The Michael Knowles Show - March 04, 2020


Daily Wire Backstage: Super Tuesday 2020 Edition


Episode Stats


Length

4 hours and 10 minutes

Words per minute

213.36595

Word count

53,455

Sentence count

1,056

Harmful content

Misogyny

95

sentences flagged

Hate speech

110

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Join Ben Shapiro, Andrew Klavan, Michael Knowles, and the God King, Jeremy Boring, as they discuss everything Super Tuesday. Plus, a special guest appearance from The Rubin Report's Elisha Epstein.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 This Men's Mental Health Month, CAMH is confronting a silent crisis.
00:00:04.380 Did you know men account for 75% of all suicide deaths in Canada?
00:00:07.960 Many struggle alone, held back by stigma.
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00:00:11.740 CAMH is on the front lines pioneering breakthroughs
00:00:14.100 and expanding access to compassionate support.
00:00:16.600 Your donation fuels this vital work
00:00:18.540 so no father, son, brother, or family is left behind.
00:00:21.480 To join us in building better mental health care for men across Canada,
00:00:24.760 visit camh.ca slash support men.
00:00:27.040 That's C-A-M-H dot C-A slash support men.
00:00:30.960 Tuesday was everything we thought it would be.
00:00:33.680 It was super.
00:00:35.480 Go check out the latest Daily Wire Backstage Super Tuesday 2020 edition.
00:00:40.220 Join me, Ben Shapiro, Andrew Klavan, the God King Jeremy Boring,
00:00:43.980 along with special guests Dave Rubin, Senator Ted Cruz,
00:00:47.460 and many more as we discuss everything Super Tuesday.
00:00:51.560 Take a listen.
00:00:53.240 Well, hi there.
00:00:53.960 I'm Jeremy Boring, and welcome to Backstage Super Tuesday 2020 edition.
00:00:57.920 Will Democrats fill the burn, and will Medicare cover all of that?
00:01:01.140 Will Liz Warren quit another race she doesn't belong to? 1.00
00:01:03.780 Does Joe Biden know where he even is right now?
00:01:06.180 Here to answer those questions and more,
00:01:08.060 I am joined, as always, by Ben Shapiro, Michael Knowles, Andrew Klavan,
00:01:10.940 and the lovely Alicia Krauss.
00:01:12.620 But first, we know you have a lot of options
00:01:14.960 when you're looking for a presidential candidate.
00:01:16.940 Do you want an aged white man or some other aged white man? 0.82
00:01:19.600 Do you want a gay guy or Amy Klobuchar?
00:01:21.200 If you're anything like me, the answer is no, no.
00:01:24.100 I'm slightly curious, and definitely not.
00:01:26.420 That's why I'm trying Mike Bloomberg.
00:01:28.960 With Mike Bloomberg, you get a presidential candidate
00:01:31.160 who knows what it's like to be incredibly rich.
00:01:34.000 That's pretty much it.
00:01:35.160 That's his entire appeal.
00:01:36.320 But he also hates guns and sodas, and hey, who doesn't?
00:01:39.300 Drew, you like Mike Bloomberg.
00:01:40.420 Like him, I love him.
00:01:42.900 When I'm sitting on my private beach in Southampton
00:01:45.700 at that stately beach house I bought somehow,
00:01:48.900 I think there's no one I'd rather have a presidential candidate
00:01:52.220 than hashtag Super Mike Bloomberg.
00:01:55.040 You think you love Mike Bloomberg.
00:01:57.140 I love Super Mike Bloomberg.
00:01:59.400 I love Super Mike Bloomberg so much
00:02:01.660 that I'm never going to fly coach again
00:02:03.820 in a Bloomberg administration.
00:02:05.640 Listen, we all love Mike Bloomberg.
00:02:08.320 And for a limited time, when our listeners enter
00:02:10.400 promo code backstage on their ballots,
00:02:12.420 you get 15% off and free installation.
00:02:14.600 That is hashtag Super Mike Bloomberg promo code backstage.
00:02:17.840 Hashtag Super Mike Bloomberg promo code backstage.
00:02:20.840 Order today.
00:02:35.980 Real talent.
00:02:38.320 It's going to be a long night tonight,
00:02:41.240 so we'll be getting to a ton of member questions.
00:02:43.780 And if you guys want to ask the guys questions tonight,
00:02:45.920 just go over to dailywire.com,
00:02:48.100 navigate to the shows page at the top,
00:02:50.220 click on the backstage button,
00:02:51.460 and then type your questions into the chat box next to the video.
00:02:55.120 Now remember that only members get to ask the questions,
00:02:57.940 so if you're not a member, become one tonight.
00:03:00.380 I think you can even use a code that was just
00:03:01.860 in that really weird Mike Bloomberg commercial.
00:03:03.920 Anyway, some of the questions already rolling in are,
00:03:06.480 how often do Jasper and Jeremy dress alike?
00:03:09.740 What are Drew's hair secrets?
00:03:11.940 Why does Ben say culinary wrong?
00:03:14.280 And if Noles gets the coronavirus,
00:03:16.360 does that mean Elisha gets to sit in the big boy chair?
00:03:18.800 All of those questions and more might be answered by the guys tonight.
00:03:23.040 So log on, make sure you're a member,
00:03:26.020 make sure you ask all the questions,
00:03:27.580 and we'll try to get to them later.
00:03:28.660 Thank you, Elisha.
00:03:30.580 We're here joined today by a very special guest.
00:03:33.840 He's the host of The Rubin Report.
00:03:35.220 He is the author of a brand new book,
00:03:37.180 Don't Burn This Book,
00:03:37.980 Thinking for Yourself in an Age of Unreason.
00:03:40.520 And he was the closest, most nearby person we could get.
00:03:43.680 It would work for like SAG minimum.
00:03:47.300 SAG minimum?
00:03:48.220 I thought I was getting some of that Bloomberg money.
00:03:50.880 Don't I get that just by sitting with you guys?
00:03:52.940 Hey, I don't know what kind of ads you do on your show.
00:03:54.560 Guys, before anything else, I just want to say,
00:03:56.900 I just voted at one of our many incredible polling stations.
00:04:00.600 But you don't have a virtue signaling?
00:04:02.520 Well, I put it on my sunglasses and I left it in my car.
00:04:04.680 But I did vote, and I'm fairly certain I have coronavirus.
00:04:08.900 Yeah, that's...
00:04:10.020 And I just want to share it with some of my favorite conservatives.
00:04:13.420 Freedom isn't free, Dave.
00:04:14.960 Oh, no, oh, no!
00:04:15.860 That's just so good to see that.
00:04:18.280 That was a gay joke, right? 1.00
00:04:20.500 Did you guys see this video of Mike Bloomberg today
00:04:23.420 speaking of the coronavirus, getting pizza from craft service?
00:04:26.760 Yes, where was he raised?
00:04:28.780 What is...
00:04:29.340 Who licks...
00:04:30.800 Wings.
00:04:31.840 Wings.
00:04:32.340 And wings alone are the only time you would lick...
00:04:34.540 Ribs. 0.52
00:04:34.740 I got ribs.
00:04:35.380 In your house, wings and ribs.
00:04:36.220 Wings and ribs, right?
00:04:37.160 Nobody licks that many times.
00:04:39.360 And then he touched the coffee thing,
00:04:43.360 but he didn't just touch the side of it or touch his own mug.
00:04:45.900 You didn't see the rest of the clip.
00:04:46.800 He touched the actual spigot.
00:04:47.580 The rest of the clip where he actually went
00:04:48.840 and made a peasant lick his fingers out. 1.00
00:04:51.480 That's the part that really was disgusting.
00:04:53.420 But he paid very well, so I had no problem.
00:04:56.200 That's why I'm voting Mike Bloomberg.
00:04:58.300 Speaking of voting, it's Super Tuesday,
00:05:00.340 and there are already a few early results coming in.
00:05:03.200 Joe Biden is killing it.
00:05:04.340 Joe Biden is killing it.
00:05:06.060 Well, who could have predicted this?
00:05:07.240 I mean, except for me.
00:05:09.280 I did.
00:05:10.260 So I predicted...
00:05:10.760 We had an argument before the show.
00:05:12.100 We did.
00:05:12.520 I said before the show that Biden was going to kill it.
00:05:16.220 I said that on my show,
00:05:17.440 I would not be surprised if he ended up
00:05:18.680 with the majority of the delegates tonight.
00:05:21.520 In fact, I even went through state-by-state
00:05:23.740 and predicted it.
00:05:24.660 So if you wish, at a certain point,
00:05:26.220 we can go through state-by-state
00:05:27.320 what the predictions were.
00:05:28.700 Well, let's look at it right now.
00:05:30.060 Okay, why don't we do this?
00:05:30.880 So here's your Super Tuesday guy.
00:05:32.700 He's clearly blessed by that thing, you know.
00:05:34.800 That thing.
00:05:35.460 That thing.
00:05:35.980 It's the thing.
00:05:36.680 The thing that's in America's human.
00:05:38.340 He doesn't even speak...
00:05:39.360 He speaks in tongues.
00:05:39.900 He's actually been touched by God.
00:05:41.800 Or just touched.
00:05:42.660 One of the two, I don't know.
00:05:44.140 Okay, so let's look at how these delegates break it down.
00:05:47.480 So there are a bunch of states on the ballot tonight.
00:05:49.480 The basic rule of thumb that you have to have in mind
00:05:51.460 is that if you don't cross 15%,
00:05:53.020 you get zero delegates.
00:05:54.420 My prediction going into tonight
00:05:55.800 was that Biden was going to overperform,
00:05:57.360 Sanders was going to perform just as expected
00:05:59.000 because his people love Bernie Sanders,
00:06:01.220 and that Michael Bloomberg was going to collapse.
00:06:02.660 And Michael Bloomberg was not going to do anything
00:06:04.860 because Bloomberg's poll numbers nationally
00:06:06.720 were a placeholder for in case Biden fails
00:06:09.200 in South Carolina.
00:06:10.120 So if Biden failed in South Carolina,
00:06:11.400 you would have seen Bloomberg rise.
00:06:12.460 He didn't.
00:06:12.880 You saw him blow everybody out in South Carolina.
00:06:14.800 Therefore, Bloomberg starts to recede back to the pack.
00:06:16.880 I also think that in most states,
00:06:18.780 Elizabeth Warren is being overrated. 0.78
00:06:20.140 I think that that's not true
00:06:20.980 in maybe California and Massachusetts.
00:06:22.480 So here's how we break it down.
00:06:23.840 Alabama has 52 delegates that are up.
00:06:26.400 Okay, right now...
00:06:27.120 It's worth noting that for the Democrats,
00:06:28.360 all the delegates are awarded proportionally, right?
00:06:30.660 Correct.
00:06:30.980 Which is why Biden had a shot
00:06:33.700 at getting back in this thing, right?
00:06:34.700 If the Republicans actually should run it this way,
00:06:36.840 they should.
00:06:37.080 Because the fact is that Donald Trump
00:06:39.060 ran up a delegate advantage in the early contest
00:06:41.200 by taking winner-take-all states
00:06:43.240 with 30% of the vote.
00:06:44.660 And so it didn't give anybody
00:06:45.520 an opportunity to consolidate, right?
00:06:46.780 The Democrats had an opportunity
00:06:47.860 to consolidate the field,
00:06:48.820 even though Bernie basically won
00:06:49.920 the first three states,
00:06:50.880 or at least competitive in Iowa
00:06:52.640 and then won the next two.
00:06:53.660 Okay, so Alabama had 52 delegates
00:06:55.280 who were up tonight.
00:06:57.020 The poll average is all according to 270 to win.
00:06:59.160 This is their polling average.
00:06:59.920 They had Biden leading Sanders 45 to 21
00:07:02.300 with Bloomberg clocking in 18,
00:07:04.080 Warren at 11.
00:07:04.740 So I had predicted,
00:07:06.220 I did all these before the show
00:07:07.500 and before Super Tuesday began,
00:07:08.860 so I was not cheating.
00:07:09.860 I predicted that Biden was going to win
00:07:11.240 50% of the vote in Alabama,
00:07:13.080 that he was going to blow everybody out,
00:07:14.500 that Sanders would win 18,
00:07:15.340 and that everybody else
00:07:15.980 would finish below 15%,
00:07:17.000 which would give Biden 39 delegates
00:07:18.880 to Bernie Sanders' 13.
00:07:20.360 Already they have called Alabama for Biden,
00:07:22.280 which of course is not a great shock.
00:07:24.140 Okay, next state, we have Arkansas.
00:07:26.800 So Arkansas has 31 delegates.
00:07:28.600 The poll averages had Biden leading Sanders,
00:07:31.020 and they had Bloomberg coming in second.
00:07:32.380 So I didn't really see that.
00:07:34.340 I saw Bloomberg and Sanders surpassing the 15%,
00:07:36.900 but not by much,
00:07:37.600 and Biden blowing everybody out.
00:07:38.740 So my great assumption
00:07:39.740 is that the South Carolina assumption
00:07:41.500 was going to go for everything,
00:07:43.720 meaning states with a heavy share of black voters
00:07:45.920 were going to go overwhelmingly for Biden,
00:07:47.780 and that after South Carolina,
00:07:49.000 that was increasingly true.
00:07:50.020 This is true in Arkansas.
00:07:51.360 Arkansas also has a blue-collar white population.
00:07:54.480 It is not a heavily college-educated population,
00:07:56.260 so that means that it tends to cut a little bit
00:07:58.480 in favor of Sanders in some ways,
00:07:59.980 but against Warren, oddly enough.
00:08:01.360 So the delegate count there
00:08:02.700 would be Biden 18, Sanders 6,
00:08:04.320 Bloomberg 7, and Warren 0.
00:08:05.620 I think Warren's going to get shut out
00:08:06.680 basically across the South.
00:08:08.200 Next state, we have California.
00:08:10.240 So this is the big prize tonight.
00:08:11.880 California has 415 delegates who are up for it.
00:08:15.000 The big assumption going in tonight
00:08:16.480 is that Bernie Sanders
00:08:17.480 is going to run away with California,
00:08:18.760 that Biden might finish even below 15%,
00:08:20.640 which would be devastating for him,
00:08:22.060 that maybe Elizabeth Warren
00:08:22.980 would finish below 15%,
00:08:24.040 and that Bernie was going to run away with it. 0.99
00:08:25.920 Some late-breaking polls in California
00:08:27.400 showed that Biden was within spitting distance.
00:08:29.260 So the poll average from 270 to win going in
00:08:31.340 was Sanders 33, Biden 20,
00:08:33.540 Bloomberg 15, and Elizabeth Warren 14.
00:08:35.700 I have Biden more competitive in California.
00:08:37.720 I have Sanders winning 33,
00:08:39.020 exactly where I think...
00:08:40.020 I think the polling on Sanders
00:08:41.160 is exactly where the polling is on Sanders.
00:08:42.740 I don't think there's a lot of play in those joints.
00:08:44.260 There's no late-breaking for Sanders.
00:08:46.100 Exactly.
00:08:46.620 There might be a late-breaking against Sanders,
00:08:48.060 but there's no late-breaking for Sanders.
00:08:49.340 By the way, the exit polls across the nation
00:08:50.800 are showing that a lot of Democrats
00:08:52.180 said they made up their mind
00:08:52.920 in the last 48 hours,
00:08:53.800 which is horrible news for Bernie Sanders.
00:08:55.340 That's right.
00:08:55.500 Because if you love Bernie,
00:08:56.360 you made up your mind six months ago.
00:08:57.380 Also, by the way, it's worth noting,
00:09:00.120 I think that the whole problem
00:09:03.120 that we have with early voting
00:09:04.780 is that so many of these votes
00:09:06.320 were already cast before people...
00:09:08.220 There were 300,000 votes
00:09:09.960 cast for Klobuchar, Buttigieg,
00:09:11.800 and other candidates who were not in the race,
00:09:13.080 including Kamala Harris.
00:09:14.180 So it's totally mad.
00:09:15.820 So I have Sanders winning California,
00:09:18.140 but narrowly, over Biden.
00:09:19.360 I have Bloomberg finishing below the 15%.
00:09:21.200 I have Warren slightly outperforming
00:09:23.220 because there are too many Hollywood idiots
00:09:24.520 who are going to vote for Elizabeth Warren.
00:09:26.140 That would give a very close split
00:09:28.360 Sanders above Biden
00:09:29.540 and Warren really damaging Sanders
00:09:31.280 in this particular case.
00:09:32.380 Because if Sanders finishes above that 15%,
00:09:34.020 that really hurts Sanders pretty badly.
00:09:35.980 He can't run away with California
00:09:37.360 if Warren finishes above the 15%.
00:09:39.220 So that would only give him
00:09:39.840 about a 40 delegate advantage,
00:09:40.960 42 delegate advantage in California.
00:09:43.180 Okay, next state, Colorado.
00:09:44.700 So the going wisdom here
00:09:46.040 is that Sanders did really well
00:09:47.100 with Hispanic voters in Nevada
00:09:48.400 and that Colorado has a heavy share
00:09:50.040 of Hispanic voters
00:09:50.820 and therefore he will do really well
00:09:51.980 in Colorado.
00:09:52.900 I do think that he'll do fine in Colorado.
00:09:54.340 I do think that Biden is going to outperform anywhere.
00:09:56.620 I basically took every poll average
00:09:58.060 and then I added five to 10 points
00:09:59.600 for Biden in every poll average
00:10:01.000 because he had a national 10-point bounce
00:10:03.000 after the last couple of days
00:10:04.900 when every single Democrat
00:10:06.000 came out and endorsed him.
00:10:07.180 So I have basically...
00:10:09.860 Not every single Democrat.
00:10:11.560 Exactly.
00:10:12.840 Obama's going to sit this one out
00:10:13.840 because he's actually...
00:10:15.180 In one way, it's smart
00:10:15.700 and one way, it's stupid. 0.62
00:10:16.380 In one way, it's smart
00:10:17.640 because he's afraid
00:10:18.620 that if he comes out against Sanders,
00:10:19.700 it actually mobilizes
00:10:20.500 the opposition more.
00:10:21.520 In one way, it's stupid
00:10:22.280 because he should have endorsed Biden
00:10:23.380 right out of the gate.
00:10:24.880 You don't think he's holding Michelle
00:10:26.100 in his pocket?
00:10:26.760 No, I don't.
00:10:27.340 I think that Michelle has aspirations 0.80
00:10:29.100 but not for this election site.
00:10:30.080 I also think you may be
00:10:30.900 being overly generous
00:10:31.740 with what motivates Obama.
00:10:32.840 I actually think that he won't
00:10:33.900 get involved in the race
00:10:34.940 because the two things
00:10:36.360 that he fears the most,
00:10:37.260 one of them is
00:10:38.440 any blow to his legacy
00:10:39.740 and even more is being seen
00:10:41.120 as on the wrong side of history.
00:10:42.180 I mean, his entire view of himself
00:10:43.260 is that he is the future.
00:10:44.940 Yeah.
00:10:45.180 If he endorses Biden,
00:10:47.980 puts himself completely at odds
00:10:49.440 with Bernie
00:10:49.880 and it doesn't work,
00:10:51.780 he loses on both of the things
00:10:52.920 that matter the most to him.
00:10:53.640 That's why I think
00:10:54.640 he won't bring Michelle in 0.93
00:10:56.060 because if he comes in
00:10:56.940 and destroys the Trump economy,
00:10:58.680 then we can all see for real
00:11:00.140 that it is the Trump economy.
00:11:01.440 Yeah.
00:11:01.740 Okay, so Colorado,
00:11:02.620 I have Sanders winning
00:11:03.320 but narrowly over Biden.
00:11:04.380 Okay, next state,
00:11:05.200 we've got Maine.
00:11:06.780 So Maine doesn't have
00:11:08.220 all that many delegates.
00:11:09.140 It has 24 delegates.
00:11:10.360 Sanders is expected to win.
00:11:12.020 Here, I actually think
00:11:12.720 Biden might slightly underperform
00:11:14.160 in Maine
00:11:15.340 just because where's his support?
00:11:17.520 Doesn't really matter very much.
00:11:18.380 But bottom line is that
00:11:19.740 it ends up with a pretty close
00:11:20.720 delegate split
00:11:21.200 because there aren't
00:11:21.660 that many delegates.
00:11:22.620 So if you even score in Maine,
00:11:24.340 you're going to get some delegates.
00:11:25.520 Okay, next state,
00:11:26.460 we've got Massachusetts.
00:11:27.580 This one,
00:11:28.120 the big question is whether
00:11:28.760 Warren takes the state
00:11:29.480 or Sanders takes the state.
00:11:30.560 I have Warren taking the state
00:11:31.720 because I think that Warren
00:11:32.560 was surging in the late going
00:11:34.240 with precisely the voters
00:11:35.860 in Massachusetts.
00:11:36.540 Nowhere else.
00:11:37.060 Like, I don't think that Warren
00:11:37.720 is picking up support anywhere else.
00:11:39.100 Maybe California,
00:11:40.080 maybe Massachusetts.
00:11:41.300 If she doesn't win Massachusetts
00:11:42.560 after the way the Boston Globe
00:11:43.860 carried water for her
00:11:45.300 for the last 18 months.
00:11:45.840 Oh, massaged her.
00:11:46.820 I mean, my goodness.
00:11:47.560 So I think that she will
00:11:49.520 end up pulling out Massachusetts.
00:11:51.140 I think it's going to be narrow.
00:11:52.300 I think Biden will cross
00:11:53.120 the 15% threshold again
00:11:55.200 because I think he's
00:11:55.880 going to outperform.
00:11:56.460 She's doing this
00:11:57.900 for the delegate count,
00:11:58.740 but it's interesting
00:11:59.220 that she hasn't really
00:11:59.880 been campaigning as much
00:12:01.000 in Massachusetts
00:12:01.840 as you would expect her to.
00:12:03.380 As you say,
00:12:04.040 if she loses it,
00:12:04.880 it looks awfully bad.
00:12:05.580 It does look terrible for her
00:12:06.700 if she loses in Massachusetts.
00:12:07.700 How could she lose?
00:12:08.520 Why don't we just ask her?
00:12:11.480 All right.
00:12:12.840 This thing doesn't talk? 0.55
00:12:14.220 Dave, we never refer to the statute.
00:12:17.240 Oh, sorry.
00:12:17.920 All similarities are purely,
00:12:19.580 purely coincidental.
00:12:21.360 Wait, that's who that is?
00:12:24.700 Okay, Minnesota is the other one
00:12:26.260 that's really interesting tonight
00:12:27.140 because Klobuchar was pulling
00:12:28.660 very close to Bernie Sanders
00:12:29.660 and then she, of course,
00:12:30.300 dropped out and endorsed Joe Biden.
00:12:32.500 So I think that that does
00:12:33.660 allow Sanders to win the state.
00:12:35.060 I think he wins it fairly narrowly
00:12:36.720 against Biden.
00:12:37.900 I think one of the trends
00:12:39.540 you'll notice here
00:12:39.940 is I don't have Bloomberg
00:12:40.580 crossing 15% nearly
00:12:41.760 any of these states.
00:12:42.440 I have Bloomberg.
00:12:43.260 You think Bloomberg's done?
00:12:44.360 I think he's finished.
00:12:45.080 I think that he has
00:12:45.600 a horrible night tonight.
00:12:46.500 I think that everybody
00:12:47.120 who was going to vote for Bloomberg,
00:12:48.340 he was riding just about 15
00:12:49.700 in a lot of these states.
00:12:50.440 He's riding like 18, 19.
00:12:51.720 He was never at 30, right?
00:12:52.760 He was always at 18, 19.
00:12:54.060 It's an important point
00:12:54.980 that half a billion dollars
00:12:56.520 doesn't buy you that many votes.
00:12:57.680 If that turns out to be the truth,
00:12:59.140 it means a lot of them
00:12:59.720 is complaining.
00:13:00.520 It didn't buy him the votes,
00:13:01.840 it bought Biden the votes
00:13:02.480 because all of his advertising
00:13:03.900 or a lot of it
00:13:04.540 was purely against Sanders.
00:13:06.680 Like a lot of it
00:13:07.240 was directed against Sanders.
00:13:08.180 So there are two stories here.
00:13:09.260 One is Biden's resurgence
00:13:10.240 in South Carolina.
00:13:11.200 The other is that Bernie
00:13:12.260 does not play as a frontrunner.
00:13:13.760 He plays as the guy
00:13:14.700 who is outside shouting
00:13:15.640 at everybody.
00:13:16.480 He doesn't play as the frontrunner.
00:13:17.680 That's what was so unusual
00:13:18.880 about Trump
00:13:19.280 because he felt the same way.
00:13:20.260 He felt like,
00:13:20.820 well, he's outside criticizing,
00:13:21.980 then he's going to be well.
00:13:22.660 But as soon as he hits
00:13:23.560 that frontrunner status,
00:13:24.700 all the guns will turn on him.
00:13:25.820 This was the conventional wisdom.
00:13:27.040 And then he'll fall down
00:13:27.920 on the job.
00:13:28.500 The difference is he'd already
00:13:29.320 built up such a delegate lead
00:13:30.300 that it was nearly impossible
00:13:31.260 to stop him.
00:13:32.080 Imagine that the danger
00:13:32.740 of what happens tonight,
00:13:33.900 which is that Biden
00:13:34.820 now takes the lead
00:13:35.960 and that then fuels the idea
00:13:38.520 to the crazed Sanders people
00:13:40.620 who are crazed
00:13:41.520 and will gladly burn
00:13:42.740 this country down
00:13:43.500 and they're going to burn
00:13:44.080 down Milwaukee
00:13:44.780 and I'm only being
00:13:45.540 slightly facetious
00:13:47.320 when I say it.
00:13:51.860 That it now feeds
00:13:52.560 the narrative.
00:13:53.180 Oh, Bloomberg came in
00:13:54.360 to just crush our guy.
00:13:56.160 Now he's down again.
00:13:57.680 The whole thing's fixed.
00:13:58.740 Blah, blah, blah.
00:13:59.180 They're already nursing this,
00:13:59.980 by the way.
00:14:00.180 That's the narrative
00:14:01.880 no matter what happens.
00:14:02.760 I'm telling you,
00:14:03.500 the party doesn't survive
00:14:04.380 this thing.
00:14:04.840 I actually think this thing
00:14:05.660 is so out of control
00:14:06.520 right now that I'm not saying
00:14:07.640 the Democratic Party
00:14:08.360 won't exist,
00:14:09.200 but let the socialists
00:14:10.620 have their own party.
00:14:12.080 AOC was wrong about everything.
00:14:13.740 She was right about one thing.
00:14:15.140 Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders
00:14:16.620 should not be in the same party.
00:14:17.840 You can say what you want
00:14:18.880 about Republicans.
00:14:19.660 So Ted Cruz
00:14:20.140 was against Trump.
00:14:20.860 Now he's for him.
00:14:21.800 Marco Rubio is there.
00:14:22.760 But they have the sort of
00:14:23.940 basic set of ideas
00:14:25.080 that we all kind of believe
00:14:26.000 in the Constitution.
00:14:26.720 The trouble is...
00:14:27.380 The left has no sort of
00:14:28.480 cohesive narrative
00:14:29.280 that brings these people together.
00:14:30.840 The trouble is,
00:14:31.320 you see Tom Perez,
00:14:32.300 that chairman of the DNC,
00:14:33.980 saying openly,
00:14:35.160 AOC is the future
00:14:36.100 of the Democratic Party.
00:14:37.020 So the leadership,
00:14:37.940 in some ways,
00:14:38.840 has embraced this sort of thing.
00:14:40.400 I agree with you.
00:14:41.200 The Sanders supporters
00:14:42.020 are totally crazed,
00:14:43.320 totally devoted.
00:14:44.140 But I think they are
00:14:44.820 different in kind
00:14:45.860 from the Trump supporters
00:14:46.940 in 2016.
00:14:48.260 The Trump supporters
00:14:49.060 in 2016 love
00:14:49.920 the American flag.
00:14:50.720 They love it when he hugs it
00:14:51.500 and kisses it.
00:14:52.240 They're generally
00:14:52.900 just patriotic,
00:14:53.760 normal people.
00:14:54.520 The people who love
00:14:55.200 Bernie Sanders
00:14:55.720 are actual socialists.
00:14:57.560 I think it's just
00:14:58.260 so much smaller.
00:14:59.260 I think it'll be very hard
00:15:00.140 for them to take a job.
00:15:00.540 And a lot of the people
00:15:01.280 in the Democratic Party,
00:15:02.540 when it comes to socialism,
00:15:03.900 were lying.
00:15:04.800 They were buying votes.
00:15:05.780 They weren't really socialists.
00:15:07.340 They were the Chris Matthews
00:15:08.160 of the people who were like,
00:15:09.200 socialism, socialism.
00:15:10.120 Oh, whoa, whoa, whoa.
00:15:11.340 Not so fast.
00:15:12.640 By the way,
00:15:12.800 the perfect example
00:15:13.580 of what a failure this was
00:15:14.600 is the aforementioned
00:15:15.660 Elizabeth Warren.
00:15:16.560 Warren had a choice
00:15:17.260 to make in the middle
00:15:17.780 of this campaign.
00:15:18.520 And she made the wrong choice.
00:15:19.840 The choice was,
00:15:20.660 do you go Medicare for all
00:15:21.600 and try and steal Bernie's votes
00:15:22.580 because you think
00:15:23.100 that the real threat is Biden
00:15:24.140 and Bernie's more vulnerable?
00:15:25.620 Or do you go after Biden
00:15:26.940 and move into that central lane?
00:15:28.120 If Warren had moved
00:15:28.640 into that central lane,
00:15:29.240 she'd be the nominee right now.
00:15:30.300 But she made the big mistake
00:15:31.640 of revealing what her plan was.
00:15:33.040 No, that's not a joke.
00:15:35.380 They don't want answers.
00:15:37.600 They specifically,
00:15:38.600 they think answers
00:15:40.020 or math or reality
00:15:41.420 is a negative.
00:15:42.840 They really believe that.
00:15:44.140 Well, because utopia
00:15:44.600 is blocked by math.
00:15:45.620 Right?
00:15:45.960 So they don't care.
00:15:47.080 The point is,
00:15:47.480 you just get there
00:15:48.120 however you got to get there.
00:15:49.140 So they don't want you
00:15:49.860 to add up the things
00:15:50.720 and go,
00:15:51.180 so when she's like,
00:15:51.860 oh, well,
00:15:52.100 my Medicare plan
00:15:52.860 is better than Bernie's,
00:15:53.780 it's like,
00:15:54.480 well, you just said something
00:15:55.480 that might make some sense.
00:15:56.480 That has nothing to do
00:15:57.100 with what we do here.
00:15:57.580 She made a sort of
00:15:57.900 Bloombergian argument,
00:15:59.620 which is,
00:16:00.460 I like all of these policies,
00:16:02.400 but you shouldn't vote
00:16:03.320 for the guy
00:16:03.660 who has the policies.
00:16:04.740 You should vote for me
00:16:05.520 because I'm a more
00:16:06.200 efficient manager.
00:16:07.800 That's an exciting...
00:16:08.440 Nobody is going to be
00:16:08.780 motivated to do that.
00:16:10.360 She really,
00:16:11.320 I mean,
00:16:11.540 she did blow it 1.00
00:16:12.280 in an absolutely astonishing way,
00:16:13.960 but it does show
00:16:14.420 that what the Democratic Party
00:16:15.400 really did,
00:16:15.820 they made a bunch of mistakes.
00:16:16.740 There are really three
00:16:17.300 major mistakes that,
00:16:18.180 and I agree with you,
00:16:18.740 there's going to be
00:16:19.040 a serious breakdown.
00:16:20.340 If Bernie continues
00:16:21.240 to stay in the race,
00:16:21.820 even if he wins
00:16:22.280 1,300, 1,400 delegates
00:16:23.280 and finishes second,
00:16:24.300 there's going to be
00:16:24.760 a nervous breakdown
00:16:25.340 inside the Democratic Party
00:16:26.240 because they made
00:16:28.020 a bunch of mistakes.
00:16:29.160 One,
00:16:29.480 they changed some
00:16:30.060 of the rules of the primaries
00:16:30.760 to make superdelegates
00:16:31.480 less valuable,
00:16:32.140 which was a favor
00:16:32.840 done to Bernie,
00:16:33.640 and then they allowed Bernie
00:16:35.160 to run as an independent
00:16:36.060 inside their own party,
00:16:36.900 which they shouldn't have done.
00:16:37.760 They should have made him
00:16:38.200 re-register as a Democrat.
00:16:39.600 They didn't make him do it.
00:16:40.600 And then third,
00:16:42.020 Joe Biden,
00:16:43.300 so right now,
00:16:44.060 the narrative coming out
00:16:45.020 of tonight,
00:16:45.480 assuming that Biden does well,
00:16:46.300 which I think he will,
00:16:47.380 assuming that Biden
00:16:47.920 is the nominee,
00:16:48.680 the narrative is going to be,
00:16:49.640 well,
00:16:50.100 look at how he had a comeback.
00:16:51.360 Here's the reality.
00:16:52.340 This never should have
00:16:53.160 been an issue.
00:16:53.960 That's right.
00:16:54.200 Joe Biden should run away
00:16:55.220 with this thing.
00:16:55.660 He should run away
00:16:56.120 with it early.
00:16:56.880 This should have been foreclosed.
00:16:58.000 And the fact that he ran
00:16:58.740 such a garbage campaign 1.00
00:16:59.880 is the reason why
00:17:00.940 the Democratic Party
00:17:01.600 is going to split itself apart
00:17:02.560 because if he had run
00:17:03.180 anything remotely
00:17:04.000 approaching a decent campaign,
00:17:05.340 Bernie never would have
00:17:05.980 gotten to the point
00:17:06.480 where he was winning
00:17:07.060 any of these primaries,
00:17:08.480 not in a crowded field.
00:17:09.640 But that also,
00:17:11.000 sorry,
00:17:11.280 well,
00:17:11.420 that also brings up
00:17:12.140 the real point
00:17:12.700 that nobody really wants
00:17:13.500 to talk about,
00:17:14.040 which is when you're voting
00:17:15.100 for Biden right now,
00:17:16.040 whether it's the primary
00:17:16.840 or in the general,
00:17:17.820 you really have no idea
00:17:18.660 who you're voting for
00:17:19.480 because there is no reason.
00:17:20.940 I mean,
00:17:21.040 this is just the sad truth.
00:17:22.400 There is no reason
00:17:23.500 to think that that guy
00:17:24.440 can last four years
00:17:25.320 of a president.
00:17:26.180 I don't mean,
00:17:27.300 it's sad.
00:17:27.900 It's sad.
00:17:28.200 We've all been through this,
00:17:28.880 right?
00:17:29.080 We've all been through this
00:17:29.780 with grandparents
00:17:30.280 or parents or something.
00:17:31.120 Within 18 months,
00:17:31.960 he will have hit
00:17:32.560 the average American
00:17:33.420 life expectancy.
00:17:34.060 Within 18 months
00:17:34.940 from today.
00:17:35.380 And if you don't think
00:17:36.260 that he is losing his mind, 0.50
00:17:37.400 we have a clip for you.
00:17:38.700 Here is a clip
00:17:39.420 of Joe Biden
00:17:40.600 reciting the Declaration
00:17:41.700 of Independence
00:17:42.800 at his rally yesterday.
00:17:43.840 All men and women
00:17:46.280 created by,
00:17:47.580 go,
00:17:47.920 you know the thing.
00:17:50.040 You know how we talk about it.
00:17:51.240 Are we the people?
00:17:53.360 He's a Pentecostal.
00:17:54.700 I never knew.
00:17:56.440 You know the thing.
00:17:57.340 You know the thing.
00:17:57.720 Like from the Fantastic Four.
00:17:59.500 The thing.
00:18:00.460 It looks like he's
00:18:01.000 full of bricks.
00:18:01.480 That one.
00:18:02.380 I got coronavirus today
00:18:03.840 so that I could go out there
00:18:05.960 and vote for that
00:18:06.920 old senile man
00:18:07.900 just to stop Bernie Sanders.
00:18:09.080 That's what I did today
00:18:10.260 as an American.
00:18:10.800 Pause for just a minute though
00:18:11.880 and reflect on this.
00:18:13.500 Donald Trump
00:18:14.260 has actually been great
00:18:15.920 for the Republican Party.
00:18:17.260 We thought,
00:18:17.880 even I thought,
00:18:19.320 suspected that he was
00:18:20.200 going to be damaging
00:18:20.820 to the Republican Party.
00:18:21.880 But the Republican Party
00:18:22.680 right now
00:18:23.280 is more attuned
00:18:26.300 to going into the future
00:18:27.900 than it has been
00:18:29.000 for decades.
00:18:29.960 I was with you guys
00:18:30.800 on election night.
00:18:31.260 You're so high, dude.
00:18:32.280 I mean,
00:18:32.860 I don't know what to tell you.
00:18:33.560 It is true.
00:18:34.200 I don't know what's in that cigar.
00:18:35.700 Okay.
00:18:36.940 Let's calm down
00:18:38.820 for just a second.
00:18:39.360 Dude has 41%
00:18:40.120 approval rating.
00:18:41.080 The economy is
00:18:42.020 in trouble this year
00:18:43.580 because of coronavirus.
00:18:45.340 Okay.
00:18:45.800 If you think that
00:18:46.640 the supply chain disruptions
00:18:48.060 are going to magically heal
00:18:49.260 and this is a V-shaped recovery
00:18:50.120 that's incorrect
00:18:50.660 and the reason it's incorrect
00:18:51.440 is because this has nothing
00:18:52.260 to do with the United States.
00:18:53.020 It doesn't have to do with Trump.
00:18:53.780 It's not Trump's fault.
00:18:54.660 Who is the person
00:18:55.260 who has been disrupting
00:18:56.420 the supply chains to China?
00:18:57.940 Who is the person
00:18:58.420 who said that that's 0.96
00:18:59.080 what should be done?
00:18:59.700 It doesn't matter what he said.
00:19:00.680 He hasn't disrupted
00:19:02.040 the supply chain to China
00:19:03.080 in such a significant way
00:19:04.160 that this is...
00:19:04.760 I mean,
00:19:05.080 the Dow lost 10%.
00:19:06.700 Here's how I know you're wrong.
00:19:08.360 I know you're wrong
00:19:08.860 because just before
00:19:10.040 the stocks dropped
00:19:10.880 my wife said
00:19:11.720 we should sell our stocks
00:19:13.060 and then about two days ago
00:19:14.700 she said
00:19:15.020 we should buy back those stocks.
00:19:17.500 So everybody is assuming
00:19:19.560 that there is going to be
00:19:20.580 a V-shaped recovery.
00:19:21.600 It's not Trump's fault.
00:19:22.540 I'm not saying
00:19:22.920 this is Trump's fault.
00:19:23.540 It's not Trump's fault
00:19:24.180 but we have all said
00:19:25.340 and it's true
00:19:25.840 that if the economy
00:19:26.840 slows significantly
00:19:27.840 that's a real obstacle for him
00:19:29.220 because he's got to have
00:19:29.820 a booming economy.
00:19:30.700 Against Bernie
00:19:31.160 it's less of an obstacle
00:19:31.920 because you can compare
00:19:33.300 mediocre economy
00:19:34.300 to, you know,
00:19:35.180 complete collapse
00:19:35.920 of world economy
00:19:36.780 but if it's Biden
00:19:38.560 I've been saying for a while
00:19:39.900 that Biden's advantage
00:19:40.580 in the election
00:19:41.060 is that he is dead.
00:19:42.960 That he's actually
00:19:43.480 like a corpse.
00:19:44.460 That's actually his advantage
00:19:45.720 because if this election
00:19:46.860 is a referendum on Trump
00:19:47.760 it's a problem for Trump.
00:19:48.820 If this election
00:19:49.280 is a referendum on Bernie
00:19:50.220 it's a problem for Bernie.
00:19:51.100 That was true a year ago.
00:19:52.020 I don't think that's true anymore.
00:19:53.160 A year ago you said that
00:19:54.240 and I thought,
00:19:54.620 yes, I understand that
00:19:55.480 but I don't think
00:19:56.040 that's true anymore.
00:19:56.720 Okay, tell me
00:19:57.460 so let me go back
00:19:58.960 to the conventional wisdom
00:19:59.680 for just a second.
00:20:01.020 Bernie was a bad candidate
00:20:02.340 for the national election
00:20:03.740 for a couple reasons.
00:20:04.740 One, he can't drive out
00:20:05.380 minority voters
00:20:05.940 obviously true
00:20:06.600 from these primaries.
00:20:07.460 Two, he is death
00:20:09.160 for suburban women.
00:20:10.140 Suburban women 1.00
00:20:10.600 cannot stand Bernie.
00:20:11.520 They still have families.
00:20:12.580 They still are the soccer moms. 0.99
00:20:14.020 They still do not want
00:20:14.880 the old geriatric socialist.
00:20:17.040 Trump is not great
00:20:18.220 with suburban women. 0.89
00:20:19.300 Joe Biden is pretty good
00:20:20.480 with suburban women. 0.89
00:20:21.320 He is better with minorities
00:20:22.240 than Trump.
00:20:22.840 So he can duplicate
00:20:23.720 Hillary's performance
00:20:24.540 which means that
00:20:26.040 those states are competitive
00:20:27.620 and people don't despise
00:20:29.180 Biden the way
00:20:29.760 that they despise Hillary.
00:20:30.520 No, nobody despises Biden.
00:20:31.780 You voted for the guy.
00:20:32.880 Why?
00:20:34.700 I mean, I actually went in there
00:20:36.560 and voted for Biden
00:20:37.340 just to stop Bernie.
00:20:38.920 I mean, I'm registered
00:20:39.560 as an independent anyway
00:20:40.520 so I had to actually
00:20:41.320 you're not registering today
00:20:43.140 but I had to, you know,
00:20:44.180 click something saying
00:20:44.880 I'm a non-something-something.
00:20:46.140 But you didn't have to
00:20:46.600 show an ID card.
00:20:47.420 Of course not.
00:20:47.960 I voluntarily showed it.
00:20:49.640 I honestly don't know
00:20:50.300 that I had to show it
00:20:51.120 but I voluntarily showed it.
00:20:51.700 I mean, Drew,
00:20:52.140 all I'm saying is that
00:20:52.860 you may very well be right
00:20:54.060 the Republican Party
00:20:54.740 is in great shape.
00:20:55.560 I'm going to wait
00:20:55.980 until right after the election
00:20:57.180 to clear the Republican Party
00:20:58.220 is in great shape
00:20:58.720 because the data ain't in.
00:21:00.520 That's fair
00:21:00.960 and the future is always unknown.
00:21:02.080 Because 2018 didn't go great, right?
00:21:03.540 What's that?
00:21:04.040 2018 did not go great.
00:21:06.120 2018 was...
00:21:07.100 This year has been unbelievable
00:21:08.940 until that stock blip
00:21:10.700 which after all, you know,
00:21:12.500 they're panicking.
00:21:13.520 They're crazy.
00:21:14.060 I mean, this is like not...
00:21:15.960 This is a flu.
00:21:17.420 No, it's not about the flu.
00:21:19.340 It's about systemic underlying issues
00:21:20.700 in slow growth rates
00:21:21.920 in the European economy
00:21:22.700 that were finally made clear
00:21:23.740 to investors
00:21:24.200 when the entire supply chain stopped.
00:21:26.500 It has nothing to do...
00:21:27.260 By the way,
00:21:27.540 it doesn't have anything to do
00:21:28.720 with Trump
00:21:29.680 and even the coronavirus
00:21:31.080 was a triggering factor
00:21:32.200 but it's because China
00:21:33.100 has a weak economy
00:21:34.020 that has been based on debt
00:21:34.960 and it's because Europe
00:21:36.040 has a very weak economy
00:21:37.220 that's based on bad underlying policy
00:21:38.680 and if Trump thinks
00:21:39.220 we're going to inflate
00:21:39.760 our way out of this,
00:21:40.480 he's incorrect.
00:21:41.240 Okay, the Fed Reserve
00:21:41.840 dropping 50 basis points today...
00:21:44.240 And the market went down.
00:21:45.620 Of course it went down
00:21:46.220 because the market looked at that
00:21:47.180 and they said,
00:21:47.660 oh, right,
00:21:48.520 the market said,
00:21:49.420 this is worse than we thought.
00:21:51.140 If the Fed thinks
00:21:51.820 that we have to drop this thing
00:21:52.700 50 basis points,
00:21:53.940 that means that we're
00:21:54.520 a little bit uneasy.
00:21:55.520 Dave, where's your retirement?
00:21:56.860 Well, I would just say that
00:21:58.400 to dumb it down
00:22:00.140 just a tiny bit
00:22:01.060 for the average folk,
00:22:01.940 I would say that
00:22:02.680 I think most people
00:22:03.640 at this point
00:22:04.180 think Trump likes America
00:22:05.360 and I think most people
00:22:06.360 at this point
00:22:06.840 think the Democrats don't.
00:22:08.380 Biden obviously likes America
00:22:09.920 and he'll occasionally
00:22:10.980 say Constitution.
00:22:12.680 But he can't do it.
00:22:15.180 He cannot do it.
00:22:16.600 Imagine that guy
00:22:17.500 in a debate with Trump
00:22:18.400 at this point.
00:22:19.120 Yeah.
00:22:19.420 This thing will not end well
00:22:20.880 for them so I think
00:22:22.080 that although I do think
00:22:23.220 it will be Biden,
00:22:24.180 I think who they choose
00:22:25.140 as VP is way,
00:22:26.540 way more important
00:22:27.260 at this point
00:22:27.720 because you're not really
00:22:28.740 voting for Biden.
00:22:29.540 You're voting for a placeholder
00:22:30.740 and if the progressives
00:22:32.040 can somehow extract VP
00:22:34.160 from him,
00:22:34.760 if Sanders can somehow
00:22:36.040 do that,
00:22:36.840 then we've complete,
00:22:37.720 this whole thing
00:22:38.220 was a sham in the first place.
00:22:39.240 Well, if you think
00:22:39.680 that was good commentary
00:22:40.620 and you'd be the only one.
00:22:42.160 You'd be the only one.
00:22:43.560 Head over to the Rubin Report
00:22:44.860 and check out Dave's show.
00:22:46.260 Buy his book,
00:22:47.100 Burn This Book.
00:22:48.160 Don't burn this book.
00:22:49.080 Don't burn this book.
00:22:49.820 No, I would inform people
00:22:50.800 to burn it.
00:22:51.320 That's the greatest thing
00:22:51.960 to buy another copy.
00:22:53.020 Burn the hell out of this thing.
00:22:54.220 Yeah, yeah, I love it.
00:22:54.780 On Earth Day,
00:22:55.360 you could burn it.
00:22:55.780 Yeah.
00:22:56.240 Head over to the Rubin Report.
00:22:57.420 Dave, thanks for hanging out with us.
00:22:58.440 Thanks, guys.
00:22:59.020 I'm going to get my own chat.
00:23:00.020 You're live streaming tonight.
00:23:01.140 I'm on with Beck in 10 minutes
00:23:02.480 and then live streaming tonight
00:23:04.140 is since the clock.
00:23:04.640 Get out.
00:23:05.160 Dave, you already gave me the Wuhan,
00:23:06.460 so good to see you.
00:23:07.220 All right, see you guys.
00:23:09.340 Good to see you.
00:23:10.380 Can he go?
00:23:11.160 Somebody help him.
00:23:11.940 Let somebody help him.
00:23:12.980 Release him from his bonds.
00:23:14.100 There's nowhere to go.
00:23:15.340 I'll go.
00:23:16.840 We've quarantined him like that.
00:23:19.420 The coronavirus is not
00:23:20.660 the only threat out there.
00:23:22.200 There are others.
00:23:24.980 That's a hell of a pitch.
00:23:27.200 For example,
00:23:27.840 you should wear a seatbelt.
00:23:29.280 You should get a flu shot.
00:23:30.640 You should never look at your 401k,
00:23:32.400 especially not this week.
00:23:33.540 And you should buy Ring.
00:23:35.700 Ring gives protection at every corner
00:23:37.700 and helps you create custom,
00:23:38.820 affordable security for your home.
00:23:40.360 Ring's video doorbells
00:23:41.580 let you answer the door
00:23:42.360 and check in on your home
00:23:43.500 anywhere, anytime.
00:23:44.980 It's an amazing piece of technology.
00:23:47.180 You guys have it.
00:23:48.140 I live currently,
00:23:49.400 this is true,
00:23:49.940 I live in a hotel.
00:23:51.260 I am only able to see my home
00:23:53.220 by way of Ring
00:23:54.560 because I have flooded my house.
00:23:55.700 You know what's great about this?
00:23:56.700 No, seriously.
00:23:57.320 I'm up all night.
00:23:58.120 You know, I never sleep.
00:23:59.100 Yeah.
00:23:59.300 And instead of getting up
00:24:00.460 with a baseball bat
00:24:01.160 and walking around
00:24:01.760 because what good is that,
00:24:02.760 you can actually look at this thing
00:24:03.820 and say, oh, everything's fine.
00:24:05.120 You know, I'm going not back to sleep
00:24:06.860 because I'm never asleep.
00:24:07.680 But at least I'm not worried anymore.
00:24:08.700 Also, Los Angeles has turned
00:24:09.840 into a bag of garbage.
00:24:10.800 It's just a giant bag of garbage.
00:24:12.380 And that means that
00:24:12.920 we're 100% agreement there.
00:24:14.760 They are lying about,
00:24:16.580 by the way,
00:24:17.040 like the mayor will lie
00:24:17.660 about the crime rates.
00:24:18.440 Like they just job the crime rates
00:24:19.580 to pretend that everything is fine.
00:24:20.800 Quality of life here is horrible.
00:24:22.780 And that means
00:24:23.440 that there's a lot of crime,
00:24:24.400 like a lot of breaking and entering,
00:24:25.660 a lot of local crime,
00:24:27.080 people doing stuff
00:24:28.040 that they shouldn't be doing.
00:24:28.940 Murder around the corner from me.
00:24:29.600 You know, this is why
00:24:30.740 sweet little Elise is good with a gun, 1.00
00:24:32.260 but when I'm on the road,
00:24:33.220 I'm glad that I have Ring
00:24:34.300 so I can just check in.
00:24:35.800 Yeah.
00:24:36.120 And Ring.com,
00:24:36.860 I've got Ring devices
00:24:37.540 all over my property
00:24:38.580 because not only am I paranoid,
00:24:39.900 I'm paranoid for a reason.
00:24:41.220 Go check out Ring.com.
00:24:42.920 You can get a special offer
00:24:43.820 on a Ring welcome kit
00:24:44.640 when you go to ring.com
00:24:45.660 slash backstage.
00:24:46.600 The welcome kit includes
00:24:47.460 the Ring video doorbell 2
00:24:48.620 and Chime Pro.
00:24:49.660 It's all you need
00:24:50.140 to start building custom security
00:24:51.220 for your home today.
00:24:52.300 Head on over to ring.com
00:24:53.420 slash backstage.
00:24:54.160 That is ring.com
00:24:55.200 slash backstage.
00:24:56.140 Again, it lets you
00:24:56.960 keep control of your property.
00:24:57.980 You can finally see
00:24:58.600 what's happening on your property
00:25:00.460 and make sure that
00:25:01.000 nothing nefarious is going on there,
00:25:02.860 which, again,
00:25:03.620 in this city is actually
00:25:04.460 a useful thing.
00:25:05.140 Ring.com.
00:25:06.020 Use that slash backstage
00:25:06.960 and go check it out right now.
00:25:08.340 So before we continue
00:25:09.580 with the predictions for the night,
00:25:11.700 we actually have some hard data
00:25:12.840 to share.
00:25:13.420 And then we're going to take
00:25:13.980 a few questions from the audience.
00:25:15.440 We have some early states
00:25:16.620 already calling.
00:25:17.360 All of these are on the East Coast.
00:25:18.960 It's going to be a long night
00:25:19.800 because California is late
00:25:21.200 and it's obviously Pacific time.
00:25:23.940 But we can say now
00:25:25.440 that Bernie is called
00:25:26.480 as the winner in Vermont.
00:25:28.240 Joe Biden in Alabama,
00:25:29.680 North Carolina,
00:25:30.280 and Virginia.
00:25:31.560 That's a big night for him.
00:25:32.540 So far...
00:25:33.560 And by the way,
00:25:33.960 blowing it out in Virginia.
00:25:35.100 Blowing it out.
00:25:35.920 Blowing it out.
00:25:36.360 And this goes to your theory
00:25:37.440 about the South.
00:25:38.420 It's going to be a great night
00:25:39.480 for Biden in the South.
00:25:40.320 Yeah.
00:25:41.060 93% of the vote
00:25:42.040 is in in Virginia.
00:25:43.360 54% for Joe Biden
00:25:45.060 compared to 23%.
00:25:46.540 For some reason...
00:25:46.960 Okay, by the way,
00:25:47.540 you know,
00:25:47.820 bringing my predictions.
00:25:48.880 Now I'm curious
00:25:49.280 how I did with the predictions.
00:25:50.440 How did I do on the prediction
00:25:51.260 on Virginia?
00:25:52.240 Do we have the Virginia prediction
00:25:53.680 up there, guys?
00:25:54.780 Okay, because...
00:25:56.680 All right,
00:25:57.060 so I underestimated Biden.
00:25:58.360 I had Bernie
00:25:59.160 about where I had him,
00:26:00.380 but I had Biden winning
00:26:01.160 53 of the 99 delegates.
00:26:02.840 That actually is not
00:26:03.460 going to be far off.
00:26:04.520 I had Biden at 50,
00:26:06.000 at 35%
00:26:06.920 and Sanders at 17.
00:26:07.740 I had Bloomberg at 15
00:26:08.740 and Warren at 8.
00:26:09.880 Instead, right now,
00:26:10.760 it looks as though
00:26:11.520 it is Bloomberg
00:26:12.820 Warren at 10%
00:26:14.740 and Bloomberg
00:26:15.720 not even charting
00:26:17.200 in Virginia,
00:26:18.200 which goes to my...
00:26:19.280 I didn't believe
00:26:19.660 in my own theory enough.
00:26:20.420 I should have believed
00:26:20.860 that Bloomberg
00:26:21.300 was basically DOA.
00:26:22.780 Man, flushing $500 million
00:26:24.760 directly down the toilet.
00:26:26.760 My God.
00:26:27.180 For some reason,
00:26:27.400 black people don't like 1.00
00:26:28.320 Bernie's plan
00:26:29.080 where they do the work
00:26:30.060 and a white man
00:26:30.640 in a big white house
00:26:31.340 takes all the money.
00:26:32.040 I don't know.
00:26:33.300 A big white house
00:26:34.320 in three of them.
00:26:35.520 Let's hear from some
