Ep. 1707 - NO ONE EXPECTED THIS! Trump Tariffs BREAKDOWN
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Summary
No one could have predicted the impact of President Trump's massive new tariffs on China and other countries. Is this the start of a new golden age or a new Great Depression? Today's episode of The Michael Knowles Show examines the economic impact of the new trade restrictions.
Transcript
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President Trump announced his Liberation Day tariffs yesterday, and no one, I mean no one,
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expected the magnitude of tariffs that we saw. You are going to hear a lot of puffed-up financial
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analysts and political pundits tell you that they know exactly what the tariffs mean today.
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And they are full of it. And the way you know they're full of it is that none of them predicted
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this, and the stock market tanked when President Trump announced it. In fact, the only prediction
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that came true, and you know how much I hate to say I told you so, the only prediction that came
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true, as far as I could tell, was my prediction that the tariffs would be totally unpredictable,
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which is not a proper prediction in itself, so I get it, but I think that gets me half credit.
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Now that we have more information, now we can start to try at least to read some of the tea leaves
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to figure out if we are headed for a new golden age or another Great Depression.
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I'm Michael Knowles. This is The Michael Knowles Show.
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Welcome back to the show. With President Trump defunding Planned Parenthood, there are the
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usual suspects coming out arguing that actually the Bible is pro-abortion. So we will have on this
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Theology Thursday a pulpit in politics debate coming up at the end of the show. There's so much more
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great night's sleep. These tariffs were wild, man. I don't know who else to put it. I know I'm
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supposed to sit here and say, well, I knew this is exactly what would happen. And this is, but first of all,
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and I did, I did, in that I said, the only thing that we know about the tariffs is that President
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Trump is using them as part of his kind of madman, unpredictable strategy in office and that the
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strategy has served him very well. But that even senior administration officials, I'm talking like
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the very upper crust of the cabinet, did not really know what the tariffs were going to look like,
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which countries were going to have tariffs on them, how intense the tariffs were going to be,
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and what primary purpose the tariffs were going to serve. To put this in historical perspective,
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the effective tariff on imports has now hit a 131-year high in the United States.
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So the economists over at Capital Economics, because what do I don't know anything about
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these calculations, but these actual economists come out, they say that we now have an import-weighted
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average tariff of 19.1%. But when you put that on top of the earlier tariffs that President Trump
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already installed, and product-specific tariffs, so not just Trump saying, you know, weeks ago,
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okay, we're going to put tariffs on China, or not just saying, all right, we're going to put tariffs
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on steel and aluminum and autos more recently. The effective tariff rate on all imports would rise
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to about 26%, which is the 131-year high. That is up from 2.3% last year. So we're talking about a
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massive tariff hike. Here is President Trump announcing Liberation Day.
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From 1789 to 1913, we were a tariff-backed nation, and the United States was proportionately the
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wealthiest it has ever been. So wealthy, in fact, that in the 1880s, they established a commission
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to decide what they were going to do with the vast sums of money they were collecting. We were
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collecting so much money so fast, we didn't know what to do with it. Isn't that a nice problem to
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have? What do you think, Marco? Good problem? Marco would love that problem. But we don't have that
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problem anymore, but we're not going to have it very much longer, I will tell you. But they collected
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so much money, they actually formed a commission to determine what they were going to do with the
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money, who they were going to give it to, and how much. Then in 1913, for reasons unknown to mankind,
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they established the income tax so that citizens, rather than foreign countries, would start paying
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the money necessary to run our government. Then in 1929, it all came to a very abrupt end with the
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Great Depression, and it would have never happened if they had stayed with the tariff policy. It would
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have been a much different story. They tried to bring back tariffs to save our country, but it was
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gone. It was gone. It was too late. Okay, so there you have it. President Trump not merely announcing
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these massive tariffs, and he had a big board of the tariffs that other countries are levying on
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our goods compared to what Trump was presenting as the much more lenient and generous tariff rate that
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we were levying on the other countries. And the numbers were a little bit confusing because we
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couldn't quite tell, all right, how did the White House arrive at this effective tariff rate from the
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other countries? It's not like you just Google it and there's a number. We're talking about multiple
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tariffs on lots of different products and with lots of different volume. And so how did they arrive at
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that? And President Trump made clear that he was including not only the tariffs, but other non-tariff
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trade barriers, currency manipulation, subsidies of industries, and so forth. People couldn't quite
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figure out where exactly these numbers came from. How did the White House arrive at some of the
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extraordinarily high tariff rates that we were levying on some countries? An ex-account named
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ortho-normalist seems to have struck on it, which is he said the number was arrived at by taking the U.S.
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trade deficit with any given nation and dividing it by that nation's exports to us with a baseline 10%
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tariff for all countries. So even countries that run a trade deficit with us, we're just going to start
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out with a baseline 10% tariff, and then that's how you arrive at the number. And the White House, some staff
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members at the White House tried to push back on this a little bit and point out that, no, there was a
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really sophisticated economic calculation here. And that may well be the case, but even when you
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factor in the White House's explanation, I think ortho-normalists' simple description of it seems to
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hold pretty well. It seems pretty accurate. It's the U.S. trade deficit with that nation divided by the
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nation's exports to us with a baseline of 10% tariffs. So that means that there were 10% tariffs
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against places that not only don't export goods to us, but don't even have people in them.
