00:03:45.240the real words we we also met we have you on the show today
00:03:50.360yeah i mean it's my favorite show to do so i don't i how could i how could i not be
00:03:56.120yeah no and this is where i find out about a new merch drop which is great terrorist tears i mean
00:04:03.600whose idea was that we know whose idea that was i i think it was donald rumsfeld's idea actually
00:04:10.360I know he's dead, but I think we got through some kind of advanced CIA technology.
00:04:15.640He came up with the new Terrorist Tears Tumblr.
00:04:18.980It is the kind of idea you would get from a dead man.
00:04:20.880I cannot think of, if you're looking for merchandise that's just pure, like, boomer bait, pure Fox News boomer bait merchandise, Terrorist Tears Tumblr.
00:07:28.520for the Persian people and the Persians have been waiting for this for so long and how wonderful for
00:07:33.260the Iranian people. And I said, well, you know, respectfully, I like Persians and stuff, but why
00:07:39.020am I supposed to care about that? I'm an American. Why is this? This is the best case you can make1.00
00:07:44.400for the war. So according to the reporting here, Bibi Netanyahu flies to the White House. They have
00:07:50.060this high level meeting. Vance at the time was in Azerbaijan wrapping up that trip. But even with
00:07:55.680the vice president out, everyone was saying, look, the Israelis are overselling this. I think
00:08:00.200the CIA director, John Ratcliffe, said that. Same thing with the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of
00:08:04.660Staff. And you're really probably not going to get regime change. I was always so skeptical
00:08:09.260of this idea that the Iranians were going to just rise up and take over their government1.00
00:08:13.980because, you know, all we ever see is these hot Persian women smoking cigarettes, ripping off1.00
00:08:20.500their hijabs. I said, I don't think that's reflective, actually, of most of the Persian1.00
00:08:24.200people. And so obviously we're not getting regime change. The White House hasn't even really pushed
00:08:27.820that for the last four and a half weeks or so. But by the end of this conflict, the question is,
00:08:32.940is the straight opening? Does Israel want to go along with the ceasefire? Apparently not.
00:08:39.560Will Trump do it anyway? Will Trump force it through? And what will we have gotten out of it?
00:08:45.940You know, I just, I want to say just one thing that Israel, you know, as I keep saying every
00:08:50.660time we do this show, Israel and the U.S. have many areas on the Venn diagram where our interests
00:08:56.920are aligned. But Israel also has some areas that are quite serious that have nothing to do with us,
00:09:04.020like the fact that they're surrounded by enemies. Their country is the size of a matchstick and
00:09:08.120they're surrounded by enemies on either side. Anyone who's ever been to Israel, wherever you
00:09:12.380stand, you can see people who want to kill you. I mean, it is quite remarkable. It is a remarkable1.00
00:09:16.900way to live. So the fact that they're still fighting and they're fighting especially with
00:09:21.280Lebanon because Hezbollah has been hurling missiles into their country is not necessarily
00:09:26.600violating the ceasefire. You know, I mean, they're not attacking Iran. They're defending
00:09:32.660themselves against that. And that's something, you know, I'm glad they're doing, but it has
00:09:36.960nothing to do with what decisions we should make. And I also just want to add about that New York
00:09:40.860Times piece. When has the New York Times ever reported anything that concerns Donald Trump
00:09:45.600That was one, true, and two, even its truths were not designed to hurt Trump in some way.
00:09:54.600And I couldn't help as I was reading that thing to think that that piece was written by Tucker Carlson, you know, that it was kind of like the evil Jews came in and overrode the American firsters.
00:10:03.940And I just thought, I don't know about that.0.78
00:10:05.920Trump has been very cautious about war-making, and I think he's done a good thing, and I think
00:10:13.800that it's probably coming to an end one way or another. But Israel's fight, Israel's not breaking
00:10:18.760the ceasefire if they're fighting with Hezbollah. They have to fight with Hezbollah. And it shouldn't0.86
00:10:22.540have anything to do with our ceasefire. It doesn't have anything to do with it.
00:10:25.180The question still is, I think there's one question still has not been answered, which
00:10:33.060why exactly was this necessary for America to get involved in right now? I don't think we've ever
00:10:39.640gotten, to my mind, a sufficient answer to that. Not like, well, maybe it'll work out, but why was
00:10:46.240it necessary? Why did we have to do this right now? I don't think it's been a good answer to that,
00:10:52.660and especially when the nuclear program is used as the answer. Well, we were told that it was
00:10:57.640obliterated back in June. So it's difficult to understand how both those things could be true,
00:11:04.240that the nuclear program was obliterated, but also the nuclear program is why we had to launch
00:11:08.920this war. I don't think we've gotten a good answer to that. And then how are we better off?
