00:00:00.000Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and welcome back to the National Telegraph YouTube channel.
00:00:06.120I have the whiteboard broken out for this video because we will be going into the numbers on the
00:00:11.240specific issue that we're going to be talking about today, but it is not a national poll,
00:00:16.060it is an issue-specific poll, and that specific issue is Mark Carney's pipeline plan to build a
00:00:23.480pipeline from Alberta to the West Coast. Now, if you've been following the show,
00:00:28.500you know that I think that Mark Carney is not actually serious about building a pipeline.
00:00:33.940He wants to market himself as Mr. Pipeline while never actually having to get a pipeline in the
00:00:40.220ground. Now, Premier Danielle Smith has been very positive about the idea that this deal will
00:00:46.220actually go through. I don't think it's actually going to go through, but I also believe that
00:00:50.800Danielle Smith kind of has to be artificially positive about it, if anything, even a little0.68
00:00:56.200bit artificially naive about the whole thing, because if she doesn't act like it's going to0.99
00:01:01.340happen, the media are going to blame her for it not happening. So at the start of this video,
00:01:07.000I want to start with Danielle Smith answering a reporter's question, already trying to create the
00:01:13.660narrative that Albertans just didn't want it enough. And that's why this pipeline isn't being
00:01:18.780built. And then I want to go into the numbers of approval ratings for Mark Carney's current
00:01:23.960pipeline plan. And then I want to go to the House of Commons for a question that Conservative MP
00:01:29.640Jacob Mantle had asked the Liberals on the slow moving of all of the new major projects that they
00:01:36.420wanted to build. We were supposed to have projects being approved everywhere left and right. And the
00:01:42.320amount of projects that have actually been approved for fast tracking is very pathetic. And most of0.65
00:01:47.860these projects are not real in the sense that it's not like a full project being fast tracked. It's
00:01:53.080like little bits and pieces of a project being fast-tracked. But anyways, before I get into it,
00:01:58.300I just want to remind you guys, if you like the show, make sure to leave a like on this video,
00:02:02.540subscribe if you're not yet a subscriber, leave a comment with what you think about all this. Do
00:02:07.340you think a pipeline's going to actually get built? Do you think Danielle Smith's being played,
00:02:11.500or do you think she's just being smart in how she's conducting herself? And of course, if you
00:02:15.860want to become a member of the channel and help make the whole thing more sustainable for me,
00:02:20.280consider going below the video and hitting the join button and becoming one of the many monthly
00:02:25.820contributors that allows me to be less reliant on the YouTube algorithm. Anyways, let's get into it
00:02:32.080first with this video of Daniel Smith answering a reporter's question. I'm just curious, do you
00:02:38.780feel like Albertans and industry executives are viewing your negotiations with Mark Carney and
00:02:44.700ottawa through a little bit of trudeau colored glasses they are tainted by what's happened in
00:02:50.220the past and it's affecting how they're viewing what's happening right now it's i mean it's a good
00:02:54.480way of framing it because um when you have a different leader you have to take a different
00:02:59.860approach and i've seen differences in this leader compared to the the former leader and so i'm
00:03:05.580approaching our discussions from a spirit of of goodwill and in the belief that he genuinely wants
00:03:11.420to find a, you know, I remember, I think I've said this before, maybe not in front of the Edmonton
00:03:17.680Press Gallery, but when I talked to him about, we need to find a compromise so we can get to a
00:03:22.820solution on this, and he said, I don't want to compromise. I want to win-win. And that already
00:03:27.240is a sea change of difference in attitude from the previous prime minister. And everything I've seen
00:03:32.240so far has given me reason to believe that he's committed to that. So I'm working in good faith.
00:03:37.020I believe he is as well. And the proof will be once we land this MOU and everybody can see.
00:03:42.360Now, I don't actually think that she believes that the pipeline is going to get built, but I believe that she believes that she needs to believe that the pipeline is going to get built.
00:03:53.380Because if she doesn't like with what that reporter was trying to imply, well, isn't it that too many Albertans and business executives are looking at this deal with Trudeau colored glasses?
00:04:03.620The idea being that people in Alberta are just being too skeptical about this entire thing.
00:04:09.520Now, what Danielle Smith just articulated there, that Mark Carney is different because instead of saying that we need to come to a deal or a compromise, he said, no, I want to come to a win-win.
00:04:20.180Now, Mark Carney, his whole win-win strategy is what I've been describing as him saying yes while outsourcing saying no.