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And this is something that the libs were having a lot of fun with. I actually, I was having fun
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with it too. I don't, I know the libs are like pulling their hair out over this. I don't, I just
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find it quite entertaining. Wow. Something is actually changing in politics. Wow. President Trump
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is making good on his promise. You know, Trump has made good on a lot of his promises, but most
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politicians don't make good on their promises. So one of the, one of the funny aspects of this policy
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is there's apparently a 10% tariff against the herd in McDonald Islands, which are inhabited only
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by penguins. So that's right. You take that, you penguins. I don't know. I don't know what penguins
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export. In fact, I don't even know enough about penguins to make a joke about what they could
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export. But anyway, whatever it is they export, it's, they're going to have to pay a 10% tariff
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on that. Big question that everyone has right now. What does Trump want with these tariffs?
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You got the libs freaking out. Of course you have many on the right freaking out. Of course,
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is they're saying that these tariffs are so extreme. No one was predicting this. The market
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is tanking. What surely he doesn't want to keep these in permanently and we'll get, there's some
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sign that maybe he doesn't want these to be permanent. But the question is, does he want revenue
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jobs or concessions from other countries when it comes to trade? When you, when you see a 10%
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tariff levied on a nation inhabited only by penguins, you think, well, it can't just be the
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concessions. When you see, to use a less kind of funny example, when you see a 10% tariff slapped
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on countries that run a trade deficit with us, then that makes you think, well, it can't be that he's
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just trying to get concessions. What concessions do those places have to give? Is it jobs? Is he
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trying to reshore American manufacturing? Maybe that was one of the big arguments during the
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campaign is we need to reshore American manufacturing. Globalist liberal free trade
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has gutted the American middle class. It's destroyed a lot of towns in middle America
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where now the people who are unemployed are just killing themselves with fentanyl and
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dying deaths of despair. Okay. Could be that. But from the way president Trump is talking about it
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in, in his announcement of liberation day, it probably isn't the jobs because Trump is talking
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about it from the perspective of revenue. Meaning we're going to continue to import a lot of these
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goods. We're just going to collect a lot of revenue at the ports when the goods come in.
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If the tariff policy were primarily about creating jobs, American manufacturing jobs,
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then you wouldn't get the revenue because people would just be buying the goods here in America.
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Now there is a middle ground, of course, which is that the tariffs are levied. People are more
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inclined to buy American and maybe Trump does exact trade concessions so that American industries are
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able to export more overseas. Obviously, it's not only one or the other or the other, but these three
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things are in conflict with each other. Jobs, revenue, concessions. So which one does he want?
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I think we, I think there's a little bit of a clue. There's so much more to say. First though,
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in conversations. How often do we stop and ask about what's on our plate? Once you start digging,
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you're going to find out most store-bought meat is shipped in from overseas, even if it says product
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you know me, I'm a little bit of a cheapskate. The prices cannot be beat. And then I'm also an
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American patriot and I love that it's American meat, but it's so good. The other night I came home,
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the boys and Elisa had already eaten their food. And then sweet little Elisa made me a nice New
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00:12:18.140
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Here's the little bit of clue about what Trump wants. The tariffs did not go into effect immediately.
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However, they are going into effect pretty soon. Senior White House officials told reporters that
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the new baseline tariff of 10% will go into effect Saturday at 12.01 a.m. Friday night,
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you're going to get the baseline 10% tariff on everyone. Then the reciprocal levies will go into
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effect in a week, April 9th at 12.01 a.m. Notice here, this is the other little clue. Trump is presenting
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these tariffs as reciprocal tariffs. He's not saying that these aren't just revenue-raising
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tariffs. These aren't just reshore American manufacturing tariffs. These are reciprocal
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tariffs. You tariff us, we're going to tariff you. Even if you don't have tariffs on us,
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you have bad trade practices that harm Americans. All right, we're going to put tariffs on you.
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So by last night, the Dow futures was down 900 points. NASDAQ futures was down about 800 points.
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S&P 500 futures was down 180 points. This was a massive, massive shockwave.
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If I were a gambling man, and I don't really make predictions, especially on this issue when it
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comes to Trump, because he could be totally bluffing, as he sometimes does, or he could be dead serious and
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he wants to bring us back to the McKinley era, and he wants to abolish the income tax.
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And it could be either of those, because if he's bluffing, then he needs to behave as though he
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wants to take us back to the McKinley era. And if he wants to take us back to the McKinley era,
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he's going to talk like he wants to take us back to the McKinley era, and he's really good. He's just
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really good at negotiating, and he's a good showbiz guy. So you can't actually tell.
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My gut tells me this is still a negotiating tactic, because it's presented as reciprocal,
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and because he's delaying the implementation. He's not delaying it very much. I mean,
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it's hard to imagine some kind of deal gets struck with any of these countries by Saturday,
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or even a week from now, six days from now. How are you going to strike a deal with hundreds of
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countries? I mean, I don't know. Maybe the penguins don't really care. They're going to
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have an internal economy, and they don't care about U.S. trade. But these other countries,
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how are you going to strike a deal with all of them in a week? I don't know. That's the mark
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against my theory. But I still, it is a negotiating tactic, right? Right? I don't know.
