:21:30.440
they're going to get away with that, they're not. And if he's voted in, it'll be a bloodbath for the
01:21:35.600
economy. He was obviously talking about the automobile industry and the tariffs that he was going to
01:21:39.220
bring in. Biden wouldn't. But he continues to misuse those things. I don't know that the average
01:21:43.800
American knows that. I don't know. What do you make of this pickle of which I speak?
01:21:47.560
Well, Megan, I'm sorry to disagree with you on your program, but listen, you only have to
01:21:52.820
you know, basically an eight year old's Google search skills to see really for the last I mean,
01:21:58.520
even going back to the 80s with Donald Trump and some of the things he did in New York. But
01:22:01.660
his rise has really been fueled by, you know, personal attacks, kind of embrace of violence.
01:22:07.420
I remember back in 2020, there were some folks in Texas trying to run the Biden campaign
01:22:11.860
bus off the road and Trump tweeted, God love Texas. I mean, this is someone comfortable with
01:22:17.300
you know, kind of visuals of violence, you know, attacking immigrants, attacking Muslims. So,
01:22:24.060
you know, it's a little rich for me. But but I think where Trump would like to turn the race,
01:22:29.000
certainly his team is, is basically, hey, we need to be more unified. So stop attacking me. That's
01:22:33.900
how he'll define unity. And I think Democrats, you know, you want criticisms and attacks in contrast to
01:22:40.820
be within bounds. But, you know, on things like, should we have a peaceful transfer of power?
01:22:45.980
Should the person who like if Joe Biden loses this election, he will say I lost the election.
01:22:51.300
He'll call Donald Trump and concede to him and cooperate with the transition. Donald Trump didn't
01:22:56.140
do that in 20. And he said he likely wouldn't do it this time. J.D. Vance's vice president said,
01:23:00.720
unlike Mike Pence, he would have not done his constitutional duty. So these are real issues. And I will tell you
01:23:06.540
in the research I've seen, yes, inflation is an important issue. Health care, by the way, a place where
01:23:12.080
Democrats have a large advantage is an important issue. Foreign policy, immigration. But the notion of
01:23:18.400
basically the person who gets the most votes shouldn't win. If you think about the swing voters and when I
01:23:24.820
say swing voters, you know, this election is a little bit different. You've got the traditional suburban
01:23:29.240
women who are swing voters. You've got some exurban men and women that are swing voters a little bit older.
0.97
01:23:34.080
You also have swing voters who are in their 20s and early 30s who are of color. But that is something that's
01:23:39.400
problematic. So I think what Biden has to do and the Democrats have to do is, you know, be within bounds. But
01:23:45.000
listen, one thing that has struck me just as an observer of information for the last couple of decades is how
01:23:50.500
quickly these major events and they're important and they still, you know, deserve a lot of coverage. And
01:23:57.040
obviously, we want to know exactly what happened with the shooter. You know, I'm not sure by this weekend is
01:24:01.040
Donald Trump going to be out there, you know, basically giving a peace and love speech. I highly
01:24:05.320
doubt it. So I think this election will remain spirited. I hope everybody who's got a microphone,
01:24:11.180
particularly elected officials in those seeking office, take a beat to say, OK, we can disagree
01:24:16.520
about issues without perhaps maligning people's motives to the extent that that might have been
01:24:23.040
the case pre-Saturday. But I think this is going to be a fierce debate. And I do think what worries me,
01:24:27.380
you're right. J.D. Vance, I think, is a talented communicator, obviously a very good writer. I do
01:24:33.140
think that he is now the heir apparent to Donald Trump. Things he has said about the Constitution,
01:24:39.460
about abiding by election results, I think, are deeply concerning, not just to people like me,
01:24:44.060
but to voters. So that'll be interesting. But I would just say this as a practitioner,
01:24:48.180
the vice presidential candidate really matters very, very little unless you make a massive mistake.
