The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - May 12, 2026


＂34 More Ballots Than Voters＂ - Liberal Fraud Scandal BLOWS UP!

Topics
Scarborough Southwest Liberal nomination scandal Voter Fraud nomination rigging Voter Fraud
Hosted by
Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
Nate Erskine-Smith Mark Carney Erskine Smith Laura Stone Avi Lewis Jonathan Wilkinson Nader Skynesmith Beaches East York Elections Ontario Qadira Jackson John Fraser Dolly Begum Bill Blair Ansul Afiz Doug Ford Bangladeshi Domino Safis Hafiz Wyatt and 1 more
69% Disapprove of Carney Fake Pipeline Plan - No Liberal Achievements! CBC Excuses Voter Fraud & Liberal MP resigns after losing rigged election!

Episode Stats


Length

24 minutes

Words per minute

167.76

Word count

4,149

Sentence count

145

Harmful content

Toxicity

6

sentences flagged

Hate speech

11

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Nate Erskine-smith has challenged the results of the Scarborough Southwest Liberal nomination race, and the party is scrambling to find a way to get him to vacate his seat, which could have a big impact on the outcome of the election.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and I have a huge update for you all in the Scarborough
00:00:06 Southwest Liberal nomination scandal that has big implications for Canadian politics
00:00:12 overall, not just Ontario provincial politics.
00:00:16 To give you a bit of a nutshell of the situation, we had Nate Erskine-Smith, who is the sitting
00:00:23 Liberal MP for the Riding of Beaches East York, deciding that he wanted to go into Ontario
00:00:28 provincial politics, so he ran for the Scarborough Southwest Liberal nomination. Now, this riding
00:00:36 became available because the NDP member of provincial parliament, Dolly Begum, resigned
00:00:42 her seat to then run for the federal Liberal nomination for the federal riding of Scarborough
00:00:48 Southwest because the then-sitting Liberal MP, Bill Blair, went to go become the High Commissioner
00:00:55 to the UK for Canada. It's just a big web of nonsense, but all you need to know is at some
00:01:01 point, Scarborough Southwest became available. Nate Erskine-Smith was not happy sitting as a
00:01:07 backbench Liberal MP when he was supposed to be the Housing Minister. Mark Carney snubbed him,
00:01:13 and so he then ran for this in order to try and switch offices. But he ended up losing to a man
00:01:19 named Ansul Afiz by just 19 votes. Now, comedy ensued and everyone pointed and laughed at Nate
00:01:29 Erskine-Smith because he's been in favor of mass immigration and he is just a fairly obnoxious
00:01:35 progressive politician if you're a conservative like me, but I did not point and laugh because
00:01:40 I do care about election integrity and there are so many dirty nominations all over the country
00:01:47 And I want to just highlight how bad it is with this race. 1.00
00:01:51 If anything, it's good that this race is putting a spotlight 1.00
00:01:53 onto just how compromised democracy is often in Canada. 0.88
00:01:58 I don't have to like Nate Erskine-Smith to care about this race. 0.88
00:02:01 And I'm going to give you guys the update on just how obviously rigged,
00:02:06 obviously fraudulent this vote was.
00:02:09 Remember, if Nate Erskine-Smith does not win,
00:02:12 he does not vacate his Beaches East York seat, even though he said he would.
00:02:16 And that means that Mark Carney gets to hold on to a bigger undeserved majority. If he leaves because he wins the Scarborough Southwest seat, that means that because Jonathan Wilkinson in Vancouver, North Vancouver, Capilano is also leaving, Mark Carney has his majority government fall down to bare bones and it becomes very difficult to do anything for a while.
00:02:37 And the Conservatives and bloc could even push to force committees to actually reflect the makeup of Parliament again, because the Speaker cannot sit on committees, I believe. That might be wrong. But it will basically cause a lot of chaos if Erskine Smith leaves.
00:02:52 So even though Mark Carney endorsed NES, which I will call him at times here, it kind of benefits Carney for him not to have won this nomination, and it definitely benefits the insiders of the Ontario Liberal Party for him not to have won, because they seem like they are currently in the tank for former Liberal M.T. Nabby Baines to come in as the new Ontario Liberal leader.
00:03:16 Again, this thing is completely crazy.
00:03:18 I know I'm a conservative, but I really care about this because, again, voter integrity matters.
00:03:24 Before I get into it, I just want to remind you guys, if you like the channel, make sure to leave a like on this video.
00:03:28 Subscribe if you're not yet a subscriber, and if you want to become a member of the channel to help me be able to pay for doing very niche videos like this,
00:03:36 consider hitting the join button below the title of the video and joining the many people who help make the channel more sustainable for me.
00:03:43 But without further ado, I am going to explain the numbers on the board, then we are going to get into the update delivered by Globe and Mail journalist Laura Stone, who has done a good job of putting out in a very organized fashion what has happened this morning.
