The Megyn Kelly Show - September 05, 2024


Truth About Media Indictment, and Harris Still Complaining About Debate Rule, with Joel Pollak, Dave Aronberg, Xavier Durousseau, Britt Mayer, and RCP | Ep. 880


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 39 minutes

Words per Minute

184.3283

Word Count

18,303

Sentence Count

1,327

Misogynist Sentences

44

Hate Speech Sentences

40


Summary

Today on The Megynkelley show, Megyn talks about the Biden plea deal, the DOJ indictment of conservative media personalities, and the latest in the ongoing investigation into Russian influence in the 2016 election. Megyn also explains why the DOJ is not bringing charges against Dave Rubin.


Transcript

00:00:00.600 Welcome to The Megyn Kelly Show, live on Sirius XM Channel 111 every weekday at New East.
00:00:12.040 Hey everyone, I'm Megyn Kelly. Welcome to The Megyn Kelly Show. My God, do we have a lot to get to today.
00:00:17.180 We begin with some legal news that's making major, major waves overnight.
00:00:23.700 Actually, before we get to that, you should know that there's even bigger news, and that is that
00:00:26.940 Hunter Biden has now agreed to change his plea to guilty in this tax charges case against him
00:00:35.960 in order to avoid trial. So that is big. He was about to go to trial. You know this case out in
00:00:42.260 Los Angeles on some of these tax evasion charges that, I mean, honestly, they were just a light,
00:00:48.080 pathetic version of what ought to be brought against him, but it's all that was left under
00:00:52.100 the statute of limitations. And it only was brought because those whistleblowers came forward
00:00:56.300 and the U.S. attorney in this case, who was actually wound up being special counsel,
00:01:01.460 was forced to try the case after the judge caught him trying to give Hunter an enormous
00:01:05.300 sweetheart plea deal. And so they were forced to go forward. And finally, now Hunter caved at the
00:01:10.620 last minute. I'm sure he'll be getting a pardon from daddy. I realize Joe Biden says he won't.
00:01:15.220 We'll see. We'll see. Okay, back to the other news. Can I just start? Let me just start with this.
00:01:21.480 We knew yesterday that the DOJ was going to be making some sort of an announcement
00:01:27.700 about Russian influence in this election. And we talked about that. We talked about how Russia
00:01:34.800 has been a stalking horse for Democrats for some time when it comes to this is why we lost the 2016
00:01:39.820 election. And this is what Trump did in order to get ahead. And Russia, Russia, Russia. And indeed,
00:01:45.720 they do love to wave this flag as an excuse for virtually everything. Well, the DOJ we knew was
00:01:51.980 coming out yesterday with a major announcement. And when we closed the show yesterday, we said,
00:01:55.680 we'll cover it for you. And our guest tomorrow will be Dave Rubin. Well, imagine our surprise when
00:02:01.820 later that day, the DOJ announced that its case is not against Dave Rubin. Maybe I need to be perfectly
00:02:08.700 clear about that, nor is he accused of doing anything criminal or wrong. He, in fact, is one
00:02:14.580 of the victims of this scheme that the DOJ alleged in great detail yesterday. He, Tim Poole, Benny Johnson,
00:02:23.340 and other conservative media personalities you likely know well. They've all been swept up in this
00:02:30.980 Department of Justice indictment announced last night, not against them, but against two Russians,
00:02:36.920 a male and a female, for their involvement in creating an independent media company that used
00:02:44.620 the podcast feeds and services of these big names in order to amplify their own channel called Tenant
00:02:52.240 Media. And the whole thing turned out to be covertly funded by Russian media organization RT, so alleges the
00:03:01.140 Department of Justice. It's a complicated case that is unsurprisingly not being covered, honestly.
00:03:05.960 So far by the corporate press, or I'm just going to lay it out for you quickly, relatively quickly.
00:03:13.020 Okay, so here's the deal. The DOJ is alleging that these two Russians who worked for RT, I mean,
00:03:19.840 that does matter, but it's really the fact that they're in Russia and they're Russian and they're
00:03:23.300 pushing Russian interests. What they did was they called their friend Lauren Chen. Now, she is a
00:03:30.620 Canadian citizen who's living and working in America, I believe living here too, but definitely working
00:03:36.240 in America for, among others, the Blaze. And she's a relatively well-known conservative personality
00:03:43.120 online. I will say she's a troll. I unfollowed her a while ago because it was obvious this is not a person
00:03:50.760 worth listening to on X. So they contacted Lauren Chen because, unbeknownst to me, she had worked for RT
00:04:01.140 for a year as a commentator, apparently on the air, but at least writing articles for them. So openly
00:04:08.440 affiliating with this channel. Now, it's not the RT. It's definitely state-run media. It is with Russia.
00:04:14.920 I mean, good luck finding them doing anything critical of Vladimir Putin. Trust me. They try
00:04:21.220 to get more and more influence in the United States. They've had people reach out to me
00:04:24.800 many times to try to get me to do something. It's a no. Okay. They know that by this point.
00:04:31.940 But in this case, they did reach out to Lauren, according to this indictment, and said,
00:04:37.720 help us form a new independent media company and help us find influencers who will work for it.
00:04:43.820 And according to the indictment, she did. She and her husband both did that and recruited guys like
00:04:50.300 Dave and Tim Pool and Benny and three others I never heard of. And she, according to the indictment,
00:04:57.640 knew that the Russians would be funding this and editing content. But the influencers, the conservative
00:05:05.880 podcasters did not. And that's according to the indictment. That's why none of them has been
00:05:10.960 indicted. The feds are saying Rubin, Poole, Benny, they didn't know. They were not told. In fact,
00:05:17.300 they were given misinformation by Lauren because they allege she knew they would never do this if
00:05:24.340 they understood it was being funded by the Russians. Um, she told them that it was all being funded by
00:05:29.020 some French businessman, Edward Gregorian. And the indictment alleges that both Tim and Dave,
00:05:37.220 I don't know about the others, tried to kick the tires a bit, obviously not enough on who this is,
00:05:43.940 who's Edward Gregorian. And they wanted to see like a profile of the guy. All that was forwarded
00:05:49.860 was a LinkedIn, which appears obviously to have been fake. And then Dave Rubin is, according to the
00:05:54.880 indictment, the guy who pushed more and said like, this isn't enough. And then they created this whole
00:06:00.060 fake profile of this guy, Edward Gregorian. That's like pretty fancy. I'm holding it up for
00:06:07.720 the listening audience. And you can see, frankly, it looks a little, obviously stock picture at the
00:06:14.200 top of some vaguely attractive man looking out a window of a private jet. And then it's got all sorts
00:06:20.140 of fawning descriptions about the guy. And Dave apparently did push back even after that saying,
00:06:26.520 I'm not sure about this guy. It says he's into social justice. Why is he looking for me?
00:06:30.960 Anyway, there was some pushback, but here's the bottom line. They were offering eye popping sums
00:06:37.480 to these influencers and they took the deal. According to the indictment, Dave was offered some
00:06:47.240 number and he went back and said, I'm not getting involved with this. And he didn't do anything really
00:06:51.860 extraordinary for them. He was doing something like viral videos and aren't they funny? Ha ha ha for a
00:06:58.320 few months. But for that, they were willing to pay him $400,000 a month, every month for a year,
00:07:08.060 plus a signing bonus, plus another bonus. So we're talking about, you know, between five and six
00:07:13.140 million dollars for one year. Um, and Tim pool reportedly, well, according to the indictment
00:07:20.500 was charging $100,000 per video per, per week. He would post something, I guess, once a week,
00:07:27.160 which would be in a similar ballpark. I will tell you in the podcast world, those are jaw dropping
00:07:34.520 sums. And I'm sure people will make the argument. They should have known. Um, my friend Jim Garrett,
00:07:41.380 he's making that argument right now over at national review and others will make that same
00:07:44.680 argument. But I can tell you personally that I've known Dave for a long time. And there is
00:07:51.340 zero chance that he knew anything about this. I, we had a conversation a year ago, he and I,
00:07:59.960 and I can disclose this in which he mentioned this in passing. This wasn't like our main point,
00:08:05.060 but he mentioned this and he told me, I said, who's funding this? And he said, it's a French
00:08:11.580 businessman. And Dave would have no reason to lie to me that he said that explicitly and not for
00:08:18.040 nothing, but the conversation went on. And I will tell you that I told him not to do it. And that was
00:08:22.680 not necessarily because I knew anything about the funding. We didn't get into that more than him
00:08:25.800 saying it was his French guy, but I don't have good feelings about this Lauren Chen. And I was right.
00:08:31.340 And I'm sorry that Dave got swept up in this and I'm sorry, Tim did. I don't know Benny, but you
00:08:37.480 know, I do think these guys are right that they were the victims in this scheme. And sure, you can
00:08:42.080 say they should have known, I get it. But you guys know, I did that fraud series over, um, our,
00:08:49.000 my June vacation. And I too was almost defrauded. It was a totally different scheme. It was,
00:08:55.620 it was like some guy trying to convince us that my mother-in-law trying to convince her that, uh,
00:09:00.080 her daughter had been in a car accident, pay money and all that. You should check the episode
00:09:03.520 out. It's actually really good, but I understand it's very easy with 2020 hindsight to say they
00:09:09.280 should have known. Anyway, the question now is what does this indictment mean? Because they claim
00:09:16.320 that there's a wider reach than just this podcast network. And they also don't say that Lauren and
00:09:27.980 her husband, Liam Donovan, not to be confused with the Liam Donovan, who's very prolific on Twitter,
00:09:33.380 who's all out there saying that it's not me. It's different Liam Donovan. What about them?
00:09:39.300 They are not indicted per this document, though. That doesn't mean it hasn't happened in secret
00:09:45.200 and that they've potentially turned against these two Russians and are cooperating with them. But I
00:09:50.860 will tell you when you read this indictment, for sure, these two Russians seem like the villains
00:09:55.320 and Lauren and her husband do not come off much better. We'll see what their defense is. So far,
00:10:02.640 they've said nothing. And I'll get more into detail on what the podcasters are saying in their own
00:10:07.300 defense in one second. Okay. Joining me now to discuss Joel Pollack. He's author of the new book,
00:10:12.100 The Agenda, what Trump should do in his first 100 days. And Dave Ehrenberg, state attorney for Palm
00:10:17.200 Beach County, Florida, and host of True Crime MTN on YouTube. I have to tell you about the Daily
00:10:25.660 Wires documentary. It's amazing. That is exposing the left's precious DEI industry. It is called Am I
00:10:33.120 Racist? And it hits theaters, like real theaters, nationwide on September 13th. Go. And honestly,
00:10:40.140 I'm going to go and I'm going to bring my kids. I think my kids will laugh and learn. This is from
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00:10:48.880 seriously is to laugh it into oblivion. Matt Walsh goes deep undercover, man, bun, and all in the
00:10:56.280 twisted world of diversity training. And the results are as hilarious as they are shocking. Here's the
00:11:02.780 deal. Let's pack these theaters. This is more than just entertainment. It's a counterpunch to Hollywood's
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00:11:22.300 your tickets right now. Bring your friends, your family, even bring a liberal. They might learn
00:11:26.240 something. They might realize that they're actually on our side. Let's show conservatives can dominate the
00:11:31.600 box office and make opening weekend a huge success. Don't sit this one out. I promise you,
00:11:37.660 you are going to laugh. You're going to learn. You'll be horrified and you'll be glad they made
00:11:41.460 this movie. Head to amiracist.com and get your tickets now. Joel, Dave, welcome back to the show.
00:11:48.140 So Dave, you're an actual criminal prosecutor in Palm Beach. So I'll ask you first, what do you make of
00:11:54.120 my summary of these allegations and how troubling do you find them? Troubling. And I think you're spot
00:11:59.660 on, Megan, especially when you're talking about Lauren Chen. You know, Lauren Chen was pretty normal
00:12:04.540 for a while and then she started taking money from Russia, apparently around 2021. And then all of a
00:12:10.900 sudden she started complaining about the influence of Jews in political life and AIPAC and how they
00:12:16.440 were controlling the agenda. What sounds like projecting to me, right? The whole dual loyalty
00:12:20.840 thing. All of a sudden she started being one of the more prominent anti-Semites on social media. So
00:12:26.400 I have no sympathy for her and hopefully she'll be held accountable in all this. And you're right to call
