The Mikhaila Peterson Podcast - October 26, 2021


122. Opposing Views: Gun Control | Dan Gross & Dr. John R. Lott


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 26 minutes

Words per minute

162.25

Word count

14,073

Sentence count

693

Harmful content

Misogyny

6

sentences flagged

Toxicity

4

sentences flagged

Hate speech

18

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Let's just talk about not, as you said, how to take certain guns away from all people.
00:00:07.240 Let's talk about how to keep all guns away from certain people and those being the people that
00:00:13.300 we all agree shouldn't have guns. Unfortunately, a lot of the gun control that we have right now
00:00:18.540 primarily disarms the very people who need protection the most. If my research convinces
00:00:24.360 me of anything. It's people who are most likely victims of violent crime, overwhelmingly poor
00:00:30.920 Blacks who live in high crime urban areas, who are the ones who benefit the most from having the 0.96
00:00:35.960 option to be able to go and protect themselves. The police are very important, but the police 1.00
00:00:40.660 themselves understand that they virtually always arrive on the crime scene after the crime's
00:00:45.280 committed, and having a gun turns out to be by far the safest course of action.
00:00:50.380 welcome to episode 122 of the Michaela Peterson podcast this is another opposing views episode
00:00:59.960 where I speak with two people separately who have opposing views on contentious subjects
00:01:05.480 this is my favorite format of episode and one I'll be focusing on more in upcoming episodes
00:01:10.480 I spoke with Dan Gross and Dr. John R. Lott about gun control in America in the first half
00:01:17.360 I talked to Dan Gross, who did the stricter gun control side of this debate. After his brother
00:01:22.640 was very badly wounded in the 1997 Empire State shooting, Gross became a gun control activist.
00:01:29.680 He's worked to raise awareness on gun safety, spearheading campaigns that teach gun owners to
00:01:34.320 mitigate risk. Gross is the former president of the Brady campaign to prevent gun violence
00:01:39.220 and co-founded the Center for Gun Rights and Responsibility. In the second half, I spoke with
00:01:44.380 gun rights advocate, the economist and political commentator, John R. Lott. He's worked for Yale,
00:01:51.200 the University of Chicago, and the U.S. Department of Justice under Trump. He's the founder and
00:01:55.540 former president of the Crime Prevention Research Center. John Lott has published op-eds in the
00:02:00.640 Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, the Los Angeles Times, and more. Please, please remember
00:02:05.860 to keep the comments civil. Organizing these episodes is very tricky, and I really love doing
00:02:10.460 them. I think they're so interesting. So let's keep things civil so that more people will agree
00:02:15.120 to come on. Next week's episode is opposing views on Bitcoin. I hope you enjoy this episode in this
00:02:21.520 format. If you do, please hit subscribe. I usually release episodes Tuesday and Friday, but I
00:02:27.460 basically almost died last week from a combination of strep and RSV, a virus I didn't know existed.
00:02:33.580 I'm barely alive as it is. You can probably hear it in my voice. Kids are completely overrated.
00:02:39.740 Enjoy your week.
00:02:44.540 Dan Gross, welcome to my podcast.
00:02:47.320 Thank you, Michaela.
00:02:49.840 Before we get started and I ask you a bunch of questions, can you give a brief background
00:02:54.360 about who you are and what it is you do?
00:02:57.500 Yeah, I mean, what I do right now is a lot of things, but the reason that we're talking
00:03:03.860 is because of my kind of unique and extensive experience working around guns in the U.S.
00:03:12.180 I got involved with the issue because my brother was shot in a shooting that happened on the
00:03:18.000 observation deck of the Empire State Building, actually, in February of 1997. He was
00:03:22.320 shot in the head, critically injured. Miraculously, he's alive. And so there's a lot to look at in
00:03:29.920 terms of that cup half full scenario. But for him, obviously, and for all of us who love him
00:03:36.120 and care about him, it changed the way we looked at what we do and our lives. And in my case,
00:03:42.220 at the time, I was a partner at a big ad agency, thought I was living my dream, but wound up
00:03:47.920 realizing that there were things that I could do applying my same passion for marketing and
00:03:53.060 communicating to this issue of preventing others from going through what my family's gone through.
00:03:59.480 So I quit that job in advertising, started an organization that was called PAX.
00:04:04.880 It became the Center to Prevent Youth Violence.
00:04:06.880 It became the biggest 501c3 nonprofit in the country on guns.
00:04:14.220 And then over time, as that organization grew, built a relationship with Jim and Sarah Brady, who were personal heroes of mine.
00:04:24.120 And at one point, they called along with their board and asked me if I would consider running their organization down in D.C., which it was one of those deals where I said, I'll talk to them, but it just doesn't make sense.
00:04:37.300 I live in New York and they're in D.C.
00:04:39.140 And and but lo and behold, after I talked to them, it was just an opportunity I couldn't turn down.
00:04:44.400 So I ran the Brady campaign for six years and and left a couple of years ago for a for a variety of reasons.
00:04:53.220 But a big, big part of it is I was a little bit burnt out focusing just on this issue, you know, the worst thing that ever happened to me and dealing with all the heartbreak, you know, on a daily basis that so many people go through.
00:05:08.920 So now to answer your question, finally, I do a lot of consulting, including on including still on the on the gun issue.
00:05:18.240 And I've started an organization called the Center for Gun Rights and Responsibility to work with the gun owning community around the common ground that I've always been convinced exists.
00:05:30.540 And right now, people are listening to me more than they, you know, especially in the gun community than they did.
00:05:38.920 when they were able to kind of caricaturize me as the president of the Brady campaign.
00:05:44.340 So that's what I'm doing a little more than you bargained for, right, Michaela?
00:05:47.520 But that's what I do.
00:05:49.860 That's perfect.
00:05:50.820 That's perfect.
00:05:51.740 So I think we should start off by you giving maybe an overview of what your stance on gun
00:05:58.260 control is.
00:05:58.940 And I know that's kind of a large question, but I mean, is it some people should own certain
00:06:03.820 guns or just a background about what you believe is right for Americans?
00:06:08.080 Yeah, there are kind of two. First of all, what I believe is right for Americans is almost entirely consistent with what most Americans think is right for most Americans. I'm not trying to prescribe anything. I'm just trying to find that common ground that I was talking about.
00:06:24.180 Really, I think it's essence boils down to two things. Well, one fundamental thing, which is, you know, we all just want to be safe. And we get so caught up in this polarizing political debate and immediately, you know, pick a team, pick a tribe based on our political affiliation.
00:06:41.660 And we don't really realize all the common ground that is there and common ground that'll accomplish what we all want, which is to make all of us safe at the end of the day.
00:06:54.480 And there are two fundamental aspects to that, that I've always made my, quote, career on this issue.
00:07:04.260 Folks, if I wanted a career where I need more money, I would have said in advertising.
00:07:08.640 This is a career where the payoff is in creating some positive change.
00:07:12.340 And there are two fundamental things.
00:07:15.100 One is, let's just talk about not, as you said, how to take certain guns away from all people.
00:07:23.520 Let's talk about how to keep all guns away from certain people and those being the people that we all agree shouldn't have guns, because when we look at it, strip away all the rhetoric and all the anger and and and, you know, that's defined this, quote, debate for so long.
00:07:42.100 You really realize we all agree who probably shouldn't be able to just waltz into a store and buy a gun.
00:07:49.640 Most gun stores agree. You know, people it's just it's kind of an obvious thing when you look at it that way.
00:07:54.500 And then the other half of the equation is the responsibility that gun owners need to take totally compartmentalized from any political conversation whatsoever about gun control, about the very real risks associated with having a gun in the home.
00:08:12.540 Just like they're real risks if you bring a chainsaw into your home or a hammer into your home and, you know, a piece of electronic equipment.
00:08:20.000 You want to understand what those risks are, and then you want to do everything that you can to mitigate those risks.
00:08:25.820 Unfortunately, what's happened is that because this issue is so immediately defined as an emotional political debate, gun owners too often tend to overlook that other very important part of the conversation.
00:08:41.880 let's talk about the suicide that happens let's talk about the unintentional shootings that that
00:08:48.120 happened but let's talk about them in a way that gun owners can do reasonable things without it all
00:08:55.680 curtailing anything politically their right to own a gun or you know we got to go into this with a
00:09:00.840 with a respect for the fact that people who own guns you know my grandfather and father took me
00:09:07.980 the Yankee games when I was a kid. That's what we did. That's how we bonded. You know, at this very
00:09:12.000 moment, there are fathers and grandfathers taking their kids hunting. And we have to respect that.
00:09:17.200 This is, you know, this is not what this issue is about. What I want is when that father and
00:09:21.560 grandfather take their kid hunting, that they're teaching that child about firearm safety, that
00:09:27.020 when they get into the home and they have a teenager there, that they're careful to make
00:09:31.480 sure that that teenager isn't going to have unsupervised access to that gun. If, you know,
00:09:37.400 that's what they deem is the safest thing to do. So those are the two fundamental things.
00:09:42.220 Politically, to me, it's almost entirely about just keeping guns out of the hands of the people
00:09:47.200 we all agree shouldn't have them. And then in terms of education and awareness, it's about
00:09:52.620 just starting a conversation about the very real risks about a gun in the home. And without trying