00:26:36.280 of our Daily Wire subscribers
00:26:37.400 over at DailyWire.com.
00:26:39.160 If you give us money,
00:26:40.380 you get an above-average chance
00:26:41.820 of getting a question answered.
00:26:43.080 How's that for a bit?
00:26:44.300 Alicia, what are we hearing?
00:26:46.260 That's the best pitch
00:26:47.240 I've heard you get
00:26:47.900 in a real long time.
00:26:48.820 Come on.
00:26:49.920 It could be a really
00:26:50.920 long night, guys.
00:26:51.840 So we'll be taking
00:26:52.800 lots of subscriber questions
00:26:54.200 and this is a really good question.
00:26:55.740 Do you think that the primaries
00:26:56.680 are going to end today
00:26:57.760 with a clear winner
00:26:58.660 or will Biden and Bernie
00:27:00.040 have to duke it out
00:27:00.880 for longer?
00:27:01.340 Well, I think if the night
00:27:03.060 is going to keep trending
00:27:03.800 for Biden,
00:27:04.380 as it looks like it will,
00:27:05.760 then Biden is going to be
00:27:07.040 the clear front-runner.
00:27:08.280 We saw, you know,
00:27:09.300 if you look at just
00:27:09.980 the real clear politics average
00:27:11.780 before the Buttigieg
00:27:13.280 and Klobuchar endorsement,
00:27:14.720 it looked like Bernie
00:27:15.700 was just going to clean up
00:27:16.600 on everything.
00:27:17.540 When you factor in
00:27:18.520 the votes that were baked in
00:27:20.180 for Klobuchar and Buttigieg,
00:27:21.280 all of a sudden
00:27:21.760 it completely flips.
00:27:22.920 Biden is killing it.
00:27:23.720 It looks like that's
00:27:24.260 what's playing out right now.
00:27:25.340 The thing about Bernie Sanders
00:27:26.560 is he's not going to let
00:27:28.280 this thing go.
00:27:28.960 He is not going to say,
00:27:30.340 well, Joe,
00:27:30.800 you've got the clear path
00:27:31.840 to the nomination.
00:27:32.840 I kindly bow out.
00:27:34.020 Goodbye, everybody.
00:27:34.780 That's not Bernie Sanders.
00:27:36.440 I was just going to say.
00:27:37.660 I'm from New York.
00:27:39.060 They already took
00:27:40.280 my Chris Matthews from me.
00:27:41.260 Unbelievable.
00:27:42.160 They took it from me.
00:27:42.920 They took my Bernie from me.
00:27:43.940 You got up in the morning
00:27:44.640 coming at the show,
00:27:45.340 coming in and I'll run for it.
00:27:46.080 I can't even use it anymore.
00:27:47.240 I feel sexually harassed.
00:27:48.280 You can't take my Bernie Sanders
00:27:50.960 from me.
00:27:51.420 Stop that.
00:27:51.880 Stop taking my Bernie Sanders
00:27:52.880 from me.
00:27:53.980 Well, we're going to get that
00:27:55.020 all the way to the convention
00:27:55.800 because there's no way
00:27:56.720 that this guy's leaving
00:27:57.480 before them.
00:27:58.120 Well, he didn't last time, right?
00:27:59.020 I mean, he came in seconds
00:27:59.800 and then he was like,
00:28:00.320 the superdelegate
00:28:00.980 should save me from Hillary. 1.00
00:28:01.880 So now he was,
00:28:03.280 the problem is he went on record
00:28:04.460 as if I have the plurality
00:28:06.080 then I should take it, right?
00:28:08.340 Consistency being the hobgoblin
00:28:09.520 of little minds,
00:28:10.520 he is obviously not going
00:28:12.320 to stick with that.
00:28:12.960 He also said that he would
00:28:13.740 release his medical records
00:28:14.780 as I recall.
00:28:15.440 That is accurate.
00:28:16.500 That was before the heart attack.
00:28:17.160 I don't think this is going
00:28:19.140 to be decisive tonight.
00:28:20.420 To answer the viewer's question,
00:28:22.160 I don't think this is going
00:28:22.840 to be decisive.
00:28:23.240 You don't think it's going to be?
00:28:23.820 No, I think they're going
00:28:24.440 to come out around
00:28:26.260 with the same number
00:28:26.980 of delegates.
00:28:27.600 Maybe Biden even still
00:28:28.800 a little bit behind
00:28:29.540 and I think that Sanders
00:28:31.220 is going to have
00:28:31.700 a perfectly good reason.
00:28:32.920 Remember,
00:28:33.380 there's only a third
00:28:35.480 of the delegates, right?
00:28:36.340 So there's a perfectly
00:28:37.320 good reason to stay in it
00:28:38.400 if you're in the same field.
00:28:39.640 Trouble is it's a third
00:28:40.500 of the pledged delegates
00:28:41.660 but then you have another
00:28:42.640 16% of the superdelegates
00:28:44.160 all of whom are going
00:28:44.880 to be for Joe Biden.
00:28:45.580 Well, you think all of them
00:28:46.400 would be for Joe Biden
00:28:47.100 but see, Bernie thinks
00:28:48.280 he can walk into that convention
00:28:49.560 and basically blackmail them
00:28:51.220 into supporting him
00:28:51.940 and I don't think that's true.
00:28:53.280 And you may be right,
00:28:54.460 I know you're an ultra pessimist
00:28:56.440 but you may be right,
00:28:57.160 Milwaukee could be
00:28:57.920 a genuine capsule.
00:28:59.040 It could be a disaster
00:28:59.800 because it is true
00:29:01.300 that Bernie's people
00:29:02.100 are the most likely
00:29:03.380 to just not vote for
00:29:04.600 whoever is the non-Bernie.
00:29:06.320 The best thing for the party,
00:29:07.860 the best thing for the party
00:29:08.740 and I don't mean our party,
00:29:09.660 I mean their party,
00:29:10.400 is for Biden to emerge
00:29:11.720 as a clear frontrunner tonight
00:29:12.960 because then all the momentum
00:29:15.700 is going to shift behind him
00:29:16.600 and he's going to end up
00:29:17.480 with a plurality of the votes
00:29:18.560 going into the convention.
00:29:19.840 If he ends the night tonight
00:29:21.800 and Bernie is still ahead,
00:29:23.620 it's going to be a hard slog
00:29:24.580 I think all the way
00:29:25.520 and that's the worst thing
00:29:26.580 for the people.
00:29:26.760 There are not many
00:29:27.140 southern states left.
00:29:28.060 So there's Florida
00:29:28.620 where Biden will really outperform
00:29:30.180 because Bernie has decided
00:29:31.100 to embrace Castro.
00:29:33.300 So he's going to Florida
00:29:34.660 with Florida Democrats
00:29:35.460 and he's like,
00:29:35.860 you know what I love?
00:29:36.580 Cuba.
00:29:36.840 You know what I hate?
00:29:37.360 Israel.
00:29:37.800 It's like,
00:29:38.100 oh, this is a winning strategy
00:29:39.640 in Florida, you moron. 0.52
00:29:40.700 Really?
00:29:41.140 Literacy programs are bad?
00:29:42.600 Really?
00:29:43.180 Really?
00:29:44.860 I just love that he loves Cuba
00:29:46.360 and hates Israel.
00:29:47.340 It's like,
00:29:47.660 what is wrong with you?
00:29:49.020 Doesn't America have
00:29:49.980 a literacy program?
00:29:50.900 It's called schools.
00:29:51.720 It is amazing
00:29:54.480 how communist defenders
00:29:55.400 will find a program
00:29:56.340 that exists
00:29:56.780 in every westernized country
00:29:58.560 that is not communist
00:29:59.440 and has been completely successful
00:30:01.440 and be like,
00:30:02.060 right,
00:30:02.200 but Cuba had the great literacy.
00:30:03.820 Like,
00:30:04.380 so did everyone else.
00:30:05.280 What the hell
00:30:05.640 are you talking about?
00:30:06.360 My Jewish community
00:30:07.220 has had 100% literacy
00:30:08.080 for a couple thousand years.
00:30:09.400 You know what's the thing
00:30:09.920 we need to do?
00:30:10.520 Murder the Kulaks. 1.00
00:30:13.740 Alicia.
00:30:14.760 Speaking of that
00:30:15.500 really fun,
00:30:16.220 potentially brokered convention,
00:30:18.380 a Daily Wire member
00:30:19.400 wants to know,
00:30:20.160 if you were to coin a slogan
00:30:21.280 for the DNC,
00:30:22.520 what would it be?
00:30:23.640 If I were to coin a slogan
00:30:25.160 for the DNC,
00:30:26.620 what would it be?
00:30:27.420 Help, I think.
00:30:29.120 Please, please help me.
00:30:30.800 I thought Bernie's slogan
00:30:32.840 should be stop me
00:30:33.880 before I win more.
00:30:34.860 That would be it.
00:30:35.700 Yeah, I've got a pretty good one,
00:30:37.220 I think.
00:30:38.820 Democrats 2020.
00:30:40.560 You know the thing.
00:30:41.780 You know the thing.
00:30:43.820 Well, I mean,
00:30:44.460 obviously the only thing
00:30:45.260 that they can campaign on
00:30:46.200 is Trump
00:30:47.020 and that will be the campaign,
00:30:48.600 especially if I,
00:30:49.580 this goes back to the point
00:30:50.340 I was making,
00:30:51.220 a lot easier to make Trump
00:30:52.460 the centerpiece of the campaign
00:30:53.420 if Sanders isn't the nominee.
00:30:54.620 If Sanders is the nominee,
00:30:55.420 he's obviously the centerpiece
00:30:56.440 of the campaign,
00:30:57.300 an octogenarian communist
00:30:58.480 who was completely jobless
00:31:01.180 until the age of 39,
00:31:02.740 who knocked up a woman,
00:31:03.560 not his wife,
00:31:04.220 had a child,
00:31:04.900 ran well,
00:31:05.640 that woman was on welfare 1.00
00:31:06.740 and he was on unemployment
00:31:07.700 for mayor of Burlington
00:31:08.800 as part of the Liberty Union Party
00:31:10.620 calling for the nationalization
00:31:11.960 of all major industry.
00:31:13.000 If you make that guy,
00:31:14.320 the nominee,
00:31:15.060 fairly certain
00:31:15.660 that that'll probably be the issue.
00:31:17.200 If Trump is the issue,
00:31:18.840 then honestly,
00:31:20.420 it is anybody's ballgame.
00:31:22.600 It's easy for us to sit here
00:31:23.800 and say that this is
00:31:24.620 Trump running away,
00:31:25.880 but the fact is,
00:31:26.600 this is a 50-50 country.
00:31:27.680 It's been a 50-50 country 0.95
00:31:28.620 for a long time
00:31:29.380 and then the question is,
00:31:31.620 can Trump beat,
00:31:32.140 will Trump beat Trump
00:31:32.980 is really the big question.
00:31:35.040 Texas, by the way,
00:31:35.780 tonight is going to be
00:31:36.320 the other one that's big.
00:31:37.480 If Bernie is able
00:31:38.280 to show well in Texas,
00:31:39.520 then he could have
00:31:41.100 a big night
00:31:41.560 even if all these other
00:31:42.380 southern states
00:31:42.960 go toward Biden
00:31:43.740 because there isn't
00:31:44.200 a heavy black population
00:31:45.140 among Democrats in Texas.
00:31:46.100 There is a heavy Latino population.
00:31:48.140 The, again,
00:31:48.660 wisdom was that Bernie
00:31:49.660 does well among Latino voters,
00:31:51.220 although apparently
00:31:51.920 Biden has been very,
00:31:53.060 performing very well
00:31:53.700 in Virginia among Latino voters
00:31:54.820 according to 538 so far.
00:31:56.240 So we do have a few states
00:31:57.440 that we can call
00:31:58.080 and then we'll take
00:31:58.600 a few more questions.
00:32:00.060 Oklahoma
00:32:00.460 has just been called
00:32:03.060 and for Joe Biden,
00:32:04.800 I think we may be able
00:32:05.480 to throw up a little bit
00:32:06.360 of information
00:32:07.440 on the screen here.
00:32:08.340 No?
00:32:10.860 Okay.
00:32:11.660 And Tennessee as well
00:32:13.000 being called for Joe Biden.
00:32:13.980 So right now,
00:32:14.740 Joe Biden has six states
00:32:16.420 in which he has emerged.
00:32:17.900 Here we go.
00:32:18.840 Oklahoma, Ben,
00:32:19.600 and you can compare this
00:32:20.320 to your...
00:32:21.300 Yeah, Oklahoma
00:32:22.100 has Biden narrowly.
00:32:23.660 These are early counts, though.
00:32:25.580 So these,
00:32:26.820 those are,
00:32:27.640 so we will see,
00:32:29.420 you know,
00:32:29.740 how that actually ends up.
00:32:30.900 I don't think
00:32:31.280 that is the final count.
00:32:32.200 The statistics I'm seeing
00:32:33.180 are 25 to 21 right now
00:32:35.920 for,
00:32:37.020 but that's very early on.
00:32:38.340 I mean,
00:32:38.460 this is like
00:32:38.780 with 2% voting.
00:32:41.740 The assumption is obvious
00:32:42.780 that Biden is going
00:32:43.320 to continue to win that.
00:32:45.200 I think that my assumption,
00:32:46.980 this is not a final count.
00:32:47.880 Thank you, guys.
00:32:48.480 This is about
00:32:49.100 a 2% count thus far.
00:32:50.740 I'd have to go back
00:32:51.400 to my prediction
00:32:51.820 to see what I actually
00:32:52.480 predicted in Oklahoma.
00:32:53.320 I think that I predicted
00:32:53.960 like a 30 to 20 win.
00:32:55.720 Well, you know,
00:32:56.240 you will want to know
00:32:57.420 before you make
00:32:58.060 your final prediction,
00:32:59.060 the race is actually over now.
00:33:00.640 We've got breaking news.
00:33:02.120 Kirsten Dunst
00:33:02.920 has endorsed Bernie Sanders.
00:33:05.100 She chose Super Tuesday
00:33:06.460 to announce it,
00:33:07.320 so the race is over.
00:33:08.040 The one from like
00:33:08.740 the cheerleading movie?
00:33:09.540 Yeah.
00:33:10.020 Yeah, you remember
00:33:10.820 from way back in the end?
00:33:11.780 No, she was in like
00:33:12.400 a Fargo season, right?
00:33:13.360 She's hot. 1.00
00:33:13.540 She's in a Fargo.
00:33:14.440 She's good.
00:33:14.840 I like her.
00:33:15.640 Calm down, Drew.
00:33:16.720 Wait, who'd she? 0.58
00:33:17.800 He's going to get fired
00:33:18.640 from MSNBC by morning.
00:33:21.100 I hope you enjoyed
00:33:21.760 your career.
00:33:22.180 He does always compliment me
00:33:23.380 in the green room,
00:33:24.100 so yeah, I guess he's out.
00:33:25.560 Another race being called
00:33:26.560 right now.
00:33:26.580 My prediction was
00:33:27.120 30-20 in Oklahoma,
00:33:28.200 Biden over Sanders.
00:33:29.680 Another race being called
00:33:30.540 right now,
00:33:31.100 American Samoa,
00:33:32.220 and man,
00:33:34.280 Mike Bloomberg.
00:33:34.440 Looks like Mike Bloomberg
00:33:35.220 made a showing.
00:33:35.860 I did not include
00:33:36.440 Mike Bloomberg.
00:33:37.140 I did not include
00:33:37.760 American Samoa
00:33:38.380 in the voting.
00:33:39.300 The number of delegates
00:33:39.960 in American Samoa
00:33:41.040 is extremely low.
00:33:43.060 Let me see how many
00:33:43.800 delegates it is.
00:33:44.500 It's like six delegates
00:33:46.160 or something.
00:33:47.180 Honestly,
00:33:47.880 Michael Bloomberg
00:33:48.360 should have just bought
00:33:49.200 the island of
00:33:50.020 American Samoa
00:33:50.680 for $500 million.
00:33:52.720 He certainly could have
00:33:53.660 done so.
00:33:54.760 Now I'm going to look up
00:33:55.440 somewhere to retire.
00:33:55.840 I'm doing it.
00:33:56.260 I'm looking up
00:33:56.680 the American Samoa GDP.
00:33:58.200 Okay, the American Samoa
00:33:59.340 GDP, 2016,
00:34:01.940 $658 million.
00:34:03.180 Oh, the guy could have
00:34:04.180 literally bought
00:34:05.120 the entire island
00:34:06.100 and he could have
00:34:07.360 turned it into
00:34:08.180 his personal fiefdom
00:34:09.640 and been king
00:34:10.620 of American Samoa
00:34:11.640 for the amount of money
00:34:12.740 that he spent
00:34:13.360 on winning those
00:34:14.300 $6 million
00:34:14.780 in American Samoa.
00:34:15.660 Everybody could lick
00:34:16.260 their fingers.
00:34:16.860 No one could drink sodas.
00:34:18.040 It'd be just like
00:34:18.640 a complete paradise
00:34:19.980 for many Mike Bloomberg.
00:34:21.600 And Tennessee.
00:34:22.460 Can we see the numbers
00:34:23.340 for Tennessee?
00:34:23.920 It looks like they just
00:34:24.480 someone is calling
00:34:26.660 here Tennessee
00:34:27.300 for Biden.
00:34:28.700 Okay, if they're calling
00:34:29.220 Tennessee for Biden,
00:34:29.900 the latest results
00:34:30.440 I've seen is about
00:34:31.040 25, 24.
00:34:32.460 Bloomberg actually
00:34:33.140 showing pretty strong.
00:34:34.180 But again,
00:34:34.560 that's really early.
00:34:35.540 It's with like 4% 0.53
00:34:36.360 of the vote reported.
00:34:37.280 So these percentages
00:34:37.920 don't mean anything yet.
00:34:39.340 What does mean something
00:34:40.100 is that the people
00:34:40.600 who are forecasting
00:34:41.300 and looking at how
00:34:41.960 people are performing
00:34:42.580 in various areas of the state
00:34:43.620 have called it for Biden.
00:34:44.880 If they're calling it
00:34:45.480 that early with 4%
00:34:46.480 of the vote in,
00:34:47.120 those ain't the final percentages.
00:34:48.240 The final percentages
00:34:48.860 are big wins for Joe Biden
00:34:50.220 if they're calling it
00:34:51.000 with 4% of the vote in.
00:34:52.440 My prediction,
00:34:53.000 by the way,
00:34:53.500 in terms of Tennessee,
00:34:54.480 was I had Biden
00:34:55.480 walking away with the state
00:34:56.460 with 40% to 16 for Bernie.
00:34:58.400 The poll average
00:34:59.220 did have him up,
00:34:59.900 but it had him up slightly.
00:35:01.140 Again, I think Tennessee
00:35:01.780 is an area,
00:35:02.300 I think across the South,
00:35:03.700 people are rejecting
00:35:04.320 Bernie Sanders'
00:35:05.080 brand of socialism.
00:35:05.980 I think they're not
00:35:06.540 interested in it.
00:35:07.340 And I think that
00:35:07.900 the exit polls, again,
00:35:09.080 showed that a lot of people
00:35:09.980 made up their mind.
00:35:10.660 So it was interesting.
00:35:11.440 It said something like
00:35:12.320 3 in 10 voters
00:35:13.100 made up their mind
00:35:13.660 in the last couple days
00:35:14.840 of the election,
00:35:16.160 almost all white.
00:35:17.380 Okay, that is horrible news
00:35:18.780 for Bernie Sanders
00:35:19.240 because all the black voters 0.63
00:35:20.300 were supporting Biden
00:35:21.240 in the first place.
00:35:21.920 If 3 in 10
00:35:22.880 made up their mind
00:35:23.620 in the last 48 hours,
00:35:24.480 that means a lot of votes
00:35:25.480 kicking over to Joe Biden.
00:35:27.880 You can't think about
00:35:29.500 what happened today
00:35:30.100 in Nashville
00:35:30.620 without imagining
00:35:32.500 that that has
00:35:32.960 some major impact
00:35:33.720 on how many people
00:35:34.320 were able to make it
00:35:34.900 to the polls today.
00:35:35.940 Sure.
00:35:36.300 Yeah, well, by the way,
00:35:37.180 there is some
00:35:37.840 Dallas County, Texas
00:35:38.700 early voting
00:35:39.320 that shows Biden
00:35:40.120 beating Sanders
00:35:40.740 in Dallas County, Texas.
00:35:41.940 If Biden wins Texas,
00:35:43.340 that's a very good night
00:35:44.400 for Biden,
00:35:44.880 especially if he wins
00:35:45.700 with any sort of
00:35:46.620 significant numbers.
00:35:48.680 Massachusetts,
00:35:49.840 apparently,
00:35:50.780 like the very early vote
00:35:51.720 Biden is showing
00:35:52.240 well in Massachusetts.
00:35:53.420 He's showing,
00:35:53.940 actually,
00:35:54.560 in the very early vote,
00:35:55.820 Biden is actually
00:35:56.480 topping both Sanders
00:35:58.380 and Warren.
00:35:58.920 I thought Biden
00:35:59.920 was in Massachusetts.
00:36:00.200 That's too early.
00:36:00.700 You did?
00:36:01.140 I did.
00:36:01.640 Because of the,
00:36:03.060 after Buttigieg
00:36:03.820 and Klobuchar
00:36:04.400 dropped out,
00:36:05.580 if you look at
00:36:06.020 the polling averages,
00:36:07.180 Biden all of a sudden
00:36:07.980 jumps to the top
00:36:08.800 of the fact.
00:36:09.020 Yeah.
00:36:09.360 And like I said,
00:36:10.540 Warren was not there.
00:36:11.420 She was off campaigning
00:36:12.860 somewhere else.
00:36:13.380 You thought like,
00:36:13.980 gee.
00:36:14.240 I actually have a theory
00:36:14.980 about Elizabeth Warren.
00:36:16.020 It runs contra
00:36:17.060 to popular opinion
00:36:18.020 and I want to share it.
00:36:19.640 But first,
00:36:20.060 I want to talk about
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00:38:34.460 By the way,
00:38:34.880 getting back to our
00:38:35.720 previous topic
00:38:37.040 on the minority vote,
00:38:38.220 there's an exit poll
00:38:39.000 coming out of Virginia.
00:38:40.380 Joe Biden apparently
00:38:41.600 got 63% of the black vote
00:38:44.460 compared to Bernie
00:38:45.320 who got 18.
00:38:46.540 Absolute blowout.
00:38:47.500 By the way,
00:38:47.920 Massachusetts exit poll
00:38:48.880 Sanders 30,
00:38:50.000 Biden 29,
00:38:51.280 Warren 25.
00:38:52.420 Wow.
00:38:53.760 This brings me to my theory
00:38:54.980 about Elizabeth Warren.
00:38:57.360 Elizabeth Warren
00:38:57.900 stayed in the race
00:38:58.560 when Pete Buttigieg
00:39:00.260 dropped out,
00:39:00.840 when Klobuchar dropped out.
00:39:02.060 They all went down
00:39:03.020 to Texas along
00:39:03.860 with that one guy,
00:39:05.580 the guy with the skateboard
00:39:07.200 and what's taking us.
00:39:07.860 With the burger guy.
00:39:08.500 Yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:39:09.160 And they endorsed Joe Biden.
00:39:12.320 And someone,
00:39:13.380 a conspiratorial friend of mine
00:39:14.860 said,
00:39:15.480 you know,
00:39:15.980 Warren is in on this too.
00:39:17.360 The reason Warren
00:39:18.000 isn't getting out
00:39:18.840 is also to help Joe Biden
00:39:20.400 because conventional wisdom is
00:39:22.020 Elizabeth Warren
00:39:23.060 has run to the left.
00:39:24.760 She made that choice
00:39:25.860 that Ben was talking about earlier
00:39:26.920 not to be the moderate candidate.
00:39:28.100 She ran to the left 0.91
00:39:28.860 and she is leeching 0.96
00:39:30.780 some support
00:39:31.320 away from Bernie.
00:39:32.760 So the combination
00:39:33.300 of the moderates
00:39:34.440 all consolidating
00:39:35.420 and Warren staying in
00:39:36.380 gives Biden
00:39:37.100 the clearest path
00:39:37.720 that he has.
00:39:38.340 I actually don't think
00:39:39.460 conventional wisdom
00:39:40.100 is right.
00:39:40.720 I don't think anyone
00:39:41.700 on the far left
00:39:42.500 supports Elizabeth Warren.
00:39:44.560 I think the only people
00:39:45.640 in America
00:39:46.140 who believe
00:39:47.300 that Elizabeth Warren
00:39:48.460 is a far left candidate
00:39:49.700 are Republicans.
00:39:51.340 And that's because
00:39:51.760 it's just an easy thing
00:39:53.100 for us
00:39:53.640 to say,
00:39:54.360 socialist, socialist,
00:39:55.460 and we get a lot of clicks
00:39:56.420 on our websites
00:39:57.340 and a lot of retweets
00:39:58.560 on Twitter.
00:39:59.460 The truth is,
00:40:00.620 Elizabeth Warren's career
00:40:01.560 has been
00:40:02.220 a mostly moderate career
00:40:04.200 Democrat career.
00:40:05.300 In other words,
00:40:06.380 in the election,
00:40:07.000 she said a lot of
00:40:07.540 really left-wing things,
00:40:08.840 but that's the reinvention
00:40:09.740 of herself
00:40:10.260 because she made
00:40:10.980 a conscious decision
00:40:12.200 that she could run
00:40:13.920 to the left
00:40:14.600 and pick up
00:40:15.160 the AOC contingency
00:40:17.120 and the leftovers
00:40:18.000 from Bernie.
00:40:18.880 But I think there's only
00:40:19.620 one actual radical
00:40:21.360 left-wing candidate
00:40:22.280 and that's Bernie.
00:40:23.640 And I think there's only
00:40:24.400 one radical left-wing
00:40:25.980 candidate from the perception
00:40:27.480 of radical left-wingers.
00:40:28.800 Are you saying
00:40:30.180 that Elizabeth Warren
00:40:31.120 might pretend
00:40:32.260 to be something
00:40:32.940 that she's not?
00:40:34.000 What?
00:40:34.360 What are you saying?
00:40:34.800 I think this is right.
00:40:35.540 And one of the pieces
00:40:36.340 of evidence that I...
00:40:37.080 Do you think she's trying
00:40:37.660 to destroy Bernie?
00:40:38.840 Is that what you're saying?
00:40:39.460 No, I'm saying
00:40:40.040 that that was one theory earlier.
00:40:42.420 I actually think
00:40:43.040 that she thought
00:40:43.560 that her lane 0.96
00:40:44.300 was to the far left.
00:40:45.640 Oh, yeah.
00:40:45.940 I just don't think...
00:40:46.580 I don't think it's true of her
00:40:48.140 and I don't think
00:40:49.020 anybody on the far left
00:40:49.960 bought it.
00:40:50.860 When you look at the people
00:40:51.780 who support her,
00:40:52.760 it's Hollywood actors
00:40:54.080 and it's Wall Street.
00:40:56.460 And I think that's because
00:40:57.160 when Wall Street
00:40:57.720 started thinking
00:40:58.360 Biden couldn't win
00:40:59.240 and they started panicking
00:41:00.420 about Bernie,
00:41:01.100 they actually knew
00:41:02.660 all this socialism talk
00:41:04.180 from Warren
00:41:04.720 is just that.
00:41:06.080 It's just talk.
00:41:06.500 She's posturing to win. 1.00
00:41:08.060 But I think that all
00:41:08.680 the actual socialists
00:41:09.580 know it too.
00:41:10.300 I think they go,
00:41:11.340 eh, Warren,
00:41:11.960 it's all Bernie.
00:41:12.840 So I actually,
00:41:13.960 contrary to conventional wisdom,
00:41:14.960 believe that if Warren
00:41:16.080 got out today,
00:41:17.320 the majority of her support
00:41:18.520 is going to break for Biden.
00:41:19.320 Yeah, I think that's right.
00:41:20.200 I go to green rooms,
00:41:21.220 you know,
00:41:21.540 with some of these
00:41:22.120 radical left-wing guys
00:41:23.300 and so I would bring up
00:41:24.600 Elizabeth Warren.
00:41:25.740 They all hate her.
00:41:26.920 They really hate her
00:41:27.780 and they hate her
00:41:28.260 as a fake
00:41:29.140 who's taking away boats
00:41:30.100 from Bernie.
00:41:30.260 And for the same reason
00:41:30.780 they hate Pete Buttigieg,
00:41:31.540 by the way.
00:41:31.940 Yeah, that's right.
00:41:32.660 They despise Pete Buttigieg.
00:41:33.280 And the Warren people
00:41:34.040 hate Bernie right back.
00:41:35.280 I mean,
00:41:35.420 they feel like
00:41:35.980 she's the more intellectual Bernie.
00:41:37.400 She's the person
00:41:37.860 who knows what she's doing. 0.99
00:41:38.920 So, yeah,
00:41:39.500 I mean,
00:41:39.620 it's quite possible
00:41:40.120 that they don't move over
00:41:40.840 to Bernie
00:41:41.160 even if Elizabeth Warren
00:41:42.100 got out of the race.
00:41:42.660 But man,
00:41:43.180 is she just the 0.75
00:41:44.420 John Kasich
00:41:45.140 of the Democratic Party.
00:41:45.840 Oh my God.
00:41:46.920 She's just sticking around 0.97
00:41:48.000 for no apparent reason.
00:41:49.300 If she loses her home state,
00:41:50.880 what a disaster for her. 1.00
00:41:51.980 Well, if she loses her home state,
00:41:53.240 she will drop out.
00:41:53.940 She has to.
00:41:54.440 I mean,
00:41:54.560 she has no choice
00:41:55.260 at that point.
00:41:56.360 Texas is going to be
00:41:57.320 a nail-biter.
00:41:58.260 Texas looks like
00:41:58.960 it's going to be real close
00:41:59.660 between Biden and Bernie.
00:42:01.620 New York Times
00:42:02.220 is predicting
00:42:02.860 that the night will finish
00:42:04.160 with,
00:42:05.280 again,
00:42:05.540 it's very early,
00:42:06.080 but they are predicting
00:42:06.620 that the night will finish
00:42:07.440 with Joe Biden
00:42:08.500 in a delegate lead
00:42:09.420 of 583 to 580
00:42:10.940 over Bernie Sanders.
00:42:12.460 Oh my God.
00:42:12.700 Which is just
00:42:13.380 nightmare.
00:42:15.100 It's actually
00:42:15.700 the greatest thing.
00:42:16.720 I mean,
00:42:17.360 for me,
00:42:17.720 I hope they had a statistical tie
00:42:20.940 at the convention.
00:42:21.900 It would just be incredible.
00:42:23.320 It would be wonderful.
00:42:23.620 It was the war of attrition.
00:42:24.560 That hatred.
00:42:25.760 You know,
00:42:26.060 there's a big question
00:42:26.800 that will Biden do better
00:42:28.440 than people were predicting
00:42:29.360 in California?
00:42:30.340 I sort of think
00:42:31.120 that he will,
00:42:32.060 but unfortunately,
00:42:32.620 that's going to be
00:42:32.940 the last state
00:42:33.440 that we're getting into.
00:42:34.020 Well,
00:42:34.140 one thing I will say,
00:42:34.780 there are a lot of rich people
00:42:36.000 in California.
00:42:37.020 There are a lot of wealthy people
00:42:38.060 in California
00:42:38.680 who like to talk,
00:42:39.840 talk,
00:42:40.100 but actually want to keep
00:42:41.380 some of their money.
00:42:42.140 That's right.
00:42:42.920 So,
00:42:43.300 here are the latest results
00:42:44.360 from Texas.
00:42:45.200 Joe Biden at 25.62%.
00:42:46.880 Bernie Sanders at 25.61%.
00:42:49.040 Now,
00:42:50.120 of course,
00:42:50.460 nobody's reporting yet.
00:42:51.900 That's still very small,
00:42:52.740 but Biden did well
00:42:54.000 on Dallas counts.
00:42:54.540 which is not where
00:42:55.180 you would expect him
00:42:55.660 to do well.
00:42:56.100 The urban areas
00:42:56.680 are sort of the areas
00:42:57.660 where you'd expect him
00:42:58.280 to do a little more poorly
00:42:59.660 because any college town,
00:43:01.100 any place with young people,
00:43:02.120 you'd expect him
00:43:02.580 to do pretty poorly.
00:43:05.000 But,
00:43:05.960 you know,
00:43:06.340 again,
00:43:07.120 my prediction thus far
00:43:08.160 has held up
00:43:08.700 that Biden is having himself
00:43:09.940 a very good night.
00:43:11.100 And honestly,
00:43:12.100 like,
00:43:12.700 it makes me happy
00:43:13.460 for the country.
00:43:14.320 It does
00:43:14.740 because I don't,
00:43:16.160 I hope most Democrats
00:43:17.160 don't believe
00:43:17.780 all of the insane communism
00:43:19.100 that Bernie Sanders spouts.
00:43:20.320 There's some exit polls
00:43:20.940 showing that a majority
00:43:21.680 of the Democrats
00:43:22.180 voting in Texas
00:43:22.780 and California
00:43:23.520 have a favorable view
00:43:24.740 towards socialism.
00:43:25.980 But they said the same thing
00:43:27.440 in North Carolina
00:43:28.000 and Joe Biden
00:43:28.580 is blowing people out
00:43:29.600 in North Carolina.
00:43:30.540 And so what that really says
00:43:31.520 is that people
00:43:32.260 don't mind the word socialism,
00:43:33.720 but when they actually
00:43:34.440 look at Bernie Sanders,
00:43:35.640 they're like,
00:43:35.980 this guy is nuts. 0.77
00:43:37.120 Well,
00:43:37.200 they also think of socialism
00:43:38.380 as not,
00:43:39.000 the socialism they're talking about
00:43:40.220 is not socialism.
00:43:41.020 Right,
00:43:41.200 they think Denmark
00:43:41.820 or Norway or something.
00:43:42.960 And even there,
00:43:43.380 they don't even know
00:43:43.760 what the hell is going on
00:43:44.440 in Denmark or Norway.
00:43:45.200 If they understood
00:43:46.040 that Denmark was like
00:43:47.780 65% tax rates
00:43:48.920 on everyone making 65 grand,
00:43:50.540 they would have a very good idea.
00:43:51.180 There may be one other
00:43:51.920 component to this,
00:43:52.760 which is that millennials,
00:43:54.020 even though they are
00:43:54.480 the dominant voting demographic,
00:43:55.980 still don't vote.
00:43:56.680 They don't vote.
00:43:57.660 You know,
00:43:57.860 I've been saying this for months
00:43:58.940 and I think it was borne out
00:44:00.020 in all those early states,
00:44:01.780 especially New Hampshire
00:44:02.660 drove this home to me.
00:44:03.900 New Hampshire turnout
00:44:04.740 for the Democratic primary
00:44:05.780 was lower than 2016.
00:44:07.880 And the youth vote,
00:44:08.800 which is supposed to drive
00:44:09.700 the big growth,
00:44:11.140 was even lower.
00:44:12.040 So it just seems to me
00:44:13.120 they want to tweet,
00:44:14.260 they want to scream,
00:44:15.200 they want to make TikToks,
00:44:16.580 but they're not actually
00:44:17.260 showing up for their candidate.
00:44:18.480 Statement from Michael Bloomberg.
00:44:19.740 A breaking statement
00:44:20.960 from Michael Bloomberg.
00:44:21.860 Quote,
00:44:22.480 as the results come in,
00:44:23.420 here is what is clear.
00:44:24.340 No matter how many delegates
00:44:25.240 we win tonight,
00:44:25.720 we have done something
00:44:26.340 no one else thought was possible.
00:44:27.680 In just three months,
00:44:28.340 we have gone from 1% in the polls
00:44:29.600 to be a contender
00:44:30.220 for the Democratic nomination.
00:44:31.860 I have some bad news.
00:44:35.660 Well, let's hear from a few more
00:44:36.800 of our DailyWire.com subscribers.
00:44:38.420 We're here for the long haul tonight.
00:44:39.800 We're not going to be able to do
00:44:40.800 a discussion after the show
00:44:42.280 for our all-access members
00:44:43.740 as we usually like to do
00:44:44.760 after one of these.
00:44:45.640 But after four hours,
00:44:46.680 tough luck, guys.
00:44:47.780 We'll have to find a time
00:44:48.900 later in the week
00:44:49.720 to join you guys.
00:44:50.580 But we do, for that reason,
00:44:51.640 want to take as many questions
00:44:52.720 from our DailyWire.com members
00:44:54.140 as possible.
00:44:55.100 Alicia, what are you hearing?
00:44:56.040 Yeah, we got a lot
00:44:56.900 happening tonight.
00:44:57.700 We will be here
00:44:58.280 for the long haul.
00:44:59.240 I will have to pump and dump,
00:45:00.360 not because I'm drinking
00:45:01.180 the fine bourbon that you are,
00:45:02.420 but because of all the caffeine
00:45:03.720 that the baby cannot have.
00:45:05.440 So, by the way,
00:45:06.940 Tulsi Gabbard,
00:45:07.720 good for her.
00:45:08.180 I think my home state
00:45:08.980 of Oklahoma gave her
00:45:10.000 a delegate,
00:45:10.900 which is more than
00:45:11.400 Elizabeth Warren can say.
00:45:13.320 Nice.
00:45:13.560 And everyone wants to know,
00:45:15.140 what are the guys' predictions
00:45:16.340 for the House and Senate
00:45:17.600 along with which way
00:45:18.960 the White House
00:45:19.400 is going to go in 2020
00:45:20.340 if the election
00:45:21.260 were held today?
00:45:22.340 Well, I think that
00:45:23.100 it's obviously
00:45:23.860 a very tricky question
00:45:24.780 because who the Democrat nominee is
00:45:27.100 is going to have
00:45:27.640 a major impact
00:45:28.460 on the down ticket races.
00:45:30.740 If Bernie Sanders
00:45:31.780 is the nominee,
00:45:32.880 I think that it could be
00:45:34.100 a complete blowout
00:45:35.800 for the Republicans.
00:45:38.440 I think we could
00:45:38.880 take the House,
00:45:40.340 we could take the Senate,
00:45:41.320 we could retain the presidency.
00:45:43.120 Joe Biden is a major threat
00:45:44.460 to Donald Trump.
00:45:45.560 I know that you guys
00:45:46.440 don't think so.
00:45:47.620 And obviously,
00:45:48.380 I think Donald Trump
00:45:48.960 can win.
00:45:50.760 I told Jared Kushner
00:45:52.580 and Ivanka Trump
00:45:53.260 two years ago
00:45:54.320 in the West Wing,
00:45:55.460 I said,
00:45:55.780 Joe Biden is the biggest
00:45:56.640 threat out there.
00:45:57.080 They said,
00:45:57.340 really, Biden?
00:45:57.820 I said, yes.
00:45:58.840 It isn't because
00:45:59.840 he's a gifted politician.
00:46:01.580 It isn't because
00:46:02.340 he's not,
00:46:03.600 not showing dementia.
00:46:05.160 It isn't because
00:46:05.560 he's a living.
00:46:07.140 It's because
00:46:08.020 with suburban housewives
00:46:09.380 in particular,
00:46:10.600 it's because
00:46:10.980 with moderate personality,
00:46:12.340 it's because
00:46:12.720 Clint Eastwood
00:46:14.020 won't vote
00:46:14.940 for Donald Trump.
00:46:16.280 It's because
00:46:16.600 there is a contingent
00:46:17.520 of people in the country
00:46:18.380 who are tired
00:46:19.420 of all the winning
00:46:20.060 if the winning
00:46:20.880 means this complete
00:46:22.060 chaos all the time.
00:46:24.060 And what Biden promises
00:46:25.160 is a return
00:46:25.960 to when that nice
00:46:26.980 Barack Obama
00:46:27.600 was the president.
00:46:28.640 Now,
00:46:29.120 do I think
00:46:29.500 Barack Obama was nice?
00:46:30.480 No.
00:46:30.860 Do I think
00:46:31.220 that there was
00:46:31.800 a lack of
00:46:33.540 chaos
00:46:33.800 during the
00:46:34.140 Obama administration?
00:46:35.180 Of course not.
00:46:36.440 But one thing
00:46:37.060 that Obama
00:46:37.800 was really,
00:46:38.460 really,
00:46:38.740 really good at
00:46:39.440 was standing
00:46:40.920 there looking good
00:46:41.640 and having
00:46:42.700 a completely
00:46:43.640 subservient media
00:46:44.720 that to this day
00:46:45.940 says there was
00:46:46.420 not a single scandal
00:46:47.300 during his administration.
00:46:48.920 And so,
00:46:49.420 if you weren't
00:46:50.040 politically engaged,
00:46:51.480 that was just
00:46:51.960 eight years
00:46:52.440 of feeling good.
00:46:53.720 Everybody just felt nice.
00:46:55.140 And Biden
00:46:56.080 represents that.
00:46:57.200 I disagree with you
00:46:57.940 in fact,
00:46:58.460 but I don't disagree
00:46:59.040 with you in principle.
00:47:00.160 I mean,
00:47:00.360 in other words,
00:47:00.840 I think,
00:47:01.680 right this minute,
00:47:02.700 I'm incredibly optimistic.
00:47:04.560 Right this minute,
00:47:05.220 I think Donald Trump,
00:47:06.100 first of all,
00:47:06.780 I think Donald Trump
00:47:07.460 is doing a tremendous job.
00:47:09.640 Do I wish
00:47:10.380 he would be quiet?
00:47:11.460 I never talked,
00:47:12.320 I was sitting
00:47:13.200 the other day
00:47:13.740 at one of these events,
00:47:15.120 I had to give a speech,
00:47:16.140 and I was sitting
00:47:16.460 with all these people
00:47:17.080 who love Donald Trump.
00:47:18.480 They love him.
00:47:19.560 And then every now
00:47:20.560 and again,
00:47:20.820 I would just say,
00:47:21.480 you know,
00:47:21.600 I sometimes wish
00:47:22.160 he would shut up,
00:47:22.720 and they would go,
00:47:23.200 oh, yes.
00:47:24.300 I mean,
00:47:24.840 everybody wishes
00:47:25.740 he would shut up sometimes.
00:47:27.120 Sometimes.
00:47:27.420 But I don't know,
00:47:28.180 the Mike Bloomberg
00:47:28.740 stand-up routine,
00:47:29.580 it's pretty good.
00:47:30.220 I really like it.
00:47:30.980 He's incredibly funny.
00:47:32.680 I think people are beginning,
00:47:34.100 you know,
00:47:34.260 he is a New Yorker,
00:47:35.240 and you and I
00:47:35.720 have seen him
00:47:36.240 from the start
00:47:36.920 and recognized him
00:47:38.000 as somebody we knew.
00:47:39.240 I mean,
00:47:39.440 the two of us,
00:47:40.020 you know,
00:47:40.500 we knew who he was,
00:47:41.620 we knew what he was talking about.
00:47:42.660 The rest of the country
00:47:43.520 is catching on to this,
00:47:44.400 and he's doing
00:47:45.160 a terrific job.
00:47:46.740 He is doing
00:47:47.140 the best job
00:47:48.140 of any president
00:47:48.820 I have seen since Reagan.
00:47:49.860 It is an amazing,
00:47:51.420 amazing performance
00:47:52.320 from a guy who,
00:47:54.240 like,
00:47:54.480 I never expected it.
00:47:55.500 Who would have predicted it?
00:47:56.220 Who would have predicted it?
00:47:56.680 But when you say that you...
00:47:57.280 I'll have what she's having.
00:47:58.640 When you say...
00:47:59.420 I'll have what she's having.
00:48:00.460 When you say you disagree
00:48:01.800 because you're optimistic...
00:48:03.340 No, well, I...
00:48:03.840 I'm optimistic.
00:48:04.620 I actually think that
00:48:05.360 Donald Trump,
00:48:06.300 it is Donald Trump's to lose.
00:48:07.720 And what I agree with you on
00:48:09.000 is that Biden,
00:48:10.100 obviously Trump believes
00:48:11.320 that Biden is the biggest threat.
00:48:12.380 He has been playing for Bernie.
00:48:13.580 He's playing to get Bernie in there.
00:48:15.520 Biden is really in trouble.
00:48:17.600 Biden cannot speak.
00:48:20.020 And after a while,
00:48:21.700 I mean,
00:48:22.120 what's the guy,
00:48:23.200 Meathead,
00:48:23.760 the guy,
00:48:24.260 the producer,
00:48:25.260 Rob Reiner?
00:48:26.060 He said,
00:48:26.700 I looked at Joe Biden
00:48:27.580 and I saw a president.
00:48:29.100 He thought,
00:48:29.500 yeah, dead president.
00:48:32.100 1890s.
00:48:32.840 You know,
00:48:33.140 if you look at all
00:48:33.840 the presidential races
00:48:34.780 in recent memory,
00:48:36.320 the more charismatic candidate
00:48:39.280 always wins every time.
00:48:41.640 And I think this is only truer
00:48:42.960 in the age of TV,
00:48:44.160 mass media,
00:48:44.760 new media,
00:48:45.300 everything.
00:48:46.100 If you put Donald Trump
00:48:47.500 on a stage with Joe Biden,
00:48:48.640 I agree with you entirely.
00:48:49.800 There are a lot of people
00:48:50.440 who are pissed off
00:48:51.040 and they wish Donald Trump
00:48:51.880 would shut up
00:48:52.380 and all of that.
00:48:52.940 But nobody wants
00:48:54.820 to see a season
00:48:55.600 of Joe Biden.
00:48:56.380 They want to see
00:48:57.060 season two
00:48:57.880 of this Trump reality show.
00:49:00.040 Or they want to see
00:49:00.580 season three
00:49:01.180 of Barack Obama.
00:49:02.280 Right.
00:49:03.300 Or they don't want
00:49:05.820 to see season two.
00:49:06.380 I mean,
00:49:07.100 again,
00:49:07.680 listen,
00:49:08.180 I want the guy to win.
00:49:09.280 I'm going to vote for him.
00:49:10.200 I'm not going to vote
00:49:10.660 for Joe Biden.
00:49:11.520 I wouldn't.
00:49:12.080 I'm not voting Democrat.
00:49:13.620 I will vote for Trump.
00:49:14.460 I want Trump to win.
00:49:15.240 I want Trump to skunk Joe Biden
00:49:16.420 because despite all the talk
00:49:17.640 about how moderate Joe Biden is,
00:49:18.740 he's not actually moderate
00:49:19.700 and he's not close to moderate.
00:49:20.520 He doesn't believe it.
00:49:21.040 We all understand this.
00:49:22.780 He said he wanted
00:49:23.320 Beto O'Rourke
00:49:23.820 to run his guns program
00:49:24.720 for God's sake last night.
00:49:25.740 So like we're all
00:49:26.500 on the same page on this,
00:49:27.560 but just in terms
00:49:28.220 of election analysis,
00:49:29.880 he is,
00:49:30.540 Trump is going in
00:49:31.440 with a seven to ten point
00:49:32.900 deficit against Joe Biden
00:49:34.180 nationally.
00:49:35.080 Nah,
00:49:35.440 that doesn't mean.
00:49:36.220 Fox News poll yesterday,
00:49:37.560 Biden 49,
00:49:38.420 Trump 41.
00:49:39.180 That poll means zero percent.
00:49:39.700 Yahoo News YouGov poll
00:49:40.700 the day before,
00:49:41.340 Biden 50,
00:49:41.980 Trump 41.
00:49:42.660 There is not a poll nationally
00:49:43.980 in which Trump surpasses
00:49:45.280 42 percent for a year.
00:49:46.160 When people read these polls,
00:49:47.380 they all say the same thing.
00:49:48.240 Poll doesn't mean anything,
00:49:49.200 but.
00:49:49.400 There is no but.
00:49:50.240 There is no but.
00:49:50.700 The poll doesn't mean anything.
00:49:52.120 Look,
00:49:52.380 we got four people here,
00:49:53.860 two of whom didn't vote
00:49:55.040 for Trump,
00:49:55.600 but will.
00:49:56.620 Okay?
00:49:57.180 That's 50 percent.
00:49:58.620 There is no,
00:49:59.140 there's no question
00:49:59.720 that there's going to be
00:50:00.240 a coming home effect.
00:50:01.180 I mean,
00:50:01.340 there's going to be
00:50:01.760 a lot of people
00:50:02.180 who didn't vote for Trump
00:50:02.940 in the last election
00:50:03.600 who,
00:50:04.400 but is that enough
00:50:05.300 to close a three million
00:50:06.140 person popular vote?
00:50:08.020 So let's put it this way.
00:50:08.800 Against Bernie Sanders,
00:50:09.780 I think Trump had a shot
00:50:10.600 of winning the popular vote.
00:50:11.740 Against Joe Biden,
00:50:12.280 I think there's almost
00:50:12.720 no shot he wins
00:50:13.320 the popular vote.
00:50:13.840 I'm not sure I agree.
00:50:14.860 The other thing about.
00:50:15.560 Also the map,
00:50:16.040 the map for Biden
00:50:17.160 is much broader
00:50:20.700 Wisconsin,
00:50:21.300 Pennsylvania,
00:50:21.720 Michigan.
00:50:22.020 He had to win those.
00:50:23.220 Biden will play in Florida.
00:50:25.240 He will.
00:50:25.760 He'll play in Arizona.
00:50:27.120 He'll play in Georgia.
00:50:28.440 He'll play in a lot
00:50:29.120 of the states that,
00:50:29.840 that he opens up the map
00:50:30.780 a little bit more
00:50:31.360 for the Democrats.
00:50:31.960 He does.
00:50:32.620 He's going to lose
00:50:33.280 the Bernie bros.
00:50:34.060 I think,
00:50:34.340 I don't think they'll show up.
00:50:35.300 I think that's right.
00:50:36.160 But again,
00:50:36.720 for the big problem
00:50:37.960 for Republicans in 2018
00:50:39.060 is Republicans did show up
00:50:40.080 and so did suburban women. 1.00
00:50:40.980 Republicans got skunked.
00:50:42.080 So what we need right now,
00:50:44.540 if you want Trump to win,
00:50:45.300 you need two things.
00:50:46.220 One,
00:50:47.100 I've said it a thousand times.
00:50:48.240 You've said it.
00:50:48.680 We're all saying it.
00:50:49.620 He does need,
00:50:50.800 I'm not saying
00:50:51.540 I want him to show discipline.
00:50:53.280 He needs to show discipline
00:50:54.400 for the good of his campaign
00:50:55.380 and the good of his country.
00:50:56.340 He needs to actually
00:50:57.340 show some discipline.
00:50:58.080 Now,
00:50:58.180 do I have a lot of hope
00:50:58.700 he's going to?
00:50:59.240 No,
00:50:59.400 but he does need to show that
00:51:00.620 if he wants to make anyone
00:51:01.680 feel saying way.
00:51:02.060 He doesn't need to show
00:51:02.660 100% discipline.
00:51:03.320 No,
00:51:03.540 just like take down
00:51:04.360 from a spinal tap 11
00:51:05.180 to like an eight.
00:51:05.900 That's it.
00:51:06.520 Okay,
00:51:06.720 but he needs to do that.
00:51:08.440 And also,
00:51:09.280 he does need
00:51:10.120 a solid economy
00:51:11.020 that does not go into a skid.
00:51:12.520 Okay,
00:51:12.940 and he has pegged his hopes
00:51:14.440 to the stock market.
00:51:15.140 I mean,
00:51:15.260 he's been shouting
00:51:16.400 about the stock market
00:51:17.160 since the first day
00:51:17.780 he got in office
00:51:18.240 and rightly so.
00:51:19.400 So when the stock market
00:51:20.080 takes a 10% dump in a week,
00:51:21.840 even if it,
00:51:22.540 like yesterday,
00:51:23.100 a big day,
00:51:23.760 today,
00:51:24.080 very bad day,
00:51:24.880 right?
00:51:25.020 Jumped 1,200 points yesterday,
00:51:26.160 it was down 700 points today.
00:51:27.700 No one's been able
00:51:28.780 to sort of price
00:51:29.420 in the uncertainty
00:51:30.160 in the stock market.
00:51:31.760 And again,
00:51:32.860 it's unfortunate truth
00:51:33.840 that every eight to 10 years
00:51:35.060 in this country,
00:51:35.560 there is a recession,
00:51:36.240 right?
00:51:36.340 I mean,
00:51:36.540 literally every eight to 10 years
00:51:38.220 in this country,
00:51:38.780 there is a recession.
00:51:39.220 We're overdue.
00:51:39.800 If Obama had not sat
00:51:41.600 on the economy so bad,
00:51:42.740 there would have been a recession.
00:51:43.220 That's of course right.
00:51:43.680 He delayed the effect
00:51:44.500 of the recession breaking in
00:51:46.180 because the economy
00:51:46.940 didn't grow fast enough
00:51:47.660 under Barack Obama.
00:51:48.760 So there has been this,
00:51:49.360 and that won't be
00:51:49.820 Trump's fault,
00:51:50.400 obviously.
00:51:50.840 I'm not blaming Trump
00:51:51.540 for anything that's happening
00:51:52.240 with the economy.
00:51:52.980 I just think,
00:51:53.560 I think that-
00:51:54.200 Like run a good campaign
00:51:55.000 is all I'm saying.
00:51:55.480 Just run a good campaign.
00:51:56.680 Well, you know,
00:51:57.180 he runs a different campaign.
00:51:58.760 That's the first thing.
00:51:59.700 You know, he does.
00:52:00.220 He runs a different campaign.
00:52:01.160 He can still win
00:52:01.920 without the popular vote.
00:52:03.300 I think he's going
00:52:03.820 to get the popular vote.
00:52:04.640 And I think one of the things
00:52:05.540 I've been saying for a long time
00:52:06.900 is I think a lot of black people
00:52:08.000 are going to vote for him.
00:52:09.140 They may lie up until the moment.
00:52:11.140 I think a lot of black people
00:52:12.380 would vote for him
00:52:12.980 if Sanders were the nominee.
00:52:14.200 I think it will be hard
00:52:15.000 to overcome Biden.
00:52:15.900 And I think if Biden
00:52:16.640 is the nominee,
00:52:17.640 that it's actually mathematically
00:52:19.320 virtually impossible
00:52:20.700 for Trump to win
00:52:21.480 the popular vote
00:52:22.220 because California
00:52:23.800 just has so many people
00:52:25.260 and New York
00:52:26.080 has so many people.
00:52:27.940 And that doesn't,
00:52:29.440 that doesn't change
00:52:30.320 the electoral math.
00:52:31.460 But at 100,
00:52:32.600 first of all,
00:52:32.960 I don't even like this term
00:52:33.800 popular vote.
00:52:34.480 There is no national 0.83
00:52:35.340 popular vote.
00:52:35.920 That's a good point too.
00:52:37.060 It's a non-existent phenomenon.
00:52:38.160 But to think that
00:52:39.300 more Americans
00:52:40.100 will vote for Trump
00:52:41.000 than would vote for Biden
00:52:42.040 I think is wishful thinking.
00:52:43.360 I don't think it's possible.
00:52:44.060 The other thing
00:52:44.480 you guys leave out
00:52:45.320 is that like
00:52:45.980 there is turkey
00:52:46.820 on people's table.
00:52:47.980 There is food
00:52:48.600 on people's table.
00:52:49.520 There are people with jobs.
00:52:50.200 I agree with that.
00:52:50.920 I literally just said this.
00:52:52.560 But if the turkey
00:52:53.560 starts to leave the table
00:52:54.480 if it gets up
00:52:55.060 and walks off the table
00:52:55.820 you got a problem.
00:52:56.860 And I'm not talking about like
00:52:57.960 if,
00:52:58.820 I'm not talking about
00:52:59.280 a full-on recession.
00:53:00.220 I'm talking about
00:53:00.860 if the growth rate
00:53:01.600 is 1%.
00:53:02.880 Then people are going
00:53:03.860 because Trump has made,
00:53:05.880 Trump made
00:53:06.680 the same error
00:53:07.960 that I think
00:53:09.020 to a certain extent
00:53:09.620 George W. Bush made
00:53:10.440 that Bill Clinton never made.
00:53:12.440 Just politically speaking
00:53:13.340 always soft pedal
00:53:14.680 exactly how well
00:53:15.320 you think things are going to go.
00:53:16.080 Trump was saying
00:53:16.600 3%, 4% economic growth.
00:53:18.020 4%, 5%.
00:53:19.040 It's very easy
00:53:19.940 for Joe Biden
00:53:20.400 to cut an ad
00:53:20.980 with Trump saying
00:53:21.540 it's going to be 5%,
00:53:22.160 it's going to be 4%,
00:53:22.760 it's going to be 6%.
00:53:23.560 And then it's like
00:53:24.880 I disagree with this
00:53:27.340 because A,
00:53:27.720 I don't think ads mean
00:53:28.500 anything in the era of Trump
00:53:29.580 and B,
00:53:30.220 I don't think people
00:53:31.380 feel growth that quickly.
00:53:32.600 I think that
00:53:33.020 if the news
00:53:35.360 is the collapse
00:53:36.120 of the economy
00:53:36.940 Trump is boned.
00:53:38.480 Correct.
00:53:39.020 If there's a
00:53:40.240 massive economic event
00:53:41.300 if there's a 2008 level
00:53:42.500 economic crisis
