The Michael Knowles Show - Wave Watch： Daily Wire Midterm Election Special

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00:00:30.000 Hey everybody, this is Michael.

00:00:31.900 You're about to listen to our latest episode of Daily Wire Backstage,

00:00:35.340 where I join Ben Shapiro, Andrew Plavin, and the man who will one day fire me for real,

00:00:40.180 Daily Wire God King Jeremy Boring, for a great conversation on politics and culture,

00:00:44.920 and where we answer questions from Daily Wire subscribers.

00:00:48.200 Without further ado, here is Backstage.

00:00:50.700 All right everybody, fake laugh in three, two.

00:00:56.780 Welcome to the Daily Wire Backstage election special.

00:01:00.000 I'm Jeremy Boring, known round these parts as the Daily Wire God King, lowercase g, lowercase k,

00:01:05.200 maybe a hyphen in place of the o if you're Ben Shapiro and roll that way.

00:01:09.000 Let's get this thing started.

00:01:10.840 Whoever picked that music is 100% losing their job.

00:01:27.740 Joining me for the fire and the fury of the most important election ever in our lifetime,

00:01:32.820 which also happens to come around about every two years,

00:01:35.820 are my three amigos Benjamin, Chevy Shapiro, Andrew, Martin Clavin, and Michael Shortnoles.

00:01:41.820 I actually think the joke would have been funnier if it had been Ben Short Shapiro.

00:01:44.600 Yeah, what the heck?

00:01:45.760 I mean, 5'9".

00:01:46.960 Yeah, 5'9", 5'9".

00:01:48.280 And tonight's election results roll in.

00:01:51.420 We'll be joined via satellite by the lovely Elisha Krause.

00:01:55.260 With Elisha, tonight will also be the also lovely, they didn't even put this in the teleprompter,

00:02:00.140 but she's quite lovely, Cassie Dillon, a.k.a. the lone conservative,

00:02:03.900 and the also lovely, beaver-haired, stand-in, and all-around wonderful young man,

00:02:07.940 Colton Hawes, known around these parts as Young Colton Hawes.

00:02:11.520 He's a wonderful young man.

00:02:12.920 Right at him, bushy tail.

00:02:13.800 Young man, he's a wonderful man.

00:02:15.520 Hey, guys, we're really good.

00:02:17.080 Sorry having audio issues here, but we are live in the Daily Wire backstage election headquarters,

00:02:22.380 and when you come to us throughout the night,

00:02:24.140 we'll be making sure that we give our viewers and our amazing subscribers updates

00:02:28.280 about what's happening, where it's happening.

00:02:30.260 We have about a dozen states whose polls are closed, CNN, MSNBC, Fox News.

00:02:35.520 Everyone is eagerly watching.

00:02:37.360 We're watching them, and we're making sure to not be like the New York Times

00:02:40.120 and inaccurately call things like they did back in 2016.

00:02:43.600 Of course, it's going to be really exciting because polls are kind of all over the place,

00:02:48.560 but the general conception is that it looks as if the Democrats might take the House.

00:02:53.580 They won their first seat that they were very excited about.

00:02:56.000 Barbara Comstock, a Republican incumbent in Virginia 10, 0.99

00:02:59.500 is no longer the congresswoman from that district.

00:03:02.360 A Democrat won, but shouldn't be really surprised, 0.95

00:03:04.660 considering that Hillary Clinton won that district in 2016, 52 to 42.

00:03:08.540 So we'll have lots of fun stuff.

00:03:10.400 Everyone should be checking back in here.

00:03:12.340 And Colton and Cassie are going to be doing some really great things.

00:03:14.880 Colton.

00:03:15.660 So I have a number of strange and bizarre ballot propositions

00:03:18.400 that I'm going to be throwing to the guys as well as some audience questions.

00:03:21.360 If you guys want to ask questions,

00:03:22.500 just type them in the chat box on the live stream at dailywire.com.

00:03:25.820 Remember, only subscribers get to ask questions.

00:03:28.140 So if you're not one, become one tonight and get your questions in.

00:03:31.000 And I'll be on Twitter telling you exactly what's going on.

00:03:33.420 If there's a meltdown, I'll let you know.

00:03:35.400 If there's a blue wave, I'll let you know.

00:03:36.980 And if there's more of a blue trickle,

00:03:38.380 which is what I'm thinking is going to happen,

00:03:40.280 I'll also let you know.

00:03:41.300 So if you want to tweet at us, just tweet at Real Daily Wire,

00:03:44.060 and we'll be sure to give you a shout-out.

00:03:46.320 It'll be lots of fun.

00:03:47.760 Just check in with us whenever you want election updates,

00:03:50.400 or, you know, to see if Melissa Milano is melting down on Twitter. 1.00

00:03:53.740 I'm expecting lots of fun memes of her,

00:03:55.840 like peering behind Brett Kavanaugh,

00:03:57.520 who our very own Colton Avocado Haas wrote in for Dianne Feinstein's seat. 0.92

00:04:01.580 Indeed I did.

00:04:03.840 Well, I'm so excited about this.

00:04:05.500 How did we get Justin Bieber to do comedy?

00:04:07.200 It's still huge.

00:04:08.580 No price is too high to pay for a backstage.

00:04:11.560 So who's excited about being here, guys?

00:04:13.180 Yay! 0.99

00:04:14.120 The air conditioning was on.

00:04:16.520 This is true.

00:04:17.280 We have no air conditioning tonight.

00:04:18.980 Our air conditioner here at Data Wire Central is broken.

00:04:22.760 So, I mean, you can really...

00:04:23.580 And there's nothing I like better than breathing in the smoke 0.95

00:04:25.760 from your guys' oral orifices. 0.98

00:04:27.640 There's nothing I enjoy better than that. 0.95

00:04:29.020 I'm not smoking a cigar.

00:04:30.200 Why aren't you smoking a cigar?

00:04:31.240 What's that?

00:04:31.880 Why aren't you smoking a cigar?

00:04:32.420 I'm getting over a cold, you know.

00:04:33.780 I'm kind of working through...

00:04:34.780 Because it turns out that smoking cigars is bad for your health.

00:04:38.200 I hate that this admission was just made...

00:04:40.820 Stay tuned, everybody, for some cigar smoking, whiskey drinking,

00:04:43.780 and a plethora of insight as we make election night streaming great again.

00:04:47.940 I think it's because it's connected to the earlier three amigos joke.

00:04:51.420 Oh, I get it.

00:04:52.280 So I think plethora was the appropriate...

00:04:54.020 Okay, yep. 0.99

00:04:54.500 I don't know who writes this crap, to be honest with you. 0.98

00:04:56.360 So, Michael, I'm going to start with you. 0.99

00:04:58.320 Yes.

00:04:58.600 Why?

00:04:59.100 What's set up for the...

00:05:00.280 It's the only chance he's got to talk to you.

00:05:02.720 Say your piece.

00:05:04.080 Set up for us the stakes tonight.

00:05:05.880 Well, I really want to get my opinion out early before Republicans start losing,

00:05:11.080 so I can at least have a little enjoyment tonight.

00:05:14.020 So, look, the stakes, historically, the Republicans should lose the House by a lot.

00:05:19.080 Barack Obama lost 63 seats in 2010 at his first midterm election.

00:05:23.560 Bill Clinton lost 54 seats at his midterm election, 94, another really tough one.

00:05:28.560 So, historically, things ain't looking good.

00:05:30.680 That said, the polls have been all over the place.

00:05:32.940 They've been changing a lot, and we are not in normal times.

00:05:36.260 So, we'll have to see where this is.

00:05:38.100 I've talked to GOP operatives on the ground who have told me with a straight face

00:05:41.860 that Republicans are keeping the House.

00:05:44.260 Is that historically likely?

00:05:45.480 Nate Silver says it's one in a thousand chance.

00:05:47.440 But that's what they're telling me.

00:05:48.980 Hey, Elizabeth Warren.

00:05:49.700 That's right.

00:05:50.460 It's a victory according to Elizabeth Warren.

00:05:52.640 I mean, to be fair, did he say it's one in a thousand?

00:05:54.120 Because what 538 said is that he said it's about a one in seven chance

00:05:56.960 that Republicans retain the House.

00:05:58.360 And he said it's about a one in seven chance that Republicans lose the Senate.

00:06:01.380 Which, you know, he also said that if you're going to look at sort of the 80 percentile block,

00:06:06.760 meaning that, you know, the range of expected possibilities,

00:06:09.480 he said Democratic pickups between 21 and 57 in the House,

00:06:13.840 which would mean anywhere from them not taking the House

00:06:16.080 to them taking the House in a landslide.

00:06:17.860 And he said that on the other side, it's a possibility the Dems pick up two.

00:06:20.820 It's a possibility the GOP picks up four in the Senate.

00:06:23.300 And so things are going to be tight in the Senate.

00:06:25.480 But it's very unlikely that Republicans lose the Senate.

00:06:29.040 You know, again, I think that the data, you know, will be pretty good.

00:06:32.060 I think that they're probably statistically undersampling Republicans

00:06:34.320 only because they did that in 2002, 2006, 2010, and 2014.

00:06:38.400 Also because pollsters tend to think that Republicans are not going to show up at the rates

00:06:43.080 that Republicans actually have in midterms.

00:06:45.160 And this includes particularly 2014, when there was only in the RealClearPolitics poll average

00:06:49.160 about a 2.9 percent advantage for Republicans.

00:06:51.600 And they walked out with a seven-point generic ballot advantage by the end of the night.

00:06:55.280 So it is possible that what is a generic ballot advantage for the Democrats

00:06:58.780 of about nine, anywhere from nine to 11 points in the various polls right now,

00:07:02.240 might only be six to eight.

00:07:04.240 If it were five to seven, that means Republicans could theoretically hold the House.

00:07:09.360 You know what?

00:07:09.920 Let's get on the record right now, since I lost money to pretty much everyone in this room in 2016.

00:07:13.940 That's true.

00:07:14.260 Let's get on the record right now as to how we actually think things are going to go.

00:07:18.180 No weaseling out of it.

00:07:19.280 How many seats move in the House?

00:07:20.740 How many seats move in the Senate? 0.93

00:07:22.000 We'll start with you, Noel, since you took cash from me 0.99

00:07:23.820 and then displayed the check on your freaking desk. 0.98

00:07:25.600 Well, you know, this is the real question. 0.98

00:07:26.980 The desk you paid for also.

00:07:27.540 Correct.

00:07:28.060 Because the odds are so bad, do you want to make it interesting?

00:07:31.880 Do you want to sweeten the button a little bit?

00:07:34.240 I'm not interested in this.

00:07:35.440 I don't know if you want to.

00:07:35.780 I already paid for your wedding.

00:07:37.680 And blew your wedding proposal.

00:07:39.580 And blew your wedding proposal over that check. 0.56

00:07:41.660 I have nothing else to blow for you there.

00:07:43.040 That's not a thing.

00:07:44.320 I think.

00:07:46.680 I know.

00:07:47.320 I've seen all the polls.

00:07:48.440 I've seen all the data.

00:07:49.360 I see the historical trends.

00:07:50.920 I right now want to say.

00:07:52.760 That Donald Trump will be elected to every seat in the House and every seat in the Senate.

00:07:55.540 He will be the emperor for.

00:07:56.600 No, I think.

00:07:58.340 Before we get to predictions, we've got to make a little money and talk about honey.

00:08:02.640 Your line is let's make a little money.

00:08:03.880 That's one of my favorite sponsors, honey.

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00:08:06.420 You know what's funny about honey?

00:08:07.700 Yeah.

00:08:08.000 Is that before they became a sponsor for us, you know who actually was an evangelist for

00:08:13.000 them and got me hooked on it?

00:08:14.360 Little old me.

00:08:15.220 Really?

00:08:15.520 I love it.

00:08:16.020 It's amazing.

00:08:17.140 I know a good deal when I see one with honey.

00:08:19.940 It's just a browser extension.

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00:08:24.780 So it tells you what the prices are, where you can find it cheaper.

00:08:27.560 In the old days, you used to have to Google around and say, where are the coupons and blah.

00:08:30.260 No.

00:08:30.660 This automatically.

00:08:31.860 I don't.

00:08:32.360 I only use it when I make purchases.

00:08:34.560 I have saved, I kid you not, thousands of dollars at this point using it.

00:08:37.780 And it works on all the biggest sites too, right?

00:08:38.960 I spend half my life on Amazon.

00:08:40.200 And it just keeps popping up and saying, we're going to take $2 off this.

00:08:43.440 We have $3 off this.

00:08:44.320 And you're like, okay.

00:08:45.100 It saves me.

00:08:46.300 Please, help yourself.

00:08:47.520 We got the Instant Pot, not the drug, but the actual implement.

00:08:50.560 And we saved ourselves a bunch of money on that using honey over at Amazon.

00:08:53.220 Be honest.

00:08:53.620 You did it because of Bethany, didn't you?

00:08:54.880 Of course I did it because of Bethany.

00:08:56.000 Bethany Manel is like.

00:08:56.860 I mean, she is to the Instant Pot what Michael Knowles is to honey.

00:09:00.720 That's exactly right.

00:09:01.560 And you can be involved with honey as well.

00:09:03.600 Honey is the money-saving shopping tool everyone can agree on. 0.99

00:09:06.280 Get honey for free right now at joinhoney.com slash backstage because this is the backstage show.

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00:09:13.100 Again, that's joinhoney.com slash backstage because it is the easiest way to save money while shopping online.

00:09:18.720 When all four of us are this enthusiastic about anything, then that means that it's got to be a pretty good product or a terrible product.

00:09:26.520 In this case, it's an actual really good product.

00:09:28.640 So you're going to want to go check it out right now.

00:09:30.340 Joinhoney.com slash backstage.

00:09:32.060 Michael Knowles, back to you.

00:09:33.040 My prediction.

00:09:33.700 Winston Churchill said, for myself, I'm an optimist.

00:09:36.120 It doesn't make sense to be anything else.

00:09:38.420 My gut is speaking to me.

00:09:40.140 My liver is speaking to me.

00:09:41.680 I think Republicans keep the house.

00:09:44.260 There.

00:09:44.800 I said it.

00:09:45.760 I said it.

00:09:46.160 And how many seats do they pick up in the Senate, you think?

00:09:49.240 Two.

00:09:49.960 Okay.

00:09:50.280 So now, here's the part where I say my critique of predictions, just so folks know out the bat.

00:09:56.500 The best thing you can do, if you're a political pundit, being a professional political pundit,

00:10:00.220 the best thing that you can do is make outlandish predictions like Knowles just made.

00:10:03.820 Because if they turn out to be right, nobody is going to, everybody's going to say, what a genius.

00:10:08.500 How did he know?

00:10:09.120 He has a connection.

00:10:09.980 Thank you.

00:10:10.300 A higher connection to everything.

00:10:11.880 And if he's wrong, everybody just goes, oh, well, that was kind of a crazy thing that

00:10:15.800 he said.

00:10:16.180 And that completely goes by the wayside.

00:10:17.520 What's his name again?

00:10:18.080 Right, exactly.

00:10:18.660 He can build an entire career based on making a wild prediction.

00:10:22.340 As opposed to, like, this is really, like, Nate Silver got shellacked after 2016 for saying

00:10:26.460 that there was a 75% chance that Hillary was going to be president. 0.97

00:10:30.220 And he said, right.

00:10:30.800 Which means that one in four iterations of this means Trump is president.

00:10:33.960 Which is correct, right?

00:10:34.900 And everybody was like, how dare he say that?

00:10:36.460 What he meant is 75% is 100%.

00:10:38.600 Well, no, 75% is not 100%.

00:10:40.600 He was operating based on the data, which is why, you know, I think that the original

00:10:43.940 stuff we were saying earlier about sort of the data analysis and where the percentile

00:10:47.680 falls in terms of the range of possibilities is more statistically accurate.

00:10:51.700 Now who's talking themselves out of having to make a freaking prediction?

00:10:55.800 I'll make my prediction. 0.81

00:10:56.880 Put it on the table.

00:10:57.900 Okay, I'm going to say Democrats pick up 34, Republicans pick up one in the Senate.

00:11:02.820 Which one?

00:11:03.940 I think, I have a tough time believing that, well, right now, I think they're going to hold

00:11:11.400 Arizona.

00:11:12.220 So I think McSally is going to hold there.

00:11:14.240 Because I just can't say, I swear to God, if this country elects, if a state elects an honest

00:11:20.360 to God, quote unquote, Taliban supporter from 2003 over an Air Force lieutenant, right?

00:11:27.100 She's a lieutenant colonel, lieutenant, lieutenant, who the first woman to fly an F-16, then that 0.99

00:11:32.040 state deserves, I mean, really?

00:11:33.700 Like, really, that's just a bad, that's a bad choice.

00:11:35.660 By the way, she was right about Arizona.

00:11:37.380 Yeah, she's a pretty good singer. 1.00

00:11:38.360 She sang the national anthem, too.

00:11:40.500 So 34 plus one.

00:11:41.460 As far as the plus one, I'm going to say that it comes in Florida.

00:11:46.220 I think Rick Scott's going to be Bill Nelson there.

00:11:48.100 That's close.

00:11:48.420 I hope you're right.

00:11:50.780 That one's real quick.

00:11:51.480 Act LeVon.

00:11:52.020 So as you know, I believe that the future is the thing that's going to happen that we

00:11:55.420 don't know what it is.

00:11:56.360 That's the first thing.

00:11:57.180 Wow.

00:11:57.560 As I believe.

00:11:58.220 That's so loud.

00:11:58.740 I've got to write that down.

00:11:59.520 As I believe, as I believe you do not know the things that haven't happened and what would

00:12:03.180 have happened if they hadn't.

00:12:04.380 That's why you and I get into these arguments.

00:12:06.700 The reason that Drew has this wisdom is because he's very, very old.

00:12:09.000 I remember a time back in the heady days of 2016 when Andrew Klavan made a definitive prediction

00:12:19.060 of the future.

00:12:19.940 Oh, proving my point.

00:12:20.880 And I was wrong.

00:12:21.400 And you were wrong.

00:12:21.920 I was proving my point.

00:12:22.900 You do not know.

00:12:23.520 It's a late at life after shutting your finger in the drawer many, many, many times.

00:12:28.200 That's right.

00:12:28.800 You go, ah.

00:12:29.660 But no, and I do think that's true.

00:12:31.740 You know, my heart would like to go with Knowles on this.

00:12:34.120 I'd like to say that.

00:12:35.480 And I do think it's possible.

00:12:37.280 The best predictions I've seen and the thing that the map sort of says to me and that history

00:12:42.380 sort of says to me is we lose 30, we lose the House, and we pick up maybe one or two

00:12:48.440 in the Senate.

00:12:49.160 And the thing about this is, though, that this is, what's so interesting about this is

00:12:54.060 this is obviously a referendum on Donald Trump.

00:12:56.200 And the way we know it's a referendum on Donald Trump, on his personality, it's a referendum

00:12:59.880 on his personality, the way we know it's a referendum is because he's done such a great

00:13:03.540 job as president of the United States.

00:13:05.460 So the only thing, the only reason to dislike him is because of his personality, which we

00:13:11.260 all knew from the beginning was this wild, enormous, weird, flawed personality.

00:13:15.240 It will be fascinating because 2016, there were two ways to read it.

00:13:18.400 One was that it was a referendum on Trump.

00:13:19.680 This is how Democrats wanted to read it.

00:13:20.760 And some Republicans, it was a referendum on Trump.

00:13:22.500 He built a movement, large and deep.

00:13:24.360 And then, that was not a description of President Trump's relationship with any woman with whom he

00:13:30.560 may be in a lawsuit.

00:13:31.400 But in any case, that was one narrative.

00:13:34.180 The other narrative.

00:13:34.880 I'm sorry I'm in this hot, smoke-filled room.

00:13:37.600 I know, it's quite terrible.

00:13:39.220 The other sort of narrative that was brought out was, this is a referendum on Hillary Clinton,

00:13:43.940 and she didn't bring anyone to the polls. 0.93

00:13:45.660 Well, the results of tonight's election, the assumption is that it's going to be a referendum

00:13:49.680 on Trump.

00:13:50.420 And the one thing I think Trump did do pretty successfully, and a lot of the Republican

00:13:53.600 media helped him out here, was try to make this a referendum on the radicalism and insanity

00:13:57.600 of the Democrats.

00:13:58.160 And so if the Democrats don't pull this out, is that a referendum on people love Trump's

00:14:03.340 politics or people really, really cannot stand the politics of the Democratic Party right

00:14:07.380 now?

00:14:07.540 Well, that is the position we are in right now.

00:14:09.080 We're in a position where one party has its flaws and Trump has its flaws, and the other

00:14:13.100 party is out of its mind.

00:14:14.500 I mean, and the high point of these two years, and the point to me of the ecstasy of these 0.97

00:14:20.060 two years, was the Kavanaugh hearings, the failure of that absolutely ugly, disgusting

00:14:25.700 technique that they used, that stratagem that they used, and the fact that it failed because

00:14:30.100 the Republicans, taking the tip from Donald Trump, stood up to the press, which, as one,

00:14:34.660 basically was ready to set the sky on fire.

00:14:36.320 Jeremy, before you get to your update, before you get to your prediction, because we don't

00:14:40.180 want you to talk, Indiana is actually...

00:14:42.200 So according to Henry Olsen, who is Drew's favorite pollster, basically, Indiana is looking

00:14:46.260 very bad for Donnelly, which is interesting.

00:14:49.140 He says, the Election Day vote comes in, Donnelly is slipping everywhere.

00:14:51.640 He's now running behind his 2012 margins in both Marion, which is Indianapolis, and St.

00:14:56.660 Joseph's, which is South Bend.

00:14:57.840 He needed to run ahead of his 2012 margins here to hold off Moran's rural surge.

00:15:01.080 That would be a Republican pickup in Indiana, and could be a decent bellwether, the word

00:15:05.160 of the night, bellwether.

00:15:06.260 Bellwether, yeah.

00:15:07.180 It is a good early sign. 0.99

00:15:09.060 I also care what my prediction is, but first I want to suggest that...

00:15:12.200 One critique that comes in from time to time, so I'm going to remind us to be mindful of

00:15:16.560 this.

00:15:17.060 Anytime we talk about anyone who isn't Elizabeth Warren, Ted Cruz, Barack Obama, or Donald Trump,

00:15:22.340 we should say what their party affiliation is.

00:15:23.820 Yeah, that's Joe Donnelly, Democrat of Indiana.

00:15:25.940 Thank you.

00:15:26.140 And if Republicans pick up the seat there, then they pick up a seat in the Senate, which...

00:15:29.580 And again, that stuff is really, really important, because you need a margin of about three

00:15:33.940 Republican votes in the Senate, so you don't have the ability to have people like Susan Collins 0.95

00:15:38.040 and Lisa Murkowski hold up a Republican nomination to the Supreme Court. 1.00

00:15:41.920 That is my actual, by the way, prediction, just since we're all saying things that have

00:15:45.760 no actual power to shape reality in any way.

00:15:48.900 We're going to...

00:15:50.280 The Dems are going to pick up 30 seats in the House, but it's going to be a 50-50 split

00:15:55.440 in the Senate, making Mike Pence the deciding vote in whether or not to oust his boss.

00:16:00.240 The Handmaid's Tale is real.

00:16:02.020 In other words, I am rooting for mass chaos, complete Handmaid.

00:16:07.520 Cats and dogs living together.

00:16:09.960 Also, this just in from Florida.

00:16:12.560 So Rick Scott, who's the Republican governor of Florida, is running for the Senate against

00:16:15.560 Bill Nelson.

00:16:16.420 Right now, Scott is up by about 11,000 votes, with 90% of the vote in, which is a shocker.

00:16:21.480 And DeSantis is up over Gillum.

00:16:24.300 DeSantis is the Republican, and I like Ron DeSantis.

00:16:27.340 I know Ron DeSantis.

00:16:28.120 He's a good man.

00:16:28.780 He's been unfairly maligned.

00:16:29.960 It's one of the most disgusting things that I've seen in modern American politics, to

00:16:33.240 watch Andrew Gillum portray Ron DeSantis as a racist without any evidence, and the media

00:16:36.860 cover for Andrew Gillum's absolute corruption in Tallahassee. 0.90

00:16:39.600 He's a corrupt city mayor.

00:16:41.040 Correct.

00:16:41.760 And Ron DeSantis is up right now by about 34,000 votes, with 90% of the vote in.

00:16:46.920 So the Panhandle's coming in, too.

00:16:48.320 If the Republicans hold Florida, it's going to be a real good night for the Republicans.

00:16:52.800 That is a bellwether, and the Panhandle is good for us, right?

00:16:55.520 So the next question that I want us all to tackle is, we've made predictions, but I want

00:17:00.420 to talk about what different vote totals actually mean for the president going forward.

00:17:05.820 But before that, I want to kick it over to Election Central, Daily Wire, Election Central,

00:17:10.240 which is literally the inside of a Daily Wire Tumblr.

00:17:13.900 Wait, hold on.

00:17:18.180 Someone's talking in my ear.

00:17:21.260 We don't have her yet.

00:17:22.260 Her audio's not working.

00:17:24.520 Guys, guys, guys.

00:17:25.340 It is embarrassing.

00:17:25.880 Wait, I got to tell you this.

00:17:26.680 This is so much fun.

00:17:27.500 So 538 has its real-time forecast, and its real-time forecast works like the needle, right?

00:17:32.040 Just like the needle from 2016, which was everybody's favorite thing, where it went from 99% Hillary

00:17:35.600 to 0% Hillary over the course of the night.

00:17:37.440 Yeah, yeah, that was hilarious.

00:17:37.780 And it was just...

00:17:38.620 It was just the crossing.

00:17:39.320 Like, it was so great that I lost 10 grand.

00:17:42.420 I kid you not.

00:17:43.100 10 grand on that election.

00:17:44.460 Did you lose 10 grand and $400, I believe?

00:17:46.540 Wait, did you lose 10 grand and $800?

00:17:47.740 I gave everybody up.

00:17:48.880 So I bet $1,000 at four to one odds.

00:17:51.160 I figured if I was going to have a bad night, that I might as well have a good night.

00:17:54.120 I might as well.

00:17:54.900 Exactly.

00:17:55.340 So I bet Michael Medved $4,000 to $1,000.

00:17:58.300 Wait, wait, wait.

00:17:58.960 I'm sorry.

00:17:59.440 Back up.

00:17:59.720 You lost money to Michael Medved?

00:18:01.100 Yeah, but I will say this.

00:18:03.600 I will say this.

00:18:04.160 Two men of extraordinary advice.

00:18:05.960 And I will say this.

00:18:06.860 To Michael's credit, Michael then had me give it to charity.

00:18:09.560 Oh, good for him.

00:18:10.240 Michael's a really nice guy, isn't he?

00:18:11.640 I did.

00:18:12.200 You did.

00:18:13.020 He went to the Michael Moles charity, which I have been paying into monthly for legitimately

00:18:17.700 his entire career.

00:18:18.460 And Moles gave the money to charity.

00:18:20.080 Oh, no.

00:18:20.540 Wait.

00:18:20.600 He also gave it to the Moles charity.

00:18:22.680 That's exactly right.

00:18:23.400 So here is...

00:18:23.940 So, like, legitimately six minutes ago, the real-time forecast from 538 said that the

00:18:29.540 chance the Democrats were going to win the House was a two-in-three chance.

00:18:33.060 As of, like, a minute ago, it is now a one-in-two chance.

00:18:36.240 Holy moly.

00:18:37.080 So that is...

00:18:38.260 You know, this guy, Noles, is a genius.

00:18:39.760 Have you ever heard of Michael Noles?

00:18:40.340 Have you heard of Michael Noles?

00:18:40.560 Have you heard of Michael Noles?

00:18:40.640 Have you heard of Michael Noles?

00:18:40.900 Is that this guy?

00:18:41.680 I don't know.

00:18:42.320 The guy who's always getting it right.

00:18:43.720 That guy?

00:18:44.080 His predictions...

00:18:45.000 Uncanny.

00:18:45.220 It's uncanny.

00:18:46.100 He's on the...

00:18:46.820 I do want to say, if we hold Florida, I want television set up all around us, tuned

00:18:52.820 into MSNBC, so that for the rest of the night, I can fill my leftist-tears hot or cold

00:18:59.080 tumbler.

00:18:59.600 Well, with CNN, it's the same thing.

00:19:02.040 You know what?

00:19:02.540 I want to watch CNN, because I do...

00:19:04.360 Like, earlier tonight, it looked like...

00:19:06.220 I swear, it looked like Wolf Blitzer was snorting lines in the bathroom, because he

00:19:09.480 was so excited.

00:19:10.460 He was looking at the election map like it was a Playboy centerfold.

00:19:12.880 He was like, ah, ah, Indiana.

00:19:17.080 And...

00:19:17.440 If we...

00:19:18.000 If they hold the House, if they do hold the House, you know, I mean, really, really.

00:19:22.620 I mean, you have to say...

00:19:24.080 My God, Matt.

00:19:25.780 Orgasmic. 0.96

00:19:26.240 It will be orgasmic.

00:19:27.220 Well, it will be the most consequential political moment of my lifetime, if we hold the House

00:19:33.300 of Representatives.

00:19:33.520 It will be incredibly consequential.

00:19:35.100 Because there is no possible way that we should, right?

00:19:37.760 I mean, like...

00:19:38.040 That's right.

00:19:38.280 Correct.

00:19:38.600 Then you have to consider that there are two data points in favor of the idea that Trump

00:19:43.440 has a unique connection to the American people.

00:19:44.940 That's right.

00:19:45.300 Which is something that I, you know, have been loathed to say, because I really don't believe

00:19:49.360 that theory too much.

00:19:50.140 But if he is able to do this, then he is working a particular magic that no president has worked

00:19:55.820 in my lifetime, and 2002 doesn't count, because that was right after...

00:19:58.720 That hasn't worked in 80 years.

00:20:01.040 I'm really happy to hear you say that, because I think...

00:20:03.440 Dude, I am pretty good at admitting when I'm wrong.

00:20:05.360 No, no.

00:20:05.760 That's actually something that I take pride in.

00:20:07.060 I think those rallies are saying something to us.

00:20:10.300 It's a question of how much.

00:20:11.500 Are they just saying that there is this pocket of people who love this guy, or are they saying

00:20:15.700 this guy has struck a chord?

00:20:17.740 Right.

00:20:17.860 And if he struck a chord, I think we, as conservatives, I think we need to think about what the hell

00:20:21.920 And I do think that we're going to have to figure out what that is, because I think the temptation

00:20:25.640 is to intellectualize the policy aspects of this, and this is why you're getting all

00:20:28.940 these new debates.

00:20:29.380 We were having this debate earlier about, you know, economic populism and all this stuff.

00:20:32.800 The truth is Trump hasn't implemented any of this.

00:20:34.900 I think that this is the one area where I have been completely consistent with regard to

00:20:39.020 President Trump's appeal.

00:20:39.960 And I said this going all the way back to 2015, when I said I thought he might be the

00:20:42.760 only Republican who could win.

00:20:44.460 And then I changed my mind as he became more toxic over time.

00:20:47.380 But in 2015, I gave a speech at Mizzou University, in which I said he may be the only person in

00:20:51.800 the Republican field who can win because he is fighting back against identity politics in

00:20:57.080 a way that no one else in the Republican field is.

00:20:59.140 And he is still doing that.

00:21:01.240 He's doing so in ways that I don't always like.

00:21:03.200 Like, I think that he crosses the line for me too much, but it is possible that the

00:21:08.640 Democrats have crossed the line so far that anybody who is willing to shatter this glass

00:21:12.800 with this hammer right here is working a certain magic.

00:21:15.520 Don Lemon, who is one of the people I just, who is a bellwether, talking about bellwethers,

00:21:19.800 he's a bellwether.

00:21:20.260 Bellwether.

00:21:20.680 Hang on one second.

00:21:22.100 Yeah, we got a drink.

00:21:22.940 Yeah, we got a drink for a bellwether.

00:21:24.100 That's true. 0.98

00:21:24.920 But, you know, he made that horrible comment about how white men are the big problem in this 0.99

00:21:28.280 country. 0.98

00:21:28.560 And I thought, wow, that really is a racist thing to say.

00:21:30.420 Now he's doubling down on it, and he has a chart of who has done extremist violence.

00:21:35.040 And I thought, wow, what if I put on a chart that showed that 7% of the population, black 0.70

00:21:39.420 males, had committed 50% of the homicides and attributed it to their blackness.

00:21:44.300 It's one thing to get the stats out there, and the stats are true, but to attribute it 0.97

00:21:47.660 to their blackness.

00:21:48.640 I would be fired from CNN. 0.99

00:21:50.100 I should be fired from CNN.

00:21:50.860 Rightly.

00:21:51.420 You would rightly be fired.

00:21:52.240 That's right.

00:21:52.760 And so should he.

00:21:53.680 This incredible racism has taken over the left.

00:21:56.680 And, you know, on the right, we get it.

00:21:58.880 We get it.

00:21:59.320 The racism is over.

00:22:00.440 You know, I mean, you and I, we know every conservative, the four of us know every conservative

00:22:05.380 basically in the country.

00:22:06.560 I don't sit in private meetings with these guys and suddenly hear them spout racism.

00:22:10.360 No, this is right.

00:22:10.840 That's not what's happening.

00:22:11.580 I've never heard.

00:22:12.340 I mean, I know probably 100 members of Congress, and I know probably one third of the members

00:22:17.320 of the Senate.

00:22:17.740 And I just dropped a bunch of names right there, so I'm going to have to pick all those

00:22:19.800 that I got.

00:22:20.080 But the Democrats really believe, like, there's a huge swath of the media that believes

00:22:24.480 that behind closed doors, whenever there's a meeting, people are just dropping the N-word.

00:22:27.340 I have never heard one of these people even come remotely close to doing anything like

00:22:31.540 that.

00:22:31.660 And this is the difference between the racism on the right and the racism on the left.

00:22:37.240 I, too, know exactly one senator, Ted Cruz.

00:22:40.040 Dear God, I hope he wins so that I still know one senator who wins every single senator.

00:22:45.480 You've got to make friends with Beto.

00:22:46.760 Yeah.

00:22:47.460 To Beto.

00:22:48.040 I, too, know many people in elected government who, of course, don't know any racists.

00:22:52.500 But that's not to say that there is not racism on the right.

00:22:55.160 Well, there's racism everywhere.

00:22:55.660 There's racism on the extreme fringes of the right.

00:22:59.340 The racism on the left is not at the extreme fringes.

00:23:02.120 The racism on the left is on CNN.

00:23:04.080 And the same thing is true of anti-Semitism. 0.53

00:23:05.640 It's welcome on college campuses.

00:23:07.260 That's right.

00:23:07.860 It's welcome in polite conversation.

00:23:09.500 And they don't even know it about themselves.

00:23:11.140 And this is the part where I think that people have reacted supremely awfully on the left

00:23:16.420 to the whole situation in Pittsburgh.

00:23:19.220 So a person I'm friends with, Barry Weiss, who's a columnist over at the New York Times.

00:23:22.480 Barry's delightful.

00:23:23.120 She's a nice person.

00:23:23.500 Not one of the good ones at the New York Times.

00:23:24.700 Right, but she went on Bill Maher and she said that she was voting straight line Democrat

00:23:28.820 as a sort of renunciation of President Trump's language with regard to the alt-right in 2015-2016.

00:23:37.380 Now, as the number one target of that alt-right in 2015-2016, someone who has been highly critical

00:23:42.380 at literally every step of not only the alt-right, but what I thought was Trump winking and nodding

00:23:46.820 at them in 2016, which he did do in 2016.

00:23:50.020 With all of that said, the notion that you are going to respond to what happened in Pittsburgh

00:23:54.680 by endorsing the party of Keith Ellison.

00:23:57.140 Really?

00:23:58.080 And Linusar Soor.

00:23:59.480 And Linusar Soor.

00:24:00.400 And divest and boycott.

00:24:01.440 And the Iran deal.

00:24:02.940 And the party of let's bring in as many immigrants from countries that we know nothing about

00:24:07.360 as humanly possible without betting any of them.

00:24:09.560 Like, that's your response?

00:24:11.300 Americans have been told, and this is what I think is really happening, and it's good 1.00

00:24:15.700 to feel justified if that's what happens tonight electorally.

00:24:18.240 Americans have been told that their agenda is racist by the left.

00:24:21.560 That's right.

00:24:22.040 And they are sick and tired of hearing it.

00:24:24.060 And when the media says, and when Trump crosses the line, when he says stuff that's racially

00:24:29.460 tinged or close to racist, and the media says, well, not only is Trump saying something racist,

00:24:34.700 he's dog whistling to all of you.

00:24:36.240 The implication is that we are all the dogs, and we need him to dog whistle to us and somehow

00:24:40.920 hit the button of racism, and then we're ready to go.

00:24:43.400 Our racist cap pops up, and we are ready to go to battle against all of the minority folks, 1.00

00:24:47.280 and that's bullshit. 1.00

00:24:48.520 Of course it's bullshit. 1.00

00:24:49.380 Of course it's bullshit. 1.00

00:24:51.300 Not bullshit. 1.00

00:24:52.740 I can't segue into these ads sometimes. 0.98

00:24:54.700 Because here's the thing about an ad read.

00:24:56.960 Takes years.

00:24:57.640 Takes years to learn how to segue.

00:24:58.560 And the thing about an ad read is we're talking about people who make it possible for us to

00:25:02.560 have a broken air conditioner and audio problems.

00:25:04.780 Like, the only money.

00:25:05.860 They pay for our broken air conditioner.

00:25:07.280 They pay all the money that we have in the company, and I just sometimes feel bad for 1.00

00:25:10.700 them when it's like, yes, that's bullshit, and racism's bad, and I hate the left. 0.99

00:25:13.780 Now a word for more of us. 1.00

00:25:15.680 Speaking of Linda Sarsour.

00:25:17.440 Speaking of the ultimate doom of the Democratic Party, and also your ultimate doom, let's talk

00:25:22.380 about the need.

00:25:23.200 This is why you're such a pro.

00:25:23.880 I'm like a professional.

00:25:24.820 You are so good.

00:25:25.420 That was so good.

00:25:26.620 Isn't that incredible?

00:25:27.600 Let's pause for just a minute.

00:25:28.380 Wow.

00:25:28.960 Wow.

00:25:29.880 Right.

00:25:30.120 You think that your night was dead enough being with us, but you can resurrect your night

00:25:34.020 and your possibilities of future financial independence by getting life insurance right

00:25:38.080 now.

00:25:38.280 Because the fact is, if you don't have life insurance, you're being an irresponsible human.

00:25:41.460 And when you plot and your family looks around, they said, how are we going to pay for this 1.00

00:25:43.760 schmuck's funeral? 0.99

00:25:44.500 The only way that's going to happen is if you actually went and bought life insurance.

00:25:48.980 This is great, man.

00:25:51.140 Actually having life insurance is an important thing.

00:25:53.620 And the people of Policy Genius are the folks who make that happen.

00:25:56.140 In just two minutes, you can compare quotes from the top insurers and find the best policy

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00:26:01.100 It is indeed that simple.

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00:26:03.180 They also do disability insurance and auto insurance and home insurance.

00:26:06.120 If you care about it, they can cover it.

00:26:07.460 There's no reason for you to put this off any longer.

00:26:09.740 If you're listening to this broadcast later, the election's already over.

00:26:12.280 Just go pause it right now.

00:26:13.300 Go to policygenius.com.

00:26:14.840 Go pick up your insurance and then come back here safe in the knowledge that if you crash

00:26:18.560 your car five minutes from now, everything's going to be okay for your family.

00:26:21.560 So go to policygenius.com.

00:26:22.920 It's the easy way to compare and buy life insurance.

00:26:24.740 Get those quotes.

00:26:25.360 Apply in minutes.

00:26:26.060 Again, be a responsible human, not like a candidate from Texas who drives drunk and hits somebody on

00:26:30.780 the oncoming side of the road.

00:26:32.080 Go to policygenius.

00:26:33.180 Go to some guy from Texas and then drives drunk and comes back.

00:26:35.800 And policygenius, the easy way to compare and buy life insurance.

00:26:39.340 Policygenius, I can't segue into ads, but I can't talk about what's good about these

00:26:44.060 companies.

00:26:44.500 Yes.

00:26:44.800 This is another, I kid you not, we're on a roll tonight.

00:26:47.280 This is another company in which I got a recommendation from Ben to look for life insurance on Policygenius

00:26:53.820 before Policygenius was a sponsor on our show.

00:26:56.160 Really?

00:26:56.180 No kidding.

00:26:56.880 And because I, you know, I like to wear untucket shirts and everything I own comes from the

00:27:01.400 internet.

00:27:02.560 So I was like, oh, I want some life insurance.

00:27:04.700 And Ben's like, have you tried the internet?

00:27:07.080 That's a good idea.

00:27:07.980 I've tried this out.

00:27:08.820 Yeah, I've heard of that internet.

00:27:09.700 But we're going to get back to this thrilling conversation.

00:27:12.620 First, I want to, finally, I think we have solved the technical issues that were forbidding

00:27:17.460 us from speaking to Elisha Krause.

00:27:19.080 I think we have her now in Daily Wire election headquarters.

00:27:21.640 Elisha, what's going on out there in the crazy world?

00:27:22.900 Honestly, I should have kept it that way because I would have still been able to talk to y'all.

00:27:25.240 I just wouldn't have been able to hear you, which would have been a relief.

00:27:27.360 But now we have updates and my birth state of Florida.

00:27:32.060 I mean, as Kristen Soltis-Anderson rightfully said on Twitter, their main, you know, exports

00:27:37.320 are the wonderful Tim Tebow, alligators, crazy news stories, and toss-up elections.

00:27:43.440 So we got some crazy toss-ups today.

00:27:45.540 It looks as if Rick Scott there, a former governor himself, is real close.

00:27:50.880 And then, of course, we have the Senate race as well.

00:27:52.860 It looks like Bill Nelson is neck and neck with the GOP candidate.

00:27:56.180 We have it right here.

00:27:59.300 This is fascinating.

00:28:00.560 It's going to be really interesting.

00:28:02.000 There's almost 80% of the precincts reporting.

00:28:04.100 Of course, all of the polls there are closed.

00:28:05.560 Moving over to the gubernatorial race, of course, just four days ago, we saw former President

00:28:09.440 Barack Obama give that fiery speech where he attacked Donald Trump, and he talked about

00:28:13.420 the importance of getting out and voting.

00:28:15.020 And he got my, as Ben and I refer to, his Obama preacher voice on.

00:28:18.800 He was down there promoting Andrew Gillum.

00:28:21.780 And it looks as if Gillum and Ron DeSantis, Trump supporter, you remember him because

00:28:27.580 he did that whole commercial where he told his toddler son to build the wall with the

00:28:30.740 Legos.

00:28:32.000 They are also neck and neck.

00:28:33.680 So, Florida guys, the Florida guys.

00:28:36.960 Hopefully, it won't be another 2,000 with the hanging chads.

00:28:39.940 I was concerned that the governor races in Georgia were going to keep us, you know, twiddling

00:28:44.360 our thumbs and anxious all night long.

00:28:45.800 But it looks as if Florida is once again delivering this election cycle.

00:28:48.880 Let's move to Indiana if we can, though.

00:28:51.620 It looks as if President Trump really did a wonder for the Republican candidate for Senate

00:28:56.440 there.

00:28:57.560 It's looking like, I mean, this.

00:29:00.080 Early results, yeah.

00:29:01.140 Huge results.

00:29:02.000 Especially because Donnelly, you know, he ain't a Nancy Pelosi, Dianne Feinstein Democrat.

00:29:06.220 He was really, he's voted with President Trump on some things.

00:29:08.980 He's sided with his own party on others.

00:29:10.880 So, this is fascinating.

00:29:12.400 And I think the president-

00:29:13.040 Do we know what percentage of the vote is in right now in Indiana?

00:29:15.140 The percentage of the vote that is in right now, I think, was around 50%.

00:29:19.020 So, we still have a long way to go.

00:29:20.960 We still have some of those metropolitan areas that we had talked about earlier, you

00:29:23.980 know, that need to come in.

00:29:26.360 Because the metro areas, of course, tend to be more liberal, which got CNN really excited

00:29:30.580 because, I guess, the city of Austin, which is the blueberry in the cherry pie of Texas,

00:29:35.420 was, of course, came in for Beta Bay or whatever the hell we call him.

00:29:39.740 But, we will be watching all of these-

00:29:42.340 I can't do an Irish brogue, so I can't actually-

00:29:44.200 Hidey-didey-dey, my name's Beto Rorke.

00:29:47.000 Hidey-didey.

00:29:48.500 An even worse actor than you are a political comic.

00:29:51.140 Whoa, whoa, whoa.

00:29:52.740 Hold the fort there.

00:29:53.900 Bite your tongue there.

00:29:54.680 So, Lawrence Olivier, you lose a little bit of money.

00:29:57.100 What if we produced an entire series just to test the proposition?

00:30:00.020 Yeah, yeah.

00:30:02.440 Because this is our election special, but it's also an episode of our backstage show,

00:30:07.000 which we do once a month, and for that reason, I want to take some questions from our audience

00:30:11.560 right now.

00:30:12.140 If you're a subscriber to The Daily Wire, if you give us your $10 a month over at dailywire.com

00:30:16.120 slash subscribe, you can ask us questions throughout the night, and that's a big part of how we

00:30:21.160 do the job that we do here, is because we have these wonderful subscribers who are mailing

00:30:25.500 us their alms each and every month, and they keep us all in employ.

00:30:31.580 Yes.

00:30:32.160 Can I tell you, last night I was at UCLA, and a guy got up, and he had gotten into my

00:30:36.800 mailbag, and I apparently told him to man up, and he said it changed his life for the

00:30:41.240 better.

00:30:41.580 Is he currently married?

00:30:42.960 I don't know if he's currently married.

00:30:44.160 He used to be a female. 0.99

00:30:45.240 He said, yeah, exactly.

00:30:46.760 He was a woman.

00:30:48.340 But no, he said that was what he needed to hear.

00:30:51.200 So, it's my mailbag.

00:30:51.740 What an amazing thing.

00:30:52.300 Answer's 100% correct.

00:30:53.460 So, some people say in life that the measure of a good life is if you could reach just one

00:30:57.600 poor soul and bring value to them. 0.94

00:31:00.120 I'm done.

00:31:00.580 As the guys who write your checks.

00:31:03.140 One ain't enough.

00:31:03.960 I think I said, I'm ready.

00:31:06.560 I'm done.

00:31:06.720 Keep it coming, Clayton.

00:31:07.680 Keep it coming.

00:31:08.520 Let's go back to Election HQ and hear some questions from our viewers.

00:31:11.520 Yeah, we do have some of those from Cassie and Colton over here.

00:31:14.340 Four subscribers who everyone is watching.

00:31:16.160 We got some great viewers on Facebook and YouTube, but only subscribers can ask the questions.

00:31:20.480 Cassie, what do you got?

00:31:21.920 Well, we have several questions over here.

00:31:23.740 Colton has them right up in front of him.

00:31:25.620 So, let's start off with Dawson.

00:31:26.880 I think it's a pretty serious question, too.

00:31:28.960 Why should I care about other states' governorships?

00:31:31.400 Oh, boy.

00:31:32.920 The governors are the backbone of the country.

00:31:35.560 They produce the executives who might go on to win the presidency.

00:31:40.240 Far more governors.

00:31:41.340 Governors are much more well-trained for the presidency than senators are.

00:31:44.760 And they are the ones.

00:31:46.620 We are still a federation of states, and they're the ones who connect with the president through

00:31:50.980 the states and direct money and direct politics. 0.99

00:31:54.780 They're really important for campaigns as well.

