Ron DeSantis drops out of the presidential race and endorses Donald Trump. I think this was a smart move by the former governor of Florida, who had no other choice but to endorse Trump. The primary was already over after Iowa, now it s super over.
00:04:27.260Well, if you don't, there's a robot who is more than happy to pretend to be a human and your girlfriend and makes $30,000 a month doing it.
00:04:36.180We will get to the end of civilization in a moment.
00:04:39.000First, though, don't want to totally move on just yet from the primary.
00:04:43.300I thought this was a really classy move from DeSantis.
00:05:03.960I forget how to pronounce it in Yiddish, but the expression is if you're going to eat pork, do it until your mouth drips.
00:05:09.320If you're going to drop out of the race and if Trump is obviously the nominee and you want to remain in the Republican Party, you want to remain a conservative, you want to advocate for conservative goals at the national level, then you've got to endorse the guy.
00:05:21.360He's the man, you know, he's the man for the time.
00:05:24.740You might not have wished that were the case, but that's how it is.
00:05:32.480I felt he ran as good a race as he could.
00:05:34.840There were problems with this campaign.
00:05:36.260But as I've said before, I think those were mostly circumstantial problems.
00:05:40.320The problem of a campaign that is attractive because of how Trumpy it is, you know, Trump without the baggage, but a campaign that naturally is going to attract a lot of people who are extremely establishment or who might be neoconservative or who might be a little bit squishy and they just hate Donald Trump.
00:05:59.840So they're going to the guy that they thought could beat him, even if Ron DeSantis' chief pitch is, hey, man, I'm even more conservative than Trump.
00:08:45.820But because I picked the anti-Trump lane and I did it the best, because I actually had a coherent political strategy, even if it won't be successful, then I could be the next person.
00:08:54.600Or if, God forbid, something happened to Donald Trump, then I'd be the person with the next most delegates and then I would be the nominee.
00:09:01.760I don't think that's really going to happen here.
00:09:03.460I think the endorsement of squishes like Asa Hutchinson is going to make very, very clear to not only the Trump voters, but the DeSantis voters and the Vivek voters and all of the conservatives.
00:09:16.720It's going to make clear that she is fully siding against their interests.
00:09:23.060And so let's say, God forbid, something happened to Trump, probably at the convention, they would just pick someone else.
00:09:30.200They would take Trump's delegates and pick, I don't know, Tucker or somebody.
00:09:33.640You know, they'd pick someone not even running, not even associated with the race.
00:09:38.060That's the hazard of making yourself out to be the anti-Trump, is you think maybe you could get a unity ticket like Reagan-Bush.
00:09:45.640Maybe you could position yourself as number two if Trump really goes down in flames in a general election.
00:09:50.940But I don't see any world, if Nikki is attracting the support of Asa Hutchinson's, I don't see any world in which there's somehow a coup at the convention and she gets the nomination this time.
00:10:02.940Also because Trump has done very well among moderates.
00:10:08.300The way that the media present Trump, he's the far-right extremist neo-Nazi skinhead fringe or something, you know.
00:10:13.780And the normal, respectable Republicans, they want nothing to do with him.
00:10:37.140It's a lot of those guys have been endorsing him.
00:10:40.620And now we're seeing not only the unveiling of more moderate endorsements for Trump, but we're seeing them come specifically from South Carolina.
00:10:50.700So the senators from South Carolina, Lindsey Graham and Tim Scott, are relatively centrist.
00:10:58.260They both just endorsed Trump ahead of the primary in South Carolina in Nikki Haley's home state.
00:11:03.800We need a president today who will stop the crime and recklessness in the streets.
00:11:14.480We need a president who will restore law and order.
00:11:22.080Oh, we need a president who will lower our taxes and not raise our taxes.
00:11:27.740We need a president like Donald Trump.
00:11:33.380We need a president who understands the American people are sick and tired of being sick and tired.
00:11:44.260We need a president our foreign adversaries are afraid of and our allies respect.
00:11:55.860First time I met Tim Scott, I was introduced to him and told that had Senator Scott not become a politician, he would have been a preacher.
00:14:08.320Either way, Trump is now up by something like 30, 40 points in South Carolina, Nevada.
00:14:13.900Nikki Haley is not even on the ballot.
00:14:15.940So all in all, it would appear that we pour one out for the other candidates because the race is over.
00:14:23.560Now, speaking of people expecting Trump to be the nominee, a lot of world leaders outside of our own country are expecting Trump to be the nominee,
00:14:33.880including Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky, who is very, very concerned that Donald Trump wants to bring that war to an end.