00:53:43.600 which we're in the middle of
00:53:45.180 I think this is a blip
00:53:46.540 because I think
00:53:46.900 Corona is nothing
00:53:47.520 I think it's taking
00:53:48.060 all the Democrats' power
00:53:49.100 to make Corona
00:53:50.100 into something
00:53:50.720 because they know
00:53:51.900 this is Trump's
00:53:52.540 Achilles heel.
00:53:53.680 But it is funny
00:53:55.280 this is the worst
00:53:56.800 financial moment
00:53:58.320 we've been in since 2018
00:53:59.360 when we were in an election
00:54:01.160 which was the worst one
00:54:02.200 since 2008
00:54:02.900 which is the last time
00:54:03.700 that it would have been viable
00:54:04.420 that it would have been
00:54:05.880 beneficial to the Democrats
00:54:07.620 to push us into one.
00:54:08.740 I think they're going to use
00:54:09.420 all of their power
00:54:10.340 to hurt Trump.
00:54:10.860 If this happens
00:54:11.340 one week before the election
00:54:12.320 he's, I mean
00:54:13.240 the stagmack drafts
00:54:14.360 10 markets
00:54:14.800 and if Biden is the nominee.
00:54:16.640 The other thing is
00:54:17.540 I think this coronavirus
00:54:18.460 is going to be
00:54:19.100 really, really bad
00:54:20.240 for the Democrats.
00:54:21.440 They look awful.
00:54:23.040 They have covered
00:54:23.720 themselves in dreck.
00:54:25.680 I mean
00:54:25.960 they really have
00:54:26.980 gotten out there.
00:54:28.160 You know
00:54:28.300 I mean
00:54:28.620 whenever you hear
00:54:29.420 Chuck Todd say
00:54:30.180 what do you mean
00:54:31.440 the Democrats
00:54:32.020 are using the coronavirus?
00:54:33.560 You know
00:54:34.060 that they are using
00:54:34.700 the coronavirus
00:54:35.280 politically
00:54:36.000 and I think
00:54:36.940 and I think that
00:54:37.100 that is disgusting
00:54:38.380 now
00:54:38.640 how many people
00:54:39.240 pay attention to that
00:54:39.980 I don't know
00:54:40.520 I think what people
00:54:41.280 do pay attention to
00:54:42.220 is they pay attention
00:54:42.820 to food on the table
00:54:43.680 they pay attention
00:54:44.440 to the dignity
00:54:45.000 of the job
00:54:45.580 they pay attention
00:54:46.260 to the fact
00:54:46.860 the unbelievable fact
00:54:48.400 that for the first time
00:54:49.340 in three years
00:54:49.960 the suicide rate
00:54:51.160 is down
00:54:51.680 that was the Obama
00:54:52.560 suicide rate
00:54:53.340 that was the globalization
00:54:54.900 suicide rate
00:54:55.900 and Trump has turned
00:54:57.160 that around
00:54:57.560 and that's something
00:54:58.660 people feel
00:54:59.200 in their lives.
00:54:59.840 The one area
00:55:00.340 where Trump
00:55:00.720 is going to be effective
00:55:02.000 and obviously
00:55:03.260 this is true
00:55:03.840 because it really
00:55:04.660 did hurt Joe Biden
00:55:05.320 in the early polling
00:55:05.960 is he's going to hammer
00:55:07.620 the Hunter Biden stuff
00:55:08.400 he's going to just
00:55:10.000 hammer the Hunter Biden stuff
00:55:10.680 They're already
00:55:11.220 reopening this
00:55:12.140 you know
00:55:12.420 during impeachment
00:55:13.220 they said
00:55:13.560 we're going to call
00:55:14.140 Hunter Biden
00:55:14.660 before the Senate
00:55:15.200 we're going to
00:55:15.600 investigate him
00:55:16.240 and then everybody
00:55:16.900 knew the minute
00:55:17.560 Trump gets acquitted
00:55:18.340 they're not going to
00:55:19.640 actually follow up
00:55:20.380 on the investigations
00:55:21.140 all of a sudden
00:55:22.140 Joe Biden wins
00:55:22.880 South Carolina
00:55:23.540 and look what people
00:55:24.200 are talking about again
00:55:25.080 they're going to
00:55:25.620 investigate Hunter Biden
00:55:26.580 Hunter Biden
00:55:27.180 who the left
00:55:28.780 they just can't
00:55:29.720 help themselves
00:55:30.240 run a major piece
00:55:31.560 in the New York Times
00:55:32.500 covering his
00:55:33.660 art studio
00:55:34.860 that he's opened up
00:55:35.580 to paint with a
00:55:36.440 Porsche in the garage
00:55:37.260 12 grand a month
00:55:38.160 to pay
00:55:38.520 a new wife
00:55:39.540 a new kid on the way
00:55:40.500 it doesn't look good
00:55:41.660 yeah
00:55:41.880 and by the way
00:55:42.680 is the new wife
00:55:43.780 having the new kid
00:55:44.500 nevertheless
00:55:45.120 there are two new kids
00:55:46.320 nevertheless
00:55:46.840 if Joe Biden
00:55:47.620 if anybody's the nominee
00:55:48.840 they can win
00:55:49.480 if Joe Biden
00:55:50.060 is the nominee
00:55:50.820 Trump has a real problem
00:55:52.140 and if Joe Biden
00:55:53.220 is the nominee
00:55:53.600 I don't believe
00:55:54.160 Trump can win
00:55:54.880 the popular vote
00:55:55.540 although I do think
00:55:56.960 he can still
00:55:57.500 win the presidency
00:55:58.640 also
00:55:59.060 I'm not sure
00:56:00.780 that any
00:56:01.360 person running
00:56:02.900 as a Democrat
00:56:03.400 besides Bernie Sanders
00:56:04.700 will actually get on
00:56:05.760 a debate stage
00:56:06.380 with Donald Trump
00:56:07.020 I think what we're
00:56:08.300 going to
00:56:08.460 we're going to
00:56:08.920 get to the fall
00:56:09.560 and they're all
00:56:10.580 going to say
00:56:11.200 I'm not going
00:56:12.480 to validate
00:56:13.500 his presidency
00:56:14.940 by standing
00:56:15.520 on a debate stage
00:56:16.120 they'll lose
00:56:16.560 Joe Biden
00:56:17.140 would look so
00:56:17.760 I don't think
00:56:18.260 they'll do that
00:56:18.940 but I think
00:56:19.280 that Joe Biden
00:56:20.460 here's the one
00:56:21.600 so he has one
00:56:23.040 significant disadvantage
00:56:23.780 in a debate
00:56:24.500 with Donald Trump
00:56:25.160 and that is that
00:56:25.640 Donald Trump
00:56:26.140 in a debate
00:56:26.680 is just
00:56:27.540 a WWE
00:56:28.520 pick up the chair
00:56:29.920 and smack somebody 1.00
00:56:30.740 in the face
00:56:31.240 guy
00:56:31.940 that is what he is
00:56:33.160 he will go up there
00:56:34.080 he will say
00:56:34.380 Hunter Biden
00:56:34.740 is corrupt
00:56:35.080 Joe Biden
00:56:35.360 will say
00:56:35.580 he's not corrupt
00:56:36.160 and he'll say
00:56:36.720 well of course
00:56:37.060 you would say
00:56:37.380 that because
00:56:37.700 he's your son
00:56:38.140 that's exactly
00:56:39.720 what he will do
00:56:40.240 the one thing
00:56:42.560 that could look bad
00:56:43.260 and it's so weird
00:56:44.280 it's such a weird
00:56:44.920 dynamic
00:56:45.280 because Biden
00:56:46.380 is senile
00:56:47.200 and old
00:56:48.460 and doddering
00:56:49.120 if Trump
00:56:49.900 looks like
00:56:50.440 he is stomping him
00:56:51.320 like curb stomping him 0.95
00:56:52.460 it might not
00:56:53.500 actually be great
00:56:54.520 for him
00:56:54.820 like if you
00:56:55.200 look too mean
00:56:56.040 in a debate
00:56:56.480 if you look
00:56:57.200 too mean
00:56:57.740 in a debate
00:56:58.120 it actually
00:56:58.520 can hurt
00:56:59.060 now Trump
00:56:59.540 that may be
00:57:00.040 baked into the cake
00:57:00.560 already
00:57:00.760 but in the primary
00:57:02.720 debates you see
00:57:03.200 the ones who go
00:57:03.900 on attack too much
00:57:04.640 or really really
00:57:05.520 attack dogs
00:57:06.080 like Warren
00:57:07.020 it didn't help
00:57:07.880 her polling 0.89
00:57:08.480 at all
00:57:08.840 if people have
00:57:09.220 a generally
00:57:09.600 warm view
00:57:10.160 of Biden
00:57:10.500 and then Trump
00:57:10.960 is really mean
00:57:11.520 to him
00:57:11.820 then it actually
00:57:12.920 could cut against
00:57:14.300 it's like
00:57:14.520 the Rubio Christie
00:57:16.140 murder suicide
00:57:16.940 pact from 2016
00:57:17.860 so there are
00:57:19.760 a lot of things
00:57:20.260 that people
00:57:20.680 are worried
00:57:20.960 about out there
00:57:21.500 there is a
00:57:22.060 disease
00:57:23.020 that is
00:57:24.400 at work
00:57:24.960 in the world
00:57:25.540 that we should
00:57:26.640 take very
00:57:27.060 very seriously
00:57:27.720 it's the flu
00:57:29.440 and the flu
00:57:31.260 is bad
00:57:31.680 you should get
00:57:32.120 a flu shot
00:57:32.700 and you should
00:57:33.480 wash your hands
00:57:33.940 obviously there's
00:57:34.800 this other one
00:57:35.240 that I'm not
00:57:35.600 that worried
00:57:35.940 about
00:57:36.140 but maybe
00:57:36.520 your mileage
00:57:36.960 will vary
00:57:37.320 and it's
00:57:37.720 the coronavirus
00:57:38.180 whatever it is
00:57:39.340 it's a good
00:57:39.700 reminder
00:57:40.040 anytime that
00:57:40.600 there's
00:57:40.920 talk about
00:57:42.520 about
00:57:43.900 horrible
00:57:45.280 diseases
00:57:45.860 or horrible
00:57:46.460 tragedies
00:57:47.280 like the one
00:57:47.600 that happened
00:57:47.920 in Nashville
00:57:48.320 last night
00:57:49.660 it's a good
00:57:50.320 reminder
00:57:50.580 that we all
00:57:50.980 need life
00:57:51.580 insurance
00:57:51.980 I went over
00:57:53.420 to Policy Genius
00:57:54.060 just this week
00:57:54.720 I have
00:57:55.900 guys
00:57:56.980 the insurance
00:57:57.720 policy that I
00:57:58.240 carry on
00:57:58.620 Ben
00:57:58.860 it is
00:58:01.280 life changing
00:58:01.680 if I ever
00:58:02.480 cross Jeremy
00:58:03.400 chances of my
00:58:04.420 death are so
00:58:05.500 unbelievably high
00:58:06.820 but what it
00:58:07.460 occurred to me
00:58:08.180 is that while I
00:58:09.060 would profit greatly
00:58:09.880 from the death
00:58:10.400 of Ben Shapiro
00:58:11.060 I would lose
00:58:12.600 money if my
00:58:14.540 wife were to 0.99
00:58:15.140 die
00:58:15.380 so I thought
00:58:16.460 I gotta get
00:58:17.140 a life insurance
00:58:17.680 policy on her
00:58:18.720 so I went over
00:58:20.320 to Policy Genius
00:58:21.000 this is actually
00:58:21.780 true
00:58:22.080 I also looked
00:58:22.880 to get anyone
00:58:23.240 on me for her
00:58:24.140 but that's not
00:58:24.560 as funny
00:58:24.900 I went over
00:58:25.600 to Policy Genius
00:58:25.860 I went over
00:58:28.040 to PolicyGenius
00:58:28.860 dot com
00:58:29.320 it's an
00:58:29.860 unbelievable
00:58:30.560 service
00:58:31.040 we have
00:58:32.120 an insurance
00:58:32.620 broker with
00:58:33.120 our business
00:58:33.560 and I asked
00:58:34.640 our office
00:58:36.020 ops people
00:58:36.500 to have them
00:58:37.100 price out
00:58:37.620 life insurance
00:58:38.480 for me
00:58:38.940 because I
00:58:39.320 actually wanted
00:58:39.720 to put Policy
00:58:40.320 Genius to
00:58:40.740 the test
00:58:41.100 I went to
00:58:41.840 Policy Genius
00:58:42.360 put in all
00:58:43.060 my information
00:58:43.680 within seconds
00:58:44.900 I had quotes
00:58:45.940 coming back
00:58:46.380 to me for
00:58:46.820 life insurance
00:58:47.300 policies
00:58:47.760 two weeks
00:58:48.960 later
00:58:49.260 I got a
00:58:50.520 report from
00:58:51.120 our company
00:58:52.400 broker
00:58:52.780 with their rates
00:58:53.980 it took two
00:58:54.480 weeks to get
00:58:54.940 them
00:58:55.080 they were
00:58:55.320 printed on
00:58:55.760 paper
00:58:56.020 you had to
00:58:56.720 pull the
00:58:57.000 perforated edges
00:58:57.800 off the end
00:58:58.300 of the dot
00:58:59.000 matrix printing
00:58:59.480 and the rates
00:59:00.860 were worse
00:59:01.440 really
00:59:01.920 yes
00:59:02.880 I'm absolutely
00:59:03.900 telling the truth
00:59:04.240 Policy Genius
00:59:04.880 within seconds
00:59:06.020 gave me better
00:59:07.060 rates than I was
00:59:07.660 able to get
00:59:08.060 from our
00:59:08.400 insurance broker
00:59:09.500 with complete
00:59:10.580 ease
00:59:10.840 with complete
00:59:11.340 simplicity
00:59:11.800 it was an
00:59:12.440 unbelievable
00:59:12.820 thing
00:59:13.220 now if anyone
00:59:14.260 close to me
00:59:14.820 dies
00:59:15.160 I am going
00:59:15.940 to clean
00:59:16.740 up World Bank
00:59:18.140 but also if you're
00:59:19.080 a responsible adult
00:59:19.720 and you're the
00:59:20.020 person who dies
00:59:20.420 make sure that
00:59:20.780 your family
00:59:21.180 is left with
00:59:21.780 enough money
00:59:22.240 to actually handle
00:59:23.140 your funeral
00:59:23.620 expenses
00:59:24.320 nobody knows
00:59:25.000 what's around
00:59:25.380 the corner
00:59:25.680 it could be
00:59:26.020 a truck
00:59:26.240 could be
00:59:26.500 an anvil
00:59:26.860 could be
00:59:27.340 coronavirus
00:59:27.680 nobody actually
00:59:28.580 knows
00:59:28.820 and this is
00:59:29.200 why you need
00:59:29.800 policygenius.com
00:59:31.020 everybody gets
00:59:31.800 the future wrong
00:59:32.640 just look at how
00:59:33.320 I bet in 2016
00:59:34.100 better get life
00:59:35.100 insurance right
00:59:35.800 and insure against
00:59:36.460 the only real
00:59:37.420 inevitability
00:59:38.000 which is death
00:59:39.180 so go check out
00:59:40.380 policygenius.com
00:59:41.360 right now
00:59:41.660 and competitively
00:59:42.260 shop for a policy
00:59:42.920 that is definitely
00:59:43.500 going to pay off
00:59:44.140 at some point
00:59:44.660 down the line
00:59:45.400 for someone
00:59:46.120 we're getting a
00:59:47.960 super Tuesday
00:59:48.480 exit poll just
00:59:49.160 comes out from
00:59:49.620 NBC
00:59:50.280 this is on
00:59:50.840 voter age
00:59:51.820 the test of
00:59:52.500 the Bernie
00:59:53.100 bros and the
00:59:53.860 millennials and
00:59:54.580 Gen Z 0.62
00:59:54.960 65 plus
00:59:56.820 29%
00:59:57.720 45 to 64
00:59:59.180 35%
01:00:00.180 that's the
01:00:00.700 biggest number
01:00:01.200 30 to 44
01:00:02.600 is 23%
01:00:03.560 and then those
01:00:04.240 young voters
01:00:04.780 18 to 29
01:00:05.680 way down there
01:00:06.640 at 13%
01:00:07.420 of course
01:00:07.900 just not showing up
01:00:08.660 of course
01:00:08.760 because it's always
01:00:09.100 stupid bull crap
01:00:09.740 everybody
01:00:10.660 who does this
01:00:11.760 ridiculous
01:00:12.220 the youth
01:00:13.100 will turn out
01:00:13.540 for me
01:00:13.940 they're going to
01:00:14.480 come out
01:00:14.860 in record numbers
01:00:15.760 for an old
01:00:16.460 geriatric man
01:00:17.340 spelled in crap
01:00:18.400 from the 1930s
01:00:19.360 he learned that
01:00:19.740 see you and
01:00:20.140 why
01:00:20.360 by the time
01:00:21.360 they vote
01:00:21.640 they're smarter
01:00:22.100 they never show
01:00:24.460 up
01:00:24.560 they're always
01:00:24.940 like oh the
01:00:25.360 young voters
01:00:25.720 it's going to
01:00:26.120 be a youth
01:00:26.720 wave
01:00:27.200 rock the vote
01:00:28.560 voter die
01:00:29.420 I remember
01:00:30.420 I gave a speech
01:00:31.740 for vote for die
01:00:32.420 by the way
01:00:32.720 at one time
01:00:33.440 did you really?
01:00:33.780 oh yeah
01:00:34.160 this was like
01:00:34.820 yeah this is back
01:00:35.640 2012 maybe
01:00:36.980 so they had me
01:00:37.820 speak at
01:00:38.100 University of
01:00:38.580 Michigan I think
01:00:39.200 but really north
01:00:40.700 like University of
01:00:41.380 Michigan on the
01:00:42.060 border with Canada
01:00:42.600 and it was a
01:00:45.000 voter die event
01:00:46.060 and I remember
01:00:47.500 I started off by
01:00:48.860 saying I don't think
01:00:49.520 any of you should
01:00:50.000 vote
01:00:50.240 and they were
01:00:51.180 like
01:00:51.440 you're saying
01:00:52.540 we should die
01:00:53.100 and somebody was
01:00:55.420 like why
01:00:55.700 I was like
01:00:55.860 because you're
01:00:56.120 stupid and you 0.99
01:00:56.700 don't know
01:00:56.900 what you're
01:00:57.060 talking about
01:00:57.660 and you
01:00:57.940 shouldn't vote
01:00:58.300 you should
01:00:58.600 stay home
01:00:59.040 until you
01:00:59.340 learn things
01:00:59.880 and the
01:01:00.560 voter I was
01:01:01.020 like
01:01:01.220 voter learn
01:01:04.760 exactly
01:01:05.260 so we have
01:01:06.180 some early
01:01:06.540 numbers coming
01:01:07.080 in from Texas
01:01:07.620 obviously these
01:01:08.220 are still
01:01:08.640 very early
01:01:09.580 but I want to
01:01:10.060 say it according
01:01:10.960 to Michael
01:01:11.260 Bloomberg
01:01:11.500 did you see this?
01:01:12.740 Bloomberg was
01:01:13.200 walking around
01:01:13.620 with 128 campaign
01:01:15.580 staffers in Texas
01:01:17.200 and somebody says
01:01:18.520 to him text
01:01:18.840 he goes you mean
01:01:19.280 Tejas
01:01:19.740 she said what
01:01:21.580 what did you say
01:01:22.120 Te what
01:01:22.600 and he's like
01:01:23.260 Tejas
01:01:23.740 it's how you
01:01:24.360 say it in
01:01:24.740 Spanish
01:01:25.120 Tejas
01:01:25.780 nah
01:01:26.900 that's not a
01:01:28.140 thing
01:01:28.440 he buys all
01:01:29.160 his friends
01:01:29.600 listen I'm a
01:01:33.000 good friend
01:01:33.500 I will never
01:01:35.120 say a negative
01:01:35.700 word about my
01:01:36.320 good friend
01:01:36.680 let's look at
01:01:37.480 these early
01:01:37.900 numbers out of
01:01:38.360 Texas
01:01:38.540 they're kind
01:01:38.960 of surprising
01:01:39.480 and obviously
01:01:39.960 this is early
01:01:40.580 and things
01:01:41.220 could change
01:01:41.640 but right now
01:01:42.240 the early
01:01:43.940 results are in
01:01:45.240 and they're
01:01:45.480 showing Bernie
01:01:46.640 Sanders
01:01:47.040 significantly
01:01:47.880 up over
01:01:48.940 Joe Biden
01:01:49.540 in Texas
01:01:50.080 that's very
01:01:50.500 early
01:01:50.740 a lot of
01:01:51.140 the early
01:01:51.960 breaking
01:01:52.340 voter
01:01:52.680 numbers
01:01:53.080 are including
01:01:53.940 the early
01:01:54.640 votes
01:01:54.920 it's already
01:01:55.680 been tabulated
01:01:56.220 and so those
01:01:56.840 have been cut
01:01:57.140 very heavily
01:01:57.580 for Sanders
01:01:58.240 you've seen
01:01:58.860 this early
01:01:59.280 on in most
01:01:59.940 of the states
01:02:00.400 this sort
01:02:00.760 of early
01:02:01.440 lead
01:02:01.760 and so you
01:02:02.060 should take
01:02:02.420 all of the
01:02:02.860 early numbers
01:02:03.360 knowing that
01:02:04.420 Biden's surge
01:02:05.340 is going to be
01:02:05.720 late in the
01:02:06.700 count
01:02:07.140 and that has
01:02:08.100 happened in
01:02:08.480 literally every
01:02:09.040 state
01:02:09.260 as the
01:02:09.660 state's
01:02:10.060 counts
01:02:10.320 accrues
01:02:10.780 Biden is going
01:02:12.200 up in
01:02:12.500 every state
01:02:13.120 so Tennessee
01:02:13.760 is a great
01:02:14.060 example
01:02:14.380 well Tennessee
01:02:16.240 right now
01:02:16.600 21% of the
01:02:17.280 vote is in
01:02:17.680 Biden is up
01:02:18.340 28 to 24
01:02:19.040 they called
01:02:19.400 that early
01:02:19.760 on in the
01:02:20.140 night
01:02:20.300 they called
01:02:20.980 it when it
01:02:21.360 appeared that
01:02:21.660 it was dead
01:02:22.000 even
01:02:22.220 right so
01:02:22.580 everybody was
01:02:23.320 recognizing that
01:02:24.020 that Biden
01:02:24.420 was
01:02:24.680 from our
01:02:25.180 delegate
01:02:26.040 our delegate
01:02:26.900 room we have
01:02:27.400 a whole
01:02:27.760 thing set up
01:02:28.500 like Fox
01:02:28.960 News
01:02:29.180 except that
01:02:30.180 if I were
01:02:30.520 to stand
01:02:30.860 up and walk
01:02:31.380 away
01:02:31.540 maybe Kelly
01:02:32.060 used to
01:02:32.500 if someone
01:02:33.000 were to
01:02:33.280 follow me
01:02:33.620 with a
01:02:33.820 camera
01:02:34.100 we'd trip
01:02:34.780 over things
01:02:35.300 in the
01:02:35.560 dark
01:02:35.860 but we do
01:02:37.140 have some
01:02:37.400 guys over
01:02:37.840 keeping us
01:02:38.320 up to date
01:02:38.660 on these
01:02:38.920 numbers
01:02:39.220 and in
01:02:40.100 Tennessee
01:02:40.280 we're seeing
01:02:44.380 starting to
01:02:44.900 pull away
01:02:45.360 in Tennessee
01:02:46.020 and we have
01:02:46.360 updated numbers
01:02:47.120 for Oklahoma
01:02:47.620 too I believe
01:02:48.300 which are
01:02:49.660 you know it's
01:02:50.940 interesting to
01:02:51.400 look at in
01:02:51.860 Texas before
01:02:52.900 the Buttigieg
01:02:53.580 all that stuff
01:02:54.120 came out
01:02:54.500 the poll averages
01:02:55.820 did have
01:02:56.280 Biden or
01:02:56.980 did have
01:02:57.340 Bernie rather
01:02:58.000 up in
01:02:58.700 Texas
01:02:59.080 so that
01:03:00.000 might bear
01:03:00.320 out
01:03:00.540 look at
01:03:01.020 this
01:03:01.300 Ben to
01:03:01.720 your point
01:03:02.580 boom
01:03:02.880 Biden really
01:03:03.680 surging
01:03:04.100 now
01:03:04.280 I called
01:03:04.900 this one
01:03:05.220 I said
01:03:05.440 30 to 20
01:03:05.980 in Oklahoma
01:03:06.400 for Biden
01:03:07.100 so a few
01:03:07.800 of these
01:03:07.980 I hit spot
01:03:08.400 on
01:03:08.580 and if
01:03:09.700 Bloomberg
01:03:10.120 stays above
01:03:10.600 15%
01:03:11.200 that's actually
01:03:11.640 bad for
01:03:12.000 Biden in the
01:03:12.540 long run
01:03:12.880 meaning we
01:03:13.860 can all
01:03:14.120 look forward
01:03:14.480 to all
01:03:14.920 of those
01:03:15.420 voters
01:03:16.260 eventually
01:03:16.740 breaking
01:03:17.220 Biden
01:03:18.620 yeah
01:03:18.900 and the
01:03:19.740 conventional
01:03:20.080 wisdom
01:03:20.420 right now
01:03:21.020 emerging
01:03:21.620 from 538
01:03:22.440 from New York
01:03:22.900 Times
01:03:23.200 is that
01:03:24.200 Biden is
01:03:24.500 going to
01:03:24.640 emerge
01:03:24.860 from this
01:03:25.140 thing
01:03:25.260 with a
01:03:25.460 slight lead
01:03:25.800 which is
01:03:26.920 an amazing
01:03:28.280 unbelievable
01:03:28.720 we should
01:03:29.500 note
01:03:29.760 that that's
01:03:30.540 an amazing
01:03:30.880 thing
01:03:31.160 it really
01:03:32.220 is
01:03:32.500 this is
01:03:34.480 the first
01:03:34.840 candidacy
01:03:35.300 of my
01:03:35.640 lifetime
01:03:36.020 where a
01:03:36.620 candidate
01:03:36.860 has declared
01:03:37.300 a firewall
01:03:37.700 and it
01:03:38.280 held
01:03:38.460 and me
01:03:39.160 too
01:03:39.380 I was
01:03:39.900 really
01:03:40.160 surprised
01:03:40.480 I always
01:03:40.840 say
01:03:41.040 the guy
01:03:41.460 who waits
01:03:41.820 for the
01:03:42.080 firewall
01:03:42.440 is just
01:03:43.080 going to
01:03:43.280 get
01:03:43.380 Rudy Giuliani
01:03:44.000 right
01:03:44.240 the Florida
01:03:44.620 firewall
01:03:45.000 exactly
01:03:45.500 and then you
01:03:45.880 had Hillary 0.98
01:03:46.280 with her
01:03:46.560 blue wall
01:03:47.000 this actually
01:03:47.580 did work
01:03:47.960 and I don't
01:03:48.660 even know
01:03:48.980 if it was
01:03:49.260 down to him
01:03:49.800 or the fact
01:03:50.180 that he was
01:03:50.400 up against
01:03:50.660 the 5-5-2-1
01:03:51.880 strategy was
01:03:52.540 apparently
01:03:52.880 excellent
01:03:53.420 yeah
01:03:53.800 but you know
01:03:54.220 one week
01:03:54.780 ago
01:03:55.140 Bernie
01:03:55.800 Joe Biden
01:03:56.940 was dead
01:03:57.900 was dead
01:03:57.920 both
01:03:58.520 figuratively
01:03:59.200 and literally
01:03:59.980 and now
01:04:00.820 he's only
01:04:01.480 dead
01:04:01.860 literally
01:04:02.280 figuratively
01:04:03.540 he's doing
01:04:04.100 it
01:04:04.260 figuratively
01:04:04.720 it does
01:04:06.700 tell you
01:04:07.040 something
01:04:07.300 though
01:04:07.540 this is
01:04:07.840 what I
01:04:08.080 call
01:04:08.200 the one
01:04:08.580 run
01:04:08.900 rule
01:04:09.620 if you
01:04:09.940 watch
01:04:10.140 baseball
01:04:10.620 and a
01:04:11.100 team
01:04:11.300 is one
01:04:11.700 run
01:04:11.940 ahead
01:04:12.280 and you
01:04:12.660 look
01:04:12.800 in their
01:04:13.000 dugout
01:04:13.280 they're
01:04:13.460 happy
01:04:13.820 they're
01:04:14.040 talking
01:04:14.380 the other
01:04:14.780 team
01:04:14.940 is down
01:04:15.360 and depressed
01:04:15.700 that's
01:04:16.020 one swing
01:04:16.460 of the bat
01:04:16.880 you know
01:04:17.240 it doesn't
01:04:17.460 mean
01:04:17.620 anything
01:04:17.940 so those
01:04:18.500 first
01:04:18.800 three
01:04:19.220 primaries
01:04:20.020 were tiny
01:04:20.600 little
01:04:20.860 primaries
01:04:21.440 and
01:04:21.980 also the
01:04:22.480 demographics
01:04:22.860 were wildly
01:04:23.580 different
01:04:23.900 everybody
01:04:24.220 was just
01:04:24.620 calling
01:04:24.920 there were
01:04:25.620 no black 1.00
01:04:26.040 voters
01:04:26.280 anywhere
01:04:26.780 in those
01:04:27.040 first
01:04:27.180 three
01:04:27.440 states
01:04:27.560 there were
01:04:29.020 less black 0.98
01:04:29.420 voters
01:04:29.700 than in
01:04:30.020 the MSNBC
01:04:30.960 back room
01:04:31.520 over there
01:04:32.460 but listen
01:04:33.220 Ben you talked
01:04:34.280 about this
01:04:34.620 this morning
01:04:34.980 I actually
01:04:35.900 think we have
01:04:36.340 to give
01:04:36.480 the Democrats
01:04:36.860 some credit
01:04:37.360 here
01:04:37.580 the Republican
01:04:38.360 Party
01:04:38.740 is not
01:04:39.400 capable
01:04:39.860 of doing
01:04:40.340 what the
01:04:40.980 Democrat
01:04:41.940 Party
01:04:42.340 did
01:04:42.680 in the
01:04:43.240 last 48
01:04:43.780 hours
01:04:44.060 they identified
01:04:45.000 a threat
01:04:45.840 to their
01:04:46.180 order
01:04:46.460 and they
01:04:48.040 took
01:04:48.400 immediate
01:04:49.500 concerted
01:04:50.820 action
01:04:51.260 which
01:04:51.940 required
01:04:52.520 them to
01:04:52.940 break
01:04:53.380 probably
01:04:54.240 the
01:04:54.480 egos
01:04:54.900 of several
01:04:55.400 of their
01:04:55.660 candidates
01:04:55.920 and maybe
01:04:56.200 the kneecaps
01:04:56.780 and they
01:04:58.340 forced a
01:04:58.820 consolidation
01:04:59.260 which the
01:05:00.080 Republicans
01:05:00.420 were incapable
01:05:01.240 of doing
01:05:01.680 we should
01:05:02.380 be incapable
01:05:03.180 of it
01:05:03.500 that's not
01:05:03.800 our brand
01:05:04.120 that's not
01:05:05.240 what we're
01:05:05.540 supposed to
01:05:05.940 do
01:05:06.060 we are
01:05:06.340 supposed to
01:05:06.720 actually be
01:05:07.220 responsive
01:05:07.620 to the
01:05:07.920 people
01:05:08.160 and the
01:05:08.680 people
01:05:08.900 got what
01:05:09.640 they wanted
01:05:10.040 that's not
01:05:10.960 true
01:05:11.180 this is
01:05:11.820 a place
01:05:14.540 where I
01:05:14.840 actually
01:05:15.120 think
01:05:15.480 you guys
01:05:16.920 are just
01:05:17.200 wrong
01:05:17.640 as a
01:05:19.040 matter
01:05:19.300 of fact
01:05:19.760 when you
01:05:20.680 are the
01:05:21.020 front runner
01:05:21.440 in your
01:05:21.940 party's
01:05:23.600 primary
01:05:24.500 election
01:05:24.920 and you
01:05:25.680 have
01:05:25.880 not the
01:05:26.900 majority
01:05:27.180 but you
01:05:27.480 have the
01:05:27.860 most
01:05:28.200 support
01:05:28.740 you are
01:05:29.280 therefore
01:05:29.640 the
01:05:29.840 front runner
01:05:30.220 the election
01:05:31.420 becomes a
01:05:31.940 referendum
01:05:32.260 on you
01:05:32.900 if you
01:05:33.780 get a
01:05:34.220 plurality
01:05:34.720 of the
01:05:35.000 vote
01:05:35.240 but not
01:05:35.780 a majority
01:05:36.300 of the
01:05:36.680 vote
01:05:36.920 that means
01:05:37.900 that the
01:05:38.240 majority
01:05:38.680 of the
01:05:39.020 people
01:05:39.300 specifically
01:05:40.060 did not
01:05:40.600 want you
01:05:41.040 it does
01:05:42.040 not mean
01:05:42.640 that
01:05:43.640 wait
01:05:43.840 wait
01:05:44.020 wait
01:05:44.140 it doesn't
01:05:44.420 mean that
01:05:44.720 though
01:05:44.840 it does
01:05:45.140 no it
01:05:45.600 means
01:05:45.840 it means
01:05:46.360 the majority
01:05:46.760 wanted somebody
01:05:47.520 else
01:05:47.840 more
01:05:48.180 but it
01:05:48.460 doesn't mean
01:05:48.700 they didn't
01:05:48.980 want you
01:05:49.260 this is the
01:05:50.940 mistake
01:05:51.180 the front runner
01:05:53.120 becomes a
01:05:53.600 referendum
01:05:53.960 on the
01:05:54.340 front runner
01:05:54.700 the fact
01:05:56.240 that there
01:05:56.540 are multiple
01:05:57.120 other choices
01:05:57.940 to oppose
01:05:59.400 the front runner
01:05:59.960 keeps the
01:06:00.800 anti front runner
01:06:01.900 vote from ever
01:06:02.660 consolidating
01:06:03.280 doesn't though
01:06:03.640 but couldn't you
01:06:04.060 just say like
01:06:04.740 hi I don't
01:06:05.360 really like that
01:06:05.900 front runner
01:06:06.420 I prefer the
01:06:07.500 second person
01:06:08.160 but if you know
01:06:08.980 if this person
01:06:09.580 loses I'd take
01:06:10.240 the front runner
01:06:10.540 I think that's the
01:06:10.820 way people think
01:06:11.400 no because this
01:06:12.840 is where
01:06:13.260 this is why
01:06:14.100 if Marco Rubio
01:06:15.680 had gotten out
01:06:16.160 before Super
01:06:16.640 Tuesday
01:06:16.980 if John Kasich
01:06:17.760 but in particular
01:06:18.440 Marco Rubio
01:06:19.080 had gotten out
01:06:19.680 before Super
01:06:20.500 Tuesday
01:06:20.880 Donald Trump
01:06:21.620 almost certainly
01:06:22.260 would not have
01:06:22.740 gotten the
01:06:23.460 nomination
01:06:23.740 now if you
01:06:24.460 want to say
01:06:24.880 that by
01:06:25.520 November
01:06:26.560 only Trump
01:06:27.640 could have
01:06:27.900 defeated Hillary 0.99
01:06:28.460 that's a
01:06:28.840 completely different
01:06:29.500 conversation
01:06:29.960 that is a
01:06:30.500 different conversation
01:06:31.060 but I also
01:06:31.640 think these
01:06:32.260 conversations
01:06:32.900 I hate this
01:06:33.420 political
01:06:33.780 conversation
01:06:34.240 where we say
01:06:34.640 if so and so
01:06:35.380 had done that
01:06:35.840 because each
01:06:36.320 person is playing
01:06:37.420 the field that
01:06:37.980 he's got
01:06:38.440 and so each
01:06:39.320 person is playing
01:06:39.880 the game
01:06:40.240 but you're
01:06:40.660 making a
01:06:41.340 defensive Trump
01:06:42.060 his strategy
01:06:43.300 to win
01:06:43.720 I'm not talking
01:06:44.520 about that
01:06:44.800 I'm only saying
01:06:45.920 you couldn't
01:06:48.080 predict out
01:06:48.800 if the front
01:06:49.800 runner has a
01:06:50.340 plurality and
01:06:51.040 not a majority
01:06:51.600 that means he
01:06:52.380 lost
01:06:52.840 it's like
01:06:53.180 when the
01:06:55.160 Democrats say
01:06:55.680 he didn't win
01:06:56.420 the popular vote
01:06:57.180 he wasn't
01:06:57.520 running for the
01:06:58.000 popular vote
01:06:58.360 that's not
01:06:59.660 what he's saying
01:07:00.220 what Jeremy
01:07:01.360 is saying
01:07:01.700 is he's
01:07:02.380 actually making
01:07:02.760 the argument
01:07:03.220 that Democrats
01:07:04.140 were making
01:07:04.640 about Bernie
01:07:05.160 Sanders winning
01:07:05.620 a plurality
01:07:06.200 of the delegates
01:07:06.720 but not a
01:07:07.100 majority
01:07:07.400 that if he
01:07:07.900 finishes with
01:07:08.300 1600 delegates
01:07:09.040 and Biden
01:07:09.340 finishes with
01:07:09.720 1500
01:07:10.040 that does not
01:07:11.140 mean that Bernie
01:07:11.640 Sanders ought to
01:07:12.220 win the
01:07:12.400 nomination
01:07:12.780 because he
01:07:13.640 didn't win
01:07:14.040 a majority
01:07:14.600 and so the
01:07:15.760 case that Jeremy
01:07:16.840 is making
01:07:17.260 is that if you
01:07:18.220 win a plurality
01:07:19.340 that means that
01:07:20.780 most of the
01:07:21.240 population actually
01:07:22.320 did not want you
01:07:22.960 to be the
01:07:23.200 nominee
01:07:23.400 it doesn't mean
01:07:23.760 you're not the
01:07:24.040 winner
01:07:24.220 you won
01:07:24.760 the process
01:07:25.320 is the process
01:07:25.820 but it means
01:07:26.700 that to say
01:07:27.280 that a majority
01:07:27.780 of the people
01:07:28.220 wanted this
01:07:28.840 candidate is
01:07:29.360 factually untrue
01:07:30.140 because the
01:07:30.860 votes are the
01:07:31.200 votes
01:07:31.440 a majority
01:07:32.060 of people
01:07:32.280 did not want
01:07:32.840 that candidate
01:07:33.120 but again
01:07:33.620 the actual
01:07:34.500 problem
01:07:34.780 for Republicans
01:07:35.720 by the way
01:07:36.720 was a systemic
01:07:37.480 one
01:07:37.800 less a
01:07:38.660 more think about
01:07:39.820 it
01:07:39.960 I do admire
01:07:40.940 the discipline
01:07:41.320 of the Democrats
01:07:41.860 they are a more
01:07:42.580 disciplined party
01:07:43.160 they just are
01:07:43.740 but the
01:07:44.660 I will say
01:07:45.840 that the
01:07:46.380 the advantage
01:07:47.140 Democrats had
01:07:47.760 here is that
01:07:48.760 because Biden
01:07:49.640 did so well
01:07:50.400 in South Carolina
01:07:51.200 and because
01:07:52.120 there was no
01:07:53.360 actual
01:07:54.020 front-running
01:07:55.360 challenger
01:07:55.900 to Trump
01:07:56.980 in quite the
01:07:57.600 same way
01:07:58.320 like Rubio
01:07:59.220 had outperformed
01:08:00.120 Cruz in New
01:08:00.940 Hampshire
01:08:01.160 for example
01:08:01.880 so Cruz
01:08:03.200 wins Iowa
01:08:03.660 and then Cruz
01:08:04.480 finishes fourth
01:08:05.600 in New
01:08:06.220 Hampshire
01:08:06.420 I believe
01:08:07.080 and then
01:08:08.080 Cruz won
01:08:08.880 South Carolina
01:08:09.460 so Cruz
01:08:11.080 wins South Carolina
01:08:11.960 and then we
01:08:12.780 hit Super Tuesday
01:08:13.300 and at that
01:08:14.140 point
01:08:14.320 if you're Rubio
01:08:14.940 you would have
01:08:15.560 this surge
01:08:15.960 where you
01:08:16.200 finished third
01:08:16.960 in Iowa
01:08:17.980 you finished
01:08:18.360 second
01:08:18.720 I believe
01:08:19.160 in New
01:08:19.520 Hampshire
01:08:19.760 and so
01:08:20.860 there was
01:08:21.100 this case
01:08:21.460 that you
01:08:21.720 were still
01:08:22.120 competitive
01:08:22.800 so it was
01:08:23.680 it was really
01:08:24.120 a fascinating
01:08:24.680 sort of
01:08:25.500 of mathematics
01:08:26.280 there
01:08:26.700 and also
01:08:27.300 again
01:08:27.520 by the time
01:08:27.960 Super Tuesday
01:08:28.360 was over
01:08:28.700 because it was
01:08:29.020 all winners
01:08:29.340 take all states
01:08:29.800 the election
01:08:30.220 was over
01:08:30.600 basically
01:08:30.780 you know
01:08:30.940 who might
01:08:31.220 have an
01:08:31.420 opinion
01:08:31.600 about this
01:08:32.020 I feel
01:08:32.460 like we
01:08:32.660 might know
01:08:32.920 somebody
01:08:33.220 it's
01:08:33.880 Michael
01:08:34.100 Knowles'
01:08:34.380 friend
01:08:34.740 Senator
01:08:35.100 Ted Cruz
01:08:35.560 oh hey
01:08:35.880 Senator
01:08:36.280 how's it going
01:08:37.000 good to see you
01:08:38.680 gentlemen
01:08:39.760 it is great
01:08:41.040 to be with you
01:08:42.020 as we toast
01:08:43.740 the demise
01:08:45.600 of Michael
01:08:46.560 Bloomberg
01:08:46.920 and Elizabeth
01:08:49.400 Warren
01:08:49.860 I mean
01:08:50.260 that's an
01:08:51.060 odd toast
01:08:52.060 if I had
01:08:52.740 Michael and
01:08:53.300 Elizabeth
01:08:53.620 if I had
01:08:54.300 a 32 ounce
01:08:54.900 soda
01:08:55.160 socialize the
01:08:56.000 universe
01:08:56.440 in peace
01:08:57.080 we had
01:08:59.020 32 ounce
01:08:59.620 sodas
01:08:59.960 and some
01:09:00.240 powwow
01:09:00.680 chow
01:09:01.140 Senator
01:09:01.740 I don't know
01:09:02.220 if you followed
01:09:02.820 it looks like
01:09:03.360 Bloomberg's
01:09:03.840 going to pick
01:09:04.200 up American
01:09:04.740 Samoa
01:09:05.180 so it's
01:09:05.640 not over
01:09:06.060 yet
01:09:06.320 he's still
01:09:07.160 look
01:09:08.320 and all
01:09:09.080 you have
01:09:09.440 to do
01:09:09.780 is send
01:09:10.180 a million
01:09:10.600 dollars
01:09:11.000 to each
01:09:11.460 and every
01:09:11.780 voter
01:09:12.100 in American
01:09:12.600 Samoa
01:09:13.080 and you
01:09:14.140 too can
01:09:14.700 win
01:09:15.020 and I
01:09:15.600 gotta say
01:09:16.060 so I
01:09:16.380 just listened
01:09:16.860 to the
01:09:17.060 last 30
01:09:17.580 seconds
01:09:17.960 and Ben
01:09:18.460 I love
01:09:18.840 you
01:09:19.060 but I
01:09:19.680 do gotta
01:09:20.060 correct
01:09:20.560 you
01:09:20.820 no
01:09:21.140 Marco
01:09:21.500 Rubio
01:09:21.820 did not
01:09:22.200 beat me
01:09:22.540 in New
01:09:22.800 Hampshire
01:09:23.100 he took
01:09:23.500 5th place
01:09:24.080 in New
01:09:24.360 Hampshire
01:09:24.660 oh you're
01:09:25.120 right
01:09:25.220 because I
01:09:25.440 forgot
01:09:25.620 Christy
01:09:25.940 killed him
01:09:26.360 yeah
01:09:26.540 you remember
01:09:27.140 Christy
01:09:27.620 like did
01:09:28.040 the drive
01:09:28.620 by shooting
01:09:29.300 a mob
01:09:32.480 hit
01:09:32.920 by the way
01:09:33.680 I was
01:09:33.940 standing next
01:09:34.540 to Christy
01:09:34.980 on that
01:09:35.360 debate stage
01:09:36.160 when Christy
01:09:37.500 leans in
01:09:38.340 and begins
01:09:38.840 pounding
01:09:39.480 and then
01:09:40.400 Marco
01:09:40.700 comes back
01:09:41.360 with the
01:09:41.640 same
01:09:41.820 robotic
01:09:42.180 statement
01:09:42.580 and I
01:09:42.820 gotta admit
01:09:43.160 all the
01:09:43.740 rest of us
01:09:44.180 just sort
01:09:44.520 of stepped
01:09:44.860 back
01:09:45.200 and said
01:09:45.500 Chris go
01:09:46.120 right ahead
01:09:46.580 we'll
01:09:46.800 go back
01:09:48.980 in a couple
01:09:49.560 minutes
01:09:49.900 did anyone
01:09:52.220 ever do
01:09:52.960 more for
01:09:53.460 less
01:09:53.900 than Chris
01:09:54.520 Christy
01:09:54.900 did
01:09:55.200 so by
01:09:56.180 the way
01:09:56.740 we had
01:09:57.760 a Chris
01:09:58.200 Christy
01:09:58.640 moment
01:09:59.000 in the
01:09:59.620 first
01:09:59.920 democratic
01:10:00.480 debate
01:10:00.900 with
01:10:01.120 Bloomberg
01:10:01.480 when
01:10:02.140 Elizabeth
01:10:02.700 Warren
01:10:03.280 just
01:10:04.560 delayed
01:10:05.620 Bloomberg
01:10:06.200 I mean
01:10:06.600 just
01:10:06.860 carved
01:10:07.360 his
01:10:07.600 liver
01:10:07.840 out
01:10:08.240 and
01:10:08.460 served
01:10:08.920 it
01:10:09.220 with
01:10:09.660 fava
01:10:10.100 beans
01:10:10.580 for dinner
01:10:11.120 to everyone
01:10:11.520 for the
01:10:12.440 ceremonial
01:10:13.020 2016
01:10:13.800 Christy
01:10:14.360 Rubio
01:10:15.080 murder
01:10:15.260 suicide
01:10:15.720 it was
01:10:17.680 exactly
01:10:18.120 that
01:10:18.420 it took
01:10:18.760 Warren
01:10:19.620 out
01:10:19.880 but it
01:10:20.160 took
01:10:20.320 Bloomberg
01:10:20.620 out
01:10:20.960 too
01:10:21.180 and this
01:10:21.540 is
01:10:21.680 in many
01:10:22.040 ways
01:10:22.460 the
01:10:22.680 fruition
01:10:23.260 of that
01:10:23.720 Senator
01:10:24.460 can I
01:10:24.800 ask you
01:10:25.040 what you're
01:10:25.640 seeing
01:10:25.940 down the
01:10:26.460 line
01:10:26.720 now
01:10:26.980 as you're
01:10:27.600 looking at
01:10:27.920 the results
01:10:28.280 come in
01:10:28.700 what are
01:10:29.140 you looking
01:10:29.400 at in
01:10:29.820 terms of
01:10:30.260 the end
01:10:30.960 game
01:10:31.200 look it
01:10:33.280 sure looks
01:10:33.980 like it
01:10:34.420 is shaping
01:10:34.880 up to a
01:10:35.540 one-on-one
01:10:36.060 battle
01:10:36.440 between
01:10:36.960 Biden
01:10:38.040 and
01:10:38.260 Sanders
01:10:38.580 I still
01:10:40.240 think
01:10:40.500 Sanders
01:10:40.860 is in
01:10:41.300 the
01:10:41.440 stronger
01:10:41.720 position
01:10:42.240 I said
01:10:43.140 for a
01:10:43.480 long time
01:10:43.900 Sanders
01:10:44.360 is where
01:10:45.020 the heart
01:10:45.480 of the
01:10:45.680 Democratic
01:10:46.020 Party
01:10:46.420 is
01:10:46.740 they are
01:10:47.620 angry
01:10:48.240 they are
01:10:48.660 marching
01:10:49.160 with
01:10:49.660 pitchforks
01:10:51.600 and torches
01:10:52.300 that being
01:10:53.940 said
01:10:54.600 you know
01:10:55.800 I don't
01:10:56.020 know
01:10:56.160 did y'all
01:10:56.840 start the
01:10:57.560 show
01:10:57.880 like playing
01:10:58.940 the theme
01:11:00.220 song from
01:11:00.900 the Empire
01:11:01.340 Strikes Back
01:11:02.120 the degree
01:11:04.940 to which the
01:11:05.620 Democratic
01:11:06.120 establishment
01:11:06.860 in the last
01:11:07.500 24 hours
01:11:08.460 has come
01:11:09.060 and just
01:11:11.380 unified
01:11:12.960 by the way
01:11:13.800 so-called
01:11:14.760 moderate
01:11:15.420 Joe Biden
01:11:16.160 has now
01:11:17.680 put
01:11:18.100 Beto O'Rourke
01:11:18.940 as in
01:11:19.580 damn right
01:11:20.260 we're going to
01:11:20.640 take your
01:11:21.060 guns in charge
01:11:21.900 of gun
01:11:22.200 policy
01:11:22.680 that'll
01:11:23.420 be
01:11:23.540 interesting
01:11:23.880 and we're
01:11:24.400 only hours
01:11:25.120 away from
01:11:25.600 him putting
01:11:26.100 Eric Swalwell
01:11:26.840 in charge
01:11:27.380 of our
01:11:27.660 natural gas
01:11:28.300 policy
01:11:28.740 that's a
01:11:30.280 low glow
01:11:31.080 so
01:11:34.940 Senator
01:11:35.380 I want to
01:11:36.120 ask you
01:11:36.540 you know
01:11:36.840 looking forward
01:11:37.540 to the
01:11:37.880 general election
01:11:38.640 who do you
01:11:39.380 think would
01:11:39.700 be a more
01:11:40.280 durable candidate
01:11:41.060 against President
01:11:41.720 Trump
01:11:41.920 obviously the
01:11:42.460 Trump administration
01:11:43.120 seems to
01:11:43.560 believe that
01:11:44.000 that Biden
01:11:44.620 will be
01:11:44.880 more durable
01:11:45.280 which is
01:11:45.660 why President
01:11:46.140 Trump
01:11:46.440 is tweeting
01:11:47.080 at Bernie
01:11:47.420 Sanders
01:11:47.720 that Bernie
01:11:48.460 Sanders
01:11:48.700 is being
01:11:48.960 cooed out 0.95
01:11:49.340 of the
01:11:49.520 nomination
01:11:49.840 Trump
01:11:51.360 trying to
01:11:51.700 use reverse
01:11:52.100 psychology
01:11:52.560 on the
01:11:52.800 Bernie
01:11:52.960 Sanders
01:11:53.240 supporters
01:11:53.680 which is
01:11:54.020 really fun
01:11:54.440 but who do
01:11:55.620 you think
01:11:55.840 is a more
01:11:56.180 durable candidate
01:11:56.860 given that
01:11:57.560 one is an
01:11:57.980 octogenarian
01:11:58.440 communist
01:11:58.800 and the
01:11:59.020 other is
01:11:59.280 not alive
01:11:59.720 which is
01:12:02.160 which again
01:12:02.600 look I
01:12:06.680 the best
01:12:07.940 thing I think
01:12:08.540 for the
01:12:08.800 president
01:12:09.160 for Republicans
01:12:09.940 is ongoing
01:12:10.780 chaos
01:12:11.420 and so is
01:12:12.760 is the
01:12:13.320 Democratic
01:12:13.720 Party
01:12:14.200 just slicing
01:12:15.480 themselves
01:12:16.020 apart
01:12:16.360 I don't
01:12:16.580 know if
01:12:16.800 you saw
01:12:17.340 you know
01:12:18.920 the Democratic
01:12:19.560 candidate for
01:12:20.660 Senate in
01:12:21.220 Arizona
01:12:21.560 Mark Kelly
01:12:22.160 is running
01:12:22.540 against
01:12:22.820 Martha
01:12:23.060 McSally
01:12:23.560 endorsed
01:12:24.620 Biden
01:12:25.140 so I
01:12:25.540 had some
01:12:25.900 fun
01:12:26.200 tweeting
01:12:26.580 that
01:12:26.800 apparently
01:12:27.300 Mark Kelly
01:12:27.980 doesn't want
01:12:28.860 the votes
01:12:29.260 of any
01:12:29.540 Bernie
01:12:29.760 brothers
01:12:30.120 you know
01:12:32.620 this puts
01:12:33.740 all the
01:12:34.120 Democrats
01:12:34.520 in an
01:12:35.180 awkward
01:12:35.620 position
01:12:36.540 conventional
01:12:39.940 wisdom
01:12:40.620 is that
01:12:41.340 Biden
01:12:41.740 is the
01:12:42.140 more
01:12:42.680 formidable
01:12:43.140 candidate
01:12:43.700 I'm not
01:12:44.820 sure
01:12:45.040 maybe that's
01:12:45.660 right
01:12:46.000 maybe not
01:12:48.280 look Bernie
01:12:49.020 is dangerous
01:12:50.060 in that he
01:12:51.780 has the
01:12:52.080 potential to
01:12:52.760 energize a
01:12:53.580 whole lot
01:12:53.980 of people
01:12:54.380 who wouldn't
01:12:54.900 show up
01:12:55.340 otherwise
01:12:55.700 and if
01:12:56.880 Bernie
01:12:57.200 loses I
01:12:58.060 think some
01:12:58.680 of his
01:12:58.980 hardcore
01:12:59.380 supporters
01:13:00.100 may be so
01:13:01.940 pissed off
01:13:02.480 they don't
01:13:02.740 show up and
01:13:03.140 vote at all
01:13:03.640 so I know
01:13:05.980 a lot of
01:13:06.440 Republicans and
01:13:07.140 conservatives
01:13:07.640 are eager
01:13:08.720 we want
01:13:09.360 Bernie to be
01:13:09.980 the nominee
01:13:10.460 that's all
01:13:12.520 fine and
01:13:13.020 good if
01:13:13.660 he loses
01:13:14.160 but God
01:13:15.260 forbid the
01:13:15.800 guy wins
01:13:16.500 the damage
01:13:17.200 that would
01:13:17.780 be done to
01:13:18.180 the country
01:13:18.600 would be
01:13:18.920 truly terrifying
01:13:19.740 Senator you
01:13:20.480 know in
01:13:20.740 1980 we
01:13:21.940 saw that
01:13:22.340 unity ticket
01:13:23.100 on the
01:13:23.420 Republican
01:13:23.780 side
01:13:24.200 you had
01:13:24.380 the conservative
01:13:24.880 Ronald Reagan
01:13:25.580 you had
01:13:26.060 the more
01:13:26.260 establishment
01:13:26.820 George Bush
01:13:27.520 now obviously
01:13:28.160 if that
01:13:28.480 happened in
01:13:28.840 a Bernie
01:13:29.200 Sanders
01:13:29.580 ticket
01:13:29.940 there would
01:13:30.480 be no
01:13:30.860 reliable
01:13:31.380 vice
01:13:31.660 president
01:13:32.000 because
01:13:32.200 they're
01:13:32.320 both
01:13:32.500 almost
01:13:32.740 80
01:13:32.960 years
01:13:33.200 old
01:13:33.480 but do
01:13:34.080 you
01:13:34.300 see
01:13:34.640 would
01:13:34.860 it
01:13:34.960 be
01:13:35.080 possible
01:13:35.540 regardless
01:13:36.360 of who
01:13:36.780 wins
01:13:37.260 that if
01:13:38.420 Biden
01:13:38.740 wins
01:13:39.000 he picks a
01:13:39.640 far left
01:13:40.200 progressive
01:13:40.620 as the
01:13:40.960 VP
01:13:41.220 or vice
01:13:41.860 versa
01:13:42.140 if
01:13:42.360 Bernie
01:13:42.600 gets it
01:13:43.060 that you
01:13:43.480 could see
01:13:43.760 a more
01:13:44.020 establishment
01:13:44.580 person to
01:13:45.560 unify the
01:13:46.240 ticket
01:13:46.480 look you
01:13:48.140 could easily
01:13:48.740 see that
01:13:49.360 and you
01:13:49.640 can see
01:13:50.060 some of
01:13:50.480 the math
01:13:51.000 I mean
01:13:51.300 you could
01:13:52.240 see
01:13:52.800 Biden
01:13:53.960 I don't
01:13:54.380 think it
01:13:54.700 would surprise
01:13:55.380 anyone to
01:13:56.280 see say
01:13:56.740 a Kamala
01:13:57.200 Harris added
01:13:57.880 to the
01:13:58.180 ticket
01:13:58.540 and that
01:14:00.820 would be
01:14:01.160 a serious
01:14:01.860 ticket
01:14:02.260 listen one
01:14:02.860 of the
01:14:03.140 reasons
01:14:03.640 that Hillary 1.00
01:14:04.600 lost is
01:14:05.420 that African 0.99
01:14:06.060 American
01:14:06.400 turnout
01:14:06.780 was not
01:14:07.260 as high
01:14:07.720 as it
01:14:08.040 historically
01:14:08.580 has been
01:14:09.160 so I
01:14:10.240 think any
01:14:10.760 Democrat
01:14:11.340 looking at
01:14:12.420 a VP
01:14:13.120 pick
01:14:13.600 there is
01:14:15.240 a strong
01:14:16.080 attraction
01:14:16.660 to finding
01:14:17.140 someone who's
01:14:17.940 going to
01:14:18.160 energize
01:14:18.720 the African
01:14:19.180 American
01:14:19.520 turnout
01:14:19.980 Stacey Abrams
01:14:22.640 or Sanders
01:14:23.200 probably
01:14:23.560 I think
01:14:24.520 Sanders
01:14:24.980 it would be
01:14:25.540 Stacey Abrams
01:14:26.340 mostly because
01:14:26.980 I don't think
01:14:27.460 I don't think
01:14:28.000 Biden would
01:14:28.520 pick Kamala
01:14:29.060 I think
01:14:29.360 the same
01:14:29.940 math works
01:14:31.480 but also
01:14:32.020 personalities
01:14:32.800 they've got
01:14:33.300 to get
01:14:33.560 along
01:14:33.980 and I'd
01:14:35.000 be surprised
01:14:35.740 if Bernie
01:14:36.800 rather
01:14:37.100 picked
01:14:37.760 Kamala
01:14:38.120 although
01:14:39.000 it'll be
01:14:39.500 interesting
01:14:39.760 to see
01:14:40.040 what the
01:14:40.340 Biden
01:14:40.660 Kamala
01:14:41.640 Harris
01:14:41.920 ticket
01:14:42.140 looks like
01:14:42.620 in their
01:14:42.840 policy
01:14:43.180 on forced
01:14:43.980 busing
01:14:44.660 talking about
01:14:46.220 bringing the
01:14:46.540 80s back
01:14:47.060 what they're
01:14:48.900 going to do
01:14:49.280 is they're
01:14:49.560 going to
01:14:49.720 bus voters
01:14:50.200 to the
01:14:50.480 polls
01:14:50.760 Senator
01:14:53.720 you have
01:14:54.100 a unique
01:14:54.500 perspective
01:14:55.180 because of
01:14:55.960 the people
01:14:56.280 who are
01:14:56.540 on the
01:14:56.780 ballot
01:14:57.000 tonight
01:14:57.340 you
01:14:57.840 personally
01:14:58.420 know
01:14:58.760 and have
01:14:59.480 worked
01:14:59.640 with many
01:15:00.000 of them
01:15:00.300 Joe Biden
01:15:01.020 was president
01:15:01.480 of the
01:15:01.820 Senate
01:15:01.980 when you
01:15:02.280 were elected
01:15:03.060 to the
01:15:03.360 Senate
01:15:03.560 obviously
01:15:03.940 Elizabeth
01:15:04.340 Warren
01:15:04.700 is one
01:15:05.320 of your
01:15:05.520 colleagues
01:15:05.880 in the
01:15:06.140 Senate
01:15:06.340 Bernie
01:15:06.700 Sanders
01:15:07.080 is up
01:15:07.380 there
01:15:07.480 on
01:15:07.600 Capitol
01:15:07.820 Hill
01:15:07.980 with
01:15:08.100 you
01:15:08.200 guys
01:15:08.400 what do
01:15:08.640 you
01:15:09.300 what do
01:15:10.740 you
01:15:10.820 make
01:15:10.980 of
01:15:33.560 what do
01:15:35.300 I'm
01:15:35.580 pretty
01:15:35.880 confident
01:15:36.400 I'm
01:15:36.860 certainly
01:15:37.140 the only
01:15:37.500 person
01:15:37.840 in this
01:15:38.200 discussion
01:15:38.700 who's
01:15:39.520 ever
01:15:39.720 received
01:15:40.380 a
01:15:40.740 Joe
01:15:41.220 Biden
01:15:41.540 back
01:15:41.900 rub 0.88
01:15:42.180 how was
01:15:43.420 it
01:15:43.600 so
01:15:45.140 it
01:15:45.780 was
01:15:45.980 during
01:15:46.480 if you
01:15:46.760 remember
01:15:46.920 2013
01:15:47.540 we had
01:15:48.020 the
01:15:48.160 battles
01:15:48.500 on gun
01:15:48.900 control
01:15:49.340 and Joe
01:15:51.200 Biden
01:15:51.580 came to
01:15:52.100 the
01:15:52.260 Senate
01:15:52.440 floor
01:15:52.780 because
01:15:53.060 you
01:15:53.180 had
01:15:53.300 Dianne
01:15:53.980 Feinstein
01:15:54.360 you
01:15:54.520 had
01:15:54.620 all
01:15:54.740 the
01:15:54.880 Democrats
01:15:55.220 pushing
01:15:55.580 gun
01:15:55.800 control
01:15:56.080 proposals
01:15:56.560 and Joe
01:15:57.360 Biden
01:15:57.700 as
01:15:57.900 vice
01:15:58.120 president
01:15:58.500 was
01:15:58.760 ready
01:15:59.000 to
01:15:59.400 gavel
01:16:00.160 in
01:16:00.540 this
01:16:00.820 historic
01:16:01.400 victory
01:16:01.980 for gun
01:16:02.660 control
01:16:02.980 and we
01:16:03.500 ended up
01:16:03.880 beating
01:16:04.240 all of
01:16:04.720 their
01:16:04.860 proposals
01:16:05.320 that
