The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - 87% Leadership Vote for Poilievre kills of Liberal media narrative of ＂disunity＂ inside the CPC

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and welcome back to the National Telegraph YouTube channel.

00:00:06.060 In this video, I want to break down some of the important things that happened

00:00:09.980 at the Conservative Party convention that took place in my home city of Calgary this weekend.

00:00:15.920 That was also the reason I didn't upload a video the last couple of days.

00:00:19.640 I was just so busy, I did not have the ability to actually film a video.

00:00:24.240 But we will be making up for it in the next few days by making way more videos,

00:00:28.440 breaking down a lot of the news that I missed covering.

00:00:31.980 But let's talk about some of the big things that happened this weekend,

00:00:35.680 starting off with the biggest piece of news, which is the results of Pierre Polyev's leadership review vote.

00:00:42.780 Pierre Polyev did really well in his leadership review,

00:00:46.120 but I do want to break down some of the nuance of why it came out as high as it did,

00:00:50.520 because I don't like to just present you a number and then say, oh, isn't that amazing?

00:00:54.180 I do want to actually tell you kind of how the sausage is made in this video a bit.

00:00:59.160 But surface level, as reported here by Mark Nixon, who I had a good time talking to at the convention,

00:01:05.540 he says, let this sink in.

00:01:07.940 Pierre Polyev, 87.4.

00:01:10.400 Stephen Harper, 2005.

00:01:12.500 84.6.

00:01:14.260 Not close, not debatable.

00:01:16.300 History made.

00:01:17.320 Yet the media keeps pretending conservatives are fractured.

00:01:20.380 Now, Polyev did get an impressively high leadership approval vote.

00:01:26.160 He had 87.4% of delegates who attended the convention voting thumbs up on his leadership,

00:01:33.120 with only, of course, 12.6% voting against him.

00:01:36.660 And that is probably some people out in eastern Canada,

00:01:40.360 maybe in parts of Nova Scotia, Newfoundland, New Brunswick,

00:01:44.400 probably not really New Brunswick, but, you know, Prince Edward Island,

00:01:47.100 a little bit of downtown Toronto and Quebec.

00:01:50.740 But 12.6% is so low, we're talking about maybe a few hundred people,

00:01:55.420 a couple hundred people voting no, and then thousands of people voting yes.

00:01:59.600 I didn't end up actually voting in this review because I was a delegate alternate,

00:02:04.980 which I was actually happy to be,

00:02:06.280 which meant I didn't actually have to be in any particular room to vote on stuff.

00:02:09.920 I could just kind of circulate and do my main task when I was there,

00:02:13.680 which was actually ferrying around 1BC leader Dallas Brody and introducing her to people

00:02:18.960 and trying to find common ground with some federal officials on issues that 1BC is tackling

00:02:23.820 in, of course, the province of British Columbia.

00:02:26.880 But with Polyev getting 87%, you have to remember that it might have been lower,

00:02:33.080 but obviously parties do try and make sure as many loyalists do show up.

00:02:38.160 Stephen Harper getting 84.6% would have also been achieved with him trying to encourage

00:02:43.720 as many people who like him to show up as possible.

00:02:47.760 So it is probably right that if we were to get a true approval rating for Pierre Polyev,

00:02:53.360 it's maybe around 82%, 80% if they didn't encourage as many people who really liked him to show up.

00:03:00.000 But it's still impressive numbers.

00:03:01.800 Back in 2005, if Harper had not probably been pushing for people to show up who would vote in favor of him,

00:03:07.460 probably would have 78% or 79%.

00:03:10.860 But overall, these are robust numbers.

00:03:14.100 We know this year what numbers are that are not robust.

00:03:18.280 John Rustad only getting 70.6% in his review vote for the BC Conservative leadership was bad.

00:03:26.360 Bonnie Crombie for the Liberals only getting 56% meant that she had to step down. 0.77

00:03:31.860 It might have also been 58%.

00:03:33.520 Merit Stiles, I believe, got 68%, and she is holding on to the Ontario NDP leadership by the skin of her teeth right now.

00:03:42.240 87%, extremely comfortable.

00:03:44.700 It sets up Polyev for a Mark Carney rematch.