00:31:57.060 And the other reason that governorships matter a lot is because you don't find out how much

00:32:00.680 governorships of other states matter until those states go completely bankrupt and turn

00:32:03.520 to the federal government.

00:32:04.240 And you have to bail them in.

00:32:05.240 That's right.

00:32:05.660 Because what's going to happen eventually in places like California is you have these

00:32:08.280 large, outstanding trillion-dollar debts and deficits, and eventually they're going

00:32:12.920 to have to look to the federal government for help.

00:32:14.860 And when that happens, things are going to get quite ugly.

00:32:17.340 And this is basically why the EU broke down, is you had some countries in the EU spending

00:32:22.200 well past their means, and other countries having to sack up and pay for those countries.

00:32:26.600 You could have something similar in the United States based on debt in places like Illinois,

00:32:30.820 places like California.

00:32:32.240 Also, obviously, those governors very often end up running for president, so their politics

00:32:35.560 end up making a difference.

00:32:37.140 And you can change the population's view in populous states of politics more generally

00:32:43.340 by how you govern.

00:32:44.340 If you have a good Democratic governor in a state, I know, oxymoron.

00:32:48.080 But if you did, then that could help change the state's entire political complexion.

00:32:51.340 And the same thing is true of a Republican governor in a purple state.

00:32:56.660 They are really the laboratories of democracy.

00:32:58.220 And the great bulwark against tyranny was always intended by the founders to be the state

00:33:02.620 governments.

00:33:03.020 That's right.

00:33:03.360 And while we've eroded the power of the states, I think one of the great hopes for the country

00:33:08.060 is that we can see the states be empowered once again.

00:33:11.200 There's a very personal reason, too, which is that when you live in California, you know,

00:33:15.600 like, you've got Governor Moonbeam here.

00:33:17.340 You might think, you're in Texas, you think, oh, I don't care that they've got Democrat Governor

00:33:20.520 Moonbeam, except when he governs that state into the ground, then all the refugees from 1.00

00:33:25.380 California invade your state and ruin your politics and maybe elect Beto to the United 1.00

00:33:30.560 States government.

00:33:31.300 One more question.

00:33:32.680 Colton.

00:33:33.220 So we've got a question from Alex.

00:33:34.800 And it says, if Ted Cruz loses, what do you think it means for Texas?

00:33:38.380 And why do you think Beto has received so much fanfare?

00:33:41.020 Is he the next Obama?

00:33:41.840 He is a great candidate.

00:33:43.900 Beto is a great candidate.

00:33:45.220 And I think he's, first of all, he's outspent Cruz by at least $10 million.

00:33:49.780 He's got a political machine that is maybe eight times, yeah, more than that, maybe like

00:33:55.520 80 times the size of Ted Cruz.

00:33:59.400 He is a terrific candidate.

00:34:00.860 He knows what he's doing.

00:34:01.780 He's run the campaign that Ted Cruz ran when he won the first time.

00:34:05.660 He has knocked on doors.

00:34:06.620 He's brought out new voters.

00:34:07.880 And yeah, he is the white Obama.

00:34:09.780 That is exactly what he is.

00:34:10.760 He's also been given tremendous credit by the media.

00:34:13.580 Well, that's going to happen to any Obama, any Obama.

00:34:15.600 But what's rare about that is that usually the media has been withholding that sort of

00:34:19.300 support except for minority candidates.

00:34:21.240 And this is why the whole Beto thing is actually a little bit more than humorous.

00:34:24.700 Like if he had been called Robert O'Rourke in this race, I do not think there is any chance

00:34:29.340 that the media treat him this way.

00:34:30.700 I want to say something a little controversial here.

00:34:32.580 And it's that there are a bunch of reasons why Texas has drifted purple, more purple than

00:34:38.440 we're comfortable seeing.

00:34:39.140 Some of it is the refugees from California. 0.57

00:34:41.360 Some of it is unchecked immigration that's been going on in the country for some time.

00:34:45.580 But a major part of the reason, in my opinion, that Ted Cruz has had the fight that he's

00:34:49.760 had is because part of the collateral damage of the way that Donald Trump conducts himself

00:34:54.940 is that he hurt Ted Cruz with his base, which he co-opted from Ted Cruz.

00:35:00.640 It is the conservative base who turned out for Donald Trump ultimately.

00:35:05.560 And because President Trump is not gracious with the foes that he vanquishes, many people

00:35:12.560 – I made a defense of Senator Cruz on my Twitter feed this week, and I got hit from

00:35:18.660 all sides on it.

00:35:19.400 It really surprised me.

00:35:20.420 There were those who said that they couldn't support Ted Cruz because, for example, he didn't

00:35:24.180 stand up for his wife when Donald Trump attacked her.

00:35:26.700 There were other people who said that they couldn't support Ted Cruz because he's lying

00:35:31.340 Ted and he's just going to run against Donald Trump in two years.

00:35:34.260 And the whole thing – in other words, when you engage in the kind of burn the ships style

00:35:43.300 of political warfare that Donald Trump engages in, you do sometimes take down your own allies.

00:35:48.920 And Ted Cruz has been an enormous ally of this president in practice over the last few

00:35:54.220 years.

00:35:54.560 He's been a great ally.

00:35:54.860 Well, that is true.

00:35:56.080 I also – I'm not going to put that all on Trump.

00:35:58.120 I think that Ted has hurt himself with his base because Ted's original pitch was that

00:36:03.720 he was the most authentic conservative out there.

00:36:07.680 And the key word there is authentic, not conservative.

00:36:10.700 And in 2016, because of all the machinations and because of all the back and forth, it made him

00:36:15.860 look more politician-y than he had been before.

00:36:18.720 And so Beto's whole pitch was basically, I'm an authentic candidate.

00:36:21.280 Here I am.

00:36:21.780 Look at me being authentic as I ride my skateboard and do kickflips.

00:36:25.740 But to Jeremy's point, I mean, this is one of the things that we are going to have to

00:36:29.620 deal with, especially if the Republicans win tonight.

00:36:33.220 And we have to credit Donald Trump with touching something in the American public.

00:36:36.760 We have to also say that this is a tremendously flawed man.

00:36:39.700 None of us has disagreed with this.

00:36:41.200 I mean, even you.

00:36:42.780 Even I.

00:36:43.080 We have admitted the guy.

00:36:44.420 The most Trumpy among us, we think this is a very flawed man.

00:36:47.640 And we have to ask ourselves, does that speak to a flaw in the American character?

00:36:51.100 Or are the American people saying, no, we're overlooking his flaws to get to something that

00:36:56.760 really is gold at the heart of it?

00:36:57.560 What I'll say is, it was not necessary for Donald Trump to destroy Ted Cruz in the end

00:37:03.160 of the 2016 election cycle.

00:37:04.900 Well, he's a burn-the-ships guy.

00:37:06.460 He's a burn-the-ships guy.

00:37:07.320 Yes.

00:37:07.580 And had he not, Ted Cruz would be, in my estimation, walking away with us.

00:37:13.380 He got very ugly at the end there, at the end of that primary campaign.

00:37:16.680 And I think both guys did things that...

00:37:18.660 Oh, wait a minute.

00:37:19.660 I think there are good people on both sides.

00:37:21.760 This is not a joke.

00:37:22.300 This is not a joke.

00:37:23.160 No, this is not.

00:37:23.840 I don't remember Ted Cruz saying that Donald Trump's father killed...

00:37:26.720 But he didn't endorse him at the convention, and that's what...

00:37:29.520 It was a political mistake, but it was not a moral duty.

00:37:33.080 I agree with that entirely.

00:37:34.440 But with all of that said, you know, because these election results so far are just astonishing.

00:37:40.660 I mean, astonishing.

00:37:41.400 Like, if Ron DeSantis ends up as governor of Florida after as much press as the media gave

00:37:45.660 Andrew Gillum and him going out there and maligning Ron DeSantis, a good man, as a racist,

00:37:53.380 if the Republicans end up pulling this out, then you have to say at a certain point that

00:37:58.440 Donald Trump's brand of rage politics, which it is, that is...

00:38:03.460 I do think that that has struck a chord in the American people because he's at least authentically

00:38:06.780 rageful.

00:38:07.440 So what I said on my show this morning is that I think authenticity is the currency of the

00:38:12.020 realm right now.

00:38:12.580 I think it's the only thing that matters.

00:38:13.660 I think that everything else is secondary.

00:38:15.660 There is no one more authentic in American politics than Donald Trump because everything

00:38:19.060 that he believes comes out of his mouth right now.

00:38:22.000 And what that means is that...

00:38:23.700 I was actually analyzing this on my show this morning, looking at the final pitch that was

00:38:27.460 being made by Republicans versus the final pitch being made by Democrats.

00:38:29.980 The final pitch being made by Republicans was Trump going out there and saying, here I

00:38:34.120 am, rocky like a hurricane, right?

00:38:36.800 And that was...

00:38:37.500 And his pitch was, I'm here, I'm Schmier, I'm Donald...

00:38:40.900 I am who I am, and that's all that I am, right?

00:38:44.140 And it was the Popeye campaign, right?

00:38:46.360 I'm not hiding the ball here.

00:38:47.820 I am what I am.

00:38:49.060 I am this way on immigration.

00:38:51.200 I say what I want to say.

00:38:52.760 Like it or don't like it.

00:38:54.100 This is what I am.

00:38:54.980 The Democrats ran essentially a bifurcated campaign.

00:38:58.220 On the one hand, they were saying to their base, we're going to be as radical as you

00:39:01.660 could.

00:39:02.020 You're not even going to believe how radical we're going to be.

00:39:03.760 We're going to go nationalized health care.

00:39:05.020 We're going to go Medicare for all. 0.94

00:39:06.000 We're going to do free college tuition.

00:39:07.520 We're going to defund the military.

00:39:08.880 We're going to open the borders.

00:39:09.780 But they were saying this kind of stuff out loud, right?

00:39:11.580 They were saying, they were saying, confront people in public places.

00:39:16.580 And all the Republicans were like, okay, that's what they're actually running on.

00:39:18.900 They're running on, okay, he's running on I am what I am.

00:39:20.860 They're running on I am what I am.

00:39:22.240 I'd rather he is what he is than they are what they are.

00:39:24.500 But what they were also doing is they were lying.

00:39:26.720 And this is where I think they were hurting themselves a little bit, if this turns out

00:39:29.700 to be what it may be looking like here.

00:39:31.980 The Democrats were lying to the American people because at the same time that they were doing

00:39:37.060 the I am what I am routine, they were also saying to the American people, we're the good

00:39:40.960 guys.

00:39:41.920 Donald Trump's a bad guy. 0.99

00:39:43.240 He's a bad, mean man. 1.00

00:39:44.960 He's a bad, mean, orange, giant man. 1.00

00:39:47.180 Just like all the racists who vote for him. 0.99

00:39:49.300 Just like every racist who hates us, we are as pure as the...

00:39:53.380 Paul Krugman wrote this column, I kid you not, five times in the last four weeks.

00:39:58.040 I read all of his columns on the air because it legitimately was like a Mad Libs machine. 0.96

00:40:01.800 He just kind of threw in a few terms like racist, sexist, bigot, homophobe, and Trump. 0.96

00:40:05.240 And it came out in various conjugations. 0.94

00:40:07.460 And then he just slid it into the submission pile.

00:40:11.020 What that means is that Democrats have actually, the lying of the Democrats about who they are

00:40:17.460 is even more damaging than who they actually are in certain ways.

00:40:21.260 Because I think that people feel gaslit. 1.00

00:40:22.780 You make people feel gaslit and people lose their shit. 1.00

00:40:25.760 And that's what I think has been going on here. 0.99

00:40:27.360 I have to say something.

00:40:28.160 I want to talk for a minute though about this idea that Trump is a racist.

00:40:31.960 Because I actually believe that Trump is not a racist.

00:40:34.160 You know, the only thing that to me that he ever said that was genuinely egregious on

00:40:38.300 this topic was when he didn't disavow immediately the Ku Klux Klan.

00:40:42.440 But when you really get to know Trump, as we've all gotten to know him, he's a completely

00:40:46.640 practical man to the extent that more practical than I would like to see him be because I believe

00:40:51.800 in morality.

00:40:53.100 He just thinks, no, I don't want to lose that vote.

00:40:55.560 I don't want to lose that vote. 0.95

00:40:56.420 Donald Trump is racially insensitive.

00:40:58.440 He is not racist. 0.99

00:40:59.640 But Donald Trump is blank insensitive. 0.95

00:41:02.720 Correct.

00:41:03.080 Exactly.

00:41:04.100 Racially insensitive is just a subset of insensitive.

00:41:07.620 You took the word racially right out of that.

00:41:09.260 That's right.

00:41:09.500 It was amazing.

00:41:10.120 They tried to call him an anti-Semite.

00:41:12.340 That's hilarious.

00:41:12.960 Israel built or named a train station after him in Jerusalem.

00:41:16.280 He's got three Jewish children.

00:41:17.900 His daughter converted.

00:41:18.860 Right. 1.00

00:41:18.980 To call Trump an anti-Semite is just asinine. 0.99

00:41:21.760 He is a guy. 0.99

00:41:22.500 And we've known this for a long time.

00:41:24.040 Trump is the idea that it's so funny when people talk about Trump, it's the same thing

00:41:29.140 that I get when I go into the bookstores and you see in the self-help section, all these

00:41:32.760 books trying to help women understand men.

00:41:34.580 And if you're a man, you're like, this is so easy.

00:41:37.180 Right. 0.98

00:41:37.700 Like my wife says, sex, food and be nice to me. 1.00

00:41:39.320 Like this is the only thing. 0.93

00:41:41.280 Right. 0.99

00:41:41.600 Sex, food and be nice to me. 0.99

00:41:42.640 That's all we ask.

00:41:43.280 We are very simple people.

00:41:44.900 We're a simple people than men.

00:41:45.940 And Donald Trump is not complex, but everybody is trying to complexify what is not complex.

00:41:50.980 That's right.

00:41:51.160 He's a man.

00:41:51.840 And it all comes down to his personality, which is, it's not just that he's transactional.

00:41:56.980 It's that he likes praise and he dislikes criticism.

00:41:59.820 Right.

00:42:00.060 And so if someone praises him, he is loath to criticize them.

00:42:02.600 And if someone criticizes them, he is loath to ever praise them.

00:42:05.800 And he sees himself as a guy who fixes stuff.

00:42:08.020 Right.

00:42:08.240 Exactly.

00:42:08.700 Like he has a very simple version of himself.

00:42:10.760 Yeah.

00:42:11.080 And he's pretty obvious about it and he hasn't been hiding it.

00:42:13.140 And this is why whenever people were trying to like, oh, Steve Bannon is running the ship

00:42:16.220 and he's got a serious intellectual policy that's undergirding all of this.

00:42:20.600 Or what's the secret motivation that drives Donald Trump?

00:42:23.060 It's like, there's no secret motivation.

00:42:25.400 He is a 1960s Rat Pack guy without the drinking.

00:42:29.180 Right.

00:42:29.380 He likes to build gilded towers with his name on them.

00:42:32.140 Yep. 0.99

00:42:32.320 He likes to bang hot chicks. 0.99

00:42:33.780 That's right. 0.99

00:42:34.180 Right.

00:42:34.440 And he likes to say whatever's on his mind.

00:42:36.580 Yeah.

00:42:36.920 In the cigar sessions.

00:42:37.740 Right.

00:42:38.040 Like that's who Donald Trump is.

00:42:39.600 He's Fred Flintstone.

00:42:40.800 There's no.

00:42:41.000 But to your point about gaslighting, meanwhile, there is a party out there that is committing

00:42:47.240 mob violence.

00:42:48.640 Let's not, let's even just go back to the last.

00:42:50.700 Let's go back to the last time there was an election before Donald Trump when Barack

00:42:54.460 Obama encouraged a mob to burn Ferguson to the ground, tacitly encouraged, but encouraged.

00:43:00.640 So you've got, you've got, you've got Congress people calling for violence against Republicans.

00:43:06.020 Meanwhile, the media is saying there's the, the right is guilty of mob violence. 0.89

00:43:09.140 Then you've got a party that's saying, um, white men are the enemy and we, we need to

00:43:14.940 brownify America, which is a egregious racial statement. 0.98

00:43:19.040 And then saying, and also Republicans are racist. 0.95

00:43:21.760 Yep.

00:43:22.000 And people, this is to the gaslighting point that when, when violent people call you violent,

00:43:26.780 when racists call you racist, when anti-Semites call you anti-Semitic, when people who want

00:43:31.300 all of your money call you greedy, you, you do start to lose your mind. 1.00

00:43:35.420 And that's created this opening for Trump to say, you know, that's bullcrap. 0.99

00:43:39.160 This is amazing.

00:43:40.000 Mike DeWine right now is running extraordinarily competitive with Richard Cordray in Ohio.

00:43:44.120 Cordray is the Democrat who is the head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the

00:43:48.100 most overreaching federal agencies ever created by the federal government Democrat.

00:43:51.100 He was expected to win pretty much walking away against DeWine, uh, who was, is the Ohio

00:43:56.640 attorney general right now.

00:43:57.680 They are running neck and neck with DeWine just ahead.

00:43:59.560 Not a lot of the vote in so far, but the early indicators tonight are, are, there is no blue

00:44:04.960 wave.

00:44:05.220 I mean, if, if they, like, I'm not sure if it's too early to say this, but there's no

00:44:09.000 indicator that there's certainly not a tsunami.

00:44:11.100 There may not even be a wave.

00:44:12.620 It may not be a ripple.

00:44:14.220 Henry Olson is now saying, Henry Olson is saying, I'd rather be Scott than Nelson in Florida.

00:44:18.420 He'd rather be the Republican in Florida.

00:44:20.040 I mean, this is, by the way, they declared it for Braun, right?

00:44:22.780 Braun won the seat.

00:44:23.860 Donald is done.

00:44:24.460 And that's the other thing also.

00:44:25.460 That's right.

00:44:25.880 Democrats can win the house and it's still not be a blue wave.

00:44:28.600 That's one thing that we've all talked about internally, but that we've not said aloud.

00:44:31.940 By a significant margin.

00:44:33.420 Yeah.

00:44:33.680 I mean, we're talking about 20, what are the, 24 seats need to flip.

00:44:36.900 Right.

00:44:37.220 And they could win 30.

00:44:38.420 They could win 30.

00:44:38.920 There's nothing like a blue wave.

00:44:40.060 Certainly not a blue wave.

00:44:40.720 That's right.

00:44:41.300 It's a, it's an historic anomaly in Trump's favor.

00:44:43.660 That's right.

00:44:44.040 If the Democrats win the house.

00:44:45.000 That's right.

00:44:45.520 That's right.

00:44:45.840 So, you know, it's not smart.

00:44:47.140 But job sites that overwhelm you with tons of the wrong resumes.

00:44:50.840 We're talking about ZipRecruiter here, who I know that all three of you have a good relationship

00:44:55.000 with ZipRecruiter.

00:44:55.300 Yeah, because if we had had ZipRecruiter, would Knowles be sitting here today?

00:44:58.220 Not a chance.

00:44:59.040 Not a single chance.

00:45:00.360 If we had had Google, Michael Knowles would be sitting here.

00:45:02.520 Is ZipRecruiter the one where they drag you out of the gutter and then wash you off in

00:45:06.660 the Daily Wire offices?

00:45:08.460 Every day I say to myself, we here at Daily Wire have a special deal with ZipRecruiter where

00:45:12.220 you can actually check it out and you can try it for free.

00:45:15.640 Why have I not done this? 1.00

00:45:17.680 Legitimately, every time I read this ad, I'm like, this stupid guy in this ridiculous jacket. 1.00

00:45:22.040 He literally cost me nothing. 1.00

00:45:23.340 They advertise with me.

00:45:24.580 Why have I not replaced this human?

00:45:26.500 Yeah, there's no rationale.

00:45:28.380 ZipRecruiter doesn't wait for candidates to find you.

00:45:30.240 ZipRecruiter finds them for you.

00:45:31.560 They have powerful matching technology that scans thousands of resumes, identifies people

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00:45:48.000 And right now, my listeners can try ZipRecruiter for free at ZipRecruiter.com slash backstage.

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00:46:01.020 Indeed, ZipRecruiter is the smartest way to hire.

00:46:03.880 You know, I have to tell you, almost everywhere I go, seriously, one of the questions I get,

00:46:07.700 you know, we always get, you know, you kind of get the same question.

00:46:09.780 One of them is, why is everybody so mean to Michael Knowles?

00:46:12.400 Yeah.

00:46:12.720 And this just seems self-evident to me.

00:46:13.860 They've never met Michael Knowles.

00:46:16.360 You know what it is, though?

00:46:17.300 I'm not sure I even understand the question.

00:46:18.080 You know, I can explain it to you guys.

00:46:19.440 So as a number one best-selling author, I, you know, some people...

00:46:24.020 I think now we're getting to the core of the issue here.

00:46:26.460 No, you know, sometimes people try, you know, I understand.

00:46:31.640 You see one of the great John Cage political philosophers of your age, and you think, that

00:46:36.660 guy, he couldn't really...

00:46:38.220 So that's why I understand.

00:46:39.600 That is a doubly offensive joke, because first of all, who knows who John Cage is?

00:46:44.400 And secondly, you are John Cage.

00:46:46.980 John Cage wrote Silence as a symphony.

00:46:50.640 So we actually have an update.

00:46:52.620 We're going to kick it over to Alicia Krauss at Daily Wire Election HQ. 0.91

00:46:55.560 I really wanted to call it Alicia's Election Headquarters, because it has a nice ring to

00:46:59.820 it, but I think me and my mom are the only two people on the planet doing that tonight.

00:47:03.780 I'm in.

00:47:04.380 Alicia's Election Headquarters.

00:47:05.200 Hey, here we go.

00:47:06.180 Change the graphic.

00:47:06.680 Is it sort of like crawdads and stuff?

00:47:08.440 Hey.

00:47:08.880 It sounds like it should.

00:47:09.680 Hey, now.

00:47:10.400 Oh, whoa.

00:47:11.060 Crawdads are delicious.

00:47:12.020 Oh, my gosh.

00:47:12.440 How many...

00:47:13.500 What percent is reporting on this, Alicia?

00:47:15.460 Give us your update.

00:47:16.160 We have a fascinating update.

00:47:18.060 We only got 10% reporting in Georgia, but it looks as if right now, Brian Kemp is up against

00:47:24.000 Stacey Abrams, and of course, you know, Stacey Abrams, who you get a vote, you get a vote,

00:47:28.040 you get a vote.

00:47:28.920 Oprah went to talk to everybody the other day, but Kemp has brought in some heavy hitters 0.70

00:47:32.940 himself, including Vice President Mike Pence, so we're going to be watching that race throughout

00:47:36.480 the night.

00:47:36.820 Like I said earlier, it's really one that I was kind of nail-biting over, because I

00:47:40.640 feel like we're going to go to bed tonight, much like we did in 2000, and then again in

00:47:44.220 2004, and waking up wondering who won Georgia, specifically because of all the voter suppression

00:47:49.940 stuff and the lawsuits going back and forth from Kemp's campaign to the Democrats there,

00:47:54.980 and Abrams' campaign saying that there was suppression.

00:47:57.540 There's a lot going on.

00:47:58.980 But interestingly, there's this poll that some people have referred to as an outlier,

00:48:03.000 but they could just be accurate.

00:48:04.400 There's this Trafalgar group who accurately called the 2016 presidential election, when

00:48:08.760 as we all know, a lot of the other pollsters got it totally wrong.

00:48:12.300 Nate Silver, anyone?

00:48:13.280 Anyway, they are saying that their latest polling just three days ago showed Brian Kemp

00:48:19.260 up by 12 points and winning in Georgia.

00:48:22.180 So we will see at the end of the night if that ends up being accurate.

00:48:25.720 We also have about seven other states in the center of the country, God's country, flyover

00:48:30.760 country, according to liberals in LA and New York, but I like to call it God's country.

00:48:34.680 They are closing right now, so we'll be keeping an eye on those, but let's go to Texas real

00:48:38.420 quick if we can.

00:48:40.160 This is really close.

00:48:41.420 This is freaking me out.

00:48:42.560 So I'm watching everything.

00:48:44.080 I'm trying to keep calm.

00:48:45.820 Once again, very little reporting right now.

00:48:48.500 We're keeping track of multiple...

00:48:50.600 So you're showing us U.S.

00:48:52.060 Senate race in Texas at 52% O'Rourke over 47 for Cruz.

00:48:56.700 Do we know what percentage of the vote is in over there?

00:48:58.600 About 10% reporting.

00:48:59.560 Yeah, that means nothing.

00:49:00.860 So thanks, Alicia, for nothing.

00:49:02.480 Thanks for that.

00:49:02.900 A lot of them is going back from Dallas.

00:49:05.080 Thank you for your early results.

00:49:06.340 They mean nothing to me.

00:49:07.140 You know what?

00:49:07.620 At least I'm not showing you guys exit polling, okay?

00:49:10.060 We've got all the results from the Starbucks in the middle of Austin in, and it looks like

00:49:13.540 O'Rourke is up.

00:49:14.140 Are we allowed to talk about how great Alicia is looking?

00:49:16.960 She is looking good.

00:49:17.420 We are not.

00:49:18.040 Do you remember when we first...

00:49:19.580 Do you remember when we first hit 50 employees and we had mandatory sexual harassment?

00:49:24.880 No, I didn't show up for that.

00:49:26.260 And you didn't show up?

00:49:27.460 That's true.

00:49:27.980 This is a true story.

00:49:28.560 Also, the man who should have showed up, just for reference, Michael Knowles, who...

00:49:32.720 Oh, I had to do an online training.

00:49:34.820 It wasn't enough.

00:49:35.780 It was...

00:49:36.700 It was not enough.

00:49:37.920 What are you talking about, doll?

00:49:38.620 I think it was plenty.

00:49:39.720 What is Julia doing in the office? 1.00

00:49:41.800 You're looking terrific, baby.

00:49:43.200 I love it.

00:49:44.120 Was that covered?

00:49:45.240 I'm sorry.

00:49:45.600 Did I miss that day?

00:49:46.260 You look terrific, baby.

00:49:47.300 It's 100%.

00:49:47.740 I mean, to be honest with you, Alicia, anyone under the age of 40 looks like a baby to play with.

00:49:52.080 This is true.

00:49:52.900 He is the grandpa of the office.

00:49:55.060 Okay, so...

00:49:55.680 So, Alicia, we're going to check back in with you here in just a couple of minutes.

00:49:58.900 Ben, get us up to speed a little bit on what's going on.

00:50:00.860 What's going on is absolute crazy towns!

00:50:03.920 So, according to 538, the real-time forecast says that right now, the Democrats have a less

00:50:09.580 than 5% chance of winning the Senate, which means they are not going to win the Senate.

00:50:13.540 That was kind of expected.

00:50:14.580 They are saying right now that Democrats still have a 62% chance of winning the House.

00:50:19.280 That is a significant downgrade.

00:50:20.280 So, it was 88 first.

00:50:21.440 Then it was 75.

00:50:22.820 Then it was 66.

00:50:23.080 It is now 62.

00:50:23.720 I remember something a couple of years ago where the odds suddenly sort of changed.

00:50:29.200 There have been a couple of key districts where it looks like Republicans are going to hold,

00:50:32.480 including Dave Brat's district in Virginia, where it looked like he was really on the ropes.

00:50:35.800 The theory going into the election is that the female suburban vote and the Republican 0.99

00:50:39.300 kind of upper-income suburban vote is going to turn drastically against Trump,

00:50:43.000 or at least was going to stay home.

00:50:44.580 So far, we are not seeing that in evidence.

00:50:46.460 We are seeing increased Democratic turnout all over the place,

00:50:49.120 but we are also seeing solid Republican turnout all over the place,

00:50:52.080 and we are not seeing people defect.

00:50:53.580 Again, I think that that, no, I will say, I think that the lack of defections by people

00:50:57.920 who are constitutionally not friendly to kind of President Trump's persona,

00:51:02.140 that has less to do with them embracing the Trump persona

00:51:05.780 and more to do with them looking at the other side of the aisle and going, ah!

00:51:08.680 Yeah, but they are related, right?

00:51:11.500 It does speak to Trump's strategy, too.

00:51:13.880 The attack on Trump was that his strategy in going heavy on immigration was a mistake.

00:51:18.260 It was playing to his base when he needed to play to the independents.

00:51:20.980 His strategy, I believe, Trump's strategy, was that the same suburban women 1.00

00:51:26.820 who were concerned about health care were also concerned about things like sanctuary cities.

00:51:32.640 Right, security moms, just like in 2004. 0.88

00:51:34.340 Security moms, exactly.

00:51:34.620 Yep.

00:51:34.840 And that's what he was betting, and I think he was playing a very clever game.

00:51:37.920 So I think there is something else, too, and that is that Trump,

00:51:41.100 I'm not sure he has ever played to his base.

00:51:43.560 What I mean by that is what I think he actually plays to is his opposition.

00:51:46.840 Yeah.

00:51:47.020 He actually plays to their worst fears knowing that,

00:51:52.020 and I'm giving him some credit for strategery here, right?

00:51:54.060 Yeah, you are.

00:51:54.460 Like, I think that he, and I've talked to, you know,

00:51:58.020 there are a lot of folks at the White House who certainly believe this,

00:52:00.080 that no matter what he does, the Democrats will find a way

00:52:03.160 to do the worst thing in the world about it.

00:52:05.060 And when it comes to the immigration thing, look,

00:52:06.540 I've said from the outset pretty much that I think that all the alarmism

00:52:10.060 about this particular caravan is overstated.

00:52:12.120 I don't think 10,000 people are arriving at the borders,

00:52:14.020 rifles in hand, ready to invade the United States.

00:52:16.180 I think by the time it gets here, it's going to be where it was last year.

00:52:18.100 It's going to be 500 people who show up at a border station,

00:52:20.520 apply for asylum, four-fifths of them are rejected,

00:52:22.320 and they go back to their home countries.

00:52:24.000 But what Trump did by basically using alarmism and demagoguery here

00:52:28.560 is he got the Democrats to reveal what they actually believe about this,

00:52:32.780 which is not illegal immigration is an important issue,

00:52:35.920 but he's demagoguing the issue.

00:52:37.060 Here are our solutions.

00:52:38.140 He shouldn't be demagoguing the issue.

00:52:39.300 That's wrong.

00:52:40.180 Instead, it was open borders are great.

00:52:42.300 Yeah.

00:52:42.500 And you know what?

00:52:43.140 Everyone should be able to come in who should want to come in and abolish ICE.

00:52:46.520 And a bunch of people in the middle of the country went,

00:52:47.840 OK, so if I have a choice, if I now have a binary choice between

00:52:50.500 illegal immigration is a crisis, send the military, 1.00

00:52:53.440 and illegal immigration is a wonderful thing,

00:52:55.600 open up the border wide to accept anyone who wants to come in,

00:52:58.880 regardless of who they are, that's not a choice.

00:53:01.660 And the fact that Democrats have fallen into this trap of reacting to everything Trump does

00:53:06.280 as though it's Hitlerian is such a mistake,

00:53:10.120 because the thing is that the soft version of what Trump says,

00:53:14.500 he always says something with a grain of truth.

00:53:16.500 This is where Scott Adams has it right.

00:53:17.840 Scott Adams says that what Trump does very often,

00:53:20.180 consciously or unconsciously, is he sells past the sale.

00:53:22.700 There's a point where most people agree with him,

00:53:24.540 and then he sells past that point.

00:53:26.160 And in doing so, he allows the opposition to react to the point that he is now selling,

00:53:30.220 which is way past the point of acceptability,

00:53:32.360 and their reaction is also way past the point of acceptability.

00:53:35.020 I just want to pause for a minute.

00:53:36.180 Henry Olsen is calling Florida for DeSantis, and he is a-

00:53:39.360 Oh, thank God.

00:53:40.280 Good, good, good.

00:53:41.100 Unbelievable.

00:53:41.640 And he's a very sharp observer and not, you know, very cool.

00:53:44.300 So that's not an official call, but that's the Olsen call.

00:53:46.800 He's a very, very-

00:53:47.420 So I want to bring in our friend-

00:53:47.840 He's not the only one who's been saying that, by the way.

00:53:49.380 There's another, sorry, there's another, I think from FiveThirtyEight,

00:53:53.140 who's, no, it's Mark Caputo, who's the election analysis at ABC,

00:53:56.300 saying that he doesn't know where all these myths are coming from

00:53:59.100 about magical votes showing up in Broward County to save Gillum.

00:54:02.540 If Gillum loses, that is one of the biggest surprises of this election cycle.

00:54:07.160 I want to bring in our friend Glenn Beck to jump in on the conversation.

00:54:09.740 He's been on standby for a few minutes.

00:54:11.520 Glenn Jimman, are you with us?

00:54:13.560 I am.

00:54:14.360 I miss my California family.

00:54:16.200 How are you doing?

00:54:18.640 Where's my bong?

00:54:20.700 I think we still have it in here somewhere.

00:54:23.460 Glenn, we feel so underdressed.

00:54:24.840 I know, this is a, I mean, this is an opportunity in California.

00:54:28.820 You all should be high.

00:54:30.600 With Gillum, I think Gillum is going to lose Florida.

00:54:34.560 DeSantos is going to win.

00:54:36.940 You could see the House maybe, maybe being lost by the Republicans

00:54:43.580 to, and go into the hands of Nancy Pelosi. 1.00

00:54:47.080 But if they do, I think it'll be under five.

00:54:51.840 If they don't, oh my gosh, this is the worst part of me.

00:54:56.760 But the worst part of me is about 99.8% right now.

00:55:01.200 It's going to make me so happy just to watch the media spin completely out of here.

00:55:08.240 Isn't it beautiful?

00:55:09.480 Isn't it beautiful?

00:55:09.840 I mean, we're watching CNN right now on the other screen.

00:55:12.000 Glenn, I got to tell you, they are way more entertaining than you are

00:55:14.340 because watching as they finally get that post-cocaine letdown

00:55:18.520 is really exciting stuff.

00:55:21.160 I mean, Wolf Blitzer looks like he may be suicidal.

00:55:25.640 Just seriously, what are they going to say?

00:55:28.320 The only thing they can say, and you know they're saying it to each other,

00:55:32.000 they may actually come out and say it on the air.

00:55:35.480 My gosh, this country is even more racist.

00:55:38.540 That's what they're going to say.

00:55:39.840 By the way, they're now protecting that Marshall Blackburn wins Tennessee.

00:55:43.120 Marshall Blackburn is going to win Tennessee over Phil Bredesen,

00:55:45.780 which was supposed to be heading to the Republican outer wall.

00:55:48.840 Tennessee, Texas are kind of the, that's the line, right?

00:55:52.540 You've got to hold the line.

00:55:53.320 Yep.

00:55:53.780 So that Kavanaugh thing worked out great for the Democrats, guys.

00:55:57.220 I'd love to hear your guys' opinion on this.

00:55:59.720 I've been saying this for a while, and Stu is such a, you know,

00:56:02.840 a stat guy and a stick in the mud.

00:56:04.860 He won't let me have my fun on this.

00:56:06.260 I think with the amount of money that was spent and the amount of airtime that has been...

00:56:12.260 Guys, Florida governor, it's looking like...

00:56:14.640 ...stroy Donald Trump and the right to blame for absolutely everything.

00:56:22.860 This is almost a miracle.

00:56:25.420 If they hold the House, it always goes to the other party in the midterm.

00:56:30.200 Always.

00:56:30.720 People like that balance of power.

00:56:32.600 Consider, Glenn, the historic consequence of this.

00:56:36.420 It didn't happen, George W. Bush was able to hold the House in 2002,

00:56:40.220 months after, you know, a year after 9-11.

00:56:44.500 Yeah.

00:56:44.900 But it happened to Obama, it happened to Clinton, it happened to Ronald Reagan,

00:56:48.120 it's gone all the way back.

00:56:50.700 Consider what that means for the state of the country, for the state of the culture,

00:56:54.460 if the Republicans somehow hold on to the House.

00:56:58.440 And what it means for our relation to the president.

00:57:00.480 It's an absolute repudiation.

00:57:01.780 They will not take it this way.

00:57:05.460 I think the Democrats are going to go even farther left. 0.94

00:57:08.140 But it's an absolute repudiation of all of this socialist bullcrap.

00:57:12.540 But you see what's happening on the streets now tonight in Portland. 0.69

00:57:16.620 You know, the Portland mayor came out and said,

00:57:19.060 Oh, it's going to be great.

00:57:20.100 We want everybody to celebrate and have a good time.

00:57:23.520 And remember, no violence.

00:57:24.840 And now, now they're actually claiming, Antifa is now claiming that, you know,

00:57:30.700 these riots are only the ones that are responsible for it.

00:57:34.800 Quote, is the police and the mayor because they are in bed with the alt-right.

00:57:41.560 Yeah.

00:57:41.780 Oh, my gosh.

00:57:42.780 When you mentioned the mayor of Portland, I assumed you were talking about Antifa.

00:57:47.140 I thought they were the reigning civil authority now in the city of Portland.

00:57:49.920 Actually, this is a serious question.

00:57:52.040 The Democrats have basically been paving the way since Trump's election for demolishing actual institutions of American government.

00:57:59.180 They've been saying since Trump's election that not only did he steal the election,

00:58:02.820 but they've said we should get rid of the Electoral College.

00:58:04.820 They said we should get rid of the Senate of the United States.

00:58:07.220 Yesterday, Ezra Klein tweeted out that if the House popular vote somehow was larger for Democrats than Republicans,

00:58:13.220 then people would be so angry that they would be out in the streets.

00:58:17.460 There are people right now who have been trying to claim that there's voter suppression going on at wide levels across the country

00:58:22.160 and lying about it in order to do so.

00:58:23.640 Like they gave an example in Georgia of voting machines that weren't plugged in.

00:58:26.560 They said, ah, this is obviously Donald Trump's minions unplugging voting machines.

00:58:31.300 There are white voters in that line, too, and they're keeping the polls open in Georgia for this.

00:58:36.080 I'm wondering whether we are going to actually see things get really dangerous, like really dangerous in this country,

00:58:41.400 whether it's not just going to be Democrats moving to the left politically,

00:58:45.400 but the sort of mob violence that we've seen from Democrats exacerbating and growing to the point where, for example,

00:58:52.260 there's a serious assassination attempt against the president.

00:58:54.360 I don't think that's out of the realm of possibility.

00:58:56.320 Although I don't think that's impossible, but I also think that the professional political hands are going to be every bit against that.

00:59:03.800 I mean, the guys like Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi are professional politicians.

00:59:06.680 I don't think they're in control of the party anymore.

00:59:08.060 I don't think they're in control.

00:59:09.400 They're not in control anymore.

00:59:10.460 They may not be in control of the party, but they're definitely in control of the actual professional politicians.

00:59:14.260 I don't think Nancy Pelosi can even control Maxine Waters. 1.00

00:59:17.100 I agree with this.

00:59:17.560 Glenn, you're in Texas, so you're very close to one of the big concerns that we have out in this office,

00:59:23.820 being kind of isolated by a giant desert from the rest of the country.

00:59:26.820 Is all the talk about Texas becoming a purple state, becoming possibly even a blue state?

00:59:32.060 What are you feeling on the ground there?

00:59:34.020 Well, first of all, I would like to stop worrying about our southern border and put a western border on us.

00:59:38.720 We have 1,000 people a week moving from California into Texas, and California's doing a number on us,

00:59:48.580 plus all of the millions of dollars that have been spent here to turn Texas blue.

00:59:53.800 It is a different state, and I don't think Texans realize the efforts that are being taken by people like George Soros and others to turn us blue.

01:00:04.880 I don't believe the Beto thing.

01:00:06.780 I've never believed the Beto thing.

01:00:08.340 You couldn't find a guy who is less qualified than Beto to run for anything in Texas statewide than Robert Francis or Bob Frank, as we like to call him.

01:00:28.160 It's just not going to happen.

01:00:30.220 And Ted Cruz is, I think in some ways, this was an easy guy to beat right now.

01:00:40.020 I hate to say that, but he blew it.

01:00:43.820 He stood against Donald Trump at the convention, and then after, he then pissed off all the other people.

01:00:51.880 So he pissed off both sides.

01:00:53.540 Texans are troubled with him both ways.

01:00:57.420 And then you run somebody who's actually likable and doesn't seem like a robot against him.

01:01:03.480 He should have been easier to beat.

01:01:05.920 But I contend he's still going to pull this out.

01:01:09.300 I really think it's going to be close to 10 points.

01:01:11.880 Well, I hope so, because I have a well-known affinity for robots.

01:01:16.120 Some of my best friends are highly intellectual robots, and I also have a real affinity for Senator Cruz.

01:01:23.360 Glenn, we're going to let you get back to your broadcast.

01:01:25.440 But one thing I did want to say is the worst aspects of your personality that were coming to the fore,

01:01:30.280 I think I speak for all of us when I say that the worst character traits of Glenn Beck are my favorite.

01:01:35.180 How does this work?

01:01:38.620 I don't know how this works.

01:01:39.500 What does it take?

01:01:40.120 Which hole do I have?

01:01:41.020 It's going to be like a meth lab that just explodes, right?

01:01:43.660 Thank you, Glenn.

01:01:44.500 God bless you.

01:01:44.880 Good to see you.

01:01:45.580 Thank you.

01:01:46.000 Jake Tapper just said, this is not a blue wave.

01:01:48.920 Okay.

01:01:49.520 All right.

01:01:50.340 Jake being honest on CNN, the only honest guy I have to say.

01:01:52.560 I have to retweet that.

01:01:53.500 Excuse me one second.

01:01:54.680 The last honest man.

01:01:56.040 I believe Blaze.com also has live coverage.

01:01:58.180 And I'm sure that the reason that Glenn came over here and graced us with his presence was just to get Ben to come on.

01:02:06.900 Because it's never really about me.

01:02:09.340 No.

01:02:09.840 But I will say that it's always great that Glenn makes time to come.

01:02:13.260 Oh, yeah.

01:02:13.640 That's fantastic.

01:02:14.280 It's always great to see him.

01:02:15.200 Yeah.

01:02:15.420 Well, and it's great to see him on good nights.

01:02:17.600 How many good nights have we had in a row here?

01:02:19.700 I love being a pessimist.

01:02:21.480 I do.

01:02:21.700 Because every time I get to be pleasantly surprised by things.

01:02:23.900 That's what I want to know.

01:02:24.660 What I want to know is what FiveThirtyEight is saying is the odds that you're going to end up happy at the end of this year.

01:02:28.780 Okay.

01:02:28.920 So right now.

01:02:29.760 Right.

01:02:30.180 So they're saying that the House odds.

01:02:32.220 They're still saying the Democrats have a 56 percent.

01:02:34.580 54.

01:02:35.100 Oh, it was.

01:02:35.760 So they just downgrade.

01:02:36.320 54 percent chance of them retaining the House.

01:02:38.120 Oh, my God.

01:02:38.760 62.

01:02:40.000 45 percent.

01:02:40.880 46 percent chance that Republicans maintain control of the House.

01:02:45.660 Insane.

01:02:46.120 What was the number earlier today?

01:02:47.660 It was 12 percent, they said.

01:02:49.300 Yes.

01:02:49.880 12 percent earlier today.

01:02:51.400 Now it's up to 46.

01:02:52.300 Now would be a good time to go over to Robin Hood and start investing in stocks because if Donald Trump holds the House of Representatives, the economy is going to explode tomorrow.

01:03:00.060 Speaking of, Vegas had their money on Republicans holding the House.

01:03:03.500 Did they?

01:03:03.860 Yeah.

01:03:04.180 The betting markets had Republicans holding the House.

01:03:05.820 Vegas also has money on Ben Shapiro being the next president of the United States.

01:03:10.060 Wow.

01:03:10.700 But Robin Hood is where I put my money.

01:03:13.040 Right.

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01:03:27.500 We have a bunch of folks at the office, including two of my assistants.

01:03:30.980 Actually, I have like 83 assistants.

01:03:32.380 Come on.

01:03:32.820 I'm an important human being.

01:03:33.860 And they all use Robin Hood because they don't want to be working for me forever.

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01:03:40.980 Get us out of this.

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01:04:28.500 I'll be honest with you.

01:04:30.440 My stock strategy, by the way, is that I buy a certain amount of stock in the indices every month.

01:04:35.020 And when the stock market goes down, I double it.

01:04:36.980 Because I have, unlike Klavan, I have many years to live, I hope. 1.00

01:04:41.300 And therefore, I can be risk-seeking.

01:04:43.320 Well, Robin Hood helps you do all of those things if you choose to mimic my stock buying strategy.

01:04:47.420 Every time I come here, my life gets shorter.

01:04:48.980 I don't know.

01:04:49.080 I know.

01:04:49.480 It's really.

01:04:50.280 Well, that's because it's later.

01:04:51.360 Oh, yeah.

01:04:51.800 That's right.

01:04:54.540 Ben, can you catch us up on what's going on out there?

01:04:56.440 Well, Taylor Swift did not actually bring the Tennessee Senate race to Phil Bredesen.

01:05:00.460 No, really?

01:05:00.980 Believe it or not, Taylor Swift's attempt to weigh in, sorry, Senya, my producer who loves Taylor Swift.

01:05:05.280 There were two drops on my guitar.

01:05:07.420 That's correct.

01:05:08.240 I mean, there's just bad blood.

01:05:10.120 I don't know a single song.

01:05:13.260 I can't make one pun.

01:05:14.880 It is really sad.

01:05:16.560 I'm going to let you finish.

01:05:17.320 But first, let's kick it over to Elisa Krauss and get an election update here. 1.00

01:05:23.680 Ooh.

01:05:24.440 Senya says that you can shove it, and you guys are never, ever, ever getting back together.

01:05:28.220 Well, if she doesn't come in and do the show tomorrow, she is fired. 1.00

01:05:32.000 Oh, no.

01:05:32.700 That's true.

01:05:33.280 No, we have to keep her forever, mainly because she's one of the only people that will put up with you. 0.86

01:05:37.420 That is true.

01:05:39.000 Which is, I think, the biggest reason why Ben would never be a good politician, because feelings do not matter.

01:05:43.940 But could be a reason why you'd be a pretty good one.

01:05:45.860 That's why I wrote you in for Senate today.

01:05:47.560 Oh, no.

01:05:48.220 She voted for you for Senate. 0.99

01:05:49.660 I did. 1.00

01:05:50.140 Well, I mean, to be fair, like, a steaming pile of gross crap is better than our Senate ballot. 0.99

01:05:54.260 That was your reasoning, actually. 0.99

01:05:55.180 I mean, mine.

01:05:56.600 It's intimidating.

01:05:57.400 You know, well, is there anything, you know, there are lots of things that are depressing in life. 0.86

01:06:02.720 But in politics, is there anything more depressing than walking into a Los Angeles polling place, looking at the ballot, and realizing that it is just a giant bag of human feces? 0.60

01:06:11.760 Nothing you can do. 0.78

01:06:12.200 It is the worst.

01:06:12.940 The one thing that would be worse is if you tuned into this show to figure out what's going on tonight, and we keep kicking it to Elisha's election headquarters, and then bailing before she can give us her update.

01:06:21.720 Elisha, give it to us.

01:06:23.420 Thank you for that, God King.

01:06:24.740 I do have four updates.

01:06:26.500 Ben just talked about one of them in Tennessee, but first, let's get to Florida, because we have 96% of the precincts reporting.

01:06:33.300 It looks like they're Gillum.

01:06:35.640 Ooh, so tight.

01:06:36.800 Why, Florida?

01:06:37.460 Why are you doing this to us?

01:06:38.780 Gillum with 50% of the vote.