00:09:58.020 to take guns away or any gun control or anything, let's educate people who bring guns into the home
00:10:03.580 about those risks and what they can do to mitigate them. Okay. So that sounds pretty
00:10:08.720 reasonable. Why, why is it that you were kind of caricatured and like vilified by certain
00:10:15.220 communities? Yeah. Um, I think it's because of how the kind of knee jerk reaction when it comes
00:10:25.700 to talking about this issue and, you know, it's, it's, what is the, what does the media want to
00:10:32.060 show when it's, you know, to get eyeballs, it's people want to show a debate. And as a result,
00:10:39.720 what's happening is, you know, I'm saying the same things that I've always said, but now people are
00:10:46.800 listening because I can't be characterized as the president of the Brady campaign because, you know,
00:10:55.640 now I'm I'm walking a different walk. So I think it's just a symptom of of unfortunately,
00:11:05.360 the way this issue has been ingrained into the American culture as an all or nothing black and
00:11:12.140 white metaphorically issue rather than, you know, there's no incentive for people who run
00:11:21.040 organizations on both sides of the issues, by the way, both sides of the issue. They want to raise
00:11:25.140 money. Politicians want to raise their profile. They want to raise money. And this issue is not
00:11:31.460 unique in this regard. It's a terrible example of how, you know, it's a great example of how
00:11:37.540 terrible this issue can be. But, you know, everybody wants to raise money. Everybody
00:11:42.220 wants to raise their profiles. And as a result, there's really no incentive for like a leading
00:11:48.200 organization on either side to really genuinely, respectfully put their arm around gun owners
00:11:53.980 and say, like, listen, we all want the same thing. And that just makes it easy. And it kind of feeds
00:11:58.780 on itself. And the result is like, like, literally caricatures of me, and, you know, a leading
00:12:04.380 magazine in the in the pro pro gun community with a megaphone with fire spitting out of it and
00:12:12.300 scared children in the windows watching me swing through the city, like literally caricatures,
00:12:16.540 but you know, that that I can deal with. That's almost fun. But it's the what happens as a result
00:12:22.360 of that, which is, um, it just contributes to this, um, this, this kind of idea that this is
00:12:29.400 just a political debate and, and as a result, us not listening to each other. Yeah. Well, I'm,
00:12:36.900 I'm trying to figure out how to bridge gaps in these contentious issues. So hopefully this helps.
00:12:42.900 Um, so you talked about keeping all guns from the wrong people. So how would you suggest judging
00:12:50.040 people, um, figuring out if they're the wrong type of person. Yeah. And let me start by saying
00:12:55.340 there's obviously no perfect way to do that. And you get into some genuine conversations about
00:13:01.400 social justice issues and, you know, other things that, that, that, that I care about deeply, but
00:13:07.660 I think it's important to start by realizing that right now those people are defined. Um,
00:13:15.220 You know, there is the Brady bill that became law defined.
00:13:21.400 And then there was an amendment to it about domestic abusers.
00:13:23.880 The Lautenberg Amendment defines those people convicted, convicted felons, people who've
00:13:31.460 been adjudicated mentally ill, people who've been convicted of domestic abuse.
00:13:38.160 I mean, and those background checks based on that happen every day.
00:13:43.060 And they've saved countless lives. We're in the hundreds of thousands of, I think it might be more than that, of guns that have been, I haven't looked at the figures lately, of sales that have been prevented to those people in the prohibited categories.
00:14:02.700 Imagine how many lives that saved. So there's really people might want you to think there's a there's a real struggle and debate over how you would categorize these people.
00:14:14.100 But the fact is, they're already, you know, why is the speed limit 55 instead of 57?
00:14:18.780 You know, at some point it becomes an arbitrary conversation.
00:14:21.040 But the important thing is that there is a speed limit in place and it works and it saves lives and so forth.
00:14:26.080 The problem is that all the gun sales that happen in our country every day that are outside of that background check system.
00:14:36.080 So that background check system only happens at federally licensed firearm dealers.
00:14:40.660 And, you know, there's one happening right now, I guarantee it, where somebody is getting a background check and and, you know,
00:14:47.880 it'll be decided whether they're in any of those categories or not, and they'll be able to be able to get their gun.
00:14:53.680 The problem is, you know, when you hear about and I think this is language that isn't helpful, things like the gun show loophole, you know, what the gun show.
00:15:02.880 Have you heard of the gun show loophole? No.
00:15:04.780 So the gun show loophole is what people call the fact people on the gun control side call the fact that people can walk into a quote gun show, which ambiguously defined, which is part part of the problem and be and buy a gun without a background check because it's because it's a gun show and it's not a federally licensed firearm dealer.
00:15:29.580 sometimes from federally licensed firearm dealers and do it off the books.
00:15:34.960 So that hurts the law abiding gun dealers because those people don't have to charge taxes,
00:15:41.260 number one, but it really hurts all of our collective safety because if you're a straw
00:15:46.840 purchaser who wants to buy guns and flood them into impacted communities across the country,
00:15:53.140 you think you're going to go to a federally licensed firearm dealer to get those guns?
00:15:56.580 Or do you think you're going to go someplace that does not require a background check?
00:16:00.900 The reason why I think it's very important to not just talk about it in terms of the gun show loophole is that, you know, first of all, it's not true of all gun shows.
00:16:12.940 But second of all, it is true of any place where guns are sold commercially.
00:16:18.220 We're not talking about exchanging with friends or and, you know, there are conversations to be had in terms of where that line is as well.
00:16:24.400 but you know if i wanted to give a gun to my daughter um i don't think she should have to
00:16:31.640 go through a background check you know and so where where where is that where's that line but
00:16:35.740 there are people who are clearly engaged in the business buying and selling guns at all sorts of
00:16:41.420 venues online on websites that i don't want to promote right now um at these gun shows but if
00:16:48.220 the problem is if you turn them down at a gun show they'll go across they'll go out into the parking
00:16:51.680 lot. They'll go across the street into the parking lot of the gas station. So there needs to be a
00:16:55.940 law that, and this is what I think could be the biggest improvement to the current system. There
00:17:02.180 needs to be a law that requires the commercial sale of guns. How we define it, we can talk about
00:17:09.260 requires the commercial sale of guns to have background checks. And that law would have a
00:17:15.860 tremendous impact, and it would go a long way toward accomplishing, again, what we all want,
00:17:23.000 which is just to be safer. So you're saying that at the moment, there's no law that asks for
00:17:29.860 background checks for the commercial sale of guns? No. Well, commercial sales at federally
00:17:35.220 licensed firearm dealers. To get your federal firearm license, you have to conduct a background
00:17:40.080 check. Those background checks are conducted thousands of times every day. The problem is
00:17:46.800 you're a convicted violent felon who's gotten out of jail. You go into a gun store. You try to buy
00:17:55.080 a gun. You have to fill out a form. They do that background check. They say, you're a convicted
00:18:01.420 violent felon. You're not allowed to have a gun. You walk out of that store. You walk down the
00:18:06.100 street in most states and many, I'm not sure if it's most many states and you go to a quote gun
00:18:14.360 show and that same person can buy a gun from a table or somebody walking around with the same
00:18:23.540 gun that they wanted. Those people at the gun show, I'm saying the way to, cause some of those
00:18:28.760 are, you know, those grandfathers, fathers, and their kids that I'm talking about and hunting
00:18:33.300 and let's go and look, you know, I don't know if you went to like shows like that car shows,
00:18:38.140 gun shows, whatever it is, you know, there's hobbyists, there are people who are genuinely
00:18:41.700 into it. So I'm not saying that. And if I just sell one gun to one person, I'm not even necessarily
00:18:49.260 saying that that should be the case, but I'm saying if those people go, if people go to a
00:18:54.620 gun show and are selling, you know, some threshold, let's say, you know, more than five guns every
00:19:00.900 six months, if they're taking credit cards for their transactions, if they're advertising,
00:19:06.400 that is a commercial sale. And so those commercial sales have to be made the same as the commercial
00:19:12.280 sale that would have gone down at the gun store had that fictional person passed the background
00:19:20.220 check. Okay. So why isn't that in place already? Because people misconstrued a lot of things and
00:19:31.360 a lot of the things we talked about, um, people misconstrued as being a political debate over gun
00:19:40.220 rights. People, um, look at it and you'll sometimes hear the slippery slope argument.
00:19:46.020 Well, first, you want to do this, and then you want to take my rights away. Then you have organizations, again, I believe on both sides of the issue, kind of feeding that emotional us versus them conversation, you know, there's so much language that's used, like, you know, the gun nuts, you know, it's like, don't do that.
00:20:09.220 These are people who want what we want. And so as unfortunately, as a result, there's this it's it's become impossible to change the political status quo because it's so it's so entrenched.
00:20:21.760 So it's just easy. You know, you can also say, like, why did nothing happen after, you know, insert horrific school shooting here?
00:20:31.220 You know, and that's a that's a question you get a lot because people have gotten good.
00:20:37.840 People who are incentivized to maintain this as a political debate have gotten good at maintaining this as a political debate.
00:20:44.780 And as a result, the American public isn't getting the real story on this issue.
