The Michael Knowles Show - Ep. 532 - Experts Are Always Wrong

00:00:00.000 Even left-wing mayors are beginning to admit the experts got it wrong.

00:00:05.260 Way more people have the virus than they thought.

00:00:08.080 Way fewer people are dying from it,

00:00:10.140 and the lockdowns likely aren't doing very much of anything to stop it.

00:00:14.160 Then, the price of oil plummets to negative $40.

00:00:18.540 Cancel culture claims another scalp, 0.64

00:00:20.940 and Kim Jong-un might be brain dead. 0.85

00:00:23.320 All that and more. I'm Michael Knowles, and this is The Michael Knowles Show.

00:00:30.000 So, Kim Jong-un might be brain dead. 0.98

00:00:37.200 Our experts definitely are brain dead, 0.99

00:00:40.060 but Kim Jong-un might be brain dead. 0.99

00:00:42.240 They say only the good die young.

00:00:46.380 You know, I know that you're not exactly shocked to find out

00:00:49.720 that the experts might be wrong again.

00:00:53.560 Wrong on the infection numbers.

00:00:55.860 Wrong on the death rate.

00:00:57.660 Wrong on the efficacy of the lockdowns.

00:01:00.200 Wrong on everything.

00:01:03.040 Why is it that all the smartest people in the lab coats

00:01:05.740 with all the fancy degrees are wrong,

00:01:07.880 and Joe Schmo, who doesn't have any particularly stunning, stellar education,

00:01:15.480 happens to be right?

00:01:16.500 This happens more often than you would think.

00:01:18.740 Gets to a real truth about politics on the left and the right.

00:01:21.660 We'll get to that in a second.

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00:02:40.640 So, the experts were wrong on everything.

00:02:43.120 We got the latest bit of evidence for this from Mayor Eric Garcetti in Los Angeles last night.

00:02:49.320 Eric Garcetti is backing up something we've heard from other places around the country,

00:02:53.320 that the virus is much, much more widespread than anybody thought.

00:02:59.760 Today, many of you followed the antibody test conducted by USC and L.A. County that we've been involved with.

00:03:06.560 I brought the doctors last week to this briefing, Dr. Simon and Sud.

00:03:11.640 They shared the first results of the first wave of antibody studies to see what the prevalence of COVID-19 in the general population was

00:03:20.020 by testing for the antibodies that we generate in reaction to COVID-19.

00:03:25.200 And it showed that the rate of COVID-19 infections far exceeds the number of confirmed cases,

00:03:32.200 something that we knew, but now we're starting to get data for.

00:03:35.560 It also points towards that only a small percentage of adults in the county have antibodies to COVID-19.

00:03:41.840 The number they came up with in the initial study was that 4.1% of the adult population in L.A. County from this sample,

00:03:51.200 but it was a representative sample, are COVID-19 positive or have been COVID-19 positive.

00:03:58.020 That would mean that our mortality rate, which we've been measuring at about 4.5%, would be much lower.

00:04:03.960 It would mean many more people have been exposed to the COVID-19 virus.

00:04:08.660 Of course. And you might be thinking, well, 4.1% infection rate, that's actually not that high.

00:04:15.680 I was expecting 50% or 60%.

00:04:17.920 4.1% is very, very high when you compare it to what we had been hearing before.

00:04:23.180 So this is from not just Garsity, but the L.A. County Department of Public Health.

00:04:27.140 They say infections, this is their press release, by the way.

00:04:30.640 This is not journalism covering it or some right-wing website.

00:04:33.440 Infections from the new coronavirus are far more widespread and the fatality rate much lower in L.A. County than previously thought.

00:04:40.760 Approximately 221,000 to 442,000 adults in the county have had the infection.

00:04:47.160 That estimate is 28 to 55 times higher than the 7,994 confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported to the county.

00:04:57.600 So all the models, everything that we were basing our numbers on was based on an infection rate 55 times lower than what we're actually seeing.

00:05:07.920 So if you just divide very simply the number of people who have died from coronavirus by the number of people we thought had it, then the mortality rate's pretty high.

00:05:17.560 If you divide it by, you know, you've got the mortality rate, the number of deaths, divided by 55 times the number of people we thought had it, then obviously it's much lower.

00:05:26.960 This backs up what we see out of Stanford, Jay Bhattacharya and other scientists up at Stanford have done similar tests and found similar numbers for infection, which were much higher than previously thought, which is, by the way, what conservatives were saying weeks ago and leftists were mocking us for.

00:05:43.540 This backs up what we saw in Massachusetts.

00:05:45.380 Obviously, that was right in the heart of the epidemic over there.

00:05:48.680 We looked at those numbers yesterday, showed infection rates up to 30% or 35% people who had antibodies, which means they had it before, which you're going to get if you're in a real hotspot.

00:05:59.360 And, you know, that varies city by city and state by state.

00:06:04.180 This proves two things.

00:06:06.700 One, for most people, the virus isn't that bad.

00:06:11.880 For some people, it's bad, particularly people who are older who have underlying health conditions.

00:06:17.100 But we were already talking about how for the majority of cases, confirmed cases, it wasn't that bad weeks ago.

00:06:26.240 Now we find out that it's actually 55 times as many people had it.

00:06:30.000 The vast majority of them never even knew they had it.

00:06:32.520 The vast majority of people who have had coronavirus haven't had any symptoms or any symptoms that would have made them even consider going to a doctor.

00:06:43.040 Now, the second thing we can conclude from this is the political conclusion.

00:06:47.920 Which is that once you know that the hospitals are not going to be overrun, then the lockdowns are useless.

00:06:57.340 That's the conclusion from this, these studies in this press conference that the left and the media don't want you to think about.

00:07:04.080 The whole point of the lockdowns is to not overwhelm the hospital system, right?

00:07:11.720 So when we say lower the curve or, you know, stop the, what are they, flatten the curve.

00:07:17.440 That's what they say.

00:07:18.100 Flatten the curve.

00:07:18.780 That's not to reduce the number of people who get the virus.