01:06:40.160 DeSantis with 48.

01:06:41.420 DeSantis, of course, that really pro-Trump candidate that did a lot of ads and a lot of door knocking, trying to get all of those Donald Trump voters.

01:06:49.800 But Gillum has had so much media support.

01:06:53.100 Of course, former President Obama going down there for him as well.

01:06:56.300 Moving along to the Florida Senate, we do have Rick Scott with 50% and Bill Nelson with 49%.

01:07:02.300 Once again, that's 96% of the precincts reporting.

01:07:06.580 Nail-biting, lots of fun.

01:07:08.560 Moving on to the Senate, it looks as if Taylor Swift was not able to make anything happen.

01:07:13.680 And people kind of expected Marsha Blackburn to win there. 0.91

01:07:17.440 It looks like Marsha Blackburn has a very, very solid lead.

01:07:21.840 And CNN and other networks are already calling that for her there. 0.99

01:07:24.740 So good job, Republicans, on keeping that one.

01:07:26.820 And then also, I've got to give a shout-out to Bill Lee, a really great candidate there.

01:07:30.580 It looks like he's going to win.

01:07:31.580 And some GOP seats, we're maintaining our gubernatorial seats, which is really good.

01:07:36.700 Part of the reason why there are so many toss-ups in the House this year, too, is there were a lot of people that retired.

01:07:41.200 There were some Republicans that said, can't do it, don't want to do it, and were afraid that they were going to lose their re-elections.

01:07:46.920 And so that cleared up something like 70 Republicans that decided to retire or not run for re-election,

01:07:52.660 which then created those toss-ups in the House that you guys were talking about a little bit ago.

01:07:56.320 OK, so quick update on both DeSantis and Rick Scott, because I know Elisha is getting information from one direction.

01:08:02.800 I'm getting information from the other.

01:08:04.280 The live count with 97% ends up, more than what Elisha was talking about.

01:08:08.140 DeSantis is maintaining a one-point lead.

01:08:09.960 He's got 49.9% over Gillum's 48.8.

01:08:12.780 Rick Scott is maintaining a one-point lead over Bill Nelson, 50.3% to 49.6%.

01:08:17.720 Florida, you know, you give us weird people and interesting votes.

01:08:22.440 And I'm happy with you this evening.

01:08:24.240 Florida, Florida man is out there.

01:08:25.940 Wow.

01:08:26.940 Elisha, do we have some questions, some Twitter reaction to the show, Twitter reaction to the election?

01:08:31.920 Oh, yeah.

01:08:32.140 And then let's hear from a few audience members.

01:08:34.080 We do have some Twitter reaction.

01:08:35.360 I think Cassie is like, cannot stop laughing, because of course, like, we make the Taylor Swift puns.

01:08:39.880 That's what all of social media is doing right now, right, Cassie?

01:08:42.380 Well, absolutely.

01:08:43.400 Right now, conservative Twitter is having so much fun throwing shade at Taylor Swift.

01:08:47.300 Sorry, Senya.

01:08:48.540 Good for you, Ben.

01:08:49.760 It looks like Katie Pavlage tweeted, sorry, Taylor Swift.

01:08:52.600 Hope it was worth it.

01:08:53.780 And Dana Lash also said that Swift endorsement really paid off.

01:08:57.600 Also, Cabot Phillips from Campus Reform posted his election sticker, which says, own the libs.

01:09:03.200 So good job for voting, Cabot, over there.

01:09:05.100 And then our very own Matt Walsh tweeted, man, Kavanaugh backfired on the Democrats spectacularly.

01:09:11.200 So it seems there's a lot going on right now. 0.91

01:09:13.200 Obviously, we still don't know what the results are going to say, but Twitter is a big pile of dog poop right now. 0.76

01:09:19.300 That's on fire.

01:09:20.420 That's all I have to say.

01:09:21.280 I haven't seen it like this since 2016.

01:09:22.700 Right now, modifier is not necessary.

01:09:26.820 I will say that Taylor did Swift vote.

01:09:30.160 Oh.

01:09:30.580 That was really bad.

01:09:32.960 You know what?

01:09:33.800 There was a blank space baby, and it was not filled with Phil Bredesen's name.

01:09:38.800 I have to say that we cannot talk enough about this Kavanaugh thing.

01:09:42.940 Yeah, this is right.

01:09:43.780 This is exactly right.

01:09:44.740 It is such a beautiful thing, A, that the Republicans stood up, that they stood up against the press, which was united against them, and that the people went with them.

01:09:53.280 That, to me, is the blueprint for the future for Republicans.

01:09:56.200 And a credit to women, by the way, because it was amazing.

01:09:58.900 In those polls right afterward, Democrats thought it was going to boost their support among women.

01:10:03.000 It decreased Democrat female voter enthusiasm. 0.65

01:10:06.380 It increased Republican female voter enthusiasm.

01:10:08.560 Because it speaks to the reality of women, which is that they like men, and men like women. 0.99

01:10:12.280 Of course.

01:10:13.000 How dare you, sir?

01:10:14.020 I know.

01:10:14.620 How dare you?

01:10:15.440 Some men are women.

01:10:17.180 How dare you? 0.99

01:10:18.880 Some men are women, and all men hate women.

01:10:21.480 Yeah, that's what I believe.

01:10:22.980 Some Republican men are Democrat women.

01:10:26.320 No?

01:10:26.800 No, I'm lost.

01:10:27.500 Is that, I, yeah, no, that was a step two.

01:10:29.340 Colton, give us some questions.

01:10:31.120 Got a question from Dylan, and he asks, is it worth it to vote if the outcome of the election in my area is already certain?

01:10:36.820 Yes.

01:10:37.380 Yep.

01:10:38.020 Nah.

01:10:38.640 Yeah.

01:10:38.760 I mean, okay, so, okay, so, as the cynic in the room, sure, it's worth it to vote, so you can virtue signal and get one of these awesome stickers.

01:10:48.060 I look, look, guys, look, I have a sticker.

01:10:50.140 Not all heroes wear capes.

01:10:52.660 Not all heroes, you know, some people serve in Afghanistan.

01:10:55.040 Some men brave IEDs.

01:10:56.520 Some people go to their local elementary school, creep out at the children, and then punch a ballot.

01:11:00.920 But, okay, that wasn't, the Democrats, you are that man.

01:11:04.080 The Democrats have been bragging about the fact that they won the popular vote for two years.

01:11:08.700 Yeah, yeah.

01:11:09.220 Of course it matters if you vote.

01:11:10.600 Of course it matters.

01:11:11.280 You were part of the popular vote.

01:11:12.400 I'm joking, of course.

01:11:13.440 It matters, but let's say there's a sliding scale of mattering, okay?

01:11:17.720 If you live in a bellwether district in Ohio, it matters a lot more.

01:11:20.880 Hold on, hold on, hold on, hold on.

01:11:22.260 Bellwether.

01:11:22.820 Bellwether.

01:11:23.060 I'm wondering how I wish to hear.

01:11:24.960 And district, and polling.

01:11:26.520 Go, go.

01:11:27.220 I'll tell you, the other reason why it matters, obviously, I was one of 20 Republicans in my district when I voted last time.

01:11:33.680 And I went in there, and on the ticket stubs, it'll say 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3.

01:11:39.440 You know, if you're a Democrat.

01:11:40.700 In primary, yeah.

01:11:41.580 I mean, I literally was the fifth guy.

01:11:44.980 You were point one at the point three.

01:11:45.540 Yeah, and it was such a joy to see the look of horror on the poll worker's face when I said, Republican, Republican ballot, please.

01:11:53.240 She was so horrified.

01:11:54.460 They actually didn't count my vote.

01:11:56.080 They disfraged me.

01:11:57.900 That makes me feel better about our country.

01:12:00.140 I have to say, I do love this.

01:12:01.480 So the New York Times, you know, they were supposed to have their needle tonight.

01:12:03.700 Yes, I know that.

01:12:04.060 And there's been a technical snafu.

01:12:06.300 Okay.

01:12:06.580 And the needle has not appeared.

01:12:07.800 They are now saying, they delayed posting the needle.

01:12:10.560 Finally, they said, okay, we're ready to post the needle.

01:12:12.220 And then they said, we're not confident enough in our estimates to post the needle.

01:12:15.840 Wow.

01:12:16.280 Wow.

01:12:16.500 Which suggests that things are good for Republicans.

01:12:19.340 I promise you, if things were good for Democrats, that needle would be up like that.

01:12:22.200 By definition, the needle is not about confidence, right?

01:12:24.760 The needle just kind of moves.

01:12:26.040 Unless you're the New York Times.

01:12:28.060 I mean, I will say things are a lot tighter in Texas than they should be right now.

01:12:31.140 Right now, there's 58% in, and they're basically tied.

01:12:34.700 O'Rourke and Cruz are basically tied.

01:12:36.040 And if you're a Democrat, you do have to think, if I could trade a majority house for Beto O'Rourke

01:12:41.660 beating Ted Cruz in Texas, that might be worth it.

01:12:43.980 Seriously.

01:12:44.240 Because now they have a 2020 candidate on their hands.

01:12:48.180 Now they have a feeling that they've knocked out the Tea Party senator.

01:12:51.020 But where are the non-reporting districts?

01:12:52.820 He is the front-runner.

01:12:53.620 No question.

01:12:54.280 But where are the non-reporting districts?

01:12:56.420 Because it seems to me that, as I was watching the map on CNN, it seemed to me that the non-reporting

01:13:00.720 districts were very Cruz-friendly.

01:13:02.300 Yeah, I think Cruz is still going to win.

01:13:03.460 But the fact that it's that close in Texas is obviously-

01:13:06.160 That's scary.

01:13:06.260 And we do have to wonder how much of that is Cruz and how much of that is just the national

01:13:09.940 electorate.

01:13:10.880 But if it's a good night for Republicans and not a good night for Cruz, it suggests that

01:13:13.540 Cruz has some serious flaws in Canada.

01:13:15.120 You have to emphasize what a good candidate he was, how much bigger his political organization

01:13:20.020 was, how much more money.

01:13:20.840 He spent so much money.

01:13:22.600 And that Ted Cruz is wounded coming out of 2016.

01:13:25.680 Yes.

01:13:26.520 Right now, 538 has the Democratic pickup line at 24, which means they would win the House by

01:13:30.820 one vote.

01:13:31.020 One vote, yeah.

01:13:31.800 That'd be fantastic.

01:13:34.240 Another thing that's fantastic, brushing your teeth.

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01:15:30.060 Alicia, I think you have a quick update for us.

01:15:31.800 I do.

01:15:32.300 So I heard Andrew Klavan's question there about, well, what are the percentages of the

01:15:35.800 precincts reporting in Texas for that very contentious race between Ted Cruz and Beto

01:15:40.040 O'Rourke?

01:15:40.380 It turns out that only 23% are remaining, and the Dallas-Fort Worth area and the outside

01:15:45.900 reaches of the borders of the state, you know, Texas, where it meets the wonderful state

01:15:49.540 of Louisiana, and to the west, which are typically more rural Republican areas, are still waiting

01:15:55.820 for those results to come in.

01:15:57.820 Ted Cruz has been known to have a really great grassroots game.

01:16:01.360 But as you guys have noted before, Beto has spent a lot, a lot, a lot of money and has

01:16:06.140 seen something like $35 million come in from outside of the state.

01:16:09.580 Colton, do you have any more questions for us from our delightful Daily Wire subscribers?

01:16:13.840 I do.

01:16:14.140 Thank you, Jeremy.

01:16:14.740 We got one from Matthew, and he asked, if Democrats take back the House and Republicans keep,

01:16:19.120 if not make gains in the Senate, what will that mean for President Trump's 2020 optics?

01:16:24.160 Well, so who wants to take this one first?

01:16:26.500 I mean, you know, my quick take is that the Democrats taking the House by even one seat

01:16:31.760 is a problem because they take the chairmanships.

01:16:33.720 Once they take the chairmanships, it's all investigations from here until the end of time.

01:16:36.960 They're going to be focused on stopping Trump's agenda.

01:16:39.580 But the truth is that there's only so much they can do to stop Trump's agenda because

01:16:43.000 Trump's agenda is so much based on executive regulations and judges, all that Senate stuff.

01:16:48.880 So what the House really can do is make his life miserable with endless investigations

01:16:52.060 and then try and create this image that he is in ultimately a terrible, horrible, no good,

01:16:57.020 very bad human in preparation for 2020.

01:17:00.460 But again, I think the size of the blue wave matters here because it does provide a good

01:17:04.320 early indicator as to Trump's electability in 2020.

01:17:07.300 He's going to be just as toxic in two years as he is right now.

01:17:10.220 And if he is able to somehow hold this below the normal margin in this kind of election

01:17:14.760 cycle after winning a hotly contested election, which he lost the popular vote, I think that

01:17:19.740 even a shift to control for the Democrats, it could theoretically cut in his favor because

01:17:23.100 more conspiratorial thinking for the Democrats doesn't necessarily result in a worse state

01:17:27.440 of affairs for President Trump.

01:17:28.420 And by the way, he does thrive in adversarial positions.

01:17:32.940 I mean, Donald Trump, when he's not fighting somebody, you know, he's floating, he's treading,

01:17:37.960 that's fine.

01:17:38.340 When he is fighting somebody, he is at his best.

01:17:41.900 And so actually, as a sheer political matter, just for the Trump 2020 campaign, losing the

01:17:46.940 House actually might give him a little bit of a campaign advantage.

01:17:49.520 And you can depend on the Democrats to overstep.

01:17:51.480 You can just depend on them to talk about impeachment and the whole thing.

01:17:54.280 So they're not going to be, it's not like they're saying like, hmm, maybe we'll negotiate

01:17:57.600 and compromise.

01:17:58.680 That's not what's going to be going on.

01:17:59.480 This is my favorite thing in the world.

01:18:00.540 So Bob Menendez, senator from New Jersey.

01:18:02.340 Yeah, how's he doing? 0.80

01:18:02.800 Deeply corrupt. 0.71

01:18:03.380 He's going to win. 0.72

01:18:03.900 Senator from the Dominican Republic.

01:18:05.180 Correct. 0.98

01:18:05.620 He's deeply corrupt. 0.98

01:18:06.680 He will win. 0.98

01:18:07.880 And he's been projected to win.

01:18:09.520 Among the supporters tonight at his headquarters is a woman named Evelyn Arroyo Maltzby.

01:18:14.520 She is a juror on his federal corruption trial.

01:18:17.320 And she's at his victory party.

01:18:18.860 Really?

01:18:19.340 Senator Bob Menendez.

01:18:20.460 I love New Jersey, man.

01:18:21.560 And it's just, it's all just right there.

01:18:25.900 It's pretty great.

01:18:26.220 Van Jones is already breaking out the weepy.

01:18:29.540 He says, he said on CNN, this is heartbreaking.

01:18:31.940 You can look at Anderson Cooper, who looks like over time he's turned, I mean, what is

01:18:38.180 he turning into a huddle?

01:18:39.720 I mean, it's just like all the enthusiasm has gone out of the CNN crew.

01:18:44.580 And we don't have to have the sound on to know what's going on.

01:18:46.580 You can see their faces are, they're sagging.

01:18:48.240 It's like they're melting, you know?

01:18:49.300 Yeah, he's aging in real time.

01:18:52.420 The CNN banner at 924, control of U.S. House, too close to call.

01:18:56.660 This is, yeah, it's, there's still some suburban districts that are coming out for Democrats.

01:19:01.880 Henry Olson is saying right now that in the Texas Senate, all the big Democratic counties

01:19:04.700 have released their early vote.

01:19:05.680 There's still some GOP areas out.

01:19:07.840 He says that Cruz will end up winning that seat.

01:19:10.860 Olson also is calling the Ohio 12th district for Troy Balderson.

01:19:13.940 He's already ahead.

01:19:14.540 He's getting big on election day vote, just like he did in the special election.

01:19:16.980 That was supposed to be one of those districts where Democrats had a possibility of picking up. 0.97

01:19:21.320 And in Georgia, it looks as though Stacey Abrams is going to be out.

01:19:24.300 Because in Georgia, the question isn't whether you win the plurality of the vote.

01:19:27.960 You actually have to win a majority of the vote.

01:19:29.620 And so the question there was going to be whether Brian Kemp, who's the Georgia Secretary of State,

01:19:33.580 was going to win an outright majority.

01:19:34.900 It looks like he will win an outright majority.

01:19:36.720 Wow.

01:19:36.780 So that means that we retain the governor's house in Georgia.

01:19:40.120 That's big news.

01:19:40.420 This is all good news for Republicans.

01:19:42.920 And again, goes to how much of this is Trump is great at this? 0.97

01:19:46.220 And how much of this is Democrats suck at this? 0.80

01:19:47.980 And how much of this is it's the same thing? 0.98

01:19:49.980 And what's the difference?

01:19:50.320 It's the same thing.

01:19:50.920 It's just the coin.

01:19:51.540 It's a coin.

01:19:51.840 But it is important in what it says about this massive communication industry,

01:19:56.700 which is governed by 8%, the progressive 8% of the country,

01:20:00.280 which runs the academy, runs Hollywood, runs the news.

01:20:03.280 I mean, this is an incredible amount of information that is coming into people's heads

01:20:07.100 and that people are saying, eh, that's not true.

01:20:09.940 And that's an amazing fact.

01:20:10.920 You know, I think this is actually a crucial component here,

01:20:13.560 is that since 2004, what Dan Rather did to the mainstream media was you couldn't take it back.

01:20:20.100 There was no way to take it back.

01:20:21.840 And then they flexed their power during the Obama era by backing every move that Barack Obama ever made.

01:20:26.700 And now you have a situation where the media have so completely blown

01:20:32.160 every element of credibility that they ever had.

01:20:34.520 That when they say anything, the first reaction of anyone on the right is,

01:20:38.460 I don't believe any of that.

01:20:39.300 I don't believe the polls.

01:20:40.280 So if you're trying to depress me from going out, I don't believe you.

01:20:42.520 I don't believe the polls.

01:20:43.440 I don't believe anything that you have to say.

01:20:44.900 In some ways, it upsets me as a data-driven person.

01:20:47.960 In some ways, it's great because the media do shade the data.

01:20:50.800 The media do change the narrative.

01:20:52.460 The media do play defense for Democrats.

01:20:53.860 You and I have this continual debate about whether you can go back in time and say,

01:20:59.140 oh, this was worth it or that wasn't worth it.

01:21:00.740 I think a debate we can start having was, was it worth it to the press to protect Obama for eight years

01:21:07.220 while he used the IRS to silence people, while he lied about health care.

01:21:11.600 There were no scandals.

01:21:12.200 No, there were no scandals.

01:21:12.980 It was scandal-free.

01:21:13.700 Scandal-free.

01:21:14.340 No drama Obama.

01:21:14.900 And while he did all those things, and obviously, he turned the federal government into a Chicago machine,

01:21:21.040 Chicago-style machine they covered for him.

01:21:23.100 It's not what they do to Trump.

01:21:24.640 It's what they didn't do to Obama.

01:21:26.940 That goes to the gaslighting.

01:21:28.300 Because if they were just aggressive coverage of Obama.

01:21:30.320 Exactly.

01:21:30.900 If they were attacking everybody, I'd say, good, good.

01:21:32.980 Obama wrecked the left.

01:21:34.000 I mean, this is the thing that nobody understands, is that Obama, the great savior of the Democratic Party.

01:21:37.920 He destroyed them.

01:21:38.580 He destroyed them.

01:21:39.680 Because he, Harry Enten, who's the forecaster over at FiveThirtyEight,

01:21:43.180 he said that the model that Democrats were using in Florida was there's an emerging Democratic minority majority

01:21:48.220 that is going to change demographically the future of the state, and they will just go from victory to victory.

01:21:53.620 That's not happening in Florida.

01:21:55.040 The reverse is happening in Florida.

01:21:56.320 It turns out that human beings are actually malleable in their political point of view.

01:21:59.680 They can change their mind.

01:22:00.680 This is right.

01:22:01.360 Yes.

01:22:01.640 And human beings are not going to think only on the basis of race and only on basis.

01:22:05.300 Skin color is not directly connected to their brain, which is like one of the things I've been telling people for years,

01:22:10.460 but the Democrats have not caught on to this.

01:22:11.860 But look at the strategy.

01:22:12.640 People can't think outside their race. 0.96

01:22:13.420 You know, the strategy in these midterm elections is that President Trump nationalized it, made it about him personally.

01:22:19.260 That was a risk, and he did it.

01:22:20.720 He took three issues.

01:22:22.100 One was he went after the media harder than Attila the Hun. 1.00

01:22:25.580 You know, he said, you're slime, you're fake news, you're liars. 0.97

01:22:28.100 He doubled down on immigration, which is a big winner issue among Democrats and Republicans, even Democrats. 0.98

01:22:33.540 And he doubled down on jobs and talked about the gains to the economy.

01:22:37.940 That was the strategy here.

01:22:39.720 I don't want to call it too early, but it certainly seems to be paying dividends.

01:22:43.000 Whether it takes him the whole way, it's certainly paying dividends.

01:22:45.040 And it did help that he was right about the press.

01:22:47.580 You know, it helped that when—

01:22:48.280 That's right.

01:22:48.320 Well, they just destroyed themselves.

01:22:50.280 I mean, as much as President Trump destroyed the press, the press destroyed themselves.

01:22:56.520 Like, they were ripe for the picking.

01:22:57.620 People forget that Newt Gingrich briefly led the race in 2012 in the primaries because he ripped on the press directly.

01:23:02.840 That's right.

01:23:03.220 Whenever he did that, he—

01:23:04.600 It was the best thing in the entire primary race, right?

01:23:06.800 I mean, Newt Gingrich, a guy with more skeletons in his closet than the entire cast of Pirates of the Caribbean.

01:23:11.180 In the middle of that race, he went after John Harwood.

01:23:15.260 He said, you're just totally full of it, and I'm not going to take this.

01:23:17.640 And he won the South Carolina primary specifically based on this.

01:23:20.940 What's so funny about the folks on the left is they think that Donald Trump was the inception of all politics.

01:23:24.840 Yes.

01:23:25.000 There was like a big bang of politics when Trump came on the scene, and that changed everything.

01:23:27.920 It was so nice before Trump.

01:23:29.080 What Donald Trump did was he effectively lassoed the passions that we all felt on the right, and then he hung on for dear life.

01:23:37.360 And those passions, as much as he was whipping the passions, the passions were carrying him.

01:23:41.700 It wasn't just him carrying the passions, right?

01:23:43.120 Those things preexisted.

01:23:44.140 This is what I said in my speech at CPAC.

01:23:46.380 The Democrats think that we hate the media because Donald Trump tells us to hate the media.

01:23:51.180 No.

01:23:51.980 We are more friendly to Donald Trump because we hated the media before you even knew who Donald Trump was.

01:23:57.600 And by the way, you guys were pushing Donald Trump way before we were, right?

01:24:00.580 I mean, you guys made Donald Trump.

01:24:02.000 And the thing, you know, I always say about Donald Trump that people talk about, oh, is he playing three-dimensional chess?

01:24:06.860 And I say, no, what he is is a running back.

01:24:08.620 He's a guy who sees where the daylight is, and he runs for it.

01:24:10.960 I agree with this.

01:24:11.200 He reacts, he reacts, and immediately you can say, like, oh, it was Hillary Clinton's fault that she lost the race.

01:24:18.440 He knew who the candidate was going to be when he got into this race.

01:24:21.260 He had been saying, oh, I'd like to run for president and not really doing it for 20 years.

01:24:25.300 He saw that daylight, and the daylight is us.

01:24:28.520 The daylight is where we say, you know, the press lies, where we say, hey, you know, we're tired of this intersectionality.

01:24:34.160 We're ready to let race go.

01:24:35.540 This country, God bless it, is ready to let race go. 1.00

01:24:39.640 It is only the left that won't let us let it go.

01:24:41.920 And what does that look like, to let race go? 0.58

01:24:43.560 It means making jokes, you know, it means teasing each other.

01:24:46.480 It means not feeling that everything you say has to be looked at and isn't an insult.

01:24:50.100 It means living together like human beings, you know.

01:24:52.140 I mean, people who live with, for instance, members of the opposite sex, you make jokes about that, right? 1.00

01:24:58.520 You tease each other about that.

01:24:59.960 People who live with different races make jokes about that.

01:25:02.000 The left has been using that.

01:25:03.600 Oh, it's a dog whistle.

01:25:05.020 Oh, you said this, you're fired.

01:25:06.480 You know, this is the daylight that Donald Trump saw, and he ran through it, and he's still running through it.

01:25:10.960 Well, right now, it looks like DeSantis is pretty much confirmed as the governor of Florida.

01:25:14.980 Dang.

01:25:15.460 Boom.

01:25:16.240 Bellwether, maybe.

01:25:16.840 It looks like Scott.

01:25:17.480 Bellwether, yeah.

01:25:18.380 Bellwether.

01:25:19.980 Laha'em. 1.00

01:25:20.400 That's good stuff.

01:25:21.020 Laha'em. 1.00

01:25:21.420 Not to drop a name, but Ron DeSantis is actually a very nice guy.

01:25:29.760 Have you guys ever met Ron DeSantis?

01:25:31.000 No, I call him Ronnie.

01:25:32.780 He's an actual good human being.

01:25:36.600 Really?

01:25:36.860 Yeah, and he's got a really nice family, and it was one of the most frustrating things in the world to watch that race and watch as the media openly lied about Ron DeSantis, saying that he was a racist.

01:25:46.760 Oh, yeah.

01:25:47.060 After saying that the monkey of socialism on the back of Florida was a racist comment.

01:25:51.760 That's what he said, don't monkey it up, right?

01:25:52.800 Don't monkey it up or something. 0.99

01:25:54.060 It was so ridiculous, and Andrew Gillum going out there and calling him a racist every five seconds. 0.99

01:25:58.820 And also saying that, you know, it's because I'm a black man, you're talking about my corruption. 0.99

01:26:02.680 It's like, wait, wait, wait, wait.

01:26:06.120 Maybe that makes sense, but there it is, yeah.

01:26:08.660 Okay, so here's Kristen Solstice-Anderson.

01:26:11.200 She says, just a quick note on the world of polling accuracy.

01:26:13.320 If Republicans win the Florida Senate and gubernatorial contest, that'll be a surprise to anyone who saw today's final NBC-Marist poll.

01:26:19.360 It had the Democrats winning each race by five points, although the polling averages were a bit closer.

01:26:23.200 While pollsters can argue about margins of error and such, if a variety of other races break for Republicans, they expect these Florida elections to be held up as more proof the polls are missing out on undercover Republican voters.

01:26:32.420 And this is part of the problem.

01:26:33.720 If that isn't what she means by that, is, you know, what they call the silent Tory effect in Britain, what we call the Bradley effect here in the United States.

01:26:40.700 Basically, people who are lying to pollsters, the pollsters call them up, and just to play with the pollsters, people just say, no, I'm not going to vote for the Republican, or I'm undecided because they don't actually want to tell the pollster that they're voting Republican.

01:26:51.880 And the level of scorn that is heaped upon people who vote Republican may actually be screwing with the data inputs in a lot of these races.

01:27:00.120 What do you think of the conspiracy theory?

01:27:02.700 I'm always against these conspiracy theories that the polls are actually working for the Democrats, that they're actually trying to suppress votes.

01:27:09.860 I don't think that's right.

01:27:10.960 I think because I think pollsters still have a lot riding on whether they're accurate or not.

01:27:14.000 But I do think I do think that in some of these areas, there's a temptation to statistically overprofile Democrats because people who tend to pick up the phone and talk to pollsters tend to be Democrats.

01:27:24.640 Like, do you have time to talk to a pollster?

01:27:26.380 I don't.

01:27:26.980 I mean, if the pollster calls me, I hang up.

01:27:28.640 Fox News, by the way, is projecting the Democrats take the House.

01:27:30.760 So is Henry Olsen.

01:27:31.560 He's agreeing with me.

01:27:32.120 So the question is going to be by how much the margin is unclear at this point.

01:27:38.340 Basically, what we thought at the start of the night, it is still a good night for Republicans if they lose the House, but only by a little bit.

01:27:43.620 So, yeah, of course, sure.

01:27:45.280 As I said before, my margin night, there's two ways of thinking about whether tonight was a good night.

01:27:50.180 There's the what it means in terms of the momentum of the country.

01:27:54.740 If the Democrats win the House by a handful of votes, it's not a blue wave.

01:27:58.520 It's not an enormous shift in the momentum.

01:28:01.760 The political winds of the country haven't really changed.

01:28:04.240 If they win by a single vote, however, we lose the chairmanships.

01:28:07.900 We're going to be subjected to two years of investigation after investigation, hearing after hearing.

01:28:13.620 Into Russian collusion and padding pockets and criminality.

01:28:19.180 But on the flip side, not to try to pull a silver lining out here.

01:28:23.440 What they did over Brett Kavanaugh, that bloody, awful, despicable fight that was one of the worst fights I've ever seen in politics, is the reason why we're doing so well right now.

01:28:32.100 Yeah.

01:28:32.900 If that's the cause.

01:28:34.020 Democrats might not be bad for us.

01:28:35.360 That might not be so bad.

01:28:36.460 Democrats, they've been doing the Russia collusion stuff for two years in the media.

01:28:40.600 I'm not sure what changes.

01:28:41.840 Adam Schiff now gets to set up his pup tent, not in CNN, but I guess in the House Intelligence Chairman's office.

01:28:47.540 Which is in CNN.

01:28:48.560 Right, exactly.

01:28:49.660 I'm not sure what actually changes all that radically, except that the Democrats will be encouraged to think they did the right thing by going hard to the left.

01:28:56.720 Well, no, no, the Democrats can't be, I mean, if they had won, if they won 30, say, or 40, I could see them being deluded into thinking, ah, this is a major victory for the resistance.

01:29:08.000 But these guys are professional politicians.

01:29:10.080 You have to remember this.

01:29:11.100 The professional politicians, these are like the A-team, the major leagues of politicians.

01:29:15.640 They're really good at what they do.

01:29:17.000 And they've got to be looking at this and thinking.

01:29:18.780 I actually don't agree with you.

01:29:19.780 Oh, of course.

01:29:20.500 I just don't think congressmen are the major leagues.

01:29:23.360 Oh, of course they are.

01:29:23.560 I think it is the nature of Congress to ascend riffraff in a way that the Senate doesn't ascend riffraff.

01:29:31.620 Well, of course, that's true.

01:29:33.400 That's true.

01:29:34.300 But somebody like Nancy Pelosi.

01:29:34.940 I mean, you're saying Maxine Waters is the A-team major leagues of American politics.

01:29:38.940 I'm saying that someone like Nancy Pelosi is reading, looking at this today and thinking, this resistance thing, not so good for us.

01:29:45.440 And they're looking two years down the line.

01:29:47.760 All of them are going to be on the ballot again.

01:29:50.500 And the president.

01:29:51.820 And they're thinking, maybe we need a new strategy.

01:29:53.420 Well, the real question is, if they win by, let's say, three, four, sub-five votes tonight, is Nancy Pelosi the next speaker?

01:29:59.520 Well, that's a really good question.

01:30:00.200 Or is she just out of Congress?

01:30:01.300 Yeah.

01:30:01.840 That's a good question.

01:30:02.420 I don't know.

01:30:02.860 How long is her lease with Mephistopheles?

01:30:05.080 I haven't read the parchment in a while, but that's unclear.

01:30:09.720 But, yeah, I think.

01:30:11.100 So, OK, well, the Fox News projections are obviously dampening spirits a little bit for us because you don't get the full across-the-board win.

01:30:20.500 But, you know, with that said, I just think that the Democrats have to be looking at all of this and thinking to themselves, we were supposed to wipe people out here.

01:30:29.040 Right.

01:30:29.460 I mean, they won.

01:30:30.180 They have to be thinking that, right?

01:30:31.440 63, 54.

01:30:32.220 Right now, tomorrow you're going to get triumphalism from the Democrats, but it's going to feel a little bit forced.

01:30:36.700 Because, again, Republicans in 2010 won 63 seats.

01:30:40.820 Right.

01:30:40.940 63 seats on the back of a president who had won a huge landslide.

01:30:45.440 And who won re-election.

01:30:46.740 And who everybody loved.

01:30:47.780 Right, exactly.

01:30:48.440 And who won re-election.

01:30:49.020 That's going to be their big concern.

01:30:49.760 Here they may not even reach the average number of seats lost in an off-year election.

01:30:54.680 It's, you know, again, it could be more than that.

01:30:56.480 It could be 30, 31 seats, right, because they have to win back, what, 25 in order to win back the House?

01:31:01.360 It could be 30 seats.

01:31:02.200 It could be 31 seats.

01:31:03.180 But I think that if you are a Democrat, you have to be looking more at specific races in places like Florida and Ohio when you look forward to 2020.

01:31:13.040 Right.

01:31:13.480 And less at suburban votes in Virginia, for example.

01:31:16.940 And the governorships matter, as we said at the beginning of the show.

01:31:19.420 The governorships matter if they have not taken back.

01:31:21.860 And as people know, I'm not the silver lining guy, like at all.

01:31:24.080 I'm a pessimist by nature.

01:31:25.080 But if I'm a Democrat tonight, I have to be, you have to be disappointed.

01:31:28.360 You have to be disappointed.

01:31:29.100 You know, and by the way, I would like to just point out, 538, Nate Silver still has it at 5-9 chance Democrats win, 4-9 chance Republicans win.

01:31:37.780 So, I mean, I'm not doubting Henry Olsen or Fox.

01:31:40.440 Yeah.

01:31:40.720 But it's not over yet.

01:31:42.540 It ain't over until if that lady sings. 1.00

01:31:44.800 So, all of this is, you know.

01:31:47.080 The other, you know, the other takeaway.

01:31:48.340 By the way, New Jersey, you remember, I just want to point out a point of media ridiculousness.

01:31:54.300 So, you all remember a guy named Roy Moore.

01:31:55.920 You remember this?

01:31:56.720 This just drives me crazy.

01:31:57.580 Okay, so you remember Roy Moore, right?

01:31:59.440 A guy, credibly accused multiple times of ephibophilia, right?

01:32:03.040 A guy who was, like, hitting up the 14-year-olds.

01:32:05.360 Right.

01:32:05.540 Like Elvis Presley in his heyday.

01:32:06.720 Like, this was the thing.

01:32:07.980 Jerry Lee Lewis going to town.

01:32:09.380 And we were told, as Republicans, I was one of the people saying it, you can't vote for the guy.

01:32:15.100 Right?

01:32:15.240 I mean, the guy is a credibly accused child molester, essentially.

01:32:17.940 You cannot vote for Roy Moore.

01:32:19.960 Was there an article written by anyone on the left about Bob Menendez?

01:32:23.760 In fact, they said, suck it up and vote for him, which is what I said about Roy Moore.

01:32:27.940 What I said about Roy Moore is vote for him, then censure him, get him out.

01:32:30.920 But vote for him because we cannot lose that vote.

01:32:33.340 It is a practical matter.

01:32:34.440 And this thing that the morality, especially the sexual morality, is a scam.

01:32:39.520 It is a scam engineered for politics.

01:32:42.380 I want my guys in politics to be as good as I can possibly get them. 0.86

01:32:45.680 But I'm not going to panic over every little sexual peccadillo that these people have and give the government to these communists.

01:32:53.400 For those who don't know, by the way, I don't know if people are as knowledgeable about this. 0.95

01:32:57.480 Bob Menendez, federal prosecutors believe that Bob Menendez paid underage hookers for sex.

01:33:02.460 And it hasn't been reported. 0.89

01:33:04.780 In order to do favors for a political donor, it was complete corruption.

01:33:09.980 Whereas Roy Moore was just kind of wandering around the mall doing stuff that was kind of legal.

01:33:14.380 Here's the thing. 0.60

01:33:15.240 I'm not willing to grant the premise that sex with underage girls by grown adult men, not guys on the bubble, 0.95

01:33:23.000 not a 19-year-old guy with a 17-year-old girlfriend, is a sexual peccadillo.

01:33:27.600 But wait, Roy Moore was within the law as we understand it, right?

01:33:31.240 Everything they accused him of was, except for one girl.

01:33:34.720 Except for one girl.

01:33:35.640 Except for the 14-year-old when he was 32 or something.

01:33:38.620 That's right.

01:33:38.980 But it was 40 years ago.

01:33:40.700 I mean, it was a long time ago.

01:33:42.120 So we don't even know if it's true.

01:33:44.020 We have learned.

01:33:45.740 There was a lot more corroborating evidence in that case than there was in the right category.

01:33:48.780 I just want to say, I hated Roy Moore.

01:33:50.520 I disliked him without that stuff.

01:33:52.340 I'm not a Roy Moore effective.

01:33:53.380 I know that, but the point that I'm making, we're making different points.

01:33:56.160 The point that you're making is, they don't play by any rules.

01:33:59.220 There are no rules for us either.

01:34:00.140 There shouldn't be rules.

01:34:01.040 Right.

01:34:01.340 My point is...

01:34:02.020 No, no, that's not quite what I'm saying.

01:34:03.400 Well, you kind of are.

01:34:04.140 No, no, no.

01:34:04.760 I'm not.

01:34:05.140 I'm not.

01:34:05.640 I did say that once he got in, we should have censured him.

01:34:08.980 You know, we should have gotten rid of him by...

01:34:11.100 But we don't...

01:34:11.700 You don't give up that vote over panning, over kind of a sexual...

01:34:16.080 See, and I think that there...

01:34:17.580 At a certain point, you do actually have to make some sacrifices.

01:34:19.980 There are points where I would, yeah.

01:34:21.540 Right.

01:34:22.080 And you and I have had this disagreement for a long time about what exactly that point looks like.

01:34:25.640 But the bottom line is, for the Democrats, there is no point of sacrifice.

01:34:28.160 Like, you and I may disagree on the margins here, but there is no disagreement among Democrats.

01:34:32.220 The disagreement among Democrats is not whether Bob Menendez should have earned the vote,

01:34:35.580 and it's not whether he should be censored.

01:34:37.020 It's whether he should be enshrined as a saint.

01:34:39.180 Right?

01:34:39.300 I mean, this is the actual argument that's going on on behalf of all these folks.

01:34:43.700 It looks like the next governor of Colorado is going to be Jared Polis, I guess, a Democrat.

01:34:51.180 So that is a...

01:34:52.020 He's the first openly gay governor.

01:34:54.520 So the media are going to celebrate that because that's deeply important.

01:34:57.340 That's very important.

01:34:57.920 Does Jim McReefe not count in New Jersey when he came?

01:35:00.260 Remember that governor of New Jersey?

01:35:01.260 Yeah, yeah.

01:35:01.660 Yeah, that's true.

01:35:02.120 There's his wife next to him.

01:35:03.000 He said, I'm a gay man. 0.61

01:35:03.960 First elected.

01:35:04.580 First elected.

01:35:05.480 First elected gay governor of the state of Colorado.

01:35:08.260 All of the modifiers, all of the caveats, every box must be checked so that everything is historic, historic, historic.

01:35:14.480 It's the first, yeah.

01:35:16.680 Well, it says that the, you know, again, it looks like, if you're going to read trends tonight,

01:35:22.940 what it looks like is that all of the trends in 2016 held and deepened.

01:35:27.060 Yeah.

01:35:27.180 So among women, Republicans failed. 0.98

01:35:30.040 Among suburban voters, Republicans failed.

01:35:33.060 Among blue-collar voters, they did well.

01:35:34.760 In battleground states like Florida and Ohio, maybe Michigan, it looks like Republicans continue to do well.

01:35:40.720 So this looks more like a realignment than it does like a blip.

01:35:45.140 Yeah.

01:35:45.400 Right, which was one of the questions.

01:35:46.300 Was 2016 a blip based on Hillary Clinton sucking and Donald Trump's unique candidacy?

01:35:51.380 Or was this an actual cultural realignment?

01:35:53.500 And it looks a lot more like a cultural realignment with Democrats taking the coasts and Republicans, except for Florida, apparently.

01:35:58.440 Olsen is calling Florida for Rick Scott.

01:36:00.340 Yeah.

01:36:00.820 Wow.

01:36:01.540 Yeah.

01:36:02.100 And it's, you know, it looks like Cruz is starting to pull ahead.

01:36:06.060 Pennsylvania may be the one area that looks like an outlier because Democrats are picking up a bunch of house seats in Pennsylvania.

01:36:11.460 Well, isn't that where they redistricted the whole thing?

01:36:13.500 Yeah, that's right.

01:36:14.000 But they're picking up a bunch of house seats right there.

01:36:17.180 So, you know, it's really, it's fascinating stuff.

01:36:22.280 It is fascinating stuff.

01:36:23.320 And it really is going to have to, we're really going to have to rethink Trump.

01:36:26.840 I mean, we're really going to have to look at him as the, you know, forget about who he is as a man.

01:36:33.060 Look at him as an expression of people who have been put down, insulted, dismissed, told that they were obsolete, who ain't over yet.

01:36:41.580 And I don't, I don't believe we have to relook at Trump.

01:36:44.640 Yeah, you hate him.

01:36:45.340 No, no, no, no, no, no.

01:36:47.040 It's just that this is consistent with my view of Trump.

01:36:49.900 My view of Trump is that he is the id of the right.

01:36:52.760 My, what I always object to is the argument that Trump is tapped into a policy, a new conservatism, a new political philosophy, and that that's the source of his strength.

01:37:03.420 That he cracked the code of what people want policy-wise.

01:37:07.720 I think what he has cracked is, we're tired of Paul Ryan being a gentleman.

01:37:12.240 We're tired of Mitt Romney being a gentleman.

01:37:13.940 We're tired of John McCain being a gentleman.

01:37:15.480 We're tired of being called names.

01:37:16.200 We didn't like, we didn't like, we didn't like, we didn't like, we're like fighter Lindsey Graham.

01:37:20.480 And the two things are related.

01:37:22.280 We're tired of being called names and then being gentlemen in response.

01:37:25.300 That's correct.

01:37:25.680 But you do have to understand that the human mind starts to shape things when it sees events going on.

01:37:32.140 So it is fair for intellectuals to say, what is this guy doing by his gut?

01:37:38.640 What is he stumbling into that makes sense as a future policy?

01:37:42.880 It's not necessarily intellectualizing Trump to say, wait, there is a policy here.

01:37:47.860 Trump may not know what it is, but I can sort of see what it is.

01:37:50.520 I mean, we're seeing this with Walter Meade in the Wall Street Journal, where he's talking about what Trump is reacting to.

01:37:58.100 Because Trump does have some good instincts.

01:38:00.000 He is, his nationalism, his idea that America has to put itself first in a world where Russia, Iran, and China, you know, that's not a bad idea.

01:38:10.060 He may not be thinking it through.

01:38:12.120 I'll agree with that.

01:38:13.040 But it doesn't mean it's not a policy.

01:38:14.000 But here's where I think the debate is going to now lie.

01:38:16.860 And it's been lying here for a couple of years, but it hasn't really broken out into the open.

01:38:20.520 The debate is going to lie in, do you think that the wave for Republicans here is a response to the cultural mores of the left being forced on people in the middle of the country?

01:38:30.020 Or do you think that it is a response to the, quote, to economic concerns?

01:38:35.160 Do you think that it's, like, this is Ross Dudehat has been trying to push this for a while.

01:38:39.360 Obviously, we were discussing Orrin Cass earlier.

01:38:41.040 Orrin thinks that he's been trying to push this for a while in his new book, The Once and Future Worker,

01:38:44.520 which is well worth the read, although I disagree with large swaths of it.

01:38:47.160 And I think Tucker Carlson, to a much more loud extent and extreme extent, has embraced some of these arguments.

01:38:52.400 And a little different, I would say.

01:38:53.800 I think it's more an extension of the same idea.

01:38:55.820 This idea that the way that you win back all of these sort of purple states, places like Ohio, places like Florida,

01:39:01.520 the way that you create permanent majorities there is to recognize that there are a bunch of people who have been left behind by the economy

01:39:07.420 and that the way to appeal to those people is through government regulation of capitalism and or redistribution of wealth.

01:39:14.260 Because this is what—Trump did make this pitch in 2016 about Bernie Sanders voters, right?

01:39:17.960 He went to the Bernie Sanders voters.

01:39:19.200 He said, listen, you and I agree on a lot of this stuff.

01:39:21.960 We don't like trade with China.

01:39:23.400 We don't like trade with Mexico.

01:39:24.660 We're on the same page on all of this.

01:39:26.420 I don't actually think that that is why voters in Ohio and Florida voted for Trump.

01:39:31.340 I think the reason that voters in Ohio and Florida voted for Trump is specifically because they had been called racist, sexist, bigot, homophobes for eight years by the media.

01:39:41.260 All the wars now are cultural wars.

01:39:43.100 This is the real deal.

01:39:43.760 Yeah, this is exactly right.

01:39:44.740 This is exactly right.

01:39:45.780 Even the economic wars are cultural wars.

01:39:47.580 That's exactly right.

01:39:48.160 But here's where these two things are related.

01:39:50.860 You and I are probably closer to the same page than, for instance, Knowles on this.

01:39:55.100 I rather like Oren Cass' book.

01:39:57.560 Yeah, we both believe that the government should stay out of the economic world, that the economic world will take care of itself, that automation will not eliminate all jobs, that new jobs will come along.

01:40:07.740 But here's where these two things are related.

01:40:10.060 Trump is accused of starting a trade war with China.

01:40:13.820 He is only joining a trade war with China.

01:40:16.000 Exactly.

01:40:16.320 China has been in a trade war with us.

01:40:18.140 And the same thing is true of the press.

01:40:20.060 He's accused of attacking the press and being uncivil.

01:40:23.500 They have been uncivil to the American people for 30 years.

01:40:26.000 When you call someone racist in this country, that's uncivil.

01:40:28.820 When you call them sexist, that's uncivil.

01:40:30.680 So Trump is just answering back to the press.

01:40:33.660 And in the same way, he's just answering back to China.

01:40:36.140 If, in fact, what Trump is saying is, oh, I'm going to protect these industries.

01:40:39.820 I'm not going to let them go by creating tariffs that will protect steel and the kind of things that Reagan briefly did.

01:40:45.480 And George Bush.

01:40:46.220 And George Bush.

01:40:47.000 Then I think he's making a mistake.

01:40:48.800 But so far, so far, what I've seen him do is say, hey, China's in a trade war with us.

01:40:53.440 I'm shooting back.

01:40:54.340 And I think that that's fair.

01:40:55.320 I don't disagree that that's fair.

01:40:57.720 But I think that what people like Cass, what people like even Henry Olsen, what these guys are doing to the extreme Tucker Carlson,

01:41:04.920 what they're doing is trying to build a broad sort of theology, a broad American philosophy of national populism,

01:41:12.260 and say that that's what Trump represents.

01:41:13.820 And my argument, I've made it tonight, I'm going to keep making it, is the math doesn't support it.

01:41:18.440 So a Tucker Carlson, a populist, will look at Trump's, the support for Trump's immigration policies.

01:41:25.480 And they'll say, see, this is proof that NAFTA failed.

01:41:27.840 Americans don't want NAFTA.

01:41:29.500 We want economic protectionism.

01:41:30.940 But I think it's far more likely, since we won the White House twice after NAFTA, since we won the House and the Senate after NAFTA,

01:41:40.280 and NAFTA wasn't even a point of consideration ever in that 20 years,

01:41:45.240 is that ain't nobody was thinking about NAFTA, and that Trump's immigration appeal is successful because of the cultural issues surrounding immigration.

01:41:54.900 That Americans are tired of being told by the right, it ain't your country anymore.

01:41:59.740 They're tired of being told by the right, we're basically going to change the demographics of the country.

01:42:04.400 By the left.