00:11:16.340How has America benefited from it? Getting the strait back open, well, great. It was already
00:11:21.100open before this. So it's hard to see that we could say that that was a good reason for the
00:11:27.040war to start. And I also think that, you know, in my own personal view that I've been very open
00:11:32.840about is that I don't think this is in America's best interest. I think that there were a lot of
00:11:37.340breezy assurances made by proponents of this war early on. You guys were talking a little bit about
00:11:42.040that, that there's like basically no downside. It'll be perfectly fine. It's treating Iran like
00:11:49.200they're not even a country. It's just, or comparing it to Venezuela, totally different
00:11:55.160situation and not enough wrestling with the real ramifications of doing something like this.
00:12:02.560And I got to say, that's one thing that's really frustrated me about this entire thing. And I think
00:12:06.840it was reflected in the conversation yesterday about Trump's truth social post about how we're
00:12:14.680going to, the entire civilization is going to die. And it's, for someone who tries to be reasonable
00:12:20.820about these things, it's really frustrating because what I see is, yeah, on one side,
00:12:24.500you have some people who do panic about it and they act as though there's a chance that Trump
00:12:31.900will actually just nuke Iran and kill everybody. And I think that most of us who are rational knew
00:12:39.280that that was just not going to happen. But on the other end of the spectrum,
00:12:44.280you have people who are proponents of this war and reflexive defenders of it acting as though
00:12:49.480there is no reasonable criticism a person could make of a president saying publicly,
00:12:56.580the entire civilization will die. Like a reasonable person, a rational person can
00:13:03.580obviously without panicking, you're not being a panic in, you're not saying that the sky's
00:13:08.840falling, but you can look at that and say, huh, you know, I, I don't know if that's the best
00:13:14.020strategy. And I also don't know if morally it's like ever okay to threaten to kill an entire
00:13:20.600civilization, even if you get your way. So that's a conversation we can have. And just like the bad
00:13:28.440faith and the dishonesty from people on both sides, I find really frustrating. Because look,
00:13:34.740here's the thing. I agree with the people who say that, yeah, there's no way Trump was actually
00:13:39.940going to do that. He's not going to do that. I get it. Okay. Well then, but why are you saying
00:13:44.040it then? I'll give you an answer on this. Well, hold on. But if you're not going to do it and
00:13:48.860everybody knows you're not going to do it, then the threat is totally meaningless. Like the Iranian1.00
00:13:53.920regime, they have access to Twitter. I mean, they can see the conversation also. And so if0.85
00:13:59.780everybody in the world knows he's not going to do it, then the threat has no meaning. And if they
00:14:06.420think that he will do it, but then he doesn't. Well, now you just look like a fool. You look
00:14:11.800like you're full of bluster. I mean, when you make this threat, if you, hold on, if you make
00:14:17.320this threat and you will never actually do it ever, no matter what they do, then all you've
00:14:24.460done is made your threats completely meaningless. No, so the fear is that, and I've seen people
00:14:30.560say this. They went from criticizing Trump for bombing Iran to criticizing Trump for not bombing
00:14:37.100Iran. Bill Kristol came out. He said, this is a taco. Trump chickens out. And so the criticism is,
00:14:41.340well, this means you can't trust what Trump says. But I don't think that's true. I think
00:14:45.020you can trust what Trump says if you know what he means. And so, yes, no one, no reasonable person
00:14:51.400thought that Trump was going to drop multiple nuclear weapons on Iran and genocide the entire
00:14:56.420population. So no one thinks he's going to do that. But people do think he might do something.
00:15:01.600And this is one of the arguments for some strikes in Iran. Again, I'm a skeptic on the strikes.