00:07:21.700 It's just to slow it down so that you don't get this huge spike of people and there aren't enough hospital beds and people die unnecessarily.

00:07:28.920 But the same number of people are going to get it either way.

00:07:31.480 So now, now once we know that it's so much more widespread, that it's, that it's going gangbusters, that it's, it's so much faster in its spread, then the lockdowns actually aren't doing anything.

00:07:43.000 We know that we're not going to overwhelm the hospital system.

00:07:45.600 We didn't overwhelm it in New York.

00:07:47.020 We have an empty Javits Center and an empty hospital boat.

00:07:50.600 If the, if the virus rather is spreading so quickly, then we now know it's going to spread to everybody, virtually everybody, before we get the vaccine in 18 months or two years.

00:08:02.260 So what's the point of the lockdown?

00:08:04.360 Even if you said the point of the lockdown is to slow it enough that we can get a vaccine and it'll be better for people, we're not going to do that.

00:08:11.420 We now know it's spreading too fast for that.

00:08:13.620 So the lockdowns are serving literally no purpose.

00:08:17.880 Mayor Garcetti tries to put a scary spin on it and he does so unsuccessfully.

00:08:24.540 But it would also mean that still more than 95% of us, if this study is representative, still do not have that, do not have any potential immunity and are still vulnerable to being able to catch this disease and die from it.

00:08:39.300 Yeah, we are still vulnerable, but that's always been the case, right?

00:08:43.780 The argument was never lock down the economy and then most people won't get it.

00:08:47.480 That was never going to be the case.

00:08:49.960 So sure, we now know it's a lot of people are going to get this.

00:08:54.340 Many people are going to get sick.

00:08:57.000 Some people are going to die.

00:08:58.200 That was always the case.

00:09:01.960 The debate isn't over let people get sick or don't let them get sick.

00:09:06.200 There is no debate on that.

00:09:08.320 Basically, everybody's going to get it.

00:09:10.100 A very small number of people are going to get seriously ill and a smaller number of people are going to die from it.

00:09:16.500 I'm not happy about that.

00:09:18.060 I'm not encouraging that.

00:09:19.240 That is simply an unavoidable fact that the left is trying to pretend is avoidable through science, capital S, and progress, capital P, but it's not.

00:09:29.200 And it gets to a real divide in our politics.

00:09:32.180 We'll get to that in one second.

00:09:33.740 And then we'll get to the other effects, the totally avoidable effects of this lockdown.

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00:11:06.760 Okay, the biological effect of the lockdowns, at least in L.A., is nothing.

00:11:16.420 It has done nothing.

00:11:18.440 You heard it from Garcetti.

00:11:20.180 We're going to get it.

00:11:21.440 The thing's spreading faster than we thought.

00:11:24.420 Many of us have already had it.

00:11:26.380 Very good chance you've already had it.

00:11:28.560 So that's unavoidable.

00:11:31.760 The economic effect is avoidable, and it's much, much more devastating.

00:11:37.560 Less than half of adults in Los Angeles right now are currently employed.

00:11:42.340 Now, you might just say that's L.A., because it's a city full of actors and writers,

00:11:46.180 and they're not the most employed people ever.

00:11:49.420 Well, that's not quite right.

00:11:50.560 You know, they're not employed in the careers that they pretend that they're doing,

00:11:54.040 but they often are employed.

00:11:55.620 You know, they're waiting tables.

00:11:57.320 They're Uber drivers.

00:11:58.680 They're assistants.

00:11:59.580 They're doing jobs in L.A., and now half of them are not because this town is shut down.

00:12:05.060 Film production is shut down.

00:12:06.760 Okay?

00:12:07.860 That's a lot of people in one of the major American cities.

00:12:11.460 Specifically, over 1.3 million L.A. residents who were employed just a few weeks ago are no longer employed.

00:12:23.040 That destroys lives, okay?

00:12:26.140 Especially when it lasts for a long time.

00:12:29.640 It's not just the money.

00:12:32.300 It's not just even the work.

00:12:33.980 It's not even just the self-esteem.

00:12:35.760 Higher unemployment numbers mean higher death numbers.

00:12:40.340 When I'm saying we're comparing the effects of the shutdown, what if we had the shutdown, what if we don't have the shutdown,

00:12:45.420 we can get right down to brass tacks the number of people who will die,

00:12:49.240 because increasingly it is appearing that the lockdowns are not saving any lives.

00:12:56.580 Because with or without the lockdowns, people who are frail and older can just stay home.

00:13:01.940 They don't have to go out.

00:13:03.480 Now, the lockdowns don't appear to be slowing the spread in any way that's going to prevent it from reaching most of the population.

00:13:11.640 The economic effects are killing people.

00:13:16.400 We can quantify this.

00:13:18.000 Every 1% hike in the unemployment rate,

00:13:21.640 this is according to the data provided by the National Bureau of Economic Research and the medical journal Lancet,

00:13:27.980 every 1% hike in the unemployment rate will likely produce a 3.3% spike in drug overdose deaths.

00:13:38.620 It will likely produce a 0.99% spike, almost 1% spike in suicides

00:13:45.760 for every 1% uptick in the unemployment rate.

00:13:52.380 Now our unemployment rate is almost 20%.

00:13:54.980 Before this shutdown, we had almost full employment, record high employment.

00:14:04.040 1, 2, 3, 4, all the way up, just about 20%.

00:14:09.640 22.5 million Americans at least have lost their jobs in four weeks.

00:14:13.600 If unemployment hits 32%, totally plausible,

00:14:18.660 then 77,000 Americans are likely to die from suicide and drug overdoses

00:14:23.200 as a result of the layoffs.

00:14:26.640 That is way more than have currently died from coronavirus.

00:14:29.680 And the people who have died from coronavirus

00:14:31.560 almost certainly would have died from coronavirus had we done nothing.

00:14:38.740 Overall, the death rate for an unemployed person is 63% higher than the death rate for somebody with a job.