01:42:05.140 I'm sorry, by the left.

01:42:06.000 We're going to change the demographics of the country such that you, white American, or you, suburban American, or you, working middle class American, 0.89

01:42:13.780 no longer have a dominant voice in this society.

01:42:17.400 They're tired of being told we can't protect our borders from crime, from potential terrorism.

01:42:24.100 And they're rejecting that on sort of cultural grounds, not economic.

01:42:27.160 I don't think that the average American sits around and says, they took my job, those unlawful immigrants took my job working, picking strawberries in California. 1.00

01:42:37.120 Of course that's not what people are thinking.

01:42:38.560 But, of course, as a wise man once said, politics is downstream of culture, and it's hard to separate these things.

01:42:43.380 And I will point out, there was a very long period of time, from the beginning of the Republican Party,

01:42:49.180 up through very recent memory, that the right spoke to labor.

01:42:53.660 They weren't socialists, they weren't going to nationalize industries, but they protected labor.

01:42:59.120 And when you have China violating World Trade Organization treaties, subsidizing steel and aluminum, stealing IP,

01:43:05.180 and Donald Trump comes out and he says, we're going to protect our workers.

01:43:08.280 You're making an argument that I'm not even talking about.

01:43:11.040 What I'm saying is that you, what I'm saying is that Republicans won 1,000 nationwide elections during the era from Obama to today.

01:43:20.700 1,000, the 1,001th was Donald Trump. 0.99

01:43:24.360 It's not that all of a sudden, at 1,001, everyone went, conservatism is a crap message. 0.99

01:43:30.120 We don't need conservatism anymore. 0.93

01:43:31.700 What we need is to go back, we need to go back to when Lincoln was a Republican, and we had good tariffs in this country.

01:43:36.560 I don't think anybody's saying that.

01:43:36.860 Because we're in a trade war with China.

01:43:38.320 I don't think, I don't think Trump is saying that.

01:43:40.060 I don't think Warren Kass is saying that.

01:43:41.320 What they're saying is, you can protect the worker.

01:43:44.300 And by the way, that China should.

01:43:45.520 Because we're only talking about this to make sense of the election.

01:43:48.500 And what I'm saying is, I think all the people who wanted to protect the worker in the way you're talking about wanted to before Trump, but will want to after Trump.

01:43:54.980 I've not seen anyone who's been converted to, now I think we need to protect the worker because of Trump.

01:44:00.240 But the reason I say this is that I think that the populist appeal to workers in these areas has typically been from the left.

01:44:07.020 From FDR through Bernie Sanders.

01:44:08.920 It has typically been from the progressive Robert La Follette left in places like Wisconsin.

01:44:12.760 And what has happened and what's changed, the reason why the right is now making inroads there, is not because the right has embraced that sort of progressivism.

01:44:21.080 It is because the left decided that all those people who they used to believe were the hardworking heart of the country are a bunch of deplorables who are standing in the way of an emergent majority of people who have broader multicultural values.

01:44:33.960 And so what Trump did is he spoke to those people.

01:44:35.840 Now on the back of that, he may also believe some of this progressive economic stuff.

01:44:40.180 But I don't actually think that the future of the country, let me put it this way.

01:44:46.420 If both parties embrace versions of the same argument, which is jobs must be protected, and that's the version of the argument, I think it's a very short ride from there to Norway.

01:44:57.400 And I'm not saying from there to Venezuela, I'm saying from there to Norway.

01:44:59.400 Because I think that everybody is – this is my objection to Orrin Cass's new book, which I look forward to talking with him about.

01:45:06.340 And again, it's a good book.

01:45:07.560 But he basically says that we shouldn't focus on consumers and the economy anymore because there's an inherent value to people of work.

01:45:14.240 Labor is different.

01:45:15.040 Right.

01:45:15.560 Okay.

01:45:16.480 But it is a little bit much to ask of people that they understand policy at that level.

01:45:21.880 To say, oh, these people did not embrace Donald Trump because of his policy.

01:45:24.820 No politician wins in this country or really any country.

01:45:28.300 Agreed.

01:45:28.700 Right.

01:45:28.940 So why are we trying to reinvent the policy?

01:45:30.860 Well, we're trying to figure out what the policy is that he's doing – what he's doing right.

01:45:34.060 And what I'm saying is that what he's doing right isn't policy.

01:45:36.840 I think I can be the great reconciler here, which is this, that President Trump makes this cultural argument.

01:45:41.780 He says, I'm going to fight China. 0.98

01:45:43.180 I'm going to fight back against China, which is waging a war on us, and I'm going to fight back for you, the worker.

01:45:47.940 And he goes out –

01:45:48.420 That's a cultural argument, not an economic one.

01:45:50.500 And as a result, China comes out just today, I think, or within the last couple of days, and says, we are going to reduce our import tariffs, basically in response to Donald Trump.

01:46:00.020 When that happens, I don't see why the people who want to protect work, the people who are saying that work has a value that is greater than a consumer good, and the free traders can't all be happy with that.

01:46:09.180 That seems like a big win.

01:46:10.300 I'm fine with that, but I will say that the argument proves too much.

01:46:14.020 What I mean by that is once you start making the pitch that China stole your jobs, Mexico stole your jobs, technology stole your jobs, somebody stole your job in a free market economy, it is a very short road to let's regulate the economy and make the – let's chain the economy up and make it work for us.

01:46:29.120 The economy will now be a tool for people.

01:46:30.960 There's no question that the politicians will always protect the buggy whip industry.

01:46:35.500 Exactly.

01:46:35.780 This has always been true.

01:46:37.200 What I'm saying is I think the Trump –

01:46:38.080 We must protect our normal buggy whip.

01:46:39.760 The point I'm making is I think that we are actually ignoring that the code that Trump may have cracked is the code where you get to keep your – if you like your economic conservatism, you get to keep your economic conservatism because the code that he has cracked, even unknowingly, is the cultural code.

01:46:54.700 And that cultural code – I know, you and I are making the same argument.

01:46:56.900 No, no, no. 0.65

01:46:57.240 And the cultural code is not really China's screwing you, Mexico's screwing you, and it's not even really the elites are screwing you. 0.99

01:47:04.840 It's that there is an entire side of this country who thinks that you are a valueless human. 0.98

01:47:08.520 Correct.

01:47:08.740 That you have no value.

01:47:10.120 Or that you have anti-value.

01:47:11.200 Right.

01:47:11.520 That you are – 1.00

01:47:12.420 That you're deplorable. 0.99

01:47:14.080 Exactly. 0.99

01:47:14.660 Bitter clingers. 1.00

01:47:15.280 Yeah, yeah.

01:47:16.100 Deplorables. 0.63

01:47:17.180 Bad people. 0.59

01:47:17.840 There's no question about this.

01:47:18.640 And so if we keep –

01:47:19.500 So what I'm saying is let's double down on that message because especially we know that message is going to work because Democrats are going to continue labeling these people racist, sexist, deplorable.

01:47:25.740 But wait, there's also stuff that Trump – wait, this is ignoring the fact that there's also stuff that Trump is doing that's working.

01:47:30.660 But most of that is more conservative and not his nationalist populist rhetoric.

01:47:35.880 Oh, you're right.

01:47:36.720 You're absolutely right.

01:47:37.080 Most of what we've gotten from Trump isn't the stuff that Tucker or Henry Olsen or Cass or these guys are trying to move us toward.

01:47:42.640 No, and I thought the stuff that Tucker said – and I love Tucker.

01:47:45.380 He's a great guy.

01:47:46.080 Yeah, for sure.

01:47:46.800 But I thought that that stuff that he would save –

01:47:49.480 Outlawing automated trucks.

01:47:50.580 I also think that –

01:47:51.480 I don't think any American actually wants to go back in time to the pre-iPhone days.

01:47:58.520 Right.

01:47:58.660 I think Americans – we like the things that globalization has brought us.

01:48:02.260 But we like – 0.98

01:48:02.940 It's not cheap crap from China. 0.96

01:48:05.540 It's a better way of life for almost every single person in this country. 0.94

01:48:10.580 We have the entire knowledge of all of humankind now lives in our pocket because of globalization.

01:48:17.840 But there is a difference between globalization and free trade.

01:48:20.140 There really is.

01:48:20.780 Yes.

01:48:21.100 Those are not the same things.

01:48:21.920 And what they're talking about, by the way, this argument that has broken out on the right or this debate,

01:48:26.080 is also saying, yes, our iPhones are great, but every cultural and social measure has cracked up,

01:48:31.660 including families, especially in a lot of these places, that have been hit by unemployment.

01:48:35.860 And now we've got virtually no unemployment.

01:48:38.100 That's a wonderful benefit of the last two years.

01:48:39.900 And in the same way that I say your economic prosperity in a free country is your responsibility,

01:48:46.960 I also say your mental health, your spiritual health, the health of your family is your responsibility.

01:48:54.460 So I don't –

01:48:55.720 But there is social engineering on both sides.

01:48:58.340 I mean, there is –

01:48:58.840 But I don't grant the argument that it's the government's job to make sure that you have a job so that you'll stay married to your wife, 0.54

01:49:04.900 so that you'll be a good parent to your children, so that you'll continue going to church, so that you'll go to heaven.

01:49:09.340 That's between you and God.

01:49:10.420 It's not between you and Uncle Sam.

01:49:12.160 I like all the stuff we get.

01:49:13.580 I like that we have an on-demand economy.

01:49:15.400 I like that Daily Wire subscribers can tune in right now and give us their $10.

01:49:18.440 And I like Stamps.com.

01:49:21.240 The reason you like Stamps.com –

01:49:22.840 That was amazing.

01:49:23.880 That was amazing.

01:49:25.080 I know. It was so good.

01:49:25.600 I've gotten better at the Knights of the Knights.

01:49:27.200 It's true.

01:49:27.900 It's true.

01:49:28.180 As we get more tired, his pitches get better.

01:49:30.040 Stamps.com is the way that you are going to save time and save money.

01:49:33.340 So the post office is great.

01:49:34.220 They have a lot of great services.

01:49:35.120 But you don't actually want to spend the time driving down there and waiting in line.

01:49:37.860 Instead, you can get all the great services of the post offices directly from your desk.

01:49:41.500 You can buy and print real U.S. postage for any letter, any package, all available 24 hours a day, seven days a week.

01:49:47.380 Just click, print, mail, you're done.

01:49:49.260 Stamps.com will even send you a digital scale.

01:49:51.740 You can weigh your letters and packages, print the exact amounts of postage every time.

01:49:54.880 We use Stamps.com here at the Daily Wire offices.

01:49:57.200 It does save us time.

01:49:58.420 It saves us money.

01:49:59.560 It means that our assistants don't have to actually go down to the post office and waste their day down there

01:50:04.040 when they could be doing things like making sure that we are fed and well-kept.

01:50:09.060 So go check us out.

01:50:09.900 Laying out the carpet so that Ben can walk from one room to another.

01:50:12.360 That's right.

01:50:12.640 It's a very important part.

01:50:13.640 I mean, I need my divan carried.

01:50:15.120 And this is not something that's going to get done in itself.

01:50:17.080 Well, you too can have that sort of privilege.

01:50:19.220 If you go over to Stamps.com right now, use promo code Shapiro for a special offer, a four-week trial, including postage and a digital scale.

01:50:26.040 Excuse me.

01:50:26.660 Again, go to Stamps.com.

01:50:27.980 And before you do anything else, click on that radio microphone at the top of the homepage.

01:50:30.920 Type in promo code Shapiro.

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01:50:34.940 Go check it out right now.

01:50:35.980 It's important now that we plug ourselves.

01:50:37.800 The Daily Wire subscribers tune into this show.

01:50:40.260 They keep us up and running.

01:50:41.660 They give us all the sweet, sweet mammon on which we all thrive.

01:50:45.500 And we owe them a few questions.

01:50:47.260 Colton, do you have a question or two for us?

01:50:50.040 I do indeed.

01:50:50.740 I have a question from Kyle.

01:50:52.660 He asks, who will be the first mainstream media host to cry on camera after this election?

01:50:56.720 You know, I would assume that it will probably be Rachel Maddow.

01:51:05.080 The reason being that she actually pretty much, she broke down over things like, you know, the deportation policy at the border.

01:51:11.680 Is she a mainstream media reporter?

01:51:13.320 Yeah, that's she.

01:51:13.840 Oh, okay.

01:51:14.100 We're talking about an objective reporter?

01:51:15.440 Yeah.

01:51:16.060 Well, Jim Acosta, obviously.

01:51:18.060 That's because Jim Acosta just wants screen time.

01:51:20.220 I mean, he's actually in the back room like Pagliacci. 0.98

01:51:22.680 Like, he's a crying clown. 0.90

01:51:24.440 They're going to get his hair is out of place and he starts sobbing. 0.90

01:51:26.480 What we're going to do right now is like a rapid fire Q&A.

01:51:30.200 I want to get into four questions.

01:51:31.680 All right, let's go.

01:51:32.360 Colton, lay them on us.

01:51:33.460 From Jim, how do you feel this midterm compares to others?

01:51:36.500 Is this truly the most important election of our lifetime?

01:51:39.820 You know, I don't think it's the most important election of our lifetime, but I do think it is a significant, a tremendously significant election.

01:51:46.520 What I mean by that is that the actual results may not be as important as what they tell us about where we're going.

01:51:53.560 It may communicate more than other elections.

01:51:56.160 It may communicate more than other elections without actually being important.

01:51:59.380 And I think it is the most important election of our lifetime if Republicans win.

01:52:03.920 And I'm not being coy there.

01:52:05.240 It's that the election will mean something so profound if Republicans hold the House that that will evidence the importance of the election.

01:52:12.320 If the Democrats win the election, it's just another midterm election.

01:52:14.860 Okay, here's a better question.

01:52:16.180 What do you think was the, not to insult the questioner, but what do you think was the most important election of our lifetime?

01:52:21.640 Now, fair to say that Drew's lifetime goes back to one.

01:52:23.720 Yeah, it goes a long time.

01:52:25.020 I think it was Lincoln.

01:52:26.020 I think it was Lincoln.

01:52:26.580 It was Lincoln.

01:52:27.240 Maybe Adams Jefferson.

01:52:28.400 Well, I mean, in my lifetime, it certainly was Reagan winning.

01:52:34.580 That was a real turnaround, a real change, and it actually lasted for 25 years.

01:52:39.860 People talk, I love the fact that people talk about bubbles.

01:52:42.400 They say, oh, it was an economic bubble.

01:52:44.380 You think 25 years, that's a third of a lifetime.

01:52:47.620 I don't care if that's a bubble because, you know, I could be gone before the bubble pops.

01:52:51.600 You know, so I think that was a really important election.

01:52:54.120 I think Trump is the second most important.

01:52:55.580 No question about it.

01:52:56.900 So I will say that I think the most important election of my lifetime is an election that Republicans lost in 2012.

01:53:03.000 I think 2012 did serious damage to the country from which we are still going to see the aftereffects for decades to come.

01:53:10.000 2012 did more damage than 2016 has done good.

01:53:13.040 Correct.

01:53:13.600 To date.

01:53:14.380 Right.

01:53:14.740 I think that 2016 is a symptom of 2012.

01:53:17.100 I think that 2012, because when Barack Obama was elected in 2008, even on the right, there was this kind of hopeful moment like,

01:53:22.760 oh, look, here's a guy who's going to help us end the most cataclysmic conflict in the history of the United States.

01:53:27.320 I mean, that's what he ran on.

01:53:28.320 And then he got into office.

01:53:29.440 He campaigned like a hard left liberal.

01:53:31.040 He polarized the country by race, sex, sexual orientation.

01:53:34.980 And then he defeated an overtly good man in Mitt Romney by slandering him. 0.99

01:53:39.700 And then the right went, OK, well, screw all you guys.

01:53:42.300 And so now we sort of do have this as much as we can enjoy these elections.

01:53:45.640 And, you know, when the results are good, we enjoy them.

01:53:47.460 And when the results of policy are good, we enjoy them.

01:53:49.580 The country is much worse off just in terms of the social fabric today than it was even in 2011.

01:53:56.340 Because, like, we can't people don't look their neighbors in the face over politics now.

01:54:01.540 And I think that is almost directly a result of Barack Obama.

01:54:03.680 I don't know.

01:54:03.960 I think like it is true.

01:54:06.040 No, I actually don't agree with this.

01:54:07.540 Something I'm observing out of all my friends and family in Texas, I won't name names.

01:54:12.120 It's not all of them, is that people who didn't care about politics for most of my lifetime are, like, unfriending lifelong friends on Facebook.

01:54:21.800 These are right wingers.

01:54:22.840 Yeah, these are right wingers.

01:54:23.960 And what concerns me about it is that, to Ben's point about social fabric, that is the social fabric phrase as the Internet moves us from having regional community to being able to find people who we don't even personally know them, but they agree with us.

01:54:36.940 And we find a kind of affirmation in that, that you're now willing to unfriend a neighbor you've known for 20 years who watched after your children when they played in the front yard, who would have been there for you if you'd been injured or if your spouse had been injured.

01:54:53.300 And you're unfriending them off of this abstract called politics so that you can continue to find affirmation from people you will never lay eyes on about something that has very little immediate impact on your life.

01:55:06.000 One of the things I want to ask all my Democrat friends who've been just weeping and gnashing their teeth over the last two years is, in what measurable way is your life actually worse?

01:55:14.500 I know.

01:55:14.880 I always want to ask them that.

01:55:15.780 You feel worse.

01:55:17.260 If we put that aside, how is your life worse?

01:55:19.200 So I do think you're looking at your neighbor because you are crowing a little bit.

01:55:24.300 But there are a lot of people on the right who can't look their neighbors in the eye anymore.

01:55:27.200 I do have to say, I do want to pull the age card here for just a minute.

01:55:31.160 You've got it to play.

01:55:32.000 I've got it to play.

01:55:33.520 In spades.

01:55:34.360 But I do want to say that this is not as bad.

01:55:38.180 It's not as bad as some of the times I've lived through.

01:55:40.440 It is not like the 60s when the entire world turned over, when the entire culture turned over, when children turned on their parents and said, you stink, we reject it.

01:55:50.860 But in only one way, I will say that it's, in virtually every other way, it's not as bad.

01:55:55.360 But in one way, it is as bad.

01:55:56.620 The one way that it is as bad is that there were serious issues on the table in the 1960s.

01:56:00.620 There are no serious issues on the table today, and we are beating each other's brains in.

01:56:04.920 That's kind of fascinating.

01:56:06.000 I mean, that tells you, first of all, what a great country this is.

01:56:08.680 Because we can actually sit around and think, we can actually, grown-up people who can tie their ties in the morning are going on and saying, this man is Adolf Hitler.

01:56:17.100 And you go like, I'm sorry?

01:56:18.400 Do you know what Adolf Hitler looked like?

01:56:20.040 But that's how spoiled we are.

01:56:22.200 In a sense, that's what makes it a little bit scarier, is that there's a sort of body snatchers thing going on.

01:56:26.820 Yeah, you know what it is.

01:56:27.540 It's like you go to the nicest restaurants in L.A. with people who are getting $100 bottles of wine for lunch, and they're sitting to each other thinking, the Reich is coming. 0.51

01:56:36.180 I know. 0.83

01:56:36.620 And it's like, at least in the 1960s, when people said, things suck and I hate my neighbor, you're like, well, things kind of do suck, and your neighbor does kind of blow. 0.91

01:56:42.440 My favorite is that we're living through the Handmaid's Tale. 0.92

01:56:46.620 Oh, my God.

01:56:47.300 I love these girls who read The New Yorker, and they sit around with their Mai Tais, and they say, oh, my God, it's the Handmaid's Tale, darling.

01:56:54.600 There's never been a single moment in human history in any country on Earth where women have been freer, had more opportunity, or been more prosperous.

01:57:02.260 100% fact.

01:57:03.360 And they're wailing over it.

01:57:06.600 Hysterical, you might say.

01:57:07.660 It's going to get me in trouble.

01:57:09.720 It's the capacity to reason.

01:57:11.340 That's right.

01:57:11.640 The thing I will point out, too, is that when nothing really matters, when we're talking about trivial things, the stakes become so high.

01:57:19.980 The most brutal elections are school board elections.

01:57:22.580 The most brutal politics are in universities.

01:57:25.180 I mean, it's...

01:57:25.820 Okay, so not to put a damper on the evening, but it's fun to kind of go up and down with all the information.

01:57:30.420 Oh, no.

01:57:30.800 What do we got?

01:57:31.180 The 538 estimate right now has Democrats at plus 36 in the House.

01:57:37.660 What?

01:57:38.440 Yikes.

01:57:38.740 Plus 36 in the House.

01:57:40.680 Really?

01:57:40.920 That's not going to be good.

01:57:41.760 So all of the premature, you know...

01:57:43.540 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

01:57:43.980 I'm getting kind of tired, guys.

01:57:44.960 Yeah, exactly.

01:57:46.960 Again, you know...

01:57:48.040 You think so?

01:57:48.460 Plus 36, does that sound right to you?

01:57:50.700 Well, I mean, it sounds righter than not to me, since they have more information than I do.

01:57:54.200 It's one vote off from where you thought the night would end.

01:57:56.200 I did say it was going to be D plus 35. 1.00

01:57:58.640 Yeah.

01:57:59.060 Now, because it was...

01:58:01.040 You know, and I said that that didn't constitute a blue wave as much as, you know, a solid blue move.

01:58:06.540 Yeah.

01:58:06.700 But it's...

01:58:07.980 But I was sort of assuming that if there was that sort of move, that Republicans were going

01:58:12.240 to do less well in the Senate, and we're going to have to see where things end up.

01:58:15.880 I mean, I did...

01:58:16.420 Where their forecast is right now is D plus 34...

01:58:19.320 It's moving from D plus 34 to D plus 36 in the House, and R plus 2 in the Senate.

01:58:23.360 I...

01:58:23.720 My early prediction was D plus 35, R plus 1 in the Senate.

01:58:26.400 Right.

01:58:26.540 So I was relatively close.

01:58:27.960 I said I don't think that that constitutes a blue wave.

01:58:30.260 Right.

01:58:30.460 I do think that it does constitute a repudiation of President Trump in terms of persona.

01:58:34.660 It is his persona.

01:58:35.520 But it's...

01:58:36.120 And so, you know, with that said, what that...

01:58:40.740 Maybe that does reopen the question as to, you know, President Trump's given us a lot

01:58:44.960 of good policy.

01:58:46.420 Is it possible that...

01:58:48.240 And it is also true that he has driven the left mad, which has led to some kickback in

01:58:52.680 a lot of the swing states.

01:58:55.060 Is it possible that his affect will be more damaging than we think?

01:58:59.560 Well, I think...

01:59:01.280 I don't see how it can not be damaging.

01:59:03.200 You know, we...

01:59:03.800 I think we've all agreed that this guy is a...

01:59:07.060 He's a big personality.

01:59:08.900 I think at this point, he's almost a world historical figure.

01:59:11.740 He's becoming an actual historical figure.

01:59:13.600 He's a big personality with enormous flaws, with enormous flaws.

01:59:17.240 And those flaws and the flaws in a personality of power are going to have an effect.

01:59:23.340 You know, and so what we have, you know, we have this conversation in America where 0.98

01:59:27.440 people are saying, if you say anything bad about Trump, you're a cuck and you're this 0.98

01:59:30.960 and you're that. 0.98

01:59:31.360 And then you have other people saying, oh my God, if you say anything good about Trump, 0.99

01:59:34.360 you're a racist and you're... 0.97

01:59:35.260 Well, no. 1.00

01:59:36.040 Trump is a complex figure.

01:59:37.460 He may not be a complex person. 1.00

01:59:38.440 You're a cuck and a racist. 0.99

01:59:40.760 No, but Trump may not be a complex person, but he's a complex figure in our politics. 1.00

01:59:46.840 And of course there's going to be a price.

01:59:49.140 As I've said from the beginning, there's going to be a price we pay for his personality, which

01:59:53.520 is deeply flawed.

01:59:54.300 That was a great answer to a question not asked by one of our Daily Wire subscribers.

01:59:58.780 I want another one from Ben Colton.

02:00:00.200 What do you got for it?

02:00:01.320 All right.

02:00:01.860 So we got a question coming from Tommy.

02:00:04.300 If Republicans hold both the House and the Senate, what do you think the first things

02:00:08.280 Democrats will do?

02:00:09.720 Well, they're not going to.

02:00:10.860 So, I mean, the Republicans are going to lose the House.

02:00:13.380 Next question.

02:00:14.020 Yeah.

02:00:14.680 From Melissa.

02:00:16.100 This is for Ben specifically, but I guess everyone else can answer.

02:00:19.260 Considering how many people don't socialize with their neighbors anymore, do you think

02:00:22.240 door knocking is still a viable campaign strategy for local or national candidates?

02:00:26.460 So I think that it is a viable strategy because you never knew the person really knocking on

02:00:29.940 your door in the first place.

02:00:31.100 There is something about face-to-face contact that does change the nature of things.

02:00:36.220 There's a really interesting study that was done in the 1930s about an Asian couple that

02:00:39.920 went around the United States and they tried to register a bunch of bed and breakfasts all

02:00:44.340 across the United States.

02:00:45.480 And what they found is that they were able to register at bed and breakfasts everywhere.

02:00:48.880 Like out of a hundred places, they were able to register at 99 of them.

02:00:52.440 Then they called up those places and they said, hey, we're Asian.

02:00:55.160 Do you allow Asians to stay at your establishment? 1.00

02:00:57.260 And all hundreds said, no, we don't allow Asians to stay at our establishment. 0.89

02:01:00.060 The point being that face-to-face contact does change people's perceptions of other people.

02:01:04.080 And particularly in local races, when you feel like you know the person, it does give

02:01:07.440 you more of a stake in voting for the person.

02:01:09.220 So I do think that door knocking is actually a lot more effective than, for example, the phone

02:01:12.300 calling, which I think is almost, I think phone banking is almost nearly useless.

02:01:16.480 I think emailing is basically useless.

02:01:18.120 But there is something special about face-to-face contact that still matters.

02:01:21.860 By the way, quick update.

02:01:22.720 It looks like Claire McCaskill may be toast. 1.00

02:01:24.940 So Republicans, the split between Republicans and Democrats, that's good for Republicans. 0.98

02:01:28.940 That's Josh Hawley.

02:01:31.560 Oh, I'm not thinking of McCaskill.

02:01:32.860 I was thinking of Arizona.

02:01:34.060 So that is a big, that's a big win.

02:01:37.160 In bad news, Democrat Ilhan Omar, who married her brother, allegedly, and is a wild, and 0.72

02:01:42.600 is a wild anti-Semite, is now the new Minnesota Congresswoman from the 5th Congressional District.

02:01:47.480 You remember the story?

02:01:48.300 Yes, I do remember that.

02:01:49.300 So, you know, blue getting blue and red getting red.

02:01:51.920 What is the story?

02:01:52.600 It's too good to look to the nutshell.

02:01:53.360 Oh, okay.

02:01:54.240 So the story for Ilhan Omar is that she was already married, and she, in order to immigrate

02:01:59.560 to the United States, married her brother, without saying, like, legally married her brother,

02:02:04.900 and then claimed that she had not legally married her brother or something.

02:02:07.740 And then the documents came out, and it turns out that she basically scammed the immigration

02:02:10.620 system, or at least that's the allegation.

02:02:11.860 So she will be sitting in Congress, because there is no bottom to what Democrats will elect. 1.00

02:02:17.240 The question is, did she scam her brother?

02:02:21.160 I don't even want to go there.

02:02:22.780 Mitt Romney, by the way, is the new senator from Utah.

02:02:24.620 No, Utah voted for Mitt Romney.

02:02:26.420 Yeah, shocker.

02:02:27.360 Who could have predicted such a thing?

02:02:28.900 And John James is running neck and neck in Michigan, which would be a huge win for Republicans.

02:02:34.340 So Senate, cutting for Republicans.

02:02:36.600 House, cutting strongly for Democrats.

02:02:39.280 Kind of how the conventional wisdom suggested, right?

02:02:41.360 So at the beginning of the night, it was like, everybody's got it wrong.

02:02:43.420 And now it's like, everybody kind of had it right.

02:02:45.180 It's the map where he was so bad.

02:02:46.300 So yay data.

02:02:47.160 Okay, so again, the nice thing about being a pessimist, I get to say yay data.

02:02:50.760 Because there is a part of me, just as somebody who does this for a living, you know, where

02:02:54.860 I like more information.

02:02:57.320 In the same way I like sabermetrics in baseball, I like more information in elections.

02:03:00.720 And I'm not comfortable in an environment where people are like, I don't know anything.

02:03:04.680 It could be anything.

02:03:05.880 1,000 wins for Republicans.

02:03:07.380 I hate the polls. 0.99

02:03:08.240 Data sucks. 1.00

02:03:08.860 You're the worst. 1.00

02:03:09.360 Like, if the data's actually good, I kind of like that.

02:03:13.020 It means that we can be more responsive.

02:03:14.200 This is an interesting question, too, because the predictions were all right in 2012.

02:03:18.720 People got, because that was a normal time.

02:03:20.460 That was a normal election.

02:03:21.580 All the predictions were wrong in 2016 because it was not a normal election at all.

02:03:25.480 And you're seeing that in this House and Senate midterm elections, it's kind of returning

02:03:30.920 to normal.

02:03:31.620 If this is true.

02:03:32.820 If 538 is fully right.

02:03:34.060 What I think it's returning to, what I think we're seeing so far, is that things haven't

02:03:38.600 changed since 2016.

02:03:39.980 Yeah.

02:03:40.280 They're basically where they were before.

02:03:41.840 And that's important because it means the entire arsenal of the left has unleashed upon

02:03:47.940 us.

02:03:48.420 And it really hasn't changed the matrix at all. 0.78

02:03:50.620 Yeah, although some people who are very, very Trumpy are getting killed.

02:03:53.100 Like Chris Kobach, who is running for Kansas governor, he's just getting destroyed by Laura

02:03:57.740 Kelly right now.

02:03:58.900 NBC has already called it for Laura Kelly in Kansas. 1.00

02:04:02.960 So that's a big loss for Republicans in Kansas.

02:04:06.560 And again, do Republicans have, like, is there a way for Republicans to keep the best of Trump's

02:04:13.280 aggressiveness and lose the worst parts?

02:04:15.640 Well, that's my hope.

02:04:16.740 That is what exactly, exactly what I'm hoping for.

02:04:18.660 What I'm, what I'm hoping for is that his policies, that he is continually forced to

02:04:23.260 the right so that his policies work and that his policies become represented by somebody

02:04:27.560 who's more presentable.

02:04:28.660 But I would not like to see, I would not like to see the Reagan-Bush handoff where Reagan

02:04:33.460 hands off to a guy who really doesn't support and he says, oh, we're going to be kinder

02:04:36.800 and gentler.

02:04:37.440 I would like to see somebody who's kinder and gentler and affect, but is as far right

02:04:41.060 as Trump has been in policy.

02:04:42.940 That would be a good thing.

02:04:43.800 Like, I, I used to think it was going to be Mike Pence.

02:04:46.800 I wonder if Mike Pence has the, the kind of gumption to be-

02:04:49.820 I think that, that basically the best candidates have the capacity to punch, but they also have

02:04:55.360 the capacity to speak broadly.

02:04:56.920 Yeah.

02:04:57.220 Trump definitely has the capacity to punch.

02:04:58.980 He has very little capacity to speak broadly.

02:05:01.820 You know, Obama as a politician did have the capacity to do both of those things, which

02:05:05.080 is why he was very good at his job.

02:05:06.760 You know, I think that on the, on the right side of the aisle, the problem with Vice President

02:05:10.160 Pence, who I like very much, is he has the capacity to speak broadly.

02:05:12.340 I'm not sure he has the capacity to punch.

02:05:13.800 Yeah.

02:05:14.220 And, and right now the Republican base particularly values the capacity, if you have to pick

02:05:17.820 one or the other, the Republican base values the capacity to punch the most.

02:05:21.240 Other breaking news, Heidi Heitkamp is done in North Dakota, which was absolutely predicted.

02:05:25.520 Basically, Kavanaugh broke that one wide open.

02:05:27.800 Yeah.

02:05:27.940 I mean, she, she published the names of sexual assault survivors and not, without their permission.

02:05:34.840 Yeah, and not.

02:05:35.440 I mean, it was just, her campaign was over three weeks ago.

02:05:38.820 So right now, it looks like the path to the Senate majority and the path to the House majority,

02:05:42.480 as Jim Antle says, we're running through absolutely different universes.

02:05:45.460 Like the Senate and the House are just living in, in completely different universes.

02:05:48.240 But that's the map, you know?

02:05:49.960 I mean, it's, it is, it is the way the, the districts are divided and what, what districts

02:05:54.420 were vulnerable and which ones weren't and which states were vulnerable and which ones

02:05:58.140 weren't.

02:05:58.580 That is the map speaking.

02:05:59.800 And that, that fact just means that nothing has really changed.

02:06:03.160 And, and that speaks to the weakness of the mainstream media and, and broader communications.

02:06:10.500 We do have some, some breaking news from ABC.

02:06:12.720 They're calling it for Cruz.

02:06:14.400 Are they?

02:06:15.060 That's what they're.

02:06:15.800 Don't worry, moral victory.

02:06:16.740 Moral victory.

02:06:17.760 Yeah.

02:06:18.380 Hand for, hand for, hand for, moral victory.

02:06:20.320 But what do we think, what do we think that's going to be?

02:06:22.000 Is it going to be 3%?

02:06:22.980 Because it should be 10% at least.

02:06:24.500 Right.

02:06:24.880 I mean, they're, they're calling it, but they're not giving any numbers.

02:06:27.640 It's just, as of two minutes ago, they're calling it.

02:06:29.260 It's going to be relatively close.

02:06:30.160 Henry Olsen was saying that it was like 3%, which in Texas is a hell of a scare.

02:06:34.060 That is not a good thing.

02:06:34.560 Although, uniquely good candidate, uniquely.

02:06:39.820 Yep.

02:06:40.480 Difficult circumstances.

02:06:41.800 Handicapped.

02:06:42.540 Yeah.

02:06:43.080 A guy I like very much who I believe was wounded going into this.

02:06:46.480 Cassie, you got another question for us over there?

02:06:48.640 Yeah.

02:06:48.900 So Katie wants to know why New England or the Northeast elects Republican governors, but Democratic

02:06:53.940 senators.

02:06:54.840 That's an interesting question.

02:06:55.980 Because, sorry, go ahead.

02:06:57.520 Oh, you spent time at Yale.

02:06:59.060 Having lived there, yeah, New Yorker, it's because the Republicans are Democrats.

02:07:02.860 That's why they elect them.

02:07:04.220 I mean, the Northeast Republican is so different from what we think of as a national Republican

02:07:09.900 that it doesn't really hold true.

02:07:12.060 The New York Republican Party, the Massachusetts Republican Party is a different beast.

02:07:16.920 That's a...

02:07:17.760 Okay, so here's my answer.

02:07:18.920 Yeah.

02:07:19.060 And it's the same answer as California, which only elects Democratic senators, but occasionally

02:07:22.720 elects Republican governors.

02:07:23.800 Right.

02:07:23.960 And that is that governors administer things better than Democrats, and the Senate is for

02:07:30.260 virtue signaling.

02:07:31.420 And so if you want a virtue signal, you virtue signal with the Senate, because the senators

02:07:34.240 don't actually do anything.

02:07:35.240 I mean, here's the dirty little secret of the Senate.

02:07:36.920 The Senate advises and consents on judges.

02:07:39.360 It has some input in terms of budgetary matters.

02:07:41.300 But they're not really doing that much at the Senate, which is why everyone in the Senate

02:07:44.640 is running for president.

02:07:45.520 Like, there's been a suggestion that we should actually create a constitutional amendment

02:07:48.200 to ban senators from running for president, because it would make the Senate workable

02:07:51.900 again.

02:07:53.040 It's not the worst idea in the world, because basically all these people do is they get

02:07:56.340 elected to the Senate, and as soon as they do, they're thinking, okay, I'm running for

02:07:58.820 the White House.

02:07:59.600 Now I'm going to get up here and grandstand for the rest of my time here.

02:08:03.160 So I think that's why.

02:08:04.960 The Senate is for virtue signaling.

02:08:06.680 The governor's house is for actually running the state.

02:08:09.580 Cassie, what's next?

02:08:10.920 So Logan says, you guys hammer the left for hypocrisy and double standards, and they

02:08:15.320 give it right back to the right. 0.64

02:08:16.740 Is this the only rule that we as a country agree on?

02:08:19.680 And do we even agree on this?

02:08:21.180 What is that question again?

02:08:22.860 Yeah, ask it one more time, Cassie.

02:08:24.080 So you guys hammer the left for hypocrisy and double standards, and they give it right

02:08:28.340 back, as in the left gives it right back to the right.

02:08:30.560 Is this the only rule that we as a country agree on?

02:08:33.300 Do we even agree on this?

02:08:34.660 It's just a political ploy, basically.

02:08:36.640 But on the left, it really is important to me that, I think Jeremy said this so well

02:08:42.420 earlier in the evening, when he talked about the fact that you're racist, but you're accusing

02:08:46.000 people of racism, that you're sexist, but accusing people of sexism, that you're doing

02:08:49.380 all these things.

02:08:50.340 That this projection game that the left continually plays is maddening, and it makes people crazy.

02:08:58.000 I do not think the right is doing the same thing. 0.76

02:09:01.700 The hypocrisy on the right is that hypocrisy, the tribute that vice pays to virtue.

02:09:07.500 It is the fact that we put forward good values, and we don't always live by them.

02:09:11.060 That is the human condition.

02:09:12.460 That's a very different thing than accusing people of doing the things that you, in fact,

02:09:16.380 are doing.

02:09:16.720 Very different than projection.

02:09:17.800 I agree, and I think that there's also points we made here about whataboutism.

02:09:20.640 Right now, there's been this idea that if I point out the left does something bad,

02:09:24.240 that's whataboutism.

02:09:24.940 No, whataboutism is me saying, it's okay when my side does something bad because your side

02:09:28.340 did something bad.

02:09:29.220 Whataboutism is not me saying, you're right, my side did something bad.

02:09:32.140 Also, you guys did something bad, and this bad stuff is on both sides.

02:09:35.640 But whataboutism originally was a Soviet ploy where we would say, you guys are killing 0.84

02:09:40.140 people and putting them in gulags, and they would say, well, you had slaves.

02:09:43.360 You'd go like, yeah, 200 years ago, that's a different thing.

02:09:47.180 Whataboutism was originally comparing apples and oranges, and to say, oh, wait, you're doing

02:09:52.540 the same thing, or you've been doing the same thing is not whataboutism.

02:09:54.940 It is actually accusing people of hypocrisy.

02:09:56.500 And the reason that they focus on hypocrisy more so than we do, I think, on the left is

02:10:01.060 that we have standards.

02:10:02.760 We have standards and we fail.

02:10:03.280 Some of us have standards.

02:10:03.920 That's right.

02:10:04.420 That's right.

02:10:04.580 And so when we try to hold ourselves to a standard and fail to hold ourselves to that standard, 1.00

02:10:08.940 they say, ha, see, you're a hypocrite. 0.97

02:10:10.920 But we can turn to them and say, you don't have any standards in the first place. 0.99

02:10:14.400 At least we're trying.

02:10:15.460 That's actually not the definition of hypocrisy.

02:10:17.840 Right.

02:10:17.960 The definition of hypocrisy is living by standards that are not the standards you preach.

02:10:23.520 It's not failing to live up to your own standards.

02:10:25.420 We all fail to live up to your own standards.

02:10:26.600 That's right.

02:10:26.860 That's called being a human.

02:10:27.740 That's right.

02:10:28.240 Right now, it looks like, as you say, the race has been called for Ted Cruz.

02:10:33.560 Doug Ducey was reelected as governor of Arizona.

02:10:36.120 That's cool.

02:10:36.480 Which is a nice thing.

02:10:38.000 Again, basically, all the polls were right.

02:10:39.680 Nobody knows what the hell's going on.

02:10:41.000 Right.

02:10:41.420 I mean, which is 2016.

02:10:42.560 Yeah.

02:10:42.680 But still, there's a realignment taking place.

02:10:44.940 Nobody fully understands the realignment.

02:10:46.420 That's right.

02:10:47.160 And it's, and, you know, is there a pathway to broader Republican victory?

02:10:52.540 Maybe.

02:10:53.420 Maybe.

02:10:54.460 You know, maybe not.

02:10:55.860 I think there is.

02:10:56.660 I think that now, I mean, it's going to be interesting.

02:10:59.760 One of the things that I have maintained about Trump from the beginning, which I think has panned out,

02:11:03.660 is that Trump is more flexible than the people who comment upon it.

02:11:06.680 For Trump, possibly, in some ways, possibly because he has no ideology and he has no standards.

02:11:11.980 He moves with the field.

02:11:14.780 He moves where the field is going.

02:11:16.180 He has that running back thing.

02:11:17.860 And the question is going to be whether Trump looks at this and he says to himself, you know,

02:11:23.220 in part, my personality has done badly here, but it's done well here and so forth,

02:11:29.600 and whether he can modify that.

02:11:32.080 I actually suspect he can.

02:11:33.500 I think he's a very, very canny politician in this very gut, instinctive way.

02:11:38.520 And I think he's going to look at these results and they're going to change the way he governs

02:11:41.440 because it has been a problem.

02:11:43.780 Everybody in America says this.

02:11:45.080 When you go out and you actually talk to people, they don't say, oh, I love Donald Trump.

02:11:49.020 What they say is, I love Donald Trump.

02:11:50.200 I wish he'd stop doing this.

02:11:51.340 I wish he'd stop doing that.

02:11:52.380 They say it again and again.

02:11:53.500 Yeah.

02:11:53.980 If he hasn't done it, this is where I disagree.

02:11:55.580 If he hasn't done it by now, I don't think he's doing it.

02:11:57.020 And I think that he thinks that he's incredibly flexible guy.

02:12:01.240 See, I don't see that he's incredibly flexible.

02:12:03.500 I think that he reacts to circumstance, but I think that in order for him to react to the

02:12:07.040 circumstance, he has to take the advice of the circumstance.

02:12:09.240 And when it comes to issues of character, he's been pretty inflexible.

02:12:12.500 I mean, his character has not changed over time.

02:12:14.540 I've not seen him become a more moderate character.

02:12:16.580 He doesn't have been porn stars at the White House. 0.85

02:12:17.520 Yeah, there haven't been porn stars at the White House. 0.91

02:12:19.560 Well, I mean, we wouldn't know.

02:12:20.980 And the kind of things that he did against Ted Cruz, which really were egregious, they

02:12:25.820 really were offensive and wrong.

02:12:27.920 You know, I won't say he's gotten rid of that 100 percent, but he's dialed it back.

02:12:32.200 There's no question that he's dialed it back.

02:12:33.540 In what respect?

02:12:35.020 Well, where has he done that kind of thing again?

02:12:37.280 You know, I mean, I think the worst...

02:12:38.420 To the extent of calling a man's father the murderer of JFK.

02:12:41.260 Yeah.

02:12:41.400 Yeah, it turns out that that's rare.

02:12:42.800 He was just asking questions, okay?

02:12:44.640 But I don't think it was rare before.

02:12:46.760 I think it was Donald Trump's way of being before, and he sees that it is not appropriate

02:12:51.580 now, and he's dialed it back.

02:12:52.820 I, you know...

02:12:53.700 And I think we don't give him credit for that.

02:12:55.060 I mean, it's not a lot of credit to give him.

02:12:58.180 And I also don't think that he...

02:12:59.620 I mean, I don't buy that either.

02:13:01.580 He's attacked, I mean, any number of people in, like, directly in the media in exactly

02:13:07.300 the same way he attacked people during the campaign, right?

02:13:08.960 I mean, he went after Mikhail Brzezinski for a bloody face while he was president.

02:13:11.640 So, I mean, like...

02:13:11.880 But still, as he's gone along...

02:13:14.380 Yeah, that was also pretty early on.

02:13:15.740 You talked about Mikhail's bleeding face.

02:13:17.600 We are early on.

02:13:18.860 We're two years in, guys.

02:13:19.940 I mean, like, I understand that every day here is seven years.

02:13:22.380 Yeah, well, that's true.

02:13:22.980 Brett Kavanaugh happened when I was 18.

02:13:25.280 Yeah.

02:13:25.560 But, you know, if he's...

02:13:28.060 Look, if you were able to cleanse that part of his personality and you were able to channel

02:13:31.520 his aggression in positive directions, they had to be nearly unstoppable.

02:13:35.460 Yeah.

02:13:35.640 But the question is...

02:13:37.180 But let's see.

02:13:38.180 He has changed, and I don't think he's given credit to...

02:13:40.080 Well, you know, instead of focusing so much on Trump, let's talk about what the Democrats

02:13:42.680 have to do here.

02:13:43.240 Because if you look at all of these races and how they're breaking down, what you are seeing 1.00

02:13:46.900 is the Democrats are overperforming where they ran moderates, and they're underperforming

02:13:50.180 where they did not.

02:13:50.880 Well, that's a really important point.

02:13:52.600 Yes.

02:13:52.820 That's a good point.

02:13:53.520 Andrew Gillum lost in Florida.

02:13:55.200 Yeah.

02:13:55.380 Because Andrew Gillum is not even close to a moderate.

02:13:57.640 He is a radical.

02:13:58.520 Right.

02:13:58.780 And the same thing is happening to Beto, even though Beto portrayed himself as a moderate.

02:14:03.240 Beto was a Nancy Pelosi Democrat.

02:14:04.720 Abolish ICE.

02:14:05.620 Correct.

02:14:06.020 All of the Democrats were winning across the country in these purple districts.

02:14:10.680 Blue Dogs is a little bit strong, but closer to Blue Dogs than to radical San Francisco

02:14:14.940 leftists.

02:14:15.040 And the veterans and all this stuff.

02:14:16.140 This is right.

02:14:17.080 If the Democrats run somebody, quote unquote, moderate in 2020, it's going to provide Trump

02:14:21.980 with much more of a problem than if they go full-scale intersectional in 2020.

02:14:25.680 If they go full-scale intersectional in 2020, I think the presidential race looks a lot

02:14:28.720 more like the Senate race.

02:14:29.640 Yep.

02:14:29.800 And if they run somebody moderate, I think that the presidential race looks like these

02:14:33.120 House races tonight.

02:14:33.380 Do they have anybody moderate?

02:14:34.940 Will their base allow them to ascend somebody moderate?

02:14:36.820 Yes.

02:14:37.180 That's a good question, too.

02:14:38.160 That's a good question.

02:14:38.720 You know, I think that they can dig somebody up.

02:14:42.400 I'll tell you for the vote.

02:14:43.640 Literally do that.

02:14:44.440 Right.

02:14:44.640 No, I mean, I'll give you an example.

02:14:46.600 I'll give you an example.

02:14:47.160 So right now, General Stanley McChrystal is going around making the rounds.

02:14:49.920 You could see a world.

02:14:50.920 I mean, because I remember they tried to do this in 2004 with Wesley Clark.

02:14:54.680 Yeah, yeah, yeah. 0.93

02:14:55.140 He turned out to be nuts. 0.99

02:14:57.080 Right. 0.97

02:14:57.260 He turned out not to be a thing.

02:14:58.380 But McChrystal is not, right?

02:15:00.400 And let's say that in 2020, they run Stanley McChrystal, like a serious human.

02:15:04.900 You know, there's a world where Democrats wake themselves up from this stupor and they

02:15:10.040 learn the lesson.

02:15:11.320 That's how we got Bill Clinton.

02:15:12.900 Exactly.

02:15:13.280 What 2020 is going to be about is who learned the lesson.

