The Michael Knowles Show - Ep. 364 - Polls Say Every Democrat Beats Trump!

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00:00:30.120 A new poll says that President Trump will lose to every major Democrat running for president, even Cory Booker.

00:00:38.400 Does that mean that Trump's re-election chances are doomed?

00:00:41.280 We will take a look back on some of our favorite polls and election predictions from 2016.

00:00:46.680 Then, Democrats' Watergate testimony flops in Congress and a jury orders an American university to shell out $11 million to a bakery that it wrongly smeared.

00:00:57.460 We will analyze the high price of social justice.

00:01:00.620 All that and more. I'm Michael Knowles, and this is The Michael Knowles Show.

00:01:10.340 You are not going to believe the latest polls.

00:01:14.800 I mean that very literally. You are not going to believe them because they are absolutely ridiculous. 0.99

00:01:19.260 But we will take a look first. 0.97

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00:02:41.860 A shock poll out just today from Quinnipiac University.

00:02:46.560 This is not a poll of who's winning the 2020 Democrat primary contest.

00:02:51.540 This is a poll that shows head-to-head how people would vote when someone gets the nomination and they run against President Trump.

00:02:59.400 So the poll shows that Joe Biden beats Donald Trump 53 to 40.

00:03:06.280 I don't know where that other 7% goes. 1.00

00:03:08.500 Maybe it goes to like Bill Weld or somebody.

00:03:10.540 Maybe Ron Paul is going to run again.

00:03:11.760 I don't know.

00:03:12.860 53 to 40.

00:03:14.040 Bad news for Trump, huh?

00:03:15.260 shows that Bernie Sanders in, in second here is going to beat Donald Trump 51 to 42.

00:03:23.320 Still totally decisive.

00:03:25.640 Now, maybe this is plausible.

00:03:27.240 I mean, those two guys have been running at the top of the pack for a long time in the Democrat race.

00:03:30.920 Okay.

00:03:31.980 Then it shows Kamala Harris beats Donald Trump 49 to 41.

00:03:38.100 Not sure I'm buying that.

00:03:39.340 Liz Warren beats Donald Trump 49 to 42.

00:03:43.260 Pete Buttigieg, 47, beats Donald Trump 42.

00:03:50.480 Even at this point, I'm thinking, I guess maybe this is plausible.

00:03:54.480 I guess, I don't know what the polls say.

00:03:57.360 And then I just stopped believing it at all because this poll shows that Cory Booker beats Donald Trump 47 to 42.

00:04:04.640 That is not possible.

00:04:07.400 Cory Booker is never going to be president.

00:04:09.580 He is most certainly never going to run against Donald Trump and he's never going to beat Donald Trump.

00:04:13.540 This is pretty wacky.

00:04:17.020 But it reminds us of an important truth about these polls and these predictions and everything the experts are telling us now, which is that it's not reliable.

00:04:26.820 This is not reliable yet.

00:04:29.040 Don't forget, in 2016, I was reminded of one of my favorite stories.

00:04:33.620 This was being reported from the Huffington Post, from the Independent, all over the mainstream media.

00:04:39.020 And it was based on a study that came out of Princeton.

00:04:41.340 Princeton's an Ivy League university.

00:04:42.960 So surely those experts know what they're talking about.

00:04:47.000 The headline read in the Independent survey finds Hillary Clinton has, quote, 0.73

00:04:50.860 more than 99% chance of winning election over Donald Trump.

00:04:56.720 The Princeton Election Consortium found Ms. Clinton has a projected 312 electoral votes across the country and only 270 are needed to win. 0.97

00:05:07.280 The probability statistic was found by the university's statistical Bayesian model.

00:05:12.120 Oh, gosh, Bayesian, that sounds serious.

00:05:14.460 Other polls were less bullish on a Clinton victory.

00:05:18.040 538 said the likelihood of Ms. Clinton.

00:05:20.860 That winning was 65% while the New York Times upshot said there was an 85% chance.

00:05:27.020 Okay, the polls show between 65% to 99% chance that Hillary Clinton wins.

00:05:32.380 What happened?

00:05:34.520 That 1% turned out to be correct. 0.99

00:05:37.180 Huffington Post reported another similar story.

00:05:40.320 They said, HuffPost forecasts Hillary Clinton will win with 332 electoral votes.

00:05:47.800 Democrats stand a strong chance of taking control of the Senate.

00:05:50.580 How did that turn out?

00:05:52.160 How did the Democrats still don't have the Senate? 0.56

00:05:54.740 The Huffington Post presidential forecast model gives Democrat Hillary Clinton a 98.2% chance of winning the presidency.

00:06:02.180 See, they were a little more conservative.

00:06:03.560 They didn't say 99%.

00:06:04.740 They reduced that number by 0.8%.

00:06:08.660 Republican Donald Trump has essentially no path to an electoral college victory.

00:06:14.320 So the Princeton version said that Hillary would get 312 electoral votes to 270. 0.99

00:06:20.580 Huffington Post said that Hillary would get 323 electoral votes. 1.00

00:06:24.480 What happened in reality?

00:06:25.800 Donald Trump won 304 electoral votes.

00:06:30.380 Hillary only got 227. 1.00

00:06:33.940 The idea that Cory Booker is going to beat Donald Trump is ridiculous. 0.94

00:06:38.700 It is absurd on its face. 0.99

00:06:40.440 Frankly, even the idea that Joe Biden is going to beat Donald Trump is crazy.

00:06:45.080 And Joe Biden is far and away the front runner right now.

00:06:47.540 But does anyone actually think he's likely to win the presidency?

00:06:51.320 I'm not saying he can't win.

00:06:52.860 He could win.

00:06:54.460 Does anyone think Joe Biden is likely to win?

00:06:58.200 This guy was chased out in 1988 for lies and plagiarism.

00:07:01.780 He lost in 2008 because he was a weak candidate.

00:07:04.900 Now he's being accused of plagiarism again.

00:07:07.860 He obviously plagiarized his climate change platform from other left-wing environmental groups.