00:15:06.640But one of the arguments for it is Trump is a dove. He advocates for peace. He doesn't want
00:15:12.000to get in these quagmires. And then he kills Soleimani. Or he drops the Moab. Or he takes
00:15:16.860out Maduro. Or in this case, he takes out the Ayatollah, the most senior Muslim leader in the0.71
00:15:20.880world. And he does these things that allow him to maintain some unpredictability. So with that0.92
00:15:25.460tweet that he sent out, he goes, open the effing straits or you'll all be living in hell. Praise be
00:15:30.780to Allah. To me, what I really liked about that tweet is it seemed very disciplined. It seemed
00:15:36.220reckless at first, but when you read that dry humor line at the end, all praise to Allah,
00:15:40.620you can see he's being disciplined here and he's mocking the way that they speak. The Iranians are1.00
00:15:45.600the ones who I say, the great Satan will go down in a ball of fire, you know, whatever. And so he's1.00
00:15:51.380kind of mocking the way that they speak. My argument for what he's doing, just in a short
00:15:56.940way, a concise way, is there was good to be achieved here. I never thought the Iranian1.00
00:16:03.360regime was going to fall. I always thought that those kinds of comments were way overselling the
00:16:08.260war. The goods that are achieved are you further weaken their nuclear program, which they're going
00:16:12.380to continue to pursue. You really mess up their ballistics missiles program, which was being used
00:16:17.480to defend the nuclear program, you sink their military, you kill the top, like, 15 layers of
00:16:22.480their government, but the regime remains in place in a similar way that we saw in Venezuela, and
00:16:27.840especially if you can make sure the Strait of Hormuz remains open so that the best card that0.69
00:16:32.020the Iranians have to play doesn't actually redound to their benefit, then you have achieved some
00:16:36.800strategic objectives that the U.S. has had for 47 years. Again, I'm very skeptical of the whole0.97
00:16:41.680thing, but it doesn't mean you don't accomplish nothing. I want to break in here on two points.
00:16:46.860You know, first of all, Pete Hexeth, the god of war, said that, or secretary of war, whatever
00:16:51.240they call him, he said that the Iranians knew exactly what Trump was talking about, that
00:16:56.340they knew exactly what he was going to hit.
00:16:57.880There was nothing they could do about it.
00:16:59.500I think that that is probably exactly accurate.
00:17:01.820So Trump was making a big fuss for the press and driving the press insane, as he loves
00:19:09.320I think he has accomplished something.
00:19:10.920And I think that he would like to get out.
00:19:12.700I've been, you know, for the last two friendly fires, I've been saying time is running out.
00:19:16.540And I think there are a lot of people who are, you know, thinking that we have to go in and destroy everything in Iran to get rid of the leadership or change the regime.
00:19:26.880Before Matt starts to just scream his rebuttal to that, I want you all to realize out there that a lot is happening and it's hitting everything from your paycheck to your freedoms.
00:19:36.720So you can either guess or you can know.
00:19:39.320The Daily Wire gives you live breaking news, investigative reporting, ad-free daily shows,
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00:20:06.220as though we don't have leaders who are running the country whose responsibility is not to
00:20:13.380actually tell us this stuff. It used to be that for most of American history, when we went to war,
00:20:19.440it was like kind of a big deal. And so the American people had to know why we're doing it.
00:20:24.520That doesn't mean that the generals have to sit down at your kitchen table and lay out all the
00:20:29.080blueprints and lay out all the battle plans for you. Some things are confidential. We get that.