00:04:30.440There is building the pipeline because it's good for the country, and I'm sorry, but Quebec and the environmentalists and the First Nation Band Councils are going to have to lose on this one.
00:04:40.340Now, not all Indigenous Band Councils are anti-pipeline, but many of them are.
00:04:44.480But my point remains that there is no win-win here.
00:04:48.060There is a win for Alberta and Canada, and then there is a lose for all of the anti-pipeline people in Quebec, Toronto, the environmental groups, and the anti-pipeline Indigenous Bands.
00:04:59.940that is how it's going to be but Mark Carney constantly talking about oh we need to get this
00:05:04.260win-win is just the way of putting it off it's putting more barriers in front of the project
00:05:09.140and so the thing that Danielle Smith what will eventually aid her is the Canadian public coming
00:05:15.620in and just getting sick and tired of the fact that there's no momentum on this whole thing
00:05:20.720and nobody is going to blame Danielle Smith at the end of the day because look at her she's being1.00
00:05:26.780positively credulous about the entire thing. She is absolutely believing, at least performatively,
00:05:34.040that Mark Carney will actually come through. And that's where we are going to go onto the
00:05:38.480whiteboard because I want to talk about the new polling coming out of Angus Reid.
00:05:42.400This is with probably around a thousand or plus people. It is asking people, the specific question
00:05:47.840here I'm going to start writing down results from is, is the federal government doing enough to
00:05:53.060build a new pipeline or to build new pipeline capacity. So this is just overall all of the
00:05:59.280major projects, including a hypothetical West Coast pipeline from Alberta. Now, right now,
00:06:05.460let's go in reverse order. The amount of people who say too much, the government is doing too much
00:06:12.660to expand pipeline capacity. That would be your scoldy environmentalists, Quebecers who don't
00:06:20.520like Alberta and all of the people who, I don't know, just for some reason don't like
00:06:25.860energy, that represents actually, let's switch colors here just for the thematic element
00:06:32.500of all this, people saying too much is 21% of people who responded.
00:06:41.680Now, the amount of people saying that it's just right or about right, about right is
00:06:50.160obviously higher here, but it's not the highest result here. This one is 31%. 31% of people think
00:07:02.400that the government is doing about right in terms of trying to increase pipeline capacity.
00:07:07.680Now, there are those LNG expansions. Those are good. There's small pipeline kind of capacity
00:07:13.360increasing kind of projects that are going on around the country, kind of in British Columbia,
00:07:18.560mostly a little bit in Alberta. But like these are kind of small scale type projects. And we're
00:07:23.620going to be getting into that in the next clip a bit later on in the show in the House of Commons
00:07:27.880when Jacob Mantle is going after the Liberals for the extremely slow progress and new major projects.
00:07:33.140But I guess 31% are currently satisfied with the small increases in pipeline capacity. Now,
00:07:40.820too little people who think that we are not doing enough to actually increase pipeline capacity,
00:07:46.460if you add the two numbers currently together right now. It's the biggest of the numbers. So
00:07:52.540too little is currently sitting at... I should put it in red again because of the whole idea
00:08:01.260that's missing the mark. Right now too little is at 48 percent of Canadians. Now the interesting
00:08:10.060thing about these results right here is that in a lot of ways even though the people who argue
00:08:16.300too little and too much are completely in disagreement with what should be done with
00:08:20.660pipelines. They're spiritually connected here in the sense that they do not like what Mark Carney
00:08:27.140is doing. The problem with Mark Carney is he refuses to pick a lane, which is why right now
00:08:32.480his current approach is polling at 2% under one third. There is less than one third of Canadians
00:08:40.420who think that he is doing about a good, you know, about the right amount when it comes to
00:08:46.160increasing pipeline capacity in this country, which means that when you combine the numbers
00:08:51.220of people, we all do basic math here, when you combine the numbers of people who think it's too
00:08:56.080much and too little, that is 69% of Canadians who are not particularly happy with the Carney
00:09:04.960liberals performance on this issue. And you can't blame them. There's no real real life sort of,
00:09:11.980I guess, evidence that we've actually expanded our oil and gas production. And now that we are
00:09:17.720exporting and moving around more oil and gas products, frankly, if we were, we wouldn't be
00:09:23.740getting hit nearly as hard by the war in Iran, we would have our own domestic supply and our prices
00:09:30.160wouldn't be like, what is it, like 30 or 40% higher than the American prices, obviously adjusted
00:09:35.740from gallons to liters. We are paying way more, even though per capita in Canada, our oil and gas
00:09:43.000production per capita should be better than the United States overall, since there's many states
00:09:48.200where there's obviously zero oil and gas production and Alberta has some of the biggest reserves on
00:09:52.820the planet. But because the liberals have very restrictive policies on extracting oil and gas
00:09:58.700and then moving it around, we aren't actually doing all that well.
