The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - 3rd Liberal MP Resigning - Carney to LOSE his Liberal Majority (Chaos Ensues)

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and welcome back to the National Telegraph YouTube channel.

00:00:06.400 Well, it looks like Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government is going to be losing its

00:00:11.720 majority status this summer. They arbitrarily got a majority through five floor crossers, 1.00

00:00:17.220 and now it looks like they are going to arbitrarily lose their majority status

00:00:21.420 from a bunch of resignations. You guys probably already know about the first two because I've

00:00:27.460 talked about them on the show multiple times. The first being Jonathan Wilkinson, the MP from North

00:00:33.740 Vancouver Capilano. If the Conservatives fight really hard for that one, they actually could

00:00:37.980 at least come close to winning it, if not win it in a by-election because it used to be a

00:00:42.020 Conservative riding. The other one I've been talking about is Nate Erskine-Smith, who has

00:00:47.480 confirmed that he is leaving in June despite the fact he did not win the Provincial Ontario

00:00:53.440 Liberal's nomination in Scarborough Southwest. That was objectively rigged against him because

00:00:59.240 Ontario provincial politics is very, very corrupt. But now the third Liberal who is going to be going

00:01:06.000 out the door looks like it is going to be former environment minister under Trudeau, Stephen

00:01:12.440 Gilbeau. This article from the National Post reads, with such a slim majority, can Carney

00:01:19.120 afford to lose Gilbeau. Caucus management needs to be as vigorous right now as the negotiations

00:01:24.620 with Alberta, said Marcy Serks, former Trudeau staffer. Down here, the National Post reports,

00:01:32.440 a well-connected liberal source told National Post that Gilbeau has not yet made up his mind

00:01:36.900 on his political future and is giving himself time to see how things play out with the negotiations

00:01:41.920 in Alberta for an oil pipeline and the proposed reform of major projects. For now, Gilbeau sees

00:01:47.660 himself as a watchdog on the environment, the source says. But as National Post previously

00:01:53.160 reported, Ottawa is expected to desire a pipeline to the West Coast as being in the national interest

00:01:58.500 this fall as part of the memorandum of understanding Carney's government is negotiating

00:02:03.180 with Alberta Premier Danielle Smith. Now, the funny thing with all of this is that we could

00:02:09.380 have Stephen Gilboa end up leaving the Liberal caucus, resigning his seat or maybe crossing the

00:02:15.820 floor over a pipeline that's probably not even going to get built. What Carney and Daniel Smith

00:02:23.420 signed yesterday was basically Alberta committing to raising its industrial carbon tax to $130 a ton

00:02:31.500 by 2040 in exchange for the maybe sort of promise that we might build a pipeline, which at best

00:02:40.860 looks like it's just going to be an expansion to the pipeline that goes to Burnaby. And at worst,

00:02:47.480 there's no pipeline and we're just kicking the can down the road so that Carney can find another

00:02:52.540 reason to say no to a pipeline project that he had been previously saying yes to. I want to get

00:02:58.580 into some posts on social media here that might indicate that right now Stephen Gilbeau is quite

00:03:05.140 mad because again, even though Carney's probably not even going to build a pipeline, Stephen

00:03:10.920 Gilbeau is such a hard left true believer. I could see him just being mad that the idea of a pipeline

00:03:17.720 is being normalized by Carney speaking with Danielle Smith, who Stephen Gilbeau absolutely

00:03:23.320 hates. Those two have been nemesises for a very long time. Anyways, but before I get into some

00:03:29.980 additional information. I just want to remind you guys, if you like the show, make sure to leave a

00:03:35.260 like on this video. Subscribe if you're not yet a subscriber. Leave a comment with what you think

00:03:40.640 about this mess. And if you want to join the other members of the channel in helping make the channel

00:03:45.480 more sustainable for me, please consider hitting the join button below the video. It really helps

00:03:51.100 me out. And of course, I thank everyone who is already helping me be less reliant on the YouTube

00:03:56.160 algorithm by making a small contribution each month. But now let's get into Stephen Gilbeau's

00:04:02.280 Twitter timeline, because I think that it tends to reveal what his current mindset is. This is a post

00:04:08.760 he made back on May 1st. He hasn't really posted that much since then, and I think it's more so

00:04:15.300 just an indication that the man is smoldering below the surface and, you know, I guess doesn't

00:04:20.760 really want to interact with the public right now because he doesn't like what Carney's doing.