00:14:45.880 Unbelievable numbers.

00:14:46.920 This is according to the journal Social Science and Medicine.

00:14:51.160 63% higher.

00:14:53.240 Now you might say, well, Michael, if we had done nothing, if we didn't have a lockdown,

00:14:56.700 maybe the death rate would be a little bit higher for the next three months.

00:14:59.900 Sure, maybe.

00:15:00.540 But what's the death rate going to be once we lift the lockdowns inevitably?

00:15:03.400 Because we're not going to have a vaccine in time.

00:15:05.600 It's going to jump right back up, almost certainly.

00:15:07.700 At least that's what the models are showing.

00:15:08.900 And you were telling me to listen to the models two weeks ago.

00:15:11.940 And yet, we have concocted this theoretical way to save people.

00:15:17.240 And as a result, we have guaranteed that many, many more people will die.

00:15:22.560 Not very smart, but it tells you something about the way the left and the right look at politics.

00:15:29.740 Okay, the left loves experts.

00:15:32.380 The right does not love experts.

00:15:33.740 And yet, in this case, the experts were wrong.

00:15:38.820 The diploma-chasing, yuppie-poser, I-love-science-with-a-capital-S liberals were wrong.

00:15:49.960 And the skeptics were right.

00:15:53.600 Just take a little look at the facts here.

00:15:56.060 We have two positions.

00:15:58.180 The left said we need to shut down every single thing.

00:16:02.260 Not just this month, not just next month.

00:16:04.060 We got to shut it down for 18 months.

00:16:05.740 Zika manual, we're not going to have a vaccine. 0.99

00:16:07.400 We can't reopen anything until we have a vaccine.

00:16:09.920 That was the left.

00:16:11.560 The right said we need to be careful, take precautions, take care of people who are sick and frail,

00:16:18.620 but get the economy moving again.

00:16:22.260 Which of those two ideas do you think was most reasonable?

00:16:25.100 We've got a lot of evidence.

00:16:26.460 We've got a lot of conclusion.

00:16:27.620 We can tell you exactly why the experts are always wrong and why the liberals who love experts are always wrong.

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00:17:42.960 Now, this is a lesson that conservatives should always learn, that liberals should always learn,

00:17:50.480 that everybody in the middle should learn.

00:17:52.040 The experts are always wrong.

00:17:55.600 Okay, the left told us we need to shut down everything for 18 months.

00:17:58.700 What's the evidence there?

00:18:00.180 Models showing that 2 million people were going to die, and no one had it yet, and we were just

00:18:05.240 at the beginning.

00:18:06.420 Conservatives said, let's be careful, but let's not crash the economy.

00:18:09.540 What was the evidence conservatives had?

00:18:11.240 We looked at this virus compared to other pandemics, didn't seem that virulent.

00:18:17.560 What other evidence did we have that maybe this was an overreaction?

00:18:21.620 We've just never shut down the global economy for an illness like this.

00:18:25.700 So that was it.

00:18:26.620 We didn't have like fancy scientists and lab coats and stuff showing us right.

00:18:30.860 We just had good old common sense, and history is our guide.

00:18:34.460 And it turned out we were right.

00:18:38.880 Liberals follow the experts for the exact reason that the experts are always wrong.

00:18:45.960 It is actually the central weakness of the experts that gets the liberals to love the experts so much.

00:18:54.500 Government by expert is progressivism.

00:18:57.180 That is liberalism.

00:18:58.740 That is leftism, okay?

00:19:01.640 Leftism holds that politics is a science.

00:19:06.320 We've seen this since the days of Karl Marx, actually even a little bit before Karl Marx, and certainly ever since him.

00:19:13.500 See, the old idea, the pre-modern idea, is that politics is more of an art than a science.

00:19:19.560 It's a way that we persuade people, and we weigh different ethical questions, and we come together and govern ourselves.

00:19:25.640 But in the modern progressive era, they've said, no, no, no, forget all that silly old stuff where you have debate and all that.

00:19:31.040 We just have science.

00:19:32.560 We see with scientific precision what politics is.

00:19:36.640 And so if you just put the smartest people in charge of politics, you'll have a perfect politics, no more rancor, no more debate, no more misery.

00:19:43.260 If you just get a lot of data and you empower smart people, we will have perfect governance.

00:19:49.900 We can know everything.

00:19:51.960 There is no limit to politics.

00:19:53.920 That's the leftist idea.

00:19:55.300 Makes sense, right?

00:19:56.440 The only problem with that idea is that it has never been correct ever anywhere in the world, and it has always been wrong, and it has always failed.

00:20:04.500 But in theory, it's a really good idea.

00:20:06.440 In theory, it makes total sense.

00:20:08.040 I get it.

00:20:09.200 The only problem is in reality.

00:20:12.020 Conservatives have a different take than that.

00:20:15.260 Okay, conservatives have this idea that we're happy to listen to experts when they've got some modest contribution to their narrow field of expertise.

00:20:27.280 We know, however, that the world is simply too complex to govern it based on a model.

00:20:35.260 It's too chaotic.

00:20:37.080 It's too crazy.

00:20:37.960 It's not possible to put in all the data points to perfectly model out the whole world, or to perfectly model out global warming, or to perfectly model out a pandemic, or to perfectly model out systems that are terribly complex.

00:20:51.340 We know fundamentally that politics is not a science.

00:20:57.200 Politics is actually the opposite of a science.

00:21:00.860 Science, very simple.

00:21:04.500 You get your hypothesis.

00:21:05.840 You follow a method.

00:21:06.960 You find out if it's true or false.

00:21:09.400 Politics is the weighing of different priorities.

00:21:13.040 Do we need more criminals in prison or fewer criminals in prison?

00:21:15.600 There's no scientific answer to that.

00:21:17.280 We have to debate what kind of society we want.

00:21:19.580 Do we want a more orderly society, or do we want a more liberal society?

00:21:23.580 Liberal meaning, you know, you get away with more stuff.

00:21:25.520 What would you like?