00:20:49.160 And like, look, you've done your homework and I'm talking to you and you're like, wait, why isn't that why isn't that the case?
00:20:55.580 Um, and it's, it's so, it is at the end of the day, so simple, but that's testimony to
00:21:02.120 how just effing crazy this issue is in terms of people, you know, making it into this emotional
00:21:09.360 political debate.
00:21:11.380 Hmm.
00:21:12.140 Interesting.
00:21:12.820 Okay.
00:21:13.280 So what I've seen in the news and what's been popularized is the emotional debate where
00:21:17.660 it's like, people shouldn't own guns, period.
00:21:19.860 like take everybody's guns away because guns make world more dangerous that's the one side
00:21:27.180 of the story and then the other side is oh no guns make the world safer because you can protect
00:21:31.280 yourself from the people who shouldn't have guns who have guns so that's i guess the politicized
00:21:36.780 debate that's been going on that's probably like the most fundamental example of it yes
00:21:42.220 And the little secret is, the reality is, both of those things are true.
00:21:50.060 And so let's talk about it.
00:21:52.400 Yes, gun rights organizations that aren't necessarily really concerned about the rights
00:22:02.080 or certainly the well-being of individual gun owners, yes.
00:22:06.440 that owning a gun presents a risk when you bring a gun into your house. Let's talk about it. There
00:22:15.280 are scenarios where owning a gun is unsafe. Why would you not want to educate people about that
00:22:22.580 scenario? What you can do to mitigate the danger? That's not a gun control conversation,
00:22:26.360 but that's an education conversation, but it's a critically important conversation.
00:22:30.080 At the same time, gun control community, a community that I helped to lead for a number
00:22:38.260 of years, there is a right to own guns.
00:22:44.480 You're not going to get anywhere by trying to talk people out of that right and trying
00:22:49.800 to say nobody should own guns.
00:22:53.900 You're just going to perpetuate that political debate.
00:22:58.240 And even there are scenarios where guns make you safer.
00:23:04.380 I mean, I, you know, I have a place way out in the sticks in the country.
00:23:10.140 And, you know, I know a lot of people up there, a lot of friends that I have own guns and
00:23:16.040 I get it.
00:23:16.940 And, you know, you're there, there could be animals, there could be, um, there, there
00:23:21.840 could be an intruder.
00:23:22.860 It may legitimately take a long time for, with no local police department for the state
00:23:27.320 troopers to get there. Is there a scenario where you can legitimately be safer to have a gun? This
00:23:33.660 is blasphemy to a lot of the people from the community that I used to lead. Is there a scenario
00:23:39.680 where a gun can make you safer? Yes. So let's have both of those. It's not cognitive dissonance.
00:23:46.240 Let's have both of those conversations at the same time. Let's acknowledge there are real risks.
00:23:51.020 Let's talk about what we can do to mitigate those risks. And then let's acknowledge that
00:23:56.420 people who own guns aren't all bad. Most of them aren't bad. Most of them are good people who want
00:24:02.740 what we all want and are D and are decent people. So let's, you know, let's acknowledge, let's
00:24:08.200 acknowledge that. And let's talk about the fact that there are people who derive real benefit and
00:24:14.740 value and fulfillment from owning guns. And let's, then that sets up the opportunity to have this
00:24:23.660 conversation about, you know, things like background checks on all gun sales, things
00:24:28.740 like educating gun owners about, and it's not all gun sales, by the way, but background
00:24:34.060 checks, things about educating gun owners.
00:24:36.140 But right now, like you said, what you see in the news is just the people, people don't
00:24:40.060 dive as deep as you're diving and don't look for that common ground like you are.
00:24:44.000 So there's like, all right, time to do a gun control story, cue up, you know, Dan
00:24:47.860 gross and whoever the other person is that you're going to talk to. And it just winds up kind of
00:24:53.980 fitting into this mold that at the end of the day needs to be broken in order to do something about
00:24:58.920 this issue. Yes, I agree. Okay. So, so some other questions I had just out of curiosity,
00:25:07.260 do states that have stricter gun control, do they have less gun violence in general?
00:25:14.000 You know, so that's if you're talking to somebody who goes and leans on that argument, chances are you're not talking to somebody who either fully appreciates this issue or is worse using numbers to kind of undermine making some sort of genuine progress.
00:25:36.200 you can't just look at state state by state laws because, you know, it's, it's a weakest link thing.
00:25:43.620 If I'm in New York and New Jersey has incredible, that's, it's not true. New Jersey has good laws,
00:25:50.960 but if New Jersey has incredibly weak laws, I can just go right over the border. There are
00:25:55.780 places on the board and there are all sorts of examples of this. There's a whole thriving gun
00:25:59.940 industry on the border of California and Nevada because California strict law. And so people
00:26:05.760 who, again, those people who might want to traffic guns into impacted communities in
00:26:11.100 California, they'll get in the car and drive a few hours and go.
00:26:14.740 So you can't say that, you know, states with tougher gun laws have have no difference in
00:26:25.700 the amount of gun violence and and present that as a argument against anything that I
00:26:33.560 just said you know until this point um with what i would view as positive intentions
00:26:41.380 that was a totally reasonable response thanks okay i've got a couple of other questions to
00:26:47.580 throw your way hit me i feel like you've you've had practice though years and years of practice
00:26:52.140 uh okay other countries are there other countries that have as many guns as the states but less crime
00:27:01.860 um there's some debate about that i i will say but you know because part of it is and again it's a
00:27:13.760 it's a little bit of a red herring in terms of the conversation which is why these what you're
00:27:18.580 asking me are never things that i use to justify any of the positions that that we talked about
00:27:25.960 before i can tell you there are states with some with significant percentage of gun ownership
00:27:31.740 like Israel and, you know, where everybody up to, you know, has to spend two years in the army
00:27:38.800 and Switzerland, I understand has, but they have way stricter laws in terms of background checks
00:27:50.280 and all the kinds of things that I'm advocating, you know, and they're also more respectful of
00:27:55.240 the risks, you know, as I understand in Israel, your service weapon, you know, is either has to
00:28:01.400 be or encouraged to be kept someplace outside of outside of the home. So again, it's not it's not
00:28:09.880 the thing to focus on when you're trying to make the case for any of the for the two things that
00:28:18.180 I'm advocating, which are keep guns out of the wrong hands and educate gun owners about the
00:28:23.200 risks. And yeah, there's a whole industry and it's part of that industry of people who you will talk
00:28:28.940 to. Hopefully, not as part of this. Hopefully, you'll talk to somebody who's genuinely
00:28:34.040 well-intentioned in terms of trying to make our country safer. But there are a lot of people out
00:28:41.640 there and a good test are the people who make those points because in response to the things
00:28:48.240 that I'm advocating, because let me just be clear, there is no connection between either of those two
00:28:54.000 things. And anything that I said prior to this that I know will make us all safer.
00:29:02.480 Okay. So the argument, perhaps the argument where they're like, look at this country,
00:29:08.520 there are more guns there and it's safer. They're not taking into consideration the fact that these
00:29:12.680 people are educated differently on guns. They're educated differently. They have different laws in
00:29:18.960 terms of who's able to get guns. So ironically, some of those, some of those countries where
00:29:24.500 that may rival the US, I'm not sure any place passes the US. But, but, you know, let's even
00:29:30.340 say they do, but at least rival the US. You know, they, they have much lower rates of gun control,
00:29:39.000 gun violence, because they actually have the kind of laws that that I'm talking about right now in
00:29:46.180 our country, the problem is not primarily the number of guns at this point. The problem is
00:29:54.360 the hands that the guns are getting into, whether it's unsupervised children, somebody with suicidal
00:30:00.220 ideation, or a straw purchaser who's funneling guns into the impacted communities. Those are
00:30:09.100 the problems. The problem is not, you know, so it's, again, that's used to kind of perpetuate
00:30:14.980 this political debate and saying slippery slope, they just want to take all your guns away.
00:30:19.120 And so it becomes very convenient to say, look at all these countries and the gun.
00:30:23.160 By the way, all this, and I'm just not engaging on it, the US does have certainly at least among
00:30:30.640 the highest rates of gun ownership and the correlation that you see between the number
00:30:35.500 of guns and gun deaths is definitely on the side of more guns, results in more gun deaths,
00:30:43.160 just like more cars will result in more car deaths or more hammers will result in in more
00:30:49.900 hammer deaths. But I don't engage on that because the fact is the fact there are, you know, 300
00:30:57.360 million plus guns out there in America. We are not taking those guns away. It is counterproductive
00:31:02.760 to argue taking, you know, take taking guns away from anybody. It's counterproductive because it
00:31:08.960 distracts from the real things that we can do that the owners of those 300 million guns
00:31:13.600 would listen to, but aren't currently listening to because they think you're trying to take
00:31:17.580 their guns away. Okay. Have there been laws implemented to restrict,
00:31:24.760 I'm going to make sure I get my words right, but the guns that they're like automatic,
00:31:31.920 you can shoot a whole bunch of bullets. Yeah. So they're not automatic.
00:31:33.980 Those have been restricted, right? Yeah. Those have been restricted,
00:31:36.620 the machine guns fully automatic guns have been restricted very heavily for a long time um the
00:31:43.220 debate is over what are called assault weapons um and assault weapons like the ar-15 those are