00:20:33.500you want the element of surprise. But a basic conversation about why are we doing this? Why
00:20:39.200now? You as Americans are going to pay the price for this one way or another. You're going to pay
00:20:44.920a financial. At least there's a risk. There's a risk. If America goes to war in any part of the
00:20:49.940world, there is a serious risk to American people, to American livelihood, to American lives. No one
00:20:55.100can deny that. And so for that reason alone, we have a right to know why are we doing this? Why
00:21:00.220was this necessary right now? And well, what happens is that Trump says things and then some
00:21:07.880of us say, well, hold on, but that can't be true. That doesn't sound exactly right. And then we're
00:21:11.720told by the proponents of the war, oh, well, you know, but that doesn't, you can't take that
00:21:15.220seriously. He didn't really mean that. So Trump said obliterate the nuclear program. Well, but no,
00:21:19.280he didn't really mean obliterate it. Trump said, we're going to, the entire civilization is going
00:21:23.300to die. Well, obviously he didn't really mean the entire civilization. Trump said the Iranian people
00:21:26.900will rise up and it'll be regime change. Well, obviously not really a regime change. And then,
00:21:30.820and then Drew, you say, well, really, this is about positioning with China. Well, okay,
00:21:35.380but no one in power has said that. That is not what Trump has said. So that's part of the plan,
00:21:42.520that if he says that, if he says that, he's telling China what he's doing and he doesn't
00:21:46.640want to do that. But it doesn't work that way. It's not that I disagree with you, Matt. I just
00:21:50.280think that this is the way it is, you know? I mean, I get it. I get it. I wish Trump were an
00:21:55.860eloquent, good spokesman for what he's doing. He's not. It's not about being eloquent. It's
00:22:00.220not about being eloquent. It's just about being straight. It's about being straightforward and
00:22:04.100honest about what America is doing with our money and our lives. What are we doing and why? We have
00:22:12.000a right to know. And this thing that we hear from proponents where basically we have no right to
00:22:18.420know. Just have faith in Trump. Just have faith. Hold on a second. Trump is not God, okay? He's
00:22:25.780not jesus christ i i'm not called upon to have faith in him i don't have faith in any in any
00:22:30.760politician faith this is not this is a what is a call to faith in a politician that doesn't it's
00:22:36.340the other way around no i don't have i don't have to trust him you have to earn that trust always
00:22:41.460every and it's not just you can't cash in on on past truck trust yeah has he not earned the
00:22:46.640i think he's earned trust on foreign i think he's earned the trust about this too yeah it's
00:22:51.980just, yeah, I thought what he did in Venezuela was great. That doesn't mean that what's happening
00:22:58.780right now is great. Like Trump has done some things that are really good. He's also done
00:23:03.040things that are bad. I thought the way Trump handled COVID was terrible. We all like to
00:23:07.560pretend that never happened. But what about foreign policy? I'm saying on foreign policy
00:23:10.820in particular, I think he's earned a lot of trust. I think he's done a lot of good things.
00:23:15.240I've generally supported what he's done on foreign policy. This thing over here, though,
00:23:19.740is a whole new thing. And what I'm saying is that I'm not convinced that this is in America's
00:23:25.620best interest or that it was necessary. And no one in a position of power has made the case for
00:23:30.820why it is. And when they do make the case, I'm immediately informed by pundits that the case
00:23:35.860they made was not actually the case and that I should know that, yeah, they're saying that,
00:23:40.620but that's not really the reason. There's some other reason that they, the pundits can explain
00:23:44.540to me, but the administration cannot. And I'm saying that that situation is untenable.
00:23:49.360Matt, listen, I think all of these complaints are absolutely good. But at the same time,
00:23:56.060I do think that something's happened that has been really good for America. I think what he
00:24:00.920has done in Iran has already been good for us, and it will appear to be good for us pretty quickly
00:24:06.480in the course of history. But you're absolutely right. He doesn't explain anything. The pundits
00:24:13.860have been awful about this. I mean, there have been so many pundits on the left, I guess we'll
00:24:19.240call them whatever the anti-American pundits who are most pundits who have played this thing as if
00:24:24.580we were somehow, you know, our cities were being bombed. You know, you read the New York Times and
00:24:29.080the Wall Street Journal. It sounds like, you know, a rise in gas, which is bad. It's bad. But it
00:24:33.220sounds like Hiroshima and America, the way they play it. The Wall Street Journal and one of the
00:24:38.900funniest, you know, headlines I'd seen saying if Trump ups this war, then it might strengthen
00:24:46.040Iranian resolve. I thought, like the Black Knight in a Monty Python movie, how much stronger can
00:24:53.720their resolve be? Nothing seems to convince them that they've been beaten. So I praise them for
00:24:58.740their resolve. However, however, stepping back from all of that stuff, which is all true,
00:25:03.820I do look at this and I think we're in a better position now than we were six weeks ago. And I
00:25:08.800think all the hand-wringing has also been wrong. I think the hand-wringing is wrong, and I think
00:25:14.280you're absolutely right about this, Walsh. It's been driving me nuts, too. These people say,
00:25:17.860oh, it's great. There's not even a risk. It's not even a problem. It drives me nuts. But on the