00:21:28.460 Do we want to legalize drugs and have a more permissive society, or do we want to control drugs and have a more orderly society, right?

00:21:38.840 There's no scientific answer for those things.

00:21:41.060 Do we want to tax people way more and redistribute their money and have a more economically equal society, or do we want to reduce the tax rate and allow people to keep more of their money and have a freer society?

00:21:55.520 There's no equation for that.

00:21:57.940 There's no rigorous, obvious scientific answer.

00:22:01.480 It's just politics.

00:22:02.520 You just debate things with your fellow citizen.

00:22:04.760 That's the point of self-government.

00:22:06.300 That's the point of government and politics generally.

00:22:09.000 This is why the educated country bumpkin conservatives have a better track record in politics than those brilliant, wonderful, credentialed, rationalist liberals who worship at the altar of the latest data fad.

00:22:28.420 Because novelties and fads are always wrong and useless.

00:22:34.360 Almost always.

00:22:35.200 That's what makes them novelties and fads, right? 0.88

00:22:39.200 If they were really enduring things, they wouldn't just be fads.

00:22:42.820 Whereas tradition, history, those have been tested through the ages.

00:22:47.780 Those are more durable.

00:22:48.820 Those are more reliable.

00:22:50.600 So it's kind of ironic. 0.99

00:22:52.560 The left is always shocked about this in politics, that those deplorable, irredeemable rube idiots that the left holds in such contempt are usually more correct about politics than these fancy liberals who are really rationalists and who have read all of their David Hume and who have read all of their Jeremy Bentham and, you know, who catch up on the latest science journal, right? 1.00

00:23:17.560 They should know better, they should know better, and yet they don't. 1.00

00:23:19.960 It's all those deplorable idiots that they hate. 1.00

00:23:22.080 Those are the ones that actually get politics a little bit better. 1.00

00:23:26.120 And the left ends up looking like fools. 0.99

00:23:29.480 Look no further for evidence of this than Bill de Blasio in New York. 0.98

00:23:32.760 Bill de Blasio, a leftist, progressive, rationalist, scientific guy par excellence.

00:23:40.640 He decides, in this pandemic, he's going to let a bunch of criminals out of prison.

00:23:47.220 A lot of criminals out of Rikers, okay?

00:23:49.380 He's pretty serious guys.

00:23:50.660 And he's going to let them out because during a pandemic, what you want is more criminals roaming the streets.

00:23:54.520 And now he's just shocked that those criminals are committing crimes.

00:24:00.540 Here's de Blasio's reaction.

00:24:01.820 We said there would be, you know, a rigorous monitoring effort as well.

00:24:07.920 And that has been built up.

00:24:10.480 We do see some recidivism.

00:24:12.140 I don't have the exact numbers.

00:24:13.360 We see some.

00:24:14.200 I've not seen a huge amount, but any amount is obviously troubling.

00:24:21.380 And I think it's unconscionable just on a human level that folks were shown mercy, and this is what some of them have done.

00:24:28.240 But, you know, it's a small number of people.

00:24:31.140 It's unconscionable.

00:24:33.120 And if there's one thing that criminals are known for, it's their conscience.

00:24:37.480 You know, I always say this about criminals.

00:24:39.340 I say they've just got such a well-developed, healthy conscience, which is why they are the people who, by definition, violate their conscience.

00:24:48.840 It's unconscionable.

00:24:50.860 What kind of consciousness does Bill de Blasio have if he doesn't get that?

00:24:55.200 So naive.

00:24:56.660 So narrow.

00:24:58.400 Okay?

00:24:58.720 And this is what the left does.

00:25:00.740 These are the geniuses who want to control your health care.

00:25:04.600 They think, okay, too many people in prison.

00:25:08.420 People in prison is bad.

00:25:09.680 We've got to let people out of prison.

00:25:10.820 We use any excuse to let people out of prison.

00:25:14.040 Right?

00:25:14.220 That is the kind of, the premise they're beginning with is that the criminal justice system is rigged.

00:25:18.660 It's unfair.

00:25:19.560 There are too many crimes on the books.

00:25:21.740 Too many laws.

00:25:22.600 So we've got to, it's just, if a criminal is in prison, it's wrong.

00:25:25.100 We've got to let them out of prison.

00:25:26.000 Then they're shocked when they find out that the criminals, once they get out of prison, commit more crimes.

00:25:30.380 I'm not saying that the left, I'm not saying that the experts can't be right on like a few narrow matters.

00:25:38.340 The trouble that they run into is when they try to expand that to take into account multiple categories, multiple problems, multiple areas of government.

00:25:47.700 This is why the left always thinks that if you've got some environmental expert, that he should be the guy in charge of the EPA, or you've got some health expert.

00:25:56.600 He should be the guy in charge of the FDA or whatever.

00:26:01.020 No, he shouldn't.

00:26:03.360 I know it seems that way, but actually those two experts are the last people who should be in charge of those departments.

00:26:09.820 Because the people you want in charge of those departments are people who can see beyond their narrow field of expertise.

00:26:17.080 You want generalists in charge of that, who can see how those different departments are going to work with the rest of the government, how they work with other priorities that we have.

00:26:26.500 You listen to the advice on that one narrow area, but then you've got to move beyond that.

00:26:31.700 Left can't do it.

00:26:32.480 Another great example of this comes from AOC.

00:26:35.900 AOC, who is thrilled that many, many Americans are losing their jobs and that the entire American energy sector is collapsing.

00:26:44.760 She's so happy.

00:26:45.640 She loves to see it.

00:26:46.660 We'll get to that in a second.

00:26:47.480 First, I've got to thank our friends over at you.

00:26:50.100 I've got to thank you guys.

00:26:51.420 You know, we haven't done one of these in a while on account of the virus.

00:26:54.700 We've got Backstage Live coming up tomorrow at 7 p.m. EST.

00:27:00.560 So 4 p.m. P.S.T.

00:27:04.300 It's going to be coming up.

00:27:05.180 It's going to be a lot of fun.