00:31:51.980 semi-automatic um and then also as part of that large capacity uh magazines where you can just
00:31:58.180 so an automatic gun is where you hold down the trigger and it just fires a semi-automatic is
00:32:03.200 where you have to pull the trigger each time individually. And they have large capacity
00:32:07.300 magazines. And, you know, and that's that's what the the debate is is over. And believe it or not,
00:32:16.940 that's also a debate that I think is not the right place to put our emphasis for for for a variety of
00:32:29.120 important reasons. Let's just start with an important one, but I don't think the most
00:32:36.220 important one, which is it's difficult to define what an assault weapon is and where you, you know,
00:32:43.780 and where you draw the line and people, you know, do people use AR-15s for hunting? Absolutely.
00:32:50.620 But what about target shooting? And is that, you know, so that become, and by the way, my
00:32:55.400 brother was shot with a semi-automatic gun with a high capacity magazine. So I'm not just
00:33:00.440 cavalierly saying this, you know, if that person didn't have that gun, there's a good chance my
00:33:05.780 brother, um, you know, wouldn't have been shot or wouldn't have been as brief as, but I'm just
00:33:10.540 thinking about this in terms of how to have the biggest impact. So there's a question in terms of
00:33:15.460 how to define what is an assault weapon. And that winds up being, you know, uh, a, you know, that's
00:33:21.460 Tucker freaking Carlson you know I went on his show and did an interview and all he wants to
00:33:26.740 talk about is like can you define an assault weapon I'm like I'm not here to talk about that
00:33:30.120 I'm here to talk about keeping the guns out of the hands we all of the people we all he had no
00:33:34.560 interest in talking about that because that's not what his viewers want to hear and that's not how
00:33:40.480 he gets get gets ratings so you know so I I like to first kind of put put that aside um then looking
00:33:48.320 at it pragmatically, and again, I myself have had personal experience with the very
00:33:54.820 unpragmatic side of this, the percentage of gun deaths and injuries, even the percentage
00:34:03.540 of mass shootings, even the percentage of school shootings is relatively low in the
00:34:11.660 case of the mass shootings and just tiny in terms of the overall toll of gun deaths in our country.
00:34:20.140 So and the word, you know, assault weapon, what you'll usually hear is in the context of what the
00:34:26.520 gun control community says and the gun rights community likes to parrot back assault weapons
00:34:33.940 ban. We got to ban these assault weapons. Problem is it has the word ban in it. It makes it seem
00:34:40.800 like we're coming for your guns. It gives people a ground to stand on. That's at least debatable
00:34:45.500 in terms of the second amendment. It's my right to own this gun. Well, the second amendment can
00:34:50.000 be where you're already in a place where you've lost kind of the emotional resonance of the
00:34:54.840 argument instead. And this is why I go back to what I said in the beginning. Let's talk not about
00:35:02.080 how to keep certain guns, assault weapons in this case, from everybody, from all people. Let's talk
00:35:10.080 about how to keep every gun, assault weapons and otherwise from the people who are most likely
00:35:16.260 and already defined as most likely to do harm and already defined as the most dangerous people.
00:35:22.540 So like a background check, I don't care whether it's an AR-15 or a Saturday night special.
00:35:27.940 I care that a gun trafficker or convicted felon can't walk into a, you know, a gun show or go
00:35:36.140 online or meet somebody in a parking lot and, and buy it and buy it and buy that gun.
00:35:43.760 Okay. You mentioned earlier, and this is something I wasn't familiar with, straw purchaser.
00:35:49.180 Yeah. Um, so straw purchaser is somebody who, um, I'm not, I'm not saying you ever did this,
00:35:58.240 But when one is 15 years old and and they need to get a beer in 7-Eleven, they they send somebody in the parking lot to go and buy the gun and then and then sell them the beer, give them the beer.
00:36:16.100 No, no, no, no judgment, no accusation. But that person was a straw purchaser. What happens with with with guns is people who can pass background checks very often when they're not getting it at places that don't require background checks will go and buy, you know, dozens of guns, scores of guns, sometimes in another state and bring them back and sell them.
00:36:44.260 in the communities that are most impacted by gun violence. It goes back to the question you say
00:36:49.860 before, well, New York, you know, Chicago, Illinois, Chicago, Chicago is the toughest gun
00:36:54.480 laws. And why do they have so much gun violence? A big part of that is because of these straw
00:36:59.960 purchasers. They'll buy the guns, they're middle people, they'll buy the guns, they'll, I think the
00:37:05.560 technical term would be like a straw man, straw woman, whatever they are, mostly men, purchaser
00:37:11.060 who will buy that gun and then go and sell it and make a profit. And they're just like
00:37:16.940 ridiculous examples of what happened. So there's one gun store right on the outskirts of Chicago
00:37:23.440 called, but over the Chicago city limit. So this person can't exist. They're called Chuck's Gun
00:37:29.300 Shop and Pistol Range, where that is known to sell a high percentage of the guns that turn up
00:37:37.540 on the streets of Chicago in the terrible toll of gun violence that happens there, you know,
00:37:45.000 seemingly on a daily basis. And a big part of that is because of the straw purchasers. And what 0.88
00:37:52.380 Chuck's is what I've always called a bad apple gun dealer because they're kind of spoiling it
00:37:58.920 for everyone else. A tiny percentage of gun dealers engage in that behavior where they are
00:38:05.860 knowingly selling guns, like, you know, sure, I'll sell you these 20 guns and not ask a question
00:38:11.360 because you can pass this background check, knowingly selling guns that are winding up
00:38:16.100 on the streets and causing all this gun violence. So another thing, in addition to cracking down
00:38:22.780 on the straw purchasers is also cracking down on these unscrupulous gun dealers. I mean, it's like
00:38:32.140 The 80-20 rule on steroids, the 80-20 rule would be 20% of gun owners sell 80% of crime guns.
00:38:40.660 It's more like 5% of gun dealers sell 95% of crime guns. 0.68
00:38:46.700 So if we can just do something to go after these gun dealers and crack down on straw purchasers,
00:38:51.360 that to me has always been one of the big opportunities to affect gun violence in these 0.74
00:38:58.000 communities where, and then, so you can start to see how somebody who says, well, there's nothing
00:39:03.280 we can do in Chicago in terms of gun control. So let's not have this conversation because Chicago
00:39:08.060 already has tough gun laws. I just explained to you how, yes, Chicago is very tough gun laws,
00:39:14.960 but chucks is not covered. The straw purchasers are not, are not being dealt with. And that is 1.00
00:39:20.820 the reason why they have that gun violence. Okay. That's interesting. So do you have
00:39:26.380 suggestions on how these straw purchases would be cracked down on? Yeah. So one, one aspect of it
00:39:35.620 we've already talked about, which is to make sure that everyone has to, who's engaged in the
00:39:43.960 business commercial business of selling guns has to do background checks. So that, so a straw
00:39:52.100 purchaser can't walk into a gun show, can't go online and to one of these websites that I will
00:40:00.900 not advertise and buy guns from strangers without a background check. And if we did that, that would
00:40:11.340 have a very big impact. And I'll tell you the state fact that is relevant is the states with
00:40:19.000 the weakest laws in that regard are the states that are the sources of most of the crime guns
00:40:26.120 in New York and Chicago and Detroit and the places that are, you know, in a lot of smaller places.
00:40:33.180 I don't mean to just give a love all three of those cities, you know, but it's happening
00:40:39.280 everywhere. And it's happening because they call I-95 the firearm freeway because the guns come
00:40:44.640 up from the states along the Eastern seaboard that have weak gun laws, the Southern states
00:40:50.880 around things like straw purchasers and background checks, and they're brought up to, you know,
00:40:55.800 Newark, I'll pick on someone else or, you know, other, other places on the Eastern seaboard that
00:41:01.620 might have tougher gun laws. So that's one thing that we can do. And then the other thing that we 0.66
00:41:05.820 can do is all out war on these unscrupulous gun dealers who are doing this knowingly throw real
00:41:15.400 resources at it because like the numbers are there again five percent of gun gun dealers sell 95 percent
00:41:22.880 of crime guns you know you want to you you want to like really focus on something bring the weight
00:41:28.280 of the government down on something you know uh there we have to leave no stone unturned in terms
00:41:33.460 of going after those gun dealers that are literally knowingly supplying guns onto the
00:41:38.520 streets. And by the way, giving a bad name to the 95% of gun dealers that sell zero crime guns.
00:41:46.980 Okay. So you could potentially identify crime guns. And then if a whole bunch of them are
00:41:52.780 coming from one place, crack down on that place. And that's how you do that.
00:41:56.840 And they have that info. They have that info. Yeah. That info exists.
00:42:00.940 That's weird.
00:42:01.780 Yeah. Right.
00:42:03.460 Yeah, that's that's why that that to me has always been the, you know, possibly the biggest thing. So when I get not frustrated because there's a lot of good conversation about things like, you know, changing the, you know, the socioeconomics and the systemic racism and, you know, the oppression of, you know,
00:42:32.840 people in these impacted communities. Um, and that's right. That's a conversation that has to
00:42:38.980 be had. Um, and then there are great programs like the violence interrupters that go in and,
00:42:45.560 you know, when it seems like there's a, I don't want to like marginalize myself by saying beef,
00:42:51.820 but at one point that was the starting, or there's been one shooting to kind of come in and
00:42:57.900 intervene in somebody who might be a former gang member and, and, and kind of bring people
00:43:03.300 together to prevent it from escalating into more. These are very, very important things. I look at
00:43:10.340 it as tent poles. Um, the third tent pole that does not get discussed as prevalently as the