02:15:16.480 Now, the question is, does anyone think they learned a lesson?

02:15:18.880 My fear among Republicans is going to be that the enthusiasm for what happened in Florida

02:15:23.340 and what may be happening in Ohio and maybe it's happening in Indiana, that that enthusiasm

02:15:27.560 is going to translate into, we don't need to learn any lessons. 0.98

02:15:30.080 The Democrats are going to shoot themselves right in the head and all we have to do is 0.99

02:15:33.040 sit here and point and laugh at them. 0.99

02:15:34.820 And of course, the other side of that is the Democrats saying we took the house.

02:15:37.360 The Democrats are looking at the house and saying, we did great yeoman's work here.

02:15:41.620 We won nearly 40 seats in the house.

02:15:43.240 We won just above 30 seats in the house.

02:15:45.080 And that means we won back the house.

02:15:46.880 Yeah.

02:15:47.140 Right.

02:15:47.260 That's good.

02:15:47.900 And now we have a couple of years to just shout at Trump and people don't like Trump.

02:15:51.360 And obviously us yelling at Trump meant that we won the house.

02:15:53.260 I think that is the most likely outcome that nobody learns anything.

02:15:56.680 Both parties are currently controlled by their base to an extent that we have not seen in

02:16:02.060 the last 30 years.

02:16:03.320 I got to tell you.

02:16:04.100 Bill Clinton.

02:16:04.480 Right.

02:16:04.800 We've seen George W. Bush was not the base guy.

02:16:11.400 Mitt Romney, not the base guy.

02:16:12.900 John McCain, not the base guy.

02:16:14.340 Donald Trump, the base guy.

02:16:16.220 Barack Obama, the base guy.

02:16:19.160 The base doesn't learn any lessons.

02:16:21.820 The base is religious.

02:16:23.100 The base is true believers.

02:16:24.560 And so when the base is in power in both parties, I don't know if I've lived through

02:16:28.320 a time when both bases were controlling their parties.

02:16:31.800 How does it moderate in that?

02:16:33.080 I got a situation.

02:16:33.840 I really, I know everyone decries the bases controlling the parties.

02:16:38.100 I like it.

02:16:38.940 I really like it.

02:16:39.640 This was a big complaint among political scientists in the 30s and 40s and 50s that the two parties

02:16:45.180 were too similar.

02:16:46.100 They weren't ideologically distinct.

02:16:48.020 Now they're distinct.

02:16:48.860 Barry Goldwater called for a choice, not an echo.

02:16:51.260 I'd rather have an honest choice, even if it's run by the crazies of both parties.

02:16:55.340 I'd rather see two clear visions for America than some fake blue dog coming in and pretending 0.93

02:17:01.920 to be sort of conservative.

02:17:02.880 Here's the issue, though.

02:17:03.520 I don't think the base of each party is policy driven.

02:17:07.320 I agree.

02:17:07.680 I think that this is the problem.

02:17:08.920 I would agree with you if it were like, OK, the Republican base is embracing Tea Party,

02:17:11.680 small government principles, individual rights and God-given liberties.

02:17:14.960 If it's just the Democrats are a-holes and we want somebody who's just going to sock those 0.97

02:17:20.620 effers right in the head, right? 0.99

02:17:22.320 And the Democratic base's entire pitch is Donald Trump is Hitler and we must go and stop him 0.75

02:17:28.800 right now.

02:17:29.600 I'm not sure how that is good for American politics.

02:17:32.740 So if I thought that it were a policy fight, I would totally agree.

02:17:35.240 Obviously, I was a big Tea Party supporter.

02:17:36.800 I am the base when it comes to, you know, I am the Senate.

02:17:39.640 I am the base when it comes to a lot of these political concerns.

02:17:42.900 But I'm concerned that what the base is in love with right now is, in fact, the fight.

02:17:47.340 It is the owning the cons, owning the libs thing.

02:17:49.240 Sure.

02:17:49.660 And because they're in love with that.

02:17:50.760 The base always loves that.

02:17:51.640 Right, exactly.

02:17:52.300 And it used to be that I think that, again, Obama shifted the model in 2012.

02:17:56.380 The model used to be that you lock down the base in the primaries and then you tack

02:17:59.580 to the center in the general.

02:18:00.420 Correct.

02:18:00.600 And that was true not only with regard to policy, but with regard to affect, right?

02:18:06.340 That when you're on your home turf, you speak like a rabble-rousing Robespierre. 1.00

02:18:10.180 And then when you go out in public, then you speak the language of unification.

02:18:14.400 And now it's like, well, you know what? 0.99

02:18:16.440 We all know the language of unification is bullshit. 0.98

02:18:18.240 So we're just not going to do that. 0.98

02:18:19.300 We're just going to do the rabble-rousing thing on both sides everywhere. 0.98

02:18:22.340 And the problem is that that does lead to the belief, when you see what these, when I see

02:18:28.020 what the Democrats are saying, what they used to say behind closed doors, but now they're 0.95

02:18:30.580 saying in public, I go, these people are insane. 0.97

02:18:32.260 Yeah. 0.97

02:18:32.820 Right?

02:18:32.980 And I feel like Democrats say the same thing about us.

02:18:35.220 Like there is something to the idea of the kind of platonic noble lie to a certain extent

02:18:39.620 in politics, which is that even if you believe the other guys are ill-motivated, we do have

02:18:44.260 to have the veneer of civilization here, where you assume that the other people voting in

02:18:47.420 the democracy don't actually want to tear out the democracy at its roots.

02:18:50.020 Well, I think this speaks, though, to something that has become dysfunctional in our legislature.

02:18:55.540 The fact that they are not passing any law.

02:18:57.820 You know, immigration is actually a great example of this. 0.90

02:19:01.340 As a guy who doesn't really care, you know, wake up in the morning worried about immigration,

02:19:07.480 I do worry about the rule of law.

02:19:09.180 I do worry about like Chuck Schumer waving a pen in the air and saying Donald Trump should

02:19:13.260 pass a law, you know, His Highness Donald Trump should pass a law, instead of saying I'm going

02:19:17.400 to go talk to Mitch McConnell and we're going to sit down and work out something that is

02:19:20.980 going to appeal to this country where we say these are the rules, we'll all stick by them

02:19:25.960 because we made them.

02:19:27.240 We made them.

02:19:27.740 That is the essence of democracy.

02:19:29.140 That's the essence of a republic is these guys doing that.

02:19:31.720 They're not doing that.

02:19:32.820 How is it, how is it that immigration law has stagnated where it is for so long?

02:19:37.780 Since Teddy Kennedy.

02:19:38.460 With everybody, with everybody saying that it's wrong, how is that possible?

02:19:42.340 That, to me, is the problem that we're facing.

02:19:45.040 It would solve the thing that Ben is talking about, this division that Ben is talking about.

02:19:50.220 It would actually solve it on a cultural level if they could deal with it on a legislative level.

02:19:53.460 I have an unpopular opinion here.

02:19:55.200 No.

02:19:56.200 But you?

02:19:56.680 I want to carve out for a moment immigration because I actually think immigration is unique.

02:20:01.180 Yeah.

02:20:01.400 The reason that everyone in the country says no to this completely free-flowing immigration 1.00

02:20:06.680 system that we have, but nothing is done about it, is because the elites of both parties

02:20:12.440 have a vested interest in keeping our borders open.

02:20:14.900 The Democrats believe they're importing new voters, and the Republicans believe that they're

02:20:19.700 importing new cheap labor.

02:20:21.180 I agree with you.

02:20:21.620 So it doesn't matter.

02:20:22.620 So their constituents, so I don't think that immigration should be the one you ask about. 1.00

02:20:26.860 Okay.

02:20:27.420 The question, why isn't the legislature doing anything anywhere?

02:20:31.000 Anything, yeah.

02:20:31.820 I actually think is a byproduct of a sort of Tea Party, populist, well-intentioned move that has

02:20:42.100 had disastrous consequences, and that's doing away with earmarks.

02:20:45.360 You've talked about this before, yeah.

02:20:46.800 I've never talked about it on air, though.

02:20:48.080 That's a great point.

02:20:48.920 It's totally true.

02:20:49.980 It's actually true.

02:20:51.060 The earmarks are so distasteful.

02:20:53.940 It's disgusting that some congressman and some senator from some state conspire, and you

02:20:58.480 build a bridge to nowhere, and they spend $25 million on something that three people are

02:21:03.720 ever going to drive on, and we rightly as conservatives, rightly as a Tea Party in that

02:21:08.260 time period, despise it.

02:21:10.120 It's like the worst excesses of political corruption, and we worked to get away from

02:21:16.680 earmarks.

02:21:17.540 The problem is, as soon as we did away with earmarks, we took away the only incentive

02:21:22.460 for legislatures to legislate doors to take political risks.

02:21:26.740 So the day we did away with earmarks, we actually did away with Congress.

02:21:30.700 Now they don't pass any laws.

02:21:32.340 How many times does Congress vote and actually pass a bill in any given year?

02:21:36.640 Seems almost not at all.

02:21:37.740 Almost not at all.

02:21:38.940 When they pass a budget, it's this giant, sprawling, omnibus budget package where there

02:21:44.540 aren't individual committee recommendations for individual pieces of the budget, which

02:21:48.080 seeds the legislative oversight power to the executive.

02:21:52.020 It's how you get this supercharged federal bureaucracy, executive bureaucracy, making law

02:21:57.180 through regulation with no congressional oversight.

02:21:59.720 Because now, if you can't bring home the bacon for your constituents, why risk it?

02:22:05.480 Then a vote can only be a potential negative.

02:22:07.660 You know, when you first put this theory forward, I thought like, wow, that's a really weird

02:22:11.800 theory, but I've given it a lot of thought.

02:22:13.620 Every single legislator that I've ever talked to believes this is the case.

02:22:16.520 Like every single one, and it does show the disconnect between, you know, what we do

02:22:21.800 in the political class and what people actually have to do in Congress.

02:22:25.760 Last time I was over in Congress interviewing Speaker Ryan, we had a couple of extra hours.

02:22:30.200 Drops a lot of names.

02:22:31.200 Let me pick that up.

02:22:32.100 When I was talking to Julius Caesar.

02:22:35.380 Well, only Drew has talked to Julius Caesar.

02:22:39.940 To Andrew.

02:22:42.340 It's the last thing he said to me.

02:22:43.840 I don't know what to say.

02:22:45.360 I don't speak Latin.

02:22:46.520 I was supposed to be speaking at Georgetown, and it got snowed out.

02:22:50.580 So we just had like an impromptu kind of congressional staff event, and all the congressional

02:22:56.360 staffers showed up.

02:22:57.000 It was really fun.

02:22:57.780 And what I said to them, and what I've said to many Congress people over the years, is

02:23:01.740 they start off as ideologues just the same as we are, right?

02:23:05.020 They believe all the same things, many of these folks.

02:23:07.180 And then they go into these halls of power, and it turns out that you actually do have

02:23:11.020 to get things done.

02:23:11.640 That's right.

02:23:12.000 And when we try to destroy people for the fact on the ground, what we end up doing is

02:23:18.500 sometimes counterproductive.

02:23:19.720 So the earmark example is a perfect example of this. 0.56

02:23:21.780 It's also true with regard to immigration and every other policy.

02:23:25.080 Like Donald Trump could have gotten a good trade for the wall, right?

02:23:28.600 Like there are a couple of good trades that were on the table for the wall, right?

02:23:31.240 Like he wanted the funding for the wall, and he wanted to end certain aspects of chain

02:23:34.380 migration.

02:23:35.200 And in return, it was like legalization of 1.5 million dreamers or something.

02:23:38.440 And those folks are going to get legalized. 0.99

02:23:40.140 I mean, sorry to break it to everybody, but they are.

02:23:42.020 I mean, that's just the way this is going.

02:23:43.340 I've been saying this for years, yeah.

02:23:44.100 And I may not like it.

02:23:45.540 You may not like it.

02:23:46.240 Nobody may like it.

02:23:47.300 Nobody's doing anything about those folks.

02:23:48.700 And to get some actual concrete gains in a situation in which there are no concrete

02:23:53.040 gains to be had seems like a win to me.

02:23:54.880 But in our world, you know, the purity pays in our world.

02:24:01.220 Purity pays in our world.

02:24:02.140 It doesn't pay in politics.

02:24:03.480 And so what that means is that we are actually preaching to a group of people who become

02:24:07.920 frustrated every time politics is what politics is.

02:24:10.500 And so the reaction is a Trump, somebody from the outside who's going to shatter things.

02:24:13.760 And then they're shocked when Trump goes in and he still has to live in that world,

02:24:17.300 right?

02:24:17.420 He's now living in the political world.

02:24:18.960 Ben, I agree with every word you just said.

02:24:20.740 I've always called this fist upon politics where you go like this.

02:24:23.380 You know, you've got to, you've got to, something must be done.

02:24:25.960 And you think, you know, I always felt that Paul Ryan was the big victim of this.

02:24:29.360 Yeah, this is right.

02:24:29.920 A decent human being who actually did something brave.

02:24:32.500 Courageous.

02:24:33.300 Courageous.

02:24:33.720 Which was trying to reform the entitlement system, which somebody's going to have to

02:24:36.800 do eventually, you know.

02:24:37.960 And he tried to do that.

02:24:39.160 And all we heard about this was, oh, Paul Ryan, he's the worst.

02:24:42.560 He's not doing this and he's not doing that.

02:24:44.320 And I just think it's not realistic.

02:24:46.560 You know, herding cats in Congress is an incredibly difficult job.

02:24:50.900 And I think that to have, and we're guilty of this.

02:24:54.240 This talk radio is guilty of this.

02:24:56.100 Now, I will say this.

02:24:57.160 Here's where talk radio should be better.

02:24:59.720 Here's what they do that's very good.

02:25:01.420 And here's what they, because talk radio takes it on the chin all the time from, you

02:25:04.940 know, folks who are the political elitists.

02:25:06.520 Right.

02:25:06.920 What talk radio does and what's necessary is they do a public education about key issues.

02:25:11.440 Yeah, no question.

02:25:11.880 But what they, what we ought to be doing, and I think it's important to say this, is we

02:25:15.920 ought to say, listen, here's our principle.

02:25:17.860 Here's where we're straying from that principle.

02:25:19.980 Here are the political machinations that are leading us to stray from that principle.

02:25:23.160 We would prefer that we not have to stray from the principle, but sometimes you get the

02:25:26.160 best that's on the table.

02:25:27.320 And maybe what we ought to be doing is trying to redesign the system itself so that we don't

02:25:31.720 actually have to go for these bad deals as opposed to, you know what?

02:25:35.100 I'm sure that's possible in a world with human beings.

02:25:37.060 No, but I think that it is possible in the sense that, so we'll take an example.

02:25:40.700 So I talked with Prime Minister Stephen Harper from Canada the other day, and we were talking

02:25:44.300 specifically about the auto bailout that he did in Canada, and he's a pretty free market

02:25:49.080 guy.

02:25:49.820 He was, and he was talking up like, I had to do the auto bailout because it was going to

02:25:52.620 save 500,000 jobs.

02:25:54.120 And, you know, that's not political expedience.

02:25:55.920 I said, well, it kind of is political expedience.

02:25:57.740 I mean, that's sort of the definition of it.

02:25:58.940 It's obviously political expedience.

02:26:00.460 He said, right.

02:26:00.840 But in the moment, I either lose 500,000 jobs or I don't lose 500,000 jobs.

02:26:04.940 Right, right.

02:26:05.260 And they're either going to be sucked south of the border to the United States, which had just

02:26:07.840 bailed out our auto industry, or it won't.

02:26:09.860 Now, it seems to me that in that situation, there's a fair argument to be made that you

02:26:14.560 shouldn't bail out the auto industry.

02:26:16.200 It's an emergency.

02:26:17.420 Fine.

02:26:17.880 You have to do it.

02:26:18.800 We get it.

02:26:19.540 Right.

02:26:19.700 But the problem is this.

02:26:21.300 What the political class then does is they say, OK, well, we bailed out the auto industry. 0.97

02:26:25.080 How about that little guy who right now is suffering?

02:26:27.140 Why shouldn't we bail him out to you?

02:26:28.160 How can we look at that guy and say, we're not going to bail you out after we bail out the

02:26:30.780 auto industry?

02:26:31.180 The moral cost.

02:26:33.040 Right.

02:26:33.260 And the answer to that is, you know, now in good times, that's when the purity matters.

02:26:39.060 Right.

02:26:39.140 The pure in bad times, purity sort of goes out the window because you just got to get

02:26:42.160 through the day.

02:26:42.760 But in economic downturn, you got to you got to do things you don't like.

02:26:46.020 But in but in economic uptimes, like now is when Republicans, this is where I'm disappointed

02:26:49.960 with Republicans.

02:26:50.480 And this is where talk radio deserves to be disappointed in Republicans.

02:26:53.500 You have a booming economy.

02:26:54.740 You had a majority in the House that's now gone.

02:26:56.640 You have a majority in the Senate.

02:26:58.260 And you did nothing about many of the deepest, most pressing problems of the nation, specifically

02:27:03.480 because you wanted to maintain your own political hopes for the future.

02:27:06.300 And because there's no incentive for you to vote.

02:27:08.460 Right.

02:27:08.740 This is right.

02:27:09.240 Well, this is where, you know, in about 2008 is when this spending, pork barrel spending

02:27:15.940 stuff came up, the earmarks.

02:27:17.660 And it was a totally contrived issue at the time.

02:27:20.380 It was contrived largely by John McCain because John McCain was a big spending Republican.

02:27:25.440 And he couldn't run on cutting the major government spending that he wanted to preserve.

02:27:30.080 So he ran against this little thing, earmarks, which is none percent of the federal budget.

02:27:34.160 Zero percent.

02:27:34.780 Nothing.

02:27:35.440 And it really, you know, we, I won't say we fell for it.

02:27:38.400 You know, I understand on principle, we don't like the pork barrel either.

02:27:41.120 We fell for it.

02:27:41.500 But we fell for it.

02:27:42.520 You know.

02:27:43.200 That's exactly right.

02:27:43.640 And McCain, McCain got everything wrong like this.

02:27:45.700 I mean, the McCain-Feingold Act, he was always money, money.

02:27:48.920 Medicare party.

02:27:49.860 He did not understand money.

02:27:51.100 He didn't understand what money was and how it affected things.

02:27:53.760 Oh, he knew that money was that thing you marry. 0.96

02:27:55.760 Cassie.

02:27:56.900 Wow.

02:27:57.460 I'm going to take one more question.

02:27:58.520 That's harsh but true.

02:27:59.560 I'm going to take one more question from Cassie.

02:28:01.200 And then we're going to check in to Elisha Election Headquarters and get an update on all

02:28:04.980 these races.

02:28:06.140 Sure.

02:28:06.600 Somebody wants to know what you think Nikki Haley is going to do now that she's no longer 0.97

02:28:11.100 going to be the U.N. ambassador.

02:28:12.920 Well, now that she no longer has a position as my spirit animal, you know, she, I think that

02:28:18.780 she'll take a couple of years off. 1.00

02:28:20.420 I would be surprised if she doesn't run for office again. 1.00

02:28:23.380 I would urge her to stay extremely active because I think that the shelf life for politicians 1.00

02:28:27.320 who are out of office is about half a millisecond these days.

02:28:31.280 I think if you're out of the public eye, you're basically not, you know, on the table for a

02:28:35.060 lot of folks.

02:28:35.980 Not for national office.

02:28:37.060 I mean, she could pull up Mitt Romney and find her way into the Senate. 1.00

02:28:40.640 Right.

02:28:41.080 But I don't think that doesn't.

02:28:42.020 No, I don't think that makes any sense for Nikki Haley.

02:28:44.240 Look, I think that in 2024, she's a very viable live candidate. 0.98

02:28:46.940 And she absolutely should be.

02:28:49.280 But, you know, 2024 is 1,000 years away.

02:28:52.180 Hey, Ben, have you ever met Nikki Haley?

02:28:55.000 You know, I have.

02:28:57.440 And actually, I know someone else who's met Nikki Haley.

02:29:01.180 Oh, you're referring to me?

02:29:03.420 That is true.

02:29:04.840 But I never name drop.

02:29:06.360 I don't get any credit for you.

02:29:07.800 So I'll name drop for you.

02:29:09.100 You've never talked about my friend Nikki Haley or anything like that.

02:29:11.560 I will say this.

02:29:12.120 That was so good.

02:29:12.600 I will say, Nikki Haley is just a wonderful human being.

02:29:15.440 You may have heard that I've met a lot of politicians.

02:29:19.420 No, really?

02:29:20.200 She is just spectacular. 0.98

02:29:23.100 I mean, like, as good as she is on camera and at the UN, she's just as great in person.

02:29:27.940 She's just, she's a genuine human being.

02:29:29.760 I can say that about, like, five politicians, maybe, that they're genuine human beings.

02:29:34.960 She has a serious shot of being the first female president.

02:29:37.120 She is fan-fricking-tastic.

02:29:39.260 She is just great.

02:29:40.380 I don't have enough good things to say about Nikki Haley.

02:29:41.880 So, Alicia's election headquarters.

02:29:44.760 Give us an update on what's going on out there.

02:29:46.160 I am back.

02:29:46.840 And unfortunately, I have not had the pleasure of meeting the amazing Nikki Haley.

02:29:50.340 But I did meet her impersonator, our very own Cassie Dillon, on Halloween.

02:29:54.060 That's the same name.

02:29:54.960 That's exactly the same, Alicia.

02:29:56.220 Pretty close.

02:29:56.960 Yeah.

02:29:57.620 So we have this awesome election update for you guys.

02:30:00.260 We have this great graphic of the Senate to kind of show you where things lie right now.

02:30:03.500 And you go, oh, what is this yellow mark right here?

02:30:05.980 Well, it turns out it's a senator that's an incumbent from the great state of Maine.

02:30:10.520 I only know that because I love their lobsters up there.

02:30:13.060 Angus King, he's the sole independent right there.

02:30:15.800 It looks as if Republicans are okay.

02:30:18.280 We're going to, I think we're really on call.

02:30:20.040 CNN, Fox News, and others are saying that we're good to maintain the majority in the Senate.

02:30:24.260 If we had a live shot of Cocaine Mitch right now, I promise you I would go to him because

02:30:28.080 that would just bring me so much joy.

02:30:30.080 But we do not.

02:30:30.920 But something that's really interesting, of course, is that we were able to pick up North Dakota.

02:30:34.220 I don't think many people are surprised by that considering during the whole Kavanaugh debacle

02:30:38.780 how awful Heidi Heitkamp was looking in that state. 1.00

02:30:41.640 But Josh Hawley in Missouri is pretty impressive versus Claire McCaswell.

02:30:45.420 That's right.

02:30:45.900 There was an interesting primary battle there.

02:30:48.220 And then this general election, of course, he had talk radio giants like Rush Limbaugh and

02:30:52.920 Sean Hannity, the great American, go out and campaign for him along with President Trump

02:30:56.680 just this last week.

02:30:57.740 So that's fascinating as well.

02:30:59.560 Moving on to some gubernatorial races.

02:31:01.800 Guys, this race against, like, between Scott Walker and his Democratic opponent there in

02:31:08.180 Wisconsin is killing me.

02:31:09.760 I mean, and this is insane, too, considering that Walker has been able to survive so many

02:31:13.640 teachers' unions attacks in the past, including numerous recalls.

02:31:17.100 But we got Governor Walker with 49.6% there.

02:31:21.160 It's really close.

02:31:22.640 And then Tony Evers at 48.6%.

02:31:25.040 That's with over 25% of the precincts reporting right now.

02:31:29.000 Moving back to the Senate, though, I want to take a look at Michigan.

02:31:33.360 Of course, Stabenow typically expected to win there.

02:31:36.600 But it is really interesting that John James right now, 44%, that's with 57% of the precincts

02:31:41.760 reporting a lot of the areas around the metropolitan area of Detroit, which tends to be a lot of

02:31:47.100 Democrat minority voters, of course, are reporting there.

02:31:50.180 Some of the rural areas of Michigan not quite reporting yet.

02:31:53.320 So, maybe some more could go to John James, but it's looking like it might be Debbie Stabenow. 0.98

02:31:58.780 Now, we're starting to get the beginning results of a race that everyone in the nation is watching.

02:32:03.180 Of course, that's Arizona Senate.

02:32:05.560 And that's not looking too good.

02:32:08.320 There's been a lot of talk about how, as awful as Kyrsten Sinema is, even saying things like that 1.00

02:32:13.200 she doesn't know why she lives in Arizona and Arizonans are stupid and stuff, 1.00

02:32:17.160 McSally hasn't run the best campaign. 1.00

02:32:18.740 And this is for, you know, Senator Jeff Flake's open seat there in Arizona.

02:32:23.540 We got Martha McSally, 48.4%.

02:32:26.340 So, Kyrsten Sinema, 49.4%.

02:32:28.760 That's with 52% of the precincts reporting.

02:32:32.160 It's going to be really tight there.

02:32:33.980 The polls just recently closed.

02:32:35.420 We'll be continuing to keep an eye on that.

02:32:37.300 And then finally, last Senate update for you guys tonight, we have Montana.

02:32:41.920 The numbers are just slowly starting to roll in.

02:32:43.940 But this is one of the races that we have to watch because Republicans were hopeful.

02:32:49.000 A lot of pollsters were calling this a toss-up.

02:32:51.440 There's another drinking word for you tonight.

02:32:53.480 Tester with 58% of the vote.

02:32:55.560 Rosendale with 39.4%.

02:32:57.200 And that's about 18% of the precincts reporting.

02:33:01.000 Well, that's a lot of information.

02:33:02.640 A lot of information.

02:33:03.360 Well, so I think that McSally wins that race against Sinema.

02:33:07.720 You do?

02:33:08.240 Yeah.

02:33:08.640 I have a hard time believing that somebody who said in 2003 they don't mind if Americans join the Taliban and ends up in the Senate.

02:33:15.980 Mitch McConnell is the best at what he does.

02:33:18.840 I mean, what can you say about a guy who is going to end up in an election for Democrats picking up a bunch of seats?

02:33:24.840 Republicans may end up with as many as 55 seats in the Senate after all of the Senate.

02:33:28.600 By the way, they're going to need that cushion because in 2020, the map really shifts.

02:33:32.020 And suddenly, a bunch of Republicans are up for re-election in blue-slash-purple states.

02:33:36.900 And that could get really ugly, which is when Trump's coattails really are going to have a major effect there.

02:33:41.560 You know what we haven't talked about in terms of Trump?

02:33:43.500 We haven't talked about race.

02:33:44.880 And it's going to be really interesting.

02:33:46.180 I do not know.

02:33:47.120 I do not know if you can acquire this information of how many blacks and Hispanics have turned for Trump.

02:33:54.980 And the reason I don't know this is because they have to self-report.

02:33:57.740 There's no way for us to know unless they're willing to say, oh, yeah, I voted for Donald Trump.

02:34:01.980 And they may not be willing to say it.

02:34:03.480 And yet, and yet, we keep seeing these numbers, these strange numbers, 36%, 40% of blacks supporting Trump.

02:34:11.760 If that's true, he could really wipe the Democratic Party out once they start actually voting in those numbers.

02:34:18.520 We don't know if it's there or not.

02:34:19.160 He could wipe the Democratic Party out in a re-election bid.

02:34:21.880 Yeah.

02:34:22.120 The question will be, there's two questions, actually.

02:34:24.400 One is, has Trump actually moved a significant majority of those minority voters to a willingness to vote for him?

02:34:33.980 The next question will be, does their willingness to vote for him translate into a willingness to vote for other Republicans down ticket?

02:34:41.020 And again, I don't trust a lot of the polls that you're seeing about percentages because it's just not enough polls of black folks. 0.99

02:34:46.820 I mean, like, the numbers, the sheer number of black folks being polled is like, it'll be like a poll sample of 11 people.

02:34:52.960 Right.

02:34:53.300 And three of them are like, I kind of like Trump.

02:34:55.180 Yeah.

02:34:55.440 And it's like, okay, well, that's 40% of black folks.

02:34:57.940 It's just really hard to know.

02:34:59.160 And it is hard to know, especially when they theoretically voted like 140% for Barack Obama, you know, which was completely understandable to me.

02:35:09.560 I would understand doing that.

02:35:11.740 But was that loyalty to Democrats or was it just loyalty to Obama?

02:35:16.220 We just don't know these things.

02:35:17.340 You know, one of the questions here also, and when it comes to Trump, which do you think Trump had more impact on, the Senate or the House?

02:35:22.640 Because that really is a big question, meaning that we're going to lose the House.

02:35:25.760 We're going to pick up in the Senate.

02:35:26.560 But which one of those is more of a referendum on Trump or are both?

02:35:29.740 Well, he campaigned more for Senate candidates.

02:35:31.640 Yeah, he's almost entirely for Senate candidates.

02:35:33.940 By the same token, Senate candidates have much more of independent personas as opposed to Trump, right?

02:35:39.040 I mean, like, people actually know, like, name a House candidate.

02:35:41.420 Right, of course.

02:35:41.960 Right, but I can tell you who, like, Ron DeSantis ran as a very Trumpy candidate in Florida and McSally not as much in Arizona.

02:35:50.320 So their independent personas kind of do make a difference in these particular races,

02:35:54.300 which, again, raises the question of whether Trump is a boon or is he a detriment?

02:36:01.660 Or is he just, he may be a neutral.

02:36:03.080 I mean, honestly, here's the most controversial proposition of the night.

02:36:05.700 Yeah.

02:36:06.220 What if Trump doesn't matter that much?

02:36:07.300 Yeah.

02:36:07.680 Like, really, this is a controversial proposition.

02:36:10.320 Everybody is saying selection is about Trump.

02:36:12.280 Everything's about Trump.

02:36:12.940 Trump is the center of the universe.

02:36:13.900 Because if Trump didn't exist, let's say that it were some other Republican, unnamed Republican, who were president of the United States, these results look basically what you would kind of expect, you know?

02:36:23.020 Except for one, except for turnout.

02:36:24.480 And turnout, you know, congressional races are all about turnout because most people don't know who their congressman is.

02:36:29.400 I agree with this.

02:36:30.000 And so the fact that you're there, you start to poke your Democrat or Republican ticket at that point.

02:36:35.600 And Trump has definitely affected turnout.

02:36:37.640 There's no question.

02:36:38.800 Look, look, this is true of everybody in this room.

02:36:41.240 There's no question that politics are fascinating right now.

02:36:45.180 And he is a fascinating character.

02:36:46.740 Yeah.

02:36:46.920 And I think that is the key for him.

02:36:50.480 You know, the question is going to be in a presidential, can he continue to win with 45 percent of the vote, 46 percent of the vote?

02:36:58.360 And how does he turn that into 49 percent of the vote?

02:36:59.800 Is that what he really has?

02:37:00.840 I mean, I don't know.

02:37:01.360 Well, I mean, I think it's fair to say that, like, it'll be interesting.

02:37:06.800 It actually will be sort of interesting, contra me making fun of Ezra Klein.

02:37:10.260 It will be interesting to see what the popular vote totals look like tonight in terms of percentage.

02:37:13.500 Because if they mirror what it looked like in 2016, that suggests that Trump has some work to do on the ground in order to help himself for 2020.

02:37:19.180 I mean, George W. Bush had to pick up like 11 million votes, 12 million votes between 2000 and 2004 to win re-election.

02:37:24.120 Yeah.

02:37:24.480 He barely did that in the middle of, you know, 9-11 and war in Afghanistan.

02:37:28.760 Yeah.

02:37:29.220 Trump has a great economy.

02:37:30.160 Which, by the way, brings up a whole other thing is, of course, events.

02:37:33.540 You know, one of the things that makes every politics so interesting and so complicated is you don't know what's going to happen.

02:37:37.440 The other issue, I mean, we are on the longest bull run in the last two millennia or something.

02:37:41.960 I mean, at a certain point, the economy has to cool down a little bit.

02:37:45.800 And, you know, right now we're two years out of a re-election.

02:37:48.680 At what point, if the economy starts to dip, does he lose his mortgage?

02:37:51.640 So I'm not a conspiracy theorist, largely.

02:37:53.160 Honestly, I tend to reject all conspiracy theories.

02:37:57.440 But I have one pet conspiracy theory, which is that I think that there are big players in American finance and global finance who wage a kind of economic warfare around presidential elections against Republicans.

02:38:12.360 And it's not that big a conspiracy theory because we've seen...

02:38:15.940 Watch yourself.

02:38:16.640 We meet at the synagogues every Friday night.

02:38:19.440 There's a certain banking community.

02:38:21.220 Yeah, neoconservative, international.

02:38:23.060 Global media.

02:38:23.980 Globalist.

02:38:24.820 No, I'm not referring to the Jews. 0.56

02:38:28.100 I'm referring to the Democratic.

02:38:30.040 I'm referring to the people of Israel.

02:38:33.280 It's a Zionist. 0.97

02:38:34.380 Not like practitioners of Judaism. 1.00

02:38:36.740 It's completely different.

02:38:38.240 No, I'm talking not about a religious or ethnic tribe.

02:38:42.700 I'm talking about an ideological one.

02:38:44.600 I'm talking about people like Soros and others who I think plausibly wage a kind of economic warfare around presidential elections.

02:38:53.580 I mean, the guy broke the Bank of England, you know.

02:38:55.840 He did.

02:38:56.380 It's the best thing that ever happened to me.

02:38:57.840 I was living here in a young time.

02:38:58.540 Quick, quick note.

02:38:59.440 NBC is now projecting Mike DeWine for Ohio governor.

02:39:01.960 So Republican wins the Ohio governor.

02:39:03.460 Wow.

02:39:03.820 Wow.

02:39:04.060 Which is a shock.

02:39:04.760 People were not expecting that.

02:39:05.920 So, again, Republicans doing very well on the up-ballot races, not doing nearly as well in the House, which is a weird bifurcation.

02:39:11.280 But, you know, the House is so...

02:39:12.920 Those districts are so small and so quirky.

02:39:16.940 It is syncratic.

02:39:17.240 Yeah.

02:39:17.540 It is syncratic.

02:39:18.300 And more polarized.

02:39:19.800 And more and more polarized.

02:39:20.840 There are not as many purple districts.

02:39:21.940 Like, this is one of the reasons why it's not a 60-vote majority for the Democrats.

02:39:25.860 Yeah.

02:39:26.400 Redistricting has mattered. 0.97

02:39:27.640 Yep.

02:39:27.840 I mean, the fact is that these districts have now been polarized into red districts or blue districts.

02:39:31.600 And the number of available purple districts is just much smaller.

02:39:34.420 Right.

02:39:34.600 So, while it may be that this doesn't look like 2010, the map also doesn't look like 2010.

02:39:39.500 Right.

02:39:39.860 Which is not necessarily a terrible thing.

02:39:42.200 I mean, swings of 30 seats are probably better for the country than swings of 60 seats every couple of years.

02:39:46.200 Yep.

02:39:46.780 But it'll be interesting.

02:39:48.660 In some ways, there's a case to be made that this is maybe the best position for President Trump to find himself in for 2020.

02:39:56.660 The case to be made for that is that President Trump, every time there's a failure, he's had to rip his own Congress.

02:40:02.080 Right?

02:40:02.200 Meaning he goes after Paul Ryan on Twitter. 0.58

02:40:04.160 And everybody like me is like, dude, the hell?

02:40:07.500 Like, that's your guy. 0.94

02:40:08.720 Like, you're ripping on your own guy here.

02:40:10.220 And just like he rips on his own attorney general.

02:40:12.740 If he has a bunch of Democrats in the House who look like they are out to get him, he now actually has the same case that Obama had in 2012, which is this do-nothing Congress that won't help me in any way.

02:40:22.380 They're out to get me.

02:40:23.580 They want me on a block.

02:40:25.300 And meanwhile, we got a Senate.

02:40:27.000 We're just going to keep pumping through judges.

02:40:28.600 Right?

02:40:28.740 We're just going to keep pumping judges in there.

02:40:30.000 So the key thing that gets Republicans out to vote, which is the judges, that is if it is one issue, it is the judges.

02:40:35.840 That keeps on trucking.

02:40:37.320 And meanwhile, Trump gets to pummel the Democrats in the House over and over and over.

02:40:40.460 I'm not sure it's terrible for Trump.

02:40:41.480 We had a Daily Wire subscriber ask us a question earlier in the evening.

02:40:45.980 Why do these governorships in states I don't live in matter?

02:40:49.400 One reason is because they help determine the district maps within their states.

02:40:53.820 Sure.

02:40:54.060 So if you don't want Democrats trying to figure out how to keep Republicans from being able to elect congressmen in the future, you need Republican legislatures and you need Republican governors.

02:41:05.100 You know, this is one I've worked on a bunch of congressional campaigns around the Northeast, and there are some where redistricting just killed us.

02:41:13.040 And we knew it, and we knew the second it happened was we're not winning re-election.

02:41:16.680 And the other thing to remember about these House races is that out here, we don't know our congressmen.

02:41:21.920 If you live in New York City or L.A., you don't know your congressmen.

02:41:25.000 But if you live in suburban, ex-urban, rural districts, you do.

02:41:28.620 They show up to a lot of things.

02:41:30.080 They're in the community.

02:41:31.240 And there were districts that I knew this.

02:41:33.080 I was looking at them last night where I just thought that district, which did break for Trump, is going to re-elect its Democrat congressmen without question.

02:41:41.260 Know the congressmen.

02:41:42.100 Know the district.

02:41:42.860 It's going to happen.

02:41:43.640 And there is a personal element here that you can't nationalize all the time.

02:41:47.560 And, you know, we do talk about voters in a very condescending way a lot of times, and I don't think it's actually accurate.

02:41:54.800 I think the voters I talk to are always, you know, they have very sensible points of view.

02:41:58.960 They know who the people are that they're voting for a lot of times.

02:42:01.640 And they just say, you know, yeah, I like this and I don't like that, or I know him.

02:42:05.140 He's a good guy.

02:42:05.880 He does this.

02:42:06.680 You know, all this stuff about he's a veteran and he's, you know, maneuvering this and that, people are awfully bright about this stuff.

02:42:13.640 It's much brighter than we give them credit for.

02:42:15.340 One of the things that I'd like to see happen.

02:42:16.280 And much more nuanced, by the way, than commentators.

02:42:18.040 I want D.C. essentially dissolved.

02:42:20.760 I think people should be able to vote from their district.

02:42:23.260 I think that congresspeople should spend 90% of their time in their home district, and they should spend 5% of their time in D.C. voting on a budget once every three months.

02:42:29.560 I think one of the biggest mistakes that we do.

02:42:31.700 Yeah, I mean, then people actually have to answer to their constituents.

02:42:34.860 Yeah.

02:42:35.520 Do you think that, I mean, do you think there's any chance of that happening?

02:42:38.380 In the future, I could see that happening.

02:42:40.120 Okay.

02:42:40.320 When lazy millennials take over and we're like, you know what, not getting on a plane. 0.57

02:42:43.560 You know, you make that great point, too, on the voters being more sophisticated than the national commentators.

02:42:48.440 I was in an Uber.

02:42:49.400 I sound like I'm writing a Thomas Friedman column.

02:42:51.020 I was in an Uber in Beirut.

02:42:52.140 I was in an Uber in Alabama.

02:42:54.240 Lovely woman.

02:42:55.060 So sweet.

02:42:56.160 You know, we were talking politics a little bit, and she had a down home, Alabama. 0.93

02:43:00.240 And then she proceeded to tell me exactly how the tax reform was benefiting her.

02:43:04.120 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

02:43:04.440 Like, to the line.

02:43:05.580 I thought, God, I don't know that much about tax reform.

02:43:07.480 No, I hear that all the time.

02:43:08.740 I really do.

02:43:09.600 When you talk, you do talk to cab drivers.

02:43:11.600 You travel around.

02:43:12.380 You talk to people in audiences who are, you know, just working class guys.

02:43:15.920 And they tell you this stuff, and you think, like, wow, that's an actually sophisticated view.

02:43:19.960 I mean, I found that, you know, listen, I'm a coastal guy.

02:43:22.300 I grew up in New York and Long Island.

02:43:24.360 And at one point in my life, I just traveled across the country for years, and I met all

02:43:29.060 these people, and I thought, wow, these people are smart, you know?

02:43:31.320 They're not educated.

02:43:32.380 They may not be sophisticated.

02:43:32.980 So I'm not from these coasts?

02:43:34.700 Yeah.

02:43:35.300 And you're an exception.

02:43:36.920 But it's also not.

02:43:37.900 So for me, being in the middle of the country isn't like being in India, and the food tastes

02:43:44.280 different, and there's these unique smells, and that building's made of marble, and people

02:43:47.580 worship cows.

02:43:48.360 Yeah, why are there dead bodies in the river?

02:43:49.840 It's not like that for me.

02:43:50.900 You do worship cows, though.

02:43:51.740 So I don't see the people in the middle of the country as novel in any way.

02:43:57.700 Right.

02:43:58.000 They're not that smart.

02:43:59.920 Gents, please raise your Leftist Tears Tumblr. 0.89

02:44:02.860 Yes, yes, yes.

02:44:04.140 Because we are about to imbibe the most delicious Leftist Tears agony of the evening.

02:44:12.160 Uh-oh.

02:44:12.340 If you do not have a Leftist Tears Tumblr and are therefore unable to partake in the joy

02:44:17.360 you're about to witness in us, you can go over and remedy that right now at dailywire.com

02:44:22.240 slash subscribe.

02:44:23.320 Give us $10 a month.

02:44:24.360 We'll give you this beautiful Tumblr, and you get the shows that these guys produce on

02:44:27.480 a daily basis.

02:44:28.540 We're about to fill them with something so, so sweet.

02:44:31.980 Cassie has the Twitter reaction to Beto's loss in Texas.

02:44:36.420 Guys, get the Tumblrs ready.

02:44:38.240 It's not looking great.

02:44:39.640 First, we have Alyssa Milano, the actress.

02:44:42.380 She went to the Kavanaugh hearing.

02:44:43.940 Here's her reaction.

02:44:45.020 She says, Beto lost?

02:44:46.700 That's okay.

02:44:47.400 Now he can run for president.

02:44:48.920 And it seems that most of Twitter is kind of echoing that.

02:44:51.860 A lot of the blue check marks on the left are saying the same thing.

02:44:54.480 Hold on.

02:44:54.660 Hold on, Cassie.

02:44:55.640 Because you may not think that that's not an obvious tear.

02:44:58.040 That is fighting back.

02:45:01.040 The sweet, sweet.

02:45:02.540 It's just a little mist.

02:45:03.840 The richest.

02:45:04.180 It's just a little mist.

02:45:06.580 And then we also have another blue check mark on the leftist side.

02:45:10.020 Katie Hoyt, who says, help me understand.

02:45:12.320 You know how many cheeseburgers Beto ate?

02:45:14.640 How many t-shirts he ruined with all that sweat?

02:45:17.240 How many thoughtful answers he gave?

02:45:19.260 How many miles he drove?

02:45:20.820 And who the hell is Neil Dykeman?

02:45:22.760 And why would you vote for him in a race like this?

02:45:24.820 I'm bummed.

02:45:25.480 So it seems they're mad at the third-party candidates now.

02:45:28.040 Hang on, Cassie.

02:45:29.300 I can't hear you over the tremors going through my body, coursing through my veins as I, hmm.

02:45:36.860 When I drink the Robert Francis O'Rourke tears, I get a little drunk.

02:45:39.980 I get a little drunk.

02:45:42.320 Give us one more.

02:45:43.320 We need one more to get us through the evening.

02:45:46.020 We have one from a leftist comedian who used to write for The Daily Show.

02:45:49.000 And he says, try the on free.

02:45:50.660 And he says, Ted Cruz being re-elected when Beto was the other option says,

02:45:54.660 it's more about the quality of the people of Texas than it does about Beto.

02:45:58.340 It sure does. 0.82

02:45:59.160 Damn right. 0.58

02:45:59.660 I'll tell you about Beto for that. 0.95

02:46:00.860 Here, here.

02:46:01.480 To the people of Texas.

02:46:03.180 Mmm.

02:46:04.200 Ah.

02:46:05.020 Just delicious.

02:46:06.180 Ben, what's going on out there in election land?

02:46:07.740 Well, the McSally cinema race, which is the one I'm most interested in, that thing is just

02:46:12.020 too tight.

02:46:13.280 It's too close.

02:46:13.820 I mean, it's just too close for comfort.

02:46:15.220 Right now, 56% of the vote in, they're separated by 9,000 votes.

02:46:19.580 So 630,000 to 621,000 with McSally in the slight lead.

02:46:24.360 We will see how that continues to break down.

02:46:27.120 Right now, the final forecast or close to final forecast from 538 is Democrats plus 35.

02:46:33.300 So somebody hit that right on the money.

02:46:35.480 It's a little early to gloat.

02:46:36.460 Well, OK.

02:46:37.440 I mean, it's never too early.

02:46:39.000 Never, exactly.

02:46:39.800 I mean, you've got to take advantage of the gloating when it's available.

02:46:41.360 And Senate R plus 2 is where they have that forecast.

02:46:46.020 So that would leave Republicans with, what, 54 seats in the Senate, which is a comfortable

02:46:50.760 margin.

02:46:51.260 And Ruth Bader Ginsburg is 85 years old, which is, of course, what's on the back of everybody's

02:46:56.400 mind here, right?

02:46:57.080 Well, it's so important, too, because he's obviously, I mean, I think this is where Amy

02:47:01.660 Barrett's going to come into play and why he was holding her in reserve.

02:47:06.720 And I think that that's going to be a very tough fight for the Democrats.

02:47:10.580 Andrew Gillen, by the way, has officially conceded the race to Ron DeSantis.

02:47:13.280 Oh, that's a true joy.

02:47:13.900 Hang on.

02:47:14.260 I got some more time.

02:47:14.940 Yeah, more left to story.

02:47:15.820 Say, gentlemen, I'm friends with the governor.

02:47:17.280 Yeah.

02:47:18.440 Mmm.

02:47:18.800 Mmm.

02:47:20.060 So delicious.

02:47:21.000 Very good.

02:47:21.200 This is a genuine joy.

02:47:22.080 Scott Walker running an extraordinarily great.

02:47:24.360 Scott Walker running a very, very close race in Wisconsin.

02:47:26.880 He's running behind his old margin.

02:47:28.700 So he's in trouble in Wisconsin.

02:47:30.060 I have to say, I was just in Wisconsin.

02:47:32.620 The economy is booming.

02:47:34.380 Everybody's talking about how well things are.

02:47:36.740 He's been around for a long time at this point.

02:47:38.240 He's just been there too long.

02:47:39.160 It just does happen, you know, over time.

02:47:41.180 Yep.

02:47:42.260 Claudia Tenney, who is a good Republican congresswoman from New York.

02:47:44.900 I actually know Claudia Tenney.

02:47:45.600 Well, yeah, unfortunately.

02:47:47.060 It's talking about name dropping.

02:47:47.520 Yeah, unfortunately, her district was just called for the Democrats.

02:47:50.060 So, again, what it looks like is blue areas getting bluer.

02:47:53.300 Yep.

02:47:53.640 Red areas getting redder.

02:47:55.440 How does that continue?

02:47:57.560 Where do we go from here?

02:47:59.360 If red districts get redder, if the right gets more right, if blue districts get bluer and

02:48:05.040 the left gets more left, what happens to a country?

02:48:08.780 You know, I don't know that there is anything good that comes from us.

02:48:13.080 Well, wait.

02:48:13.720 I mean, after all, we do have to figure in policy and the results if the country continues

02:48:20.000 to boom like this.

02:48:21.140 I'm not sure you do, though.

