The Michael Knowles Show - Election Night 2024 with The Daily Wire

00:00:00.000 History has been made, and The Daily Wire is your front row seat to watch it all as it unfolded live.

00:00:07.460 Join me, Ben Shapiro, Matt Walsh, Andrew Klavan, Jeremy Boring, and special guests for in-depth coverage,

00:00:14.360 real-time electoral maps as results.

00:00:16.680 All came in, expert analysis you will not find anywhere else, from key battlegrounds to exclusive insights.

00:00:23.620 This is the election night coverage you cannot afford to miss

00:00:27.680 from one of the all-time, perhaps the all-time great, election victory in American history.

00:00:35.220 Welcome to The Daily Wire's 2024 election night coverage.

00:00:39.360 I'm joined by our backstage pals, Ben Shapiro, Michael Knowles, Andrew Klavan, Matt Walsh.

00:00:44.600 We're going to be going through this with you in real-time, bringing you real-time updates.

00:00:49.220 As polls close, as we get information, we'll bring it to you.

00:00:52.060 There will be wild speculation, of course, largely from Andrew.

00:00:55.560 There will be comedy, the comedy stylings of Matt Walsh, and we'll just try to survive

00:01:04.160 until the election is over sometime between now and the certification on January 6th.

00:01:10.020 We'll take turns stepping out, grabbing catnaps.

00:01:13.100 It's never going to end, people.

00:01:14.620 It's never going to end.

00:01:16.180 By the way, a couple of quick announcements.

00:01:18.440 According to Decision Desk HQ, Trump has now won South Carolina.

00:01:21.760 I know it's a shocker.

00:01:22.700 Hey, all right.

00:01:23.300 Unfortunately, Kamala Harris has won Vermont in response. 0.98

00:01:26.300 I know you were worried about that one.

00:01:28.020 Trump has also, according to the Associated Press, won Indiana.

00:01:30.880 Hey! 0.99

00:01:31.760 And Trump won Kentucky.

00:01:33.560 Let's start drinking.

00:01:34.380 So basically, 49 states for Trump is the current projection right now.

00:01:38.680 Well, actually, right now, let's hear from Mary Margaret Olihan.

00:01:41.660 She is at Trump HQ in West Palm Beach.

00:01:44.600 Mary Margaret, good to talk to us.

00:01:46.260 Good to talk to you, actually.

00:01:47.260 I mean, I'm sure you're pleased to talk to us as well.

00:01:48.700 Give us a sense of what it's like down there right now.

00:01:50.600 Hey, Ben, and, of course, it's an honor to talk to you all down here in Palm Beach, where

00:01:56.780 we are at Trump headquarters.

00:01:58.320 You can see behind me, there's a whole bunch of people congregating.

00:02:01.600 Anybody who is anybody wants to be here tonight and be in Trump's election night party as they

00:02:07.060 prepare, hopefully, for a victory.

00:02:08.940 And we've been talking to a lot of people on the ground here, trying to get a sense of

00:02:11.700 what's going on.

00:02:12.900 And I can tell you the atmosphere is very hopeful, very excited.

00:02:16.220 People are on edge, but I would say in a good way.

00:02:18.900 They're just, they're really amped up for tonight.

00:02:20.920 So we're going to be here.

00:02:22.200 We're going to be talking to everyone and getting a sense for where this is going.

00:02:25.600 So how relaxed or nervous are they in the room?

00:02:28.080 Are they concerned?

00:02:29.740 Are you getting, like, nerves?

00:02:30.680 Or is everybody just basically opening it up?

00:02:32.680 Are they ready and raring to party already?

00:02:34.600 Well, you know, these people are all from D.C. or they're from Florida.

00:02:40.140 They're always ready to party.

00:02:41.480 But when we ask people, how are you feeling?

00:02:44.760 When we ask people, how are you feeling?

00:02:46.440 How's it going?

00:02:47.120 What are you thinking about the race?

00:02:48.320 What they'll tell you is they're, quote, unquote, cautiously optimistic.

00:02:51.840 I've been emailing or texting with a whole bunch of different Trump advisors.

00:02:54.820 And what they're telling me is they're feeling good, but they're still pushing people to get

00:02:58.540 out to the polls.

00:02:59.400 And that's what one advisor told me not even five minutes ago.

00:03:02.320 So the push is get to the polls, get to the polls.

00:03:05.060 We want every single vote.

00:03:06.400 We want to make every single vote count.

00:03:08.280 That's what Trump himself was saying last night in Michigan.

00:03:10.780 He was saying, we've done the work.

00:03:12.560 We've done the campaigning.

00:03:13.600 We've gotten our message out.

00:03:14.500 Now it's up to you guys to get to the polls and to make America great again.

00:03:18.200 So, Mary, we know that you've been closely following Trump's movements over the past few

00:03:22.540 days.

00:03:23.240 Where is he right now?

00:03:23.960 I mean, I assume he's in the back somewhere at Mar-a-Lago.

00:03:27.620 Yes.

00:03:28.040 So he's over at Mar-a-Lago with his close circle, his close-knit friends.

00:03:31.860 We're told that they're all going to come over here if he wins.

00:03:34.780 Hopefully, if he doesn't win as well.

00:03:36.600 But we know that he'll be over here if he does, in fact, win.

00:03:39.400 There's going to be a whole party.

00:03:40.440 They're going to be celebrating.

00:03:41.820 And we're hearing that top Trump surrogates are going to be coming here as well.

00:03:45.280 So people are starting to trickle in.

00:03:47.220 It's exciting to talk to them, hear what they think about how this race is going.

00:03:51.500 And, you know, the night is still very young.

00:03:53.380 So the people we talk to are just very hopeful and excited.

00:03:57.080 And obviously, when it comes to Florida, everyone's excited there because it's the best state

00:03:59.680 in America, it's not just because it's where I live, mostly because it's where I live.

00:04:03.420 But also, the results are already coming in from Florida.

00:04:05.800 Florida is currently 42 percent in.

00:04:07.600 Donald Trump has about a 200,000 vote lead on Kamala Harris. 0.79

00:04:10.760 He's got 52 percent, or 47.1 percent.

00:04:13.640 And Jill Stein bringing up third place with 16,000 votes.

00:04:17.000 The Jill Stein vote coming in strong across the country.

00:04:20.180 So, Mary, does the Trump campaign, you know, have any idea as to, you know, how long this

00:04:25.860 is going to take?

00:04:26.200 And that's the big question everyone's asking is, are we going to be here for the next,

00:04:28.860 like, eight days?

00:04:29.580 What are you getting a sense of there?

00:04:32.660 So nobody seems to know the answer to that, Ben.

00:04:34.820 And we've been asking a lot of people.

00:04:36.060 I think we're all hoping this will be over very quickly.

00:04:38.700 You know, I was texting Donald Trump Jr.

00:04:40.360 earlier, asking him how he's feeling about the race.

00:04:42.360 And he told me he thinks things are looking good as long as there's no, quote, unquote, BS.

00:04:46.620 So it remains to be seen how this night will go, if we're going to be in a long, drawn-out

00:04:52.920 process.

00:04:53.700 But I think the answer is no one knows.

00:04:56.360 And that's really the situation right now.

00:04:58.880 Well, Mary Margaret, it's good to talk to you.

00:05:00.880 I'm sure we'll check back in with you quite shortly as the night progresses.

00:05:05.600 It's, you know, enjoy yourself.

00:05:07.320 You know, drink heavily.

00:05:08.180 But I didn't give you permission to do that.

00:05:09.840 That's an HR violation.

00:05:10.800 Anyway, have a good time over there in Florida.

00:05:15.280 Well, thank you.

00:05:16.100 I will.

00:05:16.280 I got the good assignment.

00:05:17.460 So we're having a good night.

00:05:18.820 Folks, Daily Wire's footprint at the Trump headquarters was made possible at PDS Debt.

00:05:22.280 Get a custom plan to become debt-free right now at pdsdebt.com slash dailywire.

00:05:25.800 It only takes 30 seconds.

00:05:26.880 That's pdsdebt.com slash dailywire, pdsdebt.com slash dailywire.

00:05:32.640 And now a bunch of people are in seats that they were not in before.

00:05:37.700 It's like a magic trick.

00:05:39.060 Every time we come back, there is somebody who has inhabited a different body.

00:05:42.020 So we have Clay Travis, who has joined us in his most elegant regalia.

00:05:46.700 I did, yes.

00:05:48.060 Did I not get the memo on the velvet thing?

00:05:49.800 I saw your velvet.

00:05:51.240 I've had this, unfortunately, the last time I was sitting with all of you was two years ago.

00:05:56.140 And I was super optimistic on that.

00:05:58.360 Take it off.

00:05:59.040 Get it, Eddie.

00:05:59.600 We'll get you a gene jacket.

00:06:00.620 I'm either going to be like a, I'm going to be at Kid Rock's honky-tonk tonight.

00:06:04.900 So it's going to be one of the most amazing nights ever.

00:06:07.480 And I'm going to be on the stage like, Donald Trump has won and now Kid Rock.

00:06:11.780 And I'm going to be like, this is one of the great nights of my life.

00:06:14.580 Or I'm going to be like the fan who paints his face, and then the camera finds him when

00:06:19.420 the team is lost by like three touchdowns.

00:06:21.500 Like a Bears fan at the very end of that game.

00:06:22.900 Yeah, you're a grown man who painted his face, and you're like, I've just got to question

00:06:26.300 a lot of my life.

00:06:26.680 Are you optimistic, though?

00:06:28.040 How are you feeling?

00:06:28.700 I am optimistic.

00:06:30.500 The more we get into the votes coming in, the less optimistic I am.

00:06:33.820 I don't know.

00:06:34.340 Does that make sense?

00:06:35.200 Yes, it does.

00:06:35.780 I wanted, we only had one race in the 21st century where I think both sides said, you know

00:06:42.400 what, I agree with the outcome.

00:06:44.800 2008, at least, Barack Obama won comfortably.

00:06:48.080 And it feels to me like we're going to be in another one of these, hey, if we had made

00:06:52.340 that field goal, man, we would have won.

00:06:54.680 If we miss a field goal, and it feels like that's basically every race in the 21st century. 0.99

00:06:59.340 So I was hoping, and I still do have some hope, that Trump might have really kind of punched

00:07:05.200 through, and it's all anecdote, but I bet you guys are similar.

00:07:09.040 I know people who didn't vote Trump in 16, 20, and are voting Trump in 24.

00:07:14.760 Like, I know a lot of those people.

00:07:16.080 The hardest part for people like me, since I don't trust feelings, feelings are bad.

00:07:20.080 Yes.

00:07:20.660 And it's all anecdotal.

00:07:22.060 That's the problem.

00:07:22.960 Yes.

00:07:23.160 You know, I'll get high, like, with the anecdotal evidence.

00:07:26.000 I'll be walking around somewhere, and somebody who I'd never expect will come out of the

00:07:28.520 woodwork and be like, I'm totally voting for Trump, and I'm really excited about it.

00:07:31.100 And I'm like, remember, that's anecdotal evidence, and it doesn't mean anything.

00:07:34.840 But I do not know a single person who voted Trump, Trump, Kamala.

00:07:40.080 And so that, to me, feels like if I had to go to my gut, it is that Trump is going to

00:07:45.360 win by the skin of his teeth, because enough people have seen that he isn't Hitler, and

00:07:51.420 have been willing to make a shift since the last two elections.

00:07:55.040 Well, also, Cabot Phillips is here.

00:07:56.860 I am.

00:07:57.240 They tried to get black Jeremy, and they said, we'll get slightly younger white guys.

00:08:00.640 Yeah, exactly.

00:08:01.780 Jeremy has grown taller, and his beard is slightly fuller, and he's de-aged, actually.

00:08:06.400 So, Cabot, you're usually the informational guy.

00:08:08.560 Bring me information.

00:08:09.320 I need data.

00:08:10.080 Yeah, well, one thing that I was thinking of when Megan was talking about the female vote 1.00

00:08:13.700 is the fact that we can tend to think of both genders as kind of monoliths.

00:08:18.000 But looking back at the 2022 midterm exit polls, Democrats obviously dominated with women 1.00

00:08:24.000 in the aggregate.

00:08:24.980 But when you looked at their performance with married women, in the 2022 exit polls, married 0.95

00:08:30.060 women went for Republicans by 14 points.

00:08:32.420 It was unmarried women who they picked up by a 37-point margin. 0.98

00:08:36.620 And so, it can give this separate idea of how women vote as a whole. 1.00

00:08:40.620 And I actually, I was on the ground in North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, talking

00:08:44.700 to hundreds of voters.

00:08:46.080 And I realized that one of the easiest predictors for how someone was going to vote, if it was

00:08:50.540 a woman, and I'd walk up to them if I saw a wedding ring on their finger, or if I saw 1.00

00:08:54.840 kids with them, loading up their groceries in the parking lot, the majority of those

00:08:58.800 people were voting for Republicans.

00:09:00.900 If I saw a woman who was single, younger, clearly not married, they were overwhelmingly 0.88

00:09:05.900 Democrats.

00:09:06.100 So, the good news is married women vote Republican, unmarried women vote Democrat. 1.00

00:09:10.120 The problem is fewer and fewer people are getting married.

00:09:13.460 So, that is not a good trend line for the Republicans.

00:09:15.900 And there's a real mystery here, too.

00:09:17.780 And the mystery is why is that divide so remarkable?

00:09:21.200 No, is it that the women change when they get married? 1.00

00:09:23.960 Is that it's a different kind of woman that's getting married to begin with, someone who's 0.99

00:09:28.120 more traditionally oriented?

00:09:29.780 Is it that the unmarried women are angry with the system because they're single? 1.00

00:09:35.360 I think there's something about that.

00:09:36.740 And so, they're in a category, you know, if you're not allied with someone, if you don't

00:09:41.460 have a partner, then you have reason to be what, you have reason to be resentful.

00:09:46.420 Do you have a reason to doubt the validity of the system as a whole?

00:09:50.520 Are you trying to trumpet that sexual freedom that's hypothetically part of being single?

00:09:55.660 Like, there's something very strange going on here with unmarried young women. 1.00

00:10:00.600 And I don't exactly get it.

00:10:02.800 I think part of it is the failure of the aspirational, just generally in American society.

00:10:06.860 I think so much of our voting now breaks down to, to go back to sort of the Elon Musk of

00:10:09.880 it, the failure of aspiration.

00:10:11.800 If you fail in your attempt to do something, there are two things you can do.

00:10:14.360 You can either do what a successful person does, which is say, what can I do differently

00:10:17.340 in order to improve my lot, you know, as God tells Cain to do, or you can go out and try 1.00

00:10:22.180 and kill your brother. 0.98

00:10:23.060 And you can basically say, it's the fault of the system. 1.00

00:10:25.140 It's everybody else's fault.

00:10:26.480 And so, if as a system, you say that you don't even aspire anymore to get married, that's

00:10:31.840 not something to even aspire to, then there has to be some substitute for the thing that

00:10:35.480 you're supposed to aspire to.

00:10:36.420 What is the life that is now the substitute for what a married life would have been?

00:10:41.060 Sex and the city.

00:10:42.100 Well, I think that's exactly right. 0.92

00:10:43.620 And so, if the substitute happiness, the ersatz happiness you're being provided is sex in 0.75

00:10:48.000 the city, well, then of course abortion is your number one issue.

00:10:50.840 Because abortion is the thing that destroys the possibility of you being forced into, I 0.98

00:10:55.460 mean, let's be real about how marriage used to work in this country.

00:10:58.060 A huge percentage of people got married because they knocked up a girl, right? 0.60

00:11:01.100 I mean, that was like a huge number of shotgun weddings in America in 1940, extremely high.

00:11:06.760 Especially in the South, where we are right now.

00:11:09.300 100%.

00:11:09.620 And you know what?

00:11:10.120 That's not actually a bad thing, because it turns out that that's sort of how natural

00:11:13.080 law would tend to suggest that things work, right?

00:11:15.620 That if you actually knock somebody up, you should then get married to that person, then 0.76

00:11:18.480 you should raise the child together.

00:11:19.980 That was reality, cuddling you back into what you should aspire to doing anyway.

00:11:24.900 Abortion cuts that completely off, which is why, if you wish to uphold the sex in the city 1.00

00:11:29.060 lifestyle, it's the number one issue.

00:11:31.460 We're going to take a quick moment to highlight, by the way, some cool stuff going on here at Daily

00:11:36.200 Wire.

00:11:36.500 We will be back in just a moment with that awkward intro.

00:11:41.960 It's really funny.

00:11:43.480 It's really funny.

00:11:44.760 By myself, laughing out loud hysterically today.

00:11:47.980 It is one of the most important contributions to cinema in American history.

00:11:51.680 Your goal is to conduct an investigation into something key to the culture war.

00:11:55.940 There were so many great moments in there.

00:11:57.980 Were these people real that are in this movie?

00:12:00.520 It's a great film.

00:12:01.360 I highly recommend everybody go see this movie.

00:12:03.060 Mazel Tov.

00:12:03.860 As Ben's people would say.

00:12:07.320 Am I Racist?

00:12:09.020 Now streaming only on Daily Wire Plus.

00:12:12.280 In the beginning was the Word.

00:12:15.540 Christ is a master at using short, mysterious stories.

00:12:19.760 They change the listener who takes them seriously.

00:12:22.240 My experience with the biblical text is that they're inexhaustible sources of wisdom.

00:12:28.860 If I find something in them that is an obstacle, it's because there's something in me that has yet to be transformed.

00:12:34.260 I just don't get it.

00:12:35.680 The person that you do not think could ever be virtuous.

00:12:39.760 Oh, let me show you.

00:12:40.880 This is the person who is fulfilling the law and the prophets.

00:12:43.260 But seek first his kingdom and his righteousness, and all these things shall be added to you as well.

00:12:48.780 I don't believe in that promise.

00:12:50.000 I'll just be honest at this point.

00:12:51.320 That has not been part of my experience.

00:12:53.240 This parable I've been trying to understand forever.

00:12:56.060 While we were talking and while we were sitting there, then it hit me.

00:12:59.160 I saw it.

00:12:59.900 Name me one ideology that has supplanted Christianity that has done good for humanity. 0.90

00:13:06.160 This Jew is very frightened of a post-Christian society. 1.00

00:13:10.280 He was the God-man.

00:13:11.440 The model, the example of what we ought to become and what we can become.

00:13:15.220 It's okay.

00:13:16.220 It's safe for you and all of your doubts and apprehensions to open up and to let these stories in.

00:13:22.220 He is the temple.

00:13:23.120 He is the Torah. 0.70

00:13:24.140 He is the covenant.

00:13:25.140 He is prophecy fulfilled.

00:13:27.200 If you're doing this and it isn't also the love of wisdom, it's also an attempt at wisdom without love.

00:13:32.720 In both ways, you're going radically wrong.

00:13:34.680 Hour of love.

00:13:35.500 It sounds so cliche when you say it.

00:13:36.620 We're 60 there.

00:13:37.860 I don't want to be in a Hallmark card, I tell you.

00:13:41.060 We've got our work cut out for us, gentlemen.

00:13:42.940 This is one peculiar time and one peculiar text, and I sure hope we're up to the task.

00:13:56.740 That was a nice little treat.

00:13:58.080 That was the world premiere of the teaser trailer for Jordan Peterson's new series on the Gospels,

00:14:04.160 which, you know, I think, Dr. Peterson, that your series on Exodus is one of the finest things

00:14:09.260 that we've ever got to be a part of producing.

00:14:11.020 And I've only made it through about a quarter of the Gospel episodes, but they're just tremendous.

00:14:15.640 Can you tell us a little bit about what that process was like?

00:14:18.700 Well, the first thing I'd probably like to do is to thank you guys for having enough courage to undertake the endeavor.

00:14:24.840 I mean, it's a big risk, you know, and it isn't at all obvious that a 16-part series on Exodus with nine academics,

00:14:33.200 that's bad enough to begin with, you know, would be something that could attract an audience that there could be any business case for.

00:14:41.660 But you guys, you know, you threw yourself into it, and then we doubled the length on you, and you went along with that.

00:14:46.620 And I know it's been spectacularly successful, and that's been great.

00:14:50.380 What was it like?

00:14:51.380 Well, it was a privilege, you know, because the people at the table were top rate.

00:14:57.800 Like, I was really fascinated to be in the seminar because every single person that spoke always had something to say that I really wanted to listen to.

00:15:07.540 I really found that.

00:15:08.600 Like, I learned that with the Exodus seminar because I learned so much there.

00:15:12.380 It literally took me months to digest it.

00:15:14.700 It had a big influence on the book that I am publishing on November 19th.

00:15:18.640 It helped me clarify a lot of the stories that I didn't understand.

00:15:21.560 And then, of course, the same thing happened as we walked through the Gospels.

00:15:24.940 And it was great.

00:15:27.300 And I hope that we did as good a job or better, both on the discussion side and on the production side,

00:15:33.600 with the Gospel seminar as with the Exodus seminar.

00:15:37.180 And I think we did.

00:15:38.720 And we got down to brass tacks.

00:15:40.700 And it's, see, I've learned, this is a revolutionary thing, you know.

00:15:46.220 I've learned that all the evidence supports the notion that we see the world through a story.

00:15:51.720 In fact, a description of the structure through which we see the world is a story.

00:15:56.680 So then the only question, once you know that, and I think that's indisputable on scientific grounds now.

00:16:02.140 And so once you know that, the only question becomes, well, what's the story?

00:16:06.920 You know, and the cultural insistence is that it's one of power.

00:16:11.360 And the biblical insistence is that it's one of sacrifice.

00:16:15.240 And those both aren't right.

00:16:17.680 Like, it's one or the other, right?

00:16:19.780 There's alternatives.

00:16:20.940 Hedonism, nihilism, which is sort of the absence of stories.

00:16:24.300 But I think the idea that this community is founded on sacrifice is,

00:16:28.620 it's so substantive that it's self-evident.

00:16:31.980 And then the issue is, how do you investigate the structure of sacrifice?

00:16:36.760 We did that a lot in the Gospel Seminar.

00:16:38.740 I don't want to get to any spoilers or anything like that.

00:16:41.860 But when you're delving into this question, are you looking at it from the perspective of,

00:16:46.880 you know, which of these two views is more conducive to the kind of society I want to live in?

00:16:52.000 Or are you asking, which of these two views is right?

00:16:54.880 It's deeper than that.

00:16:55.960 Because I don't think there is a society that's predicated on power.

00:17:00.580 However, there's force.

00:17:02.720 I can force you to do something that I want you to do.

00:17:05.240 But that doesn't mean that we have a society.

00:17:08.000 A society is based on mutually acceptable sacrifice upward.

00:17:13.040 And it's worth delving for a moment on what I mean by sacrifice.

00:17:18.120 And it's pretty straightforward.

00:17:19.400 Like, if we're in a communal relation, it's not all about you.

00:17:23.540 And it's not all about me.

00:17:25.600 And that really is the definition of a relationship.

00:17:28.300 If it's all about me, it's not a relationship.

00:17:30.160 If it's all about me, it's about my whim and my power to impose it.

00:17:35.280 If we're in a relationship, I have to give up something that's immediate to me for the sake of the relationship and the sake of the future.

00:17:43.060 And that's why sacrifice is at the foundation of society.

00:17:46.080 It's virtually a truism.

00:17:47.600 And it's also the same in relation to work, because work is the sacrifice of the future.

00:17:53.920 It's the sacrifice of the present to the future, right?

00:17:56.940 So we sacrifice our own immediate whims to be communal, and we sacrifice the immediate present for the future.

00:18:05.260 And so sacrifice is the foundation of society.

00:18:08.940 And I just can't see how that can be otherwise.

00:18:11.580 The counter proposition is absurd, right?

00:18:14.520 Which is the idea that all social interaction is a consequence of power.

00:18:19.380 That is, there are more dismal views that it's all sex and hedonism or that there's no meaning in anything.

00:18:25.900 Those are pretty catastrophic views.

00:18:28.540 But the idea that all social organization is a function of power.

00:18:34.160 First of all, I think that's a confession on the part of the theorist.

00:18:37.180 I agree.

00:18:37.620 A confession and a wish.

00:18:40.500 Absolutely, absolutely.

00:18:41.900 And I also think that you, I also think it's untrue.

00:18:44.580 It doesn't even work for chimpanzees, by the way, and the evidence for that is pretty clear.

00:18:48.220 And it's also the most, I just can't imagine setting up a social system on a more dismal view of humanity and community than that of power.

00:18:59.140 The only way we can work together is if I force you.

00:19:02.860 Well, who wants that? 0.87

00:19:05.280 Well, we know who wants that.

00:19:06.800 We want, it's tyrants, it's whim-possessed tyrants who want that. 0.99

00:19:11.560 What are you like if you want the opposite?

00:19:13.660 Well, you sacrifice upward.

00:19:14.900 Ben, you were talking about having children.

00:19:16.520 It's like it reorients you in the world, right?

00:19:18.500 Because all of a sudden, there's something, there's someone who's clearly more important than you.

00:19:22.980 And a time frame that's clearly more important than you right now.

00:19:26.980 And that reorients you radically.

00:19:28.520 And that's a sacrificial orientation.

00:19:31.180 And so, that was great doing the gospel center.

00:19:35.900 My invitation to be in the academic roundtable was lost in my email inbox, but I would have been there.

00:19:42.620 Did it go into promotions or?

00:19:44.480 It was probably there, yeah, spam.

00:19:45.580 Spam.

00:19:46.520 By the way, just a quick indicator, and you can talk more about this.

00:19:49.860 Just a couple of pieces of good news if you want to be in a good mood.

00:19:52.280 Okay, so, pieces of good news, number one.

00:19:54.960 Osceola County, which is one of the most Hispanic counties in America, is like 55% Hispanic.

00:19:59.380 It's heavily Puerto Rican.

00:20:00.280 Donald Trump is on the verge of winning that in Florida, which means that he is, you know,

00:20:06.640 outperforming maybe this Puerto Rican, you know, issue with regard to Tony Hinchcliffe making a bad joke.

00:20:11.320 Okay, maybe that has some consequences for places like Pennsylvania.

00:20:14.320 I know there have been worries because there are 200,000 Puerto Rican voters in Pennsylvania.

00:20:17.360 So, that's a piece of news, number one.

00:20:18.840 You know, the thing is, Puerto Ricans have a good sense of humor.

00:20:21.160 I'm from New York.

00:20:21.800 I've spent a lot of time around Puerto Ricans.

00:20:23.360 That non-traversy was so contrived.

00:20:26.360 I'm glad to hear some data actually back up that.

00:20:28.680 Okay, a couple other pieces of data.

00:20:30.800 As of 7.25 p.m. Eastern Time, according to Decision Desk HQ, Trump currently has a 61% chance of winning the presidency.

00:20:37.640 So, the numbers they're seeing, obviously, they think are looking pretty good.

00:20:41.540 What was the source?

00:20:42.140 That is Decision Desk HQ.

00:20:43.860 And they're constantly adjusting that.

00:20:45.740 They are.

00:20:46.140 And Decision Desk has been our partner tonight.

00:20:47.920 If you're seeing any of the numbers that you're seeing on your screen or maps that you're seeing on your screen as we go through the evening tonight are by way of our partnership with Decision Desk HQ.

00:20:57.400 And one other piece of data.

00:20:58.740 I know we're not supposed to do exit polls, but I'm going to break my own rule because it makes me happy.

00:21:01.360 And, again, the rules don't apply to me since, you know, as a co-owner of the company and a very famous person, they let you do it.

00:21:07.960 So, according to the CNN exit poll, Georgia independents broke for Trump by 11%, which is a 20 percentage point swing toward Trump among indies from four years ago.

00:21:19.740 Ryan Gerdoski, late of CNN.

00:21:23.240 Great line.

00:21:23.580 He is suggesting that there's a possibility that Georgia gets called.

00:21:31.580 Relatively early, as in within the next hour and a half or so.

00:21:34.000 One more exit poll since I am not an employee of the company.

00:21:38.040 Yeah, we literally cannot fire you.

00:21:39.660 You can't fire me for this. 0.85

00:21:41.540 Can we make his life miserable? 0.80

00:21:43.120 Probably. 0.94

00:21:43.880 Probably.

00:21:45.340 25% of black voters in Georgia, reportedly male voters, went for Trump.

00:21:52.960 Wow.

00:21:53.240 If that is true and the independence is true, Trump is going to win Georgia, which would be huge.

00:21:59.740 And the numbers would suggest, based on how well he's doing in Florida, there's a famous band, Florida-Georgia line.

00:22:05.920 If you've ever spent any time around there, there's not a lot of difference between North Florida and South Georgia.

00:22:12.060 So if Trump's going to win by 10 in Florida, I think he's going to win Georgia.

00:22:17.260 Can I just give a shout out to my boy, Ron DeSantis, who has turned Florida into the best state in America.

00:22:21.400 Okay, Ron DeSantis turned that state from a dead heat in 2018 to a place where registered Republicans have a number of registered Democrats by a million.

00:22:29.180 I think it's a million point two at this point.

00:22:31.500 And Miami just went red in an 18-point swing from 2020.

00:22:35.700 You guys need some more illegal immigrants. 1.00

00:22:39.260 By the way, Hillary won Miami-Dade by 30, just in 2016. 1.00

00:22:44.020 That's like a 35-point swing.

00:22:45.220 For like a point to the future, putting aside this election, which, you know, a little early for that.

00:22:48.760 But, you know, one thing that is positive that we should keep an eye on is, I know it's looking a little ahead, 2030 census is going to radically redo all these numbers.

00:22:56.800 Okay, 2030, so I've mentioned this before, my worst case scenario, which has been scaring everybody all over the internet,

00:23:01.780 which is that tonight Donald Trump wins North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and she wins 270 to 268.

00:23:06.980 But the 2020 census was actually done wrong.

00:23:09.540 Because of Omaha, because Nebraska didn't go one win in the state.

00:23:13.460 And also because, so the census in 2020 was done wrong.

00:23:17.380 Okay, and they've acknowledged this.

00:23:19.020 This is perfect, like they've said this.

00:23:20.860 The census undercounted Florida, it undercounted Texas, it overcounted New York, it overcounted Delaware and Rhode Island.

00:23:25.560 And so if they'd done it right, Florida has two more electoral votes.

00:23:28.560 Trump doesn't need to win any of the blue wall states in order to win the election.

00:23:32.320 Okay, and so there's likely to be a lawsuit on that basis.

00:23:34.440 Will that lawsuit be successful?

00:23:35.660 I doubt it.

00:23:36.280 But there will be a lawsuit on that basis if that's the result of the election, which is actually not super improbable, given the current odds.

00:23:42.540 Now, what that means for 2030, however, is that as population continues to bleed south, as it continues to bleed to red states,

00:23:48.780 if we do the census correctly in 2030, a bunch of this math gets redone.

00:23:53.620 Florida now has three or four more electoral college votes, and places like Virginia have fewer, right?

00:24:00.260 California loses electoral college votes.

00:24:01.980 So, you know, for all the sort of despair that you hear all the time from people, you know, things move, things change.

00:24:07.340 I'm old enough to remember when Florida and Ohio were swing states, and now those are bright red.

00:24:11.160 And I think in the future, by the way, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are all trending red.

00:24:14.760 Virginia, on the other hand, is trending blue.

00:24:16.460 I think that's the most likely.

00:24:17.620 Virginia looks like Colorado.

00:24:19.040 Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan look very much the same, trending red.

00:24:23.020 And that 25% black male exit poll is not a big surprise. 0.98

00:24:28.780 I mean, we've been talking about the gender wars and with respect to women, but the Kamala Harris campaign made a decision to make no attempt at all to win a single male vote. 0.60

00:24:39.580 Yes.

00:24:40.160 They did not put out even one single ad the entire campaign targeted at men.

00:24:44.240 Excuse me, Matt.

00:24:45.220 Excuse me.

00:24:45.820 You clearly didn't look at Pete Buttigieg and Tim Wolfe's black dude for Harris.

00:24:50.200 That was very effective, I thought.

00:24:51.660 And, of course, they put out a few ads that were allegedly ostensibly for men, but even those were actually talking to women.

00:24:58.040 And that is a strategy that should cost them the election.

00:25:01.140 We'll see if it does.

00:25:01.500 I also would hope, and by the way, you guys do great work.

00:25:04.660 If you haven't seen Matt's movie, it is absolutely hysterical.

00:25:07.700 You don't have to tell me.

00:25:08.520 I know, but I mean, for everybody out there.

00:25:10.800 What was that movie again?

00:25:11.500 Am I racist?

00:25:12.300 It's very good.

00:25:12.840 By the way, Rachel Maddow, really big fan.

00:25:16.420 I heard a good job by that.

00:25:17.700 I do love it.

00:25:18.640 But I do think if that were to hold, what it would do is destroy identity politics, which

00:25:24.940 I think ultimately—

00:25:25.940 Are you talking about my movie still or the election?

00:25:27.200 No, well, that helped.

00:25:28.240 But black men voting for Donald Trump has the potential to blow up identity politics, which 0.98

00:25:33.160 I think is the root cancer that is polluting so much of American discourse. 0.99

00:25:37.640 Yep.

00:25:37.960 You may have noticed that joining us now, we have classicist, historian, host of the Young

00:25:41.540 Heretics podcast, and author of Light of the Mind, Light of the World, my good friend,

00:25:46.440 Spencer Clavin.

00:25:47.140 Spencer, welcome to the show.

00:25:48.140 Hey, guys.

00:25:48.600 It's great to be here.

00:25:49.300 I am not, in fact, Jordan Peterson.

00:25:50.660 You may have noticed.

00:25:51.380 I've transformed over time.

00:25:52.420 Yes, although you'll have an interesting take on this.

00:25:54.620 Thank you, Clay.

00:25:55.240 Thank you, guys.

00:25:55.960 Clay just got up and left.

00:25:57.040 I don't know.

00:25:57.600 He's gone.

00:25:58.060 Is it something I want to say?

00:25:59.620 He's like, you know what, Clayton?

00:26:01.100 I don't like him either.

00:26:02.640 I got to hang out with Kid Rock boys.

00:26:05.940 When Dr. Peterson was with us, and of course, Dr. Peterson will be back later on in the evening,

00:26:10.120 we were talking about sacrifice and the sort of Christian narrative that undergirds society.

00:26:15.720 And one of the things that it occurs to me that Christians are called to sacrifice, among other 1.00

00:26:19.840 things, in many instances, is their sense of self.

00:26:23.600 And religion often gives us a very false sense of self.

00:26:26.940 And Christianity posits that the false sense of self is that we're good. 0.60

00:26:31.320 And sadly, I think when Christianity is misused, it's actually misused to reinforce the old

00:26:38.520 religious notion that we're good.

00:26:39.860 And if we're good, then, of course, we don't need intervention from God in the form of Christ.

00:26:43.960 Why I bring this up right now is because a lot of Christians hang on to this view of themselves 0.55

00:26:50.700 that they are above having to get their hands dirty in worldly affairs.

00:26:55.340 And many Christians, for that reason, don't engage in the political process. 0.98

00:27:00.440 They think that if they engage in the political process, especially in a moment where you have

00:27:04.940 choices that are, let's call them suboptimal, maybe from a Christian value perspective.

00:27:10.980 I mean, Donald Trump, you could say many good things about Donald Trump.

00:27:14.080 We've said many of them here.

00:27:15.460 He's not a great moral icon.

00:27:18.300 His pro-choice sort of background has really reasserted itself in this election, which is

00:27:25.100 very difficult for Christians.

00:27:26.440 Christians, I think in this country, particularly evangelicals, do not know yet how to reorient 1.00

00:27:31.460 their politics in the wake of an event they never thought would occur, which is the overturning

00:27:36.220 of Roe v. Wade.

00:27:36.880 Which changed everything.

00:27:37.660 Which changed everything.

00:27:38.520 It makes abortion now a political issue.

00:27:40.120 And political issues are messy issues.

00:27:42.820 When abortion was a sort of abstract judicial issue, Christians could afford to take an 0.98

00:27:49.980 abolitionist point of view.

00:27:51.600 And it was politically beneficial to do so.

00:27:53.340 And it was politically beneficial to take an abolitionist point of view.

00:27:56.440 Now listen, politics aside, morally, I am a complete abortion abolitionist.

00:28:00.460 You can't be more pro-life than me.

00:28:02.100 I don't want exceptions for rape.

00:28:03.340 I don't want exceptions for incest.

00:28:05.160 I am 100% abortion bad all the way, full stop.

00:28:09.280 But as a political issue, we now have to make a decision.

00:28:13.340 If I lived in California and there was an opportunity for a 14-week abortion ban, I would vote for it. 1.00

00:28:18.700 And if it passed, I would then start working on a 12-week abortion ban. 0.99

00:28:22.360 But many Christians are simply not willing to give up their image of themselves as pure and

00:28:28.060 perfect and holy and above it all and get their hands dirty with the difficult compromise

00:28:32.840 that's necessary in politics.

00:28:34.760 And I am concerned that if Christians don't vote, we won't win. 0.71

00:28:39.120 There are still 18 minutes to vote, to get in line to vote, before the next round of polls close.

00:28:45.780 If you're a Christian and you've been on the fence about the idea of voting, please go stand in line. 0.96

00:28:51.260 If you're not in a state where the polls have already closed, please get in line.

00:28:54.640 You have an obligation to vote.

00:28:56.240 Our obligation is not to our view of ourselves.

00:28:59.920 Our obligation, if anything, is to confront our view of ourselves, realize our need.

00:29:04.240 And part of what we get out of grace in Christianity is the opportunity to actually participate in a world that isn't perfect.

00:29:11.820 You only get to participate in that world that isn't perfect if you believe in some sort of system of grace.

00:29:16.380 And I wanted to say that while Dr. Peterson was here.

00:29:19.480 But I didn't get to.

00:29:20.820 I'll have to do.

00:29:21.660 So I'm saying it to you.

00:29:22.520 What do you say to this?

00:29:23.660 Well, for all that conservatives have spent, what, four years at least now bewailing wokeness

00:29:31.000 and identifying all of its flaws and talking about what a terrible, ugly, self-destructive ideology it is,

00:29:38.340 which it is, and all of that is true, and we should point that out,

00:29:41.160 we still have not, as conservatives or as Christians, reckoned with the fact that wokeness offers people something.

00:29:49.740 Wokeness has a selling point, and it's exactly what you are saying.

00:29:54.700 It's an answer to the question, what must I do to be saved?

00:29:58.000 And for most of my adult life, we've pretended that that question doesn't matter,

00:30:03.580 that we can sweep it under the rug while we pursue material pleasures and technological advancements,

00:30:08.020 and that God is dead or over or irrelevant, and we don't even have to think about virtue or abstract, eternal ideals.

00:30:15.880 That idea turned out to be catastrophically wrong, even among the people who said that they believed it.

00:30:23.180 And this is why the new atheists and all the Sam Harris's and Richard Dawkins's of the world 1.00

00:30:29.040 have now been stampeded by a mob of young people, desperate for somebody to tell them how they can be good.

00:30:36.300 And woke politics stands right in that gap and says, all you have to do is take the knee.

00:30:42.900 You simply have to proclaim your guilt, you have to confess your systemic racism,

00:30:48.620 or you have to assume your position on the sacrificial pedestal as a minority or whatever,

00:30:54.180 and now you will once again be in the grand cosmic dance of virtue and pollution and sacrifice.

00:31:01.660 Christians are supposed to be different, I think is what you are saying. 1.00

00:31:05.100 That's right.

00:31:06.080 The Christian pitch is actually something radically other than that, 0.82

00:31:10.880 in a way that almost no other ideology or religion offers.

00:31:15.100 G.K. Chesterton says, before you get the good news, you have to get the bad news.

00:31:18.680 And the bad news is that whereas virtue is absolute,

00:31:22.340 and God's justice is perfect altogether, and his righteousness is entire,

00:31:26.500 we are at an infinite remove from that in the world.

00:31:29.880 And the incarnation is the point of the incarnation.

00:31:32.420 God wouldn't have had to take on flesh and die if he weren't willing to meet us at that imperfect juncture

00:31:39.200 and take the next step toward his perfection.

00:31:42.200 From wherever we are, whatever mess it is, however snarled and tangled we are,

00:31:46.540 and boy are we, in our past sins, in the sins of our fathers, in our ancestral guilt,

00:31:51.760 God in Christ takes one step toward God the Father with us.

00:31:56.100 And in terms of politics, this cashes out as the ancient virtue of prudence,

00:32:01.300 which is what you were talking about.

00:32:02.920 The Christian church fathers and the Aristotelians of the ancient world,

00:32:07.480 and I think the rabbis of the Talmud would all recognize what you are describing as a classic instance of prudence.

00:32:12.900 You don't get the world that conforms to your ideals.

00:32:15.900 You don't even get a world that approximates to your ideals.

00:32:18.300 You get a world that is a thousand miles away from your ideals, and you have two choices.

00:32:23.100 One is to nope out and be responsible for whatever the world is as it is because you have no effect on it.

00:32:29.180 And the other is to get your hands dirty and admit that you were never clean to be.

00:32:32.200 And on this point, you bring up good old Aristotle.

00:32:34.960 He doesn't just say prudence is a virtue.

00:32:37.200 He says prudence is the paramount political virtue.

00:32:41.120 It is the most important of the political virtues.

00:32:43.400 And so we cannot afford to have Christians just throwing their hands up in the air in a kind of suicidal political quietism 0.85

00:32:51.100 that is really a homicidal political quietism because it's going to take a lot of good people down with them.

00:32:55.980 That's why I said Jordan Peterson was here.

00:32:58.540 Who's this guy?

00:32:59.780 Who am I?

00:33:00.360 Who are you?

00:33:01.520 I've never seen this man in my life.

00:33:02.960 This is Dr. Spencer Clavin.

00:33:04.180 He is tall and very well educated and has a bit of a beard sometimes.

00:33:09.120 And hair on my head, you made it.

00:33:10.460 Yeah, has a distinctive voice.

00:33:11.620 So obviously no relation.

00:33:13.660 No relation.

00:33:14.380 No relation.

00:33:15.000 We're so thankful for tonight.

00:33:16.120 I think what Spencer meant to say was go vote.

00:33:19.200 We're so thankful for tonight's sponsors that we're going to take a moment to tell you about some of them right now.

00:33:23.700 And then we'll be right back.

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00:35:08.220 We're now joined by Daily Wire host and reporter Megan Basham.

00:35:11.160 Megan, welcome to our election night coverage.

00:35:13.020 You hosted the pre-show with Cabot.

00:35:14.500 I thought it was terrific.

00:35:15.380 I did, and now I love just being in this den of testosterone.

00:35:18.680 Thanks for having me.

00:35:20.000 To be fair to you, Michael has a pretty high level of estrogen, to be fair.

00:35:24.040 But quick update.

00:35:25.800 So Florida, best state in the union.

00:35:27.300 Just going to keep saying it.

00:35:28.260 It's my home state because I, in my own personage and with my family,

00:35:32.660 they brought something like 20 Republican voters to Florida.

00:35:35.460 Just our immediate family and surrounding friends.

00:35:38.920 Florida is just blowing it out for Trump right now.

00:35:41.820 Florida, Miami-Dade is flipping to Trump.

00:35:44.840 Right now, there are two major ballot measures that were on the ballot in Florida.

00:35:47.880 It was an attempt for Democrats to claw their way back in. 0.67

00:35:50.080 One was Amendment 3.

00:35:50.760 One was Amendment 4.

00:35:51.520 Amendment 3 was a legalized marijuana petition.

00:35:53.940 Amendment 4 was a legalized abortion.

00:35:55.420 Both look like they are going to go down to defeat because Florida is a red state and ain't going back.

00:36:00.340 Meanwhile, over in Georgia, the results look pretty ugly for Kamala Harris thus far. 0.93

00:36:05.420 Some of the swing counties are moving toward Donald Trump.

00:36:09.580 There's also some problems, apparently, in New Hampshire.

00:36:12.220 There's some towns in New Hampshire that have had some pretty significant swings to Donald Trump.

00:36:16.840 If you had to game this thing out right now, it looks as though basically Kamala Harris' hopes come down to extraordinarily heavily turnout in Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee.

00:36:25.500 That may be the entire election right there, is just do enough people show up for her in those three big cities specifically? 1.00

00:36:32.260 Because the rest of the map looks like it is trending toward Donald Trump over 2020.

00:36:36.580 Well, that's really encouraging to hear.

00:36:38.280 I hadn't picked up the latest, so I'm really glad I came onto the set to get that update, especially about Amendment 4.

00:36:44.920 So, and all the Christians say amen.

00:36:47.360 That's right.

00:36:47.880 But, again, credit where credit is due, Georgia and Florida are two states where Donald Trump was at odds with the governor of that state.

00:36:55.900 And the governors of those states have done yeoman's work in actually shifting the voting population of those states.

00:37:01.000 Brian Kemp, the governor of Georgia, who endorsed Donald Trump, was at odds with them.

00:37:04.360 He's done really good work on the ground in Georgia, even though Donald Trump has been very much at odds with, say, the Secretary of State of Georgia.

00:37:09.320 And, of course, Ron DeSantis ran against Trump.

00:37:11.160 And then DeSantis endorsed Trump and has been campaigning for Trump, and that state continues to get redder and redder.

00:37:17.420 So, again, the early numbers, it's way too early to say anything like things look great.

00:37:21.840 But, again, if you were looking at, like, early trends, early trends for Donald Trump, people are showing up to vote.

00:37:27.920 They're showing up to vote.

00:37:28.400 And, by the way, if you're in Pennsylvania, you still have 10 minutes to get in line. 0.98

00:37:31.200 Get your ass in line if you're in Pennsylvania right now. 0.98

00:37:32.820 That's right. 0.99

00:37:32.940 Because that state matters.

00:37:34.400 That is the keystone state for this election.

00:37:36.380 And speaking of Pennsylvania, we're being joined now by Cassie Akiva, who is joining us from Dave McCormick's election party headquarters in Pennsylvania.

00:37:43.920 Of course, McCormick running for Senate in that state.

00:37:46.420 Welcome, Cassie.

00:37:46.960 What's going on there?

00:37:49.280 Thanks for having me.

00:37:50.360 Right now, the door's just opened.

00:37:52.300 It's very rowdy here.

00:37:53.560 We have a very loud band behind us.

00:37:55.600 The campaign told me that they're feeling pretty good.

00:37:57.640 There's been a really good turnout in the rural area.

00:38:00.080 So things are looking good here.

00:38:01.560 The party's just getting started.

00:38:02.720 What have you been saying on the ground in terms for support for Trump from Gen Z voters?

00:38:10.180 Yeah, so we went to a Trump rally yesterday in Pittsburgh, and we wanted to talk to voters about why they were voting for him.

00:38:16.380 And halfway through my interviews, I realized that every single person I interviewed was Gen Z.

00:38:20.900 There were so many Gen Zers there, so it had to be a video about Gen Z support.

00:38:25.060 So take a look right here.

00:38:32.720 Are you supporting Donald Trump?

00:38:36.040 We are.

00:38:36.540 Of course.

00:38:37.300 Yes.

00:38:37.860 Oh yeah.

00:38:38.380 Oh yeah.

00:38:38.800 Absolutely.

00:38:39.560 Oh yeah.

00:38:39.940 Big top.

00:38:40.420 Yes, I am.

00:38:41.140 I already voted for him.

00:38:42.500 100%.

00:38:42.940 I am.

00:38:43.640 Trump.

00:38:44.360 Trump.

00:38:45.000 Trump all the way.

00:38:45.960 Donald J. Trump.

00:38:46.920 Donald J. Trump.

00:38:47.740 2024, baby.

00:38:48.660 Hey, man.

00:38:49.160 And why are you supporting him?

00:38:50.260 You know, it's foreign policy.

00:38:52.200 I don't want us to go to war.

00:38:53.980 You know, I don't want to be drafted.

00:38:55.200 It's going to lower our taxes.

00:38:56.280 It's going to make life more affordable again.

00:38:57.980 I think mostly the economy.

00:38:59.460 The stuff that's happened in the past couple of years hasn't been good for our country.

00:39:02.120 I just think he's for the people, and he's going to make this country good again.

00:39:04.920 Real life is a very big thing for me.

00:39:06.620 The economy is dead right now.

00:39:07.960 Kamal and Jill have done absolutely nothing for this country.

00:39:10.420 I just don't think I'm going to be able to buy a house.

00:39:12.300 Is this your first time voting for Donald Trump?

00:39:13.940 Yes, ma'am.

00:39:14.820 First election after.

00:39:15.960 It is my first time.

00:39:16.800 It sure is.

00:39:17.500 This is my first time voting.

00:39:18.640 It is.

00:39:19.500 Yes.

00:39:19.960 First time voting.

00:39:20.960 Yes, it is.

00:39:21.620 Yes.

00:39:22.060 Yep.

00:39:22.240 Why is it important for Gen Z to vote for Donald Trump?

00:39:24.800 Because we're the future.

00:39:26.120 If you want to be proud to be an American again, vote for Donald J. Trump.

00:39:29.300 It's as easy as that.

00:39:32.380 All right.

00:39:33.360 Cassie, that's unbelievable.

00:39:34.380 We're going to be checking back out, checking back with you throughout the evening.

00:39:37.860 Thanks for being with us.

00:39:40.240 Thanks so much.

00:39:42.300 Well, I may as well mention here at the Decision Desk HQ, has Trump continuing to go up in the

00:39:46.380 possibility of winning Cal sheet, which is a betting market?

00:39:48.920 Cal sheet has Trump at a two to one favorite now in the betting markets.

00:39:52.020 It's the same thing is happening over at Polymarket.

00:39:54.140 So, you know, none of that means anything, but it also doesn't mean totally nothing.

00:39:57.940 If we're going the other way, certainly we would be seeing the celebration breaking out.

00:40:02.840 You know, it's a little too early for us to tune over to MSNBC and see like the bullets

00:40:06.260 of sweat coming down people's face like Robert Hayes in an airplane.

00:40:09.340 But don't get cocky.

00:40:10.200 I know, I know, I know.

00:40:11.920 You'll need people to vote.

00:40:14.320 I've been saying this for months now.

00:40:16.140 You do not win presidential elections by supporting candidates.

00:40:19.660 You win presidential elections by voting for candidates.

00:40:22.360 And there's still time for most of the country to vote.

00:40:25.200 Every single vote is going to matter.

00:40:27.340 Elections in our lifetime have been decided by so few votes.

00:40:30.900 If you make the decision to sit this one out, you may very well be making the decision for

00:40:35.340 the people who represent your values or more broadly support your values to lose.

00:40:40.940 Ben, Cassie is at McCormick's campaign HQ in Pennsylvania.

00:40:44.860 You actually did some campaigning with McCormick, didn't you?

00:40:47.140 I did.

00:40:47.720 And that is a tight state.

00:40:49.520 So Dave is running an extraordinary campaign in Pennsylvania.

00:40:52.280 You'll remember early on when Trump was struggling to find his sea legs against Kamala Harris,

00:40:55.860 who's actually McCormick's campaign, that was putting out most of the great kick-ass ads against Kamala Harris.

00:41:00.560 McCormick is a business person, so he really is data-driven.

00:41:03.120 And so he's really kind of broken down the state into granular detail.

00:41:06.880 He's run a very solid campaign against Bob Casey, who, of course, is a longtime top-level Democratic politico in the state.

00:41:12.180 He was the governor of the state.

00:41:13.000 He's the senator of the state now.

00:41:14.420 That race is a toss-up.

00:41:15.580 It's extremely tight.

00:41:17.460 And so Pennsylvania is going to come down to the wire.

00:41:19.120 And, of course, their voting procedures take forever.

00:41:21.700 There are apparently some precincts that are there now going to extend out until 10 p.m. tonight because of failures over there.

00:41:27.700 So that means, guys, take some Red Bull.

00:41:30.520 We may be here just a little while.

00:41:32.720 But, yeah, Dave's a terrific candidate.

00:41:34.280 He's really authentic.

00:41:35.140 I had the chance to spend some time with pretty much, I would say, every swing state candidate with just a couple of exceptions.

00:41:40.420 And, David, this crop of swing state candidates this year, this is not 2022.

00:41:46.100 This is not we raided the local loony bin.

00:41:47.500 We actually went out and got a bunch of good candidates like Eric Hovde in Wisconsin, who I think is going to win in Wisconsin, and Bernie Moreno in Ohio, who I think is almost certainly going to win.

00:41:57.080 That's me being confident, but I think he's almost certainly going to win in Ohio.

00:42:00.080 I'd say the baseline for Republican Senate wins, I know we haven't talked to Senate races yet, baseline for Republican Senate wins tonight is 52.

00:42:06.700 That includes West Virginia.

00:42:08.400 That includes Tim Sheehy, who I did campaign with in Montana, who is an amazingly good candidate.

00:42:12.680 Tim Sheehy is terrific on the stump, really charismatic, excellent story.

00:42:16.680 He was obviously, I believe, a Navy SEAL.

00:42:19.900 So, you know, he's going to win, I think, walking away in Montana.

00:42:23.240 That takes you to 51.

00:42:24.260 Bernie Moreno, I think he's going to win in Ohio.

00:42:25.680 That's your 52.

00:42:26.520 The question is, if you get to 53, 54, if Carrie Lake sneaks in, maybe even 55 tonight.

00:42:30.900 Listen, the stakes where the Senate are concerned are so high.

00:42:34.220 Should Donald Trump fail to carry the White House, the Senate could be the only institution that really stands between a president, Kamala Harris, 1.00

00:42:41.640 and the worst excesses of her policy agenda, including adding states to the country. 1.00

00:42:48.700 And if Donald Trump wins the presidency, he's going to need the Senate in order to confirm his justices, confirm his nominees, advance his agenda,

00:42:56.140 and give us the kind of conservative victories that we're looking for.

00:42:59.500 Ben, I was really proud of you for being out on the stump the way that you were.

00:43:02.400 And we actually put together this video of some of your appearances throughout the election.

00:43:19.100 This election is the most important election of our lifetimes.

00:43:21.700 Everybody says that every single election cycle.

00:43:24.420 But this one actually is.

00:43:26.200 Imagine Harris wins.

00:43:28.000 Here's what we get to do in the Senate.

00:43:30.300 We get to say no.

00:43:31.160 If Democrats were to, God forbid, gain a triumvirate, the kind of damage they would do to the country

00:43:35.360 with the House, the Senate, and the presidency would be almost unthinkable at this point.

00:43:39.540 She has already vowed that she would kill the filibuster if she were given that opportunity. 0.97

00:43:43.680 She would then stack the Senate with a couple of extra states. 1.00

00:43:46.480 She would stack the Supreme Court. 0.96

00:43:48.140 We're at really very high levels of violent crime.

00:43:51.480 We need to secure the border with the wall and Border Patrol.

00:43:53.760 The standard of education across all of America has gone in one direction.

00:43:59.060 Decline.

00:43:59.600 What's at stake is not just slight differences in the marginal tax rate.

00:44:04.960 What's at stake here are fundamental values, fundamental American values.

00:44:08.980 There is a civilizational battle going on.

00:44:11.580 And this election is part of that battle.

00:44:14.020 When I was a kid, my dad used to say to me over and over again, he said,

00:44:17.460 Ted, when we lost our freedom in Cuba, I had a place to flee to.

00:44:22.080 If we lose our freedom here, where do we go?

00:44:24.820 That's what the stakes of this election are.

00:44:28.180 There's a party in this country that wants the future of America to be stagnation, social decay, foreign policy weakness.

00:44:34.600 And then there's one party and there's one group of people who want America to build, to explode forth.

00:44:39.660 The greatest America has ever been.

00:44:41.600 This is what President Trump means when he says make America great again.

00:44:44.280 We want a secure border, safe streets, cheap gas, cops are good, criminals are bad, boys are boys, girls are girls. 0.58

00:44:50.100 The Senate races are incredibly important.

00:45:04.080 And it's not glitzy, glamorous work to go out and stump for, you know, it's a great thing to go out and stump with Trump.

00:45:10.200 And you were able to co-host a fundraiser for him this year, have him on your show, do an appearance on the anniversary of the October 7th massacre with him and get some great time with Trump.

00:45:20.560 But it's really the sort of behind the scenes stuff that you did in this election.

00:45:23.700 On your own dime, I should say, that's not a thing.

00:45:25.980 It was a little expensive, yeah.

00:45:26.800 I mean, I was a little shocked by that.

00:45:28.460 But yeah, it is cool.

00:45:30.200 And going to these different places, I mean, first of all, the amount of respect that you should have for candidates who do this day in and day out is really, really high.

00:45:36.440 I mean, that is a rough job.

00:45:37.760 Until you've been on a bus with one of these candidates just stopping place after place after place, you know, going to – with Sam Brown in Nevada and, you know, going around to three separate events where he has to tell his life story three separate times to three separate groups of people.

00:45:50.020 I mean, it's a grind.

00:45:50.840 It's a real grind.

00:45:51.940 And these people put their lives on hold to go and do that sort of stuff because they're taking it upon themselves.

00:45:55.960 And by and large, they're not doing it because they're career politicians.

00:45:58.660 I mean, a lot of these people are incredibly successful in their day job.

00:46:01.140 Eric Hovde is a very wealthy man.

00:46:03.120 Bernie Moreno is a very wealthy man.

00:46:05.100 Dave McCormick is a super wealthy guy.

00:46:06.500 These are people who have made it and they've decided they actually would like to give back to the country by going and doing this sort of stuff.

00:46:13.500 So, you know, we should give them – it should be hats off to a lot of these people.

00:46:17.160 I think we never think about that.

00:46:18.240 We hold them accountable.

00:46:19.120 We should hold them accountable.

00:46:20.600 They represent us and they're supposed to represent our values.

00:46:22.600 But these are people who legitimately take a better life and turn it in for a worse life in order to make the country better.

00:46:30.280 And that, I think, requires us to take our hats off to them. 0.99

00:46:32.300 Plus, the American people just kick ass. 0.99

00:46:33.860 I got to tell you. 0.98

00:46:34.400 Like, being out on the trail with these people is really, really cool.

00:46:36.800 There's some really cool campaign experiences.

00:46:39.140 Pretty amazing.

00:46:39.940 I mean, really an amazing country.

00:46:41.500 Truly.

00:46:41.740 Like, one that stands out was with Bernie Moreno in northern Ohio.

00:46:46.180 And this was just kind of an amazing thing.

00:46:47.740 So, I was in northern Ohio with Bernie.

00:46:50.000 I speak.

00:46:50.560 It's like 1,000 people in maybe a town of 2,000 people total.

00:46:53.760 And 1,000 show up to this event.

00:46:55.580 And I get up and I give my talk.

00:46:57.180 Everybody has a good time.

00:46:58.600 And I'm about to take off.

00:46:59.860 And one of the people from the town gets up and says, we want to give you a present.

00:47:02.340 It's like, okay, well, you know, I've been to a lot of events where they give you a plaque or they give you, like, a piece of paper or something.

00:47:05.960 And he said, no, here's an Israeli flag.

00:47:08.120 This Israeli flag, we're giving it to you.

00:47:09.920 Because on October 7th, one of us was so, like, the day of October 7th, was so upset about that.

00:47:15.620 They took this giant Israeli flag, stuck it on the back of his Ford F-150 in a town that has zero Jews. 0.87

00:47:20.080 Zero Jews in northern Ohio.

00:47:21.420 And started driving it around the town in solidarity with Jews and with Israel.

00:47:24.900 And people in the town were so moved that pretty much every member of the town signed the flag.

00:47:29.300 So, I have this flag signed by, like, 1,000 evangelical Christians and Catholics in northern Ohio.

00:47:35.960 Just in solidarity with Israel, with Jews.

00:47:39.260 Like, it's a great country.

00:47:41.520 This country is just, it's just effing fabulous.

00:47:44.380 It really is.

00:47:44.980 It's such a great country.

00:47:45.740 And that's why it's so hard to watch when it's threatened by people who don't share any of those values and really think that Americans, 0.96

00:47:51.800 that those exact people are the bitter clingers, are the garbage, are the truly bad people, the bad guys in the story. 1.00

00:47:57.740 And it's just such trash. 1.00

00:47:58.760 It's not true. 0.99

00:47:59.280 And that's why, you know, Donald Trump being a middle finger to those people is the thing that they deserve.

00:48:03.400 They deserve that middle finger. 0.73

00:48:04.500 They deserve it good and hard.

00:48:05.960 I hope they're going to get it tonight.

00:48:07.220 Speaking of which, by the way, Loudoun County, Loudoun County in Virginia, just had a nine-point swing right.

00:48:12.920 Wow.

00:48:13.160 Loudoun County.

00:48:14.000 Okay.

00:48:14.460 So, people are showing up.

00:48:15.420 So, keep showing up, folks.

00:48:16.360 Yeah, don't stop.

00:48:17.220 We have no idea how rare this is, I think.

00:48:19.920 Yeah.

00:48:19.980 I mean, that is what you just described would happen in no other country, not only currently in the world, but in the history of the world.

00:48:26.520 There's not another country that would do that. 0.99

00:48:28.460 And so much of this garbage that gets thrown at these people about how nasty and hateful they are comes from this place of utter ignorance. 1.00

00:48:37.080 I mean, deep, enforced, chosen ignorance and arrogance that the ignorance sort of abets. 1.00

00:48:42.980 It's because they don't want to think of themselves as worse than anyone ever.

00:48:48.640 They've chosen not to know about anyone else ever in the history of the world. 0.96

00:48:52.220 And so, they look at people, you know, all of whom have their flaws and their foibles, Americans included, and they think, you know, oh, these backwards, hateful hicks, they're just, you know, spiteful Americans.

00:49:04.460 I challenge you to travel the world and find another country where that will happen, especially with the Jewish flag. 1.00

00:49:11.620 And Selena Zito has that thing where she goes out and she talks to people, and she found that no one else had done it.

00:49:16.640 No one else had talked to them and seen the lives they live, which are interracial and completely accepting of all different kinds of people.

00:49:23.200 And they just don't know.

00:49:24.060 It's unbelievable.

00:49:24.600 From, like, the whitest areas of Ohio down to, I was on the border with Senator Cruz on Sunday night, and it's like the Rio Grande Valley, which is totally Hispanic, and everybody in the crowd is Hispanic.

00:49:32.420 Like, they have the same values because those values are the values of America, and the value is family, community, hard work, virtue.

00:49:39.080 Those are the values that built the country, and leave us the hell alone, combined with all those things, right, autonomy.

00:49:43.740 We're now joined here at Daily Wire HQ by Brent Buchanan of Signal Polling, the most well-respected polling outfit in America.

00:49:49.920 Welcome to the show, Brent.

00:49:50.740 Good to talk to you.

00:49:51.460 Hey, good to be here.

00:49:52.460 So let's talk about the situation in Georgia.

00:49:54.740 Obviously, you know, there's a danger for Republicans in getting high on their own supply.

00:49:57.860 You're kind of reading what's going on on Twitter.

00:49:59.760 What is sort of your overall early take on what you're seeing out of Georgia right now?

00:50:04.340 So there's a couple key counties to look at in Georgia.

00:50:06.780 I actually grew up in one of them, and that is Fayette County here.

00:50:11.380 And in 2016, Trump won this county by 21 points.

00:50:16.480 He only won it by seven in 2020.

00:50:19.500 And with 75% reporting, he's only up by two.

00:50:22.780 So when you're looking at a county like this, you're basically extrapolating this to, quote, the suburbs,

00:50:29.520 because this is on the south side of Atlanta, but it's, you know, a good 30 minutes outside of Atlanta.

00:50:35.080 But then you compare that to Baldwin County, Georgia, which in 2016, Trump lost it to Clinton by two.

00:50:42.960 He lost it to Biden by one.

00:50:44.500 Brian Kemp won it by seven.

00:50:46.940 And currently, Trump is plus six with 79% reporting.

00:50:51.180 So you start to see where you have these conflicting data points, some that are good for Trump, some that are good for Kamala Harris.

00:50:58.600 What's interesting is that the Georgia rurals are coming in pretty heavily Democratic on Election Day voting,

00:51:06.240 meaning that the people who turned up on Election Day to vote in the rural counties in Georgia are more Democratic than they normally would have been.

00:51:13.120 And then when you look at some of the performance of the black counties, if the county is about mid-sized,

00:51:21.200 it's performing pretty much like it did in 2020 right now.

00:51:25.680 And in the really heavy black counties, you're seeing actually a Trump underperformance.

00:51:30.040 So it's kind of a mixed bag right now in Georgia.

00:51:32.920 We're really early at this point.

00:51:34.640 I think there's only 9% or 10% reporting.

00:51:37.340 But the exit polls, take that for what it's worth, do show some signs of hope for Trump.

00:51:43.680 So when you look at all that, I know we're asking you now to project out into the future.

00:51:48.520 What are the indicators that you're going to look for as the vote starts to come in

00:51:52.340 that's going to give you a better idea of the picture that's emerging from this kind of chaotic data?

00:51:56.420 Well, we're definitely going to want to see what the northern arc counties,

00:51:59.340 so Cobb, Gwinnett, Fulton County, kind of the north end of Atlanta.

00:52:04.380 Those are the things you're going to be looking for.

00:52:06.700 As of right now, none of those have reported.

00:52:09.380 And then we're going to continue to watch what the rural counties have done.

00:52:12.120 Because if you look in some other places like Indiana and Kentucky

00:52:15.960 that have already reported a lot of counties,

00:52:18.900 the rurals are actually up in those places about 1% or 2% above their 2020 turnout percentages.

00:52:25.740 The question is, are the suburban counties and are the urban counties at or above 2020 turnout?

00:52:31.620 And we just don't have enough data in yet to answer that question.

00:52:34.380 So, I mean, that seems like a lot of the election is going to come down to precisely that question,

00:52:37.580 not just in Georgia, but all over the country, right?

00:52:39.560 Is the suburban vote up? Is the rural vote down?

00:52:42.700 Given what you're seeing in some of the other states,

00:52:44.620 so Florida, for what it's worth, was just called.

00:52:47.760 Trump is just blowing it out in Florida because Florida has turned into a deep red state

00:52:51.740 just over the course of the last couple of election cycles.

00:52:54.720 You know, there is this idea that there are these bellwether counties.

00:52:57.640 How much stock do you take in the idea that there are bellwether counties

00:53:00.680 where you can look at a county and then extrapolate that out nationally or to other swing states?

00:53:04.180 I think once we have 100% of the vote in on a, quote, bellwether county, we can extrapolate it.

00:53:09.500 But so far, there's not many in the country where we have 100% reporting yet.

00:53:13.840 But if you look at Osceola County as an example in Florida, that's north of Orlando.

00:53:19.280 It has, I believe, the highest percentage of Puerto Rican population as a percentage of the whole of the county.

00:53:25.180 And it moved even further right.

00:53:27.780 Miami-Dade continued this march to the right.

00:53:30.620 One thing also to keep in mind about Florida is the fact that it has about a million more Republicans registered now

00:53:38.000 because of the pandemic.

00:53:40.540 And so, to your point, it is no longer a purple or a swing state.

00:53:45.620 It is 100% a red state now, especially with those trends that you were talking about.

00:53:50.180 Speaking, again, I'm just going to keep mentioning because it's awesome.

00:53:52.400 Amendments 3 and Amendments 4, both likely to be dead in Florida. 0.99

00:53:55.820 Those are both trash. 0.99

00:53:56.640 Excellent. 0.99

00:53:57.040 Which means basically permanent Republican rule forever for the rest of the time.

00:54:01.760 A thousand-year reign of Ron DeSantis in Florida.

00:54:04.940 So that's really good.

00:54:06.040 Well, I did want to ask you, Brent, about this sort of amazing statistic.

00:54:10.660 The Loudoun County in Virginia has moved really toward Trump a lot.

00:54:15.340 What does that mean?

00:54:15.900 For not close washers of politics, you hear Loudoun County a lot because obviously it came up a lot in the gubernatorial race

00:54:21.240 between Glenn Youngkin and Terry McAuliffe.

00:54:23.120 What does that mean if Loudoun County moved right from the last election cycle?

00:54:26.660 So it moved right because you're seeing a depression of Democrat turnout there,

00:54:30.560 not because it has the same number of people who voted and they shifted their votes.

00:54:35.220 So that's definitely something to watch is what is that Democrat to Republican turnout ratio compared to the historical?

00:54:41.100 Virginia in general is actually having a higher election day turnout as a percentage of total votes than they have had in the past.

00:54:49.380 And they also count, the way Virginia goes is they count early votes first and then they report election day votes after that.

00:54:55.840 So I would expect to see that the dim turnout in that county goes up some.

00:54:59.900 But Loudoun County is actually 11% Indian, Asian, American population.

00:55:06.460 And so if that holds and Trump is doing better in a county like that,

00:55:11.460 it's going to be very indicative of some of these Sunbelt metro areas that have high Indian populations.

00:55:18.020 And if she can't juice them in Loudoun County outside of Washington, D.C.,

00:55:21.800 she's going to have trouble doing that in Atlanta, in Phoenix, and in some of these other—Raleigh, Durham is another one that has high Indian populations. 0.99

00:55:30.880 So Brent, obviously we're super early in the night.

00:55:33.260 Can you give us just like a quick preview into what sort of things you're going to be seeing over the next hour?

00:55:37.260 What are you looking for in the next hour?

00:55:38.660 Which areas, which polls are closing and what's going to come out?

00:55:41.640 Yeah, we're going to learn a lot from North Carolina and Georgia because they're on the East Coast

00:55:46.400 and they're going to report earlier, they're going to report more often, and we're going to know who won those earliest.

00:55:54.200 And so a lot of these counties that we're watching, like Fayette, as an example, in Georgia,

00:55:58.500 that was very heavily Trump and has been slowly less Trump over time,

00:56:03.260 once that gets to 100% reporting, where does Trump stand?

00:56:07.400 And that'll give us a really good idea of what some of these swing state suburban counties are looking like.

00:56:12.380 But what we're seeing overall is that turnout is likely to exceed 2020,

00:56:17.700 which a lot of people said that if we even got to that point, that it would be historic.

00:56:22.380 And so we really find ourselves in this place where under 2020 turnout, it's 100% Trump win.

00:56:28.300 At 2020 turnout, a little bit of a Harris advantage.

00:56:31.780 You get above 2020 turnout and we're in unprecedented territory,

00:56:35.440 which it's kind of hard to see who that gives an advantage to

00:56:39.120 until we start to see some of this urban, rural, suburban turnout differential above.

00:56:43.520 How high each of them go above 2020.

00:56:46.160 That's Brent Buchanan.

00:56:46.960 We're going to be back with you in just a little while and keep these updates going.

00:56:50.440 Our election map coverage this evening is possible, is made possible by our sponsor, Lumen.

00:56:54.400 Hack your metabolism with one simple device.

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00:56:59.600 Can we, first of all, that wasn't positive enough.

00:57:02.800 So if we could not go back to him again, that'd be great.

00:57:04.580 But Florida, we talked about how great Florida is because it's deep red and all that.

00:57:10.700 Also, they're going to have all their votes counted soon.

00:57:14.800 And this is the third, I think the third most populated state in the country.

00:57:19.100 And so it's just like, there's no excuse why every other state in the country can't count all their votes if Florida can.

00:57:24.720 There is an excuse.

00:57:25.960 Florida is able to count their votes so quickly because Jeb Bush was their governor for eight years.

00:57:31.360 And then Ron DeSantis has been their governor for, what, the last six years.

00:57:36.160 And as it turns out, Republicans can figure out how to run elections.

00:57:41.180 Democrats in swing states cannot figure out how to run elections,

00:57:45.000 almost as though Democrats in swing states are incentivized not to figure out their elections.

00:57:50.780 You know, there's a lot of talk about how we shouldn't have voting machines.

00:57:53.760 And I remember when I used my first voting machine in California,

00:57:57.020 you would make your selections, and then the printout would happen.

00:58:01.320 And the printout was a sort of dot matrix barcode sort of situation.

00:58:04.460 You had no way of knowing what the printout said.

00:58:07.540 And so, again, as we discussed earlier, there's at least the opportunity for evil,

00:58:12.640 at least the appearance of evil.

00:58:14.320 I used a machine here in Tennessee to vote.

00:58:16.540 First of all, Tennessee has an amazing election.

00:58:18.760 The ballot was basically three pages, not one of these 75-page monstrosities.

00:58:23.660 There were three pages worth of things to vote on.

00:58:27.220 So it was super easy, right?

00:58:28.600 Like, Donald Trump, Marshall Blackburn, don't raise my taxes, and then hit print.

00:58:32.600 And when you hit print, it prints out the ballot for you to turn in.

00:58:37.160 And you can look at the ballot and see where it printed all of your selections.

00:58:40.100 Right there on the ballot in dot matrix, Inc. 0.94

00:58:42.580 It said, Donald Trump, Marshall Blackburn, don't raise my freaking taxes and stop asking me. 0.73

00:58:47.680 And then I went over and turned it in. 0.59

00:58:49.000 So there was no opportunity, even with an electronic system,

00:58:51.920 there was no opportunity for impropriety.

00:58:54.020 The electronic system was just a different way of arriving at a printed ballot

00:58:58.160 that could be read by a human.

00:59:00.240 But it's not only...

00:59:00.680 Again, there's no reason why any state in America can't be doing that.

00:59:03.740 But it's not only red states.

00:59:05.100 It's every other country on Earth that has free, legal, democratic voting.

00:59:09.700 They all count their votes.

00:59:10.460 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:59:10.860 I said...

00:59:11.280 And they get it right.

00:59:11.800 What part of Democrat-controlled swing state

00:59:14.440 did you confuse with three countries that run democratic elections?

00:59:18.520 You know, I have to say, I'm watching the vote in Virginia,

00:59:23.760 and it's close, you know.

00:59:27.860 It's 32% of the vote is in.

00:59:30.740 47-2, Donald Trump has.

00:59:33.260 51.1 is Kamala Harris.

00:59:36.000 And there's still...

00:59:36.680 The counties that are open are right in the middle of the state.

00:59:39.880 You know?

00:59:40.160 You know, Katie Gorka, who is both the brains and beauty of the Gorka organization,

00:59:45.900 is working very hard in Fairfax County and doing just an amazing job,

00:59:50.680 even though she knows the county will be lost.

00:59:52.840 She believes if she can bring out enough people,

00:59:54.560 that will, you know, obviously feed into a Trump victory.

00:59:58.260 You know, they have done a lot of stuff,

01:00:01.320 including go to the Supreme Court to make sure the integrity is good.

01:00:05.020 I voted in the bluest of the blue parts of the state.

01:00:08.280 I thought, I felt very secure.

01:00:10.560 I felt the election was being very well run.

01:00:12.580 You know, there's absolutely no question of identity or anything like that.

01:00:16.080 It was really well done.

01:00:17.720 And, gee, now he's like three points.

01:00:19.820 No, it's still four.

01:00:20.960 Just about four.

01:00:22.540 I don't know.

01:00:23.640 I will not be bowled over if the state that elected Glenn Youngkin,

01:00:28.700 the moment I arrived, has now become...

01:00:30.820 Not that you're taking credit for it.

01:00:31.680 I know, I am.

01:00:32.660 No, no, that's exactly what I'm doing.

01:00:33.760 I'm taking credit for it.

01:00:34.100 Well, in fairness, our very own Matt Walsh and our very own...

01:00:39.900 Who's our wonderful reporter who broke the loudness?

01:00:43.100 No, it's just me.

01:00:43.700 Don't worry about it.

01:00:44.040 No, no, no.

01:00:44.900 Luke Rosiak.

01:00:45.400 Luke Rosiak.

01:00:46.320 Goodness, we've been on the air only two hours.

01:00:48.100 Yeah.

01:00:48.780 Luke Rosiak actually is the reason that Florida became a potentially red state.

01:00:53.640 But, yeah, listen, as has been said all night,

01:00:56.600 the polls were so close going into this race

01:00:59.000 that an error in either direction could result in a very wild swing.

01:01:03.620 Yeah.

01:01:04.000 And it, you know, it's very early yet.

01:01:07.160 And we should keep in mind that in many of these states,

01:01:09.420 the system is sort of rigged to look like it is rigged.

01:01:12.440 By that, I mean they tend to count in-person votes first,

01:01:15.640 which tend to be more likely Republican.

01:01:17.920 And then after that, they start bringing in the early and absentee mail-in ballots,

01:01:23.200 which tend historically to be blue.

01:01:25.600 And so you end up in this situation where it looks like we're winning,

01:01:28.520 and then they suddenly discover all the ballots,

01:01:30.760 even if that's not actually what happens,

01:01:32.600 which, again, gives the appearance of evil and the opportunity for evil.

01:01:37.140 Something about this election that makes it so hard,

01:01:39.500 I'm sure for the pollsters, who are all being risk-averse

01:01:42.120 and basically saying, oh, it's a coin toss, don't yell at me.

01:01:45.060 But something that makes it really difficult to model out this election for anyone

01:01:48.980 is that they changed all the rules last time.

01:01:51.920 So in order to be able to model out elections,

01:01:54.220 you have to have precedent to base it on.

01:01:56.260 And we really don't have precedent anymore.

01:01:58.180 And this election is being conducted differently even than 2020.

01:02:01.660 So, for instance, early voting and mail-in voting usually gives a big advantage to Democrats.

01:02:08.940 This year, looking at early voting out of Nevada,

01:02:11.200 that's actually not what it should do.

