The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Alberta by-election results stream!

00:00:00.000 Ahoy, everybody. I am here to, I guess, go over the results of the Alberta by-election.

00:00:08.960 Sorry for being a little bit late, folks. We are going to be tracking this all on the

00:00:15.920 Elections Alberta website. They actually have a really good little reporting thing right

00:00:20.920 here for us to watch. And it's probably, I don't know, it's going to be interesting.

00:00:25.640 I've been predicting that we're going to have the UCP win Edmonton-Ellersley. But then

00:00:32.500 the other one we're going to be tracking tonight is down here. It is Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills.

00:00:39.040 Edmonton-Strathcona is going to go NDP. It's just, it's literally the oldest NDP seat in

00:00:45.460 Alberta. Literally, back when the NDP only won like two to three seats in every election,

00:00:51.640 that was the one that they would win. Like Grant Notley, Rachel Notley's father had that seat before

00:00:59.240 she had it. And now it's going to Nenshi. Again, you could, a glass of water with the NDP label on

00:01:07.620 it would win Edmonton-Strathcona. But Ellersley, that's a riding that back in like 2012, the PCs

00:01:13.160 used to win in Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills. That's a super conservative riding. But why that one's

00:01:18.440 interesting is, of course, we have the RPA here, which is the Republican Party of Alberta, who

00:01:23.800 in like the first two out of 60 polls counted, we already have 27 votes RPA, 108 for the UCP,

00:01:32.420 which is actually not too bad of a result for them. Like what percentage is that if I add that all up?

00:01:37.640 Um, so out of 150 votes,

00:01:46.280 they have like 18% of the votes so far, which I think is around enough for them to pretend that

00:01:54.960 they're successful. We'll get more into that as we go. But right now we have effectively very few

00:02:00.540 votes counted. Um, but yeah, this is what by-elections are always like. It's just very boring, not much

00:02:06.980 being counted. Anyways, okay. So how is everybody doing? Uh,

00:02:20.080 why is this just started that it was 43 minutes ago? Did I miss a bunch? No, you did not. I literally

00:02:25.340 started about 43 seconds ago. Provincial election coming up in Newfoundland, praying

00:02:35.900 uh, Tony Wakeman and the PCs win. I have honestly not been following that very closely. So I will

00:02:42.620 look into it. A funny thing is Newfoundland and Labrador in a lot of ways has become a lot like

00:02:48.720 Alberta in the sense that it's an oil and gas province now. So even the liberals have to be

00:02:53.940 somewhat pro-oil and gas out there.

00:03:04.660 And no, this is not the by-election for pure poly of, I saw some people bringing up,

00:03:10.640 I actually couldn't remember the writing name earlier when I made a video today. It's Battle

00:03:14.860 River Crowfoot. I don't know. I think I was thinking Battle Ferds, which is in Saskatchewan. And for some

00:03:19.660 reason I couldn't get that out of my mind. I didn't say it wrong. I knew I wasn't, I didn't know it.

00:03:23.800 So I admitted it, but yeah. Uh, HUD says, are we going to see a federal election in under two years

00:03:30.560 in your opinions? Uh, I think potentially, it depends on what happens because obviously,

00:03:36.680 um, the main two players in calling the election are going to be the liberals themselves

00:03:41.140 and the NDP. The Bloc Québécois, I think are perfectly happy to have an election whenever,

00:03:47.340 because I think they want to win back territory. So if the liberals mess up, they're perfectly fine

00:03:51.880 pulling the plug. I think the NDP, as much as I think Don Davies is a twit, just as basically most

00:03:58.160 NDP leaders tend to be across the country. I think he, as a former Teamsters lawyer, understands that

00:04:05.580 if you're going to run the NDP, then your main goal is getting more seats for the NDP. That doesn't

00:04:11.920 sound shocking, but it's just, you know, that that's, it's so it's shocking from the perspective

00:04:17.740 that for however long, uh, from 2019 or 2018 until 2025, Jagmeet Singh ran the NDP to basically

00:04:26.580 keep the liberals in. It was stupid. If you're, again, I don't like the NDP at all, but if you're

00:04:31.780 going to be the NDP leader, you pull the plug on the liberals whenever you have the advantage to

00:04:36.520 gain seats. That's what Jack Layton did in 2004, 2008, 2011, and probably would have done it again

00:04:43.300 if he hadn't died. But that's where you need to, like, if you're running a party, your goal is to

00:04:49.020 gain, get more power for your party. If you have a goal other than that, you shouldn't be running a

00:04:54.960 party. Uh, Marco Perusa says for $5 in a super chat, how does Pierre need to adjust his message now

00:05:02.640 that he's running against a Harper style conservative with a liberal caucus support,

00:05:06.840 AKA Mark Carney. And that's not actually a bad way of, of phrasing that. And again,

00:05:12.640 thank you for the $5 super chat, Marco. I think that, yeah, here's, I keep repeating it in videos.

00:05:18.100 Hopefully you guys don't get tired of it. Mark Carney is not a flashy guy. He's not going to,

00:05:23.620 if he succeeds, it's going to be in a way that makes middle-class people who voted for him in this

00:05:28.980 last election comfortable enough to stick with him. And so if there's a new election called,

00:05:34.360 if he's doing a good enough job from a liberal perspective, he can hold onto his voters.

00:05:39.660 And then I would say that, um, at the same time, cause he's not flashy, he's not going to blow up

00:05:45.640 on the tarmac, explode on the tarmac the way Trudeau did. And so that means, as I've been saying,

00:05:50.980 if Polly wants to win, they can't run what I would consider a very safe campaign. Like they did this

00:05:56.780 last time, the conservatives have been running safe campaigns for, for elections straight.

00:06:02.000 And when safe, when I say safe, the funny thing is safe doesn't mean you're going to win. It just

00:06:06.580 means that you don't take risks by speaking out on certain topics. I keep saying, and I know so many

00:06:12.120 people disagree with me. If the conservatives would run a little pro-life, it would actually help.

00:06:17.660 Obviously, if they ran more severely against taxes and regulations and immigration, they'd also do

00:06:23.040 better. But I was, but to be clear, it all it's very, it would be very intelligent for them to

00:06:28.920 run a little pro-life because guess what? The conservative party base has nothing to do with

00:06:33.480 the people who show up and cheer for Polly at rallies. Those are pure Polly fans. They might also

00:06:39.220 be base conservatives as well. People have been voting conservative for 30 years. But when I say

00:06:43.780 they're not the base, your base is the biggest portion of your vote that you can pretty much

00:06:49.000 guarantee if you're doing things right. And those people, I would always stereotype. A stereotypical

00:06:55.820 conservative voters historically is someone between the ages of 50 and 70 Baptists or Presbyterian

00:07:03.700 people who are pro-life, want lower taxes. They care about fiscal responsibility. And if you actually

00:07:10.960 speak out on some of those issues, if you talk about lowering immigration significantly, if you introduce

00:07:15.840 some things restricting MAID or assisted suicide or have some small pro-life legislation, they're

00:07:23.300 going to turn out in rates of 80 to 90% rather than in this last election where I think those base

00:07:29.400 conservatives turned out at 75%, 70%. It matters when turnout matters. And you need to say certain

00:07:36.940 things to your base to make sure they turn out. Where when certain MPs like Arnold Veerson, who's a great

00:07:42.380 pro-life MP up in Northern Alberta, when he seemed to be sidelined because he said pro-life things on a

00:07:48.040 pro-life podcast? Who could imagine a pro-life MP may say something pro-life on a pro-life podcast?

00:07:53.520 When he was silenced and basically it went around that conservatives are now being told don't say

00:07:58.140 anything pro-life, you made, you know, Bill and Jane a little less likely. Those 60-year-old pro-life

00:08:06.300 Christians, you made them a little bit less likely to show up. And so that group, although they show up and

00:08:11.760 vote conservative consistently, they show up in the numbers that you would normally want.

00:08:21.160 Canadian Classic Silver said, PPC platform items, Wyatt, you had your chance? The PPC had its chance.

00:08:27.700 Running on the right things doesn't mean you're doing it right. It just means that you have a website

00:08:32.320 that has, you know, the Christian Heritage Party has had all the right policies, you know, in, I haven't

00:08:38.440 read all of them. But in my opinion, the Christian Heritage Party has a lot of great policies. That

00:08:43.040 doesn't mean they're doing the right things to get elected. Maxime Bernier is not a serious candidate.

00:08:48.200 He just had a leadership review where only like 3,000 people voted and he only got 79% of their

00:08:52.800 support. And now he's going to stay on. And when I say only 79%, that's insane because the PPC is

00:08:58.180 effectively a badly run cult. And somehow he still only can get 79% of his own people to vote for him.

00:09:03.820 And most of their membership has just dissolved. It doesn't matter. I don't care what's on their

00:09:09.280 website. What you say is your platform is supplementary to how serious you are at actually

00:09:14.980 getting that platform implemented. I could start the Wyatt Claypool party where, surprise, surprise,

00:09:19.900 it's super conservative. And I agree with 100% of it. But if I'm not actually going to run in every

00:09:24.720 riding, and if I'm not going to actually put up serious campaigns, you should think I'm insulting

00:09:29.540 your intelligence by putting up all these great things on my website. And then I'm going to sit back and

00:09:33.620 say, oh, I really shook the camera there. If I just sat back and said, people should elect me.