00:12:32.200 her out. As far as the others, you know, I worry about like with Tim Poole, for example,
00:12:37.600 he was issuing broadsides against Ukraine, saying Ukraine was the biggest enemy of the United States.
00:12:42.960 You're wondering, where did this come from? Well, you have to wonder, you know, was he a useful
00:12:46.900 idiot for Russia? I, the, the government said he wasn't a Russian agent. They didn't indict him for
00:12:52.820 anything, but they're sort of accusing him being useful idiots where they are promoting Russian
00:12:57.840 propaganda. And now all of a sudden I've seen social media where he's backing down from that
00:13:02.020 and saying, well, you know, I've switched on Ukraine. I don't know if that's real or not,
00:13:06.180 but it's really suspicious. And I'm glad the government's doing this and that they were
00:13:10.520 unafraid to do this, this close to the election. I'm actually a little surprised because Merrick
00:13:14.780 Garland is not known for his courage. He's known for his timidity. And here we are with this. And
00:13:21.020 for those who think this is political, they could have indicted people, perhaps if they really
00:13:25.800 wanted to get political, they did not. You were correct, Megan, how you phrase this.
00:13:29.980 So it's, it's an important issue. It is troubling. And we should all be talking about it today as you
00:13:34.580 are. But before I get Joel's reaction to that, Dave, is it, it's very odd that Lauren and her
00:13:39.820 husband are not named as, you know, two of the targets to the indicted defendants. So, and there's
00:13:46.760 no way the government doesn't think it has the ability to do that against them. If you read the
00:13:51.020 indictment, they're, they're really among the top villains. And they make very clear that they
00:13:57.060 believe Lauren and her husband, they have, they have them dead rights. They believe on knowing this
00:14:01.660 was Russian money and that they were acting as agents of Russia and that they were hiding it from
00:14:06.000 the podcasters. So you tell me as a DA, what do you think is happening behind the scenes here?
00:14:11.480 Because those are like the only two who haven't issued a statement.
00:14:14.620 Right. Well, that is telling. That could mean they're cooperating or in discussions to cooperate.
00:14:20.600 I don't know if they've been issued a target letter. The feds keep things close to the best.
00:14:24.300 Could they have been indicted? Could they already have been indicted secretly and cut a deal to work
00:14:28.760 with the feds? They could have cut a deal. I think that a secret indictment is unlikely. I think that
00:14:35.080 they could have cut a deal. Yes. The feds are uniquely private about these things. This is something
00:14:40.580 that we're different at the state level. We're public about everything. The feds do
00:14:44.560 work in secret. But you have to wonder, why would they do a secret indictment? They would
00:14:48.640 go ahead and they would indict or they would be talking to them, issuing them a target letter
00:14:53.300 and then negotiating with them. Perhaps they have flipped already because it is very conspicuous
00:14:58.280 by her silence. So you don't need to indict them, is your point, to get them to cooperate.
00:15:03.280 The DOJ, the FBI shows up and says, you're going to be indicted. And here's all the evidence
00:15:08.940 we have against you. And clearly they've been monitoring their emails and their communications
00:15:12.200 for months now. It's like they know where this is leading. And most people would probably cut a deal
00:15:18.600 because they'd be terrified. Yeah, exactly. You know, the feds usually get their person because
00:15:24.700 unlike the state, they've got really draconian penalties, unlimited resources, limited discovery
00:15:31.020 for defendants. And that's why they win about 98 percent of their cases. And unless your name is Mark
00:15:35.840 Cuban, you're likely going down. So it's probably good to cooperate early on.
00:15:39.860 Okay, Joel. So what do you make of everything we've just discussed? Because I'll just say this
00:15:44.760 one thing. I know Dave is saying that like Tim Pool was shilling on Ukraine. You and I both know that
00:15:52.180 in the conservative sphere in particular, being against our involvement, our support of Ukraine
00:15:57.860 is not that controversial a position. Oh, shoot. You know, we're having trouble with Joel. All right,
00:16:03.740 I'm going to keep it on you then, Dave, while we restore Joel's connection. So it's not that unusual,
00:16:08.540 right? There are a lot of people who are not shills for Russia who think we shouldn't have
00:16:12.980 anything to do with Ukraine. The Republican Party in general is becoming more isolationist
00:16:16.760 under Trump. And you don't have to think much of Russia at all to have that position. And here's as
00:16:22.700 far as the indictment goes. It reads in paragraph two, while the views expressed in the videos are not
00:16:29.940 uniform, the subject matter and content of the videos are often consistent with the government of
00:16:37.420 Russia's interest in amplifying U.S. domestic divisions in order to weaken U.S. opposition
00:16:42.140 to core government of Russia interests, such as its ongoing war in Ukraine. I mean, that is quite a
00:16:49.360 thin read, Dave. They're not uniform, but the subject matter and content of the videos are often
00:16:55.080 consistent with Russia's interest in amplifying U.S. domestic divisions. I mean, you could say that
00:17:01.540 this show is consistent with a desire to amplify domestic divisions because we talk about controversial
00:17:07.040 things. We don't we're not all about unity and rainbows and unicorns like this. This seems like a
00:17:12.600 thin read. I hear you. It's just the content of Tim Pool. He didn't just say, you know, I disagree with
00:17:19.680 our policy towards Ukraine. He actually said Ukraine is the greatest threat to the United States. Stuff that
00:17:24.000 is so preposterous. Like you're like wondering, did Vladimir Putin write that himself? And now I don't know if
00:17:29.420 this is true because I saw on Twitter. I don't like calling it the other name, but on Twitter that
00:17:33.780 he's now changed his position. I don't because I don't know what to believe anymore if there's it's
00:17:38.360 a deep fake or not. But if he changed his position overnight because of that, that's also telling
00:17:42.220 one more thing on that. Remember, there was that attack on the concert venue in Moscow in March.
00:17:47.380 It was an ISIS attack. And yet the Russians who were involved with this operation told the folks
00:17:54.140 a tenant to push the narrative that it was Ukraine behind it. And apparently some of the folks that
00:17:59.680 were eager to do so. So, you know, that's why it's like it's a little more than just saying we
00:18:04.080 disagree. Let's be specific. That's let's be specific. I saw that same allegation. It's and
00:18:09.000 it's probably the worst, the worst allegation in here about what they did. But it's not them.
00:18:15.700 It's not like, first of all, I want to reiterate on Tim Pool because you're saying, OK, he was maybe
00:18:19.880 he was shilling, but he's not even alleged to have known that the Russians were here like we're
00:18:24.120 paying him. So there would have been no reason for him to change his position, position to be
00:18:27.980 pro-Russia. He may he may have just been pro-Russia. He may have just been anti-Ukraine. I think that he
00:18:32.600 was anti-Ukraine and I think he could have come by that and did come by that totally organically
00:18:36.400 without knowing he was getting Russian money. That's what the indictment says. But here's the thing
00:18:41.420 that you're referring to that does bear some discussion. And that is on page 24 and 25 of the
00:18:46.720 indictment. They write that on or about February 14th, 2024, one of these Russians, she goes by
00:18:54.520 a couple of different names, but one of them is Helena Shudra shared with Tenet. They don't say
00:19:00.560 Tenet. They say U.S. Company One, but we know it's Tenet. A video of a well-known U.S. political
00:19:05.420 commentator visiting a grocery store in Russia. That's obviously Tucker. Helena posted the video
00:19:11.840 on the producer's Discord channel. That's an internal, that's like how you communicate in
00:19:18.300 like a more protected way internally as producers at Tenet. Later that day, producer one, and we don't
00:19:25.460 know who that is, privately messaged founder two, that's Liam Donovan, Lauren's husband,
00:19:30.960 on Discord. They want me to push this, right? So this producer, again, we don't know who it is,
00:19:35.660 referencing this video of Tucker. But it just feels like overt shilling. Founder two, meaning,
00:19:41.580 again, Liam Donovan, replied that founder one, that's Lauren Chen, quote, thinks we should put
00:19:46.940 it out there. Producer one acquiesced, responding, all right, I'll put it out tomorrow. Then the next
00:19:52.620 example. As another example, on or about March 22nd, 2024, Helena, the Russian, shared in the
00:20:00.240 producer Discord channel a video of the March 22, 2024 terrorist attack on a music venue in Moscow,
00:20:05.700 which killed approximately 145 people and injured hundreds more. Producer one privately messaged
00:20:11.440 founder one, meaning Lauren Chen, writing, I don't know if you saw it, but they want me to post
00:20:15.880 some footage from an attack in Moscow today. There's a watermark in the middle of the page
00:20:20.580 that's blurred, which looks bad. And it's also pretty graphic. You can see people getting shot,
00:20:26.140 albeit from far away. That's a very normal producer email descent. It's got a watermark,
00:20:30.960 meaning somebody else owns it. And there's excessive violence. Is that something we're going to put on
00:20:34.980 the air? Founder one, Lauren Chen, did not push back on the content of the clip,
00:20:38.700 but replied in the producer Discord channel, quote, I'm not sure. Uh, it's, it's a good idea
00:20:46.320 to blur out someone's modern watermark. Then weighs in the Russian, Helena, assuring the group that,
00:20:52.880 quote, it's fine. No worries. It falls under fair use. Producer one and producer two found a video clip
00:20:59.100 of the attack without the watermark and posted the clip to X. The next day, Helena privately messer
00:21:05.700 messaged founder one, Lauren Chen on discord asking that quote, one of our creators record something
00:21:12.140 about the Moscow terror attack. Despite public reporting that the foreign terrorist organization,
00:21:16.860 ISIS had claimed responsibility for the attack. Helena requested that tenant media blame Ukraine
00:21:22.340 and the U S writing quote, I think we can focus on the Ukraine slash U S angle. The mainstream media
00:21:28.040 spread fake news that ISIS claimed responsibility for the attack. Yet ISIS itself never made such statements.
00:21:33.120 All terrorists are now detained while they were headed to the border with Ukraine, which makes
00:21:37.960 it even more suspicious why they would want to go to Ukraine to hide and quote founder one, meaning
00:21:44.180 Lauren Chen responded that she would ask commentator three. We don't know who that is. And the next day
00:21:53.040 confirmed that commentator three said, quote, he's happy to cover it. That's the entirety of getting
00:22:00.320 one of the hired podcasters or influencers to directly shill. We don't know who commentator three
00:22:07.540 is, but it's not Ruben and it's not Tim pool. And it's not the woman who's been mentioned,
00:22:12.460 not Lauren Chen, but the other podcaster. And this person, all this person would have known was that
00:22:18.960 Lauren Chen was asking him to push this message. And there's no, not even an allegation that he would
00:22:26.800 have known. It was a Russian request, just that Lauren Chen who brought him into this company
00:22:31.780 thought this was a good angle to pursue. That's as far as it goes. I think we have Joel now, Joel,
00:22:38.080 welcome your take on all of this. Thanks, Megan. And hi, Dave. You know, I just want to say Dave's
00:22:43.280 one of the most fair-minded people out there. It's great to hear his take. And I remember watching in
00:22:49.020 2016 when he came out with the decision not to prosecute Corey Lewandowski over the incident with my
00:22:55.560 former colleague, Michelle Fields, and we all expected him to prosecute Lewandowski because
00:22:59.280 he's a Democrat and it's Palm Beach County. And he didn't, he looked at the facts and he called it
00:23:04.860 as he saw it. So he's a real great person to meet here, at least virtually. I think that this is,
00:23:11.300 I think this is a case where there are different people who are swept up in this. I mean, I think
00:23:18.000 it's funny to call people who've received millions of dollars victims. You know, usually when you talk
00:23:22.160 about victims of fraud, they're the ones who lost millions of dollars. So, you know, maybe I wouldn't
00:23:27.040 mind being a victim who got paid millions of dollars, but, but anyway, look, I think they are
00:23:32.380 going to suffer a little bit through this controversy. The only two that I know are Tim Poole and Lauren
00:23:37.820 Chen. And Tim Poole, I've been on his show a couple of times. I was there last week and he's always struck
00:23:44.440 me as a straight shooter. Nobody should assume that because he had sponsorship from this organization or
00:23:50.900 that person that he's taking their view. He has strong views. He has views against our foreign
00:23:57.800 policy in Ukraine and so forth. And I don't think anybody could have bought him either way.