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But we can judge a little bit the international response. Ontario Premier from America's Evil Top Hat,
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Doug Ford, he came out the minute these tariffs were announced, and everyone picked their
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jaws up off the floor. He said, hey, hey, hey, all right, we'll give up all of our tariffs. Just
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cut it out. What are you doing? Let's sit down and discuss this, because it's just going to
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hurt American jobs. I can't stress it enough. And again, he believes he's supporting Americans.
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He said he was going to create jobs, create wealth, reduce inflation. It's worked the total
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opposite. Inflation is out. But do you think it's fair that you have tariffs on a whole number of
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products? That's right. And we'd be willing to take those off tomorrow if he took all the tariffs
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off. We are not the problem. Andrew, do you know what the problem is? China's the problem.
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Okay. Oh, there we go. Look, we'd be willing to take all those tariffs off.
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Because, you know, in defense of the tariff policy, all these other countries have tariffs
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on us. So he says, look, we'd be willing to lose every tariff we have on the United States
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if you please just lighten up on these tariffs. So that makes it seem like, all right, this is
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just a negotiating tactic. We are going to reduce trade barriers all around the world. We're going
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to get even more free trade. However, when you look at all the countries that have tariffs levied on
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them, you begin to wonder. Because it's not just China. It's not just Canada. It's not just Mexico.
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It's not just, it's Senegal. What trade concessions does the White House want to get
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from Senegal? I don't, what trade concessions do we want to get from the Herd and McDonald Islands?
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What, that makes it look like the fact that these are so broad and there's a 10% baseline tariff
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makes it seem like it's not a negotiating tactic, but rather a revenue thing. We just want to
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collect the revenue, which is how President Trump presented it. We're just going to make so much
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money, we're not going to know what to do with the money. But also it's reciprocal tariff. So also
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it's kind of a negotiating tactic. So I'm going to tell you the only totally honest thing that you
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are going to hear from any financial analyst or political pundit today about these world order
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shaking tariffs. I don't know. I don't know. That's, and I know that that doesn't play and
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you're supposed to hear, well, this is exactly what it is. No one, nobody knows what this means.
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The proof is the market tanked. So even all the super duper geniuses on Wall Street
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who are paid to know what fiscal policy is and who are paid to know what the White House is going to
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do when it comes to trade and who are paid to know all these things. And they're all the greatest
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super geniuses in the world who dedicate their lives to this. They had no idea, no clue.
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Now there is a super genius from Wall Street who is now sitting in the Trump administration. He's
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the secretary of the treasury. That is Scott Besson. Scott Besson was asked about the market reaction
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to the tariffs. And this guy stayed cool as a cucumber.
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This kind of market downdraft so far this year is not concerning you.
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Well, look, in my old business, I was very concerned about market movements and I'm trying
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to be a secretary of treasury, not a market commentator. What I would point out is that
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especially the NASDAQ peaked on deep seek day. So that's a MAG-7 problem, not a MAGA problem.
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Okay. This is a great line. This is a killer line. That's probably going to go over the heads of a
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lot of people. What he says, MAG-7, he's referring to the magnificent seven companies, tech companies,
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Amazon, NVIDIA, all these companies that have just vastly outperformed the market.
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And he says, yeah, the market downturn, that's a MAG-7 problem. That's not a MAGA problem.
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I'm not a market commentator. I'm not a hedge fund manager anymore. I'm the secretary of the
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treasury. Don't worry about it. So what's my takeaway? All of that to say, it was a very long
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survey of these world shaking tariffs. I'm not freaking out. I'm not freaking out, man. Okay.
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Scott Besson's not freaking out. I'm not freaking out. The market's freaking out,
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but I'm not freaking out because I've been through this before. It seems to me I've heard this song
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before where Trump says something and everyone loses their minds. And then three days later,
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it's not what everyone feared it would be. And then a week later, it actually worked very well.
00:20:03.840
So I'm willing to take the 24 hour President Trump deep breath here. Okay. However, I want to,
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I want to caution people, including people on the right, especially people on the right.
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The stakes are very, very high here. This is not just some random executive order
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that angers people, but two weeks later, no one really cares. The stakes are very, very high.
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President Trump plays for keeps. He wants to be an historic president. He is a world historic figure.
00:20:38.660
He just is that. He is one of the most significant figures we've ever had, certainly in American history.
00:20:42.940
And he will go down. He will be remembered for centuries to come. And he knows that he plays
00:20:47.960
high stakes and he plays for keeps. If this tariff policy doesn't work, we will get obliterated in
00:20:57.580
the midterms. There will not be a Republican who can show his face in Washington DC or at any town hall.
00:21:04.600
We will get destroyed. And J.D. Vance and whoever else runs for president in 2828 will get destroyed.
00:21:14.200
The GOP will be on its gasping last breath if this doesn't work out. And on the flip side,
00:21:22.840
if this does work out, Trump truly will be the transformative president that he promised himself
00:21:28.620
to be, he will have ended the era of globalization, free trade, the kind of liberal post-Cold War
00:21:37.580
consensus, following the liberal World War II consensus, certainly the liberal post-Cold War consensus
00:21:42.680
that says the world is flat and we're just going to erase our borders and we're going to start out
00:21:46.900
erasing our economic borders. But when you erase the economic borders, pretty soon you're going to have
00:21:51.400
to erase the political borders too because you're going to have to have your government done
00:21:54.780
by international institutions that are going to take more and more power away from sovereign
00:21:59.720
nations. And you're going to have mass migration and the world is flat and history is over. And Trump
00:22:05.020
will have ended that basically with one declaration, with two and some would argue three presidential
00:22:12.560
election wins. But this is a major, major move. So I'm going to keep my heart rate down. We're going
00:22:19.200
to see how it works out. But we, you know, the old Chinese curse, may you live in interesting times.