01:16:05.560 undermined
01:16:05.960 the
01:16:06.100 second
01:16:06.280 amendment
01:16:06.620 one
01:16:07.820 of the
01:16:08.040 leading
01:16:08.300 proposals
01:16:08.880 was
01:16:09.340 being
01:16:09.800 pushed
01:16:10.160 by
01:16:10.360 Joe
01:16:10.600 Manchin
01:16:10.920 Democrat
01:16:11.300 from
01:16:11.580 West
01:16:11.780 Virginia
01:16:12.140 and
01:16:12.940 Joe
01:16:13.360 and I
01:16:13.560 get
01:16:13.680 along
01:16:13.860 very
01:16:14.060 well
01:16:14.240 Joe
01:16:14.540 actually
01:16:15.120 Manchin
01:16:15.660 like
01:16:15.980 Biden
01:16:16.320 they're
01:16:16.540 both
01:16:16.940 nice
01:16:18.060 affable
01:16:18.540 it's
01:16:18.740 hard
01:16:19.020 to
01:16:19.160 dislike
01:16:19.520 him
01:16:19.660 as
01:16:19.780 people
01:16:20.000 and
01:16:20.860 so
01:16:21.120 I
01:16:21.300 went
01:16:21.480 over
01:16:21.680 to
01:16:21.840 talk
01:16:22.060 to
01:16:22.200 Manchin
01:16:22.500 and
01:16:22.660 I
01:16:22.760 was
01:16:22.880 just
01:16:23.020 telling
01:16:23.280 him
01:16:23.440 I
01:16:23.560 said
01:16:23.700 look
01:16:23.880 I
01:16:24.020 disagree
01:16:24.400 with
01:16:24.680 you
01:16:32.980 your
01:16:33.140 opponents
01:16:33.800 you're
01:16:34.460 making
01:16:34.700 an
01:16:34.900 argument
01:16:35.160 on
01:16:35.360 policy
01:16:35.760 grounds
01:16:36.160 and
01:16:36.320 you're
01:16:36.440 letting
01:16:36.600 people
01:16:36.840 disagree
01:16:37.120 with
01:16:37.340 you
01:16:37.440 on
01:16:37.540 policy
01:16:37.860 grounds
01:16:38.100 and
01:16:38.220 as
01:16:38.340 I'm
01:16:38.480 saying
01:16:38.920 that
01:16:39.300 I'm
01:16:40.020 talking
01:16:40.420 to
01:16:40.680 Manchin
01:16:41.120 I'm
01:16:41.300 on
01:16:41.400 the
01:16:41.500 Democratic
01:16:41.820 side
01:16:42.180 of
01:16:42.280 the
01:16:42.400 aisle
01:16:42.640 and
01:16:43.340 Biden
01:16:43.800 comes
01:16:44.200 behind
01:16:44.580 me
01:16:44.840 and
01:16:45.860 he
01:16:45.980 puts
01:16:46.220 both
01:16:46.580 hands
01:16:46.940 on
01:16:47.120 my
01:16:47.300 shoulders
01:16:47.740 and
01:16:48.360 I
01:16:48.400 gotta admit
01:16:53.400 I'm
01:16:53.720 a freshman
01:16:54.580 senator
01:16:54.940 I've been
01:16:55.300 there
01:16:55.480 a few
01:16:56.600 months
01:16:57.060 and I'm
01:16:57.660 sort of
01:16:57.900 like
01:16:58.100 dude
01:16:58.440 what are
01:16:58.660 you
01:16:58.760 doing
01:16:59.280 and
01:17:02.920 Biden
01:17:03.640 turns
01:17:04.060 to
01:17:04.260 Manchin
01:17:04.620 and
01:17:04.880 says
01:17:05.400 Joe
01:17:05.740 there's
01:17:06.040 nothing
01:17:06.380 worse
01:17:06.980 than
01:17:07.720 a
01:17:07.900 smart
01:17:08.360 Republican
01:17:08.980 thank
01:17:13.580 you
01:17:13.820 I guess
01:17:14.500 with
01:17:16.620 that
01:17:17.700 said
01:17:17.860 the fact
01:17:18.500 that
01:17:18.620 Biden
01:17:18.840 is
01:17:19.020 affable
01:17:19.420 that
01:17:19.920 does
01:17:20.260 cut
01:17:20.460 in
01:17:20.560 his
01:17:20.660 benefit
01:17:20.980 in
01:17:21.200 a
01:17:21.300 general
01:17:21.500 election
01:17:21.800 obviously
01:17:22.100 likability
01:17:22.540 matters
01:17:22.880 an
01:17:23.020 awful
01:17:23.180 lot
01:17:23.400 Bernie
01:17:23.560 is
01:17:23.720 not
01:17:23.940 likable
01:17:24.280 Elizabeth
01:17:24.700 Warren
01:17:25.040 is
01:17:25.260 unliked
01:17:26.560 by
01:17:26.840 members
01:17:27.540 of
01:17:27.700 all
01:17:27.800 the
01:17:27.920 races
01:17:28.120 to
01:17:28.300 which
01:17:28.420 she
01:17:28.540 claims
01:17:28.880 so
01:17:30.380 she's
01:17:33.280 not
01:17:33.440 done
01:17:33.680 yet
01:17:33.940 she
01:17:35.920 said
01:17:36.100 she's
01:17:36.260 not
01:17:36.360 dropping
01:17:36.600 out
01:17:37.120 she
01:17:37.320 said
01:17:37.460 she
01:17:38.180 said
01:17:38.340 she's
01:17:38.700 never
01:17:38.860 dropping
01:17:39.180 out
01:17:39.480 wow
01:17:39.740 ever
01:17:40.320 not
01:17:40.620 until
01:17:40.780 there's
01:17:40.940 a
01:17:41.020 DNA
01:17:41.260 to
01:17:41.460 prove
01:17:41.620 the
01:17:41.840 test
01:17:42.040 and
01:17:43.360 even
01:17:43.520 then
01:17:43.780 she's
01:17:44.180 won
01:17:44.320 1,024
01:17:45.700 for
01:17:46.000 a
01:17:46.040 delegate
01:17:46.240 what
01:17:46.400 is
01:17:46.540 Elizabeth
01:17:46.900 Warren
01:17:47.200 like
01:17:47.560 so
01:17:49.840 she
01:17:50.040 got
01:17:50.240 elected
01:17:50.520 the
01:17:50.720 same
01:17:50.880 time
01:17:51.140 I
01:17:51.300 did
01:17:51.420 we
01:17:51.580 both
01:17:51.840 were
01:17:52.040 elected
01:17:52.360 in
01:17:52.560 2012
01:17:52.960 we
01:17:53.340 were
01:17:53.660 freshmen
01:17:54.040 together
01:17:54.580 look
01:17:55.600 Elizabeth
01:17:55.920 is
01:17:56.160 pretty
01:17:56.340 strident
01:17:56.740 I
01:17:57.040 mean
01:17:57.160 she
01:17:57.360 doesn't
01:17:57.900 hang
01:17:58.620 out
01:17:58.860 with
01:17:59.020 Democrats
01:18:00.080 she
01:18:00.400 doesn't
01:18:00.520 hang
01:18:00.680 out
01:18:00.800 with
01:18:00.900 Republicans
01:18:01.400 she's
01:18:02.240 a
01:18:03.200 true
01:18:03.480 believer
01:18:03.920 and
01:18:04.300 she's
01:18:05.100 pretty
01:18:06.400 strident
01:18:06.860 she's
01:18:07.160 pretty
01:18:07.340 in
01:18:07.520 your
01:18:07.640 face
01:18:08.060 Bernie
01:18:09.660 listen
01:18:10.740 Larry
01:18:11.580 David
01:18:12.020 does
01:18:12.340 the
01:18:12.520 best
01:18:12.740 political
01:18:13.180 impersonation
01:18:13.880 I've
01:18:14.140 ever
01:18:14.360 seen
01:18:14.780 in the
01:18:15.020 history
01:18:15.240 of
01:18:15.400 politics
01:18:15.800 absolutely
01:18:16.420 and
01:18:16.700 it's
01:18:17.840 I
01:18:18.020 told
01:18:18.340 Bernie
01:18:18.620 once
01:18:18.920 at
01:18:19.040 the
01:18:19.140 elevator
01:18:19.460 in
01:18:19.600 the
01:18:19.680 Capitol
01:18:19.980 I
01:18:20.220 said
01:18:20.400 Bernie
01:18:20.700 Larry
01:18:21.280 David
01:18:21.580 does
01:18:21.800 a
01:18:21.920 better
01:18:22.100 Bernie
01:18:22.380 than
01:18:22.540 you
01:18:22.700 do
01:18:22.900 but
01:18:25.660 Bernie
01:18:26.340 is
01:18:26.640 kind
01:18:26.940 of
01:18:27.100 that
01:18:27.360 like
01:18:27.720 gruff
01:18:28.160 old
01:18:28.420 guy
01:18:28.920 yelling
01:18:29.960 at
01:18:30.280 the
01:18:30.440 neighborhood
01:18:30.780 kid
01:18:31.300 get
01:18:31.600 off
01:18:31.860 my
01:18:32.080 lawn
01:18:32.540 he
01:18:34.980 doesn't
01:18:35.420 own
01:18:35.540 the
01:18:35.660 lawn
01:18:35.800 it's
01:18:35.900 been
01:18:36.020 collectivized
01:18:36.480 well
01:18:37.540 there
01:18:37.720 is
01:18:37.900 he
01:18:38.180 actually
01:18:38.400 owns
01:18:38.580 three
01:18:38.840 lawns
01:18:39.200 but
01:18:39.320 it's
01:18:42.780 so
01:18:43.200 you
01:18:43.320 remember
01:18:43.520 back
01:18:43.760 in
01:18:43.900 2017
01:18:44.460 where
01:18:44.900 I
01:18:45.060 did
01:18:45.320 three
01:18:45.640 different
01:18:45.940 CNN
01:18:46.400 debates
01:18:47.380 with
01:18:47.620 Bernie
01:18:47.860 after
01:18:49.220 everyone
01:18:49.700 Bernie
01:18:49.980 would
01:18:50.160 leave
01:18:50.460 like
01:18:51.500 I'd
01:18:51.760 stick
01:18:52.000 around
01:18:52.360 with
01:18:52.560 the
01:18:52.700 we
01:18:53.020 did
01:18:53.180 them
01:18:53.300 at
01:18:53.440 GW
01:18:54.220 college
01:18:54.760 the
01:18:54.960 kids
01:18:55.200 would
01:18:55.340 be
01:18:55.460 there
01:18:55.580 I'd
01:18:55.760 stick
01:18:55.980 around
01:18:56.300 and
01:18:56.440 take
01:18:56.560 pictures
01:18:56.880 with
01:18:57.040 the
01:18:57.140 kids
01:18:57.360 and
01:18:57.480 talk
01:18:57.700 with
01:18:57.800 the
01:18:57.920 kids
01:18:58.120 and
01:18:58.520 like
01:18:58.660 I'd
01:18:58.820 take
01:18:58.980 pictures
01:18:59.320 with
01:18:59.480 the
01:18:59.600 Bernie
01:18:59.820 kids
01:19:00.200 because
01:19:00.380 Bernie
01:19:00.660 had
01:19:00.820 left
01:19:01.080 there's
01:19:04.740 a great
01:19:05.300 SNL
01:19:05.920 skit
01:19:06.440 back
01:19:07.360 in
01:19:07.540 2016
01:19:08.260 of
01:19:08.820 Bernie
01:19:09.980 losing
01:19:11.660 Iowa
01:19:12.380 because
01:19:12.840 he
01:19:13.140 wouldn't
01:19:13.460 shake
01:19:13.720 the
01:19:13.920 hands
01:19:14.260 of
01:19:14.440 five
01:19:14.700 people
01:19:15.040 who
01:19:15.160 sneezed
01:19:15.600 in
01:19:15.680 their
01:19:15.800 hands
01:19:16.140 if
01:19:16.400 you
01:19:16.440 go
01:19:16.620 back
01:19:16.920 it's
01:19:17.420 a
01:19:17.560 classic
01:19:18.040 and
01:19:18.280 there's
01:19:18.680 some
01:19:18.940 truth
01:19:19.460 to
01:19:19.700 it
01:19:19.920 just
01:19:20.480 personality
01:19:21.080 wise
01:19:21.520 do
01:19:23.480 you
01:19:23.640 we're
01:19:24.840 all
01:19:25.020 sitting
01:19:25.300 around
01:19:25.500 talking
01:19:25.840 trying
01:19:26.300 to
01:19:26.500 deduce
01:19:27.920 the
01:19:28.100 Trump
01:19:28.360 of
01:19:28.480 it
01:19:28.580 all
01:19:28.800 I
01:19:29.320 mean
01:19:29.540 the
01:19:29.800 guy
01:19:30.180 is
01:19:30.900 about
01:19:31.100 10%
01:19:31.760 lower
01:19:32.380 than
01:19:32.980 he
01:19:33.220 would
01:19:33.420 be
01:19:33.760 with
01:19:34.040 a
01:19:34.200 similar
01:19:34.460 performance
01:19:34.980 if he
01:19:35.420 were a
01:19:35.700 little
01:19:35.880 less
01:19:36.560 Trumpy
01:19:36.940 maybe
01:19:37.200 I'm not
01:19:38.800 sure he
01:19:39.020 would be
01:19:39.300 there
01:19:39.560 if he
01:19:39.800 were
01:19:39.900 less
01:19:40.080 Trumpy
01:19:40.380 but
01:19:40.560 he's
01:19:41.160 there
01:19:41.360 is
01:19:42.420 is
01:19:42.440 he
01:19:43.000 is
01:19:43.760 he
01:19:43.960 still
01:19:44.360 is
01:19:44.580 he
01:19:44.720 in
01:19:44.820 the
01:19:44.940 kind
01:19:45.260 of
01:19:45.400 trouble
01:19:45.660 the
01:19:45.880 polls
01:19:46.280 show
01:19:46.920 him
01:19:47.080 to
01:19:47.200 be
01:19:47.360 in
01:19:47.520 where
01:19:47.640 they
01:19:47.780 show
01:19:48.000 Biden
01:19:48.340 so
01:19:48.560 far
01:19:48.820 ahead
01:19:49.100 or
01:19:49.460 is
01:19:49.560 that
01:19:49.700 really
01:19:50.060 just
01:19:50.360 pre-election
01:19:51.180 nonsense
01:19:51.620 the truth of the matter is
01:19:53.860 I don't know
01:19:55.080 I think our country
01:19:57.120 is incredibly
01:19:58.200 volatile
01:19:59.020 right now
01:20:00.700 if the election
01:20:01.380 were held today
01:20:02.180 I think Trump
01:20:02.700 would win
01:20:03.060 I think we're
01:20:04.100 in a good
01:20:04.520 position
01:20:05.080 in significant
01:20:06.060 part because I
01:20:06.660 think the
01:20:06.880 Democrats hurt
01:20:07.660 themselves badly
01:20:08.420 with impeachment
01:20:08.980 the results
01:20:11.000 of impeachment
01:20:11.640 were much
01:20:12.160 the same
01:20:12.560 as the
01:20:12.820 Bill Clinton
01:20:13.200 impeachment
01:20:13.540 the Bill Clinton
01:20:14.120 impeachment
01:20:14.620 Clinton's numbers
01:20:16.000 went up
01:20:16.480 and the
01:20:16.720 House Republicans
01:20:17.300 numbers went down
01:20:18.160 same thing
01:20:18.980 happened here
01:20:19.600 so right now
01:20:21.820 we're in pretty
01:20:22.380 strong position
01:20:23.240 I do think a lot
01:20:24.740 of Republicans
01:20:25.340 are sort of
01:20:26.180 prematurely
01:20:27.700 jubilant
01:20:28.200 they're like
01:20:28.840 okay
01:20:29.220 we've won
01:20:30.560 listen
01:20:31.560 2016
01:20:32.300 of 100,000
01:20:33.240 votes flipped
01:20:33.920 Hillary Clinton
01:20:34.980 would have been
01:20:35.380 president
01:20:35.680 this is an
01:20:37.380 amazingly
01:20:38.080 divided country
01:20:39.040 I think it is
01:20:39.940 entirely possible
01:20:40.720 Democrat
01:20:41.160 wins
01:20:41.440 it's entirely
01:20:42.360 possible
01:20:43.000 that this
01:20:43.700 country could
01:20:44.200 elect a
01:20:45.180 wild-eyed
01:20:46.080 socialist
01:20:46.560 like Bernie
01:20:47.200 Sanders
01:20:47.560 that terrifies
01:20:48.420 me
01:20:48.540 I don't want
01:20:48.960 that to
01:20:49.220 happen
01:20:49.500 and I am
01:20:50.460 fighting hard
01:20:51.220 to stop it
01:20:51.840 from happening
01:20:52.440 but the way
01:20:53.700 we stop it
01:20:54.420 from happening
01:20:54.980 is every
01:20:55.680 conservative
01:20:56.200 has to realize
01:20:57.040 this is a
01:20:57.640 real possibility
01:20:58.600 now that you're
01:21:00.520 a podcaster
01:21:01.960 Senator Cruz
01:21:02.700 and a successful
01:21:03.260 one at that
01:21:03.700 this is obviously
01:21:04.280 the last time
01:21:04.860 we'll ever
01:21:05.120 speak to you
01:21:05.700 you're officially
01:21:07.160 the competition
01:21:07.840 and our airwaves
01:21:10.020 are no longer
01:21:10.520 you know what I
01:21:10.920 will point out
01:21:11.560 though Jeremy
01:21:12.020 if people are
01:21:13.000 interested in
01:21:13.460 learning about
01:21:13.920 that battle
01:21:14.440 against socialism
01:21:15.200 they can tune
01:21:16.080 into our latest
01:21:16.720 episode of
01:21:17.320 Verdict with
01:21:17.800 Ted Cruz
01:21:18.300 which features
01:21:19.300 the Senator's
01:21:20.000 Tia Sonia
01:21:20.560 where she talks
01:21:21.280 all about the
01:21:21.800 reality of
01:21:22.280 socialism
01:21:22.720 you're fired
01:21:23.280 too
01:21:23.480 Senator thank you
01:21:25.280 so much
01:21:25.480 that is a damn
01:21:27.100 fine co-host
01:21:28.060 you got
01:21:28.420 you're the first
01:21:30.780 one ever to say
01:21:31.460 you're a good
01:21:33.320 politician
01:21:33.680 because you're
01:21:33.980 a good liar
01:21:34.520 thank you for
01:21:36.980 making some time
01:21:37.580 for us tonight
01:21:38.120 we appreciate it
01:21:38.760 thanks a lot
01:21:39.160 Senator
01:21:39.320 you guys are
01:21:40.360 awesome and
01:21:40.920 next time the
01:21:41.540 only thing I'm
01:21:42.160 disappointed with
01:21:43.460 is I don't get a
01:21:44.580 cigar because I'm
01:21:45.600 sitting in my
01:21:46.620 dining room in
01:21:47.500 D.C.
01:21:48.260 and I may
01:21:49.580 pretend to be
01:21:50.460 courageous in
01:21:51.160 politics but I
01:21:52.160 don't have the
01:21:52.680 courage of standing
01:21:53.420 up to Heidi
01:21:53.940 Cruz
01:21:54.300 you're a wise
01:21:57.740 man
01:21:58.020 a wise man
01:22:00.440 thank you
01:22:00.860 Senator
01:22:01.160 our friends
01:22:03.820 over at Bravo
01:22:04.560 Company
01:22:04.940 Manufacturing
01:22:05.660 are
01:22:06.020 we shouldn't
01:22:07.500 we shouldn't
01:22:07.880 have favorites
01:22:08.520 they're one of
01:22:09.000 they're awesome
01:22:09.540 they're awesome
01:22:09.980 these guys
01:22:11.380 when the founders
01:22:11.980 crafted the
01:22:12.420 constitution the
01:22:13.100 very first thing
01:22:13.660 that they did
01:22:14.100 was to make
01:22:14.480 sacred the
01:22:15.040 rights of the
01:22:15.460 individual to
01:22:16.040 share their
01:22:16.560 ideas without
01:22:17.160 limitation by
01:22:17.980 their government
01:22:18.600 even Drew
01:22:19.400 gets to say
01:22:19.880 his terrible
01:22:20.420 terrible ideas
01:22:21.200 and the government
01:22:22.060 can't come in
01:22:23.200 and do anything
01:22:23.640 about it
01:22:24.000 that's the
01:22:24.660 first amendment
01:22:25.300 the second
01:22:26.360 right that they
01:22:26.780 enumerated was
01:22:27.560 the right of the
01:22:27.960 population to
01:22:28.540 protect that speech
01:22:29.360 and their own
01:22:30.040 persons with
01:22:30.920 force and that's
01:22:31.840 why as hard as I
01:22:32.540 am on Drew
01:22:33.200 I never encourage
01:22:35.740 him to buy
01:22:36.240 ammunition
01:22:36.800 I took Drew to
01:22:39.220 buy his first
01:22:39.860 firearm his
01:22:40.560 ideas were better
01:22:41.400 back then
01:22:41.940 now never again
01:22:43.600 that's the second
01:22:44.540 amendment owning a
01:22:45.700 rifle is an
01:22:46.200 awesome responsibility
01:22:47.060 and our friends at
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01:22:52.440 with Beto O'Rourke
01:22:53.060 seemingly going to
01:22:54.240 be in charge of
01:22:54.820 national gun policy
01:22:55.560 now might be an
01:22:56.260 excellent time for
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01:22:57.320 Bravo Company
01:22:57.920 Manufacturing
01:22:58.540 started in a garage
01:22:59.680 by a marine
01:23:00.040 veteran more than
01:23:00.560 two decades ago
01:23:01.160 BCM builds a
01:23:01.900 professional grade
01:23:02.500 product built to
01:23:03.420 combat standards
01:23:04.020 Bravo Company
01:23:04.740 Manufacturing is not
01:23:05.560 a sporting arms
01:23:06.200 company which of
01:23:06.960 course means that
01:23:07.660 they are awesome
01:23:08.120 because guns are
01:23:09.020 not for hunting
01:23:10.040 primarily they are
01:23:11.100 not for going and
01:23:12.480 shooting targets
01:23:13.120 primarily they're
01:23:13.820 for keeping you
01:23:14.340 safe and for
01:23:15.060 dissuading the
01:23:15.480 government from
01:23:15.860 violating your
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01:23:32.140 these people not only
01:23:32.920 understand the
01:23:33.740 second amendment they
01:23:34.240 understand how to
01:23:34.800 make the guns that
01:23:35.640 make the second
01:23:36.100 amendment mean
01:23:36.560 something go check
01:23:37.440 out bravocompanymfg.com
01:23:39.240 this is actually a
01:23:39.800 really important concept
01:23:40.700 that we that I like to
01:23:41.940 talk about which is
01:23:42.560 that a right only
01:23:43.360 exists if the right is
01:23:44.400 used like freedom of
01:23:46.300 religion doesn't mean 1.00
01:23:47.060 anything if you have
01:23:47.760 no religion you have 0.99
01:23:49.020 if you like the idea of
01:23:50.240 freedom of religion
01:23:50.860 practice your religion
01:23:52.060 if you like the idea of
01:23:53.400 freedom of speech speak
01:23:54.240 in law if you have a
01:23:55.580 copyright and you don't
01:23:56.240 enforce it you lose the
01:23:57.780 copyright over time you
01:23:58.860 have to actually exercise
01:23:59.840 your rights in order to
01:24:00.700 have them that's and you
01:24:01.840 should own excellent
01:24:02.540 point maybe it won't
01:24:03.260 shoot you you should own a 0.89
01:24:05.600 firearm if you believe in
01:24:06.680 the right of people to
01:24:07.380 defend themselves you
01:24:08.140 should take the
01:24:08.580 responsibility of owning a
01:24:09.540 fire I only bought a
01:24:10.160 firearm when I was like
01:24:10.760 22 yeah and it was and
01:24:12.280 it was it was it might
01:24:13.320 have been later I think
01:24:14.380 I actually only bought a
01:24:15.080 firearm in 2012 yeah so
01:24:17.000 and I I had ideological
01:24:18.680 actually I got I got that
01:24:19.860 I got that it was true 0.90
01:24:20.760 that now I'm gonna change
01:24:22.400 my Joe Biden story was
01:24:23.280 2013 it was right after
01:24:24.380 the Pierce Morgan
01:24:24.840 interview so I'd gone on
01:24:26.520 CNN I defended the
01:24:27.780 second amendment and then
01:24:28.740 I got death threats and
01:24:29.320 then I bought a gun so
01:24:30.200 the great irony is I was
01:24:31.040 on the air defending the
01:24:31.900 second amendment and
01:24:32.500 then I was like well I
01:24:33.220 probably should own a gun
01:24:33.900 at this point and
01:24:35.040 everybody should so we
01:24:36.200 have some results that we
01:24:37.000 need to talk about here a
01:24:37.880 lot of things are
01:24:39.220 happening in real time
01:24:40.160 and they are starting to
01:24:41.160 call some projected
01:24:42.540 winners in a few of these
01:24:43.260 states we can now say
01:24:44.580 that Joe Biden is
01:24:45.780 officially the projected
01:24:46.600 winner in North Carolina
01:24:48.440 do we have the most
01:24:49.760 recent North Carolina
01:24:50.540 numbers that we can look
01:24:51.320 at here guys we knew
01:24:54.600 that Biden was ahead in
01:24:55.460 North Carolina now he's 0.74
01:24:56.520 projected as the winner
01:24:57.460 with 34.5 percent of
01:25:00.700 the state I get to
01:25:01.960 Sanders 23.1 Bloomberg
01:25:03.620 did make that 15 percent
01:25:05.060 threshold he's at 16.6
01:25:06.960 at the moment what that
01:25:08.160 means though as I look at
01:25:09.260 this this means because of
01:25:10.880 because of the nature of
01:25:12.560 how these races work that 1.00
01:25:13.840 really means that Biden
01:25:15.120 represents about the
01:25:16.200 moderate lane represents
01:25:17.540 at least 50 percent of the
01:25:18.640 vote in North Carolina
01:25:20.300 which is a terrible defeat
01:25:21.640 for Bernie Sanders it's
01:25:23.100 not a completely bad night
01:25:24.080 for Bernie Sanders we have
01:25:25.640 him projected now as the
01:25:27.040 winner in Colorado we'll
01:25:28.620 take a look at those
01:25:29.240 numbers that was called
01:25:29.980 right off the bat though by
01:25:30.840 the way again because the
01:25:31.920 early polls were so bad
01:25:33.300 for Biden that thing was
01:25:34.380 called like with zero
01:25:35.140 percent of the vote in
01:25:35.920 Sanders at 36.0 in the
01:25:38.260 most recent count to listen
01:25:39.800 to this Bloomberg 24.1
01:25:42.020 Biden 20.8 still if you
01:25:44.960 consolidate uh the
01:25:46.260 moderate lane the
01:25:47.440 moderate candidate would
01:25:48.220 have been victorious in
01:25:49.120 the race right and if my
01:25:50.460 theory holds that that
01:25:51.500 would include the Warren
01:25:52.100 numbers but I guess that
01:25:52.840 has yet by the way the
01:25:53.780 numbers in Massachusetts
01:25:54.920 with 11 percent reporting
01:25:55.920 Biden's still ahead
01:25:56.640 Biden's up 32 Bernie has
01:25:58.680 27 Elizabeth Warren at
01:25:59.920 24 which is just
01:26:00.680 delicious and richly
01:26:01.420 deserved she deserves 0.51
01:26:02.380 every every every moment
01:26:04.460 of the suffering she has
01:26:05.400 it's the only thing that
01:26:06.100 gets Warren out of this
01:26:06.800 race if she loses
01:26:07.480 Massachusetts there's
01:26:08.460 just no way she stays in
01:26:09.920 the room Bloomberg has
01:26:10.680 already bought seven
01:26:11.160 million dollars worth of
01:26:11.820 ads after after Super
01:26:13.060 Tuesday but he's different
01:26:14.020 he's worth 50 billion
01:26:14.980 dollars yeah that's
01:26:15.900 whatever his play is it's
01:26:17.040 all the money yeah we
01:26:18.280 found that embedded in
01:26:19.020 his fat fold or something
01:26:20.140 like so I have I have a
01:26:21.780 question basically of Ben
01:26:23.380 I'd like to ask you know
01:26:24.800 we keep talking about the
01:26:26.120 way people look and behave
01:26:27.800 and the way they come
01:26:29.000 across to people all of
01:26:30.360 which is legitimate and
01:26:31.260 important and real we
01:26:33.240 don't talk enough about
01:26:33.940 policy and one of the
01:26:35.340 policies that keeps coming
01:26:36.660 up is health care and I
01:26:38.420 keep getting letters from
01:26:39.320 people saying you know
01:26:40.280 you know I I conservative
01:26:42.900 people who say I may vote
01:26:43.980 for Bernie because my
01:26:45.180 health care is too
01:26:45.840 expensive is there
01:26:47.300 something is there
01:26:48.340 something that Trump
01:26:49.040 should be proposing
01:26:49.860 besides destroying
01:26:51.520 Obamacare that now that
01:26:53.280 we know never ever no
01:26:55.580 I mean isn't I agree
01:26:57.160 so wait wait just a
01:26:59.060 minute the our health
01:27:00.740 care system has been
01:27:01.540 incredibly damaged I
01:27:03.040 think by government
01:27:04.140 intervention isn't there
01:27:05.860 a proposal to draw that
01:27:07.560 back in true are you
01:27:08.540 saying are there certain
01:27:09.820 policies yes are you
01:27:11.620 saying there's a
01:27:12.060 comprehensive no no no
01:27:13.260 I'm saying I'm saying
01:27:14.300 you should we be saying
01:27:15.500 should we be saying
01:27:16.320 we should allow like his
01:27:17.440 original proposal to
01:27:18.200 allow insurance sales
01:27:19.160 across state lines
01:27:19.820 obviously obviously he
01:27:21.120 should do that you know
01:27:22.360 there there's certain he
01:27:24.140 was trying to pass a
01:27:25.060 price transparency bill
01:27:26.020 that would be that'd be
01:27:26.860 fairly fairly useful yeah
01:27:28.440 right but if we're
01:27:29.800 talking about things that
01:27:30.760 people actually are going
01:27:31.640 to perceive as changes to
01:27:32.860 the health care system the
01:27:34.140 answer is no because the
01:27:35.240 status quo is always more
01:27:36.360 popular than whatever comes
01:27:37.760 next right this is true
01:27:38.640 whether you're in Great
01:27:39.100 Britain where the health
01:27:39.640 care system is completely
01:27:40.520 failing but if anybody
01:27:41.460 proposes any significant
01:27:42.280 changes to NHS they get
01:27:43.400 crushed but you made this
01:27:45.300 point earlier people don't
01:27:47.340 like policy people only like
01:27:49.400 platitudes anytime a
01:27:51.080 politician in an election
01:27:52.400 announces their actual
01:27:53.600 policy this this is exactly
01:27:55.720 going to the dumps this is
01:27:56.320 exactly what I'm getting at
01:27:57.240 this is exactly what I'm
01:27:58.220 getting at to me health care
01:28:00.400 should be more and more
01:28:01.520 free market you bring out a
01:28:02.980 TV set it costs six
01:28:04.200 thousand dollars a year later
01:28:05.440 cost six hundred dollars
01:28:06.440 because nobody has ever said
01:28:07.980 everybody has a right to a
01:28:09.160 TV set the minute somebody
01:28:10.700 says that the TV set costs
01:28:11.960 six thousand dollars
01:28:12.620 forever right so what I want
01:28:14.320 to know is is there a way
01:28:15.760 that we as conservatives and
01:28:17.720 Trump as the lead leader of
01:28:19.220 the party should be selling
01:28:20.880 free market health well I'll
01:28:22.040 give you a little data just
01:28:23.400 know who knows this could
01:28:24.400 just be a coincidence but
01:28:25.820 Virginia exit poll shows that
01:28:27.600 the single most important
01:28:28.640 voting issue by far for the
01:28:30.380 Democratic voters was health
01:28:32.440 care and you've got Bernie
01:28:33.760 Sanders risking to blow up the
01:28:35.160 whole health care system and
01:28:36.500 Joe Biden saying no I mean
01:28:38.260 that might be some evidence
01:28:39.500 that people actually are
01:28:40.940 taking this seriously they
01:28:41.800 don't want to lose their
01:28:42.360 health insurance well what
01:28:42.900 people are serious about is
01:28:43.740 that they again they like
01:28:44.800 the status quo meaning
01:28:46.080 nobody wants to lose their
01:28:47.000 health insurance the
01:28:47.620 problem is that either
01:28:49.340 erection you move in order
01:28:50.200 to make significant changes
01:28:51.160 to the health care system
01:28:52.000 people are going to have to
01:28:53.640 get used to a thing they're
01:28:54.320 not used to so what that
01:28:55.500 means that since World War
01:28:56.460 II our employers have been
01:28:57.740 providing our health
01:28:58.320 insurance you actually want to
01:28:59.140 fix the system you make
01:29:00.120 individuals responsible for
01:29:01.080 their own health insurance
01:29:01.760 and then they pull their
01:29:03.000 health insurance through
01:29:03.920 voluntary associations that
01:29:05.400 is the way and by the way
01:29:06.300 there are plenty of co-ops
01:29:07.180 that do this and it's not
01:29:08.200 bad it's a very good thing
01:29:09.200 there are churches who do
01:29:09.820 this all the time synagogues 1.00
01:29:11.000 who do this it's very good
01:29:11.920 okay the problem is that
01:29:13.480 there can be no price
01:29:14.640 transparency when your
01:29:16.100 employer provides the
01:29:17.620 insurance for you you never
01:29:18.760 see how much money they're
01:29:19.560 taking out of your paycheck
01:29:20.600 the insurance program the
01:29:22.000 insurance companies are
01:29:22.880 negotiating on the back end
01:29:24.540 with the doctors with the
01:29:26.280 government sponsoring some of
01:29:27.560 that it's just too
01:29:28.600 complicated if it were your
01:29:29.640 personal insurance and you
01:29:30.640 actually saw the bill come to
01:29:32.580 you and what you were
01:29:33.540 responsible for and what the
01:29:35.240 and what the insurance
01:29:35.900 company was responsible for
01:29:36.900 then there would be a lot
01:29:38.620 more price pressure in sort
01:29:41.360 of these terms it also
01:29:42.600 happens to be true that one
01:29:44.040 of the great problems in the
01:29:45.720 in the health insurance
01:29:46.500 system is is the fact that
01:29:48.720 there are mandates and it
01:29:50.520 should be this because we
01:29:51.260 really don't have a choice
01:29:51.900 but if you show up in ER you
01:29:53.240 don't have insurance they
01:29:53.920 will take care of you of
01:29:54.600 course okay the fact that
01:29:55.580 that happens means that
01:29:57.500 somebody else is paying for
01:29:58.260 that so where does that
01:29:59.560 money go where does that
01:30:00.240 money come from it comes
01:30:01.300 from the hospital up
01:30:02.040 charging other people
01:30:02.740 who are at the hospital
01:30:03.440 and so say one other
01:30:05.100 thing that we've never
01:30:05.660 talked about on this show
01:30:06.480 before where health care
01:30:08.000 is concerned in particular
01:30:08.900 I heard Donald Trump and
01:30:11.140 when I say I heard him I
01:30:12.000 mean I sat as close to the
01:30:13.780 president as you are to me
01:30:14.860 now and heard him say that
01:30:17.240 he thought that America
01:30:17.960 should have a single a 0.98
01:30:19.020 European style single-payer
01:30:20.260 health care system I I think
01:30:24.540 that the dirty little secret
01:30:25.660 of American politics is that
01:30:27.640 politicians have so screwed up
01:30:29.340 our health care system over
01:30:30.400 the last 40 years that they
01:30:32.600 don't know how to clean up
01:30:33.680 the mess no one does and I
01:30:35.360 think and I think that the
01:30:37.220 elites and Donald Trump is
01:30:38.600 an elite he he isn't of the
01:30:40.620 elite but he's a billionaire
01:30:42.060 he's been very powerful if
01:30:43.080 you're the president I think
01:30:45.840 that among the elite they all
01:30:49.480 secretly believe in the
01:30:51.580 inevitability of a medicare for
01:30:53.500 all health care system and that
01:30:55.660 there is almost no other way to
01:30:57.940 change it because they they 0.95
01:30:59.440 can't see their way to any
01:31:01.340 kind of reform and I think
01:31:02.680 that's the thing that hurts us
01:31:03.600 on the right the most is that
01:31:04.880 they'll talk about free market
01:31:06.020 policies every now and then
01:31:07.200 when they have to but deep
01:31:08.480 down they've all kind of given
01:31:09.400 up on health care I completely
01:31:10.940 agree with everything the two
01:31:12.140 of you are saying I agree with
01:31:13.300 what you just said I agree with
01:31:14.240 what you said what I'm
01:31:15.280 wondering is I believe that a
01:31:17.040 free market health care system
01:31:18.100 would be the best health care
01:31:19.380 system yes and I think that
01:31:21.700 there has to be a way to sell
01:31:23.540 that as opposed to like an
01:31:25.400 amalgam of crazy quilt things as
01:31:27.500 an idea as just as an idea
01:31:29.100 the problem is what people want
01:31:30.140 from a health care system is
01:31:31.600 not fully achievable with a
01:31:33.560 private health care system what
01:31:34.740 I mean by that is that there
01:31:36.440 are a group of people who
01:31:37.880 simply will not be covered in a
01:31:39.080 private health care system there
01:31:40.800 are I mean they're just people
01:31:41.840 who are who are completely
01:31:43.120 impoverished or deeply unhealthy
01:31:44.560 chronically health insurance will
01:31:45.680 not will not take care of them
01:31:46.640 we believe in taking care of
01:31:48.080 those people well I mean this
01:31:48.980 is why I believe in private
01:31:49.960 charity it's why I give a fair
01:31:50.800 bit of private charity but the
01:31:52.740 problem is that what the
01:31:53.460 American people want from a 1.00
01:31:54.340 health care system is a bunch
01:31:55.760 of elements that don't go
01:31:56.460 together they want affordability
01:31:57.720 which can only be had through
01:31:58.420 competition they want quality
01:31:59.740 which can really only be had
01:32:00.820 through competition and then
01:32:01.960 they want universality which
01:32:03.300 can be had only in the
01:32:04.540 absence of competition so you
01:32:06.300 can't have all of those
01:32:07.240 things and so what we have is
01:32:08.600 a weird sort of system where
01:32:10.200 there's a universal baseline
01:32:11.540 which is effectively Medicaid
01:32:12.880 and that does exist I mean
01:32:15.660 when people say Medicaid
01:32:16.460 Medicare for all we have
01:32:18.040 called Medicaid I mean that's
01:32:18.980 that's what Medicaid is
01:32:19.840 raising the limit it's just
01:32:21.460 that you're exactly you're
01:32:22.560 making it possible for more
01:32:23.500 people to get Medicare the
01:32:25.020 of course like the dirty
01:32:25.980 little secret of Joe Biden's
01:32:26.940 Medicare for some is that
01:32:28.240 what it actually means that
01:32:29.040 employers are just going to
01:32:29.680 throw people off and put them
01:32:30.540 on Medicare right I mean
01:32:31.340 because why would they absorb
01:32:32.260 the cost when they could
01:32:32.960 simply hand that over to the
01:32:34.300 Medicare system but the
01:32:35.800 American people have to 1.00
01:32:36.720 understand that the only way
01:32:38.840 that they are going to get
01:32:39.600 all the things that they want
01:32:40.640 is to subsidize some form of
01:32:43.160 very basic health care and it
01:32:45.240 has to be basic and it has to
01:32:46.360 be and it has to be actually
01:32:48.780 clearly stated how basic it is
01:32:51.280 and this is kind of what
01:32:52.100 Singapore has where everybody
01:32:53.560 at a certain basic level is
01:32:54.760 covered and then beyond that
01:32:56.220 you opt into the various
01:32:57.220 options that you have
01:32:58.360 available can I tell you what
01:32:59.620 you should do as an
01:33:00.220 individual though yeah as an
01:33:01.740 individual you should carry a 0.76
01:33:04.220 a what are they called then
01:33:07.460 the the worst case scenario
01:33:09.060 policy catastrophic thank you
01:33:10.660 you should carry a
01:33:11.500 catastrophic health care
01:33:12.560 policy and you should pay for
01:33:13.560 everything else I agree and
01:33:15.000 that that is difficult for most
01:33:16.560 people because they lack the
01:33:17.680 discipline to save money you
01:33:20.100 have to put money aside for
01:33:21.640 yourself when you do that you
01:33:23.880 actually do have the power as
01:33:25.140 the individual to go in and
01:33:26.140 negotiate rates it's hard
01:33:27.740 because there's no price
01:33:28.520 transparency right but you do
01:33:29.860 have the power to go in and
01:33:30.680 negotiate rates and they will
01:33:32.040 work with you and they will
01:33:32.880 negotiate your rate the problem
01:33:34.660 is most people don't think
01:33:35.660 about putting money into a
01:33:36.820 health care problem until
01:33:37.680 they're in a crisis and the
01:33:39.000 crisis is usually not
01:33:39.940 catastrophic which you should
01:33:41.440 carry insurance for that's
01:33:42.840 insurance people want
01:33:44.140 assurance not insurance right
01:33:45.500 right right and the problem
01:33:46.640 with assurance is there is no
01:33:48.100 connection between the
01:33:49.260 purchaser of the good and the
01:33:51.500 seller of the good there's
01:33:52.700 this middleman who controls
01:33:53.880 all the pricing marks
01:33:54.960 everything up the best thing
01:33:56.500 you can do is either join one
01:33:57.800 of these private co-ops they're
01:33:58.860 very most many of them very
01:34:00.440 good particularly the
01:34:01.640 religious the religious ones or
01:34:03.560 get a very inexpensive
01:34:04.840 catastrophic policy and go
01:34:06.640 negotiate
01:34:07.040 the other big problem for why
01:34:10.440 there is just always going to
01:34:12.320 be some kind of government plan
01:34:13.440 and they're going to push for a
01:34:14.180 government solution and private
01:34:15.540 charity would be great but it's
01:34:16.720 it's not going to be sufficient
01:34:17.740 for most people is because we
01:34:19.540 don't view our health as a
01:34:21.180 commodity right we don't view
01:34:22.440 our health in the way that we
01:34:23.400 view literally every single
01:34:24.940 other product and every other
01:34:26.120 market so there's it is just an
01:34:28.240 intractable problem and it's
01:34:30.120 why I don't really blame the
01:34:31.500 elites for looking at this
01:34:33.000 inevitability but the thing is we
01:34:34.940 can stand to thwart history
01:34:35.900 yelling stop as conservatives we
01:34:37.580 can try to delay it we can try to
01:34:38.980 reform it and make it more free
01:34:40.160 market knowing that it's simply a
01:34:42.560 different kind of market I
01:34:43.620 I really do worry that the the
01:34:45.260 things that I believe in the
01:34:46.620 freedoms that I believe in the
01:34:47.820 free market that I believe in
01:34:48.880 are a hard sell and the people
01:34:51.680 who are assigned the task of
01:34:53.520 selling it don't really want it
01:34:55.380 because what they want is more
01:34:56.400 power because they're in power
01:34:57.580 well every time I hear every time
01:34:59.440 I hear Donald Trump talk about
01:35:00.540 pre-existing conditions this thing
01:35:02.940 goes up my neck where I just
01:35:03.940 think please stop because that's
01:35:05.420 a ridiculous but when you talk
01:35:06.660 about insurance you can't insure
01:35:08.020 that more than any other topic
01:35:09.780 health care is so complex yeah in
01:35:12.500 that because of the way that the
01:35:13.380 government has has perverted the
01:35:15.040 system yeah and most people are
01:35:16.420 just too afraid politicians but
01:35:18.300 even individuals they're just too
01:35:19.640 afraid they don't think that you
01:35:20.700 could just step back yeah and
01:35:21.960 handle that from a free market
01:35:22.980 perspective it is the one thing
01:35:24.240 that yeah it's the one thing where
01:35:25.960 we can't just stand a thwart history
01:35:28.760 yelling history yelling stuff you
01:35:30.460 cannot be a health care you cannot
01:35:31.780 be a conservative about health care
01:35:33.080 in America you have to be a 0.99
01:35:34.200 radical you either have to be a
01:35:35.580 left-wing radical or we've got to
01:35:36.980 be right-wing radicals and say no we
01:35:38.420 have to fundamentally change this
01:35:39.900 system because the system we have
01:35:41.240 right now is badly broken it's
01:35:43.520 badly broken because of the
01:35:45.120 government but again there's no way
01:35:46.080 to do it without taking away
01:35:46.940 somebody's plan and that's the big
01:35:48.060 problem that Obama ran into from
01:35:49.480 the left and it's the problem
01:35:50.360 people would run into from the
01:35:51.220 right saying your employer
01:35:51.960 shouldn't cover your health
01:35:52.680 insurance you should cover your
01:35:53.560 the other thing I will point out
01:35:54.880 in defense of the American
01:35:56.000 health care system I know this is
01:35:57.160 the least popular opinion you can
01:35:58.720 possibly hold but I think it's a
01:36:00.040 very conservative one is we have
01:36:02.340 a great health care system I know
01:36:03.940 that there are so many problems
01:36:05.300 we have great health care yeah we
01:36:07.440 have a terrible health care that's
01:36:08.780 right yeah whereas my national
01:36:11.880 health care in Britain is a
01:36:13.700 wonderful health care system with
01:36:15.100 horrible horrible that's right
01:36:16.420 that's right that is exactly right
01:36:19.060 by the way the this is this is a
01:36:21.860 piece of data that does go to the
01:36:23.100 argument about Joe Biden being more
01:36:25.340 durable a candidate than than
01:36:26.600 Bernie Sanders against Donald Trump
01:36:27.680 Joe Biden has now received more
01:36:29.100 votes tonight in the Virginia
01:36:29.920 primary than Obama did in 2008
01:36:31.400 okay so that means the turnout is
01:36:33.300 dramatically up and not in
01:36:34.600 Sanders areas dramatically up in
01:36:36.180 Biden areas that means that the 0.82
01:36:37.620 the single what what that really
01:36:39.080 says the single consolidating
01:36:40.380 factor for Democrats remains
01:36:41.920 Donald Trump because it's not
01:36:43.120 about Joe Biden and it's not
01:36:44.420 really even about Bernie Sanders
01:36:45.620 it's the the number one thing
01:36:47.100 people are citing in exit polls is
01:36:48.620 electability and they think
01:36:49.760 beating Trump relies on Bernie
01:36:51.460 Sanders not being the nominee and
01:36:52.820 they're showing up in droves to
01:36:53.940 vote for the dead guy because they
01:36:55.660 want to beat Donald Trump and so
01:36:56.640 that's why whenever anybody is a
01:36:57.980 little bit too sanguine about
01:36:58.920 Trump's chances just recognize the
01:37:00.440 level of opposition to Trump has
01:37:01.500 not declined since 2016 if
01:37:02.980 anything it's risen since well by
01:37:04.100 by the way I what I really agree
01:37:06.100 with Senator Cruz about is that in
01:37:08.240 any given moment you're talking
01:37:09.720 about that given moment yeah that's
01:37:10.800 this is a volatile volatile
01:37:12.580 absolutely so as you can tell from
01:37:15.520 the statue behind me I have an eye
01:37:19.420 for artwork I know how to class up a
01:37:22.240 joint I would say a few guys can
01:37:24.420 class up just your presence just you
01:37:26.080 just me yeah the right artwork on the
01:37:28.860 walls can make an enormous difference I
01:37:30.320 know you you see us now we're sitting
01:37:31.860 in a in a bleak and stark black
01:37:34.440 dungeon with very little artwork where
01:37:37.620 I did my show for a year while you
01:37:38.760 guys lived in luxury up in the
01:37:39.980 penthouse and we laughed at you by
01:37:41.620 the way if you were to visit my home
01:37:43.160 though which none of these fellows
01:37:44.560 ever do but if you were to visit my
01:37:46.020 home I don't visit your love I love
01:37:47.460 I love you're in a hotel I have
01:37:50.340 original paintings on the wall at my
01:37:51.980 home two of them are of my dog I am
01:37:53.860 that guy I carry my dog in a purse I'm
01:37:55.360 sorry artwork is a very important part
01:37:58.560 of the aesthetic of any home and
01:38:00.000 that's why we're proud to talk about
01:38:01.340 our friends paint your life you can
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01:38:35.280 paint your life.com I got to tell you
01:38:36.840 this is the greatest service I was
01:38:39.440 offered a freebie painting and I was
01:38:42.140 skeptical I thought there's no way
01:38:43.860 especially that the prices are so
01:38:46.020 reasonable I thought there's no I'm
01:38:47.540 going to get something like those
01:38:48.460 terrible modern paint whatever so I
01:38:50.440 decide I'm going to have a painting
01:38:51.640 made for my stepbrother's wedding I
01:38:53.960 say okay that'll be his gift and if
01:38:55.300 it's no good too bad it's too bad for
01:38:56.600 him this comes this beautiful giant
01:38:59.140 oil painting in a beautiful frame the
01:39:01.060 thing is absolutely gorgeous it's
01:39:03.000 jaw-dropping the price is shockingly
01:39:06.180 low I love this thing I recommend it
01:39:08.460 to all my friends I use them it is
01:39:09.960 I have over my mantle into the studio
01:39:11.960 because my wife kept using it as a 1.00
01:39:13.200 dartboard but it really looks good
01:39:15.240 yeah over our mantle we have a picture
01:39:16.920 of me and my wife and my two kids and
01:39:18.300 it really is fantastic if you have
01:39:19.640 family members that you love why not
01:39:20.880 have a painting of them and if you
01:39:21.860 have a family member that you hate
01:39:22.820 why not have a painting of them you
01:39:23.920 can burn there's so many different
01:39:26.240 options so many different options
01:39:27.880 right now is a limited time offer get
01:39:29.120 30% off your painting that is correct
01:39:31.140 30% off and free shipping to get this
01:39:32.980 special offer text the word wire to
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01:39:38.440 wire to 64,000 w-i-r-e to 64,000 get
01:39:41.960 30% off your painting it really does
01:39:43.580 change the look of your house and it
01:39:45.040 really is cool and it makes you look
01:39:46.560 like you could hang with Michael
01:39:47.800 Bloomberg frankly not that kind of a
01:39:49.780 price like I'm gonna get a painting of
01:39:51.340 me standing astride a horse I don't
01:39:52.660 know why I'm not I'm a Jew I've
01:39:54.220 never ridden a horse I know what I
01:39:55.700 do with the horse but I mean like
01:39:57.140 I'm gonna be playing polo and it
01:39:58.100 everything that's my thing wearing
01:39:59.740 your reversa well I sorry it's a it's
01:40:02.520 a moon phase ah JLC moon phase
01:40:04.580 Alicia let's hear from some more of
01:40:06.040 our daily wire members and you know
01:40:07.820 what's really cool is that even if
01:40:09.220 you're not a daily wire member we
01:40:10.540 still want to hear from you and we're
01:40:12.320 making it possible to hear from you
01:40:14.100 if you're registered Republican or
01:40:15.920 independent or you know non-party
01:40:17.820 affiliation which we actually have here
01:40:19.560 in California you can still vote for
01:40:21.300 a Democratic candidate today how you
01:40:23.220 ask well you can tell us who you think
01:40:25.340 will win the Democratic nomination by
01:40:26.980 texting either Biden Sanders Bloomberg
01:40:29.760 or Warren to 83400 that's 83400 and we
01:40:34.700 will analyze the results live numerous
01:40:36.740 times throughout the show tonight so
01:40:38.160 again be sure to text either Biden
01:40:39.700 Sanders Bloomberg or Warren to 83400
01:40:43.280 throughout the rest of the night and
01:40:44.740 we will be giving you guys the live
01:40:46.440 results okay so you guys touch on this
01:40:48.780 up for a little bit with a Senator Ted
01:40:51.680 Cruz and this question is for
01:40:53.040 everyone who are your VP picks for the
01:40:55.620 candidates that are currently left in
01:40:56.900 the race hmm Ben so I think that the
01:40:59.700 conventional wisdom which is that
01:41:00.660 Biden will pick Kamala Harris is
01:41:01.620 probably right he wants to rack up
01:41:03.740 some of those popular votes in
01:41:04.900 California and again he wants to
01:41:06.060 appeal to the black community it
01:41:07.700 makes sense that he would pick
01:41:08.760 somebody like Kamala Harris although
01:41:09.900 is Kamala Harris popular in California
01:41:11.620 no she is not and she's not popular in 0.97
01:41:13.120 the black community right she ran and
01:41:14.640 she lost so honestly if he were smart
01:41:16.540 he'd pick Sherrod Brown from Ohio that
01:41:18.100 would be his smart pick because then
01:41:19.300 he'd be going after again that
01:41:20.360 Rust Belt vote those are the votes
01:41:21.500 that he needs to win that's where he
01:41:23.080 should be looking I'm really opposed
01:41:24.960 to candidates doing this routine
01:41:26.180 where they pick somebody who's not
01:41:28.120 ideologically sort of in the same
01:41:30.020 lane the reason being it doesn't end
01:41:31.680 up winning anybody over nobody's like
01:41:32.980 oh well now that he picked Kamala
01:41:34.260 Harris I think that he's much more
01:41:35.300 radical than he was before instead
01:41:36.980 all you end up doing is that is sort
01:41:38.400 of making your brand more diffuse
01:41:39.880 instead he should he should double down
01:41:41.760 on what makes Joe Biden Joe Biden
01:41:43.520 which is that he seems kind of
01:41:45.040 moderate kind of Midwestern-y somebody
01:41:46.600 who kind of likes the Rust Belt as
01:41:48.420 far as Bernie I think it's I think
01:41:50.620 it's clear as day that he would pick
01:41:51.940 somebody like Stacey Abrams again
01:41:53.900 she's extremely radical she agrees 0.98
01:41:55.740 with his agenda she thinks that she
01:41:57.800 won in the same way that he thinks
01:41:58.660 he won in 2016 and so so why the
01:42:00.840 hell not right the non-governor the
01:42:03.040 governor of Georgia from a parallel
01:42:04.080 universe like I don't see I don't see
01:42:05.960 why not that would probably be the
01:42:06.760 next you know Mike Bloomberg pick a
01:42:08.760 slightly poorer Mike Bloomberg
01:42:10.080 Donald Trump Donald Trump is not
01:42:14.040 slightly poor Mike Bloomberg is 50
01:42:18.060 times richer than Donald Trump you
01:42:19.480 know it's very hard for me to imagine
01:42:21.220 that that they go that Bernie Sanders
01:42:24.220 would go for Stacey Abrams simply
01:42:26.340 because she's nobody I mean she's a
01:42:30.120 fake thing I agree with this I agree
01:42:31.640 she's and I don't think they're that
01:42:33.840 crazy they're pretty wild but he's a
01:42:35.480 shrewd politician and the only
01:42:37.460 counter-example I would give Ben to
01:42:38.860 your point on the ideological
01:42:40.620 diversity on the ticket would be the
01:42:42.580 winningest ticket in recent memory
01:42:44.120 which was Reagan Bush Reagan was the
01:42:46.740 conservative Bush was the more
01:42:48.260 moderate establishment guy they did