00:25:22.480other hand, I think the hand-wringing is equally wrong. I think we are actually in a better place
00:25:26.180today than we were when the bombing started, and I think if he can get out of it right about now,
00:25:30.960which is what I've been saying since for the last two friendly fires, right about now is when I
00:25:34.520think he should get out of it and make sure the straight is open if he can. And that, I think,
00:25:40.160we'll be in a better position. Kevin, are we in a better place right now than we were five weeks
00:25:43.020ago? I think it's easy to say if things hold, if the ceasefire holds, then yeah. And if we're able
00:25:47.720to get anything to the straight, then yeah, we're in a better place. The big question, though, is
00:25:52.000can you actually get out right now? I mean, yeah, Trump can say, oh, well, it's a ceasefire. But if
00:25:57.440it's a one-sided ceasefire, all that means is that we're no longer bombing them. If the straight,
00:26:02.120if you're having to pay $2 million to get a tanker through the strait, if the Iranians are still0.99
00:26:06.340holding the energy economy globally hostage, then of course you're not in a better position0.98
00:26:12.460than you are in the long run. And I do think, Andrew, I agree that the pundit class has been
00:26:18.040terrible messaging on this, but we can be honest that the White House has been completely all over
00:26:22.820the place on messaging. One day, President Trump is saying, well, we can get out without the
00:26:26.720strait of Hormuz. The rest of the world can figure out oil on their own. And then the next day he's
00:26:30.540saying, if you don't open the strait, we're going to bomb you in oblivion. So does the
00:26:33.000strait matter or does it not matter? And then one day it's regime change. Trump's saying,
00:26:36.560hey, when this conflict is over, this will be the best chance in generations for you all to
00:26:40.180topple this regime. And then the next day, regime change is not even mentioned by the
00:26:44.260State Department in the list of objectives. Can I bring a little Thucydides in here?
00:26:48.120Just a little to go back to the OG historian of war. In the Peloponnesian War, Thucydides writes
00:26:53.680that nations go to war for three reasons, fear, interest, and honor. And the late great
00:27:00.060historian of ancient Greece, Don Kagan, who was a right-winger also, one of the few in academia,
00:27:04.660he said, everyone takes seriously the fear part. Everyone takes seriously the interest part.
00:27:08.860No one takes seriously the honor part, because we live in this materialist society.
00:27:12.960And so when you say, Matt, well, hold on, why is it? Give me the one reason why we went to war.
00:27:18.020Or Cabot, you just mentioned that the rationale keeps changing. I don't think it's changing so
00:27:22.100much as there were multiple reasons to go to war. There is the fear that Iran could get a nuclear0.93
00:27:27.000weapon. Iran has been pretty open about pursuing a nuclear weapon for decades now, and it might be
00:27:31.780overhyped how close they are to actually achieving a nuclear weapon. I agree with that, but they0.96
00:27:36.300clearly want it, and so that causes rational fear, certainly for the United States, but for the rest
00:27:40.400of the world. In terms of interest, there's a lot of interest when we're talking about specifically
00:27:45.360the Strait of Hormuz, where 20% of the oil for the global market flows through. To say nothing of
00:27:50.800petrochemicals, to say nothing of fertilizer, they're in a geopolitically very important position.
00:27:55.960And then there is honor. And this gets to your point, Drew, when we're talking about China. You know, the United States is the global hegemon. American hegemony is predicated in no small part on the petrodollar. If we were in a position where Iran has really strengthened its hand, where China rather has really strengthened its hand in Iran, where countries, the Gulf states are starting to look more toward China than to the United States to protect them.
00:28:18.760we could be in a world in which the petrodollar goes away, we end up with the petroyuan,0.75
00:28:23.180China all of a sudden is running the show globally, and America's stature would not0.90
00:28:28.040just diminish a little bit, we would lose our role as the global hegemon, which benefits us0.96
00:28:33.180greatly. So I think the answer is, there were a billion reasons to go to war in Iran. The regime0.99
00:28:39.300change part of it would just be kind of a bonus, I guess, if we could have a regime that is
00:28:43.860favorable to the West in there. But there were all these reasons. This is why so many presidents
00:28:47.360had considered doing it. So I'm the guy, had I been on the NSC, I would have argued against
00:28:52.500these strikes, as I've said again and again. To your point, Drew, can we trust the New York Times?
00:28:55.940I certainly don't, reflexively. But it is curious that the left is always trying to stoke division
00:29:00.620within the Trump administration. The fact that here they're showing that Vance and Rubio,
00:29:05.360who were supposed to be so far apart, are actually aligned. Yeah, they're trying to hit Trump and say
00:29:09.860that he's the one who's the lone wolf here being duped by Bibi, and the rest of the admin is really
00:29:14.560smart in America first. Yeah, the New York Times has its own rationale, certainly. But it seems to
00:29:20.040me here that we might be able to rely on some of the reporting that's coming out. And I just think
00:29:24.640it's a tricky call. And he had to get out after five weeks. And the point that I would make on
00:29:31.040the ceasefire is Trump said at the beginning, this war, it's going to go on for about five weeks.