00:07:14.920 Actually, just this week, he is plagiarizing Michael Avenatti on a theme campaign motto

00:07:21.300 for his campaign.

00:07:22.800 He is now saying that we don't need to make America great again.

00:07:26.380 We need to make America America again.

00:07:30.180 Look, I don't think it's naive.

00:07:31.700 I don't think it's old-fashioned way of doing things that says the system has to be restored.

00:07:38.820 You know, I think it's time to, you know, he says, let's make America great again.

00:07:45.080 Let's make America America again.

00:07:47.240 Okay, wow.

00:07:50.820 This is not a great slogan, by the way, because it's just reacting to Donald Trump.

00:07:56.460 It's reacting to Trump's slogan, make America great again.

00:07:59.140 So Trump is still in the stronger position.

00:08:01.840 Here, Joe is just setting himself up as someone attacking Donald Trump instead of offering

00:08:06.220 something himself.

00:08:07.180 But then we found out, apparently he cribbed that line from Michael Avenatti, the disgraced

00:08:11.100 lawyer who pimped out Stormy Daniels and apparently didn't pay her very much. 0.94

00:08:15.320 So he steals this line from Avenatti.

00:08:20.000 Avenatti goes on Twitter and says, you took my line.

00:08:22.080 I thought of it first.

00:08:23.080 Actually, it turns out that both of them stole the line from Scott Baio, who was endorsing

00:08:27.760 Donald Trump at the 2016 Republican National Convention.

00:08:31.480 So, of course, let's make America great again.

00:08:37.260 But let's make America America again.

00:08:41.440 You got it.

00:08:44.300 Good job, Scott.

00:08:45.260 So what this means for 2020 is that the Democrats' best chance, their top candidate, their far

00:08:53.180 and away front runner, is a guy who's parroting Michael Avenatti, parroting Scott Baio.

00:09:00.280 That's the best they've got.

00:09:01.500 But the polls say it's all over.

00:09:03.500 Biden's got it.

00:09:04.480 Everyone's got it.

00:09:05.100 Every Democrat will win.

00:09:06.140 But Biden especially will win.

00:09:07.620 That's the experts.

00:09:08.440 That's the scientists.

00:09:09.220 I'm going to make a prediction now.

00:09:13.780 It won't matter if and when these predictions are incorrect.

00:09:19.040 It won't change anything.

00:09:20.160 The left won't stop making these predictions.

00:09:22.560 The people who bought them won't stop believing the people who made them.

00:09:27.840 The left never has to apologize for wrong predictions.

00:09:31.540 A perfect example of this came out just the other day from ABC News.

00:09:35.540 I don't know who dredged it up.

00:09:36.900 It was probably Media Research Center, somebody like that.

00:09:39.600 They dug up this clip from 2008, so 11 years ago, of ABC News predicting the end of the

00:09:47.960 world if we don't get serious about global warming.

00:09:51.960 A hundred years from now, New York is abandoned.

00:09:55.280 I picture some explorer coming to Manhattan saying, 0.97

00:09:58.580 those ignorant people, how on earth could they have ever expected to survive? 0.99

00:10:09.640 We're running out of oil. 1.00

00:10:10.900 We're running out of water.

00:10:11.860 We're running out of atmosphere.

00:10:13.140 We're poisoning the whole planet.

00:10:14.380 We have a chance to get it right.

00:10:19.020 We have a chance to move in the right direction now.

00:10:21.420 I don't think that window of opportunity is going to be open very long.

00:10:24.160 One can hope that suddenly society will realize that it's on a doomsday path and change very rapidly.

00:10:30.260 It's June 8th, 2015.

00:10:40.820 One carton of milk is $12.99.

00:10:43.640 Gas has reached over $9 a gallon.

00:10:45.460 I'm scared as hell right now, but I have to get this out.

00:10:52.020 If we continue on the business-as-usual trajectory, there will be a tipping point that we cannot avert.

00:10:58.940 We will indeed drive the car over the cliff.

00:11:02.360 So this is the tipping point.

00:11:04.080 We're not going to be able to afford milk.

00:11:05.720 We're not going to be able to afford gas.

00:11:07.380 It's all going to be over.

00:11:09.340 Gas is going to be $11 a gallon, something like that.

00:11:14.780 Do you know what gas actually cost in 2015?

00:11:17.380 They were projecting this seven years out.

00:11:19.180 It cost $2.40 a gallon.

00:11:21.540 It cost 81.5% less than they predicted it would.

00:11:26.680 How about gallon of milk?

00:11:27.940 Gallon of milk was supposed to cost $9 a gallon in 2015.

00:11:31.120 Well, we have the numbers.

00:11:32.340 We've lived past 2015.

00:11:34.220 In 2015, a gallon of milk in the United States cost, on average, $3.31 a gallon.

00:11:38.900 That's 63% cheaper than was predicted.

00:11:42.300 Does ABC News have to run a big retraction?

00:11:47.500 Do the people who appeared in that video have to say, oh, we were wrong?

00:11:50.660 No.

00:11:51.020 What happens now is the left says, oh, yeah, that was crazy.

00:11:53.880 They didn't know what they were talking about.

00:11:55.220 But global warming is still super-duper serious.

00:11:57.800 Yeah, those people, okay, they're wrong.

00:12:01.440 But the people who are making the same predictions today, they're right.

00:12:04.860 Those people in the video, they weren't scientists.

00:12:06.900 They're not serious people.

00:12:07.880 Well, actually, they were.

00:12:09.400 They were some of the leading scientists and scientific policymakers in the country.

00:12:13.020 We'll get to that in a second.

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00:14:15.040 So that video about how climate change is going to destroy the world and gas is going

00:14:19.780 to be $11 and milk is going to be $9.

00:14:21.900 Who was predicting all that stuff?

00:14:23.600 Was it just some wacko? 0.95

00:14:24.820 No. 0.94

00:14:25.920 Well, yes.

00:14:26.600 But it so happens that these are expert, totally established people.