00:24:03.580 Lauren Chen, I don't know very well, but I got to know her sort of through X or Twitter back in
00:24:09.680 October, where she came after me out of the blue. When I said some things about Israel that were pro-Israel,
00:24:15.760 admittedly quite strident and emotional after October 7th, but she was pretty hostile and she
00:24:23.380 was the first influencer or person with any kind of following that I really noticed who was
00:24:28.120 representing what surprised me as a kind of anti-Israel strain of thought on the online right.
00:24:35.560 You know, we've all seen the left explode in the streets and on campus. And there's always been some
00:24:41.040 anti-Semitism on the right and the left, especially online where people can comment anonymously.
00:24:44.900 But Lauren Chen represented this very passionate and quite rehearsed strain of thinking that was
00:24:53.900 very anti-Israel. She dialed it back over the months as these mobs emerged on campus. And I think she
00:24:59.820 took exception to that. But it now seems to me that we have to take every manifestation of some of this
00:25:07.240 online anti-Semitism or bigotry or weird commentary of any sort with a grain of salt, because we don't know
00:25:13.700 who's being paid to say what. And if that's where this came from, if this new resurgent anti-Semitism
00:25:22.100 online is coming from people who are paid to do it, I think on the one hand, it should make us feel
00:25:27.260 better because I don't think Americans are innately anti-Semitic. On the other hand, we really have to
00:25:32.860 be concerned about how much this sort of thing is affecting our discourse.
00:25:36.260 I think there's no evidence of that. There's no evidence. I've definitely seen her anti-Israel
00:25:43.180 tweets. I mean, she's been as aggressive as anybody. But there's no evidence. There's not
00:25:49.340 even an allegation in here. How is that, you know, that she was doing that to satisfy these Russian
00:25:54.920 handlers of hers, the people who are—because she was also making banks. She wasn't making as much as
00:25:59.860 Tim and Dave. But she was making thousands of dollars. I think they allege she made $750,000
00:26:05.040 in the not quite one year that this tenant media was operating. So she was getting paid a lot. But
00:26:11.460 it seemed like it was mostly to be pro-Russian, not anti-Israel. I'm going to defend her, Joel,
00:26:18.000 by saying she came by that one honestly. I think she just genuinely doesn't like the, you know,
00:26:23.800 the country of Israel or those who support it. But in any event, let me just ask—let me say this.
00:26:27.840 Okay, so I want to get to a little bit of their—what the guys are saying in their defense.
00:26:31.780 I take your point that they've made a lot of money. And there are many people online saying,
00:26:34.940 are they going to give it back? Are they going to give it back? Well, that's sticky because I'm sure
00:26:38.540 they paid people to help them with like—I mean, Dave was doing this show on viral videos. I'm sure
00:26:44.740 he had somebody he paid. I don't know where that's going to go. But here's what Dave says.
00:26:48.840 He says, these allegations clearly show that I and other commentators were the victims of this scheme.
00:26:53.040 I knew absolutely nothing about any of this fraudulent activity, period. People of the internet,
00:26:57.560 that was the name of his show, was a silly show covering viral videos, which ended four months
00:27:02.420 ago. The DOJ has never contacted me regarding this matter. He put this out last night, and I have
00:27:07.060 no intention to comment further. This screenshot directly from the indictment speaks for itself.
00:27:12.440 And there is—there's an explicit admission by the DOJ that these podcasters did not know that
00:27:20.740 Lauren, they say, knew, and her husband knew, and they kept it a secret and misled these guys into
00:27:25.720 thinking this Edouard guy, this Parisian, was really the money behind it. And again,
00:27:30.360 I can tell you myself, that's what Dave told me. Taylor Hanson, he's another one of the faces.
00:27:37.120 He says, these allegations are a complete shock. I want to be as clear as possible. I was never
00:27:41.140 directed a report on any topic. I had complete freedom and control over my reporting at all
00:27:44.660 times. I would never agree to any arrangement where I'm not the sole person in charge of the stories.
00:27:48.740 Matt Christensen, he's another one. At no point has anyone ever directed me what to say or what not to
00:27:52.860 say. I would never agree to anything otherwise. My videos and streams for Tenet are exactly the
00:27:56.900 same as my videos and streams for my personal channels. Every word's from me and me alone.
00:28:00.540 Tim Poole, we have him on camera because he reacted on his show today. Here's what he says
00:28:04.520 in part. Did you read the indictment? It clearly says that I, as well as the other personalities,
00:28:10.380 were victims. We were deceived by people intentionally to trick us into licensing our content to them.
00:28:16.560 I will add, I have a statement about this, which, you know, we'll launch the full segment,
00:28:20.420 but we never produced anything for them. We had an existing show that was already in production
00:28:26.000 that they licensed distribution for, which meant that the show that we already produced
00:28:30.020 appeared on their network. That was the gist of the deal. So there's no one from their company
00:28:36.700 involved with ours. Their company paid a license fee to broadcast a show that we produce, that we run,
00:28:41.580 that our employees are involved with, and they have nothing to do with. I don't know what,
00:28:45.200 I mean, like politically, you're going to see a bunch of Democrats making claims and all this other
00:28:48.400 stuff. I can't speak for anybody else involved in the company because I don't know what they do
00:28:52.080 or what their jobs are or anything like that. I can just tell you plainly, Culture War existed
00:28:57.180 well before the license agreement. It will exist well after the license agreement,
00:29:00.960 and they licensed it for a set period, and that meant that the show appeared on their channel.
00:29:04.920 That's it. Go ahead, Joel.
00:29:09.840 Well, it's just interesting. You mentioned that the fictitious French businessman was named
00:29:13.580 Edouard. His last name, I think, was Gregorian. It had one too many Ns. I think the double N at the
00:29:19.120 end of the last game was to tell that this was not really a well-thought-out person or persona.
00:29:25.740 But look, I have actually been in a similar situation. I don't know if you remember,
00:29:29.520 but the late Larry King had a show on a network called Aura.TV. And I used to go to his studio,
00:29:36.100 and he was still very sharp, well into his 80s or however old he was. He had a huge staff and so forth.
00:29:41.080 And then Russia Today, which is the network involved in this indictment, they bought Aura or they bought
00:29:49.040 whatever parent company was running this. And so I would go to film with Aura.TV, but then
00:29:54.300 my interviews would be replayed on Russia Today. I would never have gone to Russia Today,
00:30:00.120 but this content was, I guess, licensed to them. And I think that's what Tim Poole is saying,
00:30:05.120 that he was producing this and it was licensed to them anyway. So again, different people may have
00:30:10.640 been involved at different levels. But I think the explanation for this is pretty simple. Russia
00:30:15.820 saw people who were against the war in Ukraine, and that was their fundamental interest, or at least
00:30:21.860 skeptical of the war in Ukraine. And that was their interest in amplifying those voices for purely
00:30:26.940 strategic reasons. They want the American political discourse to shift away from support
00:30:32.600 for Ukraine. And I'm skeptical of the war in Ukraine in some ways. Nobody has made me a victim.
00:30:39.240 I am too, at this point.
00:30:40.400 Yeah. I'd like to be a victim. Maybe not at the price of my integrity. But look, this is going to
00:30:48.240 happen. We do have to be very careful about where funding comes from. And my former Breitbart
00:30:53.780 colleague, who went on to serve in the Trump administration and now has his own media show,
00:30:57.820 Sev Gorka, he had a lengthy post on X about how Lauren Chen had approached him to do content for
00:31:04.680 her company. And he said, well, where's the money coming from? And she couldn't answer him. And then
00:31:10.220 she sent him this information about Gregorian with the extra end. And he said, this doesn't look right.
00:31:14.720 And you walked away from it. So I do think it was possible to ask some more questions about this.
00:31:21.620 And I think, unfortunately, in the world we're in, where this is not just cute social media content,
00:31:27.340 this is seen by important people as very powerful. You have to be careful about who you're
00:31:32.200 dealing with. Here she is, just to give you a visual. I'm just going to run a quick soundbite
00:31:36.560 of Lauren Chen talking about repealing the 19th Amendment, because it's so annoying when the women
00:31:42.100 vote. It's not too. Democracy, all it means at its core is mob rule. And yeah, you have institutions
00:31:49.300 like the UN who like to tack on these other aspects of it. Oh, it's only a democracy. There's a
00:31:53.920 certain amount of freedom of the press. You can have opposition parties without any issues.
00:31:58.780 Like all these other things are really at its core. Democracy simply means mob rule,
00:32:03.420 majority rule. And I'm sorry to burst your bubble, guys, if you're watching this,
00:32:07.240 but there is nothing at all that says that mob rule is conducive or synonymous to freedom and
00:32:13.140 individual liberty. The 19th Amendment specifically, more so than any other law or provision out there,
00:32:19.100 solidified the concept of universal suffrage in our collective conscience. When you look at the
00:32:25.440 language of the 19th Amendment, it makes it clear that voting isn't just a civil liberty. It is
00:32:30.540 essentially a human right, no different than the right to free speech or the right to bear arms.
00:32:35.780 It talks about how the government should not be able to deny the right to vote to someone
00:32:39.740 instead of how I believe we should view voting as a privilege, something that needs to be actively
00:32:45.780 granted to someone. I am somewhat saying that women shouldn't have the right to vote in the same
00:32:51.360 way that I'm thinking that just men should not have the right to vote. Genders, entire groups of
00:32:57.280 people should not be given control of our government. All right. She's an idiot. She is just a fucking
00:33:05.800 idiot. I just, it sounds like it's no, it's no accident. They targeted her. It is no accident.
00:33:12.300 They thought I got a live one right there. The blaze TV has just fired her. That just hit. She
00:33:17.920 was an independent contractor says Tyler Carden blaze media CEO. And, uh, her contract has been
00:33:24.220 terminated. We'll see what happens to her in this legal case. Just because you're an idiot doesn't
00:33:29.940 mean you go to jail. She's not indicted by the way. I forgot to read Benny Johnson's denial. He says
00:33:35.280 a year ago, we were pitched by this startup media company to provide content as an independent
00:33:40.280 contractor. Our lawyers negotiated a standard arms Lake deal. It was later terminated. We're disturbed
00:33:44.540 by these allegations, which make clear that myself and others were victims in this scheme. My lawyers
00:33:48.500 will handle anyone who states or suggest otherwise. Got to leave it at that. Cause I know Dave's got
00:33:52.420 to run. You guys, thank you. Thank you both so much for being here. Thank you. Unbelievable, right?
00:33:58.760 I'm just like, I, it's very annoying. The whole thing is annoying because let me tell you why it's
00:34:06.700 annoying. Let me, let me play you the soundbite from morning, Joe. Look what the left is going
00:34:11.260 to do with this shit. This is what they're going to do. Not, not because of Dave, not because of
00:34:15.580 Tim, not because of Benny, because of you, Lauren, according to this indictment, we'll hear your
00:34:20.300 denial. I'm open-minded to your denial. Let's hear it. So far, she said nothing. I think we know why
00:34:25.320 she's probably working with them. Um, listen to how the people over at morning, Joe, and I'm sure
00:34:31.140 the entire left today is already spinning this. We've all seen it for several years. There are
00:34:37.860 people who are deliberately or unknowingly or unknowingly promoting Russian propaganda,
00:34:45.480 propaganda that comes straight from the Kremlin. Of course, one of the great ironies about this is,
00:34:51.460 uh, not really an irony. It's just cynicism and it's, and it's just unfortunately un-American.
00:34:57.620 These are the same people, uh, that get out, a lot of them, that get out and talk about the
00:35:04.080 Russian hoax. Oh, there's a Russian. Oh, there's a, there's no, come on. What are you talking about?
00:35:09.800 There's no connection between, you know, this and Russia and Russia is not trying to, but always
00:35:16.660 apologizing for Russia, always apologizing for Putin. Yeah. These are the people online, like you say,
00:35:22.420 Joe, who have condemned what they call the Russia hoax, despite all the information we had in front of
00:35:27.280 us from the Mueller report and now from this indictment, but also who are perceived as truth