02:48:22.080 You just stated Wisconsin's never been better than Wisconsin is right now.

02:48:25.860 There's a real chance that Scott Walker gets thrown out.

02:48:27.720 There's a cultural aspect to this, too.

02:48:28.980 But cultural opinions and cultural policies have results as well.

02:48:33.620 And if we find that, for instance, you know, one of the things about Donald Trump is when 0.96

02:48:38.440 you look at how blacks have done under this administration, he's the worst racist who 0.99

02:48:44.060 ever lived, right? 0.99

02:48:44.700 If he's a racist, he's doing a really bad job.

02:48:46.820 It's the only thing he's ever failed at. 0.95

02:48:48.140 Least successful racist. 0.83

02:48:49.640 Yeah.

02:48:49.660 So I think that, you know, that is what affects people.

02:48:52.520 People do start to turn around and say, you know, he doesn't talk the way I was told

02:48:56.720 he's supposed to talk, and yet my life is getting better.

02:48:59.660 It's going to have an effect over time.

02:49:01.220 You know, it takes time.

02:49:02.460 By the way, the thing about culture that the right has never understood is they're

02:49:07.420 always in a panic.

02:49:08.460 They always think everything is going down the drain right this minute.

02:49:10.820 They're always rushing off to stick their finger in the dike. 1.00

02:49:13.580 And yet, culture eats away at things.

02:49:15.360 And culture is also, reality is part of the culture.

02:49:18.680 Martha McSally, according to Henry Olsen, is looking good in Arizona. 0.94

02:49:22.060 He says that she's ahead with 1.3 million votes in.

02:49:25.100 He says if the Election Day vote trends GOP as it has elsewhere, she'll win.

02:49:28.480 He thinks that that means a three-seat pickup in the Senate for Republicans.

02:49:32.140 He's a little worried about Hawley, I noticed.

02:49:33.960 He said that the St. Louis vote has been so big against Hawley.

02:49:37.720 Yeah, although McCaskill is still behind fairly significantly.

02:49:44.300 Here's one of the other things that's kind of odd about how this has gone.

02:49:47.900 Democrats have been saying, well, what we really need here is we need a Republican Party that's

02:49:50.700 going to check Trump.

02:49:51.360 We need a Republican Party that changes from the inside and checks Trump.

02:49:53.980 Well, what they've actually done in this election is get rid of any Republican who ever had an

02:49:58.900 inclination to do so.

02:49:59.760 Yeah, that's true.

02:50:00.440 Every single Republican who was kind of lukewarm on Trump in these peripheral districts, in

02:50:06.040 the suburbs, who cares about those suburban voters and those growing demographic minorities,

02:50:09.460 every one of those Congress people is losing tonight.

02:50:13.300 So what you're getting is a more ideologically pure version of the Republican Party in terms

02:50:18.900 of loyalty to Trump and more hard right.

02:50:21.580 There's no question that Trump has changed the party.

02:50:23.860 I mean, that goes without saying.

02:50:25.400 Well, I agree.

02:50:26.860 I think the question is how much of that change is a change of affect and how much of that

02:50:30.200 change, which I'm not entirely against, and how much of that change is a change in actual

02:50:34.900 policy.

02:50:35.760 I think more affect than policy, if I had to put my finger on it.

02:50:38.860 I think that's right.

02:50:39.280 Today, Democrats are in, you know, maybe there's hope for the country in this.

02:50:44.680 Six of the Democrats who have picked up seats from Republicans are military veterans.

02:50:49.680 That usually suggests a little bit more moderate on policy, just as a general rule.

02:50:54.220 So that means that maybe you're seeing a little bit of that diversification in the Democratic

02:50:57.780 Party.

02:50:58.420 You know, we don't talk a lot about what the Democratic Party could do to actually be better

02:51:01.340 for the country because, you know, we think of them as a thing to be defeated.

02:51:04.560 Right, but the fact is that a Democratic Party that returns to the idea of having some ideological

02:51:10.880 diversity more effectuated toward the right and the moderate center would be very good

02:51:15.460 for the country.

02:51:16.000 I mean, it would provide at least some sort of center for people to actually talk to.

02:51:19.140 That was one of my hopes for the Republicans keeping the House, is that it would require

02:51:24.200 a move to the middle by the Democrats.

02:51:26.940 You know, has anybody been watching this Kansas race in the second congressional district?

02:51:32.160 Steve Watkins was 21 percent, the Republican, was 21 percent behind, and now it's tied.

02:51:38.420 It's in a virtual tie.

02:51:40.100 I'm interested in talking about some House races.

02:51:41.840 I think Elisha may have an update for us over at Elisha's election headquarters.

02:51:45.580 Honestly, it's a mouthful.

02:51:47.280 It is, but I mean, it's better than the Daily Wire backstage election coverage from election

02:51:53.460 headquarters, right?

02:51:55.620 I'm just saying.

02:51:56.960 You guys were talking about those House races there, and I think you bring up some very

02:52:00.860 good points, specifically that there seems to be some diversification within the Democratic

02:52:04.880 Party when it comes to those congressional districts.

02:52:07.220 Like Ben mentioned, you have some Democrats that are Iraq and Afghanistan vets that, you

02:52:11.720 know, maybe they'll end up being like a Joe Manchin that sometimes votes with Donald Trump

02:52:15.820 and sometimes votes with this party.

02:52:17.260 We have an updated House of Representatives map here.

02:52:20.120 It looks as if, of course, Democrats are going to be taking the House.

02:52:22.800 That was the projection as well.

02:52:24.400 House seats that Democrats currently need are four in order to take the majority, and Democrats

02:52:29.360 are looking pretty good to take that majority because they are leading in 16 currently held

02:52:34.220 GOP House races.

02:52:35.820 So when you look at this map here, the Democrats are going to be really close, and once again,

02:52:40.500 all they need right now, according to CNN, is they're saying four.

02:52:43.700 Here, our graphic is lagging just a little bit, but you can see that it looks as if Democrats

02:52:47.900 might take that up if they are leading in those 16 races.

02:52:51.240 In addition to that, we have places like here in California, two districts, Rohrabacher and

02:52:55.940 Hunter, that have had some issues that they typically have not had in the past, and typically

02:53:00.580 as goes California, specifically Orange County with Republicans, then goes the rest of the

02:53:06.080 state with the Republican congressional seats.

02:53:08.300 You guys briefly mentioned the Arizona Senate race.

02:53:11.160 It looks as if McSally might be pulling through.

02:53:13.880 This is really good news from Republicans in the Senate, of course.

02:53:16.680 You know, tip your leftist tears tumblers to Cocaine Mitch, who is like my favorite guy of

02:53:21.580 the year, I mean, how can you not love him, but the Arizona Senate race, we have McSally

02:53:26.240 with 49.2% lead right now, and Kyrsten Sinema at 48.5%.

02:53:30.960 That's with almost 60% of the precincts reporting, and the rest of the precincts that we're remaining

02:53:35.780 waiting for, guys, we're taking a close look at that when we're bringing you these reports,

02:53:40.880 because we know that certain precincts are going to lean more left, and certain precincts

02:53:44.780 are going to lean more right, but the remaining precincts that we're waiting to come in

02:53:48.000 for McSally are typically very GOP-friendly districts.

02:53:52.980 Ben also mentioned the good governor, Scott Walker.

02:53:55.840 I mean, this is really just unexpected tonight.

02:53:58.540 I mean, people knew that this might be a tough race, but it is so incredibly close right now.

02:54:03.320 We have Evans with 49.2%, and Governor Walker with 48.9%, with 64% reporting.

02:54:11.160 What is interesting here is, once again, we're paying very close attention to specific precincts.

02:54:15.460 The precincts in Milwaukee and Madison, Wisconsin areas, of course, are leaning very blue.

02:54:20.660 That's standard for those areas.

02:54:22.460 The rural areas are more red, but have less voters in them, and the Green Bay area, I guess,

02:54:28.000 thanks Packers, I don't know sports, it is tending to lean red.

02:54:32.300 So, those are our updates right now.

02:54:34.380 Nevada and California are closing in just a couple of minutes, so we'll be continuing to

02:54:39.660 bring in those updates as we get them.

02:54:41.060 Thank you, Alicia.

02:54:41.900 Green Bay is definitely one of my favorite basketball teams.

02:54:43.980 Dean Heller in Nevada is going to be a really contested race.

02:54:46.160 The current forecast from 538 is D plus 37 in the House, which is starting to look more

02:54:50.800 like a wave, and in the Senate, R plus 3.

02:54:54.400 So, it's, you know, again, more of the same from the evening, but that's a significant move

02:55:00.960 for the House Democrats.

02:55:02.580 They've picked up pretty much everywhere.

02:55:04.300 I mean, they're going to have a substantial majority going into the next couple of years.

02:55:09.220 And let's, you know, for a second, we need to talk seriously about Beto.

02:55:11.620 I know that we've been joking about him all night.

02:55:13.720 He's going to lose by about three points in Texas.

02:55:15.540 Which is amazing.

02:55:16.480 Yeah.

02:55:16.840 That's absurd.

02:55:17.900 That's a victory.

02:55:18.420 That's absurd.

02:55:19.360 Okay.

02:55:19.560 Because the left made a huge deal out of Wendy Davis when she ran for governor against Greg

02:55:23.200 Abbott.

02:55:23.460 And then Greg Abbott beat her by more points than there are in the world.

02:55:27.180 And in alternative worlds.

02:55:29.140 Yeah.

02:55:29.400 As well.

02:55:30.560 Three points in Texas.

02:55:32.280 Ted Cruz, who won his last race very, very widely, to win by three points, is that an

02:55:39.800 indicator of a serious move on behalf of Democrats in the state?

02:55:44.600 Is that just going to feed Democrat sort of pipe dreams of taking over Texas?

02:55:48.220 Or is Texas beginning to actually kind of turn purple?

02:55:50.720 Well, if what Glenn Beck said to us is true, and you've got a thousand people from California

02:55:55.420 moving in there all the time, you know, I mean, I think that that is going to, it's got

02:55:59.100 to have an effect.

02:56:00.160 And the thing that would be interesting for us to start talking about publicly and maybe,

02:56:04.820 you know, saying to our friends, the Democrats, is, hey, you're running away from California

02:56:10.980 and you're going to Texas.

02:56:12.520 Maybe you should be start voting like Texans. 0.99

02:56:14.920 Instead of bringing California to Texas, maybe you should start voting like Texas.

02:56:18.620 Yeah.

02:56:18.740 And I think that that's, you know, it's an argument that could be made.

02:56:20.840 And if you'd like to stay in a place where the weather is great, what if you brought

02:56:23.840 Texas values to California?

02:56:25.020 No kidding.

02:56:25.820 No kidding.

02:56:26.360 That would be the wonderful thing if they started moving this way.

02:56:28.640 I'll push back on the assumption a little bit.

02:56:31.040 Again, my personal goodwill for Ted Cruz, I think, has been well stated.

02:56:37.860 But Ted Cruz is a damaged candidate.

02:56:40.040 Yeah.

02:56:40.460 He hurt himself.

02:56:41.300 Glenn Beck is right.

02:56:41.900 He hurt himself with Trump's base, which is the dominant part of the party now, with his

02:56:47.100 convention speech.

02:56:47.860 And he hurt himself with his actual base after the convention when he endorsed Trump.

02:56:55.440 Trump didn't rehab him very well.

02:56:57.280 He's done a great job for Trump over the last two years.

02:57:00.100 But Trump has not taken many opportunities to rehab him during that time.

02:57:03.260 Last few weeks.

02:57:03.740 Until the last couple of weeks.

02:57:05.540 So when you are in a presidential election, if Texas tilts blue in 2020, it will confirm

02:57:13.860 the theory that Texas, the demographics and the voting makeup, the makeup of the voters

02:57:21.040 in Texas has fundamentally shifted.

02:57:22.860 But I think it is more likely that this is an anomalous event where you have this damaged

02:57:28.780 guy versus the most talented new politician on the scene today, more talented than anyone

02:57:34.680 currently running for president on the Democrat side.

02:57:37.600 So what do you think?

02:57:38.240 Do you think that they tried to draft him for president?

02:57:40.100 Because we were making fun of Melissa Milano a little bit earlier.

02:57:42.920 There's not a lot on the ticket.

02:57:44.780 I think he's been saving his money to run for president.

02:57:46.840 That's for sure.

02:57:47.340 He actually hasn't been spending the kind of money that he has.

02:57:50.760 So it's clearly in his mind.

02:57:51.900 He hasn't been giving it to anybody else either.

02:57:53.440 And he's not giving it to anybody else.

02:57:54.860 That's right.

02:57:55.440 So he's certainly planning on it.

02:57:57.100 Yeah, he definitely runs for it.

02:57:58.300 And the question will be, did the loss in Texas set him up to be a front runner going

02:58:05.020 into the primaries?

02:58:07.640 Or does the loss in Texas hurt his chances?

02:58:10.280 Because the way that we typically see this now is you get elected to the Senate.

02:58:13.920 Two years later, you're on the ballot to be president.

02:58:16.600 I mean, that's the Obama model.

02:58:18.420 It's what Ted Cruz was going to come up with.

02:58:19.780 Or Harris.

02:58:20.420 Yeah, yeah.

02:58:20.920 Is the very quickly, as soon as you're in the Senate first term.

02:58:23.500 But you are an actual Texan.

02:58:25.160 I'm only an honorary Texan, as you may have heard.

02:58:27.140 Yes, I've now been made an honorary Texan, which I appreciate.

02:58:29.340 I'm genuine.

02:58:29.900 You're a genuine Texan.

02:58:31.400 I mean, what is it?

02:58:31.820 Oh, did they do that for you, too?

02:58:32.600 What's that?

02:58:33.040 They did that for you, too.

02:58:33.840 Yeah, they did.

02:58:35.740 What is your sense of Texas, though?

02:58:38.320 Just as a sense, do you think it's going left?

02:58:41.180 Well, Texas is changing like everywhere is changing.

02:58:44.140 Texas does suffer from the huge influx of Californians.

02:58:46.780 I think there's no question about that.

02:58:48.920 I think that Texas also is suffering from something that's happening writ large.

02:58:53.460 But I think Texas is uniquely situated to suffer from it.

02:58:56.120 And that is the growth of urban centers over rural populations.

02:59:00.360 That more and more people, you know, Texas is big enough that we have a lot of urban areas.

02:59:04.340 And so that's a lot of area to suck in people who, you know, as you live in a city, you very naturally become more liberal.

02:59:12.340 So I do think Texas has real challenges. 0.53

02:59:14.820 You know, anecdotally, my parents say that they've never seen more yard signs in any past election than they saw for Beto O'Rourke in this.

02:59:23.000 Wow.

02:59:23.420 In Lubbock County, which is arguably one of the three most conservative counties in America.

02:59:28.160 So I think there's no question that there is some shift taking place in Texas.

02:59:33.760 Texas can shift a long way and still be read, which is why I think that we shouldn't read too much into this one moment where you have the most talented Democrat politician to come along,

02:59:44.540 probably since Obama, running against a damaged Ted Cruz, who, while he has many gifts, being a great retail politician is not one of them.

02:59:55.160 I just think that it I think it's a perfect storm.

02:59:57.120 Henry Olsen, by the way, says just update R plus four in the Senate for Republicans.

03:00:01.100 Wow.

03:00:01.420 Wow.

03:00:01.680 So he's calling it from a cast goal.

03:00:03.380 He's called it for cinema.

03:00:04.400 Wow.

03:00:05.060 I mean, again, so you could still wind up with 40 and four.

03:00:06.920 That was beyond his memo prediction.

03:00:09.500 You could still wind up with 40 and four.

03:00:11.540 Right.

03:00:11.740 Which it is a bizarre outlier.

03:00:13.420 We are in the weirdest political time in recent American history by far.

03:00:19.360 Part of a weird map.

03:00:20.200 We knew from the beginning it was a weird map.

03:00:22.040 So part of that may not speak directly into the culture.

03:00:24.460 It means they have an uphill battle.

03:00:25.260 It does mean that the Democrats do have a significant uphill battle in 2020 for the Senate.

03:00:28.500 Yes, yes, yes.

03:00:28.920 Yeah.

03:00:29.200 Because they're going to have to pick up a lot of seats in 2020 to take the Senate. 1.00

03:00:32.400 If Republicans walk away from tonight with 56 seats in the Senate, then it's going to be a big shift, especially in a presidential year.

03:00:39.780 I mean, this is the other thing to remember is that, you know, Cruz won by 16 in 2012.

03:00:44.120 That was a presidential year.

03:00:45.560 Everybody in Texas showed up to vote for Mitt Romney.

03:00:47.860 In an off-year election, a lot of Republicans don't show up.

03:00:50.340 Trump wasn't on the ballot.

03:00:51.080 Especially in places where they take for granted that the Republican is going to win.

03:00:54.780 And I'm going to give another answer to that Daily Wire subscriber who asked us at the beginning of the evening,

03:00:59.580 why should I care about Republican governors in states in which I do not live?

03:01:03.640 One of the reasons is because if there is a vacancy created in the Senate, guess who gets to fill it?

03:01:08.440 Yeah, that's right.

03:01:08.960 Until you get a good election.

03:01:11.780 It's the governors of those states.

03:01:13.020 So you could, you know, a lot of good can be done by a Republican governor.

03:01:17.980 You know, it is interesting, too, if the Republicans get these huge gains in the Senate and the Democrats,

03:01:22.560 it looks like 100% they have the House.

03:01:24.480 That means that you're going to get more drama.

03:01:26.420 And just like Russell Crowe in Gladiator, are you not entertained?

03:01:30.200 Is this not why you were here?

03:01:31.900 You know, President Trump does thrive on this drama to the joy and consternation of all of us.

03:01:37.300 But what that means is there's no chance.

03:01:39.900 If he gets impeached, there's no chance he gets convicted.

03:01:42.740 Right.

03:01:43.160 Well, that's for sure.

03:01:43.740 But this is what I've been saying is that in some ways for Trump, put aside for the country,

03:01:48.240 for Trump, this is almost best case scenario.

03:01:49.700 He's got a punching bag.

03:01:51.040 Nancy Pelosi will be Speaker of the House again.

03:01:53.120 Will she?

03:01:54.000 Yes.

03:01:54.860 Yes.

03:01:55.720 She's too much of a money. 1.00

03:01:56.820 At 35, at plus 35, I think she is.

03:01:59.580 If this drops down to plus 32, plus 30, I think she has a really tough time becoming Speaker of the House. 1.00

03:02:05.120 She is a money machine. 1.00

03:02:06.480 She is a cash machine. 1.00

03:02:07.940 And she's going to be able to say, I drove us back to victory after, you know, a few years in the wilderness here.

03:02:12.920 And, you know, she will be the Speaker again.

03:02:15.800 Trump going to battle with Nancy Pelosi will be a thing.

03:02:18.260 It'll heighten the gender gap for all the reasons that you know it's going to heighten the gender gap. 0.89

03:02:21.600 And meanwhile, fine.

03:02:24.200 If he wants to battle Nancy Pelosi while we push through the Heritage Foundation's judges, that's a bargain, I think, that we can live with.

03:02:30.720 We can live with that.

03:02:31.260 I know.

03:02:31.700 I agree.

03:02:32.300 And we're now Murkowski-proof.

03:02:34.180 Right.

03:02:34.480 Exactly.

03:02:34.920 We're far past Murkowski-proof.

03:02:36.340 At plus three, we're Murkowski-proof.

03:02:37.200 So, guys, while you enjoy your House victory, if we're going to sip a leftist tears mug, let's pour one out for Amy Coney Barrett, man.

03:02:43.780 That's right.

03:02:44.720 Future Justice Barrett.

03:02:45.860 Future Justice Barrett.

03:02:46.580 Future Justice Barrett.

03:02:49.660 And if she's replacing RBG, I mean, that's a big win.

03:02:54.020 Well, that's a historic win, right?

03:02:55.680 At that point, you have a 6-3 conservative majority on the court.

03:02:59.600 Roberts, at that point, isn't even a swing vote.

03:03:01.480 Yeah.

03:03:01.620 Although, there is this interesting argument made by...

03:03:05.320 And for all the people who are saying, well, it's a Democratic wave, plus 37, plus 37, it's a Democratic wave.

03:03:11.260 Okay, here's the headline.

03:03:12.720 In off-year election, party out of power wins back House.

03:03:15.900 That's right.

03:03:16.460 That's exactly right.

03:03:17.600 By a reasonable margin.

03:03:20.580 Ramish Purnur over at National Review, he says, since 1968, no period of unified government control has lasted longer than four years.

03:03:27.040 That's right.

03:03:27.580 Since 68.

03:03:28.580 So, this is how politics goes.

03:03:29.960 Yep.

03:03:30.380 The real wonder here is that Republicans...

03:03:33.060 I mean, after Trump won in 2016, the general conventional wisdom was that 2018 was going to be a bloodbath across the board.

03:03:39.760 Yep.

03:03:39.880 And it isn't.

03:03:41.480 You know, it's bad for Republicans in the House.

03:03:44.200 It's good for Republicans in the Senate.

03:03:45.440 Right.

03:03:45.640 That ain't a bloodbath.

03:03:46.300 That's a bloodletting, but it's not a bloodbath.

03:03:47.620 Yeah.

03:03:47.880 I want to go back to Amy Coney Barrett, because I keep trying to say this thing.

03:03:50.520 Yes.

03:03:50.620 We're taking for granted that Amy Coney Barrett should be the next Supreme Court nominee if 0.74

03:03:56.220 Trump gets another vagrancy.

03:03:58.640 Ann Coulter raised this great point this week that Trump shouldn't appoint Amy Coney Barrett,

03:04:01.760 that he should appoint a man.

03:04:02.940 That the Democrats have now demonstrated through Kavanaugh going all the way back.

03:04:09.460 I've heard this one.

03:04:09.980 That they'll blow themselves up again.

03:04:10.780 Yeah.

03:04:10.920 Well, that they have one argument, and we know exactly what the argument is, and we know that

03:04:15.120 people don't care about that argument if it isn't true.

03:04:17.840 Yeah.

03:04:18.180 We don't know what they throw at Amy Coney Barrett. 0.99

03:04:19.820 I heard this about your question.

03:04:21.120 Amy Coney Barrett, they're going to treat like Sarah Palin. 0.64

03:04:23.860 Have we seen a Republican nominee?

03:04:24.940 No, they're not.

03:04:25.640 They're going to do something different, and this is why they should nominate Amy Coney Barrett.

03:04:28.440 Because Pennsylvania has a heavy Catholic population, and the attack on Amy Coney Barrett is not

03:04:33.360 just going to be that she's a female. 0.93

03:04:34.480 It's that she's a Catholic female.

03:04:36.340 Correct.

03:04:36.680 She's a Catholic female.

03:04:37.860 She's a religious Catholic female who had the temerity to have seven children, including

03:04:41.620 two adopted ones.

03:04:42.760 And that means that she is a bad person.

03:04:44.840 That is a battle I would pay good money to see.

03:04:47.040 I'm with you, Ben.

03:04:47.840 And you think they'll actually do it?

03:04:49.540 Yeah, that's right.

03:04:49.960 They did it.

03:04:50.760 When he appointed her to a district.

03:04:52.200 That's right.

03:04:52.660 When he appointed her to an appellate corps, we had Dianne Weinstein saying that the dogma lives 0.79

03:04:56.480 loudly within you.

03:04:57.360 Yeah.

03:04:57.520 And that didn't get the press that it deserved because it was an appellate corps seat.

03:05:00.460 Imagine them doing, Catholics can't be on the Supreme Court because they are pro-life. 1.00

03:05:04.480 Yeah.

03:05:04.780 You know, Amy Coney Barrett, she's part of a prayer group, and they actually, major

03:05:08.620 Democrats accused her of being part of a cult.

03:05:10.720 Yeah.

03:05:11.020 So the cult of the Catholic Church?

03:05:12.480 Is that a cult of the...

03:05:14.000 I can get behind that.

03:05:15.080 I can get behind that.

03:05:16.160 Yeah.

03:05:16.700 And Colter's argument.

03:05:17.520 And Colter's argument.

03:05:18.680 I love Ann, and she's brilliant.

03:05:20.280 Yeah.

03:05:20.440 But that's too clever by half for me.

03:05:23.020 I think Ben's got it exactly right.

03:05:25.060 Bring it on.

03:05:25.660 Bring it on.

03:05:26.000 Let him come and get her for being a religious person.

03:05:28.760 Whatever, you know, she's a mainstream Christian.

03:05:31.720 Yeah.

03:05:31.840 You know, happens to be Catholic, but it's a mainstream...

03:05:33.440 Law professor, federal judge.

03:05:34.780 Yeah.

03:05:35.100 Let him come.

03:05:35.880 Let him come. 0.99

03:05:36.480 You know, and unless they can prove, like I said, that she raped Brett Kavanaugh, that 0.99

03:05:39.240 would be...

03:05:40.340 Julie Swetnick swears she saw her. 0.99

03:05:42.920 She raped her. 1.00

03:05:43.380 She saw her. 1.00

03:05:44.020 They were lined up to her.

03:05:46.900 Well, the other thing is that the headline tonight, while it's going to be, you know,

03:05:50.280 Dems take over the house, they are missing the...

03:05:53.260 This is a point that is...

03:05:55.100 It's being made by Chuck Todd, actually, and he's right.

03:05:59.120 He says there's no signature one.

03:06:01.320 Right?

03:06:01.380 There's nobody that they can point to and they can go, ah, that's the future.

03:06:04.500 Yeah.

03:06:04.880 Right?

03:06:05.060 And they were looking for that.

03:06:05.780 That's what they would have gotten with Beto.

03:06:06.620 With Beto or Gillum.

03:06:07.580 Oh, sure.

03:06:08.000 That's right.

03:06:08.320 If they got Beto or Gillum, that would have been the case.

03:06:10.740 Even with Sinema, you know, that probably would have been the case.

03:06:13.280 They were going to push for who's the future candidate.

03:06:16.020 Now they're stuck with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

03:06:18.300 Right?

03:06:18.540 I mean, like, who's the face of the victory?

03:06:20.780 And the answer is that there are some actual faces of the victory, but they're all in the

03:06:23.640 house and no one cares about the house.

03:06:24.840 Yeah.

03:06:25.300 Right?

03:06:25.460 When it comes to, like, establishing the future of the party, what they were hoping for

03:06:29.160 was tonight was going to crown the 2020 contender who was going to be in the

03:06:33.400 battle against Trump for the next couple of years.

03:06:35.120 Yeah, it's a good point.

03:06:35.460 They were looking for Obama circa 2006, and they didn't get it.

03:06:39.740 They didn't get it.

03:06:40.520 And that's a big hit for them, because it means we have to go back to the same old,

03:06:43.720 tired crop of candidates that we've been talking about for the last couple of years, 0.86

03:06:46.920 Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris and Cory Booker and all the rest of this clown show. 0.94

03:06:51.780 And if it had been Beto, he's scary. 0.95

03:06:55.080 He's formidable.

03:06:55.240 Intermittable.

03:06:55.980 Yeah, that's right.

03:06:57.160 Yeah.

03:06:57.700 But I think that's right.

03:06:59.940 I also just think that it shows, you know, this has been unprecedented in its degree, the

03:07:07.180 attack on Donald Trump.

03:07:08.320 The attack on Donald Trump has not been, it has been like the attack on Mitt Romney,

03:07:12.900 like the attack on George W. Bush, but incredibly amped up.

03:07:16.020 And it just hasn't had the effect.

03:07:18.500 It hasn't had any effect, really, because, I mean, unless you could say, oh, he's done

03:07:23.380 so well policy-wise that the only reason he's lost any seats at all is because of this attack.

03:07:29.000 But I don't think that's true.

03:07:30.200 I think Trump is to some degree responsible for that for himself.

03:07:33.080 And the map, again, it is the map.

03:07:35.040 You know, the map, my soul, oh, the map.

03:07:36.600 You know, I think this is something that is just really interesting, that all of this

03:07:41.020 effort, all this sweat, all this blood, all this shedding of responsibility and shedding

03:07:46.460 of credibility has given them nothing.

03:07:49.200 It's given them absolutely nothing.

03:07:50.560 Dave Bratt, by the way, in a loss for the Republicans, has lost his district.

03:07:54.400 So, again, a lot of the suburban districts are experiencing serious trouble.

03:08:01.820 President Trump just signed on to Twitter.

03:08:04.540 Kathy wants to tell us this.

03:08:05.840 He's waiting right now.

03:08:07.240 Cassie, Ben's about to steal your punchline.

03:08:09.660 Give it to us.

03:08:10.560 Sure.

03:08:10.960 So, you guys have been speculating a lot about how President Trump's going to spin this.

03:08:14.280 Well, he just tweeted.

03:08:15.320 He said, tremendous success tonight.

03:08:17.460 Thank you to all.

03:08:18.300 So, he's claiming an early victory on this, even though we're still waiting for more results

03:08:21.800 to come in.

03:08:22.380 Cassie, are we sure he is referring to the midterm election?

03:08:26.380 I mean, we don't know.

03:08:27.620 Maybe he's watching Fox News.

03:08:29.220 He likes their coverage.

03:08:30.180 He's calling it tremendous success.

03:08:31.420 We'll see what he says later on.

03:08:32.980 I'm sure this is not going to be the only tweet from him tonight.

03:08:35.000 Thank you, Cassie.

03:08:36.120 I just won my game of Yahtzee.

03:08:37.720 Tremendous success.

03:08:38.320 Thank you.

03:08:39.020 You know, he has been playing this now for probably two weeks saying, we're going to win the Senate

03:08:43.660 and we're going to do very well in the House.

03:08:45.520 The minute he said that, you really had to think, all right, they really don't think that

03:08:49.380 they're going to win the House.

03:08:50.420 And then he gets to pull out that tweet.

03:08:52.660 Tremendous success.

03:08:54.680 He is a once-in-a-generation political figure, isn't he?

03:08:57.920 He's so entertaining.

03:08:59.200 I mean, I am here to be entertained and he is an entertaining guy.

03:09:03.300 It's like, this has been, you've got to admit, this has been amusing.

03:09:08.680 Oh, yeah.

03:09:09.120 I mean, the perspective horrific downsides have not met any reality.

03:09:14.260 And so it's turned from sort of tragedy to bemusement to befuddlement to amusement.

03:09:20.680 And now I'm basically in amusement, right?

03:09:24.320 And I'll stay in amusement until amusement is no longer possible to maintain.

03:09:28.020 The laughs have been fast and furious.

03:09:30.080 And we're going to get a better show now.

03:09:31.580 I mean, we're going to get a better show for the next two years.

03:09:34.100 We might lose out on more tax reform.

03:09:36.000 We're going to lose that now.

03:09:37.220 We might lose out on entitlement reform, which we were never, ever going to get.

03:09:41.140 But we're going to get a better show.

03:09:43.100 Gavin Newsom is now governor of California.

03:09:45.080 Well, honestly, like, our state is just toast.

03:09:48.060 We're just toast.

03:09:48.620 But who is the choice?

03:09:49.680 I mean, like, John Cox is fine, but, like, that was never a thing.

03:09:54.060 That was never a thing.

03:09:54.780 By the way, bad news for Elisha from Oklahoma.

03:09:57.440 Oklahoma, apparently Representative Steve Russell just lost his seat in Oklahoma.

03:10:01.640 So that's a big Democratic pickup.

03:10:02.800 They're doing what they need to do in the House.

03:10:05.240 I mean, they are doing what they need to do in the House.

03:10:07.420 That was an upset.

03:10:09.580 In the end, it will be right around what some of us predicted earlier in the evening.

03:10:14.040 So I want to say something that we haven't.

03:10:17.900 We've talked about President Trump's successes as failures.

03:10:21.380 We've talked about Republican Party successes and failures, Democratic Party successes and failures.

03:10:27.060 We haven't bragged on ourselves near enough.

03:10:28.860 Oh, really?

03:10:29.240 We have had tonight, at almost every moment of this infinity-long broadcast.

03:10:34.980 Infinity War is part eight.

03:10:36.160 Yeah, part 18.

03:10:37.420 We have had at least 60,000 people watching in real time on YouTube the entire evening.

03:10:42.120 Wow.

03:10:42.220 That's amazing.

03:10:42.640 And so we want to say thank you to everyone who's tuning in live on social media.

03:10:46.680 We want to especially say thank you to the people tuning in live at TheDailyWire.com.

03:10:51.080 It's a bargain, I think, at $10.

03:10:53.380 If you want to become a subscriber, we'd love to have you.

03:10:55.780 We'll send you out our Leftist Tears Tumblr if you become an annual subscriber.

03:10:59.860 And you get this kind of commentary from Ben and from Drew and from Michael every day.

03:11:04.460 We actually don't let Michael broadcast on Fridays.

03:11:07.380 That's for the good of the people.

03:11:09.520 But you also get to ask us questions.

03:11:11.280 And I think now is a good time for us to kick it back to Colton and see if there's anything else that our Daily Wire subscribers want to ask us.

03:11:17.160 It's going to be a little bit of a late night.

03:11:18.980 I'm not exactly sure how long we're going to go this evening.

03:11:22.040 But we do still have a few races we want to stick around for before we call it a night.

03:11:27.660 So we thank you for sticking with us for so long.

03:11:30.240 And I'm not going to say we're here all night.

03:11:32.800 I'm not going to say we're in it for the long haul.

03:11:35.040 But we're in it for a little bit longer.

03:11:36.440 I've still got more of this bottle left.

03:11:38.100 I've got a little bit more damage over here, you know.

03:11:40.360 Colton, what are people wanting to know?

03:11:41.500 We're going to get through three questions, so help me.

03:11:43.600 Sounds good.

03:11:44.220 So we got a question from...

03:11:45.960 She says, Ben has said Joe Biden could be a real challenge for Trump in 2020.

03:11:50.460 Do you think the Democrats could put up Biden in 2020 with any shred of legitimacy, considering he's an old white dude?

03:11:57.340 So yes, because the Democrats have no standards whatsoever.

03:12:00.520 So, of course.

03:12:01.500 I've always disagreed with you about this.

03:12:03.140 I just don't think Biden is a true presidential candidate.

03:12:05.340 I mean, that may very well be the case.

03:12:08.020 I mean, he's got a bad record in prior races.

03:12:10.360 He does have more blue-collar appeal than any of the other Democrats they're talking about right now.

03:12:15.540 He does have a history of being clubbed over the head and surviving, which does mean something.

03:12:21.020 It makes him a baby seal, I think.

03:12:23.760 Except that he survives.

03:12:24.900 And that really is a thing.

03:12:26.840 He's associated with the Obama glamour.

03:12:29.160 That's the thing he has going for.

03:12:30.120 Well, I think there's something else that he has going for him, too.

03:12:31.920 And that is that President Trump has one particular specialty.

03:12:34.960 And that is he can drag any human being down into the mud with him.

03:12:38.420 If you're already covered in mud, it's actually a benefit.

03:12:40.720 If people think that you're clean as the driven snow, you're Kamala Harris or something, and then Trump starts throwing mud all over you, suddenly your image plummets.

03:12:47.380 And it's that directional plummet in image that actually damages in a presidential race.

03:12:51.200 Everybody knows Joe Biden.

03:12:52.320 Everybody has an opinion about Joe Biden.

03:12:53.960 Those opinions aren't probably really going to change about Joe Biden.

03:12:56.060 If it turns into a poop fight with Joe Biden, that is what it is.

03:13:01.020 You know, I still think that he is – I think he's more of a threat than Kamala Harris.

03:13:04.800 I think he's more of a threat than Elizabeth Warren in some ways.

03:13:07.300 Certainly more of a threat than Elizabeth Warren. 0.98

03:13:09.000 Kamala Harris worries me a little bit.

03:13:10.380 She worries me.

03:13:11.160 I'm more worried about Warren than Harris.

03:13:12.820 Really?

03:13:13.240 Yeah, I don't believe that you can put the Obama coalition back together.

03:13:16.780 I think they may run Kamala Harris because they think that you can.

03:13:20.260 But I don't – I just don't think it floats.

03:13:22.360 Whereas I think Elizabeth Warren, who is pretty canny, well, I think she will tack to the Bernie Sanders populist position in the party. 1.00

03:13:33.320 And I think that that can be very successful for her.

03:13:35.380 I mean, I think Bernie Sanders may have been elected president if Hillary Clinton hadn't literally stolen the election.

03:13:40.820 Stolen the election, yeah.

03:13:41.700 And I don't think Harris can make as credible a play for that sort of populist wing of the Democrat Party.

03:13:48.940 I think we're seeing something else, too, and that is the intersectional shtick does not work in Ohio.

03:13:53.500 It doesn't work in Florida. 0.65

03:13:54.760 It doesn't work in a lot of the states that are actual battleground states.

03:13:57.600 I think it's getting old, too.

03:13:58.580 I think it's had its shot.

03:13:59.720 Yeah.

03:14:00.100 I mean, and that's – again, if Democrats are smart, what they're going to learn from tonight is that the districts they're winning are moderate districts with moderate candidates.

03:14:05.780 They are not winning with these radical left crazies.

03:14:08.740 Well, they keep doing this, though, that they keep running these moderate candidates and then soiling them by forcing them to follow the Nancy Pelosi trail.

03:14:15.060 That's what happened to the blue dogs.

03:14:16.060 All the blue dogs were excised from Congress when people realized that blue as they were, they were voting the radical left line. 0.82

03:14:24.680 And that's the thing.

03:14:25.540 So you put these guys up and then you destroy them by not letting them vote their conscience.

03:14:29.200 If they started to vote their conscience, the whole tenor of Congress would change.

03:14:32.440 If you say that too many times, Donald Trump literally walks out, stands in the back of the room and causes you to be booed and almost lose a race.

03:14:39.360 Colton, give us another question.

03:14:41.300 So we've got another question from Eli, and you guys might have talked about this a little bit earlier.

03:14:45.840 He says, do you think Beto O'Rourke remains a threat after this loss, or does he fade into obscurity by the time he can run again?

03:14:52.680 I think we've basically covered it, so I don't want to spend too much time on it.

03:14:55.060 But Beto O'Rourke is a talented and gifted politician.

03:14:59.440 He is a threat.

03:15:00.900 I don't think that he disappears.

03:15:02.480 I don't think any of us think that he disappears.

03:15:04.120 Is he a contender for the presidency?

03:15:05.360 I mean, we'll see.

03:15:06.300 They're going to start running people in about six minutes from now.

03:15:10.400 But there's a lot of political future for a guy like Beto, because the other thing that Democrats do, that Republicans don't do, is that you can run for office from one state.

03:15:21.020 Oh, yeah.

03:15:21.460 Disappear for a few years.

03:15:22.760 Yeah.

03:15:23.060 Show up from an entirely different state and run for office again.

03:15:25.800 But worth noting, MSNBC already saying that the House Democrats are calling for President Trump to release his taxes.

03:15:30.880 So, really, it has begun.

03:15:33.920 It's on, yeah.

03:15:34.680 Next question.

03:15:35.720 Question from Matthew.

03:15:36.680 Question for Ben.

03:15:37.780 Who do we need to elect to see judicial review changed? 0.82

03:15:42.940 Honestly, I think that the incentive structure is all wrong to see judicial review changed.

03:15:46.400 So, my perspective has always been that you actually need to limit the power of the judiciary to overturn acts of the legislature,

03:15:51.840 because the judiciary has a rotten record of actually protecting the Constitution of the United States.

03:15:56.500 I'd rather that the people who are screwing with the Constitution be accountable to the public than that they be in robes for their entire life,

03:16:03.460 capable of just doing whatever it is that they want.

03:16:06.560 Look, I think that Republicans should have done that in the last couple of years.

03:16:09.940 I think that, you know, restricting the jurisdiction of the courts would have been a good move,

03:16:14.260 because at the same time they're stacking the courts, they're restricting the jurisdiction of the courts.

03:16:17.600 With that said, I think that judicial review is too well embedded in the fabric of the way that things work for it to really be restricted in any serious way.

03:16:25.540 I think there's something else, too, which is I agree with you conceptually about judicial review,

03:16:30.740 but I worry that it's a little bit like getting rid of the earmarks.

03:16:33.980 It's kind of my gripe a little bit with our friends like Mark Meckler over at Article 5.

03:16:40.180 The status quo is a conservative position.

03:16:44.900 There is something to, like, I don't agree with everything the founders did, right?

03:16:50.120 Taking the extreme things that we have to caveat out.

03:16:52.720 Even judicial review and some other things that came along.

03:16:55.220 You're speaking to my traditionalist tendencies.

03:16:56.700 Came along very early.

03:16:58.820 And yet, I'm not sure that we've been ill-served by some of the structures that they had the wisdom to sort of create along the way.

03:17:07.660 They didn't create all of them like judicial review at the point of the inception of the Constitution,

03:17:12.360 but they got to it pretty fast, you know, once we had a functioning government.

03:17:15.600 I don't know.

03:17:16.020 I'm not as radical even in my conservatism as I was 10 years ago.

03:17:20.580 By the way, even the Democrats, they're already getting it wrong.

03:17:23.040 So the Democrats are looking at tonight's house races, and they're already announcing that the big win was for women

03:17:27.360 because 10 women won in these house races, and so it was women that put them over the top. 1.00

03:17:31.500 And it's like, no. 1.00

03:17:32.900 What put you over the top is that you ran better candidates in contested districts, you idiots. 1.00

03:17:37.060 Like, the sex had nothing to do with it. 1.00

03:17:38.840 No, that's true.

03:17:39.220 It's that you ran better candidates, and they happen to be women, which is fine, good, like, cool.

03:17:43.860 But if their solution is, okay, we're going to run a bunch of women just to run women, this intersectional trap is going to be— 1.00

03:17:49.520 Let's go all the way.

03:17:49.920 Let's run Hillary again. 1.00

03:17:51.320 Nominator Hillary 2020. 0.81

03:17:52.840 I so want Hillary to run. 1.00

03:17:54.120 Be careful what you're going for.

03:17:54.720 No, I so want her to run again. 1.00

03:17:55.760 I can't wait.

03:17:56.920 I don't know.

03:17:57.440 It's a revivified corpse.

03:17:57.820 Ben has this great point that he makes all the time about President Trump.

03:18:01.420 President Trump has to pick up 10 million new votes.

03:18:03.620 Yeah, I know.

03:18:04.200 To be re-elected.

03:18:05.020 I don't know where President Trump gets 10 million new votes, but I know exactly where

03:18:09.620 Hillary Clinton gets 4 million more votes.

03:18:11.640 I know where she gets 100,000 votes in these swing states. 0.95

03:18:13.900 In these swing states.

03:18:15.080 Hillary Clinton—when you want something as bad as Hillary Clinton wants to be president— 1.00

03:18:21.540 And also, when you think that you can pick your opponent and win, Hillary Clinton learned

03:18:26.380 the hard way.

03:18:27.240 You can't do that.

03:18:28.060 Yeah, that's right.

03:18:29.180 She's done it twice, by the way.

03:18:30.500 Hillary Clinton picked Barack Obama to be her opponent in the primaries, and it blew 0.98

03:18:36.540 up.

03:18:36.740 And then she picked Donald Trump to be her opponent in the general.

03:18:38.720 She isn't incompetent. 0.96

03:18:39.720 This is the one thing nobody—we talk about how corrupt she is, but she also is incredibly 1.00

03:18:43.920 incompetent. 0.98

03:18:44.840 You know, she was a lousy Secretary of State. 1.00

03:18:46.900 That's exactly right.

03:18:47.980 We're not highly competent, because I swore we would get through three questions we've

03:18:51.660 done two.

03:18:51.840 Oh, yes.

03:18:52.340 Colton, question number three.

03:18:53.960 Nicole asks, if this midterm was a leftover piece of Halloween candy, what would it be and

03:18:58.720 why?

03:18:59.060 It would be a piece of candy corn.

03:19:04.160 One, because I kind of like it.

03:19:06.020 I kind of like it.

03:19:07.480 It endures.

03:19:09.420 It's a very historical election in that—

03:19:12.360 In the way that you could bury a piece of candy corn for 28 years and you get up in

03:19:15.660 the backyard.

03:19:16.180 It's just as good.

03:19:16.840 I mean, it just—it follows historical trends.

03:19:19.180 It's basically enjoyable.

03:19:20.960 Half of the country absolutely detests it, but they're wrong.

03:19:25.320 That's a good answer.

03:19:26.060 I was going to go Milk Duds, because at the beginning, you're like, ah, this is great

03:19:30.060 candy.

03:19:30.760 Yeah.

03:19:31.000 And then as it gets stuck to your teeth, you're like, this candy is not quite—

03:19:34.400 I was going to say dark chocolate for the same reason.

03:19:36.600 Yeah.

03:19:37.960 Good in theory.

03:19:38.960 Good early.

03:19:39.600 Good in theory.

03:19:40.720 Colton, bonus question.

03:19:42.760 Question from Chris.

03:19:43.980 He says, do you think the left has any credible grievances when it comes to accusations of

03:19:48.040 voter suppression vis-a-vis district mapping or voter ID laws?

03:19:52.480 Certainly not voter ID laws.

03:19:53.820 No.

03:19:54.380 I think generally the answer is no.

03:19:56.240 And when it comes to redistricting, one of the things that I always find hilarious

03:19:58.940 is that the question of redistricting completely exits the table when Democrats are in control.

03:20:02.720 When Republicans are in control, then it's like, we need fairer redistricting practices.

03:20:06.540 I have yet to see an actual procedure that has been proposed that looks anything better

03:20:11.420 than simply letting the legislature and the governor basically set it.

03:20:15.860 Because the problem is, when you set up these nonpartisan panels that create these redistricting areas,

03:20:22.240 they simply don't do any better.

03:20:23.700 They end up just as partisan as the actual partisan election.

03:20:26.860 And also, I have yet to see the evidence that redistricting has actually prohibited

03:20:29.760 the party that has the momentum from winning.

03:20:33.020 Like, Republicans redistricted.

03:20:34.040 The Democrats are going to win, you know, somewhere between 32 and 38 seats tonight.

03:20:38.220 Yeah.

03:20:38.700 They were able to do that despite redistricting.

03:20:40.240 They retake the House.

03:20:41.500 That is not a, that is like, Paul Krugman said that if Republicans won this election,

03:20:46.000 it was the end of democracy on the basis of redistricting. 0.98

03:20:49.080 It's just asinine. 1.00

03:20:50.420 It's just asinine. 0.94

03:20:51.260 It is never, redistricting has never been as much of a problem as people want to make it out to be. 0.87

03:20:54.800 And is he going to write the column tomorrow and say, oh, I guess redistricting is fine.

03:20:59.280 I'll stop writing this column in two years.

03:21:01.140 I want to know what column he's going to write tomorrow.

03:21:02.920 I mean, you know, it's going to be the same.

03:21:06.280 Well, now that he's told us that no Republican can have a conscience, if you are a Republican,

03:21:10.460 you do not have a conscience.

03:21:11.460 What is he going to say now?

03:21:12.800 Yeah.

03:21:13.820 Yeah.

03:21:14.320 Well, do we have more questions?

03:21:15.660 Because, frankly, I'm out of steam.

03:21:17.660 Yeah.

03:21:18.660 We're in the lull here.

03:21:21.660 I think that we need to get a couple of races called here and then we'll probably call it a night.

03:21:26.740 But let's talk a little bit more to our Daily Wire subscribers.

03:21:30.080 They don't get to ask us enough questions on the average backstage.

03:21:32.480 And they, like I say, they pay all of our rent, which I, for one, am grateful for.

03:21:36.360 It's really great.

03:21:37.740 Colton and Cassie, why don't you guys rapid fire a few at us?

03:21:40.860 Sounds good.

03:21:41.400 So we got one from Paul.

03:21:42.980 And he asks, is there any foreseeable redemption for American politics?

