Ep. 428 - Should We Stay Or Should We Go?
Summary
In this episode of The Michael Knowles Show, we examine President Trump's decision to relocate U.S. forces in Syria. Then, NBC's Chuck Todd loses his mind, what little little he had left, as NBC s Chuck Todd gets caught in more foreign interference hypocrisy, and a hopeful note from Ellen DeGeneres.
Transcript
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So come on, let me know, should we stay, or should we go?
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We will examine President Trump's decision to relocate U.S. forces in Syria.
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Then, NBC's Chuck Todd loses his mind, what little he had left.
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Democrats get caught in more foreign interference hypocrisy.
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All that and more, I'm Michael Knowles, and this is The Michael Knowles Show.
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So much to get to today, but first, let's talk about something really important.
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Forget about that foreign policy, pulling troops out of various countries and putting them into other countries.
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Everybody seems to have a really strong opinion about this, about what President Trump should
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So I just, just right now, when you think you've got a really strong opinion about this
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and you know that you're right and you know the people who disagree with you are wrong,
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I'm, I don't know that I could find Syria on a map.
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People like to think that they have so much more knowledge about foreign policy and the
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affairs of other nations than they actually do.
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Then think about all the countries around Syria.
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What are the, could you name the countries around Syria?
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All of this stuff, it seems so simple in the abstract.
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It's very complicated in the, in the reality of it.
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This Syria decision, which by the way is being completely misreported or at least misunderstood
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This Syria decision is one of those times where people have a lot more in the way of opinion
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And I would bet you, if you go on, I'm sure, listen, if you're listening to this program,
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You've got a really open-minded way of viewing things.
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But I bet your friends on Twitter don't, your friends on Facebook don't.
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You're going to see people posting all these angry comments and all these strong opinions.
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Probably the stronger opinion among your friends, the less knowledge they actually have.
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A lot of people are saying Trump is pulling out of Syria.
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Actually, do you know how many troops he's going to be relocating?
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50 to 150 troops, specifically special operators.
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This decision is momentous because Trump is moving those troops to accommodate a Turkish invasion.
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Turkey is going to invade part of northern Syria.
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And so Trump is moving those troops, those U.S. troops, to get the troops out of the way.
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Why does it matter that Turkey is invading part of northern Syria?
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I mean, Syria is a complete mess, so who cares if Turkey invades?
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Because Turkey is going to be invading a part of Syria that is specifically controlled by the Kurds.
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And the Kurds are U.S.-allied forces, and they have helped the U.S. fight the war on terror.
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It's getting more complicated, but it's simple enough so far.
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Now, it gets a little more complicated because the Kurds, who are controlling this area in northern Syria,
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currently also control tens of thousands of former ISIS fighters and supporters of ISIS.
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You have tens of thousands of people in camps and prisons and just areas that they control.
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So if Turkey invades northern Syria, takes over land that is currently controlled by the Kurds,
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that has a lot of former ISIS fighters in it, that means Turkey is going to be responsible for those ISIS fighters.
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Now you might be asking yourself, why on earth would anybody want to go into these areas with all these former ISIS fighters?
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If I'm looking at real estate, I want to go to Fiji.
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I don't want to go to some godforsaken sand desert where there are a lot of some of the worst terrorists on earth.
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They want to go in there because Turkey views the Syrian Kurdish forces,
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so those Kurds that are controlling that part of northern Syria,
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they view those Syrian Kurdish forces as being tied to other Kurdish forces who are in Turkey.
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Turkey, the Kurdistan Workers' Party, which is also known as the PKK.
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I guess in whatever language it's written in, P stands for Kurdistan and K stands for Workers' Party and K stands for Workers' Party.
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Turkey considers the PKK to be a terrorist group and a separatist group,
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and Turkey has been fighting the Kurdistan Workers' Party for decades.
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And the Kurdistan Workers' Party, unsurprisingly, are allied with the Kurdish forces in Syria.
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Now, we don't really like being put in this situation.
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Because the Kurds have been helping us for decades, decades and decades.
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Before September 11th, we had a relationship with the Kurds,
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and they've been very good about the war on terror,
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and they've been very good at specifically helping us fight ISIS.
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We don't want Turkey to roll in and massacre the Kurds.
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and our relationship with Turkey goes back even further.
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It's very difficult for us to imagine Turkey as some great ally right now,
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Turkey is not just an ally of ours, but they're officially an ally of ours in NATO.
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NATO was formed to fight the Soviet Union in the Cold War.
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I guess it's to stem Russian aggression into the former Soviet states and Soviet-controlled areas.
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Now you are beginning to see the problem that we are facing, not just in the Middle East, but in our foreign policy broadly.
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We have two allies who are going to come into conflict with one another in northern Syria.
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The Kurds, who have been wearing the American flag and fighting alongside us against ISIS, and Turkey, which we don't really like very much.
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And they're in many ways very adversarial to us, but they've been officially a NATO ally since the 1950s, since the early 1950s.
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And NATO might be outdated, and there might not be any reason to have NATO in the first place.
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All of that put together, which do we privilege, the Kurds or Turkey?