01:02:12.500 It's the opposite.

01:02:13.180 So we really just don't know.

01:02:15.220 It's just unpleasant for pundits and pollsters to say.

01:02:19.580 But we do know this.

01:02:20.200 I mean, maybe the only case that I thought should have been adjudicated

01:02:26.120 was the case in Pennsylvania where they changed the rules against their own constitution.

01:02:30.720 And Clarence Thomas agreed with me.

01:02:32.100 And he's a pretty bright legal mind.

01:02:34.300 You know, not like me.

01:02:35.260 But I saw it very...

01:02:36.120 He's up there.

01:02:36.680 Yeah, he's up there.

01:02:37.600 And I think that the GOP has been much more on top of that leading up to it.

01:02:44.940 I mean, as many people have said, you know, it's easier to put a car together before it falls off a cliff.

01:02:49.520 And I think that that was what they were doing after the last election.

01:02:52.320 And I think the GOP needs some praise there for actually paying attention,

01:02:56.460 manning the barricades, making sure the legal eyes were dotted.

01:03:00.020 And I think that's really happened to some degree.

01:03:01.440 I'll add, too, I spoke to hundreds of voters in states like Georgia and in Michigan and Pennsylvania.

01:03:08.100 And one of the questions I asked all of them was, how do you feel about your vote this year?

01:03:11.980 How do you feel about the integrity of this election?

01:03:14.080 And I can't tell you how many of them brought up the fact that the RNC and that Donald Trump

01:03:17.860 were pouring resources in to having poll watchers.

01:03:20.760 And that message is trickling down to the average voter,

01:03:23.620 where you might think there'd be a fear of them saying, well,

01:03:25.960 if you really think that the election was right last time, why would you vote this time?

01:03:29.040 But that messaging from the top, they are aware on the ground that the RNC has invested so many

01:03:34.080 resources into this.

01:03:35.400 And I do think that contributes to, you know, higher turnout than we might have seen.

01:03:39.000 Let me ask you a question.

01:03:39.660 You go out and you interview voters.

01:03:42.000 Do you think you're getting random selections of voting?

01:03:45.560 We try our best.

01:03:46.320 So in all the states I went to, we would go to different grocery stores, gas stations,

01:03:50.820 walk around in different counties.

01:03:52.840 So I'd pull up data from different counties in 2020.

01:03:55.540 And we'd try and get as representative a sample as possible.

01:03:58.300 And to our conversation about the polls, like why it's so difficult to get an accurate

01:04:03.120 representation, I think that even after eight years, you might get this idea that, oh, well,

01:04:08.460 the silent Trump voter doesn't really exist.

01:04:10.080 It's become so normalized.

01:04:11.440 They're still out there.

01:04:12.120 They're still talking.

01:04:13.060 You know, they're much more confident now.

01:04:15.060 I actually got to the point after all these interviews where I could tell who someone was

01:04:19.100 voting for based on how they shot me down when I requested an interview.

01:04:22.240 So about two thirds of people wouldn't talk to me.

01:04:24.520 I'm just very intimidating and manly.

01:04:26.080 I'd walk up to a parking lot.

01:04:27.520 Two thirds would say no, but I'd still ask all those people, well, who are you voting

01:04:30.720 for?

01:04:31.000 And most would tell me.

01:04:32.320 The people who initially said, oh, I'm in a rush or I can't talk.

01:04:37.040 Those are mostly Harris voters.

01:04:38.900 The people who said, I don't want to talk to you.

01:04:41.360 You're a medium person or I don't want to talk on camera.

01:04:45.120 Those people were overwhelmingly for Trump.

01:04:47.660 I had an 80 year old lady who accosted our camera guy, making sure that the camera was 1.00

01:04:52.000 off.

01:04:52.240 And then she said, OK, it's off.

01:04:53.840 I'm voting for Trump.

01:04:54.460 I had people mouth the word Trump to me.

01:04:57.140 They wouldn't even say it out loud.

01:04:58.980 And these were in fairly red areas in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan.

01:05:02.920 And so I do think there is still a sizable chunk of people who would not, with a gun to

01:05:07.100 their head, tell a pollster who they're voting for.

01:05:09.140 And that's the question.

01:05:09.700 Have the pollsters figured a way around that?

01:05:11.200 Not right.

01:05:11.500 Trump is now within 2% in Virginia, with 36% in.

01:05:17.160 I'm not a poll reader.

01:05:18.720 I don't actually, you know, I look at the RCP things.

01:05:21.960 But that's pretty close.

01:05:23.680 Yeah, not to belabor the point, but Florida has 88% of their votes counted.

01:05:29.340 Pennsylvania has 7%.

01:05:30.940 Right.

01:05:31.620 It's just, there's no excuse for that.

01:05:32.940 That's outrageous.

01:05:33.880 No, but Florida is on the East Coast.

01:05:35.980 Right, that's true.

01:05:36.720 By the way, I just was thinking, if I may inject the absurd, because it's such a serious

01:05:43.840 evening, that the Daily Wire evening does not function as baseball does.

01:05:51.160 When you are removed, you can return to the game.

01:05:55.480 That's true.

01:05:56.120 Just a thought.

01:05:59.320 And actually, since the rule changes, we also have a designated hitter.

01:06:03.260 That's unfortunate.

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01:07:21.520 So results are starting to come in.

01:07:23.260 We're starting to get some data.

01:07:24.920 And as we've heard, a lot of the data is conflicting, but there's every reason for a

01:07:28.260 certain amount of cautious optimism.

01:07:30.520 I stepped out a bit ago, and we have a wonderful party taking place immediately outside the studio

01:07:35.700 where a lot of our sort of friends of the Daily Wire, you know, people who live here in Tennessee,

01:07:40.420 some of our family, even some influencers who came in from around the country,

01:07:44.340 are together having camaraderie, watching the results.

01:07:47.600 And someone asked me, you know, how are you feeling?

01:07:49.860 And I said, well, I'm not feeling sanguine.

01:07:51.960 You know, I don't...

01:07:52.540 No, that would you be crazy.

01:07:54.020 I'm not crazy.

01:07:55.160 Also, I think one of the reasons that we've been able to be successful in business

01:07:57.980 is because, as a general rule, I always take the position that we're a point behind.

01:08:03.740 Yeah.

01:08:04.120 In every success, I'm the wrong guy to have in the room.

01:08:07.340 Sometimes they'll come to me and they'll say, hey, we really need you to give a pep talk

01:08:10.420 to the team.

01:08:12.140 And my pep talk always goes something like, you know, we could have done better.

01:08:16.820 But we did do something good.

01:08:18.500 So I'm not one generally for being overly optimistic, but I do think there's conscious optimism.

01:08:23.900 So they're out there, they're drinking Maga-Ritas, I just saw.

01:08:27.100 And so then I was wondering, if Trump does win, I think I will have a glass of the scotch

01:08:32.580 that Matt has here.

01:08:33.580 And if Trump loses, I think I will drink gasoline.

01:08:36.200 I don't know if we have that.

01:08:37.460 All right, so here's my vow then.

01:08:40.760 If Trump wins, I will drink anything you give me, which is more than I have drunk in 50 years.

01:08:49.800 I love tobacco.

01:08:51.400 I don't like alcohol.

01:08:53.440 I will drink...

01:08:53.900 You will raise a glass.

01:08:54.740 There is no question about it.

01:08:57.100 You know, it's funny.

01:08:59.820 Another moment of levity.

01:09:02.080 I said after 2016, for years, in speeches, on the radio, that the night Trump won might

01:09:13.700 have been the happiest night of my life.

01:09:16.180 And I would add, including the birth of my two sons.

01:09:19.580 So the left went ballistic.

01:09:24.160 The left went, Prager is so evil that he was happier when Trump won than when his own sons

01:09:31.480 were born.

01:09:32.160 Have you told your sons this?

01:09:33.380 Oh, they think it's a riot.

01:09:35.640 They tend to believe it.

01:09:36.920 You know, this may have been covered while I was out, but I'm only just now seeing that

01:09:43.220 West Virginia Governor Jim Justice won his state Senate race, which is the first flip of a seat

01:09:49.020 for the GOP.

01:09:49.900 We've been talking about how important it is that we hold the Senate.

01:09:53.380 Whether the result of the presidential election goes our way or not, the Senate is of vital

01:09:59.960 importance, either for stymieing the Harris agenda or advancing the Trump agenda.

01:10:06.400 So picking up a seat in West Virginia with Jim Justice is a great step.

01:10:10.780 You know, had we lost that seat, we could all go home.

01:10:14.820 That was the seat we really...

01:10:16.320 No, no, clearly.

01:10:16.720 It was a guarantee.

01:10:17.300 Is there a state that you guys, who I do believe are more expertise in the political realm,

01:10:24.820 have more expertise, is there a state, I mean, don't say California or New York,

01:10:29.800 I mean, a real, a possible state that if you learned now, went for Trump...

01:10:35.300 Virginia.

01:10:36.300 That would be it?

01:10:37.040 Yeah.

01:10:37.360 It would be, for all of you, Virginia?

01:10:39.660 Certainly, if he won Virginia, I think we could go home.

01:10:42.180 We could have...

01:10:42.840 All right, all right.

01:10:43.440 I will say that I was just at the Daily Wire party, as I said, and our dear friend Siaka,

01:10:48.760 a.k.a. Black Jeremy, did tell me he thinks there's a chance New York goes for Trump.

01:10:54.080 So I don't want you to think that no one is sanguine.

01:10:57.040 Yes.

01:10:57.300 I think that...

01:10:58.140 There is a certain amount.

01:10:59.320 There's a certain amount of sanguineity.

01:11:00.240 It's now in Virginia.

01:11:01.180 It's now 48.5 for Trump, 49.8 for Kamala Harris, with the poll, 37% of the votes.

01:11:07.640 I just want to say, I think we can go home now.

01:11:10.360 In general.

01:11:11.020 You know, there's also...

01:11:12.420 We were talking a little bit about...

01:11:13.680 Go home and watch the coverage at home.

01:11:15.420 You ever go to sleep or...

01:11:16.500 What we were talking about with some of the Senate races, there are some real opportunities.

01:11:22.600 Oh, yeah.

01:11:22.940 I mean, Wisconsin, look, that's going to depend a little bit on the top of the ticket, too.

01:11:27.060 But Eric Hovde's run a good campaign there.

01:11:29.920 I feel good about Bernie Moreno in Ohio.

01:11:33.340 I even feel pretty good about Mike Rogers in Michigan.

01:11:36.760 I'm not saying I feel...

01:11:38.260 The odds are still stacked against him in Michigan.

01:11:40.600 But he's got a real shot.

01:11:42.100 You think Sherrod Brown could lose?

01:11:44.000 I think that Bernie Moreno has run a great Republican campaign.

01:11:47.800 I think that there is a chance that Sherrod Brown loses.

01:11:50.900 I'm not saying I would put money on that.

01:11:52.400 I would put more money on Hovde than I would on Moreno.

01:11:56.380 But I think he's run a good campaign.

01:11:57.860 And I think Rogers, for that matter.

01:11:59.540 You know, Michigan has trended a little bit blue.

01:12:01.680 But I think Mike Rogers has run a good campaign.

01:12:03.140 Michael, I have to say, to that point, the Rogers-Slacken race...

01:12:05.600 I saw an all-time troll billboard in this race.

01:12:09.340 I was in Dearborn last week.

01:12:11.220 You know, all around, every single sign is in Arabic.

01:12:14.000 And there's all the flags for different countries.

01:12:16.300 In the heart of Dearborn is a giant billboard with a picture of Kamala Harris and Slacken

01:12:22.440 and an Israeli flag.

01:12:24.520 And it says, Kamala and Slacken, always friends of Israel.

01:12:28.600 And it looks like a Harris ad.

01:12:31.580 And the bottom says something like, you know, paid for by friends of Harris.

01:12:33.940 And it says, these women have always and always will stand with Israel.

01:12:36.760 Right?

01:12:37.260 In the heart of Dearborn.

01:12:38.320 Wow.

01:12:39.020 And I saw it and initially thought, does the Harris campaign have the worst strategy ever

01:12:43.420 on where they put their billboards?

01:12:44.420 And I looked it up later, and it was a Republican PAC.

01:12:47.440 You know, just to add to Matt's, keep his mood up because he gets depressed.

01:12:51.840 It's ugly, you know.

01:12:52.540 But my friend, Jeff Anderson of the American Main Street Initiative, he was one of Trump's

01:12:59.060 chief statisticians when he was in office.

01:13:01.520 And we've been talking every Sunday, basically.

01:13:03.860 And he's been saying, oh, well, I don't know.

01:13:05.940 And tonight he said his prediction is that Trump has a 55% chance of winning the election.

01:13:10.840 He's a very good poll watcher and quite has not been optimistic.

01:13:16.160 He's been very neutral.

01:13:16.940 By my math, though, Drew, I'm not a poll watcher either.

01:13:19.780 That means that Trump has a 45% chance of losing.

01:13:22.540 I don't like that.

01:13:23.320 I like the 55%. 0.99

01:13:24.820 However, it's now virtually tied in Virginia.

01:13:27.160 I don't even know what I'm looking at, but it's virtually tied.

01:13:28.960 It is now 49.18 to 49.

01:13:30.860 And do you think four years ago at this point it would have been different?

01:13:36.500 Well, you know.

01:13:37.320 Andrew, do you know how to work this laptop?

01:13:39.240 Isn't it in a wrong county or something?

01:13:41.440 It's the New York Times.

01:13:42.600 I went to the first liberal place.

01:13:44.140 Virginia's tied at the moment. 0.98

01:13:45.120 Yeah, and I'm looking at the most blue states, blue districts are in.

01:13:51.280 I am projecting Trump to win Virginia.

01:13:54.760 I'm projecting.

01:13:55.740 Have you declared it?

01:13:57.580 I'm declaring it right now.

01:13:58.680 I'm calling it.

01:13:59.860 I'm projecting optimism.

01:14:01.220 You can't call, but I do like you declaring it.

01:14:03.140 Yeah.

01:14:06.000 I don't know.

01:14:08.340 Dennis, what's the answer for you?

01:14:09.560 Is there a state that if it goes blue or if it goes red, you think it might be?

01:14:12.600 No, there isn't.

01:14:13.220 I really, I know what I know and I don't, I know what I don't know, which is a gift in

01:14:19.980 life if anyone could achieve that.

01:14:22.380 So I, my read, my inclination is always the forest, not the trees.

01:14:30.680 Yes.

01:14:30.960 So I, I do believe I understand the currents shaping the West in general and America specifically,

01:14:37.300 but the question of what state will do what or what state matters to make the call that

01:14:44.780 I, I asked it to you, not because I had one in mind.

01:14:49.600 I really wanted to know if you had one in mind, because then I'll watch that state avidly.

01:14:55.040 But so, and you all seem, or at least the majority seem to say Virginia.

01:15:00.260 But that, because that's such a reach, I mean, if, if, if Wisconsin came in and Trump

01:15:04.840 won Wisconsin and we took the Senate seat and that, that, that I think is more realistic

01:15:10.340 and I would feel really good going into the rest of the night.

01:15:14.700 On the, on the other side of that, if Donald Trump loses North Carolina, it isn't impossible

01:15:21.160 for him to win the presidency, but I think that it would be almost impossible, not, not

01:15:26.260 even necessarily because of the electoral math, but because it's indicative, it would

01:15:31.660 be, it would be indicative.

01:15:32.700 That would be a terrible thing for us to see early in the evening.

01:15:35.220 So is North Carolina determined by Roley Durham?

01:15:39.640 Because I don't know what else, what, what am I missing?

01:15:43.600 Mecklenburg County.

01:15:44.740 Oh, wait, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.

01:15:47.680 So right, Chapel Hill, is that what it's called?

01:15:49.500 And so it's all, the big university towns are, are, have been poisoned by the university.

01:15:55.120 It's all that little triangle, right?

01:15:56.420 You know, Chapel Hill and Roley.

01:15:57.580 Oh, so that's a try.

01:15:58.520 So that's it basically, because I can't imagine the rest of North Carolina is Democrat.

01:16:03.280 What do you think about it, Cabot?

01:16:05.000 Well, I think, yeah, Mecklenburg County is another big one there to watch where Charlotte

01:16:09.380 is.

01:16:10.320 I agree with you that I think from an electoral standpoint, you can pick up 16 electoral votes

01:16:14.820 with Nevada and Arizona, which you could well do, or Georgia's 16 as well as North

01:16:18.180 Carolina, but it's more about what it would mean and the indication.

01:16:23.500 And the black vote there is another one that I think is interesting to keep an eye on.

01:16:27.760 They have the eighth highest rate of black voters in the entire country, Georgia's third.

01:16:32.160 So I'm interested to see the turnout of black men in Georgia and the Atlanta area compared

01:16:36.900 to North Carolina.

01:16:38.040 Also, North Carolina, sorry, just before we go off North Carolina, another reason why

01:16:43.160 that'd be a bad sign is that, you know, and we moved on from it in like 45 seconds, like

01:16:48.380 we do from everything.

01:16:49.380 But in North Carolina, that's where the Biden-Harris administration had their Hurricane Katrina 0.95

01:16:54.780 moment.

01:16:55.580 That's correct.

01:16:56.260 And if there's no price to pay for that at all, like for George Bush, that was a major

01:17:02.440 scandal that lasted months and months.

01:17:03.600 We still remember it.

01:17:05.480 And if there's just no price to pay for that, that you could have that kind of devastation

01:17:10.800 in American communities or basically abandoned by the federal government.

01:17:13.480 Yes.

01:17:13.700 If there's no price, then what do we want?

01:17:15.300 Okay.

01:17:15.880 If there is no price, it reinforces the point I made two hours ago when I was on, and that

01:17:24.380 is the ability of the press to brainwash even in a free society, which was revelatory to

01:17:29.820 me because my field of study was Soviet affairs.

01:17:32.020 I learned Russian to read Pravda, the communist paper, and it was a given to me that you could

01:17:38.900 only brainwash people in a tyranny.

01:17:41.660 It is now not true.

01:17:43.420 I know for a fact you can brainwash people in a free society.

01:17:47.140 The fact that the press made a big deal about Katrina and nothing about this shows you how

01:17:53.420 profoundly the press will influence people even when it happens to them.

01:17:58.400 The press defines, it's eerie.

01:18:02.540 The press defines reality for the people who lived the reality, not just for the people

01:18:08.160 in other states that didn't have a storm.

01:18:11.400 It's a very scary part of human nature.

01:18:14.740 A little interruption for some results out of Georgia.

01:18:17.280 Georgia, it continues to trend in Trump's favor right now.

01:18:21.560 So we've got 55-44 for Trump.

01:18:25.800 That's with 54% of the votes in.

01:18:28.360 I believe an hour ago, Decision Desk HQ, our partners here, gave Trump something like a 69%

01:18:35.580 chance of winning Georgia.

01:18:37.220 That continues to hold pretty strong.

01:18:39.400 If Trump pulls Georgia, the night's on track.

01:18:44.640 The night is on track.

01:18:45.020 He's in the fight.

01:18:45.660 And North Carolina right now actually trending in Harris's direction, 51-47, but that's only

01:18:51.040 with just over 10% report.

01:18:53.180 I mean, they're just getting started in North Carolina.

01:18:55.580 Trump is now ahead in Virginia, but the Times are saying that they believe that race leans

01:18:59.620 toward Harris because of the remaining votes favor him.

01:19:02.680 Matt, to your point about North Carolina and the devastation there, I was on the ground two

01:19:06.220 weeks ago in Swannanoa, Asheville, the surrounding communities there.

01:19:10.840 The devastation, I mean, still a month and a half later, most Americans have forgotten about it.

01:19:14.600 And the federal government also seems to have in many ways.

01:19:17.060 But the amount of people I talked to on the ground there about the election, and these

01:19:20.080 were in very red areas, Asheville, obviously very liberal, but the surrounding counties,

01:19:23.400 those were some of the reddest in the entire state.

01:19:25.740 None of them had even thought about the election.

01:19:27.880 And this was two weeks ago.

01:19:28.600 When I asked them, hey, do you know if you're polling locations damaged?

01:19:31.360 Are you going to be able to go vote?

01:19:32.440 But they were all like, oh, I forgot that there's even an election going on.

01:19:36.620 And so I'll be very interested to see what the voter turnout looks like in those counties.

01:19:40.780 Not necessarily because they aren't able physically to vote, because I did hear on the ground

01:19:45.620 from a number of Republican officials that they were getting the voting centers operational,

01:19:50.140 but that they're so devastated by other things that it's just the last thing on their mind

01:19:54.580 right now.

01:19:55.760 And is it still, the area still looks like a disaster zone, or what does it look like?

01:19:59.860 Yes, it was a disaster zone in entire communities.

01:20:03.700 It looked like a nuclear bomb had gone off.

01:20:06.220 So right now, it's still, they were just wrapping up the recovery of bodies when I was there.

01:20:11.640 So I went out with a team of cadaver dogs, with a group of veterans there.

01:20:15.340 But the...

01:20:16.360 Do the people have any resentment towards the federal government, or how do they feel?

01:20:20.440 I expected that there would be more, to be totally honest.

01:20:22.820 I expected there would be more when I got there.

01:20:24.520 And any time I brought up their opinion of the federal government, or their opinion of

01:20:28.360 the Biden-Harris administration, they, with the exception of one or two people, they just

01:20:33.060 said, I don't want to talk about politics right now.

01:20:35.020 They said, I lost my neighbor, or my house got destroyed.

01:20:38.580 I don't want to talk about politics.

01:20:39.780 And so there might be that resentment there.

01:20:41.600 And, you know, that might be in other areas.

01:20:44.660 But for the people who were actually hit, I didn't get the sense that they were thinking

01:20:48.940 about the political aspect of it.

01:20:50.180 Although I will say, I talked to a number of victims who said it was five or six days

01:20:53.960 before they met a single government aid worker, and that the only people helping them, it

01:20:58.200 was the Redneck Air Force that I was embedded with for a day, veterans who just flew out Chinook

01:21:02.700 helicopters that were private to run recovery missions.

01:21:06.260 Those were the people that were on the ground first.

01:21:07.700 And remember how Bush was excoriated, because he only flew over New Orleans at first?

01:21:12.040 Like, Biden didn't show up at all, I don't think.

01:21:15.160 And Kamala did that ridiculous, you know, camera. 1.00

01:21:18.160 Which, by the way, flying over it is a totally sensible thing to do.

01:21:22.920 What do you want to do?

01:21:23.520 Rappel down into the middle of the flood zone.

01:21:25.860 But Kamala, right. 0.99

01:21:26.680 Kamala made no attempt to even pretend to care.

01:21:29.100 So some numbers also coming out from the New York Times.

01:21:31.980 My favorite thing to do on election night is to look at the liberal websites and outlets.

01:21:38.720 So right now, the Times says it's still a toss-up, obviously.

01:21:43.200 But it's estimating Trump 279, Harris 259.

01:21:48.760 The New York Times is giving Trump a 59% chance of winning, Harris a 41% chance.

01:21:53.320 What matters here is that it's trending in Trump's direction.

01:21:56.280 So it's breaking away.

01:21:58.440 The New York Times is predicting a Trump victory?

01:22:00.620 Yes.

01:22:01.060 Though it says it's a toss-up, but they're giving a clear, a decisive chance.

01:22:04.000 Did I have something to drink now?

01:22:05.620 I know, we're getting close.

01:22:06.940 I really want to know.

01:22:07.580 You drink whatever we give you, right?

01:22:09.140 That's right.

01:22:09.660 I told you that.

01:22:10.180 Oh, no, absolutely.

01:22:11.140 You can hold me to it.

01:22:12.120 I really want to know why he stopped drinking before we take him up.

01:22:17.340 I've just become so violent when I would sit on a table at the bell.

01:22:21.160 Even my friends, I attack them with them.

01:22:23.140 So you've never had a Jaeger bomb.

01:22:25.500 Maybe we'll...

01:22:26.160 You're right.

01:22:27.820 Don't ask any questions.

01:22:30.540 I was wondering why everybody at the party is naked now.

01:22:33.040 I don't know.

01:22:36.260 So I want to take a few questions from our Daily Wire Plus members.

01:22:40.520 The first one here, Drew, I'll ask this one of you.

01:22:43.460 If Kamala loses, does she 25th Amendment Biden and become president for the remaining three months of his term? 0.99

01:22:49.360 Which isn't three...

01:22:50.060 I guess it is three months of his term.

01:22:51.460 Interesting.

01:22:51.940 Probably not.

01:22:52.680 I mean, the country seems to be running perfectly as well as it was.

01:22:55.960 I shouldn't say it's running perfectly well.

01:22:57.440 It's running as well as it was under Biden.

01:22:59.780 Back when we had a president.

01:23:00.800 Back when we actually had a president.

01:23:02.140 And so obviously it's being run by a cabal of leftist bureaucrats, you know, secretly manipulated by the Machiavellian Barack Obama from the cellar or something like that.

01:23:13.440 And so I don't think they want to do anything that dramatic.

01:23:15.880 I actually do believe if Trump wins convincingly, there will be wiser heads on the left who start to understand that they are seen that when they try to silence us, they are seen trying to silence us, which was not true five years ago.

01:23:30.200 I do think that it's true, and Ben said this yesterday while we were on TimCast IRL together, that the left, you have to give them credit for being professional at politics.

01:23:39.540 And they are willing to run more moderate campaigns if they think that that's the path to power.

01:23:46.060 You know, in my lifetime, I mean, by today's standards, Bill Clinton was basically a Republican president, particularly during his first term.

01:23:52.060 You know, he famously said the era of big government is over.

01:23:55.000 They're willing to do that if that's what it takes to win.

01:23:57.260 But, you know, when you get to the stakes in the election, I just want, you know, why do I want Donald Trump to win?

01:24:03.880 I mean, obviously, I liked not being engaged in wars.

01:24:07.220 I like decisive action to actually defeat ISIS. 0.64

01:24:10.260 I liked killing Soleimani in Iraq.

01:24:12.640 I liked the tax cuts. 0.94

01:24:14.160 I liked the judicial appointments.

01:24:16.240 I liked the executive orders.

01:24:19.220 But I really want Trump to win more than anything for these two reasons.

01:24:23.340 I want the left to have to wake up in four years and see Donald Trump leave office.

01:24:30.260 Because they've essentially said that he won't.

01:24:32.220 I mean, they've said this guy's Hitler. 0.99

01:24:33.300 He's a fascist. 0.99

01:24:33.880 He's a dictator. 0.99

01:24:34.480 If he comes into power, it's the end of everything.

01:24:36.660 So in the same way that I want to get to whatever the day is when it's too late to save the planet from global warming,

01:24:42.400 just so they have to stop talking.

01:24:44.320 Like, either way, they have to stop talking about it.

01:24:46.040 They're going to keep talking about it.

01:24:46.920 But the number one reason I want Donald Trump to win is because I want an end.

01:24:52.760 FDR got elected to a fourth term.

01:24:54.700 Let's not elect Barack Obama to a fourth term.

01:24:57.960 Barack Obama has essentially been the power in the Democrat Party for the last 16 years. 0.98

01:25:04.220 The reason he was so quick to advance Kamala Harris for this role is because she's a vacuous, brain-dead, 1.00

01:25:11.860 probably drug and alcohol addled non-person.

01:25:15.300 I mean, she literally is the non-person player or whatever, the non-person character.

01:25:20.740 Which means that Barack Obama just gets four more years of essentially being the most powerful person,

01:25:26.120 not vested with the power of constitutional authority,

01:25:29.360 but vested with just the power of influential authority in that party.

01:25:33.660 I want that to be gone.

01:25:34.960 If you defeat Kamala Harris now, in four years, the Democrats are going to have to run an actual candidate.

01:25:39.820 And an actual candidate will have their own opinions and their own ideas and won't just be a puppet for Barack Obama and his former staff.

01:25:48.480 That's why Barack Obama doesn't want that to happen.

01:25:50.440 It's why he wanted Joe Biden, even though he hates Joe Biden.

01:25:53.160 But he liked the fact that Joe Biden was already dead.

01:25:55.540 He likes the fact that Kamala Harris is maybe has never been alive.

01:25:59.800 So it would just delight me if we no longer had Barack Obama.

01:26:03.760 The chief reason I would want to see Trump win, there are many, many reasons you named most of them,

01:26:07.520 but the chief one is because without violence and without violating the First Amendment,

01:26:12.000 I want the news media to know how much we despise them, how much we distrust them, how much we see them lying.

01:26:18.500 I do not know how to send that message any better than to reelect Donald Trump and to say, you know what?

01:26:24.380 Because it means they were irrelevant.

01:26:25.840 They were irrelevant, yeah.

01:26:26.880 That's right.

01:26:27.500 Yeah.

01:26:28.400 So was the question raised, if she loses, would they make her president for the last three months?

01:26:35.760 If she wins, would they make her president? 1.00

01:26:38.360 Well, why would...

01:26:39.660 Well, I thought she... 0.99

01:26:40.200 I thought she'd lose.

01:26:41.320 Yeah, I thought it was...

01:26:41.780 No, you're correct.

01:26:43.260 Yeah, yeah.

01:26:43.800 So I had a thought on that, that it would be in our interest that she were president for three months,

01:26:54.500 then they can never say again, the first black woman president. 1.00

01:27:00.420 They would have lost that idiotic, pointless... 1.00

01:27:05.560 If there's something I loathe, it is tribalism. 1.00

01:27:09.160 I remember when a beautiful human being, Joe Lieberman, was named vice presidential candidate under Al Gore.

01:27:18.160 I mean, and I knew Lieberman personally.

01:27:20.920 He was a...

01:27:21.840 Talk about an honorable man in politics.

01:27:24.940 Everyone recognized that.

01:27:26.540 I didn't vote for him.

01:27:28.180 My relatives did.

01:27:29.820 And one of my relatives, who was a very, very bright and wonderful human being, said,

01:27:33.900 Dennis, we finally think about it.

01:27:37.480 A Jew vice president of the United States, and you're voting for the Republicans? 0.94

01:27:43.760 And I didn't bother arguing, but I realized I don't think that way.

01:27:49.100 I don't believe I need to look like my leaders.

01:27:52.700 I don't believe I need to be the same ethnic group or religious group.

01:27:57.360 There is no part of me that understands why that is a beautiful idea.

01:28:02.900 But, Dennis, don't you think that Valium-addicted, brain-dead, young women of mixed ethnicity deserve to see a president who looks like them? 1.00

01:28:14.420 It's been too long, really.

01:28:17.000 I'm starting to get certain insinuations out of your commentary.

01:28:20.640 You get this.

01:28:21.620 The argument, the one that drives me...

01:28:23.460 Well, we want a Supreme Court that looks like America. 0.71

01:28:28.420 Or we want a this that looks like America.

01:28:30.560 Wait, I know I'm one of the 10 million people who've asked this question, but it's nevertheless worth asking.

01:28:37.820 Does anybody rooting for their NBA team care if the team looks like him?

01:28:43.300 Seriously, right?

01:28:44.400 Who cares?

01:28:44.560 That's not what they want anyway, because it looks like America means that any institution is 13% black, and they want it to be a lot more than that. 0.98

01:28:50.400 Yeah, yeah.

01:28:50.740 But if we go around the table to talk about why we want Trump to win, and we've already covered a lot of the good reasons, but I also think it'll just be hilarious if Trump goes 2-0 against female candidates. 0.54

01:29:02.540 If the first two female presidential candidates are defeated by Donald Trump... 1.00

01:29:08.640 That would be a good one.

01:29:09.480 That is hilarious.

01:29:10.300 That sort of relates to Jeremy's a little, because that was a really insightful point, Jeremy, when you said, I want Trump to win so that the Democrats, so we can all see the day when he leaves office and that will prove them wrong.

01:29:21.780 And he didn't declare himself Caesar.

01:29:23.840 I want Trump to be president so that he declares himself Caesar and reigns forever, and then Barron will take over after him, and we will have a glorious Fox Trumpana that will augur great goods for the world.

01:29:38.300 That's why I didn't kick the question to him.

01:29:40.880 We're going to take a minute to show you some of the cool stuff going on here at Daily Wire, and we will be right back.

01:29:46.980 We want to be the world's greatest media company.

01:29:51.000 This company represents a whole new generation.

01:29:53.380 We're building alternatives, and the alternatives are working.

01:29:56.660 Americans have enormous economic might.

01:29:59.060 They just don't have any alternatives, and we're going to give them to them.

01:30:02.620 It's going to change everything.

01:30:04.820 You can buy my new razor instead.

01:30:06.280 They'll like what we make more.

01:30:08.820 They'll trust what we make more.

01:30:10.860 We'll hit the target every single time.

01:30:13.540 Let's make a movie.

01:30:14.400 We are just getting started.

01:30:16.840 We decided to spend $100 million making Kids Contents.

01:30:24.040 We're going to knock it out of the park, and no one else is going to do it.

01:30:28.520 Five, four, three, two.

01:30:37.560 It really has been an unbelievable four years since the last presidential election.

01:30:41.200 If you'll recall, four days after the 2020 election, we moved the Daily Wire out of Los Angeles, which had been my home for 20 years.

01:30:48.700 Drew's home since the mid-1700s.

01:30:50.640 Ben's home his entire life, except for that brief stint at Harvard.

01:30:56.220 And we moved to Nashville, our adopted home, home of the company, with a great governor in Bill Lee, a great attorney general, great state government here.

01:31:06.340 A real welcoming red state, even though, of course, Davidson County is a blue county.

01:31:12.200 And in that time, on election night 2020, we announced that we were first moving into entertainment, and we've really accomplished an incredible amount since that time.

01:31:20.580 Not only has Matt, I think, made the two most important documentaries, basically, of my lifetime, not only have we made movies with Gina Carano, made, you know, acquired the rights from Dallas Sonier and Bonfire Legend to the remarkable Run-Hide Fight, but we also have made the Pendragon Cycle, which will be launching next year.

01:31:38.700 We brought you Bent Key, our children's app, which is one of the things that we're the most proud of.

01:31:42.540 All of this work is made possible by our Daily Wire members.

01:31:45.340 We'll be taking more questions from them throughout the evening.

01:31:47.240 If you're not a member, please consider becoming one.

01:31:49.500 Again, we're running a great special today.

01:31:51.100 If you use promo code FIGHT at dailywireplus.com slash subscribe, you will get 47% off.

01:31:56.880 47% because we hope that Donald Trump is the 47th president.

01:32:00.760 I recognize that there is some risk in the promo code, and believe you me, if the night doesn't go the way we want, we will change the promo code very, very quickly.

01:32:09.200 So we got an update out of Decision Desk HQ.

01:32:11.900 They're putting Trump's chances in North Carolina at 73%.

01:32:15.240 Oh, that's good.

01:32:15.620 Pretty good, pretty good.

01:32:17.540 Georgia also looking pretty good.

01:32:19.940 Don't want to count our chickens, but—

01:32:21.900 Another shout-out from my boys in Florida.

01:32:23.660 First big polling miss of the evening.

01:32:25.800 Those RCP averages had Trump at plus 8 and Rick Scott at plus 4.5.

01:32:29.560 They're both going to win by plus 12.

01:32:31.300 Wow.

01:32:31.920 Whoa, that's great.

01:32:32.660 Florida, baby.

01:32:32.980 How do you feel about Florida?

01:32:34.200 I love it.

01:32:35.000 It's the best. 0.99

01:32:35.920 Let me just tell you how much Florida kicks ass, okay? 0.99

01:32:37.940 This is how good Florida is. 0.99

01:32:39.340 Florida put up four constitutional referendum, abortion on demand, and legalized marijuana, and both went down in flaming defeat.

01:32:45.720 Because Florida is, as stated, amazeballs.

01:32:48.700 I'm pretty amazed that—you know, I thought the abortion one would go down. 0.93

01:32:52.000 I didn't think the other one would go down.

01:32:53.380 Well, so, again, DeSantis got on his horse, and he, like, actually did the work in that state.

01:32:57.820 And Brian Kemp, by the way, did that in Georgia, too.

01:33:00.360 Like, seriously, full credit to Brian Kemp, who Trump crapped upon for literally years.

01:33:06.560 And Brian Kemp went out, and he's been stumping for Trump.

01:33:09.300 I mean, he's been doing the work.

01:33:10.400 So, you know, that is—let's put it this way.

01:33:13.080 The good graces go both ways.

01:33:14.600 Again, just go one way.

01:33:15.420 We've talked about Donald Trump, you know, forgiving his enemies and people who have opposed him.

01:33:19.340 And it also works the other way.

01:33:20.700 There are a lot of people who, you know, Donald Trump did not treat amazingly well over the course of the last few years who have shown up for him.

01:33:26.440 I mean, we all remember he didn't treat Ron DeSantis particularly well.

01:33:29.020 DeSantis went out, and he worked very, very hard for Donald Trump in the state of Florida.

01:33:32.480 And it makes a big difference.

01:33:34.040 When we unify, it's better.

01:33:35.600 It's better.

01:33:36.260 Yeah, that's right.

01:33:36.940 Do any of you have a theory?

01:33:38.320 I had him on my show today, and I almost never have politicians on.

01:33:41.820 It's not—I'm not anti-politician. 0.83

01:33:43.620 I don't have that silly view. 0.80

01:33:45.720 They run the gamut like any other group of human beings.

01:33:49.160 But it's just not the nature. 1.00

01:33:49.920 Who are scum-sucking bottom line. 1.00

01:33:51.240 Yeah, yeah, reptilian monsters. 1.00

01:33:52.900 But I—it's just not the nature of my show.

01:33:57.220 But I so admire Ted Cruz.

01:33:59.600 He is such a fighter for good things.

01:34:02.440 Is he really in trouble in this race?

01:34:05.260 Ted Cruz was in trouble in this race.

01:34:06.960 I consider Ted my only friend in government. 0.98

01:34:10.940 And it's—again, I think that as far as scum-sucking bottom dwellers go, Ted is tops. 0.98

01:34:16.760 He is tops in my book. 0.98

01:34:18.440 And a friend of the Daily Wire.

01:34:21.540 And he was in genuine trouble.

01:34:23.600 I mean, for one thing, there has been an enormous shift in Texas.

01:34:27.120 And the shift in Texas is not that they've imported a bunch of Californians.

01:34:30.760 As it turns out, the Californians they've imported are largely conservative.

01:34:33.840 It's that they have this uncontrolled border.

01:34:37.500 They've had it now for so long that it is beginning to erode Texas.

01:34:41.620 It's not—I mean, it is still decidedly a red state, but it is purpling up. 0.93

01:34:45.860 And Ted was trailing behind Trump in the state in poll after poll.

01:34:50.900 The Democrats decided to run Colin Allred, who is something of a cultural figure.

01:34:54.740 He was obviously a Tennessee Titan NFL football player.

01:34:58.020 So the kind of guy who could get some sizzle down in Texas.

01:35:02.660 And it became the most expensive Senate race in the country.

01:35:06.020 Right. That's what he said.

01:35:06.560 They spent an enormous amount of money trying to unseat Ted.

01:35:10.060 And one of the reasons Ted is vulnerable is because Trump kind of shibbed him at the RNC, you know, back in 2016.

01:35:17.000 And because Ted has played so hard himself with people like Mitch McConnell and his colleagues in the Senate

01:35:23.780 that they didn't give him a lot of support from the institution in this race. 1.00

01:35:27.840 And so I do think that at the beginning of this race, and even as recently as six weeks ago,

01:35:34.880 there was a lot of very concerning polling for Ted coming out of Texas.

01:35:40.640 I got to get involved in that race, actually, in my own way, not as a representative of the Daily Wire,

01:35:45.280 but as a friend of Ted Cruz, and I wrote an ad for him, which I think turned out maybe to be the ad,

01:35:54.400 the state-level ad that had the most money spent on it out of any race in the country this year.

01:35:59.060 I was really proud of the ad.

01:36:00.680 I assume you probably saw the ad.

01:36:02.500 It was the ad where Colin Allred tackles a little girl on the football field

01:36:06.720 because he supported transgenderism in sports.

01:36:10.440 That's right.

01:36:11.240 And it was a brutal ad, I'm not going to lie.

01:36:13.860 But it turns out it was very effective, and the Super PAC spent a lot of money on it,

01:36:18.960 on airing it in Texas.

01:36:20.860 And I think that Ted has run a great campaign in Texas,

01:36:25.940 and I do not think he goes into the evening tonight in trouble.

01:36:29.340 It would be, in fact, I'll go so far to say, I think that if Ted Cruz loses his race in Texas,

01:36:34.880 Kamala Harris is going to win the presidency, they're going to win the Senate, they're going to win that.

01:36:38.200 Yes.

01:36:38.700 Whereas I don't know that that was necessarily the case, even as recently as eight weeks ago.

01:36:43.020 But he's put in the effort.

01:36:45.060 He's running a great campaign.

01:36:45.560 Good, good.

01:36:45.840 I'm happy to hear that.

01:36:46.780 Ted's been all over the state.

01:36:47.840 And Ben campaigned with him two days ago in McHale.

01:36:50.780 Yeah, like massive, massive energy for Ted Cruz.

01:36:53.300 By the way, one piece of interesting NBC exit poll.

01:36:55.600 Again, always with the proviso that exit polls are chicken entrails.

01:36:59.220 But the Pennsylvania Independent Voter exit poll out of NBC News, Trump 50, Harris 44.

01:37:05.020 If that holds, Trump's going to win Pennsylvania.

01:37:07.060 He's going to win the presidency.

01:37:07.940 Wow.

01:37:08.060 Wow.

01:37:08.380 So, you know, let's hope that that holds.

01:37:10.740 Well, meanwhile, Brent Buchanan from Signal, he is with us and he has some updates from Georgia.

01:37:17.020 Brent, tell us all about what's happening in Georgia as more of the vote is coming in.

01:37:22.080 Well, we're starting to see some of the northern counties begin to report, which is what we had talked about earlier.

01:37:28.100 And so we look at places like Cobb County, Georgia here is beginning to report.

01:37:34.660 So this is a very large county that in the past has voted for Joe Biden.

01:37:41.100 Let me look at the numbers here.

01:37:42.700 So this was a seat that or a county that Joe Biden won by 14 points.

01:37:49.460 And you can see that currently he is doing some quick math here.

01:37:54.060 I love tenths of a percentage.

01:37:55.260 She's currently up by 16 points or she's up by 16 points in this seat. 0.97

01:37:59.820 So one of the biggest trends that we're beginning to see across Georgia specifically is that there are some places where she's doing better.

01:38:07.840 She's improving upon Biden's margins.

01:38:10.200 The vote share is higher.

01:38:11.540 But then you're starting to see some of these rural counties come in also, too.

01:38:15.260 And so we've got Forsyth County here as an example.

01:38:18.980 And this is a county that Trump won by 33 points.

01:38:24.680 And currently he is up by 37.

01:38:30.040 So you can see you've got kind of a counterbalance effect here of two northern arc Georgia counties.

01:38:36.420 Red America is getting redder and blue America is getting bluer is what this tells me. 0.56

01:38:40.320 That's a really good point.

01:38:41.120 And then you throw in, again, let's go back to Fayette County that we were talking about earlier.

01:38:44.980 This is a county that Trump won by seven.

01:38:52.140 And now you can see how tight this margin is.

01:38:54.200 And so if we're talking about blue and red America, Fayette County is the county in between blue and red America.

01:39:00.280 And it has shifted somewhat in her direction.

01:39:02.720 So overall, we're seeing a lot of the same trends and that the rurals are doing better.

01:39:06.980 But this partisanship gap of if you were in a blue county, you're getting you're voting even more heavily blue, at least in the swing states.

01:39:16.100 And again, I go back to what you brought up in the last segment talking about Loudoun County.

01:39:20.600 That's a really interesting place because they had 220,000 votes in 2020.

01:39:27.300 That's down to about 212,000.

01:39:29.580 So an 8,000 vote drop.

01:39:31.020 And it looks to have almost come exclusively off of the back of Kamala Harris.

01:39:35.300 And so Donald Trump is performing at his ballot share, actually a little bit above the ballot share that he got in 2020 in a county like that.

01:39:45.680 And then you combine that with Florida, which is just wildly red.

01:39:48.460 And you begin to see how the national polling has showed a very tight presidential race.

01:39:55.060 And we saw a lot of this in 2022 also, where Republicans were at plus two nationally on the generic ballot and ended up in that place and then just barely won the House of Representatives.

01:40:06.200 And so I don't think this election is turning out so far to look much like 2020 or even 2016.

01:40:13.640 It's got a lot of 2022 vibes to it, at least that we're starting to see come in.

01:40:17.840 And that's very strong Republican votes, but it's not showing up evenly across the country.

01:40:24.340 And so I'm really interested to see what other states that aren't like a Florida as they come in.

01:40:30.160 You know, we're sitting here at Georgia in total of about 63 percent reporting.

01:40:36.760 This margin continues to get closer as the votes are counted.

01:40:40.920 And I think this is going to be a really indicative state as we begin to go through the night.

01:40:46.400 But again, it feels a whole lot like 2022 right now where Republicans are performing very strongly, but it's not necessarily netting us yet in the places that we need it to net us vote.

01:40:58.900 It's just increasing our margins in places like Florida and Loudoun County that actually don't matter that much overall.

01:41:04.680 Well, let's talk about sort of, you know, the question of voting by race.

01:41:08.580 We've seen some exit polls that show that Trump is performing strongly so far in Hispanic districts.

01:41:13.900 There was an exit poll that somebody had cited earlier that suggested that he was doing well with black men in Georgia.

01:41:19.040 What did the turnout look like?

01:41:20.740 Do we know yet in terms of exit polling or any other data what the turnout looks like racially in a state like Georgia, which is obviously a very heavily demographically black state?

01:41:29.200 Yeah, a lot of those counties haven't reported yet, especially the rural black counties.

01:41:34.620 So if we come down to some of these counties down here, so Coffey County, we can look at some of the census data of what this looks like.

01:41:42.960 I mean, this is 28 percent black.

01:41:44.960 What's really interesting is that this county actually looks a whole lot, at least racially, like the state of Georgia.

01:41:52.020 It does over-index on Hispanic and under-index Asian, but it gets the black percentage about right when you're thinking about what the voting population is going to be.

01:42:02.260 And then as we look at the results for Coffey County, it hadn't come in at all.

01:42:06.100 So there's just several places where there's not a ton of votes.

01:42:09.780 I mean, they're expecting, what, 16,000 votes here for Coffey County as an example.

01:42:14.100 But there's just a lot of holes in the map still.

01:42:16.640 And even when we look at places like Fulton County here, 74 percent reporting, I mean, this is turning out pretty much like you would project.

01:42:25.840 So this Fulton County is Atlanta and then goes into Buckhead and a little bit further north into that top part there that you see.

01:42:34.700 And so I would say we're still pretty early in the night.

01:42:38.240 If we're going to say that there are good Republican data points and good Democrat data points, if I had to compare the two, I would say that there are more good Republican data points so far coming in.

01:42:48.460 And they tend to look like it's trending even more so that direction.

01:42:51.820 We do have a couple of calls from the Associated Press.

01:42:54.660 The Associated Press is saying that Virginia is going to go for Kamala Harris.

01:42:57.440 And they are also suggesting that, I believe, what was the other state?

01:43:03.200 There's another state they just called for Kamala Harris, Illinois, I believe, Massachusetts, New Hampshire.

01:43:08.620 New Hampshire is the one that, that was sort of my outlier.

01:43:11.260 There goes my map.

01:43:12.380 My map was, in my dream map, he wins New Hampshire.

01:43:15.820 They've called New Hampshire for Kamala Harris as well.

01:43:19.060 So what exactly happened in New Hampshire?

01:43:22.060 Because there were some dreams.

01:43:23.100 Some of us had dreams.

01:43:24.240 Those dreams have been dashed of New Hampshire turning red.

01:43:27.440 Well, again, it's 33% reporting.

01:43:30.380 So we can't really look into it and say what happened.

01:43:33.540 I think it's just if you're looking at states that aren't actually that competitive and have not had hundreds of millions of dollars spent on them,

01:43:41.420 they're kind of performing like you would expect them to perform.

01:43:45.200 Not a lot of money was spent in Florida this go around.

01:43:47.820 And I think that depresses the Democrat and left-leaning non-affiliated voter turnout there.

01:43:53.500 In a place like New Hampshire, there's just, there wasn't much advertising.

01:43:57.440 We did a huge study in 2022 after the election and looked at where large amounts of spendings went compared to races that didn't have a lot of spending.

01:44:07.380 And you saw, if it was a red seat and it didn't have any spending, you actually saw severe drops in Democratic turnout because they had no reason to show up.

01:44:17.020 Like they knew it was going to be a guaranteed victory.

01:44:19.920 And so places like New Hampshire are a really good example where not a whole lot of money spent, not even a ton of money in the congressional races comparatively were spent.

01:44:28.520 And so it's just giving you what you would expect it to give you in a final result.

01:44:33.680 Well, Brent Buchanan will check back in shortly.

01:44:35.140 Our election map coverage this evening is made possible by our sponsor, Lumen.

01:44:38.700 Hack your metabolism with one simple device to understand your body more with Lumen.

01:44:43.160 It's interesting that, you know, Trump is running ahead of Kamala in Virginia.

01:44:49.200 And the Times is saying that it still leans her way, but they're not saying she...

01:44:54.000 Well, I mean, they've actually called, I mean, the AP called it for her.

01:44:55.800 The AP called it.

01:44:56.560 I mean, look, but that's why, again, we're the amateurs.

01:44:59.040 I mean, like, really, if they're calling it, the reason that they're calling it is because the counties that have already reported tend to be the more red counties.

01:45:04.900 There are a bunch of outstanding blue counties.

01:45:06.240 They know how that's going to go.

01:45:07.120 Now, looking at the Lib outlets, I'm checking in again with our friends at the New York Times.

01:45:11.820 They are continuing to increase Trump's chances at the presidency.

01:45:15.240 They're now putting it at 60-40 Trump.

01:45:18.160 Their EV breakdown is 279 to 259.

01:45:22.060 Before New Hampshire came in, they had it up to 280 as a possibility.

01:45:25.840 But, okay, we're at 279 still.

01:45:27.840 Well, you're seeing a little breakaway here, even coming from the liberal outlets.

01:45:33.380 It says it's a toss-up, but their meter is moving closer to lean.

01:45:36.860 They've got the needle back.

01:45:37.680 The needle is back.

01:45:38.380 The famous needle that had Hillary Clinton at 99%.

01:45:41.080 Yeah, I know.

01:45:42.380 That's what I want to get to.

01:45:43.140 Where's the degenerate gambler crowd?

01:45:44.340 You know, Megan, what are you hearing from the evangelicals?

01:45:46.980 You know, we've heard so much about the evangelicals being kind of told not to vote or told that they should vote woke or whatever.

01:45:52.620 What are you hearing?

01:45:53.360 I mean, that's a very real thing.

01:45:54.720 I mean, it's both from a standpoint of you have pastors, and I can tell you some very well-known influential pastors, people like Andy Stanley, who he has a church of about 38,000 in Georgia.

01:46:07.680 And he had a book out last year called Not In It to Win It, Why Choosing Sides Sidelines the Church.

01:46:14.560 So I think that that has been a major factor.

01:46:17.620 Jeremy was talking about this earlier.

01:46:19.340 Yeah.

01:46:19.360 The messaging that you're getting from a lot of these pastors that it's dirty to get your hands in politics rather than understanding that, look, we as a constituency have to be able to leverage our political power for the cause of righteousness.

01:46:32.180 That's not what they're arguing.

01:46:33.500 And at the same time, you also have literally, and you and I talked about this on your show, hard left secular foundations who are funneling money into gambits and efforts to try to push this narrative that it's better for Christians to abstain from the political process, that Jesus is neither left nor right.

01:46:56.400 And, of course, the implication there is that the left and right are moral equivalents, and they're not, but I think you have a lot of pastors who are unwilling to stand up and seem like they're partisan and push back against that narrative.

01:47:08.700 This, you've hit a very sensitive subject.

01:47:13.140 I had Jack Hibbs on, one of the best-known pastors in the country, for an hour last week on my show, begging fellow evangelicals to vote.

01:47:21.840 But this notion, Jesus is neither left nor right, and it doesn't matter whether you're Catholic, Protestant, or Jew, I, for 17 years, have conducted Yom Kippur and Rosh Hashanah services in Los Angeles.

01:47:39.140 And I never talk politics, by the way.

01:47:45.620 That's one of the reasons I founded this synagogue, was not to talk politics.

01:47:49.280 But I'm obviously conservative, religiously and morally.

01:47:56.620 And one of my subjects, and I choose them very carefully, because most of the people have heard me on the radio and in speeches, so I need something really big, but not one that I've addressed.

01:48:08.260 How does one explain when religion, specifically Judaism and Christianity, or Christianity, doesn't make people better?

01:48:15.820 It's always bothered me.

01:48:20.480 The first book I wrote, I was 24 years old, the nine questions people ask about Judaism.

01:48:25.620 And one of the questions was, if religion is supposed to make people better, how do you account for unethical religious people? 0.97

01:48:33.280 And that has bothered me since high school.

01:48:37.060 The Bible is so clear that God wants us to be good.

01:48:42.500 My favorite verse in the entire Bible is, those of you who love God must, it's a commandment, the Hebrew is a commandment, must hate evil.

01:48:50.780 If you don't hate evil, you don't love God.

01:48:53.020 So for a pastor, or a rabbi, that's irrelevant, or a pope, to say that Jesus doesn't take sides, he doesn't take sides on whether you cut girls' breasts off if they say they're boys, that's frightening.

01:49:11.580 Mr. Rob, could you deliver that message to the evangelicals?

01:49:15.120 Oh, I do.

01:49:16.980 I speak to Christians more than to Jews. 0.77

01:49:19.020 I will say that there is an aspect of Jesus, which is, you hate to use modern political vernacular to talk about ancient religious figures,

01:49:33.600 but there is a liberal aspect to Jesus in the sense that Dr. Jordan Peterson often says that the purpose of the liberal in a healthy society is to speak for the underrepresented.

01:49:45.920 It's to speak for anyone who, because in any sort of hierarchy of any kind, there are going to be people who get disenfranchised, there are going to be people who the system looks over,

01:49:56.740 and someone has to remind those of us who are in power, those of us who are ascendant, to remember those people and to care for them.

01:50:04.140 But that's about where the comparison can stop.

01:50:08.740 Religion is fundamentally a conservative exercise because it posits that the greatest wisdom that's ever been presented in human history is behind us.

01:50:20.280 And, right, there's also a transcendent eternal moral order and human nature.

01:50:25.220 You know, it's hard to square that with the liberal project, which is in itself largely a rejection of religion.

01:50:31.780 I mean, you think of the French Revolution as where we get the terms left and right.

01:50:35.620 And what does that come from?

01:50:36.580 That comes from the National Assembly, where the Catholics sat on the right and the atheists sat on the left. 0.89

01:50:41.880 And that was pretty much the breakdown.

01:50:44.140 Speaking of the French Revolution, our friend Tim Poole is joining us now.

01:50:47.000 And not a moment too soon because the polls are closing in a number of states just in the last few minutes,

01:50:52.420 all throughout the central part of the country, including Texas, my home state,

01:50:59.280 which you will be shocked to learn is being universally called for Donald Trump.

01:51:03.960 So, you know, going into the election, there were all kinds of things that people were, you know,

01:51:07.300 maybe New York will go for Trump and maybe Texas will go for Harris.

01:51:11.300 All that is wish casting.

01:51:12.660 We still live in a world where gravity works.

01:51:15.300 Yeah, here's some quick calls.

01:51:16.280 Trump wins Wyoming, Trump wins Kansas, Trump wins North Dakota, Trump wins South Dakota,

01:51:19.960 Trump wins Nebraska, Trump wins Louisiana, and Kamala wins New York.

01:51:23.300 So Donald Trump's big dream of winning New York, 1.00

01:51:26.020 well, that one went down in flames because that's a really stupid idea. 1.00

01:51:28.360 Hey, Kamala Harris did campaign in Texas. 0.99

01:51:33.080 Did that all just came in right now?

01:51:34.940 Yeah.

01:51:35.160 All just, yeah, as you were walking over.

01:51:36.700 Right, right, right.

01:51:37.300 Well, how are you guys feeling?

01:51:38.520 We've been tracking the decision desk forecast, giving Trump's about 70% chance to win.

01:51:43.660 And it's going down a little bit, but it's staying about two to one.

01:51:46.080 So what do we think?

01:51:48.120 I don't know, man.

01:51:49.080 What do you think?

01:51:51.760 The whole time, the scariest thing is the quote unquote shadow campaign, right?

01:51:56.740 Time magazine writes that article.

01:51:58.780 2020 had a shadow campaign.

01:52:00.200 We go to bed, Trump's ahead in all the numbers, and then we wake up and he's not winning.

01:52:04.920 Based on what I've seen on the ground, based on...

01:52:07.180 I went to Philadelphia and there were Trump signs in downtown Philadelphia and the surrounding

01:52:10.800 residential areas.

01:52:12.100 That, to me, was crazy to see an urban center that was Republican or that people were unafraid.

01:52:17.240 And so my gut just says Trump's got the edge, whatever that means.

01:52:20.620 But I don't know the Republicans have the procedural capabilities that Democrats have.

01:52:24.020 I think, Ben, you were saying they're way more professional.

01:52:26.440 That is worrying to me.

01:52:27.480 Yeah, so there was some Gallup data that suggested that a much higher percentage of Democrats had

01:52:32.660 heard directly from the Kamala campaign than Republicans had heard from the Trump campaign.

01:52:36.940 Democrats are granular on this sort of stuff.

01:52:39.000 They know how to ballot harvest.

01:52:39.980 They will knock on doors.

01:52:40.980 They will do whatever it takes to get their people out.

01:52:43.140 Republicans, it always feels like, okay, guys, just please just go.

01:52:46.340 And the more we just shout vote at people, somebody out there, you'll open your window,

01:52:51.080 you'll shout vote, and some person in Pennsylvania will hear you,

01:52:53.260 and then immediately run to the polls.

01:52:55.540 With that said, I mean, the enthusiasm that Trump, you know,

01:52:59.140 does enable in the voting population on both sides, but largely on the right,

01:53:03.520 is unprecedented, obviously, in American history.

01:53:07.020 And you are seeing that show up.

01:53:08.820 If you had to game it out right now, Trump is a slight favorite.

01:53:12.040 I think everyone sort of acknowledges at this point that Trump is a slight favorite,

01:53:15.680 but it's a very slight favorite.

01:53:16.820 So, like the needle, the New York Times, the famous needle.

01:53:19.340 Yeah.

01:53:19.520 They right now have it leaning right between it's a toss-up

01:53:22.140 and lean Trump.

01:53:23.800 Like, they have a very slightly favoring President Trump.

01:53:26.880 He is very slightly favored to win Pennsylvania.

01:53:30.280 He's slightly favored still to win Nevada and North Carolina,

01:53:32.840 according to the New York Times, right?

01:53:34.860 So I'm not citing a left-wing source right there.

01:53:37.020 And, of course, it seems as though we're having a better time tonight

01:53:40.080 than the people on MSNBC are.

01:53:41.500 From what I'm hearing from my, you know, I'm getting a lot of texts from people.

01:53:43.940 That was part of the reason my joy.

01:53:46.680 You know, the whole night I watched the left-wing media.

01:53:50.140 Oh, well, we're just going to live stream MSNBC.

01:53:53.260 If this goes the wrong way, we're just going to, like, put a live camera

01:53:56.520 outside Kamala's headquarters, and we're just going to watch people scream

01:54:00.140 into the night, and it's going to be just wonderful.

01:54:02.340 There will be joy.

01:54:03.480 It will be so happy.

01:54:04.440 There will be joy.

01:54:04.820 You guys all know the term schadenfreude, joy and others' misery.

01:54:10.000 So I don't generally have that.

01:54:12.820 But that night, eight years ago, it was pure.

01:54:17.100 If they do it tonight, it's like the purge, right?

01:54:19.300 All moral rules are off.

01:54:20.560 Just continue to avoid the suffering of others.

01:54:22.380 I have been very honest with myself for the past several days.

01:54:26.300 I have relatives and friends who are big libs.

01:54:29.060 You know, I'm from New York.

01:54:29.940 I lived in L.A.

01:54:30.760 A lot of Democrat friends, and I won't bring it up with them,

01:54:34.060 and it won't come up at Thanksgiving.

01:54:35.200 Right, exactly.

01:54:36.300 However, I have two buddies who are New York Democrats,

01:54:39.760 and I am, I don't want to get ahead of myself,

01:54:42.500 but I am salivating at the prospect of rubbing it in their faces so hard.

01:54:48.960 So they're the only two.

01:54:50.360 I think it's otherwise we have to have a politics of grace.

01:54:53.160 But there will be some schadenfreude.

01:54:56.280 I think it might be unavoidable.

01:54:57.400 As a warning to others, we must engage in schadenfreude.

01:55:00.760 They do not repeat this exercise again.

01:55:02.620 It's like punishing your child.

01:55:03.580 You don't want to do it.

01:55:04.480 You really don't want to do it, but it has to be done.

01:55:06.700 It hurts you more than that.

01:55:08.400 That's right.

01:55:09.120 Exactly.

01:55:09.680 This is why I really hope that Trump wins the popular vote.

01:55:13.120 If Trump wins the electoral college and loses the popular vote,

01:55:15.580 I know I'm going to go to Thanksgiving,

01:55:16.660 and they're going to say,

01:55:17.560 you guys only win because of some archaic procedure.

01:55:20.120 We are the popular mandate.

01:55:21.020 A procedure called the Constitution.

01:55:22.540 You guys only win because of your government.

01:55:24.120 I want Trump to win the popular vote

01:55:25.680 so I can just say you're wrong about everything

01:55:27.100 and we're right about everything.

01:55:28.400 Well, it does look right now in Ohio by the way.

01:55:30.820 You have that too?

01:55:32.180 You have a lot of relatives who are on the left?

01:55:35.780 Oh, yeah.

01:55:36.800 Oh, yeah.

01:55:37.500 So wait.

01:55:38.260 Oh, yeah.

01:55:39.100 Booyah.

01:55:39.460 So do you know?

01:55:40.520 Oh, so this is a fascinating question.

01:55:42.920 I love this sort of thing

01:55:44.580 because I always ask people about their own personal lives.

01:55:48.060 I'm fascinated.

01:55:48.820 The only human being I know,

01:55:52.080 and you must understand how many I've asked,

01:55:53.880 including people I meet, which is a lot,

01:55:56.120 on the radio, just people calling in.

01:55:58.980 Literally, the only person I know,

01:56:01.560 all of whose relatives are conservative,

01:56:04.760 is my wife.

01:56:05.900 Wow.

01:56:06.380 Really?

01:56:06.940 Yes.

01:56:07.440 Lucky her. 0.95

01:56:08.460 No kidding.

01:56:09.820 She's going to live until 170.

01:56:13.160 She has no misery.

01:56:14.460 At that point, though,

01:56:16.820 what's the point of going to Thanksgiving?

01:56:18.840 You know, you can look forward to it.

01:56:21.040 That's great.

01:56:21.940 Yeah.

01:56:22.900 At least Turkey's good. 1.00

01:56:24.380 I feel like Biden's having a bad election.

01:56:27.180 Oh, yeah.

01:56:28.260 Is this true that Joe Biden was wearing red?

01:56:31.360 So Jill was.

01:56:32.580 Joe was.

01:56:32.900 When Jill voted.

01:56:34.080 Jill was.

01:56:34.460 So for sure, 100% Jill voted for Trump.

01:56:36.800 100%.

01:56:37.380 Gotta be.

01:56:37.460 Gotta be, right?

01:56:38.260 She despises Kamala Harris. 1.00

01:56:40.020 At the very least, they wrote in Joe Biden.

01:56:42.440 There is no way they voted.

01:56:43.840 I heard she wrote in Joe.

01:56:45.960 Yeah.

01:56:46.180 And she wore red. 0.59

01:56:47.300 Yeah.

01:56:47.760 That would make sense.

01:56:48.860 That's amazing.

01:56:49.740 Yeah.

01:56:50.200 Yeah.

01:56:50.480 So, you know.

01:56:51.260 She wore red.

01:56:52.420 That matters.

01:56:53.060 Right.

01:56:53.260 Is that a new thing?

01:56:54.560 Well.

01:56:55.640 She's wearing the Republican colors, right?

01:56:57.880 Yeah.

01:56:58.120 No, I didn't know.

01:56:59.480 Remarkable.

01:57:00.300 It's like a nudge-nudge, you know?

01:57:01.920 But doesn't Donald Trump often wear a blue tie?

01:57:07.240 I mean, I just.

01:57:08.280 No, he's got the red tie.

01:57:09.200 The yellow tie.

01:57:09.360 He always has a red tie, really?

01:57:10.900 Occasionally the blue.

01:57:11.620 You know, something people forget about.

01:57:13.300 Oh, my word.

01:57:13.760 Election night history.

01:57:15.140 They switched it.

01:57:15.940 Yeah.

01:57:16.260 It was always up in the air.

01:57:17.520 Sometimes, you know, when Reagan won, it was blue was Republican and red was Democrat.

01:57:21.600 Which is the way it ought to be.

01:57:23.420 Yes.

01:57:24.080 They're the reds. 1.00

01:57:25.380 They're the reds. 1.00

01:57:26.040 But it was the 2000 election.

01:57:28.080 I think it was Tim Russert in particular.

01:57:29.720 That was really when it started to solidify as red for Republican, blue for Dem.

01:57:34.760 And I totally agree with you, Dennis.

01:57:36.760 They are actually reds, so it fits them. 0.53

01:57:39.720 And red is an unattractive color.

01:57:41.900 I'm wearing a red shirt jacket.

01:57:43.220 But I mean, that bright red, it's like a stop sign or something.

01:57:46.120 Burgundy.

01:57:46.600 This is burgundy.

01:57:47.160 This is more like a plum.

01:57:48.140 Yeah.

01:57:48.400 Yes.

01:57:48.880 Yeah.

01:57:49.620 In Ohio, it looks like Bernie Moreno is going to cruise to victory over Sherrod Brown.

01:57:53.960 Let's go.

01:57:54.620 That was a close race.

01:57:55.160 Really?

01:57:55.740 Let's go.

01:57:56.340 Sherrod Brown is going to be ousted.

01:57:57.880 All right, baby.

01:57:59.140 Wow, that's big.

01:57:59.960 Yeah, that takes the Republicans to 52 in the Senate.

01:58:02.820 Wow.

01:58:03.320 Which is a more durable majority, obviously.

01:58:05.440 West Virginia was fairly obvious.

01:58:06.940 Yeah.

01:58:07.280 When they called it, I'm like, I live there.

01:58:09.340 Right.

01:58:09.860 Shane on our show is like, there's no cities in West Virginia.

01:58:11.940 You've got nothing to worry about.

01:58:13.880 No, no, that's a great line.

01:58:16.520 Yeah.

01:58:17.440 So we're being joined right now from Harris HQ in D.C. by our very own Spencer Lindquist.

01:58:22.320 Spencer, how are things shaping up over there?

01:58:26.060 Yeah, that's right.

01:58:26.920 So we're here in D.C., right in the middle of the swamp, and people have been really trickling

01:58:30.820 in now.

01:58:31.940 Most everybody is here at the party, and it is a large crowd.

01:58:35.220 I spoke with some people earlier, and they said they were cautiously optimistic.

01:58:39.060 It was three young women who go to school here at Howard, and they all think Kamala's

01:58:43.220 going to take it, but really, none of them seemed too confident.

01:58:45.920 So we still have a long night ahead of us before we have any results.

01:58:51.020 Have you been able to talk to any attendees inside the party?

01:58:55.160 Yeah, some of the attendees inside the party, you know, it really is a large crowd.

01:58:59.560 They're listening to music right now and really kind of just hanging out, waiting for these

01:59:03.760 results to roll in.

01:59:04.740 You know, we saw Illinois be called for Harris, a couple of other deep blue states be called

01:59:08.760 for Harris, and they're sitting here watching, kind of waiting for these results to roll

01:59:13.020 in, and people seem to be, you know, they're excited, a little bit jittery even, and cautiously

01:59:18.500 optimistic, I think, is the general tone of those here on the ground.

01:59:22.500 I don't mind that they're jittery.

01:59:24.720 What do you think is the most likely victory map if she does end up winning tonight?

01:59:28.220 You know, reporters and analysts all week leading up to this election have said that Kamala Harris's 0.95

01:59:35.700 most direct path to victory really could lead through those three key Rust Belt states, those

01:59:40.460 three swing states.

01:59:42.340 So you've got Michigan, Wisconsin, and of course, Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral votes.

01:59:47.000 And if Kamala Harris won those three states, you could have Trump winning North Carolina,

01:59:51.400 Georgia, Arizona, even Nevada.

01:59:53.240 And you would still come away with a very, very slim margin, but a Kamala Harris victory

01:59:58.380 nonetheless.

01:59:58.940 So those three states really are key, and they're going to be ones that we're going to be keeping

02:00:02.160 an eye on tonight.

02:00:03.260 And as you've been looking around D.C. for the last day or two, you know, we see reports

02:00:07.680 about shopkeepers boarding up their businesses.

02:00:10.200 Are you seeing that?

02:00:12.760 Yeah, yeah.

02:00:13.400 We were hanging out really right around the White House in downtown Washington, D.C., and

02:00:18.800 there's a number of different businesses ranging from, you know, small restaurants to office

02:00:23.060 buildings, and they were putting up plywood.

02:00:25.280 You know, we saw violence here in D.C. after Trump's inauguration in January of 2017.

02:00:30.060 We saw violence around the country directly following Trump's election in 2016.

02:00:34.860 So there is an indication that if Trump does win this election, there could be more left-wing

02:00:39.340 violence here.

02:00:39.940 And that's exactly what those businesses are preparing for.

02:00:42.720 If they start boarding up the windows at the White House, please text us.

02:00:45.780 That's the thing.

02:00:47.080 I'm going to want to get a head start.

02:00:49.340 Well, really appreciate it, Spencer.

02:00:51.240 We'll check back in with you in just a little bit.

02:00:53.620 Daily Wire's footprint at Harris HQ was made possible by friends at PDS.

02:00:57.420 Get a custom plan right now to become a debt-free at pds.com slash Daily Wire.

02:01:03.620 By the way, a good exit poll alert.

02:01:05.960 This one from NBC News suggesting that Donald Trump may win up to 45 percent of the Latino

02:01:10.060 vote.

02:01:10.900 Oh, wow.

02:01:11.640 That is a big number.

02:01:13.140 That is a very, very big number.

02:01:14.760 Mostly Puerto Ricans, though.

02:01:15.880 Yeah.

02:01:16.440 What did Bush get in 04?

02:01:18.420 He got a huge number.

02:01:19.320 I think he had about 45 percent.

02:01:21.160 Somewhere around there.

02:01:22.020 Okay.

02:01:22.360 That was the biggest ever, right?

02:01:23.700 Yeah.

02:01:23.900 Yes.

02:01:24.300 Wow.

02:01:24.740 Well, it's a major realignment.

02:01:26.040 I mean, again, the Democrats, for a couple of reasons, have totally misread the Hispanic

02:01:31.360 population in the United States.

02:01:32.740 They misread them on policy because they think that they're just a bunch of left-wing San

02:01:36.240 Francisco liberals so long as you keep the border open.

02:01:38.280 But they also, I think, made a huge mistake in 2020, misreading the Hispanic population 0.73

02:01:43.480 by using this dumbass notion of BIPOC, this idea that every member of minority was the 0.93

02:01:49.500 same as every other member of minority. 0.98

02:01:50.960 So Asians were the same as black people, the same as Hispanic people. 0.97

02:01:53.500 First of all, Hispanic people ain't even the same as Hispanic people, right? 0.99

02:01:55.720 Of course.

02:01:56.320 Cuba is not the same as Argentina, which is not the same as Venezuela.

02:01:58.720 I mean, these are all different countries with completely different histories.

02:02:01.540 And they think different ways.

02:02:03.780 And the attempt to lump everybody.

02:02:05.040 And then I think in 2020, when they were like, listen, if you're Latino, you must believe 1.00

02:02:08.640 that Black Lives Matter is the most important thing in the world.

02:02:11.440 You started to see the shift then.

02:02:12.540 I think you saw a lot of Hispanics go, you know, no. 0.55

02:02:15.480 The answer is no.

02:02:16.400 That's not the same thing.

02:02:17.480 I think Latinx was probably offensive to a lot of Hispanics as well.

02:02:21.160 They said so.

02:02:22.040 I mean, they're like, what does that mean?

02:02:23.520 Who are you talking to?

02:02:24.260 We do know, though, actually, that the Democrats are aware at some level that Hispanics are not

02:02:28.580 all the same, because Obama, as he was opening up immigration from everywhere in Latin America,

02:02:34.420 did close the door on the Cubans. 0.94

02:02:36.520 He said, no, for the first time, forget about those Cubans.

02:02:39.020 You're going back.

02:02:39.920 But everyone else, Venezuelans, please come over. 1.00

02:02:42.240 Meanwhile, another NBC News exit poll in Wisconsin, suggesting this Dasha Burns of NBC News,

02:02:47.760 suggesting that Trump has doubled his Black support in Wisconsin.

02:02:50.640 Trump is polling apparently about 20% of the Black vote versus 78% for Kamala Harris.

02:02:56.200 Four years ago, he won 8% of Black voters in Wisconsin.

02:02:59.700 I mean, you're looking at identity realignment happening in real time in this election cycle.

02:03:04.280 It's amazing.

02:03:04.740 And so the final identity that Democrats are just banging on is white ladies, white single 1.00

02:03:07.840 ladies. 0.75

02:03:08.260 That is really honest to God.

02:03:10.040 Well, black ladies, too. 1.00

02:03:12.280 We call them single ladies. 1.00

02:03:13.920 We should say single ladies are the constituency of the Democratic Party. 1.00

02:03:16.840 That's right.

02:03:17.360 Which is why Kamala Harris has campaigned so hard to get those people out to vote and campaigned

02:03:21.380 almost solely on abortion because she's dropping support like flies with Hispanic men, with

02:03:26.340 black men. 0.56

02:03:27.280 People with the capacity for reasons.

02:03:28.680 I mean, also, and it's not, it's not, it actually is not distributed evenly.

02:03:32.480 Like among single women, it's not as though everybody of every race who's single.

02:03:36.400 I think that there is, it really depends on how likely you are to get married as a single

02:03:39.940 woman, as a member of those populations, right?

02:03:42.240 If you're like, this is a question that we were talking about with Jordan was married

02:03:45.620 women obviously vote very much like their husbands. 1.00

02:03:47.580 Is that because they're being, you know, forcibly abused by their husband, or is it

02:03:51.360 because the tend of women, the types of women who tend to get married tend to be the types 1.00

02:03:55.100 of women who vote like their husbands? 0.99

02:03:56.360 And people also marry people like themselves a little bit.

02:03:58.280 Well, but marriage also changes people.

02:04:00.280 I think that's an important part of it.

02:04:01.460 And children.

02:04:02.040 And children change people.

02:04:02.920 But it's also increasingly a self-selected group, meaning the kinds of people who want

02:04:05.960 to get married are also the kinds of people who are going to tend to vote Republican

02:04:09.040 a little bit.

02:04:10.140 I want to say the New York Times.

02:04:11.000 By the way, Kelly Ayotte is now your governor of New Hampshire.

02:04:13.260 She's a Republican.

02:04:14.380 So, you know, Trump doesn't win the state, but Ayotte is the governor of New

02:04:17.560 That's the first Republican governor they've had in 2000.

02:04:19.540 Since Chris Inuit, like five minutes ago.

02:04:21.460 No.

02:04:22.100 Oh, yes.

02:04:22.700 Okay.

02:04:22.900 I'm sorry.

02:04:23.760 I do want to say the worst thing that I saw.

02:04:25.440 I just want to say the New York Times needle has now shifted over to leaning to Trump.

02:04:28.600 It's now lean Trump.

02:04:29.580 66 to 34.

02:04:32.040 Wait, wait, wait.

02:04:32.860 What's 66 to 34?

02:04:34.340 66% likelihood, according to the New York Times.

02:04:37.140 Why do you keep saying it's, well, you kept saying, he said it's just slightly.

02:04:41.580 I don't understand.

02:04:42.040 That's not slight.

02:04:42.620 They're saying leaning Trump, but they're saying the likelihood, given that lean, so

02:04:47.380 it went from toss-up into the lean category. 0.99

02:04:50.000 This is all this, like, stupid needle that people talked about last time. 0.97

02:04:51.580 Wait, why is 66 lean? 1.00

02:04:53.300 That's all I'm asking.

02:04:54.360 66 is not lean.

02:04:56.360 That's two to one.

02:04:58.000 They're saying, it's not, they're not saying Trump is going to win, you know, 66%.

02:05:02.440 No, no, they're saying it's a 66% chance he'll win.

02:05:05.960 Yes.

02:05:06.240 But that's not lean.

02:05:08.520 No, I mean.

02:05:09.380 I don't know why that's, lean is 54, 46.

02:05:13.400 Dennis, the same needle once said that Hillary Clinton had 99% chance of winning.

02:05:19.000 Okay, I agree.

02:05:20.120 I agree with that.

02:05:21.500 It's just the word lean, juxtaposed to that.