03:21:46.020 This is American politics.

03:21:49.000 It's redemption.

03:21:49.940 This is American politics.

03:21:51.340 This is what it's like.

03:21:52.120 It's noisy.

03:21:52.780 It's chaotic.

03:21:53.380 It's crazy.

03:21:54.060 It's revolutionary.

03:21:54.960 This is what this country is like.

03:21:56.480 You know, this whole idea that this is a stately country, like a civics class come to life, 0.98

03:22:01.420 is absolutely ridiculous. 0.95

03:22:03.060 Yeah. 0.99

03:22:03.280 Donald Trump is an American figure.

03:22:05.380 He may be an outlying American figure, but he's not unlike other American figures.

03:22:09.300 Andrew Jackson comes to mind, who have risen up in our politics before.

03:22:13.180 This is what America is like.

03:22:14.560 We're a nutty country. 0.97

03:22:15.540 We're an invented country. 0.79

03:22:17.360 There's never been a country like this before.

03:22:19.240 I think we should just be grateful.

03:22:20.880 You know, one of the things, one of my favorite documents in American history is Antonin Scalia's

03:22:25.700 dissent in Obergefell, where he talks about the fact that before the Supreme Court took

03:22:31.460 from the people their right to make these decisions, America was working as it's supposed

03:22:36.020 to work, which was a brilliant insight.

03:22:38.560 What were you doing?

03:22:39.420 We were screaming at each other.

03:22:40.660 We were yelling.

03:22:41.380 We were arguing.

03:22:42.020 We were fighting.

03:22:42.520 We were having debates.

03:22:43.240 We were having elections.

03:22:44.420 That's the way America is supposed to work. 0.73

03:22:46.560 Trump is a big character, an outlying character, but he is an American, a typical American figure,

03:22:51.180 the kind of outline big American businessman.

03:22:54.080 This is it.

03:22:54.720 This is what it's like to live here.

03:22:55.820 If you don't like it, go see your ears.

03:22:56.260 Yeah, no, I agree with that.

03:22:57.360 And look, the fact is that people associate, because Trump's retail politics is like Huey Long's

03:23:02.040 retail politics, they associate his, you know, actual politics with Huey Long's

03:23:06.280 politics.

03:23:06.640 And that's not accurate.

03:23:07.840 It's not accurate.

03:23:08.720 He's got the affect of Huey Long.

03:23:10.040 That's so true.

03:23:11.160 Without the actual policy of Huey Long.

03:23:12.460 He looks like a tyrant, and he's not.

03:23:13.980 Right, exactly. 0.98

03:23:14.840 He's just bloviating ridiculous things, and that is what it is. 0.94

03:23:18.100 And then he governs well. 0.86

03:23:19.080 You know, I just went to a lecture on the 1868 election.

03:23:22.820 How much does anybody know?

03:23:24.400 Nobody knows about it.

03:23:25.440 Stop him.

03:23:25.900 But if you look, if you look at those elections, 1868, 1872, 1880, 1880, the Republican ticket

03:23:31.740 published a blank book about the political achievements of the Democrats.

03:23:35.160 Does it sound familiar?

03:23:36.180 This man has been alive forever.

03:23:37.420 I know.

03:23:37.900 Yeah, it's true.

03:23:38.740 It's like a zombie.

03:23:39.700 I'm always channeling James Garfield.

03:23:41.860 Well, I do have a feeling that, for some odd reason, Knowles and Clavin, it's like a

03:23:46.240 picture of Dorian Gray.

03:23:48.340 Every sin that Michael Knowles commits makes Drew a day older.

03:23:52.220 I get older.

03:23:53.000 And then eventually, like, you're out of the closet.

03:23:54.380 I'd be dead by now.

03:23:55.020 If that were true, I'd be gone by now.

03:23:57.400 But every sin is written across your face.

03:23:59.880 Yeah, so I guess we're still waiting for the results from Dean Heller in Nevada.

03:24:05.360 That's really the kind of big outstanding race.

03:24:07.280 Yeah, I think we should see it through.

03:24:09.080 Cassie, give us some more questions and remind us how people get to ask questions.

03:24:13.280 Sure.

03:24:13.600 You guys can ask questions.

03:24:14.480 If you're a subscriber, go right into the website and you can ask questions right in

03:24:17.800 the chat box.

03:24:18.480 We have one right here from Brendan.

03:24:20.420 He says, in your opinion, has President Trump campaigning for Republicans helped boost

03:24:24.980 the Republican turnout or has it pushed anti-Trumpers away from voting for Republicans?

03:24:29.040 Well, it's boosted Republican turnout overall, no question, because there are many more pro-Trump

03:24:33.700 people than anti-Trump people.

03:24:35.480 It's also boosted Democratic turnout.

03:24:37.260 I mean, the fact is that Democrats turned out in droves, particularly in blue areas, because

03:24:41.460 they hate President Trump.

03:24:42.500 And Republicans turned out in red areas, specifically not only because they like President Trump,

03:24:46.140 but they also hate the people who are showing up to hate President Trump, which I think

03:24:49.620 is actually more important.

03:24:50.460 I really think that when people say that Trump is beloved of the Republican base, there's

03:24:55.060 truth to that.

03:24:55.500 I also think that there's more truth to the fact that the Republican base despises the

03:25:01.760 people who despise Trump.

03:25:03.460 Yes.

03:25:03.740 Like, it's not like when this is why the Kavanaugh hearing was so big, because even folks like

03:25:08.220 me who are Trump skeptics, I looked at that and I was like, I, you guys are just freaking 0.91

03:25:13.260 worse.

03:25:13.520 And this is actually fascinating.

03:25:14.640 So there's a poll analysis being done right now in Nevada, actually in North Dakota, rather.

03:25:19.160 North Dakota, Heidi Heitkamp just got swamped. 0.98

03:25:20.960 I mean, just destroyed.

03:25:22.140 This was not a close election.

03:25:23.560 It's not like Sinema losing narrowly in Arizona, which it looks like is going to happen, or

03:25:27.500 even McCaskill losing by a couple of points or anything.

03:25:30.760 What this is, what this looks a lot more like in, in North Dakota is an actual swamping

03:25:36.360 wave.

03:25:37.220 The exit polls showed that of the people who mentioned Kavanaugh as a factor in their voting

03:25:41.400 on a two to one basis, they thought the Democrats had completely botched the situation

03:25:46.180 with Kavanaugh.

03:25:46.880 Two to one.

03:25:47.580 Yeah.

03:25:47.740 So the Democrats were saying, oh, Kavanaugh didn't make any difference at the end of the

03:25:50.340 day.

03:25:50.480 In the Senate races, Kavanaugh made a, made a serious difference, made a serious difference.

03:25:54.620 You know, in, in this election, Democrat turnout was a foregone conclusion.

03:25:59.640 Massive Democrat turnout.

03:26:00.940 That was the foregone conclusion.

03:26:02.300 The anomaly is that Republicans turned out in such high numbers.

03:26:05.380 So it seems to be, you've got to give credit to, to Trump for that.

03:26:09.340 You've got to, and the Kavanaugh thing.

03:26:11.760 I mean, I mean, I mean, that was, that was a, it was a wake up.

03:26:14.660 I will give, you know, this still fits within my sort of general take on 2016, which is

03:26:22.060 that Republicans in 2016 voted to show up, showed up to vote against Hillary Clinton.

03:26:27.080 Yeah.

03:26:27.820 They showed up today to vote against Democrats, particularly Senate Democrats, which makes

03:26:31.960 perfect sense, right?

03:26:32.780 It was the Senate Democrats who were making a mess of themselves and, you know, experiencing

03:26:36.560 verbal diarrhea and salmonella, you know, oral salmonella, you know, in the, in the process.

03:26:41.760 And, and so I think that that, that made a big difference.

03:26:44.980 I will give Trump 30% of credit in terms of that he has a unique capacity to warm his

03:26:48.840 way under their skin and make them, and make them behave in the worst possible way. 1.00

03:26:52.660 I don't want to give a split.

03:26:54.120 And if he has stiffened some spines in the Senate, I mean, I don't think any one of us

03:26:56.880 two years ago would be sitting here talking about the courage of Mitch McConnell.

03:26:59.800 Or Lindsey Graham. 1.00

03:27:00.660 Or Lindsey Graham. 1.00

03:27:01.360 I think, well, Lindsey Graham, I've always thought, I've always thought that maybe John McCain's

03:27:04.660 death had something to do with making Lindsey Graham up. 0.99

03:27:06.360 Again, I think that that has something to do with, that has something to do with Trump and it

03:27:09.780 has something to do with the vile response of the left to Trump.

03:27:15.420 So I don't think that it's that Mitch McConnell suddenly grew spine of steel because he loves

03:27:19.540 Trump and Trump, give me a break.

03:27:21.520 Like, that's not how Mitch McConnell operates.

03:27:22.900 I know Senator McConnell, that is not how.

03:27:24.360 I think Mitch McConnell, what I think.

03:27:25.600 I know him.

03:27:26.480 But it's it, but it's it, but it's it.

03:27:28.520 No, I think, I think what Mitch McConnell does is he looks for the main chance.

03:27:31.760 He's a total politician.

03:27:33.240 And he saw in Trump somebody who's going to do certain things and he went with it.

03:27:37.200 And I think that.

03:27:37.720 And enabled it.

03:27:38.360 And enabled it, yeah.

03:27:39.120 And I think that he was it was excellent politicking.

03:27:41.520 And, you know, I think the Democrats are going to take this too far, too, because they're

03:27:44.180 going to say our job here is to check President Trump.

03:27:46.280 Yeah.

03:27:46.660 And by check, they mean just stop everything.

03:27:49.260 Right.

03:27:49.700 Yeah.

03:27:50.100 And that is not going to work out well for them.

03:27:52.220 The American people still want some things to get done.

03:27:54.320 They still do.

03:27:55.040 And tell them to go for it.

03:27:56.640 What what what legislation are we actually pushing through right now?

03:27:59.640 Nothing.

03:27:59.920 I mean, the truth is, and this is a point David French is making tonight.

03:28:02.480 He's exactly correct.

03:28:03.360 The Republicans have a judicial agenda.

03:28:04.980 They have no legislative agenda.

03:28:06.400 I mean, like, literally, they don't like I was asking people.

03:28:08.740 Well, that's what Mitch McConnell said.

03:28:09.700 What are you going to do next?

03:28:10.440 Yeah.

03:28:10.680 And they're like, well, I don't make the tax cuts permanent.

03:28:12.680 Yeah.

03:28:13.020 Yeah.

03:28:13.180 Right.

03:28:13.380 OK.

03:28:14.520 Whatevs.

03:28:15.100 Yeah.

03:28:15.480 That's that's nice.

03:28:16.420 And then it'll be made unpermanent the minute Democrats take control of Congress again.

03:28:19.060 Yeah.

03:28:19.480 So that's, you know, that's not a thing.

03:28:21.500 But, you know, the the actual agenda for the Democrats.

03:28:24.620 And now now there is a question.

03:28:26.140 So here's the question.

03:28:27.520 Democrats are going to launch.

03:28:28.940 It's the it's the group that launched a thousand investigations.

03:28:31.620 Yep.

03:28:31.900 Do any of them turn up anything meaningful?

03:28:35.280 They'll turn up plenty of things.

03:28:36.860 They'll turn up meaningful, like meaningful.

03:28:39.720 But pretty, pretty hard to get the pretty hard to get Donald Trump unless there's an actual human body buried in the base.

03:28:46.200 That's still alive.

03:28:46.860 Yeah.

03:28:47.360 In the base of Trump Tower.

03:28:48.580 Pretty hard to get him because the American public has already calculated the fact that he is what he is.

03:28:54.100 No, this is my strong market sufficiency theory.

03:28:55.640 Everything is calculated in for President Trump.

03:28:57.580 But let's say that they get his tax returns and it turns out there's something nefarious in the tax returns.

03:29:02.680 This is always about the tax returns.

03:29:03.600 You know what?

03:29:04.000 Nobody cares.

03:29:04.920 Well, it depends what's in them, I would assume.

03:29:06.460 Also, what we've seen from Trump's tax returns probably tells us what there is, which is that he gets.

03:29:11.240 Not as rich as he says he is.

03:29:12.100 He pays as little taxes as he makes and he makes more, less money than he has less money than he says he does.

03:29:16.860 You know, it's just like.

03:29:17.600 I will point out.

03:29:18.440 I will say that there are some areas of potential concern in the corruption.

03:29:22.320 In the layman's kind of stuff.

03:29:24.340 Exactly.

03:29:24.700 That's the stuff that has worried me from day one.

03:29:28.200 Yeah.

03:29:29.460 Self-enrichment.

03:29:30.800 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

03:29:31.100 Through the office.

03:29:32.020 You know, that's a possibility.

03:29:33.740 Also, you know, also worth noting, it's hilarious.

03:29:38.000 You know, today, sustaining my point that I made very early on tonight in my National Review column this week,

03:29:44.080 with regard to Barry Weiss saying that we are going to vote Democrat across the board in order to provide some sort of rebuke to President Trump and anti-Semitism to candidates who were just elected to Congress in the Democratic Party are openly anti-Semitic.

03:29:57.440 Rashida Tlaib, who is, I believe she's in Illinois, she is, she's pretty much openly anti-Semitic as far as what I've seen. 0.79

03:30:06.680 And the woman that I mentioned earlier, whose name escapes me from Minnesota.

03:30:10.660 Look, the Democratic Party is the party that has embraced anti-Semitism, like openly embraced anti-Semitism.

03:30:17.080 That logic was so weird to me always.

03:30:19.640 It was like, okay, well, we don't like Nigel Farage in UKIP, so let's like Jeremy Corbyn.

03:30:25.400 Oh, great idea. Let's think that one through.

03:30:29.200 I did think that, I thought the, we let the press get away with this a little too much, this attack on Trump as an anti-Semite.

03:30:35.940 I just think it has no basis in fact.

03:30:37.840 I think the attack on the Republicans as anti-Semites has no basis in fact.

03:30:41.960 The idea that by attacking George Soros, one of the most anti-Israel forces on the planet, or somehow being anti-Semitic. 0.96

03:30:48.540 George Soros, hey, nasty!

03:30:50.620 A guy who went out around the collections, yep, that's right. 0.80

03:30:56.020 I mean, to be fair to George Soros, you know.

03:30:57.980 No, I agree with you about that.

03:30:59.560 But it's fun to say.

03:31:02.600 And Roy Moore never once hit on him. Let's just get that completely out of the open.

03:31:06.580 There is no proof.

03:31:07.980 So, you know, I think that the argument that was made about Pittsburgh was basically that Trump went and nodded at the alt-right.

03:31:13.280 The alt-right was warm toward Trump.

03:31:14.800 And that Trump, by focusing inordinately on the dangers of the migrant caravan, you know, played up this stuff to the extent that this guy basically went crazy. 0.53

03:31:24.420 Again, I have very little truck for a politician drove somebody crazy.

03:31:28.020 I just don't like those arguments as a general matter.

03:31:30.580 I think you can condemn somebody's rhetoric.

03:31:32.200 But this is what I don't understand. 0.94

03:31:33.440 What math fundamentally changed about what Trump had said because somebody who is evil and or crazy did an evil and or crazy thing?

03:31:42.240 Like, I condemned Trump when he said bad stuff at the time.

03:31:45.760 Just as I condemned Bernie Sanders when he says bad stuff at the time.

03:31:48.020 This weird re-evaluation that goes on where it's like something bad happened.

03:31:50.940 Now that means that his rhetoric a year ago was worse than it actually was when he said it.

03:31:55.060 No, it was as bad as it was when he said it.

03:31:56.900 Like, it's a bizarre argument.

03:31:59.220 Politics is, after all, ultimately a game of realities.

03:32:01.820 You know, when people talk about Donald Trump and forget the fact that Hillary Clinton was openly against the First Amendment, would have appointed judges, swore to appoint judges who were going to damage the First Amendment and the Second Amendment.

03:32:16.220 And so when people answer me and they say, well, Trump said he was going to make more libel laws and Trump attacked the press and Trump did.

03:32:23.920 I just think, yeah, it's not the same thing.

03:32:25.660 You know, I disagree with him.

03:32:27.700 I don't disagree.

03:32:28.300 I don't agree with you that it's not the same thing in 2016 when we were making decisions.

03:32:34.620 I agree with you that in 2018 we're no longer having to make decisions based on Trump's rhetoric.

03:32:39.880 No, no, I don't agree.

03:32:40.460 We're able to use Trump's record.

03:32:41.560 I don't agree.

03:32:41.940 I don't agree.

03:32:42.480 There was no point.

03:32:43.580 There was no point at which Donald Trump was threatening to appoint Supreme Court justices who would be unfavorable to the First Amendment. 1.00

03:32:49.460 It is a different thing to be a loudmouth and say stupid stuff. 1.00

03:32:52.760 And after all, we are adults. 1.00

03:32:54.500 We can't calibrate the degree to which Donald Trump says stupid stuff. 0.99

03:32:58.360 There was no point at which I felt Donald Trump's policies were anti-free speech. 0.99

03:33:04.000 There were points where I thought this is a guy who's never read the First Amendment.

03:33:06.940 Doesn't know what the judge courts do.

03:33:08.820 I don't know.

03:33:09.420 I think that's a little revisionist.

03:33:10.660 No, it's not.

03:33:11.180 I'm willing to revise my 2016 position and say that based on the new evidence, which is the voting record of Donald Trump, my worst fears were misfounded.

03:33:20.280 Well, you could have had worse fears about Donald Trump.

03:33:22.500 But my fears about Donald Trump at the time were based on the only evidence available to me, which was the things that he said.

03:33:28.280 And he said things during that election that were deeply troubling on the First Amendment.

03:33:32.220 He said troubling things on the Second Amendment.

03:33:34.020 He said troubling things.

03:33:35.620 No, that was the thing that he said that I really just knew.

03:33:37.520 All that was on the table in 2016.

03:33:39.260 Punch protesters, you know, like he said some stuff.

03:33:41.580 No, he did.

03:33:42.140 But he was not as functionally equipped to damage the First Amendment.

03:33:46.440 Well, that's the thing, too, is you had to calibrate the actual threat.

03:33:49.540 If he says he's a real right libel.

03:33:51.100 But your answer to that in 2016 was he doesn't have the sort of architecture around him, even if he is bad the way you think he might be.

03:33:59.000 He doesn't have the architecture of the state around him.

03:34:00.920 That's not fair.

03:34:01.300 In 2016, my answer to that was, as opposed to Hillary Clinton, he's better.

03:34:04.980 I've only got two choices.

03:34:06.000 I make this choice.

03:34:06.600 That was my answer.

03:34:07.660 But my fear in 2016 was, yes, he doesn't have the structures around him to affect at the same level that Hillary does.

03:34:15.520 But if he moves the right to an embrace of those policies, then there is no firewall anymore against those things happening.

03:34:22.420 If Donald Trump governed like he speaks, I would be saying to you, oh, my God, I've made a terrible, terrible decision.

03:34:28.640 Yeah, but what I'm saying is that I am saying that I was wrong in my conclusion in 2016.

03:34:35.700 I think what you're saying is I had no basis to arrive at that conclusion in 2016.

03:34:40.120 That's what I object.

03:34:40.680 What I said when I voted for Donald Trump was I have 5% fear he's as bad as I think he is.

03:34:47.120 That was my 5% fear.

03:34:48.800 I had to take that chance because Hillary Clinton was openly as bad as I knew she was. 1.00

03:34:53.720 But no one's – I'm not second-guessing your decision to vote for Trump.

03:34:58.200 Right.

03:34:58.460 He's saying that there is a rational basis for his own decision at the time.

03:35:01.680 And since I made the same decision, I think that there was a rational basis.

03:35:05.120 Then the evidence changes.

03:35:06.040 Yeah.

03:35:06.260 And then you change your position because that's how things work.

03:35:07.760 I have never thought that you guys made an irrational decision.

03:35:11.240 I always thought you made the wrong decision.

03:35:12.740 Right.

03:35:13.000 But I don't think it was an irrational decision.

03:35:13.920 And that's – which is totally understandable.

03:35:16.360 You know, it's – I'm very pleased that I voted for Trump because I was waffling.

03:35:20.260 You know, I really was.

03:35:21.180 And they kicked me off the voter rolls.

03:35:22.700 That was one of the deciding factors.

03:35:24.480 Seriously, I was at the polling place and I said, okay, I got to do it.

03:35:27.120 And – but – so it's – I'm very pleased that I did vote for him.

03:35:30.160 But I know – I know plenty of people, plenty of rock-robed conservatives who just were

03:35:36.300 on this side and they just couldn't quite do it.

03:35:38.360 But when you look at 2020, looking now, even talking to everybody here –

03:35:41.660 Of course.

03:35:41.900 I mean, I've said this openly.

03:35:42.680 But who – what votes has he lost among Republicans?

03:35:46.760 But he doesn't have to lose votes.

03:35:48.180 He has to gain them.

03:35:48.860 This is right.

03:35:49.380 That's the problem.

03:35:50.200 So Nancy Pelosi, it should be noted, was just speaking, obviously making conciliatory speech.

03:35:54.760 Ha, ha, ha.

03:35:55.300 Yeah, I saw her.

03:35:56.600 Yeah, she was jabbering on the new Speaker of the House.

03:35:59.460 I do love when politicians say stuff like this.

03:36:02.280 She said, thanks to you, tomorrow will be a new day in America.

03:36:05.400 Which is like –

03:36:06.060 It will.

03:36:06.540 It'll be Wednesday.

03:36:07.540 Yeah, right.

03:36:08.940 And I –

03:36:09.160 That is tomorrow, about three hours from now.

03:36:09.980 I tweeted out, like, what if tomorrow was the same day?

03:36:12.120 That would be, like, really –

03:36:13.580 Like, then we'd have a crisis on our heads now.

03:36:14.900 That would be –

03:36:15.500 That would be –

03:36:16.080 Because of you, tomorrow will also be Tuesday.

03:36:17.320 Tomorrow is yesterday.

03:36:18.840 That's right.

03:36:19.480 Forward to yesterday.

03:36:20.440 It'll be Tuesday again, by golly.

03:36:23.800 Arizona is being called for McSally.

03:36:27.560 There you go.

03:36:28.140 Hey, all right.

03:36:29.580 I'll drink to those left of tears.

03:36:31.120 I'm going to have a little bit of both on this one.

03:36:33.300 I'll go with the whiskey myself.

03:36:34.780 It's getting late.

03:36:35.760 That's like –

03:36:36.240 So, all of that is good news.

03:36:38.740 And Nancy Pelosi also –

03:36:40.940 Being Nancy Pelosi, she just said, quote,

03:36:42.660 Let's hear it more for –

03:36:43.540 Let's hear it more for pre-existing medical conditions.

03:36:47.820 Weird thing to say?

03:36:49.400 Emphysema.

03:36:50.440 Yeah.

03:36:50.940 I'm for it.

03:36:51.380 Gotta love the diabetes.

03:36:52.740 I will not drink to pre-existing medical conditions.

03:36:54.960 Yeah.

03:36:55.240 I'd like to see fewer pre-existing medical conditions in America today.

03:36:59.460 Pretty spectacular.

03:37:00.840 So, yeah.

03:37:01.980 Sam Stein over at Huffington Post, he's saying,

03:37:03.720 Trump's enduring strength in Ohio and Florida are, shall we say, problematic for Dems in 2020.

03:37:07.860 There you go.

03:37:08.280 Yeah.

03:37:08.540 That is right.

03:37:09.960 Scott Walker is now trailing statewide by less than 3,000 votes in Wisconsin.

03:37:13.580 Oh, come on, Walker.

03:37:14.820 So, that's, you know.

03:37:16.240 Your votes matter.

03:37:16.940 What triggers an automatic recount?

03:37:18.640 That's what they're looking up right now.

03:37:20.140 Wow.

03:37:20.760 So, it looks like the Wisconsin governor is going to go to a recount.

03:37:24.460 Walker is down 300 votes with 78% of precincts reporting.

03:37:27.760 Whoa.

03:37:28.100 So, we will see, you know, recount.

03:37:29.360 300?

03:37:30.180 Yeah.

03:37:30.600 That's – yeah.

03:37:31.760 Whoa.

03:37:32.040 So, they're projecting it'll be about 3,000 by the time it's over.

03:37:34.300 But that may be within recount territory.

03:37:36.940 The real clear politics in Missouri had Hawley up 0.6.

03:37:39.540 He's winning by 10.

03:37:40.680 So, that was a mess.

03:37:42.700 The polls, they were just wrong.

03:37:43.840 In Indiana, it had Joe Donnelly up by 1.3.

03:37:46.320 Mike Braun winning by 10.

03:37:47.580 Whoa.

03:37:47.860 So, the polls were just wrong there.

03:37:50.060 So, again, very difficult to do state polls.

03:37:54.280 State polls are very difficult.

03:37:55.360 Very tough.

03:37:55.680 Much more difficult than doing national polling.

03:37:57.500 Again, the national polling seems like it's pretty much right on.

03:38:00.020 It looks, again, like the state polling is very, very difficult to model.

03:38:03.200 So, that is the current status of your election.

03:38:07.780 So, hope you've enjoyed that.

03:38:09.800 Hey, Ben, why don't you tell people that they should become subscribers and then let's answer some questions.

03:38:13.180 Okay, sounds good.

03:38:14.060 So, you should subscribe.

03:38:15.060 Why?

03:38:15.280 Because we've been here with you since your birthday.

03:38:18.560 Just today.

03:38:19.420 I have been here.

03:38:20.040 Since I have been here, my children have celebrated no less than four birthdays.

03:38:23.200 When I go home, it will be as though I have come home from war.

03:38:26.760 For that sort of sacrifice.

03:38:28.000 Well, not really.

03:38:28.680 Like, I'm not going to do that.

03:38:30.200 I'm not Pete Davidson.

03:38:32.180 No stolen valor.

03:38:33.240 No stolen valor.

03:38:34.100 But it will be as though I went to the moon and came back.

03:38:37.200 And my children, I hope my wife is still married to me.

03:38:41.380 You went on a long vacation.

03:38:42.620 I went on a long vacation and I came back.

03:38:44.660 All I can say is I hope that my wife has not had me legally declared dead.

03:38:48.740 So, for all of that, you should pay us.

03:38:49.980 She can do that.

03:38:50.460 She's a doctor, you know.

03:38:51.880 Wait, Ben Shapiro's not as a doctor?

03:38:52.820 Yeah, no.

03:38:53.340 Did you not know that?

03:38:54.060 She is, in fact, a doctor.

03:38:55.080 It's true.

03:38:55.740 If you wish to help pay for my wife's medical education and or the rest of the deplorable

03:39:00.960 folks on this panel, particularly Knowles, who legitimately just sits around the office

03:39:04.620 with like a tin can and a hat out in front of him while playing his ukulele, then you really

03:39:10.600 ought to pay us.

03:39:11.500 He plays a ukulele.

03:39:12.160 Ben, I want some more.

03:39:13.300 As you do.

03:39:14.200 $9.99 a month.

03:39:15.160 We'll help you support shows like this one.

03:39:17.020 God help us.

03:39:18.080 And ensure that.

03:39:19.180 And for $99 a year, you get all of those.

03:39:21.220 $99 a year.

03:39:22.300 For those of you who don't know math, that is less than $9.99 a month.

03:39:25.460 I know.

03:39:26.200 Elections analysis.

03:39:27.020 We bring it to you.

03:39:27.800 Numbers.

03:39:28.320 We break down the hard stats.

03:39:29.620 $99 a year is less than $9.99 a month.

03:39:33.180 Incredible.

03:39:33.860 And you get the leftist tears hot or cold tumbler, which is being so frequently used these

03:39:38.220 days.

03:39:38.700 It has all sorts of incredible powers.

03:39:40.240 It infuses you with the strength of the gods and the knowledge of the wise men.

03:39:44.440 It gives you freedom from sin.

03:39:46.200 But we keep trying to use it enough on Knowles.

03:39:50.940 It's getting late.

03:39:51.340 It must be getting late around here.

03:39:52.960 But unfortunately.

03:39:54.520 I think we've lost Ben, guys.

03:39:55.600 Yeah.

03:39:56.800 You lost me long ago, my friends.

03:39:58.460 All I can say is I'm vamping at this point until we get some Dean Heller results.

03:40:02.660 I am not kicking it to a question right now.

03:40:06.960 The reason is that hearing Ben slur his words and talk about how long we've been here reminds

03:40:12.440 me of those heady days of yesteryear.

03:40:15.820 Oh, yeah.

03:40:16.120 Some two years ago this very evening when we were assembled, you three and I, along with

03:40:23.380 our good friend Bill Whittle, and we were first confronting the reality that the president

03:40:30.840 of the United States had once bought, was a man who had once in the recent past bought

03:40:35.800 steaks, written his name in Sharpie on the front, held a press conference, and said that

03:40:40.740 he does, in fact, make Trump steaks.

03:40:44.460 And we have some clips from that evening.

03:40:47.340 Oh, my gosh.

03:40:47.840 I want to remind you of three things.

03:40:50.760 First, we'll take this in order.

03:40:52.400 First, how long that night was.

03:40:54.280 Oh, my God.

03:40:55.160 That was brutal.

03:40:55.360 And note how temperate we've been tonight, how little drinking and how little smoking.

03:40:59.360 We did not accurately pace ourselves, if you'll recall.

03:41:03.200 Who's this we, Jeremy?

03:41:04.420 I think we have an example of how I collapsed into drunken stupor as the night went on.

03:41:12.720 Can we see that?

03:41:13.640 Can you guys throw that up?

03:41:15.500 This is, wow.

03:41:17.840 You may recall, by the end of the night, I was slouched over in my chair.

03:41:23.160 It almost looked like I was listening to my shoe, like I was on the phone with someone.

03:41:28.800 And I had a shoe phone, like on a spy movie, but I didn't go to the trouble of taking the

03:41:33.240 shoe phone off of my foot.

03:41:35.100 I just collapsed into ruin.

03:41:38.080 Not long after this came the moment that Bill Whittle declared, sort of like a preacher

03:41:46.600 at the end of a wedding.

03:41:48.040 I now pronounce it.

03:41:49.060 Ladies and gentlemen, please join me.

03:41:50.460 Mr. and Mrs. Bill Whittle proclaimed the president of the United States was Donald Trump, and it

03:41:56.620 led to this beautiful moment.

03:41:58.400 It was graced towards Hillary Clinton.

03:41:59.940 He's the president.

03:42:01.000 He doesn't, he's not, he's not trying to get it anymore.

03:42:02.920 I'm sorry, he's just like...

03:42:04.120 Oh, my God, I was in this country.

03:42:15.640 Oh, man.

03:42:18.560 Look how young we were.

03:42:21.140 Full of hope and promise.

03:42:23.100 I actually think Bill was a little offended.

03:42:27.040 A little?

03:42:27.740 He's not laughing.

03:42:28.380 A little?

03:42:28.940 No, she's never come back.

03:42:31.920 That was 25 years ago today?

03:42:33.480 Yeah.

03:42:35.080 That was one million news cycles ago.

03:42:37.080 In Trump years.

03:42:37.700 You remember when that happened?

03:42:38.780 There was a guy named Barack Obama who was president of the United States.

03:42:41.340 What?

03:42:41.980 Do you remember, do you remember a time when there was a guy, you might, you might recall,

03:42:45.840 he was a, he was a black gentleman.

03:42:48.120 Like a block of obsidian. 0.95

03:42:51.520 You could not scale.

03:42:53.180 You could not scale that block.

03:42:55.140 You could not.

03:42:55.740 No joke could be made.

03:42:56.840 And he was, you know, a guy who was president for like eight years.

03:43:00.240 Yeah.

03:43:00.540 A historic president.

03:43:01.660 President of America?

03:43:02.840 Yeah.

03:43:03.180 Yeah.

03:43:04.140 It's right. 1.00

03:43:04.980 And then a bunch of shit happened. 0.99

03:43:07.880 And suddenly, Donald Trump, a host of a show called The Apprentice, was president of 1.00

03:43:13.180 the United States.

03:43:13.760 And celebrity apprentice.

03:43:14.680 And celebrity apprentice.

03:43:15.800 And was president of the United States.

03:43:17.320 And he proceeded to spend the next two years obliterating any memory that we all have

03:43:21.780 of this.

03:43:22.120 Like men in black. 0.53

03:43:22.800 It is amazing.

03:43:23.220 Like he just went around with the little gun, like with Will Smith and Tommy Lee Jones,

03:43:26.160 just erasing our memories of any time that existed before President Trump was president.

03:43:30.680 Making himself so ubiquitous that folks on the left would see Trump everywhere.

03:43:35.300 Like the Virgin Mary in toast.

03:43:36.820 They would just see him randomly in clouds, in objects, at night, a shadow on the ceiling.

03:43:43.140 There was President Trump.

03:43:44.040 And every time they thought about him, his image and his power grew.

03:43:48.640 And as that image and that power grew, time warped around the very mass of his manly image.

03:43:54.920 And the left began to slowly but surely lose their minds.

03:43:59.640 Slowly but surely, things that had heretofore been normal were seen as decadent and terrible.

03:44:03.560 Heretofore, things that normal political language was seen as totally off the wall.

03:44:07.880 And folks did not remember a time when a man named Barack Obama had done these exact same things

03:44:11.720 and said these exact same things.

03:44:13.600 Times had changed.

03:44:14.800 Things were different.

03:44:15.760 It was as though the universe had collapsed into a small mass, smaller than we could possibly conceive of,

03:44:22.000 and then expanded forth in a burst of bright light, filling up the possible universes

03:44:27.400 with a scale of events too difficult to imagine.

03:44:31.400 I remember this, dude.

03:44:32.360 Yeah, it was this.

03:44:33.640 And now here we are.

03:44:34.740 Here we are.

03:44:36.060 250 years later.

03:44:37.920 Thinking back on that time.

03:44:40.140 And we haven't aged five days.

03:44:41.100 We haven't aged one bit because this is all a simulation.

03:44:45.280 Can I have the bong, please?

03:44:47.460 I think you already had the bong.

03:44:48.640 How much do you guys want me to vamp here?

03:44:52.320 My God, like, where are they?

03:44:54.000 We are seven minutes from the polls closing in Nevada.

03:44:58.720 I feel like that's a good time for a question from a Daily Wire subscriber.

03:45:01.940 Colton and or Cassie.

03:45:03.020 How do you belong here?

03:45:03.880 I can vamp like that all night.

03:45:05.960 I mean, it's basically like a Rand Paul filibuster.

03:45:08.720 Let's talk about drones for 18 hours.

03:45:10.400 How's that, guys?

03:45:12.180 So we have a question from a subscriber named Dallas.

03:45:15.340 Yes.

03:45:15.660 You guys hear these questions?

03:45:16.560 Yeah.

03:45:17.200 I don't hear anything anymore.

03:45:18.180 Oh, no.

03:45:18.780 What was the question?

03:45:19.780 Because you went deaf from aging. 0.90

03:45:21.420 I'm sorry to tell you about that.

03:45:22.900 We'll repeat the question to you.

03:45:24.280 So Dallas asks, why is it that Democrats won't separate themselves from anti-Semitic people

03:45:29.560 like Louis Farrakhan?

03:45:30.840 How do they benefit from associating with people like him?

03:45:33.480 Ah.

03:45:34.160 Why won't Democrats separate from anti-Semites like Louis Farrakhan?

03:45:38.240 Yeah.

03:45:38.760 Oh, yeah, because Democrats, as Ben said, there is no bottom of the barrel for them.

03:45:44.480 The Democrats believe that any group which they might be able to call disenfranchised is a potential voter.

03:45:50.820 And anti-Semites need somebody to vote for, too.

03:45:52.800 Those poor anti-Semites.

03:45:54.180 Now, this is the gutter of intersectionality. 0.98

03:45:56.060 As the only official Jew left in the room. 0.96

03:45:58.120 But the answer to this is that Democrats have a different view of anti-Semitism than what is actually anti-Semitism.

03:46:05.480 So anti-Semitism is a giant conspiracy theory about how Jews run the world.

03:46:09.200 Sure, it's true. 0.93

03:46:09.880 But the giant conspiracy theory is that behind every rock and tree lurks a Jew who is running your life and ruining your life in some way or another. 1.00

03:46:16.180 They're the globalists, but they're also the nationalists in Israel.

03:46:18.620 They are the capitalists, but they are also the communists.

03:46:20.400 They are legitimately responsible for every bad thing that has ever happened in the history of humanity.

03:46:24.240 It's a giant conspiracy theory.

03:46:25.180 What is the conspiracy theory?

03:46:26.520 Yeah, what's wrong with it?

03:46:27.560 Michael, if this conspiracy were true, you would be out of work so fast it would make your head happen.

03:46:33.000 I can't even control my own office.

03:46:35.280 I can't even control the company that I run.

03:46:38.160 This is why I left you to do a big disappointment.

03:46:40.820 I thought, where's the payoff here?

03:46:42.840 I mean, phenomenal cosmic power, itty-bitty living space.

03:46:45.060 But the way that Democrats view the problem of anti-Semitism is they see anti-Semitism as just one classification in a broader category called bigotry.

03:46:57.840 And because of that, they don't think that anti-Semitism is a conspiracy so much as it is just people don't like Jews in the same way that people don't like blacks or people don't like Hispanics or people don't like women.

03:47:06.560 It's just a form of bigotry among all the other bigotries.

03:47:08.520 Well, what that really suggests, and their view of bigotry, is that bigotry is only power combined with racism.

03:47:17.240 The problem with that is once you start saying that racism is in itself, bigotry is in itself dependent on power hierarchies, which is what the left says.

03:47:24.860 They say that racism is dependent on power hierarchies, that racism is a result of imbalances of power that have existed over time. 0.62

03:47:30.760 People hate black folks because white folks were in charge of the system and therefore directed people to hate blacks.

03:47:35.060 People aren't fond of women because it was the patriarchy in charge. 1.00

03:47:37.980 Well, once you start seeing every bigoted sort of phenomenon as a hierarchical structure of power, the problem is that Jews are inordinately successful.

03:47:50.120 And so this means that anti-Semitism only exists when Jews are also victims.

03:47:54.560 It does not exist when Jews are not victims, which is to say in most scenarios, because Jews are not victims except when they are victimized. 0.78

03:48:02.220 Until they are. 0.58

03:48:02.780 Right. And so so what that means is that the conspiracy theories, which is what anti-Semitism actually is, is actually the mainstream left view of what Jews are in many cases, because Israel is powerful in its region.

03:48:13.780 That means that it is a hierarchical power structure that is cramming down on lower down intersectional groups.

03:48:20.320 Now, that is the exact case that is made by conspiracists, right?

03:48:23.920 The exact case made by anti-Semitic conspiracists is that powerful Jews are in control of less powerful minority groups.

03:48:30.180 The left believes that they actually believe that because Jews are the victimizers in the intersectional hierarchy as opposed to other minority groups.

03:48:37.200 And so when they look at Muslims who, in this particular case, they've endorsed people like Keith Ellison or Louis Farrakhan, they say those people are victimized by the Jews in exactly the same way that anti-Semites would say that those people are victimized by the Jews.

03:48:50.180 So the crossover is actually it's actually an identity.

03:48:53.360 It's not even a crossover.

03:48:54.140 It's an identity in certain belief systems based on a faulty understanding of what anti-Semitism is.

03:48:59.740 And by the way, a faulty understanding of what bigotry is.

03:49:01.680 I actually have a that is an amazing explanation and far better than any I've ever heard articulated.

03:49:07.160 I actually think there is a different reason, though.

03:49:11.740 We don't often get into this kind of territory rightly in our in our programming.

03:49:15.660 But since the question is on the table, I think people hate the Jews because God drew a box around them.

03:49:21.100 And I think that for this reason, anti-Semitism, unlike other forms of other forms of bigotry, exists in a sort of spiritual way among all people.

03:49:34.720 So all people who who don't put their faith in the in the God of Abraham and Isaac and Jacob.

03:49:41.620 If you if you reject God, you reject God's peoples.

03:49:48.300 Yeah, I think God drew a box around the Jews to say not to say you're you're special. 0.92

03:49:55.420 Therefore, I choose you.

03:49:56.540 He said, I choose you.

03:49:57.760 Therefore, you're special.

03:49:58.940 He drew a box.

03:49:59.720 And you're special because of how unspecial you are.

03:50:03.600 I'm not saying that God could have drawn a box around any random group of people as an ultimate statement, because God did exactly what he did.

03:50:10.320 But for the sake of argument, God could have drawn a box around anyone and said the fact that I'm drawing the box around you makes you an example to everyone of what everyone is.

03:50:21.200 So in the Jews, you see tribalism that in some ways has has beauty and merit and in some ways can be at various times in history can be ugly in the Jews. 0.99

03:50:33.900 You see great success, especially, you know, right now we think of the Jews very successful.

03:50:38.860 The state of Israel, one of the most more venture capital per capita flows into Israel, great inventions in Israel.

03:50:45.020 At various times, the most dispossessed people in many places on Earth have been Jewish.

03:50:49.840 Some of the most religious and pious people have been Jewish.

03:50:52.760 Some of the most hateful and and and rotten people, atheistic people in human history have been Jewish. 1.00

03:50:59.360 God God selected them to teach the whole world about what we are. 0.98

03:51:05.320 Yeah. So it's almost like they're the they're the the human example of humans.

03:51:11.680 And because we hate everything God tries to teach us, we hate all the lessons that God tries to show us.

03:51:16.940 We reject his people. We reject the Jews. 1.00

03:51:19.400 And the reason that the Democrats in particularly in particular struggle with a virulent stream of anti-Semitism in the modern era is because very slowly since Roe v.

03:51:32.480 Wade, the Democrats have have deliberately separated themselves as a party from God.

03:51:40.560 I think it's very tangibly.

03:51:42.120 So they boo God, they boo God at their national convention.

03:51:45.600 They they have made a selection after Roe v.

03:51:48.220 Wade that they did not want to be the party of people who actively believed in God.

03:51:53.200 And so over time, the the people who like God's examples all moved over to one party.

03:51:59.080 The people who reject God's examples all moved over to one party.

03:52:01.940 Am I saying the Republican Party is the party of God?

03:52:04.020 No, I'm saying that the Republican Party became the bastion of people who were the people of God over time because the Democrats sort of forced them into that box.

03:52:15.520 I think that there were a lot of religious Democrats before Roe v.

03:52:18.780 Wade. But after Roe v.

03:52:20.220 Wade, it started a process in which it's believing, believing religious people were sort of pushed out.

03:52:26.560 It's particularly I mean, first of all, there's absolutely no disparity between what you said.

03:52:30.980 Yeah, I agree with both of those entirely.

03:52:32.360 That the the conspiracy is is basically the form that this hatred takes.

03:52:37.020 That's right.

03:52:37.220 There's there's absolutely no question that that even even if you took the supernatural out of it.

03:52:42.380 Right.

03:52:42.560 If you just eliminated the supernatural, there is no question that our essential values emanate from Jewish culture and from Jewish thought.

03:52:49.200 There's absolutely no question about it.

03:52:50.780 And we hate those values because they restrict us to moral pathways that the left clearly does not want to take.

03:52:56.780 What's fascinating to me and what is so disturbing is that so many of the people preaching materialism, preaching, you know, what's the word I want to use where you can destroy human life because it's it's getting in your way.

03:53:12.320 It's it's not that, you know, it's not a factual.

03:53:13.700 So many of them are Jewish now that like I mean, I've read one book after another of materialist, anti-moral, anti-God books. 1.00

03:53:21.720 And every one of the Jews are secular, not a Jewish Jew. 0.93

03:53:24.640 Since the Jews are God's example.

03:53:26.280 Yeah, they're going to be that's neither a pro or a con.

03:53:28.600 They're God's good example at times and God's bad example.

03:53:30.820 And I think that speaks also to the fact that this if the Jews aren't special, I don't know who is.

03:53:37.260 I mean, I don't even believe I don't know what special means.

03:53:39.460 I don't even believe in race as a as an actual physical manifestation.

03:53:43.800 But the Jews have been formed by history into a unit that that you can't you can't escape. 1.00

03:53:50.020 And you can't escape the profundity of what they mean to this culture.

03:53:53.960 It is.

03:53:55.040 Look, you only have to read Nietzsche to hear Nietzsche say, you know, he's Jews. 0.99

03:53:58.360 It's all the.

03:53:58.800 I would agree with you that you can remove spirituality and still come to the same conclusions about why people hate the Jews. 0.57

03:54:04.200 That's right.

03:54:04.680 But it evidences spirituality to me.

03:54:06.880 I think all the proofs of God are negative proofs.

03:54:08.840 Yeah.

03:54:09.140 This is sort of one of them.

03:54:10.200 Like the fact that everyone hates the Jews evidences a spiritual reality to the to the calling of the Jews in my in my estimation.

03:54:17.720 And it's also evidence that man rejects. 0.61

03:54:21.040 We think of man as rational, but man is profoundly irrational.

03:54:25.060 The party that prides itself on being the party of reason isn't trying to emulate the success of the Jewish people in the world, just like they're not trying to emulate the success of free markets in the world. 0.76

03:54:37.460 The party of reason sees poor people and sees wealthy people and doesn't say we should create systems to help the poor people become wealthy people.

03:54:45.520 They say we should destroy all the processes that led people to wealthy people.

03:54:49.800 Also, everybody's got to serve somebody.

03:54:51.240 And Vox.com, a mainstream, perhaps the mainstream, left-wing wonky outlet, ran a piece about three weeks ago on why Democrats should practice witchcraft to recover from the Trump phenomenon.

03:55:03.740 Everybody's got to serve somebody.

03:55:05.160 And the Jews get singled out because they're the people of God.

03:55:07.620 Alicia, over at Alicia's election headquarters, do you have some info for us?

03:55:13.100 We do have some info.

03:55:14.160 Democrats, of course, as you guys have referenced numerous times, have taken the House.

03:55:17.720 And Nancy Pelosi is super-duper excited about it. 0.96

03:55:21.240 The races that we are watching here in California, though, to make sure, you know, hopefully the Republicans are able to maintain a couple of seats, specifically Dana Warbacher and Duncan Hunter.

03:55:30.860 The problem with Hunter is, you know, he had allegedly stolen all of that money from his campaign, and then he went on Fox News and blamed it on his wife, and it was real awkward.

03:55:39.360 So we are waiting on that race, and Warbacher down in Orange County is incredibly close, too close to call right now.

03:55:46.760 Overall, places like ABC News and CNN are saying that the Democrats could pick up as many as 35 House seats.

03:55:53.700 As you guys referenced earlier, Nancy Pelosi did indeed talk about that, and in her speech she said some pretty interesting things.

03:55:59.440 I'm going to toss it to Cassie to give us some interesting quotes.

03:56:02.720 So Nancy Pelosi, obviously somebody who doesn't like President Trump, I think she realizes that his messages work.

03:56:08.560 So in a speech that she just gave, you know, talking about how the Democrats are taking over the House right now, she actually said that they're going to drain the swamp.

03:56:18.000 So Nancy Pelosi says that the Democrats will drain the swamp. 0.98

03:56:20.740 Very interesting coming from her.

03:56:23.600 And then moving along to the Senate, we have Kathy Griffin freaking out over Beto Herbe. 1.00

03:56:28.940 Yeah, Kathy Griffin, honestly, her entire timeline is filling this Tumblr right here.

03:56:33.740 I'm going to need another one.

03:56:34.720 So let's just read a few things coming from her.

03:56:37.400 So she actually quote tweeted the tweet I read earlier from President Trump where he said it was a tremendous success.

03:56:42.580 Thank you all.