00:22:26.920
It is upon us. The first Chinese curse of recent years was Wuhan, was COVID. This is the second one.
00:22:32.980
And probably it is more significant. There's so much more to say. First though, go to preborn.com
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Give what you can. Preborn.com slash Knowles. I will be going to University of Pittsburgh. You might
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remember a year, what was it, a year or two years ago? I visited the University of Pittsburgh. I was
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00:24:10.300
explosives were not just a couple of kids who got out of control. They were hardcore anarchist
00:24:15.580
terrorists. Happily, they were prosecuted, though they were really only given a slap on the wrist.
00:24:21.200
But one of those guys is in federal prison right now. His wife should be in prison, but she's not.
00:24:25.960
She got off with probation or something like that. In any case, I'm going back on the anniversary,
00:24:31.000
near the anniversary. And my welcome committee is apparently preparing. I was alerted of this by my
00:24:37.800
team yesterday. Steel City Anti-Fascist League has posted that the infamous far-right loser, Michael
00:24:46.100
Knowles, returns to Pitt's campus on Monday, April 7th. Now, hold on, just a point here. Can one really be an
00:24:54.360
infamous loser? I guess so. But doesn't fame or even infamy imply that one has won at least
00:25:05.280
something? Has won attention? Has won applause? I'm confused by that. I think Antifa is pretty
00:25:11.740
confused, too. I guess one can be an infamous loser. We plan to make sure he knows he's not
00:25:17.980
welcome, doubly so. We plan to make sure anyone who supports him knows they're not welcome.
00:25:22.000
Transphobia will not be tolerated. Transphobes will not be tolerated. Michael Knowles will not
00:25:25.160
be tolerated. Okay. And then here's the picture, and it's an anarchist symbol with a rifle that looks
00:25:30.280
like an AR-15 here. Or is that an AK-47? And then it's hard to tell if the mag is bent. Anyway,
00:25:37.780
then it's me with three arrows going through my head. So they're not the subtlest, Antifa,
00:25:44.100
the left-wing terrorists. And so they're threatening to kill me. And apparently,
00:25:49.160
anyone who comes out to support me. So anyway, I'm going to go anyway. And I encourage you to go
00:25:57.300
anyway. Obviously, take precautions. Make sure everyone stays safe. We're going to have a robust
00:26:01.760
security presence. But my welcoming committee is back. Should be a fun event. If you're in the
00:26:06.980
Pittsburgh area, I'll see you April 7th. Speaking of transgenderism, a female fencer has gone viral
00:26:15.400
because she was expelled from USA fencing after refusing to fence with a man who says that he's a
00:26:25.540
woman. You can see a lady is getting ready to fence. There's a big, big fella there. And eventually,
00:26:34.540
eventually she just takes a knee. And okay, takes a knee because you can't fence a dude if you're a
00:26:43.020
lady. I know Disney movies have confused us. I know Snow White has probably confused us and Star
00:26:48.140
Wars and all the rest of it. But women can't actually win sword fights with men. It's not
00:26:53.900
possible ever. It's never once happened ever in the history of swords. So this is going viral among
00:27:00.700
the conservatives. And the conservatives are saying, this is outrageous. We need to defend women's
00:27:04.740
fencing. And we need to defend, I don't know, we need to defend the WNBA basically. And that's all
00:27:10.420
good. It's a winning issue, the trans sports thing. It's a major winning issue for conservatives.
00:27:15.040
I encourage Republicans to run on it. It's an issue that clues people in as to the absurdity
00:27:21.680
of the sexual ideology of the left and can help, hopefully, I think, lead them to reconsider things
00:27:28.620
like same-sex marriage, certainly transing the kids, transing the adults, radical feminism,
00:27:34.960
all the rest of it. But just among us gals, we need to be honest with ourselves.
00:27:42.180
We don't really care about women's fencing. Can we just among us, we're all, you know,
00:27:48.520
this is a private safe space. Is it private? I guess it's public. I'll speak for myself. I don't
00:27:54.740
care. I don't care about women's fencing. I don't care about women's basketball. I don't care about
00:28:00.440
women's soccer. I don't care about soccer at all. It's not that we conservatives care about women's
00:28:10.040
sports per se. We care about justice. The reason that it bothers us when some husky dude plays
00:28:19.880
women's volleyball is because he's going to give a woman a concussion. He's going to give her permanent
00:28:24.800
brain injuries, as has happened. Or at the very least, he's going to take away trophies and
00:28:30.580
university scholarships and all sorts of things that women are entitled to in these sports leagues.
00:28:35.780
The issue is the justice. But sometimes we get carried away, high on our own supply. We believe
00:28:41.220
our own press releases. And so before you know it, we look up and conservatives are the party of the
00:28:46.240
WNBA. No, we're not. I am not the party of the WNBA. I do wish to be the party of justice.