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And the sad fact of all of this is, the United States does not have permanent or even enduring relationships with sub-state entities.
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There's no state, rather, is what I meant to say.
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There's no official state in the nation-state system, in the United Nations and the Westphalian system.
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And so we privilege our alliance with Turkey over our relationship with the Kurds, who are certainly a coherent group of people, but they are not a nation-state.
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This gets to the biggest debate of the Trump era.
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This gets to the biggest debate of the Trump era.
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It's largely what the 2020 election is going to be about.
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It's a question much larger than Trump or one or two elections.
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This is a question that will define the next 100 to 500 years of geopolitics.
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This whole Syria question and the Kurds and Turkey and Iran and Russia, which we haven't even really talked about,
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this gets to the central question of the Trump era.
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And it's a question that we've been kicking around since the end of the Cold War.
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Will the United States be an empire or a nation?
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Do we favor a system of government around the world that creates an empire or empires?
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Or do we still favor the Westphalian system of nation states, which we've had for 400 years now?
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Neither of these terms are necessarily bad things.
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You'll hear people use imperialism, which is just the form of empire.
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They'll use imperialism or nationalism as pejoratives, as insults, as bad terms.
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Neither of those terms are necessarily bad in and of themselves.
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There have been terrific empires in the history of the world.
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The government that we always kind of yearned back to in Western civilization is the Roman Empire,
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Obviously, nation states have protected liberty in a way that other forms of government have not.
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This is the debate, though, and there are good arguments on both sides of it.
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So you have Lindsey Graham, kind of the mouthpiece of those who favor a more imperial foreign policy.
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He called into Fox and Friends this morning to voice his displeasure with the president's move.
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If I didn't see Donald Trump's name on the tweet, I thought it would be Obama's rationale for getting out of Iraq.
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Nothing better for ISIS than to create a conflict between the Kurds and Turkey.
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The Kurds will now align with Assad because they have nobody to count on because we abandoned them.
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So this is a big win for Iran and Assad, a big win for ISIS.
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I will do everything I can to sanction Turkey if they step one foot in northeastern Syria.
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I will do a resolution for the president to reconsider this decision.
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It's a big win for all these awful people, and it's just like Obama.
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He's saying it's maybe politically helpful in the short term for President Trump, but in the long run, it's a disaster.
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And really what he's implying is that it's based on insufficient determination to go out there and fight our enemies.
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And the brutal twist the dagger, really going to try to needle Trump, is he's saying that if he didn't know any better, he would have thought that Obama had made this decision.
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I think this is actually what Trump is getting at.
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And he ran and he said, we've got to get out of Iraq, even though as the 2008 campaign was going on, we were re-winning the war in Iraq because of the surge.
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Obama comes in, completely screws up our victory in Iraq.
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The old joke was, if I vote for John McCain, then we're going to start another war in the Middle East.
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I voted for John McCain, and we started more wars in the Middle East.
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So Obama launches all of these new wars, a war in Syria, a new war in Libya, most notably.
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I don't think President Trump is falling into Obama's trap, or at least he's trying not to.
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I think he's doing his best to avoid Obama's trap.
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So President Trump runs on basically getting out of the Middle East.
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He said, we're going to totally destroy ISIS, then we're getting out of the Middle East.
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What President Trump saw is that Obama ran on that platform, and then he got mired in all of these additional wars.
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And I think what Trump is seeing is, I ran on that platform, I'm going to destroy ISIS, and then I'm getting out of there.
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I don't want my legacy to look as bungled as Obama's legacy.
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Because Obama looks weak, and he looks like a liar, and he looks like he couldn't accomplish what he sent out to accomplish.
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He doesn't want history to look on him that way.
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That's what is called the neocon approach, or what is referred to as neocon.
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Rand Paul called in, he was speaking with Neil Cavuto, also on Fox News.
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I guess this is, our foreign policy is just made on Fox News and Twitter.
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So Rand Paul calls into Neil Cavuto's show, and he is thrilled by President Trump's decision.
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He wants to get out of Syria as quickly as possible.
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And he specifically goes out and lambasts the neocons, including Lindsey Graham.
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A lot of people in your own party from Lindsey Graham, Marco Rubio, Mitt Romney, Nikki Haley, and on and on and on.
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Well, it's kind of like you just listed the neocon war caucus of the Senate.
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I think President Trump recognizes what President Reagan recognized, unfortunately, too late in Beirut.
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Leaving 300 or 400 people in an area that are vulnerable could lead to catastrophe, but also doesn't really do anything to secure our national security.
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You know, I'm kind of of the belief, go big or go home.
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You know, 200 or 300 people are just a tripwire to get us drawn into something and a tragedy, probably.
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In fact, there may be a couple of, there may be dozens of people at a time, maybe a dozen here, a dozen there.
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And part of the resolution of the war over there has to be people who live over there.
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What he's saying is, just like in the Beirut bombings, the Beirut attack that killed American troops, even if you only have a small number of troops, 100 or 200 or 300 troops, they become a target.
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And so, even if it's a small number of forces over there, they could bring you into a larger conflict.
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And what Rand Paul is saying is, what are we doing in Syria?