00:27:06.780 While you are locked in, it is time for you to lock into this deal.

00:27:11.700 Now, is that for a segue?

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00:28:04.660 Two Leftist Tears Tumblers.

00:28:06.240 We're losing money on this deal.

00:28:08.080 Head on over there.

00:28:08.620 We'll be right back with a lot more.

00:28:09.620 So the oil industry has collapsed.

00:28:24.380 The American energy sector, which has been doing great in recent years.

00:28:27.740 We're finally now producing our own energy.

00:28:31.660 Remember for how long we were dependent on Middle Eastern oil?

00:28:34.400 That led to some foreign policy difficulties.

00:28:37.200 Now we're doing great.

00:28:38.940 The American energy sector is doing great, except it just collapsed.

00:28:42.160 Oil was trading yesterday at negative $40 per barrel.

00:28:48.540 Negative 40.

00:28:49.420 So they would pay you to take the oil off of their hands.

00:28:53.140 Wish I could have gotten my hands on a few barrels to fill up with all that free oil.

00:28:58.280 Now this is a big deal.

00:28:59.960 This is a bad thing.

00:29:00.920 You do not want the American energy sector to go belly up.

00:29:04.140 It would have horrible national security implications.

00:29:06.620 Put thousands and thousands of Americans out of work.

00:29:09.440 It already has.

00:29:10.740 It's just really bad.

00:29:13.520 Unless you're AOC.

00:29:14.580 AOC thinks it's great.

00:29:15.580 She tweets out yesterday.

00:29:17.420 In response to evidence that the oil prices are now at negative values and the industry is going belly up.

00:29:23.040 Quote, you absolutely love to see it.

00:29:27.960 This, along with record low interest rates, means it's the right time for a worker-led mass investment in green infrastructure to save our planet.

00:29:36.560 So narrow.

00:29:38.320 All she's thinking about is her fantasy of global warming.

00:29:44.480 This theory that theoretically the sun monster is going to kill us in 12 years.

00:29:48.260 Well, she said that a year ago.

00:29:49.420 So what is it?

00:29:49.740 It's 11 years now?

00:29:50.980 We'll see.

00:29:51.700 You notice they've been predicting imminent demise for the last 50 years and they always seem to push back the timetable.

00:29:58.080 Let's say it were true. 0.96

00:30:00.960 Let's say that the sun monster is going to kill us in 10 years.

00:30:03.780 I don't think it will, but let's say that everything AOC is saying about global warming were true.

00:30:09.740 There's no way you can address that if you destroy the entire American energy industry.

00:30:14.940 Right?

00:30:15.380 The Green New Deal gets rid of American, 90% of American energy at least, bans virtually every form of transportation.

00:30:21.520 And then they say that they're going to remake every house in America, every building in America and make it green and that's going to save the planet.

00:30:29.400 How are you going to redo every single house in America if you get rid of all the transportation and the energy?

00:30:32.980 It's just not possible.

00:30:34.040 Even by their own premises, you can't achieve their ends if you do what they want you to do.

00:30:41.720 But that's what happens when you're really narrow.

00:30:44.580 You're only viewing every issue through this very slight frame of reference with regard to environmentalism and you end up losing that too.

00:30:55.080 Just think of the advertisements that Republicans are going to be able to make on this.

00:31:00.820 How did Democrats blow it?

00:31:02.980 Democrats have the entire media.

00:31:05.700 They have the entire bureaucracy.

00:31:07.440 They have a global pandemic that they can use to make Trump not look so good.

00:31:12.160 They've got 20% unemployment.

00:31:14.720 And yet, they're blowing it.

00:31:18.020 They're blowing it because they're disconnected from reality.

00:31:21.220 They're blowing it because of their trust in the experts.

00:31:24.660 They're blowing it because they want to destroy whole American industries to pursue goals that you can't pursue without those industries.

00:31:32.860 They're blowing it because they'd rather certainly throw millions of Americans out of work, certainly increase their death numbers, than save people's lives in theory.

00:31:43.220 It's that disconnect.

00:31:44.080 There was this old line about the left.

00:31:46.800 They would say, who cares if it works in practice?

00:31:49.220 Does it work in theory?

00:31:51.180 Right?

00:31:51.480 They want to make sure the theoretical aspect works.

00:31:53.560 They're living in a theoretical world.

00:31:55.160 They're ignoring the real world in front of them.

00:31:57.500 And meanwhile, back here in reality, President Trump and his supporters are having a field day.

00:32:05.840 Just look at the ads that they are already running.

00:32:08.700 This is an ad about the lockdowns, about Nancy Pelosi eating her fancy ice cream out of her $20,000 fridge while they're gleefully allowing millions of Americans to go out of work.

00:32:20.360 We turn now to that $350 billion fund to help small businesses and its workers get through the shutdown.

00:32:26.900 It will be up to Congress to restock it.

00:32:29.340 But Democrats blocking that move this morning.

00:32:31.760 They asked for a quarter of a trillion dollars in 48 hours.

00:32:35.060 I said, well, I don't think so.

00:32:37.520 They objected and I congratulate the Senate Democrats.

00:32:40.700 Speaker Pelosi, what are you going to share with us from your home?

00:32:42.880 Chocolate candy.

00:32:44.680 Thousands have been forced to wait for hours at food banks all across the country.

00:32:48.780 This is chocolate and then we have some other chocolate here.

00:32:53.600 We just got to restock the ice cream.

00:32:55.900 You don't want to eat up everything all at one time.

00:32:59.000 I can't do it much longer.

00:33:00.240 I'm trying so hard.

00:33:01.520 We're, shall we say, enjoying.

00:33:03.220 Having to admit that, yeah, we're starving and...

00:33:06.980 I like it better than anything else.

00:33:09.040 Taping this segment, there are 22 million people out of work.

00:33:12.120 This specific program is about stopping job losses today.

00:33:16.380 This is hurting people bad.

00:33:17.680 Other people in our family look for some other flavors, but...

00:33:20.760 Right now it's survival move.