02:05:24.520 Because you do think the last time we talked about this needle, it was to watch it just

02:05:28.760 go like, boop, you know, in 16.

02:05:31.460 I don't want to move too far from this conversation about the gender gap in the electorate without 0.70

02:05:36.940 talking about the hands-down, bar none, worst political ad of my lifetime put out by a 0.98

02:05:43.840 PAC supporting Kamala Harris that encouraged women to lie to their husbands.

02:05:49.920 I think divorce is a grave evil, something that we could argue about one of these days.

02:05:55.180 I might divorce my wife if I found out that she lied to me. 1.00

02:05:58.160 I would not divorce my wife for voting for someone with whom I deeply disagree.

02:06:03.780 I mean, that would be a challenge.

02:06:04.760 You'd have to, because you, in a marriage, need to have a common set of values and a common

02:06:08.440 mission.

02:06:09.280 But to find out that your spouse just lies to you about who they vote for.

02:06:12.960 Did you see the whisper campaign that the Washington Post was reporting on?

02:06:17.200 They said after that ad went out, women were putting post-it notes in bathroom stalls saying, 1.00

02:06:22.720 your husband won't know, your boyfriend won't know, your vote is a secret.

02:06:26.060 I kind of feel like if I went to the bathroom and I saw a post on the wall, I would not consider

02:06:30.960 what it was telling me.

02:06:32.500 But the Washington Post said it was...

02:06:34.280 What's wrong with you?

02:06:35.120 You know, that's not what women were doing, and if it worked for them, I guess. 1.00

02:06:38.500 This is a reminder, though.

02:06:39.560 I agree with you.

02:06:40.240 That ad drove me so bonkers.

02:06:42.120 So vile.

02:06:42.700 But it's so perfectly exemplary of the Democrat Party because, you know, the fundamental political

02:06:50.240 unit is the family.

02:06:51.720 Of course.

02:06:51.860 It's not the individual, right?

02:06:52.820 The political unit means it's the family.

02:06:55.140 And the Democrats have been so relentless in their assaults on the family.

02:06:58.520 Taking your kids away from you, promoting divorce, discouraging marriage, promoting 1.00

02:07:02.480 abortion, all down the line.

02:07:03.420 All the way up to, hey, folks, our best argument for victory is you divide up your marriage.

02:07:11.700 And that will divide up the country, and we win. 1.00

02:07:13.940 You know, the New York Times, if you follow the New York Times, they run at least three

02:07:18.380 articles a week suggesting various kinds of sex that will probably destroy or enslave

02:07:24.140 you, unless you're married.

02:07:26.000 If you're married, they keep saying, you know, you don't have to have sex when you're married.

02:07:28.780 They literally will have these articles, but you might want to consider it a throuple.

02:07:32.540 If you're childless and alone, maybe a decent evolutionary strategy is to break up other

02:07:40.720 people's marriages.

02:07:42.260 I'm dead serious about that.

02:07:44.020 Like, you have no idea what sort of machinations people are capable of when what they're fighting

02:07:50.540 for is the probability that they will end up in a couple.

02:07:54.480 Like, there's no holds barred.

02:07:56.080 And it certainly is a useful strategy.

02:07:58.780 If you're not in a couple, and other people are, then one of your strategies is to do

02:08:03.000 everything you can to break that up.

02:08:04.880 Why wouldn't you?

02:08:06.220 What, are you going to solidify the situation?

02:08:08.860 And you might say, well, that's counterproductive in the long run.

02:08:11.420 It's like, well, maybe you're not concerned about the long run if you're that desperate.

02:08:15.180 Because desperate people tend not to be concerned with the long run.

02:08:17.760 We do have this terrible mystery that conservatives haven't unlocked, which is the absolutely aberrant

02:08:23.520 pattern of attitudes and voting patterns that characterize single women between the ages

02:08:28.900 of 18 and 34.

02:08:30.280 It's like, there's a big problem there.

02:08:31.840 And it's a real mystery.

02:08:33.200 It can't just be passed over because what they're doing is radically different than what

02:08:37.580 everyone else is doing.

02:08:38.940 And it's enough to consistently swing the election.

02:08:41.400 Tim, we were talking about this last night on your show.

02:08:43.640 This idea that people like Chelsea Handler and others keep talking about how they do drugs

02:08:49.100 and have sex with themselves all day, and they're so genuinely happy.

02:08:53.980 And my argument was that they actually are happy. 0.61

02:08:57.260 I don't think that they're lying.

02:08:58.460 I think that they don't know that there's an entire realm of human emotion that happens

02:09:03.360 in marriage and then when you have children that they're not even aware of.

02:09:08.020 Happy is a trivial emotion.

02:09:09.780 Yeah, happiness.

02:09:10.140 Of course.

02:09:10.680 The fact that we're obsessed with happiness, even on the psychological side, is an indication

02:09:15.020 of how trivial our culture is.

02:09:16.700 I mean, one of the things that you see quite consistently in psychological research is that

02:09:20.800 couples without children are happier than couples with children. 0.91

02:09:25.920 It's like, well, you shouldn't have children.

02:09:27.400 It's like, no, you shouldn't use happiness measurements as your index of outcome.

02:09:32.200 Of course, you're less happy because your three-year-old is fragile.

02:09:36.300 And if you have a three-year-old and a one-year-old, it's like, well, you're juggling catastrophes

02:09:40.480 all the time.

02:09:41.620 Well, seriously, you don't have time to be happy.

02:09:43.780 It's like, but happiness is a fleeting hedonic emotion and it's not an indicator of participation

02:09:50.060 in a process that's going to stabilize your life and the life of your family across decades.

02:09:55.040 And enrich your life.

02:09:56.980 It's the permanent adolescence of the coming generations. 0.83

02:10:01.160 They are, I look at wolves and I look at dogs and the story of how dogs came to be domesticated.

02:10:06.880 They say that dogs are effectively just permanent adolescent wolves.

02:10:09.940 I see that's what's happening to humanity right now with the current trend, telling people

02:10:13.480 not to grow up, play video games, stay home, stay single, live in your own internal world.

02:10:19.460 But I believe that is spiritual suicide.

02:10:21.380 That's the Peter Pan story.

02:10:22.760 Yeah, it is the Peter Pan story.

02:10:23.300 You know, and Peter Pan has Tinkerbell, the porn fairy.

02:10:26.980 Serious, dead serious.

02:10:28.280 I mean, he's king of the Lost Boys, right?

02:10:30.080 Well, that's a form of king.

02:10:32.200 It's not perhaps the kingship that you'd choose.

02:10:34.580 You know, and he forgoes the possibilities of maturity to remain in this childhood fantasy.

02:10:40.180 The only thing, our media is telling everybody to keep doing it.

02:10:44.280 They're telling you you're selfish if you try to live and have a family and experience what

02:10:49.860 you should be doing.

02:10:50.900 And also, I believe your moral duty, which is, for those that are religious, to be fruitful

02:10:55.640 and multiply.

02:10:56.560 But for the sake of humanity, if you look at it from a more secular point of view, something

02:10:59.900 like Elon Musk, if we do not reproduce, civilization collapses.

02:11:03.320 And they are telling people to just be hedonistic and to be permanent children.

02:11:06.680 But I, you know, I kind of disagree with you a bit about this because people who do these

02:11:11.080 things, I've known a lot of them.

02:11:12.320 I worked in Hollywood for quite a while and I've known a lot of people who live like that.

02:11:15.480 I don't think they're happy.

02:11:16.580 You know, I think they have that kind of surface, brittle, smiley happiness.

02:11:20.740 But you only have to question them, talk to them for 10, 20 minutes.

02:11:23.800 And the depth of despair underneath that, it's like thin ice over a block.

02:11:27.620 Well, that's why the measurements are terribly out of whack.

02:11:31.040 It's like, if you're going to do research on something as fundamental as human well-being,

02:11:35.180 you bloody well better make sure your measurements are accurate.

02:11:37.300 We also need to establish, we have to establish the definition of happiness, which is like

02:11:41.400 these guys are talking about happiness as though, in the way we talk about it in modern

02:11:45.880 times, which is as some fleeting little emotion or you get tickled or something.

02:11:49.240 But, you know, happiness we used to understand as rational activity done with excellence in

02:11:55.220 accordance with virtue.

02:11:56.700 Aristotle wrote a very good book about this.

02:11:58.500 And so we used to believe that actually there was an end to mankind.

02:12:02.420 There was like a purpose for man.

02:12:03.860 There was a purpose for marriage.

02:12:05.040 We could know things by their purpose.

02:12:06.780 That ground has totally shaken underneath us.

02:12:10.140 So when we disagree over what makes us happy, unfortunately the problem is even more fundamental.

02:12:15.680 We don't even agree on what happiness is.

02:12:16.780 And maybe this is actually why I always say this in a way that you, because we talk about

02:12:21.640 this from time to time and you guys disagree with me, but, you know, for example, 2023 was

02:12:26.460 the hardest year of my life.

02:12:28.580 I mean, it was genuinely traumatizingly hard.

02:12:31.800 And I still would have told you I was, I was miserable, but I was also happy.

02:12:36.180 Right.

02:12:36.560 I was, I was certainly not at my best, but I still would have considered myself a happy

02:12:43.320 person even in my misery.

02:12:44.520 And I, I think that it may be that I'm just defining happiness differently.

02:12:48.180 I don't think of happiness as some.

02:12:49.780 What was, what was it that would, what was it about your life that would have motivated

02:12:54.420 you to come through your situation?

02:12:55.480 I suppose that what I would say is that I was fulfilled.

02:12:58.120 Right, right, right.

02:12:59.160 Well, that's a multidimensional issue, right?

02:13:01.360 I mean, you can tolerate a lot of pain even if your relationships are intact and you're

02:13:06.680 moving towards a purpose that you regard as worthwhile.

02:13:09.360 So, so one of, one of the things that's worthwhile to understand purely from the perspective of

02:13:14.440 the psychophysiology of happiness is that the positive emotion that's produced by drugs

02:13:19.240 like cocaine, for example, which make you happy, that positive emotion is always experienced

02:13:24.660 in relationship to a goal, right?

02:13:26.900 So the happiness that, that, that people strive towards is only possible psychopharmacologically

02:13:33.820 if you observe yourself moving towards a valued goal.

02:13:36.840 And so that, that has a number of implications.

02:13:39.440 One of which is no goal, no happiness, right?

02:13:43.640 Or, or maybe happiness of only the most fleeting and easily substituted kind.

02:13:48.440 We also know from animal research, for example, that it's very difficult, it's very easy to

02:13:53.940 get rats that are isolated in a cage addicted to cocaine.

02:13:57.760 And you can get them addicted rapidly to the point where they will basically not drink water

02:14:02.820 or eat or engage in sex.

02:14:04.360 They'll just push a button to get cocaine until they die.

02:14:07.020 But if they're living in their wild habitat doing like normative rat things, it's almost

02:14:11.180 impossible to get them addicted to cocaine.

02:14:12.980 And so, and so even at the purely level of pure pharmacological reward, if you have animals

02:14:19.960 in a habitat where they're pursuing their intrinsic biologically determined goals, then they're

02:14:26.520 participating in processes that make them very resistant to alternative forms of fleeting

02:14:30.960 happiness.

02:14:31.780 And we've blown that all apart in our society.

02:14:33.840 And we don't know how much that's enraging.

02:14:35.860 I really think it's enraging young women in particular.

02:14:38.180 We have no, we have absolute, so we know that, for example, half of women who are 30

02:14:44.320 and under now don't have children.

02:14:46.440 Half of them.

02:14:46.940 Wow.

02:14:47.420 Right.

02:14:47.720 That we hit that milestone last year in the West.

02:14:50.260 Half of them will never have children.

02:14:52.340 That's the prognostication.

02:14:53.860 95% of them will regret that.

02:14:56.160 So we've already in a situation where we have doomed one woman in four to permanent isolation 0.82

02:15:02.160 and alienation, isolation and alienation.

02:15:04.620 And we have no idea how angry they are about that.

02:15:07.720 But, like, you can be sure that they're angry at a level that's so deep that you can barely

02:15:12.200 comprehend it.

02:15:13.000 And you're not even allowed to talk about it because you're offending them by saying

02:15:16.060 that the childless cat lady is not in a good position to judge the future.

02:15:20.700 And this thing about time is everything, right?

02:15:22.960 I mean, you have kids and it's difficult, but it's a beautiful experience.

02:15:25.880 It's an enriching experience.

02:15:26.940 It's the experience that turns life from two dimensions into three dimensions.

02:15:31.740 And at some point, it's incredibly rewarding to have done it.

02:15:35.120 You know, I mean, I can sit and look at my grandchildren without doing anything for hours.

02:15:38.700 I actually said to my wife, we have to go because I'll never accomplish anything ever

02:15:42.660 again because I'm just happy watching the kids playing with Legos.

02:15:45.680 You know, it's like... 0.89

02:15:46.340 Then I'm the rat with the job.

02:15:48.620 And maybe the reason that I consider myself, even when I'm sort of miserable to be a happy

02:15:52.360 person, is connected to the fact that I'm not a fun-loving person.

02:15:55.840 Like, I don't get any sense of joy out of drinking booze or going to loud clubs.

02:16:02.540 Having a good time is not your idea of having a good time.

02:16:04.840 That is exactly right.

02:16:06.940 To me, having a good time is being about my purpose.

02:16:11.000 That's the source.

02:16:12.460 And that's why having children has increased my happiness.

02:16:14.420 Well, you've both alluded to something that's fundamentally important on the measurement

02:16:17.860 side, too.

02:16:18.440 It's like almost all the things that people do in their life that they look back on with,

02:16:23.640 let's say, self-assurance and something approximating reasonable pride are things they

02:16:28.700 accomplished under difficult circumstances.

02:16:30.280 They were hard, yeah.

02:16:31.160 Now, those aren't necessarily the things you pick for your hedonic pleasure.

02:16:35.320 But when you look back, you think, well, that was extremely difficult and demanding and

02:16:39.320 challenging.

02:16:39.880 And there was a fair bit of suffering moment to moment while I was going through it.

02:16:43.320 But man, I'm certainly more than pleased that I managed it.

02:16:46.700 And there is this thing, I call it joy.

02:16:49.400 The poets used to call it gusto.

02:16:50.920 It was just being alive, you know, being in that moment and thinking like, yeah, here

02:16:54.280 I am.

02:16:54.740 You know, I compare it sometimes when you go to a movie and you watch somebody, a character

02:16:58.360 dies and you cry. 0.55

02:16:59.600 And then you come out and people say, how was the movie?

02:17:01.260 And you say, it was great.

02:17:02.720 And life is kind of like that a lot of times if you're paying attention.

02:17:05.720 Yeah, I think of happiness as if you're doing the things that you ought to be doing,

02:17:10.740 then you're happy, sort of regardless of how you may feel in any given moment while

02:17:14.940 you're doing that thing.

02:17:15.740 And if you're doing the things that you ought not be doing, then you're in despair, whether

02:17:19.480 regardless of how you feel in the moment.

02:17:21.800 And when that question comes up, I think back to our first film, What is a Woman?, when we

02:17:26.780 went to Kenya to the Maasai tribe.

02:17:29.760 And there's a lot of conversations we had with the tribesmen that didn't make it into

02:17:33.140 film because it wasn't exactly relevant to the topic of transgenderism.

02:17:37.060 But I remember multiple times when we were talking to the, especially the women, and I would

02:17:41.360 ask them, are you happy?

02:17:42.800 And every single time they would respond by saying, through the translator, they would

02:17:47.980 respond by saying, by telling me about the things that they do.

02:17:51.020 They say, well, I'm taking care of my family.

02:17:53.800 I have a family.

02:17:54.460 I have children.

02:17:55.300 I take care of the home.

02:17:56.860 That wasn't even the question.

02:17:57.700 I said, are you happy?

02:17:58.920 And their immediate response is to talk about the things that they do.

02:18:01.980 I'm performing my appropriate function.

02:18:03.380 Right, because then there's no, the idea that they could be doing the things that they

02:18:06.960 ought to be doing and not be happy, it's like, it doesn't make sense.

02:18:09.820 It's a disconnect.

02:18:10.320 Well, that also indicates that in our society, we've abstracted the emotion away from its

02:18:16.180 performative foundation.

02:18:18.180 You know, and we treat happiness as if it's an abstraction that exists in and of itself.

02:18:22.700 And there's foolishness in that.

02:18:24.280 And you also pointed to something else that's very interesting.

02:18:27.640 You know, when you ask people, it's very hard to ask people a question properly and get

02:18:33.320 an answer that's reliable.

02:18:34.540 It's very, very hard to do that.

02:18:36.080 And psychologists have concentrated on doing that for decades.

02:18:38.800 It's a whole field of endeavor.

02:18:40.740 One of the things you discover if you do research into what people mean when they say that they

02:18:45.580 just want to be happy is what they actually mean is they don't want to suffer.

02:18:49.180 So you can imagine that there's two elements to happiness.

02:18:51.600 One is not too much negative emotion.

02:18:55.360 And the other is some positive emotion.

02:18:57.840 And if you push people into a corner, they'll pick absence of negative emotion over presence of

02:19:02.520 positive emotion every time because pain is extraordinarily salient.

02:19:07.280 And so part of what people mean when they say they want to be happy means is that they

02:19:11.580 want to be secure in their foundation, which is not at all the same thing as pursuing the

02:19:16.980 hedonic pleasure that would be duplicable, say, with cocaine.

02:19:19.740 I have to interrupt.

02:19:20.780 Yeah, I was good.

02:19:21.220 Because there's an election happening.

02:19:22.100 Oh, yes.

02:19:22.980 And Decision Desk HQ has called North Carolina for Donald Trump.

02:19:25.980 Just go, baby.

02:19:26.960 Huge piece of news.

02:19:28.040 Truly a must-win state, in my opinion, for Trump.

02:19:32.280 North Carolina now firmly in hand.

02:19:34.900 And another great sort of victory, not only national victory, but even personal victory.

02:19:40.040 They're also declaring Ted Cruz has won his Tennessee in Texas.

02:19:45.300 As we said while Dennis was here, Ted was actually kind of on the ropes a little bit in a very hard-fought

02:19:51.040 campaign.

02:19:51.780 But in these last weeks, I mean, he's done an enormous job down in Texas, an enormous job

02:19:56.920 campaigning, a very smart politician, and he's retained his seat for a third term.

02:20:01.080 And most importantly, Jeremy, at least from your perspective, your only friend in the U.S.

02:20:05.540 Senate remains in the U.S. Senate.

02:20:07.320 Not just the U.S. Senate, my only friend in government at any level, top to bottom.

02:20:11.960 And so with that good news, we'll take a moment to tell you about our sponsors.

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02:21:57.280 Because, of course, Donald Trump, with a little good Lord willing, the crick don't rise, as they say, will be our 47th president.

02:22:03.960 Ben.

02:22:04.380 Yes.

02:22:04.980 What are we learning?

02:22:05.480 He's just going to put it out there.

02:22:07.060 He's going to win all the Sunbelt states.

02:22:08.060 Okay?

02:22:08.260 So this is just going to come down to what we always thought was going to come down to, those blue wall states.

02:22:13.100 She has to win all three.

02:22:14.880 That is her only path to victory.

02:22:15.900 She needs to win all three of those states. 1.00

02:22:18.300 The great irony, the thing I'm rooting so hard for, more than anything else, is that it comes down to Pennsylvania, and she loses Pennsylvania because she wouldn't pick the Jew. 0.90

02:22:26.720 It would be the most wonderful thing in the entire world.

02:22:29.640 I would love it so much that her signal moral inability to condemn the pro-Hamas quadrant of her base loses her the election because she just couldn't pick the Jewish guy from the swing state with a 60% approval rating.

02:22:42.600 Yeah, but I—

02:22:43.160 Serve her so right.

02:22:43.880 She felt like she was on the ropes in Minnesota, right?

02:22:46.080 Wasn't that why she—

02:22:46.760 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

02:22:47.380 She needed the weird guy from Minnesota.

02:22:48.780 She needed the very popular governor of the obvious way of state.

02:22:51.560 What she required was the super weird guy who looks like an inflatable off the side of a freeway to use car a lot.

02:22:57.620 And that's the one she needed.

02:22:59.280 In fairness to Kamala, so she offended all the Jews. 1.00

02:23:01.700 Wait, why couldn't you have just said, in fairness to inflatable?

02:23:04.220 Yeah, in fairness to good place.

02:23:05.760 But not only did she offend all the Jews by not picking Shapiro because she wanted to cozy up to the pro-Hamas side. 0.51

02:23:13.220 Also, let's not forget, one in four voters in Pennsylvania is Catholic, and she decides two weeks before the election to say, hey, you say Jesus is Lord?

02:23:22.020 Get out of my rally.

02:23:23.180 You've got to go to that Trump rally.

02:23:24.400 I mean, what was worse than that is—

02:23:25.560 Who says she never tells the truth?

02:23:27.960 One time, what's even worse than that is when she went on national TV, and they said, will you make any religious exemptions for abortion?

02:23:33.420 And she was like, nope.

02:23:34.540 The nuns are going to be aborting the babies. 1.00

02:23:36.100 They're like, whoa.

02:23:37.080 It's going to come down—

02:23:38.160 The problem with the Rust Belt thing is the Rust Belt has—

02:23:41.460 Those three states have voted exactly the same since the 70s, haven't they?

02:23:46.500 Has there been a single exception?

02:23:47.580 Has there been a time where Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania didn't vote in lockstep with one another since we've been alive except for—

02:23:56.080 That is a great question.

02:23:57.320 But I'm trying to think of a situation in which the election was super close.

02:24:04.500 So in 2016, obviously, they went one way.

02:24:06.340 In 2020, they went the other way.

02:24:08.220 In 2004, they actually went for Kerry, and it was Ohio that won the election for Bush.

02:24:14.700 So, you know, when everything is this close, when everything is this tight, I mean, the thing is, when we talk about presidential history, and you'll say, is there a precedent for this?

02:24:23.260 The sample size is just too small.

02:24:24.620 I mean, that's the reality.

02:24:25.520 They'll say, well, this is the first time this has happened in 20 years.

02:24:27.820 Okay, fine.

02:24:28.300 So that's like five election cycles.

02:24:29.280 Right, right, right.

02:24:29.720 The sample size is super tiny.

02:24:31.040 There's not 180 baseball games a year.

02:24:32.800 Exactly.

02:24:33.440 Let's check in with Brent Buchanan.

02:24:37.900 So, Brent, tell us about life.

02:24:40.840 Well, what's going on?

02:24:42.080 Well, you know, it looks as though the Sun Belt is locking up for Trump, is what it's starting to look like.

02:24:49.940 I mean, it's calling Georgia, obviously, a little bit early, and Arizona really, really early.

02:24:53.200 But it looks like those states are looking fairly good for Trump.

02:24:55.800 What do you make of, you know, the Rust Belt and the Sun Belt right now?

02:24:59.440 Well, let's talk about North Carolina specifically, because this ties back to something that I don't even know what time it is right now.

02:25:05.460 But a few hours ago that we spoke of, and that's turnout potentially and likely being higher than 2020.

02:25:13.200 So if we're looking at North Carolina specifically, in 2020, turnout was about 5.4 million in North Carolina.

02:25:21.200 If you take the percent reporting now, add in those estimated votes remaining, it puts you at 5.8 million.

02:25:27.960 So when we were looking at our turnout curve, we knew that once you got to about 5.6 or 7, that put it in somewhat Kamala territory.

02:25:36.680 And then if you went beyond that, you almost had no clue what was going to happen.

02:25:40.240 Well, now we actually have a clue what happens when you go above 2020 turnout, and it benefits Donald Trump.

02:25:45.940 So let's look at a couple counties here.

02:25:48.440 I want to start with Brunswick.

02:25:49.960 Brunswick, and so this is a really strong reporting Republican county.

02:25:54.740 And you can see here, let me show you the historical comparison.

02:25:58.220 There's actually not that much difference.

02:26:00.840 If anything, it was slightly closer.

02:26:03.760 But this county actually, as of right now, has netted out 1,000 more votes for Donald Trump than last time,

02:26:10.440 even though the margin's a little closer.

02:26:12.500 And so I think this is really indicative of what happens when turnout goes above 2020 numbers.

02:26:19.060 Let's zoom in here to Wake County, which is the seat of the state with Raleigh.

02:26:25.840 And you can see here that Harris is doing a little bit better.

02:26:29.700 Trump is doing a little bit worse.

02:26:31.740 It's only reporting 75% right now.

02:26:34.260 What's likely going to happen is that this improves for Donald Trump in this final 25% that's coming in.

02:26:40.500 And then if we come over here to Pitt County, so this county is about 30, let's see here.

02:26:46.380 We'll go to the census data for a second.

02:26:47.980 So it's 37% black on census.

02:26:52.000 So it's for a state that is below that overall, this is a slightly more black county than the state as a whole.

02:26:59.340 And then when we look at this historical comparison, what you'll see in Pitt is that this was a margin of about 9.4 for Biden in 20.

02:27:07.700 And that moved to 5.6 margin for Harris.

02:27:11.260 And what's really interesting is that it had already moved three points to the right between 16 and 20.

02:27:17.220 And so when you start to put this math together and you see that these Republican counties are performing very well,

02:27:22.420 and even if they don't perform at the same margin for Trump, they're actually netting out more votes into the overall count.

02:27:28.520 And then you look at a place like Pitt County that, as you can see, is blue on the map, but it is less blue, and it is becoming less blue.

02:27:37.100 And I think this is a really, really good example of this educational attainment realignment that's been happening in this country,

02:27:43.820 where if 20 years ago you were a college grad, you were probably a Republican.

02:27:47.540 20 years ago you were a non-college grad, you were probably a Democrat.

02:27:51.720 Those bases are beginning to shift.

02:27:54.120 And as we look at that, what our experimental exit polling shows so far on our internals

02:28:00.000 is that that realignment among non-white voters is even more extreme than the continued shift that we see with white voters.

02:28:07.980 So as we look at these three counties here, Brunswick in the south, a very heavy Republican county netting out more for Trump,

02:28:15.820 Wake County, the rest of this reporting going to be better for Trump, and then Pitt County,

02:28:20.560 this is the third election in a row with Donald Trump on the ballot where his margin improves,

02:28:25.700 and even his raw vote improves here.

02:28:29.320 You start to see how once we get into this explosive, crazy, wild, who knew we could go above 2020 and turn out,

02:28:38.800 the answer is we're starting to see a trend that it is benefiting Donald Trump.

02:28:43.300 Who's turning out in large numbers?

02:28:45.800 Is there a particular demographic?

02:28:47.940 We don't have that yet.

02:28:49.280 We can look at some of these counties, and that's why I really like Pitt specifically here,

02:28:53.400 because it is more black than the state as a whole.

02:28:55.980 And if this was like 2020, if the numbers were coming back like that,

02:29:01.200 I would say that I don't know why they would have called North Carolina,

02:29:04.100 but you can look at this as an example and say, okay,

02:29:06.400 I start to see why they went ahead and called North Carolina,

02:29:09.300 despite the fact that it's only 61 percent reporting right now,

02:29:12.760 because we're talking about 5.8 plus million turnout, which is just incredible.

02:29:17.520 Yeah, so Brent, one of the things that people are pointing out is that it is a very good sign for Trump,

02:29:22.180 not just that North Carolina has been called, but that it's been called so early,

02:29:25.180 meaning that the patterns in data seem to be benefiting President Trump.

02:29:30.080 The sort of theory of the electorate, which was that a high turnout election was going to benefit inevitably the Democrats,

02:29:36.220 is obviously not true.

02:29:38.640 And you're seeing this reflected in some of the data.

02:29:40.840 I mean, the needle over at The New York Times, the all-powerful needle,

02:29:44.060 is now officially leaning Trump a 67 percent chance of victory for President Trump,

02:29:48.400 according to the vaunted New York Times needle.

02:29:50.920 And they are also suggesting that President Trump has a slight up chance.

02:29:56.240 Basically, Brent, if you had to speculate at this point, we'll just rank speculation.

02:30:00.740 Kamala Harris needs to win Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin in order to win this election. 1.00

02:30:04.320 If you had to ballpark this thing, that is the most likely scenario at this point, is it not?

02:30:08.200 Yeah, once North Carolina is off of the map, it puts her right into that vaunted, quote, blue wall 0.94

02:30:13.980 that in 2020 is what won the election, more so even than Georgia and Arizona.

02:30:20.220 It was going back to winning Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.

02:30:23.920 And right now, as we're looking at Pennsylvania, you can see that it's a complete coin toss at this point.

02:30:29.640 And what's fascinating is that we're likely to see massive, massive turnout above 2020 for this state also.

02:30:35.540 And so as we compare a place like Pennsylvania to North Carolina, where the increased turnout really benefited Donald Trump,

02:30:44.500 we don't have enough vote in yet in Pennsylvania to say the same thing.

02:30:48.100 But they're both experiencing increased turnout over 2020, but we're seeing slightly different results.

02:30:54.820 I mean, if the theory was simply that more turnout over 20 is better for Donald Trump,

02:31:00.920 then we could go ahead and call Pennsylvania, too.

02:31:02.680 But as you can see on the Decision Desk HQ right here, win probability, it's a complete coin flip.

02:31:09.560 Well, Brent, really appreciate it.

02:31:11.180 We'll get back to you very shortly with the latest updates.

02:31:14.880 Again, thanks to our friends over at both PDS Dead and Lumen for their sponsorship of our program here tonight.

02:31:20.180 So, yeah, lots of breaking news.

02:31:21.520 Obviously, Senator Cruz has been declared the victor over there.

02:31:24.200 That means that Republicans have probably a minimum of 52 seats in the United States Senate.

02:31:28.440 It also means that Republicans are doing better than expected so far in the House.

02:31:32.840 So there were serious questions about whether they're going to be able to retain the House majority.

02:31:36.100 So far, it looks like at least a coin flip as to whether they're able to retain that House majority,

02:31:40.720 which is actually better shape than a lot of people were expecting at this point in time.

02:31:45.140 Again, for those who missed it, North Carolina has been called.

02:31:47.900 The map is basically what you thought the map was going to be before this evening.

02:31:51.340 New Hampshire has been called in favor of Kamala Harris.

02:31:53.420 North Carolina has been called in favor of President Trump.

02:31:55.560 The Georgia votes are still coming in, but at this point, you have to say that President Trump is, in fact, favored in Georgia.

02:32:02.540 Arizona, he was leading pretty heavily in the early balloting anyway, so the chances are very good that he is going to win Arizona as well.

02:32:08.620 That means that Kamala Harris right now has to win in the blue wall states. 1.00

02:32:13.080 She needs to win all three of those blue wall states. 1.00

02:32:15.640 That'd be Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

02:32:18.460 There's not enough data yet.

02:32:19.680 There is some early Pennsylvania voting data that is coming in.

02:32:22.480 They've got about 2.2 million votes counted there, 2.3 million votes counted there, according to the latest numbers.

02:32:29.000 You're looking at Kamala with a very slight advantage.

02:32:31.820 So far, things are going better than we had hoped.

02:32:33.640 We have the North Carolina win is the thing that I was the most worried about.

02:32:36.700 So in the same way that Ben had his positive outlier, that if Trump won New Hampshire,

02:32:42.500 he thought that that would be like kind of the runaway indicator that we were going to have a runaway goodnight.

02:32:47.100 To me, North Carolina was the obvious, Trump loses North Carolina, it just pretends terrible things.

02:32:52.540 So having that off the table, huge.

02:32:54.360 Having Ted Cruz pick up that seat or hang on to his Senate seat in Texas, huge.

02:32:59.960 The fact that we will almost certainly be able, as Republicans, to hold the Senate, absolutely huge.

02:33:05.260 The House, we're guaranteed in the Senate.

02:33:07.920 That's right.

02:33:08.180 We're now guaranteed in the Senate.

02:33:09.240 You want a big piece of data?

02:33:10.040 Here's a nice piece of data for you.

02:33:11.340 Again, exit polling, grain of salt, giant grain of salt.

02:33:13.440 CBS News exit poll in Michigan, younger voters aged 18 to 29 are narrowly going for Trump.

02:33:18.540 Crazy.

02:33:19.100 That is unbelievable.

02:33:20.580 That's a crazy stat.

02:33:22.080 I wouldn't have to expect that.

02:33:22.380 And that would be a Gaza stat, right? 0.74

02:33:24.620 That would be, seriously, that would be all of the left-wing insane people on the left who wouldn't vote for Kamala Harris 0.98

02:33:30.600 because they think by some bizarre turn of the imagination that she's too pro-Israel. 0.93

02:33:35.520 You have to be a psychotic nutjob to think that Kamala Harris is too pro-Israel. 0.94

02:33:39.520 But somehow they've come up with that one. 0.95

02:33:40.960 And I'm grateful to them for that.

02:33:42.440 I hope that Jill Stein wins a million votes in the state of Michigan, that she and Cornel West just run away in that election.

02:33:48.400 But also it would be young men.

02:33:49.540 I mean, young men might be.

02:33:50.700 That's what I think.

02:33:51.220 Yeah, I'm wondering about that with regards to the increased turnout, too, if it's the same young men who are going back to church.

02:33:56.860 Do we have the gender dynamics on that? 1.00

02:33:58.800 So, yeah, no gender dynamics on that one yet. 0.74

02:34:01.980 But you have to imagine, obviously, that you're talking about a heavy male turnout there.

02:34:05.620 It turns out that there are no white dudes for Harris.

02:34:07.660 There is just white dude for Harris.

02:34:09.060 And you have to trust Doug Emhoff, maybe, technically.

02:34:12.740 If she keeps her mouth in line.

02:34:13.940 Yeah, honestly.

02:34:14.840 She's in line, right?

02:34:16.760 Oh, yeah.

02:34:19.320 I think the last thing Doug Emhoff wants is to be stuck in the White House with Kamala Harris for four years.

02:34:23.480 I really think that he's tired of this by this point.

02:34:25.860 The New York Times, that needle.

02:34:27.360 Come on, needle. 1.00

02:34:28.100 The needle currently has Donald Trump at a 70% chance of victory in the Electoral College and Harris at plus 0.2 in the popular vote estimate.

02:34:38.680 So there is every possibility here that Donald Trump ends up winning both the popular and the electoral for the first time for Republicans since 2004.

02:34:45.600 How do we feel about Virginia?

02:34:46.780 I was just going to say, that was just what I was going to say.

02:34:49.100 62% of the vote is in.

02:34:50.560 Trump is up 2%.

02:34:51.600 And they're still calling it for Kamala Harris.

02:34:54.100 Again, I'm not an expert on the counties, and I would assume that all the counties that they have not yet counted are like Fairfax, like big Dem counties. 0.61

02:35:00.740 Just, no, they're not.

02:35:01.660 That's what I'm saying.

02:35:02.440 Looking at the map, that's not what I said.

02:35:04.140 Okay, so election expert Andrew Klavan is uncalling Virginia.

02:35:07.000 No, no, no, I'm not.

02:35:07.500 I have said I'm not a poll reader.

02:35:08.800 I get it.

02:35:09.180 I'm just telling you what I'm looking at.

02:35:10.780 I will say that MSNBC is already starting to rip on the Electoral College. 1.00

02:35:15.740 So once they start yelling at the Electoral College, you know that things are not going amazingly well.

02:35:23.060 So over there, again, what we are saying is something that was noted earlier on, which is a shift in favor of Kamala Harris in the suburbs, but mildly huge turnout for President Trump.

02:35:34.000 Again, this is the magic of Trump.

02:35:35.440 Okay, the thing that Trump can do, that no other Republican candidate of my lifetime can do, is bring out low propensity voters.

02:35:40.460 The Mitt Romney plan in 2012 was bring out high propensity college white voters and get those people to vote in larger numbers for him than they voted for John McCain.

02:35:48.480 And Donald Trump's plan was to abandon all those people and go get the farmers to vote for him.

02:35:52.020 And as it turns out, that's actually his magic.

02:35:55.080 He's like that.

02:35:55.520 And the Democrats.

02:35:56.260 And by the way, and Hispanics.

02:35:57.640 Like, again, the Hispanics, we are watching a sea change, regardless of the final line in this election. 1.00

02:36:03.760 Some of the trend lines that you're seeing in this election are astonishing.

02:36:06.540 I mean, Donald Trump winning, let's say, 20% of the black vote in Wisconsin. 0.92

02:36:10.340 Crazy.

02:36:10.600 Or you say Donald Trump winning 45% of the Hispanic vote.

02:36:14.060 If the entire theory of Democratic politics since 2012 has been, we cobble together minorities and single white ladies, and that is our coalition, and then you break minority strangleholds, what are they left with?

02:36:26.620 I mean, as we move forward, they might be able to sneak one out, maybe, maybe eek one out.

02:36:30.780 But what does that be tied for the rest of their agenda?

02:36:34.960 And do we think that they swivel more to the center, or do they move further away?

02:36:38.300 By the way, Trump has just been announced as the winner of Iowa.

02:36:40.380 So sad news for the Ancel, sir.

02:36:42.840 Oh, no, no, no.

02:36:44.320 What's the gap?

02:36:46.680 I don't have a gap yet.

02:36:48.180 There's only a couple percent of votes.

02:36:50.280 I called it a 10%, but like, we'll see.

02:36:52.520 Donald Trump winning Iowa may be the political shocker of the 2024 election.

02:36:58.400 The poll, that outlier poll that said Kamala was going to win Iowa, it did spook me.

02:37:03.100 I don't know, I've been...

02:37:04.120 It was designed to spook me.

02:37:05.100 That was the whole point of it, and it succeeded.

02:37:07.080 And people kept saying it was a respected poll, but in fact, this has not been that accurate at presidential elections.

02:37:11.260 Meanwhile, Donald Trump is in the New York Times needle.

02:37:17.380 The needle.

02:37:18.220 The magic needle.

02:37:19.360 Come on, needle! 1.00

02:37:20.340 He is slightly favored in Wisconsin at this point as well.

02:37:24.600 So it's possible that my original map was right, except for New Hampshire.

02:37:28.140 So I'm still rooting for my original map, but now that I've lost New Hampshire.

02:37:31.420 If he breaks Wisconsin off from Michigan and Pennsylvania, that is a path to the White House as well.

02:37:37.380 Then he's in the White House.

02:37:38.360 By the way, the Florida-Puerto Rican vote, again, just to point out that the media narrative is not real.

02:37:42.980 The Florida-Puerto Rican vote, Harris won the demographic 52-43 per the exits.

02:37:47.360 52-43 among Puerto Ricans in Florida.

02:37:49.960 Biden won that group 69-31.

02:37:52.200 So it went from Dem plus 38 to Dem plus 9.

02:37:54.400 They thought it was a funny joke.

02:37:57.180 And now we're joined by... 1.00

02:37:58.560 You're sick of the garbage. 0.99

02:37:59.040 Now we're joined by the host of Dr. Phil, Dr. Phil himself. 0.99

02:38:03.120 Thanks for being with us.

02:38:04.720 Hey, good to see you guys.

02:38:07.180 Things are getting pretty interesting, I understand.

02:38:10.120 How's it looking to you guys over there?

02:38:12.880 You know, I'm moving steadily from cautiously optimistic to openly optimistic, and it's an uncomfortable feeling for me, to be honest with you.

02:38:19.840 You can see him squirming.

02:38:21.980 How are you feeling about things?

02:38:24.280 Well, same way.

02:38:26.020 I heard somebody earlier say they were nauseously optimistic, so...

02:38:29.820 You know, Dr. Phil, I have to ask.

02:38:33.580 You know, I was at the MSG rally when none of us were expecting you to be there.

02:38:38.700 There was, whatever, you know, eight hours worth of speeches.

02:38:41.760 And when you came out, I think it genuinely shocked the crowd.

02:38:44.880 Not because we thought that you were a big leftist or something like that,

02:38:49.440 but that it entailed so much risk for you to come out at this point.

02:38:53.300 You've been a huge figure in media for so many years.

02:38:56.540 What pushed you over the edge?

02:38:59.760 Well, you know, I wanted to do something that woke people up,

02:39:05.280 because I think this has been such a divisive campaign.

02:39:09.960 And, you know, when I came out, I said, look, I'm not here to endorse, just to endorse Donald Trump.

02:39:15.680 I don't like everything he says.

02:39:17.840 I don't like everything that he does.

02:39:21.060 And I'm honest about that.

02:39:22.920 I'm honest about that with him.

02:39:25.240 But I don't like bullies.

02:39:27.560 And I don't like the way people that vote for Donald Trump are being ostracized,

02:39:33.080 canceled on the Internet, attacked, and all of that.

02:39:36.900 And I said, that's bullying. 0.97

02:39:38.960 And people can say, well, Donald Trump's a bully. 0.83

02:39:42.520 Well, you know, you've got to have an imbalance of power to be a bully. 0.67

02:39:47.540 Otherwise, you're just in a fight or an argument.

02:39:50.280 And I said, there's a big difference.

02:39:53.480 And I wanted people to understand, we've got to start having some civility to what's going on here.

02:40:00.620 And I made it real clear.

02:40:01.760 Whoever is elected president, we have to get behind.

02:40:05.760 It's a bad look internationally if we don't support our president.

02:40:08.700 And I won't like it if it doesn't go the way I want it to go.

02:40:13.560 But that will be our president.

02:40:15.560 And I won't like everything that either of the candidates says or does.

02:40:19.840 But I'll support America's president.

02:40:22.260 And I said, one of the most important days in my life was 9-12-01.

02:40:27.960 Not 9-11, but 9-12, because the morning after 9-11, we woke up and we were all Americans.

02:40:35.600 And I hope that doesn't, we don't have to have a big catastrophe for us to have that feeling again.

02:40:41.540 And Dr. Phil, one question for you is, obviously, you really believe in individualism.

02:40:47.120 That's something that ranks very high on your list.

02:40:49.420 Many of the stats that are coming in right now show that we are watching a major political realignment in real time on a racial basis.

02:40:56.400 That this sort of stranglehold idea that the Democrats were going to win enormous, overwhelming sums of minority voters across the spectrum.

02:41:03.420 That's just not true.

02:41:04.360 The biggest stat of the night so far is Trump winning maybe 45 percent of the Hispanic vote and up to 25 percent of the black male vote,

02:41:10.760 according to Kirsten Solstice-Anderson, my friend, the pollster over at Echelon Insights.

02:41:15.920 She's done some exit polling suggesting that black men, 23 percent, are going to vote for President Trump nationally, which is an unheard of number.

02:41:22.260 What do you make of this sort of political realignment?

02:41:25.200 Well, I think you're saying it exactly right, Ben.

02:41:27.680 I think it is a political realignment because people are saying, look, I'm tired of people telling me,

02:41:33.080 that because I'm part of a demographically defined group, that I can't think for myself.

02:41:39.420 And you've heard me talk very loud and long about the fact that we have to teach critical thinking in this country again.

02:41:45.860 We've got to inspire people to be critical thinkers.

02:41:48.820 That's why I've spoken out so much about these ridiculous campus protest groups that are demonstrating on behalf of Hamas. 0.98

02:41:58.440 These are terrorist groups. 0.90

02:42:00.780 And we're not teaching young people to be critical thinkers anymore.

02:42:04.460 And we've got this half of America that are truly identity politics.

02:42:09.640 People are smart enough to think for themselves.

02:42:12.800 And we're seeing it now where people are rebelling against this expectation that because I'm black or because I'm female or because I'm a certain age,

02:42:21.880 that I have to vote with that block.

02:42:24.200 That's not true.

02:42:24.940 People can think for themselves.

02:42:26.220 Well, the Democrats are also, I suppose, running afoul of their own intersectional claims. 0.91

02:42:31.680 It's like there are black men. 0.98

02:42:35.100 And it isn't obvious that men are doing that well on the Democrat side.

02:42:39.660 And that's because the Democrats don't really seem to like men.

02:42:42.360 And so maybe it's like, well, they've done everything they could, you might say, from an ideological perspective to attack,

02:42:49.640 to attract the black vote, but they've abandoned the male vote.

02:42:54.200 And maybe the black men are men first and black second from the intersectional perspective, 0.55

02:42:59.300 or at least 23% of them seem to be considering that.

02:43:02.720 Well, it's an interesting prospect because gender is actually real. 1.00

02:43:06.100 And while race isn't not real, it's not fixed.

02:43:10.480 So we're told that gender is fluid, but it's actually race that over time is fluid.

02:43:19.240 Men are men.

02:43:20.580 Barack Obama is going to be very disappointed in black men because we know that he... 0.97

02:43:24.560 No, no, no.

02:43:25.060 The brothers.

02:43:26.000 The brothers.

02:43:26.620 There's naughty brothers.

02:43:28.100 Men, Democrats don't understand this.

02:43:30.600 Like, there's nothing men hate more than being nagged. 0.98

02:43:34.080 And Barack Obama is literally wagging his finger in the faces of black men saying,

02:43:38.840 you need to get out there and vote.

02:43:40.100 That, if you want to speak to men and motivate men, that's the very last way to do it.

02:43:43.700 No, no, no.

02:43:43.980 You have to send Michelle to do that.

02:43:45.420 She then did, right? 0.98

02:43:46.400 She got up there and lectured black men about how they were irresponsible and terrible, 0.97

02:43:49.620 which, of course, is definitely what they want to hear from Michelle Obama. 0.95

02:43:52.900 By the way, CNN is now reporting that Harris has some warning signs in Michigan.

02:43:56.280 She's underperforming Joe Biden in a place like Washtenaw County, which is a very heavily

02:44:00.220 Democratic area.

02:44:01.300 So, obviously, as goes Michigan, so goes the country.

02:44:05.060 It's possible, again, fingers crossed.

02:44:08.100 You know what's strange about the polling, though?

02:44:09.760 What's very odd in terms of black voters is that Kamala Harris came out and she said

02:44:14.280 that the brothers were supporting her because she had recently been in the barbershop.

02:44:19.560 And she made this claim about a week ago.

02:44:21.700 I did not have the resources to fact check it,

02:44:24.380 though my gut instinct tells me Kamala Harris has never once in her entire life been in

02:44:28.560 the barbershop.

02:44:29.360 And it would seem that the hard numbers we're getting here suggest the brothers breaking,

02:44:33.940 at least in a significant way, for President Trump.

02:44:36.180 By the way, New York Times needle in Iowa, estimated margin, Trump up nine in Iowa.

02:44:41.060 Remember that time when he was supposed to lose by three?

02:44:42.880 That is an 11 to 12 point miss by Ann Seltzer in Iowa.

02:44:46.620 And remember, that was being used as a bellwether to determine whether there was going to be

02:44:50.220 extra turnout for her in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

02:44:53.300 So if he's winning Iowa, Emerson, right, had Iowa at plus nine.

02:44:57.400 Emerson also had Donald Trump winning all three of those Rust Belt states.

02:45:00.860 Let me jump in here and let me jump in here and get you a couple of calls from our desk

02:45:05.400 here, because, Chris, you've got a couple of calls for us here.

02:45:08.420 Thank you, Dr. Phil.

02:45:09.200 Merritt TV now calling the state of Missouri and its 10 electoral votes for Donald Trump.

02:45:14.240 You see that on your screen here.

02:45:15.540 That's with 20 percent of the precinct reporting.

02:45:17.300 And also Delaware and its three electoral college votes for Kamala Harris. 0.89

02:45:22.600 And you see those numbers right there.

02:45:24.380 Dr. Phil, I should also point out that North Carolina, we're getting really close to closing

02:45:28.360 that one out.

02:45:29.060 That one's leaning towards Trump at last report.

02:45:31.620 We're getting really close to closing out Colorado.

02:45:33.820 And at the top of the hour, which is now just one minute away, polls will be closing in Montana,

02:45:39.080 Idaho, Nevada, most of, I'm sorry, most of Idaho, Utah, and Nevada.

02:45:44.640 Yeah, that's great.

02:45:46.420 And, you know, guys, if, Ben, if we close out North Carolina for Trump soon, that can

02:45:54.980 be a real building block in the March to 270.

02:45:58.160 You've called North Carolina?

02:45:58.820 Yeah, we've called it right.

02:45:59.560 North Carolina's been called.

02:46:00.580 So as far as we're concerned, we're not talking about North Carolina anymore.

02:46:03.340 It's over.

02:46:04.140 North Carolina's done.

02:46:05.580 But yeah, basically, practically speaking, you take North Carolina off the table for Kamala

02:46:10.840 Harris, and she has one path and one path only. 0.99

02:46:12.780 That's the Rust Belt state.

02:46:13.640 She has to win all three of them.

02:46:15.320 And right now, she wins all three, but loses Virginia.

02:46:17.560 Well, I mean, well, right now, there are some more CNN exit poll numbers, again, with

02:46:24.440 the giant grain of salt.

02:46:26.300 This is the bimarital status.

02:46:27.980 Kamala Harris is losing married voters 55 to 44. 0.75

02:46:31.340 She's winning non-married voters by 55 to 41, which is actually shockingly not horrific.

02:46:37.400 Yeah, you would have thought that was like a 25, 30 point gap, by the way they were pushing

02:46:40.320 this.

02:46:40.520 Meanwhile, the gender gap definitely exists, but it is heavier, according to CNN, for males

02:46:45.240 than it is for females. 0.79

02:46:46.180 54 to 43 for Trump among males.

02:46:48.580 It is 54 to 44 among females for Kamala Harris.

02:46:52.120 So again, this is going to be, if Trump wins, it's because men showed up to vote.

02:46:56.800 That's really what this is about.

02:46:57.760 Men actually showing up to vote.

02:46:59.060 So the kind of going theory of the Democratic Party is that women are high propensity voters. 1.00

02:47:03.280 Men are low propensity voters. 0.88

02:47:04.440 They've constituted the majority.

02:47:06.080 Women have constituted the majority of people who vote in the last several election cycles.

02:47:10.300 Men showing up en masse to vote is a complete shift in the way that elections are doing. 0.81

02:47:14.540 Can I just say, by the way, that we tend, when we talk about this, to sound like we're

02:47:18.120 being very hard on women.

02:47:19.580 I'm actually, I believe that it's a man's responsibility.

02:47:22.600 I love women. 1.00

02:47:22.960 Are you kidding?

02:47:23.440 No, it's a man's responsibility to do things like vote. 0.56

02:47:27.180 And we happen to live in this time where men have essentially given up so many of their

02:47:32.560 responsibilities.

02:47:33.580 And in part because they feel disenfranchised, although that's hardly an excuse.

02:47:37.620 You know, men have given up their leadership role in the church, which is one of the reasons

02:47:41.160 that you see the church in America no longer taking the stands for tradition and decency

02:47:46.200 in the way that it historically has.

02:47:47.760 They've given up their responsibility in the household, which is something that the Kamala 1.00

02:47:51.300 Harris, at least PACs aligned with Kamala Harris, have been trying to openly exploit with 1.00

02:47:56.360 their, hey, ladies, just don't tell your loser, idiot, husband who you vote for. 1.00

02:48:00.360 And they've certainly given up their responsibility, their civic responsibilities. 1.00

02:48:04.660 You know, you don't.

02:48:05.720 It used to be that one of the backbones of the country was men engaging in civic social

02:48:11.040 groups.

02:48:11.620 Yes, which have largely collapsed.

02:48:13.380 There's an update coming out of the RNC right now.

02:48:16.380 Michael Watley, chairman of the RNC, says there were potential shenanigans in Pennsylvania

02:48:21.360 and the Republicans have just scored a legal victory.

02:48:24.320 According to Mr. Chairman Watley, Center County officials were planning to stop counting ballots

02:48:30.160 throughout the night in violation of state law.

02:48:32.860 We, the RNC, threatened to sue.

02:48:34.740 That was enough.

02:48:35.480 Officials have agreed to continue the count as required.

02:48:38.260 Our attorneys will continue fighting to quickly eliminate issues at the polls as they arrive.

02:48:42.920 This is what you want to hear.

02:48:44.400 Speaking of Pennsylvania, our friend Ryan Gerdusky, formerly of CNN, he says that Lackawanna,

02:48:51.000 Pennsylvania, which is the first county in Pennsylvania that is near to completion, that

02:48:55.220 has shifted from a Biden plus 8.4 to a Harris plus 3.

02:48:59.640 That is a 5.4 percentage shift toward President Trump.

02:49:03.800 Again, the trend lines, you hate to read trend lines, but I'm becoming, you know,

02:49:09.780 nauseously optimistic, as Dr. Phil suggests.

02:49:13.220 Yeah, that's not a bad place to be.

02:49:16.160 And guys, I'm going to have to wrap out of here to talk to somebody.

02:49:19.120 But before I do, Matt Walsh, I just have to congratulate you on your movie,

02:49:24.620 Am I a Racist?

02:49:25.840 It's a comedy to DEI for what an absolute masterpiece.

02:49:30.800 Congratulations on what a success with that movie.

02:49:37.280 So thank you for that work and congratulations on the success.

02:49:41.400 Amen.

02:49:42.020 Thank you so much.

02:49:42.740 And we are, in fact, paying all of our guests to say that.

02:49:46.200 If you're wondering.

02:49:46.940 Well, I expect my $8 by the end of the night.

02:49:53.080 Dr. Phil, thanks for making time for us on this important night.

02:49:56.780 Well, thank you guys.

02:49:57.900 We'll be in touch.

02:49:58.820 Thanks so much.

02:49:59.740 Quick point to make on Texas.

02:50:01.540 You know, we can take it lightly that Senator Cruz won his third term in Texas.

02:50:05.960 Democrats dumped $80 million into that race.

02:50:08.360 And so the fact that they keep pouring money down rat holes in non-competitive states

02:50:12.100 because they get a little bit over their skis is quite a good thing

02:50:15.060 because all those dollars could have gone to Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

02:50:18.060 So the fact that they decided to spend it there instead is a good thing.

02:50:21.580 The New York Times needle continues to steadily, slowly creep toward the right,

02:50:26.600 meaning more toward President Trump.

02:50:28.840 And it's entertaining to watch.

02:50:30.960 And, you know, we're going to have to at some point split screen what they're doing over at MSNBC

02:50:34.220 and just find out how they're dealing with the emerging evening.

02:50:38.380 You know, the New York Times headline right now is Trump wins Florida and Texas.

02:50:41.340 Other big prizes still out.

02:50:42.580 So they're not saying anything about North Carolina yet, although, again, very likely that it's going to win.

02:50:47.800 Moreno is up right now in the vote in Ohio by about five percentage points in Ohio.

02:50:53.260 The C.A.P. here?

02:50:54.180 What is that?

02:50:54.660 What are you reading?

02:50:55.280 I'm looking at the New York Times right now.

02:50:57.000 In Pennsylvania, Bob Casey is up by two, but only 43 percent of the vote in.

02:51:01.260 So that is certainly not as positive.

02:51:03.180 Tammy Baldwin up by 1.1, only 37 percent of the vote in.

02:51:06.200 Again, we're in the real early hours here.

02:51:08.140 And, guys, I have a feeling we may be in for a bit of a long night here, the sort of hopes that just because they move so damn slowly in these Rust Belt states.

02:51:18.140 Sean Trend, excellent poll analyst over at RealClearPolitik, says if Trump wins, which looks increasingly likely with every minute,

02:51:23.820 it's going to be with the most racially diverse Republican coalition in a very, very long time.

02:51:28.040 When you mention we might be here for a long night, at least you're not saying we might be here for a long five nights.

02:51:33.120 Because if, let's say, Wisconsin goes the way that it's looking, even though it's early, then we know tonight.

02:51:39.040 I spoke with Senator Marsha Blackburn earlier on my show today.

02:51:42.080 And Senator Blackburn, I said, are we going to be doing weeks of this?

02:51:45.280 She said, Michael, my prediction is by midnight tonight you're going to get to 270.

02:51:49.180 That's what I said.

02:51:49.740 And I was skeptical at the time, but it is increasingly looking like we very much could know the next president tonight.

02:51:58.000 Well, the good news is that Joy Reid is saying that Florida has an extreme right-wing fascist government.

02:52:02.340 She's well-calibrated as always, Joy Reid.

02:52:05.960 Aptly named Joy.

02:52:07.500 The amount of joy in the Democratic Party these days is truly off the charts.

02:52:13.000 You've got the whoopee, you've got the joy.

02:52:14.840 Yeah, it's really quite wonderful.

02:52:16.640 I want to circle back to this idea, though, that we had to sue them to force them to keep doing their legal job.

02:52:24.160 Well, threaten to sue them.

02:52:24.920 Threaten to sue them in order to get them to live up to their legal obligation to continue counting tonight.

02:52:29.500 They don't care about the appearance of impropriety.

02:52:32.720 No.

02:52:33.340 Okay, they certainly don't.

02:52:34.880 And I think, again, this goes to a deeper point here.

02:52:36.960 So if President Trump does pull it off, obviously it's the greatest story probably in the history of American electoral politics.

02:52:42.460 Because the first time was fluky and weird, and that was an amazing story.

02:52:45.180 Him coming all the way back to win again.

02:52:47.620 Only Grover Cleveland, the famed.

02:52:50.660 And by the way, they didn't try to throw Grover Cleveland into prison four times.

02:52:54.960 Right, 100%.

02:52:56.500 But I think that we may be in danger of overlooking the actual big story in the magic of President Trump. 0.99

02:53:03.000 And that is how just unbelievably much the Democrats suck. 1.00

02:53:07.620 Truly how much they suck. 1.00

02:53:08.660 I mean, like, the fact that they don't go back to the drawing board. 0.99

02:53:12.000 They have Donald Trump, who they think of as the richest environment.

02:53:15.900 Like, he's a target rich environment.

02:53:17.240 They wanted him to be the candidate.

02:53:18.080 They wanted him.

02:53:18.700 They desperately wanted him.

02:53:19.540 They didn't want Haley.

02:53:20.280 They didn't want DeSantis.

02:53:20.980 They wanted Trump. 0.90

02:53:21.980 And they got, again, they are just the monkey's paw.

02:53:24.920 Every time they wish on the monkey's paw, it comes through in the worst possible way for them if he ends up. 0.78

02:53:29.140 But I think that we ought to focus for just a minute on how much they suck because we're focusing a lot on the president, really, like, as their program, how bad it is, how much of this is not a reaction about how wonderful Trump is as much as it is just a reaction to how terrible they've been. 1.00

02:53:43.260 Joe Biden was a shit president. 1.00

02:53:45.180 Sorry to put it that way. 1.00

02:53:46.160 He was a terrible president. 0.76

02:53:47.820 Kamala Harris was a terrible vice president. 1.00

02:53:50.280 So, again, like, I think that half the story needs to be that because what I would love is for the Democratic Party to self-correct.

02:53:57.020 It would be better for the country if the Democratic Party, instead of attributing it to the magic powers of President Trump, self-corrected and said, you know what, guys, we've lost the thread here and we need to start reentering the realm of reason.

02:54:07.300 It's pretty simple.

02:54:08.100 If Kamala loses and if she's losing a huge portion of the black vote and all these things are happening, it's because the Democrats haven't done anything to make people's lives better.

02:54:19.320 And that's the basic thing you're supposed to be doing.

02:54:22.500 And Trump understands that.

02:54:23.960 It's the basic pitch is I'm going to make your life better.

02:54:26.880 Here's how.

02:54:27.820 And the Democrat pitch is always just resentment and victimization.

02:54:32.140 And it's that emotional kind of pitch.

02:54:34.100 The question is who would lead the Democratic self-examination?

02:54:44.200 The New York Times, the L.A. Times, the Washington Post, Harvard University, CBS.

02:54:51.160 That's the problem.

02:54:52.280 Well, see, I think there is a thing that could be done, and it's the top levels of the Democratic Party.

02:54:57.920 So what they showed in ousting Joe Biden, we all called it a coup because it kind of was, but it kind of wasn't, meaning that's how a functional party works.

02:55:03.420 They didn't like their nominee.

02:55:04.680 The upper echelons of the party ousted their man, and then they put somebody else in because that's the upper echelons of their party.

02:55:09.640 The job of a party is to win elections.

02:55:11.160 If you keep losing elections to Donald Trump, perhaps the upper echelons of the party might want to take another look at how things are going.

02:55:17.720 By the way, here's an interesting exit poll out of New York.

02:55:20.100 So there have been some exit polls on the Jewish vote.

02:55:22.300 Obviously, I have a bit of a dog in this particular fight. 0.79

02:55:24.740 The current exit polls out of the state of New York have Donald Trump winning 43 percent of the Jewish vote in the state of New York.

02:55:29.760 That is by far the most populous Jewish state in the country.

02:55:34.180 I'm disappointed in the Jews who voted for Kamala Harris.

02:55:37.580 But then again, I predicted that Trump's ceiling with the Jewish vote, just because so few Jews actually care about Judaism or Israel, was going to be about 40 percent anyway. 0.60

02:55:46.300 So if Trump approximates anywhere in that neighborhood, that's a huge shift, considering that usually the Jews go like 70 percent for the Democrats in any possible election. 0.75

02:55:55.340 The New York Times, by the way, has now moved its needle, estimating that President Trump is likely to actually win the popular vote.

02:56:01.540 Again, if he wins the popular vote and the Electoral College, if he wins the popular vote and the Electoral College, that's the first time a Republican has won both the popular vote and the Electoral College since 2004.

02:56:12.820 It has been 20 years.

02:56:14.800 And at that point, panic has got to be setting in for the Democratic Party, especially because they can't even claim this is a low turnout election.

02:56:21.080 This is an extraordinarily high turnout election.

02:56:22.520 The highest turnout election ever.

02:56:23.360 Highest turnout election ever is what this is going to end up being.

02:56:26.040 And, you know, you have to remember, the Democrat Party is governed by its minority.

02:56:30.240 The radicals in the Democrat Party are the minority.

02:56:32.860 They are not the most number of people or the most number of politicians.

02:56:35.460 But now the Democrat minorities are becoming Republicans, which is even better. 0.99

02:56:39.660 The estimated Trump margin of victory for the New York Times right now, they're suggesting Trump plus 1.8 in Pennsylvania right now.

02:56:48.220 49 percent of the vote counted.

02:56:50.000 By the way, are they, if you know, are they having AI analyze this?

02:56:55.960 That's a good question.

02:56:56.440 I have no clue.

02:56:57.560 I have no clue how they're doing any of this stuff.

02:56:58.500 Very curious.

02:56:59.080 I'll bet they are.

02:57:00.640 And if they are, it actually adds a little more credibility in my opinion.

02:57:05.300 I'm sorry to say.

02:57:06.740 President Trump has won Montana, by the way.

02:57:08.500 So that, I knew you were waiting on that.

02:57:10.060 I knew you were waiting.

02:57:10.860 Well, we're waiting on the Senate race in Montana.

02:57:14.240 Well, that one's done.

02:57:15.740 He's going to, he's going to cross. 0.99

02:57:17.000 She's got it.

02:57:18.320 Can we throw up the current electoral map?

02:57:20.580 Because I think this is actually worth taking a moment and seeing exactly where we stand right now.

02:57:28.860 Look at that.

02:57:30.620 There's nothing here that's particularly surprising.

02:57:34.400 But that is actually a very good thing.

02:57:36.960 Lots of states are starting to get called.

02:57:38.700 They're not going in directions that we, they're not defying wildly what our expectations were.

02:57:43.600 This race was always most likely to come down to what happens in the Rust Belt.

02:57:49.740 And it looks like that's exactly what's going to happen.

02:57:52.420 The betting markets for the moment have President Trump a heavy, heavy favorite.

02:57:55.600 So, you know, Polymarket has President Trump at like an 80 percent favorite.

02:58:00.240 But, again, the numbers continue to move in President Trump's direction.

02:58:03.760 If the theory of the Democrats was that high turnout favors the Democrats, they were totally, totally wrong.

02:58:09.760 Yeah, because it was interesting what his name Brent was saying before, the pollster was saying before,

02:58:15.600 that they were right up to a point and then not right.

02:58:18.140 They were right if it went higher than 2016.

02:58:20.740 And then if it went higher than 2020, it was unknown territory.

02:58:22.880 And it's guys, I guess, showing up.

02:58:24.380 You know, a friend of mine, a very good financial professional, a very good investor,

02:58:29.120 was pointing out to me last week that he was feeling increasingly good about Trump's chances.

02:58:34.760 Not because of the polls.

02:58:36.420 You know, the polls were all over the place.

02:58:38.120 And you had that crazy Iowa poll that worried us all so much.

02:58:40.840 Not even because of Polymarket or any of the betting markets.

02:58:45.140 But because financial markets seemed to be pricing in a Trump victory.

02:58:49.840 And not only were the rich people putting their money there, but the rich people were putting op-eds in the Washington Post,

02:58:55.660 like Jeff Bezos' op-ed, decision not to endorse.

02:58:58.120 That it seemed as though institutional financial interests, with a lot of information, much more information than any of us,

02:59:05.060 seemed to see a good chance of a Trump victory.

02:59:08.300 Well, listen, the minute that Jim Cramer said that it was likely that Harris was going to win, it was over.

02:59:12.120 Guaranteed.

02:59:12.520 Right, we knew that it would have dumped all our money.

02:59:13.940 At that point, you just throw your money into the market against Jim Cramer because no one has ever gone broke betting against Jim Cramer.

02:59:19.980 It was the most obvious pick in the entire world.

02:59:22.640 So, again, as these results continue to flow in, it's exactly what you probably would have thought at this point in time.

02:59:29.640 The Democrats had put a hell of a lot of faith in North Carolina, in possibly flipping Georgia.

02:59:35.040 Remember, she's already doing worse than Biden.

02:59:36.480 It's just a question of how much worse she does than Biden.

02:59:38.400 Remember, Biden won Georgia.

02:59:40.020 He won Arizona.

02:59:41.440 He won a bunch of states that Trump had won in 2016.

02:59:46.620 Those states are gradually coming off the table for Kamala Harris at this point.

02:59:51.440 An interesting thought experiment is, would the Democrats be doing better now if they had just kept Biden?

02:59:57.220 This is a great question.

02:59:58.100 It's a serious question, really, because where she is picking up votes is in the suburbs.

03:00:02.480 But where she's lagging is with males. 0.97

03:00:05.080 And it turns out, like, I thought an early indicator in this election that she had a massive problem on her hands was the Teamsters Union.

03:00:10.700 So, I don't remember if you remember this.

03:00:11.700 They did a poll of the Teamsters Union members when it was Trump versus Biden.

03:00:16.140 And Biden was leading Trump something like 47 to 35 or something.

03:00:19.400 And then they did another poll after they flipped out Biden in favor of Kamala Harris.

03:00:23.760 And suddenly, Trump was beating the living hell out of Kamala Harris, beating her like 60 to 40 among the Teamsters.

03:00:29.280 Why? Because guess what? Every Teamster is a dude.

03:00:32.100 And it turns out that it's not just – it's not they don't want a woman president.

03:00:35.580 They don't want this woman president who seems to scorn men. 1.00

03:00:38.020 This entire campaign has been about how much they hate men.

03:00:40.660 I hate to break it to everybody, but if you watch anything about this campaign, it is not just about an appeal to single women.

03:00:45.860 It's about how much they despise men.

03:00:47.520 When they trot out Doug Emhoff and say this guy is an example of masculinity, while he's allegedly beating women and knocking up the nanny. 0.99

03:00:53.840 And then meanwhile, they're suggesting that you're garbage if you're voting for Donald Trump. 0.96

03:00:57.400 Or when they trot out Tim Walls as an example of masculinity, the assistant football coach who can't even properly use football terminology and who can't even control his limbs, breaks into uncontrollable spasms every so often. 0.98

03:01:09.740 And his obnoxious wife, turn the page, turn the – like, could you have found a more obnoxious group of human beings to set upon the United States? 1.00

03:01:19.360 Joe Biden is many things. 0.99

03:01:20.880 Senile, horrible at his job, obnoxious. 0.93

03:01:24.060 He's actually less obnoxious now that he's senile than he was before he was senile, and he's certainly less obnoxious than this crew. 0.87

03:01:29.100 Yeah, I think Biden probably would be doing better for all the reasons you point out, which means that –

03:01:33.960 Oh, it's going to be so fun, dude.

03:01:35.040 Maybe one of the – maybe the most disastrous political strategic decision made in modern times was for Biden to challenge Trump to a debate before the convention.

03:01:48.540 Especially because if he hadn't done that, then he's still in there.

03:01:50.500 Yes, but was it Biden who challenged Trump or was it the Democrat apparatus?

03:01:55.060 Yeah, I think we better find out or let people know what we already know.

03:01:59.000 What's so disturbing to me about this issue of men is the closing pitch that you saw the Democrats make to young men, which was essentially, here's your weed and your porn, go have your little pleasure palette.

03:02:10.520 Yes, 100%.

03:02:11.220 And if that had worked, that would have been the most demoralizing thing, I think, for the future of the next generation.

03:02:17.780 And part of what I am actually pretty optimistic about is that young men seem to really reject that cynical play for their vote.

03:02:27.420 I mean, this is the first generation of young men that we have seen that are more religious than young women.

03:02:32.960 It's the first that we've seen that are more pro-life than boomer men, than Gen X men.

03:02:39.040 So that alone gives me a lot of hope.

03:02:41.420 Also, men don't want to be told that their chief priorities are porn and pot. 0.98

03:02:48.820 Even if they're potheads and they look at porn every day, they're probably at some level ashamed of that fact.

03:02:54.460 They don't want that to be their identity.

03:02:56.220 And, you know, even just generationally, there's only so long people can live without meaning.

03:02:59.580 You know, they have really sold us a life without meaning.

03:03:03.480 Our bodies don't mean anything.

03:03:05.080 How can you even say that to someone?

03:03:06.520 Your body has no valence as a spiritual entity.

03:03:10.820 You were born a man, but you have no manly responsibilities.

03:03:13.640 You're born a woman, but you have no womanly role. 1.00

03:03:15.540 I mean, who can live like that?

03:03:17.580 You're born a woman, and you may not be one. 1.00

03:03:21.420 It's God's mistake.

03:03:23.320 They've done something that's truly amazing with single women, 0.98

03:03:26.600 which is that they've, in order to overcome that spiritual emptiness,

03:03:29.840 they've actually treated abortion as a sacrament.

03:03:31.960 Yes.

03:03:32.140 Right?

03:03:32.440 It's not like pornography.

03:03:34.120 So for young men, it's deeply insulting.

03:03:36.380 Because no one thinks pornography is a sacrament.

03:03:38.720 They just know that it's a vice.

03:03:39.680 Everyone knows it's a vice.

03:03:40.560 You like it, you don't like it, it's a vice.

03:03:41.820 Everyone knows it's a vice.

03:03:42.800 Prank of repentance is not a vice. 0.96

03:03:43.680 It's silly. 0.73

03:03:44.280 Everyone knows it. 0.62

03:03:44.900 Men feel, like, clear.

03:03:46.700 Abortion also is a vice.

03:03:48.140 But it's been treated as a sacrament.

03:03:49.540 Why?

03:03:49.780 Because what it is is a sacrifice you make on behalf of your own individuality.

03:03:53.240 There you go.

03:03:53.640 That's the thing that they've sold to a bunch of young women. 0.95

03:03:56.040 I think it's a horrifying, I think it's a terrible sales point for every possible reason.

03:04:01.840 But it's a sales point.

03:04:03.060 It is not true for young men.

03:04:04.320 If you run a commercial to young men, and you suggest that, you know,

03:04:08.040 young men are going to be stopped from masturbating to pornography,

03:04:10.880 which is, they ran a literal commercial along these lines. 0.96

03:04:13.160 Yes.

03:04:13.540 That if there will be a Republican legislator who takes away your phone and stops you,

03:04:18.440 I feel like 80% of the public might be on the side of the guy taking away your phone and stopping you.

03:04:22.920 Especially the men. 0.97

03:04:24.200 The men who are addicted to porn. 0.95

03:04:25.380 They would say, thank you.

03:04:26.500 All right, thanks, actually.

03:04:27.300 I'm glad I can't control myself.

03:04:28.520 And that's not even a case for making things illegal.

03:04:30.560 That's just a case for what people think of the activity.

03:04:33.280 How they view it, yes.

03:04:33.800 Nobody thinks the activity is like an affirmative good.

03:04:35.660 Like, it's a wonderful, wonderful thing.

03:04:37.300 And so for Democrats to paint that as like the essence of the human experience for males,

03:04:40.900 we'll deprive you of the meaning of being a husband.

03:04:44.080 We'll deprive you of the meaning of being a father.

03:04:45.520 We'll deprive you of the meaning of being a provider.

03:04:47.120 We'll deprive you of the meaning of being a defender of your home.

03:04:49.580 But you can really jack off a lot.

03:04:51.200 Like, that's the thing that we're training.

03:04:53.300 Who, like, what man in his heart feels like, what a great message.

03:04:57.680 You know, speaking of vice, though, the biggest surprise result so far for me tonight,

03:05:01.700 and I say this with special joy as an owner and founder of Mayflower Cigars,

03:05:07.120 which is now competing with the devil's lettuce in a lot of markets, that—

03:05:12.200 Not in Florida, where it's illegal.

03:05:14.140 That's right.

03:05:15.060 I thought they were going to vote to legalize the sin spinach throughout the state,

03:05:19.920 and they—I'm actually floored.

03:05:22.080 That's the only big surprise to me so far.

03:05:23.980 Well, because the voters there can look at where it's been—like I said before,

03:05:27.780 it's about making your life better.

03:05:29.120 You can look at where it's been legalized, marijuana, or decriminalized all across the country.

03:05:33.600 It has demonstrably made those communities worse.

03:05:36.560 Yes.

03:05:37.100 Anyone who's done any traveling can see this.

03:05:39.520 You can smell it.

03:05:40.440 And I say this as someone who—I admit that I was in favor of weed legalization only, like,

03:05:45.800 two or three years ago because—and I bought a lot of the arguments that,

03:05:49.640 well, it's not much worse than alcohol.

03:05:51.220 I don't particularly like it, but it doesn't—

03:05:53.180 But then they do it, and you go around to these communities,

03:05:55.720 and they're just completely consumed by this stuff.

03:05:57.840 It has obviously made everyone's life worse, especially the people who actually do it.

03:06:02.400 There's something else that's happening in Florida, too,

03:06:04.020 which is the Republicans who move there are saying no.

03:06:06.500 You're not opening our—you try to get your foot in the door, we will cut off your foot. 0.94

03:06:10.500 Like, no.

03:06:10.920 The answer is no.

03:06:11.700 This is so new.

03:06:13.500 I want you to know, 40 years ago when I began radio,

03:06:16.840 I asked my audience, which has always been largely conservative,

03:06:20.360 would you rather catch your teenage child smoking a cigarette or a joint?

03:06:29.640 Everyone said joint.

03:06:31.360 I said cigarette.

03:06:33.880 And it was one of the only times where I knew 90% of my audience disagreed with me.

03:06:41.380 Yeah, yeah.

03:06:41.820 But, I mean, they still respected me and all that,

03:06:45.480 but they just thought I had lost my mind on that issue.

03:06:47.880 I was right then, and I am right today.

03:06:51.440 It is so awful, marijuana.

03:06:54.840 The damage that it does to the human spirit—

03:06:58.160 Cigarette does no damage to the human spirit.

03:07:00.920 One-third of cigarette smokers will die prematurely,

03:07:04.000 according to the American Lung Association.

03:07:05.640 That is sad, but I rather gamble on my child 40 years from now

03:07:12.300 being the one out of three to have lung cancer

03:07:15.600 than losing his spirit, his energy, his drive, his mind at 18.

03:07:21.980 Yeah.

03:07:22.520 And so here's the latest update.

03:07:24.200 So according to Nate Cohn, chief political analyst for the New York Times,

03:07:26.660 who does a really good job,

03:07:27.660 he says, still very early in Pennsylvania,

03:07:29.100 but in the first few counties where voting is complete,

03:07:31.040 along with hundreds of completed precincts across the state,

03:07:33.140 a state, Trump is running ever so slightly better

03:07:35.920 than he needs to win at this point in time.

03:07:39.140 Which state is this?

03:07:39.840 That's Pennsylvania.

03:07:40.740 That's in Pennsylvania.

03:07:42.500 Right now, the New York Times is estimating

03:07:45.220 in a variety of states that Trump is likely to win.

03:07:48.320 They're estimating that he's likely to win Wisconsin.

03:07:50.060 They're estimating that he's likely to win Michigan.

03:07:51.820 Their estimated margin of victory right now in Wisconsin

03:07:53.900 is 1.4 in favor of Trump.

03:07:55.360 That has been moving up steadily.

03:07:56.920 The estimated margin for victory,

03:07:58.220 the New York Times is currently estimating in Pennsylvania,

03:08:00.220 is Trump plus 1.9,

03:08:01.640 which is not an insignificant lead.

03:08:03.660 Wow.

03:08:04.480 Again, the numbers are moving in Trump's favor.

03:08:06.740 By the way-

03:08:07.200 It's too early to get super duper excited.

03:08:08.620 You'll see the big smile break out on my face

03:08:10.060 when we start to get really, really excited.

03:08:12.020 And then, of course, we have a moral obligation

03:08:13.600 to show our friends over on MSNBC

03:08:15.260 and revel in their misfortune.

03:08:17.540 But the-

03:08:19.100 What percentage of votes in Pennsylvania counted?

03:08:21.180 So right now, Pennsylvania has counted

03:08:23.660 approximately 54% of the vote in Wisconsin.

03:08:27.480 We're currently at 48% of the vote in Michigan.

03:08:29.680 We are currently at 21% of the vote.