00:29:36.000And then when five weeks and one day hit, my Twitter mentions blew up with, hey, Michael,
00:29:41.520are you going to start freaking out now? Are you going to start getting concerned? And I said,
00:29:44.480well, I'm starting to get a little more concerned. But if the ceasefire holds, it will have come
00:29:48.420into place five weeks and two days after the war began. That's pretty impressive.
00:29:54.640Originally, he said four to six weeks, I think. So he's right in there. Listen, I just think that
00:30:00.920there are political considerations. I keep saying this. I do not want the left to take this country
00:30:06.020back. I mean, the left is far more dangerous. The inside left is far more dangerous enemy to us
00:30:11.460than the Iranians. And so I think Trump is playing with fire when he lets his popularity0.99
00:30:17.720sink as low as it has. But I still do think that you have to be able to think beyond the interests
00:30:25.740of the press. The interests of the press are Thursday. They think like, we're thinking as
00:30:30.460far as Thursday, and this could go bad if gas prices go up. The disaster predictions that have
00:30:37.200come out of this event have been so absurd that, you know, you can't even read the paper without,
00:30:43.760you know, kind of just throwing it away and thinking, I can't get any information out of
00:30:48.040this. The disaster predictions are absurd. Certainly the nothing could possibly go wrong
00:30:53.160idea is nonsense. The way that, you know, the other thing I agree with you, Matt, about is
00:30:58.580the way that people are savaged for talking about this as if it were a complex event with good and
00:31:05.220bad things involved. But but I do think but I do think that Trump has earned our respect in terms
00:31:12.120of foreign policy and in terms of visionary foreign policy, which in America means foreign
00:31:16.840policy lasting beyond, you know, six weeks from now and thinking about the fact that the Chinese
00:31:21.840are serious. You know, they're seriously going after Taiwan. They seriously mean to replace0.98
00:31:26.180our hegemony with their hegemony. And I think that Trump is basically confessing what he has
00:31:32.020to confess, which we all have to confess is we're an empire. We are an empire and we have to
00:31:37.480solidify the Western hemisphere in order to remain the good empire instead of the bad empires that
00:31:42.580are actually growing as we speak. Is there any reason though, is there any reason to think
00:31:48.060that let's say the ceasefire holds and I don't know how likely that is to happen. Let's say that
00:31:54.580it does. And then, so then this is the, you know, the status quo. Whether or not this was worth it,
00:32:02.800whether or not it worked, whatever that means, because as we've established, we don't really
00:32:07.760exactly know what the goals are. That's not something we can judge right now. And that's
00:32:14.060the other frustrating thing about the war proponents is that they're, like, as soon as
00:32:19.100the ceasefire was announced, you had people saying, you see, it all worked out fine. It's
00:32:23.880been 10 seconds. I mean, if this goes bad, I'm not saying it's going to go bad because we're
00:32:29.760going to have a nuclear war. I know maybe there's some people saying, oh, it's going to be a world
00:32:33.040war. It's going to be a nuclear holocaust. I am not saying that. I think that most skeptics of
00:32:37.460the war aren't really saying that. Maybe some of the loudest voices are, but most aren't.
00:32:41.160I think most of us who are skeptical are saying that, yeah, it might work out fine in the short
00:32:47.800run, but there's no reason to think that in the long term, we're going to be in a better position0.98
00:32:53.440with Iran than we were before it. And there's good reason to think that it might end up worse,0.88
00:32:58.120because what history has clearly shown us, including the recent history of the Middle East,
00:33:02.920is that when you create a power vacuum, if they've even successfully done that,
00:33:07.000which I don't know that they have, but even if they did do that, especially in the Middle East,
00:33:12.980what happens is the power vacuum gets filled, and it's going to invariably be filled,
00:33:17.560not by, like, the nicest, most democratic, most liberal-minded, secular people.
00:33:23.700It's going to be filled by the people who are the most brutal and the most ruthless
00:33:28.420and the most, especially in the Middle East, the most fundamentalist
00:33:30.860who are willing to kill the most people to claim power.