01:24:54.540
It is. It's the thing that the media right, left, center spends a lot of time on. And it's
01:24:59.800
incredibly important from the governing standpoint. And by the way, Donald Trump's 78. So it could be
01:25:05.320
from an actuarial standpoint, his nominee, J.D. Vance, becomes president. So it's important to kick
01:25:09.860
the tires. But in terms of the campaign, it's very much about the two contenders at the top of the
01:25:14.780
ticket, in this case, actually more than two, because you've got third party candidates. And I would just
01:25:18.860
say that's, Megan, which is what's the win number in the state you mentioned, Pennsylvania,
01:25:23.160
Michigan. It's not going to be 50. And that's what concerns me as a Democrat, is if Trump really
01:25:29.460
is at 47, 48, 49, that could be enough to win. So Joe Biden has to get him back down
01:25:40.240
But that's such a, but Hogan, the thing is, and he, look, there's no question Trump has said
01:25:45.160
incendiary things too, and his supporters have too, but Trump is the one who got shot in the face.
01:25:49.040
You know, I mean, that's just the reality of the situation. And as we go forward now,
01:25:55.500
you know, Joe Biden says he's going to be kinder and gentler and all that, or lower the temperature,
01:25:59.220
but it was literally days before the assassination attempt that he was out there calling Trump a
01:26:02.860
racist. Sorry, rapist, rapist. I'm sure he's calling him a racist too, but rapist, which is
01:26:09.540
about as incendiary as one can get. So I do still think he's not going to get away with that. Like
01:26:14.640
there, there will be media calling some attention to him going to places like that.
01:26:19.380
I sure hope so, because they have it in the past. Listen, milquetoast Mitt Romney,
01:26:23.860
Joe Biden said would put black people back in chains. He said Mitt Romney was going to re-enslave
01:26:29.440
black people. So this guy is not some, you know, soft handed, genteel gentleman. He is a tough,
01:26:35.640
bare knuckle political brawler and says stuff all the time. Quite frankly, it isn't true.
01:26:39.880
You just talked about this showing the clip from Lester where he says, no, basically look,
01:26:45.260
Trump, he's Hitler. He's a racist Charlottesville. He said, there's going to be a bloodbath. There's
01:26:50.900
going to be fighting. He incited a riot, but we need to bring the temperature down guys.
01:26:54.920
You just did. Had he said, listen, everyone needs to bring the temperature down. Starting with me,
01:27:00.800
I'm going to do it. I'm going to be the leader here on top of that. I'm going to make sure the
01:27:03.660
president of the United States, former president Donald Trump has a lot of secret service.
01:27:06.580
I'm going to make sure JFK has it as well. It would be more. RFK, RFK. Correct. It would be more.
01:27:14.780
It would be better for the American people to see that kind of Joe Biden, but that's not who he is.
01:27:20.260
And the left has a real problem here because for so long they've been saying Donald Trump,
01:27:24.800
Republicans, we're a threat to democracy. We're Hitler. We're racist, all these things.
01:27:29.920
But now if Joe Biden is going to abide by his own standard, which is bringing down the rhetoric,
01:27:35.700
what does he have to run on? All he does is go around saying that the right is full of racists
01:27:42.240
that are threats to our very democracy. If he's going to lower the temperature,
01:27:45.560
he's got to be the Larry Hagman character in primary colors. You actually have to go out there
01:27:51.560
and have the measured tone. And this is all ignoring the thing that I think many of us can't
01:27:56.980
get past. And it's not just that Joe Biden is old. It's that he does not appear to be all there.
01:28:01.560
He cannot put two sentences together. You see it every time. It's like, oh, like watching
01:28:07.880
the tightrope walker. Like, oh, this is scary. There was another moment with Lester just last
01:28:14.420
What happens if you have another episode like we saw during the debate?
01:28:19.920
What happens if you have another performance on that part, on that level?
01:28:26.220
I don't plan on having another forest on that level. All right.