00:09:38.800 And if they don't, they're idiots because I have the best platform. But anyways,

00:09:43.080 Space Dave 2000 for $2 says, sorry, but Gen Z was disenfranchised last election.

00:09:49.120 Well, in part because Gen Z didn't show up and I'm Gen Z and I got a little bit annoyed that Gen Z was

00:09:55.380 like sluggish, but maybe this is where the conservatives should have been taking more,

00:09:59.140 you know, risks on doing things on podcasts and going on TikTok and whatnot. I don't like TikTok,

00:10:06.140 but the party should probably be on it pretty consistently.

00:10:11.220 Adam Romero says, I think pro-life would likely turn away a lot of swing voters. I think that it

00:10:15.700 would be, it would only solidify people who were already voting conservative rather than attract new

00:10:19.740 support. You would, you would be wrong because there's a lot of, I would call upper middle class,

00:10:25.960 retired people who vote liberal because it seemed like the patriotic option this time around.

00:10:31.640 They don't really notice a big difference between the conservatives and the liberals on a lot of

00:10:35.620 issues, but they like the temperament of Carney because he's palm, but know how you actually get

00:10:41.220 those people jarred out of voting that way. You say that guy's party literally voted against

00:10:48.040 upgraded sentencing for murdering pregnant women. We're going to, we're going to implement that.

00:10:52.200 If we get government, we're going to slant, we're going to absolutely hammer off criminals who kill

00:10:56.320 pregnant women. If you do that, you will gain a lot of their support. If you confront Carney on the

00:11:00.600 debate stage and you say, why is your party against banning sex selective abortion, killing a child

00:11:06.360 because of what sex it is. And for some reason, the family doesn't want it that way. That would put

00:11:10.960 the Carney liberals in a very weird position where now these, you know, mild temperamented older voters

00:11:17.960 who are the people who are guaranteed to probably watch the debates. If they see that, they'll be

00:11:22.080 like, what's wrong with Mark? Just say you're against it. If you ran on getting men out of

00:11:26.980 women's sports, and that was a really big thing that you emphasize consistently, you would get a

00:11:31.540 lot of, again, those mild tempered people who just watched their granddaughter, you know, in a race or

00:11:36.700 something like that, or they just watched her hockey team. And then they realized the Carney's liberals

00:11:40.280 aren't willing to get males out of their sports. You would get so many people showing up to slam dunk

00:11:46.140 ballots in the ballot box for the conservatives because they hate that sort of thing. Don't let,

00:11:49.980 and this is where I find a lot of conservatives can sometimes be almost self-deceived a little

00:11:54.900 bit. You are convinced that that would be, and I'm not saying this in like any jab at somebody, but

00:12:00.700 don't let yourself be taken in. You know, if you talk to 80% of people, they probably agree with you

00:12:06.400 on certain things around gender theory and pro-life issues. You know, sex selective abortion polls that

00:12:11.880 more than 80% approval in terms of banning it. Same thing with a lot of these other

00:12:16.120 minor pro-life policies. Late-term abortion bans would be super popular. Don't listen to the

00:12:21.500 mainstream media saying, hmm, women aren't going to like that. What women are they talking to? Women

00:12:27.060 are disproportionately pro-life compared to men. It would actually be a big win to do that. 25% of

00:12:33.180 Canadians are hardcore pro-life, and then up to 80% are somewhat pro-life depending on the policy

00:12:38.860 you propose. Again, it's very smart to do this, but I'm just going to do this last super chat. I'm

00:12:45.880 going to answer, by the way, guys, you do not have to super chat things for me to answer questions. I

00:12:50.040 will answer questions I see come up. If I don't answer your questions, it's not because I'm ignoring

00:12:54.180 you. It's just tons of stuff come up. Marco Prusa says, for $2, do you think Carney makes

00:12:59.120 non-tariff deal with Donald Trump? Potentially, I'm not sure if Trump's going to move off of the

00:13:05.760 baseline 10%. If he gets some deal that benefits Canada, obviously he will benefit politically.

00:13:11.640 This is, again, why the conservatives need to run on a really big vision that basically

00:13:16.620 wants big changes on taxes and regulations and immigration and culture issues. If they

00:13:22.540 do that, they can sidestep these small Carney wins that he's going to get. If Carney is the

00:13:29.180 one who ends up basically fumbling the deal by being too aggressive on, well, I'm going to

00:13:35.580 protect the dairy industry, I think you're actually going to tick off a lot of Canadians saying,

00:13:39.120 you're the deal maker. You can't do it this way. Some random Albertan says, what are the

00:13:44.840 by-election results? Well, we are getting to that. Oh, and I'll also maybe mention that

00:13:50.660 Megan Sky Phoenix says, whatever happened to the defamation case against you, it's ongoing.

00:13:56.140 The guy suing me, Ted Joe, you can go look up Ted Joe in the Globe and Mail. There's a whole article

00:14:01.200 about him, which he's suing us for merely referencing in another article. He ended up having his own

00:14:08.040 legal team apparently quit on him and he's had to get a new legal team. And so everything is just

00:14:14.080 chaotic, but it's good for us. So in Edmonton, Strathcona, we see here, Nenshi has 608 votes.

00:14:23.840 We have the Alberta Party, five votes, 13 for the Libs, Republican Party of Alberta, seven,

00:14:28.800 UCP, 75. This is not at all surprising. I guarantee you the UCP borderline put no effort into that

00:14:35.860 riding because again, it's so default NDP. It would be like the NDP trying hard in Didsbury

00:14:41.280 Three Hills. They did not try here. That's why they only have 59 votes. And the Republican Party

00:14:47.300 of Alberta has 55 votes, UCP 213. I'm going to say if the Republican Party of Alberta comes in third

00:14:55.300 place here, that is probably going to spell the end of their donor base because really what this is,

00:15:02.220 is the Republican Party of Alberta expecting to win Olds Didsbury Three Hills? Not at all. There is

00:15:08.380 not a chance that they are going to win that one. The problem is, is that if they don't do well

00:15:13.540 enough, the people willing to give them money and volunteer to grow the party are going to say,

00:15:17.920 what's the point? They only got 10% and they seem to dump tons of resources in this area.

00:15:22.920 Another interesting one, guys, is Edmonton Ellerslie. Again, the old progressive conservative

00:15:27.680 party won this riding back in 2013. Ever since then, it's been a pretty NDP riding. Last election

00:15:33.460 with Rod La Jolla, who is a full-on communist, like not even exaggerating, is an identified

00:15:38.700 pro-Marxist socialist. That guy got 61% of the vote last election. Now, right now, it's only three

00:15:46.440 out of 55 polls reporting, but it's 71 NDP to 42 UCP. Early going, it could tighten up. If the UCP win

00:15:56.460 that, it's a major coup for them. Even if they get close, it's very good. Because remember,

00:16:01.840 the last election results were extremely, like, were extremely good for the NDP. And if it gets

00:16:07.740 tight, that is a really bad problem. That's a really, sorry, I'm looking up the Edmonton Ellerslie

00:16:18.380 riding results. But if it becomes close, that's a massive issue for the NDP, that their new leader

00:16:26.380 is actually causing them to start becoming, like, you know, putting them at risk in this

00:16:31.420 new, in Edmonton, that's a big problem. So I'm just looking up. In 2023, to give you the exact

00:16:37.780 numbers, Rod La Jolla for the NDP had gotten 61.75% of the vote, and Ranjit Bath for the UCP got

00:16:45.960 36.83%. So I would say if, you know, let's say Danielle Smith can get the UCP in that riding up

00:16:54.480 till, let's say, like, 45%, that's looking really good. 9% improvement in the city of Edmonton,

00:17:01.000 where the UCP do not win any seats. Very good. And if the Republican Party of Alberta then comes below,

00:17:08.560 let's say, if the Republican Party of Alberta comes below 20%, that's not very good. If they come below

00:17:15.020 15%, they're dead. If above 20%, they can maybe make the argument to a lot of separatists in Alberta,

00:17:22.360 pro-independent Albertans, that they are the proper vehicle to be voting for in a provincial election.

00:17:28.720 I'm going to try and remain pretty neutral on that.

00:17:33.920 Jaron Swickle says, go Nahid Nenshi. He needs to be the Premier of Alberta and send Smith packing. Well,

00:17:39.600 sorry, Jaron, but the person who is most likely to prevent Nenshi from getting into office is Nenshi

00:17:45.900 himself. Helen says, we need someone to do what Charlie Kirk did for the US election. Well,

00:17:53.140 that's honestly what I'm kind of attempting to do with my own website. It's very early going because

00:17:57.720 I'm like one guy. I'll drop a link in the description below if you guys want to sign up.

00:18:02.260 There's like over a thousand people watching. WyattClaypool.com, sort of like CharlieKirk.com

00:18:07.320 or FreedomAtCharlieKirk.com. What I'm trying to do is make sure I gather as many pieces of data as

00:18:12.900 possible on my website. So if nominations come up around the country, like with Charlie Kirk and

00:18:17.960 TPUSA, I can start pointing people towards really good candidates in nominations that are going to

00:18:24.500 guarantee conservative wins for the right policies and reasons. I don't want the conservatives to win

00:18:30.500 just for the conservatives to win. I want the conservatives to win to do good things. It's

00:18:34.960 like why in Ontario, I back the new blue party of Ontario. Doug Ford sucks. He is not even an

00:18:42.040 improvement over Kathleen Wynne. He is merely turning the Kathleen Wynne liberal party color blue.