00:14:32.080 One of those guys was John Holdren.

00:14:34.960 John Holdren was Barack Obama's top science advisor in the White House.

00:14:39.500 He was the director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy.

00:14:43.740 He was the co-chairman of the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology.

00:14:48.580 This guy was top of the heap for science policy.

00:14:53.780 Also, the Teresa and John Hines Professor of Environmental Policy at the Kennedy School

00:14:58.320 of Government at Harvard University.

00:15:01.160 Again, just because someone works at Harvard doesn't mean I take them seriously, especially

00:15:05.180 if they're the Teresa and John Hines Professor.

00:15:08.020 Teresa Hines, you will remember, is the wife of John Kerry, the former losing Democrat presidential

00:15:14.380 nominee.

00:15:15.080 But this guy has all the credentials.

00:15:17.420 He's the scientist.

00:15:18.240 He's a real scientist.

00:15:19.320 He's the real policymaker, top policymaker at the White House.

00:15:24.060 And yet he was so completely dead wrong. 0.97

00:15:26.520 He appeared in a news documentary that was just completely ridiculous. 0.90

00:15:31.360 So what is going on?

00:15:33.000 The purpose of these predictions is not to warn you.

00:15:36.700 It's not to predict what's actually going to happen.

00:15:38.580 It is to create a panic and then get us socialism by the back door.

00:15:43.540 This sounds almost conspiratorial.

00:15:45.340 If I didn't have the video, I guess you wouldn't have to believe me, but it just keeps happening.

00:15:51.120 All the predictions from the late 60s to the 70s to the 80s, the whole world is going to

00:15:55.580 end in 10 years if you don't give us socialism.

00:15:57.560 And then what happens?

00:15:58.260 10 years goes by and the world doesn't end and everything's perfectly fine and the predictions

00:16:02.340 are all wrong.

00:16:03.200 And they tell us, no, but it's really going to end in 10 years if you don't give us socialism.

00:16:08.020 It's all about taking control of your property, of your liberty, of your government.

00:16:15.420 It is about, coincidentally, they say, this environmental catastrophe that's going to destroy the world

00:16:20.120 just coincidentally requires that you have to give the political left every single policy

00:16:26.660 they've wanted for 100 years.

00:16:27.980 That's the only way to solve it and save the world.

00:16:31.020 And this is why, just a little bit of a side note, there was a piece in the Wall Street

00:16:33.760 Journal that came out today, said some Republican lawmakers break with their party on climate

00:16:38.640 change.

00:16:39.220 So the GOP has not taken climate change or global warming or global cooling or whatever

00:16:43.240 you want to call it today very seriously because they have understood, as I have just

00:16:48.300 explained, that it is socialism by the back door.

00:16:50.860 However, now some younger Republicans want to be super hip, cool guys or something and

00:16:56.420 say that we have to take global warming seriously.

00:16:58.720 We don't.

00:16:59.600 This is especially true of Matt Gaetz.

00:17:01.420 He's a Republican lawmaker.

00:17:02.700 I actually like the guy.

00:17:03.560 I think generally he's pretty good.

00:17:05.000 He's just dead wrong on this.

00:17:06.820 Matt Gaetz was the one who, a couple months ago, offered the Green Real Deal and he was going

00:17:12.780 to have the Republican response to take on global warming.

00:17:17.180 It's just a bad move.

00:17:18.160 This is not to say that Republicans shouldn't take the environment seriously.

00:17:22.580 Of course we should protect the environment.

00:17:24.160 Every Republican I know wants to protect the environment, conserve the environment, have

00:17:29.100 beautiful public spaces.

00:17:31.080 Having beautiful spaces and preserving nature is a very conservative virtue.

00:17:36.480 Conservatives conserve.

00:17:38.900 But that's not the same thing as global warming.

00:17:41.540 That's a very different thing than global warming.

00:17:44.580 Because global warming is not about environmental protection.

00:17:49.100 It's just about socialism.

00:17:51.380 The purpose of these predictions, whether it's this guy from the Obama administration or it's

00:17:56.860 AOC saying the world is going to end in nine or ten years, just give us all your money.

00:18:01.480 The purpose of it is to demoralize people.

00:18:04.960 The purpose of it is to convince people that everything is predetermined.

00:18:10.080 It's no coincidence that right now so much of the left is denying free will.

00:18:15.300 You see it in Sam Harris.

00:18:16.660 You see it in the New Atheists. 0.99

00:18:18.140 You see it in a ton of left-wing Silicon Valley.

00:18:21.900 It's in the pop culture.

00:18:23.140 We're being told our free will is an illusion.

00:18:25.420 Really, we're just drawn by unconscious forces.

00:18:28.540 Our emotion is leading us.

00:18:29.900 It's anything but will.

00:18:32.660 The left has always done this.

00:18:34.080 This is nothing new.

00:18:34.960 This is not some cool new futuristic idea out of Silicon Valley.

00:18:38.620 The left has said this forever.

00:18:40.180 The early socialists and communists, 100 and 150 years ago, they said that they had discovered

00:18:46.300 the science of history.

00:18:47.940 They used this phrase, the science of history.

00:18:50.980 This is the famous reporter, Lincoln Steffens, who visited the Soviet Union.

00:18:56.360 He famously said, I've seen the future and it works.

00:19:00.960 There's the future.

00:19:01.860 History is not moved by the individual choices of individuals.

00:19:05.740 It's moved by great environmental, economic forces that we cannot control.

00:19:12.180 We're just brought along on the tides of history.

00:19:15.360 And actually, the modern conservative movement in the United States after World War II, founded

00:19:20.420 by William F. Buckley Jr., was set up exactly in opposition to this idea.

00:19:26.280 So you had Lincoln Steffens saying, I've seen the future and it works.

00:19:29.620 The socialists saying, this is the future.

00:19:31.580 This is the science of history.

00:19:32.900 Get ready.

00:19:33.400 Get on board.