00:35:33.040 tellers outside the mainstream media. You're not getting the real story. You're not getting the true
00:35:37.320 story. Come to my YouTube channel and I'll tell you the truth. Well, it turns out some of those
00:35:41.360 prominent among them were complete dupes for the Russian government. That's where they're going to
00:35:47.760 go with this. They're not going to read the indictment. They're not going to see that the feds
00:35:51.140 do not even allege in particular that Tim and Dave had any knowledge whatsoever that any of them
00:35:58.920 had any knowledge whatsoever that the Russians, other than Lauren and her husband, were actually
00:36:03.100 paying the salaries. Uh, and in, except for that one instance, I just read you with commentator
00:36:08.960 number three and it's a, he, so I, it's either Benny Johnson, Matt Christensen or Taylor Hanson.
00:36:17.620 Cause we know, uh, Rubin and pool are one and two. There's no specific allegation that anybody ever
00:36:24.780 actively covered or changed their coverage of something in the news at the request, not of,
00:36:31.320 not of the Russians, but of Lauren. That's as much as they've been able to allege. So even commentator
00:36:37.220 number three thought this was coming from Lauren and according to the indictment did change or at
00:36:42.280 least agreed to cover a story. I don't know whether he would have otherwise, but that person's going to
00:36:46.620 need to speak out and should speak out. Uh, and this is, this does not undo years of false Russia gate
00:36:54.740 allegations, but that's where the left is going to go with it. Shame on all of the people who push this
00:37:00.960 on us. And I'm talking to you, you two Russians who allegedly work for RT and if Lauren and her
00:37:07.040 husband, Liam actually did what's alleged in this indictment, I realized it's a DOJ. I realized the
00:37:11.480 FBI. I realized what their history is, but they are citing specific emails and so on. Then shame on
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00:38:26.380 A major about face by a quote unquote Republican. Well, she's a Republican. She just, she's never
00:38:32.980 Trumper. Hardcore never Trumper. Who just a few years ago was very anti-Kamala Harris. Yes,
00:38:38.820 Liz Cheney. She has now publicly endorsed the vice president. And the left is very,
00:38:43.980 very excited about this because they think it's going to persuade who again. Joining me now,
00:38:51.160 the guys from Real Clear Politics. Find them across the dial on SiriusXM every night. They're
00:38:56.140 on the POTUS channel and we've got them all. Tom Bevan, co-founder and president of RCP,
00:39:01.820 Carl Cannon, Washington Bureau chief, and Andrew Walworth, chief content officer. Guys,
00:39:07.680 I hope this isn't too personal, but I love the podcast and I listen to it all the time.
00:39:11.460 And sometimes like if I wake up in the middle of the night or whatever, I'll put on a podcast and
00:39:16.560 I'll listen to it. And last night I, I was, it was like four 30 in the morning and I was listening
00:39:23.300 to the RCP show and you'll be happy to know it did not put me back to sleep. It did not.
00:39:30.180 Great news. So thank you. Thank you for that. Um, okay. So let's start with Liz Cheney. Tom,
00:39:35.780 I bet team Trump is quaking in its boots. This is the ultimate, uh, you know, dog bites man story.
00:39:44.440 Like what, what is the news here really? Right. We know Liz Cheney is, is not a fan of Donald Trump.
00:39:50.940 That's obvious. And so the idea was, I mean, she made this big announcement that she'd thought
00:39:56.020 deeply about this and she was going to go ahead and vote for Kamala. I mean, I just don't know what
00:39:59.740 to, obviously it gets play in the media and on MSNBC because it's bad news for Trump or it's,
00:40:06.180 it's, you know, it's a bad headline for Trump or whatever. But to your point, Megan, like,
00:40:10.200 who's this going to convince how this is, this is really not much of the story at all, in my opinion.
00:40:16.500 And yet people are excited about it. I don't know. Here she is. Here's Liz Cheney explaining her
00:40:21.240 reasoning. Sot 10. I think it is, it is crucially important for, for people to recognize not only
00:40:32.520 is what I've just said about the danger that Trump poses, uh, something that should prevent people
00:40:39.960 from voting for him. Um, but I don't believe that we have the luxury of writing in candidates' names,
00:40:48.200 particularly in swing States. And as a conservative, as someone who believes in and cares about the
00:40:54.700 constitution, uh, I have thought deeply about this. And because of the danger that Donald Trump
00:41:01.280 poses, uh, not only am I not voting for Donald Trump, but I will be voting for Kamala Harris.
00:41:10.080 All right. And yet, Carl, you've got tweets all over the internet, including this one from August,
00:41:14.620 2020, where Liz Cheney wrote, Kamala Harris is a radical liberal who would, who would raise taxes,
00:41:19.780 take away guns and health insurance and explode the size and power of the federal government.
00:41:23.280 She wants to recreate America in the image of what's happening on the streets of Portland and
00:41:27.280 Seattle. We won't give her the chance. So which, which constitution is governing right now in Liz
00:41:33.500 Cheney's mind? Well, Megan, I understand why some of these establishment Republicans dislike Trump.
00:41:39.540 They, you know, people like, you know, you know, the names, Bill Kristol and Liz Cheney and other
00:41:44.820 people, some people, some of them are my friends, you know, Donald, it was like a hostile takeover
00:41:49.200 their party in their minds. So some, the way some of them talk about Trump is, is angrier than the
00:41:55.560 Democrats. I understand that. But so then you think, are they, some of them want Trump to lose so that
00:42:02.500 they can reconstitute, you know, bring back what they would call the norms or whatever, you know,
00:42:06.780 bring back the old coalition? Maybe. And, but she didn't say that. What she said was that
00:42:13.860 Donald Trump is a threat to the constitution. They, you know, that this will be the last election
00:42:17.720 we ever have. The, these, you know, these ideas about that Donald Trump is a, an authoritarian,
00:42:23.920 that the democracy is actually on the ballot. There's no evidence for that. And the Democrats ran on that
00:42:30.440 in 2020 in the midterms and it helped them. They're running on it again. I, I don't, I don't
00:42:36.240 understand why people believe that, but that's what Liz Cheney said. And so it, you know, once
00:42:41.980 you get to that point, I guess, then you think, gee, Kamala Harris would be a terrible president
00:42:46.320 and the Democrats are, their policies are awful, but I'm doing this to save my country. I think
00:42:50.600 they've convinced themselves of this. I just don't think that this is going to have influence over
00:42:55.520 a single American. Absolutely not one, not one. All the people who are going to vote for Kamala
00:43:00.900 will say, great, Liz Cheney's on board. And all the people who are going to vote for Trump will say,
00:43:04.440 who cares? We know Liz Cheney hates Trump and the undecided four people who live in these swing
00:43:09.160 states will say who, what? I don't. Okay. And they're going to move on. Um, like Mike Pence
00:43:15.060 is not supporting Trump. That didn't seem to have some massive impact. I don't know why Liz Cheney
00:43:19.920 would. Um, but let's talk about the, the biggest news that's coming in the next week or so. And
00:43:25.940 that's the debate. Apparently Andrew, there will be Mike's turned off during the other person's
00:43:34.280 turn. So while Trump is speaking, her white Mike will be off while she is speaking. Trump's Mike
00:43:38.980 will be turned off. This was the subject of debate for weeks. And, uh, the reports are that her team
00:43:46.700 is very disappointed about this because she was looking to have what they're calling a, um, a Brett
00:43:54.320 Kavanaugh moment with her, where she, she got up and Brett Kavanaugh's face during the confirmation
00:43:59.820 hearing. So how big an impact if any, will this have on our experience of this debate on Tuesday
00:44:05.560 night? Well, I guess marginally, uh, people are saying it's a victory for Trump. I don't think it
00:44:11.140 makes any difference at all. Uh, I think they were going to debate no matter what they both need the
00:44:16.560 debate. Um, Trump has been practicing and practicing for this. Uh, every time he goes out and speaks to
00:44:23.040 someone on a podcast or a town hall or, uh, within with a press conference, he's practicing. So I think
00:44:30.780 he's ready for the debate. The big question is, is she ready? Um, there'll be no notes, uh, that you can
00:44:36.760 bring. It's a standup debate, I believe still. So it will be all the rules that applied during Joe
00:44:43.720 Biden's debate. And we saw how that ended up for Joe Biden. So, um, if, if, if, if I had to bet,
00:44:50.200 I think he probably will have a good night and, uh, she's going to be, the bar's pretty high for her
00:44:54.780 because she has not been doing any press talk to anybody been challenged in any way other than that
00:45:01.540 CNN interview. Um, so we'll see what happens, but every, you know, the stakes are pretty high,
00:45:07.560 I guess. Yeah. Well, in the meantime, NBC news reporting earlier this week, that this is how
00:45:12.380 she's preparing that she's being coached to avoid being pulled into Trump's personal attacks by
00:45:17.320 remaining calm. She and her team are focusing on how to needle Trump and rattle him in that sense.
00:45:24.840 The source said it's going to be less about substance and more about showcasing Harris as a
00:45:30.720 woman who is not scared. Okay. So that's what we're looking for to president. Now, a woman,
00:45:36.620 she's a woman. So check who is not scared of Donald Trump that will earn you the presidency
00:45:42.640 in the eyes of her team, Tom Bevin, but the plan to rattle and needle Trump is a good one.
00:45:51.320 And we'll see whether they're able to do it. That was what they did throughout
00:45:54.680 the DNC, making fun of him, not being a billionaire, his money, the criminal cases against him.
00:46:02.660 And he held his fire. He did not start spouting off on truth social in the middle of the night,
00:46:08.720 face to face across from her. Can he do it? Yeah, we'll find out. I mean, look,
00:46:14.940 the reason she wanted these mics on is she wanted to pull that same shtick that she did with Mike Pence
00:46:19.220 in 2020. You know, excuse me, excuse me, I'm speaking, stop speaking over me, sort of,
00:46:24.140 you know, that, that whole thing. Totally. And there was a report by, I think, CNN,
00:46:29.620 who had a source that ABC News saying that, or that the campaign, Kamala Harris's campaign had
00:46:37.040 gotten assurances from ABC that if there was some crosstalk, that the mics would be turned on
00:46:43.020 and that the moderators would help inform the public about what, what was being said. So,
00:46:48.100 you know, that was sort of a curious report. I'll be interested to see when, when this actually goes
00:46:53.540 down, whether those mics are fully turned off the entire time or whether they, you know, they might
00:46:58.840 be left on on occasion or, or how, how they handle the crosstalk between these two candidates. But
00:47:03.740 you're certainly right that, you know, she's going to try and get in his head and say some things and,
00:47:09.540 you know, try and get him to overreact and then, you know, play, perhaps play the victim or whatever
00:47:16.080 the situation is going to be. And Trump has to be aware of that and, and has to basically not fall
00:47:21.860 for it. And we'll see whether he's able to do that or not. You never know. I suppose it, it'll depend
00:47:26.080 on the, you know, the mood he's in on the night of the debate. He's had far more experience with
00:47:31.740 adversarial media than she is, which is to his advantage, Carl. Well, yeah. And you've reminded me of
00:47:38.080 something. The first person who showed on a presidential debate staff, uh, the debate stage
00:47:44.000 that they could be simultaneously a woman and unafraid of Donald Trump was Megyn Kelly.
00:47:51.900 So I guess you for president, I think it does. And, and in terms, in terms of that microphone,
00:48:00.540 I'll take you guys back when a couple of elections, even earlier, Al Gore's debating George Bush
00:48:06.220 and there, and Al Gore, Bush is talking and Gore was sighing so loudly into the microphone.
00:48:12.140 Those of us who were in the hall there couldn't hear Bush. And I was sitting next to Frank Bruni
00:48:17.240 of the New York times. I said, Frank, is the air conditioning broken? What's going on? And he
00:48:21.440 turned to me and said, I think that's Gore. And the neck and on TV, it wasn't as bad, but the next day,
00:48:27.920 Barbara Bush and then, and then Gore, you know, stalked across the stage, um, at Bush and Bush kind of
00:48:34.020 smirked at him. Like he was, you know, bring it on boy. And the next day, Barbara Bush was clutching
00:48:39.380 her pearls and on one of the morning shows. And she said, I thought he was going to hit George.
00:48:44.160 And, you know, so some of these histrionics get these subtle movements. And, you know,
00:48:50.020 when Bush's father looked at his watch during debate, they can matter. And so I, I, you know,
00:48:54.740 so I think the Mike's turned, I guess I'd kind of prefer him just to be on all the time.
00:48:59.240 You guys remember when, when moment in the New York, in the New York Senate race,