01:28:33.740
I have to tell you, my heart goes out to Lester. So awkward, uncomfortable. Happens every day when
01:28:38.340
he sits, right? So whether it's Stephanopoulos or Lester or these other interviews, he gave one to
01:28:44.040
another gentleman. There was a very awkward exchange about Zionism. We could go on, although we can't
01:28:49.120
right this second because we have to take a break. All right, we'll be right back. Hogan and David stay
01:28:52.560
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I'm Megan Kelly, host of The Megan Kelly Show on Sirius XM. It's your home for open,
01:29:58.160
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01:30:50.280
Happy birthday to you. Make a wish. Oh, my God. Don't miss Trump next time.
01:31:08.200
Speaking of divisive rhetoric, that was a big example. Yesterday, when that video went viral,
01:31:14.540
people believed, and we said, that it was actor Jack Black. Turns out Black wasn't the one who made
01:31:20.980
the actual comment, don't miss next time. He was standing next to a bandmate who said that,
01:31:27.080
and that bandmate was a guy by the name of Kyle Gass. In response to the controversy,
01:31:32.100
and you can hear Black did not fix or attempt to in the moment, Black released a statement after the
01:31:38.720
fact, reading in part, I was blindsided by what was said. I would never condone hate speech or
01:31:43.520
encourage political violence in any form. Mr. Black then said he's made the decision to put
01:31:47.420
the band's upcoming tour on hold. Good call. Back with me now, Hogan Gidley and David Plouffe.
01:31:54.420
You know, you spend two minutes on TikTok or Insta or whatever, and you're going to see a lot of
01:31:57.660
people saying exactly what that bandmate said. Why'd you miss? Take better shooting lessons.
01:32:03.240
You know, it's just, it's so disheartening. It's kind of depressing, to be honest.
01:32:07.880
There is something interesting happening in the media, though, over at MSNBC. And Hogan,
01:32:12.520
I wanted to start with you on this one. So Joe Scarborough's show was pulled yesterday morning,
01:32:16.500
and NBC had told Scarborough and the world that that was because they were going to stay in rolling
01:32:22.380
breaking news coverage, which is the thing you do. We used to call it rolling thunder over at Fox
01:32:26.780
News. You just stay in rolling thunder where there's breaking news and, you know, all bets are off on
01:32:30.560
what the previously scheduled programs were. And they claimed that Scarborough had agreed to it,
01:32:35.220
along with his wife and co-host, Mika. Now today, we hear something very different,
01:32:39.340
because what happened after Scarborough was they went back to their normal lineup,
01:32:42.960
which, you know, makes clear they pulled just morning Joe, and for a reason. And here was
01:32:50.780
an extraordinary moment on his show this morning.
01:32:53.000
We were told in no uncertain terms on Sunday evening that there was going to be one news feed across all
01:33:03.980
NBC news channels yesterday. The Today Show would be Lester Holt, other people that you worked with
01:33:11.500
on Sunday, and that that was going to be one news feed across all NBC news channels. That did not
01:33:17.620
happen. We don't know why that didn't happen. Our team was not given a good answer as to why that
01:33:25.680
didn't happen, but it didn't happen. We were very surprised. We were very disappointed. And if we
01:33:31.360
had known that there wasn't going to be the one news feed from NBC news across all NBC news channels,
01:33:37.280
Willie, we obviously would have been in yesterday morning. Let me just say,
01:33:41.220
we next time we're told there's going to be a news feed replacing us,
01:33:45.060
we will be in our chairs. We'll be sitting here. Yeah. And the news feed will be us,
01:33:49.080
or they can get somebody else to host the show. Oh my God. I have secondhand embarrassment for how
01:33:56.340
awkward that was. AF, as the kids would say. So Hogan, what do you make of MSNBC basically
01:34:02.080
admitting they've got a host on in the morning who is so incendiary he can't be trusted to take air
01:34:07.220
the day and a half after a presidential assassination attempt? And following, of course,
01:34:13.620
the Ronald McDaniel debacle as well, this is not obviously a good look for MSNBC. And what you're
01:34:19.080
hearing kind of is that peek behind the curtain where, why did they really do this? And then all