00:03:48.140 I only went into the nuance of parties making sure loyalists show up,

00:03:52.400 because some people are saying this is disproving polling that showed that Polyev's approval rating among Conservatives was like 72% or 75%.

00:04:00.220 You do have to remember, though, that is Conservative Party voters, not Conservative Party members.

00:04:05.900 Members obviously have an extra incentive, or not incentive, that makes it sound nefarious in some way,

00:04:11.820 but they are more likely to basically see through negative reporting about Polyev for being kind of manipulative or fake or liberal propaganda.

00:04:20.360 So a member is more likely to like Polyev than a just normal supporter.

00:04:24.700 It would be like Mark Carney's approval rating inside the party among Liberal Party members is going to be like 92%,

00:04:32.040 considering that he won and he generally gives them all that they want.

00:04:35.460 But if you went to Liberal Party voters, it would probably be down around 83% or 84%,

00:04:40.300 because some people may have voted and are not like ride-or-die Liberals, and they now disapprove of him.

00:04:45.840 But I wanted to then move on to another thing that I think ends up, this is basically the thing I'm responding to.

00:04:53.880 Because look at this right here.

00:04:56.500 This is where I think people need to understand the nuances of these results.

00:05:00.900 This one guy, Kevin here, and there's no slag against him.

00:05:03.960 I understand the mistake people are making here. It's very understandable.

00:05:06.980 He says, Carney, 85% equals blowout win. Polyev, 87.4% equals survives.

00:05:14.520 The MSM knows what it is doing.

00:05:17.700 Now, I don't necessarily disagree with the reporting here, because yeah, they don't want to give Polyev the fact that he won an overwhelming,

00:05:26.440 he won like overwhelmingly in his leadership review vote.

00:05:30.040 But at the same time, it is a blowout win for Carney to get 85% in a leadership race.

00:05:35.520 Now, I don't think he actually won 85% of the vote, because if you look at that Liberal Party leadership race,

00:05:41.160 it was probably rigged.

00:05:43.080 At the very least, his opponents like Chrystia Freeland, and what was it?

00:05:47.420 People like, I don't even remember the other people.

00:05:51.120 They were so boring, I couldn't even think of them.

00:05:53.240 It doesn't matter.

00:05:54.120 There were other people running, apparently.

00:05:56.220 And Carney, it got 85% against people who weren't really trying,

00:06:00.240 but he was running against other opponents with pure poly if he's just running thumbs up or thumbs down.

00:06:05.820 But the media is getting absolutely shredded in terms of their narrative after this leadership review vote,

00:06:12.880 because they genuinely were trying to pretend like there was a chance that Polyev is only going to achieve 62%

00:06:19.260 and have pressure to step down, or he's going to only get 70%,

00:06:23.180 and it's going to indicate a Quebec MP is going to cross the floor,

00:06:26.840 or somebody else from the Maritimes, or somebody from the GTA area.

00:06:31.660 No, if anyone ends up leaving, it's simply because they have petty issues that have nothing really to do

00:06:37.940 with the party's direction or pure poly if it's an individual.

00:06:41.760 You know, there's always people who don't love the leader.

00:06:44.320 That's just called politics.

00:06:45.340 But there's nothing especially dysfunctional about the Conservative Party going on right now

00:06:50.400 under pure poly if it's leadership.

00:06:51.820 In fact, I would say the party has been trying to improve things internally.

00:06:55.520 Now, it's not perfect, but they've been taking at least baby steps in certain areas

00:07:01.100 in order to make nominations more transparent,

00:07:04.360 in order to try and restrict the leader's ability to put,

00:07:07.400 or not really the leader as much as the leadership team,

00:07:10.440 their ability to put their thumb on the scale of nominations.

00:07:12.780 Now, it is always annoying when I'm walking around the convention hall

00:07:16.240 and you'll see party consultants and, you know, campaign strategists

00:07:20.380 going to the constitutional session that happens at the convention,

00:07:24.360 and you have grassroots conservatives proposing these transparency measures

00:07:29.360 to make it so that if you kick somebody out of a party nomination like I was in Signal Hill,

00:07:34.100 that they do have to give you a reason for why you were kicked out

00:07:36.820 and they have to make it public.