00:18:48.300 They aren't doing anything. Even the other day when he was finally going after band councils, Doug Ford,

00:18:54.460 he then walks it back within the same day and says, oh, I'm kidding. Oh, I apologize. I was being rude.

00:18:59.500 It's like, why apologize? You were right. Band councils are deeply corrupt across Canada,

00:19:05.400 taking massive amounts of money, do not support their own people. And then they come,

00:19:08.740 like he said, hat in hand, looking for more money to support their really bad spending habits.

00:19:17.960 SpaceDave2000 for $2 says, Alberta has shifted disturbingly left in 20 years. And sort of,

00:19:24.300 I think it's the culture of the country in general. 20 years ago, or especially 25 years ago,

00:19:29.500 the liberals federally were cutting spending. We had spending cuts in British Columbia under the BC

00:19:35.960 liberals. We had, you know, of course, Ralph Klein's paying off the debt in Alberta. I think

00:19:41.320 the entire country, especially on a fiscal level, has moved more big government.

00:19:48.120 L. Robertson says, Nenshi wasn't exactly a star in Calgary, so don't understand why Strathcona thinks

00:19:53.200 he would be any better. No to Nenshi for Premier either. Again, it's just that it's simply a very

00:19:58.760 easy riding to win if you're the NDP. It is a default riding, which kind of looked pathetic

00:20:04.620 that they put him in Strathcona and they didn't have him run, I guess, in Ellerslie. That would have

00:20:11.300 been more, I think that would have been more of a statement that he can win swing ridings. Ellerslie

00:20:17.480 isn't exactly a swing riding. It is a safer NDP riding, but in theory, it could be lost. If he

00:20:23.720 ran there, it would demonstrate he has some, you know, he has some sort of fortitude. Nenshi

00:20:29.880 is, that's the funny thing about Nenshi. He talks tough, but he's an absolute coward in practice,

00:20:35.720 and that's why he ran there. Someone is calling me a glowy shill. I guess I mean, federal shill or

00:20:58.240 some sort of like, you know, I'm a CSIS agent or whatever. Also, the funny thing with Daniel Smith

00:21:03.560 is, I will criticize Danielle Smith. I literally voted against her in the leadership review

00:21:07.940 in 2024 or yeah, 2024. Not because I hate her or anything like that. I would actually vote in

00:21:14.940 favor of her in a new leadership review, but at the time they had lower taxes. There was a lot of

00:21:19.520 overspending in a lot of areas, and I don't like their current budget, but at least they cut taxes.

00:21:24.340 And that was my, that was my red line. If you guys cut taxes, I'll get back on side. And they did

00:21:29.380 that. And I would like them to do better on many files. But overall, they've at least made some

00:21:34.240 improvements. They got rid of certain people in cabinet shifted them to lower level positions

00:21:39.300 who were big into DEI stuff. That's good. But yeah. Scotty says you should change the name of

00:21:47.040 your channel, maybe why it works or something like that. I just, I just keep it National Telegraph

00:21:51.800 because it's always been that way. And in general, I'm not, you know, it's better for branding.

00:21:57.140 It's harder to sell Wyatt merchandise because I feel like that's weird to like get people to like

00:22:01.200 wear Wyatt merch if I ever sell stuff. Although I don't have any at the moment, but here's some

00:22:07.440 updates on the, on the election results and the by-elections in Alberta. So Edmonton Ellerslie

00:22:15.300 top line, NDP 364, UCP 205, LIBS 26, Republican Party 22. Strathcona, NDP 1037, UCP

00:22:27.140 142. Again, not really worth looking at. And in Old Didsbury 3 Hills, it's 576 to 180 for the

00:22:36.200 Republicans. So UCP leading the Republicans 180, NDP coming up the rear with 163. Again, I'm

00:22:43.680 interested mostly to see if Edmonton Ellerslie can be won by the UCP. I was predicting that they

00:22:50.340 could potentially win this riding. If not, sucks, I guess. But again, this is still a big improvement

00:22:55.860 overall.

00:23:00.860 So Swayze says EB is a serious concern though. He knows he's the reason for no investment. It's like

00:23:25.100 the mob style shakedown. And you're right. In BC, EB recently said, oh, I'm fine with a pipeline.

00:23:33.360 There just needs to be, it just needs to be fully privately funded. And that would be fine. But

00:23:40.300 provincial and federal taxes and regulations suck, which means that it's incredibly difficult to get

00:23:46.180 private funding together for a pipeline. Plus EB and Mark Carney are basically saying, okay, but you

00:23:52.260 also still have to go through the indigenous consultations and environmental consultations

00:23:56.480 and you have to follow all these other regulations, blah, blah, blah. And so no private company is going

00:24:01.520 to invest because the only reason a business case doesn't exist is because the government makes it

00:24:05.980 borderline impossible to actually have a pipeline or some oil and gas or mining project that is

00:24:13.900 profitable within the vision of even the long term. It is like the extreme long term these things would

00:24:19.740 be profitable. Again, not because they're bad projects. It's because, yeah, it's not because

00:24:27.060 these are bad projects that they're not getting funding. It's because they are like actively being

00:24:33.780 held down by the government. It's like when you pay as a business, like 25% corporate taxes or

00:24:39.800 whatever, 33% corporate taxes in Canada, plus you pay business taxes on a provincial level, plus income

00:24:46.140 tax are high, plus regulations are high. Nothing. There's no business case for anything except these

00:24:51.200 guys dump subsidies into green projects, which there's definitely no business case for because

00:24:55.420 they don't exist without the, without both the tax credits and direct subsidies.

00:25:12.700 Valerie Keefe says, selective regulatory holidays equals subsidies. Take some econ glowy.

00:25:18.280 I'm not sure what this person's on about.

00:25:22.760 Mega Mug says, what is the point of the Wild Rose loyalty coalition in your opinion, Wyatt?

00:25:27.980 And yeah, the Wild Rose loyalty coalition is what you'll see on the right there. And I don't think

00:25:33.800 there's any point. I think it's just Paul Hinman's passion project party in which, not even passion

00:25:40.440 project, just like grudge party. He doesn't like the UCP and he doesn't like any of the other people

00:25:46.060 in the independence movement. Like a lot of the guys, here's the thing, small part, having a small

00:25:51.160 party and I'm not against small parties, but just because someone's running a small party doesn't

00:25:56.120 mean they're humble. You can get some massive narcissists running small parties. Uh, I think

00:26:01.460 I got a sign for one of the small parties in BC back during the election. It was the freedom party

00:26:06.480 again, badly run, but the, the guy who runs it believes he's like Napoleon. It's a, it's an,

00:26:13.120 it's obnoxious.

00:26:26.120 Valerie says soulless propagandists ignore actual news. Fain non-understanding and take another jab. Uh, yeah,

00:26:34.220 because your, your messages are broken up. Don't make much sense and give me nothing to work with

00:26:38.620 here. I, I, I'm not even sure what this last message meant with the selective regulatory holidays.

00:26:44.080 I know that like regulatory, like having, giving out subsidies, like subsidies come in many forms,

00:26:51.560 direct cash subsidies, and then tax cut subsidies. Like we are going to let your company pay less taxes

00:26:57.600 than everyone else. That is obviously a subsidy. I don't know what you're on about.

00:27:00.980 Saul Goodman says it appears the NDP has won the Ellerslie by election. The UCP hasn't won a single

00:27:11.440 poll station. Uh, at the same time though, it's only 11 out of 55 or so. They could always catch up.

00:27:17.340 It's 340 to 521. Yeah, that's a decent margin. So that is going to, you know, that like, if that

00:27:23.780 maintains across the poll stations, they'll, they will win. I guess in the last 44, the UCP are going to

00:27:29.940 start having to start winning several of them by wider margins, but you know, we'll see what happens.

00:27:34.420 Obviously the UCP is also winning the, uh, old Stidsbury, uh, Three Hills by election. The Republican

00:27:42.120 party, I want to see what this is actually amounting to in terms of its percentage. I'm not the best at

00:27:48.040 quick math. So I'm pulling out my calculator here. Uh, they're currently running at 19% of the vote.

00:28:02.720 So if the Republican party is able to maintain that kind of a margin, they may be able to hold

00:28:08.120 on to what current support they have because they can walk away and say, look, we had 20% of the vote

00:28:12.840 and you can't sneeze at 20%. Uh, the UCP is currently winning a large majority of the vote

00:28:19.180 here. Everyone else's votes combined doesn't even come close to theirs, but still it's again,

00:28:24.880 it's all about perception effectively at this point.

00:28:30.720 Uh, damage 142 says, how is that different than Pierre in Battle River? Uh, I'm not, I assume you just

00:28:42.240 mean in terms of the by-elections, these are provincial by-elections for the legislature

00:28:46.560 between the UCP and the NDP. The, uh, I believe if they are, it's called right away, the Battle River

00:28:53.500 Crowfoot by-election federally to get Pierre Polyev back into parliament, that will probably be happening

00:28:59.280 in terms of election day sometime in early to mid August. So I believe if it was called like as of a

00:29:06.000 couple of days ago, it would have been on August 6th. I don't think they've officially called it yet.