00:43:18.460 other two, but I think as it relates to gun violence, not the whole host of other things
00:43:23.000 that are impacted by systemic racism and other forms of oppression, it doesn't get talked about
00:43:34.840 and it would have on gun violence just as much of an impact, if not more than either of those two
00:43:42.920 things, at least in the near term. Okay. Yeah. Okay. Well, I think that summarizes your stance
00:43:50.740 fairly well thank you very much for coming on uh is there anything else you want people to know or
00:43:56.720 any websites you want people to go to or where people can find you before we end this part of
00:44:02.660 the segment yeah um they can look me up at uh degross packs on uh on twitter um and uh yeah
00:44:11.420 we're the organization that i'm starting with a guy in the gun rights community very prevalent
00:44:18.200 activist in the gun rights community. It's called the Center for Gun Rights and Responsibility. So
00:44:23.280 you can just search that up and see the latest in terms of what's going on there. And I want to
00:44:28.700 thank you for, first of all, your intention of bringing people together and having a good
00:44:34.020 conversation. And that is consistent with certainly the way that I look at this issue and
00:44:39.680 for doing your research and being so prepared for this conversation and for letting me ramble
00:44:45.840 and kind of get my points across. So thank you, Michaela.
00:44:49.340 Well, thank you. That was very informative. Thanks again for coming on.
00:44:53.340 Cool. You have a good one.
00:44:58.240 Dr. John Lott, welcome to my podcast.
00:45:01.020 Well, thanks for having me on. Good to talk to you.
00:45:04.200 This should be a good conversation. Before we get started, could you give a brief background
00:45:07.920 about who you are and what it is you do?
00:45:11.200 My name is John Lott. I'm president of the Crime Prevention Research Center.
00:45:14.960 I have a Ph.D. in economics. I have held teaching and research professorships at Stanford, University of Chicago, the Wharton Business School, Yale.
00:45:26.800 I was chief economist for the United States Sentencing Commission.
00:45:30.860 And then more recently, I was senior advisor for research and statistics for the U.S. Department of Justice.
00:45:37.300 So I've had both academic positions and positions in the federal government to deal with law enforcement type issues.
00:45:46.860 Okay. And then before I start hammering you with questions, what are your views on gun control at the moment?
00:45:54.980 Are there things that could be improved? Too many guns, not enough guns.
00:45:58.860 Can you give a brief background about just how you see gun control in America?
00:46:02.280 Well, I think, unfortunately, a lot of the gun control that we have right now primarily disarms the very people who need protection the most.
00:46:12.020 If my research convinces me of anything, it's people who are most likely victims of violent crime, overwhelmingly poor Blacks who live in high crime urban areas, who are the ones who benefit the most from having the option to be able to go and protect themselves.
00:46:26.860 The police are very important, but the police themselves understand that they virtually always arrive on the crime scene after the crime's committed. 0.98
00:46:35.380 And having a gun turns out to be by far the safest course of action.
00:46:39.540 Unfortunately, a lot of the gun control laws that we have make it very costly for poor people and discriminate against minorities.
00:46:48.900 So I'll just give you one example from when I was just working in the federal government.
00:46:53.460 And that is, you know, we hear that the background check system has stopped 3.8 million prohibited people from being able to go and obtain a gun.
00:47:03.180 That's simply false.
00:47:04.620 What they should say is that there have been 3.8 million initial denials, and over 99% of those are mistakes.
00:47:13.940 It's one thing to stop a felon from buying a gun.
00:47:16.500 It's another thing to stop somebody simply because they've been named similar to a felon from being able to go and buy a gun.
00:47:24.400 And the problem is, is that mistakes overwhelmingly discriminate against black males and Hispanic males.
00:47:32.060 The error rate for black males is more than three times their share of the population.
00:47:37.640 And for Hispanic males, it's more than two and a half times their share of the population. 0.85
00:47:42.060 And there's no reason why we should have these mistakes occurring.
00:47:46.500 Private companies do background checks on employees all the time.
00:47:49.900 If they had an error rate that was 100th the error rate that the federal government has,
00:47:55.400 they'd be sued out of existence.
00:47:58.020 And yet, you know, I think this is a very reasonable fix.
00:48:01.180 Why not make the federal government have to meet the same standards for doing background
00:48:05.960 checks that private companies have to meet? 0.97
00:48:08.560 But gun control advocates will fight you tooth and nail against that.
00:48:13.120 And there are other issues, too.
00:48:14.700 Just look at the costs.
00:48:16.500 And in Washington, D.C., where they're voting on this, they have background checks on the private transfers of guns.
00:48:23.080 It costs $125 to do a background check on each gun that you're going to sell.
00:48:29.300 Let's say you and I lived in Washington, D.C., and I'm going to go and give you four guns.
00:48:35.060 It's just one person giving one other person four guns.
00:48:39.780 You think it'd just be one background check because you're the same person who's getting all the guns, right?
00:48:44.180 But no, they have it set up so that there has to be a separate background check done on each gun.
00:48:50.880 And so the total cost of making that one transfer is $500.
00:48:56.260 Provide me with a logical explanation for why they need to make it so incredibly costly for people going to buy guns.
00:49:04.480 It may not stop you or I from being able to go and get a gun.
00:49:07.900 But again, the very people who need protection the most are being priced out of this.
00:49:13.280 You know, Democrats will go and say, you know, we can't have photo IDs, government-issued photo IDs for voting, because that imposes too large of a burden on poor minorities.
00:49:31.420 Well, how does $125 fee affect it?
00:49:35.260 And that's not even the cost of getting the ID.
00:49:37.720 You have to have a government-issued ID in order to go and buy a gun.
00:49:40.420 And then they have other licensing rules and other things that just make it very costly.
00:49:46.160 I'll give you one other example, and that is compare Illinois and Indiana.
00:49:51.660 OK, Illinois, a heavily Democratic state, Indiana, a heavily Republican state.
00:49:58.020 In Indiana, over 20 percent of the adult population has a concealed carry permit.
00:50:03.700 In Illinois, it's 3 percent.
00:50:06.120 And there's a simple reason for that.
00:50:08.660 In Illinois, it costs about $450 to go through the process to get a concealed carry permit.
00:50:15.280 In Indiana, it's zero.
00:50:18.760 You look at the distribution.
00:50:20.540 The only types of people who go and get concealed carry permits in Illinois are overwhelmingly white, wealthy males who live in the suburbs. 0.88
00:50:29.280 In Indiana, it's much more poor Blacks and Hispanics who live in high-crime urban areas 0.86
00:50:36.060 who are then able to go and afford to go and protect themselves. 0.89
00:50:40.300 And you go down the list.
00:50:41.300 In Chicago, up until very recently, they banned any training facilities for getting a concealed carry permit. 0.96
00:50:49.840 So you're a poor Black there. 0.95
00:50:52.080 They require 16 hours of training. 1.00
00:50:54.040 You know, if you don't have a car, you have to go and borrow a car either two or four days because of 16-hour training that's there.
00:51:02.180 They don't allow you to take even a permanent concealed handgun on public transportation.
00:51:07.860 So what does that do?
00:51:09.420 It makes it, it's like they went through the list, $450 cost, unable to take it on public transportation, no training facilities allowed nearby you.
00:51:19.480 It's kind of like they went down a checklist to do everything they possibly can to make sure that the very people who need protection the most are the ones who are not able to do it.
00:51:32.640 I'll give you one last example.
00:51:35.680 There's two main types of concealed carry laws in the United States.
00:51:40.160 They're what we call right to carry laws, which 42 of the states have, which once you meet certain criteria, you're allowed to carry.
00:51:48.900 You pay a fee, you pass a background check, you do your training.
00:51:53.660 And then there are eight states like New York and California where you have to provide a good reason to some public official why they should let you be able to go and have an option to carry a concealed handgun.
00:52:06.260 So take Los Angeles County, okay, where I was able to get a list of everybody who had gotten approved for getting a concealed handgun permit.
00:52:15.000 they only had like 216 concealed carry permits out of an adult population of 8 million people.
00:52:22.560 But who do they give? Who do they decide has a good reason? Nationwide, about a third of
00:52:28.080 concealed carry permit holders are women. In Los Angeles County, it's 7%. Nationwide, 13% of
00:52:35.920 concealed carry permit holders are Black. In Los Angeles County, it's 5%. 54% of Los Angeles
00:52:44.200 County's population is Hispanic. Only 6% of the permit holders are Hispanic. You know, you'd think
00:52:51.140 are women only stalked in the rest of the country and not being stalked in Los Angeles County?
00:52:57.180 Don't they have good reasons that are given there? And yet the public officials there 0.84
00:53:01.760 who are overwhelmingly 100% Democrat don't seem to, the only people that they think provide them
00:53:10.480 with good reasons to be able to carry are basically wealthy, politically connected white
00:53:17.240 males overwhelmingly are the ones that they decide have good reasons. Why is that? They say they care
00:53:24.160 about poor and minorities. They say they care about women, but yet they don't seem to trust
00:53:29.620 those very same people when they're asking for permission to be able to go and defend themselves
00:53:34.500 and their families. Okay. So how should the government regulate guns? Like for these
00:53:43.040 background checks, how do they decide who should have access to a gun and who shouldn't?
00:53:49.020 Well, I mean, you can go and have it so that people who have felony backgrounds,
00:53:53.640 violent felony backgrounds in particular, can be stopped from being able to go and get guns.