00:49:03.220 New York Senate race, go ahead, Tom. No, Rick Lazio marched across the stage with a piece of
00:49:08.160 paper and sort of waved it in Hillary Clinton's face. But that, but that's what Gore did.
00:49:12.220 That fired on him. Gore did that two weeks after you thought, you thought he would have been warned.
00:49:16.840 Yeah. He just figured because he was up against a male opponent, he could get away with that.
00:49:20.520 But certainly that male female dynamic will play. And given the rate, the gender divide in this
00:49:26.080 election, Trump does have to be careful. Like he can't do anything too aggressive,
00:49:30.180 even though she'll be aggressive against him. She's called him a predator.
00:49:33.420 She's gotten as aggressive rhetorically as you can. He, there's just a dynamic. I'm sorry. It's
00:49:38.700 there. He would be completely reckless to get in her face physically in any way. And I don't think
00:49:46.320 he'll do that. All right. You guys have to get us up to speed on what these polls are saying,
00:49:50.800 because we had three big polls at least come out this week. And I know it's tight, super tight,
00:49:56.520 but some of them say she's got a little bit more of the advantage in the swing states.
00:50:00.460 And some say, okay, but he's winning slightly in Pennsylvania. So that does, that erases those
00:50:04.960 other advantages. These guys will talk straight to us after we take this break and tell you what
00:50:10.380 you need to know. Don't go away. The RCP guys stay with me more ahead.
00:50:13.820 So guys, let's just start with this. Apparently the God of predictions, the Karnak of elections
00:50:24.160 has come out to tell us that he knows who's going to win. It's American university professor,
00:50:30.560 Dr. Alan Lickman, who has correctly predicted nine of the last 10 presidential elections.
00:50:35.860 He gave his final verdict today about the 2024 race. The only one he's gotten wrong out of the last
00:50:42.380 10 elections was Bush v. Gore. He must've been confused by all the sighing, Carl. It also could
00:50:49.520 have been the very tight hanging Chad race that we saw there, but he's right almost always. And he says
00:50:57.540 vice president Kamala Harris will defeat former president Donald Trump and keep the white house
00:51:03.500 in democratic hands. Well, what do you guys think of the good professor?
00:51:09.380 Well, listen, we'll see. Uh, we'll see whether, you know, his track record isn't as, as Sterling,
00:51:16.520 I think as most people make it out to be. Um, but look, this is a close race. It could go either
00:51:21.220 way. I mean, that's the truth. And, you know, he's got his 13 keys that he uses and that's fine.
00:51:26.160 But, you know, we go by what the poll show and right now the poll show, this is a very,
00:51:30.000 very close race. Politico put it at, um, what did they say? Knife fight in a phone booth.
00:51:37.200 That's how tight it is right now. And we've had a couple of polls come out over the past few days.
00:51:43.520 Uh, ABC and Ipsos released a poll on Tuesday showing no post DNC bounce for her showing that
00:51:53.020 they pulled registered voters before and after the convention. And she was up plus four in both of
00:51:59.640 them. It does show that when you zero it down to likely voters, she's up six, but that's, you know,
00:52:05.100 a national poll. And then you get into this Politico state of the race as of Monday. And this is the one
00:52:10.140 I wanted to ask you guys about, because they go through all of the swing States and they take your
00:52:14.400 average, the RCP average, the five 38 average, that's Nate Silver's old organization, which he's got
00:52:20.480 some issues with now and the way they're trying to implement his old model. And then there's the
00:52:24.780 actual Nate Silver, which he calls the silver bulletin average. And they compared all three of
00:52:30.080 them in all of the seven swing States. And what they showed is that it is extremely tight, but I will
00:52:38.240 tell you, there's a lot of Harris leads. They're slim, but she, this is my armchair take on what I'm
00:52:45.960 looking at here. Like in Arizona, again, this is going at the three of your averages compared to
00:52:51.520 each other. Here's Arizona. She's plus 0.2 plus 0.5 plus 0.5 Georgia. She's plus 0.4. Then Trump plus
00:53:03.780 0.2 Harris plus 0.1 Michigan. She's plus 2.4 plus 1.1 plus 1.9. And that's kind of how it goes
00:53:13.960 throughout except North Carolina, which shows Trump plus 0.4 0.6 0.3. I know from listening to
00:53:23.040 you guys that you think Pennsylvania in particular is tighter than this comparison is showing,
00:53:28.320 which shows her plus 1.2 plus 0.5 plus 1.2. And as somebody who has said, she's going to vote for
00:53:34.800 Trump. I don't like these numbers. It's tight, but she seems to be leading in all of them. And I know
00:53:39.480 that these polls have margins of error, but you guys are always pointing out. That's why you do
00:53:43.760 averages of all the polls. So what am I missing here, Andrew? I like, is there something that's
00:53:49.660 wrong with looking at it this way? No, I think, I think that's a good way to look at it. Um, and I
00:53:55.480 think you're right to point out that, uh, the national averages are not that important. What's
00:54:00.840 really matters is the swing States. Um, Pennsylvania is the tightest of the tight. I've
00:54:07.840 never seen anything like this before. Tom may know better, but the last three polls that went into
00:54:13.660 the RCP average were all tied. So we have Pennsylvania totally tied up. That rarely happens,
00:54:20.120 um, with that kind of consistency. So I think it will come down to Pennsylvania. Um, that's what 19
00:54:26.000 electoral votes. So that's pretty important state, uh, for Trump to win. But as you know,
00:54:31.840 as, as we know, this is about as tight a race as it could be right now, I would, uh, you know,
00:54:40.600 I think we'll just have to wait and see. Um, that's the thing. We don't know. It's frustrating.
00:54:44.900 We want to know. We want the predictor that's going to show us how, and it's just not there.
00:54:48.860 Like this is going to be a nail biter, isn't it, Carl? Yeah. And I, I don't want to know. I look
00:54:53.620 forward to election night. Megan, here's the, here's the thing. Tom and I have been talking about
00:54:58.000 this going back and forth on our own podcast in 2016. And again, in 2020, six of these seven
00:55:03.720 States broke the same way for, for Donald Trump. And then for Joe Biden, there's nothing written
00:55:09.660 in, you know, in stone or in the heavens that they have to break that way. It could be four to three.
00:55:13.960 We could look at, we could be looking piecing together and trying, you know, more like 2000,
00:55:19.080 the, the one that, uh, professor Lector missed, you know, we're, we're looking for two or three
00:55:23.440 electoral votes here or there. But the, the other big question that I have going into this
00:55:29.000 as have the, have these pollsters fix the problems that had caused them to undercount
00:55:35.700 Donald Trump, both in both of those elections. Uh, they, they think they have, they say they've
00:55:40.980 tried, but we won't know till election night, because remember, if this thing is tied in all
00:55:45.660 these swing States, it wasn't, it wasn't close four years ago. Biden had a significant lead
00:55:50.580 in all these States. And then they were much closer. So if the pollsters are wrong again,
00:55:55.720 two, three, four points off, then Trump's going to win. So that's, that's the other thing we'll
00:56:01.760 know election night, because these are real clear politics and Nate Silver and five 30,
00:56:06.460 they're not doing their original polling. They are aggregating these polls. And then
00:56:10.040 political is aggregating the aggregators. But the big question people know, and I was talking to
00:56:15.120 Doug rivers, who does the you gov poll. I had dinner with him Sunday night. And he, he says that he
00:56:20.460 hopes they fixed it, but he won't know. Hmm. The other thing that we're not talking about
00:56:25.440 much at all, Tom is they get out the vote operation and Trump has been dumping on vote
00:56:31.700 by mail for four years now. Yeah. You know, you can tell when somebody smart gets in his
00:56:37.980 ear and says, stop saying that we need to bank early vote. He'll have like one interview where
00:56:42.760 he's like, yeah, okay. Vote by mail. And then left to his own devices. He's back to no,
00:56:47.060 I don't know. Could be fraud, but they're going to start banking vote, especially on the Dem side,
00:56:51.960 starting on September 16th in Pennsylvania, right? 16th or 13th. Anyway, soon. And on the Republican
00:56:58.040 side, I don't really know what the get out the vote operation is other than Charlie Kirk or pal
00:57:03.480 Charlie over at turning point USA. I like the RNC seems to have outsourced it to him and he's great,
00:57:11.020 but I, is he enough? Yeah. You know, I had a discussion with Sean Trendy, who's our senior
00:57:17.500 elections analyst, and he's one of the smartest guys, you know, in the country on politics. And we
00:57:21.780 were talking about this and he was saying, you know, he doesn't buy that. It's, you know, the,
00:57:25.520 the, the hardcore voters are going to vote, you know, whether they vote early, whether they vote
00:57:30.740 on election day, it's still a vote for the candidate. It's, it's really finding those marginal voters
00:57:35.340 and chasing down those marginal voters that is going to end up making the difference in these
00:57:40.600 states. But just to go back to the polling for a second, Megan, because I think it is important.
00:57:44.740 I mean, we just, we just did a video. It's called a real clear quick take, and you can go find it on,
00:57:49.800 on social media where we analyzed the 2016 and the 2020 by state in these seven battleground states,
00:57:57.720 how badly the pollsters undercounted Trump's vote in 2016 and 2020. And it was obviously worse in
00:58:04.140 Wisconsin. They missed by seven points in 2016, and then six points in, in 2020. So on average,
00:58:11.260 about six and a half points over the last two cycles, Kamala Harris is up 1.4 in Wisconsin right
00:58:15.740 now. So if they do, in fact, get it wrong by this, by the way, the same amount they have averaged
00:58:21.160 over the last two cycles, Trump would be ahead in Wisconsin. And you go down these, you go down
00:58:25.840 these states like Arizona and Georgia, for example, in 2016, 2020, those were the two most accurate
00:58:31.320 states. Pollsters hit, hit them within half a percentage point. And right now, Trump's got a
00:58:36.060 1% lead in Arizona. And Kamala Harris has a one 10th of 1% lead in Georgia. So, you know, you just
00:58:43.920 go and look at these, you look at how close these states are, and then you look at, you know, past
00:58:48.940 performance of these pollsters. And then you also look at the national average, right? Hillary Clinton
00:58:53.160 won by 2.1% and lost that election in the battleground states. Joe Biden won by 4.5% the
00:59:01.280 national popular vote and just barely won. So, you know, Kamala Harris right now is at two points
00:59:06.420 in our national average, two and a half points in the five-way race. So she's on the lower end of
00:59:10.940 that range where if that's, if the polls were actually accurate, she would probably be come up
00:59:17.960 short in these battleground states. If she can move that nationally to three, four or five points,
00:59:21.980 then you're looking at a situation where she should be comfortably enough ahead in enough
00:59:27.040 battleground states to win this election. But right now, it is absolutely a jump ball,
00:59:31.260 in my opinion, when you look at these numbers. It's almost like when you go to the doctor and
00:59:35.440 they take your temperature and you're like, what are you doing? I have a stomach ache. Why are you
00:59:39.380 taking my temperature? It's like, well, if your temperature is high, it tells me something's
00:59:43.080 wrong with you on the inside. If your temperature is normal, it tells me something else about what's
00:59:46.960 happening. And the national vote is like the temperature. Like it doesn't tell us what the actual
00:59:51.680 thing is, but it gives us a clue as to how things are going. And she needs to get those numbers up
00:59:57.540 in the national vote for us to believe she's going to carry the swing states. That's, and that's what
01:00:02.460 she's been saying. You know, that it's going to be tight. We need to win. We need to win by a lot.
01:00:06.220 Then they will have a strong get out the vote operation. Here's Steve Kornacki the other day,
01:00:10.740 talking about how Democrats feeling good about seeing those numbers. I just ticked off with you guys
01:00:15.500 showing, you know, Harris up more than Trump. And some of these states need to need to take a breath
01:00:20.020 and take a beat. If you take a look at the paths, the easiest path for each candidate, we'll start
01:00:26.000 with Kamala Harris. All of the state polling is very tight, but the best polling, relatively speaking,
01:00:33.200 for Harris and the Democrats has been in, talk about them all the time, these great lake states,
01:00:37.580 big 10 states, whatever you want to call them, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Now, if Harris
01:00:42.740 could win those three states, just for the sake of argument, turn them blue there, exactly 270
01:00:49.180 electoral votes for her. Now, if she slips up, Pennsylvania in particular is one Republicans of
01:00:55.120 these three think they have a good shot at here. Let's say she were to slip up, Harris did, and lost