00:29:10.360 And so once they do though, um, uh, once they do call the by-election, uh, it should, it's like,

00:29:17.260 I think a standardized amount of time away of like 35 days or something like that. There is some

00:29:22.720 standard amount of minimum time. And I think in a by-election like that, I think they'll just

00:29:26.840 schedule it to come as fast as possible. So by the fall session, Polyev will be back in charge in

00:29:32.660 parliament as the leader. Uh, J-Man just sends in $2 as super chat. Thank you for that, J-Man.

00:29:38.500 Okay. And Knight of, uh, Philema says, did that Clown Nenshi win? Absolutely. He ran himself

00:29:48.100 in the safest of safe ridings because he couldn't win anywhere, uh, because he was scared of not

00:29:52.780 winning anywhere else. Uh, J-Man 2 says, I paid $2, so I'm... Boo Nenshi. I guess you was probably,

00:30:02.360 I assume you did, you just didn't end up, uh, attaching your message. But yeah, Boo Nenshi.

00:30:09.800 Um, the cat in the hat says, uh, John Rustad and David Eby are working together. BC is fallen.

00:30:17.560 It's, here's the thing. I don't, and I'm, I'm somebody, full disclosure, who works for, uh, 1BC,

00:30:24.120 the new political party in the legislature. Is John Rustad and David Eby working together?

00:30:29.860 No. It's that John Rustad and his inner circle in the BC Conservative Party is running what is,

00:30:36.560 or what I would characterize as a limp, BC United-like party where they mildly oppose the NDP.

00:30:44.460 The main things that the, the, the BC Conservatives under Rustad opposed John, uh, opposed the David

00:30:49.740 and the NDP on are the most obvious things. Oh, they took away funding for the medication for a

00:30:55.920 11-year-old cancer patient. That's obviously bad. The BC Ferry Sync is obviously bad. Uh, you know,

00:31:02.260 hospital closures is obviously bad. Any, any party would be criticizing that stuff. Um, at the same

00:31:08.760 time, they will then reflexively attack the NDP for stuff they're not even necessarily doing that's

00:31:14.000 wrong because, because they're unwilling to touch other issues that are, that they think are too

00:31:18.820 controversial for them to touch, even if they ran on some of them. So the things that like the

00:31:22.800 Rustad BC Conservatives won't touch is like DRIPA, the Declaration of the Rights of Indigenous Peoples

00:31:28.580 Act. It's, it's a bad act. It basically allows for indigenous bands to enforce, like to block

00:31:36.220 projects on title land. And it uses a very expansive definition of what title land is. There isn't even

00:31:42.620 actually that much title land in BC, but DRIPA is kind of falling mostly in line with

00:31:48.660 UNDRIP, which basically says anything that's historical territory could be considered some

00:31:53.160 title land. So you have these bands who have massive, like literally the Wet'suwet'en, for

00:31:57.720 an example, they are, they're title land that they have designated themselves as being original

00:32:04.000 lands of themselves. It is larger than the territory of the country of Montenegro. It is almost as big

00:32:09.680 as Sardinia, that large Italian, uh, Italian island in the Mediterranean Sea. It's ridiculous.

00:32:15.900 And that's what the current law in BC is. John Rustad has personally said he'd vote to repeal

00:32:20.880 DRIPA. But the problem is that he says then he will let policy be guided by UNDRIP, which is in

00:32:27.100 fact what DRIPA is based off of, and UNDRIP is actually worse than DRIPA. And then on a podcast

00:32:31.900 I just heard today, Angelo Isidoro, the national director, or the national director, the executive

00:32:37.220 director of the BC Conservatives, said that, you know, we want to have free votes in caucus. And I,

00:32:43.500 and I agree with having generally having free votes in a caucus of a party outside of fundamental,

00:32:49.140 uh, policy questions that as a candidate, you signed on to run for. So if you're running for

00:32:55.200 a conservative party and we're running on a 5% across the board tax cut, and then suddenly you

00:33:00.780 show up and you say, I want to do it. Okay. You have to do it. That's one of those things where you

00:33:05.260 can't, when it's a major plank, you can't just say, I disagree with it after the fact.

00:33:08.940 But Angelo said, oh, we'll have a free vote on DRIPA. And then the host of the show he was on,

00:33:15.480 Mo Amir, who is no conservative, he's a lefty, he even said, sorry, is DRIPA not a fundamental

00:33:20.000 issue? It was part of your guys' platform. Angelo acknowledges it. And when he says, so no,

00:33:24.660 you're not going to force people to vote to drop DRIPA? And then Angelo says, um, I'll let John

00:33:31.760 determine that. Or that's for the leader to decide. What the heck? That's not for the leader to decide.

00:33:36.700 That's what you guys ran on. And now it's suddenly up to a free vote on whether we're

00:33:40.480 even going to, we're even going to stick to what we said. So that was my rant on that.

00:33:52.020 Um, I'm trying to, Bob Klatt said, imagine Nenshi trying to run in Calgary, lol. Well, there was,

00:33:59.680 he could have in theory run in Calgary Buffalo because I know Joe Cece there is older, is not going to run

00:34:06.300 for reelection again. So there was speculation if he was going to run in Buffalo, which is downtown

00:34:10.100 Calgary. But the problem is in the NDP caucus, because of frankly, Nenshi's very toxic personality,

00:34:17.060 he didn't want to step down for Nenshi. So that's why Nenshi went to Edmonton. Although even in

00:34:21.360 Buffalo, I wonder if he'd be too scared of having a bad performance in Buffalo. So he wanted Notley's

00:34:26.400 old riding of Strathcona instead. But that's hilarious. Nenshi is such a difficult, toxic person

00:34:32.000 to work with that they wouldn't step down. And okay, I had to catch up with some of the stuff

00:34:43.280 damaged 142 says, sorry, I meant in relation to the NDP leader, both he and Pierre are running

00:34:49.080 in safe riding. So argument could be used against Pierre too. Um, so so he was saying that as a

00:34:55.900 supplementary to him saying how is that different within what Pierre and Battle River, the difference

00:35:00.240 with Pierre running in a super conservative, a super safe conservative seat compared to Nenshi

00:35:04.140 is that Nenshi had other options. And he's been sort of waiting quite a while in order to get a

00:35:11.520 step back into the legislature. Whereas Polyev, there's no open seat for him to run in. There's

00:35:17.000 no natural open seat. Rob La Jolla resigned to run for the liberals. Then he actually got kicked out,

00:35:21.860 kicked out as a liberal nominee because he's such a crazy person. He could have run in Ellerslie,

00:35:26.500 but Nenshi didn't want to take that option and ran for the safest seat possible. And he hasn't

00:35:31.580 even been doing anything to try and get an NDP MLA to step down in, you know, Falcon Ridge in,

00:35:37.980 in, uh, in Calgary or somewhere else where they've won the riding in the sense that he seemed to be

00:35:43.580 angling for the easiest seat possible. Uh, Raygun for 699 says, keep up the good work. I enjoy your

00:35:49.860 coverage. Keep up the good work. I enjoy your coverage. You did that twice probably to fill up the

00:35:54.180 text allowance he had for 699, but thank you for that. LeafBuzzB says for $2, I've heard NDP and BC

00:36:02.220 cons want to replace leaders. Um, wouldn't shock me. The BC conservatives do have a caucus meeting

00:36:09.060 this Wednesday, and it could be pretty bad, uh, for Rustad because again, with the AGM scandal,

00:36:15.740 there's a lot of donors and volunteers leaving them. Again, Angelo Isidoro on the Moamir show on

00:36:21.280 Czech News, Van Cullors. He said, well, nobody actually in the general public cares about any

00:36:25.480 of these issues that the one BC guys, Dallas Brody and Tara Armstrong are bringing up,

00:36:30.120 but they kind of do. Does the general public care? No, the general public doesn't care about

00:36:35.440 most political issues because most political issues tend to be pretty obscure. They talk,

00:36:39.260 they, you know, it's the whole generic, they care about kitchen table stuff, really big policy,

00:36:44.320 really big, uh, proposed policy changes their color care about. But the people who care about the

00:36:49.420 AGM stuff, who care about the fact that John Rustad is letting all the woke united people run

00:36:55.480 the party is the volunteers and donors of the BC conservatives. And he even admitted John on

00:37:00.980 another podcast, Mike Smith's show that the party is having a problem with donations in the second

00:37:06.740 quarter of 2025, because again, they have, they have not really got done a lot to incentivize people

00:37:15.080 to, uh, they've not done a lot to incentivize people to donate because the party is breaking

00:37:19.820 all of its promises. It's, it's actually not even against SOGI anymore. They just want, you know,

00:37:24.300 inappropriate materials removed from libraries and not even as like a command, but let's have a

00:37:29.620 committee, uh, you know, meet to review some of the books in the libraries and decide if they should

00:37:33.940 be there or not. That is so weak. It's insane. Even BC United probably would have asked for a little

00:37:39.780 bit more than that, but Eleanor Sterko is not conservative. And so while saying she's against

00:37:44.420 how bad SOGI is, she only means that she doesn't like the openly pornographic books in the class,

00:37:49.920 in the libraries and that's it, which is a symptom of SOGI. SOGI 1, 2, 3 is not just that it's,

00:37:55.840 it's teaching gender three in the classroom under the guise of anti-bullying policy. It's doing a lot

00:38:01.080 of identity politics stuff. That's not good for kids. There's tons of stuff in BC schools that needs

00:38:06.100 to be removed. And frankly, frankly, across the country, there's tons of things in the curriculum

00:38:10.260 and in other supplementary programming in schools that needs to be gutted. And I don't just want it

00:38:14.440 to be like Eleanor Sterko puts it in the sense that, or in the, in the verbiage of age appropriate.