00:07:37.780 You know, that it restricts the ability for them to kick people out

00:07:41.900 or measures that force them to basically, like, to not be able to appoint as many candidates.

00:07:47.860 But you have all these party consultants sitting on the other side of the room

00:07:50.180 just voting every single thing down.

00:07:51.880 It's like, well, that's funny.

00:07:53.580 That's funny that all these people who work for campaigns

00:07:55.860 are really in favor of people being disqualified or their guy being appointed

00:08:00.780 because, you know, as I just indicated there,

00:08:03.180 they know all these unfair party rulings don't typically go after the sort of candidates

00:08:08.980 that they back.

00:08:09.860 A lot of very, you know, professional lawyer, consultant, lobbyist types

00:08:14.700 who like to run for office because they're very networked.

00:08:17.140 But I'm not going to get into that.

00:08:19.000 Generally speaking, the policy that the Conservative Party had put forward

00:08:23.040 in the policy session was good.

00:08:25.160 There was one disappointing vote.

00:08:26.940 I found it very silly that people were saying it's too contentious

00:08:29.860 that basically say that it's not wrong for parents to, like, encourage their child

00:08:34.640 not to transition, like, you know, gender transition.

00:08:37.560 That's not conversion therapy.

00:08:38.900 That's, in fact, the reverse of it.

00:08:40.740 Transitioning a kid, especially somebody who, you know, as I'm indicating again, 0.99

00:08:44.900 is a minor, that's transitioning somebody.

00:08:47.640 That's conversion therapy.

00:08:49.200 Trying to teach a boy that they might be a girl or a girl that they might be a boy 0.90

00:08:53.140 and encouraging them to go down that line.

00:08:55.300 But you got people who stand up usually from, you know, very blue liberal type background.

00:08:59.860 And they say, this is contentious.

00:09:01.660 We can't do this.

00:09:02.440 We can't run on it.

00:09:03.200 It's like, guys, the moderate voter, quote unquote, they, in fact, support this type of stuff.

00:09:09.680 They don't want kids being indoctrinated with these type of ideologies in school.

00:09:14.020 They don't want boys and biological males in girl sports. 1.00

00:09:19.340 This stuff is extremely popular.

00:09:21.100 And people just need to basically, like, settle back.

00:09:24.020 Go, you know, go have a cup of coffee.

00:09:26.120 Go talk to people in real life.

00:09:27.460 They are, in fact, to the right of where most people think a moderate voter is.

00:09:32.380 The moderates are on, at the very least, the center right.

00:09:35.580 And they're at least somewhat socially conservative, at the very least, in reaction to just how progressive

00:09:42.240 our Canadian or government's institutions have gotten.

00:09:45.400 Just how much the kind of popular elitist culture has gotten.

00:09:49.380 But I'm going to go over a lot more of, like, the liberal reaction to all this and the polling that's gone on.

00:09:56.040 But in this video, I do want to highlight a couple of things I found interesting.

00:10:00.620 We will be breaking this down on the whiteboard in a different video.

00:10:03.760 But in the midst of all of the, I guess, hubbub around of poly of as a stable leader of the

00:10:12.620 Conservative Party is fractured, as Mark Nixon disputed in his post, rightfully so, we have

00:10:18.020 Polera Strategic Insights that released this polling result right before we went into the

00:10:24.440 convention.

00:10:25.400 Now, this is indicating that if there is a new federal election, all of the gains the

00:10:30.740 Conservatives got in the southwest of Ontario and in places in Newfoundland and Labrador

00:10:35.880 and in certain places of British Columbia and Winnipe and Manitoba, they're going to

00:10:40.360 hold on to them.

00:10:41.540 So let's look at this.

00:10:43.680 Polera Strategic Insights on X says, our deep dive on blue-collar workers finds many Canadians

00:10:49.960 will see the NDP as a party that does the most to help blue-collar workers.

00:10:53.740 But very few blue-collar workers themselves feel this way.

00:10:57.980 And now, that really demonstrates just, again, the disconnect between a lot of political watchers

00:11:04.480 and what people actually think.

00:11:07.140 This is whenever I hear, again, the myth of the moderate voter, the moderate voter who

00:11:10.900 wants you to be milquetoast and then they'll vote for you.