00:33:34.180So, hold on, one point, just before you both start attacking each other on this,
00:33:38.340well, hold on, I have to shift my framing here.
00:48:42.800But I'm not sure exactly politically how this would play. I mean, if you did mass deportations, not just, Michael, to your point, not just the face tattooed criminals, but you're actually deporting people who've been here for 10 years, have never committed an additional crime aside from coming to the country illegally, and you're deporting millions of them.
00:48:59.300I'm not sure how that plays, what that looks like. We know that the media propaganda campaign, they would treat it like a nuclear holocaust. We saw what they did when we were only deporting the face tattooed criminals.
00:49:09.560We were deporting sex offenders, pedophiles, Somali fraudsters, and they treated it that way.0.98
00:49:14.920You can only imagine if it was actual, yeah, if it was actual mass deportations of non-criminal aliens, except for the crime of coming here illegally.1.00
00:49:24.860I will admit this right now, that if you were to do that, and you were especially to do the second part, which would be necessary, of basically flipping the middle finger to the federal judges and saying, yeah, I get you guys don't like this.
00:52:20.520We're talking about time running short on the Iranian nuclear program.
00:52:23.280Time might even be shorter on the domestic program of the Democrats.
00:52:27.400So you really have to do it. Just go and deport Abuela. And I was speaking to these members of0.98
00:52:32.820Congress off the record. I won't say their names, but a lot of them did bring up the point. They
00:52:37.700said, Michael, that's all well and good. We would love to do that. The problem is it's not only
00:52:42.540opinion polls that we have to answer to. We also have to answer to the donor class or we're not
00:52:48.120going to get a crack at that. We also have to, and the donor class, by the way, doesn't want to
00:52:51.840deport abuela. We also have to answer to the media because the media, even today, still has a lot of
00:52:57.740power to tank these guys. And I'm sympathetic to their point of view because politics is very
00:53:03.600complex and it's easy for a pundit. Can I be honest though? Yeah. Can I be honest? I'm just
00:53:09.780tired of that excuse. And maybe this is a generational, but particularly when it comes
00:53:14.040to Congress, I am sick and tired of people sitting down the street from me in Washington,
00:53:18.380D.C., who have been here longer than twice the time I've been alive, who run every two year on
00:53:23.380the same empty promises to fix all the issues in our country that then they have no incentive to
00:53:28.040fix because they have nothing to run on in 24 months. We'll receive a blank check from the
00:53:32.340donor class and also get to manipulate the stock market behind our back and make a net worth of
00:53:36.840$413 million, a la Nancy Pelosi, who, oh, by the way, has served in Congress for the last 38 years0.97
00:53:43.580consecutively. This woman was born before the invention of the microwave oven and the pen.0.64
00:53:49.060And these are the people who are telling young people, oh, you just have no idea what you're
00:53:53.440thinking about. Like the level of societal disconnect is astounding. And I'm honest,
00:53:58.440tired of being told from so many people in Washington, oh, well, that's just the way
00:54:02.480Washington works. Like we don't have to accept that. We don't have to live that way.
00:54:06.600Our framers and our founders designed a system of government that was supposed to serve the people
00:54:11.200and not the other way around. And the people mandate on a silver platter in November of 2024.
00:54:16.440That is inexcusable now to turn this around. I think it's perfect how Congressman Brandon
00:54:20.940Gill said it. It is unforgivable for Republican members of Congress to introduce mass amnesty
00:54:26.220bills that not okay. Look, I agree. I agree with it. We all agree on that. We're all sick of it.
00:54:33.460And when you say this is totally unacceptable and, but there is that old maxim from systems,
00:54:38.180which is that the purpose of a system is what it does. And the fact is we can complain until
00:54:42.880we're blue in the face. But if the incentives of the system are such that, the incentives and the
00:54:48.020disincentives are such that the congressmen don't have any real power to do it, and that they might
00:54:53.380even be able to get away with proposing a mass amnesty bill in 2026, and they might not even
00:54:58.360suffer political consequences for that. You just think, okay, there's a structural problem here
00:55:02.280that needs to change. This is why, by the way, to your point, Matt, I had the same reaction,
00:55:05.700Again, as someone who, before, during, and after, was quite skeptical of the Iran strikes and argued against it, I do actually get why Trump is doing more stuff in foreign policy than he might be able to get done in domestic policy.
00:55:20.540That said, there have still been, what, over 700,000 deportations formally in the first year, another million or more self-deportations, which we can track on multiple levels.