01:01:00.200 Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is the biggest of all the swing states, 19 electoral votes. Harris would have
01:01:06.120 to compensate by winning at least two from the Sun Belt here. And for Trump's easiest path quickly here,
01:01:11.800 it's to get Pennsylvania, it's to hold North Carolina like he did in 20, and it's to win back Georgia,
01:01:18.000 which he very narrowly lost. That would get him to exactly the magic number.
01:01:23.940 Wow. It's when you see that, you start thinking, Andrew, why did she go with her emotional support
01:01:32.420 governor? Why didn't she pick Josh Shapiro?
01:01:36.040 I think that will be a real question that will be asked the day after the election. And we'll know
01:01:42.840 then whether it was a good choice or a bad choice. But there certainly is a lot of people or are a lot
01:01:48.200 of people who think that Josh Shapiro might have been the wiser choice, because I personally feel
01:01:53.260 that Pennsylvania is going is the most important state. Everyone else is saying it as well. But
01:01:57.660 one thing I'm looking at is McCormick, the Senate race there, because McCormick is doing surprisingly well.
01:02:03.140 And that is another indicator. If McCormick does well, there may be some reverse coattails in
01:02:11.480 Pennsylvania. He wins the Senate race. That would be amazing, right? You guys have been talking about
01:02:16.060 it. No one's really talking about Pennsylvania. McCormick is a possible GOP pickup. That hasn't
01:02:21.080 really been at the front of the tongue. No, but Tom, you keep a better eye on the polls than I do. But
01:02:28.400 he's done well in the last two polls that I saw, at least. The CNN polls that just came out had that
01:02:32.860 race tied. And he has been, excuse me, he has been, you know, pounding Bob Casey with these ads,
01:02:40.160 basically of Kamala Harris, her own words, talking about wanting to ban fracking and the like. So
01:02:44.300 he's run a very, very smart campaign thus far, and it seems to be paying off. And he is doing better
01:02:49.860 than a lot of the other Republican Senate candidates around the country.
01:02:52.120 I hear a lot of talk about the Senate. And, you know, the analysis is basically that the
01:02:56.580 Republicans are going to get the West Virginia seat, that Joe Manchin is giving up, you know,
01:03:01.100 by retiring, and that they look good in Montana. Although, man, they're throwing everything they
01:03:06.180 can at that Republican right now, trying to say he doesn't like Native Americans and all this stuff
01:03:10.580 that, like, they're doing all their tricks to try to take him down. I own property in Montana. I think
01:03:15.720 he's going to win. I think the Republicans have got that one. We'll see. I could be wrong.
01:03:18.540 Um, but Pennsylvania, like, that would be huge. But here's my question. There's less talk about
01:03:25.180 the House. What? How? How's that looking? Because right now, people are starting to get a little
01:03:31.300 worried that we could have unified control over on the Democrat side if this doesn't go the way
01:03:37.020 the Republicans want. They could lose the House. They could lose. They could continue to stay out of
01:03:42.260 power in the Senate, and they could lose the White House. So how's the House looking?
01:03:45.360 Well, I, the general rule that I always think about at the House is that whoever wins the White
01:03:52.760 House will probably win the House. It's very hard to predict the House because there's so many
01:03:57.320 factors involved. But if Trump wins the White House, he'll probably win the Senate. If he wins
01:04:05.020 the White House in the Senate, I would say he's likely to win the House as well. We'll see. But I just
01:04:10.880 came back to the Senate for a second. There is a scenario that Larry Hogan pulls it out in Maryland.
01:04:18.040 Oh, wow.
01:04:19.120 And then, I mean, this would be someone's dream scenario, that Larry Hogan is sort of the controlling
01:04:25.200 vote in the Senate.
01:04:27.680 That's not Trump's dream scenario.
01:04:29.400 Not Trump's dream scenario. But it would certainly be, it'd be a lot of fun to see
01:04:34.880 someone like Hogan have that much power in the Senate right now. He would be the Joe Manchin
01:04:40.360 of the next decade or so. So anyway, but I'm not sure I helped you on the House there, but
01:04:47.540 that's what I think. Whoever wins the presidency will take the House.
01:04:52.980 Go ahead, Carl.
01:04:53.440 Well, there's always a Senate race that we didn't see coming. And Andy said it might be Larry Hogan
01:05:01.120 in Maryland. It might be in Ohio. Sherrod Brown is well-liked there. He's sort of pulled a Joe
01:05:06.100 Manchin. He's kept his popularity up while the state's become increasingly Republican. But, you know,
01:05:12.020 if you had a scenario where Donald Trump did better than we think in some of these polls and ran up
01:05:18.360 these numbers in the Republican states, Sherrod Brown, Ohio might be in play as well.
01:05:23.440 Hmm. I mean, it's, it's so crazy how much could change after this election. If one of the,
01:05:31.440 the nation's so divided, like they said, knife fight in a phone booth. And yet we could wind up
01:05:36.840 giving total power to one side or the other, which I'm just going to say as a news woman has me saying,
01:05:44.680 I will not be planning any vacations for right after November 5th. You know, you guys shouldn't
01:05:50.060 either. We don't know what's going to happen even after the vote is in and counted.
01:05:55.540 Well, Megan, there's some evidence that the voters like divided government. They don't quite know how
01:06:00.540 to assure it. You know, you can't vote strategically that way. You get one vote and most of these states
01:06:05.500 are not even in play, but one, one party in control of all three, all three branches of government.
01:06:12.860 So it's, it's a little worrisome to swing voters. I don't, I don't know what, how they're, how they're
01:06:17.540 supposed to process that. How are they going to hedge against it? Go ahead, Tom.
01:06:21.200 I was just going to say not to be a Debbie Downer, but I do, you know, it looks like we're headed for,
01:06:25.480 you know, 2016 on steroids where, you know, we've already got the Russia interference stories
01:06:31.580 planted out there. And the, you know, I mean, uh, whoever loses is going to contest this election
01:06:37.700 and they're going to say it was stolen. There were fraudulent votes. There was voter suppression.
01:06:42.000 There was whatever, there will be lawsuits in all of these states, um, that will go on for weeks and
01:06:47.680 months. Mark Elias and the Democrats have already got lawyers on the ground in these states. I mean,
01:06:51.500 if it, if it does turn out to be as close as the polls suggest it is, and maybe it won't, but if it
01:06:58.380 does, um, we're going to be looking at, you know, sort of a rerun of 2016. It could be even worse
01:07:05.180 in a lot of these states. And obviously in an evenly divided country, that's, that's not going
01:07:09.660 to, uh, it's not going to be great. You know, I forgot to say this when we were discussing the
01:07:14.480 whole tenant media, Russian thing in our a block. So this doesn't directly involve you guys, but
01:07:19.000 they, they allege this is Russian influencing in our election that they're meddling in our election.
01:07:26.280 That's not what the indictment shows. The indictment shows meddling in our opinions about issues
01:07:31.540 in this country. You know, for example, who attacked Russia, was it Ukraine or was it ISIS?
01:07:37.740 There's not anything in this indictment that would suggest they were trying to actually influence
01:07:41.980 the election, though. I'm sure Russia would love to do that, but that's not in this indictment.
01:07:45.860 And this media organization for all of its, you know, news coverage in this indictment
01:07:50.760 and around this indictment got 16 million views on its YouTube channel, which is where it existed.
01:07:57.400 It's 16 million in 10 months. I mean, we got that last week. It's, it's, this is not a player
01:08:04.100 in the national conversation at all. Nobody even heard of these guys. So I, you know, we shouldn't
01:08:10.420 overstate the, the reach of this organization. Go ahead, Tom.
01:08:14.980 And yet you played the clip of Joe Scarborough. I mean, look, the left is going to use this. If Kamala
01:08:20.100 Harris loses the selection by a whisker, you can bet that there will be folks on the left that are going
01:08:25.640 to say that it was Russian meddling and that, that caused this. And, and conversely, if Trump loses
01:08:31.820 by a whisker on election night, you know, his folks will say it was stolen. There were, you know,
01:08:36.700 fraudulent votes here or there, whatever. So it's just, I'm, the only point I was trying to make is
01:08:40.860 just that we're, I think we're headed toward another really traumatic election and election aftermath
01:08:47.780 that may last, you know, weeks and months. But I think Megan, I think Megan, you make a really good
01:08:54.780 point, which is the fact that two things can be true. The Russians could be trying to meddle in
01:08:59.360 our election, uh, as the Chinese could, but, uh, the, their influence is so limited that it doesn't
01:09:06.420 really matter the way the left would like us to think it matters. Yeah. They're annoying and they
01:09:11.920 have a goal and they continue to try to pursue that goal, but this is a very big country. And it's,
01:09:17.420 I mean, it's very hard to actually influence an election. If your name is not Donald Trump or
01:09:23.960 Kamala Harris, it really is. I learned this when I was at Fox news and I would watch people with very
01:09:30.100 powerful voices, especially when I was younger, go out there and really try to make like the strongest
01:09:35.780 argument possible. And then we got Barack Obama anyway, right? It's like the, I think the
01:09:41.900 media personalities or outlets like to convince themselves that they really drive the national
01:09:47.600 conversation and they drive votes, but they don't, you can inform people. You can keep them better
01:09:52.460 informed about the news and that's a service, but to presume that you can actually influence them and
01:09:57.800 change a national vote. In my experience, just, it's not true. And it's certainly wouldn't be true
01:10:03.020 from some desk in Moscow where you're posing as Helena, trying to like edit random videos in some
01:10:10.520 no name news site. Nobody's ever clicked on, on use youtube.com guys. Thank you.
01:10:16.900 Thanks Megan. Thanks Betty. A pleasure as always. Okay. When we come back, our old pal Britt Mayer
01:10:23.000 joins us and a first time guest on this show. And there's plenty more to discuss. Don't go away.
01:10:28.300 I'm Megan Kelly, host of the Megan Kelly show on Sirius XM. It's your home for open, honest and
01:10:35.200 provocative conversations with the most interesting and important political, legal and cultural figures
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01:11:31.480 Joining me now for more on the wild ride that is the 2024 electoral cycle and some of the cultural
01:11:36.300 craziness going on today. Britt Mayer, founder of Rooted Wings and independent researcher and
01:11:42.240 analyst. And for the first time, Prager you personality, Xavier DeRusso. Great to have you
01:11:48.740 guys. Thanks for having me. Hey, Megan. All right. So at any point, did someone named Lauren Chen come
01:11:55.600 to you and ask you to work for her special channel? And if so, did you say no, thank you. That was the
01:12:04.460 right move. Isn't this the wildest story? It's so wild. I can clearly say on my honor, Lauren Chen never
01:12:11.760 came to me and offered me a position with tenants. So I'm, I'm clear I'm safe.
01:12:17.680 It's so annoying though, Xavier. I know that's how you pronounce it. Isn't it so annoying though,
01:12:22.280 because to our guest last point, this is going to be used like this one small operation is going to
01:12:28.940 be used by the left for the next several months, maybe even years as like, you see Russia, Russia,
01:12:35.760 Russia. It's like, okay, show me the video. They edited show me all the videos that, that changed
01:12:42.680 people's minds about this election in a profound way or at all, at all. That's not alleged even in
01:12:48.720 the indictment. And yet, you know what the narrative will be. Oh yeah. We're never beating the Russia
01:12:53.720 allegations after this. And it's crazy because we can actually trace how infiltrated the left is with
01:12:59.400 China. I feel like all the energy that they are trying to put on us with Russia, we should be putting
01:13:03.360 right back to them with their comfortability, letting China just run rampant and our politics
01:13:07.980 and our society corrupting Gen Z and all the fentanyl that they're shoving over here. And nobody wants
01:13:14.580 to talk about that, but now we are all supposed to be held accountable because Russia apparently paid
01:13:20.560 a few people that they didn't even know they were being paid by Russia. So I'm not too concerned about
01:13:26.040 it. I'm hoping that the left doesn't make much room with this, especially after losing so much
01:13:30.520 credibility. The last time they tried to overexpose the Russia issue, but we'll see what ends up
01:13:35.400 happening. Well, I mean, that's a good point because you've got Max Boot of the Washington
01:13:40.340 Post. His wife got indicted for being a Chinese agent. I mean, he writes for the Washington Post.
01:13:45.180 The Washington Post has barely covered this. This week you have Kathy Hochul, the governor of New York,