00:33:22.320 You don't know where that next something else is going to come from.

00:33:25.160 I don't know what I would have done if ice cream were not invented.

00:33:28.980 I just wonder.

00:33:33.640 Oh, that is a brutal ad.

00:33:35.680 I mean, the last line is, let them eat ice cream.

00:33:37.840 Nancy Antoinette.

00:33:39.120 Who would film this segment?

00:33:44.940 You know, she did this segment for a late night show where she goes, here's my fridge. 1.00

00:33:48.440 Here's my really nice fridge with all my chocolate ice cream.

00:33:50.920 It's a bad look during a pandemic when millions of your countrymen are going out of work.

00:33:56.440 I'm not saying you can't eat ice cream.

00:33:57.720 I'm not saying you can't own an ice fridge.

00:33:58.920 It's just a bad look to flaunt that during the pandemic.

00:34:02.220 But to leftists like Pelosi, to leftists like all the people in the mainstream media

00:34:07.120 egging on these lockdowns, to those people, this lockdown doesn't mean anything.

00:34:14.080 None of them are missing a paycheck.

00:34:16.060 None of them, they all have nice houses, so it doesn't even matter that they can't go outside.

00:34:21.600 Nothing has changed.

00:34:23.060 They can all do their work from home.

00:34:24.440 They've all got white collar jobs.

00:34:25.520 They can do all their meetings on Zoom.

00:34:28.640 It's actually fine, you know.

00:34:31.400 For certain people, the lockdown is, well, okay, they lost, let's say they lost 10 grand

00:34:35.420 in the course of this.

00:34:37.360 Okay, whatever.

00:34:39.120 It doesn't matter to them.

00:34:41.060 And so when they see people protesting against the lockdowns, protesting to go back to work,

00:34:46.840 protesting not to lose their businesses, they look on them with not just contempt, but bewilderment.

00:34:53.700 What are you doing?

00:34:54.780 Why, just stay home and, you know, eat your Dove ice cream bars and just sit back and watch

00:35:00.820 some TV and watch the money fill up in your bank account.

00:35:03.720 What's the big deal? 1.00

00:35:05.480 You're a maniac. 1.00

00:35:06.520 You're going to kill us all. 1.00

00:35:08.020 My Dove is so delicious. 0.76

00:35:09.780 Love that chocolate.

00:35:12.060 They don't realize that people are reacting to real problems, which is that they don't have

00:35:16.600 any more money.

00:35:18.440 Okay.

00:35:19.820 $1,200 that they got from the federal stimulus, that goes like that.

00:35:23.320 Okay.

00:35:23.660 That's gone.

00:35:24.440 Okay.

00:35:24.860 Rent done.

00:35:25.880 Pay off part of your credit card bill.

00:35:27.260 Done.

00:35:27.620 It's gone.

00:35:28.200 Okay.

00:35:28.500 Now what?

00:35:31.020 The small business money that the Democrats are refusing to refill.

00:35:34.540 Democrats force the government to shut down, force people out of business.

00:35:37.840 Tens of millions of Americans rely on small businesses for their jobs.

00:35:41.240 Small businesses run on generally pretty small margins.

00:35:45.240 Money runs out.

00:35:46.240 Oh, whatever.

00:35:47.020 That's okay.

00:35:47.460 We'll get back.

00:35:47.920 We'll get back to Washington when we're ready.

00:35:50.880 Okay.

00:35:51.100 I haven't finished all my chocolate ice cream bars.

00:35:53.880 It's such a bad look that you could only buy into if you are disconnected from the realities

00:36:01.200 that people are facing.

00:36:02.060 And that is how during a pandemic with 20% unemployment, somehow Trump's approval ratings

00:36:06.680 are still doing great because at least that guy looks like he's working for people.

00:36:10.500 At least that guy looks like he's listening to people and the left simply does not.

00:36:14.240 Now, obviously, Republicans are going to have a field day with these ads going into November.

00:36:18.980 They're already doing that beyond just the coronavirus ads, beyond just knocking Pelosi.

00:36:23.780 There's an ad that Trump put out yesterday.

00:36:26.040 I guess it's an ad.

00:36:26.820 It's really more of a meme.

00:36:28.400 And the meme is it's an all-state ad, like for all-state car insurance.

00:36:33.940 And it's these people sitting around watching a game and then an all-state commercial comes

00:36:37.740 on and they turn to the guy who's in the commercial and they kind of knock him for the commercial

00:36:42.520 interrupting the basketball game.

00:36:45.360 So in this ad, they put Barack Obama's face on one of the guys.

00:36:49.840 And the thing that they're all watching on TV is Obama's sad endorsement of Joe Biden.

00:36:55.480 You know, it cuts to Joe Biden just kind of rambling on incoherently.

00:36:59.640 And they ask him, like, what on earth are you thinking?

00:37:03.120 Here's the ad.

00:37:03.660 So this is the take on that ad.

00:37:32.720 With the all-state spokesman, Dennis Haysbert.

00:37:35.040 And then, you know, Obama's face is on there.

00:37:37.480 Do you know what people said about this ad?

00:37:40.000 You know what the leftists said?

00:37:40.960 I'll give you one guess.

00:37:42.420 One word, two syllables.

00:37:43.900 Take a guess.

00:37:44.900 It's what they call everything that they don't like.

00:37:47.040 They called it racist.

00:37:51.300 It's a rough course.

00:37:52.040 Everything bad is racist.

00:37:54.040 People said it was racist.

00:37:55.600 How is it racist?

00:37:56.620 Just try to think about that.

00:38:00.460 Very easy to say it's racist.

00:38:02.400 Not easy to explain how it's racist.

00:38:05.560 Is it racist because there were black people in it?

00:38:09.420 Is it racist now to put black people in an ad?

00:38:14.540 Maybe that's what they're saying.

00:38:16.700 I don't think that makes a lot of sense.

00:38:18.960 Is it racist because it kind of mocks Barack Obama?

00:38:22.120 I mean, we were told for eight years that mocking Barack Obama is racist.