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We're just there waiting for something to happen.
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And what he's really saying is, why are we an empire?
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Why are we going out there and governing this empire and tamping down little conflicts and controlling Syria and controlling different parts of the world that have nothing to do with our nation here in the United States?
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Charitable way to put his attacks on the so-called neocons is, they're people that want empire.
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Even the neocon, I try not to use the neocon label to refer to those who want to carpet bomb for various parts of the Middle East.
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Because the term neoconservative used to have a meaning.
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It was the leftists of the 1960s who became conservatives because they realized the bankruptcy of leftism.
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Irving Kristol, for instance, Bill Kristol's father was a neocon.
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And the term became just totally abused in the 90s and 2000s.
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It was used in the 90s and 2000s the way that alt-right is used now.
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It was used just as a way to smear anybody to the left or to the right, rather, of, say, Hillary Clinton.
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So President Trump has made clear he supports nationalism.
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And here is his rationale for pulling out of Turkey, or for pulling out of Syria, rather.
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Why are you siding with an authoritarian leader and not our Kurdish allies?
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You know, Syria was supposed to be a short-term hit, just a very short-term hit.
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And I don't want those 50 people hurt or killed or anything.
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I don't want anything bad to happen to our people.
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And if Turkey does anything to our troops, we want to get out.
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I suspect he knows Turkey is going to come into northern Syria.
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He doesn't care enough to create some big war with our ostensible NATO ally, Turkey,
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And he doesn't want U.S. troops to be sitting ducks because one or two U.S. troops get killed out there.
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And all of a sudden, you were drawn into this huge conflict.
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Why would that U.S. soldier have given his life?
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So Trump goes on in those comments to say his thesis, which is,
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He's been talking about this not just since the campaign.
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What will we get for bombing Syria besides more debt and a possible long-term conflict?
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Then he tweets out later, what I'm saying is stay out of Syria.
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Here's President Trump announcing that he's going to pull out of Syria.
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We spent, and I was against it from the beginning.
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And by the way, we're knocking the hell out of ISIS.
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We're going to have 100% of the caliphate, as they call it,
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But we're going to be coming out of there real soon.
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Going to get back to our country, where we belong, where we want to be.
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Democracy, on one day, the conservatives say, we want to pull out of Syria.
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The next day, they say, we need to invade every single country on Earth.
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There are good arguments to make on both sides.
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And if President Trump wants to avoid Barack Obama's mistake,
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and when public opinion is going back and forth,
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I think there's really only one maxim he has to follow,
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which is sometimes even a wrong decision is better than indecision.
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I mean, he announces we're pulling out of Syria a year ago.
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He saw what happened to Barack Obama for vacillating.
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Sometimes even a wrong decision is better than indecision.
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They might not like the decision, but at least they can plan based on decisiveness.
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Moving on from serious and momentous aspects of foreign policy
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I do have to compliment President Trump on his interactions with China.
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President Trump recently, this was a few days ago, but I had to get to it.
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You know, he's being criticized for his phone call with Ukraine,
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They might impeach him over his phone call with Ukraine
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because he said Ukraine should look into the corruption of Joe Biden,
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Well, the Bidens also got a crooked deal out of China.
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Joe Biden's son, Hunter, flew on Air Force Two,
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and then shortly after that meeting secured $1.5 billion
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in financing from Chinese government-affiliated entities.
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Is it because Hunter Biden is such an expert on China?
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No, he's not even as good an expert on China as he is on Ukraine,
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listen, well, a normal politician would keep quiet about it.
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Then a more Trumpian politician might come out and say,
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hey, listen, we're distracting from the big issue here.
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I didn't mean in the Ukraine call that I was asking for a quid o'quo.
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Well, I would think that if they were honest about it,
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they'd start a major investigation into the Bidens.
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China should start an investigation into the Bidens.
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is just about as bad as what happened with Ukraine.
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I would recommend that they start an investigation into the Bidens.
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Because nobody has any doubt that they weren't crooked.
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Now they're trying to make it the opposite way,
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I would certainly recommend that of you, Brent.
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Sometimes the wrong decision is better than indecision.
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I think it's perfectly defensible to tell Ukraine
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and their own interference in the 2016 election.
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He could apologize and explain himself to the press.
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He doesn't owe those people one word of explanation.
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who is obviously no particular fan of the president,
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Marco Rubio was asked about this response from Trump
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he explains to the press how stupid the press is.
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knowing that you guys were going to get outraged by it.
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But he's pretty good at getting everybody fired up
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I mean, is it okay for him to ask and say that?
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I think, again, I think he did it to gig you guys.
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He's acting like he's a panelist on Special Report.
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If President Trump were going to use the weight
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of the federal government to leverage all of that
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and get a foreign power and an adversarial power
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like China to investigate his political opponents,
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He'd get some back channel spy to go in and ask
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and he would basically do it like Obama did it.
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He'd do it like Obama and Hillary and the Democrats did it.
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He's forcing the press and manipulating the press
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And it requires Marco Rubio to come out and say,
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that's not even the most ridiculous and outrageous thing
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Then we'll get to a nice note from Ellen DeGeneres.