00:03:59 So, Nate Erskine-Smith had said that he will be challenging the results late yesterday or mid-yesterday.
00:04:06 And since then, people have been wondering what he was going to claim about the race.
00:04:11 And now that he's actually released his challenge to the race, the whole thing looks completely dirty.
00:04:17 So, I'm going to start over here, and then we're going to kind of, I guess, filter over to the right, and then I'm going to fill in the new information.
00:04:23 The amount of eligible Liberal members in this Ontario Liberal Party nomination was 3,581, but there were around 1,806 memberships that were deleted before the actual nomination date.
00:04:41 Now, out of that, a little over 500 of them were duplicates. I'm just going to assume that's true. But that meant that 1,265 memberships were deleted for being invalid in some way, or they were not properly verified or whatever.
00:04:57 Now, that doesn't really make sense because they said, well, we're not sure if these people live in the riding. We're not sure if these are real memberships, which shouldn't really matter because, well, if they show up to the polling station on the day of the vote, they would have to present their driver's license and prove that their registration address matches their driver's license address, and it is indeed part of the riding.
00:05:20 This seemed like a sketchy way of just simply getting rid of a bunch of members that were probably going to be supporting NES.
00:05:28 Now, Fizz, in a Globe and Mail article, and I wrote this down the other day, when he was asked how the membership deletions affected him,
00:05:37 people like NES and the other two candidates in this race had basically intimated or outright said that this had affected hundreds of their memberships.
00:05:46 A fizz said that this had affected a few of his, which kind of tells me that they weren't really, they were deliberately not targeting him with the membership deletions, even though, as we're going to get into it, if you were to eliminate somebody's members, a fizz seems like the person who should be actually looking into more.
00:06:10 So the actual total amount of voters who should have been voting in this nomination were 4,846.
00:06:19 Hafiz ended up getting 718 votes on the final ballot to NES's 699, a win margin of 19 votes.
00:06:29 Now, you could say, okay, well, maybe the party followed the rules.
00:06:33 Nate Erskine-Smith, that supporter of mass immigration, he's just whining.
00:06:38 the Bengali community didn't like him, and now he's suffering the consequences of his own actions.
00:06:45 Well, yes, I would love to point and laugh Nate Erskine-Smith for being hoisted on his own 0.58
00:06:50 petard in terms of immigration as much as the next guy. That's not what happened here. This is just
00:06:56 classic voter fraud and nomination rigging. So not only did we have the 1265 just being
00:07:02 arbitrarily deleted. But what we also had that Laura Stone reveals here in Nate Erskine-Smith's
00:07:09 filing against the nomination is that in the ballot boxes, remember, the FIS won by a margin
00:07:17 of 19 votes. But in the ballot boxes, there were 34 more votes than there were people who voted in
00:07:28 the nomination in terms of when you check the names of people who voted off the lists that number
00:07:35 was 34 lower than the 19 that Hafiz had won by on final ballot or actually not even final ballot
00:07:43 that was 34 more people who voted not even just compared to the final ballot 34 more ballots were
00:07:48 submitted for counting than people who actually showed up to vote and this guy won by just a
00:07:55 little bit less than a double a little bit less more than half of that margin that is absolutely
00:08:02 insane but the party the interim ontario liberal party leader john frazier is simply just standing
00:08:09 by the results and saying that he is confident that the process will work itself out fine
00:08:15 it's very telling that journalists really aren't digging into this yes they are reporting the
00:08:19 general of surface level details of what people are saying but they're not looking into the fact
00:08:25 that in a nomination where 1,200, let's write that down again, there were 1,265 people disallowed,
00:08:35 not able to vote, ruled invalid. There were 34 more votes counted than people who actually voted,
00:08:43 and Hafiz wins by 19 votes. That seems a little bit sketchy to me. And now I want to just read
00:08:52 the full statement by Laura Stone so you understand how absurd those numbers are. They're
00:08:57 already absurd, but they get even worse when you see the type of people who are voting
00:09:01 for Hafiz. Not only have I showed in a previous video that his supporters were largely non-English
00:09:08 speakers who needed things translated into Bengali, but it turns out they couldn't even
00:09:13 vote on their own, as I'm going to get into in this thread. Laura Stone here says,
00:09:19 Breaking, Nate Erskine-Smith has filed a notice of appeal to the Ontario Liberal Party to challenge the results of the Scarborough Southwest nomination, alleging serious irregularities according to a copy, according of a copy.