00:38:26.160 But obviously, that's not true.

00:38:28.360 So, okay, you try to think, you're like, okay, there's nothing racist about this,

00:38:31.520 even though all the little blue check marks were saying that it was racist.

00:38:35.040 Maybe it's because there's a rap song at the end.

00:38:38.420 Is rap, is it racist?

00:38:40.060 If white people use rap, is that racist?

00:38:44.660 No.

00:38:45.440 No, probably not.

00:38:47.020 What was the rap song, by the way?

00:38:49.180 Because this gets to Trump's strategy here.

00:38:51.180 So the rap song, if you couldn't hear it, is Let Me Clear My Throat by DJ Kool,

00:38:56.020 back in the golden age of hip-hop.

00:38:58.380 And what are the lyrics to it?

00:39:00.720 Lyrics are, jump, right?

00:39:02.180 Jump, jump, jump. 0.90

00:39:03.480 Some of y'all know how to do this, and some of you don't.

00:39:06.560 And Let Me Clear My Throat, that's the name of the song.

00:39:09.500 Why did they choose Let Me Clear My Throat?

00:39:11.460 The whole ad is about how Joe Biden can't speak,

00:39:15.240 and how he's rambling, and how he doesn't know how to talk anymore.

00:39:17.700 So the song, Let Me Clear My Throat, is a joke about this.

00:39:22.300 And it's also Let Me Clear My Throat, like this sort of surprise at what has happened.

00:39:26.380 The whole ad is about the surprise that Barack Obama would actually endorse Joe Biden.

00:39:29.980 And Obama turns to the end and goes, what?

00:39:31.540 What?

00:39:31.820 Come on.

00:39:32.280 What's the deal?

00:39:33.340 The lyric that they actually used for the song is,

00:39:36.300 And really what we're seeing here, in all of Trump's advertising, not just this one,

00:39:53.320 but in all of Trump's materials on the general election, is in some ways a redo of what we saw

00:39:59.900 in 2016.

00:40:01.240 It's just this dichotomy.

00:40:02.860 Trump, high energy, opponent, low energy.

00:40:06.840 Trump is the man with the plan and the remedy.

00:40:09.340 Joe Biden doesn't have any energy.

00:40:11.660 He can't speak.

00:40:12.380 He doesn't know what's going on.

00:40:13.800 You see this?

00:40:14.420 Trump actually corrected himself the other day when he said,

00:40:17.160 Look, when I banned travel from China, Joe Biden went crazy.

00:40:19.660 No, excuse me.

00:40:20.360 He didn't go crazy.

00:40:21.160 He can't go crazy.

00:40:21.980 He doesn't know where he is.

00:40:22.820 He doesn't have any energy.

00:40:24.720 Right?

00:40:25.140 He actually caught himself because the image he's portraying of Joe Biden is an accurate

00:40:29.260 one, which is that he's got no stamina.

00:40:31.180 He's got no endurance.

00:40:32.000 He's just exhausted.

00:40:33.300 So that's the key here.

00:40:34.580 So you turn up some very high energy hip hop, jump, jump, jump.

00:40:37.620 I'm the man with the plan and the remedy.

00:40:39.080 Just gives you this image of an energetic campaign.

00:40:42.720 All of that said, the Trump campaign was definitely trying to bait the left into calling this racist 0.95

00:40:49.280 so that the left would look ridiculous because they can't explain why it's racist. 0.90

00:40:52.340 They do this a lot. 0.97

00:40:53.700 All right.

00:40:53.900 Trump totally knows how to do this.

00:40:55.940 When Trump during that press conference last week, when he came out and said, I'm going

00:40:59.700 to use my constitutional authority to adjourn Congress, that was bait.

00:41:03.460 Okay.

00:41:03.660 He was putting the bait out there for all the talking heads and all the leftists in the

00:41:07.280 fancy suits and ties to come out and say, this is unconstitutional. 0.98

00:41:10.080 And then immediately the Trump campaign comes out with, first of all, the article, the section

00:41:16.500 of the constitution that gives him the power to do that.

00:41:18.840 But there was also a New York times article from the sixties from the Kennedy administration

00:41:23.020 that said that the president has the power to adjourn Congress.

00:41:26.560 It was a bait.

00:41:27.440 And then he gets to smack them down.

00:41:28.880 And that's what he's doing all the time.

00:41:30.620 Like they are around his little finger.

00:41:33.100 Why?

00:41:33.720 How does this work?

00:41:34.920 Because it's very easy to understand the left's ideology.

00:41:38.540 This is why John Haidt, the social scientist, was able to show a few years ago that the right

00:41:42.820 understands the left much better than the left understands the right.

00:41:48.140 Well, the reason for that is, this is not just some mark of pride.

00:41:52.280 And we can say, we're so much smarter than the left.

00:41:54.240 The reason for that is very simple.

00:41:55.800 It's what we've been talking about all day.

00:41:57.960 It's because the left has this narrow ideology, a rationalist ideology.

00:42:01.660 The experts are always right.

00:42:02.980 It's easy to understand that, right?

00:42:05.600 It's a very clear ideology.

00:42:07.640 Shallows are clear.

00:42:08.700 Like Dr. Johnson said, shallow thinking is really clear so we can understand it.

00:42:13.180 Whereas the right, it's very hard to understand what the right thinks is the right has a very

00:42:16.840 complex view of the world, right?

00:42:18.420 The right looks around and says, oh, the world is, I can't just put this on a manifesto on

00:42:23.620 a sheet of paper.

00:42:25.380 So they say it's racist.

00:42:26.580 Another, you know, another great example of how everything's racist.

00:42:29.400 Lando likes butter.

00:42:30.940 You know, Lando likes butter.

00:42:32.020 How can that be racist?

00:42:33.240 It is apparently.

00:42:34.720 They just changed their logo.

00:42:36.600 Lando likes this, the, the butter where it's got the very, like pretty Native American 0.99

00:42:42.580 woman on the cover.