01:42:50.300 very well I agree it doesn't win over
01:42:52.180 a lot of voters and this time it's a
01:42:53.660 little different because both of
01:42:55.360 those guys Bernie and Biden have
01:42:57.300 almost 10 years on Ronald Reagan when
01:42:59.480 Ronald Reagan was first elected what
01:43:00.780 if Biden picked Hillary I don't know
01:43:03.880 that I don't know so great we would
01:43:05.440 I think that she wants a legacy so
01:43:08.140 badly to be the first female vice 1.00
01:43:09.920 president she wouldn't have taken that 0.98
01:43:11.620 20 years ago I know she was already
01:43:13.040 secretary of state I think I think
01:43:14.140 it's very a lot of women have been 1.00
01:43:15.260 secretary of state I know but I think
01:43:16.780 it's really unlikely that she'd serve
01:43:17.980 as a second to to Joe Biden she'll
01:43:20.120 definitely be an enthusiastic surrogate
01:43:21.560 for for Joe Biden but again I think
01:43:23.820 that his also also Obama hated her and
01:43:26.640 yeah one could assume that Biden
01:43:28.420 probably feels why do you feel the
01:43:29.840 need to specify Obama in that
01:43:31.300 so the the best tweet of the night
01:43:37.100 comes comes courtesy of our friend
01:43:39.340 Matt Walsh who just who just tweeted
01:43:42.120 after his early primary wins tonight a
01:43:44.080 grateful Joe Biden gives all glory to
01:43:45.420 the thing
01:43:45.920 these are every name Alicia all right I
01:43:51.240 mean Hillary Clinton is too busy with 1.00
01:43:52.740 her potential podcast guys yeah I don't
01:43:54.720 think it's gonna be carried here on
01:43:55.840 Daily Wire but you never know so
01:43:58.160 crazier things have happened right all
01:44:00.120 right do you guys think that Bernie
01:44:01.380 Sanders is badly motivated for the
01:44:03.400 destruction of America or has he just
01:44:05.800 been thoroughly duped by communist
01:44:07.560 governments over all of the decades
01:44:09.420 I think he's badly motivated I think
01:44:11.780 he's honestly motivated but he's badly
01:44:13.360 motivated if you read his manifestos
01:44:15.040 from the 60s and 70s and every public
01:44:17.140 statement he's given since he despises
01:44:19.100 everything this country is built on he 1.00
01:44:20.900 despises our culture he despises our
01:44:22.660 civilization he wants to rip it down to
01:44:24.540 the bottom from every level the
01:44:26.500 political the cultural and the
01:44:27.740 religious and that's the that's the
01:44:30.540 honest version of the progressive
01:44:31.860 project and he's just finally telling
01:44:34.360 it like it is he's not a dude he's a
01:44:35.880 true believer I think the thing about
01:44:37.160 Bernie Sanders people say this about
01:44:38.760 politicians all the time and it's
01:44:40.120 always sort of true that all
01:44:41.700 politicians are a little crazy I think
01:44:43.480 Bernie Sanders is mentally ill I
01:44:45.380 seriously do I think that when you look
01:44:47.200 at something like like socialism like
01:44:49.520 communism and you're actually talking
01:44:51.740 that moment in the debate or actually
01:44:53.940 was in a town hall I believe where
01:44:55.660 people started booing his support of
01:44:57.720 Castro and he looked at them with
01:44:59.980 actual disbelief and said really you
01:45:02.040 think literacy programs are bad and I
01:45:04.180 thought like that's crazy that's not
01:45:06.200 that's not like well he's not a
01:45:08.020 well person Bernie Sanders is the guy
01:45:10.240 in once upon a time in Hollywood who
01:45:11.840 slashes Brad Pitt's tires that is who he
01:45:15.160 was until he became elected mayor he was
01:45:17.460 so lazy guy kicked out of a commune he's
01:45:19.040 just he was living he was living in a
01:45:20.200 derelict apartment and he ran for mayor
01:45:21.620 he ran for mayor for 10 years while
01:45:23.300 writing bizarre editorials for the local
01:45:25.000 newspaper about how women who didn't
01:45:27.140 have enough orgasms got got cancer I
01:45:29.020 mean he's he's he's which is proof
01:45:31.060 that even a broken clock
01:45:32.160 that's a joke guys it's not true
01:45:35.600 Clay Travis is a sports journalist
01:45:37.400 Matthew's over here
01:45:38.300 he's a sports journalist a writer a
01:45:40.580 television analyst and a morning radio
01:45:42.400 show host for a nationwide Fox sports
01:45:44.520 radio from 6 to 9 a.m. Eastern time
01:45:46.360 he appears on I can't read this guy
01:45:49.240 that's too small he's a sports guy you
01:45:51.540 all know I'm I have to give this guy
01:45:52.620 an introduction he's Clay Travis Clay
01:45:54.100 thanks for joining us hey I appreciate
01:45:56.520 you guys having me thanks a lot
01:45:57.940 enjoying the show sitting here
01:45:59.480 watching you guys what are you seeing
01:46:00.740 out there what do you think of the
01:46:01.640 night man I don't know if anybody's
01:46:04.180 made the analogy and I feel a little
01:46:05.340 bit like Dave Rubin but I got to say
01:46:07.280 the Democrats executed order 66 on
01:46:10.160 they absolutely Star Wars reference
01:46:15.860 people out there don't get they
01:46:16.880 absolutely destroy this campaign and
01:46:18.580 I got to be honest I'm kind of
01:46:20.480 impressed that they had it in them
01:46:22.100 because you know I think Bernie
01:46:24.540 Sanders was going to be an
01:46:25.680 unmitigated disaster for this party
01:46:27.840 and and they recognized it and they
01:46:30.800 were able to all come together I mean
01:46:32.280 I don't think there are many people
01:46:33.260 10 days ago would have said hey
01:46:34.620 Amy Kormashar is going to drop out 0.99
01:46:36.100 Mayor Pete's going to drop out they're
01:46:37.740 going to endorse Joe Biden down in
01:46:39.800 Texas whoever wins Pennsylvania
01:46:41.820 whoever wins Ohio whoever wins
01:46:44.360 Michigan whoever wins Minnesota and
01:46:46.560 Wisconsin is going to win this 0.99
01:46:48.100 election that's all I'd be concerned
01:46:49.820 about the other 45 ish state really
01:46:52.300 don't matter if you dominate the big
01:46:53.800 10 you know it's really interesting
01:46:55.360 about your observation about order
01:46:57.280 66 is the Democrats actually fear
01:46:59.640 Bernie Sanders more than Republicans
01:47:01.060 do I don't think it's just because
01:47:03.640 they're worried about losing I think
01:47:04.940 they're worried about winning I think
01:47:06.400 Bernie Sanders takes the Democrat
01:47:09.040 party to a place that they're willing
01:47:10.820 to pay lip service to but that even
01:47:12.520 they fear I think so too I agree I
01:47:14.640 think that's a great point yeah well
01:47:16.760 actually Clay I think now would be a
01:47:18.300 good time obviously you're from
01:47:19.740 Tennessee and Tennessee just
01:47:21.240 experienced a fairly large natural
01:47:22.920 disaster maybe you can talk a little
01:47:24.740 about how people can help out in
01:47:25.800 Tennessee actually may as well do some 0.89
01:47:27.220 good since we're sitting here being
01:47:28.240 jackasses for hours yes well it was
01:47:31.360 awful last night around 1 a.m.
01:47:33.540 middle of the night a lot of people
01:47:34.760 in sleep sleep all over the middle
01:47:36.460 Tennessee area huge tornado comes
01:47:39.040 through I believe the latest count is
01:47:40.560 25 people dead tons of damage right
01:47:43.680 through the heart of downtown Nashville
01:47:45.440 and on out the east there are tons of
01:47:48.900 relief efforts out there I would
01:47:50.280 encourage people that they're on
01:47:52.800 social media just search like the
01:47:54.660 hashtag national cares national any of
01:47:57.080 those so Clay quick question for you
01:47:59.780 you know you're looking at this race
01:48:01.780 obviously and one of the things that
01:48:03.340 we've seen your sports guy we've seen
01:48:05.340 over the past few years sports become so
01:48:06.820 incredibly politicized how do you think
01:48:09.640 that that breaks down for election 2020
01:48:12.540 obviously there's a lot of opposition to
01:48:14.380 Trump in in sports land I assume that
01:48:17.180 that exacerbates with Joe Biden at the
01:48:18.620 top of the ticket but Biden seems a
01:48:19.700 little bit less less interested in
01:48:23.120 jumping into the culture wars than
01:48:24.420 Bernie Sanders or Trump do do you think
01:48:26.240 that that sports will continue to be what
01:48:27.940 it what it's been for the past few
01:48:28.800 years yeah it's so fascinating such a
01:48:30.420 good question so I was at the Alabama
01:48:32.460 LSU game down in Tuscaloosa that
01:48:34.680 Donald Trump was that I was at the LSU
01:48:37.260 Clemson game for the national
01:48:38.760 championship that Donald Trump was that
01:48:40.500 and I think he's made calculated decisions
01:48:42.780 whether it's the Daytona 500 whether it's
01:48:44.800 those southern college football games
01:48:46.520 to go to places that aren't the
01:48:48.520 Washington National Stadium where
01:48:50.560 everybody boot him and I think that's
01:48:52.160 reflective of it really matters what
01:48:54.420 audience are in front of Donald Trump
01:48:56.220 wildly cheered in the SEC he's wildly
01:48:58.620 cheered in the South same thing at the
01:49:00.540 Daytona 500 and I think to an
01:49:03.580 interesting perspective we know Joe
01:49:06.660 Biden is a huge eagle right he's a big
01:49:09.380 fan of Carson when he's talked a lot
01:49:11.700 about him I think that really factors
01:49:13.580 in in a big way I don't know if you guys
01:49:15.340 agree but when you talk about a big
01:49:16.940 election Donald Trump won the state of
01:49:20.080 Pennsylvania Michigan and Wisconsin by
01:49:23.380 a total of about 77,000 votes that's
01:49:26.440 smaller than the stadium at Penn State
01:49:28.940 or Michigan or Wisconsin it's a crazy
01:49:32.000 small number of people that are going to
01:49:33.680 be involved and I think come October and
01:49:35.980 November college football is going to be a
01:49:37.880 really large because again this is a
01:49:39.500 great who'd you vote for are we allowed
01:49:44.640 to ask I went in you know I hate I am a
01:49:46.880 hundred percent opposed to burn right so
01:49:49.080 I went in this afternoon and I voted for
01:49:52.880 Joe Biden because I thought he had the
01:49:54.280 best chance to burn out of the rate did
01:49:56.840 you not hear what Mike Bloomberg was
01:49:58.360 paying for voters sold too low I should
01:50:02.540 have pocketed some cash but no I look at
01:50:04.940 an open primary here in Tennessee so you
01:50:06.760 can go vote on either side and the number
01:50:08.800 one goal for me more so than anything
01:50:11.400 else is make sure that Bernie's not
01:50:13.040 elected president I consider myself to be
01:50:14.980 a pretty middle of the road guy there's a
01:50:16.900 hundred percent chance I was voting for
01:50:18.460 Donald Trump if it was Bernie versus
01:50:20.840 Trump I imagine that's the case for a lot
01:50:22.820 of people who are very middle of the road
01:50:24.300 I think that Biden not that it's going to
01:50:26.620 matter I'm from Tennessee Trump's going to
01:50:28.000 win the state by 20 plus points but I
01:50:30.620 think that when you really look at at the
01:50:32.980 race I think there are a lot of people
01:50:34.380 who would consider Biden that would never
01:50:36.160 have considered Bernie and that's why if
01:50:38.260 I'm Trump or I'm in the in the White
01:50:39.900 House I kind of have to look at this move
01:50:42.220 that the Democrats have made and admire how
01:50:45.360 diabolical well you know can I can I ask
01:50:48.440 what the the biggest sports story of the
01:50:50.720 Trump administration political story has
01:50:53.340 been Trump's defiance toward the NFL and
01:50:56.420 the the the kneeling at the flag how does
01:50:59.880 that read how does that read to sports
01:51:01.500 fans I have to say I was completely on
01:51:03.200 Trump's side on that issue that these are
01:51:05.580 guys who are in their corporate
01:51:06.740 uniforms they should be saluting the flag
01:51:09.120 that is obviously the country that
01:51:10.860 supports their sport but the sports fans
01:51:13.580 look at that and think that Trump is
01:51:14.760 intrusive or do they look at it and think
01:51:16.740 yeah about time somebody said this I've
01:51:19.580 argued that Colin Kaepernick taking a knee
01:51:22.100 could have been the difference for Donald
01:51:23.540 Trump in Big Ten country because these are
01:51:25.380 big football fans and I think when you
01:51:27.220 look at a 77,000 vote margin in those
01:51:29.520 states it's not crazy for me to think that
01:51:31.880 people could have swung their election
01:51:33.120 here I agree with you guys look when you
01:51:34.960 are at work in uniform you don't have the
01:51:37.960 right to advocate for any political
01:51:39.620 belief that you have I mean if you were
01:51:41.440 working in McDonald's and somebody walked
01:51:43.060 up in order to hamburger from you and you
01:51:45.320 said you know meat is murder
01:51:46.760 whether you agree or disagree with it
01:51:51.980 standing for the national anthem is good for
01:51:54.860 the NFL's business and I think the owners
01:51:57.860 recognize that Roger Goodell was too afraid
01:52:01.460 to actually stand up to Colin Kaepernick
01:52:04.400 because remember David Stern had this same
01:52:06.660 issue with Mahmoud Abdul-Raouf in the NBA
01:52:09.100 he immediately suspended him and said no no no
01:52:12.400 you're not playing in this league and it
01:52:14.280 disappeared I really do think that if
01:52:16.440 that's the route that that that Roger
01:52:18.440 Goodell had gone from the get-go that
01:52:20.300 Colin Kaepernick might still have a career
01:52:22.360 and if this ever would have turned into a
01:52:24.180 cultural flashpoint name right Clay thank
01:52:27.260 you so much for making time with us
01:52:28.580 tonight we'll have to have you back on on
01:52:30.400 election night so we can all see how this
01:52:32.400 thing's gonna end and decide whether or not
01:52:34.380 you know we're gonna need to head over to
01:52:35.780 policy genius and get another life
01:52:37.040 keep up the good work guys I'm just hoping
01:52:40.260 I can avoid a 90% tax rate that's all
01:52:42.220 exactly see y'all thank you by the way we all
01:52:45.960 Biden is now they declared Minnesota for
01:52:48.480 Biden Biden won Minnesota wow wow which
01:52:51.160 Bernie was well expected to win yeah
01:52:53.280 Klobuchar is actually running behind and
01:52:55.040 then obviously every vote that she threw
01:52:56.720 to Biden went to Biden how I also predicted
01:52:59.040 on my show today that he would win
01:53:00.200 Minnesota but no big deal I'm not bragging
01:53:02.020 or nothing what's the gap it's narrow it's
01:53:05.540 a narrow gap but they've declared it for
01:53:07.000 him they're also expecting that Biden will
01:53:08.480 probably win Texas at this point so big
01:53:10.640 big night for Joe Biden that's a big
01:53:12.480 night for Joe obviously and in other
01:53:15.500 good news Roy Moore is no more so Roy
01:53:17.360 Moore is toasting that Alabama Senate
01:53:18.560 president I didn't realize he never
01:53:21.580 stopped running he stopped running a
01:53:24.620 lot well he did score at 7.5 which is
01:53:29.480 even a little young for him
01:53:30.480 Tommy Tuberville and Jeff Sessions both
01:53:35.060 clocking in about 34 percent in the
01:53:37.300 Alabama Senate race Roy Moore is not
01:53:39.040 going to be making the runoff this year
01:53:40.140 so that is that is very good news we
01:53:41.500 don't so we're not going to lose the
01:53:42.520 Alabama Senate seat anymore so that's
01:53:43.600 that's good news guys I mean that's
01:53:44.640 nice
01:53:44.880 fantastic let's take a look at a few of
01:53:47.780 the updated numbers do we have
01:53:49.200 updated numbers for Texas
01:53:50.260 here we go all right
01:53:54.780 Sanders still leading with what 28.6
01:53:57.640 percent 28.6 to Biden's 23.1 so
01:54:00.340 still a little bit of room only 31
01:54:02.500 percent of the vote is in in Texas so
01:54:04.260 it's still early and again made a big
01:54:06.220 stand in Texas obviously that's in
01:54:08.020 Dallas two nights ago is where he had
01:54:10.080 his big consolidation party with all
01:54:11.860 of the former candidates and in North
01:54:14.140 Carolina Bloomberg did cross 15 percent
01:54:16.080 which is actually quite bad news for
01:54:17.500 for Bernie Sanders because it means
01:54:18.700 that he split the delegates with
01:54:19.740 Bernie it increases Biden's delegate
01:54:21.960 hall Bloomberg is pulling right now in
01:54:23.760 Texas at 19 percent which I just don't
01:54:26.040 think that's going to last I think that
01:54:27.080 that number is probably going to
01:54:28.000 decline as time goes on Colorado had
01:54:30.800 been declared super early 60 percent of
01:54:32.360 the votes were right in 60 percent of
01:54:34.280 votes in Colorado were early votes well
01:54:36.040 that just goes to show you how dumb
01:54:37.600 early voting is guys this needs to go
01:54:39.360 terrible terrible horrible for
01:54:40.920 democracy it also doesn't make sense
01:54:42.920 with how the process works we have
01:54:44.560 this primary process so that the
01:54:46.420 campaigns can play out right you see
01:54:48.020 what happens in Iowa and New
01:54:48.900 Hampshire's out there right yeah things
01:54:50.260 change yeah so if you're going to
01:54:51.760 have early voting that's fine that's
01:54:53.480 a choice but then have every state
01:54:55.040 vote on the same day if you're going
01:54:56.520 to spread it out then you got to get
01:54:58.600 rid of the early voter by the way
01:54:59.800 gonna mention and this is wonderful
01:55:01.500 news Bernie Sanders spent he spent an
01:55:03.840 enormous amount of time in Minnesota
01:55:04.960 his chief campaign operative there was
01:55:06.720 Ilhan Omar really he loses the state
01:55:08.540 that's right which is just fantastic
01:55:10.400 Joe Biden spent five minutes there he
01:55:11.860 had one by the way it does show how
01:55:14.080 the nature of campaigns has radically
01:55:15.440 changed over time so Bloomberg just
01:55:18.000 saturated the airwaves with his ads to
01:55:19.740 no effect Bernie has built up this
01:55:22.440 national ground game raising money
01:55:24.240 putting tons of people in every state
01:55:25.740 to no effect Biden walks in and Trump
01:55:27.840 did the same thing in 2016 no ground
01:55:29.880 game no money spent name recognition
01:55:32.440 of 100% walks through it that's right
01:55:34.480 yeah right it this is a legitimate
01:55:35.820 question Ben so Ilhan Omar is is
01:55:37.920 Bernie's chief surrogate in Minnesota
01:55:40.520 he loses can't believe you're saying
01:55:42.200 those words is there she married her 0.72
01:55:44.620 brother by the way is there a world
01:55:48.020 where the squad doesn't make it to a
01:55:49.480 second term so I think it's unlikely
01:55:52.100 that AOC loses in her district in a
01:55:54.160 primary I think that Ilhan Omar is a
01:55:56.540 little bit more vulnerable because she
01:55:58.840 could get primary fairly easily by
01:56:01.480 by another Somali person person of
01:56:03.980 Somali extraction from from that 0.90
01:56:05.320 particular area her particular
01:56:06.160 district is very heavily Somali and
01:56:08.320 so somebody I don't think they like
01:56:09.540 her that she the ones who like her
01:56:12.060 like her and the ones who don't don't
01:56:13.040 she's not overwhelmingly popular in
01:56:14.700 her district to leave probably sticks
01:56:17.100 around Ayanna Pressley probably six
01:56:18.500 around I don't think these are people
01:56:19.360 who are there for 10 terms I think
01:56:20.960 there's people who are probably there
01:56:21.720 for three terms and then out yeah
01:56:23.160 especially because I think a lot of
01:56:24.900 them have higher aspirations I think
01:56:26.220 that you'll see AOC run for Senate in
01:56:28.240 New York and just get clobbered I think
01:56:29.880 that I think that like she has really
01:56:31.520 outsized expectations I wouldn't be
01:56:33.100 surprised if you see AOC run for
01:56:34.220 president next time around because she 0.75
01:56:35.900 really believes that she is the heir to
01:56:37.360 Bernie Sanders Bernie's been trotting her
01:56:38.800 around like that Bernie ain't gonna run
01:56:40.120 when he's 84 I mean I hope I mean but
01:56:43.060 I wouldn't count Bernie out I mean he's
01:56:44.940 like Ron Paul he's the Ron Paul the
01:56:46.420 trouble is AOC it will still not be 35
01:56:49.340 yet but she won't realize that that's a
01:56:51.200 problem so she might run for 0.99
01:56:52.280 hey she's a microbiology expert you 1.00
01:56:55.180 stop that right now she almost won 1.00
01:56:57.340 it is true though that Joe Biden in the
01:57:01.640 long time ago he days and everything
01:57:03.040 was sepia tone actually was elected to
01:57:04.720 the Senate before he was
01:57:05.780 constitutionally eligible to serve really
01:57:08.740 he was 29 years old you have to be 30
01:57:11.200 years is it 30 this is 1322 yeah
01:57:13.320 immediately aftermath of black 0.58
01:57:15.140 when he says yes when he says when he
01:57:17.860 has a lock on how to handle
01:57:19.180 epidemics he was 29 years old when he
01:57:22.340 was elected to the Senate and he had to
01:57:23.580 wait for his birthday before he could be
01:57:25.160 sworn in wow because he was he was too
01:57:27.440 young constitutionally to serve he has
01:57:29.040 been in government it's literally
01:57:30.920 before he was constitutionally eligible
01:57:32.980 to hold the office to which he was
01:57:34.840 elected we do have the national delegate
01:57:37.060 map here let's take a look at how
01:57:38.400 things are shaping up coast to coast
01:57:39.880 that's a lot of Biden right there that is a
01:57:43.300 lot of Biden wow yeah so Bernie appears
01:57:46.220 to have won four states here and Biden wins
01:57:48.600 all the rest thus far everything else and
01:57:50.580 this is our delegate count uh so far we
01:57:53.300 have Joe Biden wow actually taking a
01:57:55.620 pretty commanding lead as of now the
01:57:57.440 night is still young yeah that's right
01:57:59.580 California will make a will make a dent 0.94
01:58:01.500 but and there's Michael Bloomberg with
01:58:03.220 his 11 delegates massive massive showing
01:58:06.080 Elizabeth Warren with her 12 delegates I
01:58:07.740 love that people who judges not even in
01:58:08.860 the race and he has more delegates than
01:58:09.980 Elizabeth Warren and Michael Bloomberg
01:58:10.920 combined that for that for Bloomberg is
01:58:13.200 just well listen here's there's actually
01:58:15.300 something I love it he deserves it so
01:58:17.140 much Trump must love it more than
01:58:18.560 anything oh people at home may not
01:58:20.800 understand because you throw around big
01:58:22.380 numbers and then you never give context
01:58:23.820 to big numbers a a general presidential
01:58:27.360 election the national candidate will spend
01:58:30.700 about a billion dollars right a thousand
01:58:34.020 million dollars is what it will cost to
01:58:35.780 win the presidency Bloomberg is going to
01:58:38.360 spend that on a primary in which he gets
01:58:41.640 it's amazing let's get to seven or
01:58:43.500 eight hundred American Simone by the way
01:58:46.780 he's not done spending yet he says he's
01:58:48.020 going to continue pouring hundreds of
01:58:49.020 millions of dollars listen even if he
01:58:50.500 were to pull pull out of the race the
01:58:52.920 unique thing about Bloomberg is that he
01:58:54.260 hired all these political consultants
01:58:55.560 onto his campaign and gave them
01:58:57.080 contracts through November yeah the
01:58:58.820 actual truth is many of them will break
01:59:01.380 those contracts because they have
01:59:03.340 ambitions to serve in the government
01:59:04.520 and they'll have to break their
01:59:05.560 contracts with Bloomberg when it's
01:59:06.800 clear that he can't win so they can go
01:59:08.460 join one or the other right I have to
01:59:10.040 say my novelist heart here is just
01:59:12.180 looking at this fight between these
01:59:13.800 two New York billionaires Trump and
01:59:15.780 Bloomberg and I know they hate one
01:59:17.560 another and Bloomberg especially hates
01:59:19.380 Trump because he feels that Trump took
01:59:21.540 his job he feels that he's supposed to
01:59:23.420 be president and blue and Trump this
01:59:25.280 kind of fraud this phony the circus
01:59:27.220 clown is in the presidency there's got 0.96
01:59:30.020 to be that's just got to taste so good
01:59:32.320 oh yes well it shows you this thing you
01:59:34.540 always hear especially from the left they
01:59:35.860 say people are buying political office
01:59:37.360 they're buying this they don't it
01:59:39.580 doesn't work that way it didn't work
01:59:40.920 for Bloomberg it didn't work for
01:59:42.020 Ross Perot it didn't work for Hillary 1.00
01:59:43.480 didn't work for Hillary right as Trump
01:59:45.140 yeah it just doesn't happen and the
01:59:48.420 reason that Mike Bloomberg just keeps
01:59:50.820 getting it so wrong is he said it
01:59:52.760 during the debate he said the
01:59:53.960 presidency look it's a management job
01:59:56.260 and Donald Trump's a bad manager and
01:59:58.300 people look at that and they say what
02:00:00.580 do you view me as you're supposed to be
02:00:02.260 the executive the energetic part of our
02:00:03.860 government and you think what I'm
02:00:05.140 just some middle manager some cog in
02:00:06.900 your company he says it all the time
02:00:08.460 when he talks about people he seems to
02:00:10.060 have a real disdain a real contempt for
02:00:12.280 this is the thing about Bloomberg when
02:00:13.500 he talks when he said some of the
02:00:14.900 things he said about minorities they
02:00:17.780 were true I mean stop and frisk was an
02:00:19.920 excellent policy that saved black lives
02:00:22.020 save black but you don't talk you know
02:00:23.960 every every young person who gets 0.72
02:00:25.700 arrested in a in a poor black
02:00:27.320 neighborhood is some mother's son 0.93
02:00:28.880 that's an actual human being who's
02:00:30.820 gotten arrested maybe he deserves to be
02:00:32.200 arrested maybe tough policing is what
02:00:34.040 that neighborhood needs but you've got
02:00:35.480 to also think about the fact that
02:00:36.720 these are human beings who are being
02:00:38.300 you know losing members of their
02:00:39.960 families to prison and he talks about
02:00:41.600 throwing them up either best you got
02:00:43.240 to think look you Xerox that black 1.00
02:00:44.960 face and it's the same black face and
02:00:46.500 then you throw them up against the wall
02:00:47.780 and you take the gun away and he just
02:00:49.540 despises people yes and he does he
02:00:51.680 thinks about people you know you're
02:00:53.040 drinking sodas you can't drink sodas
02:00:54.720 that's not good for them listen
02:00:55.600 well that's what Biden says to them
02:00:57.540 did you see last night during that
02:00:58.880 during that town hall a night or two
02:01:00.720 nights ago when the gun control
02:01:02.780 activist turns to him and says hey
02:01:04.400 mr. Bloomberg you've got armed
02:01:06.700 security all over why can you have
02:01:09.020 guns but I'm not what he said is do
02:01:10.700 you think your life is more valuable
02:01:12.020 than mine Bloomberg said yes
02:01:13.240 Bloomberg said look I'm a mayor I'm a
02:01:15.580 billionaire people are coming after
02:01:16.800 me
02:01:16.980 this is not actually the worst
02:01:19.920 problem with Bloomberg the worst
02:01:20.880 problem for Bloomberg is that he was
02:01:22.780 not Trump in one specific way Donald
02:01:24.960 Trump has never apologized for
02:01:26.100 anything Bloomberg started off this
02:01:27.720 campaign by apologizing for every
02:01:29.200 aspect of his record that was
02:01:30.220 actually successful and centralizing
02:01:32.140 on all the parts of his record that
02:01:33.200 were unsuccessful that's the entry
02:01:34.460 ticket to the Democrat Party but he
02:01:35.880 didn't have to do that he didn't I
02:01:37.680 mean he didn't I mean if Job if he
02:01:39.800 jumped into the race and they'd
02:01:41.020 asked him about stop and frisk and he
02:01:42.080 said listen I up here on the stage
02:01:43.360 would save more black lives than 0.92
02:01:44.320 anybody else on the stage
02:01:45.400 particularly you Elizabeth Warren
02:01:46.680 pretend to be a Native American 0.99
02:01:47.560 been thrown out it would have been
02:01:49.280 fantastic he would have done better
02:01:50.320 than he's doing tonight could he do
02:01:51.240 worse he's one American Samoa 1.00
02:01:52.420 right now they're saying the Texas
02:01:56.320 is tilting Biden I'm looking at the
02:01:57.900 New York Times live forecast the only
02:02:00.100 states where they have Bernie ahead
02:02:01.840 are Utah Vermont Colorado Vermont
02:02:04.880 Colorado already been called in
02:02:06.160 California every other state Wow on
02:02:08.480 Super Tuesday that's they have
02:02:09.780 leaning Biden that's worse than I
02:02:11.780 think which right now they're
02:02:13.480 estimated delegates they have Biden
02:02:15.380 estimated delegates at 626 and
02:02:17.500 Bernie at 575 after tonight which
02:02:19.900 by the way do we have on my
02:02:21.480 cumulative prediction guys do we have
02:02:23.520 the I have my my cumulative prediction
02:02:25.620 from earlier in the evening as far as
02:02:27.120 where I thought this Super Tuesday
02:02:28.280 delegate count was going to work out
02:02:30.760 I can just give it to you and the
02:02:33.540 the super delegate prediction and the
02:02:35.180 delegate prediction that I had for
02:02:36.480 tonight was Biden with 618 and
02:02:38.960 Bernie with 543 that was just for the
02:02:41.540 night that didn't include the the
02:02:42.640 delegates earlier you have to add about
02:02:43.980 50 for each so you'd end up with
02:02:45.680 Biden in about the 670 range and
02:02:47.840 Bernie in about the 590 range so not
02:02:50.100 not bad I mean not not particularly far
02:02:52.240 off the New York Times delegate
02:02:53.480 estimate here what is their estimate
02:02:55.180 their estimate is 626 for Biden and
02:02:57.440 575 for Bernie after tonight Wow and
02:02:59.860 Bloomberg with 149 delegates but I'm
02:03:01.560 not sure what that I assume that that
02:03:02.800 means that they are assuming that he
02:03:03.960 will win some delegates in California
02:03:05.600 and Texas I don't know man I have my
02:03:08.860 doubts I have my doubts that Bloomberg
02:03:10.100 is gonna like I had Bloomberg winning
02:03:11.800 a grand total of 37 delegates so far I'm
02:03:13.760 looking better than the New York Times
02:03:14.640 I had Warren winning about 140 delegates
02:03:17.560 but that assumed she was gonna win 0.77
02:03:18.460 Massachusetts which apparently she is 1.00
02:03:19.960 she is not what everybody has said I
02:03:21.840 think but is true is you have to
02:03:24.220 admire the Democrat Party for just
02:03:26.220 blowing this guy up it was like a
02:03:28.540 landmine well it just blew him to
02:03:30.300 I think I think to a certain extent he
02:03:31.940 blew himself up I think that that one
02:03:33.380 week he decided yeah Bernie no because
02:03:35.280 he because he has been saying this
02:03:37.280 stuff for a long time yeah and then he
02:03:38.780 didn't acclimate to being the front
02:03:40.440 runner and there is a difference
02:03:41.840 between being the front runner and
02:03:42.880 being the person I'm not sure I
02:03:44.260 understand what you what I mean is
02:03:45.620 that Bernie could have soft pedaled this
02:03:49.260 crap as soon as he started to take the
02:03:51.480 lead because all of the media were
02:03:52.840 ready to do it yeah the media were
02:03:54.180 ready to do it they started declaring
02:03:55.340 that he wasn't actually a socialist
02:03:56.500 he was a democratic socialist and
02:03:57.680 really is that so threatening anyway
02:03:58.820 he's not really gonna get Medicare for
02:04:00.340 all passed anyway because he's gonna
02:04:02.080 be you know he's gonna have a Senate
02:04:03.540 that he's gonna have to deal with and
02:04:04.860 instead Bernie was like no I'm going
02:04:05.860 to do all of these things I'm gonna
02:04:07.040 do all I'm gonna collectivize the
02:04:08.280 means of production and I was like
02:04:09.460 whoa dude like you're leading right
02:04:10.820 now why don't you shut up he's like 0.99
02:04:12.240 no I like Cuba I wish that I had 0.97
02:04:13.620 health care in Cuba if I had health care
02:04:14.960 in Cuba I'd be much better off and 1.00
02:04:16.540 he's like Bernie like stop and
02:04:18.440 he's like no I think that Israel is 0.98
02:04:19.660 very bad but Iran is very good like 1.00
02:04:21.000 why are you why are you doing this
02:04:22.920 why Bernie why because he's got the
02:04:25.100 same tragic problem that Trump has
02:04:26.820 log a rear if he's not no if he's not
02:04:28.900 if Trump is not Trump he doesn't win
02:04:30.440 if Trump is Trump he loses certain
02:04:32.980 sectors of the population that he may
02:04:35.300 well need and Bernie has the same
02:04:36.920 problem this is right they're voting
02:04:38.600 for if he turns up those Bernie bros
02:04:40.760 are communist thugs and that's stuff
02:04:43.420 that Project Veritas got on them
02:04:45.080 where they're talking about gulag and
02:04:46.780 nobody reports it nobody reported that
02:04:49.140 Project Veritas stuff but that is real
02:04:50.840 that is the real deal can you imagine
02:04:52.680 can you imagine if O'Keefe got Trump
02:04:55.440 supporters going around going yeah
02:04:56.860 white supremacy that's what I want 1.00
02:04:58.280 we'll throw him in concentration
02:04:59.260 yeah oh my god you know and this is
02:05:01.480 just just goes by the board but this is
02:05:03.660 who supports Bernie he can't how can he
02:05:06.400 walk away from it how can he walk away
02:05:07.880 from it I mean it's also that Bernie
02:05:09.720 Sanders is a true believer yeah he does
02:05:12.780 and he doesn't know yeah he actually
02:05:16.240 doesn't know how to moderate himself
02:05:17.660 because he is not moderate yeah not one
02:05:19.860 moment of his life has he been moderate
02:05:21.540 right and he hasn't been politically
02:05:23.260 savvy in a few in a few moments but
02:05:26.200 being politically savvy with a vote is
02:05:28.720 different than being politically savvy
02:05:29.960 with a message I think that a guy like
02:05:32.380 Michael a guy like Bernie Sanders it's
02:05:35.660 almost admirable you know there's not
02:05:38.460 much that I would give Bernie credit for
02:05:40.100 in terms of virtue but I do think that
02:05:42.200 he's one of the few people in politics
02:05:43.480 maybe the only person right now in
02:05:45.740 national politics who actually in every
02:05:48.120 instance says what he believes no yeah
02:05:49.900 there's truth to that he says exactly
02:05:51.960 what he believes you know is it so hard
02:05:53.200 I've been watching Peaky Blinders the
02:05:55.060 latest season which is really good
02:05:56.440 is it okay it kind of kind of
02:05:58.100 kind of come back however however it's
02:06:01.400 about the evil of the fascist movement
02:06:04.720 in Britain in the 30s but it's also
02:06:08.120 about the good side are the communists
02:06:10.780 yeah and I keep thinking is it so hard
02:06:12.760 is it really so hard to conceive that
02:06:14.940 the fascists can be bad and the
02:06:17.340 communists can be bad is that so hard
02:06:19.060 for artists to get in their heads and
02:06:20.760 yes because the because the baseline
02:06:22.140 assumption is that government is there
02:06:23.300 to solve problems as soon as you make
02:06:24.600 this baseline assumption yeah then it
02:06:26.520 really is just to pick your poison
02:06:27.480 battle right then and then it's it's the
02:06:29.220 reds versus the versus the brown shirts
02:06:30.720 at that point because it's because I had
02:06:32.600 to explain this on my show today somebody
02:06:33.620 emailed somebody called in and they
02:06:35.220 said why is it like what would the the
02:06:38.040 right gone wrong in America look like
02:06:40.040 well and I said well it honestly like in
02:06:43.040 sort of the in sort of the traditional
02:06:44.440 American conservative version would look
02:06:45.720 more like anarchism than anything else
02:06:47.280 right like a government that doesn't
02:06:48.340 function particularly well where where
02:06:50.200 government is not particularly powerful
02:06:51.460 and is unable to solidify people's
02:06:53.780 rights and that sort of thing but the
02:06:55.600 the European version of right versus
02:06:57.700 left is brown shirt versus red I mean on
02:07:00.640 the on the extremes yeah I mean so yes
02:07:02.740 the Nazis were a right-wing party by
02:07:04.160 European standards they are not a
02:07:05.440 right-wing party by American standards
02:07:06.640 and so American journalists refuse to
02:07:08.020 get this when you say the Nazis were
02:07:09.240 left-wing they're like yeah but but
02:07:10.940 they were anti-red and it's like yeah
02:07:12.240 in Europe they were right-wing but
02:07:13.660 here where we actually judge right
02:07:15.420 versus left on the basis of the size
02:07:17.160 and scope of government they're not
02:07:19.260 right-wing they're not even close to
02:07:20.360 right-wing but it's a challenge it's a
02:07:22.740 challenge in our movement right now
02:07:23.920 because I've been making that
02:07:24.960 argument for years I wrote some
02:07:26.800 letters to our friend Dennis Prager
02:07:27.940 who'll be here this with us here in
02:07:30.380 about an hour I wrote him a series of
02:07:32.240 letters during the 2016 election one
02:07:33.800 one of the things that I said that I
02:07:35.240 think is borne out as I said I'm
02:07:37.340 concerned that we're drifting toward
02:07:38.900 being a European right-wing party and
02:07:41.080 not a traditional American right-wing
02:07:42.500 party and that we've seen things that I
02:07:47.780 have not seen in my lifetime happening
02:07:49.280 on the American right during the last
02:07:51.300 three years I'm not suggesting that
02:07:52.820 this is Donald Trump's fault I'm not
02:07:54.220 talking about Donald Trump I'm not
02:07:56.080 talking about Donald Trump at all but I
02:07:57.880 am saying that we we have seen this
02:08:00.380 sort of quote-unquote common good
02:08:02.460 conservatism this how to use the state
02:08:05.160 to to exact our policy preferences
02:08:09.040 coupled with this real isolationism this
02:08:13.380 real anti-immigrant sentiment and genuine 0.95
02:08:16.740 anti-semitism genuine racism cropping up
02:08:19.480 you know for my entire life I've been
02:08:21.500 able to say it's amazing that they
02:08:23.300 accuse us of being racist our our
02:08:25.240 position is the least racist position our
02:08:26.900 position is all about the individual our
02:08:28.920 position is right but we are seeing but
02:08:31.880 we are seeing this happen on the right
02:08:33.120 but on this point of the common good
02:08:34.440 and virtue I you know I think this is a
02:08:36.800 little bit of libertarian revisionism
02:08:39.040 based on the last like 30 or 40 years
02:08:41.360 of the conservative movement you know
02:08:42.740 Alexander Hamilton wanted a king and
02:08:44.440 Abraham Lincoln campaigned on tariffs
02:08:46.040 so I think there's there's always been a
02:08:48.100 kind of role of the state this is why
02:08:49.560 this is why I was starting he was by the
02:08:51.740 way he was wrong about tariffs and he was
02:08:52.820 wrong about a king so this is why this is
02:08:54.420 why before you guys jumped on we're
02:08:55.980 conservative I was saying that Trump has
02:08:57.460 been so good for the Republican Party
02:08:58.860 because I get your fears I get your
02:09:02.000 fears but what is actually happening
02:09:03.500 what is actually happening is Donald
02:09:04.900 Trump is going in front of these
02:09:06.200 incredible rallies these tens of
02:09:08.740 thousands of people who line up for
02:09:10.100 days and he's saying you know I've been
02:09:13.200 great for the African-American and
02:09:15.180 people are cheering he's appointing gay 1.00
02:09:17.220 people to his cabinet position ever you
02:09:20.660 know this is the thing that is actually
02:09:22.540 happening to the Republican Party under
02:09:25.040 Donald Trump which is an amazing fact and
02:09:27.420 at the same time it's CPAC where okay
02:09:30.180 they lined up for Michael Knowles that's
02:09:31.860 sad but but they also they're they're
02:09:34.260 going nuts over Donald Trump and they
02:09:36.220 exclude the Fuentes and the Michelle 0.67
02:09:38.480 Malkins were banned just go away go 1.00
02:09:41.260 yeah but we do that to our extremes in
02:09:44.340 the Republican Party and more so under
02:09:46.840 Donald Trump unbelievably whereas they
02:09:49.060 their extremists are running for
02:09:51.040 president but I don't disagree with that
02:09:52.820 and I and I said I'm not talking about
02:09:54.400 Donald Trump that the movement is still
02:09:56.620 doing a fairly good job of policing
02:09:57.940 itself yeah nevertheless there is this
02:09:59.920 giant European right-wing movement in
02:10:01.520 the country that's that's happening it's
02:10:04.220 a youth movement it's it's not been
02:10:05.860 mainstream we haven't internalized it
02:10:07.220 yet but it's happening in a way that
02:10:08.780 I've never seen it happen before and you
02:10:10.380 you make this point from time to time
02:10:11.700 Michael that you're this is a very
02:10:13.540 libertarian reimagining that's only true
02:10:15.480 of the last 40 years yeah the last 40
02:10:17.160 years is a generation but the last the
02:10:18.940 last 40 years is my entire lifetime in
02:10:21.800 the movement my entire lifetime before
02:10:23.860 I was a part of the movement and we
02:10:26.780 learn things through history and we
02:10:29.340 change so you could say it'd be like if
02:10:31.600 in 1880 if I said America is dedicated
02:10:34.060 to the proposition that all men are
02:10:35.180 created equal and you said that's only
02:10:36.500 been true for 20 years we had slavery
02:10:37.940 until 20 years ago yeah but then we
02:10:39.460 don't know that's good 1776 and we're
02:10:41.520 conserving something that's older than
02:10:43.440 1960 and and the you know Roger
02:10:46.420 Scruton had this great line and Roger
02:10:47.760 Scruton would be considered an
02:10:49.740 American conservative in many ways even
02:10:51.240 though he was a Brit but he they asked
02:10:53.220 him to define conservatism and if you
02:10:55.320 ask a hundred conservatives in a room
02:10:57.180 one will say it means total free trade
02:10:59.840 one will say means the lowest taxes
02:11:01.260 imaginable one will say it means we get
02:11:02.840 a king so wait a second what are you
02:11:03.980 doing here and you get all these
02:11:05.300 different answers and his answer was
02:11:06.760 very simple he said conservatives like
02:11:08.920 to conserve things you know we like to
02:11:10.680 conserve this American tradition that we
02:11:12.300 have and the American tradition has
02:11:14.040 deeper roots it goes back further than
02:11:16.180 William F. I just I disagree with this
02:11:19.340 idea what you were saying about the
02:11:21.040 Nazis the Nazis did start out as a 0.68
02:11:23.160 national socialist movement but that the
02:11:25.060 strain that goes through the Nazis
02:11:27.280 after they expel after all Hitler expels 0.92
02:11:29.480 the socialists right the strain that
02:11:31.620 but still is calling for nationalized
02:11:33.100 health care but the strain that goes
02:11:34.960 through them of this romanticized blood
02:11:36.780 and soil you know I idealized
02:11:40.100 romanticized idea of the nation is a
02:11:43.260 concern it is the extremist conservative
02:11:46.140 point of view the anti-immigrant point
02:11:47.980 of view the the idea of the nation as
02:11:50.540 being somehow a blood reality is the
02:11:54.200 extremist point of view and it's an
02:11:56.020 anti-American point of view and I think
02:11:57.920 that it does behoove all of us to say
02:12:00.340 no I mean I agree with that I don't
02:12:02.960 disagree with anything you're saying
02:12:03.880 there but I'm saying just in terms of
02:12:04.960 the size and scope of government that
02:12:06.260 the battles between right and left in
02:12:08.020 Europe are very different than the
02:12:09.020 battles between right and left in the
02:12:10.180 United States or at least ideologically
02:12:11.560 ought to be so and I obviously agree
02:12:13.960 with with Jeremy in terms of these
02:12:16.060 sort of movement toward a a
02:12:18.860 conservatism that the question is what
02:12:22.420 exactly is being conserved right so I've
02:12:24.760 always had this objection to sort of the
02:12:26.340 definition of conservatism by attitude as
02:12:28.500 opposed to by principle the sort of
02:12:30.340 difference between the the Lockean
02:12:31.840 version of enlightenment conservatism that
02:12:33.500 that a lot of the founders embraced and
02:12:35.060 the Russell Kirk Edmund Burke version of
02:12:37.100 conservatism that is a little bit later
02:12:39.180 of a graft because Edmund Burke really
02:12:41.560 became a lot more popular in the United
02:12:43.560 States actually following the founding
02:12:44.680 but but with that said the I'm happy
02:12:48.460 with the graft so long as what you are
02:12:49.720 actually conserving is a culture and
02:12:53.000 tradition that led to the rise of
02:12:54.520 enlightenment values that suggest that
02:12:56.360 the individual has rights that pre-exist
02:12:58.340 government and that those rights cannot
02:13:00.180 be invaded by government in terms of the
02:13:02.280 in terms of social values I think all that
02:13:04.320 stuff ought to be done by things that are
02:13:05.440 outside of government and I'm very
02:13:06.420 frightened to see people who are
02:13:07.460 suggesting that the way to conserve the
02:13:09.580 the society that leads to the
02:13:11.300 enlightenment values that America has
02:13:13.180 been based on the way to conserve that
02:13:14.820 is to get rid of the enlightenment values
02:13:16.460 by bringing in a vast powerful government
02:13:19.120 in order to re-enshrine things like
02:13:20.800 family I don't trust the government to
02:13:22.240 re-enshrine family I think the government
02:13:23.320 destroys I do not think the government
02:13:24.600 built it's an enlightenment value if you
02:13:26.400 want to use that term it listed in the
02:13:28.060 federalist papers which we're going to be
02:13:29.360 talking about on the Prager U book club
02:13:31.140 true it's an enlightenment value is as
02:13:33.520 Publius writes in the federalist to say
02:13:35.380 that justice is the end of government
02:13:37.100 and what do we mean by justice we could
02:13:38.940 have a 10-hour conversation about that
02:13:40.340 no but that is that but that's the
02:13:41.600 entire conversation meaning that the
02:13:43.220 same people who are writing the
02:13:44.180 justice in the is the end of
02:13:45.240 government were also writing that there
02:13:47.020 ought to be checks and balances to
02:13:48.160 prohibit the government from doing
02:13:49.200 anything they weren't arguing that the
02:13:50.660 government ought to they wanted an
02:13:52.000 energetic they said they wanted an
02:13:53.360 energetic central executive in
02:13:55.340 energetic centralized government that
02:13:57.160 was and by energetic they meant
02:13:58.280 slightly stronger than the articles of
02:13:59.940 confederation barely had a country
02:14:01.620 existed they did not mean by energetic
02:14:03.300 central government a government that
02:14:04.920 was going to expend hundreds of
02:14:07.180 billions of dollars on a variety of
02:14:09.020 social programs designed to shore up
02:14:10.480 failing families the problems in the
02:14:11.740 United States are cultural problems 0.98
02:14:13.080 and they were exacerbated by a
02:14:14.480 government that intervened I can't be
02:14:16.020 fixed by government culture has to
02:14:17.340 fix itself I'm amazed to watch the
02:14:19.000 conservative movement reverse the
02:14:20.460 polarity of culture is upstream of
02:14:22.180 culture is upstream of government I'm
02:14:24.000 100% in agreement with you about this
02:14:25.960 but but it is important I guess they're
02:14:29.800 now the Catholic integralism people the
02:14:31.720 people who are saying that both in
02:14:34.480 they're saying under libertarianism both
02:14:36.380 the right and the left are essentially
02:14:37.900 supporting bigger government because
02:14:40.020 they're they are eliminating religion 0.62
02:14:41.820 from the field we're gonna have to
02:14:43.480 come back to this it's a I want to hear
02:14:44.940 this point but we're being joined right
02:14:46.540 now by our friend Glenn Beck he's the
02:14:48.120 CEO and founder of the blaze as well as
02:14:50.240 the host of the Glenn Beck program he's
02:14:52.140 also quite a looker a great dancer
02:14:54.180 well at least you speak the truth that's
02:14:58.860 the first truthful thing I've heard you
02:15:00.060 say all night by the way I have you
02:15:04.720 know you guys have been here I have