00:09:35 I think that, I assume that means according to a copy viewed by the Globe and Mail.
00:09:39 Laura says the appeal alleges there were 34 more ballots in boxes than recorded votes, voter ID issues, and unusually high number of people who claim to just lost their driver's licenses or just moved to the area and people being explicitly directed on how to vote in the voting area.
00:09:57 The appeal also states that a new nomination should be held or a candidate appointed,
00:10:02 quote,
00:10:02 to avoid any perception of self-interest, Mr. Erskine Smith will remove himself
00:10:06 from any future process or consideration in Scarborough Southwest
00:10:09 if it means the party will investigate and take action.
00:10:13 Other allegations contained in the notice include using Amazon orders as an address,
00:10:18 one voter was allowed to vote with a visitor visa to Canada,
00:10:21 and a Bangladeshi passport for voter ID and banking information.
00:10:25 The appeal calls for changes to nomination races. It is obvious, for example, that we need to amend voter eligibility rules to limit participation to citizens and permanent residents, unquote, also says Election Ontario should manage nominations.
00:10:41 Now, this is a classic thing that many people have pointed out in party nominations everywhere, that we should have Elections Canada or provincial election organizations manage the vote so that the party can't just fudge it at the end.
00:10:54 So you see what we have here. I'm just going to do it again, but we had a winning margin of 19 votes. And the amount of votes counted were 34 higher than the amount of people who actually voted.
00:11:08 We had 1,265 memberships deleted so that they couldn't vote in the thing, and Hafiz had no IDs for a lot of his own people, or there was no way of actually verifying their ID.
00:11:27 Banking information is so easy to fake.
00:11:30 You can go onto your online banking app and change your address on the spot.
00:11:34 It didn't even go there.
00:11:36 They couldn't even vote on their own.
00:11:38 They needed assisted voting.
00:11:45 I think I'm spelling that wrong, but whatever.
00:11:48 I'm manic right now, guys.
00:11:50 They needed people to literally enter the voting area to tell them how to vote.
00:11:55 they couldn't even figure out how to vote
00:11:57 they needed everything in Bengali
00:11:59 and after all of that instruction
00:12:01 in a foreign language
00:12:03 they still couldn't
00:12:05 actually manage to fill out
00:12:07 the ballot themselves and allegedly
00:12:09 Hafiz supporters
00:12:11 or Hafiz officials were having
00:12:13 to walk in there or other people
00:12:15 to tell people how to then mark the ballot
00:12:17 correctly quote unquote
00:12:19 you know in the right order
00:12:21 yeah the party
00:12:23 can't really sweep
00:12:25 this under the bus. And then we have on top of that Hafiz having a very sketchy background, 0.96
00:12:32 sharing weird fetish content on his Facebook, having sex offenders speaking for him at his
00:12:39 meetings, at his town halls, literally a guy convicted of sexually assaulting a 12-year-old
00:12:45 was allowed to be, was a spokesperson for him at his event, standing at the front of the room
00:12:51 behind a table speaking in favor of Hafiz, a guy who was convicted and reported on in the media
00:12:57 because he was still running his own tutoring, his own private tutoring company, which is absolutely
00:13:04 wild that that guy was allowed to do that. And at the same time, Hafiz's people had no IDs,
00:13:12 couldn't at all, their dogs ate their driver's licenses the day before the vote. They were still 0.98
00:13:17 allowed to vote anyways and then when they were voting they needed to be assisted in how to vote
00:13:22 in the area where nobody is supposed to be entering but the voter and maybe some election officials
00:13:26 to help you out if you need help you know it wasn't election officials it was campaign people
00:13:31 having to go in and tell people how to vote you know a family member somebody else helping you
00:13:36 force telling you who to like pick this is not a real nomination and this does have federal and
00:13:43 provincial implications. The Safis guy probably can't even win the general. Again, I don't really
00:13:49 care if the liberals win the by-election or not. It's an NDP safe riding for the most part. I think
00:13:55 NES probably has the best prospects of winning it. I wouldn't even vote for the PC party. I think
00:14:00 Doug Ford's PCs are way too liberal for me. But this is a problem. You win by only 19 votes.
00:14:07 There were 34 more votes counted than people who voted.
00:14:11 1,265 people had their memberships wiped out.
00:14:16 And then Hafiz was able to have people vote with no IDs or with literally foreign credentials, foreign passports, banking information where you can easily fake if you live there or not.
00:14:28 And some people didn't even have any of it.
00:14:30 And OLP officials just said, yeah, you can go vote.