00:38:20.480 This stuff isn't appropriate at all. There's no, there's nothing age appropriate about this stuff

00:38:24.880 that if it was moved up to high school only, it'd be okay. No, no, no. This stuff is inappropriate.

00:38:30.380 You should be fired if you brought in one of these books like genderqueer into your office,

00:38:34.600 because it's just gross. There's nothing about it that's educational. Anyway, so someone said,

00:38:40.680 where is Falken Ridge? Calgary Falken Ridge is a riding in Northeast Calgary, currently held

00:38:47.920 by MLA Bopperi, who is a fan, an NDP Calistani guy. He's a nutcase.

00:38:54.140 The cat in the hat says, you certainly have my family support. I hope you do great, Wyatt.

00:39:08.340 Well, thank you. And for a full disclosure, I also basically make nothing to work for

00:39:12.500 one, one BC in the legislature. I literally only make $25,000 a year, which is like basically bear,

00:39:19.640 it's below bare minimum. I'm just doing that because I can't do everything for free and having

00:39:25.980 to fly out to BC, disrupt content, disrupt other things I'm doing. But I specifically took basically

00:39:31.060 nothing. Because the thing is that legislative offices have budgets. And I was talking to other

00:39:37.760 people on the one BC team. And they were even like, you know, you can take way more than that.

00:39:42.600 Not like an inappropriate amount of money, but you should take probably more than 25K.

00:39:46.540 And I was like, no, because I know the conservatives are going to try and attack me

00:39:50.500 for how much I make. And it will be hilarious when they do. And they find out I don't even make that

00:39:54.600 much. So people are saying no results. And I am going to bring up the results once again,

00:39:59.400 because I've been kind of holding them back a little bit because, you know, you don't need to

00:40:04.480 check them every five seconds. But obviously, you see here, NDP easily winning Strathcona,

00:40:09.560 not a surprise. Edmonton Ellersley is probably pulling away for the NDP here, 978 for the NDP,

00:40:15.840 to 667 for the UCP. And then in Olds, Didsbury, Three Hills, we now actually have the Republican

00:40:24.880 Party of Alberta falling behind even the NDP and the UCP clearly cleaning up over there.

00:40:30.660 It looks like we are actually starting to hit the bigger polling stations now.

00:40:34.240 That's always the problem. Earlier on in the night for any election, you're mostly going to

00:40:38.980 be getting the results from some of the smaller polling stations first, which sometimes means

00:40:44.080 when it comes to somewhere like Edmonton Ellersley, you're getting like certain apartment buildings,

00:40:49.040 sometimes an apartment building itself is its own polling station, because in theory,

00:40:53.120 like 1000 people live there. So it just has its own polling station. And then you're starting to get

00:40:57.660 more of the suburban areas later on the night. That's where there is still a chance that it could

00:41:01.700 tighten up more for the UCP in Ellersley from here.

00:41:04.880 Someone says, Calgary and Edmonton fight. Well, and that's basically what all Alberta elections are

00:41:13.580 these days. And I'm going to quickly jump down because again, I have to get through super chat,

00:41:20.420 so I'm not ignoring people.

00:41:21.340 Jeffy Maximo says, BC is in an uncontrollable tailspin right now, hoping those reactional

00:41:31.540 conservatives cross the floor and join one BC. The flip of the next election would be glorious.

00:41:36.340 And thank you for the 1399 super chat. And that's the problem is that BC is in a terrible position

00:41:43.180 right now. This is the time to run on major reform. And that's why it's so weird to see the

00:41:49.580 conservatives and arrested every step of the way being like, let's do less. Let's take on

00:41:54.580 less controversial issues. Let's just highlight the easy stuff like, oh, there's wait times are

00:42:00.700 super high. That's a problem. But they're not actually proposing the real reforms you need to

00:42:05.660 change that. Do you know what you should do? This is the same thing that needs to be done in every

00:42:09.920 single province across Canada. Take your admin budget, or BC Health, or Alberta Health, or Ontario,

00:42:17.180 take it and slash it. Take your administration, HR, management budget, and cut it by 30%. And then

00:42:25.920 move like 25% of the 30%. So like most of it, and then just put it to front lines. Hiring more nurses,

00:42:33.400 moving people from admin and management who are certified nurses back to the front lines,

00:42:37.400 and increasing nurse pay. I don't mind actually massively increasing nurse pay if it gets more

00:42:44.160 people working front lines. And what you also have to do is slash overtime. Right now in Alberta and BC,

00:42:49.960 there's kind of a bit of a scheme that goes on because the front lines are so understaffed. I can't

00:42:54.900 blame people. You know, it's, you know, you're being overworked. Why not do it this way? People will work

00:43:00.500 part time, quote unquote. And then when the hospitals get overwhelmed, nurses start getting called up who are

00:43:06.060 at home saying, we will give you time and a half if you show up right now for an eight hour shift.

00:43:10.220 And the person will be like, no, I don't have time. Hang up. We'll get a call back. We'll give

00:43:15.000 you double. No. And then they'll hang up. We'll give you double and a half. We'll just give you

00:43:19.580 like 200%, 225% of your normal wage to show up right now. And then they'll show up. I'm not sure

00:43:24.920 if it's exactly that much, but people, people make almost most of their money. Some nurses make most

00:43:29.920 their money from overtime in Alberta, simply because they'll pay you a lot to show up because the

00:43:34.520 system is so overburdened right now. And it's not because of, oh, it's underfunded.

00:43:39.600 Alberta's healthcare system is more funded than any healthcare system in the country.

00:43:44.300 And it has some of the longest wait times because the money is not being used correctly. It doesn't

00:43:48.780 matter what the budget is. It matters how that budget is being used. If you slash in Alberta,

00:43:54.480 you could probably slash administration by 45% and you could improve the system. Take that money,

00:44:00.740 move it to nurses. If you're a registered nurse working in HR, you're not anymore. You are now

00:44:06.320 working on the front line. Oh, I don't want to do that. Okay. Well, you're fired then because

00:44:10.080 it's a healthcare system. It is not a DEI, HR, like hugs and pat system where we're going to pay

00:44:17.200 you $120,000 a year to do mental health surveys of staff. Their mental health is bad because you're

00:44:24.060 not helping work at the front lines. My goodness. Scotty for five bucks says, I'd be interested to hear

00:44:29.020 your thoughts on Carney's role in Canada's managed decline and the Oracle's new doc,

00:44:34.180 the agenda. I have not watched the Oracle's new documentary. But I would say that it is that

00:44:41.200 that is one of the frustrating things about what's going on in Canada right now. Carney is able to

00:44:46.960 pivot himself a little bit to pretend that he's like a breath of fresh air for the country. At the

00:44:50.960 same time, so many voters seem to be unaware that he was literally the economic advisor for five

00:44:56.040 years and totally owns a lot of the stuff going on right now. He was in favor of the carbon tax.

00:45:01.400 He was in favor of all of the increase in capital gains inclusion rates. He was in favor of the

00:45:07.200 restrictions on new oil and gas projects. He was there for all of it. He could have advised

00:45:12.260 Trudeau differently. I guarantee Trudeau basically listened to him hook, line, and sinker.

00:45:17.020 And he is seemingly now he's pretending that he's different. And the problem though for the

00:45:21.660 conservatives, if Carney truly acts differently, he will maintain his support or increase it.

00:45:27.920 Conservatives, like I say, need to run in a big vision of reform. They can't just sit there and

00:45:33.520 say, we're the government in waiting. When the liberals implode, we will take over. They may not

00:45:38.480 implode. Carney is at least smart enough to probably not implode the way Trudeau. Trudeau was both stupid

00:45:44.420 and an ideologue. So he had no ability to pivot. Is Carney an ideologue? Yes, but he's smart.

00:45:50.720 You know, Stephen Gilbeau is a stupid ideologue. For another example, Melanie Jolie is a stupid

00:45:54.800 ideologue. John Frazier is just stupid. I don't think he's an ideologue. But Carney's at least smart

00:45:59.480 enough that he might be able to pivot and give enough kind of, you know, little policy reforms here

00:46:05.340 and there that the average Canadian who wasn't that badly off is going to say, look, everything's so much

00:46:11.880 better than when Trudeau was prime minister, because frankly, it's not that hard to do better

00:46:15.480 than Trudeau. And a lot of those people maybe stick with Trudeau, unless the conservatives come up with

00:46:20.080 a really big plan, a big audacious plan to cut taxes 20% across the board, slash regulations 30%. We

00:46:29.160 want regulations to be 30% fewer, what after a four year term, then you're talking with people,

00:46:35.400 you start running on big social and cultural issues to slash immigration by 75% for five years,

00:46:41.480 10 years straight, you could, you could actually get a lot of people to show up.