00:04:24.600 and here he says it's never the right time for oil companies to do their fair share in fighting

00:04:31.800 pollution even when they make 60 billion in profits but as hard as it is i am now recommending

00:04:38.440 that canada postpone the pathways cc us project martha finley former vp for suncor uh and so yeah

00:04:46.800 he's basically mad that we're seeing all these like i guess green energy type projects being put

00:04:54.160 on the back burner throughout the economy. And in this other article from La Presse that he wrote,

00:05:00.600 he talks about, again, that effectively his stance is still very much anti-oil and he's not moving.

00:05:08.660 He says here in this translated article, there is no more time to hesitate.

00:05:13.920 When it comes to fighting climate change, now is not the time to beat around the bush,

00:05:18.040 writes former environment minister, Stephen Gilbeau,

00:05:21.020 urges his leader, Premier Mark Carney,

00:05:24.680 Prime Minister, but it's French, of course,

00:05:26.520 to take the necessary steps to fulfill his commitments

00:05:28.940 to achieving carbon neutrality by 2050.

00:05:33.380 And he does this whole Canada's at a crossroads thing

00:05:36.000 and we need to be careful about, you know,

00:05:38.000 signing a deal with the Alberta government.

00:05:40.900 Understand, carbon neutrality means

00:05:44.020 the oil and gas industry is shuttered.

00:05:46.640 There is no way of getting to the mythical goal of carbon neutrality without completely gutting Alberta's oil and gas industry.

00:05:54.340 So this man is not happy right now with what Mark Carney did.

00:05:59.620 Again, I'm going to keep reiterating, even though it's not even going to result in a pipeline.

00:06:04.240 Right now, the plan just says by September of 2027, we will potentially issue a construction permit or we might basically start the construction approval process.

00:06:15.580 But that's a process that could take a very long time to actually finish. Remember, we've had multiple pipelines proposed over the years that made it through multiple hurdles and then were either shut down or overregulated to the point the companies pulled out and the liberal government blamed them for the failure when they were obviously the perpetrators of the failure in reality.

00:06:38.480 And so to give you some perspective of just like what the current state of parliament looks like, Mark Carney has 174 liberal seats. You need 172 for a bare majority where the speaker can break ties.

00:06:57.300 Now, if Stephen Gilboa, Nate Erskine-Smith, and Jonathan Wilkinson all end up resigning at the same time,

00:07:05.540 do you know what could actually happen?

00:07:07.220 The rest of Parliament, which is not happy with the Liberals, not Elizabeth May, the NDP, the Bloc, or the Conservatives,

00:07:13.800 they could then basically hold the Liberals hostage for a bit and make them redo the committee appointments all across government.

00:07:22.780 they could force everyone they could basically force a vote requiring there to be a reshuffling

00:07:30.320 of the committees because what you may have heard uh from previous reports if steve mckinnon and

00:07:36.140 the liberals their house leader had shuffled all the committees or really packed the committees

00:07:40.640 with extra liberals so they could have more in-camera meetings so they could prevent people

00:07:45.320 like finance minister francois philippe champaign testifying about his conflict of interest on the

00:07:50.560 Alto train. They did that, and if we have three liberals leave, that could all be undone overnight,

00:07:56.680 and you could actually start having, you know, testimony forced again, and the only way that

00:08:01.900 maybe Mark Carney could save the situation is by proroguing Parliament and just waiting out until

00:08:07.680 he can get his by-elections. Now, he could call them right away and basically just try and go on

00:08:13.020 summer break and have his government survive through that time when we're not in session,

00:08:17.940 But I believe the rest of Parliament, with a majority, is allowed to force Parliament to come back into session over the summer.

00:08:28.840 And that is a tactic that I absolutely endorse Pierre Polyev and the Conservatives engaging in with other parties' help.

00:08:37.320 Now I just want to move on to just a clip of Mark Carney speaking in Parliament.

00:08:41.920 And I'm just doing this because this one particularly annoys me.

00:08:44.740 I just despise this kind of, like, low IQ ballyhooing of non-successes.

00:08:53.040 We keep hearing that we're doing fantastic under Mark Carney.

00:08:57.220 Yes, we keep losing jobs every month, but there's always a silver lining to any piece of information.

00:09:03.840 And he is going to tell you that we're actually doing better than ever right now.

00:09:07.200 Asking rents have declined for 18 consecutive months.

00:09:11.100 every single month that this government has been in office, Canadian average salaries have increased.