03:08:31.640 And of the three states,

03:08:33.440 the New York Times is estimating the biggest lead

03:08:35.000 for Trump in Michigan at 2.1%.

03:08:37.460 So again, the numbers are-

03:08:39.440 The trends, still early.

03:08:42.000 It's only 9.22 central time.

03:08:44.760 By midnight, we're going to know a lot.

03:08:46.240 But you're seeing 2.1 for Trump in Michigan?

03:08:48.700 That is their estimate right now.

03:08:50.740 Wow.

03:08:51.060 For his estimated margin of victory, 2.1%.

03:08:53.680 What are you looking at?

03:08:55.280 No, I'm just-

03:08:55.960 I guess I'm looking at an outdated map.

03:08:57.780 Yeah, you need to reload it.

03:08:59.620 Meanwhile, they're putting Trump

03:09:01.800 right on the verge of lean R in Michigan.

03:09:04.740 They're right on the verge of lean R in Pennsylvania,

03:09:07.780 right on the verge of lean R in Wisconsin.

03:09:10.680 So if the numbers continue to come in

03:09:12.440 the way that they're coming in for President Trump,

03:09:13.880 he's going to be the President of the United States.

03:09:15.200 So here's one that I'm speculating on.

03:09:18.940 I love your input.

03:09:21.020 If he does win, what will they say is the reason?

03:09:26.360 So they're going to blame it on the American people.

03:09:28.200 They've run out of reasons.

03:09:29.160 So they know really, this is-

03:09:30.360 I agree with you.

03:09:30.820 What?

03:09:31.140 They will what?

03:09:31.780 They will blame it on the American people.

03:09:33.080 They will blame it on us.

03:09:33.700 Right now he's got the chance to win the popular vote.

03:09:36.380 Yes, right.

03:09:37.260 No, that's right.

03:09:37.960 You're exactly right.

03:09:38.700 So they've run out of things to blame

03:09:40.700 except for the American people.

03:09:41.840 So they tried social media in 2016 and it failed.

03:09:43.980 And they tried the Russians in 2016 and it failed.

03:09:46.380 And then in 2020, they said it was the revenge

03:09:48.460 of the American people.

03:09:49.240 The normies are back.

03:09:50.740 Okay.

03:09:51.040 Well, you know, we're going to cut here right here

03:09:52.340 to Senator Ted Cruz.

03:09:53.520 He's giving his victory speech.

03:09:55.000 I was campaigning with him two days ago,

03:09:56.180 so I feel a moral obligation to give Ted his moment in the sun.

03:09:59.180 Ted ran a great race here.

03:10:00.620 Pulled it out against Colin Oliver.

03:10:01.560 Let's go live to him.

03:10:04.220 But a mandate.

03:10:07.240 A mandate from the people of Texas.

03:10:10.100 And let me be crystal clear about what that mandate means.

03:10:16.300 First, we must secure the border.

03:10:20.920 Not with empty promises,

03:10:34.100 but with concrete and steel and law and order

03:10:37.920 and with the unshakable resolve

03:10:40.160 from knowing we are protecting those we love.

03:10:42.980 The cartels who poison our communities,

03:10:51.320 the traffickers who prey on the innocent,

03:10:54.800 their days are numbered.

03:11:01.980 Second, we must unleash Texas energy.

03:11:08.040 The answer to America's energy needs

03:11:14.900 isn't Venezuela's oil fields

03:11:17.200 or the Ayatollah in Iran.

03:11:22.500 But rather, it is right here in Texas,

03:11:26.040 in the Permian Basin,

03:11:27.320 and throughout the state of Texas.

03:11:29.380 We will drill.

03:11:37.520 We will frack.

03:11:40.760 We will produce and we will lead the entire world.

03:11:49.820 And we will never again let foreign dictators 1.00

03:11:53.540 hold American energy independence hostage.

03:11:56.920 Third, we must defend our God-given rights.

03:12:06.040 Not some of them, not most of them,

03:12:09.080 but all of them.

03:12:10.680 The right to speak truth in an age of enforced lies.

03:12:17.040 The right to worship the Lord God Almighty

03:12:20.500 with all of our heart, mind, and soul

03:12:23.300 without government getting in the way.

03:12:25.740 And the right to protect our families

03:12:32.120 without asking bureaucrats for permission.

03:12:38.120 But above all, this mandate means fighting.

03:12:42.420 All righty, folks, we are back.

03:12:43.680 That is Senator Ted Cruz,

03:12:44.780 who has won his race in Texas

03:12:46.140 for a third consecutive term.

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03:14:35.600 Wow.

03:14:37.200 Alrighty, folks.

03:14:38.020 So the latest is

03:14:39.040 President Trump in the New York Times

03:14:40.560 needling.

03:14:41.360 Lots of needling going on over there.

03:14:42.700 In the New York Times needle,

03:14:44.280 Donald Trump is favored

03:14:45.240 in Wisconsin,

03:14:46.040 in Michigan,

03:14:46.820 in Pennsylvania.

03:14:47.680 Yes, in Nevada as well.

03:14:49.500 Dave McCormick has also moved

03:14:50.700 into the lead

03:14:51.320 in Pennsylvania as well.

03:14:53.340 The numbers continue

03:14:54.040 to look very strong

03:14:54.880 for President Trump

03:14:55.900 across the board.

03:14:57.100 This is the most racially diverse

03:14:58.240 Republican coalition

03:14:59.120 in the history

03:15:00.020 of the Republican Party,

03:15:01.120 or at least in the modern history

03:15:02.120 of the Republican Party.

03:15:03.820 What we are seeing

03:15:04.580 is a complete failure

03:15:06.340 of the Kamala Harris campaign

03:15:08.880 in terms of getting out

03:15:10.140 minority votes

03:15:10.900 in large numbers.

03:15:11.960 People are not showing up

03:15:13.340 in the suburbs

03:15:13.880 in the way she needs them

03:15:14.840 to show up right now.

03:15:16.220 Right now,

03:15:16.620 the New York Times suggests

03:15:17.640 that President Trump's

03:15:18.480 margin of victory

03:15:19.040 will be 1.5 in Wisconsin,

03:15:20.680 2.0 in Pennsylvania,

03:15:21.920 2.0 in Nevada,

03:15:23.020 2.3 in Michigan,

03:15:24.480 2.6 in Georgia,

03:15:25.600 3.2 in North Carolina,

03:15:27.140 and 4.1 in Arizona.

03:15:29.200 These are all big numbers

03:15:30.040 for President Trump.

03:15:32.080 It continues to,

03:15:33.160 the numbers continue

03:15:34.160 to move in one direction

03:15:35.100 and one direction only.

03:15:36.280 So we are going to continue

03:15:37.280 to obviously watch these numbers

03:15:38.660 as they come in.

03:15:40.280 One of the funny things

03:15:41.780 about the way that X works,

03:15:42.620 by the way,

03:15:43.100 is because X is no longer

03:15:44.620 chronological,

03:15:45.520 you have to check the timestamp

03:15:46.540 on every single tweet.

03:15:47.540 So it's something like,

03:15:47.960 Kamala Harris's people

03:15:48.640 are feeling good,

03:15:49.280 and you check the timestamp

03:15:50.120 six hours ago.

03:15:51.800 They're not feeling so good

03:15:52.860 at this particular moment.

03:15:54.240 Can we go back to a question

03:15:56.320 Dennis asked was an interesting one.

03:15:57.980 Who are they going to blame

03:15:58.980 if they lose?

03:16:00.480 And you were saying, Ben,

03:16:01.240 that they're going to blame

03:16:01.760 the American people?

03:16:02.580 Yes.

03:16:02.840 Which I think is mostly right,

03:16:07.240 but specifically,

03:16:08.000 they're going to blame men.

03:16:08.960 I mean, that's what it's going to be.

03:16:09.980 Yes.

03:16:10.280 They are going to blame men.

03:16:11.380 And you think about...

03:16:12.660 I'm sorry to break in.

03:16:13.560 Decision Desk has officially

03:16:14.500 called Georgia for Trump.

03:16:15.460 So we knew that was done,

03:16:16.280 but that's done.

03:16:17.100 Who called it for Trump?

03:16:18.320 Decision Desk.

03:16:19.320 Georgia's been called for Trump.

03:16:20.340 He's got North Carolina.

03:16:21.100 He's got Georgia.

03:16:21.880 He's going to take Arizona.

03:16:22.960 Once again, just to reiterate,

03:16:24.360 it comes down to the blue wall states,

03:16:25.500 and Trump currently has momentum

03:16:27.060 in all three blue wall states.

03:16:29.000 Sorry, didn't mean to interrupt you.

03:16:30.220 Just got to give the data.

03:16:31.060 Don't interrupt with

03:16:32.640 presidential election stuff.

03:16:34.080 That's not what we're here for now.

03:16:35.480 We're here to listen to me.

03:16:38.320 When you think about what happened

03:16:39.500 after 2016,

03:16:41.480 immediately you had the Women's March, 1.00

03:16:43.540 you know, all the crazed feminists 1.00

03:16:44.840 going to, like, the Me Too movement. 0.66

03:16:47.160 You know, feminists were out for vengeance. 1.00

03:16:50.860 And I think if this happens again,

03:16:52.660 that's what it's going to be like

03:16:53.760 on steroids.

03:16:54.580 And it's going to be...

03:16:55.860 This is the...

03:16:56.380 The men did this.

03:16:57.480 The men's fault. 1.00

03:16:58.680 And it's going to be kind of like

03:17:00.260 that the early 2020s,

03:17:02.500 BLM,

03:17:04.060 blame whitey,

03:17:05.060 except targeted at men. 0.98

03:17:06.960 Black men included. 0.94

03:17:08.280 Right.

03:17:08.680 But probably, Lord,

03:17:10.680 they will still attack 0.88

03:17:12.080 white men in particular. 0.97

03:17:13.200 Oh, sure.

03:17:13.640 Yeah, absolutely.

03:17:14.520 Of course.

03:17:14.740 White men in particular.

03:17:15.780 Actually, I don't think

03:17:16.800 that that's right.

03:17:17.460 I think they're going to attack 0.99

03:17:18.160 black men in particular. 0.99

03:17:19.280 Really? 0.97

03:17:19.680 Yes.

03:17:19.900 Well, Obama did.

03:17:21.500 Yes, because I think

03:17:22.180 that there was no expectation. 1.00

03:17:23.520 White men are already evil. 1.00

03:17:24.840 Their expectation was that 1.00

03:17:26.020 black men were going to get them 1.00

03:17:27.280 over the finish line 0.98

03:17:27.880 if they just nagged at them enough.

03:17:28.920 And when people feel betrayed

03:17:31.160 by a population,

03:17:32.580 they tend to be much angrier

03:17:33.820 at that population

03:17:34.540 than when they had no expectations.

03:17:35.840 They already knew

03:17:36.260 that the white men 1.00

03:17:36.800 are the bad guys. 0.99

03:17:37.560 If black men show up 25% 0.99

03:17:39.320 for Trump across the country, 0.99

03:17:40.620 they're going to lose

03:17:41.660 their ever-loving minds.

03:17:43.160 And here's the thing.

03:17:44.040 They are banking on the idea

03:17:45.180 that women are inevitably 1.00

03:17:46.040 just going to continue

03:17:46.800 hating men at the rate

03:17:47.560 that they want them to hate men.

03:17:48.820 I mean, really,

03:17:49.280 that's going to be their program.

03:17:50.140 Their program is

03:17:50.680 if we just yell at men more

03:17:51.880 and women really, really 1.00

03:17:53.120 are afraid of men

03:17:53.880 and they're scared of men

03:17:54.780 and all this kind of...

03:17:55.660 But there is this natural thing

03:17:57.560 that happens with men and women.

03:17:58.700 I don't mean to explain

03:17:59.380 the birds and the bees on the air,

03:18:00.640 but it turns out

03:18:01.240 that a huge number of women 1.00

03:18:02.660 actually kind of like men

03:18:04.260 and actually would like to,

03:18:05.800 you know,

03:18:06.020 sometimes get married to them

03:18:07.220 and then maybe have babies with them

03:18:08.700 and all the rest

03:18:09.480 of that sort of stuff.

03:18:10.460 And so I don't know

03:18:10.960 how much Prozac

03:18:11.580 you can dispense out there.

03:18:12.660 I mean, I understand

03:18:13.200 that like a huge number

03:18:14.160 right now of Americans

03:18:15.560 generally are on antidepressants,

03:18:17.160 but there's going to come

03:18:18.100 a point where people are like,

03:18:18.980 hey, maybe this isn't

03:18:19.780 the way that we ought to go.

03:18:21.260 Maybe I should try,

03:18:22.060 you know, like forming

03:18:22.940 a normal human relationship

03:18:24.180 with a person

03:18:24.640 as opposed to being

03:18:25.440 so woke online

03:18:26.460 that all of my fulfillment comes 1.00

03:18:28.680 from wearing a pussy hat 1.00

03:18:29.820 at a march or something. 0.99

03:18:31.360 Well, I was going to say,

03:18:32.720 I think part of what you have

03:18:33.940 happening with young women 0.99

03:18:35.060 is there is an actual desire

03:18:36.440 for male leadership

03:18:37.280 and they're not seeing it.

03:18:38.480 So to me,

03:18:39.180 maybe part of the silver lining

03:18:40.460 that could come out of this

03:18:41.500 is if at least the GOP

03:18:43.760 learns that,

03:18:44.900 hey, there may be

03:18:45.420 something beneficial

03:18:46.280 in not solely targeting

03:18:48.000 our political messaging

03:18:49.000 to wine moms.

03:18:50.240 Maybe if we can actually

03:18:51.540 turn out the male vote, 0.56

03:18:53.000 men will step up

03:18:53.960 and take some more ownership

03:18:55.700 for where we're headed

03:18:56.580 politically in this nation

03:18:58.100 instead of deferring to,

03:19:00.640 let's say, Eve.

03:19:01.920 Okay, by the way.

03:19:03.020 Not to put too fine a point on it.

03:19:04.680 I think that's a very good point,

03:19:06.000 actually.

03:19:06.520 By the way,

03:19:07.040 looking at how

03:19:08.020 the various Democratic Senate

03:19:09.280 candidates are performing

03:19:10.280 vis-a-vis Kamala Harris,

03:19:11.600 they are all outperforming her

03:19:12.700 by leaps and bounds.

03:19:13.960 That is true in Arizona

03:19:14.960 where currently Ruben Gallego

03:19:16.240 is outperforming Kamala Harris

03:19:18.020 by almost eight points.

03:19:19.140 In Ohio,

03:19:20.540 Sherrod Brown is outperforming

03:19:21.600 her by seven.

03:19:22.680 In Texas,

03:19:23.340 Wait, he's outperforming

03:19:24.320 by seven and losing?

03:19:26.040 This is why I keep asking about,

03:19:27.880 really?

03:19:28.380 Yes.

03:19:28.940 Yeah, because that's a

03:19:30.080 Trump plus 10 state.

03:19:31.020 That's like,

03:19:31.380 yes, Moreno's going to win

03:19:33.200 that state by probably

03:19:33.800 two to three at the end.

03:19:34.920 Maybe more, maybe more.

03:19:36.380 Meanwhile,

03:19:36.720 Colin already outperformed

03:19:37.920 her in Texas

03:19:38.860 by four to five points.

03:19:41.000 Again, what is the show?

03:19:41.840 It shows that she is

03:19:42.640 a weak candidate.

03:19:43.560 She was always a weak candidate.

03:19:44.940 If Democrats were going

03:19:45.660 to swap her out,

03:19:46.600 then they should have

03:19:47.020 actually swapped her out 0.72

03:19:47.720 for somebody who isn't

03:19:48.740 awful at her job.

03:19:49.720 How many times,

03:19:50.520 the utter insane confidence

03:19:52.660 that Democrats had

03:19:53.920 to take a person

03:19:55.460 who has failed

03:19:56.680 every time she's put

03:19:57.660 on the national stage

03:19:58.460 and be like,

03:19:59.280 her.

03:20:00.060 Yeah.

03:20:00.360 That's the one.

03:20:01.140 On the basis of

03:20:01.600 intersectional characteristics, 1.00

03:20:03.000 that is the stupidest thing. 1.00

03:20:04.480 Like, just, 1.00

03:20:05.080 go back in your mind

03:20:05.900 for a moment

03:20:06.360 to just before

03:20:07.620 they'd swapped out Kamala.

03:20:09.220 And they were talking

03:20:09.820 about getting where to buy.

03:20:10.440 And everybody was like,

03:20:10.840 yeah, he's got to go.

03:20:11.680 That dude ain't even,

03:20:12.280 he ain't got to work

03:20:12.880 in brain or anything.

03:20:13.800 And then they were like,

03:20:14.720 okay, so who could it be?

03:20:15.600 And there was a bunch

03:20:16.520 of talk about,

03:20:17.000 well, maybe it'll be,

03:20:17.860 you know, Gavin Newsom,

03:20:19.120 or maybe they'll try

03:20:19.720 J.B. Pritzker,

03:20:20.660 or maybe they'll get

03:20:21.220 Josh Shapiro,

03:20:22.000 or maybe it'll be,

03:20:22.620 maybe it'll be somebody

03:20:23.240 who's good at this.

03:20:24.200 And they were like,

03:20:24.540 no, it must be Kamala.

03:20:26.380 And at the time,

03:20:27.100 everybody was like,

03:20:28.300 her?

03:20:29.240 Her?

03:20:29.660 I mean,

03:20:29.820 it was Arrested Development.

03:20:30.580 It was her?

03:20:31.740 Really?

03:20:32.780 And as it turns out,

03:20:34.340 her is the proper response

03:20:36.120 to Kamala Harris.

03:20:37.260 Kamala Harris 1.0,

03:20:38.740 giant fail as a presidential candidate.

03:20:41.140 Kamala Harris 2.0 as vice president,

03:20:43.120 giant fail.

03:20:43.840 And it appears,

03:20:44.820 again,

03:20:45.240 don't want to speak too early,

03:20:46.400 if this continues,

03:20:47.540 Kamala Harris 3.0,

03:20:48.700 giantest fail in the history

03:20:50.060 of presidential fails.

03:20:51.500 I was talking to a friend of mine

03:20:52.500 who does not work in politics.

03:20:54.180 And I said,

03:20:54.920 I don't know,

03:20:55.440 I'm actually starting to feel

03:20:56.620 pretty good about this

03:20:57.600 because I think that maybe

03:20:58.580 Trump could pull it out.

03:20:59.600 And he looked at me

03:21:00.440 because he's normal.

03:21:01.920 Unlike,

03:21:02.540 you know,

03:21:02.880 unlike us.

03:21:03.700 He says,

03:21:04.480 oh,

03:21:04.800 hold on,

03:21:05.280 wait,

03:21:05.520 Michael,

03:21:05.800 you're telling me

03:21:06.440 that this super unpopular lady 1.00

03:21:08.400 that nobody likes,

03:21:10.420 that never got any votes,

03:21:12.520 that got thrown in

03:21:13.460 at the last minute,

03:21:14.500 who says all the things

03:21:15.540 that people don't want to hear,

03:21:18.020 she's going to lose

03:21:18.980 to the really famous popular guy?

03:21:21.780 You don't say so.

03:21:22.680 And at the time,

03:21:23.420 I said,

03:21:23.700 you're oversimplifying it.

03:21:24.900 You don't,

03:21:25.200 but you know,

03:21:25.820 if the election continues

03:21:27.420 to go the way

03:21:28.000 that it is looking right now,

03:21:29.220 that might in fact

03:21:30.000 be the postmortem.

03:21:30.900 Is,

03:21:31.200 oh yeah,

03:21:32.740 common sense still holds.

03:21:35.400 My brother,

03:21:36.440 not a political guy,

03:21:37.800 same kind of guy.

03:21:39.020 And he texted me,

03:21:40.540 I mean,

03:21:40.740 I was blown away

03:21:41.400 to get a political text

03:21:42.680 from my brother

03:21:43.280 in which he watched Trump

03:21:44.920 on one of these

03:21:45.540 comedians' podcasts

03:21:46.540 and he said,

03:21:47.620 oh yeah,

03:21:47.860 he's going to win

03:21:48.480 because that's the show

03:21:49.600 everybody wants to watch

03:21:50.780 for the next four years.

03:21:51.700 You know,

03:21:51.860 even a friend of mine

03:21:52.500 from high school,

03:21:53.700 he now lives

03:21:54.260 outside of Milwaukee.

03:21:55.240 He is politically

03:21:57.040 as moderate

03:21:57.740 and independent

03:21:58.360 as they come.

03:21:59.660 He is the swing voter

03:22:00.920 in the swing state

03:22:01.800 in Wisconsin.

03:22:03.220 And I was catching up

03:22:04.360 with him for the first time

03:22:05.120 in a year or two.

03:22:06.460 He was over,

03:22:07.040 we were having a cigar.

03:22:08.060 I said,

03:22:08.300 so what's your take?

03:22:09.020 You're the,

03:22:09.280 don't hear what I have to say

03:22:10.220 about politics.

03:22:10.660 What do you say?

03:22:11.460 He goes,

03:22:11.740 you know,

03:22:11.980 I don't know.

03:22:12.300 I don't follow Trump that much.

03:22:13.440 I mostly watch like football.

03:22:14.860 I'm here for a football game.

03:22:16.800 You know,

03:22:17.060 I don't know.

03:22:17.520 I guess just my main takeaway

03:22:19.220 from her is

03:22:20.060 she seems kind of like

03:22:21.340 a dingbat.

03:22:22.940 And that was it.

03:22:23.600 That's all he knew

03:22:24.740 about the race.

03:22:25.600 Seems like a fairly solid take.

03:22:27.440 Yeah, basically.

03:22:28.020 I think the Democrats

03:22:28.940 are learning

03:22:29.560 a lesson that I learned

03:22:31.580 from watching Breaking Bad,

03:22:32.900 which is you can never have a,

03:22:34.460 you got to go the full measure,

03:22:35.560 not the half measure.

03:22:36.560 And they went the half measure

03:22:38.420 because they took Biden out,

03:22:40.540 but they couldn't imagine

03:22:41.480 taking Kamala out too 0.69

03:22:43.280 because she's a black woman. 1.00

03:22:45.600 But they all knew they should,

03:22:46.860 but they just,

03:22:47.280 they didn't have the gumption

03:22:48.060 to do it

03:22:48.660 and do the whole thing.

03:22:50.640 And you got to go the full measure.

03:22:52.700 Or is it this?

03:22:53.300 Did they think

03:22:54.500 Gavin Newsom,

03:22:56.580 Josh Shapiro,

03:22:57.340 any of these people

03:22:58.040 who were pretty serious?

03:22:59.100 Preserve them.

03:22:59.740 Did they think,

03:23:00.460 yeah,

03:23:00.740 keep your powder dry,

03:23:02.580 send up Kamala.

03:23:03.520 No.

03:23:04.080 No, I think they knew

03:23:05.460 they knew that they needed

03:23:07.380 to put one of them in.

03:23:08.240 They just couldn't do it. 0.99

03:23:09.420 They didn't have the balls 0.99

03:23:10.780 to abandon 1.00

03:23:11.280 their crappy political theory 0.55

03:23:13.340 since 2012, 0.90

03:23:14.140 which is get the minorities 0.79

03:23:15.060 and single ladies out. 1.00

03:23:16.000 They didn't have the balls 0.99

03:23:16.640 to abandon that. 0.99

03:23:17.380 And the only person

03:23:18.040 who was going to bring that

03:23:18.820 they thought was Kamala Harris.

03:23:20.500 By the way,

03:23:21.280 the current New York Times needle

03:23:22.300 suggests that Donald Trump

03:23:23.380 has an 84% chance

03:23:24.960 of victory

03:23:25.700 in the presidential election.

03:23:27.400 This is all quite enjoyable.

03:23:28.740 Thus far in the evening,

03:23:29.740 let's hope that the trend continues.

03:23:31.520 Joining us live from Arizona,

03:23:33.360 our friend,

03:23:34.120 Dylan Law Group founder,

03:23:35.640 friend of ours here at DW,

03:23:37.440 Harmeet.

03:23:37.760 Dylan, welcome to the show, Harmeet.

03:23:40.860 Thanks for having me, Ben.

03:23:42.020 So we went from cautiously optimistic

03:23:44.680 to nauseously optimistic

03:23:45.800 to a little bit more openly optimistic

03:23:47.840 as the evening is going on.

03:23:49.280 How are you feeling about things, Harmeet?

03:23:52.480 Well, we've actually started strong

03:23:54.360 and continued strong here in Arizona.

03:23:56.600 We had three weeks of early voting

03:23:58.080 and Republicans outperformed

03:24:00.480 even in Maricopa County

03:24:01.820 and throughout the state.

03:24:02.980 And tonight, the mood has been incredible.

03:24:05.940 We feel really good about

03:24:07.480 certainly Donald Trump winning

03:24:08.720 and many of our congressional candidates.

03:24:10.400 You know, some of the races are close

03:24:12.620 and some of the counties

03:24:14.680 did their shenanigans,

03:24:15.820 but we truly had an effort here

03:24:18.160 with outside groups

03:24:19.320 and the RNC

03:24:20.140 and the Arizona GOP's organization

03:24:22.620 with thousands of workers in the field

03:24:25.300 to really get our low propensity voters in.

03:24:29.900 And so I couldn't be more happy

03:24:31.820 because I was here in 2022

03:24:33.080 and it was an absolute like meltdown,

03:24:37.320 crying, totally different scene

03:24:38.760 over here than it is tonight.

03:24:39.840 So, Harmeet, you know,

03:24:41.080 one of the things that you've been very focused on

03:24:42.440 in the run-up to this election

03:24:44.020 was ensuring election integrity.

03:24:46.120 Obviously, that takes an awful lot of work

03:24:48.440 throughout the election cycle

03:24:49.580 and it seems to be paying off tonight.

03:24:51.900 You have people on the ground

03:24:53.420 all over the country

03:24:54.140 who are really working to ensure

03:24:55.400 that nothing fishy goes on.

03:24:58.380 Mike, tell us about some of the stuff

03:24:59.800 that you've been doing across the country

03:25:01.060 in order to ensure that.

03:25:01.940 So, leading up to this election month,

03:25:08.320 there have been lawsuits filed

03:25:09.740 for the last couple of years

03:25:11.220 throughout the country

03:25:12.220 that have focused on the different things

03:25:14.640 that the Democrats corrupted in 2020.

03:25:17.120 And, you know, frankly,

03:25:18.080 shame on our side over the years

03:25:20.380 not spending the amount of money and effort

03:25:22.040 that the other side did

03:25:23.580 to corrupt our elections.

03:25:25.320 But making sure that state laws are followed,

03:25:28.480 making sure that ballots are not counted

03:25:31.020 after Election Day,

03:25:32.600 making sure that we have some kind of security,

03:25:35.720 that ballot harvesting is eliminated

03:25:37.780 wherever we can do that,

03:25:39.520 making sure that outside groups

03:25:41.800 like the Zuckerberg's effort

03:25:44.620 are outlawed in as many states as possible.

03:25:47.280 So, for all the sort of static

03:25:51.560 that Georgia gets 0.93

03:25:52.720 as not being Trumpy enough,

03:25:54.640 they actually did a tremendous job

03:25:56.320 in reforming their election laws.

03:25:58.460 And that is, I think,

03:25:59.540 you're seeing the net result of that

03:26:01.680 tonight there in another state.

03:26:03.440 So, here in Arizona,

03:26:04.880 we've repeatedly gone to court

03:26:06.720 to tighten up the enforcement

03:26:08.460 of Arizona's quite good election laws.

03:26:11.440 And since 2022,

03:26:12.560 several improvements were made,

03:26:13.780 shortening the time for curing

03:26:15.060 and tightening up the standards.

03:26:16.860 We actually have a lot more work

03:26:18.300 to do in this election cycle

03:26:19.300 because Arizona, for the first time,

03:26:21.140 has some specific standards

03:26:22.400 on matching signatures

03:26:24.240 to the ballots,

03:26:25.480 the mail-in ballots.

03:26:26.420 And so, that is actually

03:26:27.340 a great election integrity measure.

03:26:30.020 And everyone's scrambling around

03:26:31.620 over the last three weeks

03:26:33.000 and the next five days

03:26:34.020 to make sure that people

03:26:35.400 cure those ballots

03:26:36.240 and get them in.

03:26:36.920 So, I love that.

03:26:38.260 Here on election night,

03:26:39.980 what we had was dozens of attorneys

03:26:41.880 on site where I am.

03:26:43.060 I'm sort of leading this effort.

03:26:45.100 We have been blocking

03:26:46.580 and tackling since 5 a.m.

03:26:48.660 all day today,

03:26:49.860 literally sending lawyers

03:26:50.900 out into the field

03:26:51.640 and witnessing things

03:26:52.540 that are happening,

03:26:53.640 negotiating,

03:26:54.660 telling election workers

03:26:55.800 they can't, you know,

03:26:56.660 tell people with MAGA shirts

03:26:58.060 they can't come and vote,

03:26:59.560 things like that.

03:27:00.340 We even had a hearing tonight

03:27:01.480 in Apache County

03:27:02.560 very late in the day.

03:27:04.500 The Dems tried to keep

03:27:05.660 all of Apache County

03:27:06.880 open later

03:27:08.000 on the Navajo reservation

03:27:09.280 and we limited it

03:27:10.140 to nine sites

03:27:11.200 where they had had some problems

03:27:12.320 earlier in the day.

03:27:13.100 And even those late ballots

03:27:14.880 may not get counted.

03:27:16.340 So, it is a tremendous amount

03:27:18.260 of organization

03:27:18.940 by the Arizona GOP.

03:27:20.920 They literally deployed

03:27:21.940 thousands of trained volunteers

03:27:24.860 in multiple shifts

03:27:26.080 today in the field.

03:27:28.500 And so, that level of organization

03:27:29.680 is like a military operation

03:27:31.520 and it went off without a hitch.

03:27:33.520 Every single slot was filled.

03:27:35.460 The lawyers in the field,

03:27:36.320 the lawyers here

03:27:37.020 and everyone is smiling

03:27:38.720 at the end of the day.

03:27:39.480 Everyone worked well together.

03:27:40.660 So, I'm so, so proud

03:27:41.960 of being a part of this effort.

03:27:43.900 That's Harmeet Dillon.

03:27:44.700 She's been doing an amazing job

03:27:45.680 over at Dillon Law Group.

03:27:46.700 Harmeet, really appreciate

03:27:47.600 all your hard work

03:27:48.440 during this election cycle.

03:27:49.680 And hopefully,

03:27:50.320 it's too early to say it yet,

03:27:51.340 but hopefully a little bit

03:27:52.120 later tonight,

03:27:53.120 we can all pop champagne

03:27:54.620 remotely

03:27:55.180 and enjoy a big election victory

03:27:56.960 for Donald J. Trump

03:27:58.160 and the Republican Party

03:27:59.180 in the Senate

03:27:59.600 as well as in the House.

03:28:00.400 Really appreciate it, Harmeet.

03:28:03.300 Thank you.

03:28:04.620 So, Michigan exit poll

03:28:05.940 among Latino voters

03:28:06.680 from CNN.

03:28:07.620 Trump's 60.

03:28:09.020 Here is 35.

03:28:09.800 What the what?

03:28:12.780 I mean, honestly,

03:28:13.640 the shifts that you are seeing

03:28:15.120 in these voting numbers

03:28:16.420 are insane. 0.55

03:28:18.060 Identity politics,

03:28:19.140 if Trump wins with it,

03:28:20.640 I keep putting proviso on it

03:28:21.860 because, again,

03:28:22.720 nothing's sure until it's sure.

03:28:24.660 If things continue

03:28:25.920 the way they are,

03:28:26.880 Donald Trump put a stake

03:28:28.400 through the heart

03:28:28.980 of identity politics,

03:28:30.240 which is hilarious.

03:28:31.980 Okay, that's insanely hilarious

03:28:33.360 because do you remember

03:28:34.100 that time

03:28:34.540 when the entire left

03:28:35.860 suggested that he was 0.86

03:28:36.960 a vicious, brutal racist? 0.98

03:28:38.580 He was a, 0.96

03:28:39.660 you remember that?

03:28:40.200 That was like today.

03:28:41.620 And you remember that time

03:28:42.480 when they suggested

03:28:43.080 he was a white identitarian?

03:28:44.760 Yeah.

03:28:44.920 Everything he did

03:28:45.580 was all about

03:28:46.000 white identitarianism

03:28:47.000 despite the fact 0.82

03:28:47.500 the white identitarians

03:28:48.360 have all disowned him

03:28:49.020 during this election cycle

03:28:50.040 for being too pro-Jew.

03:28:52.020 And now it turns out

03:28:53.060 that he is forming

03:28:53.740 the single most

03:28:54.680 working class,

03:28:55.600 blue collar,

03:28:56.200 multiracial Republican coalition

03:28:57.640 in modern American history.

03:29:00.360 Well, hold on, Ben.

03:29:01.240 I'm enjoying it a little bit.

03:29:02.140 The New York Times

03:29:02.940 now says the needle

03:29:03.980 is saying likely Trump,

03:29:05.920 but then you zoom in

03:29:06.640 on exactly the point

03:29:07.380 you're talking about.

03:29:08.240 It says 88% chance of victory,

03:29:10.340 but all the libs told me

03:29:12.200 that 88 is secret code

03:29:13.900 for Hitler. 0.59

03:29:15.520 So maybe that's it.

03:29:16.720 Maybe it's hidden

03:29:17.620 deep beneath

03:29:18.880 the New York Times

03:29:20.200 saying Trump will likely

03:29:21.520 be the next president.

03:29:22.440 Again, so much of this

03:29:23.820 has to come down to

03:29:24.880 how bad the Democrats have been.

03:29:27.060 I can't get over

03:29:27.780 how bad they are.

03:29:28.320 I can't get over

03:29:29.240 how bad they are at this.

03:29:30.440 Like they picked

03:29:31.340 the candidates

03:29:32.220 they wanted to run against

03:29:33.600 twice, twice.

03:29:36.220 They did it in 2016

03:29:37.080 and then they lost to him.

03:29:38.800 Bill Clinton encouraged

03:29:40.000 Trump to run in 2016.

03:29:41.360 Yes.

03:29:42.180 Apparently Fox is saying

03:29:43.280 that the Harris campaign

03:29:44.540 is no longer responding

03:29:45.480 to a request for a comment.

03:29:46.540 Oh, man.

03:29:47.940 Let's go, baby.

03:29:49.420 So that is...

03:29:50.560 You're drinking already.

03:29:51.440 Pass me that bottle.

03:29:52.320 I'll just pour a little sip.

03:29:54.080 Just a little sip.

03:29:54.860 You guys are going

03:29:55.480 for it a little bit early,

03:29:56.300 but you know...

03:29:56.940 Now that I'm on,

03:29:57.780 I'm going for the good stuff.

03:29:58.440 It feels like bad luck.

03:29:59.480 Ben, let me ask you.

03:30:00.320 Yeah, last time I had the Woodford.

03:30:01.400 This time I'm going

03:30:02.080 for the McAllen.

03:30:02.960 Is that...

03:30:03.140 All right, sir.

03:30:04.700 Guys, there's still

03:30:05.560 an election going on.

03:30:07.020 They're partying.

03:30:08.240 Derelict behavior.

03:30:08.940 I'm so sorry.

03:30:09.500 It's yourself.

03:30:10.040 I'm so sorry to interrupt.

03:30:11.460 So remember that time.

03:30:12.560 Sorry, go ahead.

03:30:13.200 Well, okay.

03:30:14.060 So if they can't go

03:30:15.700 to identity politics,

03:30:17.040 is that permanently killed

03:30:19.300 for the Democrat Party?

03:30:21.000 How do they get back

03:30:22.580 those Hispanic men, 0.89

03:30:24.520 those black men? 0.92

03:30:25.880 How do they move on 0.99

03:30:27.480 after this

03:30:28.340 if they don't have

03:30:29.580 that particular play to run?

03:30:31.260 So I think

03:30:32.700 that the thing

03:30:33.460 that Trump has done

03:30:34.660 that is of electoral benefit

03:30:37.520 but questionable conservatism

03:30:39.480 has been his spending agenda.

03:30:41.560 Right?

03:30:42.040 He took that off the table

03:30:43.060 by basically just competing

03:30:44.520 directly with the Democrats.

03:30:45.500 He's like,

03:30:45.660 I'm not going to touch Medicare,

03:30:46.420 I'm not going to touch Medicaid,

03:30:47.160 I'm not going to touch Social Security.

03:30:48.360 Off the table.

03:30:49.080 When he did that,

03:30:50.400 it took away

03:30:50.860 their biggest talking point

03:30:51.780 because there are really

03:30:52.800 only two forms

03:30:53.660 that Democratic politics

03:30:55.280 takes these days.

03:30:55.980 One is identity politics

03:30:57.540 and the other

03:30:58.380 is Bernie Sanders socialism.

03:30:59.640 And Bernie Sanders socialism

03:31:01.560 is only popular

03:31:02.620 in its most populist form

03:31:04.680 which is,

03:31:05.460 you have all these benefits

03:31:06.200 and no one can touch our benefits

03:31:07.400 and if they touch our benefits 1.00

03:31:08.380 then they must die. 1.00

03:31:09.180 You want to throw granny 1.00

03:31:10.100 off a cliff.

03:31:10.740 Exactly.

03:31:11.340 And Trump was like,

03:31:12.020 I don't want to touch

03:31:12.540 any of those things,

03:31:13.200 I'm going to leave.

03:31:13.680 Well, the truth is

03:31:14.640 both parties are totally wrong on this

03:31:16.180 but the dishonesty

03:31:17.280 of both parties

03:31:18.320 means that if you meet parity there,

03:31:20.360 it's very difficult for them

03:31:21.260 to outcompete

03:31:21.860 on a lot of these

03:31:22.660 socially conservative issues.

03:31:24.460 Trump has taken

03:31:25.320 a moderate position

03:31:25.980 on things like

03:31:26.560 same-sex marriage.

03:31:27.660 On abortion,

03:31:28.200 he's basically said

03:31:28.680 we're not touching it

03:31:29.280 at the federal level.

03:31:30.060 So the question becomes

03:31:30.820 what are the things

03:31:31.320 they're really arguing on?

03:31:32.580 The things they're really

03:31:33.300 arguing on now

03:31:34.240 are things like

03:31:35.360 tax rates,

03:31:36.640 should your child be trans,

03:31:38.100 and foreign policy.

03:31:39.040 And guess what?

03:31:39.460 Democrats lose on all those issues.

03:31:40.900 So it's hard to see

03:31:41.860 how they climb back in

03:31:42.980 other than

03:31:43.600 just circumstance, right?

03:31:44.660 Something goes wrong for Trump,

03:31:45.880 there's an economic crash

03:31:46.760 while he's president

03:31:47.260 of the United States,

03:31:48.160 there's a natural swing

03:31:49.420 back to the other side

03:31:50.460 or whatever.

03:31:51.580 Now, I also think

03:31:52.720 that we're in danger of,

03:31:54.160 you know,

03:31:54.340 not,

03:31:55.040 earlier I've said

03:31:55.660 we should attribute

03:31:56.160 a lot of this

03:31:56.560 to Democratic failure

03:31:57.400 but I think

03:31:58.300 that we also

03:31:58.860 have to attribute

03:31:59.680 some of this

03:32:00.320 to the power

03:32:01.080 of Donald Trump,

03:32:01.900 obviously.

03:32:02.480 The man's

03:32:02.820 unbelievably famous.

03:32:04.080 He is like

03:32:05.060 the most famous person

03:32:05.820 in America

03:32:06.280 before he ran for president.

03:32:07.620 Yeah.

03:32:07.820 He, he...

03:32:08.520 Most famous person

03:32:09.220 in the world.

03:32:09.800 In the world.

03:32:10.560 And so you took that person,

03:32:12.340 can some other Republican

03:32:13.440 capture that

03:32:14.320 in quite the same way?

03:32:15.300 The thing about Trump

03:32:15.960 is it made it

03:32:16.600 almost impossible

03:32:17.580 to full-scale demonize him

03:32:19.300 in the way Democrats

03:32:19.920 wanted to

03:32:20.380 because everyone

03:32:21.300 was just kind of like,

03:32:21.860 you mean the guy

03:32:22.220 from Home Alone 2?

03:32:23.400 Yeah.

03:32:23.780 They were like,

03:32:24.220 he's Hitler. 0.83

03:32:24.840 Trump is Elvis.

03:32:25.740 You mean the one

03:32:26.480 from like,

03:32:27.520 you know,

03:32:27.780 The Apprentice?

03:32:28.520 That guy's Hitler 0.94

03:32:29.760 is your case?

03:32:30.820 Like not Berlusconi?

03:32:31.720 Like Hitler? 0.82

03:32:32.400 Is where you're

03:32:33.000 going with this?

03:32:33.560 And so because of that,

03:32:34.860 that gave Trump

03:32:35.420 a bit of a superpower.

03:32:36.580 I don't think

03:32:37.160 that that superpower

03:32:37.760 exists for nearly

03:32:38.640 anyone else

03:32:39.300 in American politics.

03:32:40.560 And so the risk

03:32:41.020 for Republicans

03:32:41.540 is that they do

03:32:43.880 to themselves

03:32:44.780 what Democrats

03:32:45.520 did over Obama.

03:32:46.500 They think this is

03:32:47.020 the new natural

03:32:47.840 status quo

03:32:48.580 as opposed to

03:32:49.520 a thing they have

03:32:49.820 to keep fighting for.

03:32:50.940 And Democrats

03:32:51.720 refuse to acknowledge

03:32:52.440 that Barack Obama

03:32:53.320 was in fact

03:32:54.480 one of one.

03:32:56.040 Yes.

03:32:56.200 Donald Trump,

03:32:57.580 assuming his victory,

03:32:58.620 is in fact

03:32:59.200 one of one.

03:33:00.240 Yes.

03:33:00.500 And all of his detractors,

03:33:01.920 you know,

03:33:02.040 people who have

03:33:02.420 criticized him

03:33:02.960 over things,

03:33:03.540 I've criticized him

03:33:04.160 over a lot of these things,

03:33:05.380 the dude was always

03:33:06.160 one of one.

03:33:06.900 Yes.

03:33:07.100 He's one of one.

03:33:07.780 He's an American original.

03:33:09.280 Yeah.

03:33:09.900 He's the most iconic figure

03:33:11.520 of the 21st century,

03:33:13.340 bar none.

03:33:13.920 Without question.

03:33:14.300 Without a doubt,

03:33:15.240 no question about it.

03:33:16.560 Meanwhile,

03:33:17.320 we're going to take

03:33:17.780 a quick moment

03:33:18.220 and highlight

03:33:18.620 some cool stuff

03:33:19.140 going on here

03:33:19.760 at Daily Wire.

03:33:20.700 will return momentarily

03:33:21.760 so I can take

03:33:22.200 a drink of water

03:33:23.120 or something.

03:33:23.520 Yeah.

03:33:25.720 Left's grip is slipping,

03:33:27.060 but they won't go quietly.

03:33:28.800 Now's the time

03:33:29.420 to stand up.

03:33:31.060 Daily Wire

03:33:31.540 is your voice

03:33:32.340 confronting the lies,

03:33:34.180 changing the culture.

03:33:35.880 Join the voice

03:33:36.500 of certainty

03:33:37.020 in uncertain times,

03:33:38.320 the most important

03:33:39.100 intellectual

03:33:39.560 in the Western world

03:33:40.580 and the star

03:33:41.560 of the two most

03:33:42.200 important documentaries

03:33:43.200 in history.

03:33:44.700 As long as our freedom

03:33:45.460 is under threat,

03:33:46.380 we'll be here

03:33:46.880 fighting for you.

03:33:47.940 Make your voice count.

03:33:49.040 Join Daily Wire Plus

03:33:49.900 today and get 47%

03:33:51.280 off new annual memberships.

03:33:52.780 Together,

03:33:53.200 we'll fight the left

03:33:54.100 and build the future.

03:33:56.120 You know you want a cigar,

03:33:58.040 but you don't know

03:33:59.020 what cigar you want to smoke.

03:34:01.040 How do you choose a cigar?

03:34:02.540 In the case of Mayflower cigars,

03:34:04.360 the lighter,

03:34:05.160 Connecticut Shade Dawn

03:34:06.100 is in fact

03:34:07.340 a mild to medium

03:34:08.260 bodied cigar.

03:34:09.500 The darker,

03:34:10.240 Habano Dusk

03:34:11.120 is stronger

03:34:12.240 and fuller bodied

03:34:13.320 with a medium

03:34:14.280 to full profile.

03:34:16.020 Whichever size

03:34:17.040 and shape of cigar

03:34:17.920 you choose.

03:34:18.980 I certainly hope

03:34:20.040 it's a Mayflower.

03:34:21.420 You must be 21 years old

03:34:22.560 or older to purchase

03:34:23.140 some exclusions.

03:34:24.480 May apply.

03:34:29.620 Jeremy Boring,

03:34:30.580 you're back.

03:34:31.980 Wow,

03:34:32.400 this place is so weird.

03:34:33.900 Things just sort of,

03:34:34.480 people materialize

03:34:35.780 and they just like,

03:34:36.980 people just randomly

03:34:37.820 are in and out.

03:34:39.120 I feel like I never left.

03:34:40.460 It's a break.

03:34:41.780 I feel like I've always

03:34:42.940 been in this chair.

03:34:43.560 I do have to say

03:34:44.860 one thing about

03:34:45.460 the uniqueness

03:34:46.360 of Donald Trump

03:34:47.140 or against the uniqueness

03:34:48.620 of Donald Trump.

03:34:49.300 He is,

03:34:49.880 he does mark the death,

03:34:51.580 thank God,

03:34:52.300 of the Bush,

03:34:53.340 McCain,

03:34:54.020 Romney party.

03:34:54.960 Yeah.

03:34:55.540 Which is dying a death,

03:34:57.200 a well-deserved death.

03:34:58.560 So this is the thing, 1.00

03:34:59.700 okay,

03:34:59.980 so back when we had

03:35:01.080 the Republican primaries,

03:35:02.960 I used to think,

03:35:04.360 you know,

03:35:04.640 I wish we could have

03:35:05.880 a Ron DeSantis,

03:35:07.180 Gavin Newsom election.

03:35:08.400 I think that's the election

03:35:09.540 the country deserves

03:35:10.920 because that represents

03:35:12.100 the actual fight we're having.

03:35:13.360 Red state,

03:35:13.860 blue state,

03:35:14.580 how do you want to live?

03:35:16.560 As of about last week,

03:35:18.200 I don't feel that way anymore.

03:35:19.740 I actually think

03:35:20.720 this is the election

03:35:21.560 we deserve.

03:35:22.200 It might not be the election

03:35:23.140 I particularly wanted to have.

03:35:25.260 This might not be the choice

03:35:26.140 I wanted to face.

03:35:27.740 But because of what

03:35:29.000 you guys were saying

03:35:30.060 about the stake

03:35:31.760 in the heart

03:35:32.200 of identity politics,

03:35:33.280 it's actually really important

03:35:35.300 that Donald Trump,

03:35:36.880 this flawed avatar

03:35:38.580 of American populism,

03:35:40.500 is now up against

03:35:42.000 this utterly empty vessel

03:35:45.140 for nothing other than

03:35:47.480 this dead philosophy

03:35:49.560 that the Democrats

03:35:50.580 have plunked for.

03:35:52.080 It really matters

03:35:53.220 that we actually

03:35:54.080 put that up there

03:35:55.240 and put it to the test

03:35:56.860 for better or for worse.

03:35:58.060 And the thing about Kamala, 0.87

03:35:59.440 you know,

03:35:59.680 people are always talking

03:36:00.960 as if her problem

03:36:02.920 is that she's inarticulate 0.89

03:36:04.300 and that she gets nervous

03:36:05.860 and she kind of

03:36:06.920 flubs these questions.

03:36:08.340 I think that is way,

03:36:09.440 way too kind to her.

03:36:11.320 If you say somebody's

03:36:12.000 inarticulate,

03:36:12.460 what you mean is

03:36:12.900 there are thoughts,

03:36:14.340 cogent thoughts,

03:36:15.180 going on in this person's head

03:36:17.160 and somewhere in between that

03:36:19.380 and what they're saying,

03:36:20.880 it's not coming out right.

03:36:22.180 It happens to all of us, right?

03:36:24.160 Kamala Harris is expressing

03:36:25.400 herself perfectly.

03:36:27.320 The words,

03:36:28.120 that potato salad

03:36:29.380 that comes out

03:36:30.120 when she answers questions,

03:36:32.320 that actually translates

03:36:33.620 exactly what's going on

03:36:34.940 in her head.

03:36:35.340 And I think that's

03:36:36.020 really important.

03:36:36.660 And I actually think that

03:36:37.480 Trump in his way

03:36:38.880 also sort of represents

03:36:40.140 something even though

03:36:41.160 he is suing Jenner.

03:36:41.860 I think he had to do

03:36:43.880 the thing,

03:36:44.500 and I hope he wins tonight,

03:36:45.780 but even if he doesn't,

03:36:47.040 that party is dead.

03:36:48.280 And I think he had to do

03:36:49.300 the thing that nobody

03:36:51.120 else could do.

03:36:51.940 He had to be that brash, 0.52

03:36:53.320 that coarse,

03:36:54.240 that, you know,

03:36:55.060 indestructible.

03:36:56.040 Tell me what's so bad

03:36:56.840 about the Bush-McCain-Romney

03:36:58.580 Republican Party.

03:36:59.360 Oh, it's easy.

03:37:00.380 I mean, we had

03:37:01.180 Ronald Reagan came out

03:37:02.840 and basically brought us back

03:37:05.160 to conservative ideals.

03:37:06.560 True conservative ideals.

03:37:08.580 And then George Bush

03:37:09.820 stood up and said,

03:37:11.060 I'm a kinder,

03:37:11.880 gentler man.

03:37:12.900 And I thought,

03:37:13.420 what's kinder and gentler

03:37:14.280 than prosperity and peace?

03:37:16.000 You know,

03:37:16.240 what's kinder and gentler

03:37:16.980 than freeing, you know,

03:37:18.760 Europe from the Soviet 0.98

03:37:20.220 slave state?

03:37:21.420 You know,

03:37:21.720 what is kinder and gentler

03:37:22.960 than that? 0.74

03:37:23.140 Bombing foreign nations 1.00

03:37:24.080 into smithereens

03:37:24.860 in Port Arion.

03:37:25.960 And then his son

03:37:28.080 came out and did

03:37:28.580 the same thing.

03:37:30.360 Compassionate.

03:37:31.200 Conservatism.

03:37:31.960 And when government,

03:37:33.560 when people were in trouble,

03:37:34.380 governments got to move

03:37:35.500 and all that stuff.

03:37:35.680 That is literally

03:37:36.420 J.D. Vance's

03:37:37.200 economic policy.

03:37:37.900 Well, J.D. Vance

03:37:38.880 has yet to be tested,

03:37:40.360 but what I think

03:37:40.900 is going to be,

03:37:41.680 J.D. Vance is on the move,

03:37:43.660 but he is not running

03:37:44.920 for president.

03:37:45.820 There's a difference.

03:37:46.020 The truth is,

03:37:47.960 the truth is,

03:37:48.940 what you don't like

03:37:49.700 about McCain,

03:37:50.980 Bush, Romney

03:37:51.860 was the affect.

03:37:53.900 No, no,

03:37:54.700 that's half right.

03:37:55.320 It's not just the affect,

03:37:56.140 it's policy.

03:37:57.020 Yeah, the policy.

03:37:57.960 Okay, that is untrue.

03:37:59.280 That is untrue.

03:37:59.740 I'm just going to say it

03:38:00.340 flat out that's not true.

03:38:01.140 It is true.

03:38:02.040 He responded to it.

03:38:04.020 Mitt Romney was harsher

03:38:04.920 on the border

03:38:05.460 than Donald Trump was

03:38:06.540 during his actual term.

03:38:07.980 You don't remember

03:38:08.560 self-deportation

03:38:09.960 and how people went

03:38:10.780 absolutely nuts.

03:38:11.520 But it's not

03:38:12.340 the affect that he

03:38:13.080 didn't want to win

03:38:13.840 because he didn't want

03:38:14.640 to defeat Barack Obama.

03:38:15.880 Which is affect.

03:38:16.740 That's not affect.

03:38:17.580 It is affect.

03:38:18.740 Mitt Romney,

03:38:19.360 we don't know

03:38:19.740 what his policy was.

03:38:20.200 Yeah, we don't know

03:38:20.680 what he would have done.

03:38:21.240 Okay, I just want

03:38:22.800 to be clear.

03:38:23.940 There are a few areas

03:38:25.840 where Donald Trump

03:38:26.440 markedly differed

03:38:27.400 from the traditional

03:38:28.240 Republican Party.

03:38:29.280 Yeah.

03:38:29.980 On immigration,

03:38:30.680 he differed from the

03:38:31.600 actually post-Romney

03:38:32.780 Republican Party.

03:38:33.560 Romney ran as an

03:38:34.280 immigration hawk 0.53

03:38:35.040 in 2012.

03:38:35.980 He did.

03:38:36.520 This is why Ann Coulter

03:38:37.320 supported him in 2012

03:38:39.020 because of this.

03:38:39.680 He said he would be

03:38:40.720 severely conservative.

03:38:42.140 I'm just telling you about

03:38:43.380 I don't agree that

03:38:44.760 what you're calling affect

03:38:45.560 is affect.

03:38:46.240 I don't think it's affect

03:38:47.040 to go after the press

03:38:48.240 with a wrecking ball

03:38:49.580 because the press

03:38:50.180 deserves a wrecking ball

03:38:51.200 and the rest of the party

03:38:52.300 has trembled in their

03:38:53.580 boots.

03:38:53.600 But that's not policy.

03:38:54.520 That is affect.

03:38:55.140 It's not affect.

03:38:55.700 Let's talk about

03:38:55.940 what he actually did.

03:38:57.180 It's not a bad thing.

03:38:58.360 I'm not even arguing

03:38:59.280 your point.

03:39:00.240 I think that the idea

03:39:01.280 that you do need

03:39:02.180 a harsher brand of thing,

03:39:04.420 I totally agree with that.

03:39:05.320 I think that the difference

03:39:06.240 between what Bush

03:39:07.420 and Romney and McCain

03:39:08.840 were trying to do

03:39:10.280 and what Trump did

03:39:11.400 is Trump said

03:39:12.220 the left fundamentally

03:39:13.100 broke the country

03:39:14.000 and now I need

03:39:15.580 to fix the thing.

03:39:16.480 But I'm not sure

03:39:17.160 how exactly McCain

03:39:18.000 is supposed to run

03:39:18.760 with that in 2008

03:39:19.800 after George W. Bush

03:39:20.800 was president

03:39:21.240 for eight years

03:39:21.700 any more than

03:39:22.220 Kamala Harris

03:39:22.780 could run with.

03:39:23.620 I broke the country

03:39:24.460 now let me.

03:39:24.860 He might have not

03:39:25.940 suspended his campaign.

03:39:27.240 Just talk about Bush.

03:39:29.320 Talk about Bush

03:39:29.920 because he was actually

03:39:30.440 president.

03:39:30.860 The other two guys weren't.

03:39:31.960 And it's not just affect there.

03:39:33.560 I mean, it's what

03:39:34.360 he actually did.

03:39:35.720 Let's start with the fact

03:39:36.660 that he sent us

03:39:38.200 into wars

03:39:38.900 that lasted for decades

03:39:40.000 so we can begin

03:39:41.440 with that.

03:39:42.180 Massively, massively

03:39:43.180 expanded

03:39:43.840 the federal bureaucracy.

03:39:45.360 We can move to that.

03:39:46.460 Totally ineffectual

03:39:47.520 in preventing

03:39:48.340 the illegal

03:39:49.620 invasion

03:39:50.740 across the border.

03:39:51.980 I mean,

03:39:52.120 those are three things

03:39:53.040 that exploded the debt.

03:39:54.300 Exploded the debt.

03:39:54.920 So those are four things.

03:39:55.820 No, no, no.

03:39:56.120 That's not the fourth one.

03:39:57.420 Trump also exploded the debt

03:39:58.280 to be fair.

03:39:58.760 Okay.

03:39:58.960 Trump exploded the debt.

03:39:59.960 I guess.

03:40:00.280 Trump exploded the debt.

03:40:02.000 As far as the wars,

03:40:03.080 I mean, again,

03:40:03.500 there's a bit of revisionist

03:40:04.320 history that goes on

03:40:05.000 about, say,

03:40:05.380 the war in Afghanistan

03:40:06.140 which was approved

03:40:06.800 with literally unanimity

03:40:08.300 in the entire

03:40:08.840 House of Representatives

03:40:09.580 with the exception

03:40:10.060 of, I think,

03:40:10.660 two votes.

03:40:11.460 Okay.

03:40:11.680 And as far as the war in Iraq.

03:40:12.480 No one in this room

03:40:13.540 would have opposed

03:40:14.100 the war in Afghanistan.

03:40:15.440 No one in this room

03:40:16.260 would oppose the war

03:40:16.940 in Afghanistan

03:40:17.480 if two towers

03:40:20.700 got knocked down

03:40:21.280 in America today.

03:40:22.140 When I came back

03:40:23.240 from Afghanistan,

03:40:23.940 I said,

03:40:24.220 we should never have gone in.

03:40:25.040 I didn't oppose it

03:40:26.960 at the time

03:40:27.640 because I didn't know

03:40:28.220 enough about it

03:40:28.800 and I was angry

03:40:29.540 like everybody else.

03:40:30.440 But when I went

03:40:30.900 to Afghanistan,

03:40:31.560 I came back

03:40:32.000 and the first thing

03:40:32.560 out of my mouth

03:40:33.160 was this was a mistake.

03:40:34.420 What year was that?

03:40:35.700 I think it's 20,

03:40:37.220 I'm not sure,

03:40:37.720 2016 maybe.

03:40:38.480 Okay, so that's a little late

03:40:39.580 to make that call.

03:40:40.460 That's 13 years late

03:40:41.280 to make that call.

03:40:41.740 You don't get to make that call

03:40:42.480 13 years late

03:40:43.140 and be like,

03:40:43.720 hey, by the way,

03:40:44.320 13 years,

03:40:44.860 like, again,

03:40:45.480 this is not,

03:40:45.980 let me look it up.

03:40:46.360 This is not,

03:40:46.960 the only point

03:40:47.920 that I'm making about this

03:40:48.780 is that when we talk

03:40:50.640 about Donald Trump

03:40:51.260 being a radical break

03:40:52.220 from Republicanism,

03:40:53.820 he is a radical break

03:40:55.120 in terms of his attitude,

03:40:56.140 which I agree

03:40:56.900 does have ramifications.

03:40:58.680 And I think those ramifications

03:40:59.580 are powerful

03:41:00.140 because what the left

03:41:01.640 need more than anything else,

03:41:03.080 what the institutions

03:41:03.760 of the left

03:41:04.300 needed more than anything else

03:41:05.560 was the middle finger.

03:41:07.160 George W. Bush

03:41:07.660 was not a middle finger.

03:41:08.560 John McCain was not

03:41:09.140 a middle finger

03:41:09.620 and Mitt Romney

03:41:10.160 was not a middle finger.

03:41:10.940 And I agree with that.

03:41:11.740 2008.

03:41:12.180 Even beyond all this.

03:41:14.360 Even by 2008,

03:41:15.140 that's well on.

03:41:16.720 We invaded in 2002,

03:41:17.880 six years into the war.

03:41:18.400 I think we're overthinking this,

03:41:19.700 though.

03:41:20.080 In the GOP,

03:41:21.060 there has been,

03:41:21.780 for almost a century now,

03:41:23.480 a split between

03:41:24.700 the conservatives

03:41:25.460 who are a little friendlier

03:41:26.540 with the populists

03:41:27.380 and the more establishment

03:41:28.560 country club set.

03:41:29.980 And in the 1980s,

03:41:30.880 that split was represented

03:41:31.900 by Ronald Reagan

03:41:32.700 as the conservative

03:41:33.340 and George Bush

03:41:34.400 as the moderate

03:41:35.180 establishment type.

03:41:36.360 The Bushes have been

03:41:37.160 establishment moderate types

03:41:38.460 going back to Prescott Bush,

03:41:39.900 at least.

03:41:40.780 And Reagan

03:41:41.380 was the conservative.

03:41:42.500 I think Donald Trump

03:41:43.480 has inherited

03:41:44.400 the mantle

03:41:45.260 of the populist

03:41:46.280 conservative side

03:41:47.080 from Ronald Reagan.

03:41:48.100 There are differences

03:41:48.540 between the men,

03:41:49.400 but there's a reason

03:41:49.920 they had the same

03:41:50.460 campaign slogan.

03:41:51.600 And I think Mitt Romney

03:41:52.980 was a liberal,

03:41:54.000 fairly liberal governor,

03:41:55.220 invented Obamacare.

03:41:56.260 John McCain

03:41:56.680 was an extremely liberal

03:41:58.040 Republican senator.

03:41:59.300 And they inherited

03:41:59.900 the Bush side of things.

03:42:00.580 Also, Jeremy said

03:42:02.160 the last time

03:42:02.780 we were talking

03:42:03.360 that one of the things

03:42:04.140 that a politician

03:42:04.940 has to do is win.

03:42:06.200 Romney and McCain lost.

03:42:07.760 And they deserve to lose.

03:42:09.220 Like, when McCain...

03:42:10.600 George W. Bush

03:42:11.440 did not lose.

03:42:12.480 No, he didn't.

03:42:13.140 No, he didn't.

03:42:13.520 He's the only president

03:42:14.380 in some of our lifetimes

03:42:15.900 to win the popular vote.

03:42:16.580 Yeah, I thought he was 0.86

03:42:17.700 a truly mediocre president

03:42:19.300 at a time that called 0.85

03:42:20.000 for greatness,

03:42:21.240 you know, which was...

03:42:22.320 Do you believe that greatness

03:42:23.200 would have been

03:42:23.620 not going into Afghanistan?

03:42:25.120 Yeah, we shouldn't have

03:42:25.780 gone into...

03:42:26.060 We should have gone

03:42:26.560 into Afghanistan

03:42:27.140 and delivered punishment.

03:42:30.040 But he set out

03:42:31.260 to transform the Middle East

03:42:32.940 into democratic nations.

03:42:34.520 Also, Iraq is the more... 0.96

03:42:34.880 Which is nuts.

03:42:36.080 What's that?

03:42:36.980 Also, Iraq is the more... 0.96

03:42:38.440 Here's the thing.

03:42:39.240 Again, it is easy to do

03:42:41.340 the hindsight is 20-20 thing.

03:42:42.580 The only point that I would make...

03:42:43.640 Well, yes,

03:42:43.800 because we're judging the president.

03:42:45.460 Did anyone here

03:42:46.680 oppose Iraq at the time?

03:42:47.980 I did when I was 13.

03:42:49.180 So, I don't know.

03:42:49.800 It doesn't count.

03:42:51.060 But in what way

03:42:52.840 did that make the world safer?

03:42:53.960 In what way did that

03:42:54.480 help America...

03:42:55.260 Again, that's not my point.

03:42:56.660 Okay, so...

03:42:57.320 Not the world safer.

03:42:57.860 How did it make America safe?

03:42:58.720 The reality is

03:42:59.620 that what's bizarre

03:43:01.100 about the sort of

03:43:01.720 populist versus

03:43:02.620 non-populist break...

03:43:04.540 So, you're defining it

03:43:05.580 as Reagan versus Ford...

03:43:07.480 Reagan versus Bush.

03:43:08.240 Or Reagan versus Bush.

03:43:09.520 Okay, the problem

03:43:10.620 with that particular definition

03:43:11.980 is that Ronald Reagan

03:43:13.400 was a peace-through-strength guy.

03:43:15.980 Okay, which means

03:43:16.780 that Donald Trump

03:43:17.720 is a peace-through-strength guy.

03:43:18.900 He is.

03:43:19.040 Which is a traditional

03:43:19.740 Republican principle.

03:43:20.860 Yeah, yeah.

03:43:21.280 Okay?

03:43:21.860 And then when it comes to

03:43:22.900 things like

03:43:23.620 say, traditional values,

03:43:26.160 Ronald Reagan

03:43:26.660 was a less moderate version.

03:43:29.600 George H. W. Bush

03:43:30.300 was a more moderate version

03:43:31.500 on abortion,

03:43:33.020 on things like

03:43:33.660 same-sex marriage,

03:43:34.720 on all those policies.

03:43:35.620 George H. W. Bush

03:43:36.240 was to the left.

03:43:36.800 So again,

03:43:37.360 I think one of the things

03:43:38.160 that we have to point out

03:43:39.000 is that there is

03:43:40.340 a hard distinction

03:43:41.100 between the...

03:43:42.680 I think it's easy

03:43:43.560 to do this kind of...

03:43:45.400 What I think is a mistake.

03:43:46.400 I think it's a category error

03:43:47.480 to simply suggest

03:43:48.820 that he is a policy populist

03:43:50.280 along the lines

03:43:51.100 of Ronald Reagan

03:43:51.800 as opposed to George H. W. Bush.

03:43:53.140 No, I don't say that.

03:43:53.640 He's a stylistic populist

03:43:55.280 along the lines

03:43:55.980 of Ronald Reagan.

03:43:56.780 That I agree with

03:43:57.380 because the argument

03:43:58.580 that Ronald Reagan

03:43:59.240 was making,

03:43:59.760 as you say,

03:44:00.480 was make America great.

03:44:01.360 It was a restoration

03:44:02.140 after a terrible period

03:44:03.600 in American history.

03:44:04.740 And that is what

03:44:05.440 Donald Trump was as well.

03:44:06.880 And so the real break,

03:44:08.160 I don't think,

03:44:08.840 was between, say,

03:44:10.500 Donald Trump

03:44:12.060 and Mitt Romney.

03:44:13.420 I think it was a break

03:44:14.460 between a party

03:44:15.920 that seemed to believe

03:44:17.200 that we could

03:44:18.440 simply sort of absorb

03:44:19.900 the blows from the left

03:44:21.320 and then be nice to them.

03:44:23.480 And then every four years

03:44:24.380 kind of absorb more blows

03:44:25.800 from the left

03:44:26.260 and then be nice to them

03:44:27.180 versus somebody

03:44:27.980 who came out

03:44:28.460 both middle fingers

03:44:29.140 in the air

03:44:29.520 and said,

03:44:29.860 like, come get me.

03:44:30.720 So hold on a minute.

03:44:32.980 Every president

03:44:33.700 has a different job to do.

03:44:34.920 He's faced with a different job.

03:44:35.880 Ronald Reagan was faced

03:44:36.640 with the Cold War

03:44:37.300 and turning an America

03:44:38.780 that had become soft

03:44:40.400 on communism

03:44:41.420 and soft on the aggression

03:44:42.960 of the Soviets

03:44:43.660 back into a nation 0.98

03:44:45.080 that was willing

03:44:45.480 to fight for itself

03:44:46.280 and fight for the things

03:44:47.020 that it stood for.

03:44:47.740 That was his job.

03:44:48.880 That was not Donald Trump's job.

03:44:50.260 It was his job

03:44:50.760 to do that with the press

03:44:52.080 and the press

03:44:53.060 and he was right.

03:44:53.920 They were the enemy

03:44:54.440 of within.

03:44:55.060 He was right.

03:44:55.640 They were the enemy

03:44:56.100 of the people

03:44:56.580 and he was taking them down.

03:44:58.100 And if he wins tonight,

03:44:59.100 it will be largely

03:45:00.080 because he took them down.

03:45:01.020 Is it possible, though,

03:45:01.980 that one of the things

03:45:02.620 that makes it so difficult

03:45:03.740 to compare

03:45:04.380 to these previous

03:45:05.500 camps of conservatism,

03:45:07.480 never mind other presidents,

03:45:08.840 but to other different factions

03:45:10.700 within the conservative movement,

03:45:12.360 is that what really

03:45:13.240 differentiates him

03:45:14.020 from all these guys

03:45:14.740 is that he's fundamentally

03:45:16.000 less ideological

03:45:17.180 than either the populists

03:45:18.980 or the country club conservatives,

03:45:20.620 which means that

03:45:21.540 there's not actually

03:45:22.660 a philosophy there

03:45:24.200 that you can contrast

03:45:25.180 to these other philosophies

03:45:26.480 that you guys

03:45:26.920 are talking about.

03:45:27.860 And in fact,

03:45:28.680 that might be exactly

03:45:30.040 what you're all talking about

03:45:31.880 in some ways

03:45:32.540 in that some of these guys,

03:45:34.500 the Romneys of the world, 0.92

03:45:35.740 seem to have felt

03:45:36.620 that their correct ideas

03:45:38.580 were enough

03:45:39.440 to win them power.

03:45:41.640 I agree with that.

03:45:42.520 When in fact...

03:45:43.000 So the people have done

03:45:44.580 the King David stuff

03:45:45.340 with President Trump.

03:45:46.140 If I'm going to do

03:45:46.660 a biblical analogy

03:45:47.760 for President Trump,

03:45:48.760 there's a phrase

03:45:49.240 that's used about Noah

03:45:50.380 at the very beginning

03:45:51.040 of the Bible

03:45:51.420 where it says that

03:45:52.300 he was a good man

03:45:53.080 in his time.

03:45:54.440 Right?

03:45:54.780 And so there's a big debate

03:45:55.420 over what does that mean

03:45:56.480 that he's a good man

03:45:57.000 in his time?

03:45:57.780 Some commentaries suggest

03:45:58.880 a good man in his time

03:45:59.620 means, well,

03:46:00.040 he's even better

03:46:00.540 because he's in a bad time.

03:46:01.660 And then most commentaries

03:46:02.600 say it means that 0.71

03:46:03.580 the time sucked

03:46:04.340 and he was better 0.83

03:46:04.840 than the time.

03:46:05.560 If you'd put him

03:46:06.160 in a great time,

03:46:07.060 then he wouldn't have been

03:46:07.440 a great dude.

03:46:07.640 He would have been

03:46:08.020 kind of in absolute terms.

03:46:09.400 Exactly.

03:46:09.940 And so I think

03:46:10.420 that Donald Trump

03:46:11.020 was made for his time.

03:46:12.480 And I think trying

03:46:13.240 to take people

03:46:13.800 out of their context

03:46:14.560 and then just compare them

03:46:15.560 outside of that context

03:46:16.620 is wrong.

03:46:17.120 I mean, George W. Bush

03:46:17.760 was defined by the time

03:46:18.860 of post-9-11

03:46:19.800 and Donald Trump

03:46:20.500 is defined by the fact

03:46:21.660 that Barack Obama

03:46:22.280 wrecked the country.

03:46:23.620 Barack Obama

03:46:24.180 destroyed everything.

03:46:25.840 And then Donald Trump

03:46:26.400 came in and he said,

03:46:27.400 I've said this from day one,

03:46:28.300 even when I was critical

03:46:28.840 of Trump,

03:46:29.400 he was never the murderer,

03:46:30.380 he was always the coroner.

03:46:31.540 He came in and he said,

03:46:33.020 this is a dead body here.

03:46:34.500 This right here,

03:46:35.060 this body is dead.

03:46:36.140 And what we need to do

03:46:37.300 is we need to make it

03:46:38.000 not dead anymore.

03:46:39.140 And the way that we are

03:46:39.780 going to do that

03:46:40.360 is by rejecting

03:46:40.980 all of these institutions.

03:46:42.120 He is the man for his time.

03:46:43.880 He is a man of his time

03:46:44.720 and he is the man

03:46:45.540 of his time.

03:46:46.480 But I think that it's

03:46:47.020 a mistake and a category error

03:46:48.340 to then compare between times

03:46:49.900 just as it's a mistake.

03:46:50.520 No, but I think Trump

03:46:51.940 did a better job

03:46:53.260 at what he was given to do.

03:46:54.980 I will agree with you

03:46:56.460 that in many ways

03:46:57.660 Trump did a better thing

03:46:59.340 with what he was given

03:47:00.340 than what George W. Bush did,

03:47:02.180 particularly in his second term.

03:47:03.360 I think George W. Bush's

03:47:04.640 second term was a failure.

03:47:05.960 And we have yet to judge

03:47:06.640 Donald Trump's second term.

03:47:06.840 Donald Trump's second term

03:47:07.460 because he hasn't had one yet.

03:47:08.660 We have to compare between times

03:47:09.920 and we always do.

03:47:10.840 We would say about

03:47:11.500 Barry Goldwater,

03:47:12.380 Goldwater didn't lose.

03:47:13.340 It just took 16 years

03:47:14.280 to count the votes.

03:47:15.100 You know, we obviously see

03:47:16.700 that there are these factions

03:47:17.620 and streams.

03:47:18.400 So of course, you know,

03:47:19.440 Donald Trump today

03:47:20.420 on an issue like gay marriage

03:47:21.700 is to the left

03:47:22.980 of Ronald Reagan

03:47:23.780 and the Bushes.

03:47:25.120 And Obama.

03:47:26.020 And Obama and Hillary Clinton.

03:47:27.500 That's because the issue

03:47:28.240 was decided at the level

03:47:29.280 of the Supreme Court.

03:47:30.300 And no prominent Republican

03:47:31.560 today in office

03:47:33.080 opposes it.

03:47:34.020 So you have to compare

03:47:35.060 in other ways.

03:47:35.580 But President Trump

03:47:36.840 has been more pro-life

03:47:37.940 than any president

03:47:39.060 in my life.

03:47:39.460 I'm the first one

03:47:39.900 to show up to March.

03:47:40.780 In his first,

03:47:41.680 there's two important points

03:47:43.080 that we're,

03:47:43.720 there's three that we're missing.

03:47:44.820 One is that

03:47:46.080 a lot of our opinions

03:47:47.540 about these other guys

03:47:48.420 are retrospective,

03:47:50.660 not things that we thought

03:47:51.820 in the moment.

03:47:52.680 And we don't yet have

03:47:53.860 retrospective opinions

03:47:54.820 about the entirety

03:47:55.820 of a term of Donald Trump

03:47:56.800 because there hasn't been

03:47:57.380 a second term.

03:47:58.060 Which is point number two,

03:47:59.060 there hasn't been

03:47:59.540 a second term.

03:48:00.560 Second terms are always worse,

03:48:02.160 particularly for Republicans.

03:48:03.340 But even Barack Obama's

03:48:04.540 second term

03:48:05.000 was far worse

03:48:05.940 than his first term.

03:48:07.380 Three.

03:48:07.880 Not if you get a four-year break.

03:48:09.080 That's right.

03:48:10.460 Three.

03:48:12.060 We say things like

03:48:13.160 Bush got us

03:48:13.760 into these forever wars.

03:48:15.240 Yeah.

03:48:15.480 And that really is

03:48:16.040 a left-wing talking point.

03:48:17.620 Iraq wasn't a forever war.

03:48:19.100 Iraq was over 1.00

03:48:19.840 when George W. Bush

03:48:20.720 left office.

03:48:21.580 And the very first thing

03:48:22.520 that Barack Obama did

03:48:23.440 was just give up the victory.

03:48:25.080 Yeah, right.

03:48:25.620 He gave up the victory.

03:48:26.580 But the Iraq war was over.

03:48:28.380 And had Barack Obama

03:48:29.520 not given up the victory,

03:48:30.900 our view of the Iraq war today

03:48:32.360 would be much, much different.

03:48:33.800 In other words,

03:48:34.880 if Bush had done

03:48:35.900 everything that Bush did,

03:48:37.160 but then Barack Obama

03:48:37.940 had done anything different

03:48:39.160 than he did,

03:48:39.880 our view of that war

03:48:40.720 would be different.

03:48:41.820 And Afghanistan is

03:48:43.140 obviously not an actual nation.

03:48:45.600 It's a completely different thing.

03:48:48.620 You know,

03:48:49.180 there wasn't really

03:48:49.740 a democratic election

03:48:51.300 in South Korea.

03:48:51.900 South Korea didn't become

03:48:52.880 a democracy

03:48:53.480 for several decades.

03:48:54.280 For several decades

03:48:55.180 after the Korean War.

03:48:56.600 These sorts of enterprises

03:48:57.840 can't be done

03:48:59.500 in a schizophrenic way.

03:49:00.880 But what was the point

03:49:01.640 of the Iraq war?

03:49:03.260 Who cares?

03:49:04.580 What if we just

03:49:05.320 never gone in?

03:49:06.060 Who cares?

03:49:06.440 To make the Middle East 0.99

03:49:07.780 into a Madisonian democracy?

03:49:09.580 No, I mean,

03:49:10.020 That's not the reason we went.

03:49:11.020 No, I mean,

03:49:11.580 if you want the actual...

03:49:12.300 Because Saddam Hussein 0.94

03:49:12.860 had weapons of mass destruction.

03:49:13.960 Because literally,

03:49:14.780 Saddam Hussein

03:49:15.400 refused to turn over

03:49:16.660 any evidence

03:49:17.200 that he did not have

03:49:17.820 weapons of mass destruction

03:49:18.920 because he was afraid

03:49:19.460 he would be deposed.

03:49:20.500 That was one reason.

03:49:21.320 On a geopolitical level,

03:49:22.400 there was also...

03:49:23.720 Again, this is not to say

03:49:24.660 that it was the right decision.