00:19:34.280 And then you have the conservative, William F. Buckley Jr., who said, in the first issue

00:19:38.620 of National Review, he said, a conservative is one who stands athwart history yelling, stop.

00:19:45.420 Oh, you socialists and communists, you think you have the science of history?

00:19:48.980 You think there's no stopping it?

00:19:50.600 I'm a conservative and I'm going to stand here and I am going to say, stop.

00:19:56.160 And that's what we're doing.

00:19:57.280 We're saying, no, will does matter.

00:19:59.500 Your predictions don't come true.

00:20:01.300 You don't know the science of history.

00:20:02.860 You don't know the future. 0.87

00:20:04.560 Your predictions are bogus and you're not going to use those crazy, fear-mongering predictions

00:20:10.340 to get us to give up our liberty and our property and our freedom.

00:20:14.460 When left-wing schemes go wrong, they never have to apologize.

00:20:19.260 99% Hillary is going to win. 1.00

00:20:22.180 Cory Booker is going to beat Donald Trump.

00:20:24.600 Gas is going to be $11 a gallon.

00:20:27.260 Everything's going to happen.

00:20:28.620 What happens when it doesn't come true?

00:20:30.060 They move on to the next prediction.

00:20:32.580 Almost never do they have to apologize.

00:20:37.980 But I say almost because there is one excellent story out of Ohio in which the left had to apologize

00:20:44.700 for their aggression, their overreaction, their social justice, all of their actions recently.

00:20:53.780 This is a terrific story out of Oberlin College, which I'll get to in a second.

00:20:57.380 But first, if you don't know your numbers, then you don't know your business.

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00:21:10.960 They have another one for sales.

00:21:12.240 They have another one for inventory.

00:21:13.300 They have all these different systems.

00:21:14.700 And they don't talk to each other.

00:21:15.900 And they can't keep track of it.

00:21:17.060 And it just hurts your business.

00:21:19.700 It's a big, inefficient mess.

00:21:21.160 And it takes up a lot of time.

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00:22:34.920 Rarely does the left have to apologize when it gets things wrong, but today we have one

00:22:40.060 of those rare examples.

00:22:42.000 An Ohio jury is ordering Oberlin College to pay $11 million to a bakery that it libeled

00:22:50.520 as racist and racially profiling and bigoted.

00:22:54.680 This is Gibson's Bakery and Market just outside the school.

00:22:59.580 A couple years ago now, a student, Jonathan Aladdin, was accused of attempted robbery for

00:23:06.020 allegedly trying to, quote, steal wine or otherwise illegally obtain wine from the bakery.

00:23:12.300 He was there with two of his buddies.

00:23:14.400 They were arrested and accused of misdemeanor assault.

00:23:18.780 Okay, no big deal.

00:23:20.020 College kids all the time either try to buy booze illegally or maybe they try to lift it

00:23:25.600 afterward.

00:23:26.780 This became a big deal because the Oberlin College staff decided to get super social

00:23:31.080 justices about it and this includes not just low-level staff members, this is deans and

00:23:35.740 professors, and they gathered together a bunch of students and they had massive demonstrations

00:23:40.560 in front of this bakery, calling them racists, calling them bigoted.

00:23:45.520 The vice president and dean of students, Meredith Raimondo and other college staff members, handed

00:23:51.920 out hundreds and hundreds of copies of a flyer that said, don't buy all capital letters.

00:23:56.620 This is a racist establishment with a long account of racial profiling and discrimination.

00:24:03.020 And then this dean of students listed a number of competitors to the bakery that students

00:24:08.180 could shop at.

00:24:09.600 Obviously, this cost the bakery a ton of business and the bakery sued.

00:24:15.940 Now, why did they sue?

00:24:17.140 Because three months after all this happened in August of 2017, that student, Aladdin and

00:24:24.860 Endia Lawrence, another student, pled guilty to attempted theft and aggravated trespass,

00:24:31.100 according to court documents.

00:24:32.160 They pled guilty to the crime that the bakery accused them of.

00:24:37.380 This is what the student wrote, quote, this unfortunate incident was triggered by an attempt

00:24:42.100 to purchase alcohol.

00:24:43.540 I believe the employees of Gibson's actions were not racially motivated.

00:24:46.900 They were merely trying to prevent an underage sale.

00:24:49.360 It's a student himself that never let the facts get in the way of a good social justice narrative. 0.99

00:24:56.580 Instead, not just the students, not just some idiot professors, the dean of students, the 0.99

00:25:01.840 administration of Oberlin, decided to try to destroy this business based on lies, based 1.00

00:25:07.620 on nothing.

00:25:08.220 Since that story came out, and since the jury, in this case, forced Oberlin to pay 11 million

00:25:15.380 bucks in damages to that bakery, do you know what Oberlin's university has to say for itself?

00:25:21.660 Absolutely nothing.

00:25:23.420 Nothing at all.

00:25:25.100 This is a perfect story.

00:25:28.800 Oberlin College is now going to pay for the cost of social justice.

00:25:34.940 And I love it.

00:25:35.560 I think that the way that they should try to recoup this $11 million in losses is by firing

00:25:40.580 the administrator who caused it, and other administrators as well.

00:25:44.240 So much of the problem at our colleges right now is administrative bloat.

00:25:47.980 You have deans and deputy deans and deputy assistant deans of diversity and students and inclusion

00:25:52.820 whose entire job it is to stir up trouble and create problems and stir up politics.

00:26:01.140 It's the administration that's ginning this sort of thing up.

00:26:03.800 And they provide an awful example for students.

00:26:06.860 They not only miseducate students, they indoctrinate them in terrible ideas.

00:26:12.020 And this affects the academic front, too.

00:26:14.480 They whip up these frenzies. 0.93

00:26:16.160 I mean, it's happened to me.

00:26:17.040 I was physically assaulted at the University of Missouri-Kansas City because I had the audacity

00:26:21.300 to say that men are not women.

00:26:23.440 This happened to a lot of other conservative speakers.