00:11:13.280 If a conservative is, you know, a little fiscally conservative and they don't talk about social

00:11:19.180 issues and they don't make a big deal about cultural issues, then this mythical moderate

00:11:23.140 voter will show up for you.

00:11:24.160 The same people who think that that is how moderate voters work, quote-unquote, they're

00:11:30.480 the same people who think that the NDP is like the party that really stands up for workers.

00:11:35.140 That is not how it works.

00:11:36.820 So look on the left here.

00:11:38.740 This is among all Canadians.

00:11:40.380 Non-blue-collar workers as well as everybody else answering this poll question on the left.

00:11:45.340 Who's helping blue-collar workers? 0.90

00:11:47.000 So right here, you see 19% of people select the NDP, 27% conservative, 15% liberal, 13% say none

00:11:56.020 of them, and 26% say don't know.

00:11:58.140 Now, even though the conservatives lead on this one, 27 to 19, that's still significant that the

00:12:05.200 NDP is at 19%.

00:12:06.540 That is disproportionately higher than they usually would be in a national poll.

00:12:11.360 And national polls these days, they're at like 9%.

00:12:13.000 So they're like, you know, 8% or 9%.

00:12:15.520 So they're overperforming in this poll by like 10% or 11% when you ask people who stands up

00:12:20.640 for blue-collar workers.

00:12:21.780 But then you look to the right and you actually ask blue-collar workers who stands up for them.

00:12:27.440 41% say conservative, 15% say liberal, 15% said none of them, and 11% say NDP, 18% say don't

00:12:36.460 know.

00:12:36.760 And this was a poll of 3,003 people.

00:12:41.640 Now, on the blue-collar workers' side, obviously, that's the subset of the overall 3,000.

00:12:47.600 Let's assume it's even a few hundred, 500 people who would classify them that way.

00:12:51.920 It's probably higher.

00:12:53.560 And the thing is, the reason why, that's not just significant, that's overwhelming.

00:12:59.260 41% nearly a majority, and that's including undecideds added into the poll.

00:13:03.960 Well, 41% believe the conservative party is the blue-collar party, and it has nothing

00:13:08.860 to do really with conservative policy.

00:13:11.480 Now, it kind of does, but I mean in a historical sense.

00:13:14.480 The conservative party hasn't moved left and become like the fist-in-the-air workers' rights

00:13:18.560 party.

00:13:19.120 We need to unionize and take down the corporate man. 0.97

00:13:22.420 Conservatives did not become like that.

00:13:23.880 And in fact, it's not even good for blue-collar workers to do those sorts of policies in government.

00:13:29.360 It just makes the entire economy worse.

00:13:30.860 But the conservatives are winning these people because they talk like blue-collar workers.

00:13:36.100 They respect them.

00:13:37.500 And so much of politics is about not just perception.

00:13:40.680 It's about aesthetic.

00:13:41.840 It's about how you talk.

00:13:43.400 The liberals are too corporate for blue-collar workers.

00:13:45.840 They're too much about the GDP and a lot of kind of Bay Street concerns about government

00:13:51.820 like stimulus for the economy to make sure that the growth rate stays high enough, although

00:13:56.100 they're not even doing well on that.

00:13:57.420 And the NDP is so kind of bloated and lethargic about its rights to the workers and down with

00:14:04.460 the oligarchs-type rhetoric that a lot of these blue-collar workers rightfully just find 0.99

00:14:08.980 it kind of dumb and communist. 0.80

00:14:11.480 And a lot of blue-collar workers are kind of guys that would listen to AM radio, would 0.99

00:14:15.400 listen to podcasts like this.

00:14:17.280 You know, don't care about the weird hipster-type podcast that the NDP stalwarts would be listening

00:14:24.620 to.

00:14:24.940 And so this is where I think that the Conservative Party is going to be looking far more robust

00:14:30.640 going into the next election than a lot of people think.

00:14:33.040 Now, again, here's another thing I'm going to bring up on screen that I'm not necessarily

00:14:36.180 going to fully talk about today because I think you'll find it interesting for me to

00:14:39.580 do a breakdown on it tomorrow.

00:14:41.440 But there was this poll that came out from ECOS, oddly enough, right before the convention,

00:14:48.280 that showed the Conservatives at like a massive deficit to the Liberals, like one where I think

00:14:55.780 even Liberal supporters would understand why I don't trust this poll.