01:13:50.640 her deputy chief of staff, and the same thing exposed. And I believe indicted as an agent of the
01:13:57.660 Chinese government. You've got Iran trying to hack into Trump's campaign successfully,
01:14:02.540 they said, through Roger Stone's email account, which they hacked, and possibly also Kamala Harris's
01:14:07.600 to try to interfere with our election. There's a lot of people, a lot of bad actors out there that
01:14:11.960 would like to interfere with American elections. It's just one country, Britt, that gets all of the
01:14:18.720 ink because it reaffirms the priors of the people who buy ink by the barrel in this country.
01:14:25.340 Yeah. The game is if they repeat it long enough, if they tweet it enough times, then the public
01:14:33.240 scoops it up and believes it. So they are going to run with this. They're going to run with it all
01:14:37.640 the way through January. It's going to be Russian interference, Russian collusion. I am guessing
01:14:42.660 the story is going to only grow because they're going, this is their linchpin. This is what they
01:14:47.300 are going to cling to, to prove that once again, Russia, Russia, Russia. It's what was the Brady
01:14:54.420 Bunch? What was the Margaret? Marsha, Marsha, Marsha. That was before your time, but I lived there.
01:15:00.000 Russia, Russia, Russia. I mean, that's the game. It's lazy, it's boring, but it works. So I think
01:15:06.120 we should all be prepared to hear a lot more of it. Max Boot's wife was an agent for South Korea,
01:15:13.180 so just correcting myself. But I mean, you know, we've got so much Chinese spying, I can't keep
01:15:16.520 track of it all. Okay. So let's talk about, does this, do any of these issues filter down,
01:15:22.240 do you think? Like what's driving the Gen Z vote right now, Xavier? Because there's a real question
01:15:27.900 about what's going to happen with the youth vote. The Democrats usually get very excited about it,
01:15:31.640 and it almost never turns out for them. And right now, if you look at the youth vote,
01:15:36.020 more and more young men are pro-Trump and young women, because single women across the country
01:15:42.340 are pro-Harris by some like 72% of single women are pro-Harris. So what do you think is going to
01:15:48.080 happen with them? You know, I think there's two drastic sides of that. You have the social side,
01:15:53.060 and then you have the fiscal side. Socially, you know, young people are inherently rebellious. We
01:15:57.420 don't like being told what to do, what to think, and all of that. And for years now, being a part
01:16:01.620 of Gen Z, we have been hammered down, being told, oh, you are not allowed to ask too many questions.
01:16:06.660 You're not allowed to support Trump. You're not allowed to support these policies. You can't have
01:16:10.500 conservative ideology. And how dare you even question the notion that you're supposed to address
01:16:15.940 yourself by your preferred pronouns every time you have a conversation. Gen Z is sick of that.
01:16:21.580 So we have been rebelling against that. And that's why you see so many prominent Gen Z
01:16:25.740 influencers and media personalities who are coming out and speaking against that entire narrative and
01:16:32.140 are being more unapologetic in their belief systems. And then also asking the questions of,
01:16:36.660 am I supposed to be comfortable with the fact that nobody can afford a home? The fact that there are
01:16:41.940 illegal immigrants creating so much crime in our cities that our border is wide open,
01:16:47.240 we're being told for, we've been told for way too long that we're not allowed to question that.
01:16:51.960 And now that has, it's the Barbra Streisand effect. By trying to take our attention away from the
01:16:57.280 issues that matter most to us, it has made us hyper-focused on these issues. And it's waking
01:17:01.520 a lot of members of Gen Z up. Okay. Britt, on the subject of illegal immigration,
01:17:07.240 I know this is a cause near and dear to your own heart, living in California and the People's
01:17:11.200 Republic. And we actually this week saw Kamala Harris release an ad describing herself as somehow
01:17:20.220 pro-tough border enforcement. And in that ad, she uses imagery of Trump's border wall.
01:17:28.360 She wants us to believe she's pro-wall now. Here, it's a quick clip, but look at this.
01:17:36.860 As a border state prosecutor, she took on drug cartels and jailed gang members for smuggling
01:17:42.600 weapons and drugs across the border. Okay. She's all over the record as calling this
01:17:50.740 Trump's vanity project, saying it's utterly useless, making clear in no uncertain terms how
01:17:56.620 against it she is. And now she's strolling up. I said this the other day, like the thumbs in the
01:18:01.980 belt loops, like I'm here and I'm ready to take on that border. Like a John Wayne, you know, cowboy,
01:18:08.000 I'm going to get them all. It's such nonsense, but that's the messaging they're going with.
01:18:13.300 I'm just laughing, picturing her actually using the John Wayne accent since she, you know,
01:18:17.800 she picks up a different accent wherever she goes. So I pictured it when you did that. I could,
01:18:22.360 I could hear it in my ear. Okay. So what we're seeing is the, the obvious recreation of Kamala
01:18:30.940 Harris. Now, the interesting thing is we have 20 years of receipts on who Kamala Harris is. And she
01:18:37.600 started for my state. She started up in San Francisco, then DA of California. And so when you
01:18:43.160 go back to her early policies in 2004, when she was the DA in San Francisco, she was championing
01:18:48.920 sanctuary cities. She has always been for open borders that bring in illegal foreigners that we
01:18:55.980 then give sanctuary status to. And then they don't stay in California. We ship them to neighborhoods
01:19:01.500 all over the United States. So for her to now say, Oh, look at me, I'm tough on the border. Well,
01:19:07.620 your 20 years of receipts and track record says that you've completely failed at the border to the
01:19:12.540 point of where in San Diego right now, our account, but just from October is that I think we're
01:19:18.260 over 253,000 illegal foreigners coming in through San Diego. So how is that being tough on the border?
01:19:27.300 She has been in office now for almost three and a half years. But on top of that, where we've seen
01:19:33.400 millions of illegal foreigners come through her broken border, we have 20 years of history that
01:19:37.780 shows that she championed the exact policies that have now brought us to this place, but they are lying
01:19:44.040 liars and they push propaganda to make the public believe that she built that wall. She is tough on
01:19:52.360 border. She's not, she's not. When you actually dig in, you realize that she created the mess that we
01:19:58.040 are in right now. We just saw Britt, Nancy Pelosi saying what she really wants, uh, is to make all the
01:20:07.240 illegals documented. She wants them. She went on Bill Maher and made this very clear because they're
01:20:12.120 now pushing to help the illegals get homes there. They want the California taxpayers to help illegals
01:20:18.380 get homes, which correct me if I'm wrong, but that could be considered a magnet.
01:20:24.920 Absolutely a magnet. So California legislature in their psychotic pushing of bills that are aimed
01:20:31.560 against California citizens just passed. It's on, it's going to be on Newsom's desk yet until September
01:20:37.300 30th. And now to sign it, they passed, which means that our politicians agreed and said, yes, we think
01:20:44.220 this is a good legal idea to give illegal foreigners an opportunity to a $150,000 taxpayer paid. We paid for
01:20:54.020 it. It's our money, $150,000 loan that may never need to be paid back. It's the writing is so
01:21:01.080 ambiguous in this law. And here you have Nancy Pelosi asked about it on Bill Maher. And she goes
01:21:07.640 so far to not only defend the $150,000 home loans for illegal foreigners, and we can't even afford
01:21:13.540 homes in California as Californian citizens, but she goes on to not only defend that, but then she says,
01:21:20.060 you know, I think that all these undocumented should be documented. That literally saying the quiet part
01:21:26.980 out loud. This is how deranged California is. And we spit out insane politicians like Kamala Harris, who is now
01:21:34.460 championing herself as something that she, she never was. She'll California, the United States.
01:21:40.800 She sent out the tweet in 2017 saying there, there's no such thing as an illegal, undocumented
01:21:46.100 person. She doesn't believe that they've committed any sort of a crime. And indeed there is such a thing. Um, she
01:21:52.760 doesn't, I guess, know that the law does not allow unauthorized entry. And if you cross that border
01:21:59.280 without permission and conscious caught waltz into the country and try to stay here, you have committed
01:22:04.520 a crime on the subject of her fakeness, Xavier. She does do, I haven't heard the John Wayne yet,
01:22:10.820 but she has been busting out the accent depending on who she's talking to. We cut these soundbites the
01:22:17.120 other day and played them. Uh, and it sounds very different, right? She's front of a largely black audience in
01:22:21.500 Detroit and she's got, she's dropping the R's at the end of her words. And then she goes to
01:22:26.160 Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and she sounds like her normal self. Again, here are two examples with
01:22:30.980 those butted soundbites showing the difference. Let's just get through the next 64 days.
01:22:36.460 So friends, 64 days until the most election of our lives. You better thank a union member
01:22:47.580 for sick leave. You better thank a union member for paid leave. You better thank a union member for
01:23:00.780 vacation time. You may not be a union member, but thank unions for the five day work week.
01:23:10.180 Oh my God. I have secondhand embarrassment. For the eight hour work day.
01:23:19.160 Thank unions for sick leave and paid family leave and vacation time.
01:23:27.840 What do you make of it?
01:23:29.760 You know, I've never seen someone rebrand in every single room quite as well as Kamala Harris. She is
01:23:36.180 going to change her dialogue, her accent, her backstory. It's all going to cater to who she's
01:23:41.460 trying to pander to that day. And I don't know why she thinks that works. We don't care at this
01:23:46.860 point what you sound like or what your accent is sounding like. We don't need to hear your black
01:23:51.300 scent, quote unquote. We want to know what you're going to do for our economy. We want to know what
01:23:56.140 you are going to do to actually turn our country around. But instead, you want to try to act like this
01:24:01.360 sister girl, auntie Kamala and talk about how you're cooking collard greens like it is insulting
01:24:08.500 to us at this point. I feel like America has moved far beyond being tolerant of all of this pandering,
01:24:15.260 especially after the whole Hillary Clinton debacle, because it reminds me of when Hillary was saying
01:24:19.280 she has hot sauce in her bag because all of a sudden she's this huge Beyonce fan. It's mortifying.
01:24:25.080 It's and she's a chameleon and it reflects in her lack of but really the policies that she claims to
01:24:30.060 stand behind. Every time she's in a different room, she seems to have a different set of values
01:24:33.760 and that is continuously exposing itself, especially because Kamala Harris has social anxiety.
01:24:39.240 I don't think enough people have broken that down. Kamala Harris, if you look at the reports,
01:24:43.260 because we all remember how she had over 90 percent staff turnover. And if you look at what
01:24:47.840 so many of her former staff members said about her is that she's extremely insecure. She would have
01:24:53.180 to do rehearsals anytime that there was a meeting or a dinner or she was supposed to be around
01:24:57.180 someone powerful. She had to do these rehearsals because she does not know who she is and she is
01:25:03.760 insecure. So what she does is she tries to pander and cater to the audience because she's so desperate
01:25:09.200 for people to like her. And throughout her entire career, that has never been the case because she's
01:25:13.520 a wildly unpopular, untalented politician. That's so interesting and well said because it's not just
01:25:20.300 her, but she's she's whatever her issue is, got anxiety or just anxiety that she's going to be
01:25:25.420 exposed as a know nothing. And then you've got her her running mate who he's just as scared as she is.
01:25:33.200 He also hasn't given any interviews. And I'm sure you saw this the other day, but somebody asked him
01:25:38.800 at the Minnesota State Fair. He was taking like fun questions about the fair and they asked him about
01:25:44.660 the American hostage and the Israeli hostages who were killed at the hands of Hamas. And he ran,
01:25:51.940 he ran like a chicken on the farm. Watch.
01:25:57.560 He heard it. He said, thanks, everybody. He turned and he got the heck out of there.
01:26:10.560 Only later did he then release a paper statement. It was a post on X acknowledging how awful that this
01:26:19.400 murder was of an American hostage, not to mention the five Israelis.
01:26:24.680 He he it's shameful. He is a shameful person. He is unfit to be in it. Holding public office
01:26:34.080 certainly is unfit to hold the office of vice president of the United States of America.
01:26:38.900 And it's the same thing that he did to the soldiers. He turned his back and left in a crisis