00:53:58.920 I'm no problem with that.
00:54:00.660 My point is simply, if you're going to have these, make it so the system works.
00:54:05.940 Have reasonable fixes to the background check system.
00:54:10.560 You know, otherwise, you're making it so that the very people who need protection the most
00:54:17.580 are being priced out of being able to do it and having mistakes.
00:54:21.340 Look, you can go and appeal when the federal government makes a mistake, but virtually
00:54:26.980 everybody's going to require a lawyer to help them go through the process, fix the thing.
00:54:32.140 The starting cost for hiring a lawyer is like $3,000 on up. Okay, why should somebody through
00:54:40.280 no fault of their own, simply because the federal government's looking at roughly phonetically
00:54:45.040 similar names and similar birthdays and doing background checks, why should they have to pay
00:54:50.780 three thousand dollars or more to fix a mistake that's not their fault so you're saying keep the
00:54:59.120 background checks but fix the inconsistencies right but here's the problem and that exactly
00:55:05.000 but here's the problem i've been making this argument for 20 years but democrats will fight
00:55:10.880 you tooth and nail against a simple fix i want somebody to explain to me what reasonable explanation
00:55:18.140 can you give for why 99% of the people who are stopped from buying guns because of background
00:55:25.460 checks are mistakes? Give me an explanation for why you'd want a system where virtually
00:55:33.440 everybody who gets stopped is not the guy you think you're stopping.
00:55:40.400 Seems reasonable. So how easy though, for people who get stopped with background checks,
00:55:46.500 How easy is it for them to go to, say, a gun show and then get a gun there?
00:55:52.140 Well, I mean, the vast majority of guns, anybody who's a licensed dealer who's selling a gun
00:55:58.560 any place has to go and do a background check.
00:56:01.480 I don't know if you've ever been to a gun show, but virtually everybody who's selling
00:56:05.360 a gun there is a licensed dealer, and they have to go through and do a background check
00:56:10.440 that's there.
00:56:10.940 Look, the federal government, or I've been, has done surveys of criminals to find out where they go and get their guns.
00:56:19.260 You're talking about maybe less than 1%, maybe six-tenths of 1% of felons get their guns from either gun shows or flea markets.
00:56:30.660 This is not a major source of guns.
00:56:33.460 Look, where do you think the major source of guns for criminals are?
00:56:38.960 It's drug dealers.
00:56:40.660 Drug dealers have guns simply because they have to go and protect their valuable property
00:56:46.480 that they have.
00:56:47.520 It's not like a drug dealer can go to the police and say, this other dealer stole my
00:56:51.540 drugs.
00:56:52.060 Can you help us get them back?
00:56:53.480 All right.
00:56:54.100 They have to go and set up essentially their own little militaries in order to go and protect
00:56:59.640 that valuable property that they have.
00:57:02.900 So, you know, drug dealers like to make money.
00:57:05.720 If they can make money selling drugs, they do that.
00:57:08.020 If they can make money selling guns, they do that, too.
00:57:11.380 And, you know, if you think you're going to be able to stop criminals from buying guns any more easily than you can stop them from buying illegal drugs, good luck with that.
00:57:26.200 I mean, I give talks at universities.
00:57:28.340 I go and ask students, you know, if I give them a few days, how many of them can go and buy different types of illegal drugs?
00:57:35.000 And I'm not saying they do this, but you have maybe 80% of the students raise their hands
00:57:40.160 and think that there's no problem that they're going to be able to do it.
00:57:43.960 These drug dealers have very valuable property.
00:57:47.600 You know, you look at a country like Mexico, OK, next door to us there.
00:57:52.680 Mexico, since 1972, has had only one gun store in the country.
00:57:57.820 It's located in Mexico City.
00:57:59.860 It's run by the military.
00:58:01.760 Guns are extremely expensive.
00:58:03.220 The most powerful gun that you've been able to legally buy in Mexico since 1972 is a .22 caliber short round rifle, which is about the least powerful gun that you can go and buy in the United States.
00:58:17.080 And, you know, only about one tenth of one percent of Mexican adults is legally licensed to own a gun.
00:58:28.160 It costs like $2,000 fee just to go and apply for the process to go and get a gun to own
00:58:35.780 in your home in Mexico.
00:58:38.160 You can't sell it to anybody, even if you do get a gun.
00:58:41.260 The only people you can sell it back to is the federal government.
00:58:44.780 So you think, boy, they have incredibly strict gun control laws.
00:58:48.440 And yet Mexico has a murder rate six times higher than the murder rate that we have in
00:58:53.540 the United States.
00:58:55.120 Drug dealers in Mexico bring in drugs from around the rest of the world, and they go and bring in weapons from around the world. 0.63
00:59:04.160 When I was recently testifying a few years ago in Mexico before the federal Senate and House, you know, it's amazing.
00:59:12.000 You go talk to law enforcement there.
00:59:13.800 They had found something like 15,000 hand grenades that they had confiscated from drug gangs down there.
00:59:21.860 Do you think you'd go to American gun stores and buy hand grenades?
00:59:26.940 They had confiscated machine guns.
00:59:28.860 Do you think you'd go to gun stores in the United States and buy machine guns?
00:59:32.460 No.
00:59:33.300 These are weapons. 0.99
00:59:34.500 Some of them they stole from the Mexican military, but lots of them they brought in 0.85
00:59:39.300 from around the world, South America and Asia and other places like that.
00:59:44.260 And they have rocket launchers.
00:59:46.620 of all sorts of other things, because there's a huge amount of money involved in drug smuggling
00:59:52.700 that's there. And so it pays for them to go and buy weapons to protect themselves, not just from
00:59:58.680 the government, but also from other drug gangs that will try to steal their valuable property
01:00:03.760 that's there. If I could click my fingers right now and cause all guns in the United States to
01:00:11.540 disappear and all illegal drugs. How long do you think it would be before illegal drugs started
01:00:17.500 coming back into the United States? If you're in El Paso, 20 minutes. And how long before they'd go
01:00:24.780 and bring in the illegal guns to go and protect that valuable property? They'd bring them in at
01:00:30.160 the same time. They're not going to risk bringing in huge amounts of very valuable property that
01:00:35.400 could be stolen from them. And they want to protect them. And so, you know, the notion that
01:00:41.320 somehow, you know, you're going to be any more successful in stopping criminals from getting
01:00:47.060 guns than you've been from stopping them from getting illegal drugs, I just don't think is
01:00:52.860 very serious. And what people have to realize is what a huge percentage of murders in the United
01:00:58.980 States are drug gang related. Over half the murders in the United States occur within 2%
01:01:05.640 of the counties. That's 60 of the 3,140 counties in the United States account for over half the
01:01:12.720 murders. And if you look at what's called a murder map of those counties, what you'll find
01:01:19.040 is almost two-thirds of their murders take place within 10 block areas. Murders, unlike most other
01:01:26.720 countries. Murders in the United States are extremely heavily concentrated in very tiny
01:01:33.360 areas within the United States. You have three quarters of the counties in the United States
01:01:38.860 that have either zero murders or one murder in a year. About 60% have zero murders in any given
01:01:45.620 year. By the way, those are the counties that tend to have the highest gun ownership rates
01:01:51.540 in the United States. But, you know, in any case, if you're going to deal with the murder problem
01:01:59.560 in the United States, you're going to have to go and deal with drug gangs. And that's a conversation
01:02:05.340 I'm happy to have. But I just mentioned one other thing, and that is, people have to realize that
01:02:12.120 the vast majority of violent crime in the United States also doesn't involve guns. 92% of violent
01:02:18.780 crime in the United States has no connection with guns in any way. So if you're going to go
01:02:24.980 and solve violent crime, you have to go and deal with violent crime generally. But if you're going
01:02:29.560 to deal with murders, you're going to have to go and deal with drug gangs because they fight
01:02:34.920 against each other all the time to try to control drug turf. I've heard that, and I could be wrong,
01:02:42.480 but I've heard that a lot of the guns used in crime in the States are bought through straw
01:02:49.500 purchases, purchasers. Is that true? Look, one, I don't believe that that's the case. You look at
01:02:58.360 surveys of people who are in prison. That's not the case. They buy them off the street. They buy
01:03:04.780 them from others that are there. But here's the problem. And that is there are close substitute
01:03:11.280 ways for them to go and get guns, just as the discussion we were just having. If I could go
01:03:17.900 and cause all guns to disappear from the United States, do you think new guns will be brought in
01:03:24.200 to protect the drug gangs that are there? And if you think that that's the case, then even if you
01:03:34.300 stop one way, even if that was a significant way of doing it, there are other ways that they're
01:03:39.340 going to go and get the weapons that they need to protect their valuable property.
01:03:45.720 Okay. So you're suggesting, well, we keep the background checks, but that
01:03:50.960 it has to be fixed so that it's not randomly choosing people with similar names to
01:03:56.300 people who've caused violent crimes.
01:03:59.060 Right. Similar names and similar birthdays. I mean, I don't know if you've ever bought a gun,
01:04:04.160 but you fill out something called a 4473. You put down your name, your address, your social security
01:04:11.300 number, your birthday, your race, your eye color. You think they're using all that information,
01:04:16.720 but they're not. The vast majority of checks just look at roughly phonetically similar names
01:04:22.860 and similar birthdays. And there's no reason why that should be the case.
01:04:28.520 Unfortunately, I've come to the conclusion that the people who are pushing these background
01:04:33.940 checks really don't care about the background checks because they could get them passed