00:46:48.360 K1RIN or Kieran for two bucks says it is Parliament still going on vacation crisis, by the way. Yeah, so

00:46:55.460 Parliament just went on vacation on the 20th. Oddly, we were in a crisis that Paul that Carney needed to

00:47:01.800 lead us through and pass regulations to solve or pass new legislation to solve. And we're on vacation, and there's

00:47:07.460 no budget yet. That is one area where the conservatives should keep drilling on them. There's no like, really, we're

00:47:12.180 not going to stick it out for the summer. We're just going to pack our bags and do nothing. I thought we needed to

00:47:18.500 implement your plan. Damage142 says, Do you think Carney's goal is for us to join the EU? I don't really think so. I

00:47:27.460 don't really think that that's really, I don't think that he's going to do that, although he keeps making

00:47:32.980 these dumb comments about we're the most European, non-European country. It's like, sure, although

00:47:38.260 actually, I'd probably say that's more like New Zealand or Australia. They're far more like the UK

00:47:43.300 than Canada is. We're more like the US, frankly. Linda Key says, I sent 1BC a donation of $500. I excited

00:47:51.460 the fake BC, I exited the fake BC Conservative Party. Fantastic, Linda. And again, it's such

00:47:58.340 a tick off. Do you know that there were people in the BC Conservative Party executive in terms of

00:48:04.580 executive level campaign roles in terms of, you know, campaign directors and campaign advisors and

00:48:11.540 whatnot, who got $177,000 bonuses at the end of the election, after they didn't even win. And it was a

00:48:20.900 winnable election. I hate the stupid line. Oh, we went from 2% to 44%. That was a lot of progress.

00:48:27.220 It's like, yeah, it's almost like you became the de facto opposition party, which meant a bunch of

00:48:32.500 support went over to you, mostly because the BCU just died. They just voluntarily took a dirt nap,

00:48:38.180 and you inherited all that. It was winnable, and they decided not to win. That party has only 19,000

00:48:44.820 people following their Facebook page, the BC Conservatives. And somehow, I noticed that one

00:48:50.740 of the vendors that they hired to do social media, like promotion and content creation and ad management,

00:48:57.060 they were basically paid at least a quarter million dollars. And how are they paid a quarter million

00:49:03.060 dollars? And somehow the Conservative Party still only has 19,000 people following their main Facebook

00:49:09.460 page, because money was wasted all over the place. So why would you ever donate to people wasting money?

00:49:15.780 The BC Conservatives are currently in, or at least last when they reported their current financial

00:49:21.460 position, $5.3 million in debt, because they spent money in all the wrong places. And it definitely

00:49:28.260 wasn't spent on me. Again, I, when I was working for them, took very little money, and I didn't bill

00:49:33.060 very much. But yeah, thank you for that, Linda. Dingo says, hey Wyatt, great job. Did Pierre hire

00:49:39.940 you to help his campaign yet? Definitely not. I think somebody would try and assassinate him if I

00:49:45.060 was hired. Certain people in the party don't like me, even though most people do, but whatever.

00:49:50.020 I can't, I can't change Jenny Byrne's mind about me. Although I think that she should be fired,

00:49:56.260 so I guess she shouldn't want me hired because I would keep advising that they fire her because she's bad

00:50:00.180 at her job. Leif Busby says for $2, how do parties vet MLAs to know they agree with the values?

00:50:08.980 I would say the biggest way you do it is have a nomination. Have a real nomination to make sure

00:50:14.980 that people, like they have to go and prove to members that they are that person that they say

00:50:20.260 they are. I find fakes tend to expose themselves in the long run. And if you force them into a

00:50:25.300 nomination, there's a good chance they're going to expose themselves. Not everyone, but a lot of them

00:50:29.620 will expose themselves. So that's why appointed candidates as a general rule isn't smart.

00:50:40.580 And yeah, Linda Key says the US is not our enemy. Absolutely they are not our enemy.

00:50:48.100 I'm going to make a video tomorrow going over all the liberals, NDP, liberal party people, leftists in

00:50:53.700 general, whining at Donald Trump for hitting the Iranians. It's a terror state. What do you want?

00:50:59.060 Oh, it's World War III. No, it isn't. No, it isn't. It's taking the nuclear weapons away from Islamic

00:51:05.060 Nazis. We are not going to let Islamic Nazis have a nuclear weapon. My goodness. And people are like,

00:51:11.540 oh my goodness, this is a pro. He's trying to start a World War III. Stop it.

00:51:16.500 Cass says politics is your paper. You remind me of Dwight Schrute in the best ways possible.

00:51:25.460 They're in high school. Kids in lower grades thought my name was actually Dwight because so

00:51:30.180 many kids in my class called me that. WhiskeyKyle10800 says, what are you thinking about the Iran-Israel-US

00:51:38.980 ceasefire? Well, I think the Iranians basically had to ceasefire because there's nothing left for

00:51:43.940 them to fire. They got absolutely embarrassed. And so, yeah, I think that's really it. I think

00:51:50.020 so many people in the West saying, oh my goodness, Trump's terrible for wanting World War III. This is

00:51:54.900 not World War III. Trump stopped World War III by not letting crazy people from having a nuclear weapon.

00:52:01.140 Why is Israel allowed to have a nuclear weapon and Iran isn't? Because they're a Western democracy who

00:52:05.780 doesn't want to vaporize people to earn points in heaven. That's why they're allowed to have a nuclear

00:52:11.780 weapon because they don't, they don't, they're not zealots. Iran is run by Islamic zealots, so they

00:52:17.780 shouldn't have a nuclear weapon. So that's simple. Tom Marazzo was saying that a man who was part of

00:52:23.700 the military, there's a reason why I call the man Hurt Locker Tom. The guy thinks he's like a hardcore

00:52:28.660 vet. He worked like in accounting or whatever in a military base in Canada. Happy he served for the

00:52:33.940 Canadian military. But the man pretends like he's an expert on military policy now. And it's like,

00:52:38.900 he's just not, he's just, he's just like regurgitating things that like Tucker Carlson is saying.

00:52:44.820 And Tucker was 100% wrong on all this stuff. Yabs sends in 99 cents. Thank you for that, man.

00:52:55.380 Stop pronouncing nuclear, nuclear. I don't, nuclear. I think I'm saying it right. Nuclear.

00:53:06.900 Anyway, so I'm going to go back to the results now for the by-elections. So now, okay, now we really

00:53:17.780 have votes coming in. NDP in Ellerslie has 1,494 votes. And then the UCP has 1,049. Republican Party

00:53:27.860 of Alberta has 122 votes, which is hilarious because they were literally paying like half a dozen or a

00:53:32.960 dozen door knockers in that riding to go around for them. Strathcona, obviously, Nenshi's winning.

00:53:37.920 That's the second line. So first line is Ellerslie. Second line is Strathcona. Third line down is

00:53:42.800 Old Stidsbury, Three Hills. In that one, the Republican Party of Alberta is in second place.

00:53:50.000 I'm not sure what their ratio is right now. Again, I'm not fantastic at math.

00:53:54.440 I'm just adding this all up so I can see what the portion of the vote is for the Republican Party. 6914.

00:54:04.520 The Republican Party currently has 17% of the vote in Old Stidsbury, Three Hills. This is a result

00:54:21.100 where I think the UCP can say that they've basically defeated the Republicans. At the same time, Cam Davies

00:54:27.140 and the Republicans will say, see, we have 17% support. It's a great first showing. I would say

00:54:34.600 probably not. This is not a good result for the Republican Party of Alberta. I'm not. Here's my

00:54:43.200 thing. Am I a separatist or an independence guy? No, I'm not. The Zappa says also Calgary, not Calgary.

00:54:50.880 Here, I live in, I'm a Calgarian. By definition, my pronunciation is native because I'm a native

00:54:57.980 Calgarian. Cal, what are people's Calgary? Calgary. I just, I just say it however I do. I'm sorry,

00:55:05.760 guys. I just, I have an accent and that accent is called mumbling. But the problem with this result

00:55:12.440 for the Republicans, Alberta Republican Party, is that everyone was saying, look, if you look at some of

00:55:19.940 the polls, separatism or independence is almost 50% popular. It's like 47 to 53. If a poll was telling

00:55:27.700 you that it was that close, it's not that close. Janet Brown ran a poll. It was like 35, 32% of

00:55:33.700 people are in favor of separatism in Alberta. Other pollsters have come up with stuff like that. Janet

00:55:38.200 Brown is by far the best pollster in Canada. She mostly only does Western Canadian elections in like

00:55:44.600 Saskatchewan, Alberta. But if she tells you something is where the results are, she's probably

00:55:49.580 generally accurate. She does very, very good polling. I've heard her speak in one of my classes

00:55:55.640 during my master's program. I've heard her speak elsewhere. She does live phone polling, online

00:56:00.760 polling. She makes sure to postal code match her polls to make sure she's not just calling people

00:56:04.480 in cities. She makes sure to go out of her way to call people in rural areas, not just small towns,

00:56:09.800 but deep rural areas, acreages, Edmonton, Calgary, making sure downtown Calgary, Calgary suburbs,

00:56:16.100 the Northeast. She does it all. Separatism or independence is not that popular at the moment.

00:56:22.080 Is it unsubstantial? No, it is substantial. 35% of the province has nothing to sneeze at.

00:56:27.360 At the same time, the Republican Party of Alberta has not proved that in a very deep rural area,

00:56:33.380 Olds Three Hills Didsbury, or Olds Didsbury Three Hills, it couldn't get more than 17% of the support,

00:56:40.540 even though it's in a riding where, in theory, more than 50% of people want independence.

00:56:46.520 They couldn't, as the independence party, get independence. That's a problem.

00:56:50.460 Um, I'm trying to find some other stuff going on here.

00:57:04.220 There's a lot of discussion going on in pronunciation. I don't mind people pronunciation policing me.