00:14:32 And I just talked to somebody who was with Nate Erskine-Smith, who said that there were people who were rejected from voting, who were like 14, 15 year olds, you're allowed to vote if you're that, they are citizens of the country, but they were rejected even though their parent was there to vote for them, because they didn't have their ID, and they had to run home and get it.
00:14:54 But people who can't speak English, who don't know what they're doing, who didn't have IDs or didn't have proper IDs that match the writing, they are allowed to sally forth into the voting booth and mark a ballot anyways.
00:15:06 Do we see how this is a problem? 0.61
00:15:08 And again, remember, a fizz said that he only had a few of his own memberships wiped out when the party removed the 1265.
00:15:19 Everyone else had hundreds of memberships affected.
00:15:21 he had a few and we can't i don't don't give me well we don't know what a few men a few could be
00:15:28 a few hundred a few let's be clear probably a dozen maybe two dozen at best could be described
00:15:34 as yeah we lost a few you don't so you won't lose 200 or even or more than like 50 and say you had
00:15:41 a few lost probably erskine smith as the more experienced politician who has won six elections
00:15:47 Probably was the guy probably better poised to actually doing this. But the problem is the insiders of the party don't like Nader Skynesmith, and so they're probably trying to set up Navdeep Baines, the former Liberal MP, to effectively win the Ontario Liberal leadership by humiliating NES in this race, by having him lose to a Domino's pizza chain owner who nobody knows and who is a complete trash fire when you actually look into all the opposition research on the man.
00:16:15 His Facebook was full of him wishing death on politicians he didn't like back in Bangladesh, people who were later, like, killed in prison and whatnot.
00:16:24 That's the type of person the Ontario Liberals are running. 1.00
00:16:28 It's just stupid, garbage diaspora politics on top of classic nomination rigging and what looks to be voter fraud. 1.00
00:16:37 The Ontario Liberals are just going to stick this one through? 1.00
00:16:40 You don't have to be a Liberal, and I'm not one, to care about this.
00:16:44 because guess what? This goes on in all parties, and it's ruining our democracy. This is kind of
00:16:51 a big deal, if you haven't noticed. And it's very intelligent for Erskine Smith to just say,
00:16:58 hey, redo the nomination or appoint a different guy, investigate this problem early, and don't
00:17:04 even pick me. Don't let it be me, because what Nate wants is he at least doesn't want to be
00:17:09 humiliated in this whole thing. And so they're in a bit of a standoff. The party really wants
00:17:13 to humiliate NES and make him not viable to run for leader. But if they ignore this, this is going
00:17:19 to become a scandal for the party and make them not very credible in the public. But if they do,
00:17:25 so basically, if they want to continue humiliating him and not letting him be the candidate,
00:17:30 it's going to make the party's grassroots give up on them. I know, as a conservative,
00:17:35 it's weird to think that there is such a thing as liberal grassroots, but there are.
00:17:39 Nader Skynesmith is very much a grassroots liberal. I would say the liberals tend to be
00:17:42 a very corporate party but they have little bits and pieces of grassroots people even the pc party
00:17:48 i would say is mostly just a corporate party in ontario at this point there's nobody who really
00:17:52 represents like the common man it's you know you're one of doug for a ford's friends or at
00:17:57 least he's not threatened by you so he'll let you run for the party but parties still have those
00:18:01 little bits and pieces so if the ontario liberals don't reinstate uh nes they're going to look 1.00
00:18:08 stupid. And if they do reinstate him, they're effectively admitting to having faked the 0.98
00:18:14 nomination. I think what they're probably going to do is just look at Hafiz's background and be
00:18:20 like, oh, yeah, that's weird that you posted fetish content, incest fetish content on your 0.78
00:18:26 Facebook. Oh, that's weird that you, you know, happened to win by 19 votes in this race. Oh,
00:18:32 it's weird that you let a sex offender speak for you at an event. Oh, it's weird that you keep
00:18:36 calling for people's deaths in bangladesh maybe we can't let you be the candidate for that reason
00:18:41 then they won't admit that this is obviously fraudulent and maybe they'll let nadir sky smith
00:18:47 be the candidate or they'll let just like the third place person kadira jackson be the candidate
00:18:53 and just move on and then nes doesn't get humiliated the party doesn't have to admit
00:18:58 wrongdoing i don't i hope that doesn't happen because more parties need to be caught with
00:19:04 their hand in the cookie jar putting ballots in ballot boxes because this looks like ballot box
00:19:09 stuffing to me a little bit you know maybe again i'm just seeing things here but if this is true
00:19:16 that the voter list when they checked off who voted had 34 less people who entered the polling