03:49:25.520 In retrospect,

03:49:26.340 everyone understands

03:49:27.120 it was the wrong decision.

03:49:27.960 But, at the time,

03:49:29.220 those were not...

03:49:29.900 It had been U.S. policy

03:49:30.880 for 10 years.

03:49:31.420 It was also the policy of,

03:49:32.880 by the way,

03:49:33.180 most of Europe.

03:49:33.900 Yeah, yeah.

03:49:34.220 Right?

03:49:34.520 And it also happened to be

03:49:35.760 that if you look at a map,

03:49:36.880 Iraq is on one side of Iran 0.95

03:49:37.900 and Afghanistan is

03:49:38.560 on the other side of Iran.

03:49:39.660 And the idea was

03:49:40.400 that this,

03:49:41.020 along with Kuwait 0.98

03:49:41.820 and Saudi Arabia,

03:49:42.520 was going to write

03:49:43.020 a bulwark

03:49:43.540 against the Iranians. 0.97

03:49:44.860 And by the way,

03:49:45.340 the counterproposal,

03:49:46.940 which was Barack Obama's proposal,

03:49:48.500 which was relieve

03:49:48.940 all pressure on Iran,

03:49:50.100 has led to a giant

03:49:50.800 Middle Eastern conflagration. 0.90

03:49:51.980 So put all that aside,

03:49:53.220 Bernie Moreno just won Ohio.

03:49:54.460 So Bernie Moreno

03:49:55.600 has officially won Ohio.

03:49:56.720 Okay.

03:49:56.960 So that's it.

03:49:57.640 What is the...

03:49:58.620 Can we talk about this?

03:49:59.560 So right now,

03:50:00.080 they're saying

03:50:00.400 the most likely state to flip,

03:50:02.900 this is, again,

03:50:03.700 according to New York Times,

03:50:05.040 is Michigan.

03:50:06.760 It just said Pennsylvania

03:50:08.120 and they've updated it,

03:50:08.920 so it's going between

03:50:09.700 Pennsylvania and Michigan.

03:50:11.520 But right now,

03:50:12.460 the estimate from the Times

03:50:13.500 is Trump 300,

03:50:15.580 Harris 238.

03:50:16.680 This is now well into

03:50:18.040 the likely Trump category.

03:50:20.860 This is...

03:50:21.380 We are at 70%

03:50:22.200 of the votes counted

03:50:23.040 in Pennsylvania.

03:50:24.120 Donald Trump currently has

03:50:25.100 about a 160,000 vote lead

03:50:26.740 in the state of Pennsylvania.

03:50:27.740 We have 61%

03:50:28.980 of the estimated vote total

03:50:30.180 reported in Wisconsin.

03:50:31.800 Donald Trump currently has

03:50:33.040 a slim 50,000 vote lead

03:50:35.980 or so in that arena.

03:50:37.740 In Michigan,

03:50:38.620 about 29% of the vote

03:50:40.020 has been counted.

03:50:40.760 President Trump has currently

03:50:42.340 about a 70,000 vote lead

03:50:44.420 in that arena.

03:50:45.460 So, again,

03:50:46.520 Donald Trump is looking

03:50:47.760 quite good right now.

03:50:48.380 By the way,

03:50:48.700 I just want to say

03:50:49.200 the reason that I'm pushing back

03:50:51.180 just against the break

03:50:52.440 with the Republican

03:50:52.900 is because I want to be

03:50:54.020 more specific about

03:50:54.700 our definitions.

03:50:55.300 If what you're saying

03:50:55.800 is we should continue 0.99

03:50:56.440 punching the left in the face, 0.99

03:50:57.460 I totally agree. 0.94

03:50:58.320 If what you're saying

03:50:58.980 is that what we need

03:51:00.000 to do is abandon

03:51:00.880 the right wing on abortion

03:51:02.120 or abandon the right wing

03:51:03.220 on gay marriage

03:51:03.900 or abandon free markets

03:51:05.260 or do any of...

03:51:06.160 That's the break

03:51:06.800 that we're looking for.

03:51:07.860 Or abandon a realist

03:51:09.960 foreign policy

03:51:10.620 that doesn't agree

03:51:11.240 with neocom

03:51:11.700 but also doesn't agree

03:51:12.560 with isolationism.

03:51:13.620 Like, I just need

03:51:14.300 a more specific definition

03:51:15.300 of what you mean

03:51:16.000 in order to achieve the thing.

03:51:17.280 What I believe

03:51:18.420 is that we can't achieve

03:51:19.380 any of those things

03:51:20.240 until the press is crushed.

03:51:21.900 I agree with that.

03:51:23.180 Okay, so we don't disagree.

03:51:25.160 Yeah.

03:51:25.580 We don't disagree.

03:51:26.180 I'm not going to let us

03:51:27.100 keep talking about this.

03:51:28.020 There's an election happening.

03:51:29.300 That's what people

03:51:29.760 want us to talk about.

03:51:30.800 I agree.

03:51:31.620 And this conversation

03:51:33.900 isn't helping the situation.

03:51:37.020 I don't know about it.

03:51:37.800 I want to go check in

03:51:38.820 with our own Cassie Akiva

03:51:40.360 who is in Pennsylvania

03:51:41.440 right now

03:51:42.020 where Donald Trump

03:51:42.880 is starting to get out

03:51:43.440 to lead.

03:51:43.780 And Cassie,

03:51:44.200 one of the things

03:51:44.640 that's on my mind

03:51:45.380 right now

03:51:45.860 is what impact

03:51:47.780 in the end

03:51:48.820 is Israel's war 0.92

03:51:50.140 actually going to have

03:51:51.040 on this election?

03:51:52.040 And here's what I mean.

03:51:53.720 Pennsylvania has

03:51:54.420 an incredibly popular

03:51:55.760 Democratic governor

03:51:57.040 who is Jewish.

03:51:59.200 Kamala Harris,

03:52:00.080 instead of choosing

03:52:00.960 a governor

03:52:01.780 who almost certainly,

03:52:03.100 almost certainly

03:52:04.180 would have carried

03:52:04.800 the state that she has

03:52:05.820 to have

03:52:06.320 in order to achieve victory,

03:52:08.160 didn't choose them

03:52:08.980 only because

03:52:10.720 of the war happening

03:52:11.960 in the Middle East.

03:52:12.820 Is that going to end up

03:52:13.680 being decisive

03:52:14.260 in this campaign?

03:52:14.980 The answer is yes.

03:52:21.860 In case Cassie... 1.00

03:52:22.680 I think the answer...

03:52:24.100 I think the answer...

03:52:24.760 That was a setup

03:52:25.440 if ever I heard it.

03:52:26.420 Yeah, I mean...

03:52:26.780 Hi, guys.

03:52:28.080 Hey.

03:52:29.280 Hey, Cassie,

03:52:29.920 I just asked you

03:52:30.580 an amazing question

03:52:31.600 but Ben answered it.

03:52:32.960 So now I'm going to ask you

03:52:33.840 a different question

03:52:34.560 which is...

03:52:35.680 Thanks, Ben.

03:52:36.720 It's a vibe election.

03:52:38.160 What is the vibe

03:52:39.140 at McCormick HQ

03:52:40.180 right now?

03:52:42.360 The vibe is really good

03:52:43.780 right now.

03:52:44.340 We have the band

03:52:44.860 coming out to play.

03:52:46.180 Every time Pennsylvania

03:52:47.180 is on the television,

03:52:49.120 the whole crowd

03:52:49.660 goes bananas.

03:52:50.520 There's an open bar here.

03:52:51.740 People are having

03:52:52.180 a really good time.

03:52:53.480 The turnout is looking

03:52:54.540 really, really good

03:52:55.580 right now.

03:52:56.540 The only thing

03:52:57.080 I want to caution

03:52:57.740 is that Dave McCormick

03:52:58.780 has 80,000 fewer votes

03:53:00.740 than Donald Trump

03:53:01.420 right now

03:53:01.820 which is a little odd

03:53:02.700 but they're still

03:53:03.460 feeling good.

03:53:04.160 They just came out

03:53:04.880 to the stage

03:53:05.360 and said they're feeling good

03:53:06.340 and they said

03:53:06.680 they're going to give us

03:53:07.220 another update

03:53:07.880 at 11.30.

03:53:09.080 Can I actually say

03:53:09.940 that even the fact

03:53:11.200 that McCormick

03:53:11.820 is trailing Donald Trump

03:53:13.580 in Pennsylvania

03:53:14.100 by 80,000 votes

03:53:15.260 reinforces the idea

03:53:16.880 that Israel's war

03:53:17.860 may cost Kamala

03:53:19.280 the election

03:53:19.820 because it is largely

03:53:21.700 secular Jews

03:53:22.600 in Pennsylvania

03:53:23.240 who had a wake-up call

03:53:25.380 on 10-7

03:53:26.140 to realize that they

03:53:27.200 needed a pro-Israel

03:53:28.840 American president

03:53:29.700 but still don't want

03:53:30.720 to break with their

03:53:31.440 ideological left-wing

03:53:32.800 political views

03:53:33.940 and so there was

03:53:34.620 an actual movement

03:53:35.400 to say split the ticket.

03:53:37.500 Give us Donald Trump

03:53:38.260 to protect Israel 0.72

03:53:39.140 and protect Jewish people

03:53:40.980 from Iranian aggression

03:53:42.560 but don't give up

03:53:43.820 the Senate.

03:53:44.720 We don't want to

03:53:45.280 elect a right-wing Senate

03:53:46.580 so I don't think

03:53:48.080 it's conclusive

03:53:48.640 but it's like a real

03:53:49.440 data point

03:53:49.960 is it not, Cassie?

03:53:52.660 It's absolutely true.

03:53:54.020 I actually spoke

03:53:54.760 to Dave McCormick

03:53:55.480 about this very point.

03:53:57.260 He said that he really

03:53:58.100 does think that

03:53:59.080 Kamala's choice

03:54:00.040 is going to cost

03:54:01.160 her Pennsylvania

03:54:01.820 but we also had

03:54:02.980 a chance to talk

03:54:03.760 to Dave McCormick

03:54:04.480 at his childhood

03:54:05.460 amazium

03:54:06.380 where he used to wrestle.

03:54:07.700 We have the clip

03:54:08.280 for you here.

03:54:15.820 This is a race 1.00

03:54:16.660 between change

03:54:17.320 and the status quo.

03:54:18.320 I represent change.

03:54:19.740 I'm a seventh generation

03:54:20.540 Pennsylvania

03:54:20.980 West Point grad

03:54:21.700 combat vet

03:54:22.460 businessman

03:54:23.180 political outsider.

03:54:25.120 I've term limited

03:54:25.720 myself to two terms.

03:54:27.060 I'm going there

03:54:27.660 for the sole purpose

03:54:28.680 of shaking things up

03:54:29.600 and getting America

03:54:30.180 back on track.

03:54:31.200 Bob Casey's a 30-year

03:54:32.380 career politician.

03:54:33.300 He's been in elected

03:54:34.520 office for 30 years.

03:54:36.240 He's the son

03:54:37.560 of a big

03:54:38.940 high-profile governor

03:54:41.520 and he's lived

03:54:42.820 off his father's name.

03:54:44.540 He's not entitled

03:54:45.200 to this seat.

03:54:45.680 He hasn't earned it.

03:54:46.880 And he's voted

03:54:48.100 on these extreme

03:54:49.660 liberal policies

03:54:50.260 that are simply

03:54:50.880 out of step

03:54:51.660 with Pennsylvania.

03:54:52.200 So I say to people

03:54:52.960 on the campaign trail,

03:54:54.460 if you want change,

03:54:55.260 vote for me.

03:54:59.320 So McCormick

03:55:00.440 is feeling good tonight.

03:55:02.180 You can hear it

03:55:02.820 with the party

03:55:03.320 going on here.

03:55:04.460 We're going to be here

03:55:05.040 all night giving you

03:55:05.780 updates from

03:55:06.540 McCormick headquarters

03:55:07.900 and we'll be talking

03:55:09.260 to you soon.

03:55:10.420 Cassie, thank you.

03:55:12.020 And now we're going

03:55:12.740 to go over to

03:55:13.120 Brent Buchanan.

03:55:14.380 We've set up

03:55:15.060 this amazing

03:55:15.800 data center here

03:55:17.460 that we've never

03:55:18.280 had anything quite

03:55:19.040 like this at one

03:55:19.740 of our election

03:55:20.840 nights before.

03:55:21.500 It's kind of fun

03:55:21.960 actually to think

03:55:22.500 back to our first,

03:55:23.460 this is our third

03:55:24.040 presidential election

03:55:24.960 as a company

03:55:25.880 and the first one

03:55:26.920 the New York Times

03:55:28.220 was calling 99%

03:55:29.400 for Hillary Clinton

03:55:30.160 at the beginning

03:55:30.560 of the night.

03:55:30.980 We thought it

03:55:31.660 would be a short

03:55:32.200 night.

03:55:32.580 We started

03:55:32.900 drinking early.

03:55:33.980 By the end

03:55:34.300 of the night

03:55:34.640 I was literally

03:55:35.320 laying in my chair.

03:55:37.320 I don't drink

03:55:38.300 often and I never

03:55:39.420 drink to excess

03:55:40.840 except when I'm

03:55:41.860 on the biggest

03:55:42.700 broadcast I've

03:55:43.340 ever been on

03:55:43.820 which is like

03:55:44.280 what happened

03:55:45.080 that night.

03:55:46.260 But it was

03:55:46.760 basically,

03:55:47.160 I went back

03:55:47.520 and looked at

03:55:47.840 footage of it.

03:55:48.420 We basically

03:55:48.860 looked like we

03:55:49.320 were broadcasting

03:55:50.020 from my closet.

03:55:51.500 And now we have

03:55:52.300 this actual data

03:55:53.060 center and Brent

03:55:53.700 Buchanan here

03:55:54.280 to tell us

03:55:54.740 what's happening

03:55:55.300 from signal

03:55:55.820 polling.

03:55:56.260 Brent?

03:55:56.380 Yeah, so I

03:55:58.200 walked in to

03:55:59.060 this building

03:55:59.740 eight hours ago.

03:56:01.980 I still don't

03:56:02.380 know what time

03:56:02.840 it is.

03:56:03.900 And I was

03:56:05.060 giving Trump

03:56:05.660 a very,

03:56:06.340 very slight

03:56:06.860 edge.

03:56:07.800 I was not

03:56:08.660 convinced that

03:56:09.320 the Republican

03:56:10.000 early vote

03:56:10.760 numbers were

03:56:11.320 going to

03:56:11.520 actually translate

03:56:12.420 to really

03:56:12.900 strong overall

03:56:14.520 turnout.

03:56:15.140 I thought we

03:56:15.440 were going to

03:56:15.780 cannibalize our

03:56:16.980 election day

03:56:17.480 turnout which is

03:56:18.220 what happened

03:56:18.640 in Virginia

03:56:19.160 in 2023.

03:56:20.620 So let me

03:56:20.900 give you a

03:56:21.260 couple data

03:56:22.000 points ramping

03:56:22.760 up to what I

03:56:23.300 want to say.

03:56:24.560 First, if you

03:56:25.200 look across

03:56:25.680 the whole

03:56:26.000 country with

03:56:27.800 black voters,

03:56:28.580 turnout is

03:56:29.020 lower, but

03:56:30.080 Trump's margin

03:56:30.700 is higher.

03:56:31.340 That's telling

03:56:31.760 us that a lot 0.92

03:56:32.320 of black

03:56:32.620 Democrats

03:56:33.000 actually stayed

03:56:33.900 home.

03:56:34.860 Number two,

03:56:35.940 if we go back

03:56:36.420 to the focus

03:56:36.920 group we

03:56:37.300 conducted,

03:56:37.760 again, that's

03:56:38.140 qualitative, but

03:56:39.220 we had five

03:56:39.780 people who said

03:56:40.400 probably Kamala,

03:56:41.640 two people who

03:56:42.220 said probably

03:56:42.820 Trump.

03:56:43.800 That in and of

03:56:44.420 itself shows us

03:56:45.160 that there were

03:56:45.460 more people sitting

03:56:46.320 on the sidelines

03:56:47.120 who were not

03:56:48.640 sure if they were

03:56:49.060 going to show

03:56:49.360 up and vote for

03:56:49.900 Kamala.

03:56:50.840 In our exit

03:56:51.480 poll that we're

03:56:52.480 still running right

03:56:53.240 now,

03:56:53.960 people who said

03:56:54.760 I'm not going to

03:56:55.320 vote or I

03:56:55.960 didn't vote in

03:56:56.460 2024, those folks

03:56:58.300 would have been

03:56:58.800 for Harris by a

03:57:00.180 13-point margin.

03:57:01.800 Then when we look

03:57:02.540 at the exit poll and

03:57:03.340 look at the data

03:57:03.840 point of who

03:57:04.600 decided within the

03:57:05.400 last week to

03:57:06.080 today, Trump's up

03:57:07.520 with those folks by

03:57:08.740 six points.

03:57:10.240 So here's the

03:57:11.600 story of the

03:57:12.900 2024 election so

03:57:14.140 far.

03:57:15.020 Democratic areas

03:57:16.100 turned out at

03:57:17.020 2020 levels.

03:57:18.360 Republican areas

03:57:19.320 exceeded their

03:57:20.320 2020 levels.

03:57:21.220 And then you

03:57:21.940 combine that

03:57:22.800 along with

03:57:23.860 this shift

03:57:25.060 in black

03:57:25.500 vote that's

03:57:26.020 partially black

03:57:27.080 Dems staying

03:57:27.580 home and

03:57:28.600 Republicans

03:57:29.140 increasing their

03:57:30.140 margin with

03:57:31.380 voters of

03:57:33.340 color.

03:57:33.960 And you start

03:57:34.460 to see this

03:57:34.960 picture where

03:57:36.100 I would say

03:57:37.300 I'm up in the

03:57:38.040 80s or 90s

03:57:38.960 percentile that

03:57:40.120 Trump's going to

03:57:40.540 be able to pull

03:57:41.020 this off.

03:57:41.760 You look at

03:57:42.100 these Rust Belt

03:57:42.700 states.

03:57:43.660 For example,

03:57:44.580 Lackawanna County

03:57:45.360 here in

03:57:46.140 Pennsylvania.

03:57:47.220 I'm going to

03:57:47.520 have to go to

03:57:47.880 ListView because

03:57:48.480 they've got a

03:57:48.920 heck of a lot of

03:57:49.460 counties here.

03:57:50.400 So as we look

03:57:50.880 at Lackawanna

03:57:51.380 County, one

03:57:51.920 thing really

03:57:52.300 interesting about

03:57:53.060 this county is

03:57:54.560 that Biden won

03:57:57.240 it by eight

03:57:58.040 four years ago.

03:58:00.260 And she's only

03:58:00.900 winning it by

03:58:01.680 three at this

03:58:03.040 point.

03:58:03.420 And they had a

03:58:04.180 2.3 percent

03:58:05.380 increase in

03:58:06.040 turnout over

03:58:06.680 2022.

03:58:07.980 When we look at

03:58:09.160 Lycoming County,

03:58:10.200 somebody in PA is

03:58:11.140 probably going to

03:58:11.540 fact check me on

03:58:12.380 mispronouncing that.

03:58:13.960 This is a county

03:58:14.820 that was plus 41

03:58:16.580 for Trump.

03:58:17.240 He's performing

03:58:17.820 there, but their

03:58:18.720 turnout's even

03:58:19.360 higher at

03:58:20.320 3.5 percent

03:58:21.260 increased

03:58:21.840 turnout over

03:58:22.500 their 2020

03:58:23.160 numbers.

03:58:24.700 Then you have

03:58:25.520 places like

03:58:27.520 Butler, which is

03:58:28.640 an ex-Bourbon

03:58:29.300 county in

03:58:31.120 Pennsylvania.

03:58:32.960 And this was

03:58:33.720 plus 33 for

03:58:34.900 Trump four years

03:58:35.580 ago.

03:58:35.880 It's plus 32

03:58:36.900 now, but there's

03:58:37.800 a 3 percent

03:58:38.680 turnout change.

03:58:39.860 So you start to

03:58:40.380 see all these

03:58:40.900 places across

03:58:41.560 Pennsylvania where

03:58:42.800 Donald Trump is

03:58:43.700 netting out more

03:58:45.120 votes in the

03:58:46.580 areas where he

03:58:47.340 already performed

03:58:48.160 well.

03:58:48.480 He's netting out

03:58:49.540 more votes in

03:58:50.460 these ex-Bourbon

03:58:51.100 counties, which

03:58:52.180 was the entire

03:58:52.920 Harris strategy

03:58:53.780 was to go into

03:58:54.480 these ex-Bourbon

03:58:55.140 counties and

03:58:56.360 shrink the Trump

03:58:57.200 margins.

03:58:57.940 And they're not

03:58:58.600 changing at all.

03:59:01.060 They're actually

03:59:01.680 improving for him.

03:59:03.820 So, Brent, when

03:59:04.900 you're looking

03:59:05.600 forward at the

03:59:07.020 rest of the

03:59:07.660 evening, I think

03:59:08.620 the big question

03:59:09.260 we all have is

03:59:09.860 when the hell

03:59:10.280 do they call

03:59:10.620 these things so

03:59:11.020 we can all go

03:59:11.380 home?

03:59:11.620 But as this

03:59:14.180 trots out,

03:59:15.460 why is it that

03:59:17.000 the votes slow

03:59:17.760 so much near the

03:59:18.520 end?

03:59:18.840 There's been this

03:59:19.380 steady increase in

03:59:20.200 the vote count in

03:59:20.820 places like

03:59:21.300 Pennsylvania.

03:59:22.060 Right now,

03:59:22.900 New York Times

03:59:23.220 is saying 73% of

03:59:24.340 the estimated vote

03:59:24.920 total has already

03:59:25.600 been reported.

03:59:26.720 Do you expect that

03:59:27.320 pace to continue?

03:59:28.300 How fast do these

03:59:29.200 things come in

03:59:29.720 generally?

03:59:30.580 In the Rust Belt

03:59:31.280 states, way too

03:59:32.140 slow.

03:59:33.120 You get this rush.

03:59:34.160 I think we're

03:59:34.740 looking at something

03:59:35.920 like 60, what is

03:59:38.300 this showing here,

03:59:38.720 64% reporting in

03:59:40.200 Wisconsin.

03:59:41.160 Right now, we've

03:59:41.720 got a strong

03:59:42.160 probability of

03:59:43.020 Trump winning

03:59:43.520 there.

03:59:44.800 And so, we're

03:59:45.600 just going to see

03:59:46.200 this estimated

03:59:47.240 reporting number

03:59:48.080 slowly come in,

03:59:49.380 unlike places like

03:59:50.340 Georgia, where

03:59:51.500 we're already

03:59:51.920 seeing 91%

03:59:53.180 reporting.

03:59:53.680 One unique thing

03:59:54.520 about southern

03:59:55.420 states is that

03:59:56.920 because they do

03:59:57.720 provisional, every

03:59:58.680 county and state

04:00:00.080 does provisional

04:00:00.740 ballots, but usually

04:00:02.000 in the south, when

04:00:03.240 you get to 95%

04:00:04.380 reporting, you're

04:00:05.140 actually 100%

04:00:06.140 reporting of

04:00:06.740 everything outside

04:00:07.560 of the provisional

04:00:08.180 ballots.

04:00:08.940 And the provisional

04:00:09.580 ballots are only

04:00:10.700 hundreds, maybe

04:00:11.580 thousands of

04:00:12.280 votes.

04:00:13.020 And so, once you

04:00:13.720 get to this 95%

04:00:14.880 in the south

04:00:15.420 estimated reporting,

04:00:16.440 you're basically

04:00:16.960 everything, all the

04:00:18.500 votes that matter

04:00:19.380 are in at that

04:00:20.080 point.

04:00:20.560 You know, Brent,

04:00:21.040 the most shocking

04:00:21.780 statistic that we've

04:00:22.460 seen all night long

04:00:23.180 is this exit poll

04:00:23.820 from CNN showing

04:00:24.580 Donald Trump

04:00:25.040 walloping Kamala

04:00:26.160 Harris with Hispanic

04:00:27.280 voters in Michigan,

04:00:28.180 60 to 35, which is

04:00:29.860 just, I mean, to put

04:00:31.840 it technically, I

04:00:32.400 believe the term is

04:00:32.900 batshit lunacy. 0.90

04:00:34.720 That's insane. 0.87

04:00:36.120 We're watching, if

04:00:38.960 these numbers are

04:00:39.520 anything close to

04:00:40.140 reality, we're watching

04:00:40.740 a massive political

04:00:41.780 realignment happen right

04:00:42.860 before our eyes

04:00:43.420 tonight.

04:00:44.360 Completely.

04:00:45.020 And so, here's another

04:00:45.740 example of how this is

04:00:47.000 starting to have 2016

04:00:48.820 turnout because, or at

04:00:51.980 least margins, not

04:00:52.760 turnout, because we're

04:00:53.740 way over even 2020

04:00:54.720 turnout at this point.

04:00:55.700 But Eaton County here

04:00:57.100 was plus one for

04:00:59.900 Trump in 2020, but it

04:01:01.740 was plus five for him

04:01:02.900 in 2016, and he's now

04:01:04.260 back to plus five in

04:01:06.040 Eaton County.

04:01:06.940 Wow, wow, wow.

04:01:07.780 By the way, Ted Cruz

04:01:08.480 did win Latino voters

04:01:09.560 outright in Texas by

04:01:11.220 six.

04:01:12.020 He lost Latinos in 1.00

04:01:12.960 2018 by 29 points.

04:01:15.580 Well, because he was

04:01:16.040 running against that

04:01:16.840 Hispanic Beto O'Rourke.

04:01:17.980 Yeah, that's true.

04:01:19.680 Well, Brent, really

04:01:20.580 appreciate the insight.

04:01:21.700 I'm sure we'll be

04:01:22.220 coming back to you in

04:01:23.120 very short order.

04:01:24.100 Our election map

04:01:24.720 coverage, of course,

04:01:25.300 is made possible by

04:01:26.400 our sponsors over at

04:01:27.220 Lumen.

04:01:27.520 Hack your metabolism

04:01:28.180 with one simple

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04:01:32.380 So, yeah, guys, I

04:01:33.460 mean, this is, it's an

04:01:34.440 astonishing result, what

04:01:35.260 we're watching in real

04:01:35.840 time.

04:01:36.040 Now, listen, these

04:01:36.720 margins are still

04:01:37.380 really, really close.

04:01:38.420 I mean, we'll see,

04:01:39.820 this is all estimated,

04:01:40.800 right?

04:01:41.000 This is us all, you

04:01:42.020 know, getting happy off

04:01:42.780 the New York Times

04:01:43.400 making their estimations.

04:01:44.740 Right.

04:01:44.960 And when they say

04:01:45.560 that there is, say, a

04:01:46.640 64% chance or a 69%,

04:01:48.660 that still means there's

04:01:49.340 a 31% chance it goes

04:01:50.520 the other way.

04:01:50.980 And remember the

04:01:52.520 betrayal of the needle

04:01:53.460 for Hillary Clinton

04:01:54.760 when it was 99%

04:01:56.020 pro-Hillary. 1.00

04:01:57.000 Now, it's obviously a

04:01:57.940 little bit later in the

04:01:58.660 election at this point.

04:01:59.380 That's right.

04:01:59.720 Don't forget, the

04:02:00.660 betrayal of the needle

04:02:01.640 against Hillary was 0.98

04:02:03.060 always moving in one

04:02:04.600 direction.

04:02:05.320 Yes.

04:02:05.480 From the top of the

04:02:06.100 night to the bottom.

04:02:06.940 And this needle has

04:02:08.140 also always been moving

04:02:09.320 and basically always been

04:02:10.460 moving in one direction

04:02:11.240 from the top of the

04:02:12.260 night to now.

04:02:12.900 And it is now pretty

04:02:14.660 solidly in the likely

04:02:15.960 Trump wins camp.

04:02:16.980 Nate Cohn at the New

04:02:17.520 York Times came out and

04:02:18.480 said about 25, 30

04:02:19.360 minutes ago, for the

04:02:20.340 first time tonight, we

04:02:21.300 are declaring it is

04:02:22.860 our opinion that it is

04:02:24.580 likely that Trump wins.

04:02:26.080 If you look at those

04:02:26.640 Senate races, by the

04:02:27.500 way, currently, Dave

04:02:28.460 McCormick is in fact

04:02:29.360 leading Bob Casey by

04:02:30.800 almost 100,000 votes.

04:02:32.540 Again, Pennsylvania does

04:02:33.260 not look like, if trend

04:02:34.560 continues, Pennsylvania does

04:02:35.580 not look like it's going

04:02:36.260 to be particularly close.

04:02:37.060 It looks like Trump is

04:02:37.900 going to walk away with

04:02:38.580 it by at least a couple

04:02:39.400 of percentage points.

04:02:40.280 They're saying there

04:02:40.580 aren't enough votes

04:02:41.140 left in Philly to point

04:02:42.520 it out for them.

04:02:42.900 In Michigan, Mike

04:02:43.680 Rogers is currently

04:02:44.620 leading Alyssa Slotkin

04:02:45.640 in Michigan.

04:02:46.640 By the way, Mike

04:02:47.620 Rogers makes it 55.

04:02:49.680 Mike Rogers makes it

04:02:50.480 55, huh?

04:02:51.460 You know, I felt pretty

04:02:52.260 good about Mike Rogers.

04:02:52.920 Yeah, Mike Rogers, he

04:02:54.040 made a late-breaking

04:02:54.980 move, and I was a

04:02:56.240 little skeptical of

04:02:56.820 Mike Rogers because he

04:02:57.600 spent so much of the

04:02:58.340 time trailing.

04:02:59.360 Right now, he's up

04:03:00.180 about 50,000, 60,000

04:03:01.620 votes on Alyssa Slotkin

04:03:03.180 in Michigan and

04:03:03.980 Wisconsin.

04:03:04.860 Eric Hovde is

04:03:05.620 currently up by about

04:03:06.440 26,000 votes or so on

04:03:09.500 Tammy Baldwin with

04:03:10.260 65% of the vote in.

04:03:12.220 Now, got to give a

04:03:13.000 shout-out to the worst

04:03:14.300 candidate of the cycle,

04:03:15.740 our girl Carrie Lake

04:03:16.460 over in Arizona, who is

04:03:17.740 just getting destroyed by

04:03:19.320 Ruben Gallego in a state

04:03:20.540 that Donald Trump is

04:03:21.180 going to end up walking

04:03:21.800 away with, which, you

04:03:22.780 know, again, moral of the

04:03:24.260 story, gentlemen, do not

04:03:26.300 pick bad candidates for

04:03:27.320 higher office.

04:03:27.920 It turns out that when

04:03:28.520 you pick good candidates,

04:03:29.380 you do betters, and when

04:03:30.520 you pick not great

04:03:31.220 candidates, you do

04:03:31.880 worsees.

04:03:32.460 Well, speaking of good

04:03:33.380 candidates, we're joined

04:03:34.440 by the newly re-elected

04:03:36.440 senator of the great

04:03:37.380 state of Texas, Ted Cruz.

04:03:40.260 Senator, thanks for

04:03:42.180 being with us.

04:03:43.040 It is great to be with

04:03:44.200 you guys.

04:03:44.720 I'm bummed that I'm not

04:03:46.100 there, and I can't see

04:03:47.340 you, but I feel confident

04:03:48.580 that there is good scotch

04:03:50.860 and good cigars that are

04:03:52.160 involved.

04:03:52.800 You know us so well.

04:03:54.720 Big Night, you started off

04:03:56.160 this election in a tough

04:03:57.360 race, what I believe became

04:03:58.400 the most expensive Senate

04:03:59.660 race in the country this

04:04:01.420 cycle, and as recently as

04:04:03.660 eight weeks ago, facing

04:04:05.000 real headwinds, and you've

04:04:06.060 put in an enormous effort

04:04:07.500 in Texas and secured a

04:04:09.520 huge victory tonight.

04:04:12.800 Well, I've got to tell

04:04:13.720 you, our win in Texas was

04:04:15.300 just breathtaking.

04:04:16.200 Right now, about 76% of

04:04:17.820 the votes have been

04:04:18.420 counted.

04:04:18.920 We're up 10 points.

04:04:19.980 We're up nearly a million

04:04:20.880 votes right now, and there's

04:04:22.560 still a quarter of the

04:04:23.280 votes to be counted.

04:04:24.100 I mean, it's incredible,

04:04:26.120 and I'll tell you what's

04:04:26.700 really encouraging also.

04:04:27.940 We're making massive inroads

04:04:30.020 with Hispanic voters in

04:04:31.360 Texas and South Texas, and I

04:04:33.540 got to give a shout-out to

04:04:34.600 Ben.

04:04:34.800 And so Ben came down to

04:04:36.000 the Rio Grande Valley with

04:04:37.120 me, did a campaign event

04:04:39.260 there, and Michael, this is

04:04:41.140 going to break your heart, 0.89

04:04:42.180 but Ben is a friggin' rock 0.96

04:04:44.620 star in South Texas. 0.94

04:04:46.160 I mean, it was like Elvis

04:04:47.200 walking in the room.

04:04:48.740 Senator, how much have you

04:04:49.760 been drinking?

04:04:49.780 And my campaign team was

04:04:50.580 like, how is this Ben

04:04:51.880 Shapiro in the valley?

04:04:53.020 I mean, it was, I mean,

04:04:54.860 they were practically like

04:04:57.460 throwing roses at him.

04:04:59.320 It was awesome, and what a

04:05:01.120 live audience.

04:05:01.660 And Senator, I mean, you

04:05:03.360 know, it is amazing how

04:05:04.600 you shifted the vote

04:05:06.040 margins in the state of

04:05:07.000 Texas.

04:05:07.340 The exit polls right now

04:05:08.120 are showing that you're

04:05:09.040 going to win the Latino 1.00

04:05:09.980 vote in the state of

04:05:10.720 Texas outright by six

04:05:11.800 points, where in your

04:05:12.940 last race, you lost the

04:05:14.180 Latino vote by something 0.97

04:05:15.000 like 28 points, and that

04:05:16.600 is a 34-point shift if that

04:05:19.020 holds.

04:05:19.240 You're watching a complete

04:05:20.140 political realignment of

04:05:22.000 the map, Senator.

04:05:24.940 Look, and it's encouraging

04:05:26.360 for the country, and I

04:05:27.300 actually have to give a

04:05:28.100 shout-out to Joe Biden

04:05:29.080 and Kamala Harris, who all

04:05:30.940 they had to do was open

04:05:31.900 up the border, invite,

04:05:33.040 like, narco-terrorists into 0.87

04:05:34.500 the country, and people

04:05:35.180 are like, you people are 1.00

04:05:35.960 friggin' nuts. 1.00

04:05:36.980 Yeah.

04:05:37.340 And I think, actually,

04:05:38.700 South Texas is a

04:05:39.860 generational realignment.

04:05:41.500 I think we're going to

04:05:42.080 see, I'm going to make a

04:05:42.660 prediction in the next

04:05:43.900 year that we see a bunch

04:05:45.180 of elected Democrats in

04:05:46.900 South Texas flip over and

04:05:48.740 become Republicans.

04:05:49.640 And they're already

04:05:50.120 conservative, but they've

04:05:51.940 been Democrat for a

04:05:52.780 hundred years, and I

04:05:53.620 think this election is

04:05:55.320 really going to shift the

04:05:56.600 math for Texas, and I

04:05:57.720 hope nationally it's going

04:05:59.060 to help shift the math in a

04:06:00.320 significant way for

04:06:01.320 Hispanics across the

04:06:02.240 country.

04:06:03.020 So, Ted, Fox News is now

04:06:04.380 reporting that the Harris

04:06:05.100 campaign has stopped

04:06:05.900 giving all comment to the

04:06:07.060 media, which is always the

04:06:07.920 sign of a winning campaign.

04:06:12.180 So I do wonder if Kamala is

04:06:14.600 behaving like Hillary, if 0.66

04:06:16.140 she's drunk as a skunk right 1.00

04:06:17.340 now and screaming at her 0.99

04:06:18.340 age.

04:06:18.620 I don't know.

04:06:19.600 But it does make you

04:06:20.860 speculate.

04:06:22.240 Senator, how important was

04:06:23.600 holding the Senate and

04:06:24.660 flipping the Senate in this

04:06:26.680 election?

04:06:27.020 Look, massively important,

04:06:30.720 and I'll tell you, you

04:06:31.740 guys are fresher on the

04:06:33.200 numbers.

04:06:33.520 I was just listening to you

04:06:34.220 talk about it.

04:06:34.740 I've been on stage until

04:06:35.820 five minutes ago, so I've

04:06:36.980 missed the last hour of

04:06:38.500 developments.

04:06:39.040 I know they've called

04:06:39.620 Ohio, and right now the

04:06:41.580 numbers in Pennsylvania and

04:06:42.660 Michigan and Wisconsin,

04:06:44.100 those are really

04:06:44.760 encouraging, and hopefully

04:06:46.540 Montana, I expect they're

04:06:47.700 going to call that pretty

04:06:48.480 soon.

04:06:49.640 Look, I mean, you're

04:06:50.500 right, we could easily be at

04:06:51.860 55, which is a sea change

04:06:54.280 and really a big deal.

04:06:56.720 Wow.

04:06:57.700 Senator, do you have any

04:06:58.580 sense, I assume you've been

04:06:59.800 focused on your own race and

04:07:01.760 this massive win, do you have

04:07:03.300 any sense on the House right

04:07:04.660 now, how Republicans are

04:07:06.580 feeling?

04:07:07.140 I mean, in a way, if we just

04:07:08.680 get the presidency and the

04:07:10.180 Senate, I'll be happy enough

04:07:12.300 and I'll light the cigar.

04:07:13.440 But it seems like with this

04:07:14.940 kind of momentum, we might do

04:07:16.380 well in the House, too.

04:07:19.140 I think we've got a good

04:07:20.720 shot at it.

04:07:21.180 I've seen no numbers, so I

04:07:22.400 don't, that's not based on

04:07:24.700 developments tonight, but my

04:07:26.680 view has always been that

04:07:28.120 the White House and the

04:07:29.240 House are positively

04:07:30.220 correlated and that if Trump

04:07:31.480 is turning out big numbers,

04:07:33.240 look, to win the House and

04:07:35.420 grow our majorities, we've

04:07:36.460 got to win some tough seats

04:07:38.100 in New York, some tough seats

04:07:39.260 in California, and based on

04:07:42.640 the early results, I think

04:07:44.040 we've got a real shot at it.

04:07:46.400 But, you know, look, I

04:07:47.920 expect, I think the odds are

04:07:49.840 looking very good that come

04:07:50.980 in January, we have a

04:07:52.300 Republican White House, a

04:07:53.340 Republican House, and a

04:07:54.180 Republican Senate.

04:07:55.040 Wow.

04:07:55.300 And if that's the case, we

04:07:56.300 need to roll up our sleeves

04:07:57.180 and get to work because we

04:07:58.020 have a lot of work to do.

04:07:58.820 That's exactly right.

04:07:59.660 Senator, I know that you

04:08:00.600 didn't make time for much

04:08:01.440 press tonight.

04:08:01.980 We really appreciate you

04:08:02.760 making time for us.

04:08:03.760 You've got a big party to get

04:08:04.680 back to and a lot of hands to

04:08:05.840 shake, but congratulations

04:08:07.200 again.

04:08:07.820 Congratulations.

04:08:08.040 Here we go.

04:08:09.660 Here we go.

04:08:10.980 Look, I love you guys.

04:08:13.460 You are extraordinary.

04:08:15.200 And by the way, congratulations

04:08:17.140 on getting your movie

04:08:19.340 trailer, what was it, on

04:08:21.320 Rachel Maddow?

04:08:23.100 Okay, that was pretty wild.

04:08:26.320 We try to have a good time.

04:08:27.260 You've got to tell me, did

04:08:27.700 anyone stream from that?

04:08:28.980 Did you get any MSNBC people

04:08:30.720 like logging on saying, I

04:08:32.260 got to see the movie?

04:08:34.200 Nary a single one.

04:08:36.140 Single one.

04:08:37.520 Least efficient marketing

04:08:38.660 campaign in Daily Wire.

04:08:39.720 I think they all know the

04:08:40.720 answer, which is they think

04:08:41.720 everyone's a racist.

04:08:42.860 That's exactly right. 0.55

04:08:44.000 So I'm going to put out a

04:08:45.080 live request to everybody in

04:08:47.520 production.

04:08:48.320 Well, Senator, I know you're

04:08:49.220 busy.

04:08:49.500 Sorry.

04:08:50.700 Senator, get back to your

04:08:51.700 party.

04:08:52.480 Celebrate.

04:08:53.720 Thank you, sir.

04:08:55.080 So I'm going to put out a

04:08:55.940 request to our production

04:08:56.620 team.

04:08:57.000 We need to find out, when do

04:08:58.420 we get to live stream MSNBC?

04:09:00.480 When do we get to watch the

04:09:01.980 good stuff?

04:09:02.600 Okay, guys?

04:09:03.320 Come on.

04:09:04.220 Come on.

04:09:04.700 A friend of mine just bought

04:09:05.820 a subscription about 25

04:09:09.860 minutes ago.

04:09:11.040 He felt it was now in safe

04:09:12.720 enough territory that it was

04:09:13.740 worth, the 50 bucks or

04:09:14.840 whatever, in order to watch

04:09:16.260 the trial, at least on a

04:09:17.340 free trial.

04:09:17.880 This is like, when can you

04:09:18.620 start playing Christmas

04:09:19.300 music?

04:09:21.080 It seems like the answer

04:09:22.440 may be tonight.

04:09:25.700 MS3TK, right?

04:09:26.340 We're just going to sit here.

04:09:27.120 It'll be a shot of us from

04:09:27.820 behind just critiquing

04:09:28.800 Rachel Maddow and company.

04:09:30.260 Again, the numbers continue

04:09:31.200 to come in in favor of

04:09:32.500 President Trump.

04:09:33.180 He is currently up by

04:09:34.660 approximately 60,000 votes

04:09:37.120 in Wisconsin.

04:09:38.460 He is currently up by, at

04:09:40.060 last count, 170,000 votes.

04:09:43.740 In Pennsylvania, and he is

04:09:46.040 currently up in Michigan by

04:09:48.060 somewhere on the order of

04:09:49.600 116,000 votes.

04:09:51.980 Interestingly enough, both

04:09:53.440 Pennsylvania and Michigan may

04:09:55.040 be the two states in the

04:09:56.340 country the most impacted by

04:09:58.660 the massacre on 10-7.

04:10:00.340 Yes.

04:10:00.580 Yes.

04:10:01.000 By the way, you want a great

04:10:02.300 stat?

04:10:02.600 Here's a great stat for you.

04:10:03.440 You ready for this?

04:10:03.900 Yes.

04:10:04.140 So, the Biden administration, 0.99

04:10:06.700 because they're incompetent and 0.99

04:10:07.440 horrifying at everything, and 0.98

04:10:08.740 because Kamala Harris is 0.99

04:10:09.580 incompetent and horrifying at 0.94

04:10:10.480 everything, they have achieved 0.94

04:10:11.320 the signal feed of alienating both

04:10:12.880 Jews and Muslims.

04:10:13.820 Yes.

04:10:14.180 Wow.

04:10:15.620 It looks very much as the

04:10:17.420 Detroit Free Press reporter,

04:10:19.000 Neeraj Wariku, reports that

04:10:21.120 Kamala Harris will not win the

04:10:22.480 south end of Dearborn.

04:10:23.900 Whoa.

04:10:24.320 It's an area that is 90-plus

04:10:25.740 percent Muslim that Biden won

04:10:27.000 with 88 percent of the vote

04:10:28.660 four years ago.

04:10:29.720 Yeah.

04:10:29.860 And that vote is instead going

04:10:30.900 to the best Jew of all, Jill

04:10:32.600 Stein.

04:10:33.080 Yeah.

04:10:33.520 Wow.

04:10:33.880 So, that's it.

04:10:34.400 Well, this is actually something

04:10:36.220 that people—

04:10:36.240 You can't be psychotic enough for 1.00

04:10:37.420 the psychotic, you stupid asses. 1.00

04:10:38.980 Well, this is also—no, this is—there's 1.00

04:10:40.560 another point here, which is that the

04:10:42.660 war is great in theory for a certain

04:10:45.760 group of people, but it's terrible in

04:10:47.420 practice for every single person

04:10:48.980 involved.

04:10:49.720 And so, in Pennsylvania, you have a

04:10:52.360 large Jewish population who's rightly 1.00

04:10:55.180 outraged about what happened.

04:10:57.140 And I suspect that in places like

04:10:59.140 Michigan, you have people who are

04:11:00.180 outraged that the people actually

04:11:04.820 dying in the war are their kin.

04:11:07.020 And what they would like to see is

04:11:09.100 some kind of American leadership

04:11:10.360 that helps—well, A, they could have

04:11:12.420 prevented this, which you had in

04:11:13.840 Donald Trump, to his credit, or could

04:11:15.640 bring this to an end, which I think

04:11:17.020 you will also have in Donald Trump.

04:11:18.740 You know, when I was at MSG, I saw

04:11:20.560 sitting 40 feet away from people—40

04:11:23.520 feet away from each other—a woman in a

04:11:25.940 hijab, and then just across the way, a

04:11:28.160 guy is holding up an Israel flag.

04:11:29.840 This is so funny.

04:11:30.800 They're so close to each other.

04:11:32.400 Why are they both here?

04:11:33.260 Did one of them get tricked or

04:11:34.600 something?

04:11:34.880 And you think, no, it is actually

04:11:36.660 rational.

04:11:37.180 How close together were they?

04:11:38.880 They were pretty close.

04:11:40.540 That's like the width of Israel.

04:11:43.680 Roughly the river to the sea.

04:11:45.820 This is, tangentially, you know, we've

04:11:48.240 got to talk about this yo voy a votar

04:11:50.540 por Donald Trump situation that's

04:11:52.500 going—I mean, this Latino vote that 1.00

04:11:54.980 has—if this turns out to be the

04:11:57.460 actual result, that in itself, along

04:12:01.340 with perhaps the shift in black men,

04:12:03.200 will represent something so significant.

04:12:06.240 And what's crazy to me, and I'm only

04:12:08.240 even now, in real time, coming to

04:12:10.540 realize this, is really what this

04:12:12.300 represents is that Latinos are 0.98

04:12:14.580 assimilating.

04:12:16.760 Right.

04:12:17.400 I mean, basically, what we're saying,

04:12:19.460 and this is true also of the, you know,

04:12:21.600 hijab-wearing woman and the Jew at the

04:12:24.640 MSG rally and, you know, all of these

04:12:26.500 different people that we've seen.

04:12:27.900 You know, again, we've said this a

04:12:30.060 million times, so we don't have to

04:12:31.180 reiterate it, but Trump is imperfect, and

04:12:33.100 yet he represents a certain bullish

04:12:35.140 Americanism that everybody responds to

04:12:37.840 viscerally.

04:12:38.860 And one of the things that has come under

04:12:41.380 question with the influx of indiscriminate

04:12:45.060 illegal immigration is how much racial

04:12:49.800 diversity can that Americanism actually

04:12:52.860 sustain?

04:12:53.560 Yeah.

04:12:53.700 And now, if it turns out that Latinos are 1.00

04:12:57.060 flocking to Trump, it will turn out that

04:12:59.280 in fact...

04:12:59.600 Well, speaking of assimilation, Michael

04:13:01.360 Knowles is going to leave this broadcast

04:13:03.600 and go over to TimCast.

04:13:05.620 Our friend Tim Poole is broadcasting live

04:13:07.640 from DWHQ, and Michael is no longer going

04:13:11.580 to be a member of this team.

04:13:12.820 He will re-assimilate.

04:13:13.700 He will re-assimilate into that team.

04:13:16.040 And I will cease to be an Italian and

04:13:18.140 become a Hispanic.

04:13:19.380 I've been waiting for a long time.

04:13:20.920 Like in that one movie.

04:13:21.720 Like in that movie, actually.

04:13:23.300 During the 2016 election, actually.

04:13:25.040 That's right.

04:13:25.800 Yo voy a hablar con Tim Poole.

04:13:29.160 Adios.

04:13:29.800 Adios, amigos.

04:13:30.940 You get one of those little black hats?

04:13:32.740 You know why this is, honest to God?

04:13:34.900 It's because Donald Trump, you know,

04:13:36.700 they're always calling him a racist.

04:13:37.960 Hold on, hold on.

04:13:38.580 Look at this shot.

04:13:39.760 Look at how good this is.

04:13:40.700 Look at Michael Walken.

04:13:41.760 This is movie making.

04:13:42.940 Wow.

04:13:43.160 Look how beautiful our studio is.

04:13:44.780 Hello, everybody.

04:13:45.960 Do you realize how close these people are to us?

04:13:48.320 I had no idea.

04:13:49.680 It seemed like they were in a completely

04:13:50.840 different room.

04:13:52.000 Unbelievable.

04:13:53.360 Oh, my God.

04:13:53.900 This is big.

04:13:54.860 Last time, when we were doing this in 2016,

04:13:57.340 we were in Jeremy's broom closet.

04:13:59.980 There was mold.

04:14:01.440 There were rats scurrying about.

04:14:02.840 Now, this is big.

04:14:04.040 And it's all because of the Daily Wire Plus members.

04:14:05.880 We really appreciate you.

04:14:07.040 If you haven't joined yet, now's the time to do it.

04:14:09.360 No one's quite popping champagne,

04:14:10.980 but everyone's getting a little excited.

04:14:12.320 And here we are.

04:14:13.680 Is this?

04:14:14.060 Oh, my man.

04:14:16.040 Don't tempt me.

04:14:16.880 There, you know, the Churchill is magnificent of the Mayflower cigars.

04:14:22.280 I'm not ready.

04:14:23.560 I'm not ready to light them up yet.

04:14:25.460 Come on, man.

04:14:25.920 Are you guys celebrating yet?

04:14:27.280 Hey.

04:14:27.900 Oh, hey.

04:14:28.440 What's going on?

04:14:28.940 How are you doing, Brian?

04:14:30.120 Are we...

04:14:30.580 I'm not counting your chickens too soon.

04:14:32.300 Did someone just put a little pappy in front of me? 0.99

04:14:34.780 Absolutely.

04:14:35.320 Do you have a glass?

04:14:36.620 I could use a glass.

04:14:38.060 Where do the glasses go?

04:14:39.100 Where do the glasses go?

04:14:39.540 Are the glasses back in there?

04:14:40.260 No, no, no, no.

04:14:40.780 We have fresh cups.

04:14:42.180 Somebody grab me one, too.

04:14:42.880 The wonderful people at the Daily Wire brought in a bunch of fresh glasses

04:14:45.600 for this delicious Kentucky bourbon that I insist you partake.

04:14:50.740 If you...

04:14:51.440 Look, I was going to wait to celebrate,

04:14:53.540 but that was before Tim brought out like a $2,000 bottle.

04:14:58.500 You might as well light up a cigar while you're at it.

04:15:00.760 I'm tempted to do it.

04:15:01.760 You look great, by the way.

04:15:02.800 You look great.

04:15:03.380 Thank you.

04:15:04.180 He looks all right.

04:15:05.420 Dapper is the word we use.

04:15:07.020 This is my Mayflower cigars smoking jacket,

04:15:09.640 which is sold out now, so no one can get it, unfortunately.

04:15:12.560 But we're doing it with Shepherds,

04:15:14.520 which is the men's clothing company

04:15:16.760 that is owned in part by Harrison Butker.

04:15:19.680 And I just feel that the right right now,

04:15:24.220 it feels good.

04:15:24.860 I don't want to get out in front of my skis.

04:15:26.120 It feels good, though.

04:15:27.140 I hear you.

04:15:27.840 No, I'm there with you.

04:15:28.820 Can I get a cigar?

04:15:30.380 You can.

04:15:30.920 Oh, my gosh.

04:15:32.020 Shame on you.

04:15:32.360 Oh, my.

04:15:33.280 Look at you, man.

04:15:35.020 It's the art of the deal.

04:15:36.560 I was asked earlier.

04:15:38.580 The light.

04:15:39.180 The dark, the big, the small.

04:15:40.380 What's the difference?

04:15:40.740 I'll get one of the light ones.

04:15:41.860 The light one is the Mayflower dawn.

04:15:43.740 Is it dawn in America?

04:15:44.880 The dark one is Mayflower dusk.

04:15:46.600 Do you expect him to deliver it to you?

04:15:47.760 You clearly don't watch this podcast,

04:15:48.180 because I do, and I know the things and the smoking jacket.

04:15:51.360 Did you want to advertise it instead of it?

04:15:53.200 I don't care.

04:15:54.560 Yeah, we're waiting on something to celebrate officially.

04:15:59.180 I'm so ashamed that we let him not only go over there,

04:16:02.360 but take us all on that journey of hearing him pedal his cigars.

04:16:06.620 It's like, the worst part is they're good cigars.

04:16:07.940 If I didn't notice that company, I'd be so upset right now.

04:16:11.920 So, yeah, things continue to go well.

04:16:15.460 It's a good night.

04:16:16.940 So far, God willing, it is an excellent, excellent evening.

04:16:23.500 And the Senate races are continuing to look good.

04:16:25.640 The House races right now, the House is still up in the air.

04:16:27.920 About 165 Republican House seats that are going to be retained.

04:16:31.580 About 110 for the Democrats, and Democrats need about 43 in order to take the House.

04:16:37.100 They've won four so far.

04:16:38.320 Republicans need about 27.

04:16:40.920 They've won two, so it's still very early for a lot of the House races.

04:16:43.680 But as Ted Cruz suggests, if Trump does well, if the Republicans do well in the Senate,

04:16:47.700 there's every indicator that they're going to outperform.

04:16:50.200 Republicans are outperforming, by the way, including New York City.

04:16:52.780 He's going to win 30% of New York City.

04:16:55.060 Really?

04:16:55.380 Trump.

04:16:55.780 Yeah, he's going to win 30% of New York City.

04:16:57.620 Cabot, you said you had some interesting information for us.

04:17:00.080 Yeah, a few things here.

04:17:01.600 One, CNN just did a very dour report from the Harris headquarters.

04:17:06.400 They said that it was, quote, completely silent at her watch party.

04:17:10.960 We also saw an email from the campaign manager for Harris, Jen O'Malley Dillon,

04:17:15.580 telling the campaign staff to, quote, get some sleep and get ready to close out strong tomorrow.

04:17:20.840 So it sounds like they're telling their campaign staff, all right, you can go home.

04:17:23.560 You can sleep.

04:17:24.100 A few other interesting notes.

04:17:25.740 Bitcoin just hit a record all-time high.

04:17:28.220 Yes.

04:17:29.100 74,000.

04:17:30.500 Dow futures have also soared 600 points in the last two hours.

04:17:35.280 So clearly the crypto and actual markets are thriving now.

04:17:41.380 One more interesting exit poll that we haven't talked about yet,

04:17:44.160 and this might be the sweetest of them all.

04:17:46.520 For voters who said that democracy in the U.S. is threatened,

04:17:51.740 Donald Trump won those voters by seven points.

04:17:53.660 I told you so.

04:17:54.140 Really?

04:17:55.300 Unbelievable.

04:17:55.740 That is a CNN exit poll.

04:17:57.940 Why did you think that was going to happen?

04:17:59.740 Because they asked the question if democracy is the most important thing.

04:18:04.440 And I said, well, that doesn't mean they think that Kamala Harris is the best thing for democracy.

04:18:07.560 Is the representative of democracy.

04:18:08.940 Yeah, yeah. 1.00

04:18:09.040 It's a stupid question. 1.00

04:18:10.160 Come on, right? 1.00

04:18:10.740 She really is a deranged psychopath. 1.00

04:18:12.800 Well, there's that. 1.00

04:18:13.660 Like, she's a contemptible weirdo. 0.99

04:18:14.640 Like, this is sort of, you know, we'll all go back. 0.88

04:18:16.860 It's also good for Drew to be right about politics once every four years.

04:18:20.340 I have been right every show, every day.

04:18:22.340 I have the receipts every daily wire.

04:18:24.140 I've told you exactly what's going to happen.

04:18:25.620 It's just happened.

04:18:26.140 This is what it was like to grow up with.

04:18:27.260 By the way, my whole childhood was this.

04:18:31.760 The drop of the man you're not related to?

04:18:33.720 Yeah, I know.

04:18:34.400 I would just drop over his house.

04:18:36.000 Strangely, for, yeah, for 18 years of my life,

04:18:39.120 this complete stranger would come over periodically and say,

04:18:42.400 you didn't believe me all the time.

04:18:46.660 I will say that we haven't talked enough about crypto.

04:18:48.480 I started off the morning saying,

04:18:49.960 if Donald Trump wins, Bitcoin will hit 80 bucks this week.

04:18:53.120 Why?

04:18:53.740 Why?

04:18:54.600 Because the kind of people who engage in the crypto markets

04:18:58.000 are necessarily renegades.

04:19:01.180 They're necessarily anti-establishment.

04:19:03.820 And I think that just like so many aspects of our economy

04:19:07.560 have been artificially suppressed by the horrible threat

04:19:12.320 of more regulation, worse fiduciary policy over time.

04:19:17.620 The crypto markets in particular are so afraid

04:19:21.760 that the left is going to regulate them out of existence.

04:19:23.900 Just like social media is so afraid

04:19:25.580 that the left is going to regulate them out of existence.

04:19:27.900 Just like Elon Musk is so afraid

04:19:29.240 that the left is going to regulate him out of existence.

04:19:31.800 And so I'm thinking now, I mean,

04:19:33.640 it already hit $75,000 today.

04:19:35.660 It could hit $100,000 by the end of the year.

04:19:37.960 I will add, I went to a lot of Trump rallies this cycle.

04:19:41.260 The single loudest moment of any Trump rally that I heard

04:19:45.320 was not a Trump rally.

04:19:46.560 It was Trump speaking at the International Bitcoin Conference

04:19:49.440 here in National when he promised to protect cryptocurrency.

04:19:53.840 He was going to fire a number of SEC employees.

04:19:59.560 When he made that promise,

04:20:01.120 it was the loudest applause that I heard of the entire cycle.

04:20:03.820 And one more note I'll add on that trip.

04:20:05.420 We met a former NFL player at that conference

04:20:07.940 who took his entire salary in Bitcoin.

04:20:10.180 He's now a mega, almost billionaire.

04:20:12.620 Michael Knowles told him,

04:20:13.760 oh, I'm not invested in Bitcoin.

04:20:15.840 And he pulled out a card and said,

04:20:17.780 Michael, this QR code, I will give you your first Bitcoin.

04:20:21.400 Here is a QR code.

04:20:22.400 Just scan that.

04:20:23.300 It'll contact me and I'll get you set up.

04:20:25.720 I talked to Michael a few days later at the office.

04:20:27.440 I'm like, did you get your first Bitcoin?

04:20:29.100 And he's like.

04:20:31.020 Are you kidding?

04:20:32.000 Oh my gosh.

04:20:32.980 So we got to ask him about that.

04:20:34.340 We got to ask him,

04:20:34.920 did he actually find that card and redeem?

04:20:36.780 So as of this evening,

04:20:38.820 he left $75,000 on the table.

04:20:41.160 By Christmas,

04:20:42.440 he could have left $100,000 on the table for free.

04:20:45.220 Someone at that conference picked up that QR code.

04:20:47.540 Unbelievable.

04:20:48.300 Listen, while Michael Knowles has terrible judgment

04:20:51.040 and Andrew Klavan's only right every once in a while,

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04:22:05.760 That's E-X-P-R-E-S-S-V-P-N dot com 1.00

04:22:08.660 slash election.

04:22:09.480 Join us now from Trump HQ

04:22:13.560 where I suspect they're not telling

04:22:15.140 their people to go home 0.66

04:22:16.480 and get some sleep

04:22:17.140 is our very own Mary Margaret Olihan.

04:22:19.500 Welcome back to the show, Mary Margaret.

04:22:22.500 Hey guys, it's great to be here with you.

04:22:24.780 How are things going down there?

04:22:26.060 What's the vibe in the room?

04:22:28.740 Well, everyone out here is very excited.

04:22:31.440 We've been talking to a lot of people

04:22:32.520 on the ground,

04:22:33.080 a lot of these Trump supporters,

04:22:34.700 former White House employees,

04:22:36.160 former White House staff,

04:22:37.480 people who hope they may be

04:22:38.760 future White House staff

04:22:39.940 and everyone across the board,

04:22:41.600 except maybe some of the liberal media here,

04:22:43.540 thinks that Trump is going to win.

04:22:45.660 So everyone we're talking to

04:22:46.980 is rejoicing,

04:22:48.000 they're really excited.

04:22:49.400 Multiple people told me

04:22:50.320 they think it's going to be

04:22:51.140 a big blowout.

04:22:52.920 It's just very high enthusiasm

04:22:54.580 and as you can see behind me,

04:22:56.800 they'll show on the screens

04:22:58.160 Fox or CNN

04:22:59.900 when they're announcing

04:23:01.220 which state went for which candidate

04:23:02.920 and whenever a state goes for Trump,

04:23:04.960 there's a huge, wild applause

04:23:06.280 and then there's booing

04:23:07.480 when it goes for Harris.

04:23:08.440 So it's fun,

04:23:09.520 it's exciting to be here.

04:23:11.280 Now, where you're standing right now,

04:23:12.540 you're literally surrounded

04:23:13.580 by liberal reporters.

04:23:15.060 How are they holding up?

04:23:17.420 Yeah.

04:23:18.360 Yeah, so this has been fun.

04:23:20.080 You know, if you look around,

04:23:21.440 we are surrounded,

04:23:22.560 we've got,

04:23:23.340 I mean,

04:23:23.680 directly to my right and left,

04:23:24.880 we've got Newsmax

04:23:26.580 and Fox News,

04:23:27.320 but then of course,

04:23:28.060 ABC is a couple of rows down

04:23:29.640 and then we've got CNN over here.

04:23:31.440 Some glum faces around us,

04:23:33.360 I can tell you.

04:23:34.180 There's some people

04:23:35.100 who were smiling earlier

04:23:36.160 in the evening

04:23:36.760 that no longer are.

04:23:38.480 It's kind of funny to me too

04:23:39.620 to be here

04:23:40.340 when surrounded by a lot of people

04:23:41.760 that I've seen online

04:23:42.720 for many years.

04:23:43.940 People be very aggressive,

04:23:45.360 very antagonistic

04:23:46.240 about Republicans

04:23:47.100 or Trump

04:23:47.820 and who are now here

04:23:49.580 in real life

04:23:50.140 and they're talking

04:23:50.740 about the news

04:23:51.400 and it's kind of funny

04:23:52.600 actually to see them

04:23:53.760 in real life.

04:23:54.340 One thing with the Kamala Harris campaign,

04:23:58.280 they've all but said

04:23:59.080 that we will not hear

04:24:00.140 from the vice president tonight,

04:24:02.000 but I suspect that even

04:24:03.080 if we don't get a call tonight,

04:24:04.980 we may still hear

04:24:05.800 from Donald Trump.

04:24:06.580 What do you think?

04:24:09.060 I think we will hear from him

04:24:10.620 whether or not we get

04:24:11.620 a call on the race.

04:24:13.960 A lot of people in the crowd

04:24:15.120 are telling me the same thing.

04:24:16.200 You know,

04:24:16.360 Trump loves his supporters,

04:24:17.580 he loves his team,

04:24:18.420 so we think he's going

04:24:19.120 to show up here

04:24:19.860 whether or not we get results

04:24:21.580 and as you can see behind me,

04:24:22.780 there's a podium.

04:24:23.380 All his supporters

04:24:24.780 are here and excited,

04:24:26.020 so I hope he comes.

04:24:27.140 I'd love to see

04:24:27.620 what he has to say

04:24:28.360 even if we don't get results tonight,

04:24:30.300 but I will tell you

04:24:31.160 a lot of people in here

04:24:32.520 are thinking

04:24:33.020 that we're going to hear

04:24:34.080 the results

04:24:34.680 of the 2024 election tonight.

04:24:37.020 That's, you know,

04:24:37.700 speculation on a lot

04:24:38.700 of their parts,

04:24:39.300 but that's just the vibe

04:24:40.300 in the room

04:24:40.760 that's growing and growing

04:24:41.840 and I really hope we do too

04:24:43.340 because it would be fun

04:24:44.120 to have the results

04:24:44.840 and move on

04:24:45.800 with the next future president

04:24:48.620 of the United States

04:24:49.720 and learn how we're going

04:24:50.560 to make America great

04:24:51.940 and healthy

04:24:52.460 and prosperous once again.

04:24:55.220 Mary Margaret,

04:24:55.760 thank you.

04:24:56.060 We'll be checking in

04:24:56.620 later in the night.

04:24:58.260 Of course,

04:24:58.660 Marsha Blackburn,

04:24:59.560 senator from Tennessee,

04:25:00.980 recently re-elected,

04:25:02.700 of course,

04:25:02.960 won her race

04:25:03.500 and said to our own

04:25:04.160 Michael Knowles

04:25:04.680 that she predicted

04:25:05.360 we would have results

04:25:06.360 by midnight tonight,

04:25:07.600 which is only two hours.

04:25:08.400 By the way,

04:25:08.580 Daily Wire's footprint

04:25:09.200 at Trump HQ

04:25:09.960 was made possible

04:25:10.680 by our friends

04:25:11.120 over at PDS Debt.

04:25:11.960 Get a custom plan,

04:25:12.800 become debt-free right now

04:25:13.860 at pdsdebt.com

04:25:15.060 slash Daily Wire.

04:25:16.640 By the way,

04:25:17.540 a fellow Jew's coming through

04:25:18.560 over in New York.

04:25:19.740 Yeah, boy.

04:25:20.660 There it is.

04:25:21.660 They're showing up

04:25:22.100 in Westchester County.

04:25:23.100 They're showing up

04:25:23.400 in Nassau County.

04:25:24.660 Donald Trump

04:25:25.060 is currently winning

04:25:25.680 33% of New York City.

04:25:28.220 33% of New York City.

04:25:30.440 Not the state,

04:25:31.200 the city.

04:25:32.140 Does that bode well then

04:25:33.320 for Pennsylvania?

04:25:34.120 Yes.

04:25:34.280 Because there are

04:25:34.780 a significant number

04:25:35.740 of Jewish voters.

04:25:36.540 So when I campaigned

04:25:37.280 with McCormick,

04:25:37.940 we did a couple,

04:25:38.520 we did one particular event

04:25:39.580 in somebody's backyard

04:25:40.240 with a bunch of Jews there

04:25:41.280 who cared about Israel.

04:25:42.540 They were fired up.

04:25:43.360 There was one lady 0.93

04:25:43.920 who was like,

04:25:44.360 listen,

04:25:44.560 I don't know if I can

04:25:45.100 pull the trigger for Trump

04:25:45.900 just because of all

04:25:46.480 his various excesses

04:25:47.600 and all this kind of stuff.

04:25:48.300 And I was like,

04:25:48.640 you don't have a choice.

04:25:49.280 You need to pull

04:25:49.600 the trigger for Trump.

04:25:50.660 And I think that

04:25:51.300 that is coming out

04:25:52.480 loud and clear right now.

04:25:54.020 I gotta tell you,

04:25:54.380 the number of friends

04:25:54.960 that I have in Israel

04:25:55.640 who have been texting me

04:25:56.580 all day long

04:25:58.000 asking me if I thought

04:25:59.200 Trump was gonna win

04:25:59.900 and I was like,

04:26:00.420 listen,

04:26:00.700 I'm cautiously optimistic.

04:26:02.200 I think he's gonna win.

04:26:03.960 So there was a poll

04:26:04.920 in Israel

04:26:05.560 of who they wanted to win,

04:26:07.040 of who they wanted to win.

04:26:08.440 And that poll found

04:26:09.340 that by a margin

04:26:10.180 of something like 70 to 6,

04:26:12.880 they wanted Donald Trump

04:26:13.820 to win.

04:26:14.240 I mean,

04:26:14.420 because they know

04:26:15.240 which administration

04:26:16.060 is likely to allow them

04:26:17.420 to, you know, 0.99

04:26:17.820 kill the terrorists 1.00

04:26:18.620 and face down Ron 1.00

04:26:19.560 and which one is likely

04:26:20.680 to side with the terrorists

04:26:21.620 and stop them 0.66

04:26:22.240 from killing the terrorists.

04:26:23.560 So, listen, 0.85

04:26:24.440 the world is going to be

04:26:25.380 a much more peaceful place.

04:26:26.460 Nate Cohen just put out

04:26:27.300 this statement 24 minutes ago.

04:26:28.460 There's still a lot of vote

04:26:29.040 left in Milwaukee,

04:26:29.740 Detroit, and Philly.

04:26:30.560 But for Harris to win,

04:26:31.340 she would need to outperform

04:26:32.120 Biden's numbers here in 2020.

04:26:33.700 So far,

04:26:34.020 she's underperforming

04:26:34.880 Biden's results

04:26:35.440 just about everywhere

04:26:36.960 in the country.

04:26:39.200 Okay?

04:26:39.520 That bodes ill

04:26:40.740 for somewhere.

04:26:42.060 By the way,

04:26:42.460 I cannot wait

04:26:43.640 for the books to be written.

04:26:44.660 I cannot wait.

04:26:46.360 Joe Biden is going

04:26:47.260 to rush to a biographer.

04:26:49.000 He and Joe 1.00

04:26:49.980 are just going to shit 1.00

04:26:51.540 so hard 1.00

04:26:52.660 all over Kamala Harris

04:26:54.940 and everything

04:26:55.380 that has happened.

04:26:56.080 It is going to be

04:26:56.860 wildly entertaining.

04:26:58.560 The amount of rage

04:26:59.940 Joe Biden must feel

04:27:00.920 right now

04:27:01.400 and the beautiful thing

04:27:02.260 for Joe Biden

04:27:02.760 and it's wonderful,

04:27:03.760 truly wonderful.

04:27:04.460 It's like the best day

04:27:04.980 of his life right now

04:27:05.700 because the truth is

04:27:06.800 that had he run,

04:27:07.680 he probably would have

04:27:08.100 lost to Trump.

04:27:08.960 But he didn't.

04:27:10.280 He got ousted

04:27:10.900 for Kamala Harris.

04:27:11.740 So now he gets to claim

04:27:12.620 for the rest of his life

04:27:13.840 that if he had been

04:27:14.600 left in place,

04:27:15.680 he would have beaten Trump

04:27:16.740 and they unfairly ousted him

04:27:18.220 after the most successful

04:27:19.240 first term in out of cash.

04:27:20.840 And then he's going 0.99

04:27:22.100 to get to just crap 0.99

04:27:23.300 so hard over this lady. 1.00

04:27:25.140 He hates like fire.

04:27:26.880 I mean, 0.83

04:27:27.100 he hates her with a fiery passion

04:27:28.460 of a thousand burning suns.

04:27:30.100 Jill Biden,

04:27:30.760 same thing.

04:27:31.300 She's wanted to strap

04:27:32.280 Kamala Harris

04:27:33.440 to one of Elon Musk's rockets

04:27:34.600 and fire her into space 1.00

04:27:35.960 for years.

04:27:36.860 It's going to be

04:27:37.340 like the recriminations here

04:27:38.600 are going to be

04:27:39.100 so wonderful

04:27:40.140 and so well-deserved

04:27:41.300 by all involved.

04:27:42.760 And I'm here

04:27:43.440 for every single moment of it.

04:27:44.800 Every single moment.

04:27:45.620 I mean,

04:27:45.860 I got to say,

04:27:46.620 I thought the writing

04:27:48.160 on this season of Trump

04:27:48.960 was overdone.

04:27:49.440 I really did.

04:27:49.920 I thought this season

04:27:50.520 of Trump had gone off the rails.

04:27:52.480 I thought that they got

04:27:53.820 in the back room

04:27:54.520 writing that script.

04:27:55.180 He's like,

04:27:55.420 you know what?

04:27:55.820 Not just one assassination

04:27:57.040 attempt, two.

04:27:58.080 We're going to go back

04:27:58.600 to the well.

04:27:59.000 We need a second

04:27:59.580 assassination attempt.

04:28:00.900 What if the Democratic candidate

04:28:02.880 died on the stage?

04:28:04.120 Well, that'd be cool,

04:28:05.080 but what if we totally

04:28:05.820 swapped him out for her?

04:28:07.640 And then what if she picked 0.92

04:28:08.320 this weirdo

04:28:09.240 who has floppy arm syndrome

04:28:10.960 from Minnesota?

04:28:11.980 This writing is just bad.

04:28:13.320 It's just not good writing.

04:28:14.200 I'm sorry.

04:28:14.660 It's overdone.

04:28:15.440 It's like some of the worst

04:28:17.200 soap opera stuff I've ever,

04:28:18.180 but I got to tell you,

04:28:19.140 they really nailed the finale.

04:28:20.580 They are nailing the finale.

04:28:22.360 It's unbelievably good.

04:28:23.700 I'm loving every second of it.

04:28:25.140 I cannot wait

04:28:25.820 for the online extras.

04:28:27.700 I'm subscribing.

04:28:28.600 I'm like,

04:28:29.680 the merch?

04:28:30.500 Oh, the merch.

04:28:31.060 Are you kidding me?

04:28:31.720 The merch is going to be unreal.

04:28:34.120 It's going to be so good.

04:28:35.440 And I got to tell you,

04:28:36.560 the turning point of this election

04:28:37.540 is when Donald Trump and I

04:28:38.780 stood by the grave

04:28:40.000 of...

04:28:41.140 And there's a picture of me

04:28:43.160 and Donald Trump

04:28:44.200 making prayers

04:28:45.760 at the grave

04:28:47.620 of Rabbi Benachem Mendel Schneerson.

04:28:49.600 That's the moment

04:28:50.400 when this election was decided.

04:28:52.240 Of course.

04:28:52.780 Through pure

04:28:53.580 Zionistic 0.99

04:28:55.220 laser power,

04:28:56.600 that is when this election

04:28:58.340 turned,

04:28:59.640 boom,

04:29:00.320 check out the polls,

04:29:01.580 October 7th,

04:29:02.780 2024.

04:29:04.460 I will curse, 0.99

04:29:05.120 I will curse those, 1.00

04:29:06.080 right, 1.00

04:29:06.260 who curse you? 1.00

04:29:06.740 Correct.

04:29:08.140 There you go.

04:29:08.740 God coming through once again.

04:29:09.900 I had a going theory

04:29:10.600 that I told some friends

04:29:11.440 before this,

04:29:12.100 that God definitely

04:29:13.360 wants Donald Trump to win.

04:29:14.260 I've been saying this for a while,

04:29:15.100 that God clearly wants

04:29:15.880 Donald Trump to win.

04:29:16.500 There's only one reason

04:29:17.140 God turns Trump's head

04:29:18.060 right at the last minute

04:29:19.580 and the bullet misses him

04:29:20.560 by this much.

04:29:21.520 And then the other part

04:29:22.240 of my theory is that

04:29:22.800 Donald Trump was trying

04:29:23.420 to thwart God.

04:29:24.560 And as it turns out,

04:29:26.280 a good part of my theory

04:29:27.300 is that God always wins.

04:29:29.160 You can try and thwart God.

04:29:30.680 You can say,

04:29:31.340 I am not called,

04:29:32.160 I am not worthy,

04:29:32.820 and God will still choose you.

04:29:34.680 And that's how this will go.

04:29:36.380 And so,

04:29:36.820 yeah,

04:29:37.060 you know what?

04:29:37.760 You can see the smile

04:29:38.340 on my face.

04:29:38.960 I'm getting a little confident,

04:29:39.920 guys.

04:29:40.140 I went from cautiously optimistic

04:29:41.420 to nauseously optimistic.

04:29:42.800 And now I'm just,

04:29:43.920 you know,

04:29:44.260 pretty optimistic at this point.

04:29:45.680 I gotta say,

04:29:46.280 I'm enjoying the evening.

04:29:47.720 The enjoyment portion

04:29:48.640 of this evening

04:29:49.200 has officially begun.

04:29:50.700 It's now a Jewish holiday.

04:29:52.500 That's right.

04:29:53.320 It went from tragedy

04:29:54.320 to triumph.

04:29:55.500 That's right.

04:29:55.860 It's time to break out

04:29:56.720 some symbolic rituals.

04:29:58.440 It's time to,

04:29:59.100 it's time to eat

04:29:59.680 some kosher food.

04:30:00.740 It's time to imbibe.

04:30:02.460 And it's time to speak

04:30:03.520 some Yiddish.

04:30:04.300 Yeah, baby. 1.00

04:30:06.320 Suck on that, 1.00

04:30:07.040 Nick Fuentes. 1.00

04:30:10.520 The Hebrew hammer.

04:30:11.720 Yeah, Hebrew hammer.

04:30:12.560 You know, 0.89

04:30:15.400 you're terrifying

04:30:16.760 when you're happy.

04:30:17.340 Yeah.

04:30:24.720 Oh, man.

04:30:27.800 It's amazing to think

04:30:28.720 that Donald Trump

04:30:29.380 could win

04:30:29.940 without the Nick Fuentes vote.

04:30:35.740 Man.

04:30:36.700 The map is just looking

04:30:37.780 better and better.