00:57:09.780 It's at least funny whenever I find out I pronounce something wrong despite living here.

00:57:13.160 A Western 91 says, LMAO, how are there so many NDP in Alberta? What in the world?

00:57:23.420 Um, I would just say, simply put, a lot of progressive people who live in downtown areas

00:57:28.480 who, frankly, don't live in reality. And I'm not saying that in, like, an insulting way,

00:57:32.420 like, oh, you're an idiot, you don't live in reality. I mean, like, they don't live

00:57:35.740 a full life the way other people do. When I say a full life, I would say that in a lot of ways,

00:57:41.640 rural voters live a more full life than I do in a suburban area. And I live a probably more full

00:57:46.980 life than somebody does working in finance or working for the government in a downtown area.

00:57:54.280 As a farmer, you basically run a small business. You usually are, you usually have a larger family.

00:58:00.060 You know, you probably pay a lot more taxes than other people do. You don't have to live around,

00:58:04.920 like, you don't live in areas where you expect the government to do stuff for you.

00:58:08.560 So you naturally vote conservative, because you don't want the government to do unnecessary

00:58:12.180 things. When you live downtown, and you are right up against where all the government services are,

00:58:17.580 and you have, you know, you get the benefit of all the taxes being paid more than anyone else,

00:58:23.000 you're way more likely to vote for the government, especially if you work for the government.

00:58:26.320 And that's why we have a lot of NDP in Alberta. Edmonton is a government city, so they get a lot of

00:58:32.200 government voters out there. And they have a lot of the benefits around there. So people vote for the

00:58:37.200 benefits. And there is a kind of a more, frankly, working class welfare culture in Edmonton where

00:58:42.960 people will vote for higher EI payments and stuff like that when it comes to, like, you know,

00:58:48.240 government employees and people wanting more, the government to just do more stuff in general.

00:58:55.880 Simple Mind says, hey, Wyatt, what do you think about Andrew Scheer? He's awesome. I generally like

00:59:00.140 Andrew Scheer pretty well. If I was to name my favorite SoCon from Saskatchewan, it would probably be

00:59:05.740 former MP Brad Trost from Saskatchewan University. I think he's really good.

00:59:19.060 Gmax says, Wyatt would be a great advisor for Pierre. The thing is, I kind of doubt myself every

00:59:24.600 once in a while. Like, am I wrong? Am I just being naive and idealistic? But most of the time, it's

00:59:29.260 like, I kind of end up in these, like, I told you so positions. And I'm not trying to be a dweeb or

00:59:33.960 anything about it being like, oh, I was actually right about this. And oftentimes, it's not like

00:59:38.160 I'm giving, like, insane insights that you guys wouldn't come up with. You probably also would

00:59:42.440 think the same things as me. But the problem with the parties is that there becomes a culture around

00:59:47.180 people who work on campaign after campaign, that they start to, like, internalize certain insane

00:59:52.600 biases about how politics works. And I think that you need a lot of you need more outsiders to join

00:59:57.980 campaigns. They can tell you, like, guys, that's not how people are going to react online, or that's not

01:00:03.020 how people at the doors are going to react. And I know someone like Jenny Byrne, I've heard she

01:00:07.480 famously actually likes to do door knocking in ridings. They're like the swing ridings to figure

01:00:12.620 out what people think. I've just never seen any of that knowledge translate to her decision making.

01:00:17.860 The nominations were one of the biggest screw ups of the Conservative campaign in 2025.

01:00:23.020 They were basically propping up bad candidates in nominations, and they were appointing people.

01:00:27.640 When you appoint so many bad candidates, you can't be shocked when people start losing.

01:00:33.020 Okay, we're going to keep going through here. And then so, oh, Valve says, which ridings is the

01:00:42.540 by-election? This is the Alberta provincial election, like, Alberta ridings of Edmonton, Ellerslie,

01:00:50.320 Edmonton, Strathcona, and Old Didsbury, Three Hills. So when you see this, remember Ellerslie is on top,

01:00:56.000 Strathcona, and then Didsbury on the bottom. We have now with 39 out of 55, the NDP at 1912,

01:01:02.480 and the UCP at 1399. I assume the NDP are now going to win that one. And then we have 1376 for

01:01:11.600 the Republican Party of Alberta in Old Didsbury, Three Hills, and they are a little bit ahead of

01:01:18.100 the NDP. Of course, the UCP cleaning up in that riding. And then you also have the Wild Rose loyalty

01:01:24.920 collusion getting their 104 votes. My goodness. The Liberal Party actually is not doing too bad in the

01:01:31.200 first two elections. The Liberal Party, provincially, borderline doesn't exist. But what you end up

01:01:37.000 getting is a lot of people will... You get a lot of people who will just vote for whatever they

01:01:43.300 recognize. So you'll do a lot of... So you'll have a lot of people vote for, like, Liberal because they

01:01:49.080 voted Liberal federally, even though it's not really a big... It's not an actual party on a provincial

01:01:54.680 level. ProNintendoGamer says, what's your opinion on Dan Williams? I believe he was part of the

01:02:02.720 recent cabinet shuffle. I think he went up. I think he went up overall. And yeah, I like Dan

01:02:08.360 Williams. He had a really good pro-life bill that when I shameless plug, even though I can't plug it

01:02:14.960 anymore because I wasn't allowed to run. But when I ran in Calgary Signal here, here's my old campaign

01:02:20.600 lit for Calgary Signal Hill. I was running against Jeremy Nixon for that, who the party obviously

01:02:27.300 favored for that riding. And I ended up beating him effectively in the sense I was kicked out of

01:02:32.500 the nomination. They were obviously trying to favor Jeremy Nixon to the point there was somebody from

01:02:38.600 Jenny Byrne and Associates lobby firm working on his campaign, like volunteering for him. So obviously

01:02:44.720 Jenny didn't dislike the man because if you're an employee of Jenny, would you take a chance to go

01:02:49.440 door knocking with somebody that she didn't want to win? You're probably because anyone can make an

01:02:54.100 excuse. Oh, I can't come door knocking with you. I'm busy. I got to curl my hair. They obviously

01:03:01.020 wanted him to win. They kicked me out. They also kicked out a former MLA and actually the former

01:03:05.580 deputy premier of the province from that race, Lila A here. And I mobilized all my people and got

01:03:10.780 Lila to also mobilize her people to vote down ballot against Jeremy. And then this guy, David McKenzie

01:03:16.660 is now the MP of Signal Hill instead of Jeremy Nixon. But Jeremy opposed and shot down one of Dan

01:03:24.100 Williams' pro-life private members bills in Alberta to basically instantiate conscience rights in the

01:03:32.920 law. That if you're a doctor and you don't want to go along with like, you don't want to even

01:03:38.080 recommend who to go to for an abortion or for medical assistance in dying or for like, you know,

01:03:44.000 trans surgery, you don't have to do it. It's your conscience. You don't have to participate

01:03:48.560 in any way. Jeremy argued against that saying, I think that conscience rights are a good thing,

01:03:56.340 but we also have to value non-discriminatory access to healthcare. And it's like, Jeremy,

01:04:03.340 baby, what do you think conscience rights are? It is the ability to discriminate on what your

01:04:09.840 conscience will allow you to do and not allow you to do. What are you talking about? So that was

01:04:15.900 obnoxious. Megamug says, do you have an opinion on Shuv Majumdar? I always call him Shuvloy Majumdar

01:04:22.180 because that's his actual first name, fully spelled out Shuvloy. I think he's a good MP. I think he's

01:04:27.040 really great. I'd especially really agree with Shuv on foreign policy. We'd be more hawkish overall,

01:04:34.440 more in favor of things like Trump hitting the Iranian nuclear sites with bombs, because

01:04:39.560 if you actually want peace in the world, sometimes you got to hit people really, really, really hard.

01:04:45.640 And Anita Kay, or Anna Kay, do you think we'll have another federal election in less than two years?

01:04:51.580 I hope Carney can't do too much damage. And that's the one thing you're going to have to brace for is

01:04:56.860 Carney may even improve certain things because it's hard to do worse than Trudeau. Will Carney be worse

01:05:02.780 than Trudeau in certain aspects? Absolutely. But for the average voter, they only see better or worse.

01:05:09.060 So if he's better than Trudeau, you'll have a lot of people actually firm up their support for him.

01:05:13.600 So in a weird way, it's worse for the country in the long run if he's not that bad compared to Trudeau,

01:05:19.700 because people will be like, oh my goodness, he's getting better. Vote him back in. Even though he's

01:05:23.780 like, Trudeau was like way down here. This is like where we should be at, like where like normal life was

01:05:29.700 20 years ago. Trudeau was right here. And now Carney is going to be here. And people will be

01:05:35.160 like, oh my goodness, that was like a 100% improvement. Even though Polyev would take us

01:05:39.800 like this, and this is where we should be at. Polyev would probably take us back to like there

01:05:43.960 within four terms. But people are like, oh my goodness, we went from there to there. That was

01:05:48.440 fantastic. And vote for him again. So that's where, again, the conservatives need to run on something

01:05:52.860 audacious and say, we shouldn't accept bare minimum improvements. We should want big improvements.

01:05:59.600 We should want to out-compete the U.S. Not because we don't like the U.S., because, you know,

01:06:04.080 Canadian and American strength comes from our mutual competition, trying to out-compete

01:06:09.020 the one another in friendly competition. I think that would be good.