00:26:25.260 And when the students get rowdy, guess what happens?

00:26:28.500 Instead of the administration saying, listen, students, you should hear out other ideas and

00:26:32.460 form your own opinion, what do they say?

00:26:34.600 They say, good, we stand with you.

00:26:37.400 It's awful that those conservative speakers came to campus.

00:26:41.660 Huge embarrassment for Oberlin College right now.

00:26:45.100 Symptomatic of a larger embarrassment for all of these American universities.

00:26:49.540 And it shows you this important truth about the left.

00:26:53.320 Ann Coulter actually told me this when I was in college.

00:26:56.640 Keep this in your mind.

00:26:58.180 Know it in all political debates.

00:27:00.160 When the left calls you racist, you know you've won the argument.

00:27:04.640 We will explain and examine a key aspect of this from the 2020 race.

00:27:09.340 Plus, we've got to get to Joe Biden's big flip-flop and the Democrats' Watergate flop.

00:27:13.880 But first, coming up tonight at 7.30 p.m. Eastern, 4.30 p.m. Pacific, tune in to our next episode

00:27:19.840 of Daily Wire Backstage.

00:27:21.680 Daily Wire God King, Jeremy Boring, little old me, Ben Shapiro, Andrew Klavan, and this

00:27:25.460 week's special guest, Dave Rubin, will be sipping whiskey, smoking stogies, and figuring

00:27:31.280 out how to not have all of our shows taken off the air, which is a daily threat that we

00:27:36.340 are now getting from YouTube and other platforms.

00:27:39.320 As always, only Daily Wire subscribers get to ask the questions.

00:27:42.680 So be sure to subscribe right this minute.

00:27:45.600 Why else should you subscribe?

00:27:47.540 You get me.

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00:27:56.080 You get the Leftist Tears Tumblr.

00:27:58.960 Oh, that's good.

00:28:02.440 That sounds like a, it tastes like the 2016 polls.

00:28:07.660 You know, you've got to age them.

00:28:08.920 Sometimes Leftist Tears taste better with a little bit of age.

00:28:11.100 So you age them for about three years, and there's polls that show, mm, Hillary has a 1.00

00:28:17.020 99% chance of winning.

00:28:18.820 Mm, that's good.

00:28:20.960 Mm, Hillary's going to get 323 electoral votes. 1.00

00:28:23.520 Mm, that's good.

00:28:24.480 Mm, it's like a little, it's a little indulgence because none of it happened.

00:28:27.960 Go to dailywire.com.

00:28:28.860 We'll be right back with a lot more.

00:28:40.200 When the Left calls you racist, you know that you've won the argument.

00:28:44.000 Kirsten Gillibrand is the latest Democrat to expose this eternal truth.

00:28:50.040 So Kirsten Gillibrand, who's polling at like negative 3% right now, she is the most extreme 0.99

00:28:56.820 Democrat candidate on the question of abortion.

00:28:59.980 She's trying to stake out this ground for herself. 1.00

00:29:03.040 And she can't defend her ideas. 0.76

00:29:05.100 She can't defend her defensive or her support for abortion up until the moment of birth.

00:29:10.160 So she's resorting to the Left's old strategy of calling anyone who opposes her racist.

00:29:15.320 Here she is.

00:29:16.740 And I think it's wrong to deny women basic reproductive freedom and basic human rights.

00:29:21.860 You've said you're worried about judicial independence, but imposing a litmus test on your nominees

00:29:27.840 has long been seen as an encroachment on judicial independence.

00:29:33.340 I mean, are you doing what you're doing?

00:29:36.520 I think there's some issues that have such moral clarity that we have as a society decided

00:29:41.880 that the other side is not acceptable.

00:29:44.620 Imagine saying that it's okay to appoint a judge who's racist or anti-Semitic or homophobic.

00:29:53.020 Telling, asking someone to appoint someone who takes away basic human rights of any group

00:29:58.700 of people in America.

00:30:00.480 I think that we are, we've, I don't think those are political issues anymore.

00:30:05.060 And we believe in this country and the separation of church and state.

00:30:09.080 And I respect the rights of every American to hold their religious beliefs true to themselves.

00:30:16.680 But our country and our constitution has always demanded that we have a separation of church

00:30:22.040 and state.

00:30:22.660 And all these efforts by President Trump and other ultra-radical conservative judges and

00:30:28.420 justices to impose their faith on Americans is contrary to our constitution.

00:30:33.300 And that's what this is.

00:30:35.340 And so I believe that for all of these issues, they are not issues that there is a fair other

00:30:43.200 side.

00:30:43.760 There is no moral equivalency when you come to racism.

00:30:48.020 And I do not believe there's a moral equivalency when it comes to changing laws that deny women 0.58

00:30:52.360 reproductive freedom.

00:30:53.220 So that's a big old word salad until she gets to the end point, which is, she says, if you

00:30:58.720 oppose killing a baby at the moment of birth, you're basically just like a racist. 0.92

00:31:02.680 And that view should be kicked out of society. 0.66

00:31:04.580 She starts out and she says, I believe in religious freedom.

00:31:07.760 You say, well, first of all, no, you, you don't.

00:31:09.740 I, I bet she doesn't believe in religious freedom for the baker who wants to not participate

00:31:14.700 in events that, that go against his religion.

00:31:18.300 She probably doesn't support that so much.

00:31:19.500 But she says, I believe in religious freedom and we don't have, we have a separation of

00:31:23.300 church and state.

00:31:24.440 And so abortion is just a question of religion.

00:31:26.940 First of all, it's not a question of religion.

00:31:28.720 It's a question of what is a baby?

00:31:31.420 Is the baby a baby?

00:31:32.840 If the baby is not a baby, is it some other kind of animal?

00:31:37.000 If the baby is not a baby, is it not alive?

00:31:39.440 We know it's alive.

00:31:40.260 We know it's human.

00:31:40.980 We know it's an individual.

00:31:42.160 So it's a baby.

00:31:42.960 But, but that's a scientific question.