00:28:53.280
That is, of giving to people that which they deserve. And it is unjust for a fella to come in
00:29:01.960
and invade the women's sports leagues. But that's the issue, okay? You can run with it in all sorts of
00:29:09.320
innovative ways in political campaigns, but let's not lose sight of it. We don't actually care about
00:29:15.060
the WNBA. It is justice that we care about. Now, speaking of justice and transitioning,
00:29:21.580
Elon Musk has just declared, and gone viral for it, that humanity is but a biological bootloader
00:29:29.900
for digital superintelligence. What did he say exactly? This post has 50 million views last I
00:29:36.840
looked at it. As I mentioned several years ago, it increasingly appears that humanity is a biological
00:29:43.260
bootloader for digital superintelligence. A bootloader, for those of you who are not as tech savvy as I am,
00:29:49.980
I had to Google it too, is a program that loads an operating system. It's saying humanity,
00:29:54.580
all of history, all of our loves, our dreams, our desires, our rational thoughts, all of our
00:30:00.880
developments, all of our achievements, really, all of that was nothing but a bootloader
00:30:05.860
for a digital superintelligence so that we could create Grok or ChatGPT. That's what it was all
00:30:11.860
leading to. All of our paintings, all of our cathedrals, all of our nations, all of the wars,
00:30:19.060
all of the romances, all of the everything. It was to create Grok.
00:30:25.300
I don't love that. I don't believe that. But I don't love it either. This is, to me,
00:30:34.880
liberal eschatology. Liberal even meaning classical liberal. The modern liberal age which
00:30:41.460
views all of humanity with skepticism, all of the things that we once knew to be true with a lot of
00:30:50.480
skepticism that focuses merely, in the final count, on the satisfaction of individual desires.
00:30:59.980
The maximization of individual pleasure, the minimization of individual suffering,
00:31:03.900
all our old high-minded ideas about God and justice and morality and telos and all that,
00:31:09.000
that kind of goes by the wayside. And in this disenchanted world, in the world where man is no
00:31:16.720
longer made in the image and likeness of God, the one true God, we just become gods. And we
00:31:25.000
understand God as being nothing but a figment of our imaginations made in the image and likeness of us.
00:31:30.680
And so this is the end of the world theory for the liberals. It's not that there will be four
00:31:37.440
horsemen and chariots and trumpets. No, no, no. It's not that. It's just that we will.
00:31:43.140
We're going to create a digital supercomputer that's going to make mankind obsolete.
00:31:49.220
Or we're going to abolish homo sapiens to create homo deus, man truly as God. That's the view of
00:31:55.520
Yuval Harari, left-wing writer on this subject. I'm not knocking Elon here. Elon might think at least
00:32:04.040
he's speaking in a merely descriptive way, not a prescriptive way, but a descriptive way to say,
00:32:08.120
look, I'm not saying it's a good thing that humanity is becoming a bootloader for a digital
00:32:13.140
superintelligence, but that's just what's happening. You look around, people do seem to be
00:32:18.000
worshiping the dumb idols of Grok and ChatGPT. I'm tempted to do it myself. So I'm not even knocking
00:32:24.700
Elon. This might be the way the world ends, not with a bang, but a whimper. However, this is a nightmare
00:32:31.360
view of the future. And it is a nightmare view of the future, not because Grok isn't impressive,
00:32:37.220
not because the little Ghibli images aren't funny. They are. But because it diminishes human beings to
00:32:44.420
be mere instruments of robots, the robots who now become the stars of the show. So in the classical
00:32:51.640
Christian true understanding of the world, God is the star of the show, and we are made in the
00:32:58.400
image and likeness of God. And we screw everything up. And God, since his only begotten son, God
00:33:03.940
himself becomes incarnate to redeem us. He is the star of the show. And we are redeemed by him, which
00:33:10.960
makes us feel real good about ourselves. I don't want to diminish humanity. The fact that God would
00:33:15.960
send his only begotten son to save us, that God would take on flesh, take on a human nature,
00:33:20.140
tells us that being human is a really special thing. And we human beings, in turn, make artifacts.
00:33:25.960
We have our own little art of our paintings, our computers, our leftist years tumblers, our cigars.
00:33:31.520
We make those things. And this view, this liberal eschatological view, the view articulated by Elon
00:33:37.480
here, totally flips that. So that the most important thing, the telos that we've all been aiming toward,
00:33:47.920
that, in the service of which we are but mere instruments, is the artifact. It's the computer.
00:33:52.920
It's the program. It's the grok. And we serve that intelligence. And God doesn't really factor
00:34:01.620
into the picture at all. Not only at that point have we made ourselves gods, we've actually made
00:34:06.880
our own gods, our own dumb idols that we're worshiping, which is not a very new idea. That's
00:34:11.380
actually a very old idea. And it's amazing how the ancient false gods rear their ugly heads again.
00:34:17.200
Many people who agree with Elon's take here. And his take as mere description might be totally right.
00:34:26.600
Now, speaking of religion, we have a religious panel coming up on this show. That will be the
00:34:36.400
politics and pulpit panel on abortion. But before we get to that, one last big issue that has really
00:34:45.820
dominated a lot of the discourse, especially since President Trump picked Bobby Kennedy to be his
00:34:50.660
Secretary of Health and Human Services. The Jubilee Show, which I was on a few months ago,
00:34:56.520
got zillions of views worth checking out. It was me versus LGBT LMNOP activists. This after Charlie
00:35:03.340
Kirk, I think, was the inaugural episode of that show, where one conservative surrounded by a ton of
00:35:07.240
libs. And that is the first episode during the height of the campaign. That got, I think it was
00:35:12.260
like 25 million views or something totally crazy. Ben went on the show. Lila went on the show.