00:42:44.400 And they took that off.

00:42:45.520 That's racist.

00:42:46.060 They, apparently the, the logo had long been criticized as racist and stereotypical.

00:42:52.580 Uh, the North Dakota representative, Ruth Buffalo said that the image goes hand in hand

00:42:56.800 with human and sex trafficking of our women and girls.

00:43:01.240 Human and sex trafficking.

00:43:02.300 Man, I got to look more closely at that Lando likes image because to me it looks like a smiling,

00:43:06.000 nice, pretty Native American woman holding up a box of butter. 1.00

00:43:10.380 Sex trafficking? 0.90

00:43:11.820 What?

00:43:12.080 Well, when you've got this kind of crazy, narrow ideology, ideology that, you know, any, everything

00:43:19.400 and everything is racist, sexist, misogynistic, then you can say those kind of absurd things. 0.99

00:43:25.500 And to the rest of us, obviously it makes them look ridiculous. 0.97

00:43:31.480 Lando, we're not even allowed to mention Native Americans now? 0.89

00:43:35.200 Isn't that kind of racist to, to take Native Americans off of, of imagery?

00:43:39.460 I don't know.

00:43:40.620 Everything's racist, I guess. 0.99

00:43:42.260 Uh, before we go, I've got to quickly get to the dumbest article on the internet today. 0.98

00:43:45.640 Uh, this is from the New York Times, from Charles Blow. 0.74

00:43:48.380 He's appeared in this, uh, in this segment many times.

00:43:51.340 He's won the award on numerous occasions.

00:43:53.380 It's called Stop Airing Trump's Briefings.

00:43:57.280 Stop Airing Trump's Briefings.

00:43:58.480 The media is allowing disinformation to appear as news.

00:44:01.640 The premise of this article is that the briefings that Trump is giving every day, communicating

00:44:06.880 to the American people, they are misinformation, deceptions, rage, blaming, and boasting.

00:44:13.220 And Charles Blow complains a little bit more, says it's disinformation flanked by scientists

00:44:17.840 and officials whose presence only serves to convey credibility to propagandistic performances

00:44:23.520 that have simply become a replacement for political rallies.

00:44:25.840 They think it's, they think it's credibility that they're, the scientists are giving.

00:44:32.920 That's not true.

00:44:33.540 They think the scientists give credibility to Trump.

00:44:35.300 Not true.

00:44:35.920 Trump gives credibility to the scientists because we, most sensible Americans, prioritize and

00:44:41.720 value our political system above the vaunted opinions of lab coat experts who are usually

00:44:47.860 wrong about everything.

00:44:49.520 But the left doesn't get that.

00:44:53.820 We're in the middle of a pandemic, but we're in the middle of a campaign.

00:44:56.200 Let me be clear, under no circumstance should these briefings be carried live.

00:44:59.680 Doing so is a mistake bordering on journalistic malpractice.

00:45:04.140 And then, you know what I love?

00:45:05.340 Ted Koppel told the New York Times, old left-wing journalist, he said, training a camera on a

00:45:09.580 live event and just letting it play out is technology, not journalism.

00:45:12.700 Journalism requires editing and context.

00:45:14.560 The question, clearly, is whether the president obliges us to broadcast every briefing.

00:45:20.760 Unbelievable.

00:45:21.440 They just admit it here in this article, everything we've been talking about today.

00:45:25.240 They don't want to carry the reality.

00:45:28.360 They don't want to hear the reality unvarnished.

00:45:31.380 They want to craft their own narrative that, by their own admission, is different from the

00:45:37.280 reality that we're seeing, different from what we could look at with our own eyes, and

00:45:41.440 then push the narrative, no matter how different it is, from the reality.

00:45:46.420 And that is why they're a bunch of laughingstocks, and that is why they keep on losing.

00:45:50.980 Before we go, also last moment, Kim Jong-un might be dead.

00:45:54.460 We don't know if he's dead.

00:45:56.260 There is some intelligence that he's either gravely ill, or he's brain dead, or he was ill,

00:46:00.500 but he's recovered.

00:46:01.380 We just don't know.

00:46:03.480 This may very well have something to do with coronavirus.

00:46:06.020 Obviously, North Korea is a client state of Communist China.

00:46:10.620 Chinese scientists and doctors fly over there a lot.

00:46:13.180 There's a possibility that this is connected to the pandemic.

00:46:16.700 And it might be connected to the pandemic in another way, which is that, you know, these

00:46:20.820 quarantines are making people really, really lonely.

00:46:24.300 We turn now for reaction to North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un.

00:46:28.180 I'm so lonely, so lonely, so lonely, and sadly alone.

00:46:39.180 There's no one, just me only, sitting on my red-tail throne.

00:46:47.720 Okay, I'm getting word, actually, that song was being sung by Kim Jong-un's father, Kim Jong-il,

00:46:54.540 not Kim Jong-un, and so I just obviously wouldn't want to make a gross characterization like that

00:47:00.180 and say that the two guys were similar.

00:47:02.540 I would never want to offend anybody, so please accept my apologies for that mistake.

00:47:07.720 Just before we go, after all of the press inquiries, I would just like to quell the speculation.

00:47:12.580 Right now, I have no plans of becoming the supreme leader of North Korea.

00:47:19.060 Okay, I know people have been asking a lot.

00:47:21.740 I know my name has been floated a lot.

00:47:23.320 I'm really focused right now on these podcasts.

00:47:26.520 You know, I really love what I'm doing, so I'm sure Kim Jong-un will make a full recovery, 0.95

00:47:31.200 and I have no plans to become the next dictator of North Korea for now.

00:47:37.260 That is our show.

00:47:38.100 I'm Michael Knowles.

00:47:38.600 This is The Michael Knowles Show.

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00:48:08.480 The Michael Knowles Show is produced by Ben Davies and directed by Mike Joyner.

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00:48:47.220 We'll get a whole lot of that and much more.

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The Michael Knowles Show - April 21, 2020

Ep. 532 - Experts Are Always Wrong

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