04:30:38.420 Okay, so if it goes

04:30:40.780 the way we think

04:30:41.400 it's going,

04:30:42.080 those first 100 crucial days,

04:30:44.720 the agenda,

04:30:45.660 tariffs,

04:30:46.220 what else can we see? 1.00

04:30:46.320 Don't give a shit, man. 1.00

04:30:47.120 Don't care at all. 1.00

04:30:48.440 Do not care.

04:30:49.660 Sorry.

04:30:50.060 Still basking.

04:30:50.900 Gonna take a little while.

04:30:52.060 Gonna need a moment

04:30:52.860 with this one.

04:30:54.260 So the first 100 days?

04:30:55.960 Yeah.

04:30:56.280 So the first 100 days,

04:30:57.060 here's what's actually

04:30:57.520 going to happen.

04:30:58.020 So what's actually

04:30:58.360 going to happen is

04:30:59.340 the people who are

04:31:00.320 deeply involved in staffing

04:31:01.520 other than, you know,

04:31:02.620 sort of Don Jr.

04:31:03.600 You got Howard Lutnick

04:31:04.280 who's deeply involved

04:31:05.100 in staffing up

04:31:05.760 the administration.

04:31:06.360 I think that the early

04:31:07.940 sort of front runners

04:31:08.620 for some of these positions,

04:31:09.540 Tom Cotton for SecDef,

04:31:10.620 I think Mike Pompeo

04:31:11.280 might be considered

04:31:11.800 for SecState again.

04:31:13.380 If not Pompeo,

04:31:14.860 you might take a look

04:31:15.460 at Marco Rubio,

04:31:16.200 Senator from Florida.

04:31:18.140 You're looking at,

04:31:20.600 for Secretary of the Treasury,

04:31:22.880 that one's kind of hard.

04:31:26.760 Obviously, Musk goes in.

04:31:28.520 He's going to perform

04:31:29.260 some government function.

04:31:30.880 Maybe.

04:31:31.360 Musk doesn't want 0.99

04:31:32.120 to be in the government.

04:31:32.700 No, no, not in the government.

04:31:33.640 Like, he's a special advisor.

04:31:34.980 Yeah.

04:31:35.080 Um, there's, there's some,

04:31:36.580 there's some of the

04:31:37.140 investment class

04:31:37.980 that I think you'll see

04:31:38.740 likely nominated for,

04:31:40.120 for the, you know,

04:31:41.100 some, some Trump's

04:31:41.820 New York investment friends

04:31:42.700 for Secretary of the Treasury,

04:31:44.040 kind of like Mnuchin

04:31:44.660 when in as Secretary

04:31:45.720 of the Treasury.

04:31:47.340 The thing is,

04:31:47.980 Trump has a team

04:31:48.600 that already worked.

04:31:49.840 So I think a lot of those

04:31:50.780 people end up coming back.

04:31:52.720 I think David Friedman

04:31:53.500 for UN Ambassador,

04:31:54.600 possibly Morgan Ortega

04:31:55.600 is for UN Ambassador.

04:31:56.820 Like, there are a bunch

04:31:57.640 of people who are really good

04:31:58.680 who are going to come in

04:31:59.420 and, you know,

04:32:00.560 they're going to start

04:32:01.040 cleaning it up.

04:32:01.680 And it'll be interesting

04:32:02.360 now with a very robust

04:32:03.840 Senate majority

04:32:04.380 is what this is looking like.

04:32:05.580 At the very least,

04:32:06.260 a robust Senate majority.

04:32:07.780 Yeah, I think he's going to get

04:32:08.600 most of his picks through.

04:32:10.420 So it depends on sort of

04:32:11.480 which, which place

04:32:12.180 you choose to focus.

04:32:12.860 When it comes to domestic policy,

04:32:13.920 the first thing they're going to do

04:32:14.800 is they're going to make

04:32:15.240 the Trump tax cuts permanent.

04:32:16.600 That is, that is task number one.

04:32:17.880 They're going to make those permanent

04:32:18.720 so that, that those

04:32:20.300 just don't sunset, right?

04:32:21.380 Because he has to guarantee

04:32:22.840 that he doesn't screw up

04:32:24.220 the economy.

04:32:25.060 The next thing that you're going to do

04:32:26.240 is going to slap a bunch 0.88

04:32:26.840 of tariffs on China,

04:32:27.620 which he's going to do,

04:32:28.940 I think, forthwith.

04:32:29.960 And I think he should do 0.93

04:32:30.720 because China is a cheater 0.95

04:32:31.780 and China is an intellectual 1.00

04:32:32.820 property thief 0.97

04:32:33.500 and they happen to be run 0.91

04:32:34.520 by an evil dictatorship.

04:32:35.840 So that will be,

04:32:36.480 that'll be very good.

04:32:37.520 Remain in Mexico. 0.99

04:32:38.420 Remain, yes.

04:32:39.040 Obviously on the border,

04:32:39.780 Remain in Mexico 1.00

04:32:40.240 immediately goes back into place.

04:32:41.840 Reinterpretation of asylum law

04:32:42.980 goes immediately

04:32:43.900 right back into place.

04:32:45.520 Prioritization of deportation

04:32:46.940 of criminally legal aliens

04:32:48.260 goes back into place

04:32:49.160 with widespread deportations

04:32:50.920 of those people

04:32:51.920 and massive

04:32:53.020 new investigative authority

04:32:54.600 for ICE.

04:32:55.840 On foreign policy,

04:32:56.820 I think Israel's going to 1.00

04:32:57.640 hit Iran's nuclear facilities

04:32:58.700 between the election

04:32:59.500 and Trump taking office

04:33:00.560 because I think that

04:33:01.340 Trump doesn't want that

04:33:02.560 on the table

04:33:03.200 when he gets into office

04:33:04.360 and with the Israelis

04:33:05.120 knowing that they're going

04:33:05.980 to have a friend

04:33:06.540 back in the White House

04:33:07.380 as opposed to an enemy,

04:33:08.420 they probably go hard

04:33:09.360 and they go fast

04:33:10.040 and they go now

04:33:10.660 because probably Trump is telling,

04:33:12.280 I mean, Trump said it openly.

04:33:13.200 He said,

04:33:13.460 I don't want this happening

04:33:14.240 while I'm president.

04:33:14.920 They're like,

04:33:15.180 okay, sure, no problem, man.

04:33:16.140 We'll take care of business

04:33:16.880 right now because we know

04:33:17.960 that you're not there

04:33:18.700 to cut us off at the knees.

04:33:20.000 So I would be shocked 0.75

04:33:20.940 if Israel doesn't go quite hard 0.92

04:33:22.100 over the course

04:33:22.760 of the next couple months.

04:33:23.500 It's one of the under-noticed

04:33:24.380 stories of the day

04:33:24.940 because you know

04:33:25.380 we have a thing going on

04:33:26.400 is that Prime Minister Netanyahu

04:33:27.760 fired his minister of defense

04:33:29.720 in Israel, Yav Galant,

04:33:31.100 who is widely considered

04:33:32.120 on the right in Israel

04:33:33.200 to be sort of a pipeline

04:33:34.140 to the Biden-Harris administration

04:33:35.860 and so he's putting in

04:33:36.960 some more of his own people

04:33:37.760 which means he's likely

04:33:38.480 to go quite hard,

04:33:39.540 quite fast.

04:33:40.300 That is going to bring

04:33:41.020 peace to the Middle East

04:33:41.600 and Donald Trump

04:33:42.360 is going to bring Saudi 0.99

04:33:43.440 into the Abraham Accords

04:33:44.440 undoubtedly.

04:33:45.520 That is a thing

04:33:45.960 that Donald Trump

04:33:46.500 has already been pre-negotiating.

04:33:48.000 That is going to happen.

04:33:49.180 That's why he wants

04:33:49.920 solidity in the Middle East.

04:33:50.760 He wants Israel to finish up 0.99

04:33:52.240 whatever they're doing,

04:33:53.220 security-wise.

04:33:54.040 He wants them to finish up

04:33:54.780 in Lebanon.

04:33:55.260 He wants them to finish up

04:33:56.000 in the Gaza Strip

04:33:56.680 and then Donald Trump

04:33:57.700 is going to work.

04:33:59.080 He has all those connects

04:34:00.540 already made.

04:34:01.100 That's all going to come

04:34:01.840 into play.

04:34:03.020 As far as Ukraine,

04:34:04.280 Trump and Vance

04:34:05.420 have already said,

04:34:06.360 contrary to popular opinion,

04:34:07.960 both Trump and Vance

04:34:08.780 have said they will continue

04:34:09.500 to fund Ukraine

04:34:10.120 sufficient so that

04:34:10.840 Vladimir Putin

04:34:11.920 does not walk into Kiev

04:34:12.940 but they are also

04:34:13.900 going to be realistic

04:34:14.720 about what the prospect

04:34:15.700 for what the final settlement

04:34:17.060 in Ukraine looks like

04:34:18.520 which is the solidification

04:34:19.480 of the borders of Donbass

04:34:20.480 and Ukraine,

04:34:21.740 some sort of commitment

04:34:22.300 to neutrality

04:34:23.040 but with some sort

04:34:24.580 of additional funding

04:34:25.460 of military resources

04:34:26.540 sufficient to deter

04:34:27.420 a further Russian invasion.

04:34:29.140 Things are about to get

04:34:29.820 a lot better.

04:34:29.900 How long do you think

04:34:30.740 that'll take

04:34:31.380 on the Ukraine-Russia front?

04:34:33.100 I mean,

04:34:33.500 that's up to Putin.

04:34:34.580 Yeah.

04:34:34.820 That's up to Putin.

04:34:35.300 I think Putin,

04:34:35.980 this is one of the dangers

04:34:36.840 is that if you keep signaling

04:34:37.900 that you're a little weak on it,

04:34:39.380 then Putin probably keeps

04:34:40.120 trying to push and push and push

04:34:41.200 hoping that you'll just go away

04:34:42.300 and then he'll walk into Kiev.

04:34:43.320 But here's the thing about Trump.

04:34:44.580 The one thing Donald Trump

04:34:45.580 does not like to do

04:34:46.560 is lose.

04:34:47.020 He hates losing.

04:34:48.020 And he knows

04:34:48.980 that if Putin is seen

04:34:50.700 walking through Kiev, 1.00

04:34:52.180 he looks like a loser. 0.99

04:34:52.980 So he doesn't want that. 0.99

04:34:53.700 He doesn't want the photos

04:34:54.480 of Vladimir Putin

04:34:55.080 walking through Kiev

04:34:56.040 in the same way

04:34:56.800 that he wouldn't have wanted

04:34:57.600 the photos of the Taliban

04:34:58.540 walking through Bagram Air Base,

04:35:00.180 right?

04:35:00.440 So he's realistic

04:35:01.940 about all of that.

04:35:03.680 So those, I think,

04:35:04.460 are the things

04:35:04.820 that are probably

04:35:05.380 front burner items

04:35:07.120 for President Trump.

04:35:07.940 And then there are going

04:35:08.540 to be some fixes

04:35:09.100 around Obamacare

04:35:10.760 that will take place.

04:35:12.260 He's not going to do

04:35:12.740 anything on abortion.

04:35:13.880 I mean,

04:35:14.280 he'll put in place

04:35:15.240 all the executive orders

04:35:16.680 that Republicans always do, right?

04:35:17.760 No foreign funding

04:35:18.520 of foreign abortions,

04:35:20.520 the so-called Mexico rule.

04:35:22.140 He'll put that back into place.

04:35:24.000 But, you know,

04:35:25.060 I think all of those

04:35:26.120 are not only doable,

04:35:26.880 I think they're eminently doable.

04:35:28.300 And I think he gets all that done

04:35:29.360 inside the first 100 days.

04:35:30.340 Yeah, I think you're right.

04:35:31.280 We're going to take a break

04:35:32.020 while we wait

04:35:32.480 for the next results

04:35:33.340 to come in

04:35:33.980 and tell you a little bit

04:35:34.760 about what's been going on

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04:36:36.820 Well, folks,

04:36:41.100 we're now joined here

04:36:41.900 at Daily Wire HQ

04:36:42.800 by Brent Buchanan

04:36:43.600 of Signal Polling.

04:36:44.720 Welcome back to the show, Brent.

04:36:46.420 So, tell us,

04:36:47.600 how are things going

04:36:48.560 in this great state

04:36:49.660 of Wisconsin?

04:36:50.560 Well, here's a story for you.

04:36:53.000 You're eating jelly bellies, right?

04:36:54.560 I am.

04:36:55.400 Ronald Reagan's favorite.

04:36:56.780 Indeed.

04:36:57.560 Okay.

04:36:58.160 Do you know if you go

04:36:58.840 to the factory in California,

04:37:00.180 they sell something

04:37:00.800 called belly flops

04:37:01.800 and it's the jelly bellies 0.79

04:37:03.320 that didn't make it

04:37:04.080 into the bag?

04:37:05.160 I'm not only aware of that,

04:37:06.180 I've done that myself.

04:37:07.140 Well.

04:37:07.720 Because I know all things

04:37:08.920 except for what's going on

04:37:09.680 in Wisconsin.

04:37:10.220 So, tell me, Brent,

04:37:10.880 what's going on in Wisconsin?

04:37:12.260 Well, this is the segue.

04:37:14.540 Kamala Harris is belly flopping.

04:37:16.680 Oh, nice.

04:37:18.300 Nice.

04:37:18.620 Loving it.

04:37:19.940 A plus.

04:37:20.780 Grade A.

04:37:21.660 Good stuff.

04:37:22.520 Keep going.

04:37:23.000 Tell me more.

04:37:23.820 All right.

04:37:24.080 So, as we look at Wisconsin,

04:37:25.720 one thing you'll note,

04:37:27.300 real red.

04:37:28.460 Let's look at two particular counties

04:37:30.040 that matter to Kamala Harris

04:37:31.840 significantly.

04:37:33.040 And that is Dane,

04:37:33.880 which is Madison,

04:37:35.960 the capital.

04:37:37.080 And when you look at this

04:37:37.760 historical comparison here,

04:37:39.640 just look at the raw vote differences

04:37:41.820 between these.

04:37:43.000 Kamala Harris is 8,000

04:37:44.540 under her 2020 numbers.

04:37:46.520 Trump is up 2,000

04:37:47.800 on his 2020 numbers.

04:37:49.680 She really needed to perform here

04:37:51.420 and she's down two points 1.00

04:37:52.960 on her margin

04:37:54.040 that she had in 2020.

04:37:55.520 And then we'll go down

04:37:56.140 to Rock County here.

04:37:57.660 This is another one

04:37:58.640 that she really needed

04:37:59.380 to perform well in.

04:38:00.240 What's unique about Rock County

04:38:01.920 is it is,

04:38:04.040 let's flip to this,

04:38:05.240 10% Hispanic.

04:38:06.440 So, this is one of the most

04:38:07.700 diverse counties

04:38:08.480 in one of the whitest states

04:38:10.500 in the entire country.

04:38:12.520 And this was a Biden plus 11 seat

04:38:15.660 and it is now only

04:38:16.940 Kamala plus seven.

04:38:19.320 So, you just take these factors

04:38:21.600 that we've been talking about,

04:38:22.840 which is the counties she needs

04:38:24.740 are only performing

04:38:25.640 at 2020 numbers.

04:38:26.700 And then you add that

04:38:27.960 into the fact that

04:38:28.780 if they're only performing

04:38:30.080 at 2020 numbers,

04:38:31.380 she's not even meeting

04:38:32.220 Biden's margin in these two.

04:38:34.440 And this was one of the closest

04:38:35.420 states in 2020.

04:38:36.780 It was less than 1%

04:38:38.420 that Biden won this state by.

04:38:41.380 So, what's really happening,

04:38:43.180 because we're plugging all this data

04:38:44.280 into several of our models,

04:38:46.520 and it's this,

04:38:47.320 is that there's not just this

04:38:48.900 overall white change in the vote.

04:38:51.280 What's really interesting

04:38:52.340 is that if a county

04:38:53.660 is really diverse,

04:38:55.160 the white turnout in that county

04:38:57.220 did not change from 2020.

04:38:58.820 So, think of this as like a U.

04:39:00.400 And then,

04:39:01.680 if you have

04:39:02.680 super, super white counties 0.76

04:39:04.840 where almost nobody

04:39:05.580 but white people live there,

04:39:07.040 they didn't move much

04:39:07.900 from their 2020.

04:39:09.260 It was these counties

04:39:10.240 that were about 75% to 85% white

04:39:13.000 that had the largest shift

04:39:14.840 towards Trump.

04:39:16.320 And if you go back

04:39:17.120 and look historically,

04:39:18.020 they had the largest shifts

04:39:19.100 in 2020 towards Biden.

04:39:21.220 And so, it's not this homogenous

04:39:22.720 all non-whites are moving 1.00

04:39:24.040 more towards Trump.

04:39:24.820 All whites are staying 1.00

04:39:26.300 where they are.

04:39:27.220 It's this unique patchwork

04:39:29.000 that's occurring in turnout

04:39:30.740 depending on what type

04:39:32.260 of diversity there is

04:39:33.400 within your county.

04:39:34.200 But it's all benefiting

04:39:35.040 Donald Trump

04:39:35.720 and white, black, brown,

04:39:38.140 everything in between

04:39:38.720 counties right now.

04:39:39.560 So, Brent,

04:39:40.820 technically,

04:39:41.480 when you read all the data in,

04:39:42.600 on a scale of 1 to 10,

04:39:44.220 how much does Kamala Harris 0.99

04:39:45.460 suck as a candidate? 0.99

04:39:46.960 And would they have been 0.99

04:39:48.180 better off keeping

04:39:49.020 the corpse of Joe Biden

04:39:50.360 in place to actually run?

04:39:52.100 Because the recriminations

04:39:53.140 here are going to be

04:39:53.820 so delicious,

04:39:54.700 I will feast off of them

04:39:55.860 for years to come.

04:39:57.280 Well, I prefer scales

04:39:58.580 that also have negatives.

04:39:59.820 So, let's go with

04:40:00.420 like a negative 4

04:40:01.300 on that negative 10 to 10 scale.

04:40:04.280 But yeah,

04:40:05.040 and one of the things

04:40:05.820 that we pointed out

04:40:06.560 when they decided

04:40:07.220 to take their

04:40:08.220 democratically elected nominee

04:40:10.380 and swap it out

04:40:11.180 with somebody

04:40:11.760 who did not get

04:40:12.700 a single vote,

04:40:13.720 we said that this is really

04:40:15.140 going to hurt her

04:40:16.100 with union voters.

04:40:17.520 And you saw this

04:40:18.440 in the Teamster vote

04:40:19.600 where Joe Biden

04:40:21.020 had a slight lead

04:40:21.800 on Trump in April

04:40:22.900 among Teamster members

04:40:24.320 and then he overwhelmingly

04:40:26.020 was defeating Harris.

04:40:27.780 And that one data point

04:40:29.020 shows you the weakness

04:40:30.040 that she was having.

04:40:31.360 And these Rust Belt states

04:40:32.480 here from Wisconsin

04:40:34.340 to Michigan,

04:40:36.440 even all the way over

04:40:37.620 to Pennsylvania,

04:40:38.900 very, very heavy

04:40:39.840 union households.

04:40:41.500 And so,

04:40:41.980 even if the Democratic

04:40:42.720 Union voters stay home

04:40:44.180 or they swap their vote,

04:40:45.580 it causes massive disruption

04:40:47.400 in the electoral margins

04:40:49.900 between these candidates

04:40:50.820 as we're seeing right here

04:40:51.960 play out before us.

04:40:53.540 Brent,

04:40:54.140 right now,

04:40:55.420 Pennsylvania and Wisconsin

04:40:56.720 have more than 80%

04:40:58.620 of the vote in.

04:41:00.460 And Donald Trump

04:41:01.180 in both states

04:41:02.120 has above 50%

04:41:03.600 of the vote.

04:41:04.900 I mean,

04:41:05.060 in the case of Wisconsin

04:41:05.980 right now,

04:41:06.520 Wisconsin,

04:41:07.060 according to Decision Desk,

04:41:08.560 84% of the vote in.

04:41:10.680 Donald Trump,

04:41:11.560 56 to Kamala Harris's,

04:41:13.780 42.

04:41:14.280 And that's with RFK Jr.

04:41:16.760 still being on the ballot.

04:41:18.420 I mean,

04:41:18.720 we're getting dangerously close

04:41:20.640 to actually being able

04:41:21.500 to call Wisconsin.

04:41:23.060 And if we call Wisconsin,

04:41:24.520 we are essentially

04:41:25.200 calling the race.

04:41:26.280 Yes.

04:41:27.200 Yeah,

04:41:27.360 we also have to assume

04:41:28.240 that a lot of the results

04:41:29.500 that are going to come in

04:41:30.460 are from cities

04:41:31.200 not favorable

04:41:31.880 to Donald Trump.

04:41:33.420 This is just what

04:41:34.080 historically happens.

04:41:36.160 I really hope

04:41:37.200 this is blowout territory

04:41:38.400 so that there's not issues

04:41:40.000 related to,

04:41:40.960 well,

04:41:41.180 what votes were they

04:41:41.900 trying to go find

04:41:42.680 and shove into the count?

04:41:44.840 This is one of the reasons

04:41:45.820 you should be like Florida

04:41:46.820 and report the vote

04:41:47.940 within two hours

04:41:49.000 and then there's no question

04:41:50.120 as to how the election

04:41:52.000 played out.

04:41:52.680 But it's getting

04:41:54.380 really,

04:41:54.820 really hard

04:41:55.280 to see where

04:41:56.960 Kamala Harris

04:41:57.980 can pull out

04:41:58.640 any of these three

04:41:59.540 Rust Belt states

04:42:00.400 at this point.

04:42:01.180 Well,

04:42:01.620 I also have a piece

04:42:02.460 of breaking news

04:42:03.020 that Republicans have flipped.

04:42:04.320 Wait for it.

04:42:04.660 Wait for it.

04:42:04.980 Wait for it.

04:42:05.840 The governor's mansion in.

04:42:07.060 Wait for it.

04:42:08.140 Puerto Rico.

04:42:08.920 Yeah,

04:42:09.100 I saw that.

04:42:10.320 We actually won that.

04:42:12.620 So yeah,

04:42:13.540 this is great.

04:42:14.000 So Brett,

04:42:14.740 thank you so much.

04:42:15.540 This has been wildly enjoyable

04:42:16.740 and next time we check in,

04:42:18.080 I hope it will be just as enjoyable

04:42:19.600 or even more so.

04:42:20.620 I'll be eating a different candy

04:42:21.460 so try to think up a joke

04:42:22.780 about those candies

04:42:24.180 and how we will connect,

04:42:25.280 for example,

04:42:26.120 M&Ms

04:42:26.580 to the situation

04:42:27.740 in Pennsylvania.

04:42:28.500 All right,

04:42:29.500 time to hit the Google.

04:42:30.660 All right,

04:42:31.100 this visit to our election HQ

04:42:34.820 has been brought to you

04:42:35.600 by friends over at Lumen.

04:42:37.460 Go check out Lumen right now.

04:42:39.240 It is a great device

04:42:40.360 and I will need it a lot

04:42:41.760 after eating this entire bowl

04:42:43.200 of jelly bellies

04:42:44.940 in celebration.

04:42:45.800 One hates to get cocky

04:42:47.240 because we have seen

04:42:48.380 stranger things happen,

04:42:50.420 but this is,

04:42:51.320 I mean,

04:42:52.020 this is looking more and more

04:42:54.220 like Donald Trump

04:42:55.280 is going to be

04:42:55.720 the 47th president

04:42:56.620 of the United States.

04:42:56.920 Well, so let's get pessimistic

04:42:58.720 for a moment

04:42:59.620 just out of curiosity.

04:43:01.060 I mean,

04:43:01.760 her number of confirmed victories

04:43:04.920 is increasing.

04:43:06.740 Trump's still nicely ahead.

04:43:08.100 If you had to be pessimistic

04:43:09.900 and things,

04:43:10.600 how could things still

04:43:11.600 go dreadfully wrong

04:43:12.720 or is that out of the realm

04:43:14.540 of possibility at the moment?

04:43:14.920 The only way they go

04:43:15.360 dreadfully wrong

04:43:15.940 is if she suddenly,

04:43:17.780 like massive vote dumps

04:43:19.400 in Philly,

04:43:20.560 Detroit,

04:43:21.400 Ann Madison,

04:43:22.100 Wisconsin,

04:43:22.900 Philly,

04:43:23.120 Detroit,

04:43:23.560 Milwaukee.

04:43:24.400 It's the big cities.

04:43:25.500 I said this early on actually,

04:43:26.460 so all credit to me

04:43:27.720 because I said it early on

04:43:28.400 in the night,

04:43:29.160 but I said in North Carolina

04:43:30.320 that if she did not win

04:43:32.780 North Carolina,

04:43:34.380 the entire election

04:43:35.600 was going to come down

04:43:36.260 to giant voter turnout

04:43:37.800 in three big cities.

04:43:39.560 Yeah.

04:43:39.780 I did say that,

04:43:40.480 like within the first 20 minutes

04:43:41.620 of this broadcast,

04:43:42.300 I'm just going to point that out.

04:43:43.360 I was going to point out so far

04:43:44.280 the only thing I've gotten wrong

04:43:44.980 is New Hampshire.

04:43:46.020 Just going to say it.

04:43:46.680 You went all in

04:43:47.440 on New Hampshire though.

04:43:48.300 You went all in.

04:43:49.060 I do have to say

04:43:50.160 that Arizona is very close

04:43:52.240 with 55% of the vote in,

04:43:53.660 which that's still early,

04:43:55.240 but it's essentially

04:43:56.160 a toss-up,

04:43:56.800 49-49 for the two candidates.

04:43:59.180 So if you're going

04:44:00.040 to get pessimistic,

04:44:01.060 could we end up losing Arizona

04:44:03.140 and sort of unraveling

04:44:04.260 our map a little bit?

04:44:05.200 Not going to happen.

04:44:05.940 We're going to win Arizona.

04:44:07.120 Arizona is solidly

04:44:08.820 in red territory.

04:44:10.280 According to

04:44:11.080 the New York Times,

04:44:12.260 Arizona is a high likelihood,

04:44:14.500 a very, very high likelihood

04:44:15.600 of a Donald Trump win

04:44:18.320 at this point.

04:44:19.840 Again,

04:44:20.100 it would be kind of shocking

04:44:21.020 were he to lose.

04:44:21.760 They have him up

04:44:22.540 by a projected almost 4%.

04:44:24.400 It's at least safe to say

04:44:25.280 we're going to have a winner.

04:44:26.020 I mean,

04:44:26.340 this probably will not

04:44:27.280 drag on for days.

04:44:28.280 No,

04:44:28.640 I think that there's

04:44:29.720 a very good shot

04:44:30.440 that we will have a winner

04:44:31.720 in the next two hours.

04:44:33.880 I mean,

04:44:34.060 if it continues at this rate,

04:44:35.620 I think there's going

04:44:36.440 to be a temptation

04:44:36.980 by some networks

04:44:37.720 to start calling

04:44:38.460 some of those

04:44:39.700 Rust Belt states.

04:44:40.740 If people want to be

04:44:41.360 super cautious,

04:44:42.440 you're probably talking

04:44:43.180 about late morning,

04:44:44.100 tomorrow morning,

04:44:44.560 or early afternoon.

04:44:46.320 But by tomorrow night,

04:44:48.040 President Trump,

04:44:48.900 I think,

04:44:49.400 will be pretty obvious.

04:44:50.340 If they call one

04:44:51.140 of these Rust Belt states,

04:44:52.160 It's over.

04:44:52.700 They've called the election.

04:44:53.520 Yes.

04:44:54.200 Because Arizona

04:44:54.660 is definitely going

04:44:55.220 to go in Trump's category.

04:44:55.940 It was North Carolina,

04:44:57.340 Georgia, Arizona,

04:44:57.980 and one of the Rust Belt.

04:44:58.500 So now the Democrats

04:44:59.120 are going to have to complain

04:44:59.960 that the problem

04:45:00.560 is the popular vote.

04:45:04.580 I thought you were

04:45:06.200 just going to stop

04:45:06.700 that the problem

04:45:07.460 is the people.

04:45:08.280 Yeah.

04:45:08.600 I mean,

04:45:08.740 we're going to go back

04:45:09.160 to that point,

04:45:09.520 but that is what it's going to be.

04:45:10.700 Get ready for it.

04:45:11.700 They are going to rage

04:45:12.980 against the dying of the light,

04:45:14.480 and it's going to be

04:45:15.040 worse for them.

04:45:16.120 They're going to have to go

04:45:16.680 deep into the crevasse of fail

04:45:18.780 before they start to emerge

04:45:20.140 in something like

04:45:21.600 reasonable order.

04:45:22.840 So what do you expect

04:45:24.400 will happen now?

04:45:26.700 Let's assume the best

04:45:27.860 for a moment,

04:45:28.740 so to speak,

04:45:29.420 that the Republicans

04:45:31.020 control the presidency

04:45:32.160 and the Senate

04:45:32.800 and the House,

04:45:33.560 and so on.

04:45:33.980 That means you have

04:45:34.700 these really quite

04:45:36.060 radical people,

04:45:38.000 Musk and Kennedy

04:45:38.980 in particular,

04:45:40.260 now taking up

04:45:41.900 dominant positions

04:45:42.820 in the White House.

04:45:43.640 They're threatening

04:45:44.220 the big pharma industry,

04:45:46.600 so that's a major threat.

04:45:48.000 They're threatening

04:45:49.320 big agriculture.

04:45:50.780 Legacy media

04:45:51.480 is like stone dead.

04:45:53.880 The education establishment

04:45:55.040 is in serious trouble.

04:45:56.620 The military-industrial complex

04:45:58.120 is unlikely to be happy.

04:46:00.120 What do you guys

04:46:00.920 foresee happening?

04:46:02.020 That's a lot.

04:46:03.420 Well,

04:46:03.720 and that says nothing

04:46:04.520 about the CIA

04:46:05.380 and the FBI,

04:46:06.420 let's say.

04:46:07.880 It doesn't seem to me

04:46:10.000 to be realistic

04:46:10.760 to presume

04:46:11.340 that such people

04:46:12.140 are going to just take

04:46:13.020 this sort of thing

04:46:13.660 lying down,

04:46:14.380 and that says nothing

04:46:15.140 about the leftist radicals

04:46:16.720 who are quite nicely organized

04:46:18.740 after all the pro-Hamas protests.

04:46:20.600 What do you see happening here?

04:46:22.380 I mean,

04:46:22.580 there'll be resistance

04:46:23.240 inside each of these agencies.

04:46:24.620 It's why the attempt

04:46:26.060 to move a lot

04:46:27.240 of these employees

04:46:27.680 to so-called Schedule F

04:46:28.860 is going to make

04:46:29.380 a huge difference.

04:46:30.220 This is something

04:46:30.740 that the Trump administration

04:46:31.520 is going to try and do.

04:46:32.640 They're going to take

04:46:32.960 the permanent political class

04:46:34.120 and they're going to say

04:46:34.600 they are now fireable

04:46:35.400 under the articles

04:46:37.240 of the Constitution.

04:46:38.580 The president does have

04:46:39.380 unitary executive authority

04:46:40.780 to fire all of these people.

04:46:42.640 Schedule F meaning what?

04:46:43.780 So right now,

04:46:45.660 by union contract

04:46:46.760 and by regulation,

04:46:48.320 if you are considered

04:46:49.160 a non-political appointee

04:46:50.720 in the executive branch,

04:46:51.820 there's a procedure

04:46:52.620 that you have to go through

04:46:53.500 in order to be ousted

04:46:54.160 from your job.

04:46:54.880 If you are redesignated

04:46:55.880 as a Schedule F employee,

04:46:57.420 that means you're effectively

04:46:58.160 an at-will employee

04:46:59.120 of the executive branch

04:47:00.040 and the president

04:47:00.480 of the United States

04:47:01.180 can summarily fire you.

04:47:02.520 And so that's going to go forward

04:47:03.600 pretty quickly.

04:47:04.980 Again, I think that

04:47:05.760 there are certain areas.

04:47:06.920 It'll be interesting to see

04:47:07.700 what RFK Jr. is actually given.

04:47:09.740 So I think RFK Jr.

04:47:10.700 ends up in charge

04:47:11.280 of like ag and HHS

04:47:13.180 and FDA, no. 0.93

04:47:14.320 I think that he probably

04:47:14.920 ends up as like

04:47:15.900 Department of Agriculture guy,

04:47:17.540 like Secretary of Ag.

04:47:18.740 Maybe you put him

04:47:19.380 in charge of FDA.

04:47:20.700 But I think that,

04:47:21.920 you know, again,

04:47:23.340 it's not as if you have...

04:47:24.400 I'd give him HHS, I think.

04:47:25.640 Yeah, I mean,

04:47:26.340 the only problem with HHS

04:47:27.520 is that's really more

04:47:28.300 about the application

04:47:29.000 of Obamacare and Medicaid

04:47:29.860 than it is about

04:47:30.620 like the health things

04:47:31.260 that he cares about.

04:47:31.900 He cares more about FDA

04:47:32.760 kind of stuff,

04:47:33.540 like vaccines

04:47:34.380 or like food and water.

04:47:36.340 Like that's more

04:47:37.300 FDA type stuff.

04:47:39.620 Maybe EPA.

04:47:40.980 You know,

04:47:41.440 I think that EPA

04:47:42.460 would be a problem for him

04:47:43.320 because Trump is...

04:47:43.740 Are we going to keep

04:47:43.940 Rachel Levine in place

04:47:44.900 is my question.

04:47:45.840 Doctor.

04:47:47.000 Doctor.

04:47:48.080 Admiral.

04:47:48.200 Admiral Doctor.

04:47:48.900 Only if Donald Trump

04:47:49.580 will bring him on the carpet

04:47:51.000 and force him to admit

04:47:51.740 he's a man

04:47:52.320 and then say...

04:47:53.620 Then he can stay.

04:47:54.300 Then he can stay.

04:47:54.980 For those of you

04:47:55.800 who haven't noticed.

04:47:56.880 Yeah, exactly.

04:47:58.180 So, you know,

04:47:58.960 it'll be interesting to see

04:48:00.080 also because here's the thing.

04:48:01.680 Congress is still a body

04:48:02.640 in the government.

04:48:03.260 The president doesn't just

04:48:03.880 get to make all the rules

04:48:04.880 and neither does anybody

04:48:05.680 in the executive branch agencies.

04:48:07.280 So if RFK decides

04:48:09.000 to get like super radical

04:48:10.200 about things

04:48:10.720 in a way that Congress

04:48:11.480 doesn't like,

04:48:12.040 Congress can take power back

04:48:13.560 from the executive branch

04:48:15.340 or these things

04:48:16.160 can get challenged in court.

04:48:17.320 I think the biggest holdup

04:48:18.340 to Trump in terms of

04:48:19.620 whatever his agenda is

04:48:20.820 is going to be the courts.

04:48:22.580 Right?

04:48:22.740 There will be a lot of

04:48:24.220 legal cases that are filed

04:48:25.300 against all of this

04:48:26.800 and then it'll get held up

04:48:28.440 and the Supreme Court

04:48:29.440 is not going to take

04:48:29.980 all those cases.

04:48:30.700 A lot of this stuff

04:48:31.240 is going to get held up.

04:48:32.180 Listen, it's very hard

04:48:33.320 to do radical change

04:48:34.180 inside the United States government

04:48:35.420 and I think that that's overall

04:48:36.920 a very, very good thing.

04:48:38.040 It does mean that there are

04:48:38.900 a lot of barriers to entry

04:48:40.000 in terms of the stuff

04:48:40.780 that Trump is going to

04:48:42.500 try to get done.

04:48:43.400 Like when they say

04:48:43.840 that Elon Musk

04:48:44.500 is going to come in

04:48:44.980 and cut $2 trillion in spent,

04:48:46.300 no he's not.

04:48:46.760 I mean that's actually

04:48:47.980 not possible.

04:48:48.560 It's not possible to cut $2 trillion.

04:48:49.600 This is also why

04:48:50.460 if we have Congress

04:48:51.960 and the presidency

04:48:52.720 you have to ruthlessly

04:48:54.860 move your agenda forward

04:48:56.460 and start stacking wins

04:48:57.580 and stack them quickly

04:48:58.360 because we know that

04:48:59.700 that's the situation

04:49:00.600 Trump had in 2016

04:49:01.540 the first two years

04:49:02.340 and the fact is

04:49:04.240 not a lot was achieved

04:49:05.620 with all that power

04:49:06.940 for two years.

04:49:08.980 And hypothetically

04:49:09.780 he knows more

04:49:10.400 about what he's doing

04:49:11.200 this time.

04:49:11.620 You would hope so.

04:49:12.360 He'll be prepared

04:49:12.700 to hit the ground.

04:49:13.660 And also

04:49:14.160 traditionally

04:49:16.040 Republicans have always

04:49:17.660 worried that

04:49:18.260 well if we advance

04:49:19.260 our agenda

04:49:19.700 too quickly

04:49:20.240 and too ruthlessly

04:49:20.880 then the other side

04:49:21.700 will be mad

04:49:22.240 and then when

04:49:23.160 they're in power

04:49:23.980 think of all the

04:49:24.540 terrible things they'll do.

04:49:25.160 But this is actually

04:49:25.720 what Project 2025

04:49:26.620 was about

04:49:27.340 was Heritage

04:49:28.000 attempting to lay out

04:49:29.180 a roadmap

04:49:29.620 for how to

04:49:30.760 effectuate policy

04:49:31.740 rapidly in the first

04:49:32.860 100 days.

04:49:34.060 And Donald Trump

04:49:35.000 as a matter of

04:49:35.920 political expediency

04:49:36.800 distanced himself

04:49:37.700 completely.

04:49:37.940 That's why Trump

04:49:38.460 as soon as he wins

04:49:39.380 he needs to say

04:49:39.760 never mind

04:49:40.200 I am doing Project 20.

04:49:40.940 And by the way

04:49:41.960 2020 is why

04:49:42.860 I made a tremendous

04:49:44.000 mistake in not issuing

04:49:45.780 some kind of small

04:49:47.320 bible of what it said

04:49:48.900 because it was so long

04:49:50.080 that the Dems

04:49:51.380 could say anything

04:49:51.860 they wanted about it

04:49:52.640 and nobody knew

04:49:53.080 what it was doing.

04:49:53.120 It was revealing

04:49:53.660 the infield fly rule.

04:49:54.780 But I will give you

04:49:55.980 a little insider.

04:49:57.000 I think I might be

04:49:57.780 the first one

04:49:58.180 to break the story

04:49:58.960 when Trump shot

04:50:00.120 down Project 2025

04:50:01.340 that was fair enough

04:50:03.060 is our real

04:50:04.380 radical agenda

04:50:05.320 Project 2026

04:50:07.460 that one

04:50:08.540 makes 2025

04:50:09.740 look like a child's play.

04:50:11.080 By the way

04:50:11.220 I mean it is worth

04:50:11.800 noting here

04:50:12.260 that undoubtedly

04:50:14.460 Clarence Thomas

04:50:16.160 will end up

04:50:16.740 retiring from the bench

04:50:17.520 under President Trump

04:50:18.440 in this next term

04:50:19.200 and that is

04:50:19.800 because he's 76 years old

04:50:21.180 there's a good shot

04:50:22.100 that Samuel Alito

04:50:22.780 who is 74

04:50:23.480 will also end up

04:50:24.340 retiring from the bench

04:50:25.160 and new justices

04:50:26.100 will be appointed

04:50:26.640 in their place

04:50:27.440 which will enshrine

04:50:28.640 in fact

04:50:29.180 a conservative majority

04:50:30.260 on the court

04:50:30.740 for years to come

04:50:31.580 because that was

04:50:33.180 a scary thing.

04:50:33.860 I mean Clarence Thomas

04:50:34.420 is the best justice

04:50:35.180 on the Supreme Court

04:50:35.900 he's still obviously

04:50:36.620 very much with it in mind

04:50:37.660 he's also 76 years old

04:50:38.920 and he's not going to play

04:50:40.020 the Ruth Bader Ginsburg game

04:50:41.160 where you end up

04:50:42.560 God forbid

04:50:43.100 going under a Democrat

04:50:44.020 and then suddenly

04:50:44.580 Let's not knock

04:50:44.820 Sam Alito though

04:50:45.460 I mean I'm kind of

04:50:46.840 actually partial

04:50:47.440 to Sam Alito

04:50:48.080 Justice Alito

04:50:49.260 is fantastic

04:50:49.720 I mean again

04:50:50.640 So both those guys

04:50:51.680 though are a little bit

04:50:52.720 Long in the twos

04:50:53.920 Long in the twos

04:50:54.560 By the time

04:50:56.140 that Donald Trump

04:50:56.740 leaves office

04:50:57.680 in this next term

04:50:58.880 Samuel Alito

04:50:59.600 will be 78 years old

04:51:00.540 You're starting to get

04:51:01.660 into the territory

04:51:02.380 where you really want

04:51:04.100 to think at 77

04:51:05.080 about whether

04:51:06.040 you want to be

04:51:07.000 the person

04:51:07.500 who ends up

04:51:08.380 moving into

04:51:09.240 a Democratic administration

04:51:10.180 I think one of the things

04:51:11.440 that's worth noting here

04:51:12.240 is that

04:51:13.040 we can be

04:51:14.420 the number one thing

04:51:15.820 that Donald Trump

04:51:16.300 is going to do

04:51:16.980 is be not Kamala Harris

04:51:18.700 He is going to

04:51:19.900 stop dead

04:51:20.680 that agenda

04:51:21.440 from moving forward

04:51:22.340 and not doing the thing

04:51:23.560 is like 80%

04:51:24.620 of what he needs to do

04:51:25.920 It's very hard

04:51:27.740 to think of

04:51:28.220 massive

04:51:28.880 like the things

04:51:29.540 I would want to do

04:51:30.620 like restructuring

04:51:31.620 the federal entitlement programs

04:51:32.780 that are clearly

04:51:33.580 going to bankrupt the country

04:51:34.360 It ain't going nowhere

04:51:35.080 and it's not going to happen

04:51:35.840 We're just going to

04:51:37.540 fly right off that cliff

04:51:38.540 It's going to

04:51:39.140 As you say

04:51:40.220 it's going to happen

04:51:40.640 because it has to happen

04:51:41.540 Right exactly

04:51:42.240 I mean reality will hit

04:51:43.200 and will fall off the cliff

04:51:44.060 and then austerity measures

04:51:45.040 or inflation

04:51:45.600 or high taxation

04:51:46.940 will happen

04:51:47.340 I mean all those things

04:51:48.060 will happen

04:51:48.420 But the one thing

04:51:49.780 that Trump really can do

04:51:50.940 the biggest thing

04:51:51.680 he can do

04:51:52.060 is radical deregulation

04:51:53.300 The radical deregulation

04:51:54.800 will happen

04:51:55.420 Which he started to do

04:51:56.260 already

04:51:56.460 Right

04:51:57.160 Now he's going to go to

04:51:57.760 He had a ratio of 2 to 1

04:51:59.160 For every new regulation

04:52:00.340 passed you repeal 2

04:52:01.280 Now he says

04:52:01.980 it's going to go 4 to 1

04:52:02.840 For every regulation

04:52:03.720 that is created

04:52:04.280 4 will be repealed

04:52:05.240 All of these

04:52:06.240 are really good

04:52:07.220 and really important things

04:52:08.000 As far as what happens

04:52:08.940 in Congress

04:52:09.440 the answer is

04:52:10.240 that the government

04:52:12.100 is a giant tractor

04:52:13.920 and it just keeps on

04:52:14.840 moving forward

04:52:15.680 almost no matter what

04:52:16.720 So if you're hoping

04:52:17.580 for Donald Trump

04:52:18.080 to come in

04:52:18.720 and lower the federal debt

04:52:20.000 by leaps and bounds

04:52:21.040 That's really not

04:52:22.580 No he's never said

04:52:23.260 he's going to do that

04:52:23.860 Correct

04:52:24.080 That's not the thing

04:52:24.940 you should hope for

04:52:25.400 The real theory

04:52:26.420 of Donald Trump

04:52:26.960 and this is where

04:52:27.340 he actually is

04:52:27.820 like W1 unfortunately

04:52:29.020 actually is this area

04:52:29.920 is that he believes

04:52:31.280 you can outgrow the debt

04:52:32.240 Right

04:52:32.800 That if you have

04:52:34.060 enough economic dynamism

04:52:35.540 eventually you'll generate

04:52:36.520 enough revenue

04:52:37.060 that you can pay off

04:52:37.900 all of that sort of stuff

04:52:39.200 So again

04:52:39.920 that's the stuff

04:52:40.860 that's sort of on the table

04:52:42.020 Again I'm just giving you

04:52:42.600 the latest vote total

04:52:43.340 So right now

04:52:43.860 Donald Trump continues

04:52:44.640 to be up by about

04:52:45.820 100,000 votes

04:52:46.800 with 77% of the vote

04:52:48.260 recorded in the state

04:52:49.480 of Wisconsin

04:52:50.080 Meanwhile in the state

04:52:50.960 of Pennsylvania

04:52:51.560 very very narrow lead

04:52:53.260 in the state of Pennsylvania

04:52:54.100 President Trump is up

04:52:55.480 by approximately

04:52:56.660 well actually not that narrow

04:52:58.100 My math is bad

04:52:59.260 He's up by about

04:52:59.960 170,000 votes

04:53:01.100 in the state of Pennsylvania

04:53:02.120 with 85% of the vote counted

04:53:03.940 The New York Times

04:53:04.660 is estimating

04:53:05.140 that he will win the state

04:53:06.040 by somewhere in the neighborhood

04:53:06.860 of 2.1%

04:53:07.880 Wisconsin

04:53:08.380 by 1.8%

04:53:09.820 Over in Michigan

04:53:10.680 48% of the vote counted

04:53:12.620 President Trump's lead

04:53:14.360 continues to grow there

04:53:15.320 He's up by about

04:53:15.980 130,000 votes

04:53:17.240 They're estimating

04:53:17.700 that he'll win that state

04:53:18.560 by 2.2%

04:53:20.240 So those are

04:53:20.800 the latest results

04:53:21.800 over there

04:53:22.460 Is Nevada closed yet?

04:53:24.200 I'm not sure

04:53:24.800 that Nevada's closed

04:53:25.460 I think Nevada's still open

04:53:26.580 So that

04:53:28.220 or if it

04:53:29.340 it can't still be open

04:53:30.500 it's got to be closed

04:53:31.280 But it closed

04:53:32.800 not all that long ago

04:53:33.580 so I don't think

04:53:34.080 that they're actually

04:53:34.560 doing like the full count yet

04:53:35.700 New York Times

04:53:36.200 doesn't have a count

04:53:36.780 on Nevada

04:53:37.220 The polls close

04:53:38.520 at 10 Eastern

04:53:39.360 so yes they are closed

04:53:40.320 Yeah they closed

04:53:40.960 but there's not

04:53:41.780 going to be any results

04:53:42.360 in Nevada

04:53:42.720 for a little while yet

04:53:44.200 But it appears

04:53:45.660 that it may not matter

04:53:47.240 at all

04:53:47.620 Arizona

04:53:48.080 Trump's estimate

04:53:49.380 3.7% up

04:53:51.080 when all is said and done

04:53:52.220 53% of the vote count

04:53:53.540 is in

04:53:53.880 It's pretty much dead even

04:53:54.860 but the areas

04:53:55.640 that have come in

04:53:56.340 our areas

04:53:57.420 Tucson, Phoenix

04:53:58.220 all the big sort of

04:53:59.300 Democrat areas

04:54:00.200 have already come in

04:54:01.460 for Kamala Harris

04:54:02.620 So again

04:54:03.800 a very very

04:54:05.020 a shockingly good evening

04:54:06.600 for President Trump

04:54:07.780 Spencer Lindquist

04:54:09.140 is reporting already

04:54:10.720 that people are leaving

04:54:11.580 the Kamala Harris watch party

04:54:12.700 Wow

04:54:13.560 Unbelievable

04:54:15.000 They're walking out

04:54:17.020 just like Jill did

04:54:18.020 as soon as she realized

04:54:18.920 that Joe was no longer

04:54:20.540 President of the United States

04:54:21.680 Republicans are approximately

04:54:23.200 according to Ryan Gerdoski

04:54:24.680 formerly of CNN

04:54:25.340 I'm just going to keep saying

04:54:26.000 that because it's hilarious

04:54:26.560 and they are 1.5 percentage

04:54:29.380 points away from flipping

04:54:30.440 the New York 9th

04:54:31.160 Congressional District

04:54:31.840 which is a 62-36

04:54:33.380 Joe Biden district

04:54:35.180 Wow

04:54:35.640 Which is really really funny

04:54:36.940 Wow

04:54:37.060 New York 9

04:54:37.820 Where is that?

04:54:39.040 New Jersey 9

04:54:39.700 New Jersey 9

04:54:40.160 New Jersey 9

04:54:40.780 Okay

04:54:40.980 Yeah

04:54:41.340 So these are

04:54:43.200 Wow

04:54:43.620 These are

04:54:44.240 truly hilarious results

04:54:46.540 How good is Joe Biden

04:54:47.500 feeling right now?

04:54:48.440 That's what I'm saying

04:54:49.200 That's where I want the camera

04:54:50.880 That's where I want the camera

04:54:52.020 It's a mixed evening

04:54:54.160 you can imagine

04:54:54.960 I don't think it's mixed for him 0.98

04:54:56.940 I think he's feeling

04:54:57.500 You think it's just

04:54:58.740 positive?

04:54:59.480 Oh yeah 0.99

04:54:59.920 If you got knifed in the back 0.99

04:55:01.100 by someone that you brought up 0.53

04:55:02.860 you know

04:55:03.260 and they pushed you to the side

04:55:04.880 There's still that knife wound

04:55:06.360 Yeah and you're still out

04:55:07.360 I get your point

04:55:09.580 He's got to feel a little relieved

04:55:10.700 because it could be him 1.00

04:55:11.720 getting his ass kicked 1.00

04:55:12.420 right now on national TV 1.00

04:55:13.440 and that's a really bad way to go

04:55:15.640 The better way to go 1.00

04:55:16.380 is to be knifed in the back 1.00

04:55:17.480 and then claim that you were wrong 0.99

04:55:18.660 the rest of your life

04:55:19.480 which is

04:55:19.820 like that's a really great way to go

04:55:21.340 And then you can say

04:55:22.220 for the rest of your life

04:55:22.940 that see this is why

04:55:24.080 you shouldn't have done that

04:55:24.740 He can say for the next

04:55:25.800 like eight days

04:55:26.580 Good luck to Joe

04:55:28.260 because this is the first time

04:55:29.000 Joe Biden's prostate's

04:55:29.820 working in the last 25 years

04:55:31.040 I mean like he's got to be

04:55:33.060 really really

04:55:33.920 Wow

04:55:34.580 I didn't need that

04:55:36.480 It's getting late tonight man

04:55:38.740 You know we've been here

04:55:39.320 for 9,000 hours

04:55:40.640 I'm looking just

04:55:42.840 You know

04:55:43.060 Cenk Uygur is crying

04:55:44.020 I'm checking out

04:55:44.780 I'm checking out the networks

04:55:45.900 David Muir looks sad

04:55:47.060 He looks very sad

04:55:48.180 Cenk Uygur is basically

04:55:49.180 in tears now

04:55:50.320 By the way

04:55:51.700 I got a note

04:55:52.600 that

04:55:52.960 Orange Hitler over here 0.91

04:55:54.780 got a lot of

04:55:56.120 an awful lot of

04:55:56.940 not white people

04:55:57.480 to vote for him

04:55:58.060 Yeah

04:55:58.440 This Orange Hitler fellow 1.00

04:56:00.060 The whole intersectional thing

04:56:01.720 really collapsed

04:56:02.480 in a pile of dust

04:56:04.480 and rubble

04:56:04.880 I mean that dude

04:56:05.580 had like five

04:56:06.220 Hitler mustaches 0.82

04:56:06.920 Not just one

04:56:08.040 like all over his face

04:56:08.980 just Hitler mustaches 0.90

04:56:09.800 everywhere

04:56:10.340 and we were told

04:56:11.840 that he was

04:56:12.380 you know

04:56:12.780 What are the poor

04:56:14.360 Hollywood stars

04:56:15.160 going to do?

04:56:15.960 I don't know

04:56:16.500 They're pretty much

04:56:17.660 done

04:56:17.940 They're going to move

04:56:18.680 They're going to move

04:56:19.300 That's right

04:56:19.720 Oh yeah

04:56:20.300 Move to Canada

04:56:21.200 Then they can find out

04:56:22.360 what the progressive

04:56:23.220 gender really is like 0.89

04:56:24.580 Yeah

04:56:25.140 Go to Canada

04:56:26.160 you people

04:56:26.860 where your money's

04:56:28.240 worth half as much

04:56:29.320 And we can't put it

04:56:30.620 past these people

04:56:31.220 because we're talking

04:56:31.640 about how they're

04:56:32.000 going to react

04:56:32.500 They are going to say

04:56:33.640 that Trump is an

04:56:34.300 illegitimate president

04:56:35.200 You think so?