00:09:18.460 Now, two things here. The thing about rents is actually true. In most cities, rents have gone

00:09:25.120 down. And that is because actually of something Trudeau started doing that Mark Carney just let

00:09:29.880 keep happening. Trudeau spiked immigration rates massively. TFWs, students, permanent residents,

00:09:38.220 all of that thing. And it ended up heavily overheating the rental market. And after when

00:09:44.780 Trudeau was kind of in the last couple of months in government before he stepped down, he had Mark

00:09:49.860 Miller, the then immigration minister, start winding down the TFW student visa rates. When

00:09:55.980 Mark Carney got in, he basically just held steady the decreases that Trudeau was already putting in

00:10:01.120 place, which lowered rents a bit. Now, this isn't really anything to brag about, considering the

00:10:06.640 fact that rents are still massively elevated compared to what they were just five years ago

00:10:12.520 and even five years ago canada was far more expensive to live in than anywhere in the united

00:10:17.880 states pretty much outside like new york city and san francisco but the second part there is he says

00:10:24.100 that wages have gone up every single canadian average salaries have gone up every month

00:10:29.240 canadian average salaries have increased and now the imf says that canada will be the second

00:10:35.640 strongest economy in the g7 this year and next we are growing canada strong no we're not the second

00:10:44.520 strongest economy according to the imf according to specific imf growth stats we might have the

00:10:51.960 second best growth in certain areas but that's considering we literally had a retracting economy

00:10:58.280 last year. I'm not sure if you know this, but it's like saying that, like, how do I even put

00:11:06.080 this? Basically, the liberals dug us into a hole and they want you to give them credit for climbing

00:11:11.440 out of the hole. That is what the growth is. That is what the IMF is saying is the second best

00:11:18.040 growth. Us simply getting back to par and pushing a little bit further when every country has been

00:11:24.680 growing every single year, not retracting like we have. Wages have not gone up. Average Canadian

00:11:31.200 wages have not gone up. This is just a consequence of the change Trudeau and Carney finally made to

00:11:37.500 immigration. We have less TFWs, which means that the amount of people in the economy making minimum

00:11:44.400 wage has gone down because we don't just have all these extra cheap laborers around for service

00:11:51.000 jobs, which means that if you take a couple hundred thousand TFWs out of the equation

00:11:55.400 on average, now the average Canadian makes more. Now, no one's actually gotten an increase in

00:12:02.360 their salary. It's just simply that we've lowered the amount of people working and we've mostly

00:12:08.860 taken them from the low end of the labor pool, meaning that we now have, I guess, technically

00:12:15.540 the median wage is higher, which means the average wage is higher. We can literally have not one

00:12:20.260 person being given a dollar more on their salary, and technically average wages have gone up. And

00:12:26.140 Maher Carney knows this. He's not a stupid man. He's an economist. He worked at Goldman Sachs. 1.00

00:12:33.520 He was at Brookfield, for goodness sake. Obviously, they know that this is like,

00:12:40.100 he knows that he's just fiddling with the numbers. But the last thing I want to do here is just get

00:12:45.020 over to the um do i want to do this yeah i guess we'll talk a little bit about cbc's coverage

00:12:51.720 on the pipeline issue again rosemary barton in like the worst crossover i've ever seen in my life

00:12:57.240 was on cbc power and politics with david cochran who are always in a competition to see who can be

00:13:03.860 like the worst host at the cbc every week but uh here's her talking to david cochran about the east

00:13:09.600 First is West fight going on.

00:13:11.900 Now, you know, as well as those conditions, the things that have to happen for the pipeline to get built,

00:13:16.720 I think there's all sorts of challenges, other political challenges that have opened up here.

00:13:21.540 And I presume the Prime Minister has thought of them, but I'm not sure how they are going to be resolved.

00:13:26.680 David Eby did not mince words in that statement.

00:13:30.600 And I would say that that statement might be shared by people in Quebec, too,

00:13:34.080 who believe that, which is where the Prime Minister has most of his power base, his political power base,

00:13:39.600 who believe that the prime minister is kind of bending over backwards

00:13:42.800 for a premier who has asked for a lot of things and is getting them in a very short timeline

00:13:49.840 no in fact danielle smith has not gotten a lot of anything and i'm not slagging danielle smith i

00:13:56.880 think she's being a little bit naive in signing this because in certain sense you're kind of

00:14:00.160 giving your tacit endorsement to the plan of mark carney when it's not being implemented for

00:14:04.960 potentially years uh but the idea that somehow alberta has been getting too much attention if

00:14:11.040 you look at the pro the map of major projects that have been approved for fast tracking

00:14:15.680 now many of them are like projects already you know 90 done or it's a small expansion to an