00:35:17.560
It's often one conservative versus a ton of libs. Jubilee flipped the format a little bit. Just had
00:35:22.080
one. Well, now it's even hard to say where conservatives and libs fall on this issue because
00:35:27.560
the political ground has shaken so much. But it was one seemingly kind of liberal pro-vaccine voice
00:35:34.960
against a bunch of vaccine skeptics. Here's how it went.
00:35:40.540
We are trying to do our best to make sure that we help children and adults when they are due for a
00:35:46.700
vaccine. Okay. So you just, at the end, you said it pretty much sounds like you have to have a good
00:35:50.800
intention. For example, we're not in the labs actually seeing the vaccine process or the clinical
00:35:55.560
trials. So we have to just take the expert's word. Well, when you fly in a plane, you're not in the
00:36:01.540
cockpit. Right. So we put our faith in that. So you would say that we just have to put our faith
00:36:05.960
in the experts, correct? Correct. Okay. So this would require, number one, a good intention. So
00:36:10.460
they have a good intention to help people to make their lives better. And also they have to be
00:36:14.260
ethical. Is that correct? Those are reasonable things. Yeah. Okay. So if they fall outside of
00:36:18.720
the privy of those two criteria, would you say it is reasonable for us to be skeptical? I think it's
00:36:23.520
reasonable to be skeptical at any moment. But taking those two things, if they violate either of those two,
00:36:28.540
would it give someone else more justification to be against it? Sure. Okay. So when we look at the
00:36:33.860
biggest developers and distributors and sellers of the vaccines, Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson, all these
00:36:39.720
big pharmaceutical companies, when we look at their track record, we see they have been deceptive.
00:36:44.300
They've had big settlements, billions and billions of dollars, fraud, misleading the public, concealing
00:36:49.600
clinical trials that were against their favor. When we have to put our whole faith and trust in these
00:36:53.840
people that have been through huge billions of dollars of settlements, and they have proven that they
00:36:57.840
have been unethical, they have made more profit through the COVID times than ever before as well,
00:37:02.260
why should we trust them so lightly? It's not a blind trust. Who you're trusting is the independent
00:37:07.180
reviewers that review the data that they put forward. Okay. So I think that response was very,
00:37:13.780
very weak. You know, no, no, no, you're not trusting the experts. You're not trusting the COVID
00:37:18.820
or the vaccine experts. You're trusting the expert experts. You're trusting the experts who review the
00:37:25.660
experts. Yeah, but those guys seem kind of bogus too. Because all those independent fact checkers
00:37:35.420
totally betrayed us during COVID. Where were they? Where were they when the scientists and the public
00:37:40.940
health officials told us that the COVID vaccine was totally safe and totally effective, and then a
00:37:46.820
bunch of people died from it? No, he's admitting, yes, sometimes the scientists and the public health
00:37:53.120
officials get things wrong. But that's why we have the independent reviewers. Yeah, but where were
00:37:57.700
they? Where were they during COVID? Where were they when we were told during COVID that the vaccine
00:38:05.680
would stop you from catching the virus? And then when that turned out to be false, when they told us
00:38:10.320
that they would stop you from transmitting the virus. And then when that turned out to be false,
00:38:15.940
they told us, well, the virus would have been a lot worse if you didn't have the vaccine,
00:38:18.700
which is unfalsifiable, really. Where were they? So I totally sympathize with the questioning of the
00:38:27.040
vaccines and the vaccine experts and of everything. Our elites have lied to us. And they have been
00:38:33.200
corrupt, not just on a vaccine thing, but on every score in politics in recent years and decades.
00:38:39.620
They have lied to us. They've been corrupt. They have been stupid. They have been incompetent.
00:38:43.560
And that's why people question them. And that's why we elected President Trump.
00:38:47.900
Because the ossified liberal elite failed. However, there is still truth. So this is the issue. You
00:38:58.980
say, okay, I don't believe the experts anymore. But then you turn to some of the real anti-vax voices,
00:39:04.480
and some of them are kind of persuasive sometimes. And some of them are obviously kooks who say things
00:39:09.640
that are demonstrably false. Like when they tell you, you know, there have never been
00:39:14.280
studies that have, you know, pursued the link between vaccines and certain injuries or vaccines
00:39:21.080
and autism or whatever. And they've never, and you can look, and there are some studies. And they do
00:39:25.320
show generally that vaccines are generally safe. And they do. So you could say, well, I don't believe
00:39:30.840
those studies anymore. Okay. But I just, the problem is people used to blindly believe the public
00:39:37.460
health experts and write off all of the anti-vaxxers as kooks and cranks. Now it's totally
00:39:44.640
flipped because the public health experts have beclowned themselves. Now they totally disregard
00:39:48.940
the public health experts. And they exalt the anti-vaxxers as this great voice of truth that's
00:39:56.320
unfalsifiable. But those guys are often wrong too. I guess I just have a lower view of all of it.
00:40:01.720
Which is, I know that some of those guys are kooks and cranks and weirdos.