01:34:23.600
these kind of leaks start coming out that they were afraid someone on that set was going to say
01:34:27.580
something about that assassination attempt that would make it appear as though the network or
01:34:34.060
Morning Joe itself condoned an assassination. That tells you a lot about what you need to know as it
01:34:41.340
relates to the mainstream media. And it also tells you a lot as it relates to bringing down that
01:34:46.500
rhetoric that Joe Biden is talking about. And while both sides are going to say, no, you do it. No,
01:34:50.560
you do it. There are problems in the media. There are problems with politicians who make claims all the
01:34:56.740
time that are way over the top and that obviously bring the temperature to a point that is set to boil
01:35:03.060
over at any moment. But this particular instance, I think, at MSNBC kind of encapsulates so many of the
01:35:09.540
complaints on our side of the aisle that say, wait, in a time where a former president was almost
01:35:15.260
shot through the head and killed on national television, you chose to pull your number one
01:35:20.920
rated show because you were afraid the cat would be let out of the bag. I think it's a really bad
01:35:26.380
look. And I think it is a very impactful, important statement about the overall tone and tenor of the
01:35:33.660
mainstream media. David Plouffe, if Joe Scarborough really does walk from that role, they should hire
01:35:40.800
you tomorrow. Who's who could do that show in his sleep, honestly, and with insightful analysis from
01:35:48.900
somebody who's actually been in the business of getting presidents elected. I think we should all
01:35:53.740
call their bluff and then you should slide right in. Well, that's kind of I'd have to get up too early.
01:35:59.620
And listen, that's I'm an MSNBC contributor. I don't have any visibility into the decision. By the
01:36:06.680
way, a decision to say we're just going to have one feed. You know, I could support that. Right.
01:36:12.160
You kind of want to have we do it sometimes, but you do it sometime. It's people who are, you know,
01:36:18.220
you know, have good sources and law enforcement. You've got people on the ground in Pennsylvania.
01:36:22.400
So I think the challenge here was, of course, it wasn't one feed. It was just one program. And perhaps
01:36:27.640
that they changed their mind as the day went on. That wasn't communicated. But you've got to trust
01:36:31.540
your talent. That's something I've learned in any kind of organization. You've got to trust your
01:36:36.200
talent. I will say this back to our previous discussion about, you know, civility and what's
01:36:42.480
in balance. Like as a political practitioner, I think what the Trump campaign likely will do is very
01:36:48.340
transparent to me, very cynical, which is they want to silence arguments against Trump because in the
01:36:55.800
research I've seen, they heard him. Project 2025 is interesting. That's by the way, Donald Trump.
01:37:00.480
I mean, Hogan knows him well, doesn't tend to run away from things. He's running away from that
01:37:04.560
like Hussein Bolt because he realizes the elements of it, which I think will make up the blueprint for
01:37:09.700
the Trump second term, you know, are very, very anathema to voters. I think, you know, his position
01:37:16.180
on health care, getting rid of the Affordable Care Act, 20 million plus people losing health care.
01:37:19.900
There's real challenges. Now, those tend to be issues. I do think, you know, respecting the results of
01:37:24.640
election. That's not something we should shy away from talking, even post assassination attempt.
01:37:29.820
But I think you'll see that an effort from the Trump campaign and other voices to say, hey,
01:37:34.580
you shouldn't be criticizing this guy. And again, my guess is we'll see what Trump's speech is
01:37:38.980
Thursday. By the way, if Trump, I'd be curious, you know, Hogan, your view on this, like if Trump
01:37:44.280
were to say Thursday night, listen, I've reflected on this. I can't believe I lost to Joe Biden. I still
01:37:50.860
can't believe it. But you know what? He won the election. That's why I'm running to defeat him.
01:37:55.680
I think I'll defeat him. What that would do is swing voters. And listen, Trump has the base. He
01:38:01.920
can say anything. That's not going to happen. I know, Hogan. Do you disagree with me?