01:26:45.820 moment when he was most needed in that moment at the fair where he's talking about. I don't even know
01:26:50.340 he's talking about a chicken leg or something. Apparently, that, too, is Walls Harris's campaign.
01:26:55.680 Is there a cooking show, food show? That's what they talk about. They still have no policies on their
01:26:59.900 website. So he could not be interrupted to talk about a kid, an American citizen who had been held
01:27:07.320 hostage for one year by Hamas and was found brutally murdered with a bullet to the back of his head.
01:27:13.360 He couldn't be bothered. He wanted to go back to his soft serve. And so he waved him off just like
01:27:18.540 he did to the brothers that he left behind when they went to Afghanistan. He's deplorable and very
01:27:24.000 shameful. There's no courage. That's what's so telling about that clip, Xavier. It's he has he doesn't
01:27:29.640 have the courage to just stand up in the moment. I understand Kamala Harris is the chief messenger on the
01:27:34.300 Harris Walls ticket. However, as a human, you know exactly what to do in that moment. You say,
01:27:41.220 my God, it's awful. And I have nothing but empathy and sympathy in my heart for the families of the
01:27:47.180 victims. And I'm keeping them in my prayers today. And that's it. That's all you say. The fact that he
01:27:53.280 was too afraid to even say that shows how unsteady and fearful he is, just like his boss.
01:28:00.240 Absolutely. You couldn't have said it any better. Anyone that is has any kind of American pride or
01:28:06.440 really is just a human being with any sense of emotion would know how to handle that type of
01:28:10.900 situation. But he runs away like a coward because he had to go and get a talking point approved by the
01:28:16.320 administration. And it shows how afraid these people are to stand on any sort of principle or
01:28:22.980 any foundation of values. I am so happy that Trump is going and doing these live interviews and going on
01:28:28.700 like he was just on the Lex Friedman podcast. And he is off the cuff. He's being genuine. He's
01:28:33.780 communicating for over an hour. And I guarantee he didn't have an insane amount of prep because these
01:28:38.880 are principles that he actually stands on. He's able to answer questions. Kamala and Tim Waltz,
01:28:44.220 they cannot answer questions. They can't show remorse for American citizens that are dying because
01:28:50.460 they're afraid that they're going to make the free Palestine, must-see terrorist crowd mad.
01:28:54.920 These people are cowardly. They have no core principles. And I don't know how more Americans
01:28:59.660 aren't seeing through that. If you don't stand for anything, you will fall for everything.
01:29:03.300 And that's exactly what America will do if we have four more years of Kamala Harris in office.
01:29:08.360 You know, the Lex Friedman interview is brave of Trump. This is a very smart guy. Trump's smart too,
01:29:14.180 but you just don't know where he's going to go. Sitting down with somebody who doesn't do nothing but
01:29:18.820 politics all day subjects you to like, oh, it could go anywhere. Same with Theo Vaughn.
01:29:23.200 And here is it just a little bit of how it went when he sat with Lex.
01:29:27.480 There's a lot of people listening to this, myself included, that doesn't think that Kamala is a
01:29:33.920 communist. Well, she's a Marxist. Her father's a Marxist. That's right. And she's advocating for-
01:29:40.440 It's a little unusual. Yeah. She's advocating for some policies that are towards the direction of
01:29:45.880 democratic socialism, let's say. But there's a lot of people that kind of know the way government
01:29:50.780 works. And they say, well, none of those policies are going to actually come to reality.
01:29:55.940 It could come to reality. Look, I mean, she came out with price control. It's been tried like 121
01:30:01.260 different times at different places over the years. And it's never worked once. It leads to
01:30:06.920 communism. It leads to socialism. It leads to having no food on the shelves. And it leads to tremendous
01:30:14.280 inflation. Pretty good. Gosh, dang. Trump is so good. He's so good. You could not put Kamala in
01:30:23.260 a seat like that, unscripted for over, you know, 10 minutes. Trump's sitting for hours. Didn't he just
01:30:30.480 do a live stream with another? I'm not into the whole live stream. Sean Ryan. Yes.
01:30:34.900 You know what that tells me? It tells me that Trump is real, that he knows who he is. If he's willing
01:30:44.040 to sit in a chair, unscripted for an hour with someone who's going to throw any random Gen Z
01:30:49.980 question at him, and he is fully prepared to just sit there and be who he is, it shows me that he
01:30:56.580 knows who he is. I don't think Kamala Harris knows who she really is. I think that there are handlers
01:31:02.580 behind her who have propped her up for 20 years, the same with walls. And that makes me incredibly
01:31:08.700 nervous to have a leader who does not know who they are and relies on the outsiders who handle
01:31:14.720 them. Speaking of he knows who he is. Okay. I've got to get this in. I knew you were coming and we
01:31:19.880 had to do a little culture because we haven't done any culture at all on the show for a long time.
01:31:23.620 This has been all politics. It's time. Bring it. It's time. Can we please talk about the bachelor
01:31:28.440 contestant who now says he's a woman, which we all know on this show is not possible, sir.
01:31:36.680 He is claiming that he's a woman, but some believe it's all a big troll. Okay. He has full body tattoos,
01:31:45.000 which he shows off. He has short hair, like man hair. He has facial hair. Look at this. Look at this
01:31:50.940 guy. It's unbelievable what they can call a woman these days. Josh Sider, 37, former Bachelorette star.
01:31:58.000 He was on season 11 of the TV show in 2015 from Chicago. And as of this past May claims,
01:32:04.260 he's a transgender woman. If you just substitute fake for trans, you can follow. He said he's a
01:32:10.520 trans woman, which means he's fake. And he now has revealed he's not on hormone medication and is
01:32:17.400 unsure if he will get surgery, but we're supposed to be treating him like he's a woman. Here's a little
01:32:25.420 bit of him talking about the dangerous situations he's faced now that, now that he's one of us,
01:32:32.060 Brett. It's not 34. Hi everyone. I just wanted to talk today about being aware of dangerous
01:32:38.620 situations that women can often find themselves in. Now that I'm a woman, I'm always aware of what's
01:32:45.820 going on around me and when my guard needs to go up. Um, the other day I was working out and a man
01:32:52.840 came up to me and he made a comment about my muscular physique and that just sent shock waves
01:33:00.700 through my body. Thinking back to when I used to want to look like a man and fit into heteronormative
01:33:07.920 expectations for my body. Um, and that's not good. See if I'm in a public space like a park where there's
01:33:16.560 lots of families, traditional families with kids and they're being overly touchy-feely with each other,
01:33:24.480 that can trigger my past trauma from childhood. Um, and I really have to be aware of putting myself into
01:33:31.760 situations like that. What? Brett, thoughts on that? Oh, you're coming to me hot. Okay. I saw it
01:33:41.740 and I, I fully like believed he believes he's a woman. And so I responded to it by just saying like,
01:33:49.800 this is, this is gross. And my guard is way up is what I said. And I actually posted his little video
01:33:57.620 onto my social media and right away people, it was so divided. People were coming in saying he's the
01:34:05.300 greatest troll on earth. And then other people were coming in saying, Oh my gosh, he is so deranged.
01:34:11.620 Like this is what he's pushing. It's so sad. What happened to him? I watched him when he was on the
01:34:16.680 bachelor. And then someone said something that I thought like it nails it. They said the fact that
01:34:22.800 people are torn on this underscores the insanity in modern society. We no longer know if insanity is
01:34:30.960 real or manufactured. And I thought that's it. That's exactly it. Because how is he any different
01:34:37.960 than Dylan Mulvaney? Dylan Mulvaney did his girls 360 days of girlhood, which could have been the
01:34:45.300 greatest troll on earth, but he was, he was serious. He really thought that he was spending his first year
01:34:51.120 as a girl. So how is it any different? It's, it is so detached from reality and so insane. And I think
01:34:57.120 that's the feature. It's not the bug. It's meant to completely confuse us. It's meant to make us
01:35:01.820 think, I don't even know what's real or what's not real anymore. So I can't say anything. And no,
01:35:06.780 we should, we should keep saying this is insane. It's insane. Whether he thinks that he really is a
01:35:11.960 woman or if he is trolling to show how insane it is, it is, it is insane. It's offensive. I keep
01:35:18.700 thinking back Xavier to the whole blackface discussion. It's like, okay, everyone always
01:35:24.860 knew, well, not always, but in recent history, everybody always knew that that minstrel show
01:35:28.820 blackface was a hard, no, very racist. But then some people said, well, you know, putting black
01:35:35.200 makeup on or Brown makeup to go out on Halloween, that could be something that's meant to honor
01:35:39.360 somebody that's not as offensive. How is this any different from minstrel show blackface?
01:35:46.980 The whole thing is designed to mock and diminish us. No actual trans person would look like that or
01:35:55.560 behave like that. He's making a mockery of women. And yet we're supposed to sell it. I don't give a
01:36:02.520 shit whether he's trolling or not. I don't think he is, but I, what do I know? I don't know this person
01:36:06.380 at all, but there's a totally different reaction from all those same leftists who like to lecture us
01:36:12.260 normally. So I actually have some insider information on this that I've never said publicly
01:36:17.480 because I've been trying to not give this too much attention, but Josh followed each other for about
01:36:23.720 two years. And I have seen his mental health struggles go up and down. Like one day he's super,
01:36:28.660 super pro Trump. The next day he's feeling like he wants to be liberal because he's, he's bisexual.
01:36:32.920 So he was kind of going back and forth, but I was following just for the plot because it was
01:36:36.380 entertaining and I'm a little messy. So a few months back, he posted this really cryptic message saying
01:36:41.700 goodbye. And I was concerned because I'm like, is he about to like attempt suicide or something?
01:36:45.400 So I messaged him just being like, Hey, just checking. Are you okay? Like,
01:36:48.580 please don't do anything drastic. And he told me that he was fine and that he would reach back out
01:36:53.240 to me in a few days. A few days later, he comes out as trans and told me that he was doing an
01:36:59.200 experiment to see or to showcase how the left is way more intolerant than the right. And he actually
01:37:05.860 asked me if I would be willing to be a part of his grand reveal. And I cannot verbally express
01:37:11.480 enough how quickly I close out of that DM because I do not want to be affiliated associated or
01:37:17.240 entertaining this because it is so disrespectful to women. And if anybody should be super mad about
01:37:22.280 it, it's the transgender community because he's making them look that much crazier, which I didn't
01:37:27.100 think was possible after Dylan Mulvaney, but all of this it's, it's a facade, but I will say with his
01:37:32.920 mental health issues that were preexisting, it does seem like a combination of trolling and reality
01:37:37.680 because I do believe this a hundred percent started as trolling. But then at some point,
01:37:41.800 I feel like the attention he was getting gave him the validation that he was missing because he's
01:37:45.960 always looking for attention. And now I think he's going to eventually reveal that he's never been
01:37:51.860 planning to transition, but I do think he is soaking up the embrace he's getting from the woke left
01:37:57.680 because he, he should know good and well by now, no one on the right is going to entertain that
01:38:01.980 insanity. No. Oh my gosh, Brit, that plot twist. Plot twist. Now we know we have it here on good
01:38:09.920 authority. I have the receipt. All right. I've got 40 seconds left Brit in that time. There is a
01:38:16.540 pregnant Mrs. America contestant. She made it into the top six. What do you think of it as a former
01:38:23.640 pageant queen? I know I'm so proud of her and I'm, I'm happy to see womanhood celebrated in this way.
01:38:31.500 You know, womanhood can be shown in showcased in so many different ways, but I love that we have
01:38:36.580 a pregnant mama. Who's a Mrs. America competing on the stage and just doing her thing with a big
01:38:44.220 old baby bump. I love it. It gives me a good feeling. I love it. I agree. There's probably a
01:38:48.600 different, you know, chapter of our history where she would have felt pressure to drop out or not have
01:38:54.640 that baby and to have made this choice and parade your baby bump proudly, uh, reminds us that's
01:39:01.120 actually there's nothing more beautiful. Great to see you both. You guys, thank you so much.
01:39:05.320 Thank you, Megan.
01:39:06.320 What a show. I'm exhausted. Are you exhausted from listening? My God. I hope you enjoyed it.
01:39:13.100 Thanks for listening to the Megan Kelly show. No BS, no agenda, and no fear.