00:31:44.980 She wants to pretend it's a religious one.

00:31:46.600 Then she says, Donald Trump is trying to force his faith on Americans.

00:31:52.120 Does anybody really believe that Donald Trump is some devout Christian going to church every

00:31:56.960 Sunday and praying all the time?

00:31:59.020 I don't think so.

00:32:00.380 I think he's a lapsed Presbyterian, probably.

00:32:02.620 I think no one ever said that Donald Trump was some Christian zealot before he was the

00:32:08.380 president.

00:32:08.840 Most people don't say it now because it's, it's crazy.

00:32:11.200 Then she lands on her actual answer, which is some ideas should be totally prohibited

00:32:18.440 from public discussion.

00:32:20.560 That's what she's saying.

00:32:21.500 She's saying the pro-life argument, any pro-life argument to say you shouldn't kill a baby

00:32:25.520 the day before it's born should be banned from public discussion. 0.95

00:32:29.560 It is equivalent to saying that black people are less than white people, that they should 1.00

00:32:35.740 be excluded from society. 0.98

00:32:36.940 To support not killing a baby, even at the moment of birth, is the same as being a racist.

00:32:43.420 And if you support that, then you're a racist.

00:32:45.400 This is a very bad idea.

00:32:47.700 Ninety-four percent of Americans oppose late-term abortion.

00:32:51.900 Ninety-four percent.

00:32:55.160 Kirsten Gillibrand and other Democrats have now staked out a position for themselves that

00:32:59.780 ninety-four percent of Americans oppose.

00:33:02.480 In fact, I think the six percent who don't oppose it are basically just all the Democrat

00:33:07.160 candidates for president.

00:33:09.340 Six percent of Americans support her position.

00:33:12.200 Worse than that, she is now accusing ninety-four percent of Americans of basically being racists

00:33:18.280 or of holding a view that is the equivalent of racism and that is unacceptable and that

00:33:23.440 nobody should be allowed to hold in America. 0.95

00:33:25.420 The view that a baby who's about to be born shouldn't be killed.

00:33:30.580 That's the view.

00:33:31.140 This is an extremism that is not going to serve them well in the general election.

00:33:34.820 It's part of a broader abortion extremism that we're seeing among Democrat candidates.

00:33:39.320 Joe Biden is now showing this.

00:33:40.820 Joe Biden used to be the moderate candidate.

00:33:43.560 He was trying to stake out his position as the moderate.

00:33:45.960 Now he's flip-flopping on the Hyde Amendment.

00:33:49.060 And the Hyde Amendment is an old law which prohibits taxpayer funding for abortion.

00:33:54.740 Or that's what it says it does.

00:33:56.000 It actually doesn't do that.

00:33:57.280 In America, we give Planned Parenthood over half a billion dollars a year.

00:34:01.960 And the way that we say that it's not violating the Hyde Amendment is that we say that money

00:34:07.740 is only going toward the non-abortion services.

00:34:10.740 So you can't use any of the taxpayer money for the abortion services at the abortion clinic.

00:34:14.600 You can only use it to pay the electricity bill or to keep the lights on or to keep the cable

00:34:21.220 subscription or whatever.

00:34:22.840 Obviously, money is fungible.

00:34:24.600 So if you give money to an organization and you say, spend that dollar on one product but

00:34:30.060 not on another, that's meaningless.

00:34:31.640 Money is totally interchangeable.

00:34:33.140 But that's at least the way that Democrats have convinced us that we're not paying for

00:34:38.180 abortion services as taxpayers.

00:34:40.840 So Joe Biden supported that measure at least.

00:34:43.360 He said, OK, at least in name we can't have taxes go to abortion. 0.99

00:34:47.420 Now he's changed his tune.

00:34:49.700 I can't justify leaving millions of women without access to the care they need and the ability 0.99

00:34:55.040 to exercise their constitutionally protected right.

00:34:58.780 If I believe health care is a right, as I do, I can no longer support an amendment that

00:35:04.420 makes that right dependent on someone's zip code.

00:35:08.000 See his chain of thought?

00:35:09.240 What he said is, if I believe that health care is a right and I also believe that abortion

00:35:16.620 is health care, I mean, that's the new Democrat line.

00:35:20.300 Used to be abortion should be safe, legal and rare.

00:35:22.640 Now Miley Cyrus licks a cake that says abortion is health care. 1.00

00:35:26.840 And I licked a cake that said taxation is theft, which you can see on the internet.

00:35:30.420 But that's a side point.

00:35:31.960 So if you believe those two things, abortion, or rather health care is a right, which is

00:35:36.660 a meaningless statement.

00:35:37.640 What does it mean health care is a right?

00:35:39.420 Health care is a commodity.

00:35:40.540 It costs money.

00:35:41.460 Do you have a right to someone else's property?

00:35:43.100 Do you have a right to someone else's labor?

00:35:44.940 No, it's a meaningless statement.

00:35:46.480 But the Democrats have adopted that one.

00:35:48.300 They started to adopt that in about 2008.

00:35:50.020 And if you believe that abortion is health care, which again, obviously it isn't, sure

00:35:56.040 ain't health care for the baby that you're killing. 0.99

00:35:57.900 If you believe those two things, then you have to logically conclude that abortion is

00:36:04.840 a right guaranteed by the government and therefore paid for by the government.

00:36:09.900 You start out with two faulty premises, you're going to get to a faulty conclusion. 0.98

00:36:13.980 Garbage in, garbage out. 1.00

00:36:15.560 And Joe Biden is spewing that garbage out of his mouth from the campaign trail. 1.00

00:36:19.740 And this is alienating a lot of his prospective voters. 0.99

00:36:23.080 There are a lot of people who are anti-Trump, never Trump, moderates, conservatives who hate

00:36:29.220 the president, whatever, who probably could convince themselves to vote for Joe Biden.

00:36:35.020 Joe Biden's been around for a long time.

00:36:36.580 He seems kind of moderate.

00:36:37.620 He seems kind of stable.