03:56:43.140 She quote tweeted it, and she said,

03:56:44.940 You are such a delusional, and then the C word that makes women uncomfortable that I don't think I should say on air.

03:56:50.900 She also said that the Green Party is screwing over democracy again. 0.85

03:56:54.800 So she's not happy with you third party voters.

03:56:56.560 She also had a tweet about an hour ago saying, F Ted Cruz.

03:57:00.240 So not happy with Ted Cruz either.

03:57:02.240 And she's also calling for a recount in Florida.

03:57:05.360 So Kathy Griffin's not doing too great right now.

03:57:08.560 We'll see how she is later on, considering the Democrats are looking like they're getting the House. 0.97

03:57:12.660 But as of now, her Twitter feed is pretty ridiculous.

03:57:16.380 But I thought all of those celebrities telling us to get out and vote was supposed to mean something.

03:57:20.740 I mean, Taylor Swift helped in Tennessee, right?

03:57:23.460 I mean, I think they lost, what, 20%?

03:57:25.560 Yeah.

03:57:26.140 We'll have to wait and see.

03:57:27.600 Speaking of recounts, it looks as if the Wisconsin gubernatorial race there might end up going to a recount.

03:57:33.760 We have 88% reporting.

03:57:35.900 Ben mentioned this briefly earlier.

03:57:37.480 They're 22% left.

03:57:39.420 The 22%, though, some strategists and pollsters within the state are saying that those precincts within the state of Wisconsin, they think actually might go to Scott Walker.

03:57:51.240 Evers right now, 49.3% to Walker's 48.7%.

03:57:56.220 All in all, they're saying that maybe Walker could be up 3,000 votes, but this is going to go to a recount, which is just fascinating because I think everyone expected this lull and this wait and this back and forth for the great state of Georgia, but we did not expect this for Wisconsin tonight.

03:58:11.340 Some people were saying Evers was in it for an easy win, but Scott Walker, much like many of the times he's been recalled and gone against the teachers' unions and leftists galore, he's putting up a fight, and he's hanging on for dear life there.

03:58:24.980 That guy has been through so many races.

03:58:28.500 So here in California, fortunately, as Michael Knowles and many of us other conservatives call him, we have Governor Moonbeam, Jerry Brown.

03:58:35.840 He's not the greatest.

03:58:36.920 And we also have some interesting propositions, but we're not the only state with interesting propositions.

03:58:41.820 A lot of other states have had some interesting propositions, some good, some bad, and our very own Colton Haas is going to tell us about those.

03:58:49.020 One of the most exciting ones has to be, one that has actually passed.

03:58:52.940 So we've got the numbers in. It's passed by 59.5 percent and with 811,000 votes, that's with 85 reporting.

03:59:02.040 It is Alabama Amendment 2, which recognizes fetal rights. 0.58

03:59:05.260 So what that means is an amendment to the Alabama Constitution that declares the state's policy to recognize and support the sanctity of unborn life,

03:59:12.740 which is a huge move to actually enshrine that in a state's constitution.

03:59:16.920 Sounds like they're going to take advantage of us having a conservative Supreme Court justice and try bringing Roe v. Wade back to the court. 0.93

03:59:22.140 Right. Well, and so does it actually give a point of viability or what is the specificity of the proposition?

03:59:27.460 I'm not 100 percent sure on the specificity, but it states including the right to life, all manners and measures appropriate and lawful.

03:59:34.120 It may go into more specifics when they actually hash it out, but as far as I can tell from here, it's sort of a broad statement.

03:59:41.360 So big debate in our office earlier today for us California voters was to vote or not to vote for daylight savings time changes.

03:59:49.160 How did you guys vote?

03:59:51.140 Well, I sent an absentee ballot in Massachusetts, so I didn't get to vote on this, but I got to vote against Elizabeth Warren and it was probably the best vote I've ever casted.

03:59:59.200 Honestly, I'm fine how it is. I mean, I don't like the change of it.

04:00:03.680 I don't want to be like Arizona. There's lots of things I love about Arizona, including your new senator, but I don't know.

04:00:09.840 I don't it's so confusing. Like, let's just stick with everybody else.

04:00:13.000 In addition to that, if the proposition did pass, it just means that it's going to go to the state legislature and they need to pass two thirds in order.

04:00:20.280 And then in order for this to continue. And Congress has to vote on it, too, people.

04:00:24.260 So all of you anti daylight savings time people, even if this proposition passes, which we will find out in the next couple of hours.

04:00:32.800 Sorry, I don't know that Congress is going to be OK with this.

04:00:35.900 And we will be updating you guys on those California races. And we're still waiting with bated breath for that Senate race in Nevada.

04:00:42.860 The polls are trickling in, but we've only got about eight to nine percent reporting right now.

04:00:47.120 The government doesn't get to make up what time it is.

04:00:50.160 Well, they ruined my week. But this is so earlier.

04:00:55.480 I suggested that looking at the popular vote could be an indicator for Trump 2020.

04:00:59.120 If you do look at the popular vote across the nation in the House races and what you see is that the Democrats have won thirty seven million votes thus far.

04:01:07.580 That does not count all the California votes, which are going to come in.

04:01:09.900 And those are going to break heavy for Democrat Republicans have about 30 million.

04:01:13.620 So, you know, the Republicans have some strength in places like Florida and Ohio.

04:01:18.340 And to underestimate, that's a mistake. With that said, they have some real challenges in a presidential race.

04:01:24.380 I mean, the Democrats are showing up in large numbers. They're showing up largely outside.

04:01:28.800 You could there's a world where the results of 2016 become a non outlier, where you do see these huge gaps between popular vote totals and electoral vote totals.

04:01:37.500 You could see a situation where Trump wins again Florida and Ohio very, very narrowly and presumably, you know, he'd have to win Iowa and Texas and all those states.

04:01:47.540 And Democrats just clean up on the coast. And it's not a three point gap. It's a seven point gap.

04:01:53.040 And then Trump is still pulling out the race.

04:01:55.060 I think it's safe to say that no matter what Trump does, because of his personality, that it's still going to depend on who the Democrat is and what the Democrat Party is doing.

04:02:03.620 It's not going to be a race.

04:02:05.040 He does have a ceiling. He has a ceiling of support.

04:02:07.900 But Democrats are going to be careful here. So Nancy Pelosi is already saying that she is not in favor of impeachment. 0.95

04:02:12.800 So she is is actually acting more like a responsible party than you would have thought that you would.

04:02:17.060 The issue you brought up before, does she have control of her party and will she be able to keep them?

04:02:21.280 Well, I mean, she'll be able to keep them from actually flooring an impeachment vote.

04:02:24.500 It's going to I mean, the majority ain't that large that they can lose enough votes off of that.

04:02:29.480 She says, of course, a lot depends on what happens in the Mueller investigation.

04:02:32.520 But, you know, that's that's the next big thing, right?

04:02:36.500 That's supposed to happen this month, this month, because the news cycle does not end.

04:02:41.040 It just doesn't.

04:02:42.080 We really haven't talked much about Mueller.

04:02:43.820 He rightly he rightly held off.

04:02:46.680 He didn't follow the Comey, you know, playbook.

04:02:49.380 He held off.

04:02:50.020 Did you see him knocking on doors, James Comey?

04:02:51.900 Worst trick or treating ever.

04:02:53.200 I was going to say, we don't want any.

04:02:54.920 As a man dressed up as James Comey.

04:02:56.600 But no, I think that Mueller did the right thing.

04:03:02.920 He held off.

04:03:03.600 And now we're going to find out.

04:03:04.560 I cannot imagine.

04:03:06.260 I cannot imagine him bringing in any kind of real life verdict that says that Trump colluded with the Russians.

04:03:12.660 I can imagine him pushing an obstruction of justice charge, but it would be a stretch.

04:03:17.820 And I just I can imagine the possibility of him bringing a charge that someone colluded with the Russians, though.

04:03:24.060 But the rumor is DJT, right?

04:03:27.340 DJT Jr.

04:03:28.360 OK.

04:03:28.820 Is the is the is the rumor.

04:03:30.100 Like that's that's the hot rumor is basically that Donald Trump Jr. is going to be the one who's caught up in all of this because of the Trump Tower meeting and because of his associations with folks like Roger Stone.

04:03:39.080 But, you know, we'll have to see what what comes out from all this.

04:03:42.240 Again, I think that unless you have just a clear, clear smoking gun, then none of this matters.

04:03:49.120 I think every it's all baked in.

04:03:50.140 My favorite argument that Obama has made is that no one got indicted in his.

04:03:54.900 Oh, my God.

04:03:55.760 I said this on my show because his Justice Department was so corrupt.

04:03:58.580 Exactly.

04:03:59.100 It's because Eric Holder called himself your wingman and because he was held in contempt by Congress.

04:04:02.900 You used executive privilege to shield him.

04:04:04.980 Exactly.

04:04:05.420 That Lois Lerner wasn't indicted.

04:04:07.040 His argument should be we were so corrupt.

04:04:08.940 Well, this is the part that's really insulting is the Democrats saying we have to restore oversight to Donald Trump.

04:04:13.680 But his own DOJ, Jeff Sessions, he's at war with his own DOJ, but he has not fired his attorney general. 0.97

04:04:19.300 Jeff Sessions is an honest man for all the crap that Jeff Sessions has taken. 0.97

04:04:22.980 That dude is honest. 0.99

04:04:24.080 I agree.

04:04:24.320 And he has gone over people.

04:04:25.560 He has gone after people inside the Republican Party.

04:04:28.340 And that is something that no Democrat would do.

04:04:30.200 And I've been so sick over the last couple of years of hearing Democrats rant on and on about how Republicans have no standards because they elected Donald Trump.

04:04:37.120 We lost the seat in Alabama because we had standards.

04:04:39.240 A bunch of us stayed home in 2016 because we didn't like Trump.

04:04:42.340 OK, and the fact is that it is Jeff Sessions, Donald Trump's appointee, who has not done anything to stop the Rod Rosenstein investigation and the Mueller investigation.

04:04:50.800 And Trump hasn't fired him.

04:04:51.620 And Trump hasn't fired him. 1.00

04:04:52.540 So all of this is just a bunch of garbage. 0.99

04:04:55.580 The idea that government is in the hands of corrupt cronies who are twisting it to their nefarious ends, there's just the evidence of that is just not there. 0.99

04:05:02.080 It's just not there.

04:05:02.940 Right.

04:05:03.600 And, you know, it is interesting.

04:05:04.760 I do think that Sessions may quietly slip away after this election, but still.

04:05:10.100 Well, since we kept the Senate, I think we'll see over the next three months quite a lot of turnover in the administration.

04:05:15.860 Sure, of course.

04:05:16.700 But that's kind of typical.

04:05:17.280 If we had lost the Senate, it would have been much more difficult for there to be, for people to go home.

04:05:21.480 Right.

04:05:21.720 By the way, I just got the most important election update.

04:05:24.620 I know some people care because the Republicans gained in the Senate.

04:05:28.720 Yeah.

04:05:29.100 Some people care, you know, Democrats won the House.

04:05:31.640 None of that matters.

04:05:32.300 My aunt Tricia, Tricia Fidrich, just won a seat on the Beaufort County School Board. 1.00

04:05:37.920 There you go.

04:05:38.580 Congratulations, Aunt Tricia.

04:05:40.060 All right.

04:05:40.940 That's the only...

04:05:41.460 I mean, I'm glad if we had lost the Senate, maybe then I...

04:05:44.000 The future of the Republic is safe.

04:05:45.500 I know.

04:05:45.860 That's right.

04:05:46.960 Everything is good.

04:05:47.820 We're fine.

04:05:49.060 This is fine, dog, Jeff.

04:05:52.560 So, again, Nancy Pelosi, target of opportunity for President Trump.

04:05:57.000 It's not going to be bad for him.

04:05:58.320 It's not going to be bad for him.

04:05:59.200 No, no.

04:05:59.400 So, I want to look again at the electoral map in 2016 because I'm curious to see which

04:06:06.440 states Trump could still lose and maintain, right?

04:06:09.960 Because Obama did that, right?

04:06:11.340 Obama lost a bunch of states in 2012 that he had won in 2008 and he still maintained his

04:06:16.280 majority because he had won so broadly in 2008.

04:06:18.160 So, if he won 306 electoral votes, what is it, 272 to win?

04:06:23.180 270 to win.

04:06:24.300 So, let's assume for a second that he loses the states that he lost tonight, which would

04:06:29.400 be Michigan and Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

04:06:32.380 So, that would be 36 seats, 46 seats.

04:06:37.300 You know, he still pulls it off.

04:06:38.660 So, if he only loses those three states and he pulls off Ohio and Florida, then he is

04:06:46.640 fine.

04:06:47.080 So, the Florida win was big.

04:06:48.660 I mean, that was really big tonight.

04:06:49.880 I think a lot of us were not expecting it.

04:06:51.600 I was not expecting it.

04:06:52.780 That was a...

04:06:53.440 I thought we were...

04:06:53.880 Which one is this?

04:06:54.220 I'm sorry.

04:06:54.640 In Florida.

04:06:55.320 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

04:06:55.800 Oh, it's huge.

04:06:56.400 Yeah, that's right.

04:06:56.920 So, it would be even tighter, though.

04:06:58.520 I mean, if he loses 46 seats off that total, then he wins with...

04:07:01.660 Well, let's see.

04:07:02.920 If he loses 46 seats off of 306, then he loses re-election.

04:07:08.180 That's 260 total.

04:07:10.540 Right?

04:07:11.380 So, that means as the night progresses, my math skills deplete.

04:07:15.020 Yeah, exactly.

04:07:15.580 So, Trump is going to need to win one of Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania in order to maintain

04:07:22.080 the presidency.

04:07:24.200 That's a problem.

04:07:25.180 Michigan's possible.

04:07:26.420 Michigan is possible, but unlikely, given the results of tonight's race.

04:07:31.100 He did not maintain Senate seats in Michigan.

04:07:32.960 He lost House seats in Michigan.

04:07:35.480 Pennsylvania is a big boo-boo, right?

04:07:37.720 I mean, Pennsylvania started to fall apart for him, and Wisconsin is a problem for him.

04:07:41.340 So, as things stand, yes, Ohio and Florida are good for Trump, but there is a world where

04:07:48.340 that's not good enough.

04:07:49.080 He needs to win one of Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin.

04:07:51.840 So, while we can celebrate a lot of these big wins, he's not holding enough of the firewall

04:07:56.780 necessary to win re-election if you were to take the races tonight as a bellwether indicator.

04:08:02.280 And you've got to just think of the prospective candidates against him in those exact places,

04:08:10.500 in Pennsylvania, in Wisconsin.

04:08:12.640 You know, the Wisconsin, I mean, we'll see what happens in that governor's race, but there

04:08:16.820 are other factors here.

04:08:17.740 Scott Walker's been around for a long time.

04:08:19.520 Trump wasn't on the ballot.

04:08:20.460 Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.

04:08:21.400 But when you put another Democrat candidate, Kamala Harris or somebody, up against it,

04:08:25.920 maybe the calculation changes.

04:08:27.720 And that's why I say that, you know, Joe Biden still has a lot of weight.

04:08:31.580 Because Joe Biden is the guy that, of all the people we've mentioned, who is most likely

04:08:35.220 to do damage in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.

04:08:37.560 Elizabeth Warren could also do damage there. 1.00

04:08:39.120 He's also inauthentic.

04:08:42.040 I mean, he plays authentic on TV.

04:08:43.960 But compared to Trump...

04:08:44.500 Democrats don't find him inauthentic.

04:08:46.020 We find him inauthentic because we have brains.

04:08:48.800 But Democrats find him inauthentic.

04:08:50.300 That's the other thing. 1.00

04:08:50.980 He's a dope. 0.97

04:08:51.860 Yeah, it's... 0.84

04:08:52.820 Yeah, it's...

04:08:54.680 2020 is going to be a dogfight, man.

04:08:56.180 It's going to be interesting.

04:08:56.840 It's going to be really interesting.

04:08:57.520 And the presidential election starts literally tomorrow.

04:08:59.660 Yeah.

04:09:00.020 That's right.

04:09:00.380 Because tomorrow...

04:09:01.120 So get your rest tonight and prepare, because tomorrow they'll launch their campaigns.

04:09:07.160 Kasich's saying he's going to run independent.

04:09:08.380 I don't think anybody primary is Trump.

04:09:09.660 You don't think Egg McMuffin?

04:09:13.520 Who cares?

04:09:14.340 Who cares?

04:09:15.700 That's how I feel about him and the Hamburglar. 0.95

04:09:17.460 I mean, like, whatever.

04:09:18.640 Does...

04:09:19.440 Will Kasich get one single vote?

04:09:21.340 I mean, does anybody...

04:09:22.400 Is there a draft Kasich campaign?

04:09:24.060 Kasich is living in his imagination.

04:09:25.040 Well, so here's...

04:09:25.900 But here's where he could do damage, right?

04:09:27.860 Ohio.

04:09:28.100 Kasich runs third party.

04:09:29.100 Yeah.

04:09:29.280 He's in Ohio.

04:09:30.160 He takes away just enough votes that Trump loses Ohio election over.

04:09:33.360 Yeah.

04:09:34.020 Right, Kasich...

04:09:34.860 And that's Kasich's job, right?

04:09:36.160 I mean, Kasich literally spent the last election cycle making Trump the nominee by refusing to get out of the race and splitting the votes at Cruz.

04:09:42.100 Yeah.

04:09:42.280 So he has no problem doing that.

04:09:44.540 This is why I say that while I am very happy about the wins in places like Florida and Georgia and Texas and Ohio tonight, I'm very happy about all of those.

04:09:54.900 The warning signals are out there.

04:09:56.540 I mean, the writing is on the wall a little bit here.

04:09:58.740 Something has to change between now and 2020 for Trump to...

04:10:02.640 We can't keep going and playing the same playbook.

04:10:04.300 Something actually does have to change between now and 2020 unless the Democrats make a huge boo-boo and just nominate somebody completely unpalatable.

04:10:11.160 But again, the question isn't will they nominate somebody completely unpalatable.

04:10:14.760 The question is, is there a human being as unpalatable as Hillary Clinton in a world where no one thought that Donald Trump was going to win?

04:10:21.780 Right?

04:10:21.920 There were two factors that played in 2016. 1.00

04:10:24.000 Hillary Clinton was a garbage candidate. 1.00

04:10:25.460 And also, literally no one, including Donald Trump, except for Scott Adams, thought that Donald Trump was going to win that election. 0.99

04:10:32.300 And that meant that Democrats didn't show up to vote.

04:10:35.020 Democrats will show up to vote next time because he's on the ballot and he won last time.

04:10:38.880 And so they are not going to stay home.

04:10:41.000 There's two years to go and two years for Democrats to do the kinds of things that they've been doing.

04:10:46.140 If they learn their lesson and they moderate, it's going to be a different world.

04:10:50.240 But if they learn their lesson and moderate, it's literally going to be a different world.

04:10:53.340 It's not going to be the world that we live in.

04:10:54.720 They may legitimately suppress their own voter turnout by not impeaching the president.

04:10:59.760 Because this is what happens when your party's enslaved to its base, is people, they get disenchanted.

04:11:05.880 We gave you guys the House.

04:11:07.180 You didn't do anything with it.

04:11:09.560 Yeah, that's right.

04:11:11.440 Again, I think that we on the right have gotten used to being a little bit sanguine because the last couple of years have been pretty good.

04:11:16.960 But I'm old enough to remember in 2004 when I thought Republicans were never going to lose again.

04:11:21.540 Because I was so ecstatic about, I mean, we'd won three straight elections.

04:11:24.680 I figured the Democrats were on the ropes.

04:11:26.380 It was the middle of a war and Democrats were saying borderline unpatriotic things about the war.

04:11:31.360 And in 2006, they swept back in.

04:11:33.200 And in 2008, they wiped us out.

04:11:34.440 So I'm not sanguine at all about any of this.

04:11:36.960 Well, you know, who is it who said there's two kinds of races?

04:11:40.120 You run scared or you run unopposed.

04:11:42.880 And I think that's right.

04:11:44.420 You know, that's right.

04:11:44.960 It's always like this in America.

04:11:46.240 It really is.

04:11:46.860 It goes back and forth.

04:11:47.920 Nobody is ever secure.

04:11:49.060 Whenever I hear somebody say, is this the end of the Democrat Party?

04:11:52.040 I would say, no.

04:11:53.580 Is this the end of the Republican Party?

04:11:54.740 No.

04:11:55.000 But the one, you know, they were promising us a wave election.

04:11:59.440 Yeah.

04:11:59.700 We got a weird election.

04:12:00.860 We got a pretty weird election.

04:12:02.100 It's not a wave election.

04:12:02.720 But you cannot call it a wave election.

04:12:04.520 Yeah.

04:12:04.740 Even in the House.

04:12:05.700 No, no, no.

04:12:06.200 I mean, maybe 34, 32 to whatever seats.

04:12:09.140 Can't call that a wave.

04:12:09.940 It's not a wave.

04:12:10.900 It is the map.

04:12:11.760 And that, you know, this matters.

04:12:13.420 It matters because of all the stuff that happened.

04:12:16.260 It matters because of all the stuff that's been said about Donald Trump.

04:12:18.900 The incredible united effort of, just think how much of the communication network the

04:12:26.680 left owns, the united effort by that communication network, Hollywood, the Academy, the news

04:12:31.240 media, to portray Trump as Adolf Hitler.

04:12:33.780 And the map won.

04:12:35.520 Right.

04:12:35.760 They voted the map.

04:12:36.500 And that's just telling you something that, you know, this voice that's out there, which

04:12:41.560 I believe has a long-term effect and I believe is really destructive, I believe has created

04:12:46.800 most of the dissension and division in America, people have caught on.

04:12:51.840 And Trump has won that battle to some extent.

04:12:54.840 And you're absolutely right.

04:12:56.200 Has he won the electoral battle?

04:12:58.200 That's still up in the air.

04:12:59.840 But he has run the cultural battle in a big way.

04:13:01.800 Something interesting that no one's talked about yet.

04:13:05.940 Is there anything left?

04:13:07.160 Yeah, I was just going to say the same thing.

04:13:08.900 How could there be anything?

04:13:09.460 Steve Bannon.

04:13:10.040 Yeah.

04:13:10.440 Steve Bannon's doing election coverage tonight with Gateway Pundit over at the site.

04:13:15.980 And listen, obviously the internet's a big deal.

04:13:18.400 We make internet all day.

04:13:19.800 I like the internet.

04:13:20.600 So I'm not poo-pooing another man's website.

04:13:24.840 But isn't it interesting that the guy who was sort of two years ago, if you go back just

04:13:32.900 a little bit in time, the guy who was sort of being heralded as this mastermind, this

04:13:36.740 new, the Karl Rove for the new era, chief strategist to the president, CEO of the campaign,

04:13:44.880 if you'd ever even heard of that, that the very next election after running a campaign

04:13:50.840 that saw his guy elected president of the United States isn't even phoning in coverage

04:13:57.160 to Fox News.

04:13:58.420 Has there been a political collapse like that?

04:14:01.400 But this is, again, evidence that the gap between Trump not president and Trump president

04:14:08.580 is massive.

04:14:10.160 Yeah.

04:14:10.520 Right?

04:14:11.140 This is why when Jeremy was saying earlier, our decision in 2016 was based on the evidence

04:14:14.780 at hand.

04:14:15.120 The evidence at hand was Steve Bannon was the campaign chairman.

04:14:17.620 That's right.

04:14:17.980 But I mean, one of the things you have to remember about Trump, and this is, again, to

04:14:21.200 his credit, as far as I'm concerned, is that the establishment Republicans would not join

04:14:29.540 his campaign.

04:14:30.620 He gathered together the people who would come with him, and then he got rid of them.

04:14:33.540 And then he dumped them.

04:14:34.320 So I agree with this.

04:14:35.380 Like Michael Corleone.

04:14:36.660 But this is the point that I'm making, is that Trump as president, in policy terms and

04:14:40.980 in staffing terms, has not been Trump as candidate.

04:14:43.180 That's right.

04:14:43.580 It is a different human.

04:14:44.920 No.

04:14:45.700 It's been unbelievable.

04:14:46.500 It's night and day.

04:14:47.060 I mean, like, the upgrades in the administration, every step of the way, the administration

04:14:51.400 has gotten better.

04:14:52.380 In voting for Donald Trump.

04:14:53.360 In terms of staffing, there's no question.

04:14:54.660 In voting for Donald Trump, I was absolutely convinced that he was better than Hillary Clinton.

04:14:58.120 I in no way expected him to be as good as he's been.

04:15:01.240 And to some degree, he's been forced into that corner by the resistance.

04:15:04.620 That's true.

04:15:05.460 But I know very few people who predicted that President Trump would be this good in office. 0.98

04:15:10.240 Ridiculous. 0.98

04:15:10.780 Yeah. 0.99

04:15:11.100 No one did.

04:15:11.820 I was hemming and hawing.

04:15:13.440 Yeah.

04:15:13.720 No.

04:15:13.880 I was, like, hoping he wasn't Hitler. 0.90

04:15:15.820 Well, because that was my vote.

04:15:18.300 I hope you're not Hitler. 0.52

04:15:19.500 I vote for you.

04:15:20.980 Also, one of the real concerns about him, personality-wise, was that the rumor was that

04:15:24.620 he was a real micromanager.

04:15:25.860 Yeah.

04:15:26.060 And it turns out that he's a micromanager about the things he cares about, like his Twitter.

04:15:29.220 When it comes to, you know, national policy, then he is far from a national micromanager.

04:15:32.980 But this is, you know, promises made, promises kept.

04:15:35.600 One of the things he said is, you know, yeah, I don't know how to be president, but I'm going

04:15:39.000 to appoint the best people.

04:15:40.100 I pick the best people.

04:15:40.240 But ultimately, he did.

04:15:41.380 He did appoint some of the best people.

04:15:42.780 And he keeps picking better people.

04:15:44.080 They keep getting even better.

04:15:45.300 I mean, to be fair, after all the worst people quit or got indicted.

04:15:47.420 But yes.

04:15:48.960 Michael Cohen was a member of his administration.

04:15:51.060 No, but truly, that's exactly right.

04:15:52.940 He got it wrong and then he got it right.

04:15:54.440 He was the personal lawyer who was also the head of the RNC Finance.

04:15:56.940 He was one of the co-chairmen.

04:15:58.580 It was like, there were three RNC Finance chair people and two of them ended up indicted.

04:16:02.180 It's not great.

04:16:02.980 It wasn't the best.

04:16:03.760 Not the best.

04:16:04.260 I have to say, I heard a comedian at the comedy store a few weeks ago.

04:16:10.000 She was not fond of our president.

04:16:12.280 But she had a great line about how Donald Trump promised he was going to pick all the 0.59

04:16:17.160 best people.

04:16:18.040 But so far, the only one who seems qualified for their job is Stormy Daniels.

04:16:23.900 Yeah, there's the best people.

04:16:25.660 That was good casting.

04:16:26.380 But I mean, when you think about who's in there now, Mike Pompeo, great job.

04:16:29.440 John Bolton.

04:16:29.900 John Bolton, you know.

04:16:31.480 Mattis.

04:16:31.680 Certainly Mattis.

04:16:32.320 He's been there from the beginning, too.

04:16:33.860 He was like.

04:16:34.180 Yeah, that's right.

04:16:35.720 He's my favorite.

04:16:36.600 I mean, he's the guy who bites the heads off chickens. 0.99

04:16:38.880 If chickens are Muslim, he bites. 1.00

04:16:41.960 Oh, that's no good. 1.00

04:16:44.380 Can we at least say radical Muslim? 0.99

04:16:45.840 Radical Muslim. 0.98

04:16:46.460 That's what I meant. 0.88

04:16:47.500 Radical.

04:16:47.980 I don't know.

04:16:48.380 Radical.

04:16:48.920 The guy who surprises me the most, though, is Kelly.

04:16:52.040 Oh, yeah.

04:16:53.520 Like, three days don't go by in a row where there isn't some story about.

04:16:56.320 He's going to be fired.

04:16:57.040 John Kelly hates the president.

04:16:59.000 John Kelly punches a guy in the Oval Office.

04:17:01.300 Yeah, Secret Service called.

04:17:03.080 Yeah.

04:17:03.780 Secret Service punched in the Oval Office.

04:17:06.040 Basically, John Kelly's tenure is like the end of this broadcast.

04:17:09.020 It's like running out of steam.

04:17:10.380 We're going to start clocking each other.

04:17:12.360 What do I have to do to get some Dean Heller results around here?

04:17:14.940 I can't believe there's nothing yet coming out of the box.

04:17:16.920 What the actual F, man?

04:17:18.080 Like, some results.

04:17:19.640 Please.

04:17:20.400 I mean, we've run out of all the topics.

04:17:22.620 So, what are you guys watching on Netflix?

04:17:24.320 Oh, Fauda. 0.67

04:17:25.240 Are you watching Fauda?

04:17:26.440 No.

04:17:26.740 Fauda is, oh, it's an amazing show.

04:17:28.900 What is Fauda?

04:17:29.340 It's about.

04:17:30.000 It's an Israeli show.

04:17:30.740 It's an Israeli show.

04:17:32.100 The Yudin. 0.95

04:17:32.960 Oh, it's amazing, though, about the Israeli intelligence services.

04:17:35.560 It's great. 0.97

04:17:35.980 It's 24, but with Israelis and Palestinian terrorists. 0.97

04:17:38.220 Yeah, it's fabulous.

04:17:39.840 Although I will say that they do make kind of the modern TV writer's mistake, which is

04:17:43.980 they keep trying to humanize terrorists in a way that I find off-putting.

04:17:47.440 But then they kill them. 0.98

04:17:48.580 That's fair. 0.99

04:17:49.480 Spoiler alert.

04:17:50.020 When they do that, they always make it, like, our fault that they're terrorists.

04:17:52.880 No, but Fauda does do that. 1.00

04:17:54.880 They never humanize them by saying, oh, they have motives and a philosophy.

04:17:58.640 Yeah, that's right.

04:17:59.340 They're basically.

04:17:59.500 They're real humans.

04:18:00.460 They side with the good guys.

04:18:01.820 Yeah, but they do this routine where it's like, this person's a really good person,

04:18:04.880 except that her husband got killed by Israelis in a firefight.

04:18:09.500 I will say that you recommended this Tom Clancy show, and I'm really enjoying it.

04:18:14.760 Yeah, Jack Ryan, it's good.

04:18:15.840 Is it really?

04:18:17.060 It's not, like, the most intelligent show, but it's fun.

04:18:18.740 No, and in fact, once you get through the verbiage that they use,

04:18:22.180 the plots are basically, like, I have some intelligence on a computer.

04:18:25.640 Let's go blow up the fourth arrondissement in Paris.

04:18:28.500 You know what I'm saying?

04:18:29.060 That's right, that's right.

04:18:29.980 It's like, they have a little bit of plot, and then they just blow things up.

04:18:32.860 I mean, it is reminiscent of 24 just without the ticking clock.

04:18:35.500 Yeah, yeah.

04:18:36.140 It's lots of fun.

04:18:37.000 That's a fun show.

04:18:37.880 And he's good, the actor.

04:18:40.340 And then, I have to say, I was disappointed by the last season of Man in the High Castle.

04:18:44.340 I don't know if you guys watched it.

04:18:45.200 It's gotten very slow.

04:18:46.980 And it's not, there's basically only one interesting storyline, which is irritating,

04:18:51.440 which is about the head Nazi guy who was an American soldier and then ends up being kind

04:18:56.480 of recruited in.

04:18:57.380 So, watch that.

04:19:00.020 Billions.

04:19:00.960 Oh, I've seen every episode of Billions.

04:19:02.840 Billions is enjoyable.

04:19:04.060 It got worse in season two, and then it got better again in season three.

04:19:06.640 And after a while, it gets very self-aware and lots of fun.

04:19:09.800 I mean, it's just like, the writers start to sort of wink at the audience, and it really

04:19:13.740 is fun.

04:19:14.100 Have you guys seen South Side with you on Netflix?

04:19:16.820 Barack Obama and Michelle.

04:19:17.980 Barack and Michelle.

04:19:18.740 You know, the show The Bodyguard isn't bad.

04:19:20.900 It's politics are all messed up.

04:19:23.900 But, and I'm not sure if the plot's going to make sense.

04:19:26.920 It's one of those things where I think, like, this is either going to be a great, they're

04:19:30.100 going to turn this around and it's going to work.

04:19:31.680 But the actor is great and the setup is great, which is basically this guy with this veteran,

04:19:38.180 it's a British show, this veteran with PTSD is assigned to guard this hawkish politician,

04:19:46.360 this hawkish MP.

04:19:47.720 So, he hates her, but she's attractive and he likes her too.

04:19:51.680 And it's kind of fun.

04:19:52.580 Apparently, Beto O'Rourke just dropped an F-bomb on national TV.

04:19:54.880 I saw that, yeah.

04:19:55.600 Yeah, you know, really, really.

04:19:57.660 I'm so effing proud of you guys.

04:20:00.200 That's how you know that they're really serious.

04:20:02.560 That's right.

04:20:03.000 That's when it was an effing big deal.

04:20:04.440 All those podcasters on the left and.

04:20:06.980 Henry also says he's calling Governor Scott Walker.

04:20:09.900 He says Scott Walker's going to win.

04:20:11.780 All right.

04:20:12.020 Calling it on what basis?

04:20:12.960 He says, I'm going to bet out on a limb, but I'm calling Wisconsin governor for Scott

04:20:16.460 Walker.

04:20:16.560 Well, that would be a good thing.

04:20:17.300 Evers has been averaging a bit over 600 votes lead per precinct in Dane, Madison, but there

04:20:22.740 are only 11 left.

04:20:24.340 Walker has lots of votes yet to report in rural areas in the Fox River Valley.

04:20:28.040 He's predicting Walker by 12 to 25,000 votes.

04:20:31.720 Wow.

04:20:31.940 Wow.

04:20:32.240 Well, that's a, that's a, that is a, that is a big thing because Wisconsin obviously is

04:20:35.180 crucial.

04:20:35.440 And what would that set up?

04:20:36.740 Well, that set up guys, that would set up a 270 win for President Trump.

04:20:39.900 That's right.

04:20:40.420 Yeah.

04:20:40.740 Right.

04:20:41.060 That would mean that he would finish with 200.

04:20:42.280 If he wins Wisconsin, but he loses Pennsylvania and Michigan, he wins with 270 electoral votes.

04:20:47.300 There you go.

04:20:48.000 Which is, which is, because that's the only way this can go.

04:20:50.320 You can't win with 69.

04:20:50.600 That's right.

04:20:51.160 That's the only way that this can go, right?

04:20:52.580 The only way this can go is that he wins the, he wins the presidency.

04:20:55.200 If you had to have 271, I would have gotten 271.

04:20:59.700 I just want to, I don't want a second backstage in a row to go by where I don't say the show

04:21:04.300 that I like.

04:21:05.040 Oh, no.

04:21:05.340 Because you guys remember, you remember favorite Western episode and I never got to talk about

04:21:08.700 my favorite Western. 1.00

04:21:10.180 Because you guys suck. 1.00

04:21:13.240 I have been watching a show not on Netflix. 1.00

04:21:15.200 I've been watching an actual network television show.

04:21:17.820 Why would you do that?

04:21:18.260 I have not watched a network television show and enjoyed it.

04:21:21.360 I mean, I have some guilty pleasures that are like TNT.

04:21:24.600 I like to watch Last Ship.

04:21:26.080 And it's not that Last Ship's a great show, but like Adam Baldwin's there.

04:21:28.980 Our friend is on there.

04:21:29.840 And there's an American flag, you know.

04:21:31.520 And you're like, yeah.

04:21:32.060 But there's a show on CBS in its second season right now called Seal Team with David Boreanaz.

04:21:38.380 And I have to say it's the best show on network TV that I've seen in 10 years.

04:21:43.220 It portrays these special operators.

04:21:46.460 It's unflinching for a network show.

04:21:49.840 Yeah.

04:21:49.880 It's so masculine, but it doesn't glorify.

04:21:57.940 It's not rah-rah.

04:21:59.500 It's not, what was that great movie where they used actual bullets and actual Navy SEALs?

04:22:04.240 Oh, yeah, yeah.

04:22:04.920 What was that called?

04:22:05.800 I saw that.

04:22:06.400 It was actually pretty good.

04:22:07.220 It was enjoyable.

04:22:08.080 Yeah.

04:22:08.100 But it was also like bleeding red meat.

04:22:11.560 And SEAL Team isn't that.

04:22:13.420 It's taking an honest, trying to take a pretty honest look at these guys, what motivates them,

04:22:17.660 the toll it takes on their family, the difficulty of their situation, but while honoring them.

04:22:24.800 So it's not like you don't get to the end of an episode and it's like, oh, but they're just cogs of the evil man.

04:22:30.380 And in fact, at the end of season one, you thought maybe it was going that way.

04:22:33.040 It really seemed like they were setting up this story arc where, oh, yeah, but the Americans are really the bad guys. 0.89

04:22:38.560 And then it doesn't because it's just a subtle, complex show.

04:22:42.720 And David Boreanaz, who's been on TV since Drew was a kid and still looks, you know.

04:22:47.700 He's the guy from, what should we call him?

04:22:49.780 Bones, Angel, Buffy the Vampire Slayer.

04:22:52.820 I mean, he's literally been on TV forever.

04:22:54.320 But he always plays these characters who are flawed but masculine, flawed but male.

04:23:00.080 Right.

04:23:00.260 And they have the kind of strength of classic male characters.

04:23:03.040 It's a lot like watching an old Western, a real old Western as opposed to a modern interpretation of an old Western where the masculine character is hard to like sometimes.

04:23:17.040 And I feel like in all of his roles, he does that.

04:23:20.420 He brings this real masculinity.

04:23:22.480 He makes hard calls.

04:23:23.640 You don't always like him.

04:23:24.600 He's not always friendly.

04:23:25.860 He's not always nice.

04:23:27.180 But you wish you were a lot more like him.

04:23:28.640 And so it's rare to recommend a network TV show.

04:23:33.220 It's rare to recommend a CBS TV show.

04:23:35.000 But if you guys haven't watched this, I think it's the best thing.

04:23:39.100 I'm going to give you the worst case scenario because this is now fun for me.

04:23:42.380 The worst case scenario for 2020.

04:23:44.940 Are you ready for this?

04:23:45.700 Because this is actually realistic.

04:23:47.720 President Trump wins Wisconsin, loses Pennsylvania and Michigan, which I think at this point is maybe the most likely scenario, right?

04:23:55.840 And he loses all four electoral votes in Maine.

04:24:00.000 Remember, he split those three one.

04:24:01.300 That's right.

04:24:02.400 And then you have a 269-269 electoral tie.

04:24:07.160 Oh, great.

04:24:07.620 And then it is kicked to Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi to select the president of the United States. 0.97

04:24:13.640 And get payback for Bush v. Gore 2000.

04:24:16.560 That's how they'll frame it.

04:24:17.480 They will go back in time. 0.65

04:24:18.700 Yep.

04:24:19.220 That's true.

04:24:20.520 Yep.

04:24:21.360 Well.

04:24:23.000 I want President Pelosi.

04:24:24.060 In that case, I want... 0.86

04:24:25.740 You have a demented imagination.

04:24:27.360 Well, so I operate under the rule.

04:24:29.620 What is the most chaotic thing that could happen?

04:24:33.000 Whatever is the most chaotic thing that could happen, that's what's actually going to happen.

04:24:37.100 And so far, this has served me well ever since 2016 because that has been actually what has basically happened.

04:24:42.600 Do we have any returns from Nevada?

04:24:44.540 No.

04:24:44.820 Everybody in Nevada went to sleep.

04:24:46.600 They're like, we're going to just punk the rest of the country.

04:24:48.720 We're going to sleep.

04:24:49.520 Seems.

04:24:50.140 I'll count them tomorrow.

04:24:50.920 In what is going to be a headline for sure, NBC News projects Steve King wins re-election in Iowa.

04:24:56.560 Obviously, they're going to play that up because King has made some pretty significantly ridiculous comments in a variety of settings.

04:25:03.800 But he did win.

04:25:04.540 He did win.

04:25:05.520 Very, very slim.

04:25:06.860 Very slim.

04:25:07.600 Part of it, though, is because the people who know Steve King know that he's not a racist.

04:25:10.980 Yeah, excuse me.

04:25:11.520 And because it's a local race, right, it's a congressional district race, the people there probably know him.

04:25:19.240 And they probably feel the same way that we feel when King has some of these moments where you're like, buddy, why do you make it so hard to convince people of what we know, which is that you are not a racist?

04:25:31.800 That you're not only racially insensitive, but he's situationally insensitive? 0.62

04:25:39.120 He's cloddish. 0.97

04:25:39.820 He's cloddish.

04:25:42.380 I honestly think he'd probably do the country a favor if he found some way to retire and let that seat kick to...

04:25:50.320 He is not what they accuse him of being, but he is a liability.

04:25:55.040 So, so far, my forecast looks the best, right?

04:25:58.500 It has D plus 35.

04:25:59.860 So I hit that one spot on.

04:26:01.340 Yeah.

04:26:01.780 But our victory in the Senate is going to be...

04:26:02.940 R plus 4 is bigger than I thought it would be.

04:26:04.580 I said R plus 1. 0.98

04:26:05.400 Is he saying R plus 4 right now?

04:26:07.760 That is what Henry Olsen is saying.

04:26:09.380 He's saying R plus 4.

04:26:10.460 All right.

04:26:10.740 Fox News is projecting R plus 4.

04:26:12.960 So that is a good thing.

04:26:16.000 So here's what we're going to do.

04:26:16.940 Keith Ellison won the Minnesota Attorney General race, which is just perfect.

04:26:20.040 Because what you want a dude in charge of your law enforcement agencies in Minnesota, whose ex-girlfriend alleges that he beat her up, and also who is a rabid anti-Semite associated with Louis Farrakhan.

04:26:29.980 If it were just one, I would say no.

04:26:31.780 But since it's both, I think...

04:26:33.320 Best headline of the night.

04:26:35.120 Once again, Keith Ellison beats someone.

04:26:37.320 Oh, man.

04:26:39.060 Solid headline.

04:26:39.920 That's Jim Garrity over at National Review.

04:26:42.000 Here's what we're going to do, because the evening has waned upon us.

04:26:46.620 We're going to take one last question, because I want to let the evening end with the people who paid us to be here.

04:26:52.120 That's the people who are paying $99 a year or $10 a month to be subscribers over at DailyWire.com.

04:26:58.480 If we happen to get a Nevada result while we're answering this question, we'll be glad to bring that to you.

04:27:03.040 If not, you can tune in tomorrow morning to the Ben Shapiro Show, the Andrew Klavan Show, the Michael Knowles Show, or stop by DailyWire.com, and we will have this information.

04:27:12.120 But believe me, the version of us that is still here 30 minutes from now, you do not want to tune in to.

04:27:17.900 Colton, serve up one last fabulous question.

04:27:21.160 Sure thing.

04:27:22.120 So this question is from Garrett, and he asks, if the Democratic Party became the best version of itself, what would that look like?

04:27:30.280 The Libertarian Party.

04:27:32.180 But I mean, to a certain extent, that's kind of right.

04:27:34.760 I mean, like, on social issues, the Democrats were always saying, like, get people out of your bedroom.

04:27:38.280 And I'm pretty much on board with that.

04:27:39.620 Sure, of course.

04:27:39.980 Okay, fine. And if they could get over the fact that they despise unborn children, then that would be helpful as well.

04:27:48.860 You know, the truth is the Democratic Party's best version of itself was basically JFK 1960.

04:27:53.840 Which is the Republican Party today, basically.

04:27:56.620 Right. And I think the Republican Party's best version of itself is not the Democratic Party of 1960.

04:28:02.200 I think that it's something that we haven't actually seen yet, which, you know, suggests that the entire spectrum needs to shift radically in a different direction.

04:28:11.180 I mean, I think, look, I think the Democrats have served a purpose, which is to point out problems. 0.99

04:28:16.360 There's one thing that the Republicans do not do is they won't move until they're forced to move by Democrats making a stupid mistake. 0.97

04:28:23.640 We're finally talking about health care because Obama destroyed the health care system. 0.99

04:28:27.980 But the health care system was suffering.

04:28:29.600 It didn't need reform.

04:28:30.500 And so now the Republicans are tasked with the problem of how do you make free market reforms without the House of Representatives.

04:28:37.560 Well, that we're not going to do.

04:28:39.120 Even though we didn't have that.

04:28:40.260 I mean, without even being able to access the House of Representatives, because we've had it for two years.

04:28:44.860 Yeah. 0.98

04:28:45.180 And they didn't have the balls to do anything. 0.91

04:28:47.220 Well, I mean, John McCain, may he rest in peace, you know, like provided that vote that wouldn't that made it impossible to to get rid of Obamacare, 0.94

04:28:55.480 at which point they would have had to start instituting reforms because the old system.

04:28:59.480 I just don't think that I am not I'm not a fan of the current nature of the legislature.

04:29:06.060 I don't think they go near health care.

04:29:07.540 I don't think that Republicans will make it better for fear of making it worse.

04:29:11.440 I don't think they'll make entitlements better for fear of making it worse.

04:29:14.180 These are all third rails.

04:29:15.480 And health care is now an entitlement.

04:29:17.280 Republicans have just ceded that ground.

04:29:19.000 They don't like Obamacare because they don't like Obama.

04:29:21.400 But the question of what would a good Democrat party look like?

04:29:24.000 It is a party that says, you know, here's a problem.

04:29:26.160 There's a problem.

04:29:26.760 Now fix it.

04:29:27.500 It also needs to stop being so anti-patriotic and so anti-God.

04:29:32.320 Those two things are really so toxic about the Democrats.

04:29:36.640 They can be liberal.

04:29:37.800 They can be on the left.

04:29:39.080 They were liberal and on the left for a very long time.

04:29:41.660 But it's that anti, you know, protesting the flag, booing God.

04:29:45.840 There's something so toxic and wicked about that that you end up at this bizarre farce with Fox.com suggesting witchcraft.

04:29:52.900 And that is radical and really bad for the country because they start hating their fellow countries.

04:29:58.840 It's who they really are.

04:29:59.840 It is who they are.

04:30:00.840 So here's where we are and where we're going to end.

04:30:03.180 We have the Republicans have certainly held on to the Senate.

04:30:06.720 The question is, did they pick up three seats or did they pick up four?

04:30:09.900 The Democrats have flipped the House of Representatives, not in a complete blue wave of historic proportion, but certainly in a meaningful way.

04:30:17.780 The question is, will they get 32, 33, 34, as many as 35 seats?

04:30:22.260 We will have the answers to those questions tomorrow and to the bigger questions.

04:30:25.720 What does this mean for the future of Donald Trump's agenda?

04:30:28.260 And let's not forget, if you think that the excitement is over, the 2020 presidential election officially starts by the time we all wake up tomorrow.

04:30:36.980 So come see us over at thedailywire.com.

04:30:38.880 And thank you for sticking it out with us this evening.

04:30:40.500 This Men's Mental Health Month, CAMH is confronting a silent crisis.

04:31:09.980 Do general men account for 75% of all suicide deaths in Canada?

04:31:13.960 Many struggle alone, held back by stigma.

04:31:16.540 But there is hope.

04:31:17.740 CAMH is on the front lines pioneering breakthroughs and expanding access to compassionate support.

04:31:22.560 Your donation fuels this vital work so no father, son, brother, or family is left behind.

04:31:27.460 To join us in building better mental health care for men across Canada, visit camh.ca slash support men.

04:31:33.380 That's C-A-M-H dot C-A slash support men.

The Michael Knowles Show - November 07, 2018

Wave Watch： Daily Wire Midterm Election Special

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