02:15:06.560 quite a collection of really cool stuff
02:15:08.760 that that Elizabeth Warren is the
02:15:14.000 greatest thing where did you get it
02:15:17.700 what did it cost and what will you sell
02:15:20.400 it for
02:15:20.840 well Glenn we're not very good but we're
02:15:24.580 real expensive I'll tell you the truth
02:15:27.020 I spent two years trying to pull this
02:15:29.200 joke off I went to there are very few
02:15:31.740 wooden cigar Indian makers left you'd be 0.99
02:15:34.760 surprised to learn and I went to them
02:15:36.540 and they all thought that it was
02:15:37.540 hilarious and then they all turned me
02:15:39.580 down because they were afraid of the
02:15:41.640 blowback they were afraid that they
02:15:42.560 would lose this little niche business
02:15:43.960 that they they've managed to stay
02:15:45.360 under the radar and not have the woke
02:15:46.660 culture take away from them so then I
02:15:48.720 went to Hollywood prop people to make
02:15:51.040 it out of styrofoam they all turned me
02:15:52.540 down flat I kept pursuing it for two
02:15:54.580 years I'm gonna tell you where this
02:15:55.680 came from I don't know the reason I
02:15:58.060 don't know my our set design person
02:16:02.040 Carol our art director found someone
02:16:04.520 who would make it but only if we would
02:16:06.580 pay cash up front to her which she would
02:16:10.380 then deliver to them and never have us
02:16:12.620 know who they are that is the honest
02:16:14.760 God that is that is America today is
02:16:18.960 it is it wood is it made out of wood it
02:16:23.160 is not unfortunately it's it's a styrofoam
02:16:25.280 made in a prop shop you know since we're
02:16:26.660 acknowledging the statue I tell you I
02:16:28.780 would like to point out for the audio
02:16:30.140 the blaze audience will make one for me
02:16:32.060 out of wood I do want to point out for
02:16:34.880 the audience that Elizabeth is standing
02:16:37.000 on a book that says pow wow chow I just
02:16:39.680 want to get all the detail in there
02:16:41.240 that's fantastic you know we have the
02:16:42.740 Elizabeth Warren theme can we play the
02:16:44.320 Elizabeth Warren theme every time we
02:16:46.580 talk about Elizabeth Warren we we play
02:16:48.380 her campaign song here can you roll that
02:16:51.420 so they can hear that there it is it's a
02:16:57.480 snappy number maybe that's just me on my
02:17:02.240 show I was using colors of the wind for
02:17:03.540 at least you're in Texas is Bernie Sanders
02:17:09.160 gonna pull it off down there it looks
02:17:11.960 like it I mean that is insane unbelievable
02:17:14.760 stop you damn people in California stop 0.88
02:17:18.100 coming here stop it I'm gonna defend
02:17:20.620 Californians which I rarely do but when 0.98
02:17:23.220 Ted Cruz was in that very tight race
02:17:25.060 with Beto O'Rourke two years ago now in
02:17:28.720 the polling that came out afterwards it
02:17:30.360 was actually native-born Texans who were
02:17:33.040 more likely to support Beto and all of
02:17:35.100 the Californians who had moved to the
02:17:36.400 state were more likely to vote really
02:17:38.080 because it's all the good Californians
02:17:39.660 really the people who leave California
02:17:41.280 are actually the conservative Californians I
02:17:43.660 I have to tell you that this I find
02:17:46.100 really really disturbing there was an
02:17:48.160 exit poll here in Texas that showed the
02:17:51.000 support for those who were leaving the
02:17:55.300 the polling booth what was it was it 54
02:17:58.340 57 percent of those that left the polling
02:18:03.460 booth here in Texas were had a favorable
02:18:06.760 opinion of socialism in California that
02:18:10.140 number was 54 wow something is wrong
02:18:14.540 something's very wrong so how do you feel
02:18:16.960 about the fact that Joe Biden appears to
02:18:18.340 be having a pretty good night I'm excited
02:18:20.140 about it frankly because anything that
02:18:21.640 does not force half the country into
02:18:23.440 embracing full-on communism is a good
02:18:25.060 thing for me but I know a lot of people
02:18:26.680 are more fearful of Biden beating Trump
02:18:28.120 than than Sanders beating Trump so where
02:18:29.620 are you coming down on this I think any day
02:18:32.560 that Joe Biden gets up and can find his
02:18:35.640 shoes is a good day for Joe Biden I don't
02:18:40.200 think I think I we were just talking
02:18:42.340 about it we kind of feel bad for Joe
02:18:44.460 Biden as we don't like him we don't like
02:18:46.860 his policies etc etc but I don't revel in
02:18:49.980 somebody declining in front of the United
02:18:53.240 States you know what I mean it's sad yeah I
02:18:56.240 do I do I enjoy it but I a good person would
02:19:00.440 not enjoy it also the also the revision
02:19:03.440 pretending to be a good person so I feel
02:19:06.480 I feel bad so I don't think he's a vote
02:19:08.920 for Joe Biden is a vote for whoever he
02:19:11.260 picks as the vice president Sanders I
02:19:15.100 think would put a nail in the coffin I
02:19:17.640 I'm kind of worried that Sanders not
02:19:22.240 getting the nomination a I mean sell your
02:19:25.140 home in Milwaukee get the hell out of 0.92
02:19:26.920 there extinguishers but I'm afraid that
02:19:32.820 the what's happening with Sanders will be
02:19:36.080 what happened on a very accelerated rate
02:19:38.940 to Buckley or to Goldwater that set up
02:19:45.440 Ronald Reagan and I think you're gonna see
02:19:48.340 a snapback I'd like to I don't like the
02:19:51.760 risk of Bernie Sanders the possibility risk
02:19:56.040 big win big this is a risk big lose big if
02:19:59.520 he would win we would lose our nation yeah
02:20:02.440 but I would love to see a defeat and an
02:20:05.800 out-and-out head-to-head battle between
02:20:08.020 capitalism and socialism and and and and
02:20:12.380 let's put this let put this to rest let's
02:20:15.220 just put this to rest I'm with you Glenn I
02:20:17.220 think I would rather see the this is the
02:20:19.260 conversation the country is having let's
02:20:20.960 have it in the voting booth let's let's
02:20:22.460 have it out it's dangerous but I'd rather
02:20:24.140 see it yeah I mean I again I'm on the
02:20:25.920 other side of that I really think that
02:20:27.400 it's incredibly dangerous because there's
02:20:28.980 so many people who are just going to
02:20:30.220 centralize around the Democratic nominee
02:20:31.620 just to defeat Trump that you're gonna
02:20:33.340 get 25 percent of the population embracing
02:20:35.280 full-blown communism just because they
02:20:37.460 don't like Trump yeah and and that I
02:20:39.260 think is dangerous because I think that
02:20:40.180 Bernie Sanders base is actually a quarter
02:20:41.720 after we're all in a gulag for 20 30
02:20:44.660 years they'll think twice yeah I don't
02:20:48.940 I don't want to go down in history as a
02:20:50.680 cautionary tale that's not my high
02:20:53.040 ambition we're headed we're headed for
02:20:56.160 that you know the one the one hope for
02:20:57.500 that the one hope with Bernie though is
02:20:59.420 first of all I agree I want the honest
02:21:01.260 conversation I want the honest debate I
02:21:02.820 think Trump is going to win 57 states
02:21:04.420 plus Samoa plus Greenland but even if
02:21:07.360 Bernie Sanders wins the the consolation
02:21:11.540 there is the man has never accomplished
02:21:13.640 anything on a legislative level despite
02:21:15.840 having been in government for half a
02:21:17.300 century he's you know I I hate to say
02:21:20.360 this Michael because you're a smart guy
02:21:22.500 and you know but you sound like the
02:21:26.160 people who are like yeah if Hitler gets 0.85
02:21:28.700 in
02:21:29.040 around him
02:21:31.540 right this is right I mean the fact is
02:21:35.040 that Bernie where presidents do the
02:21:36.700 most damage where Trump maybe has done
02:21:38.360 the most good is actually not on
02:21:39.760 domestic policy everyone likes to talk
02:21:41.000 about his domestic policy Trump's
02:21:42.220 foreign policy has been stellar yeah
02:21:43.720 overall it's been really stellar yeah
02:21:45.440 and Bernie because the commander-in-chief
02:21:47.420 has such exorbitant powers in this
02:21:49.280 particular area Bernie is commander-in-chief
02:21:51.240 scares the living daylights out of me
02:21:52.960 what he would do to the American
02:21:54.000 like day one he gets Florida to Cuba
02:21:56.620 dude I mean forget about Guantanamo but
02:21:58.480 then he gives us to Cuba we can go get
02:22:00.060 cigars we were talking about the
02:22:02.240 coronavirus today in my office off air
02:22:05.320 and I believe the coronavirus is going
02:22:09.200 to cause real impact economically we're
02:22:12.660 all going to get it eventually just like
02:22:14.540 we all have had the 1918 flu I mean this
02:22:17.260 is just another strain of flu I hope that
02:22:20.460 it doesn't you know kill two percent of
02:22:22.780 the population but we're all going to get 0.63
02:22:26.240 it what Barack Obama didn't release any
02:22:31.200 federal money until a thousand people were
02:22:34.920 killed by the swine flu everybody is
02:22:37.640 freaking out about this we're talking
02:22:39.920 about closing schools etc etc how much of
02:22:43.580 this do you guys believe is real and how
02:22:47.300 much of this is the left or the the
02:22:52.040 corporate media wanting this to be real
02:22:56.000 to hurt the economy because that's the
02:22:57.900 only thing that will will hurt Donald Trump
02:23:00.080 they so desire this to be a real disaster
02:23:03.220 that they can blame on him I think you
02:23:05.600 know it's a flu it's you know have these
02:23:08.360 things come through from time to time
02:23:10.260 it's going to be what what a flu is the
02:23:12.560 flu what does the flu kill every year
02:23:13.740 65,000 people or something like that
02:23:15.900 yeah the death rate on a traditional
02:23:18.080 flu is 0.1 percent the death rate on this
02:23:19.860 one is somewhere between 1 and 2 percent
02:23:21.400 the transmission rate they're still trying
02:23:22.740 to figure out it's sort of hard to tell
02:23:23.940 what the death rate is based on the fact
02:23:25.400 that I'm not sure it's in China yeah what
02:23:27.220 is that I'm not sure that we know the
02:23:28.520 death rate because I don't think that
02:23:29.800 we know when people have mild we don't
02:23:32.000 know what the denominator is right so
02:23:33.460 it's hard to tell what that is but yeah
02:23:35.040 so the the are not is which is the
02:23:37.480 infection rate is a lot higher than the
02:23:40.480 flu and the death rate CDC came out
02:23:45.100 today and said we might want to readjust
02:23:47.940 some of these numbers the death rate in
02:23:50.500 the west may actually be higher they've
02:23:52.620 been projecting that China is is you know 0.94
02:23:55.920 in the twos 2.9 but they thought it
02:23:58.260 would come down in the west it was at
02:24:00.840 first hovering about 1.5 per per thousand
02:24:06.660 but it looks like they're talking now
02:24:09.840 that it might be in the twos for the west
02:24:12.280 as well except that I'm not sure that if
02:24:14.820 people have if people have mild versions
02:24:16.840 of it they may never know that it was
02:24:18.020 the virus that they had I'll say that's
02:24:20.660 that's the that's the one thing that I
02:24:22.860 think we're going to see these numbers
02:24:24.060 start going through the roof because
02:24:25.680 we're testing now right we hadn't been
02:24:27.820 testing before what I think what I think
02:24:30.080 to answer your question obviously the
02:24:32.080 coronavirus is real and obviously it's a
02:24:34.160 problem that we're going to have to
02:24:35.240 confront I think that the fact that the
02:24:38.520 Dow went into correction within 10 days
02:24:41.240 of being at an all-time high that is all
02:24:43.840 the media are there going to be long
02:24:45.680 time economic consequences long term to
02:24:48.180 the fact that the supply chain has been
02:24:49.560 disrupted that international travel has
02:24:51.380 been disrupted there is some of that
02:24:52.480 that's real but even that is mostly I
02:24:54.580 think being a response to the hype you
02:24:57.260 know when when people are like I'm
02:24:58.420 canceling my travel and stocks and
02:25:01.240 airlines are going to start to collapse
02:25:02.560 the media is desperate to to promulgate
02:25:06.300 this because they know that this is
02:25:07.460 Trump's vulnerable I'm less I'm less
02:25:09.220 I'm actually more pessimistic about the
02:25:11.060 reality of of coronavirus's economic
02:25:13.580 impact than everybody else here like I
02:25:15.060 think that the disruption of the supply
02:25:16.700 chains are a very serious thing I think
02:25:19.860 that Europe's economy was already
02:25:21.160 teetering on the brink of a recession or
02:25:23.520 depression they've done horrible
02:25:25.360 systemic things to the economy in
02:25:26.740 Europe and then propping it up with
02:25:27.700 central bank inflation for a very long
02:25:29.200 time when President Trump says we got
02:25:30.400 to look at Germany and how they
02:25:31.200 inflate the currency I read the GDP
02:25:32.820 growth rates of Germany over the last
02:25:34.740 couple of years it's 0.1% 0.2% per
02:25:37.140 quarter so trying to point at them and
02:25:39.280 being like look how they're handling it
02:25:40.480 it's fantastic he did the same thing
02:25:41.620 with Australia very silly also it is
02:25:44.180 100% true that the that the media and
02:25:46.060 the Democrats are trying to pin this on
02:25:47.580 Trump when the thing has nothing to do
02:25:48.820 with Trump right I mean it's China
02:25:50.120 Europe hey Glenn there's a couple of
02:25:52.260 things also there's also a couple of
02:25:53.580 things that I think you need to look at
02:25:54.840 with the economy on the good side this
02:25:57.300 was the corona virus that brought the
02:25:59.160 stock market we've been we've been
02:26:00.740 waiting for a 15 20 percent correction in
02:26:04.400 the market this is a great correction in
02:26:07.320 the market if it doesn't continue to go
02:26:09.680 down great correction in the market
02:26:11.500 because Trump doesn't get blamed by it
02:26:14.140 can be blamed by the media but everybody
02:26:15.980 right now is like that's corona virus
02:26:18.480 that's why they're all buying toilet
02:26:20.020 paper so that's the the good side of it
02:26:23.600 the bad side is today the Fed cut by what
02:26:29.100 was it point 50 basis point a point 50
02:26:31.560 basis yeah so I mean we are we're looking
02:26:34.320 at a significant cut and the market went
02:26:38.200 down but don't you think that's because
02:26:40.200 the cut signal to the market that the
02:26:43.140 government is concerned about this yes they
02:26:45.000 actually they actually it's why Trump
02:26:46.740 should stop shouting about the damn Fed
02:26:48.480 it's ridiculous this is not what the
02:26:49.860 Federal Reserve was designed for using
02:26:51.280 the Federal Reserve as your as your
02:26:53.180 solution of first resort to economic
02:26:55.300 slowdowns is a disaster area it doesn't
02:26:57.240 figure out any of the underlying
02:26:58.500 problems in an economy and it's moronic
02:27:00.280 for Trump to be saying well we should
02:27:01.320 lower it to below zero you want to tank
02:27:02.940 the economy lower the interest rates to
02:27:04.480 below zero go for it dude yeah so we
02:27:06.520 were just if I may just hijack your
02:27:08.580 broadcast for a second we were just
02:27:10.700 talking about this and I would love to
02:27:12.200 get your opinion Donald Trump somebody
02:27:15.340 if the economy goes the way that
02:27:18.160 everybody is believing it's going to in
02:27:21.020 the media and we have real disruption we
02:27:23.780 have people that are not working the
02:27:26.100 economy and the engine comes to a stop
02:27:28.260 for a while we've never seen the number
02:27:29.980 one and number two manufacturer and
02:27:31.640 consumer go down for a six-month period
02:27:34.000 if those things do happen we're going to
02:27:37.060 have to do or consider what they're doing
02:27:39.160 now in China or Hong Kong and that is
02:27:42.720 stop mortgages or give people a minimum
02:27:47.220 you know wage or whatever it is to keep
02:27:50.900 things floating how does a conservative
02:27:54.820 because I think we should talk about
02:27:57.840 this and design something and promote
02:27:59.800 something so it's not taken over by
02:28:02.040 socialists how does a conservative
02:28:04.120 handle an economy that stop and pay
02:28:08.080 people's mortgage do we do a loan
02:28:10.900 program where look we'll give you
02:28:12.400 fifteen hundred dollars a month or
02:28:13.780 whatever it is but you have 10 years
02:28:16.720 20 years to pay it back but it's a
02:28:18.860 stopgap from a socialist coming in and
02:28:22.120 saying I'm going to give you free
02:28:23.360 everything because they're stingy and
02:28:25.240 they won't give you anything or a new
02:28:27.640 FDR that starts programs that never go
02:28:30.400 away how do we deal with this I mean in
02:28:33.580 the past in 1920 when there was a
02:28:35.080 serious depression that's exactly what
02:28:36.640 happened private investors people who
02:28:38.200 are very wealthy came out of the
02:28:39.340 woodwork they have enormous amounts of
02:28:40.660 charity employers floated their
02:28:42.340 employees loans people recognize that
02:28:44.380 the only way to keep the economy
02:28:45.740 running was to was to incur some debt
02:28:48.040 that's when you would see the that's
02:28:50.260 when you would see the usefulness of
02:28:51.460 the feds is actually lowering interest
02:28:52.720 rates at that point when you have a
02:28:53.620 serious crisis where the economy
02:28:54.640 grounds to a halt then the Fed makes it
02:28:56.320 very cheap for you to borrow money and
02:28:57.880 presumably everybody lives on credit
02:28:59.140 for a little while but yeah I mean that
02:29:02.140 is the scary thing that's not today
02:29:03.820 because and now everybody's going to
02:29:05.440 scream about I can't afford health care
02:29:07.580 I can't afford my rent where's the
02:29:09.200 government in 1920 they told people go
02:29:12.540 away it's not the government's job yeah
02:29:14.600 but I think that this is this is the
02:29:16.180 the coronavirus thing that the supply
02:29:18.820 chains will come back online it's just a
02:29:20.680 question of how long it's going to take
02:29:21.720 for the supply chains to come back online
02:29:23.160 correct if we're talking about you know
02:29:25.360 the underlying systemic issues in Europe
02:29:27.120 and China those are the ones that are
02:29:28.320 scarier because the fact is that China 1.00
02:29:29.880 has been using debt-led growth in order
02:29:31.740 to make its economy grow at these false
02:29:33.740 rates and Europe has been doing the
02:29:35.620 same thing which is why they keep
02:29:36.780 having to undergo austerity cuts they
02:29:38.040 don't actually pursue those are those
02:29:40.860 are more serious problems for the world
02:29:42.320 in the long run I'm not I'm not so
02:29:43.500 worried that the coronavirus is going to
02:29:44.560 tip us into a depression as much as I'm
02:29:46.720 worried that for a six-month period
02:29:48.060 everything sort of grinds to a halt
02:29:49.460 nobody's nobody's forecasting that this
02:29:51.140 tips us into like a full-scale economic
02:29:53.220 meltdown that's why the adjustment was
02:29:54.940 was 10 percent and not 50 percent of the
02:29:57.140 economy probably I think it would go to a
02:29:59.900 full-fledged meltdown if you had the
02:30:01.320 second black swan and that's Bernie
02:30:02.960 Sanders yes I agree we have to
02:30:06.680 prevent Bernie Sanders from becoming
02:30:07.940 president of the United States Glenn when
02:30:10.820 you're not busy taking over every
02:30:13.940 conservative organization online except
02:30:15.820 for ours and you're not predicting I am
02:30:19.500 working on here's the thing your CEO
02:30:23.140 Tyler Carden yeah he's what's working
02:30:26.680 against you I think I think he's the
02:30:28.960 smartest guy in the business and I'm
02:30:31.000 only willing to work for the second
02:30:32.420 smartest well you know what why don't
02:30:39.720 we just join together and you work for
02:30:41.980 you guys and we work for us and we just
02:30:45.520 make sure that none of us go away and
02:30:48.420 our voices are protected so we can last a
02:30:51.020 long time well we're always here for you
02:30:52.800 guys for one thing you do produce the
02:30:54.540 greatest ashtray in all of
02:30:57.480 conservatism you're such a jerk
02:31:01.000 thank you Glenn thank you what a great
02:31:06.560 guy he's a great guy but I have to say
02:31:08.340 if I were locked in a room with Ben and
02:31:09.980 Glenn I think I would have to kill
02:31:11.280 myself you guys are too optimistic to
02:31:14.920 most depressing human beings I'm the
02:31:18.000 realist Glenn is
02:31:18.740 although Glenn has higher highs than I
02:31:23.420 know so when Glenn gets like I don't
02:31:25.840 have very high highs no and my lows are
02:31:27.940 pretty low
02:31:28.360 I go from like a two to like a negative
02:31:30.460 200
02:31:30.880 it goes from like 100 to a negative
02:31:32.620 400
02:31:33.000 yeah we just got an update Joe Biden is
02:31:35.880 giving a super Tuesday speech here to
02:31:38.080 all of thank all of his supporters and
02:31:39.420 thank them and he confused his wife
02:31:41.640 with his sister
02:31:42.480 in the middle of the night you're out
02:31:47.160 of a few drinks
02:31:47.860 Biden said he literally said I'm here
02:31:49.960 to report that we are very much alive
02:31:51.540 fact check
02:31:53.500 that may be an overstay
02:31:54.600 kind of true
02:31:55.320 fact check mixed
02:31:56.840 yeah by the way Elizabeth Warren's
02:31:58.480 going to finish third in
02:31:59.420 Massachusetts behind Biden and
02:32:00.540 Sanders oh my goodness
02:32:01.700 brutality
02:32:02.780 I'm not sure she's gonna pull out
02:32:04.720 you know she should
02:32:05.460 I mean you'd think that would be it
02:32:06.920 for her but I'm not sure
02:32:07.920 well it is it for her
02:32:09.000 yeah she may not pull out of the 1.00
02:32:10.460 race
02:32:10.600 I think her whole plan has been to
02:32:12.460 be vice
02:32:12.900 Bernie's vice president that was what
02:32:14.620 I thought she was doing I thought
02:32:15.920 it was to put the ratchet on
02:32:16.920 now she has no leverage I mean if
02:32:18.940 she's lost Massachusetts she has no
02:32:20.340 leverage
02:32:20.660 the question is what does she come
02:32:22.940 out with as a delegate count and I
02:32:24.680 don't think it's gonna be anything
02:32:25.600 right
02:32:25.840 no
02:32:26.240 right she's gonna end up with 11
02:32:27.820 delegates
02:32:28.340 so she hasn't got any leverage 0.88
02:32:30.080 whatsoever
02:32:30.500 I didn't enjoy Biden got was
02:32:31.820 interrupted by the direct action
02:32:33.140 everywhere and anti-dairy
02:32:34.260 anti-dairy protesters who have
02:32:35.700 been all over California so I
02:32:37.480 guess Joaquin Phoenix was up
02:32:38.500 there
02:32:38.620 can you imagine the Trump Biden
02:32:43.820 debates this is why we need to
02:32:45.580 establish English as our national
02:32:46.780 as our national
02:32:47.520 because like I I am not going to
02:32:51.780 know what is going on it's like a
02:32:54.680 mad lib filled in by my son who
02:32:56.260 cannot read or write I what is that
02:32:58.100 even going to sound like this is
02:32:59.520 going to look like you know you
02:33:01.160 ever see like a dog pick up the
02:33:03.100 pup and just shake it yeah that's
02:33:04.600 what I think Trump is going to do
02:33:05.840 to Biden yeah it's going to be very
02:33:07.440 sad you know it's really going to
02:33:08.720 be sad because even though
02:33:10.480 obviously I like Trump I don't like
02:33:11.780 Joe Biden the difference is the
02:33:14.040 speed okay Donald Trump Donald Trump
02:33:17.000 is so quick on his feet yeah when
02:33:19.060 it's what you remember in that
02:33:19.960 debate with Hillary she goes I don't
02:33:21.320 want to live in an America where 0.58
02:33:22.780 Donald Trump is president doesn't
02:33:24.280 miss a beat he goes yeah because
02:33:25.040 you'd be in jail moves on like that
02:33:26.920 Joe Biden can't remember his wife
02:33:28.740 can't remember God can't remember
02:33:30.780 anything you know when you can't
02:33:31.860 remember the name of God I mean
02:33:33.420 it's only three letters I do want
02:33:36.040 to say one thing about our
02:33:37.200 president and I don't mean this is
02:33:39.100 in any way to be insulting Donald
02:33:42.380 Trump is an old man he is a young
02:33:45.620 man in this right he's practically
02:33:47.240 the youngest yeah Donald Trump is
02:33:48.700 an old man he currently is the old
02:33:50.620 the oldest person ever to be elected
02:33:52.220 to a first term as president if he
02:33:54.020 wins reelection he'll be the oldest
02:33:55.120 person ever be elected to a second
02:33:56.620 term as president we're only sort of
02:33:59.480 we're cavalier about it because
02:34:00.560 they're running like people who've
02:34:02.140 been dead for six months yeah when I
02:34:05.180 see Donald Trump lately he's still
02:34:08.080 entertaining he's still amusing I I am
02:34:10.380 not sure that he is going to be the
02:34:12.380 same sharp performer that he was in
02:34:15.020 I don't know the Bloomberg thing where
02:34:16.840 he was at CPAC and he got crouched
02:34:18.860 down to mimic Mike's height oh my god
02:34:21.020 that was funny some of these lines to
02:34:23.040 me I noticed but he's a but Joe
02:34:24.460 Biden is right here's the thing Hillary
02:34:26.380 Clinton is a harridan everyone knows
02:34:28.980 this it's why she's unpopular the 0.93
02:34:30.520 reason that she did poorly is because
02:34:31.880 she is the most unlikable person in 0.99
02:34:34.040 American policy outside of Elizabeth
02:34:35.300 Warren who finally surpassed her to her
02:34:37.500 great glory and forever Elizabeth
02:34:38.900 Warren is not a criminal like she was
02:34:40.360 yeah she was not but she was more 0.51
02:34:42.560 unlikable like she was so she was like
02:34:44.860 if you had to pick somebody to babysit
02:34:45.940 your kids Hillary Clinton or Elizabeth
02:34:46.980 Warren
02:34:47.300 your kids would be like bring Hillary 0.98
02:34:49.000 I'd be you go Clinton all day long
02:34:50.420 all day long
02:34:51.860 especially this fun grandpa might come
02:34:53.200 yeah bill by the over showing the
02:34:54.900 kids porn and you're like what are you
02:34:56.080 doing grandpa crazy he's like I
02:34:57.820 remember that time I was taking him
02:34:58.920 two at a time in the Oval Office
02:35:00.040 Hillary but I want to take a moment to
02:35:02.660 reflect on all those who we have lost
02:35:05.400 so far the guys put this together for
02:35:08.260 us I think it's really touching and
02:35:10.040 worth a few moments we call it in
02:35:11.500 memoriam
02:35:13.100 tonight an improbable hope became an
02:35:19.240 undeniable reality
02:35:21.000 the biggest misconception is that I'm
02:35:28.060 boring because I'm not we give every
02:35:31.600 American a thousand dollars a month
02:35:32.660 free and clear this is about the
02:35:34.020 closest I'll probably ever have in my
02:35:35.900 life to an I am Spartacus moment I I
02:35:38.460 don't know like members of the press
02:35:39.880 what the she was looking back perhaps
02:35:42.900 the worst candidate ever to run from
02:35:45.160 any party in the history of this
02:35:46.840 country
02:35:47.260 the president used taxpayer dollars to
02:35:50.780 ask the Ukrainians to help him cheat 1.00
02:35:52.400 an election my pronouns are she her and
02:35:55.180 hers you've got to get up and stand up 1.00
02:35:57.560 and don't give up the fight
02:35:59.100 I believe in reproductive justice let's
02:36:03.860 also not forget someone in the trans
02:36:06.040 community a trans female how did you
02:36:09.020 feel you did tonight well I didn't feel
02:36:11.260 I did very good but then I got off stage
02:36:12.860 and I was told I did okay
02:36:14.140 it's so glorious it's really beautiful
02:36:28.360 I can't we're a professional company
02:36:30.000 with professional people it would be
02:36:31.460 disrespectful to rob the fallen
02:36:34.720 candidates I don't know exactly Joe
02:36:37.020 Biden just said in his he's giving a
02:36:38.300 speech right now like a victory speech
02:36:39.600 he said my reach does exceed our grasp
02:36:41.820 because there's no doubt in my mind we
02:36:43.460 can grasp whatever we reach for
02:36:45.040 what that means that's not English that
02:36:51.300 is not a properly constructed sentence I
02:36:53.660 don't I don't know what is going on and
02:36:56.320 neither does he grandpa get off Facebook
02:36:58.720 by the way stocks are continuing to
02:37:00.520 surge as Biden picks up a victory
02:37:02.060 because people are like oh good it
02:37:03.220 won't be the communist really that's
02:37:04.960 what that's what's happening people
02:37:05.740 are like oh okay I feel like it's
02:37:07.100 okay for me to invest in my business
02:37:08.320 because the communist isn't going to
02:37:09.360 come take over that's absolutely true
02:37:10.820 I have to say this whole thing that
02:37:12.220 this whole analysis of the stock
02:37:13.660 market I just is far far too
02:37:15.560 sophisticated for what's actually
02:37:17.300 happening in the stock market I think
02:37:19.280 I think this is you know if you look
02:37:20.560 at the Ebola virus and the SARS
02:37:22.400 right there's a stock market well it's a
02:37:24.780 V that's a V back up what yeah
02:37:26.160 yeah but worth noting so the end of
02:37:30.660 the the end of the point that I was
02:37:32.500 making at some length about Hillary
02:37:34.320 Clinton being unlikable before we got
02:37:35.900 into joking about who would babysit our
02:37:37.240 kids is is that Joe Biden is not
02:37:40.180 unlikable in the same way as Hillary 1.00
02:37:41.120 Clinton no he just is not no I mean
02:37:43.240 even Ted Cruz is out there saying like
02:37:44.640 and that is a problem the people love
02:37:48.820 Donald Trump love Donald Trump everybody
02:37:50.780 else thinks he's unlikable that's just
02:37:52.320 the reality and everybody has an
02:37:53.380 opinion it's not like there's a bunch
02:37:54.360 of swing voters in the middle who are
02:37:55.420 like do I have an opinion on the
02:37:57.400 likability of that like that's the one
02:37:58.820 thing everyone has an opinion that's
02:37:59.960 right they may disagree with his
02:38:00.940 policies or agree with his policies
02:38:01.940 maybe can change them on that but on
02:38:03.880 the likability factor he is 100% known
02:38:06.140 it's all baked into the cake with
02:38:08.100 Biden Biden is a much more likable
02:38:11.540 candidate than Hillary Clinton so if
02:38:12.620 you're comparing Trump to Trump from
02:38:14.700 Trump 2016 and Trump 2020 say he picks
02:38:16.560 up some votes because he's had a good
02:38:18.220 presidency in terms of policy agreed if
02:38:20.760 you're looking at Hillary versus Biden I
02:38:22.420 think Biden gets more votes than
02:38:23.360 Hillary Clinton I do I don't see how
02:38:24.920 Biden gets fewer votes who voted for
02:38:26.500 who voted for Hillary Clinton who
02:38:28.520 won't vote for Joe Biden let me put it
02:38:29.960 that way as I think that constituency
02:38:31.500 exists as as I say I think that the
02:38:33.840 country is so volatile that anything I
02:38:36.160 say is only true in the moment that I
02:38:37.860 say it like I'm not predicting a few
02:38:39.300 not right no but I'm saying in the
02:38:40.620 moment in the moment I think Trump
02:38:42.560 would win 48 states against Joe Biden
02:38:45.580 seriously yeah I think but I mean and
02:38:47.360 but answer but the question that I
02:38:48.740 asked do you really think like who
02:38:50.300 voted for Hillary who's gonna be like 1.00
02:38:51.500 no you know Hillary now for now I'm
02:38:53.200 now I'm for and now I'm not voting I
02:38:54.640 think there were there were people a
02:38:55.960 lot of moderates and and some
02:38:57.980 conservatives who didn't just sit it
02:39:00.460 out but actually voted for Hillary I
02:39:02.240 know some of them who friends of mine
02:39:04.440 you know say Trump is just too far and
02:39:06.820 who have now said you know I really
02:39:08.740 wish he didn't send those tweets but
02:39:10.220 he's doing a pretty good job I like I
02:39:11.720 know a lot I think that if I think
02:39:13.460 the idea that Trump could win 48
02:39:16.060 states against Biden even if the
02:39:17.540 election were held today is just a
02:39:18.960 delusional obviously it's an
02:39:20.520 exaggeration it's an exaggeration 37
02:39:22.360 states I think that he might could
02:39:23.860 have won 48 states again he might
02:39:25.780 could win 48 states against Sanders he
02:39:27.260 could also lose to Sanders I actually
02:39:28.440 think Glenn is right in a two in a
02:39:30.540 binary election anybody can win but I 0.97
02:39:33.060 do generally believe Trump could win
02:39:35.520 the national vote and could have a 40
02:39:38.420 plus state blowout with a Sanders that's 1.00
02:39:40.740 just not going to be the case I don't
02:39:42.180 I don't agree with this I mean I don't I
02:39:43.820 don't I was exaggerating I was being
02:39:45.640 funny but I but I still think that you
02:39:48.440 guys don't count in certain things
02:39:50.800 that are actually true like the fact
02:39:52.340 that Trump is doing a great job that
02:39:54.380 that a lot of people a lot of people
02:39:56.400 who I know a lot of people who hated
02:39:59.120 Trump as much as you hate Trump when
02:40:01.880 you start as much as I hated Trump
02:40:02.960 during the primaries who are now
02:40:05.320 writing to me and saying of course you
02:40:06.960 know but there's a different group of
02:40:08.280 people who held their nose and voted
02:40:10.460 for Trump last time who have come to
02:40:12.300 hate Donald Trump many of them here is
02:40:14.920 many of them are suburban housewives
02:40:16.440 one of them is Clint Eastwood I mean we
02:40:18.200 keep we keep kind of blowing past this
02:40:19.940 but Clint Eastwood's piece his statement
02:40:22.140 about voting for Bloomberg does
02:40:24.380 represent a sentiment and I'll actually
02:40:26.320 tell you something that makes it a
02:40:27.300 little bit sadder when I met Donald
02:40:28.620 Trump the very first words that he
02:40:31.240 spoke to me were is Clint Eastwood here
02:40:33.500 I was hosting Donald Trump for an
02:40:35.540 event and the thing that was so
02:40:37.460 important to him was to meet Clint
02:40:39.460 Eastwood because Clint Eastwood is
02:40:40.760 especially to I mean even to me but
02:40:42.960 especially to someone of that age he's
02:40:45.140 the man he's the man but you know the
02:40:46.720 same the same Clint Eastwood is a is
02:40:48.480 not a small thing that's right against
02:40:49.620 Sanders it's a it's a different thing
02:40:51.280 it's a whole different ball that's
02:40:52.280 right against against Sanders it's like
02:40:53.900 who's more off-putting the octogenarian
02:40:55.600 communists of course it's more
02:40:56.700 dangerous the octogenarian communists
02:40:58.160 it is a different ballgame but but Biden
02:40:59.980 is he he's just going to get worse and
02:41:02.740 he's getting worse fast he's worse now
02:41:04.540 than he was two months ago yeah he's
02:41:06.100 going to be worse in two months than he
02:41:07.240 is now and I think well you know he's
02:41:08.920 he's in serious this is an important
02:41:10.360 point because you have seen him
02:41:11.720 deteriorate and it yes it is
02:41:13.180 accelerating and the reason for that
02:41:14.860 is it's very very difficult to run
02:41:16.720 for president they've been on
02:41:17.980 presidential campaign trails the
02:41:19.540 schedules these guys keep up are
02:41:21.340 absolutely insane to watch them on
02:41:23.400 it's tiring to watch a 50 year old do 0.53
02:41:24.960 it's tiring about you so to watch a man
02:41:27.480 who's now 77 years old at he's still
02:41:30.340 got what six months to go he is going
02:41:32.640 to get a day by day the guy's going to
02:41:34.200 be pulling 18 hour days he's physically
02:41:36.620 going to fall apart I predict and I
02:41:38.900 he's he's it's happening to him it's
02:41:40.740 happening but but remember he didn't
02:41:42.920 campaign and he's winning I mean I
02:41:45.680 mean like Joe Biden isn't doing
02:41:48.040 anything Joe Biden Joe Biden has been
02:41:50.060 doing less campaign events than any
02:41:51.380 other candidate on the map in the last
02:41:52.640 week he's done a few campaign events
02:41:53.800 that's it Joe Biden has been Joe Biden
02:41:56.060 has not spent a dime on advertising
02:41:57.560 he's not spent a dime on on a staff
02:41:59.860 has no staff okay the the going theory
02:42:02.320 by the New York Times a week ago was
02:42:04.040 that because Joe Biden had no staffers
02:42:05.560 in any of the on-the-ground states in
02:42:06.800 the south that he was going to
02:42:07.700 underperform his wildly overperform
02:42:09.540 performing estimates in all of these
02:42:10.800 areas so he hasn't campaigned he
02:42:12.700 hasn't spent money and he hasn't
02:42:14.000 built a staff you know it's a thing
02:42:15.260 two of those three things they're
02:42:16.560 going to change by the time a general
02:42:17.700 election comes they're gonna spend
02:42:18.580 oodles of money and he will indeed
02:42:20.280 have ground staff particularly he ain't
02:42:22.360 gonna forget to visit Wisconsin this
02:42:23.400 time guys let's not forget that we
02:42:24.520 watched Hillary completely physically 1.00
02:42:26.600 deteriorate during the 2016 election
02:42:28.500 legitimately I know that she
02:42:30.100 collapsed she physically collapsed
02:42:31.540 into a van and they drove her away 0.79
02:42:33.180 yeah and and she won the majority 1.00
02:42:36.180 more not the majority more Americans
02:42:37.900 voted for them voted for Donald Trump
02:42:39.320 and even today sent that Trump won and
02:42:42.320 legitimately won it was by about a
02:42:44.280 fewer than a hundred thousand votes in
02:42:46.080 critical places by the same token that
02:42:47.480 you were talking about health care and
02:42:48.620 you said people like what they have
02:42:49.860 the incumbent has a tremendous I agree
02:42:52.480 that absolutely I agree that Obama Obama
02:42:54.620 was one of the most incompetent presidents
02:42:56.840 we have ever had like like him agree
02:42:59.280 with him you know whatever he was an
02:43:01.220 incompetent president but he was the man
02:43:03.460 he was the guy who was in there
02:43:04.460 so first of all I've said that I think
02:43:06.500 it's Donald Trump's to lose I do think
02:43:08.500 that the incumbent comes with
02:43:09.400 advantages I do think Donald Trump is
02:43:11.540 in a favored position to win the
02:43:12.780 election I think the idea that he's
02:43:14.220 going to sweep it run with it blow it
02:43:15.780 out 48 states win the popular vote
02:43:17.640 think that's delusional yeah I think
02:43:19.420 that he is in the favored position to
02:43:20.940 win the race but it is my pushback
02:43:23.800 against everything else that you've
02:43:24.880 said tonight is what you just said
02:43:26.620 people don't vote because there's food
02:43:30.100 on the table they do when a country is
02:43:32.420 poor and it's a literal question of
02:43:33.900 food on the table or not food on the
02:43:35.540 table but we're so rich in this
02:43:37.460 country that we can actually afford
02:43:39.440 certain affects and the proof of this
02:43:41.520 is that Barack Obama is the first
02:43:44.460 president ever in our lifetimes or
02:43:46.340 maybe in in the 20th since the beginning
02:43:48.380 of the 20th century to win under the
02:43:50.280 economic conditions that he won because
02:43:52.340 even though he was a terrible president
02:43:53.960 even though the country was doing
02:43:55.200 horribly economically that isn't
02:43:57.600 actually people's prime motivation
02:43:58.940 anymore people's prime motivation in
02:44:01.020 America today because we are so rich
02:44:02.980 is the signaling of virtue no I don't
02:44:06.980 that is the as long as we're not in a
02:44:09.560 full-scale depression I think that's
02:44:10.620 true meaning that unless we know when
02:44:12.660 when Trump was running I remember there
02:44:15.060 was this moment where he was talking
02:44:16.600 to one of his enormous rallies and he
02:44:18.680 said if the unemployment rate were
02:44:20.560 actually 5% this room wouldn't be full
02:44:23.800 the employment rate is now almost what
02:44:26.760 they say it is I mean for the first
02:44:28.420 time people are actually working it you
02:44:31.540 know I'm sorry but this is something
02:44:33.220 that people feel in their lives and
02:44:34.760 they do vote for that it's different
02:44:36.460 it's different than numbers it's
02:44:37.880 different they didn't with Obama but
02:44:39.220 it's different than statistics I mean
02:44:40.860 I'm not talking about statistics I'm
02:44:42.320 saying that that was the economy was
02:44:43.560 actually bad during Obama yeah and he
02:44:46.180 won because that was the power of the
02:44:48.120 incumbency I think yeah he also ran
02:44:49.580 against two terrible candidates the one
02:44:51.520 counterpoint I would make to this
02:44:52.780 because I do generally agree people
02:44:54.420 want to be perceived in a certain way
02:44:55.860 they want to feel that they're
02:44:57.100 virtuous and they want to have some
02:44:58.320 meaning when did Elizabeth Warren's
02:45:00.700 campaign fall apart it fell apart when
02:45:03.760 she released that health care plan
02:45:05.140 right she releases this by the large 0.99
02:45:07.380 estimates 52 trillion dollar health
02:45:09.000 care plan because she became scary and 0.99
02:45:10.960 she finally she became scary and people 0.98
02:45:12.620 looked at the policy one thing I'm
02:45:13.980 always shocked by this sounds like one
02:45:15.560 of those stories that people tell on
02:45:16.620 the campaign trail but it really did
02:45:18.020 happen I was in an uber in the middle
02:45:20.100 of nowhere I have I don't remember
02:45:21.560 what town I was in I think it was in
02:45:22.720 Alabama and I get in and I'm
02:45:24.320 talking to the uber driver and she's
02:45:25.860 this lovely woman and we're talking
02:45:27.520 about that it was right when the tax
02:45:28.560 plan was coming out and she said
02:45:29.940 what do you think about the tax plan
02:45:30.940 and I said well you know I'm a
02:45:32.100 political commentator so let me give
02:45:33.660 my dumb view about this and I said
02:45:35.640 what do you think and she she went
02:45:37.620 through the tax plan explained to me
02:45:39.560 the provisions of the tax plan I had
02:45:41.500 no idea what they were I think people
02:45:43.200 pay a little closer attention than a
02:45:46.000 lot of us give them I'm just gonna I'm
02:45:47.220 just gonna okay so I know we like to
02:45:49.080 pretend that polls don't mean
02:45:50.120 anything because they no polls don't
02:45:52.120 mean anything a certain time okay no
02:45:53.620 but even then I don't actually buy
02:45:56.500 this and the reason I say this is I'm
02:45:57.780 gonna read you some polls this is this
02:45:58.920 is the polls from Romney versus Obama
02:46:00.380 okay incumbent president versus versus
02:46:02.680 outsider Barack Obama who has
02:46:05.360 according to most of the numbers you
02:46:08.020 know a an approval rating somewhere in
02:46:09.540 the neighborhood that Donald Trump
02:46:10.700 does now right Donald Trump's maybe a
02:46:12.460 little bit lower by some estimates in
02:46:13.520 the average maybe a little bit higher
02:46:14.640 by Rasmussen or whatever okay so here
02:46:16.640 are the polls from February of 2012
02:46:19.920 okay so that year and Romney was
02:46:21.700 wrapping up the nomination already
02:46:22.700 here are the polls Obama plus six plus
02:46:24.680 six plus six plus five plus ten plus
02:46:26.040 eight plus seven plus six plus five
02:46:27.160 plus four plus two plus four Romney
02:46:28.860 plus four Obama plus eight plus ten plus
02:46:30.380 six plus five the point that I'm
02:46:31.700 making is that the polls were not wrong
02:46:34.300 okay Barack Obama was in the lead now
02:46:36.300 here are the polls for Joe Biden
02:46:38.080 versus Donald Trump in February okay
02:46:40.500 January and February okay when when
02:46:42.780 he's just wrapping it up now so he
02:46:43.960 hadn't even wrapped it up yet okay
02:46:45.300 Biden plus nine plus nine plus nine
02:46:46.860 plus four plus one plus six plus seven
02:46:48.360 plus six plus eight Trump plus four
02:46:50.000 Biden plus seven plus two plus eight
02:46:51.420 plus nine okay the point that I'm
02:46:53.340 making is that when every single poll
02:46:55.680 is in one direction it takes a miracle
02:46:58.100 which is what Trump got not the
02:46:59.880 national vote but he did get a miracle
02:47:01.100 in the electoral college in order to
02:47:02.720 swing a victory so the sort of
02:47:04.620 sanguinity that I'm hearing is what
02:47:06.580 it's not the reason it's not
02:47:08.140 the reason it's not sanguinity is I'm
02:47:10.200 talking about tonight and I totally
02:47:12.180 understand that the thing is up for
02:47:13.460 grabs yeah you're right I don't I 1.00
02:47:16.460 don't believe the polls you are right
02:47:18.100 that the polls on Obama were much
02:47:19.880 better than they were the national
02:47:21.560 polls on Hillary versus Trump were
02:47:22.740 correct it was the state polls that
02:47:23.840 were incorrect they were within one
02:47:25.080 point on the national polls they were
02:47:27.520 I mean that that is a fact the real
02:47:29.060 clear politics poll average was
02:47:30.140 within within a point on the national
02:47:31.280 polling right well where where the
02:47:32.920 polls matter right they matter on the
02:47:34.440 okay but but now but the bottom
02:47:36.040 that's not actually my point my my
02:47:37.720 point is that right at this moment
02:47:39.080 this is a tremendously volatile
02:47:41.180 moment we are going to have a we are
02:47:43.800 going to have a campaign it it listen
02:47:46.040 if what you're saying if what you're
02:47:47.420 saying is that baked into the
02:47:49.100 electorate is a Biden victory then if
02:47:52.680 you're right you're right no I'm not
02:47:53.940 saying baked into electorate is Biden
02:47:54.980 victory I'm saying that the the
02:47:57.040 advantages of incumbency have been
02:47:59.180 worn away by Donald Trump's
02:48:00.560 volatility and that Donald's not
02:48:02.260 entirely because the incumbent is
02:48:03.620 always in more powerful position
02:48:04.740 incumbent's trying to win he lands in
02:48:05.920 Air Force One but right I mean he's
02:48:07.600 the president of the United States he
02:48:08.780 gets credit for all the things that
02:48:09.880 go right and he has the power of the
02:48:12.520 airwaves because he's on TV all the
02:48:14.100 time every day but what I'm saying is
02:48:16.560 that there's this there's this idea in
02:48:18.340 the in the Republican Party that I
02:48:20.800 don't think there is the appropriate
02:48:21.880 level of concern about Donald Trump's
02:48:24.160 antics that there ought to be inside
02:48:25.740 the Republican Party well and I think
02:48:27.100 that if you if you you you you and
02:48:28.840 you Andrew Klavan have made the point
02:48:30.220 over and over and over that Donald
02:48:31.740 Trump is capable of learning and I've
02:48:33.700 made the point that I'm concerned
02:48:34.640 that Donald Trump is not capable of
02:48:35.780 learning and in some areas he
02:48:37.560 shown evidence I would say of being
02:48:39.660 able to learn particularly on policy
02:48:41.080 in areas of personal conduct I don't
02:48:43.620 think he has shown tremendous
02:48:44.460 evidence of learning if you are right
02:48:45.900 and I pray that you are then the
02:48:47.540 best move that the Republican Party
02:48:48.800 can make right now is to sit this man
02:48:51.220 down and explain to him that this is
02:48:53.260 not a walkover election that this
02:48:54.980 election is not easy and that there is
02:48:56.820 no then that betting on miracles the
02:48:58.600 second time around like at a certain
02:49:00.620 point God is going to say like dude
02:49:02.900 like I sent you the helicopter the first
02:49:04.220 time like could you just stop please
02:49:05.700 you know I mean you you and I have
02:49:07.080 been in complete agreement on the
02:49:08.400 antics of Donald Trump and people
02:49:09.740 people I know I don't know about you
02:49:11.660 but they misunderstand me they think
02:49:13.280 I'm attacking him when what I'm
02:49:14.760 saying is no this is not smart it's
02:49:16.480 not smart right exactly like do better
02:49:18.200 do better just do better just do better
02:49:19.800 it is not smart to attack Bill Barr when
02:49:22.600 he's doing his job that is not a smart
02:49:24.140 move politically I mean politically it