00:36:38.980 We all know who he is.

00:36:40.760 I mean, the key constituency here is the McCain family, which is a moderate sort of

00:36:45.380 Republican family that obviously hates Donald Trump largely for personal reasons.

00:36:50.720 And Meghan McCain was on The View and she said that this puts her in a really tough spot

00:36:55.260 because now she doesn't think she can support Joe Biden.

00:36:58.080 The Biden Amendment was historically a great compromise between pro-choicers and pro-lifers.

00:37:02.780 And if you don't know what it means, it means that it bans federal funding for abortions,

00:37:07.180 except in the case of rape and incest.

00:37:09.180 So the government won't be funding abortions.

00:37:11.580 And I think for him, he was for it for 40 years.

00:37:17.180 And to make this flip, and there's reports out that said it was Alyssa Milano calling 0.96

00:37:22.180 him the actress and him getting pressure from people like that.

00:37:25.040 And for me, everyone knows how much I love Joe Biden as a person.

00:37:27.960 He's truly the most decent person running, in my opinion.

00:37:31.620 And I think flip-flopping on something like this, I actually was surprised by it

00:37:37.140 because he's filling the moderate compromise lane as the candidate.

00:37:42.040 And you're not going to out-progressive progressives.

00:37:44.460 If Democrats want a progressive, they're going to go with Elizabeth Warren

00:37:47.380 or they're going to end up going with Cory Booker or someone that's so much further to the left.

00:37:52.040 So he's alienating the lane that I still see as the easiest way to beat President Trump.

00:37:58.860 And you're alienating a lot of moderates, and especially for pro-lifers like me.

00:38:02.980 This is kind of a shot fired.

00:38:06.020 So Meghan McCain saying, I really want to vote for Joe Biden, but this is too far.

00:38:11.140 I can't use my money as a taxpayer to pay for abortions.

00:38:16.000 We're all already doing it, by the way.

00:38:17.600 But she said, I can't, if I lose that fiction, at least, that I'm not spending my own money on abortion,

00:38:23.440 I can't vote for you.

00:38:25.240 This is Joe Biden's big problem.

00:38:27.400 He's not a politician who stands for something.

00:38:31.060 He's just kind of nothing.

00:38:32.120 He's just there.

00:38:33.280 He was just there in 1988.

00:38:34.980 He was just there in 2008.

00:38:36.580 He's just there now, which is why I don't believe the polls that say that he's going to trounce Donald Trump

00:38:42.200 by 13 points or something like that.

00:38:44.260 It's just flopped.

00:38:45.720 The best laid schemes of Democrats often go awry.

00:38:48.860 One of those happened in Congress just this week.

00:38:52.380 They had been promoting this for a couple weeks now.

00:38:55.160 The Democrats in Congress said, we're going to call John Dean, a witness from Watergate.

00:39:01.560 And he's going to testify and tell us how much like Watergate the Trump administration is.

00:39:07.380 This is going to be huge testimony.

00:39:09.560 They were so excited.

00:39:10.940 For those of you, by the way, who don't know who John Dean is, John Dean was a White House counsel for Richard Nixon.

00:39:17.400 He was involved in the Watergate affair.

00:39:20.400 He ended up flipping, testifying against Richard Nixon.

00:39:24.060 He's a convicted felon, and he's just made a career at this point out of attacking other Republicans.

00:39:30.140 He testified before Congress.

00:39:32.360 It was just a total flop.

00:39:34.480 Here is Republican Matt Gaetz, who I was actually criticizing a little earlier for his environmental stuff.

00:39:39.360 Here is Matt Gaetz really shining, giving an A-plus performance, and exposing what a ridiculous sideshow this testimony was.

00:39:47.260 Here we sit today in this hearing with the ghost of Christmas past because the chairman of the committee has gone to the Speaker of the House and sought permission to open an impeachment inquiry.

00:39:58.540 But she has said no.

00:40:00.420 And so instead of opening the impeachment inquiry into Donald Trump, which is what the chairman wants to do and what I presume a majority of Democrats want to do,

00:40:07.500 we're here reopening the impeachment inquiry potentially into Richard Nixon, sort of playing out our own version of that 70s show.

00:40:15.700 And what I really regret, Mr. Dean, is that you're here as a prop.

00:40:19.740 You are functionally here as a prop because they can't impeach President Trump because 70% of Democrats want something that 60% of Americans don't.

00:40:29.740 A total flop.

00:40:31.280 He is being used as a prop, and the testimony was a total flop.

00:40:34.800 It fell flat.

00:40:35.680 You probably didn't even hear about the testimony.

00:40:39.180 And why is that?

00:40:40.080 Because it didn't offer anything new.

00:40:42.820 I mean, since Watergate, this guy, John Dean, has spent most of his time comparing Republican politicians to Richard Nixon.

00:40:50.140 During the George W. Bush era, he published three books on this very accusation.

00:40:55.720 He published one during the Bush era called Worse Than Watergate.

00:41:00.420 Published another one, Conservatives Without Conscience.

00:41:02.880 Published another one, Broken Government, How Republican Rule Destroyed the Legislative, Executive, and Judicial Branches.

00:41:09.280 It seems to me we've heard this song before. 0.95

00:41:11.140 His whole career is just, first he was a rat, and then he smeared his friends and his former allies, and now just old Republicans. 0.79

00:41:18.060 Again, another bad strategy for Democrats.

00:41:21.360 Another reason that I don't believe these polls coming out that say that Democrats are going to trounce Trump.

00:41:26.760 The Mueller thing is over.

00:41:29.200 It's over.

00:41:30.720 Donald Trump colluded with the Russians.

00:41:32.500 It's a cover-up.

00:41:33.160 It was a stolen election.

00:41:34.200 It's over.

00:41:34.940 You lost.

00:41:36.520 You lost.

00:41:37.340 Even if you want to argue about obstruction, which Donald Trump was practically exonerated on obstruction, but even if you want to argue about that, the collusion thing is done.