00:15:00.780 Sorry, you're seeing me screw around on my computer trying to find this thing.

00:15:03.380 Uh, I should probably remove that while I'm looking around.

00:15:08.500 Uh, what do we have here?

00:15:10.340 Okay, there we go.

00:15:11.800 So here is the new ECOS poll with 1,300 people surveyed, 44% Liberal, 30% Conservative, 14% NDP,

00:15:22.460 5% Block, 4% Green, and 2% PPC.

00:15:28.600 Now, I don't think most pollsters are out there to manipulate public opinion until I see polls

00:15:35.740 like that.

00:15:36.940 The ECOS is a PR firm, and it's so clear that the media and many polling institutions these

00:15:41.920 days just want Carney to have his majority.

00:15:45.680 Isn't it kind of funny at the same time when the media is speculating if Polyev is not going

00:15:50.120 to do well enough in his leadership review?

00:15:52.340 We have these poll results being farted out into the public, basically showing that Polyev's a 0.94

00:15:57.020 disaster, and look, he's down 14 points, and even the NDP is at 14 points, so they're almost

00:16:03.880 closer to the Conservatives, and the Conservatives are closer to the Liberals.

00:16:08.120 The Block's only at 5%, that doesn't even make sense.

00:16:12.480 The Parti Québécois provincially in Quebec right now is doing great.

00:16:16.800 They're leading the pack by 12 points, and there's like six parties that run in

00:16:20.100 Quebec.

00:16:20.420 That's a massive lead in a very cramped political environment like that, and the Block is only

00:16:25.660 at 5%, which would translate to them getting absolutely destroyed by the Liberals.

00:16:30.940 They'd be like trailing them by like 16 points or something like that, or 17 points.

00:16:35.880 No, this is not how public opinion moves, unless you're a propagandist trying to manipulate

00:16:40.940 public opinion.

00:16:42.060 You're giving articles for the Cult MTL and the Toronto Star to write up about how Polyev's

00:16:47.300 in a disastrous position, so that the voter in the middle who's thinking about voting

00:16:52.460 Conservative because they don't really like the lack of deliverables that the Liberals

00:16:56.380 have brought, but this is meant to scare them.

00:16:59.580 Make them think, well, I can't vote for them, and I want to vote for what a lot of people

00:17:04.080 seem to be wanting to go for, and then they'll go and throw their lot in with the Liberals.

00:17:07.920 Now, let's be clear.

00:17:09.480 This does not affect most voters, but it does affect marginal voters, and that is why propaganda

00:17:14.940 like this does need to be called out.

00:17:16.660 Yes, it's not going to change the votes of 3% or 4% of people, but, you know, when you

00:17:21.680 have a tight election and people are winning ridings by only like 100 votes or something

00:17:25.320 like that, bandwagoning does get people to vote a certain way, and if they can create

00:17:30.540 an artificial bandwagon effect, maybe they can move some voters from the Conservative category

00:17:35.240 over to the Liberals artificially.

00:17:37.880 Anyways, with that all being said, I will be back in the future to break down some more

00:17:41.840 numbers, break down some more reactions to the convention, some really egregious media

00:17:46.240 commentary around it, but I don't want to do it while I'm as tired as I currently am,

00:17:51.860 but thank you all for watching the show.

00:17:54.400 Thank all of you who showed up to the Ranchman's event that the pleb graciously organized for 0.99

00:17:59.380 all of the creators to meet a bunch of people.

00:18:01.820 Thank you for everyone who, you know, came up to me, said hi, took a photo.

00:18:04.780 I was very, very grateful that everyone was able to, you know, I was able to talk to so

00:18:09.100 many people and that you guys actually do appreciate the show.

00:18:11.860 I am kind of shocked how many people can, like, reference things I said, like, months

00:18:16.060 ago that I even forgot I said.

00:18:18.200 Apparently, a lot of people have a much more photographic memory than even I do.

00:18:22.480 Anyways, thank you guys for watching, like, share, and subscribe, and I'll see you all later.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - February 02, 2026

87% Leadership Vote for Poilievre kills of Liberal media narrative of ＂disunity＂ inside the CPC

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