01:04:37.900 tomorrow or today if they just made a few really simple changes.
01:04:43.860 Make it so that the federal government has to meet the same standards for doing background
01:04:49.140 checks that private companies do.
01:04:51.520 Pay for the checks out of general revenue.
01:04:53.920 So here's the general point.
01:04:55.380 If you believe that background checks reduce violent crime, then you believe it reduces it for everybody, not just the person who's going out of the way to go and obey the law that's there.
01:05:07.440 And also, you think you want to encourage people to go and obey the law.
01:05:11.920 How does making somebody have to pay $125 to go and do the background check encourage them to go and do that?
01:05:19.400 is you're essentially taxing them to go and do what you want them to do and go out of their way
01:05:25.200 to do that. So as an economist, I would say, look, if everybody benefits, everybody should pay.
01:05:32.120 And if you want to encourage people to do this, both reasons tell me you should pay for it out
01:05:37.540 of general revenue. If you could make those two changes, fix the mistakes and deal with paying
01:05:45.200 for it out of general revenue, if you think there are these big benefits, and I'm skeptical
01:05:50.180 there are, but if you think there are these big benefits, you'd think they'd want to do
01:05:54.020 that.
01:05:54.760 And yet, and I've been telling them for 20 years, they could get this passed right away,
01:05:59.740 but they refuse to make those changes.
01:06:02.680 And to me, I have to ask myself, what are the arguments against these things?
01:06:08.080 The only arguments that I can think of against these things is that they want to make it
01:06:12.320 costly.
01:06:13.220 They want to make it difficult.
01:06:15.200 They want to prevent poor minorities from being able to go and buy guns.
01:06:19.660 If you have another explanation, in fact, when we were setting this up, I was hoping
01:06:24.480 that we could have the gun control person on at the same time so that they could say
01:06:31.620 what their explanation is for something like this, because I never hear an explanation
01:06:36.800 when I go and I bring up these concerns.
01:06:40.400 Yeah, well, those are fair questions.
01:06:43.360 Those are fair questions.
01:06:44.520 I may set these up in the future so that I have both people on at once.
01:06:47.940 But for now, it's interesting.
01:06:48.900 I'm not criticizing each view.
01:06:51.580 I'm just saying I really want it's very hard to get debates on these types of things because gun control activists refuse to appear on at the same time.
01:07:02.420 And the main reason is, is because they don't have to.
01:07:06.460 Most of the media doesn't make them have to go and debates.
01:07:09.640 Do you think that people pushing that are just concerned with maybe kind of punishing people who want to own guns and saying, OK, you have to do these fees and we're not footing it and they're not even considering the fact that some people have less money?
01:07:23.960 I think I think that's right. I think they're trying to make it as costly as possible for people to be able to go and get guns.
01:07:30.940 I'll give you another related example, and that is look at these red flag laws that they have.
01:07:37.620 they're being pushed. In fact, it looks like right now the federal government's likely to
01:07:43.620 be using a lot of money to encourage states to adopt these laws in the current $3.5 trillion
01:07:50.680 spending bill that they have. What are the laws? Well, these are laws that are set up so that
01:07:57.960 if you're concerned about somebody being a danger to themselves or others, you can go
01:08:02.940 and register a complaint a judge will see a piece of paper with the complaint and then they'll go
01:08:08.800 and take away the person's gun that's there for some period of time maybe a month and then there'll
01:08:13.900 be a hearing whether or not to make it permanent or not yikes okay so here's the deal we already
01:08:21.800 have in all the states and it goes by different names often called baker act california is called
01:08:28.360 5150, where if you're concerned somebody's a danger to themselves or others, you go to the
01:08:34.760 police, the person will undergo a 24-hour to 72-hour psychiatric evaluation where you'll have
01:08:42.580 psychiatric experts there. And then you'll have immediately following that a hearing where if you
01:08:49.860 can't afford it, a lawyer will be provided for you, okay? And the judge has a whole range of
01:08:55.640 options then. He can go and require that you get voluntary treatment. He can go and take away your
01:09:02.020 weapons if he's concerned about that. Or he can go in the most extreme case and involuntarily
01:09:07.620 commit somebody. Virtually always, all these things are used for concerns about suicide.
01:09:14.380 The thing is, the red flag laws don't involve mental health care experts. If you can't afford
01:09:22.520 a lawyer, tough. You have to go in on your own. In fact, you look at these cases in the red flag
01:09:30.100 law, it costs about $10,000 to go and do a hearing. The only thing that happens under the red flag
01:09:38.800 laws is that you lose your ability to have a gun. Well, I may want to have a gun. I may care about 0.86
01:09:44.660 it for protection. But $10,000? I mean, $10,000 is a lot of money there. And so the vast majority
01:09:52.040 of people who go through that process don't get a lawyer when they have to go to court.
01:09:59.520 And it makes it pretty hard when you're up against lawyers and you don't have a lawyer
01:10:03.920 yourself representing you to be able to go and win those types of cases.
01:10:08.940 But it's not because the people think that they're really a danger or whatever.
01:10:13.280 It's just that they don't, even if they can't afford it.
01:10:15.660 But here's the problem, is that the type of change that they want to make can actually
01:10:21.420 have the opposite effect of what they'd like to have what they claim they want to have happen
01:10:26.900 i have a very close friend of mine uh who's watched her husband be murdered in front of her
01:10:35.400 by one of her stalkers and um uh if you have these types of red flag laws that are there
01:10:44.240 let's say a friend of hers, a relative, neighbor, they say, look, she's really depressed, okay?
01:10:52.620 I mean, anybody would be. You've just had your loved one, watched your loved one murdered in
01:10:57.820 front of you by one of your stalkers that are there. And they know that she has a gun. And so
01:11:03.480 they could go and say, look, I'm worried she's depressed. I'm going to, she has a gun. I'll make 0.92
01:11:09.600 a complaint. The only thing the judge sees when he makes the decision whether or not to take away
01:11:14.720 the person's gun is that written complaint. Well, in her case, if you put yourself in that
01:11:21.300 situation, you've just had one of your stalkers murdered your husband. How do you think you'd
01:11:27.640 feel if your ability to go and protect yourself was going to be taken away from you? Do you think
01:11:32.740 that'd make you even more depressed? And what does that do to your incentive to go and talk to people
01:11:38.580 to share your feelings with others if you worry that somebody might misinterpret it. Simply being
01:11:45.180 able to go and talk to people is very helpful when you're extremely depressed like that. Just
01:11:51.920 being able to share your feelings, know that you're not alone, can make a huge difference in
01:11:56.960 terms of how people get through this type of thing. And yet the gun control advocates have
01:12:02.320 set up a process in uh 18 states now where simply could be a very well-meaning person
01:12:10.500 puts in a complaint judge hears nothing from the person who's the complaint is being launched
01:12:16.940 against and you know he may be well-meaning himself he sees this person's depressed they
01:12:21.860 have a gun yeah but if you have the process that we've had these baker act type of things 0.87
01:12:29.480 she could go in there. She gets evaluated by a psychiatric expert. She can explain to the 1.00
01:12:35.700 expert why it's important that she still be able to go and defend herself. And even if she couldn't
01:12:41.540 convince that person, she goes to court. And if she can't afford a lawyer, one is provided for her
01:12:47.520 and she can make an argument to the judge. So you have to ask yourself, why did gun control advocates 0.57
01:12:54.440 push a situation where it would make people actually afraid to go and talk to people.
01:13:01.100 Take police officers. Police officers tend to commit suicide at a relatively high rate
01:13:06.320 compared to the general population. They tend to be depressed at a relatively high rate
01:13:11.200 compared to the rest of the population. Why? I mean, they see horrible things on the job
01:13:18.120 all the time. Do we want to make it so police officers are afraid to go and share their
01:13:24.540 feelings with other people? If you take away a police officer's gun, what do you think you do
01:13:29.160 to their job? You've taken away their job that's there. They lose their job if you take away their
01:13:35.640 guns. Do we want to make it so that police officers are afraid to go and talk to people?
01:13:41.240 And yet, again, I think these are simple, reasonable changes, okay?
01:13:48.600 Pay for a lawyer if a person can't afford it.
01:13:52.860 Include mental health care experts into process and have mental health care experts evaluate
01:13:58.500 the person before you go and you have a hearing.
01:14:01.480 Don't have the judge simply making a decision based only on seeing the written complaint
01:14:07.520 and not being able to hear the other person's side of the story.
01:14:10.840 when he's making that type of decision that's there you know and besides if I'm really concerned
01:14:18.280 about somebody committing suicide really concerned is the only solution to take away their gun
01:14:23.980 is there like no other way for these people to go and kill themselves I mean go talk to Jeffrey
01:14:29.960 Epstein if you don't think that there's other ways for people to go and kill themselves uh
01:14:35.600 And so, you know, it's I think a lot of this is just to demonize the gun.
01:14:41.820 It's just to say, well, if you take away the guns, situation's solved.
01:14:45.600 There's no problem at that point.
01:14:47.540 And I think that's really dangerous.
01:14:50.220 I think that's really misleading for people.
01:14:53.140 And I think there's evidence out there that, in fact, you increase suicide rates.
01:14:58.920 And I think for the reason that I was just mentioning, that you make it so that people
01:15:03.300 now are afraid to go and share their feelings and talk to other people.