00:14:21.760 existing project regardless though yes they haven't really gotten that much done but what

00:14:26.960 they have gotten done is actually been concentrated outside of alberta alberta up until this pipeline

00:14:32.640 that is years away from even actually being approved and it probably isn't going to happen

00:14:37.760 is like the first one alberta has actually gotten but rosemary ignore her face here her face looks

00:14:45.520 very weird here but she is making kind of good points politically hacky points but points that

00:14:51.520 at least kind of indicate the attitude of the liberal base that mark carneau is more likely to

00:14:57.120 bend to at the end of the day than to the needs of Albertans. What does that mean then for the rest

00:15:03.440 of the premiers? How much does he have to try and placate them, including David Eby and others who

00:15:10.000 now say, okay, you've shown cooperative federalism works for Alberta because you're worried about

00:15:15.520 them staying in the country. What about the rest of us? And I'm not sure that I know how that's

00:15:22.000 going to unfold in the months ahead. Yeah. Now, of course, if you saw yesterday's show, David Eby

00:15:27.640 is currently trying to use the idea that Daniel Smith is threatening to separate from Canada

00:15:33.420 if she doesn't get what she wants. I mean, she's never done that. But we already have like the CBC

00:15:37.960 kind of giving that tacit nod to the idea that like somehow Daniel Smith is twisting the arm

00:15:43.480 of the prime minister and the prime minister is neglecting everybody else. That's incorrect. But

00:15:48.860 the part of what Rosemary said that is correct is the idea that, well, Mark Carney laid out

00:15:55.420 his priorities or his basically requirements for a pipeline. And that required buy-in from the

00:16:03.860 provinces and First Nations. Now, in a reasonable country, we would just say,

00:16:09.600 hack sand, we're building a pipeline anyways. I'm the prime minister, I have the power to do it.

00:16:13.280 But this is the requirements that Mark Carney has saddled himself with. And not only do we already have Mark Carney, sorry, David Eby basically saying no to the project, but as is reported in SICCA media here, we also have coastal First Nations remain absolute in opposition to West Coast pipeline.

00:16:34.520 Now, I know everyone's going to say that's not a real First Nations.

00:16:38.140 Yes, fact check, true.

00:16:40.500 But Mark Carney thinks they're a real First Nations.

00:16:43.060 He met with them.

00:16:43.700 He made his proposal to them about a pipeline.

00:16:46.500 And they do represent not a lot of tribes, but they do represent many bans.

00:16:51.460 And many bans not part of coastal First Nations are also against the pipeline, frankly, because it makes them money to oppose the pipeline.

00:16:58.060 And I'm not just talking about money that comes in from American nonprofits to stop pipelines.

00:17:02.980 I'm also just talking about consultation fees and other sorts of things like that.

00:17:08.100 The system of consultations makes bands a lot of money.

00:17:12.200 And a pipeline might actually make them less money because it's, you know, you don't need the money anymore.

00:17:18.820 You're economically sufficient.

00:17:20.120 You have a pipeline running through your territory.

00:17:22.680 You get some royalties from the oil and gas company.

00:17:25.240 But that doesn't have the big payouts attached to it that people like Stuart Phillip and those associated with the coastal First Nations want.

00:17:33.340 They want far bigger payouts that they can get on a one-time basis, but they can always gin something up in order to generate more.

00:17:41.960 So right now, Carney has signed something with Daniel Smith, where Daniel Smith is already agreeing to increase the industrial carbon tax for the chance in like two years that somehow he's going to be able to make a deal with David Eby and the First Nations to get the pipeline through?

00:17:59.980 I think not, because that is his requirement, and he said that he wants to get it and deal with unreasonable people, and that doesn't seem like a reasonable plan to actually get something done.

00:18:11.640 Anyways, well, so even Gilboa might be leaving, and it might actually not mean much of anything, which is kind of funny.

00:18:20.280 Mark Carney may lose his majority government, but he's not even doing it to get a pipeline built.

00:18:25.280 So that's not exactly a fantastic week for Mark Carney when this was supposed to be fairly triumphant.

00:18:31.560 But anyways, with that all being said, thank you guys for watching.

00:18:34.640 Make sure to like, share, subscribe, leave a comment with what you think,

00:18:38.700 and of course hit the join button if you want to become a member of the channel thank you to all

00:18:43.380 the members who are currently already there making the channel very sustainable for me

00:18:47.540 anyways with that being said i'll see you guys all later

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - May 16, 2026

3rd Liberal MP Resigning - Carney to LOSE his Liberal Majority (Chaos Ensues)

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