02:49:26.380 doesn't matter what you think or who's
02:49:27.720 who's right and who's wrong and it it
02:49:29.960 worries me I'm not I'm not saying when I'm
02:49:32.380 not saying when at all I'm simply saying
02:49:34.180 that right at this moment you know
02:49:36.000 there's an old political sayings the old
02:49:37.660 it may be the oldest political sayings
02:49:39.380 you can't be someone with no one right
02:49:41.340 now the Democrats have no one I want to
02:49:43.400 I I don't fully agree with Ben I mean
02:49:46.240 we we're generally on the same side of
02:49:47.820 this but what I'm saying is slightly
02:49:48.980 different what I'm saying is that
02:49:50.540 tonight is a bad night for Donald Trump
02:49:52.260 I'm not saying that I agree that it
02:49:54.280 would be better if not just that it's a
02:49:56.940 yes it is a bad night for Donald Trump
02:49:58.720 because the person who has the best
02:50:00.200 chance at beating him we thought was
02:50:02.080 defeated and that isn't true now the
02:50:04.480 guy's fully in it it's a bad night for
02:50:06.840 Donald Trump because the thing that
02:50:08.440 Trump is that is his greatest strength
02:50:10.120 which is his economy is badly
02:50:12.480 compromised for the first time and the
02:50:13.840 thing that's compromising it doesn't
02:50:15.520 show any signs of letting up in the near
02:50:17.900 term and provides enormous fodder for
02:50:20.460 his opponents and fundamentally his
02:50:22.820 opponents are the media I'm saying that
02:50:24.840 Donald Trump's and they are lying about
02:50:26.440 him and we all agree that Donald Trump's
02:50:28.900 Donald Trump's best Donald Trump's
02:50:31.980 chances of weight retaining the
02:50:33.880 presidency were much better his outlook
02:50:36.780 was much better 10 days ago and his
02:50:39.020 outlook tonight while it is still I
02:50:41.360 agree it is his to lose I agree that the
02:50:43.400 incumbency has power his chances tonight
02:50:45.500 are worse that this is a bad night and I
02:50:47.840 think that the Republican Party you call
02:50:51.640 it health I'm not sure if it's health but
02:50:53.400 the one thing that I think we both agree
02:50:54.660 the Republican Party is as unified behind
02:50:56.600 this president as they've been behind any
02:50:58.620 president in my political life ever by
02:51:02.020 far ever yeah I worry that when I hear
02:51:05.080 Republicans talk about the real America
02:51:06.960 and America rose up and Donald Trump had a
02:51:09.560 message for America I think that we're
02:51:11.460 using language from the sort of Nixonian
02:51:13.820 60s past when there was this silent
02:51:16.320 majority and that was true and we're
02:51:19.480 pretending that our enthusiasm for him
02:51:21.740 within our tent in our bubble equals real
02:51:25.380 America's enthusiasm for him and I worry
02:51:27.580 that what we're missing is that real
02:51:29.160 America has changed and we may be the
02:51:31.840 political Republicans are good at winning
02:51:33.880 elections we are we're good at wielding
02:51:37.120 and stealing victories from the jaws of
02:51:41.860 defeat I guess is that right yeah but
02:51:43.720 we're but we have lost as a as a sheer
02:51:48.820 matter of numbers we've lost the culture the
02:51:52.320 fact that three or four million more people voted
02:51:54.200 for Hillary is meaningful the fact that his
02:51:57.120 best voting demographic is the very old and that 1.00
02:52:00.520 for the first time in 2020 the very old or no the
02:52:03.480 boomers are no longer the majority of voters is
02:52:06.840 bad now you can say yeah but their kids and they
02:52:09.220 won't show up yeah I hope all of that that may
02:52:11.340 all be true that's how you win electoral victories and
02:52:13.660 again we're good electoral victories all of their all of
02:52:16.320 their advantages may not equal victory but I do
02:52:19.460 think that we're taking our enthusiasm and pretending that the
02:52:23.500 country is something I first of all I think I think you're
02:52:26.220 right about this I think that we have reached a tremendous
02:52:28.580 watershed as I've said from the very beginning where I think
02:52:31.820 that the old order has gone away I don't think the new order
02:52:34.920 has formed itself and one of the things that we've been
02:52:36.740 very fortunate in is that the Democrats have no ideas their
02:52:40.700 ideas are from the 19th literally from the 19th century that
02:52:43.680 they're selling these ideas what what is weird to me and
02:52:46.860 hopeful to me is I don't think Donald Trump has the vision for
02:52:49.680 the future either obviously I don't think he has the idea of
02:52:52.560 what's going on but what I think is interesting is I think a
02:52:55.440 Republican Party is forming around him yeah that does have a
02:52:59.620 vision for the future and that somebody is going to tap into
02:53:02.100 eventually and I think it is a Republican Party now you're you're
02:53:05.680 right about America America has deeply deeply changed but it's
02:53:08.860 in flux as I've said from the minute Trump was elected the
02:53:12.700 furniture the gravity has left the building the furniture is
02:53:15.200 floating around the room we don't know where it's going to land but
02:53:18.120 so far what I've seen from the people gathering around Trump not
02:53:21.900 from Trump himself because like I said I don't think he has that
02:53:24.440 vision but from the people gathering around Trump is that a
02:53:26.920 vision is forming on the right that has not yet formed on the
02:53:29.720 left socialism never works it doesn't work it always fails they are
02:53:33.580 selling something that is so old well there's a reason there's a
02:53:37.080 reason their candidates is old because they're selling this is one
02:53:40.020 of the reasons why you're right that it would be better for Trump
02:53:42.100 if Sanders were the nominee because it gives you an opponent an
02:53:44.120 ideological opponent to bounce off of Joe Biden is just mush yeah right
02:53:47.960 who the hell knows what Joe Biden you may be you may be right that's
02:53:50.640 enough to get him over the top I'm yeah you know by the way they are
02:53:53.620 projecting that Biden is is now the winner of the Massachusetts
02:53:56.820 primary so on Massachusetts and Minnesota I mean that's it that's it by
02:53:59.820 all measures this is an excellent night this is why to both of you for
02:54:02.860 him I think certainly the president is more afraid of Joe Biden yeah Bernie
02:54:08.500 Sanders and the evidence of this is pretty simple he keeps defending Bernie
02:54:11.840 Sanders and he keeps attacking sleepy Joe and little Mike or mini Mike
02:54:14.940 rather so I love it it's a very fun troll he does he goes they're robbing
02:54:18.760 Bernie they're stealing you better go get him Bernie obviously if he thought
02:54:22.620 that Bernie were a real threat he would not be cheering right by the way again
02:54:25.740 Walsh Walsh on Twitter on these nights is he just tweeted out by calling his
02:54:30.520 sister his wife Joe Biden is making a bull play for Ilhan Omar
02:54:32.960 speaking of speaking of Matt Walsh we have with us here the man the myth
02:54:40.260 there it is okay I didn't mean to do that say his name three times and he
02:54:44.440 appears in the mirror
02:54:45.040 Matt how's it going out there good good I was gonna I was gonna use that Ilhan
02:54:51.400 Omar joke but then you just 0.93
02:54:52.500 I cited you though I cited you so what is so what do you uh what do you make of
02:55:00.300 Joe Biden's sweeping victories tonight good for the country bad for the country
02:55:03.720 where are you on this uh well I'm it's great for us as conservatives I
02:55:07.540 absolutely love it I'm loving every minute of this I I think that uh it's
02:55:10.760 great that the Democrats kicked out all their moderately talented politicians
02:55:14.760 left us with the two decrepit old kooks I I just I absolutely love it uh I guess
02:55:20.560 you guys have already covered the Biden confusing his yeah sister with his wife
02:55:24.080 I mean it's just it's it's amazing it's amazing stuff I really love it I love
02:55:27.620 every second of it what do you what do you make of the president's chances
02:55:30.820 against Biden uh one thing is I I'm I've discovered that I'm really bad at
02:55:37.200 predicting things with Donald Trump we all are I really I really have no idea I
02:55:41.560 would think that his chances are pretty good just because Joe Biden is I mean he
02:55:45.820 really is coming apart mentally and so I feel somewhat bad making jokes about it
02:55:49.600 because I actually do think that he's suffering from dementia the guy's gonna be
02:55:52.680 78 years old we have to keep in mind that and I've been I've been beating this drum
02:55:56.760 at at 80 at the age of 80 your chance of getting dementia is about 20 percent a 75
02:56:02.140 year old man has a life expectancy of 10 years and those are those are for for people 1.00
02:56:07.020 that are retired and are just on the golf course or all day if you take on the most
02:56:11.080 stressful job in the world how does that affect it so I really believe it's worse than
02:56:16.520 that because I don't believe Joe Biden lives on fast food and I think that he's
02:56:20.740 actually done some exercise in his life and so if you compare him to our other uh 70
02:56:25.180 plus year old president he has much less life energy he's depleted his energy
02:56:29.300 on the Biden uh sort of play here I know Matt that you are very faithful and a strong believer
02:56:37.860 in the thing do you believe that Joe Biden is going to make inroads among evangelical
02:56:42.220 thingians I I think well he you know he's given all the glory to the thing today
02:56:47.420 it's hard for me to see how Christians could support Joe Biden considering that he has fallen
02:56:57.720 in line and and he now supports far as I know he supports abortion uh through all stages of
02:57:02.420 pregnancy because you have to in order to be a democrat in the year 2020 but at the same time
02:57:07.060 you know he I think that moment he had a couple uh days ago where he was talking about his faith and
02:57:12.240 and losing his his wife and his uh and his kids that that was a real moment and I do think that
02:57:16.780 connects with people that's the one thing I'll give to Joe Biden the credit I'll give him is that
02:57:20.800 he he has suffered more than than um than I certainly have ever in my life that could ever
02:57:26.120 conceive of suffering and he's been able to move forward at least after going through that which
02:57:32.060 I don't think I'd be able to do I think to even go through something like that and just get up the
02:57:36.020 next day and one foot in front of another takes courage so you know of course that's true but I I do
02:57:40.820 want to point out here and this is certainly going to come up if Biden gets the nomination gets to a
02:57:44.780 general uh obviously Biden suffers this horrific tragedy unimaginable tragedy the the driver who
02:57:51.540 struck his wife's car and killed killed his wife was uh it was just an accident he was tested he was
02:57:58.420 not a drunk driver it was just a horrible horrible accident which Joe Biden you know would talk about
02:58:02.960 for years after that driver died he began to slander him absolutely baselessly as a drunk driver and he did
02:58:10.580 it repeatedly on the campaign trail in 2008 it was disgusting it was despicable it caused horrific
02:58:16.300 pain to that man's family that's going to come back up and that's a really slimy grimy thing to do I
02:58:22.280 will say this is one of the terrible things about politics it's a it ends up being true of any
02:58:27.500 politician if they stay in politics long enough is that they actually have to take what's real
02:58:33.520 about themselves yeah and morph it into something that's packaged yeah that's correct it's terrible
02:58:39.920 by the way I'm just going to put it out there the Trump versus Biden debates as I said this back in
02:58:44.100 December I'm going to re-up this they are going to be the Swedish chef versus Chewbacca
02:58:47.740 one of the things we've been uh talking about other than how great you are on Twitter on nights like
02:59:01.880 this but we've been speaking over the course of the night about a vision for this sort of vision
02:59:05.900 for a new conservatism that you hear a lot of people talking about right now where are you on
02:59:10.500 this thing um well you know I I think I'm not exactly sure what conservatism is right now or
02:59:17.120 what it has been and uh I think it's good I guess that we're talking about it um so I think that we
02:59:22.800 do need I don't know if it's a new conservatism or at least conservatism to be defined as something
02:59:27.260 which which I think comes down to a basic question of course which is what exactly are we trying to
02:59:32.420 conserve and if we can't agree on on what that thing is then I'm not even sure if we're all in the
02:59:37.100 same movement or not and so I guess I guess that's the question and the fact that we're at least
02:59:40.940 having that discussion finally uh really for the first time in my life that I can remember
02:59:45.100 I I would say that's a positive step forward. Matt you've made this point I've noticed it on
02:59:49.580 Twitter and on your show which I think is really helpful to frame the discussion because I think
02:59:53.220 each side you know the more kind of socially traditional side they'll point to the other guys
02:59:58.060 and they'll say you're crazy libertarians and then the libertarians will point they'll say
03:00:01.560 you're a bunch of catholic integralists who want the pope to rule America but really the issue that you
03:00:06.700 come back to a lot Matt is hey do we think that uh drag queens should twerk in toddlers faces do we 0.98
03:00:13.340 think the founding fathers believed this was like a blessing of liberty and a glory of America and I
03:00:18.700 think at least you and I would say no but I think really all of us would say no we shouldn't have
03:00:23.860 that right now the question is how to respond right and the question is what government policy is is
03:00:28.680 well calibrated to achieve the the goal of protecting the innocence of children right and I think that the
03:00:33.620 people who are like well the first amendment needs to be uh it needs to be adam braided in order so
03:00:37.760 that we can ensure that that we can't have drag queens twerking at first of all let's just be real 1.00
03:00:42.340 about this yes drag queen story hours horrific it's child abuse also you know what happens those kids 1.00
03:00:47.400 live in homes with parents who bring them to drag queen story hours so in the life of the children
03:00:50.800 and like the grand list of things that harm children I believe I believe that child abuse is the
03:00:55.160 number one health problem in this country number one health problem and then the normalization of
03:01:00.520 child abuse the fact that it's mainstream people defend it and I think with something like drag queen 0.99
03:01:04.600 drag queens twerking in front of kids it should it would be really easy actually at least
03:01:09.780 practically speaking to make laws against this kind of thing I would think now politically speaking
03:01:14.720 it of course wouldn't be wouldn't be easy to do but I think that's what the problem is a lot of
03:01:19.620 conservatives are very reluctant about calling for laws for this state to be used even to protect
03:01:26.060 the innocent and I think we have to get over that squeamishness because when it comes to our kids
03:01:30.480 being abused to the sound of applause that one video of the of the you know the drag queen performing
03:01:37.360 a strip tease essentially in front of a six-year-old girl that's where I think the state needs to rise up 1.00
03:01:42.860 and and do what it's supposed to do you know right now in the United States in 19 states adultery is 0.99
03:01:47.720 illegal until the mid-20th century cohabitation fornication and adultery were illegal in most states in
03:01:54.460 America how'd that work and well it worked out very well America was pretty good up until that point
03:01:58.920 you know do you think that was because of the legal barriers or do you think that was because we had
03:02:01.700 a culture of people who's scoring people I think I think culture affects politics and politics
03:02:05.180 affects culture too no politics is the last vestige of culture no that means that once the culture has
03:02:10.000 gone the politics it's more complicated than this I mean people people now say to me well what good
03:02:14.400 is an anti-abortion law when you can take a pill that gives you an abortion and that is practically
03:02:18.880 true but culturally I think it is important to say that life is protected that you can't kill people
03:02:24.140 you can't solve your problems by killing people I think it's also important let me ask you so let
03:02:27.540 me ask you this I mean he's going to brought it up do you think that adultery should be illegal do
03:02:30.860 you think the state should prosecute adultery do it no I probably don't but but I but I have to say
03:02:35.240 that once you know when once you say this once you say that you can have a no-fault divorce
03:02:38.980 there's no argument it's horrific letting gay people I did well no-fault divorce I don't I don't 1.00
03:02:43.860 think this is why I don't think that the state should be the arbiter of morality I think that the
03:02:47.600 state as the as the entity that determines whether I can divorce somebody is ridiculous because the
03:02:51.560 state's garbage at everything yeah I think my shul I think my synagogue should determine whether I 0.77
03:02:54.800 can divorce somebody and guess what mine mine is pretty damn strict about this sort of yeah but
03:02:58.020 this the problem is I mean it is more complicated than this it is true it is true that the state
03:03:03.560 that our laws reflect morality that is what they reflect our laws say this is something you can't do
03:03:08.820 and they don't just reflect harm they were actually reflect natural rights come from the natural law
03:03:13.300 that's right but I think where I would push back I know what conservatism is the conservatism I'm
03:03:19.280 willing to fight for the thing that I want to conserve is American liberalism yeah the only
03:03:24.180 thing I'm interested in conserving from you know not the only thing I'm interested in conserving the
03:03:28.060 thing I am ultimately interested in conserving from the point of view of the state the use of
03:03:33.080 the state is American liberalism and but wouldn't you say I mean just not just a slight interjection here
03:03:38.180 obviously at the time of the founding all these sorts of things there were laws against
03:03:42.420 ornication cohabitation all these kind of moral laws that now we would say are antithetical
03:03:46.980 to conservatism but all our wonderfully enlightened liberal founding fathers no because morality this
03:03:52.980 is where I disagree with you guys about morality I don't agree that there is an absolute universal
03:03:57.620 morality given to us by God I don't think that's true morality there may be an absolute standard
03:04:03.380 given to us by God but that is not the definition of morality morality is a cultural phenomenon
03:04:08.580 ethics is a cultural yes ethics is a cultural phenomenon when you live when you live in a country
03:04:13.840 where the vast majority of people agree that divorce is wrong then the laws can reflect that
03:04:20.660 belief this is the other side without it being tyrannical yes when you live in a country where the
03:04:24.600 vast majority of people believe that uh that divorce is right then a law making divorce illegal is
03:04:33.340 tyrannical this is the other side of the problem and this is the point where by by I'm sorry just just
03:04:38.360 one second here if you then pass a law to make it illegal again by definition it's not tyrannical
03:04:43.380 because the duly elected representatives are voting okay well now you now now you've set up a
03:04:46.940 principle that has no slavery slavery once once you say that and once you say majority represented
03:04:51.020 right once you say majority makes i think there's an objective moral law but my premise is that it is
03:04:55.820 while we have matt here let me ask you you're talking about something that I think can't does pass the
03:05:01.140 smell test which is protecting children but what do you do when you get beyond this point I mean
03:05:06.540 for instance drag queen story hour as Ben says is something that people bring their children to
03:05:12.220 should you not be allowed to do that if you're in San Francisco where everybody's nuts
03:05:15.920 I would say you shouldn't be allowed to do it the parents should be arrested I mean if I were in
03:05:20.200 charge that's what I would do I would I would just arrest the parents I think you're you're bringing
03:05:23.920 your child in to be conditioned in a very pedophilic way that might not be the intention of the
03:05:29.600 parent but it's the same thing if look if I think we would most of us would probably agree that it that
03:05:33.840 it should be illegal it probably is to bring your your six-year-old child to a burlesque show in in
03:05:39.820 Las Vegas I don't think you can do that and I think we would all agree that if a parent did that
03:05:43.840 that parent should be carted off to jail because that is so grotesque and obscene and you're abusing
03:05:49.400 your child it shouldn't be allowed in a decent society it's the same thing with drag queens drag 1.00
03:05:53.480 drag queens that is burlesque the only difference is that it's a man dressed up like a woman I actually
03:05:59.060 agree with this but but I think this is why the drag queen story hour is not the proper example of
03:06:03.560 of this particular sort of conversation I think the adults were example is actually a better example of this sort of
03:06:08.660 conversation because there you're talking about consenting adults involved in activities that you disapprove of well
03:06:13.480 really it is on the continuum because Jeremy says well in a in a community where everybody agrees adultery is wrong
03:06:20.020 you can pass an anti-adultery law law but in the community where everybody agrees that child abuse is right 1.00
03:06:26.080 they're all wrong and somebody does I mean so obviously so obviously I agree with that but I also I think one of the
03:06:33.400 things that Jeremy and I also agree on is the is the power of localism and I think that one of the things
03:06:38.160 that has happened here is that the conservative movement has decided to nationalize every issue
03:06:41.360 because the left has decided to nationalize every issue and that's a disaster area in and of itself
03:06:44.720 except in cases where the non-harm principle is violated this is why I keep saying I think drag queen story 0.96
03:06:48.480 hour is a poor example abortion is a poor example the non-harm principle is in fact violated in those cases
03:06:53.220 you can be a full-on libertarian and still believe that children should not be dragged to burlesque
03:06:57.400 shows and believe that children should not be aborted the question really I mean this was the
03:07:01.300 debate that everyone had the conservatives at the end of 2019 which was should we have regulations on
03:07:06.400 pornography obviously we do currently 10 years ago we jailed a pornographer for obscenity at the federal
03:07:11.540 level and you still need an id if you want to buy a playboy but there are some people who say there
03:07:16.460 should not be regulations on pornography matt yeah and and I think the the the strongest argument
03:07:23.020 there in my opinion about the pornography thing that I I didn't hear anyone give a an answer to as far as I saw
03:07:28.660 was that uh it's an it is an issue of of consent and um and right now children if this stuff is all over the
03:07:36.100 internet then children will have access to it as they do we know that children you know on average I think
03:07:41.000 the age is eight now that they're exposed to hardcore porn which is insane um but children are not able to
03:07:46.780 consent to being exposed to that sort of thing just for the same reason that children aren't allowed to
03:07:51.500 aren't able to consent to being involved in a sexual act or participating in one I would say that
03:07:56.340 they that they aren't able to psychologically psychologically consent to being a spectator in a
03:08:01.540 um in a in a sexual act so I would say putting this stuff in the public domain automatically violates
03:08:09.200 the consent of children because you're you're putting it in a place where they can find it and
03:08:13.100 they can't consent to it so when they're exposed to it they are being abused for the same reason that
03:08:18.320 you have and I think that if the so-called uh common good movement on the right were to make
03:08:25.220 a suggestion that we should regulate uh the distribution of pornography to make it far less
03:08:31.360 accessible to children there's no argument they would get a lot of buy-in from even the most ardent
03:08:35.840 libertarian maybe not the very most ardent not not the folks of reason they would get a lot of buy-in
03:08:40.920 from all the people who they slander by calling them libertarians but but that's not what they do
03:08:45.060 the argument online is should we ban porn you're a pervert if you think the answer is no that there's
03:08:51.740 a major difference between banning porn like should we ban drag queens is a different question than
03:08:57.520 should we allow parents to bring children well then let me bring this then into both of these
03:09:02.660 arguments to the localism point which is do you think it is perfectly right and american and just
03:09:07.900 to allow local jurisdictions to pass their own regulations on pornography in their town or their
03:09:13.960 their it used to be that used to be certainly yes it's fine but you know i don't have a problem
03:09:17.800 with that especially because again pornography is not a core right but i think that when you get
03:09:21.040 into areas where core right is implicated yeah then then things change very quickly what's
03:09:27.660 interesting about this and the reason i call this such a huge health problem is the left actually
03:09:31.660 agrees with us but doesn't know it when they look at harvey weinstein they said oh how wonderful
03:09:37.560 that the jury was able to convict even though these women continued in a relationship with their
03:09:43.740 racist rapist and the reason they continued in a relationship with their rapist is because they 0.65
03:09:47.860 were all abused as children every single one of them every single one of the women that harvey 1.00
03:09:52.560 abused and then stuck with them had been abused as a child and that conditions you to think of abuse
03:09:57.980 as as affection and and that is the reason those people are in that situation and those are the
03:10:03.260 people that harvey weinstein fed off of it's all one thing and by the way nbc which killed the harvey
03:10:09.140 weinstein story because they were protecting matt lauer and abc which killed the jeff jeffrey epstein
03:10:14.480 story i mean are all participating in this and i think it's when we start to see right this is a
03:10:19.360 continuum i actually think there is a consensus to be at here well again i think that consensus is
03:10:24.040 largely i go back to the localism point i think the consensus is largely based on localism the
03:10:28.200 government the founders did create a when it came to these issues an extraordinarily weak federal
03:10:32.860 government when it came to issues of regulating speech very very weak when it came to the states
03:10:36.780 even most states have protections for speech in the state constitution when it comes to the local
03:10:40.480 level and you're regulating zoning like i don't know many conservatives who are like i'm anti-zoning
03:10:45.220 laws when it comes to a pornography shop next to my house like everybody's like nobody wants porn in
03:10:49.000 their local community i get it i'm for it i think right and and that's fine but i think that once you
03:10:53.680 start getting to the issue of what is government capable of doing and what should government do the
03:10:58.300 easy conflation of everything you'd want done on your local level with the federal government doing it to
03:11:02.020 everybody is a very very different issue it's a real problem and it's also a problem in an internet age
03:11:06.420 when pornography is impossible to ban across state lines yeah it's well it's actually not
03:11:12.660 we think that the internet is working a certain way yeah which is that everything is everywhere
03:11:18.120 local servers can absolutely preclude you from seeing sites that you could see if you were in a
03:11:24.700 different jurisdiction absolutely that was one of the things that the net neutrality fight was
03:11:28.820 actually about no right and we won that fight so you can say that you can look at pornography in san
03:11:34.040 francisco and can't look at it in redding california yeah they can absolutely make that happen can you
03:11:38.460 make it foolproof well no but did none of you have a playboy magazine when you were uh not even i've
03:11:43.820 never i read it for the articles my article being it was very hard to access it was hard to access
03:11:49.280 yeah what now amounts to not even pornography it's just making a catalog yeah it's basically victoria
03:11:54.100 secret but it was hard to access that when i was a teenager but you still encountered it you just
03:11:59.280 didn't have unfettered complete access like i had probably seen three naked women in a magazine by 1.00
03:12:04.480 the time that i was uh 13 or 14 not three or four or five thousand people engaged in the most defiling
03:12:11.500 acts ever right this is another place where i think conservatives make major mistakes the modern
03:12:16.020 because we're becoming very centralized in our focus which i think is one of the things that i want
03:12:20.960 to conserve against yeah is that is that we think is that we think everything has to be an all win or
03:12:27.400 i agree with you yeah i think we're all on the same page on this quick updates on california and texas
03:12:31.660 california was called immediately out of the gate for sanders the exit polls are showing uh bernie up 38
03:12:36.980 to 23 over biden which is a fairly large victory obviously for bernie it also shows uh warren crossing
03:12:42.920 the threshold but not bloomberg from from what i understand so that that is uh that's complicating
03:12:47.880 things for biden's final victory tonight also texas is incredibly close at this point and give
03:12:53.540 us your give us your final assessment of uh of where things stand well i just think winner tonight
03:12:59.300 uh who knows like it sounds like biden i and i think that i could easily be wrong about that but
03:13:05.820 i keep going back i keep thinking about elizabeth warren and uh just what an absolute fraud and 1.00
03:13:12.020 charlatan this woman is that she's got her ideological ally who she's she's siphoning votes 1.00
03:13:18.220 away from and that's the only function she's serving at this point i can't see any other reason
03:13:22.240 that she's there so once again she's uh i guess that's not really the headline of tonight but she
03:13:27.260 is exposed yet again as a as an as a total fraud which i can't wait i can't wait to read on uh the
03:13:33.940 media matters twitter feed tomorrow about this white man condemning a native
03:13:37.360 saying that she doesn't belong in the race uh matt thanks for hanging out with us uh pick up matt's
03:13:43.780 new book church of cowards a wake-up call to complacent christians and tune in to the matt
03:13:48.600 wall show right here at the daily wire matt thanks again thanks man thanks a lot guys see you matt by
03:13:53.040 the way some some breaking news from california 84 percent of latinos under the age of 30 who came
03:13:57.320 out to vote voted for bernie ah okay that is it that is a brutal showing for joe biden and it does
03:14:02.000 demonstrate that his youth appeal exists even if the turnout is not necessarily up so
03:14:06.540 hey can can we stop for just a moment to celebrate the fact that this is the publication
03:14:10.260 day of my book the nightmare feast this is the publication oh really publication what are you
03:14:14.620 doing here you were the only guys who would give me free booze that's all the nightmare feast tell
03:14:20.380 us a little bit about it it is the second book in the another kingdom trilogy it was a very popular
03:14:25.380 podcast yeah on our on our own daily wire and it's been brought out absolutely put out a beautiful
03:14:31.460 edition of it and uh it is the story of this uh failed screenwriter who walks into a magical world
03:14:38.520 and finds himself uh a hero he didn't mean to be and it's uh i'm i'm so proud of this book and i have
03:14:45.100 to say knowles who's going to be recording the audiobook um has done a great job in bringing it to
03:14:49.780 life well that's very kind it pains me as you know to compliment drew on in this sort of seems to
03:14:55.120 paint everybody massive way but the series is just magnificent i mean it's so so good there's a
03:15:01.940 reason why it jumped to the top of the charts when we put out that very first season there's a reason
03:15:05.460 it stayed very popular but when you get to it's one of these rare trilogies where the first one is
03:15:11.540 good the second one is better and then the third one is best of all but you got to read the second one
03:15:16.960 if you want to get to the third one we got two million downloads on that third season yeah that's
03:15:20.560 pretty impressive yeah that's all right now all of my compliments are over all right thank you thank
03:15:24.220 you all right and i'll forget i'll forget forget them all go buy it wherever drew's crappy books
03:15:28.420 i want to hear from a few more daily wire subscribers they're the guys who keep us in
03:15:33.480 business by going over to dailywire.com clicking on that subscribe button and giving us their
03:15:37.560 hard-earned cash alicia uh do you have anything for us you don't you don't look like you've aged
03:15:41.480 today but i'm almost as old as joe biden broadcast it's professional hair and makeup and spanks
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03:16:37.860 dailywire.com slash subscribe and by the way we're still running that poll so don't forget to text in who
03:16:43.660 you think is going to win the democratic nomination by texting either biden sanders bloomberg or warren
03:16:49.940 to 83400 that's 83400 and we'll reveal the results at the end of the night once again that's not who's
03:16:56.920 going to take tonight which you know with the sanders getting california he's got a lot of delegates in his
03:17:01.980 camp now but who you think will end up being the dnc nominee all right so now we have a really good
03:17:08.040 question i like this one a lot if biden becomes the nominee and because he's kind of running as this
03:17:12.460 moderate and everybody talks about him as being such a nice guy what ads do you think that the
03:17:16.260 gop can cut to show his true liberal colors well the clip that made our friend andrew breitbart who
03:17:24.580 by the way we just sell i shouldn't say we didn't celebrate it commemorate just commemorated the eighth
03:17:28.720 anniversary of andrew's death this week the moment that made andrew a conservative was the the attack
03:17:35.780 by biden and kennedy on clarence thomas back during the the anita hill hearings i think i think you're
03:17:43.300 going to see a lot of joe from the old days back uh it's a long history it's a long history one of
03:17:49.520 the problems of being in public life literally a hundred percent of your total years yeah is that
03:17:54.720 there's an awful lot to pull from yeah that's true and it's going to be interesting because the
03:17:58.280 left has played up anita hill yes who's making the allegations against clarence thomas so they've
03:18:02.560 tried to make her into some kind of hero and for all the conservatives and normal-minded people we
03:18:06.900 say it was so outrageous it was to use clarence thomas's words a high-tech lynching so that'll
03:18:11.540 come up i do think that his smearing of the the guy involved in that car accident i think that's
03:18:16.540 going to come up just on a personal level it's very ugly and then you know he's held every position
03:18:21.440 he doesn't really believe in anything and a lot of the views that he held in his career back in the
03:18:26.560 1970s are not going to play very well with progressives today you saw kamala harris drag
03:18:32.060 up busing that was probably not a smart policy to bring up because it was always unpopular but
03:18:36.440 there's a lot of other stuff back there and so the only one i disagree with you on is i disagree
03:18:40.320 with you that they're going to go after him about the drunken driving thing because no losing too close
03:18:44.420 to his family they're not going to touch that honestly i don't think they're going to touch the
03:18:48.160 clarence thomas thing i don't i don't think that's it yeah because i think it's too long ago i think
03:18:51.600 that that clarence thomas is not seen widely by the media as as a victim hbo made an entire series
03:18:57.080 trying to rehabilitate anita hill so i really don't think that's where they're going to go i
03:19:00.340 think it's going to be entirely about hunter biden and then i think it's going to be entirely about
03:19:04.000 joe biden saying that for example he would like to stop fracking they're going to run that ad
03:19:08.880 1 000 times in the state of pennsylvania i think that that the problem for biden is he doesn't say
03:19:15.660 as sort of unbridled things as bernie sanders does so it's a little bit harder to find and again
03:19:21.580 when he does he's so crazy and so out of it that it's like do you attribute that to an actual
03:19:25.060 position or do you attribute to the fact that man's nuts i think they're going to play that that ad
03:19:28.780 well yeah the fact that he's too old yeah and the fact that he can't string his sentences together
03:19:32.220 that for sure is going to come out and trump's not going to be shy about any of that and and that did
03:19:36.060 hurt hillary clinton right i mean all the questions about her health they refuse to answer this is the 1.00
03:19:39.780 part the hunter stuff is really going to be telling for for biden because it was i mean there there was a
03:19:43.700 study recently that looked at the words that people were using to describe various candidates
03:19:47.260 and for biden it was something like good guy and corrupt those were like the two and corruption was
03:19:54.540 definitely in the top three because republicans have been hammering the hunter biden stuff so hard
03:19:57.700 and the fact is every single person with the last name biden has been enriching themselves off the
03:20:01.560 back of joe biden so it's amazing it's incredible like his brothers his son like all of that stuff is
03:20:06.640 going to become serious campaign fodder it does neutralize the trump is corrupt attack yeah the attack
03:20:11.940 that that is going to be hard to neutralize is the trump is a mean person whereas joe biden is a nice guy
03:20:16.240 attack that one's going to be tough with women yeah you know i've always thought the one thing 0.63
03:20:20.240 about the bernie sanders i've always thought is that it was it's hard for trump to attack bernie
03:20:25.400 sanders on certain like on being like loud and crazy you know because trump is all those things
03:20:31.260 and he's kind of right back at you that's the one thing that bernie was kind of uh uh protected about
03:20:36.120 bernie still has a shot at being the nominee oh he does the way the night's going it's not it's not
03:20:40.520 shaping up as well for biden well he's he's won texas so they gave wasserman from the york times
03:20:45.400 just declared that he that biden won texas that was biden won texas that biden won texas
03:20:49.360 yeah but remember the delegate count is going to still be the delegate count so the new york times
03:20:53.300 right now is putting the delegate count at biden at 631 and bernie at 575 then the question becomes
03:20:58.920 the upcoming states and so we actually have to look to the the calendar the democratic presidential
03:21:04.420 election calendar so the states that are coming up after super tuesday just looking ahead are idaho
03:21:09.920 michigan mississippi missouri north dakota washington so you assume that washington is locked up
03:21:13.760 for bernie uh you assume that michigan is a is a dogfight because because biden really did right
03:21:19.380 well in minnesota so you assume michigan is a dogfight mississippi missouri will be blowouts for
03:21:23.460 biden right um and idaho will probably go for bernie you would imagine uh then you move on to
03:21:29.600 the next big states march 17th are arizona florida illinois and ohio uh ohio you would imagine would
03:21:36.020 be biden territory because it's very blue collar uh you would imagine that illinois is going to be a
03:21:40.300 battle particularly biden is going to do well in chicago obviously because again states with heavy
03:21:45.260 black populations in the democratic primary vote have been going very heavily for biden florida you
03:21:49.220 would imagine is a blowout in favor of biden and arizona you would imagine is is probably very
03:21:54.180 competitive because bernie has been doing very well with latino voters so the georgia is coming up
03:21:59.440 that's a biden state it's going to be a dogfight i mean this thing is not over yet new york is like new
03:22:04.820 york has tons of delegates we have an updated national map right now that we can look at for just a second
03:22:08.840 it's worth pointing out right now in texas bernie is still technically leading with their 39 percent
03:22:15.080 reporting it's a very very tight margin but he is still in the lead it's still when you consider
03:22:19.800 what was going on a week ago two weeks ago it's pretty impressive for biden and and again i think
03:22:25.140 it has more to do with bernie becoming the center of attention and people freaking out and it has to
03:22:31.100 do with his own party freaking out right yeah his own party looking at this and going this guy's a
03:22:34.440 nutty old commie yeah what have we been doing this it's also true that bloomberg's done even if he
03:22:38.380 stays in the race and keeps spending money because people will see him as unviable now what do you
03:22:42.640 think he'll do you think he'll drop i think i think i think tomorrow i think tomorrow and i think i
03:22:48.220 think warren will drop too i think i think it'll be down to it yeah i think because like what is
03:22:53.080 she gonna run the jill stein routine right like donate money to to me and my friends and i'll still 1.00
03:22:56.880 be president no matter what like that like i i don't think that's right so it's but what this night
03:23:04.480 showed is that bernie has a ceiling right that was the that was the rap on bernie he had a floor and
03:23:08.900 he had a ceiling and biden doesn't have a ceiling in those democratic primaries right he's been
03:23:12.840 winning over 50 percent in some of these democratic primaries bernie was is capping out in like best
03:23:18.500 case scenario for bernie like best case scenario aside from vermont bernie has not won more than 35
03:23:24.080 percent of a state right biden is capping out at 62 percent in alabama biden is capping out at 53
03:23:29.200 percent in virginia right these are these are big big numbers for joe biden and again the areas with heavy
03:23:33.440 turnout are joe biden areas not bernie sanders areas which does speak to the democratic priorities
03:23:38.360 right if the democratic priority were socialism then the turnout would have been up in iowa new
03:23:43.140 hampshire we always knew it was beating trump i mean it's always been beating trump right which is
03:23:46.420 again back to the main point of tonight president trump needs to run a great campaign what this also
03:23:51.820 might be the best possible outcome for conservatives which is some are rooting for bernie some are
03:23:58.000 rooting for biden really what you want is like the iran iraq war you just want mass
03:24:02.200 i will say this in defense of both men that we've seen these wild protesters now for anyone who's been
03:24:10.360 watching this show you may have missed it but when biden was giving his uh his speech tonight these
03:24:15.580 dairy free pro joaquin phoenix charged the stage charged the stage by the way simone sanders did you 1.00
03:24:21.340 see her no so so security wasn't there because why would they be there for the former vice president
03:24:26.080 and leading democratic presidential nominee so well done everyone the security did not do its job
03:24:30.280 these people charged the stage all credit to simone sanders she just hit him like a linebacker 1.00
03:24:35.160 i mean oh yeah she went in there and clotheslined the guy like said points to simone sanders a 1.00
03:24:39.480 bipartisan moment of appreciation for a solid upper body tackle right she tackles with the body not
03:24:44.200 just the arms she takes this lady down the entire staircase it's pretty fantastic so simone sanders
03:24:49.240 well done sanders and with biden i cannot believe that they're not protecting these guys yeah really
03:24:53.820 yeah it is it is incredible it is incredible but maybe they figure that nothing has been able to
03:24:58.340 kill them so far well we have someone who's going to join us here uh who has has good because we need
03:25:06.860 a we're all dying here uh he's my favorite cigar smoker my favorite uh philosophical voice on the
03:25:14.560 right he's also the founder of prager university uh which we we consider a sister company i mean some of
03:25:20.820 our not only some of our best friends but uh ideologically uh kindred uh friends dennis prager
03:25:27.080 is going to be joining us he's the host of the dennis prager show he's also never one to pass up a free
03:25:32.220 cigar one thing i know about him dennis thanks for uh thanks for joining us that you're entirely
03:25:37.440 right about the cigar i just hope it's the quality that i would expect i chose what i hope is
03:25:44.620 oh that no i can tell it's a padrone reserve that's a padrone reserve cigar okay all right bye
03:25:50.660 it's been great though so dennis my only question is can you talk continuously for the next half
03:25:56.880 hour perfect that is hilarious do it it's like can i make it happen our energy reserves are i i uh what
03:26:08.120 what is that oh no you're you you won't i know ben won't find this of interest but the question of
03:26:15.380 what type of cut you own a cigar that divides people it's a big it's a big i forgot you're a
03:26:20.840 v cut guy aren't you i'm v and bullet so i carry my own two bullets with me i go for the moil i go
03:26:26.860 for the moil i like the guillotine here i like the v too then your tongue is on rough tobacco
03:26:32.640 i was listening to you guys very fascinating analysis so what's going to be in california by the
03:26:40.220 way do you know what the lines are like hours long yeah i heard that because they have changed
03:26:46.180 the system i mean you know california you i have been living here for 35 years uh it took 10 minutes
03:26:54.920 for me to vote any time 10 minutes today it took uh an hour and there are people waiting hours four
03:27:02.780 hours because they have cut the number of polling stations by i think three quarters wow wow you're not
03:27:09.940 aware of this oh are you not aware of you know why yes yes i know why they want to make it easier
03:27:15.200 for people what is it they want to make it easier for oh yes you can now vote anywhere you don't have
03:27:20.860 to vote where you live oh that's that's that was the thing so of course they made it tougher
03:27:26.080 right yeah right well when the coronavirus breaks out tomorrow because these long lines of people
03:27:30.440 waiting there for hours coughing on each other it's all gonna have been worth it one thing they push
03:27:34.300 in california a lot is this early voting or mail-in voting i do it every year it's so easy i can't help
03:27:39.340 but do it but it is unfair to the candidates of course it is this state is complete toast i mean
03:27:44.180 the the exit poll today shows latino voters under the age of 30 sanders 84 percent war in six biden
03:27:51.660 five everyone else four wow so uh yeah the state's the state's and right now sanders leading in
03:27:56.940 california 27 and a half to bloomberg's 19.7 wow biden coming in 17 and the exit polls they're showing
03:28:04.460 the ones that i saw were 38 to 23 for for for bernie over over biden but again that that was
03:28:11.900 not wildly out of their own possibility as long as biden clears the hurdle if bloomberg and warren
03:28:16.840 clear the hurdle that's great for for biden right because that means that delegates get split a lot
03:28:20.360 more evenly he doesn't get that big clean win that he's looking for you're you're you're forgive me
03:28:24.460 your point about it being depressing the statistic you gave on latino young latinos