00:10:02.560So right now, Carney is sitting with 31% of people thinking he's doing a good job,
00:10:07.960and he's kind of in a bit of an impossible situation here,
00:10:11.560whereas the people who say too much and about right are the liberal base.
00:10:17.440Too liberal, too little doesn't really actually contain that many liberals in it.
00:10:22.600So if he starts doing more to expand pipeline capacity,
00:10:26.040the problem he will then be running into is that he will probably move a bunch of people.
00:10:31.260He will move people from too little to about right, but he'll move a bunch of people from
00:10:35.040about right to too much who live on the West Coast or who live in Quebec. And then he will
00:10:44.800one of the outgoing liberal MPs, Jonathan Wilkinson, the MP for North Vancouver Capilano,
00:10:51.560that guy, even on his way out, said, I think that Mark Carney is going to do the right thing.
00:10:56.040and that he's not going to force a pipeline onto the West Coast that does not want it.
00:11:00.680I'm paraphrasing him, but that's what he said, and that's what he has been saying for around several months now.
00:11:06.240He has been one of the big people who is very anti-pipeline,
00:11:09.920who's been very oddly happy with how Mark Carney's going about this,
00:11:14.560because he secretly knows Carney's never actually going to get a pipeline done.
00:11:17.760Again, he wants to be Mr. Pipeline with never actually having to get a pipeline done,
00:11:22.200and the way he does that is he keeps saying yes, but then says,
00:11:25.460Oh, but David Eby doesn't want to do it. Oh, but this random First Nations chief doesn't want to do it. Oh, but the Tides Foundation wants us to do another environmental review. That is how he's going to block it up as long as possible.
00:11:38.140But now, never you mind those numbers, we are now going to go to the House of Commons, where there was a very good interaction in question period. One of the MPs I'm growing to appreciate more and more is Jacob Mantle here, I believe he is from Ontario, sitting actually next to my MP for Calgary Signal Hill, David McKenzie on his left there.
00:12:01.600But Jacob Mantle does a good job of kind of summing up the new push that the conservatives are making to effectively just mock the liberals into submission in terms of their failure when it comes to actually getting pipelines built or just any major project at all.
00:12:16.500And the liberal response to this is quite telling.
00:12:20.180But overall, it kind of encapsulates the numbers that we've just gone over.
00:12:24.080There's not that many people who think the liberals are actually like our big sea change in terms of how projects are getting done.
00:12:32.300The speed to which they've increased things since Trudeau is like very difficult to calculate.
00:12:39.140It's so infinitesimally small. But here's Jacob Bantle.
00:12:42.000Mr. Speaker, CBC is reporting that the liberals will change the rules for resource development and pipeline approvals to allegedly try and speed them up.
00:12:49.800but forgive me we've been here before last year they promised big projects that's been never seen
00:12:55.160before if the minister was right we'd have projects coming out of everywhere but in that year no
00:12:59.720project has been approved in the national interest nothing has been fast-tracked not one anti-development
00:13:05.000resource law or tax has been removed it's beginning to feel a little bit like alice in wonderland where
00:13:09.320the rule is pipeline tomorrow pipeline yesterday but never a pipeline today so if that's not the
00:13:15.080case will he tell us when the next pipeline will be approved there was a pipeline being built from
00:13:29.880taylor to gordondale he would have heard there was an expansion of the largest pipeline system
00:13:35.240in british columbia he would have heard there was eight billion dollars just being spent in goose
00:13:40.200bay he would have heard there was 500 billion dollars being spent on a new wood farm in nova
00:13:45.000scotia he would have heard about the new transmission line between nova scotia and new
00:13:49.160barnswick i could keep going mr speaker they should listen a little more carefully yeah yeah
00:13:54.040these are not actually new projects many of these were expansions already in the works for like a
00:14:00.840decade and now they are finally being built it has nothing to do with the liberal government this is
00:14:05.880simply catch up that would have already been happening, whether Carney was Prime Minister
00:14:09.860or Trudeau was Prime Minister. Many of these are just LNG terminal expansions. They are just
00:14:15.960expanding the capacity of a current small-time pipeline. Now, I'm not anti those things happening,
00:14:22.640but these are the type of projects that you should be celebrating if you are the premier
00:14:28.420of a single Western province. If you were the premier of Saskatchewan or Manitoba or maybe
00:14:35.260British Columbia, you could kind of celebrate these things as wins if they weren't grossly
00:14:41.360behind schedule, which they are. But in terms of Canada's national economy, we are not expanding
00:14:47.140our economy much at all these days. In fact, our economy is actually shrinking. If you have seen
00:14:52.340the numbers, I will go now to a CBC article, as much as I'm loathe to do that. They report here,
00:14:59.340Canada's economy dropped 18,000 jobs in April as unemployment rose to six-month high.