00:19:22 station than actually voted that's fraudulent somebody should be sued and they cannot run away
00:19:29 from this. And again, this has big implications for federal politics because if NES then goes and
00:19:35 runs provincially, that opens up Beaches, East York, which by the way right now is a very good
00:19:41 riding for Avi Lewis. Actually, I just want to bring up the Main Street polling data right here
00:19:47 and show you guys how good of a riding right now this could be for the federal NDP.
00:19:53 Sorry about that cut. I did have to clear the board because now I want to talk about the Main
00:19:57 Street research poll for Nate Erskine Smith's current Beaches East York riding. If he vacates
00:20:05 and there is a by-election, if Avi Lewis, the current NDP leader, does not run for this by-election,
00:20:11 the results are going to look pretty similar to what it was last time. The Liberals would
00:20:17 win by an absolutely gargantuan number literally getting 67 percent of the vote compared to what
00:20:29 we have here with the NDP actually coming in third place behind the conservatives the
00:20:34 conservatives getting 17 percent of the vote and the NDP sadly only getting 12 percent
00:20:44 and then i'll also mark down the greens here because they are somewhat relevant even though
00:20:50 right here they only grab three percent of the vote but if avi lewis was to run in the in the
00:21:02 riding for nate erskine smith's old riding in beaches east york he would actually with decided
00:21:07 voters according to the main street research poll and this is like a few hundred people in the
00:21:12 riding, which is a pretty good quality poll for a local thing, they would actually jump up to being
00:21:18 in the lead with 43% of the vote, with the Liberals then trailing behind with just 39%
00:21:29 of the vote. So we have an absolutely massive swing from the Liberals to the NDP if Avi Lewis
00:21:36 ends up stepping into the riding and it makes sense because avi lewis is very much like a
00:21:41 progressive progressive in the same way that nate erskine smith is nate erskine smith is a liberal
00:21:48 but he's very much of an orange coded liberal and so if you run the leader of the mdp it kind of
00:21:53 gets people's attention in this progressive progressive riding the uh the greens fall down
00:21:58 to just two points and it was relevant because in a tight election him being able to steal one
00:22:03 one third of the green vote is a big deal at the same time he's also chipping away and grabbing up
00:22:08 massive portions of the liberal vote so it literally goes from being a plus 50 liberal
00:22:16 victory over in the conservatives not the ndp to being a plus four victory for the ndp in this
00:22:25 riding if nate ruskine smith wins the scarborough southwest nomination and this riding has avi
00:22:32 Lewis, the NDP leader, run in it instead. This is why I have this theory that despite the fact
00:22:39 that Mark Carney kind of endorsed Erskine Smith in this weird shotgun wedding type endorsement
00:22:44 video, he doesn't want him to leave because this could be the new reality. He doesn't just lose a
00:22:51 riding for a few months and then has to replace him in a troublesome by-election. No, no, he could
00:22:56 lose that by-election and have an NDP MP take the seat, and not just any MP MP, but the leader
00:23:04 of the NDP giving Avi Lewis a lot more power and influence inside of Parliament. That would mean
00:23:11 that Carney, if he replaced Jonathan Wilkinson and gets another Liberal through there, he is
00:23:16 running on a one-seat majority, which means every vote really counts. If somebody is sick, you can't
00:23:21 pass something for a week because they can't make it to Parliament to vote. It really does matter
00:23:26 here. Anyways, so that should be it for today, guys. Hopefully you understand why this whole
00:23:33 situation is so important, even if you're not an Ontario Liberal. I definitely am not, but
00:23:38 shenanigans like this happen all the time, and when things are not being, you know, done properly,
00:23:44 it has ripple effects throughout politics. Am I kind of interested in seeing Carney lose
00:23:50 Beaches East York to the NDP. That would be quite funny to me. Sure, but you can't just look at it
00:23:55 as, well, Wyatt wants his particular, you know, damage done to Mark Carney, and that's why he
00:24:00 wants Erskine Smith to win Scarborough Southwest and vacate Beaches East York and have it won by
00:24:04 the NDP. Okay, sure, you can say that about me. At the same time, if this is where the flow of
00:24:11 politics is going, having insiders just cut it off for their own interests is kind of corrupt.
00:24:17 it kind of ruins the whole system when, you know, the entire course of politics is just being
00:24:22 decided by people stuffing ballot boxes and deleting memberships. It's what is turning
00:24:27 Canada into a banana republic compared to the United States in terms of our elections.
00:24:33 Anyways, with all that being said, thank you guys for watching. Make sure to like,
00:24:37 share, subscribe, and consider hitting the join button and becoming a channel member,
00:24:41 and I'll see you guys all next time.