04:56:36.420 No they can't anymore

04:56:37.160 They can't

04:56:37.620 They're going to say

04:56:38.420 the American people

04:56:39.000 are illegitimate

04:56:39.540 and that's what

04:56:40.040 I'm looking forward to

04:56:40.680 because now the battle's

04:56:41.620 out in the open

04:56:42.020 Seriously

04:56:42.400 I'm looking forward to this

04:56:43.660 That's the battle

04:56:44.620 That's going to be next

04:56:45.060 They'll be able to accept

04:56:46.520 that he just won

04:56:47.400 Without Russia 0.95

04:56:48.940 you know something

04:56:49.580 Yes

04:56:50.100 They're running out

04:56:51.580 as scapegoats

04:56:52.320 Correct

04:56:52.640 Of course they are

04:56:53.740 There is only one

04:56:55.260 scapegoat left

04:56:55.880 and it's the scapegoat

04:56:57.020 that Joe Biden

04:56:57.440 said out loud

04:56:58.180 and that is

04:56:58.840 the American people 1.00

04:56:59.380 are trash 1.00

04:56:59.820 That's going to be 0.99

04:57:01.400 the angle

04:57:01.780 That's what we're

04:57:03.060 doing in Canada

04:57:03.680 They have not accepted

04:57:05.100 a presidential election

04:57:06.280 they lost

04:57:07.060 this century

04:57:07.920 Yeah but

04:57:08.920 I mean you tell me

04:57:11.340 who do you think

04:57:12.120 that they blame

04:57:13.100 I mean they can blame

04:57:13.700 Podcastland

04:57:14.280 They can blame me

04:57:14.900 and Rogan

04:57:15.440 and you

04:57:15.800 and everybody else

04:57:16.660 They tried that

04:57:17.640 But the press

04:57:20.220 is not going to

04:57:20.700 back them on this

04:57:21.260 There's going to be

04:57:21.680 a change

04:57:22.180 I mean I really

04:57:22.920 do believe this

04:57:23.560 In order to sell

04:57:25.440 the Russian collusion

04:57:26.540 story

04:57:26.960 You needed the press

04:57:27.880 all on board

04:57:29.120 The press looks like 1.00

04:57:30.200 they look like fools 1.00

04:57:31.320 Well they're also dead 1.00

04:57:32.680 Like the Rogan interview

04:57:34.300 with Trump

04:57:35.300 Oh yeah

04:57:36.700 that was the end

04:57:37.420 of the legacy media

04:57:38.300 as far as

04:57:38.880 I mean they were

04:57:39.620 already on the outs

04:57:40.560 but what is left

04:57:42.800 of them

04:57:43.080 They've lost

04:57:43.920 all their credibility

04:57:44.740 They have no audience

04:57:45.800 Right

04:57:46.540 and it's highly likely

04:57:48.020 I think that

04:57:48.800 what Musk predicted

04:57:50.040 will occur

04:57:50.620 which is that

04:57:51.280 the broadcast networks

04:57:52.420 will lose their license

04:57:53.360 to broadcast

04:57:53.860 and they'll be relegated

04:57:55.320 to the cable networks

04:57:56.360 and they should

04:57:57.460 They deserve it

04:57:58.200 There's absolutely

04:57:59.340 no reason why

04:58:00.060 they should occupy

04:58:00.820 that space

04:58:01.020 I can tell you

04:58:01.580 what the move is though

04:58:02.460 because you're right

04:58:04.180 they've lost their audience

04:58:05.080 and so what's their move 1.00

04:58:06.020 Their move is to kill us 0.99

04:58:07.460 which they already telegraphed 0.99

04:58:08.860 The Washington Post

04:58:10.060 had that piece

04:58:10.560 with your face on it Ben

04:58:11.920 and then the New York Times

04:58:14.240 hit all of us

04:58:14.820 The New York Times

04:58:15.760 this popped up

04:58:16.480 in my Google

04:58:16.980 I actually was not

04:58:17.640 in that article

04:58:18.180 I was weirdly in it

04:58:21.920 I was the centerpiece

04:58:23.240 of their header

04:58:24.360 But they didn't mention

04:58:25.080 you either

04:58:25.480 because I said

04:58:26.220 the headline was

04:58:27.540 in the podcast election

04:58:29.060 falsehoods fly

04:58:30.640 misinformation flies

04:58:31.580 and YouTube lets it happen

04:58:32.500 So it was a picture of me

04:58:33.920 right there in the middle

04:58:34.540 I said

04:58:34.800 what did they get me on

04:58:35.740 I think I've been very precise

04:58:37.440 about what I've said

04:58:38.160 I looked

04:58:39.080 they didn't mention me

04:58:40.100 but they want to take down

04:58:42.700 the Daily Wire

04:58:43.280 Clearly

04:58:43.620 They want to take down

04:58:44.660 the other podcasters

04:58:45.660 That's not working out so good

04:58:46.980 It's not going to happen

04:58:47.800 Well it's not going to happen

04:58:48.960 at least with Trump in charge

04:58:51.100 if the Republicans have the Senate

04:58:52.400 It's not going to happen

04:58:53.360 for them anytime soon

04:58:54.320 but I think that is their play

04:58:55.600 Okay we're starting to lose

04:58:57.240 Well we've got to clamp down

04:58:58.620 on the guys

04:58:59.000 I know you're a big fan

04:59:01.000 of the Inquisition

04:59:01.760 but it actually didn't stop

04:59:02.940 the Reformation from happening

04:59:03.960 That's what they're doing

04:59:06.160 It's the same game plan

04:59:07.540 That's why we had to kick it

04:59:08.400 into overdrive

04:59:09.140 after you guys started

04:59:10.380 that Reformation

04:59:10.680 I think that's all over

04:59:12.300 I can't see that

04:59:13.100 Under Trump

04:59:15.080 it's a very very hard road

04:59:16.600 for them to hoe 1.00

04:59:17.700 so this is why I think

04:59:18.740 they are going to

04:59:19.540 just be stuck with 0.98

04:59:20.680 Trump is toxic 1.00

04:59:22.180 the American people are toxic 1.00

04:59:23.360 it's mostly males 1.00

04:59:24.980 but like I don't 0.99

04:59:26.580 Men are toxic 0.99

04:59:27.740 Men are toxic 1.00

04:59:28.560 It's not going to be 1.00

04:59:29.160 American people

04:59:29.660 it's going to be

04:59:30.380 Men

04:59:30.720 A group

04:59:31.240 Men

04:59:32.320 It's going to be men 1.00

04:59:33.820 but again I think that 0.80

04:59:35.140 too many white women 1.00

04:59:36.680 went by majority

04:59:37.740 for Trump

04:59:38.460 so you know

04:59:40.020 I just don't

04:59:40.820 I don't see

04:59:41.760 how this works out

04:59:43.380 for them

04:59:43.680 I think they're going

04:59:44.200 to have to be

04:59:44.620 honestly it's going to

04:59:45.520 have to be

04:59:46.880 that circumstance

04:59:47.580 turns against Trump

04:59:48.300 to take advantage of it

04:59:49.120 that's the only way

04:59:49.800 they get

04:59:49.960 Maybe they sort

04:59:50.780 themselves out

04:59:51.720 I mean

04:59:52.040 We have seen

04:59:52.980 some move towards

04:59:53.940 the center

04:59:54.620 But here's my problem

04:59:56.760 I don't know

04:59:57.700 what that looks like

04:59:58.600 because they can't

05:00:01.860 as long as Trump

05:00:02.940 doesn't touch

05:00:03.500 the entitlements

05:00:04.100 there's no place

05:00:05.300 for them to out

05:00:05.980 compete him

05:00:06.640 If they say

05:00:08.080 that we just want

05:00:08.640 to spend more money 1.00

05:00:09.240 on shit 0.99

05:00:09.900 they've been saying 1.00

05:00:10.580 that this whole

05:00:11.160 election cycle

05:00:11.780 it doesn't make a dent

05:00:12.520 on social policy

05:00:14.120 they went so far

05:00:14.980 to the left

05:00:15.360 that even if they

05:00:15.820 come back

05:00:16.200 to quote unquote

05:00:16.640 moderate left

05:00:17.280 nobody trusts them

05:00:18.000 anymore

05:00:18.320 because they blew it all

05:00:19.400 I mean

05:00:19.860 they wanted to

05:00:21.520 trans kids in the classroom

05:00:22.540 they couldn't stick 0.53

05:00:23.040 with gay rights

05:00:23.540 they went to like

05:00:23.960 transing kids

05:00:24.500 in the classroom

05:00:24.960 if they go back

05:00:25.800 to gay rights

05:00:26.180 Trump's already there

05:00:26.980 holding a flag

05:00:27.700 man

05:00:27.920 he took same-sex marriage

05:00:29.200 I disagree with him

05:00:30.360 he took it out

05:00:30.980 of the Republican platform

05:00:31.820 and that just is

05:00:32.540 what it is

05:00:32.960 he has occupied

05:00:33.960 this is the part

05:00:34.700 that's hilarious

05:00:35.220 this I did say

05:00:36.360 the whole election cycle

05:00:37.200 Donald Trump

05:00:38.000 occupied

05:00:38.940 the positional center

05:00:40.280 of this race

05:00:41.560 he forced them

05:00:42.520 to the left

05:00:43.060 Donald Trump

05:00:43.920 is the most centrist

05:00:44.680 political candidate

05:00:45.540 since John McCain

05:00:46.340 in this country

05:00:47.100 other than on immigration

05:00:48.320 that is just the reality

05:00:49.480 you can tell that

05:00:50.220 by all the Democrats

05:00:51.140 who are running with him

05:00:52.280 yes yes yes yes

05:00:53.740 by the way

05:00:54.280 you want a great stat

05:00:54.900 here's a great stat

05:00:55.520 folks

05:00:55.800 you're going to enjoy

05:00:56.520 this one

05:00:56.920 which state

05:00:58.380 is currently closer

05:00:59.660 is currently running closer

05:01:00.720 New York

05:01:01.500 or Florida

05:01:02.300 New York

05:01:04.040 is currently running

05:01:04.820 closer than Florida

05:01:06.220 Kamala Harris

05:01:06.800 has a 12 point advantage

05:01:07.900 in New York

05:01:08.720 Donald Trump's

05:01:09.620 a 13 point advantage

05:01:10.880 in Florida

05:01:11.800 Joy Reed

05:01:13.160 just called

05:01:13.960 Florida

05:01:14.760 a right wing 0.96

05:01:15.980 fascist state

05:01:17.000 yeah baby 0.68

05:01:17.740 oh yeah

05:01:18.960 you can tell

05:01:19.540 Florida's doing 0.66

05:01:20.240 something right

05:01:20.880 that's my state

05:01:21.680 gotta love it

05:01:23.180 I'm feeling the joy

05:01:25.560 that's awesome

05:01:26.320 Florida seems great

05:01:28.300 everything about Florida

05:01:29.040 seems great

05:01:29.420 except for the weather

05:01:30.100 and the elegance

05:01:30.880 and the elegance

05:01:31.360 okay but the thing is

05:01:32.220 when you're in Florida

05:01:32.840 because there's no

05:01:33.620 state income tax

05:01:34.300 you can afford

05:01:35.120 to buy a summer home

05:01:35.920 there's no

05:01:38.740 state income tax

05:01:39.640 in the great state

05:01:40.180 of Tennessee

05:01:40.720 and it is true

05:01:43.680 so

05:01:44.180 nor is there an alligator

05:01:45.660 I will acknowledge

05:01:46.520 so David French

05:01:47.260 is wrong on nearly everything

05:01:48.080 but he makes a good point

05:01:48.980 if present trends continue

05:01:50.140 this Trump victory

05:01:50.700 will swamp all the 0.57

05:01:51.500 micro explanations

05:01:52.260 Shapiro's VP

05:01:53.240 would not have changed this

05:01:54.160 keeping Arab Americans 0.83

05:01:55.200 in Michigan

05:01:55.800 wouldn't have changed this

05:01:56.680 it's all the big stuff

05:01:57.680 defeat in Afghanistan

05:01:58.480 a porous border

05:01:59.200 inflation

05:01:59.680 and Biden's refusal

05:02:00.900 to acknowledge reality

05:02:01.780 and step aside

05:02:02.480 in time for Democrats

05:02:03.200 to have a real primary

05:02:03.940 that's factually true

05:02:05.400 I think that's true

05:02:06.060 that's true

05:02:06.940 who wrote that

05:02:07.700 French

05:02:08.400 David French

05:02:09.020 oh David French

05:02:10.000 he's wrong on a lot of stuff

05:02:10.860 but he's right on that

05:02:11.540 could I also say

05:02:12.220 we've talked about

05:02:12.940 how the left will react

05:02:13.820 to this

05:02:14.280 on the right though

05:02:16.980 if Trump wins

05:02:17.960 assuming this all holds

05:02:18.980 I certainly hope

05:02:21.240 one of the things

05:02:22.360 I'm most excited about

05:02:23.340 if Trump wins

05:02:25.100 is that

05:02:25.460 I hope that

05:02:26.240 this will become a time

05:02:27.460 on the right

05:02:28.120 where we can actually

05:02:29.080 have some unity

05:02:30.300 among conservatives

05:02:31.580 which is I guess

05:02:33.360 easier to do

05:02:34.020 in victory

05:02:34.640 but

05:02:35.120 it's the last four years

05:02:37.000 of just

05:02:38.100 ripping each other

05:02:39.720 to scratch

05:02:40.820 conservatives love doing that

05:02:41.440 you get a hundred

05:02:42.000 conservatives

05:02:42.540 into a room

05:02:43.120 they're going to find

05:02:43.780 the one thing

05:02:44.260 they disagree on

05:02:45.120 it's like high school

05:02:46.160 it's worse than high school

05:02:47.160 they're all going to just

05:02:48.180 have all these petty

05:02:48.960 little nitpicky things

05:02:50.060 they're all going to

05:02:50.680 ankle bite

05:02:51.160 whenever anyone

05:02:51.720 has any success

05:02:52.540 but one hopes now

05:02:54.460 if the night continues

05:02:56.000 as it is going

05:02:56.780 Trump has the big success

05:02:58.620 and so maybe

05:03:00.100 we can all

05:03:00.820 at least

05:03:01.180 we're going to need that

05:03:02.960 if you want to take

05:03:03.880 advantage of this

05:03:04.820 and move the ball forward

05:03:06.040 and advance your agenda

05:03:06.960 it's like we all

05:03:07.760 got to be on the same page

05:03:08.720 and we got to be able

05:03:10.380 to achieve that

05:03:11.140 for an extended period

05:03:12.440 of time

05:03:12.680 you're going to have

05:03:13.200 people on one side

05:03:14.620 trying to bring back

05:03:15.620 Bush, McCain, Romney

05:03:17.040 because that's what

05:03:18.020 they're so angry about

05:03:18.880 you're going to have

05:03:19.480 that very

05:03:20.100 I think very small

05:03:21.300 but vocal thing

05:03:22.880 on the other side

05:03:23.440 trying to turn it

05:03:24.080 into like a fascist 0.99

05:03:25.100 hate you 0.99

05:03:25.720 but you know

05:03:26.540 and the thing is

05:03:27.620 those guys are going

05:03:28.200 to have a big voice

05:03:28.980 online and in the

05:03:30.920 Wall Street Journal

05:03:31.460 but I think if you

05:03:32.160 ignore them

05:03:33.060 they just don't have

05:03:34.040 the power anymore

05:03:34.820 the power is now

05:03:35.860 the great lesson

05:03:36.840 I think the great lesson

05:03:38.960 to achieve what

05:03:39.900 you want

05:03:40.680 people have to stop

05:03:42.860 thinking if I differ

05:03:44.100 with you on one thing

05:03:45.360 we have nothing

05:03:46.900 in common

05:03:47.360 I don't understand

05:03:50.060 that mentality

05:03:51.000 it's been a motto

05:03:54.480 of my radio show

05:03:55.580 for 40 years

05:03:56.440 the only candidate

05:03:58.300 you will ever agree

05:03:59.400 with entirely

05:04:00.660 is you

05:04:01.680 if you run

05:04:02.500 there is no one

05:04:04.020 else

05:04:04.420 and yet people

05:04:06.540 people say

05:04:07.240 oh he said that

05:04:08.540 he's out of my life

05:04:10.180 forever he's dead 0.99

05:04:11.060 yeah 0.88

05:04:11.360 right

05:04:12.660 by the way

05:04:13.300 you might not even

05:04:13.980 agree with yourself

05:04:14.680 all the time

05:04:15.220 people use change

05:04:16.880 yeah

05:04:17.160 that's right

05:04:18.220 with President Trump

05:04:19.160 you know he has

05:04:19.840 become more fluent

05:04:22.200 in speaking as a

05:04:24.040 conservative

05:04:24.440 since he ran

05:04:25.700 in 2015

05:04:26.380 and you know

05:04:27.800 it shows on the trail

05:04:28.500 so what does

05:04:30.100 the pro-life movement

05:04:31.100 do next then

05:04:31.820 as they're looking

05:04:32.500 at this Trump

05:04:33.020 administration

05:04:33.520 that managed

05:04:34.420 what we think

05:04:35.180 will be the

05:04:35.580 Trump administration

05:04:36.260 that managed

05:04:37.040 to win

05:04:37.700 while tacking

05:04:39.540 to the center

05:04:40.080 on that issue

05:04:40.840 changing the

05:04:41.540 language

05:04:42.140 of the GOP

05:04:43.440 platform

05:04:43.980 how do they

05:04:45.000 now navigate

05:04:45.740 a world

05:04:46.320 in which

05:04:46.860 the GOP

05:04:47.420 doesn't necessarily

05:04:48.420 entirely back

05:04:49.740 their policies

05:04:50.480 and yet

05:04:51.260 they also

05:04:52.500 have Dobbs

05:04:54.160 I think

05:04:54.520 that's overstated

05:04:55.480 I think

05:04:55.860 you know

05:04:56.100 Jeremy

05:04:56.360 you made this

05:04:56.820 point very well

05:04:57.420 earlier in the show

05:04:58.280 Trump got a lot

05:04:59.240 of flack

05:04:59.600 for taking

05:05:00.140 the abortion

05:05:01.480 ban out of

05:05:02.040 the GOP

05:05:02.840 platform

05:05:03.320 I think

05:05:05.420 the reason

05:05:06.220 he got flack

05:05:06.800 for that

05:05:07.140 is because

05:05:07.500 people

05:05:07.960 refused to

05:05:08.880 acknowledge

05:05:09.280 that the

05:05:10.100 Dobbs decision

05:05:10.900 didn't just

05:05:11.820 move the ball

05:05:12.320 down the field

05:05:12.760 for us

05:05:13.120 it did do

05:05:13.740 that

05:05:14.040 it fundamentally

05:05:15.580 changed the field

05:05:16.600 it reset the field

05:05:17.600 previously

05:05:18.520 before Dobbs

05:05:19.520 calling for

05:05:20.740 international abortion

05:05:21.480 ban

05:05:21.780 was not only

05:05:22.640 a just thing

05:05:23.760 to do

05:05:24.140 it was

05:05:24.860 politically

05:05:25.320 advantageous

05:05:26.160 to Republicans

05:05:26.740 it ceased

05:05:27.800 to be

05:05:28.100 politically

05:05:28.400 advantageous

05:05:29.060 after we

05:05:29.560 had lost

05:05:29.980 every ballot

05:05:30.800 referendum

05:05:31.300 that we

05:05:31.900 had put up

05:05:32.540 for pro-life

05:05:33.320 so you know

05:05:34.180 again I don't

05:05:35.120 want to just

05:05:35.580 flack for

05:05:36.280 Trump here

05:05:36.820 and say

05:05:37.420 I would have

05:05:38.480 said exactly

05:05:39.100 the same

05:05:39.460 things he did

05:05:40.000 or whatever

05:05:40.560 he initially

05:05:41.260 said he would

05:05:41.860 oppose the

05:05:42.900 or support

05:05:43.600 the pro-abortion

05:05:44.200 amendment in Florida

05:05:44.820 then he came

05:05:45.540 around he said

05:05:46.000 no I'm not

05:05:46.440 going to support

05:05:46.840 it

05:05:47.000 you know

05:05:47.580 he's changed

05:05:49.060 his language

05:05:49.500 a little over time

05:05:50.300 but we are

05:05:51.640 in a completely

05:05:52.340 new ball game

05:05:53.100 here

05:05:53.320 and so

05:05:53.660 the goal

05:05:54.500 is to protect

05:05:55.460 innocent life

05:05:56.120 that's the goal

05:05:57.320 we're going to have

05:05:57.660 to change our

05:05:58.060 strategy up a little

05:05:58.720 I think what it means

05:05:59.760 is obviously

05:06:00.920 the fight is

05:06:02.140 state to state

05:06:02.940 now

05:06:03.200 and it's an

05:06:05.780 incremental fight

05:06:06.880 and that's something

05:06:07.580 that pro-lifers

05:06:08.300 and conservatives

05:06:09.600 just have to

05:06:10.260 you know

05:06:10.860 there's always

05:06:11.260 this argument

05:06:11.780 especially among

05:06:12.340 Christians

05:06:12.700 about incrementalism

05:06:13.780 is that really

05:06:14.260 the way to

05:06:14.580 of course that's

05:06:15.500 the way to go

05:06:15.960 incrementalism

05:06:16.980 just means

05:06:17.460 the only way

05:06:17.980 you can move

05:06:18.320 you are

05:06:19.600 you're going to

05:06:20.080 take the best

05:06:20.940 possible thing

05:06:21.680 you can have

05:06:22.260 now

05:06:22.700 is what you're

05:06:23.380 going to take

05:06:23.600 that's just

05:06:24.280 life

05:06:24.720 that's every

05:06:25.300 day

05:06:25.960 every moment

05:06:26.600 of life

05:06:26.920 you choose

05:06:27.660 the best

05:06:27.980 possible thing

05:06:28.520 you can have

05:06:28.860 and that's

05:06:29.140 going to be

05:06:29.740 the fight

05:06:30.140 going forward

05:06:30.940 that's of course

05:06:31.640 right

05:06:31.900 the problem

05:06:33.160 with Roe v. Wade

05:06:34.420 is that it

05:06:35.580 allowed Republican

05:06:36.740 politicians

05:06:37.340 to lie

05:06:38.340 to pro-life

05:06:39.400 voters

05:06:39.800 for 50 plus

05:06:42.100 years

05:06:42.520 and say

05:06:43.900 that they were

05:06:44.360 abortion absolutists 0.56

05:06:45.340 when the vast

05:06:46.060 majority of them

05:06:46.720 weren't

05:06:46.980 but they could

05:06:47.940 never be called

05:06:48.640 on it

05:06:49.020 because Roe

05:06:49.640 was never

05:06:50.040 going to be

05:06:50.660 overturned

05:06:51.280 and then the

05:06:52.300 unimaginable

05:06:53.420 happened

05:06:53.760 and Roe

05:06:54.100 was overturned

05:06:54.980 and suddenly

05:06:56.000 you're realizing

05:06:56.520 that these

05:06:56.880 politicians

05:06:57.340 were always

05:06:58.180 just being

05:06:58.640 politicians

05:06:59.180 life was

05:07:00.300 an easy

05:07:01.620 layup

05:07:02.260 win

05:07:02.680 that they

05:07:03.020 were never

05:07:03.680 going to be

05:07:04.240 responsible

05:07:04.720 for advancing

05:07:05.760 in any way

05:07:06.620 and what I

05:07:08.640 truly believe

05:07:09.420 is that

05:07:09.900 the fight

05:07:11.600 for overturning

05:07:12.900 Roe

05:07:13.360 was a long

05:07:14.420 shot fight

05:07:15.060 that took

05:07:16.280 a generation

05:07:18.420 and a half

05:07:19.060 to win

05:07:19.940 and the

05:07:21.300 fight for

05:07:21.820 now

05:07:22.080 the actual

05:07:23.960 fight against

05:07:24.480 abortion

05:07:24.760 was not

05:07:25.140 the fight

05:07:25.440 against Roe

05:07:25.840 v. Wade

05:07:26.120 that was

05:07:26.720 the fight

05:07:27.020 against Roe

05:07:27.460 v. Wade

05:07:27.760 the actual

05:07:28.700 fight against

05:07:29.200 abortion

05:07:29.600 is going to

05:07:30.340 be a generation

05:07:31.140 and a half

05:07:31.720 of fighting

05:07:32.780 in the culture

05:07:33.340 which we have

05:07:34.840 not done

05:07:36.040 at this level

05:07:36.560 before

05:07:36.920 of technological

05:07:38.500 advances

05:07:39.080 which some

05:07:39.920 Christians will 0.99

05:07:40.420 find distasteful

05:07:41.140 but will

05:07:41.600 actually help

05:07:42.240 over time

05:07:43.060 reduce

05:07:43.500 abortion

05:07:44.580 of

05:07:45.680 national

05:07:46.980 revival

05:07:47.460 which will

05:07:48.080 be an

05:07:48.860 incredibly

05:07:49.260 difficult

05:07:49.620 thing to

05:07:50.040 accomplish

05:07:50.480 but

05:07:51.160 has been

05:07:52.660 going on

05:07:53.520 since

05:07:54.380 the beginning

05:07:55.920 of time

05:07:56.340 there's always

05:07:56.900 been a

05:07:58.020 cycle

05:07:58.520 of

05:07:59.320 falling

05:08:01.500 away from

05:08:02.340 God

05:08:02.560 and drawing

05:08:02.920 nearer to

05:08:03.300 God

05:08:03.460 like that

05:08:03.780 is just

05:08:04.340 part of

05:08:04.680 the human

05:08:05.080 civilizational

05:08:05.980 experience

05:08:06.280 I actually

05:08:07.020 think that

05:08:07.480 all the

05:08:08.740 trend lines

05:08:09.200 actually work

05:08:09.940 in our

05:08:10.200 favor over

05:08:10.820 time

05:08:11.320 to do

05:08:11.920 away

05:08:12.120 with this

05:08:12.460 complete

05:08:12.880 horror

05:08:13.180 called

05:08:13.440 abortion

05:08:13.720 again

05:08:14.020 you cannot

05:08:15.120 no one

05:08:16.420 is more

05:08:16.840 pro-life

05:08:17.240 than me

05:08:17.580 there are

05:08:18.140 things that

05:08:18.520 I believe

05:08:19.080 about abortion

05:08:19.780 that I

05:08:20.400 cannot say

05:08:21.060 on the air

05:08:21.660 because we

05:08:22.660 would be

05:08:23.180 deplatformed

05:08:23.980 I'm a

05:08:24.620 complete and

05:08:25.380 total

05:08:25.800 abolitionist

05:08:27.460 radical

05:08:28.180 and yet

05:08:29.460 I do live

05:08:30.160 on a planet

05:08:30.660 where I know

05:08:31.180 I'm not

05:08:32.220 trying to

05:08:32.760 preserve

05:08:33.160 ever

05:08:33.680 I'm not

05:08:34.400 trying to

05:08:34.800 preserve

05:08:35.180 my positive

05:08:36.480 view of

05:08:37.040 myself

05:08:37.440 I don't

05:08:38.240 care if you

05:08:38.720 think I'm

05:08:39.060 a bad

05:08:39.380 Christian

05:08:39.760 I am 0.71

05:08:41.000 a bad

05:08:41.360 Christian 0.98

05:08:41.760 that's

05:08:42.980 what it

05:08:43.240 means to

05:08:43.640 be a

05:08:44.020 Christian

05:08:44.400 when you

05:08:45.460 think you're

05:08:45.800 a good

05:08:46.180 Christian

05:08:46.600 I don't

05:08:47.300 believe you

05:08:47.680 understand

05:08:48.100 Christianity

05:08:48.520 in the

05:08:48.920 first place

05:08:49.440 the premise

05:08:50.000 of which

05:08:50.320 is all

05:08:50.700 of sin

05:08:50.940 and fall

05:08:51.180 short of

05:08:51.400 the glory

05:08:51.580 of God

05:08:51.860 you can't

05:08:52.660 make me

05:08:53.440 feel guilty

05:08:54.020 I know

05:08:54.740 how pro-life

05:08:55.380 I am

05:08:55.740 and I am

05:08:56.400 just telling

05:08:56.920 you no

05:08:57.600 matter what

05:08:58.040 any politician

05:08:58.800 tells you

05:08:59.420 abortion is 0.64

05:09:00.460 not going

05:09:00.740 to become

05:09:01.100 illegal in

05:09:01.700 this country

05:09:02.140 in 2024

05:09:02.740 it's not

05:09:03.700 going to

05:09:03.920 become

05:09:04.140 illegal in

05:09:04.600 this country

05:09:04.980 in 2028

05:09:05.760 it's not

05:09:06.420 going to

05:09:06.660 become

05:09:06.940 illegal in

05:09:07.420 this country

05:09:09.760 that fight

05:09:10.180 is going

05:09:10.420 to happen

05:09:10.820 that is

05:09:11.340 not the

05:09:11.600 timeline

05:09:11.960 on which

05:09:12.300 that fight

05:09:12.660 is going

05:09:12.920 to happen

05:09:13.340 you're going

05:09:13.980 to have

05:09:14.240 to actually

05:09:14.560 get your

05:09:14.920 hands dirty

05:09:15.540 and win

05:09:16.500 incremental

05:09:17.780 gains

05:09:18.360 at the local

05:09:18.980 and state

05:09:19.440 level

05:09:19.820 on everything

05:09:20.740 every day

05:09:21.400 on every

05:09:22.340 subject

05:09:22.900 by the way

05:09:23.580 I asked

05:09:24.220 Matt

05:09:24.560 I know

05:09:26.040 you want

05:09:26.240 to say

05:09:26.420 so I'll

05:09:27.740 make sure

05:09:28.240 you get

05:09:28.620 I just

05:09:29.880 want to

05:09:30.240 it just

05:09:30.840 occurred to

05:09:31.360 me

05:09:31.520 I asked

05:09:32.040 Matt

05:09:32.320 in the

05:09:32.840 other room

05:09:33.380 who's the

05:09:34.200 second

05:09:34.640 unhappiest

05:09:35.340 man in

05:09:35.820 the world

05:09:36.220 and he

05:09:37.540 immediately

05:09:37.980 said

05:09:38.400 second

05:09:39.140 happiest

05:09:40.120 is

05:09:41.500 Trump

05:09:42.340 and he

05:09:43.620 got

05:09:43.860 Joe Biden

05:09:44.320 so I have

05:09:44.800 another riddle

05:09:45.300 for all of

05:09:45.840 you

05:09:46.020 and this

05:09:47.400 is the

05:09:47.840 world

05:09:48.120 so I'll

05:09:48.960 give you a

05:09:49.340 hint

05:09:49.520 it's a

05:09:49.900 non-American

05:09:50.560 who is

05:09:52.000 the least

05:09:52.920 happy

05:09:53.720 person

05:09:54.760 outside of

05:09:55.580 Kamala Harris

05:09:56.440 at this

05:09:57.060 time

05:09:57.440 non-American

05:09:58.740 non-American

05:09:59.620 so Barack

05:10:00.940 Obama

05:10:01.280 clearly

05:10:01.800 the Ayatollah

05:10:04.440 correct

05:10:04.740 this is

05:10:07.300 his nightmare

05:10:08.000 because

05:10:09.780 he can't

05:10:11.420 do what

05:10:11.680 he wants

05:10:12.240 if there's

05:10:13.300 a President

05:10:13.740 Trump

05:10:14.160 I asked

05:10:16.380 Neil Ferguson

05:10:17.140 one of the

05:10:17.580 greatest

05:10:17.860 living historians

05:10:18.860 who I

05:10:19.540 don't

05:10:19.800 identify

05:10:20.420 I mean

05:10:20.800 he's

05:10:21.020 conservative

05:10:21.460 but he's

05:10:22.880 not political

05:10:23.480 particularly

05:10:24.020 he was at

05:10:25.240 Harvard

05:10:25.540 and then

05:10:26.060 he's married

05:10:26.560 to Ayan 0.96

05:10:27.000 Hirsi Ali

05:10:27.560 he's an

05:10:28.220 extraordinary

05:10:28.680 man

05:10:29.160 I asked

05:10:29.940 him on

05:10:30.220 my show

05:10:30.780 and I

05:10:32.800 had no

05:10:33.300 idea what

05:10:33.740 he would

05:10:33.980 say

05:10:34.280 this is

05:10:35.140 three years

05:10:35.660 ago

05:10:35.940 would

05:10:37.100 Putin

05:10:37.560 have

05:10:37.820 invaded

05:10:38.240 Ukraine

05:10:38.800 if Donald

05:10:39.340 Trump

05:10:39.600 were

05:10:39.800 president

05:10:40.140 I give

05:10:41.100 you all

05:10:41.520 my word

05:10:42.200 I did

05:10:42.980 not know

05:10:43.440 what he

05:10:43.700 would say

05:10:44.240 but I

05:10:46.800 wanted to

05:10:47.480 know from

05:10:47.900 one of the

05:10:48.320 few historians

05:10:49.260 I respect

05:10:49.880 what the

05:10:50.340 answer was

05:10:50.860 there wasn't

05:10:52.160 a gap

05:10:53.140 and he

05:10:53.680 said no

05:10:54.480 certainly

05:10:55.060 not

05:10:55.300 and the

05:10:56.600 same thing

05:10:57.460 with

05:10:57.920 Khamenei

05:10:59.440 with regard

05:11:00.480 to Israel

05:11:01.040 he could

05:11:01.660 do whatever

05:11:02.200 he wants

05:11:02.780 because

05:11:03.180 the

05:11:03.740 Democrats

05:11:04.160 were in

05:11:04.660 power

05:11:05.000 and now

05:11:06.220 if

05:11:06.780 Trump

05:11:07.360 is

05:11:07.580 elected

05:11:07.980 this is

05:11:09.380 a new

05:11:10.120 ball game

05:11:10.620 in the

05:11:10.860 Middle East

05:11:11.380 I think

05:11:13.240 this thing

05:11:13.560 about

05:11:13.760 wait I

05:11:14.080 promised

05:11:14.420 her

05:11:14.680 I'm sorry

05:11:15.620 well now

05:11:16.260 I'm taking

05:11:16.700 it back

05:11:17.020 to abortion

05:11:17.620 and it

05:11:17.940 feels like

05:11:18.300 we've

05:11:18.540 moved on

05:11:19.000 but

05:11:19.220 my question

05:11:22.520 is

05:11:23.020 does the

05:11:24.860 pro-life

05:11:25.280 movement

05:11:25.740 learn how

05:11:26.720 to leverage

05:11:28.000 their

05:11:28.500 political

05:11:28.960 power

05:11:29.400 again

05:11:29.700 because

05:11:29.960 I think

05:11:30.280 when you

05:11:30.800 look at

05:11:31.220 so many

05:11:31.780 of the

05:11:32.760 rank and

05:11:33.220 file

05:11:33.580 they

05:11:34.200 look at

05:11:34.780 something

05:11:35.020 like that

05:11:35.460 as distasteful

05:11:36.100 because they

05:11:36.500 have now

05:11:36.840 spent decades

05:11:37.580 looking for

05:11:38.160 I'm just

05:11:38.780 trying to

05:11:39.200 elect someone

05:11:39.740 who agrees

05:11:40.460 with me

05:11:41.000 as opposed

05:11:41.820 to I

05:11:42.480 am learning

05:11:42.940 how to

05:11:43.720 wield

05:11:44.660 sticks and

05:11:45.260 carrots

05:11:45.600 and how

05:11:46.260 do they

05:11:46.440 get back

05:11:46.740 to that

05:11:46.920 part of

05:11:47.380 the thing

05:11:47.700 about

05:11:47.980 Roe v. Wade

05:11:48.680 is that

05:11:49.020 it legitimately

05:11:50.020 changed the

05:11:50.680 culture

05:11:50.980 legitimately

05:11:51.540 changed

05:11:52.100 a generation

05:11:53.280 grew up

05:11:53.840 thinking that

05:11:54.480 this was

05:11:54.840 an urgent

05:11:55.400 human right 0.75

05:11:56.040 to kill 1.00

05:11:56.400 your baby 1.00

05:11:56.860 and that

05:11:57.420 this baby

05:11:57.880 was not

05:11:58.360 an individual

05:11:59.260 person

05:11:59.800 and it

05:12:00.760 has

05:12:00.920 there's no

05:12:01.400 logic to

05:12:01.940 it and

05:12:02.120 has no

05:12:02.700 excuse

05:12:03.120 but it

05:12:03.580 is what

05:12:03.920 people believe

05:12:04.500 it is where

05:12:05.020 they live

05:12:05.520 and so

05:12:06.200 I think

05:12:07.360 people like

05:12:08.260 Lila Rose

05:12:08.760 people who've

05:12:09.180 been sincere

05:12:10.100 fighters

05:12:10.580 really did

05:12:11.860 change their

05:12:12.660 tactics over

05:12:13.360 time to

05:12:13.780 address that

05:12:14.360 culture

05:12:14.760 but now

05:12:15.540 they have to

05:12:15.980 address it

05:12:16.380 at its

05:12:16.680 deepest level

05:12:17.320 and I'm

05:12:17.940 sorry

05:12:18.800 that's going

05:12:19.200 to take

05:12:19.440 things that

05:12:19.840 conservatives

05:12:20.220 are bad

05:12:20.760 at

05:12:20.920 it's going

05:12:21.180 to take

05:12:21.440 art

05:12:21.720 it's going

05:12:22.340 to take

05:12:22.740 a new

05:12:23.980 kind of

05:12:24.300 way of

05:12:24.540 talking

05:12:24.920 it's going

05:12:25.500 to take

05:12:26.140 sympathy

05:12:26.660 with people

05:12:27.440 that we

05:12:27.720 don't have

05:12:27.980 sympathy with

05:12:28.520 and forgiveness

05:12:29.180 for people

05:12:29.680 who we wish

05:12:30.740 we didn't

05:12:31.040 have to

05:12:31.320 forgive

05:12:31.640 today on

05:12:33.540 X

05:12:34.640 there was a

05:12:35.420 beautiful video

05:12:36.280 of a woman

05:12:36.700 talking about

05:12:37.400 how the

05:12:38.840 father of her

05:12:39.560 baby wanted

05:12:40.040 her to abort 1.00

05:12:40.700 and she said

05:12:41.240 no and I'll

05:12:42.180 never sue you

05:12:42.900 just go away

05:12:44.060 and then the

05:12:45.280 doctor said

05:12:45.820 this baby is

05:12:46.340 going to be 0.66

05:12:46.600 deformed

05:12:47.140 you should

05:12:47.760 abort

05:12:48.040 she said

05:12:48.420 absolutely not

05:12:49.280 I'm not

05:12:49.740 going to do

05:12:50.020 it

05:12:50.160 had the baby

05:12:50.800 the baby's

05:12:51.180 now five

05:12:51.540 years old

05:12:51.880 beautiful baby

05:12:52.540 completely

05:12:53.140 undeformed

05:12:53.680 and she

05:12:54.540 told her

05:12:55.040 story

05:12:55.360 I was sitting

05:12:56.520 there going

05:12:56.780 oh my god

05:12:57.500 it was a

05:12:58.500 beautiful

05:12:58.860 beautiful

05:12:59.060 and I

05:12:59.800 retweeted it

05:13:01.000 and people

05:13:01.640 started posting

05:13:02.260 things like

05:13:02.720 did she have

05:13:03.660 to use the

05:13:04.000 F word

05:13:04.340 so much

05:13:04.820 did she

05:13:05.760 have this

05:13:06.000 that's

05:13:07.760 where we

05:13:08.000 got it

05:13:08.240 that's what

05:13:08.600 we have

05:13:08.860 to get

05:13:09.040 past

05:13:09.320 and we

05:13:09.520 have to

05:13:09.720 get past

05:13:10.160 that

05:13:10.320 and understand

05:13:10.840 that that's

05:13:11.720 a hero

05:13:12.020 she grew up

05:13:12.720 in a culture

05:13:13.140 that didn't

05:13:13.700 teach her

05:13:14.000 not to say

05:13:14.400 the F word

05:13:14.760 and we've

05:13:15.320 got to

05:13:15.520 change it

05:13:16.020 I just

05:13:17.860 want to say

05:13:18.220 that the

05:13:19.240 actual

05:13:19.800 the pro-life

05:13:20.480 fight in the

05:13:21.000 trenches

05:13:21.280 doesn't change

05:13:22.840 at all

05:13:23.200 because

05:13:24.260 like in

05:13:25.120 the trenches

05:13:25.560 and I do

05:13:26.640 this is

05:13:27.120 important to

05:13:27.840 say because

05:13:28.340 like I said

05:13:29.100 before about

05:13:29.580 how all

05:13:30.580 the conservatives

05:13:32.040 ripping each

05:13:32.700 other apart

05:13:33.080 for the last

05:13:33.500 four years

05:13:34.000 has been

05:13:34.420 very troubling

05:13:35.080 and I hope

05:13:35.740 we can get

05:13:36.100 past some

05:13:36.480 of that

05:13:36.680 and some

05:13:37.400 of that

05:13:37.540 has also

05:13:38.020 been

05:13:38.420 the way

05:13:39.660 that

05:13:40.520 some people

05:13:43.340 on the right

05:13:43.640 have turned

05:13:44.000 against pro-lifers

05:13:45.220 and pro-life

05:13:46.540 activists

05:13:46.960 and talked

05:13:47.780 about them

05:13:48.260 like they're

05:13:49.460 nothing but

05:13:49.820 frauds

05:13:50.640 they haven't

05:13:51.280 achieved

05:13:51.560 anything

05:13:52.040 and it's

05:13:52.900 like no

05:13:53.700 you say

05:13:55.080 that because

05:13:55.500 you've never

05:13:56.240 been around

05:13:56.640 these people

05:13:57.040 you've never

05:13:57.360 been in the

05:13:57.700 trenches

05:13:57.940 but the

05:13:58.880 actual

05:13:59.260 the real

05:14:00.240 pro-life

05:14:00.840 fighters

05:14:01.140 are the

05:14:01.400 ones that

05:14:01.700 are at

05:14:02.020 the clinics

05:14:02.660 okay

05:14:03.020 and they're

05:14:03.780 going to the

05:14:04.180 clinics on

05:14:04.660 Saturday mornings

05:14:05.320 and they're

05:14:05.680 talking to the

05:14:06.260 women who are 1.00

05:14:06.580 going in

05:14:07.060 and they're

05:14:08.100 running like

05:14:08.800 pregnancy resource

05:14:09.700 centers

05:14:10.000 and that's the

05:14:11.440 actual movement

05:14:12.180 like those are

05:14:12.640 the people that

05:14:13.160 are leading

05:14:14.520 this movement

05:14:15.120 and their job

05:14:16.780 doesn't change

05:14:17.440 I mean their job

05:14:17.880 is exactly the same

05:14:18.620 as it's always

05:14:19.040 been

05:14:19.360 and any

05:14:20.960 victory

05:14:21.780 and I agree

05:14:22.280 with changing

05:14:23.080 the culture

05:14:23.500 and art

05:14:23.840 and all that

05:14:24.200 stuff at a

05:14:25.180 higher level

05:14:25.580 needs to be

05:14:26.080 done

05:14:26.340 but those

05:14:28.680 people in the

05:14:29.680 fight against

05:14:30.040 abortion are the 0.93

05:14:30.700 anchor of the

05:14:31.280 movement

05:14:31.520 always have

05:14:32.280 been

05:14:32.580 and so I also

05:14:35.920 have grace

05:14:36.340 because a lot

05:14:36.940 of those people

05:14:37.320 tend to be more

05:14:38.140 of the absolutist

05:14:38.860 and they have

05:14:39.160 trouble with the

05:14:39.740 incremental approach

05:14:40.580 and I believe in

05:14:42.040 the incremental

05:14:42.400 approach but for

05:14:43.620 them like this is

05:14:44.580 their life and

05:14:45.360 they've given

05:14:45.720 their life to it

05:14:46.520 and that's why

05:14:47.880 they have trouble

05:14:48.480 sometimes seeing

05:14:50.340 doing what they

05:14:51.260 see as compromise

05:14:52.020 when they're in

05:14:53.900 this every day

05:14:54.780 but so I

05:14:55.980 understand that

05:14:56.580 emotionally but

05:14:57.360 you're also going

05:14:58.500 to suffer setbacks

05:14:59.520 like overturning

05:15:00.940 Roe was always

05:15:03.360 going to lead to

05:15:04.180 an increase in

05:15:04.880 abortion

05:15:05.240 Roe was in

05:15:07.960 some ways a

05:15:09.040 bulwark

05:15:09.760 I'm sorry

05:15:10.600 Roe was in

05:15:11.600 some ways

05:15:12.520 actually a

05:15:14.520 limiting factor

05:15:15.980 for abortion

05:15:16.660 in many parts

05:15:17.400 of the country

05:15:17.920 and now that

05:15:18.920 it's gone

05:15:19.400 what we're

05:15:19.720 seeing is that

05:15:20.260 yes some

05:15:21.000 states like

05:15:21.520 Florida are

05:15:22.540 able to have

05:15:22.960 great abortion 0.99

05:15:23.880 law and some

05:15:24.780 states like

05:15:25.240 Minnesota are

05:15:26.060 going to be

05:15:26.380 like bring us

05:15:26.980 your five-year-old

05:15:27.780 and we'll deal

05:15:28.500 with this problem

05:15:29.100 for you because

05:15:30.000 Roe had limits

05:15:31.840 on trimesters and

05:15:32.520 of course they

05:15:32.960 found ways around

05:15:33.780 all that but it

05:15:34.540 was a limiting

05:15:35.340 a national

05:15:36.640 broadly applied

05:15:37.600 so maybe

05:15:38.140 therefore law

05:15:39.280 may not be the

05:15:40.380 best vehicle

05:15:41.160 this is my

05:15:42.220 position my

05:15:43.440 position is that

05:15:44.920 there are two

05:15:45.740 better vehicles

05:15:46.700 than laws

05:15:47.460 because there

05:15:48.240 will always be

05:15:48.840 states that

05:15:49.460 allow it and

05:15:50.200 that will obviate

05:15:51.920 the power of

05:15:52.600 the law

05:15:52.980 one is

05:15:54.820 persuasion

05:15:55.600 I will just

05:15:58.320 say my

05:15:58.760 PragerU video

05:15:59.500 on abortion

05:16:00.160 which begins

05:16:01.800 with I am

05:16:02.540 not addressing

05:16:03.820 the issue of

05:16:04.700 legality

05:16:05.260 only the issue

05:16:06.640 of morality

05:16:07.320 has gone

05:16:09.600 viral it's like

05:16:10.380 10 million views

05:16:11.500 at least

05:16:12.240 and without

05:16:13.700 once saying

05:16:14.960 a word about

05:16:16.320 legal or not

05:16:17.840 legal but

05:16:19.240 when you

05:16:19.960 make a

05:16:21.660 which I think

05:16:23.060 is an

05:16:23.800 unanswerable

05:16:24.660 case for

05:16:25.540 how could you

05:16:26.900 argue that

05:16:28.240 if a mugger

05:16:29.240 shoots a woman 0.96

05:16:30.280 who is pregnant 1.00

05:16:31.020 and kills 1.00

05:16:31.760 the baby 1.00

05:16:32.860 he goes to

05:16:33.820 prison for

05:16:34.360 murder but

05:16:35.520 if she wants 0.95

05:16:36.300 the child 1.00

05:16:36.920 killed then

05:16:38.020 it's a non-issue

05:16:38.920 it's not

05:16:39.660 tenable morally

05:16:41.220 the other

05:16:42.340 is how

05:16:43.060 about this

05:16:43.620 if you're

05:16:44.200 going to

05:16:44.380 pass a law

05:16:45.020 and this

05:16:45.360 law I

05:16:45.820 would be

05:16:46.220 for

05:16:46.540 informed

05:16:47.740 consent

05:16:48.320 that's all

05:16:49.440 if you go

05:16:50.160 for an

05:16:50.460 abortion

05:16:50.840 we want

05:16:51.900 you to

05:16:52.240 know

05:16:52.540 what

05:16:53.080 is

05:16:53.420 involved

05:16:54.160 here is

05:16:55.160 a film

05:16:55.660 on what

05:16:56.300 the fetus

05:16:56.860 is

05:16:57.120 what is

05:16:57.820 happening

05:16:58.240 right now

05:16:58.920 then make

05:16:59.980 up your

05:17:00.260 mind

05:17:00.640 and make

05:17:01.380 that film

05:17:02.100 unemotional

05:17:03.580 as objective

05:17:04.960 as scientific

05:17:05.800 as possible

05:17:06.620 informed

05:17:07.620 consent

05:17:08.260 it'd be

05:17:09.260 very hard

05:17:09.960 for liberals

05:17:10.620 to argue

05:17:12.000 leftists will

05:17:12.840 always argue

05:17:13.500 against it

05:17:14.100 but I think

05:17:14.980 liberals will

05:17:15.580 say well

05:17:16.080 we'll make

05:17:16.820 that trade

05:17:17.380 you don't

05:17:17.980 ban it

05:17:18.440 and we'll

05:17:19.220 give you

05:17:19.640 informed

05:17:20.080 consent

05:17:20.500 laws

05:17:20.900 how's that

05:17:22.000 possibility

05:17:22.660 I don't know

05:17:23.760 that it would

05:17:24.140 do what

05:17:25.360 we think

05:17:26.020 that would

05:17:26.360 do

05:17:26.560 only because

05:17:27.180 if you

05:17:27.620 look at

05:17:27.940 what just

05:17:28.280 happened

05:17:28.680 in Washington

05:17:29.960 D.C.

05:17:30.560 and you see

05:17:31.060 these women 0.99

05:17:31.500 marching

05:17:31.860 through the

05:17:32.260 streets

05:17:32.540 now

05:17:32.840 banging

05:17:33.400 on their

05:17:33.800 drums

05:17:34.140 in this

05:17:34.840 very sort

05:17:35.360 of

05:17:35.840 sacrament

05:17:37.180 way

05:17:37.740 as they're

05:17:38.120 talking

05:17:38.420 about

05:17:38.680 abortion

05:17:39.040 I do

05:17:40.100 think

05:17:40.300 there is

05:17:40.560 a part

05:17:41.080 of the

05:17:41.660 pro-life

05:17:42.180 movement

05:17:42.520 that talks

05:17:43.140 about

05:17:43.420 women 1.00

05:17:43.760 like we

05:17:44.580 don't

05:17:44.820 understand

05:17:45.380 what we're

05:17:45.840 doing

05:17:46.200 when we

05:17:47.140 do that

05:17:47.600 and I

05:17:47.960 think

05:17:48.260 that maybe

05:17:48.600 there's

05:17:48.820 a little

05:17:49.140 naivety

05:17:49.740 when they

05:17:51.000 look at

05:17:51.360 women like 1.00

05:17:51.780 that

05:17:51.940 like everyone

05:17:52.560 is a

05:17:52.980 17 year

05:17:53.680 old girl

05:17:54.160 who doesn't

05:17:54.600 fully understand

05:17:55.400 how this

05:17:55.760 functions

05:17:56.160 and I think

05:17:56.860 most women 0.99

05:17:57.540 today

05:17:57.980 we do

05:17:59.060 know

05:17:59.300 and there

05:17:59.620 does need

05:18:00.100 to be

05:18:00.340 a certain

05:18:00.880 movement

05:18:01.320 towards

05:18:01.880 talking

05:18:02.660 honestly

05:18:03.380 about

05:18:04.480 women's

05:18:05.080 understanding

05:18:05.900 about the

05:18:07.140 evil

05:18:07.400 practice

05:18:07.800 they're

05:18:07.980 engaging

05:18:08.260 what I

05:18:08.620 think

05:18:08.840 is that

05:18:09.260 we're

05:18:09.520 not going

05:18:10.020 to know

05:18:10.700 how to

05:18:11.420 abolish

05:18:12.240 abortion

05:18:13.380 for at

05:18:16.200 least

05:18:16.840 40 years

05:18:17.920 I think

05:18:18.800 is going

05:18:19.100 to be

05:18:19.540 truly

05:18:20.320 a generation

05:18:21.160 and a half

05:18:21.440 it doesn't

05:18:22.000 mean we're

05:18:22.240 not going

05:18:22.460 to gain

05:18:22.740 all kinds

05:18:23.400 of victories

05:18:23.880 along that

05:18:24.440 road

05:18:24.620 we'll get

05:18:25.780 it obviated

05:18:27.180 in states

05:18:27.740 we'll get

05:18:28.180 it outright

05:18:28.880 banned

05:18:29.240 in states

05:18:29.760 we'll find

05:18:30.820 technological

05:18:31.340 solutions

05:18:31.820 that help

05:18:32.260 us with

05:18:32.520 the persuasion

05:18:33.160 argument

05:18:34.000 already

05:18:34.740 ultrasounds

05:18:35.400 are very

05:18:35.780 powerful tools

05:18:36.520 for helping

05:18:37.080 convince women

05:18:39.520 that there

05:18:39.860 is a path

05:18:40.920 beyond

05:18:41.340 abortion

05:18:41.920 I think

05:18:42.280 there will

05:18:42.780 be all

05:18:43.280 kinds of

05:18:43.660 victories

05:18:43.940 between here

05:18:44.480 and there

05:18:44.760 but just

05:18:45.380 like we

05:18:45.700 didn't know

05:18:46.260 that a

05:18:46.980 pro-choice

05:18:47.840 lifelong

05:18:48.740 New York

05:18:49.160 Democrat

05:18:49.560 was going

05:18:50.020 to give

05:18:50.600 us the

05:18:50.860 justices

05:18:51.280 that overturned

05:18:51.960 Roe v.

05:18:52.320 Wade

05:18:52.500 we don't

05:18:53.380 know

05:18:53.700 sitting here

05:18:54.140 today

05:18:54.400 how we're

05:18:54.760 ultimately

05:18:55.080 going to

05:18:55.400 win this

05:18:55.820 fight

05:18:56.360 we just

05:18:56.980 have to

05:18:57.200 keep

05:18:57.340 fighting it

05:18:57.780 right now

05:18:58.340 we have

05:18:58.580 to go

05:18:58.760 say

05:18:58.900 thank you

05:18:59.280 to some

05:18:59.560 of our

05:18:59.820 sponsors

05:19:00.180 who made

05:19:00.460 it possible

05:19:00.800 for us

05:19:01.060 to bring

05:19:01.340 you this

05:19:02.320 broadcast

05:19:02.680 tonight

05:19:03.140 and we'll

05:19:03.860 be right

05:19:04.160 back after

05:19:04.640 how's your

05:19:06.500 sleep been

05:19:06.960 recently

05:19:07.360 well I tell

05:19:08.740 you it's

05:19:09.120 election season

05:19:09.860 I've been

05:19:10.140 promoting my

05:19:10.600 new movie

05:19:11.040 pretty much

05:19:11.860 non-existent

05:19:12.480 yeah I

05:19:13.360 could tell

05:19:13.800 if you

05:19:14.640 have not

05:19:15.280 been sleeping

05:19:15.760 well then

05:19:16.540 I have to

05:19:17.120 recommend

05:19:17.580 that you

05:19:18.280 check out

05:19:18.760 Helix Sleep

05:19:19.640 Mattress

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05:19:21.340 I took

05:19:22.100 Helix Sleep's

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05:19:24.360 me with a

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05:19:25.780 mattress

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05:19:27.220 my sleeping

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05:19:28.000 it's got the

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05:19:49.400 that does

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05:20:08.480 Daily Wire's

05:20:08.980 election night

05:20:09.400 coverage

05:20:09.700 all right we want

05:20:14.280 to get back

05:20:14.640 into bringing

05:20:15.220 you some

05:20:15.580 updates about

05:20:16.240 the election

05:20:16.700 right now

05:20:17.260 according to

05:20:18.460 the New York

05:20:18.980 Times with

05:20:19.720 53% of the

05:20:21.280 vote in in

05:20:21.760 Arizona

05:20:22.260 Donald Trump

05:20:23.000 is leading

05:20:23.500 by 13,000

05:20:25.360 votes

05:20:26.380 very very close

05:20:27.320 but obviously

05:20:27.780 we're still

05:20:28.220 early in the

05:20:29.360 count now

05:20:29.820 Maricopa County

05:20:30.600 saying that it

05:20:31.020 could take them

05:20:31.400 10 to 13

05:20:32.160 days to

05:20:33.420 tabulate the

05:20:34.000 vote

05:20:34.140 this is insane

05:20:34.860 it's insane

05:20:35.420 and completely

05:20:36.600 unforgivable

05:20:37.200 and I hope a

05:20:37.980 court goes in

05:20:38.520 there and tells

05:20:39.200 them they can't

05:20:39.600 can we start

05:20:39.980 like a dailywire

05:20:40.700 fund where we

05:20:41.660 yeah

05:20:41.980 pay to ship

05:20:43.580 all of Florida's

05:20:44.460 election workers

05:20:45.260 yes

05:20:45.740 yes

05:20:45.760 I have to say

05:20:48.160 that in

05:20:48.800 Ben is

05:20:50.380 it certainly

05:20:51.620 seems Ben is

05:20:52.160 right about one

05:20:52.640 thing

05:20:52.860 Jonathan Capehart

05:20:53.680 of PBS

05:20:54.160 just said that

05:20:55.700 he's mystified

05:20:56.420 that Trump is

05:20:57.040 gaining support

05:20:57.780 who are we

05:20:59.000 as a country

05:20:59.520 I'm not sure

05:21:00.140 I like it

05:21:00.720 he said

05:21:01.020 blame the people 0.99

05:21:02.800 blame the people 0.99

05:21:03.620 yeah

05:21:03.800 in Pennsylvania

05:21:05.360 88% of the

05:21:07.280 result is now

05:21:08.060 in Donald Trump

05:21:09.420 leading 51%

05:21:10.980 to Kamala Harris

05:21:11.720 is 48%

05:21:12.600 why are they

05:21:13.520 announcing that

05:21:14.300 we won't have

05:21:14.820 results in if

05:21:15.560 88%

05:21:16.320 Pennsylvania was

05:21:17.100 saying before

05:21:17.640 we even got to

05:21:18.600 the day

05:21:18.960 yeah that we

05:21:19.580 would not have

05:21:20.200 results

05:21:20.320 oh oh so is

05:21:21.140 that the place

05:21:21.720 where the court

05:21:22.320 ordered them

05:21:23.180 they ordered

05:21:23.640 them to not

05:21:24.220 stop

05:21:24.600 ordered them

05:21:25.020 to not stop

05:21:25.740 okay so we

05:21:26.400 may have

05:21:26.800 Pennsylvania

05:21:27.140 and at the

05:21:28.660 rate it's going

05:21:29.300 he is one

05:21:29.980 Pennsylvania

05:21:30.660 Dennis Prager

05:21:32.900 just called it

05:21:33.480 we can go

05:21:33.940 home

05:21:34.260 good point

05:21:35.500 I was a

05:21:36.160 question

05:21:36.520 I don't know

05:21:36.980 I thought I

05:21:37.760 had a question

05:21:38.320 as you know

05:21:39.140 these votes

05:21:39.680 come in from

05:21:40.460 different precincts

05:21:41.440 that have

05:21:41.720 different sort of

05:21:42.380 demographics

05:21:42.860 at different

05:21:43.260 times

05:21:43.580 right

05:21:43.880 so it's not

05:21:44.600 as though

05:21:45.200 it scales

05:21:45.840 from here

05:21:46.420 to there

05:21:46.980 equal to

05:21:48.180 how it is

05:21:48.540 now

05:21:48.700 I mean you

05:21:49.000 can see

05:21:49.980 the slowest

05:21:51.060 places are

05:21:51.520 usually the

05:21:52.060 bluest cities

05:21:52.660 and the bluest

05:21:53.680 cities bring in

05:21:54.300 a big batch

05:21:54.840 and it can

05:21:55.180 wildly swing

05:21:55.900 and are they

05:21:56.600 calling the

05:21:57.160 senate seat

05:21:57.720 in Pennsylvania

05:21:58.440 that's a good

05:21:59.340 question

05:21:59.660 have we called

05:22:00.200 no

05:22:00.780 also not

05:22:02.260 yeah we've

05:22:02.780 not called

05:22:03.060 the senate seat

05:22:03.600 Michigan

05:22:04.340 who also is

05:22:05.500 saying that it

05:22:05.960 could be tomorrow

05:22:06.640 before the votes

05:22:07.300 are in

05:22:07.660 currently 58%

05:22:10.100 reporting

05:22:10.660 but Michigan's

05:22:12.060 looking very

05:22:12.460 good

05:22:12.700 Donald Trump

05:22:13.200 52%

05:22:14.060 to Kamala's

05:22:14.680 46%

05:22:15.820 and Wisconsin

05:22:17.420 right now

05:22:18.820 83% of the

05:22:19.800 vote is in

05:22:20.280 Donald Trump

05:22:21.080 leading Kamala

05:22:21.680 Harris

05:22:21.900 51%

05:22:22.880 47%

05:22:24.260 Minnesota

05:22:25.000 which

05:22:25.500 Donald Trump

05:22:26.420 is not going

05:22:26.800 to win

05:22:27.060 Minnesota

05:22:27.400 I don't want

05:22:27.800 to hurt

05:22:28.020 anybody's

05:22:28.380 feelings here

05:22:28.880 that Minnesota

05:22:30.280 is only

05:22:31.120 barely free

05:22:31.860 but even

05:22:33.720 but Minnesota

05:22:34.280 also says

05:22:34.940 they probably

05:22:35.380 can't count

05:22:35.860 them all

05:22:36.080 today

05:22:36.200 how do you

05:22:36.840 possibly expect

05:22:37.520 us to count

05:22:37.840 them all

05:22:38.020 today

05:22:38.200 and they're

05:22:38.700 all Democrat

05:22:39.140 votes

05:22:39.460 so they

05:22:39.620 have no

05:22:39.840 reason

05:22:40.080 yeah

05:22:40.900 so I

05:22:41.940 wonder

05:22:42.740 if a

05:22:44.040 proposition

05:22:44.620 at least

05:22:45.540 that's how

05:22:45.900 we do it

05:22:46.300 in California

05:22:46.860 if a

05:22:47.740 proposition

05:22:48.220 in all

05:22:49.680 50 states

05:22:50.680 were on

05:22:51.600 the ballot

05:22:52.020 next time

05:22:53.000 people vote

05:22:53.980 counting

05:22:56.820 will never

05:22:57.560 cease

05:22:58.560 until a

05:23:00.240 decision

05:23:00.660 is arrived

05:23:01.560 at in

05:23:02.400 our state

05:23:03.100 I think

05:23:04.660 most people

05:23:05.240 would vote

05:23:05.600 for that

05:23:05.980 even Democrats

05:23:06.880 you agree

05:23:08.560 oh yeah

05:23:09.300 I think

05:23:11.420 I think

05:23:12.100 just about

05:23:12.680 everyone

05:23:13.200 thinks that

05:23:14.120 this should

05:23:14.400 happen quickly

05:23:14.980 except the

05:23:15.400 people who

05:23:15.800 have a vested

05:23:16.240 interest in it

05:23:16.840 not happening

05:23:17.360 quickly

05:23:17.740 and who

05:23:18.580 might that

05:23:19.100 be

05:23:19.360 decision desk

05:23:22.600 saying

05:23:23.040 our partners

05:23:23.420 at decision

05:23:23.860 desk saying

05:23:24.220 86% of the

05:23:25.200 vote is in

05:23:25.680 right now

05:23:26.640 in Pennsylvania

05:23:27.380 Trump leads

05:23:28.700 50.9 to

05:23:30.180 48.2

05:23:31.140 Kamala

05:23:31.600 so I

05:23:33.280 mean

05:23:33.460 Wisconsin

05:23:34.560 and Pennsylvania

05:23:36.240 right now

05:23:36.800 showing Trump

05:23:37.500 leads

05:23:37.780 his lead

05:23:38.600 in Wisconsin

05:23:40.740 I think

05:23:41.640 fairly substantial

05:23:42.420 with 84%

05:23:43.100 of the vote

05:23:43.420 in

05:23:43.600 still early

05:23:44.600 only 61%

05:23:45.500 in Michigan

05:23:46.220 so early

05:23:47.220 to know

05:23:47.500 there's a couple

05:23:48.140 of other

05:23:48.560 main where

05:23:50.820 they can even

05:23:51.620 split some of

05:23:52.120 their votes

05:23:52.500 I think

05:23:52.820 so that's

05:23:53.960 going to be

05:23:54.200 a slow one

05:23:54.700 but again

05:23:55.900 what do you

05:23:56.280 do about

05:23:56.600 the fact

05:23:56.880 that Maricopa

05:23:57.480 County

05:23:57.700 thinks it

05:23:58.080 takes 13

05:23:58.720 days

05:23:59.180 to count

05:24:00.100 their ballots

05:24:00.620 what do

05:24:02.880 they claim

05:24:03.280 they're doing

05:24:03.780 for 13

05:24:04.260 days

05:24:04.600 what is

05:24:06.480 the process

05:24:07.000 that takes

05:24:07.380 13 days

05:24:07.840 to count

05:24:08.300 I don't

05:24:09.560 know

05:24:09.760 they say

05:24:10.180 they're not

05:24:10.460 allowed to

05:24:10.860 start counting

05:24:11.600 until they

05:24:12.740 have reached

05:24:13.340 that point

05:24:13.960 where the

05:24:14.240 ballots are

05:24:14.680 still allowed

05:24:15.140 to come

05:24:15.460 in

05:24:15.700 so

05:24:16.060 they

05:24:17.700 I guess

05:24:18.520 by law

05:24:19.080 cannot start

05:24:19.760 counting

05:24:20.100 until that

05:24:20.640 point

05:24:20.940 which seems 0.63

05:24:23.700 ridiculous

05:24:24.100 that seems 1.00

05:24:24.600 like a state

05:24:25.020 in need of

05:24:25.300 a new law

05:24:25.780 yeah

05:24:26.300 and the ballots

05:24:27.700 are allowed

05:24:28.120 to come

05:24:28.400 in until

05:24:28.760 when

05:24:29.060 I'm not

05:24:30.880 until the

05:24:31.300 Democrats

05:24:31.680 win

05:24:32.000 I mean

05:24:33.680 there's been

05:24:34.740 a debate

05:24:35.120 over whether

05:24:35.740 it's like

05:24:36.160 three days

05:24:37.040 after

05:24:37.580 yeah

05:24:38.300 so

05:24:38.800 I mean

05:24:39.920 that's how

05:24:40.580 you're getting

05:24:40.960 a week

05:24:41.360 out from

05:24:42.060 do we know

05:24:44.080 do we know

05:24:45.040 the college

05:24:45.900 student vote

05:24:46.840 we don't

05:24:48.680 and I don't

05:24:49.220 know if you were

05:24:49.640 after when I

05:24:50.080 said this

05:24:50.520 but you know

05:24:51.280 my big fear

05:24:51.920 going into

05:24:52.300 this election

05:24:52.760 I thought

05:24:53.220 that Kamala

05:24:53.620 had a path

05:24:54.200 to winning

05:24:54.520 50 states

05:24:55.220 I didn't

05:24:55.980 think it

05:24:56.240 was going

05:24:56.460 to happen

05:24:56.900 but with

05:24:58.120 the ubiquity

05:24:59.180 now of

05:24:59.700 mail-in ballots

05:25:00.440 they can turn

05:25:01.100 college campuses

05:25:01.780 for the first

05:25:02.280 time into

05:25:02.640 ballot harvesting

05:25:03.240 operations

05:25:03.780 they obviously

05:25:05.040 were not able

05:25:05.780 to accomplish

05:25:06.320 that in time

05:25:06.900 for this

05:25:07.220 election

05:25:07.580 if they

05:25:08.780 had

05:25:09.340 it would

05:25:10.600 have been

05:25:10.920 an unbelievable

05:25:12.220 swing

05:25:12.940 maybe not

05:25:13.620 maybe not

05:25:14.080 young people

05:25:14.900 don't seem

05:25:15.340 to have

05:25:15.620 broken his

05:25:16.060 part to the

05:25:17.040 well the

05:25:17.720 young people

05:25:18.200 the young

05:25:18.600 people who

05:25:19.000 vote

05:25:19.460 yeah

05:25:20.740 have voted

05:25:21.560 more to the

05:25:23.200 right than we

05:25:23.560 might have

05:25:23.880 assumed that

05:25:24.400 they would

05:25:24.760 but again

05:25:25.700 that's

05:25:26.040 assuming that

05:25:27.560 you're not

05:25:27.780 creating these

05:25:28.240 ballot harvesting

05:25:28.860 operations that

05:25:29.640 almost changed

05:25:30.500 the nature

05:25:31.060 of voting

05:25:31.580 from being

05:25:32.160 something that

05:25:32.580 you have to

05:25:32.940 proactively

05:25:33.440 do to

05:25:34.320 something that

05:25:34.720 you do not

05:25:35.160 have to

05:25:35.460 proactively

05:25:35.880 do

05:25:36.260 the problem

05:25:37.420 is they are

05:25:38.040 going to

05:25:38.400 wisen up and

05:25:38.940 try to do

05:25:39.300 this in four

05:25:39.780 years and

05:25:40.560 we've got to

05:25:40.860 get incredibly

05:25:41.360 serious about

05:25:41.980 what we're

05:25:42.240 going to do

05:25:42.680 about it

05:25:43.320 would Ron

05:25:44.080 DeSantis have

05:25:44.840 won

05:25:45.100 had he been

05:25:46.880 the nominee

05:25:47.340 yeah

05:25:47.640 hmm

05:25:48.780 yes

05:25:51.780 yes

05:25:51.800 I think that

05:25:52.680 Trump has

05:25:54.360 some very

05:25:54.840 unique

05:25:55.240 assets

05:25:56.120 going into

05:25:56.580 this race

05:25:56.940 and he has

05:25:57.280 some unique

05:25:57.760 liabilities

05:25:58.320 going into

05:25:58.800 the race

05:25:59.140 too

05:25:59.380 I think

05:26:00.540 that there

05:26:00.820 are a lot

05:26:01.380 of people

05:26:01.840 who said

05:26:02.320 that they

05:26:02.760 if you go

05:26:03.640 all the way

05:26:04.000 back to

05:26:04.420 the spring

05:26:05.520 there's an

05:26:06.560 enormous body

05:26:07.280 of people

05:26:07.640 who said

05:26:08.060 that they

05:26:08.380 wanted to

05:26:08.820 vote for

05:26:09.160 whoever

05:26:09.660 wasn't

05:26:10.500 Joe Biden

05:26:11.040 or

05:26:11.540 Donald Trump

05:26:13.240 I think

05:26:13.600 there is

05:26:14.960 that sentiment

05:26:15.440 in both

05:26:16.720 parties

05:26:17.160 now as it

05:26:18.380 turns out

05:26:18.900 anyone who

05:26:19.560 isn't Joe

05:26:20.040 Biden

05:26:20.360 actually didn't

05:26:22.440 it turns out

05:26:22.920 they didn't

05:26:23.180 mean anyone

05:26:23.780 right

05:26:24.400 they picked

05:26:25.120 someone who

05:26:25.640 was so

05:26:26.300 obviously

05:26:27.300 unfit to

05:26:27.880 be president

05:26:29.000 that I think

05:26:29.860 they're not

05:26:30.500 going to

05:26:30.780 carry the

05:26:31.100 night

05:26:31.320 could anyone

05:26:32.980 have won

05:26:33.720 against Kamala

05:26:34.600 other than

05:26:35.120 Donald Trump

05:26:35.560 I'm not

05:26:35.900 saying that

05:26:36.340 the reason

05:26:36.780 I posed

05:26:37.460 it is

05:26:38.260 because we

05:26:38.680 raised the

05:26:39.120 issue of

05:26:39.780 Republicans

05:26:40.800 and infighting

05:26:42.400 and so on

05:26:42.840 I admit

05:26:46.860 that I have

05:26:47.320 contempt for

05:26:48.080 the never

05:26:48.560 Trump

05:26:49.100 Republican

05:26:49.880 never

05:26:50.540 Trump

05:26:50.880 conservative

05:26:51.400 and I

05:26:54.660 know almost

05:26:55.260 all of them

05:26:55.720 personally

05:26:56.180 so this is

05:26:56.780 painful

05:26:57.140 but to

05:26:58.920 prefer the

05:27:00.040 left

05:27:00.360 to Trump

05:27:01.680 is a

05:27:02.960 derangement

05:27:03.600 however I

05:27:05.260 wonder

05:27:05.740 if for

05:27:07.080 every never

05:27:07.880 Trump

05:27:08.540 conservative

05:27:10.140 or Republican

05:27:11.140 is there

05:27:12.300 an only

05:27:13.300 Trump

05:27:14.000 conservative

05:27:15.080 or Republican

05:27:16.060 and I must

05:27:17.280 tell you

05:27:17.760 I have

05:27:18.500 just as much

05:27:19.200 disdain

05:27:19.800 for the

05:27:20.540 only

05:27:20.900 Trumper

05:27:21.360 as for

05:27:21.980 the never

05:27:22.320 Trumper

05:27:22.900 certain

05:27:23.200 Michael

05:27:23.900 Knowles

05:27:24.240 hardest hit

05:27:25.040 I do

05:27:28.020 think of

05:27:28.380 course that

05:27:28.680 there are

05:27:28.880 some only

05:27:29.480 Trumpers

05:27:29.980 and they

05:27:31.080 can be

05:27:31.340 very loud

05:27:31.860 and obnoxious

05:27:32.400 on the

05:27:32.620 internet

05:27:32.860 but I

05:27:33.160 don't

05:27:33.580 believe that

05:27:34.380 that's a

05:27:34.700 sizable

05:27:35.040 contingent

05:27:35.600 I think

05:27:36.280 that people

05:27:37.180 want the 0.55

05:27:38.760 country to

05:27:39.300 work

05:27:39.660 and they

05:27:41.040 believe that

05:27:41.460 Donald Trump

05:27:41.760 is going to

05:27:42.060 give them

05:27:42.340 that and

05:27:42.840 so they

05:27:43.120 become very

05:27:43.580 passionate

05:27:43.980 for Donald

05:27:44.880 Trump

05:27:45.080 as for the

05:27:45.540 never Trumpers

05:27:46.120 you know

05:27:46.480 I didn't

05:27:47.240 vote for

05:27:47.520 Donald Trump

05:27:47.880 in 2016

05:27:48.520 and my

05:27:50.400 argument for

05:27:50.880 not voting

05:27:51.280 for Donald

05:27:51.660 Trump in

05:27:52.040 2016 was

05:27:53.120 Donald Trump

05:27:54.860 said a lot

05:27:55.380 of things that

05:27:55.780 were incredibly

05:27:56.420 alarming

05:27:56.920 did he mean

05:27:59.240 them

05:27:59.460 my problem

05:28:01.420 with never

05:28:01.760 Trump in

05:28:02.160 2020 and

05:28:02.820 2024 is

05:28:03.900 that they

05:28:05.100 essentially

05:28:05.760 ignore the

05:28:07.040 fact that

05:28:07.380 Donald Trump

05:28:07.880 was in fact

05:28:08.780 president

05:28:09.660 so when I

05:28:10.780 was making

05:28:11.180 my decision

05:28:11.720 in 2016

05:28:12.420 Donald Trump

05:28:13.540 said things

05:28:14.040 that very

05:28:14.880 much worried

05:28:15.460 me and I

05:28:16.360 didn't know

05:28:16.740 if he meant

05:28:17.160 them

05:28:17.340 by 2020

05:28:18.840 I knew that

05:28:19.640 Donald Trump

05:28:20.200 didn't mean

05:28:20.720 them

05:28:20.940 that Donald

05:28:22.300 Trump's

05:28:22.760 worst rhetoric

05:28:24.280 whatever it

05:28:27.440 is being

05:28:29.700 funny

05:28:30.120 insult

05:28:30.880 comic

05:28:31.320 hyperbolic

05:28:32.620 aggressive

05:28:33.760 negotiation

05:28:34.620 sometimes going

05:28:36.360 straight from

05:28:36.920 the id and

05:28:37.500 not going

05:28:38.140 through a

05:28:38.440 filter

05:28:38.660 but that

05:28:39.260 actually

05:28:39.620 doesn't

05:28:39.940 define

05:28:40.240 his

05:28:40.400 behavior

05:28:40.720 he was

05:28:41.640 actually

05:28:41.880 a fairly

05:28:42.420 moderate

05:28:42.980 administrator

05:28:44.640 of the

05:28:45.180 government

05:28:45.460 he was a

05:28:46.660 fairly moderate

05:28:47.260 CEO

05:28:47.680 I don't mean

05:28:48.260 moderate in

05:28:48.820 the sense

05:28:49.520 of like

05:28:49.800 political

05:28:50.300 left-right

05:28:52.100 moderate

05:28:52.840 is in the

05:28:53.200 middle

05:28:53.320 I mean

05:28:53.560 moderate

05:28:53.840 like

05:28:54.160 he didn't

05:28:54.800 do radical

05:28:55.420 things

05:28:55.960 he governed

05:28:57.220 moderately

05:28:57.820 now he still

05:28:59.700 says a lot

05:29:00.180 of things

05:29:00.460 that I

05:29:00.700 don't like

05:29:01.160 but now

05:29:01.960 I have a

05:29:02.320 box to

05:29:02.660 put those

05:29:03.020 in

05:29:03.160 I sort

05:29:03.440 of

05:29:03.540 understand

05:29:03.940 what they

05:29:04.280 are

05:29:04.580 I don't

05:29:05.700 understand

05:29:06.100 how people

05:29:06.540 can ignore

05:29:07.140 the evidence

05:29:07.920 of four years

05:29:09.360 of the man

05:29:09.720 being president

05:29:10.160 and still have

05:29:10.960 the fears

05:29:11.380 that I had

05:29:11.880 in 2016

05:29:12.500 well he says

05:29:13.320 he's going

05:29:13.640 to put

05:29:13.980 somebody in

05:29:14.340 front of

05:29:14.540 a firing

05:29:14.880 squad

05:29:15.180 yes

05:29:15.620 and he's

05:29:16.420 not

05:29:16.660 and that's

05:29:19.380 a phony

05:29:19.820 argument

05:29:20.520 he did not

05:29:21.220 say that

05:29:21.940 but even

05:29:22.780 if he had

05:29:23.220 said it

05:29:23.520 it would

05:29:23.700 have been

05:29:23.900 incredible

05:29:24.280 and he still

05:29:25.820 wouldn't have

05:29:26.200 meant it

05:29:26.540 whereas

05:29:27.080 the left

05:29:28.360 says all

05:29:28.920 kinds of

05:29:29.260 horrible

05:29:29.520 things too

05:29:30.060 and they

05:29:30.580 do act

05:29:31.160 on their

05:29:31.440 worst

05:29:31.720 rhetoric

05:29:32.020 they actually

05:29:32.880 put into

05:29:33.620 practice

05:29:34.000 when they

05:29:34.420 say things

05:29:35.000 like

05:29:35.260 I think

05:29:36.020 that a

05:29:36.960 person

05:29:39.080 who was

05:29:39.560 born

05:29:40.020 with a

05:29:40.480 uterus 0.98

05:29:40.940 and breasts 0.99

05:29:41.980 should be

05:29:42.640 able to

05:29:42.960 remove those

05:29:43.580 breasts 0.99

05:29:43.920 as a

05:29:44.220 teenager

05:29:44.600 because that

05:29:45.340 person

05:29:45.640 is a

05:29:45.960 man

05:29:46.260 they mean

05:29:47.420 it

05:29:47.580 and then

05:29:47.920 they go

05:29:48.200 mutilate

05:29:48.580 our 0.99

05:29:48.800 daughters

05:29:48.900 that's

05:29:49.140 right

05:29:49.380 that's

05:29:50.040 not

05:29:50.220 and I

05:29:50.740 have

05:29:51.020 just like

05:29:51.660 I had

05:29:51.880 a record

05:29:52.200 of Donald

05:29:52.540 Trump

05:29:52.720 being

05:29:52.900 president

05:29:53.240 by which

05:29:53.680 to

05:29:53.860 measure

05:29:54.660 now

05:29:54.940 his

05:29:55.120 words

05:29:55.400 I

05:29:56.300 have

05:29:56.660 the

05:29:57.460 Obama

05:29:57.800 and Biden

05:29:58.320 administrations

05:29:58.940 to judge

05:29:59.440 them

05:30:00.280 they mean

05:30:01.080 it

05:30:01.240 I also

05:30:01.540 think

05:30:01.740 that the

05:30:02.160 never

05:30:03.100 Trumpers

05:30:03.720 at this

05:30:04.140 point

05:30:04.480 like

05:30:06.180 a lot

05:30:06.660 of them

05:30:06.820 are just

05:30:07.160 leftists

05:30:07.680 and I

05:30:07.980 think

05:30:08.100 maybe

05:30:08.300 they

05:30:08.420 just

05:30:08.620 always

05:30:09.000 were

05:30:09.400 but

05:30:10.800 they

05:30:11.020 it's

05:30:11.700 not

05:30:11.920 just

05:30:12.120 that

05:30:12.260 they're

05:30:12.480 opposed

05:30:12.760 to

05:30:12.920 Trump

05:30:13.160 they've

05:30:13.440 I mean

05:30:14.680 this crew

05:30:15.420 that we're

05:30:15.660 talking about

05:30:16.140 many of them

05:30:17.680 have fully

05:30:18.160 adopted

05:30:18.720 leftist

05:30:19.220 positions

05:30:19.680 on like

05:30:20.140 everything

05:30:20.780 Brett

05:30:21.420 Stephens

05:30:22.100 is

05:30:22.520 whom

05:30:23.200 I

05:30:23.360 know

05:30:23.540 well

05:30:23.900 and

05:30:24.200 it's

05:30:24.660 it's

05:30:25.080 we've

05:30:25.580 debated

05:30:25.940 and

05:30:26.320 it's

05:30:26.800 painful

05:30:27.240 but

05:30:27.720 he

05:30:28.440 writes

05:30:28.820 terrific

05:30:30.060 columns

05:30:31.660 for the

05:30:32.000 New York

05:30:32.300 Times

05:30:32.660 as a

05:30:33.440 conservative

05:30:33.920 and

05:30:35.500 and then

05:30:36.520 when it

05:30:36.840 comes to

05:30:37.260 Trump

05:30:37.600 it

05:30:38.500 just

05:30:39.000 I

05:30:39.240 feel

05:30:39.720 that

05:30:39.980 this

05:30:40.220 good

05:30:41.020 man

05:30:41.320 loses

05:30:41.680 his

05:30:41.920 mind

05:30:42.260 he's

05:30:43.500 not

05:30:43.660 a

05:30:43.800 leftist

05:30:44.240 many

05:30:44.460 such

05:30:44.700 cases

05:30:44.820 some

05:30:45.120 of

05:30:45.260 them

05:30:45.400 are

05:30:45.640 I

05:30:45.760 mean

05:30:45.920 some

05:30:46.520 are

05:30:46.640 like

05:30:46.740 Bill

05:30:46.940 Kristol

05:30:47.360 absolutely

05:30:48.260 any

05:30:48.980 of

05:30:49.200 them

05:30:49.360 who

05:30:49.500 say

05:30:49.720 that

05:30:49.860 they're

05:30:50.020 voting

05:30:50.280 for

05:30:50.500 Biden

05:30:51.640 or

05:30:51.880 now

05:30:52.120 now

05:30:52.400 they become

05:30:53.940 leftist

05:30:54.360 that's

05:30:54.840 right

05:30:55.360 did

05:30:55.960 David

05:30:56.320 French

05:30:56.760 say

05:30:57.120 that

05:30:57.420 he's

05:30:57.680 voting

05:30:57.980 for

05:30:58.360 Biden

05:30:59.200 I

05:30:59.500 don't

05:30:59.620 know

05:30:59.720 if

05:30:59.800 David

05:31:00.000 French

05:31:00.260 said

05:31:00.440 he's

05:31:00.640 voting

05:31:00.920 for

05:31:01.120 Biden

05:31:01.340 I

05:31:01.520 don't

05:31:01.820 think

05:31:02.060 that

05:31:02.300 it's

05:31:02.560 a

05:31:02.680 fair

05:31:02.820 characterization

05:31:03.380 of

05:31:03.740 say

05:31:03.900 Jonah

05:31:04.240 or

05:31:04.600 David

05:31:05.200 French

05:31:05.500 to say

05:31:05.800 that

05:31:05.960 they've

05:31:06.180 become

05:31:06.420 leftist

05:31:06.940 no

05:31:07.140 Jonah

05:31:07.460 not

05:31:08.760 David

05:31:10.240 French

05:31:10.600 said

05:31:10.700 he was

05:31:10.840 voting

05:31:11.040 for

05:31:11.200 the

05:31:15.060 left

05:31:15.240 and I

05:31:15.480 have

05:31:15.660 a

05:31:16.140 major

05:31:16.540 problem

05:31:16.960 with

05:31:17.200 it

05:31:17.360 that

05:31:17.840 is

05:31:17.960 not

05:31:18.140 the

05:31:18.300 same

05:31:18.480 as

05:31:18.600 saying

05:31:18.760 that

05:31:18.920 he

05:31:19.020 is

05:31:19.140 a

05:31:19.280 leftist

05:31:20.300 what

05:31:20.540 he

05:31:20.980 is

05:31:21.480 is

05:31:22.560 what

05:31:22.680 he

05:31:24.900 is

05:31:25.100 unmade

05:31:25.880 by

05:31:26.140 Donald

05:31:26.440 Trump

05:31:26.680 he

05:31:28.360 wrote

05:31:28.820 to save

05:31:29.200 conservatism

05:31:29.840 for

05:31:30.020 myself

05:31:30.320 I'm

05:31:30.480 voting

05:31:30.700 for

05:31:30.880 Harris

05:31:31.220 which

05:31:32.700 is

05:31:33.440 bizarre

05:31:33.860 insane

05:31:34.740 I've

05:31:36.660 never

05:31:36.840 seen

05:31:37.060 anything

05:31:37.440 else

05:31:38.080 like

05:31:38.320 this

05:31:38.480 he

05:31:38.660 makes

05:31:39.320 people 0.87

05:31:39.600 crazy 0.99

05:31:40.020 and 0.99

05:31:40.200 they

05:31:40.340 cannot

05:31:40.660 back

05:31:40.980 down

05:31:41.300 I

05:31:41.660 mean

05:31:41.800 Jonah

05:31:42.080 at

05:31:42.280 this

05:31:42.440 point

05:31:42.660 who

05:31:42.800 a

05:31:43.020 guy

05:31:43.240 I

05:31:43.360 really

05:31:43.600 admired

05:31:44.060 and

05:31:44.200 liked

05:31:44.440 personally

05:31:44.980 I

05:31:45.160 considered

05:31:46.160 him

05:31:46.320 a

05:31:46.760 pal

05:31:47.120 you know

05:31:47.460 like

05:31:47.700 I

05:31:48.440 think

05:31:48.680 hey guys

05:31:49.220 I'm going to interrupt this

05:31:50.460 because we're going to

05:31:51.560 Mary Margaret Olehan

05:31:52.500 at Trump HQ

05:31:53.580 where I think we're about to hear from the man

05:31:55.220 himself

05:31:55.660 Mary Margaret what's happening

05:31:56.640 hello

05:31:58.840 they're playing the Trump music

05:32:00.480 I think he's coming soon

05:32:01.740 this is really exciting

05:32:02.700 they're playing the YMCA song

05:32:04.800 I don't know if you can see in the

05:32:06.520 background

05:32:07.020 the crowd is getting really hyped

05:32:09.160 it's very full

05:32:10.460 I'm holding my ear because it's so loud in here

05:32:13.600 I can barely hear you guys

05:32:14.960 we already know that Trump and JD Vance are en route to the election night party

05:32:21.480 and I think they're about to appear behind me

05:32:24.220 so this is very exciting

05:32:25.980 pretty much everyone in the room has said that they think that Trump has won

05:32:28.980 but obviously we haven't called it yet

05:32:30.640 I don't know if you can see behind me though

05:32:32.640 you've got Trump on the screen dancing

05:32:35.180 he's doing his classic YMCA dance

05:32:37.800 he's recently added his signature golf swing move

05:32:40.860 classic Trump rally

05:32:44.460 a lot of fun

05:32:45.720 well New York Times is now saying a 93% chance of a Trump victory

05:32:50.100 so it does seem like

05:32:52.560 you know

05:32:53.700 one hates to say the writings on the wall and get cocky when there are still votes that need to be

05:32:57.900 tabulated but I wanted to come to you because I saw Trump on the screen

05:33:01.680 I wasn't sure if he was actually on the stage

05:33:03.480 I will definitely want to come to you when the president walks out on the stage

05:33:07.020 what are you hearing about

05:33:07.980 from people there

05:33:09.400 what are the top issues that seem to have moved voters

05:33:11.880 well you know obviously the economy and immigration are the issues that we hear about the most

05:33:18.380 but I actually just talked to Callie Means

05:33:20.640 who's one of the big proponents behind

05:33:22.660 make America healthy again

05:33:24.560 and he's telling me that

05:33:25.880 you know this is an issue that's really motivating voters to the polls

05:33:29.260 especially suburban women 1.00

05:33:30.820 he thinks that's a whole hidden vote there that Trump really tapped into

05:33:34.640 and also the trans issues are really pushing people to the polls

05:33:39.360 and I'm told that's the 2024 sleeper issue

05:33:41.720 even with women

05:33:43.040 so you know

05:33:43.620 the left talks about how Trump has no chance with women

05:33:46.340 especially on abortion

05:33:47.440 but then we have these other two issues

05:33:49.900 specifically about the health of American people

05:33:52.180 of kids

05:33:52.760 and then transgender issues

05:33:54.880 of course which we all know

05:33:56.040 and the Daily Wire has covered so well

05:33:58.000 pushing irreversible gender transition procedures on kids 1.00

05:34:01.660 allowing men and women's sports

05:34:03.260 this is you know

05:34:04.060 things that Trump calls quote unquote crazy

05:34:06.600 and he's really tapping into

05:34:07.980 what the American people are feeling

05:34:09.900 you know this is not normal

05:34:11.400 this is absolutely crazy

05:34:13.040 and I think that very phrasing has pushed people to the polls

05:34:16.600 I mean I was talking to Terry Schilling earlier

05:34:18.700 he's the president of the American Principles Project

05:34:21.140 he told me they put 18 million dollars behind ads

05:34:25.200 telling the American public how radical these transgender messaging is 0.96

05:34:29.020 and he said it worked

05:34:30.300 he said he got so many people to go out to the polls

05:34:33.120 specifically on trans messaging

05:34:34.940 so I for one you know as a culture reporter

05:34:37.260 I'm really interested in seeing the aftermath of this election

05:34:39.860 and seeing the Democrats who learned their lesson

05:34:42.440 and understood that they pushed too far

05:34:44.600 this is too radical for Americans

05:34:46.400 Americans do not want men in their daughters' bathrooms 1.00

05:34:49.280 and they don't want kids undergoing this type of thing

05:34:51.480 so those are two big issues that

05:34:53.460 I'm told that they're driving people to the polls

05:34:55.760 and I believe it

05:34:56.520 you know these are things that are top of the mind for Americans

05:34:59.420 and I'm very excited to see

05:35:01.900 you know like I was saying

05:35:03.460 the aftermath of this

05:35:04.580 and to help understand

05:35:06.200 what went into these decisions for Americans

05:35:08.700 and how we can learn from that in the future

05:35:10.740 Mary Margaret Fox is saying that Catholics may swing Michigan for Trump

05:35:15.220 tell us why Catholics might not 0.99

05:35:16.820 why would Catholics not be open to a Kamala presidency

05:35:19.760 well there's a lot of reasons Catholics wouldn't want Kamala for president

05:35:24.880 I mean mainly her support for abortion

05:35:26.780 she supports unrestricted abortion 0.94

05:35:28.780 and what that means is abortion up until or after nine months

05:35:32.120 Democrats like to say that that's a fake thing

05:35:34.360 but unfortunately there's many many states in the United States

05:35:37.100 that allow abortion after birth 0.58

05:35:39.680 which of course is infanticide

05:35:41.160 it's not actually abortion

05:35:42.260 so

05:35:42.560 oh we got some applause in the background here

05:35:45.740 this is about the Georgia results

05:35:49.380 Fox is saying

05:35:52.240 Trump has 50.9%

05:35:54.160 compared to Kamala's 48.4%

05:35:56.780 crowd really likes this

05:35:57.880 very excited

05:35:59.400 by the way that's according to Decision Desk HQ

05:36:02.240 that's with 95% of the vote in

05:36:04.800 we have Donald Trump carrying Arizona

05:36:07.620 50 to 48

05:36:09.400 wait what did she just announce?

05:36:11.760 Georgia?

05:36:12.440 Georgia yes

05:36:13.080 and Mary Margaret also from Decision Desk

05:36:16.120 we're now at 88% vote count in

05:36:18.760 in Pennsylvania

05:36:19.820 Donald Trump's lead holding

05:36:21.480 50.8 to 48.3

05:36:24.140 this is just

05:36:26.580 this is getting so

05:36:27.620 so exciting here

05:36:29.240 I mean this is

05:36:30.240 I think we're going to see the end of the election tonight

05:36:32.400 which is not something that any of us expected

05:36:34.680 I don't think

05:36:35.340 I mean I was planning on being here

05:36:37.160 potentially until the end of the week

05:36:38.620 but we might be able to go home

05:36:40.000 sooner than that

05:36:40.920 it almost certainly won't happen

05:36:43.000 because it would mean that Andrew Klavan was correct

05:36:45.060 and that is such a rarity

05:36:47.060 I can't imagine it's actually what happens

05:36:49.220 Mary Margaret we're going to come back to you

05:36:54.140 that's what you were saying Jeremy

05:36:54.680 no please

05:36:55.320 go ahead

05:36:56.260 well what you were saying about Harris and Michigan

05:37:00.020 you know I just did want to point out

05:37:01.760 Gretchen Whitmer had a major faux pas there recently 1.00

05:37:04.480 where she did that very weird TikTok video

05:37:06.640 where she pretended to be giving

05:37:08.400 it looked like she was giving the Eucharist

05:37:10.680 to a podcaster

05:37:11.540 who was being very sexual about it

05:37:13.140 I think a lot of people might say that

05:37:15.040 that contributed to Michigan going

05:37:18.300 Michigan Catholics not going for Kamala in this election

05:37:22.000 but that's another thing I guess we'll have to see

05:37:23.880 I'd love to see polling on that in the end

05:37:25.740 because it was a very weird move

05:37:27.140 and I know it's something we talked about a lot at the Daily Wire

05:37:29.460 Mayor Margaret thank you

05:37:31.600 we're going to come back to you

05:37:32.460 if the president takes the stage

05:37:33.860 and right now we're going to welcome back Ben Shapiro 0.99

05:37:36.120 what's up bitches 1.00

05:37:36.860 how's it going 0.99

05:37:38.360 it's too late I've said it

05:37:40.320 it's too late it's been said

05:37:42.120 I can't unsay that which has been said

05:37:44.000 time doesn't work that way

05:37:45.260 it's too late

05:37:46.240 can I say something about the trans

05:37:48.280 you're being proved right about people blaming America 0.99

05:37:49.960 the left is already coming out

05:37:51.240 there I do

05:37:51.560 that's fine

05:37:52.680 and it's good you know what

05:37:53.660 more cry harder

05:37:54.940 cry harder

05:37:55.560 cry harder right in here

05:37:57.840 just do it

05:37:58.840 Matt

05:37:59.380 the

05:38:00.100 she mentioned the trans thing

05:38:01.840 and I just wanted to follow up on that

05:38:03.720 because it is a really interesting thing in this election

05:38:06.100 that's

05:38:06.500 you know I noticed even watching football on Sundays

05:38:08.680 that

05:38:09.060 Trump was running ads

05:38:11.300 you know during football

05:38:12.400 on the trans issue

05:38:13.500 like hard

05:38:14.160 I mean you'd see these ads

05:38:15.420 three times in a football game

05:38:17.800 hitting

05:38:19.260 hitting Trump on 0.57

05:38:20.360 on trans surgeries

05:38:21.920 for immigrants

05:38:23.780 and for convicted criminals

05:38:25.520 specifically

05:38:26.560 those are the two big ones

05:38:28.000 and then men and women sports

05:38:29.200 and then there was the tagline at the end

05:38:31.280 you know

05:38:31.580 Kamala is for they them 1.00

05:38:33.340 Trump is for you

05:38:34.180 which I thought was really clever

05:38:35.480 yes

05:38:36.060 so I do think that

05:38:38.120 that

05:38:38.440 that

05:38:39.640 that issue has proved to be

05:38:41.500 a major factor in this election

05:38:42.680 I think even more than

05:38:43.580 I think

05:38:43.760 I think

05:38:44.080 you know

05:38:44.760 in the midterms

05:38:45.940 two years ago

05:38:46.780 I expected

05:38:48.860 the trans issue to be

05:38:50.360 you know

05:38:51.240 a bigger factor

05:38:52.460 in the midterms

05:38:53.100 and it wasn't

05:38:54.300 I think it's almost like

05:38:55.060 we were

05:38:55.320 we were two years ahead

05:38:56.640 and

05:38:56.960 I think there's something else

05:38:58.220 that happened there

05:38:58.720 which was

05:38:59.480 you were right

05:39:00.120 it would have been

05:39:01.020 except

05:39:01.400 basically

05:39:02.520 politics is a crazy off

05:39:04.420 okay

05:39:05.020 and the craziest thing you can do

05:39:06.600 is say that boys are girls

05:39:07.760 or girls are boys

05:39:08.760 but it sort of offsets that

05:39:10.620 when you raid the loony bin

05:39:11.740 for your candidates

05:39:12.420 you know

05:39:13.260 if you run Herschel Walker in Georgia

05:39:14.600 it turns out

05:39:15.500 that you can kind of offset

05:39:16.700 some of the crazy

05:39:17.400 by putting out your own crazy

05:39:18.940 this time

05:39:19.700 there were a bunch of great

05:39:20.440 great candidates

05:39:21.120 everybody knows Donald Trump already

05:39:22.340 and so the issue could really

05:39:23.500 kind of sing to the American voter

05:39:24.960 and it is the apotheosis

05:39:26.540 of what the left wants to do

05:39:27.620 I mean you made that so clear

05:39:28.580 in your wonderful movie

05:39:29.840 What is a Woman? 1.00

05:39:30.780 available right now

05:39:31.480 at Daily Wire Plus

05:39:32.300 but because of that

05:39:34.180 I mean I really do think

05:39:35.000 that that made a sea change

05:39:36.940 in the way that people

05:39:37.620 viewed the issue in the country

05:39:38.700 I really think the documentary

05:39:39.700 had a lot to do with that

05:39:40.820 I do too

05:39:41.380 yeah

05:39:41.900 worth pointing out

05:39:42.760 the contrast between

05:39:44.060 the party we just saw

05:39:45.000 with Mary Margaret

05:39:45.700 down in Mar-a-Lago

05:39:47.060 and the Harris party in D.C.

05:39:49.700 the New York Times reporting

05:39:50.660 the Harris campaign

05:39:51.800 just shut off the sound

05:39:52.960 on the TVs

05:39:53.580 at her watch party

05:39:54.480 and replaced it with music

05:39:56.140 after a guest on CNN

05:39:57.640 said tonight

05:39:58.320 quote

05:39:58.700 felt more like 2016

05:39:59.940 than 2020

05:40:00.700 yeah

05:40:01.400 so no more

05:40:02.940 they're playing Moana

05:40:03.660 they're playing the funeral march

05:40:05.300 over there

05:40:05.720 the New York Times

05:40:07.100 pointed out

05:40:07.520 there's still no sign

05:40:08.180 of Kamala Harris

05:40:08.740 at her rapidly thinning

05:40:09.720 watch party

05:40:10.200 at Howard University

05:40:11.000 her alma mater

05:40:11.740 she could be speaking

05:40:12.660 to a nearly deserted campus

05:40:13.860 if she does not appear soon

05:40:15.100 wow

05:40:15.700 world's smallest violin

05:40:17.760 it's really tragic

05:40:19.060 I mean

05:40:19.640 it's definitely true

05:40:21.300 about what is a woman 0.77

05:40:22.080 and since I am

05:40:23.200 perhaps the only person

05:40:24.680 here who's not an employee

05:40:25.740 of the Daily Wire

05:40:26.560 maybe it makes sense

05:40:28.000 coming from me to say

05:40:28.600 I actually think that

05:40:29.460 am I racist

05:40:30.300 could have significantly

05:40:32.140 altered this election

05:40:33.780 it's possible that

05:40:35.320 what you did in that movie

05:40:37.340 which was

05:40:38.520 simply

05:40:39.800 to reveal

05:40:41.580 what people think

05:40:42.780 I mean you guys

05:40:43.240 were talking earlier

05:40:43.960 about

05:40:44.320 when Trump says

05:40:45.880 these crazy things

05:40:46.840 you kind of

05:40:47.660 gradually learn

05:40:48.440 he doesn't really

05:40:48.920 mean them

05:40:49.480 and when the left

05:40:50.120 says crazy things

05:40:51.260 they are

05:40:51.800 really

05:40:52.440 just coming

05:40:53.200 coming right out

05:40:53.920 with it

05:40:54.140 this race stuff

05:40:56.180 that they've been pushing

05:40:57.300 since Trump

05:40:58.440 was in office

05:40:59.140 the first time

05:41:00.540 is so noxious

05:41:02.540 to the American

05:41:03.940 sensibility

05:41:05.120 that just reminding

05:41:06.980 people of that

05:41:07.900 it kind of faded

05:41:09.040 since 2020

05:41:09.840 I think

05:41:10.540 he had sort of

05:41:11.260 lost

05:41:11.760 the immediacy

05:41:13.500 of that

05:41:13.980 when it was

05:41:14.400 such a fervent

05:41:15.760 issue

05:41:16.160 and bringing that

05:41:17.400 back to the fore

05:41:17.980 and reminding people

05:41:18.840 that this is still

05:41:19.600 what the Democrat

05:41:20.140 party believes

05:41:21.020 they still think

05:41:21.580 this country

05:41:22.140 is fundamentally

05:41:23.400 flawed

05:41:24.060 in its conception

05:41:25.160 and particularly

05:41:26.300 along this issue

05:41:27.720 which is very

05:41:28.240 sensitive for Americans

05:41:29.260 I think that

05:41:30.120 that might have

05:41:30.720 swung

05:41:31.020 a significant

05:41:32.620 number of voters

05:41:33.240 I mean we can

05:41:33.960 talk serious things

05:41:34.640 but I need to

05:41:35.540 experience the pain

05:41:36.340 of those who

05:41:37.560 have failed

05:41:38.240 this evening

05:41:38.680 and thus

05:41:39.420 joining us now

05:41:40.040 from Harris

05:41:40.540 headquarters

05:41:41.000 in Washington

05:41:41.860 D.C.