00:40:04.640
And now I know that some of the other guys are kooks and cranks and weirdos and corrupt on top
00:40:08.960
of it. So where are we left? I don't know. I don't know. And I know that those are the three
00:40:17.200
words you're never supposed to say in public life. Certainly not as a commentator, an analyst,
00:40:23.500
a pundit. Certainly not as a politician. You're never supposed to say, I don't know. But that's the
00:40:28.360
honest answer here. That is the honest answer. And the people are retelling you with such confidence,
00:40:35.820
total confidence and often blithe ignorance. They're going to tell you, no, I know exactly.
00:40:40.520
They don't. That is what makes this moment so politically interesting. We have not,
00:40:47.920
forget about from the vaccines to the makeup of the government, to even the massive deregulation and
00:40:55.160
pruning of the federal government, which has some precedent, but is now being done at an
00:40:59.580
extraordinary scale in an extraordinary way, all the way to the tariffs and the shakeup of global
00:41:02.700
trade. We don't know. We're not exactly able to predict the future. That is what's leaving people
00:41:10.320
unmoored. It is why you've got massive libs who have come over to support Trump, a complete rewriting
00:41:17.520
of the political coalitions. It's chaos that people can't totally predict out because our stores of
00:41:23.280
reason are just not sufficient for it. And chaos breeds opportunity. But how that's going to play
00:41:28.000
out in the midterms, in the next election for the whole future of maybe America's golden age,
00:41:32.780
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shipping. Limited time only, exclusions do apply. The media want you to believe that the Trump
00:42:06.520
administration is faltering. They want you to believe that Elon Musk is a crook. They want
00:42:10.140
you to believe that the world is spiraling into absolute chaos with no end remediable at all.
00:42:15.980
But we are winning, you know? The libs' lies have unraveled. Their narrative is crumbling. Their
00:42:21.940
power is totally gone at the moment. That's why the Daily Wire is here, to cut through the noise and
00:42:26.120
bring you the facts that others won't. Uncensored, ad-free daily shows, investigative journalism,
00:42:30.160
live chats with our producers, breaking news first, no filter, no nonsense. The Daily Wire is where the
00:42:36.200
real story lives. Go to dailywire.com slash subscribe and join the fight today. My favorite comment
00:42:41.740
yesterday is from the Drummer's Workshop, Norm's Music. He says, it's amazing how many times I
00:42:47.600
picked the Drummer's Workshop, Norm's Music. I'm not even looking at his name. Says, today on the
00:42:53.260
Michael Knowles show, Cory Booker's speech explained in 25 hours. Oh yeah, that would have been a good
00:42:57.940
one, huh? Oh man, I totally should have. Okay, so we were supposed to have a very full panel today.
00:43:05.940
A panel where I was going to be joined by a Protestant, Pastor Darren Tyler, where I was
00:43:14.400
going to be joined by a fellow mackerel snapping papist, Father Gerald Murray, and where I was
00:43:19.740
going to be joined, once again, by a progressive pastor, Brandon Robertson, pastor of Sunnyside
00:43:26.700
Reform Church in New York City. And the conservative Protestant, his tech didn't work. And my fellow
00:43:35.820
Catholic, Father Murray, his tech didn't work. And I don't know if this is a machination of the devil
00:43:42.620
or if this is all proper within providence or, well, you know, all things work ultimately towards
00:43:48.440
God's end, at least passive, if not active will. I am joined, and I'm very happy to be joined by
00:43:54.920
Pastor Brandon Robertson, pastor of Sunnyside Reform Church in New York City, to discuss the
00:44:00.440
question that we were going to talk about off the top, because President Trump is defunding Planned
00:44:04.960
Parenthood. The pro-lifers are on the move. Is abortion biblical? Can Christians support
00:44:14.100
abortion? Pastor Robertson, Brandon, thank you so much for coming on the show again.
00:44:20.240
It's so good to be here, and I'm grateful in God's sovereignty that it's me and you having a
00:44:24.260
It's wonderful to have you. We're going to, just for those who are watching now, we're going to
00:44:29.600
chat for a few minutes and then, you know, for the hoi polloi who don't subscribe to the Daily Wire,
00:44:34.260
they're going to have to go over to dailywire.com to finish the conversation. Defunding Planned
00:44:38.820
Parenthood is nothing new. Republicans have tried to do this a number of times. President Trump,
00:44:43.700
despite his sometimes ambiguous statements on abortion, has been the most pro-life president we've
00:44:48.940
ever had. He appointed the justices who overruled Roe v. Wade. He's the first sitting president to
00:44:53.320
show up to the March for Life. He is going to defund Planned Parenthood. So I think his pro-life
00:44:57.700
bona fides are pretty good. Many Christians, most Christians, it seems to me, are celebrating that.
00:45:02.740
You are not, because you think that a Christian can support abortion.
00:45:07.400
I do think Christians can support abortion, but I do want to say also that it is just concerning the
00:45:11.880
way Trump is going about defunding Planned Parenthood. This broad use of executive power, I think,
00:45:17.660
should be concerning to anybody who cares about democracy. Because, especially for your side,
00:45:21.840
what happens when liberals get in and use the same executive powers to go after Planned Parenthood?