03:28:29.620 i can't tell you i i i could cry yeah that this is that they coming from latin america
03:28:38.840 it it it is so backwards it is like new yorkers fleeing the taxes of new york and then voting to
03:28:47.300 have those taxes in florida right it is the same you you you flee and want to reproduce what you fled
03:28:55.280 yeah it's it's why do you think it is we actually made a prager video about it uh many years ago
03:29:01.780 that's right oh yeah glad you remember that that is impressive prager university recommended by
03:29:07.540 samantha v god bless her what what's your theory that uh the nearly all of the world
03:29:18.060 uh does not believe in capitalism yeah the uh the uh or or liberty yeah the the american value system
03:29:28.020 is unique and we're losing it obviously because we're raising people to be like latin americans
03:29:35.200 and europeans and asians and everybody else so they come here and they don't know that why doesn't
03:29:42.140 the latino just say gee why is america working and my beloved honduras or brazil or or custer well
03:29:51.280 costa rica might be working but why they don't isn't it odd that they don't ask that question well i
03:29:58.480 think they do they because they assume that the answer is we got the good land isn't it just that
03:30:03.480 simple we got the good we got the good i think this is really what the left basically posits is that
03:30:09.440 unfair it's unfair we got the good stuff i never heard that actually we got the good land we got
03:30:14.500 the good land i don't know argentina is a pretty fertile place it was the breadbasket of latin america
03:30:19.800 for so many years i think when you talk to people from places like la raza and they say we're living
03:30:24.300 in occupied territory one of the reasons this is so important to them is because they right fertile
03:30:28.840 arizona that is like a bad joke the breadbasket of the grand canyon i've many times suggested
03:30:40.340 to my latino friends that if you moved the border south you'd be moving the line of the barrier the
03:30:46.800 border of prosperity south you'd basically be moving the good line the good land south that's right
03:30:50.820 well i mean israel is the perfect test case right that's right if you look just fly over it it's like
03:30:55.780 this complete sandy plain right this little green sliver you know it's like it's not the good land
03:31:00.660 yeah right that's exactly right i mean people don't know they look at tel aviv today tel aviv was i know
03:31:07.180 you know swamp literally swamp land they died of malaria the jews who came to settle there died of 0.99
03:31:14.400 malaria as i like the people building the panama canal yeah unbelievable you can see i mean even even 0.99
03:31:19.780 in non-agricultural terms i mean east and west berlin i mean they're they're perfectly obvious examples of
03:31:24.780 how policies make prosperity and the fact that people refuse to acknowledge this is is a serious
03:31:29.960 problem it's also true that the state of california has basically lied to the people who are growing up
03:31:35.040 in the state of california endless resources were the most were the most prosperous state in the union
03:31:39.240 we're able to pay for everything we're just going to provide you everything for free so why wouldn't
03:31:43.340 people vote for bernie sanders the state has been campaigning on bernie sanders for as long as i've
03:31:46.580 been alive basically at least since at least since the republicans lost gubernatorial power in the mid-90s
03:31:51.080 am i right in assuming we're all rooting for bernie sanders absolutely no i know i've been
03:31:58.060 rooting hard for biden very hard for biden because you think you'd be such an awful candidate no
03:32:01.860 because i because the so i'm assessing upside versus downside risk so here's my here's my basic
03:32:07.840 calculation let's say that trump is the favorite regardless of who he runs against let's say that
03:32:12.300 he's a slightly larger favorite against sanders or even a significantly larger favorite against
03:32:16.380 sanders than he is against biden so let's say that he's a 55 45 favorite against joe biden and let's
03:32:20.720 say that he's a 60 40 favorite against bernie sanders that seems sort of fair maybe 65 35 favorite
03:32:25.600 against bernie sanders and maybe that's a little too optimistic for trump maybe not let's assume that
03:32:31.000 the level of risk attendant on a joe biden presidency on a scale of zero to 100 is like a 75 and let's
03:32:36.960 assume that the level of risk attendant on a bernie sanders presidency is 100 and let's also assume that
03:32:42.320 when it comes to the actual nomination that most democrats are sort of in the joe biden wheelhouse in
03:32:46.720 terms of what they think but that if bernie sanders were nominated everybody would consolidate around
03:32:51.060 bernie sanders and start parroting his full-on communism and anti-americanism immediately in
03:32:56.240 the course of the campaign and that would become the new de facto normal in the democratic party
03:32:59.560 so with all of that said the slightly higher risk of joe biden as president is significantly outweighed
03:33:04.460 by the downside risk of bernie sanders as president and also the risk that the entire democratic party
03:33:08.380 centralizes around an open communist who hates even bernie as the nominee because i agree with that 0.98
03:33:12.120 second part that one of the lessons of 2016 that we is that during the primary parties yeah
03:33:17.360 that's right during the primaries many many people oppose sort of the trumpian agenda i have to think
03:33:22.220 about that yeah yeah noles and i are on the other side of this we we believe that i believe that we
03:33:27.700 should have the debate let's have you want to you want socialists let's let's come on out it'll be
03:33:31.860 hilarious i mean but but i don't think the debate will actually be had because first of all the media
03:33:38.320 have guarded bernie's communism for years i don't think that would stop in a general election
03:33:42.100 and because donald trump is not isn't an effective uh mouthpiece for ideology oh correct i don't think
03:33:48.400 he'll be a correct this is right he'd be attacking bernie on all of the affect that bernie that's right
03:33:53.620 you know but not on the ideas but but like he does say he's a crazy socialist yes but those are labels
03:33:59.400 that don't have you have to fill in the content for people to understand why socialism is bad it was
03:34:03.020 just shouting that he's a communist or a socialist isn't enough in an era when 57 percent of the
03:34:08.000 primary voters in the democratic party california based on what you just said what since you like
03:34:13.780 numbers and i do too what numerically so to speak if the greatest difference could be opposites or a
03:34:21.500 10 a likes or a one how different are biden's views and and bernie's views um i would say that
03:34:30.340 so a like is one yeah okay so i would say that they're like four what i mean by that is that
03:34:36.660 they're closer to a like than than different well because they're democrats they're closer to a
03:34:40.540 like different so so that in some ways challenges your theory it does but but it's but only in terms
03:34:47.620 of policy in terms of what they say about the country it's more like a six or seven and the
03:34:51.700 reason i say that is because biden will overtly say that free markets are good he has said that
03:34:55.700 during this campaign he has said that capitalism is a good thing and he's not opposed to capitalism
03:34:59.200 that in and of itself is actually i think good for the country to have two parties that don't
03:35:03.220 overtly oppose capitalism i also think that there's a little bit more to it country he doesn't hate
03:35:07.400 the country for the country he doesn't hate the country and i and i don't think they're as close
03:35:10.600 together as you do i think their rhetoric is i think one of the reasons yeah i was doing policy
03:35:14.540 one of the reasons that the democrats are trying so hard to stop bernie from becoming the nominee
03:35:19.420 is because they pay a lot of they run to the left and they pay a lot of lip service to leftism
03:35:24.280 but i actually think they fear sanders almost more than we do they don't want to be
03:35:28.060 by they i mean nancy pelosi and if you hear joe biden they don't want to be common do you remember
03:35:34.000 the original commercial that joe biden cut when he first jumped into the race his first commercial
03:35:37.600 which was which lied about trump and all of that but put that aside his original commercial was
03:35:41.980 america has been really good and was great under obama and then trump ruined it right but the initial
03:35:49.100 point which was that america has been a land that is good is fundamentally opposed to bernie
03:35:53.560 that effectively is something that in the that the british learned with jeremy corbyn is that
03:35:59.200 they found on the exit polls that it wasn't jeremy corbyn's policies right that people rejected it
03:36:04.580 was his hatred of britain this is exactly right like if you ask joe biden in a private area and
03:36:10.180 maybe even in a public area whether he's like totally on board with the 1619 projects vision
03:36:14.340 of the country and he weren't trying to stump for black votes at the time because he thinks that
03:36:17.780 that's a way to win them which obviously it is not then i don't think he actually agrees with the
03:36:21.800 generalized vision of the 1619 project i think that bernie commented on the 1619 project he made
03:36:26.380 very very soft comments about how you know i'm shocked he even knows about it like my my view is
03:36:33.160 that he he is truly empty yeah right i think he's the emptiest of of all the democrats that have
03:36:39.460 well steyer is a close but empty empty is better for the country than full-on no no no that may well
03:36:47.060 be i'm just i'm just commenting on him uh there were two types of politicians in my view those
03:36:53.660 who want to be politicians like some people would like to be lawyers and others nurses they just want
03:37:00.100 to be it and and others who have a message yep sanders is in the message right yes burn uh biden
03:37:08.700 wants to be a politician he doesn't believe in anything this is right yeah that's my belief
03:37:15.260 no this is you're exactly right he wants to have amtrak stations named after himself in delaware
03:37:18.720 yep right that that's his his career aspiration is to be president so that he can have highways
03:37:22.560 named after himself instead of just amtrak stations right this is not somebody who wants
03:37:26.140 to fundamentally change the country in any real way which is why he flamed out at every level until he
03:37:30.700 had the imprimatur of barack obama as the president you know leading to him being successful in this run
03:37:34.980 do you remember that he he made up a fact uh in his in his debate with uh with uh with ryan
03:37:42.500 yes all right you remember that the one where he talked about kicking it yeah well he talked about
03:37:46.880 how the french had kicked the the iranians out of lebanon yes which came as dramatic news to
03:37:52.020 everyone in lebanon which is currently dominated by hezbollah do you remember hearing it live yeah i
03:37:58.100 went what what now so yeah so what was your so i was like why doesn't paul ryan know to call him on
03:38:02.920 that was my first reaction honestly but i well i i admit what when i hear something that i have never
03:38:10.740 heard in my life it is so hard for me to believe that the human saying is lying i will admit i
03:38:16.740 i checked it i did thought i checked it may i guess i didn't know right i don't know what he means
03:38:21.920 i i remember doing the same thing i remember thinking to myself that's bullcrap and then i was
03:38:26.320 like but maybe it's maybe i missed it how could he so he does he does make up something so he does
03:38:32.800 lie with the joker grin with like an increase with an amazing alacrity he is very good and he did it
03:38:37.000 over and over in that paul ryan debate he was lying about things over like it was it was it was very
03:38:41.320 difficult to watch the paul ryan biden debate because i like paul ryan i know paul ryan he's
03:38:46.260 he's a nice guy but the fact that he was unable to in real time fact check biden saying things were
03:38:51.900 overtly false was very i agree paul ryan got beaten in that debate when when i look back at the other
03:38:57.460 uh controversial moment from those debates which is when mitt romney got shut down on candy crowley
03:39:03.760 oh my god i often hear people use that to criticize romney and say that he was weak that that's not
03:39:10.240 what happened it actually is what dennis is this is right he actually came back very strong obama he
03:39:15.840 said the thing obama hit him he came back incredibly strong then candy crowley jumped in on the side of
03:39:21.320 obama and i think that a human being in that moment exactly right yeah any decent human being in that
03:39:26.720 moment goes oh my god did i say something am i wrong right that's exactly i must be wrong and this is
03:39:31.460 the nice thing about being a politician is that if you're really good politician you don't care if
03:39:34.420 you're wrong that's right yeah and so and so if you're a good person you can't really be a great
03:39:37.940 politician because seriously your first reaction is someone criticized you go okay well let me let
03:39:41.940 me think about that maybe yes maybe that's correct if you're a great politician like whatever else you
03:39:46.320 can say about donald trump this is one thing that he has in spades the man has never met a thing he
03:39:51.380 thinks he did wrong like he just he doesn't and that's actually a real asset on the campaign it's
03:39:55.500 michael like michael bloomberg is not a good person but michael bloomberg even started this campaign with
03:40:00.000 like did i do all of these things wrong i guess i'll apologize for all of those things you can't
03:40:03.920 do that you have to go out there balls to the wall i know why couldn't he why couldn't i lost i i didn't
03:40:09.800 i never knew him well but whatever respect i had for him i no longer have from bloomberg uh but he can
03:40:15.300 buy it from you i mean that's a good point uh but that he couldn't say you know wait a minute
03:40:22.940 we saved a lot of law correct yeah yeah doesn't that matter to you no that's the question does
03:40:29.640 that matter to you my fellow democrats we saved lives this is his ticket though this is his ticket
03:40:36.700 into that is what you have to pay he was he was a decent mayor he preserved julian juliani took that
03:40:42.080 city from a cesspool to the greatest city on the planet and that was all juliani and his uh his police
03:40:48.800 commissioners and bloomberg didn't blow it right he managed the right that's right republicans save
03:40:53.940 things and that and in every country in the world conservatives are elected when things get really
03:40:59.220 really bad they fix it somewhat and then they're kicked out because people think oh now we can go back
03:41:06.000 then they elect clinton jatley right you get a clinton or a biden who maintains it for a while and then
03:41:12.180 you get the obama who just or the del blasio who drives it into the ground right it's a cycle
03:41:17.360 and these the giants that were mentioned
03:41:19.740 i will say the shudden fright of watching elizabeth warren collapse tonight is really
03:41:31.460 oh it's delightful it's really quite wonderful that you should mention schadenfreude
03:41:36.180 i i still have a little guilt over the amount of schadenfreude i had on 2016 night do you know
03:41:47.200 that at the election night i give you my word i did not watch fox news for one minute
03:41:53.200 and only to experience joy at others misery i i have worked on my character i'm not saying i'm a
03:42:04.620 terrific guy but i have worked on my character since yeshiva right where they just drum it into you
03:42:10.940 you need more sorry yeah exactly but that night everything i had learned in religious school
03:42:18.680 it was pure joy i am going to enjoy the the recriminations from camp sanders as they lose
03:42:25.860 their minds over the next well this is this thing this is going to be fun how he handles this is going
03:42:30.200 to define the rest of his campaign he's gonna lose his belief i mean he really is his can you imagine
03:42:34.140 michael moore tomorrow he won't be able to say that if bloomberg had done it he could have said we
03:42:39.640 were robbed he bought it no we're robbed by but he's what he's going to say is that the dnc came in
03:42:44.500 and exerted pressure on all these other candidates to get out and consolidate behind biden and that
03:42:49.620 biden offered and that biden offered them bribes which he did i mean there's no question he went to
03:42:53.420 people to judge and he said to pete booty judge listen dude you're in indiana you ain't winning a
03:42:57.200 statewide office you're not governor you're not senator so either you're carpet bagging it to
03:42:59.840 massachusetts or you're only shot at future glory is a cabinet appointment which is obviously true
03:43:04.140 for people to judge and budge went okay that's fair but he said that he said he said he said he said
03:43:08.600 yeah absolutely didn't budge judge deny he was offered anything yeah but then later that same
03:43:13.940 night biden said yeah i offered him a job
03:43:15.580 you know that tom did you read the column by thomas friedman you know who endorsing bloomberg
03:43:25.180 most say no no no no no the later column he said what we need is a national unity democratic thing
03:43:32.820 and here is who they should announce the cabinet now and and and so elizabeth warren will be i think
03:43:39.260 at hud uh whatever and you know department of the interior are you ready this is going to blow your
03:43:45.180 minds gentlemen thomas friedman of the new york times advocated what famous democrat to be to
03:43:55.040 be appointed ambassador to the un try to guess who is the worst choice of i'll try to make it as
03:44:02.160 clear the worst choice possible who and the person is in congress a democrat in congress it has to be
03:44:09.640 ilhan omar very close aoc this he considers himself a moderate oh my god this notion of a typical
03:44:18.560 democrat is okay so thomas a typical thomas friedman column goes like this i was backpacking
03:44:23.700 packing across the himalayas with the man i'd paid three three thousand dollars but don't worry it was
03:44:28.140 sponsored by the local government when suddenly i chanced upon a taxi driver and he had this very
03:44:32.020 wise thing to tell me about international economics that just so happens to confirm all of my priors
03:44:36.820 about international economics also i then went back to my five-star hotel ate some filet mignon had a
03:44:42.440 nice wine and wrote this column that's every thomas friedman column key point but on the way i realized
03:44:48.080 how hot it was every column no matter what goes back to global warming you could write about checkers
03:44:55.480 in madagascar and it goes back to global warming so we have alicia kraus uh taking questions from our
03:45:02.760 dailywire.com subscribers and we want to get a few in while you're here dennis great alicia yeah dennis
03:45:07.980 good to see you even though from afar they keep me up in the bat cave it's great to see you all right 1.00
03:45:14.320 but by the way before we get to those member questions from dailywire.com are amazing subscribers
03:45:19.240 over there as this night kind of wraps up here even though bernie sanders and his supporters are
03:45:23.440 apparently still waiting in lines by the droves at california polling places because people are
03:45:28.520 confused like dennis mentioned before over 500 people in line at ucla getting lots of uh people on
03:45:35.380 twitter saying that they are still waiting in line even republican people that are waiting in line
03:45:39.220 because we did have a couple of awful props guys i've been informed voting lines are good you get
03:45:43.620 to vote it's like bread lines bread lines are good you get bread so even though thankfully though when
03:45:51.180 people texted they didn't have to wait in line so we have some of the results from that text results
03:45:56.200 that we got of the of who our audience thinks is going to win the democratic nomination over the last
03:46:01.040 couple of days the results have stayed pretty steady across the board and with several thousand
03:46:05.720 votes coming in here are the results so drum roll please elizabeth warren two percent bloomberg is a
03:46:12.200 close third at three percent bernie bernie sanders came in at 29 and the majority of the dailywire
03:46:17.960 audience 66 of them think that biden is going to be the clear front runner and end up getting the
03:46:23.020 democratic nomination alicia could you please get me the telephone numbers of the three people
03:46:27.140 who went bloomberg because the amount that he must have paid them i want to pitch him on a movie
03:46:32.800 i was thinking were there really two percent who believe elizabeth warren will get it yeah i i was
03:46:38.560 thinking how large is her immediate family that might be it but i'm not sure they're following
03:46:43.360 how do they watch oh they might watch the daily wire because she has a military uh siblings right
03:46:48.240 oh is it her or is it klobuchar she always talks about her brothers are in the military yeah okay
03:46:53.280 oh yeah oklahoma right yeah that's another state she lost she lost both her home states
03:46:57.960 unbelievable elisha i mean elizabeth warren and i have a couple things in common oklahoma and
03:47:04.900 cherokee being a couple of those and i actually did the 23 and me so i know this that this is a kind
03:47:11.480 of funny question and it involves me so i'm going to ask all of you guys there's a daily wire member
03:47:15.900 who wants to know if i were to run in 2024 which yes i am now unfortunately old enough to do so which
03:47:21.380 is so scary which of all of you guys including the great dennis prager would fight to the death to
03:47:27.340 be my vp me i want to be vp i have been asked all of my career run for office run for office and so on
03:47:36.400 i do not want to be president i want because i have no interest in power i only have interest in
03:47:41.980 influence and you love funerals fundraising fundraising too god did he get the air out of my balloon
03:47:49.460 and as vice president i would just go around the world making the case for american values for
03:47:58.880 judeo-christian values and that's what that's what i want it's a great job you get a nice house i'm
03:48:02.960 sorry you get a great house i know i i had uh had dinner with the at the pences yeah it is a great
03:48:07.780 nice agreed you but anyway yes i'll i'll run with you that is fine at least i'll run with you but
03:48:13.020 watch your back actually ben and i used to say for a very long time that one of these days when
03:48:19.760 he's president i'll be the communications director or his children will take over the world and mine
03:48:23.940 will be like the communications directors because that's just how it is i actually think ben you
03:48:28.500 would be a terrible vice president because it really is about making people like you making people
03:48:33.780 like okay so there's one area this has been at a state funeral for elizabeth the second
03:48:40.440 accurate she's dead what is she she's dead what does she care 0.71
03:48:45.280 but but i would be great at one thing vp debates would be oh unbelievable right like like the point
03:48:53.280 if somebody nominated me for vp i mean that the job of the vp is to be the attack dog that's right
03:48:57.860 and like unleash the beast my friend all right so of the four of you who's the most lovable
03:49:03.700 true yeah clearly he's the closest to death so we have the least time to wait for it it was clear
03:49:08.160 you all it's it's without question really wow well i mean that's i mean that talk about a dog's
03:49:14.560 choice right there you've got jeremy who gets his kicks firing people moles the least likable person 0.95
03:49:21.800 on earth and be the person who hired him and drew is like a drew's like biden but with slightly
03:49:27.920 more lively overtones i can i can remember who is my wife exactly we're three years removed from
03:49:32.400 him slurring his way gets it who would be the vp i've been saying sherrod brown is the smart pick
03:49:36.880 senator from ohio that is a smart pick that's the smart part of sport because you need ohio you need
03:49:41.640 ohio ohio has been non-competitive since obama days uh you win ohio you probably do well in
03:49:46.780 michigan you probably do well in pennsylvania he doesn't really need to lock up the black vote the black 0.97
03:49:50.900 vote likes him right i mean obama's gonna be out there campaigning oh good i forgot about that
03:49:55.440 so you really you really gotta if i were him i'd be sharing brown it's such painful he's terrible
03:50:00.760 he's terrible awful there's another option though virginia virginia is going to be very important to
03:50:06.140 win so he could choose ralph northam if he wants some racial diversity on the ticket and then
03:50:10.900 yeah then he gets the black vote he does yeah well you know he has a strong position on infanticide 1.00
03:50:18.620 very strong very strong alicia wow back to more serious things speaking of vp by the way do you
03:50:28.640 guys see this crazy thing that paul begala said that he thinks yes that trump is putting pence in
03:50:34.020 charge of handling the coronavirus outbreak so then uh he can replace him with nikki haley i have to say
03:50:39.660 that did flash into my mind when he gave him that job wait wait why so that he would contract the
03:50:44.820 disease i'm missing a link here it's a thankless job the disease is the virus has got to spread right
03:50:52.720 so it's you're gonna he's gonna get blamed for something along the way so i just thought the
03:50:57.480 minute they put him i had the same i don't think that i don't i don't believe that i don't believe
03:51:03.120 that's why i did it no just there's no way it demonstrates such weakness in a presidential
03:51:09.220 candidate to dump their vp it's a desperation move not gonna happen the way that i know it's not
03:51:13.220 gonna happen is that paul begala said it was yeah he said it was an absolute guarantee too
03:51:18.100 he said it's an absolute guarantee well it's also uh donna brazil say she should go to hell 1.00
03:51:22.360 to ronna mcdaniel the chairwoman of the republican party she actually said go to hell on television
03:51:27.240 wow and as as well pointed out on twitter she confused imply ronna mcdaniel was pointing out that
03:51:32.440 it's gonna be chaos at the democratic convention and that the democrats can't make up their minds
03:51:36.320 and it's a mess and so brazil got very angry at the factual statement that the democratic party
03:51:42.700 said that she said stay the hell out of our primary republicans and you go to hell ronna 0.99
03:51:47.200 and then she reiterated it too yeah see they can get away with that they can that is the amazing
03:51:52.000 i mean dennis i i would be remiss if i did not point out that donald trump is the president of
03:51:55.940 the united states he's gotten away with a few things you know the national review he doesn't get away
03:51:59.640 with it because the press he's the president he kind of got away with it well he gets away with it in
03:52:03.620 that he survives but he doesn't get away with it in that it's not attacked by press constantly right
03:52:09.060 but that's also true that's also true if he doesn't curse right i mean i'm sorry that's also
03:52:12.580 true if he doesn't curse trump but it's not i agree it's you know this donna brazil thing 0.90
03:52:18.800 yelling at ronna mcdaniel it's not a headline people watching politics know what happened i mean
03:52:24.260 it happened on fox news for goodness sake i mean joe biden has actually threatened to punch
03:52:27.680 donald trump yeah and that's not a headline first of all i would totally watch a physical fist
03:52:31.980 fight between donald trump and joe biden it would be the most amusing thing because all that life
03:52:36.580 energy it would be like watching from not exercising it's like watching pangolins on roller skates like
03:52:42.260 just watching them swing on each other and joe biden just the can you imagine the amounts of
03:52:48.800 insure that will have to be imbibed just to provide the life energy for that fight to go forward i mean
03:52:53.100 that is that is i would be so amused like the walkers with the tennis balls flying at each other and
03:52:58.380 it's just it's alicia i'm curious do you find and i'm this is totally serious do you find biden in
03:53:06.900 any way appealing uh i think that megan mccain and obviously being a good friend of mary catherine
03:53:14.240 ham and other people that have experienced grief and i think matt walsh touched on this earlier
03:53:18.700 when he talks about grief and family and faith i believe him but you know i'm i'm too hardcore pro-life
03:53:26.140 and love love the 2a and the first amendment too much to pull the lever for him but ben brings up
03:53:30.800 a good point he's brought it up before suburban women kind of like joe biden and donald trump 0.98
03:53:35.460 has consistently had a problem with suburban women including women that have typically voted 1.00
03:53:39.640 republican in the past well right earlier in the in the show i made the case to drew that that biden
03:53:45.080 is biden is strong in precisely the areas where trump is weak that sanders is a lot weaker in the
03:53:51.660 areas where right right that's a big deal that is that is a big deal he's very strong with minority
03:53:55.820 voters he is very strong with older voters actually he's he's very strong with suburban
03:54:00.460 women those are all areas where trump lacks and i can't really see biden doing worse than hillary
03:54:05.960 clinton in a lot of ways right hillary was really off-putting and really terrible and for all the 1.00
03:54:11.020 talk about joe biden he's basically a dead person yeah and right it's hard to get really that exercised
03:54:15.280 about a dead guy and he and he has suffered yeah and he's likable he's likable every single person
03:54:20.120 i've talked to oh i don't find him likable at all i only find i only understand though alicia's point
03:54:25.880 about the suffering yeah and he's just but i don't find him likable in the least i think he's he i think
03:54:31.380 he is a fraud he is a phone he's he stands for nothing that bothers me he stands for elizabeth 0.72
03:54:37.060 warren stands for something sanders stands for something he stands for nothing he stands for
03:54:42.340 being elected the purpose of his life is to be elected yeah since he was 29 years old that's correct
03:54:47.300 since he was 29 years old you know for people who are like that though who just live to get elected
03:54:51.680 and they'll change their positions and yes they do develop this skill the fact that joe biden is still
03:54:57.020 around that he's right now winning super tuesday shows you if his only job in life has been to get
03:55:02.580 people to like him he has succeeded at that job also also more than that the the very pitch against
03:55:08.800 him is the pitch for him in the sense that you're you're saying he doesn't believe in anything
03:55:12.780 right that's the pitch i mean really like do you find that deeply threatening a man who doesn't
03:55:17.860 believe in anything if bill clinton didn't believe in anything and he was repealing he was repealing
03:55:20.980 capital gains tax increases by 1997 right finger up and feels where the winds are blowing so and then
03:55:26.820 he takes that position right and so it's hard to get like okay well we got to stop this guy or the
03:55:30.700 country's over uh nope no i don't think nope not this year he's done in past okay well that proves my
03:55:37.320 point no of course you're exactly right of course i mean he's never taken a hard but i mean just watch
03:55:41.320 him on the crime bill which was one of his chief achievements and then him running directly away
03:55:44.520 from the crime bill okay yeah he's done this his entire career but again the fact that he's just a
03:55:50.000 typical politician who's 80 years old and non-threatening i haven't said he's all wrong
03:55:53.920 and he's connected to the obama and he's connected to the obama era he's got that halo around him and
03:55:58.460 all of this like the the media's reaction to trump is it's not true but the media story about the last
03:56:03.860 15 years in politics is that there was the horrible bush era particularly the last couple of years when the
03:56:09.620 economy collapsed and then obama came in and had a scandal-free gloriously clean honorable and
03:56:15.740 dignified written administration and then along came donald trump and he broke all of the fundamental
03:56:20.160 institutions of the united states and donald trump is not only out of the box he's cruel evil and
03:56:24.660 corrupt and so if you just want a restoration of what was if people believe that entirely they
03:56:28.960 wouldn't have voted every democrat on earth out of office during the obama era they liked obama
03:56:33.960 everybody liked obama but they didn't like his policies right but but joe biden is running as
03:56:38.680 obama not as obama's power well if you're rooting if you're like me and you're just rooting for mass
03:56:42.120 casualties let's look at the numbers coming out of texas right now uh the idea of this thing going
03:56:46.900 all all the way to the convention they're within one point of each other right now yeah but that argues
03:56:52.900 for biden because yeah sanders was supposed to win texas big yeah i think ultimately biden prevails
03:56:59.220 but i want it to be as bloody as possible between here and there and then it's a romp yeah because
03:57:04.340 that the bloomberg people are not going to vote for sanders well and also add just buddha judge and
03:57:08.900 amy you add those two in there and you've got almost 10 but that's not how it's going to work
03:57:12.240 because the fight at the convention will be over total delegates right right and if you can keep
03:57:16.200 if you can keep bernie bernie morality of delegates bernie's jack himself he made the argument that the
03:57:20.300 delegate leader in the clubhouse should take the nomination yeah and now he's not going to be the
03:57:23.320 clubhouse leader yeah democrats are never held to a standard i'm not kidding no bernie can say
03:57:28.560 whoever has the plural i can't do it whoever has the plurality must be the only person in america
03:57:32.540 who can't do a bernie sanders impersonation one it's anti-semitic though if i do it
03:57:35.800 i don't believe that for one second tennis i guarantee you you you grew up you grew up in
03:57:41.600 new york you can 100 percent do a bernie put a frog in your throat and move your hands and speak
03:57:46.260 slowly you can totally do it i don't believe for one second you can't do it by the way what is his
03:57:50.960 accent is it a new york it's a brooklyn accent yeah he's got the brooklyn going on i grew up in
03:57:56.340 brooklyn but this is what i'm saying if you applied your mind to this denis i have great faith in you
03:58:01.140 you're right if i did right my grandmother had uh you know what she'd be my grandfather
03:58:06.660 you and you and uh bernie sanders actually have quite a lot in common you both grew up in brooklyn
03:58:12.600 you both spent time in the soviet union that's right that's such a good point yeah we breathe
03:58:17.880 you breathe that's great you're both very proud jews dennis you're a proud jew and so is
03:58:22.780 exactly yes he says proud jew that is a proud i don't even know what that means do you know what
03:58:28.520 my bar mitzvah i'll never forget this one of the gifts i got was great jews in sports a book
03:58:35.080 it's a thin book very large i'm not joking i had a copy very large remember mitzvah very gigantic
03:58:40.700 pictures a lot a lot of you will find this of interest maybe maybe even you will
03:58:45.760 i had no interest in it and i'm i'm a very active jew introduction to judaism and english i found it
03:58:53.220 at a jewish school i mean my life has been in jewish life but i had i have no ethnic uh pride it
03:59:00.580 doesn't mean anything to me that uh benny leonard was a jewish boxer or al rosen was a great third
03:59:08.640 baseman and jewish i don't understand why i don't think that way no i i love i love the torah i love
03:59:16.900 the ten commandments i i love jewish contributions to the moral world i totally agree with this
03:59:21.480 obviously huh i totally agree with this obviously can i just i said that i said that bernie i said
03:59:25.140 bernie sanders on my show is as jewish as a ham sandwich because he is that perfect yes he's 0.98
03:59:30.400 ethnically jewish yes who cares noam chomsky's ethnically right yes and soros but can i can i break in
03:59:35.660 here and just say that my grandfather is in that book no i'm sorry he's a hockey player he was a
03:59:41.880 basketball player for nyu yeah and he was in he was in the great basketball player for nyu
03:59:47.760 great jews in sports you know there are not many great jews it's like sandy kovacs that's my grandpa 1.00
03:59:54.080 one of the things that we're seeing happen in the country right now that i think is
03:59:58.560 is a negative and is is heartbreaking to me and it's happening on the right is the sort of right uh
04:00:04.240 the rise on the on the right of a white identity and i and i think about it sometimes in relation to
04:00:11.420 judaism or christianity i don't see myself as a christian in any sense other than that i believe
04:00:17.460 in christ i i guess that if i were in israel on a vacation and the y2k happen and tax cuts and net
04:00:24.760 neutrality all the same time civilization just collapsed into a zombie apocalypse and the jews 1.00
04:00:30.300 decided that they had to purge christians out of the holy land and they started pursuing us to to 1.00
04:00:36.240 kill us on the basis of our christianity probably for the first time i would look at some other
04:00:40.020 christian and go we ought to team up we ought to be on the side right right i get it in my day-to-day
04:00:45.880 life yeah not in any way am i affected by that but i think that the left because they have teamed up
04:00:52.340 to attack the white man yeah and one of the things that's happening in reaction to that is that
04:00:57.020 this sort of white identity politics thing is starting to form and it's a very dangerous well 0.57
04:01:01.200 it uh forgive me i just want to say i have actually thought about writing about about that
04:01:09.340 in this way yes whites have done all these terrible things but i'd like you to just know all the 0.99
04:01:16.000 uniquely great things that they did i would be called a white supremacist right that's right so you
04:01:21.300 can you can only attack whites you cannot defend whites you know it's interesting they obviously 0.94
04:01:28.040 this white identity movement which is very small i don't think it's really happening on a large scale
04:01:32.620 but it's a reaction to leftist racial identity politics and they say wait a second you keep
04:01:36.880 condemning us you keep saying that we are an identity group so maybe we should take you at your
04:01:41.140 word leftists what's interesting is a lot of the leaders of it you can look at them a lot of them
04:01:45.820 grew up in foreign countries so they grew up in places where they didn't look like the people 0.99
04:01:49.480 which which i think fosters a separate identity obviously in america that's just that has not
04:01:54.560 been the uh the custom but i think it is happening in response to a left which is which has become
04:02:00.420 hysterical about racial identity politics no it's the most racist philosophy i can remember in my in
04:02:05.320 my lifetime like i remember the real anti-black racism in the south a little bit but this stuff
04:02:11.000 about whiteness isn't yes it's disgusting yes but i was taught in college that not almost nothing is
04:02:17.400 new new new is that there are 56 genders i'm not being cute yeah right but there's almost nothing 1.00
04:02:22.400 else is new uh i went i was at columbia in the early 70s columbia university and the uh we were
04:02:29.060 taught i was taught as as as a given like e equals mc square a black cannot be racist
04:02:36.040 did you know that you didn't know that i've heard that this this is a given it is a given this is right
04:02:42.680 because racism is is belief in the inferiority or superior of race plus power well they added so
04:02:49.400 what they do is they add the plus power right so that immediately right so they said plus power
04:02:53.260 so then i'd say that that okay so we're blacks have power in africa can they be racist no okay
04:02:59.580 so it's a lie because because they're because their exercise of power in the in the new term
04:03:05.200 is a direct reaction to the exercise of power by white people in the old term so if you say
04:03:09.040 that seizing white african or farmers land in south africa is a racist policy and burning them
04:03:15.780 or or that zimbabwe is pursuing racist policy for example then they will say well that's not racist
04:03:21.240 policy because that's just a response to colonialism right it's a reactionary response to colonialism
04:03:25.480 in the same way that folks in the united states it's obviously not the same argument nor to the same
04:03:29.400 extent but the the analogy is correct that and for folks in media matters the word analogy doesn't
04:03:34.840 mean they're exactly equal it means they're analogous okay so the analogy that i'm about to
04:03:39.560 make is to affirmative action so if you so the argument by the left is that if you that if you use
04:03:44.320 overt racial terminology in affirmative action if you say that this black person should get in but
04:03:48.880 this asian person should not but that's not actually racism because that's just white people
04:03:53.160 who are complaining that they've lost the power to run the system themselves now that other people
04:03:57.560 run the system and are doing it for their own benefit now they have problems with it but before
04:04:00.860 they didn't it's like well those aren't the same white people first of all like i'm very
04:04:03.880 offended by this notion that i'm the same white person as the person 50 years ago who is not
04:04:07.180 letting black people into college like that like i'm not that like i'm not that person so who are 0.97
04:04:11.380 you discriminating against you're discriminating against people and by the way you're discriminating
04:04:14.640 against asians where was the great asian hierarchical power of 1942 banning black people from being
04:04:20.700 privy to the gi bill like what are you even talking about yeah i i spoke at purdue last year
04:04:26.200 and last month the purdue student paper the exponent the you'll love this the vice
04:04:33.220 provost i gotta get this it took me a while to memorize the vice provost of uh of diversity and
04:04:41.920 inclusion wow wrote that he was at my lecture he wrote this like eight months later and i said
04:04:49.440 that slavery was not bad so i have had that sounds just probably thousands of people huh sounds just
04:04:57.040 like you yeah that's why i wrote a commentary on exodus to show that god loves slavery that was
04:05:04.200 exactly that was my whole point it's a bestseller so the uh so you will love this so i i fight back
04:05:13.460 and uh i i i wrote a piece on this real clear politics published it as well as uh you know you
04:05:19.960 guys which i'm very grateful for and and town hall and so on and anyway uh uh thousands i'm sure a
04:05:27.560 thousand people wrote to the president of of mitch daniels the president of of purdue and so finally
04:05:34.960 last week i got a letter uh because uh the guy wrote to me after the original deluge of letters
04:05:42.000 uh you know what let's why don't we just get together for a drink and i and i so i wrote back
04:05:49.100 if i would have said as a jew that you said the holocaust wasn't bad and i then invited you for a 0.87
04:05:57.260 drink would you accept or would you demand that i apologize so i demand that you apologize finally
04:06:04.140 after all this pressure including from the president of purdue i get a letter last week you know i may
04:06:09.920 miss i may i sent him a video of the talk no yes and and he said i watched the video and i may
04:06:17.160 have misunderstood so that was it that's the apology wow isn't that astonishing and not public
04:06:23.760 and not public wow so so this is these are the rules that govern the left the guy is black so of
04:06:30.700 course you can't i didn't even know he was black when he wrote the thing i looked him up what relevance
04:06:35.520 does that have anyway who cares yeah of course well it only cares in that it makes him
04:06:39.700 even less attackable yeah oh yeah that's where it matters yeah i mean you and i because we speak
04:06:44.860 on campus we have the same experience a lot so i mean i spoke at boston university and i gave an
04:06:49.760 entire speech about how america was based in 1776 not 1619 it was directed against the 1619 project
04:06:54.780 half the speech was about the evils of slavery i suggested that we put frederick douglas on the
04:06:59.900 currency which we absolutely should do frederick douglas is a great american hero or booker washington
04:07:04.080 yeah booker washington would be great um and people protested and called the speech racist anyway
04:07:09.220 they suggested i was making light of slavery after i spent literally half the speech talking
04:07:12.380 about the horrors of slavery and the evils of jim crow because the the definition of racism today
04:07:17.500 is a belief that people should be treated as individuals and not on the ground yeah that's
04:07:21.640 right right the there is a list from the university of california of microaggressions
04:07:27.780 things that are really racist even if you don't think they are and one of them is you can look it up
04:07:33.360 anyone watching could look this up and this statement is considered racist there is only one
04:07:39.360 race the human race yeah wow no which is the essence of non-racism of non-racism and of every
04:07:48.120 biblical judeo-christian valley i know did you watch joaquin phoenix cows are people too
04:07:52.580 what was that did you watch joaquin phoenix's speech at the oscars cows are people too that's true
04:07:58.720 cows are people too i know i missed that oh yeah the oscars he got up there and he talked about
04:08:03.260 how it was cruelty to drink milk and put milk in your coffee because cows are cows suffer you know
04:08:08.380 what's interesting about that is you know there's this book you've all cows suffer if you don't milk
04:08:12.240 them yeah i know i'm sorry i'm sorry i you know it's my farming background great jewish farmers i'm in
04:08:20.340 that you know there's this book sapiens by uval harari yeah and he yes he has this whole thing where
04:08:27.580 he talks about women as humans with uteruses and only mythology has caused them to have female roles
04:08:34.380 in society but he then goes on to talk about the passionate love that ewes feel for their lands
04:08:39.920 it is classic that if you deny humanity you elevate animals to this human level but it was crafted by
04:08:47.680 the mythology that's what i keep saying who told the ewes the mythology somebody needs to write a
04:08:52.720 critique of that book i did you did i did in city journal like i mentioned it i wrote an article
04:08:58.640 just just on that book or in passing no it was about it was called can we believe about whether or
04:09:03.980 not religion whether or not faith had become obsolete because of science and oh god and uh and that was
04:09:11.480 one of the main books i said so we're not going to get results from california that lines are too long
04:09:17.520 we've been on the air for four hours enough damn it enough but i do want to take a look so i'm sort
04:09:22.520 of a pinch hitter i'm a reliever yeah guys the starting pictures are all a little tired lefty
04:09:29.920 one out by the way just just a little excitement before we go in terms of the percentage of votes
04:09:35.660 joe biden has pulled ahead in texas he's now slightly ahead of bernie sanders but bernie is still ahead
04:09:41.520 in the delegate count wow is that for a cliffhanger unbelievable you're going to want to tune in
04:09:45.800 tomorrow to the dennis prager show the andrew clavin show the michael knowles show and the ben shapiro
04:09:50.660 show to find out what i think about how all this shapes up when i wake up in the morning i want to
04:09:56.720 thank all of our daily wire subscribers for tuning in all of our great guests tonight and we will see
04:10:01.040 you back here next time thank you
04:10:02.800 daily wire backstage is produced by robert sterling directed by mike joiner executive producer me
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