00:14:46.720He finds that rhetoric, quote, very dangerous and a little scary.
00:14:51.320And that rhetoric about winding down the war in Ukraine is making him a little bit stressed.
00:14:58.080In Zelensky's own words, Trump is going to make decisions on his own without, I'm not even talking about Russia, but without both sides, without us.
00:15:08.960If he says this publicly, that's a little scary.
00:15:11.420I've seen a lot, a lot of victims, but that's really making me a bit stressed.
00:15:15.500Okay, I think that the United States has every right to make whatever foreign policy decision that we want to make on our own without consulting Vladimir Zelensky,
00:15:28.500especially since we've been the ones funding this war from day one.
00:15:32.300And if we stopped funding it, the war would be over in two seconds.
00:15:36.260I think we've given Ukraine enough money, enough arms.
00:15:39.540I think it's quite clear there is no way for Ukraine to have a total victory over Russia, the Biden administration even,
00:15:44.960which had been very bullish on Ukraine, has already signaled that they're not going to push for total victory here.
00:15:50.960The libs in all of the big liberal establishment papers are saying, you know, actually, Ukraine doesn't need all of its territory to beat Putin.
00:15:58.280Actually, we can give Russia a little bit.
00:15:59.820So the negotiated peace that gives Russia parts of eastern Ukraine, which is what some of us who are more realistic in foreign policy had been calling for from day one,
00:16:09.860and we were all pilloried as Putin's stooges for that, that appears now to be the consensus view among both political parties in the United States, the inevitable view.
00:16:22.700And Zelensky is really upset about that.
00:17:12.980Well, there's a story that basically no one is talking about, which is that an American journalist was imprisoned and killed in a Ukrainian prison simply for voicing his opinion.
00:18:06.340How are more people not talking about this?
00:18:10.700All we ever hear about, especially from the left-wing press in America, is how those journalists, they're the fourth estate, the intrepid defenders of democracy.
00:18:19.060We need to stop all those autocratic regimes from silencing the press, killing the press in this case.
00:19:01.760And I think, even if it makes Zelensky a little uneasy, I think that the plan to wind down the war in Ukraine, advocated by the presumptive Republican nominee for president, just fine by me.
00:19:11.780Speaking of U.S. involvement overseas, a really, really scary story, a genuinely scary story over the weekend.
00:19:20.860Several U.S. troops have suffered potential traumatic brain injuries after Iran attacked an Iraqi air base that had U.S. troops on it.
00:19:31.780We don't know exactly if the U.S. troops have the traumatic brain injuries, and we don't know the extent of them.
00:19:39.500You know, a traumatic brain injury could mean anything from a concussion, which, you know, is unpleasant, but happens if you play hockey in middle school, or something much, much more severe.
00:19:50.180We don't know, so we should obviously pray for the U.S. troops.
00:19:52.620And what this shows you, though, is the risk to U.S. interests of this ongoing war in the Middle East.
00:20:00.920You've seen Iranian-backed militants for the whole duration of this war, including, obviously, Hamas, which is backed by Iran.
00:20:10.060You're seeing the Houthis in Yemen, who are now firing on U.S. ships, and then we're firing on the Houthis.
00:20:16.400You're now seeing Iran-backed militants firing on U.S. bases in Iraq, where the U.S. is.
00:20:21.120All of this brings me back to a point articulated very well by the mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot.
00:20:32.580Lindy's Law refers to a deli in New York, and it was not first articulated by Mandelbrot, who is best known as a mathematician focused specifically on fractals.
00:20:42.180It was articulated earlier by some other academic, but his version of it wasn't that good.
00:20:47.520Mandelbrot really, really zeroed in on it.
00:20:49.860And Mandelbrot's idea was, however long a person's past collected works, it will, on average, continue for an equal additional amount.
00:21:03.580And whenever it eventually stops, it breaks off at precisely half of its promise.
00:21:06.640So the idea being, the reason it refers to this deli, Lindy's deli, is a lot of comedians would talk about how long a comedian's career would go on.
00:21:17.300Sometimes you hear this story as people debating how long a Broadway show would continue to perform.
00:21:23.780I think the author Nassim Nicholas Taleb put it that way.
00:21:26.380And the way you can predict how long a Broadway show, according to Taleb, would go on is how long it has already been playing for.
00:21:35.660The longer the Broadway show has been playing, the more likely it is to continue playing for a long time, an equally long time.
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00:22:54.920What is the United States doing in Iraq that can attract the attention of Iranian militants that can then potentially injure U.S. soldiers?