05:41:42.560 is Spencer Lindquist

05:41:43.780 so Spencer

05:41:44.840 how has the mood

05:41:46.620 been there

05:41:47.020 in Washington

05:41:47.860 D.C.

05:41:48.460 he asked

05:41:48.800 with a smile

05:41:49.280 well you know

05:41:52.480 right behind me

05:41:53.420 just a moment ago

05:41:54.080 you would have

05:41:54.500 seen people

05:41:55.020 streaming out

05:41:56.020 in waves

05:41:56.620 you're not

05:41:57.260 seeing that

05:41:57.600 as much anymore

05:41:58.120 because most

05:41:58.740 people are already

05:41:59.400 gone

05:41:59.720 just a moment

05:42:00.860 ago

05:42:01.120 the co-chair

05:42:01.940 of the Kamala

05:42:02.520 Harris campaign

05:42:03.340 the co-chair

05:42:06.520 of the campaign

05:42:07.020 came out

05:42:07.400 and said

05:42:07.580 that Harris

05:42:07.980 isn't going

05:42:08.440 to be speaking

05:42:09.020 tonight

05:42:09.460 he said

05:42:10.140 that there's

05:42:10.560 still some

05:42:11.380 votes left

05:42:11.780 to be counted

05:42:12.300 of course

05:42:13.140 we're getting

05:42:13.600 pretty high up

05:42:14.320 there in a lot

05:42:15.360 of these states

05:42:15.800 with the reporting

05:42:16.360 numbers

05:42:16.740 he said

05:42:17.460 that she won't

05:42:17.840 be speaking

05:42:18.340 until tomorrow

05:42:19.140 night

05:42:19.460 so there's

05:42:20.280 already a lot

05:42:20.980 of people

05:42:21.320 who left

05:42:21.780 really when

05:42:22.560 North Carolina

05:42:23.460 was called

05:42:24.460 it was a big

05:42:25.360 inflection point

05:42:26.000 the mood

05:42:26.340 had already

05:42:26.660 soured quite a

05:42:27.480 bit by then

05:42:28.000 and after that

05:42:29.000 a lot of people

05:42:29.900 started flooding

05:42:30.420 out and now

05:42:30.940 we're left

05:42:31.240 with barely

05:42:31.600 anybody here

05:42:32.300 well I mean

05:42:32.900 I guess the real

05:42:33.540 question is

05:42:34.040 will Beyonce

05:42:34.540 be performing

05:42:35.160 because you know

05:42:36.920 that obvious

05:42:37.540 has been a big

05:42:37.980 draw at these

05:42:38.580 campaign events

05:42:39.080 it certainly

05:42:39.460 is not

05:42:39.900 Kamala Harris

05:42:40.580 probably people

05:42:41.120 feel privileged

05:42:41.780 that Kamala Harris

05:42:42.660 actually didn't

05:42:43.080 show up tonight

05:42:43.560 which would have

05:42:44.040 even brought down

05:42:44.820 the mood

05:42:45.160 further

05:42:45.900 so I guess

05:42:47.140 nothing's happening

05:42:48.000 there right

05:42:48.300 Cedric Richmond

05:42:48.820 who's the campaign

05:42:49.600 co-chair as you

05:42:50.240 point out

05:42:50.700 has now confirmed

05:42:51.800 that she won't

05:42:52.220 be speaking tonight

05:42:52.820 so what are people

05:42:53.340 even doing there

05:42:54.020 at this point

05:42:54.440 playing tiddlywinks

05:42:55.680 planning a riot

05:42:56.640 like what's

05:42:57.160 happening

05:42:57.460 you know

05:42:59.820 Beyonce

05:43:00.380 wasn't here

05:43:00.860 personally

05:43:01.180 but they were

05:43:01.620 playing some

05:43:02.160 Beyonce

05:43:02.460 they were playing

05:43:02.940 some music

05:43:03.400 and I will say

05:43:04.060 there was a moment

05:43:05.260 between the news

05:43:06.100 broadcasting

05:43:06.720 and between the music

05:43:08.000 where there was just

05:43:09.120 a moment of silence

05:43:11.040 for a second

05:43:11.760 where there was a gap

05:43:13.040 between those two

05:43:13.740 programs

05:43:14.220 and I turned

05:43:15.080 and looked at the crowd

05:43:15.840 dead silence

05:43:17.220 it was completely silent

05:43:18.120 so we went in

05:43:18.640 we talked to a few people

05:43:19.620 and everybody was just

05:43:21.140 on pins and needles

05:43:22.120 you know

05:43:22.580 the people who are

05:43:23.160 walking out

05:43:23.720 I think I was probably

05:43:24.500 0 for 8

05:43:25.420 maybe 0 for 10

05:43:26.340 on trying to get people

05:43:27.080 to talk with me

05:43:27.680 because the people

05:43:28.660 who were leaving

05:43:29.300 were in a very somber mood

05:43:31.020 you could just see it

05:43:31.520 on their face

05:43:32.000 and their body language

05:43:32.820 and inside

05:43:33.680 they really weren't

05:43:34.580 feeling much better

05:43:35.320 so Spencer

05:43:36.380 I hope that you're

05:43:37.300 staying in a safe

05:43:37.940 area of the city

05:43:38.580 because I assume

05:43:39.300 that we can

05:43:39.760 expect riots

05:43:40.960 in the near future

05:43:41.620 obviously Washington

05:43:42.420 D.C. was boarded up

05:43:43.380 in preparation

05:43:44.220 for Trump supporters

05:43:45.520 rioting in a city

05:43:46.220 where there are

05:43:46.620 literally no Trump supporters

05:43:47.840 so has there been any

05:43:50.800 are they just so depressed

05:43:52.220 that they don't even

05:43:52.900 have the spirit

05:43:53.580 to do that

05:43:54.120 which most motivates

05:43:55.000 them

05:43:55.200 in burned down buildings

05:43:56.080 you know we'll see

05:44:00.280 we did see some buildings

05:44:01.360 being boarded up earlier

05:44:02.400 that was yesterday

05:44:03.500 and we saw that

05:44:04.420 really in downtown

05:44:05.220 in the area

05:44:05.840 surrounding the White House

05:44:06.880 so we're yet to see

05:44:07.880 exactly what's going down

05:44:09.440 in the downtown area

05:44:10.820 but of course

05:44:12.260 as the night goes on

05:44:13.660 and as we see

05:44:14.640 exactly these results

05:44:15.720 roll in

05:44:16.160 that might change

05:44:17.080 there might be

05:44:17.400 some action downtown

05:44:18.140 so if there is

05:44:18.820 of course we'll be

05:44:19.500 covering it

05:44:20.040 well Spencer

05:44:20.600 I look forward to

05:44:21.520 seeing you next

05:44:22.300 dodging brick bats

05:44:23.300 as well as horrifyingly

05:44:25.480 peaceful fires

05:44:26.200 over in Washington D.C.

05:44:28.540 Daily Wire's footprint

05:44:29.500 at the Harris headquarters

05:44:30.440 was made possible

05:44:31.200 by PDS Debt

05:44:31.940 get a custom plan

05:44:32.760 to become

05:44:33.120 to become debt free

05:44:34.620 right now

05:44:35.040 at pdsdebt.com

05:44:36.280 slash dailywire

05:44:37.640 oh this has become

05:44:38.400 such an enjoyable evening

05:44:39.460 I mean truly

05:44:40.860 just really really enjoyable

05:44:42.880 in such a wide variety

05:44:44.020 of ways

05:44:44.340 and there are new numbers

05:44:46.000 each more astonishing

05:44:47.220 than the last

05:44:48.040 all so wondrous

05:44:49.060 it's like Christmas

05:44:51.100 and I'm Jewish

05:44:52.000 and I gotta say

05:44:53.960 I'm looking at

05:44:55.120 right now

05:44:55.660 some of the latest

05:44:56.740 the latest numbers

05:44:58.320 that are coming out

05:44:59.260 and they're just wonderful

05:45:00.060 61% of the electorate

05:45:01.500 said that American

05:45:02.140 support for Israel

05:45:02.960 was not strong enough

05:45:04.220 or about right

05:45:04.860 so that makes perfect sense

05:45:06.440 why Kamala Harris

05:45:07.060 decided to pander to Hamas 0.71

05:45:08.080 it was a two to one

05:45:09.600 proposition

05:45:10.400 and she took the one

05:45:11.380 but why did she lose

05:45:12.980 they asked

05:45:13.560 and it's true

05:45:14.340 on so many of these proposals

05:45:15.680 like she took

05:45:16.380 the minority position

05:45:17.460 on every single

05:45:18.360 like the rule of politics

05:45:19.480 is you find the things

05:45:20.380 where it's like 80-20

05:45:21.260 and where you're on the side

05:45:22.180 of the 80

05:45:22.820 and then you focus

05:45:23.720 on those issues

05:45:24.560 and she went out

05:45:26.100 and found 20

05:45:28.280 and then got on the back

05:45:30.340 of that

05:45:30.860 I mean it truly

05:45:31.480 is an amazing thing

05:45:32.400 meanwhile as mentioned

05:45:33.420 the Harris co-chair

05:45:35.600 has emerged

05:45:36.600 a man speaking for a woman

05:45:37.880 just like a sexist would

05:45:39.140 Cedric Richmond

05:45:39.720 has emerged

05:45:40.820 in order to explain

05:45:41.980 that she in fact

05:45:42.480 will not be emerging tonight

05:45:44.180 to say anything

05:45:45.360 he I guess

05:45:46.580 are they gonna still

05:45:47.360 swap in Joe Biden again

05:45:48.500 maybe

05:45:48.760 they've announced

05:45:50.580 that her candidacy

05:45:51.200 is over

05:45:51.640 and they are bringing back

05:45:52.760 the corpse of old Joe

05:45:54.060 to try this

05:45:55.380 once again

05:45:56.440 again I don't think

05:45:57.660 anyone expected

05:45:58.420 that at this point

05:45:59.300 this early in the night

05:46:00.120 except for Andrew Klavan

05:46:01.380 who's honestly

05:46:02.480 his opinions can't be

05:46:03.980 that taken that seriously

05:46:05.200 since he's been giving

05:46:05.860 predictions

05:46:06.380 like Nostradamus

05:46:07.680 since the time

05:46:08.960 of Nostradamus

05:46:09.680 so it's very difficult

05:46:11.040 to take all that

05:46:11.680 particularly seriously

05:46:12.680 the only negative aspect

05:46:16.540 of this whole evening

05:46:17.440 is gonna be this

05:46:18.200 I'm concerned also

05:46:20.100 that we don't

05:46:20.700 I'm concerned

05:46:22.960 we don't have enough

05:46:23.620 leftist tears tumblers

05:46:24.740 on this team

05:46:25.700 I do feel like

05:46:27.520 there's a serious lack

05:46:28.580 production team

05:46:29.840 get on it

05:46:30.540 we need clips

05:46:31.420 I need a steady supply

05:46:32.960 of clips

05:46:33.420 of the weeping

05:46:34.500 and the gnashing

05:46:35.180 of the teeth

05:46:35.720 and the sackcloth

05:46:36.480 as well as the ashes

05:46:37.900 that's what I'm here for

05:46:39.760 that's what our people

05:46:40.840 are here for

05:46:41.660 give the people

05:46:42.720 what they want

05:46:43.320 is the first rule

05:46:44.020 of broadcasting

05:46:44.620 get on it

05:46:46.020 production people

05:46:47.140 so the current vote count

05:46:48.620 right now

05:46:49.200 in the state of Wisconsin

05:46:50.480 with 85%

05:46:51.880 of the estimated

05:46:52.560 vote total reported

05:46:53.880 Donald Trump

05:46:54.700 has 1.468 million votes

05:46:57.000 Conal Harris

05:46:57.380 1.348 million votes

05:46:59.120 he's up 120,000 votes

05:47:00.860 he's expected

05:47:01.360 to win that state

05:47:02.080 by 1.8 percentage points

05:47:03.340 take a look over

05:47:04.340 at Pennsylvania

05:47:04.980 you now have 92%

05:47:06.700 of the estimated

05:47:07.300 vote total reported

05:47:08.400 Donald J. Trump

05:47:09.920 your 47th president

05:47:11.260 of the United States

05:47:12.000 I'm just gonna say it

05:47:13.480 it's happening folks

05:47:14.500 it's all happening

05:47:15.740 Donald J. Trump

05:47:17.500 is at 3.3 million votes

05:47:19.440 Kamala Harris

05:47:19.900 at 3.08 million votes

05:47:21.420 he's up 220,000 votes

05:47:23.940 with 92%

05:47:24.900 of the vote counted

05:47:26.000 over in Michigan

05:47:27.020 things are even worse

05:47:28.260 for Kamala Harris

05:47:29.400 over in Michigan

05:47:30.500 they have 63%

05:47:31.960 of the estimated

05:47:32.500 vote total reported

05:47:33.300 and she is already down

05:47:34.580 220,000 votes

05:47:36.000 in the state of Michigan

05:47:36.600 he is currently up

05:47:37.320 over 6% on her

05:47:38.620 in the state of Michigan

05:47:39.740 with 63%

05:47:41.340 reporting

05:47:42.320 in Michigan

05:47:43.100 he's expected

05:47:43.760 to win by about

05:47:44.840 2.5%

05:47:45.760 have you done

05:47:46.100 the New York Times

05:47:46.680 needle update?

05:47:47.820 would you like to hear it?

05:47:49.360 I would really love

05:47:50.440 oh it's very likely

05:47:51.640 it's almost pinned

05:47:52.720 it's almost pinned

05:47:53.780 it's like

05:47:54.740 it is 90

05:47:55.260 over 95% chance

05:47:57.480 of victory

05:47:57.880 for Donald

05:47:58.900 Jamoglius Trump

05:48:00.120 at this point in time

05:48:01.920 it is wildly enjoyable

05:48:09.920 as you may have noticed

05:48:10.840 you've hit the punch drunk

05:48:11.700 portion of this evening's program

05:48:13.600 it is indeed midnight

05:48:14.720 it is the witching hour

05:48:15.860 here at Daily Wire

05:48:17.540 in Nashville

05:48:17.980 for those of you

05:48:18.480 on the east coast

05:48:19.060 and up at 1am

05:48:20.000 enjoying yourself

05:48:21.380 just enjoy it

05:48:22.300 just bask

05:48:22.940 in the magic

05:48:23.800 that is this evening

05:48:24.620 because indeed

05:48:25.560 there are very few nights

05:48:26.460 like this

05:48:27.360 the birth of your children

05:48:28.420 the massive suffering

05:48:30.440 of your enemies

05:48:30.940 it's really quite grand

05:48:34.060 speaking of the birth

05:48:34.780 of your children

05:48:35.280 I texted my wife

05:48:36.200 and I said

05:48:36.640 I think I legitimately

05:48:37.860 might cry

05:48:38.520 if Trump wins

05:48:39.840 we had our first son

05:48:40.960 eight months ago

05:48:41.420 and she said

05:48:41.820 you did not cry

05:48:42.880 when your son was born

05:48:43.940 eight months ago

05:48:45.580 he was born

05:48:46.280 into an uncertain future

05:48:47.320 also to be fair

05:48:49.560 you worked harder

05:48:50.400 with regard to this

05:48:51.460 than you did

05:48:51.940 with regard to your son

05:48:52.900 being born

05:48:53.280 you know what that is

05:48:53.620 there is that

05:48:54.900 well we are now

05:48:56.080 being joined

05:48:56.680 from like

05:48:57.440 an election headquarters

05:48:58.560 where people are

05:48:58.960 having a good time

05:48:59.880 Cassie Akiva

05:49:00.600 joining us

05:49:01.080 from Dave McCormick's

05:49:01.900 election party

05:49:02.360 in Pennsylvania

05:49:02.920 welcome back Cassie

05:49:04.320 are they preparing

05:49:05.240 at this point

05:49:06.020 it's a little nervous

05:49:06.880 about opening the champagne

05:49:07.940 what's going on over there

05:49:08.960 thanks for having me

05:49:11.700 right now

05:49:12.480 Dave McCormick

05:49:13.440 just left the stage

05:49:14.500 he came on with his wife

05:49:15.560 they sort of declared victory

05:49:17.480 it wasn't exact

05:49:18.620 they were bragging

05:49:19.540 about how they'll be

05:49:20.140 in the Senate

05:49:20.580 but he said that

05:49:21.440 the night's not over

05:49:22.540 but he's extremely confident

05:49:24.240 they're celebrating here

05:49:25.420 the party does not

05:49:26.680 seem to be winding down

05:49:27.900 but things are looking

05:49:28.920 very good for him

05:49:30.020 he's up by 100,000 votes

05:49:31.720 right now

05:49:32.180 they're extremely confident

05:49:33.640 Dave McCormick

05:49:35.020 is an excellent candidate

05:49:36.120 I was proud

05:49:36.800 to have campaigned

05:49:37.540 with him last week

05:49:38.360 in Pennsylvania

05:49:38.980 he's absolutely awesome

05:49:40.720 so you know

05:49:41.660 the mood in the room

05:49:42.520 obviously

05:49:43.080 Cassie must be great

05:49:44.500 everybody is looking

05:49:45.480 at these results

05:49:46.240 I assume everybody's

05:49:48.120 just going to stay there

05:49:48.720 until somebody makes

05:49:49.880 some sort of call

05:49:51.120 or is it just going to be

05:49:51.800 an all-nighter for everybody

05:49:52.680 it might be an all-nighter

05:49:56.480 for us tonight

05:49:57.080 but we're going to be here

05:49:58.380 covering it

05:49:59.360 but McCormick

05:50:00.020 I don't think he's going

05:50:00.820 to bed right now

05:50:01.560 but he's definitely

05:50:02.280 having fun

05:50:02.880 he's mingling with people

05:50:04.120 he's really good at that

05:50:05.400 we were on the campaign

05:50:06.200 trail with him

05:50:06.940 and he's really having

05:50:08.160 a good night

05:50:08.640 and it's worth mentioning

05:50:09.560 he was down 10 points

05:50:11.160 in the polls this summer

05:50:12.040 yes he was

05:50:12.740 this is a huge victory

05:50:13.740 for him

05:50:14.140 he really turned it around

05:50:15.560 he said that he has

05:50:16.640 the best campaign staff

05:50:17.760 in the country

05:50:18.480 I'm starting to think

05:50:19.600 he's right with that

05:50:20.380 big victory there

05:50:21.200 I mean it is worth

05:50:22.180 pointing out here

05:50:22.740 you know Cassie

05:50:24.720 as you point out

05:50:25.580 early on in this race

05:50:26.660 if you remember

05:50:27.140 in Pennsylvania

05:50:27.660 Donald Trump

05:50:28.380 kind of didn't know

05:50:29.260 what to do with Kamala

05:50:30.140 when she first was swapped in

05:50:31.360 and it was McCormick's campaign

05:50:32.660 that was putting out

05:50:33.420 excellent ads

05:50:34.380 about Kamala Harris

05:50:35.480 like right off the top

05:50:36.520 this has been an incredibly

05:50:37.540 professional race

05:50:38.380 from Dave McCormick

05:50:39.580 again demonstrating

05:50:40.700 that when you run

05:50:41.460 good candidates

05:50:42.240 in swing states

05:50:43.240 you can indeed win

05:50:44.540 Cassie you've dealt

05:50:46.500 with Dave

05:50:46.820 he is a pro

05:50:47.480 yeah Dave

05:50:50.880 has been really great

05:50:51.640 with getting his family

05:50:52.440 involved

05:50:52.880 we saw his wife

05:50:54.000 talking

05:50:54.420 his brother

05:50:54.980 he has six daughters

05:50:56.000 so he really knows

05:50:57.140 how to speak to women 0.98

05:50:57.920 and I think that's

05:50:58.560 really helped him

05:50:59.220 here in Pennsylvania

05:50:59.880 he's been bringing

05:51:01.080 out the crowds

05:51:01.760 he's really

05:51:02.500 he really campaigned

05:51:03.380 super hard

05:51:04.240 and even his election

05:51:05.300 night party here

05:51:05.980 it is full

05:51:06.600 it is rowdy

05:51:07.300 people are not leaving

05:51:08.340 it is getting late

05:51:09.160 and I think he's

05:51:10.960 going to have a good

05:51:11.380 day tomorrow as well

05:51:12.300 well Cassie Akiva

05:51:13.540 over at the McCormick

05:51:14.440 headquarters in Pennsylvania

05:51:15.720 I'm sure we'll be back

05:51:17.140 with you sometime

05:51:17.980 this evening

05:51:18.700 but things are looking

05:51:19.440 really great

05:51:20.040 thanks for your hard

05:51:20.740 work on the ground

05:51:21.320 over there

05:51:22.160 thanks so much

05:51:24.220 well folks

05:51:25.740 the Senate results

05:51:26.540 continue to pour in

05:51:27.400 in Michigan

05:51:27.880 Mike Rogers

05:51:29.120 has opened up

05:51:29.580 a five point lead

05:51:30.420 on Alyssa Slotkin

05:51:31.280 in Michigan

05:51:31.920 60% or so

05:51:33.360 of the vote reporting

05:51:34.100 Mike Rogers

05:51:34.980 is currently up

05:51:35.620 by 160,000 votes

05:51:37.140 on Alyssa Slotkin

05:51:38.280 in Michigan

05:51:39.500 now

05:51:40.280 I mean

05:51:41.360 I gotta say

05:51:42.460 and the AP

05:51:43.080 finally called Georgia

05:51:44.040 I know

05:51:44.600 they're so far behind

05:51:45.960 see the internet

05:51:46.580 for the win gang

05:51:47.760 so at this point

05:51:49.180 I would like to point out

05:51:50.220 the next swing state

05:51:51.080 that no one's talking about

05:51:52.120 okay so Nevada

05:51:53.060 is now reporting

05:51:54.540 at this point

05:51:55.100 Nevada has

05:51:56.680 you know

05:51:57.480 approximately

05:51:58.100 how much of the vote in

05:52:00.240 68% of the vote in

05:52:01.460 Donald Trump

05:52:01.860 is currently up

05:52:02.320 51.48 in Nevada

05:52:03.580 so Nevada

05:52:04.760 has always been perceived

05:52:06.020 as sort of a

05:52:06.580 democratic machine state

05:52:07.780 yeah

05:52:08.060 it'll be interesting

05:52:09.340 to see if he flips Nevada

05:52:10.400 if he flips Nevada

05:52:11.660 obviously that takes him

05:52:13.080 you know

05:52:13.860 my prediction

05:52:14.720 minus New Hampshire

05:52:15.460 just gonna put that out there

05:52:16.680 so that's

05:52:17.520 that is a good number

05:52:18.560 am I wrong

05:52:19.360 in thinking

05:52:19.780 that if he now

05:52:20.500 takes Michigan

05:52:21.480 and Wisconsin

05:52:22.080 he doesn't need

05:52:22.720 Pennsylvania

05:52:23.120 if he takes

05:52:24.280 any one of them

05:52:24.740 if he takes Wisconsin

05:52:25.560 if he takes Wisconsin

05:52:26.620 it's over

05:52:26.980 if he takes Michigan

05:52:27.580 it's over

05:52:27.900 if he takes Pennsylvania

05:52:28.480 it's over

05:52:28.880 it's over

05:52:29.380 okay like 0.93

05:52:30.060 it's cooked

05:52:31.080 it's done

05:52:31.740 he's the 47th

05:52:32.540 president of the United States

05:52:33.300 can we

05:52:33.600 I'm not

05:52:34.460 I have not

05:52:36.060 I have not been given

05:52:37.080 the authority

05:52:37.840 by the polling gods

05:52:39.300 to declare victory

05:52:41.000 in the election

05:52:41.760 I have Mayflower cigars

05:52:42.760 he won

05:52:43.080 he's the 47th president

05:52:44.020 of the United States

05:52:44.680 there will be no

05:52:45.360 there will be no

05:52:46.100 there will be no

05:52:46.880 calling it

05:52:47.500 I'm sorry

05:52:48.000 no no

05:52:49.020 I'm informal

05:52:50.100 it's an informal call

05:52:51.600 it is a

05:52:52.420 it is a description

05:52:53.140 of reality

05:52:53.880 the reality

05:52:54.900 and let it sink in

05:52:56.060 just like Elon Musk says

05:52:57.160 let it sink in

05:52:58.660 I'm gonna take the wrapper

05:53:00.020 off my Mayflower cigar

05:53:00.700 I've taken the wrapper

05:53:01.500 right now

05:53:02.280 just to do that

05:53:03.520 some preparatory

05:53:04.740 a little preparatory work here

05:53:06.680 you might

05:53:07.400 you could sniff it

05:53:08.380 you could smell

05:53:08.900 I'm going all the way

05:53:09.960 to cutting it

05:53:10.480 oh wow

05:53:11.360 Decision just says

05:53:12.600 91% is in

05:53:13.860 in Pennsylvania

05:53:14.460 yeah

05:53:15.180 no it's

05:53:15.840 it's actually

05:53:16.720 yeah

05:53:17.260 and New York Times

05:53:18.200 has like 93% in

05:53:19.440 and his lead

05:53:21.040 is indeed holding

05:53:21.800 by the way

05:53:22.800 hilariously enough

05:53:24.040 there is a

05:53:25.160 an outside shot

05:53:26.400 an outside shot

05:53:27.740 then the next

05:53:28.260 most competitive state

05:53:29.240 after Nevada

05:53:29.740 is wait for it

05:53:30.500 wait for it

05:53:30.780 wait for it

05:53:31.120 Minnesota

05:53:31.840 in Minnesota

05:53:33.240 that would be good

05:53:34.140 in Minnesota

05:53:34.760 oh that would be so great

05:53:35.920 right

05:53:36.140 it's hilarious

05:53:37.280 in Minnesota

05:53:37.920 65% of the vote

05:53:39.060 is in

05:53:39.380 Kamala Harris

05:53:40.580 1.07 million votes

05:53:42.680 Donald Trump

05:53:43.180 1.02 million votes

05:53:45.540 he's only down

05:53:46.060 50,000 votes

05:53:47.080 in Minnesota

05:53:47.900 the deliciousness

05:53:48.840 of Donald Trump

05:53:49.380 somehow sneaking

05:53:50.200 Minnesota away

05:53:51.880 from the magic

05:53:52.520 of Tim Walls

05:53:53.720 would just be

05:53:54.660 so entertaining

05:53:55.680 it would be like

05:53:56.360 running a pick six

05:53:57.460 it would almost be like

05:53:58.340 running a pick six

05:53:59.480 I once had a conversation

05:54:01.040 with Ed Rollins

05:54:01.720 his wrists could not

05:54:02.480 get any limber

05:54:03.140 if that were to happen

05:54:03.900 the face

05:54:04.480 I once had a conversation

05:54:05.980 with Ed Rollins

05:54:06.700 who ran Reagan 84

05:54:07.740 and he said

05:54:08.860 I said wow

05:54:09.660 49 states

05:54:10.560 that you won

05:54:11.140 he said well

05:54:11.860 we actually won

05:54:12.480 Minnesota too

05:54:13.240 but we didn't want

05:54:13.840 to look greedy

05:54:14.320 so we didn't sue

05:54:15.060 about it

05:54:15.580 but he felt

05:54:17.100 that they got it too

05:54:17.800 and if

05:54:18.700 if this woman

05:54:19.880 decided to overlook

05:54:21.640 Josh Shapiro

05:54:22.500 because she didn't

05:54:24.140 want to pick a Jew 1.00

05:54:24.860 and then she picks

05:54:26.880 this guy

05:54:27.480 in a bright blue state

05:54:29.000 she should be

05:54:29.440 totally fine with

05:54:29.960 oh man

05:54:31.680 if she loses that state

05:54:32.980 the one state

05:54:33.860 Mondale won

05:54:34.560 it would just be

05:54:35.580 so great

05:54:36.480 wow

05:54:37.060 joining us right now

05:54:38.020 is our friend

05:54:38.960 Harmeet Dillon

05:54:39.460 from the Dillon Law Group

05:54:40.500 coming to us

05:54:41.200 from Arizona

05:54:42.000 Harmeet

05:54:42.380 welcome back

05:54:42.920 yeah thanks for having me

05:54:46.280 so you've been watching

05:54:48.120 these results come in

05:54:49.060 just as we have

05:54:49.800 you have a slightly

05:54:50.820 different set of

05:54:51.740 responsibilities

05:54:52.320 our responsibilities

05:54:53.140 are to start

05:54:54.400 eyeing the booze

05:54:55.420 and cutting the cigars

05:54:56.460 and you still have

05:54:57.800 to be geared up

05:54:58.400 for any possible

05:54:59.060 fights ahead

05:54:59.720 how are you feeling

05:55:00.260 this evening

05:55:00.700 yeah no we feel good

05:55:03.780 we had attorneys

05:55:05.360 still working

05:55:06.140 in the war room

05:55:07.180 even as we speak

05:55:08.100 right now

05:55:08.640 we're actually

05:55:09.680 doing the job

05:55:10.400 of picking up

05:55:11.100 all the ballot returns

05:55:12.420 and receipts

05:55:13.320 if you will

05:55:13.960 and closing down

05:55:15.000 all the polling places

05:55:16.080 tonight

05:55:16.580 and so work

05:55:17.640 is still going on

05:55:18.700 but there's also

05:55:20.740 a couple of bottles

05:55:21.620 in the war room

05:55:22.660 and people have been

05:55:23.680 toasting a little bit

05:55:24.560 and enjoying that as well

05:55:25.760 so yeah we feel

05:55:28.860 great about the effort

05:55:30.920 on the ground here

05:55:31.800 in Arizona

05:55:32.360 and the results

05:55:33.680 both

05:55:34.140 and so it really is a model

05:55:36.340 it's really exciting

05:55:37.400 as a almost lifelong

05:55:39.280 Republican volunteer

05:55:40.440 to see how

05:55:41.360 it wasn't like this

05:55:43.380 two years ago

05:55:44.160 it was a pretty sad mood

05:55:45.660 and we have learned

05:55:47.000 a lot of lessons

05:55:47.780 since that time

05:55:48.620 and so we are teachable

05:55:49.980 so that's good news

05:55:51.340 yeah yeah yeah

05:55:52.420 and it's just like

05:55:54.820 you know

05:55:55.180 it's so exciting

05:55:56.200 to see some of these states

05:55:57.300 that had been absolutely

05:55:58.120 written off

05:55:58.800 by the pundits

05:55:59.600 and I just

05:56:00.780 you know

05:56:01.580 put on X

05:56:02.120 a little while ago

05:56:02.800 that it feels almost

05:56:04.080 like a little naughty

05:56:05.360 to be watching MSNBC

05:56:06.840 right now

05:56:07.520 but I'm feeling

05:56:09.920 the schadenfreude

05:56:11.260 it's just too much

05:56:12.720 I'm not used to

05:56:13.920 feeling that way

05:56:14.660 you know

05:56:15.000 so no it's excellent

05:56:16.540 and so that said

05:56:18.160 I have a lot of friends

05:56:19.360 with close races

05:56:20.220 in California

05:56:20.980 we're not going to know

05:56:21.920 the results of those

05:56:22.940 for a while

05:56:23.600 and Pennsylvania

05:56:24.660 and people are nervous

05:56:26.600 I feel pretty good

05:56:27.620 about Arizona

05:56:28.140 for Trump

05:56:28.840 but there are

05:56:29.580 a lot of

05:56:30.000 co-congressional

05:56:31.040 and ledge races

05:56:32.200 and Supreme Court

05:56:33.340 and all that

05:56:33.780 that aren't going

05:56:34.200 to get decided yet

05:56:34.920 so

05:56:35.140 how long is it going

05:56:36.700 to take us

05:56:37.280 to hear results

05:56:38.040 out of Arizona

05:56:38.720 Arizona

05:56:41.540 it can take

05:56:43.260 two weeks

05:56:43.980 for Maricopa County

05:56:45.140 which is by far

05:56:45.960 the largest

05:56:46.620 bulk of the ballots

05:56:47.740 but I think

05:56:48.860 we'll have a pretty

05:56:49.380 good idea

05:56:49.900 of those final numbers

05:56:50.940 in the coming days

05:56:51.940 I don't think

05:56:52.360 it's going to take

05:56:52.840 the full two weeks

05:56:53.580 to get the contours

05:56:54.560 of legislative races

05:56:56.300 I think we are

05:56:57.440 going to be

05:56:58.100 as much as

05:56:59.040 four points up

05:56:59.800 for President Trump

05:57:00.540 at the end of the day

05:57:01.360 and you know

05:57:03.180 if we're that far ahead

05:57:04.240 at the end of the day

05:57:05.060 it bodes well

05:57:06.480 for some of the people

05:57:07.280 who are a couple

05:57:08.080 of points behind him

05:57:09.100 so fingers crossed

05:57:10.720 on that

05:57:11.180 but that's why

05:57:11.900 the work

05:57:13.180 that our chair

05:57:14.320 here in Arizona

05:57:15.160 has done

05:57:15.920 of having a super

05:57:16.780 organized effort

05:57:17.720 and having a closing

05:57:19.160 down of every

05:57:20.040 single polling place

05:57:21.220 we have the numbers

05:57:22.300 of every single

05:57:23.200 number of ballots

05:57:24.040 voted early

05:57:24.760 turned in on election

05:57:25.780 day etc

05:57:26.360 in every single

05:57:27.700 one of these

05:57:28.100 polling places

05:57:28.780 and then our

05:57:29.760 number cruncher

05:57:30.460 geeks sit down 1.00

05:57:31.200 and do the math

05:57:31.960 and there's like

05:57:32.500 some numbers missing

05:57:33.520 we will go and hunt

05:57:34.860 and track those down

05:57:35.880 and if we don't agree

05:57:36.720 there will be litigation

05:57:37.960 so that's why

05:57:38.760 there have been lawyers

05:57:39.280 involved in this effort

05:57:40.080 from the beginning

05:57:40.740 and in Arizona

05:57:42.520 by the way

05:57:43.140 there's an automatic

05:57:44.260 recount statute

05:57:45.220 so if there's any race

05:57:46.200 within half a point

05:57:47.160 of the number of voters

05:57:48.140 who voted

05:57:48.640 there will be

05:57:49.440 an automatic recount

05:57:50.400 and a bunch of lawyers

05:57:51.300 descending to do that

05:57:52.380 I suspect there will be

05:57:53.560 some races in that margin

05:57:54.860 why does Maricopa

05:57:56.080 take so long

05:57:56.940 when Florida

05:57:57.540 takes two hours

05:57:58.660 to do the entire state

05:57:59.720 well states have

05:58:02.900 different rules

05:58:03.580 as to whether

05:58:04.240 and how they tabulate ballots

05:58:06.220 and in Maricopa County

05:58:08.980 as well

05:58:09.540 you have to understand

05:58:10.320 that they've gone

05:58:11.580 from the more

05:58:12.840 traditional form of voting

05:58:14.000 to a large number

05:58:15.860 of early ballots

05:58:16.820 and that's been

05:58:17.400 a kind of

05:58:18.000 a difference

05:58:19.160 over the years

05:58:20.120 the statute

05:58:21.140 allows them

05:58:22.720 this much time

05:58:23.980 to do it

05:58:24.560 and the current

05:58:25.960 recorder of Maricopa County

05:58:27.940 is you know

05:58:29.660 a fairly bitter

05:58:30.520 person who's lost

05:58:31.960 his election

05:58:32.460 for a quarter

05:58:33.140 in the summer

05:58:34.420 and so he doesn't

05:58:35.960 I'd just be mild

05:58:37.300 he's not a Trump supporter

05:58:38.740 and so

05:58:39.380 he's in no hurry

05:58:40.360 to declare victory

05:58:42.280 for President Trump here

05:58:43.540 you know

05:58:44.860 this guy is like

05:58:45.740 these guys are out there

05:58:46.780 talking about

05:58:47.340 bulletproof vests

05:58:48.620 they're snipers

05:58:49.960 on the roof

05:58:51.240 of the counting facility

05:58:52.780 in Maricopa County

05:58:54.280 in case you know

05:58:55.100 we Trump supporters

05:58:55.940 get out of hand

05:58:56.780 they can shoot us

05:58:58.120 so that's the 0.95

05:58:59.520 that's the mood here

05:59:00.400 of the election officials

05:59:01.520 so you know

05:59:02.400 they're pretty

05:59:02.740 those of them

05:59:03.800 who don't like Trump

05:59:04.500 are not thrilled tonight

05:59:05.980 so you know

05:59:07.940 I think that is why

05:59:08.780 but if we hold on

05:59:11.100 to the legislature here

05:59:12.220 and eventually we get

05:59:13.300 the governor's race back

05:59:14.520 you can change

05:59:15.060 some of those things

05:59:15.800 and I think

05:59:16.240 Congress can change

05:59:17.600 some of these things

05:59:18.300 Congress could pass a law

05:59:19.660 that conditions

05:59:20.580 federal funding

05:59:21.520 for elections

05:59:22.620 on some basic

05:59:23.760 minimum standards

05:59:24.600 of counting

05:59:25.260 of cleaning up

05:59:26.480 the polls

05:59:27.620 of so many

05:59:28.800 of these other things

05:59:29.600 so I think that

05:59:30.420 we need to really

05:59:31.000 have that conversation

05:59:31.840 Harmeet thank you

05:59:33.160 very much for

05:59:33.860 spending some time

05:59:34.600 with us tonight

05:59:35.180 good luck to you

05:59:37.180 over the next couple

05:59:37.840 of weeks

05:59:38.160 in making sure

05:59:38.680 that Arizona

05:59:39.080 comes together

05:59:39.700 and the good work

05:59:40.320 you're doing

05:59:40.620 in all the other

05:59:41.100 states as well

05:59:42.040 meanwhile I do

05:59:43.760 have to point out

05:59:44.540 this is a clip

05:59:46.560 of Cedric Richmond

05:59:48.040 the co-chair

05:59:48.880 of Harris Headquarters

05:59:49.820 telling everybody

05:59:50.620 go home

05:59:51.740 and just enjoy

05:59:54.040 just enjoy

05:59:54.760 a little bit

05:59:55.140 enjoy it

05:59:56.340 unbelievable

06:00:00.540 can't hear it

06:00:03.020 guys we need audio

06:00:05.000 otherwise I can't

06:00:06.460 enjoy it

06:00:07.300 can't hear it

06:00:09.360 you guys

06:00:09.800 well okay

06:00:15.100 well you can view it

06:00:16.220 the facial expressions

06:00:17.220 are worthwhile

06:00:17.560 yeah the facial expressions

06:00:18.360 are worthwhile

06:00:18.800 I am getting

06:00:19.640 flashbacks

06:00:20.680 to 2016

06:00:22.060 you remember

06:00:22.960 at the Javits Center

06:00:23.840 Hillary had her 0.97

06:00:25.100 big election party

06:00:25.900 and my favorite line

06:00:27.380 from poor Mr. Podesta

06:00:29.240 he comes out

06:00:30.320 he's the you know

06:00:31.020 head of her campaign

06:00:31.880 and he says

06:00:32.660 hey thank you all

06:00:33.340 so much for showing

06:00:33.940 up for Hillary 0.65

06:00:34.580 she's always shown

06:00:36.040 up for you

06:00:36.800 except right now

06:00:38.480 very moment

06:00:40.720 we're also watching

06:00:41.980 people walk into

06:00:43.340 the party down

06:00:45.780 in West Palm Beach

06:00:47.020 for at Trump HQ

06:00:48.580 we just saw

06:00:49.320 our friend and actor

06:00:50.640 John Voight

06:00:51.280 walk through the room

06:00:52.680 I think we saw

06:00:53.200 Tucker Carlson

06:00:53.880 walk into the room

06:00:54.540 so definitely

06:00:55.500 the contingent

06:00:56.320 that was at

06:00:56.800 Mar-a-Lago

06:00:57.340 are all starting

06:00:58.060 to make their way

06:00:58.740 to the convention

06:01:01.020 center

06:01:01.340 in anticipation

06:01:02.180 of Donald Trump

06:01:03.260 making some sort

06:01:04.560 of appearance

06:01:05.540 here

06:01:06.000 which seems

06:01:06.980 to be

06:01:07.360 more or less

06:01:08.660 imminent

06:01:08.960 and as that

06:01:10.120 happens

06:01:10.440 you're just

06:01:10.800 also watching

06:01:11.720 the electoral

06:01:13.480 vote totals

06:01:14.160 creep up

06:01:14.720 right now

06:01:15.620 Decision Desk HQ

06:01:16.740 has Donald Trump

06:01:17.740 at 200 and

06:01:18.640 I'm getting a little

06:01:19.880 blind this late

06:01:20.520 is that 251

06:01:21.760 electoral votes

06:01:22.680 to Kamala Harris

06:01:23.860 is 213

06:01:24.960 it's getting

06:01:26.400 very hard

06:01:28.280 to imagine

06:01:28.840 how Kamala

06:01:29.400 could turn

06:01:29.860 this way

06:01:30.560 meanwhile

06:01:30.860 that needle

06:01:31.400 that magical

06:01:32.120 magical needle

06:01:32.840 that we've all

06:01:33.300 enjoyed so much

06:01:34.040 is over 95%

06:01:35.460 chance of victory

06:01:36.500 right now

06:01:36.960 their electoral

06:01:37.480 college estimate

06:01:38.100 puts Donald Trump

06:01:38.840 at 306

06:01:40.140 electoral votes

06:01:41.560 Nate Cohen

06:01:43.040 says another hour

06:01:43.780 has gone by

06:01:44.200 the story

06:01:44.500 is still the same

06:01:45.060 Trump favored

06:01:45.540 in Pennsylvania

06:01:46.200 Michigan

06:01:46.680 Wisconsin

06:01:47.180 this election

06:01:50.280 is

06:01:51.100 I mean

06:01:52.220 they're treating

06:01:52.700 it like it's done

06:01:53.260 I love the New York

06:01:54.900 Times

06:01:55.300 I take back

06:01:55.920 everything that I

06:01:56.720 ever said about

06:01:57.220 it is

06:01:58.280 it is quite

06:01:58.780 it is quite

06:02:00.000 enjoyable

06:02:00.580 for certain

06:02:02.060 that is

06:02:02.740 for certain

06:02:03.380 and

06:02:04.180 do we have

06:02:05.200 Brent Buchanan

06:02:05.920 available

06:02:06.260 is that a thing

06:02:06.980 that I was told

06:02:07.660 that that was a

06:02:08.420 thing that we

06:02:08.960 were going to do

06:02:09.640 yes

06:02:10.420 are we right now

06:02:11.720 Brent

06:02:11.980 Brent

06:02:12.940 hold on

06:02:13.560 let's do this

06:02:14.820 properly

06:02:15.180 give me the M&Ms

06:02:16.920 I promised

06:02:17.860 an M&M joke

06:02:18.460 thank you

06:02:19.080 I'm going to need

06:02:19.460 that

06:02:19.720 so

06:02:20.360 alright

06:02:20.800 Brent

06:02:21.160 Brent

06:02:21.760 I have a different

06:02:22.400 candy now

06:02:22.920 and I warned you

06:02:25.000 you were forewarned

06:02:26.200 I need an update

06:02:26.900 from Pennsylvania

06:02:27.600 as I glory

06:02:29.520 in this

06:02:30.540 treat

06:02:30.920 ok so

06:02:32.160 really

06:02:32.720 Mars Wrigley

06:02:33.420 has failed us

06:02:34.200 M&Ms

06:02:35.280 are made in

06:02:36.260 Hershey Pennsylvania

06:02:37.080 done

06:02:37.940 performing

06:02:38.440 exactly like

06:02:39.460 it did last time

06:02:40.360 they did not

06:02:41.480 show up for

06:02:42.020 Trump

06:02:42.300 any more

06:02:43.240 than in 2020

06:02:44.120 ok hold on

06:02:45.000 that was not a good

06:02:45.920 can I try it

06:02:46.860 Ben

06:02:47.020 can you do it

06:02:47.880 can you pitch me

06:02:48.540 on the M&M thing

06:02:49.320 ok so

06:02:49.660 Michael Knowles

06:02:50.640 I'm eating M&Ms

06:02:51.900 right now

06:02:52.500 and they're delicious

06:02:53.100 please give me

06:02:54.020 the Pennsylvania

06:02:54.580 data that is linked

06:02:55.540 in some way to this

06:02:56.320 oh sure

06:02:57.080 she's

06:02:58.540 she's choking

06:02:59.840 how

06:03:00.340 everybody's joking

06:03:01.440 now the clocks

06:03:02.140 run out

06:03:02.580 time's up

06:03:03.220 over

06:03:03.620 blau

06:03:04.120 snap back

06:03:05.060 to reality

06:03:05.760 oh there goes

06:03:06.780 gravity

06:03:07.300 McCormick's gonna win

06:03:09.580 that's basically

06:03:10.320 my

06:03:10.720 Michael

06:03:12.440 it's truly

06:03:14.180 almost worth

06:03:14.740 the price

06:03:15.040 of having

06:03:15.300 paid you

06:03:15.580 for 10 years

06:03:16.100 absolutely

06:03:16.840 I'm gonna go

06:03:18.220 back to you

06:03:18.740 since you have

06:03:19.080 data

06:03:19.320 so what's the

06:03:20.260 story in

06:03:20.700 Pennsylvania

06:03:21.020 why are we

06:03:21.620 waiting to

06:03:21.960 declare it

06:03:22.400 how long

06:03:23.000 do we have

06:03:23.340 to stay

06:03:23.620 up with

06:03:23.920 this

06:03:24.120 what's the

06:03:24.680 story

06:03:24.960 I have

06:03:26.020 no clue

06:03:26.460 why we're

06:03:26.780 waiting

06:03:27.060 right now

06:03:27.520 Philly

06:03:27.920 the county

06:03:28.900 is at

06:03:29.300 86%

06:03:30.140 in

06:03:30.460 it's

06:03:31.180 underperforming

06:03:32.220 by six

06:03:33.020 points

06:03:33.520 oh

06:03:33.900 wow

06:03:34.260 and a

06:03:35.800 flat

06:03:36.220 turnout

06:03:36.580 so this

06:03:36.980 goes back

06:03:37.360 to what

06:03:37.560 we've

06:03:37.720 been

06:03:37.820 talking

06:03:38.120 about

06:03:38.420 Democrat

06:03:38.820 counties

06:03:39.260 are

06:03:39.440 turning

06:03:39.720 out

06:03:39.980 at

06:03:40.140 2020

06:03:40.460 levels

06:03:42.440 here's

06:03:44.320 one

06:03:44.460 for you

06:03:44.880 a lot

06:03:46.220 of this

06:03:46.500 goes back

06:03:46.980 to the

06:03:47.220 fact

06:03:47.460 and we've

06:03:47.920 been

06:03:48.020 highlighting

06:03:48.380 this

06:03:48.680 the youth

06:03:49.100 vote

06:03:49.360 is shrinking

06:03:50.220 in the

06:03:50.720 margin

06:03:51.040 for Democrats

06:03:51.960 in our

06:03:52.820 last national

06:03:53.440 poll

06:03:53.740 we had

06:03:54.280 Harris

06:03:54.800 only winning

06:03:55.440 the under

06:03:55.900 30 vote

06:03:56.440 by eight

06:03:56.940 points

06:03:57.300 if we'd

06:03:57.920 have broken

06:03:58.180 that down

06:03:58.600 even younger

06:03:59.120 I guarantee

06:03:59.560 Trump would

06:04:00.000 have been

06:04:00.300 in the lead

06:04:01.220 if you

06:04:01.920 would say

06:04:02.480 18 to

06:04:03.220 22

06:04:03.760 so

06:04:04.920 center

06:04:05.520 county

06:04:05.980 Pennsylvania

06:04:06.540 which is

06:04:07.040 the home

06:04:07.440 of

06:04:07.680 Pennsylvania

06:04:08.180 State

06:04:08.520 University

06:04:09.080 Biden

06:04:10.300 won it

06:04:10.540 by four

06:04:11.060 in

06:04:11.920 2020

06:04:12.340 Trump

06:04:13.040 is

06:04:13.200 currently

06:04:13.560 up

06:04:14.080 by

06:04:14.480 four

06:04:14.760 so

06:04:16.140 I have

06:04:16.700 absolutely

06:04:17.140 no clue

06:04:17.820 why we're

06:04:18.280 all sitting

06:04:18.660 here

06:04:18.860 I mean

06:04:19.020 it's

06:04:19.220 fun

06:04:19.500 I get

06:04:19.900 it

06:04:20.060 it's

06:04:20.320 really

06:04:20.500 fun

06:04:20.840 really

06:04:21.320 thank

06:04:21.500 all

06:04:21.640 these

06:04:21.840 smart

06:04:22.100 people

06:04:22.420 and

06:04:22.600 then

06:04:22.720 they

06:04:22.840 also

06:04:23.080 invited

06:04:23.400 me

06:04:23.680 we can

06:04:24.220 definitely

06:04:24.540 win back

06:04:24.960 the college

06:04:25.400 educated

06:04:25.800 vote

06:04:26.160 with what

06:04:26.720 you all

06:04:27.040 have talked

06:04:27.360 about

06:04:27.620 tonight

06:04:27.980 but

06:04:28.420 Pennsylvania

06:04:28.920 absolutely

06:04:29.640 no clue

06:04:30.000 why they

06:04:30.260 have not

06:04:30.540 called

06:04:30.740 it

06:04:30.900 okay

06:04:31.240 in

06:04:31.760 Michigan

06:04:32.140 the numbers

06:04:32.760 are looking

06:04:33.100 stunningly

06:04:33.700 good for

06:04:34.000 President

06:04:34.340 Trump

06:04:34.620 this early

06:04:35.020 now it's

06:04:35.280 a lot

06:04:35.480 earlier

06:04:35.800 in Michigan

06:04:36.140 they've

06:04:36.360 only

06:04:36.480 counted

06:04:36.800 something

06:04:37.080 like

06:04:37.420 I don't

06:04:38.100 know

06:04:38.260 67%

06:04:39.280 about

06:04:39.460 two-thirds

06:04:39.840 of the

06:04:40.060 vote

06:04:40.240 but

06:04:40.780 Trump's

06:04:41.080 up like

06:04:41.300 6%

06:04:41.980 in that

06:04:42.440 vote

06:04:42.640 right now

06:04:43.220 I assume

06:04:44.280 it's going

06:04:44.500 to come

06:04:44.720 down

06:04:44.940 I assume

06:04:45.240 it'll

06:04:45.340 be a little

06:04:45.640 bit

06:04:45.800 closer

06:04:46.080 but

06:04:46.600 what

06:04:46.880 that

06:04:47.020 does

06:04:47.240 mean

06:04:47.380 is

06:04:47.480 that

06:04:47.580 Mike

06:04:47.740 Rogers

06:04:48.120 who is

06:04:48.400 widely

06:04:48.680 expected

06:04:49.040 to be

06:04:49.240 trailing

06:04:49.580 that

06:04:49.800 Senate

06:04:50.040 race

06:04:50.280 is

06:04:50.900 running

06:04:51.080 really

06:04:51.440 strong

06:04:51.800 against

06:04:51.980 Alyssa

06:04:52.240 Slotkin

06:04:52.620 right now

06:04:53.100 and if

06:04:53.700 you had

06:04:53.820 to put

06:04:54.000 money

06:04:54.200 on it

06:04:54.500 you say

06:04:54.800 Republicans

06:04:55.220 maybe get

06:04:55.740 55 Senate

06:04:56.440 seats

06:04:56.620 out of

06:04:56.840 this

06:04:56.980 thing

06:04:57.200 they could

06:04:57.720 potentially

06:04:58.180 and it's

06:04:58.520 one of

06:04:58.720 the really

06:04:59.080 interesting

06:04:59.580 stories

06:05:00.060 of this

06:05:00.400 cycle

06:05:00.700 where

06:05:01.060 for

06:05:01.680 pretty much

06:05:02.500 all the

06:05:02.840 Senate

06:05:03.040 races

06:05:03.380 the

06:05:03.780 Republican

06:05:04.180 Senate

06:05:04.540 candidate

06:05:04.880 was

06:05:05.120 polling

06:05:05.660 4,

06:05:06.760 5,

06:05:07.000 6,

06:05:07.240 7 points

06:05:07.740 behind

06:05:08.160 Donald

06:05:08.480 Trump

06:05:08.820 in the

06:05:09.180 margin

06:05:09.440 and it

06:05:10.900 really

06:05:11.300 looks like

06:05:11.720 as people

06:05:12.080 went to

06:05:12.440 go vote

06:05:12.860 they looked

06:05:13.680 at the

06:05:13.900 blue and

06:05:14.220 the red

06:05:14.480 jersey

06:05:14.780 and said

06:05:15.120 I have

06:05:15.380 to pick

06:05:15.700 one

06:05:15.920 and I'm

06:05:16.260 going to

06:05:16.360 pick

06:05:16.480 the red

06:05:16.820 jersey

06:05:17.080 across

06:05:17.440 the board

06:05:17.840 especially

06:05:19.280 in these

06:05:19.660 Rust Belt 0.72

06:05:20.040 states

06:05:20.420 so Dave

06:05:21.360 Sunday

06:05:21.740 the

06:05:22.500 Republican

06:05:22.920 nominee

06:05:23.640 for

06:05:24.000 Attorney

06:05:24.340 General

06:05:24.660 in

06:05:24.820 Pennsylvania

06:05:25.260 declared

06:05:26.080 the winner

06:05:26.440 there

06:05:26.800 I think

06:05:27.640 that is

06:05:28.340 a harbinger

06:05:29.660 of what

06:05:29.900 we're going

06:05:30.100 to see

06:05:30.440 also coming

06:05:31.160 out of

06:05:31.600 Pennsylvania

06:05:32.020 but if

06:05:32.740 you look

06:05:32.980 specifically

06:05:33.440 at Michigan

06:05:33.960 so there's

06:05:34.320 a county

06:05:34.660 Oakland

06:05:35.040 County

06:05:35.400 outside

06:05:35.680 of Detroit

06:05:36.260 suburban

06:05:36.940 area

06:05:37.380 Biden

06:05:38.420 won it

06:05:38.700 by 14

06:05:39.340 it is

06:05:40.080 almost

06:05:40.340 fully

06:05:40.680 reported

06:05:41.160 and currently

06:05:42.060 Harris

06:05:42.360 is only

06:05:42.680 up by

06:05:42.980 10

06:05:43.280 so not

06:05:44.540 only are

06:05:44.920 these

06:05:45.260 returns

06:05:45.880 in

06:05:46.080 Michigan

06:05:46.400 flat

06:05:46.980 on

06:05:47.540 turnout

06:05:47.820 from

06:05:48.020 these

06:05:48.200 Democrat

06:05:48.620 leaning

06:05:48.900 counties

06:05:49.400 she's

06:05:49.880 not even

06:05:50.180 getting

06:05:50.360 the margin

06:05:50.760 that

06:05:51.360 is getting

06:05:51.660 so this

06:05:52.140 kind of

06:05:52.320 goes back

06:05:52.700 to what

06:05:52.900 we were

06:05:53.100 talking

06:05:53.340 about

06:05:53.600 with

06:05:53.820 the

06:05:53.980 union

06:05:54.200 vote

06:05:54.500 and how

06:05:55.060 she was

06:05:55.400 definitely

06:05:55.720 going to

06:05:56.100 underperform

06:05:57.020 Uncle Joe

06:05:57.640 with the

06:05:58.600 union

06:05:58.840 vote

06:05:59.160 another

06:05:59.680 county

06:06:00.100 that we

06:06:00.400 talked

06:06:00.640 about

06:06:00.860 earlier

06:06:01.220 Eaton

06:06:01.740 which

06:06:02.380 Biden

06:06:02.820 won

06:06:03.180 by

06:06:03.840 sorry

06:06:05.720 Biden

06:06:06.320 won

06:06:06.480 by

06:06:06.660 one

06:06:07.040 in

06:06:07.660 2020

06:06:08.100 Trump

06:06:08.880 won

06:06:09.240 it

06:06:09.320 by

06:06:09.460 five

06:06:09.960 and

06:06:10.540 that

06:06:10.680 was

06:06:10.820 before

06:06:11.220 we

06:06:11.420 were

06:06:11.840 like

06:06:12.060 80%

06:06:12.760 reporting

06:06:13.480 when we

06:06:13.940 were

06:06:14.060 talking

06:06:14.280 about

06:06:14.600 Eaton

06:06:14.900 a couple

06:06:15.340 hours

06:06:15.640 ago

06:06:15.920 it's

06:06:16.560 fully

06:06:16.820 reported

06:06:17.300 and it

06:06:17.740 still

06:06:18.200 is

06:06:18.420 Trump

06:06:18.600 plus

06:06:18.820 five

06:06:19.180 Montcalm

06:06:20.660 County

06:06:21.040 which

06:06:21.320 I didn't

06:06:21.660 know

06:06:21.820 was a

06:06:22.060 thing

06:06:22.280 before

06:06:22.660 tonight

06:06:23.020 Trump

06:06:24.080 plus

06:06:24.320 38

06:06:24.800 in

06:06:25.200 2020

06:06:25.580 now

06:06:26.120 Trump

06:06:26.400 plus

06:06:26.660 39

06:06:27.060 and a

06:06:27.600 7%

06:06:28.200 increase

06:06:28.640 in

06:06:28.800 turnout

06:06:29.040 so it

06:06:29.320 keeps

06:06:29.480 going

06:06:29.700 back

06:06:29.900 to

06:06:30.020 the

06:06:30.140 story

06:06:30.520 Democrats

06:06:31.340 flat

06:06:31.660 at

06:06:31.800 20

06:06:32.060 Republicans

06:06:32.800 over

06:06:33.080 performing

06:06:33.540 20

06:06:33.920 and this

06:06:34.600 is how

06:06:34.840 we're

06:06:35.000 getting

06:06:35.200 the

06:06:35.460 map

06:06:35.760 of

06:06:36.160 potentially

06:06:36.800 a

06:06:37.060 Trump

06:06:37.260 sweep

06:06:37.600 of

06:06:37.860 every

06:06:38.220 single

06:06:38.560 swing

06:06:38.800 state

06:06:39.060 wow

06:06:39.680 it is

06:06:40.380 amazing

06:06:40.860 amazing

06:06:41.240 stuff

06:06:41.560 and I

06:06:42.160 do

06:06:42.360 have

06:06:42.620 Mike

06:06:42.800 and X

06:06:43.040 on the

06:06:43.260 table

06:06:43.420 so prepare

06:06:43.860 yourself

06:06:44.100 for that

06:06:44.500 one

06:06:44.720 Brent

06:06:44.980 next

06:06:45.660 week

06:06:45.840 comes

06:06:46.100 you

06:06:46.260 our

06:06:46.360 election

06:06:46.640 map

06:06:46.840 coverage

06:06:47.120 this

06:06:47.280 evening

06:06:47.440 is made

06:06:47.700 possible

06:06:48.080 by our

06:06:48.360 sponsors

06:06:48.720 over at

06:06:49.180 Lumen

06:06:49.380 hack your

06:06:50.040 metabolites

06:06:50.460 with one

06:06:50.740 simple device

06:06:51.200 understand your

06:06:51.720 body

06:06:51.960 more with

06:06:52.720 Lumen

06:06:53.040 and eat

06:06:53.540 less of

06:06:53.940 this

06:06:54.240 than I am

06:06:54.800 right now

06:06:55.240 but you know

06:06:55.580 what

06:06:55.720 can we

06:06:56.360 please

06:06:56.640 take the

06:06:57.260 I want

06:06:58.440 everybody

06:06:58.700 at home

06:06:58.960 to see

06:06:59.280 what's

06:06:59.540 happening

06:06:59.800 right now

06:07:00.220 at Trump

06:07:00.560 HQ

06:07:00.880 where

06:07:01.900 we've

06:07:02.260 seen

06:07:02.620 just

06:07:03.880 about

06:07:04.140 everyone

06:07:04.360 I believe

06:07:04.680 I just

06:07:04.900 saw RFK

06:07:05.500 Jr.

06:07:05.860 coming in

06:07:06.360 the crowd

06:07:07.060 even without

06:07:08.140 audio

06:07:08.460 you can

06:07:08.660 just

06:07:08.840 tell

06:07:09.120 the crowd

06:07:09.500 is ecstatic

06:07:10.080 and we

06:07:11.260 expect to

06:07:11.720 hear from

06:07:12.140 Donald Trump

06:07:12.820 imminently

06:07:14.220 at any

06:07:15.140 moment we

06:07:15.520 could be

06:07:15.860 going to

06:07:16.600 Donald Trump

06:07:17.120 coming out

06:07:17.800 to make

06:07:18.060 we don't

06:07:18.520 know

06:07:18.660 by the way

06:07:19.160 Fox just

06:07:19.680 called

06:07:19.920 Pennsylvania

06:07:20.280 for Trump

06:07:20.760 let's

06:07:21.480 go

06:07:22.080 baby

06:07:22.600 let's

06:07:23.400 go

06:07:24.040 over

06:07:26.500 we are

06:07:29.500 I mean

06:07:29.960 I think

06:07:31.000 it's not

06:07:31.360 impossible

06:07:31.840 that you

06:07:32.220 even get

06:07:32.700 a concession

06:07:33.200 phone call

06:07:33.740 tonight

06:07:34.120 okay so

06:07:35.380 Donald Trump's

06:07:36.320 new name

06:07:36.740 I'm sparking

06:07:37.460 is the glass

06:07:38.020 ceiling

06:07:38.380 because Donald

06:07:39.940 Trump has

06:07:40.400 not just

06:07:40.840 stopped one

06:07:41.400 but two

06:07:42.240 women 1.00

06:07:42.660 from becoming

06:07:43.620 the first

06:07:44.120 female president

06:07:45.180 of the United

06:07:45.660 States

06:07:46.000 and he now

06:07:46.680 has the

06:07:46.900 opportunity

06:07:47.280 to do the

06:07:47.760 funniest thing

06:07:48.220 ever

06:07:48.460 and at the

06:07:49.200 very end

06:07:49.560 of his

06:07:49.760 presidency

06:07:50.140 declare

06:07:50.600 himself

06:07:50.980 female 0.86

06:07:51.300 and become

06:07:52.080 the first

06:07:52.840 female president

06:07:53.520 of the United

06:07:54.240 States

06:07:54.600 even the New

06:07:55.140 York Times

06:07:55.640 has taken

06:07:56.320 Pennsylvania

06:07:57.000 to very

06:07:57.960 likely Trump

06:07:58.800 Fox News

06:08:00.380 just called

06:08:00.780 it

06:08:00.980 it's over

06:08:01.740 gang

06:08:02.040 it's over

06:08:02.960 Fox News

06:08:03.860 calls Pennsylvania

06:08:04.620 this election

06:08:05.840 is done

06:08:06.620 it's toast

06:08:07.320 you can put it

06:08:07.860 in the fridge

06:08:08.440 it's finished

06:08:09.200 Donald Trump

06:08:10.120 Donald Trump

06:08:10.760 is your 47th

06:08:11.820 president of the

06:08:12.540 United States

06:08:13.160 the greatest

06:08:13.640 political comeback

06:08:14.480 in American history

06:08:15.800 far none

06:08:16.980 no doubts about it

06:08:19.100 un-effing

06:08:20.620 believable

06:08:21.080 unbelievable

06:08:22.380 and to you

06:08:23.920 the American people

06:08:24.480 put the work in

06:08:25.280 the amount of work

06:08:27.500 that people put

06:08:28.020 into this election

06:08:28.640 cycle

06:08:28.920 particularly me

06:08:29.840 but others

06:08:30.240 it's just

06:08:32.160 it's incredible

06:08:32.920 no really

06:08:34.300 the amount of work

06:08:37.000 the number of people

06:08:37.580 that we all

06:08:37.980 personally know

06:08:38.640 who are like

06:08:39.040 door knocking

06:08:39.640 and going out

06:08:40.520 and doing the hard

06:08:41.200 work

06:08:41.540 and making the

06:08:42.200 connections

06:08:42.640 putting aside

06:08:43.980 whatever differences

06:08:44.720 are out there

06:08:45.320 I mean this is

06:08:45.780 a huge victory

06:08:46.780 a huge victory

06:08:47.700 against a woke

06:08:48.360 left that needed

06:08:48.820 to take it

06:08:49.240 directly in the teeth

06:08:50.580 this is

06:08:51.580 just huge

06:08:52.340 just enormous

06:08:53.160 this is the

06:08:53.920 greatest comeback

06:08:54.860 without dispute

06:08:56.320 in the history

06:08:57.440 of American politics

06:08:58.620 of course

06:08:59.420 of course

06:09:00.300 well what exactly

06:09:01.340 would be the

06:09:01.680 comment

06:09:01.800 how is he going

06:09:02.400 to govern

06:09:02.720 the country

06:09:03.160 from prison

06:09:03.740 that's the thing

06:09:04.460 from Elba

06:09:05.720 St. Helen

06:09:06.660 there are actual

06:09:07.620 constitutional crises

06:09:08.860 looming

06:09:09.360 because the left

06:09:10.460 took

06:09:10.780 they took the joke

06:09:12.040 so far

06:09:13.000 they really took

06:09:16.160 a new Jeremy

06:09:16.800 level

06:09:17.080 that's right

06:09:18.100 they gave me

06:09:19.660 a run for my

06:09:20.240 by the way

06:09:20.680 DDHQ has called

06:09:21.920 the election

06:09:22.320 Donald Trump

06:09:22.860 is your 47th

06:09:23.880 president of

06:09:24.560 the United States

06:09:25.400 there it is

06:09:26.560 yes 1.00

06:09:27.360 damn 0.99

06:09:29.140 how are y'all 0.99

06:09:32.560 feeling

06:09:32.720 feeling pretty good

06:09:33.260 out here

06:09:33.580 I was planning

06:09:37.380 on being here

06:09:38.100 every day

06:09:38.740 for like a week

06:09:39.920 because I thought

06:09:40.860 this was going

06:09:41.360 to get dragged

06:09:41.880 out and out

06:09:42.860 and out

06:09:43.320 and Donald

06:09:44.300 John Trump

06:09:45.440 despite the

06:09:47.080 constant negative

06:09:48.060 press

06:09:48.640 has covfefed

06:09:50.300 by what time

06:09:52.020 by the way

06:09:52.660 Marsha Blackburn

06:09:53.300 was 20 minutes

06:09:53.960 off

06:09:54.220 23 minutes

06:09:55.120 off

06:09:55.300 she said

06:09:55.780 we would be

06:09:56.360 at 270

06:09:57.060 by midnight

06:09:57.900 central time

06:09:58.680 well the world

06:10:00.100 is about to change

06:10:00.840 in a much

06:10:01.440 better way

06:10:02.200 in a much

06:10:03.040 much

06:10:03.440 much

06:10:03.800 better way

06:10:04.460 from foreign

06:10:04.960 policy

06:10:05.380 to domestic

06:10:05.900 policy

06:10:06.380 to the social

06:10:07.000 fabric of the

06:10:07.580 country

06:10:07.880 and now it's

06:10:08.780 time for those

06:10:09.600 that Donald

06:10:09.980 John Trump

06:10:10.640 has defeated

06:10:11.180 to actually

06:10:12.080 take seriously

06:10:12.900 the possibility

06:10:13.580 that they got

06:10:14.060 it all wrong

06:10:14.980 that they got

06:10:15.980 it all wrong

06:10:16.640 it's time to

06:10:17.120 rethink some

06:10:18.000 things about

06:10:18.420 the American

06:10:18.840 people and

06:10:19.320 about the

06:10:19.600 country

06:10:19.900 they seem

06:10:20.720 to say

06:10:21.320 that they

06:10:21.640 ought to

06:10:22.120 represent

06:10:22.580 it is also

06:10:23.300 time for me

06:10:24.140 to have a

06:10:24.480 drink

06:10:24.740 I think

06:10:25.340 you've heard

06:10:26.180 it

06:10:26.380 and Dennis

06:10:27.180 Prager

06:10:27.580 left early

06:10:28.880 now we have

06:10:31.060 to have his

06:10:31.520 drink

06:10:31.920 you know

06:10:35.000 the nice

06:10:36.600 thing about

06:10:36.880 the color

06:10:37.160 orange

06:10:37.520 is that

06:10:38.020 it encompasses

06:10:38.360 so many

06:10:38.940 colors

06:10:39.320 it's not

06:10:40.260 just white

06:10:40.820 it's not

06:10:41.260 just black

06:10:41.740 it's not

06:10:42.180 just brown

06:10:42.800 it's a blended

06:10:44.100 family

06:10:44.620 it's like

06:10:45.000 America

06:10:45.360 coming together

06:10:46.220 that's like

06:10:46.540 Obama said

06:10:47.180 we're not

06:10:47.580 red America 0.75

06:10:48.160 we're not

06:10:48.660 white

06:10:48.920 we're all

06:10:49.540 orange

06:10:50.000 today

06:10:51.900 we're all

06:10:52.340 orange

06:10:52.860 that's

06:10:53.920 right

06:10:54.240 this

06:10:56.160 company

06:10:56.800 began

06:10:57.280 about

06:10:58.160 what

06:10:58.380 nine

06:10:58.640 years

06:10:58.940 ago

06:10:59.300 really

06:10:59.620 our

06:10:59.820 first

06:11:00.020 election

06:11:00.260 was

06:11:00.420 eight

06:11:00.600 years

06:11:00.840 ago

06:11:01.140 and we

06:11:01.720 were all

06:11:02.120 sitting

06:11:02.400 around

06:11:02.820 celebrating

06:11:03.700 Donald

06:11:04.100 Trump's

06:11:04.460 victory

06:11:04.840 over the

06:11:05.280 would-be

06:11:05.660 first

06:11:06.060 woman 0.99

06:11:06.380 president

06:11:06.780 nothing

06:11:08.620 whatsoever

06:11:09.540 has changed

06:11:10.080 exactly the

06:11:11.700 same thing

06:11:12.460 wow

06:11:13.800 oh Ben

06:11:14.240 you're

06:11:14.380 drinking

06:11:14.620 yeah

06:11:15.160 I never

06:11:15.660 do this

06:11:16.000 but

06:11:16.220 dude

06:11:16.940 it's been

06:11:17.920 a long

06:11:18.300 road

06:11:18.660 United States

06:11:19.220 of America

06:11:19.720 we're here

06:11:19.740 to the

06:11:20.020 United States

06:11:20.800 of America

06:11:21.400 and number

06:11:21.880 47

06:11:22.420 Donald Trump

06:11:24.520 oh yeah

06:11:25.420 oh yeah

06:11:26.780 we're gonna

06:11:29.980 make our

06:11:30.440 country better

06:11:31.080 than it

06:11:31.500 ever has

06:11:32.200 been

06:11:32.540 and I

06:11:33.860 said that

06:11:34.440 many people

06:11:35.540 have told

06:11:36.140 me

06:11:36.580 that God

06:11:37.940 spared my

06:11:39.520 life for

06:11:40.260 a reason

06:11:40.800 and that

06:11:46.820 reason was

06:11:47.520 to save

06:11:48.000 our country

06:11:48.620 and to

06:11:49.480 restore

06:11:49.960 America

06:11:50.520 to

06:11:50.800 greatness

06:11:51.360 and now

06:11:52.800 we are

06:11:53.180 going to

06:11:53.800 fulfill

06:11:54.280 that

06:11:54.560 mission

06:11:54.900 together

06:11:55.280 we're

06:11:55.540 going to

06:11:55.720 fulfill

06:11:56.020 that

06:11:56.300 mission

06:11:56.720 the task

06:11:58.520 before us

06:11:59.200 will not

06:11:59.600 be easy

06:12:00.200 but I

06:12:00.660 will bring

06:12:01.380 every ounce

06:12:02.280 of energy

06:12:02.840 spirit

06:12:03.460 and fight

06:12:04.900 that I

06:12:06.320 have in my

06:12:07.120 soul

06:12:07.580 to the

06:12:08.020 job

06:12:08.500 that you've

06:12:09.300 entrusted

06:12:10.900 to me

06:12:11.420 this is a

06:12:11.960 great job

06:12:12.540 there's no

06:12:13.280 job like

06:12:13.960 this

06:12:14.220 this is

06:12:14.740 the most

06:12:15.760 important

06:12:16.260 job in

06:12:16.980 the world

06:12:17.660 just as

06:12:19.700 I did

06:12:20.640 in my

06:12:20.900 first term

06:12:21.580 we had a

06:12:21.980 great first

06:12:22.540 term

06:12:22.900 a great

06:12:23.360 great first

06:12:24.000 term

06:12:24.340 I will

06:12:25.420 govern by

06:12:26.160 a simple

06:12:26.740 motto

06:12:27.440 promises

06:12:28.560 made

06:12:29.200 promises

06:12:29.780 kept

06:12:30.280 we're going

06:12:30.620 to keep

06:12:30.980 our promises

06:12:31.660 nothing will

06:12:34.240 stop me from

06:12:35.000 keeping my

06:12:35.620 word to

06:12:36.120 you the people

06:12:36.800 we will

06:12:37.340 make America

06:12:38.840 safe strong

06:12:39.840 prosperous

06:12:40.520 powerful and

06:12:41.400 free again

06:12:42.020 and I'm

06:12:42.840 asking every

06:12:43.460 citizen all

06:12:44.240 across our

06:12:44.940 land to

06:12:45.380 join me in

06:12:46.000 this noble

06:12:46.640 and righteous

06:12:47.360 endeavor

06:12:47.960 that's what

06:12:48.440 it is

06:12:48.860 it's time

06:12:50.220 to put the

06:12:51.340 divisions of

06:12:52.200 the past

06:12:52.640 four years

06:12:53.400 behind us

06:12:54.860 it's time

06:12:55.420 to unite

06:12:56.100 and we're

06:12:57.280 going to

06:12:57.500 try we're

06:12:58.220 going to

06:12:58.440 try we

06:12:58.880 have to

06:12:59.260 try and

06:12:59.980 it's going

06:13:00.940 to happen

06:13:01.380 success will

06:13:02.340 bring us

06:13:02.780 together I've

06:13:03.460 seen that

06:13:04.000 I've seen

06:13:04.700 that I saw

06:13:06.640 that in the

06:13:07.180 first term

06:13:07.840 when we became

06:13:09.000 more and more

06:13:09.700 successful

06:13:10.380 people started

06:13:12.000 coming together

06:13:12.820 success is

06:13:13.760 going to

06:13:14.520 bring us

06:13:15.740 together and

06:13:16.680 we are going

06:13:17.920 to start by

06:13:19.440 all putting

06:13:19.980 America first 0.69

06:13:20.900 we have to

06:13:21.400 put our

06:13:21.740 country first

06:13:22.420 for at least

06:13:23.180 a period of

06:13:23.780 time we have

06:13:24.380 to fix it

06:13:25.100 because together

06:13:26.640 we can truly

06:13:27.380 make America

06:13:28.280 great again

06:13:29.540 for all

06:13:30.020 Americans so

06:13:30.960 I want to

06:13:31.540 just tell you

06:13:33.140 what a great

06:13:33.600 honor this is

06:13:34.460 I want to

06:13:34.860 thank you I

06:13:35.540 will not let

06:13:36.300 you down

06:13:36.860 America's

06:13:37.540 future will

06:13:38.120 be bigger

06:13:38.780 better bolder

06:13:40.180 richer safer

06:13:41.700 and stronger

06:13:42.580 than it has

06:13:43.660 ever been

06:13:44.200 before God

06:13:45.600 bless you and

06:13:46.460 God bless

06:13:47.060 America thank

06:13:47.880 you very much

06:13:48.640 thank you

06:13:49.460 thank you

06:13:50.640 very much

06:13:51.340 that's Donald

06:13:55.360 Trump the

06:13:55.820 47th president

06:13:56.800 of the United

06:13:57.340 States thanks

06:13:57.980 for spending

06:13:58.320 election night

06:13:58.960 with us we'll

06:13:59.700 see you next

06:14:00.060 time

The Michael Knowles Show - November 06, 2024

Election Night 2024 with The Daily Wire

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