01:38:08.040
He doesn't disagree with me. Practitioner. Of course, he's not. But he should. Because if you're
01:38:13.000
of course, but we've all been saying things about Trump should for eight, nine years and he doesn't
01:38:17.480
listen to us. But my point is, Megan, if you're in a window where you might have a permission
01:38:22.700
struck through the voters that previously weren't available to you. OK, what I used to write. I get
01:38:27.380
it. I get it. But if he were in that state of mind, we'd be talking about vice presidential
01:38:31.100
candidate Glenn Youngkin, Nikki Haley or Doug Burgum. He's definitely not, I think. Right. And
01:38:37.020
that's taking my sorry to rush you out, but I want to play the soundbite. We just got it on tape.
01:38:40.740
Charlie Kirk referenced it earlier. And the head of the Secret Service, Kim Cheadle,
01:38:44.340
did give an interview to ABC in which she did make a remarkable explanation for why they didn't
01:38:51.040
have snipers on the rooftop that was right there, 150 yards or less away from Trump.
01:38:57.980
Listen to the sloped roof, roof excuse. Roof have been secure, period.
01:39:04.440
That building in particular has a sloped roof at its highest point. And so, you know, there's a safety
01:39:10.520
factor that would be considered there that we wouldn't want to put somebody up on a sloped
01:39:14.320
roof. And so, you know, the decision was made to secure the building from inside.
01:39:21.100
I mean, oh, my God. That's just like that's why we're going to have weeks and months of hearings
01:39:26.960
now. Like I don't I there are many people who think that this was a conscious decision.
01:39:32.940
The Secret Service, somebody hated Trump. I am not one of those people.
01:39:35.620
But that level of incompetence is why people are scratching their heads. They don't understand
01:39:42.060
that. Well, I worked with the men and women of the Secret Service for years in the White House,
01:39:46.200
as you know, and more brave people. I mean, I was humbled by their performances every single day
01:39:51.500
when someone stormed the Treasury. They came in and got staff, too. I mean, they're everywhere all the
01:39:56.040
time. But there's no question. This is a systemic failure by the Secret Service at this point.
01:40:01.500
If there aren't some serious questions asked by journalists, if there aren't some serious questions
01:40:05.560
asked by Joe Biden, his FBI and others, I don't know that we're ever going to get to the bottom
01:40:09.940
of this. But I can say what's interesting was as soon as this happened, I thought to myself,
01:40:14.600
it didn't seem right to me right off the bat. And typically in years past, I would even say pre-Trump,
01:40:19.940
this thing may have gone on for months without anyone really offering too many questions
01:40:23.560
substantively. Within minutes, people were like, no, hold on a second. How does this happen?
01:40:28.540
Why was the guy this close? How come these other people with the video we shot, these other snipers
01:40:33.320
looked like they had the guy in his sights, but they let him fire the gun? All of these things
01:40:37.620
kind of come up and they bubble to the surface. And it really does go to kind of a bigger concern
01:40:43.020
that this rhetoric is really hot. And this does boil over in these ways. An attempt of an
01:40:50.180
assassination on a political person is so unforgivable in today's world. You cannot do that
01:40:58.300
to watch Donald Trump though, go down, stand up with blood on his face and put his fist in the
01:41:04.880
air and yell, fight, fight, fight to let the American people know he was okay. That is going
01:41:09.320
to be a statue. That is going to be a t-shirt. That is going to be a poster. That to me is one of the
01:41:14.060
most iconic images this country seen really since George Bush took that megaphone at 9-11 saying the
01:41:21.160
whole country, the whole country hears you and the world's going to hear us soon. The people who tore
01:41:24.840
these buildings down really, really impactful. Thank God he was okay. Only wish we could say
01:41:30.400
the same for all of the attendees and a prayer to those who are still suffering. I got to run
01:41:35.520
apologies guys. I'm up against the clock. All the best to you both. Hogan, great to see you again,
01:41:39.820
David. Please come back and we'll see you soon in Milwaukee ourselves. Tomorrow on the show,
01:41:44.480
we've got Ruthless, we've got Vivek Ramaswamy, and we've got Elise Stefanik. The fun begins in Milwaukee.
01:41:50.760
Thanks for listening to The Megan Kelly Show. No BS, no agenda, and no fear.