01:15:09.740 What do you think of people who think that there needs to be more education surrounding
01:15:15.680 how you store guns and safety with guns, and that that's one of the problems with American
01:15:20.900 gun control at the moment, is just lack of education?
01:15:24.460 I have no problem with people being educated about it.
01:15:27.540 but here's the thing. I think if you look at the numbers, Americans are extremely responsible
01:15:33.580 with regard to guns. You can go to the Centers for Disease Control website,
01:15:39.760 their fatal injury report data that they have. And what you'll find for, let's say, kids under
01:15:46.380 age 10 in the United States, for the most recent year, there was 36 accidental gun deaths in the
01:15:52.440 United States. Is 36, do you wish it was zero? Yeah, sure, I wish it was zero. But when you
01:15:58.440 consider half of American homes have guns in, okay, and you go and you look at anything else,
01:16:04.900 you have like 95 kids under five who drowned in five-gallon water buckets. You have more than
01:16:14.100 that who drowned in bathtubs in the home. So if I were to go and just ask you beforehand and say,
01:16:20.700 okay, guns are owned in half of American homes. What is your guess that children under age 10
01:16:28.180 died from accidental gunshots? My guess is your number would have been much higher than 36.
01:16:34.420 And part of the reason is, is whenever these things happen, they get national news coverage
01:16:40.100 and it makes people think that they're more common than they are, I think, to some extent.
01:16:44.560 But, you know, and even when you look at those 36, about two thirds of those are not shots by other children.
01:16:56.920 They're shots by adult males, usually in their mid to late 20s, who have criminal records, who have, in many cases, it's illegal for them to own guns and are often drug addicts or alcoholics.
01:17:09.940 So, you know, I can go and say we want to educate people, but a lot of these guys, it's illegal for them to own the gun to begin with. And so if I go and pass a gun lock wall, is it going to affect these guys? And a gun lock's not going to affect an adult male, particularly an adult male criminal, who's unlikely to go and obey the law to begin with, to be able to go and do it. It's not going to stop him from accidentally firing his gun.
01:17:35.420 But here's the problem, and that is their costs and benefits.
01:17:42.380 I mean, as an economist, we're always weighing trade-offs with different things.
01:17:47.460 And so I go and pass a law that requires people have to lock up their guns in their homes,
01:17:53.720 which is one of the things that's involved with this.
01:17:57.280 It doesn't make sense for everybody to do it.
01:17:59.260 If I live in a high crime urban area, I may want to have quick access to a gun that's there.
01:18:06.560 Delaying it may make it so that I'm not able to go and defend myself and my family.
01:18:11.880 You have to weigh the risks of the gun in the home versus the fact that people aren't going to be able to go and defend themselves.
01:18:19.500 And often when these laws get passed, you'll see about a five percentage point drop in gun ownership that occurs right when these safe storage laws get passed.
01:18:29.260 And a lot of that has to do with the exaggerated stories that occur in the media at that time about the dangers of having guns in the home.
01:18:39.200 And so, look, I mean, I have five kids.
01:18:41.600 I don't want anything to happen to any of my kids.
01:18:43.980 But I would go and argue that the vast majority of Americans are extremely careful.
01:18:50.140 Look, the risk of a child dying from an accidental gunshot in the home is less than the risk of them dying from lightning strikes.
01:18:58.220 Do I go and tell my kids not to go in an open field with an umbrella when it's lightning outside? Yeah, sure. There's sensible things you try to go and do. I would just argue, I think, looking at the data, that the vast majority of Americans are actually behaving fairly responsibly and that, unfortunately, this gets back to your point before about whether a lot of these laws are just trying to make it cost for people to be able to go and own guns.
01:19:25.180 And I think this is just another example of it. They try in many different ways to do that.
01:19:32.220 Okay, last question. Do states that have stricter gun laws, does that reduce gun crime?
01:19:40.220 No, it has the opposite effect. Let me give you just a simple example just to think about. This
01:19:45.880 is an extreme case, but it applies generally. And that is, can you name me one place in the world
01:19:52.280 that's banned either all guns or all handguns and seen murder or homicide rates go down.
01:19:58.740 Just one place.
01:19:59.680 I'm talking about before now, because there's all sorts of reasons why different places
01:20:03.500 differ in terms of crime rates.
01:20:07.620 I can't find a single place.
01:20:10.020 Every single time murder rates go up, you think out of randomness, once or twice it
01:20:16.400 would go down.
01:20:17.000 But you'd think, particularly if you believe guns on net are bad, you would think, for sure, it should go down every single time.
01:20:24.960 And yet every single time, you know, Americans know about what happened in Chicago and Washington, D.C., when we had handgun bans there and the murder rates went up.
01:20:35.960 Gun control advocates will say, well, that really wasn't a fair test, because unless you go and you ban guns every place, people can still go and get guns from Maryland or Virginia or from the rest of Illinois or from Indiana.
01:20:50.460 The problem is that doesn't explain why the murder rates went up.
01:20:54.400 It may explain why it didn't fall as much as they were originally predicting it was going to do.
01:21:00.540 But they were able to get the guns from those other places to begin with before the ban went into effect.
01:21:05.960 And so, but here's the problem, and that is, and this applies to gun control laws generally, and that is you have to be careful when you pass a law that you're not going to be primarily disarming law-abiding citizens relative to criminals.
01:21:20.820 You may take some guns away from criminals, but if it's mainly, in this case, law-abiding
01:21:25.980 citizens turning in their guns, obeying the law, so you're primarily disarming the victims
01:21:31.900 relative to the criminals, you actually can make it easier for criminals to go and commit
01:21:36.600 crimes.
01:21:37.820 And so you see increases.
01:21:39.940 And so, and this applies to any of these things.
01:21:42.200 The background check discussion that we were having, if it primarily, because of these
01:21:46.660 mistakes and these costs and other things primarily disarms law-abiding citizens relative
01:21:52.400 to criminals, you can actually have the opposite effect of what you'd like to have happen in these
01:21:58.660 cases. And so, you know, I think if you look at the serious statistical work, I've been an academic,
01:22:07.780 I've published over 120 peer-reviewed articles and journals. I think if you look at the serious
01:22:15.440 work to answer your specific question. You find that the states that have stricter gun control
01:22:21.380 laws tend to have higher murder rates, higher violent crime rates. And it's not just that.
01:22:28.740 You look at concealed carry laws. There's a huge difference across states in terms of the
01:22:34.160 percentage of the adult population with concealed handgun permits. As I mentioned, there's basically
01:22:41.860 these two types of states, these right-to-carry states and these may-issue states. In the may-issue
01:22:48.780 states, you're talking about literally just a couple few percentage points, tenths of a percentage
01:22:54.360 point of the adult population with a permit. On average, for the rest of the states, you're
01:23:00.080 talking about 9% or so of the adult population with permits. That was last year. My guess is
01:23:07.160 it's probably about 10% right now. Anyway, what you find is that those states that make it easier
01:23:20.020 for people to go and get concealed handgun permits, particularly those states that make it easiest for
01:23:25.940 poor and minority people, the people who are most likely victims of violent crime to be able to go
01:23:32.200 and defend themselves. They have the biggest drops in violent crimes. As more permits are
01:23:38.520 issued, you see greater drops in violent crime. There's a reason why police strongly support
01:23:45.140 concealed carry laws. You look at surveys of police officers, you'll find like 95% of police
01:23:51.820 in a survey by Police One, which has about 450,000 members, 380,000 of them are full-time
01:23:58.900 law enforcement, the other 70,000 are retired, support relatively easy access to concealed
01:24:06.660 handgun permits for people.
01:24:09.500 You know, they see the importance in their own lives of being able to go and use a gun,
01:24:15.600 and they're strongly supportive of private citizens being able to do it.
01:24:20.800 You know, you look at another survey from them where they asked them, how important
01:24:25.480 is it for reducing crime for law-abiding citizens to have guns? 76% of police officers think that
01:24:34.380 private ownership of guns is either extremely important or very important in terms of reducing
01:24:40.440 crime. Okay. That's a lot. So, you know, these are the people that have to deal with these
01:24:50.200 situations all the time and then so okay well i think that that settles it for me i think i'm good
01:25:00.460 i've asked you the questions i wanted to ask you thank you very much for coming on if you want to
01:25:04.580 direct people to either follow you online or to any websites they should know about where do they
01:25:09.620 go well our our website is crimeresearch.org crimeresearch.org we're basically a group of
01:25:18.760 Academics, as I mentioned, I've had positions at a number of universities, but we have Arthur Berg
01:25:24.160 at Harvard, Bill Landis at the University of Chicago, Scott Armstrong at the Wharton Business
01:25:30.440 School, others who have expertise in different areas. We know where the data is, and that's what
01:25:37.280 we try to put out regularly. So if people, if they go to crimeresearch.org, they can sign up
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01:25:45.860 Once every two weeks,
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01:25:49.860 the latest research
01:25:50.880 that we've been doing
01:25:52.020 on these different topics.
01:25:55.240 Very cool.
01:25:56.320 Okay.
01:25:56.720 Well, thank you very much
01:25:57.800 for coming on.
01:25:59.260 I appreciate your time.
01:26:00.480 Thank you for being here.
01:26:14.100 Thank you.