00:45:27.400
No, Brandon, on that point, were you concerned when Mr. Obama said, forget about the legislature,
00:45:33.440
I've got a pen and a phone. Look, I didn't like that at the time. But your point on the hypothetical
00:45:39.020
future use of power by liberals, sure, that's bad. But I don't need to worry about the hypothetical,
00:45:43.300
because they're already doing it. So from my perspective, at least, I think, look,
00:45:45.920
would I like this stuff codified in law? Yes. But I'll take it. However, Trump can do it. I'm in.
00:45:50.700
I'm all for executive defunding of Planned Parenthood.
00:45:54.080
But the way he's doing it is so interesting. He's defunding nine Planned Parenthoods from a
00:45:58.340
55-year-old program because they support DEI and supposedly stand for immigration. It's a very
00:46:04.500
backwards way to try to defund some Planned Parenthoods and not all of them. And it's just bizarre
00:46:10.620
from where I sit from a political standpoint. Well, sometimes I think, you know, President
00:46:16.060
Trump is wise as a serpent, innocent as a dove. He certainly aspires to that. And I think he achieves
00:46:21.780
it quite frequently. And so anyway, anyway, if you could defund Planned Parenthood because the
00:46:28.720
Planned Parenthood lunch kitchen failed the health inspection because they had one mouse in there,
00:46:34.200
I'm all for it. You know, obviously the real reason to defund it is because they're killing
00:46:38.660
babies. But beyond that, however you got to do it, if it's because there's a crack in their roof and,
00:46:44.360
you know, it's not safe to inhabit, fine by me. What is the argument? I mean, what is the basic
00:46:50.040
argument? You know, I'm a macro-snapping papist, as I've mentioned once or twice, even in this very
00:46:54.240
segment. And the Catholic Church has been consistent for 2,000 years that abortion is not to be
00:47:01.420
permitted, going back to the didache, going back to the earliest catechism that we have.
00:47:07.060
Well, to that point, I actually, I mean, my position, I would say, actually leans on a lot
00:47:11.560
of some of the early Catholic saints and theologians. You know this argument. There has been a large
00:47:17.600
degree of diversity in Christian theology about when exactly life begins. You have Augustine and
00:47:23.760
Thomas Aquinas having this belief that sometime after conception, and there's varying degrees of dates
00:47:30.680
and times when that happens, that they believe life actually begins. And I do think, to be very
00:47:35.620
honest, that that is a question that's beyond all of our pay grade, including the magisterium of the
00:47:39.680
Catholic Church's pay grade, to actually know the precise moment of when life begins. But it does seem
00:47:46.000
to me, from where I sit, understanding the science and with my theological perspective, that life does not
00:47:52.280
begin at conception. Conception is a potential life, and that there are a number of reasons that a woman
00:48:00.140
might need to have an abortion, and I don't think that should be outlawed or illegal. And I think most
00:48:04.840
Christians in the modern era have agreed with that. In fact, you'll know, Christianity Today, back in the
00:48:10.040
1960s, published a whole entire article that was pro-choice and advocating for abortion. So, it's a
00:48:16.600
relatively recent move that we've seen conservative Christianity really hamper down and say that
00:48:22.600
abortion is this mortal sin that we must all avoid. Well, it's certainly true on the Protestant side.
00:48:27.840
And so, you know, worth pointing out here for the, you know, we have our own liberals in the Catholic
00:48:33.060
Church too, and we call them Jesuits. But, you know, even they, even the liberals in the Catholic
00:48:37.240
Church tend to be ardently pro-life. I mean, some of the most, I think of one Jesuit in particular,
00:48:41.920
Father James Martin, who's- My good friend. Exactly. I'm not surprised to hear that. But
00:48:47.060
even he is ardently pro-life. Christianity Today is a Protestant magazine. And, you know, I like that
00:48:53.760
the evangelicals kind of came over on the pro-life side. To your point on Thomas Aquinas, for instance,
00:48:58.360
because this is a great observation that St. Thomas Aquinas, it's a little unclear, especially if
00:49:03.800
you're not totally immersed in his thought, does Thomas Aquinas endorse abortion? Because he says that at a
00:49:10.640
certain point, you have the ensoulment of the baby, you know, maybe around quickening or something.
00:49:16.520
The reason for that, however, is based on a faulty understanding of how gestation works. And it's
00:49:24.200
no knock on St. Thomas Aquinas. He didn't have sonograms at the time. But the belief, coming from
00:49:28.220
Aristotle's understanding of biology, was that the only active principle in conception was the sperm,
00:49:36.880
sperm, and that the sperm acted on the blood of the woman. So there was no conception really of an egg,
00:49:42.760
that the sperm was acting on the blood, and it was in a vegetative soul for some period of time until
00:49:49.020
quickening, say, until you could feel the baby. And now, not because of any theological developments,
00:49:54.460
but because we have sonograms and things like that, and because we have modern genetics, and because
00:49:59.940
we have microscopes and things, we can actually see that that's not when life begins. That the new human
00:50:05.620
person, with the full independent genome, and the principles of life, you know, growth, and metabolism,
00:50:14.100
and all the rest of it, they all begin at conception. Conception meaning the very beginning. So,
00:50:20.580
vanquishing the St. Thomas Aquinas part, you say that there are moments that women might need
00:50:26.020
an abortion, and that, you know, in Christian charity, we have to accept that. I want you to explain that to
00:50:33.240
me. But I want you to do it in the Membrum Segmentum, and get all the hoi polloi out of here.
00:50:36.860
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