00:55:29.680So there was something. We all want 10 million deportations. We want 15 million deportations.
00:55:33.660But the reason he's playing more in foreign policy is actually because there are no district judges in Bahrain.
00:55:39.820The reason he's doing it is because he has a lot more control to actually affect things in foreign policy than he does in domestic policy.
00:55:45.640You can say that's a terrible system. I agree that it is.
00:55:48.680But, you know, they're the ones who actually have to go out there and do the things in the political order.
00:55:53.280It's much easier for pundits to complain about it, myself included, as one of the people who complains.
00:55:58.300And that's, I mean, I think that that's correct.
00:56:01.380And so doing something like this, I mean, it is, to your point, it's easy to talk about mass deportation, especially for those of us who don't actually have to do it.
00:56:10.200But we have to acknowledge, we have to be sober-minded about it if we're going to advocate for something like this, and acknowledge, as we've talked about, it could be politically disastrous.
00:56:19.300And more than that, it's like it is a system-shaking, it shakes the very, the system itself.
00:56:26.980potentially catastrophically. I mean, it could tear everything down because as I said, it would
00:56:32.080require, you can't do it if you're going to listen to the judges. And when I say that,
00:56:38.180oh, defy the judges. I don't mean to say it in some kind of breezy kind of casual way.
00:56:42.620I understand what I'm saying. That's not a small thing. Everyone says, oh, that'd be a
00:56:47.780constitutional crisis. Yeah, probably would be, but we're already in the crisis. That's the point.
00:56:51.940we're in a constitutional crisis already. And so someone has to be willing to say,
00:56:56.420now's the time. We're going to have this out right now. Whatever happens is whatever happens
00:57:00.640afterwards. We'll deal with that afterwards, but it must happen. And here's the thing about Trump.
00:57:05.540I also want to say this, because I think from Trump's perspective, he probably looks at
00:57:12.500at right-wing commentators like myself who criticize him pretty strenuously for things
00:57:23.080like Iran. And his attitude is probably, hey, you're so ungrateful. I mean, I've done all
00:57:29.060these things that no other president has ever done. No one else has done these things. And
00:57:33.780I'm actually done. Yeah, maybe I'm not doing full-on mass deportations, but we went in,
00:57:37.900we got rid of some of the Somali fraudsters. Maybe we've done more deportations than other1.00
00:57:41.480presidents have. If you add self-deportations in, that is a real thing. We've shut down the border.
00:57:45.880I mean, no president had done that before me. And he probably looks at that and feels like,
00:57:49.440well, there's a kind of a lack of gratitude there. Like we should be more appreciative of
00:57:53.220the actual good things that he's done. And he has done some really significant good things.
00:57:58.540And I get that. Like I actually understand if I were in his shoes, I'd probably feel
00:58:02.820something like that. But here's the thing. The reason why it's important, even for those of us
00:58:12.840who support Trump and have supported a lot of the things that he's done, the reason why it's
00:58:16.800important for us to say it's not good enough, like, yeah, be kind of ungrateful about it.
00:58:20.920Because you know what? Being grateful to politicians, that's not part of the arrangement.
00:58:25.100We're not called upon to have an attitude of humility and gratitude before our great
00:58:30.740politicians who run the country. It's actually supposed to be public servant. Like that's the
00:58:35.920word we use for these people. That's not what the relationship has been any time in recent history,
00:58:40.720but that's what it's supposed to be. Where actually you are, you're our servant. You work
00:58:44.520for us. That's what it's supposed to set our system apart for many other systems that have
00:58:50.000existed. And so number one, it's not enough for us to just say, oh, you know, I'm grateful for
00:58:55.840that. At least you did something. But number two, it's because we recognize that Trump is willing
00:59:02.380to do things that no other president is willing to do. That is why we cannot. That's why we expect
00:59:07.980him. Yeah. Right. That's why we cannot be satisfied. When I'm talking about mass deportations,
00:59:14.900and this is a credit to Trump as well as being a criticism and a call to action.
00:59:20.820I recognize that if he won't do this, I don't think anyone else ever will.
00:59:26.760If Trump will not do this, I don't think, certainly no president in my lifetime before
00:59:30.900him ever would have done it and didn't do it.
00:59:32.920I cannot imagine any president doing this if he won't do it.
00:59:36.440And so that's why our message to Trump has to be, you've got to do it.