00:41:46.420 Mueller found no collusion.

00:41:48.400 Rosenstein, Barr, nobody found any collusion.

00:41:50.660 That's over.

00:41:51.320 You lost.

00:41:52.260 And Democrats are not going to win 2020 by relitigating the relitigating of 2016.

00:41:58.100 The Mueller report, the Mueller investigation, was trying to relitigate the 2016 presidential election.

00:42:03.860 Now they're trying to relitigate the relitigation.

00:42:06.120 Look ahead, guys.

00:42:06.940 You've got to look to 2020 if you want a chance to win.

00:42:10.580 Not that I care.

00:42:11.260 I don't care if Democrats win or I don't want them to win, so that's fine.

00:42:14.940 Keep doing what you're doing.

00:42:16.860 I don't want to conclude this without getting to a couple polls that I do sort of believe.

00:42:23.040 We started with those Trump polls.

00:42:25.140 Here are a few primary polls that I think are sort of interesting, especially one of these.

00:42:28.940 It's bad news for Beto O'Rourke.

00:42:31.000 New polls put Beto O'Rourke at just 2%.

00:42:35.420 Remember, Beto was the new thing.

00:42:37.040 He had the cover of Vanity Fair.

00:42:38.380 That's when I knew that Beto was going to lose, by the way.

00:42:40.640 Vanity Fair does not tend to pick winning candidates.

00:42:43.100 And they had the cover there, and Beto said, I was born for this.

00:42:46.460 I was born to be in this race.

00:42:48.200 Well, the new polls say that he wasn't born to be in it.

00:42:51.120 Here's Beto's reaction.

00:42:52.040 Look, there is a lot of time before the Iowa caucus.

00:42:57.600 We've never been guided by a poll before.

00:43:01.620 If you were to look at the Texas Senate race the first couple months after we were in,

00:43:09.380 no poll was going to say that we were going to win that.

00:43:13.020 Right.

00:43:13.380 No poll said you were going to win, and then you didn't win.

00:43:15.520 So I guess the polls were right.

00:43:16.860 Sorry, Beto.

00:43:17.940 Bad news.

00:43:18.740 It doesn't look like he's going to be able to resurrect his campaign because Pete Buttigieg crawled inside of Beto's body, ripped out his intestines, and ate his soul.

00:43:27.580 So there are other bad polls for Bernie Sanders.

00:43:32.360 Bernie Sanders has been consistently ranked number one or number two in the Democrat pack.

00:43:37.340 Now he has been overtaken in a new poll conducted by The Economist and YouGov.

00:43:43.580 And who is beating Sanders as of now?

00:43:46.240 Elizabeth Warren.

00:43:47.960 So Elizabeth Warren has now got 16% of Democrat support, edging out Sanders at just 12%. 0.99

00:43:53.420 Why is this?

00:43:54.860 How is it possible that Pocahontas is winning? 0.94

00:43:57.620 She's unlikable. 0.53

00:43:59.760 That's absolutely true.

00:44:01.000 But she's not 100 years old.

00:44:02.960 Bernie is somewhat likable, but he's just ancient.

00:44:05.680 He's just old news.

00:44:07.580 Elizabeth Warren is also much smarter than Bernie Sanders. 1.00

00:44:10.160 I mean, just on raw IQ, she's just smarter. 1.00

00:44:13.640 She's also more mainstream than Bernie Sanders.

00:44:16.460 Bernie has been an independent or a socialist his entire life, except for the brief moments when he identifies as a Democrat to run in their primaries.

00:44:24.060 She's a woman, so in this time of intersectional politics and victim politics, she can claim that.

00:44:29.800 I think that helps.

00:44:31.040 And while she's unlikable, she doesn't seem evil.

00:44:34.500 She just seems annoying. 0.93

00:44:36.340 And I think that is enough to help propel her a little bit.

00:44:39.060 I still don't really think she's going anywhere, but really tough news from polls that are probably more likely to be correct.

00:44:47.200 I mean, these are polls that are tracking a very particular thing in a short period of time.

00:44:52.200 The first Democrat debates are about to happen.

00:44:55.440 They're just tracking how the Democrats are faring among Democrats.

00:44:59.060 That's very different than trying to take some national poll of some random candidate that no one's ever heard of and put him up nationally against Donald Trump when there hasn't been a primary, there hasn't been anything like a general election.

00:45:10.220 So I think the left probably should not take too much solace in the general election polls, but they probably could be a little bit worried about those primary polls because at the moment their front runner is weak.

00:45:24.960 You've got surging candidates and none of them are terribly likable.

00:45:27.740 That's our show.

00:45:28.320 We've got a lot more to get to, but you'll have to ask it on backstage.

00:45:31.320 Then get your mailbag questions in for tomorrow.

00:45:33.340 In the meantime, I'm Michael Knowles.

00:45:34.340 This is The Michael Knowles Show.

00:45:35.620 I'll see you then.

00:45:36.080 The Michael Knowles Show is a Daily Wire production.

00:46:04.640 Copyright Daily Wire 2019.

00:46:06.980 Hey guys, over on The Matt Wall Show today, you know, Congress wants to give itself a raise and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has been at the forefront of this fight, insisting that she needs a raise because if she doesn't get a raise, then what's going to happen is that congressmen are going to end up being corrupt if they don't get a raise.

00:46:23.040 I want to explain why that argument is insane.

00:46:25.740 And also, I have a different idea about what we might do about congressional pay, which I will share with you.

00:46:31.160 Also, Justin Trudeau, there's a video of him babbling nonsensically, and I want to play that for you on the show today just because it's, I mean, really funny, honestly.

00:46:41.500 And finally, 60% of male managers say that they're uncomfortable with women, working around women in the workplace and working one-on-one with women.

00:46:50.740 Gee, I wonder why.

00:46:51.700 We'll try to get to the bottom of that mystery today over on The Matt Wall Show.

The Michael Knowles Show - June 12, 2019

Ep. 364 - Polls Say Every Democrat Beats Trump!

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