00:15:05.260Now, maybe I'm just a persnickety one, but I feel like if we were actually building more new projects and our economy was going great guns, we wouldn't be losing month to month tens of thousands of people.
00:15:17.320In fact, since the beginning of the year, 2026, on net we have lost 112,000 jobs.
00:15:25.740We had a big fall in January, another big fall in February, I believe in March it ticked up a little bit, and then in April it fell again.
00:15:33.640And even this from the CBC is burying the lead a little bit. That is a net drop of 18,000 jobs. But the thing that's offsetting the drop a little bit is that we have a lot more people working part-time these days.
00:15:49.100it says, look right here, it says, the drop was concentrated in full-time jobs, which lost a net
00:15:55.400of 46,700 people, offset only by a gain of 29,000 jobs in the part-time sector. This is also why I
00:16:04.240do not like the CBC. The real headline is we lost a net 46,700 full-time jobs. I'm sorry, the part-time
00:16:12.460jobs, yeah, it kind of stomped, stops the bleedings. What is the thing? Staunch is the bleeding?
00:16:17.540some word like that. It slows the bleeding a little bit, but you don't replace... If I told
00:16:24.540you that we gained 10,000 jobs, let's say, in a month, but it turned out we lost 50,000 jobs,0.99
00:16:33.360full-time jobs, and we gained 60,000 part-time jobs, you'd probably call me an idiot, probably0.99
00:16:38.800because I would be pretty idiotic for saying something like that. No, you didn't gain jobs.1.00
00:16:44.320You have lower quality jobs. Now, the quality of jobs has fallen probably by at least half in terms of the amount of money they make, the benefits they bring, and the stability they provide a family. So, you know, get out of here with we only lost 18,000 jobs in April. We lost 46,700 net full-time jobs, and we have risen a little bit in terms of part-time employment.
00:17:24.100He likes to pretend that he understands the economy1.00
00:17:27.140because he's been in effectively just professional settings for a long time.
00:17:31.220He's been the governor of the Bank of Canada,
00:17:33.160where he only did a good job because he listened to Jim Flaherty.
00:17:36.680And I know MPs who were around at the time,
00:17:38.380And they said, yeah, if Jim Flaherty wasn't telling him what to do, Mark Carney was going to do what he later did as the governor of the Bank of England and just wanted to print massive amounts of money and stimulate the economy.
00:17:49.280That is what Barack Obama did as president after 2009, and it ended up having the United States economy recover extremely slowly from the housing crash, because it turns out just dumping money into the economy and printing it, inflating the currency, doesn't actually improve the economy.
00:18:07.900it just spreads the pain out a little bit. Again, what do I know? I was never a Goldman Sachs man
00:18:14.620and I never helped Justin Trudeau plow the economy into the side of a mountain. It proves
00:18:19.020that he has experience and I don't. I love his little stupid retort when Oliyev was chirping1.00
00:18:25.340him about not actually having a trade deal signed with the United States yet. You know, that thing1.00
00:18:30.340he promised to do at the end of last July, you know, July 2025 that we're coming upon the
00:18:36.500anniversary of in a couple months now. When Pauliev was chirping about that, Mark Carney's
00:18:42.380response was, well, when has he ever signed a trade deal? When has he ever negotiated a trade
00:18:48.220deal? You got him. You got him. I guess that's why he's not prime minister and you are. Now,
00:18:55.220how about show him, know what would really get under Pierre Pauliev's trade? Know what really
00:18:59.540is sticking his craw, you know, and get his goat and all those other, you know, random sayings.