01:06:15.820 Damage 142 says, oh, I think you already answered these. I'm trying to go through

01:06:19.800 some of these ones I might have missed.

01:06:24.820 Kiran for $2 says, Iran said it was a peaceful nuclear program. Yeah, it was just because they

01:06:30.320 needed nuclear energy, even though they had, what was it called? It's something about like

01:06:38.660 taking your nuclear material or whatever and like, whatever. I forget what it's called,

01:06:45.320 but like they were way, way over. What is that? I need to look that up again.

01:06:49.800 It's uranium enrichment. So they had their uranium enrichment at 60%, which is like nuclear weapon

01:07:02.720 territory. Civilian power requirement is 3%. Medical grade is 6%. So like things for like CAT scans

01:07:11.420 and MRIs where you need like, or like, you know, using radiation in medical context, you need 3%

01:07:16.360 enrichment. Again, for nuclear power, for like a city, you need 3%. It's 60%. And so they're saying

01:07:24.360 it's peaceful. And they're also a natural, an oil and gas superpower in the region. Why do they need

01:07:30.280 for energy? They obviously did not. So I absolutely support Trump hitting them as hard as possible.

01:07:35.760 Frank Rue for $5 says, Republican Party of Alberta votes support for independence. Lots of pro-independence

01:07:42.280 people would vote yes, but do not like the RPA. It's controversial among separatists. And yeah,

01:07:49.360 and that also is the problem. You get a lot of people in separatist world who start new parties,

01:07:53.920 but are not the type of people who should be leading a party, which ends up splitting everyone

01:07:58.560 up a lot. That's the problem is that there's never been an agreed upon vehicle for separatism.

01:08:04.320 There is the AP, Alberta prosperity, the APP, Alberta prosperity project that has a decent amount

01:08:12.000 of popularity, a large amount of data, but even then they're very pro-UCP in general. So I think you're

01:08:18.540 going to have a lot of pro-independence people upset when the APP probably ends up softly,

01:08:24.060 indirectly backing Danielle Smith in the next provincial election while she's running on a non-separatist

01:08:30.540 agenda. Yab says, for $279, thank you for that, what do you think of the recent Nanos polls?

01:08:37.260 I think that it demonstrates that right now Carney is in a honeymoon period and the Conservatives

01:08:42.640 really got to start getting some attention for themselves. Right now Carney is gaining a lot of

01:08:47.300 attention. He had the King show up for opening parliament. He had the G7. He's engaged in negotiations

01:08:52.480 with the Trump administration. He's passed some legislation. So naturally he's going to be going

01:08:57.440 up. People are going to be looking at him as the guy who's getting stuff done. The Conservatives need

01:09:01.820 to firm up their opposition. They just voted for the Liberals on Bill C-5. I actually am fine with

01:09:08.000 that. Bill C-5 is a dumb piece of legislation that's probably not going to change much of anything,

01:09:12.840 but if the Conservatives voted against it and it was defeated because the Bloc and the NDP were also

01:09:16.820 voting against it, Carney could have then sat there and said, I wanted to get stuff done with

01:09:21.860 my Getting Stuff Done Act, but they didn't vote for it. Let the Liberals have enough line to show

01:09:27.540 that they're not really serious on getting pipelines and mines and oil and gas projects constructed

01:09:32.260 by giving them the legislation that supposedly enables them to do it and showing that they

01:09:37.140 actually have no intention of doing anything. And if they actually do end up doing stuff with it and

01:09:41.640 they actually end up approving mines and pipelines, hey, I'm not going to complain. I don't like

01:09:46.400 the team that passed it. At the same time, if they get it done, that's fine with me. But again,

01:09:50.480 the Conservatives cannot look like they are blindly opposing when I don't like the legislation. It's

01:09:55.680 selectively allowing projects to be fast-tracked. I think they should just do overall deregulation,

01:10:01.760 but the Conservatives can't vote no against that because the narrative will just be that they voted

01:10:07.280 to not get projects done. So it's a bit of a rock and a hard place for the Conservatives,

01:10:11.040 but I think voting for it's probably the right move.

01:10:15.120 Toolshed76 says, do you think the EV ban will actually happen or the gas ban? Technology seems

01:10:21.280 to be passing EVs by, i.e. hydrogen engines and synthetic fuels. Maybe, again, my position on the

01:10:31.120 gas car ban in 2035 is that don't tell people what fuel to use. Most emission reductions have been

01:10:38.000 gotten through capitalism, making things more efficient over time.

01:10:43.120 Trying to get everyone to drive EVs is silly, especially in Canada. It's bad in the West.

01:10:48.080 Maybe you could get away with it in the lower mainland, in British Columbia, or on the island,

01:10:53.760 or in the Maritimes. But overall, people should drive what they want. I don't care if people want

01:10:58.240 an EV, but I shouldn't have to subsidize it. People can drive a gas car. I shouldn't have to subsidize

01:11:03.200 it. And nor has any of the gas powered cars been ever subsidizing Canada, or at least for a very

01:11:08.080 long time. Leaf Busby for $5 says, I work in public service. Canada's housing, hospital and cost crisis

01:11:16.560 stems from a system stretched by bad immigration policy. Fixing it would be huge. And again,

01:11:21.680 that's also another aspect. So we have massive administration bloat where in BC, for instance,

01:11:28.560 40% of people who work in administration, HR management are registered nurses, who,

01:11:33.120 if we eliminated many of their silly make work positions, like just bureaucratic nonsense positions,

01:11:39.040 they would just go back to front lines. And if we shifted more money towards front lines,

01:11:42.560 a lot more people would be willing to work front lines. And then also, yes, if you cut immigration,

01:11:47.280 you won't have a system where people, because they don't really understand how the healthcare system

01:11:51.920 is meant to be used, who line up for every little slight ailment that they should just stay at home

01:11:57.520 for, like you have the cold, don't go in the hospital. We are heavily overburdening the

01:12:03.360 system with too much immigration, too many people who take from the system and do not actually put

01:12:07.280 into the system. But yeah, thank you for that input, Leaf Busby. And Damage 142 for $2 says,

01:12:14.000 Iran already broke the ceasefire, four waves fired. Was that just now? If that's just now,

01:12:19.440 like, you know, good luck guys surviving in the next, you know, surviving the next 20 years,

01:12:24.960 not even 20 years, what I'm saying, next two years, the Iranian regime might get taken down

01:12:29.040 by its own people if they want to have, you know, peace in their country. Now we're getting back to

01:12:35.440 the by-election results. Again, top line is Ellerslie, middle line is Strathcona, and bottom line is Olds,

01:12:44.320 Didsbury, Three Hills. So now the Republican Party of Alberta, and this is probably smaller towns being

01:12:50.320 counted where the NDP do better rather than the rural areas. The NDP are now in second place,

01:12:56.080 Republican Party of Alberta have slipped into third, UCP obviously leading with 7,219 votes.

01:13:02.720 And yes, I think obviously the NDP have now basically won Ellerslie, but this is actually

01:13:08.800 a pretty good margin when it comes to the, for the UCP. Obviously their margin may have been better if

01:13:14.400 the Republican Party didn't run, but at the same time you can't really blame people.

01:13:20.320 Oh, actually I just got a message from somebody. The actual ceasefire doesn't start for another

01:13:27.040 two hours. It's one of these weird things, it's like when World War One was stopping,

01:13:32.080 they basically all agreed, okay, we're gonna stop at the 11th, on the 11th month, on the 11th day,

01:13:36.320 at the 11th hour, this war is over. But that meant that people kept firing up until that hour.

01:13:41.440 So Israel is just going around knocking out as many things as possible right now. Yeah,

01:13:48.480 yeah. So thank you, Jonathan Gould, for saying that.

01:13:56.880 BJ McGraw says these by-elections changed nothing, big surprise. They actually did change something in

01:14:02.640 the sense that what we assumed could be happening is not going to happen and somewhere like Edmonton

01:14:08.160 Ellerslie at the very least is tightening up compared to where compared to where it has been previously.

01:14:13.840 So like the, uh, I'm going to try and try and add up all that's going on in Edmonton Ellerslie.

01:14:28.720 Uh...

01:14:34.400 I was just looking up, so right now the UCP is only at 37% in Edmonton Ellerslie, which

01:15:03.680 is effectively no change from the previous election, but the NDP has actually fallen in

01:15:08.620 its percentage of the vote as well.

01:15:17.040 Yeah, so the Zappas says, well, it looks like these results trend with general election

01:15:21.020 2023 results.

01:15:22.360 Can you check the percentage share tonight versus 2023?

01:15:25.580 I'm also going to compare the NDPs in Edmonton Ellerslie right now.

01:15:29.400 Well, so they're at 51% where they were previously at 61%, so they've fallen by 10% in Edmonton

01:15:40.820 Ellerslie, but all the votes aren't counted yet, so we'll see as this goes on.

01:15:44.400 Third Tooth says, Wyatt, I love you, brother, but you keep making these overly optimistic

01:15:50.380 predictions for elections.

01:15:51.640 Granted, you were pretty close for the BC election, but it's killing me.

01:15:54.120 To be fair, in BC and federally in Canada, I never said this team is going to win.

01:16:00.320 In BC, I even said in the week leading up, I would say coin toss, or I think on an election

01:16:07.940 day, I said 75% shot, the BC Conservatives are going to win.

01:16:10.780 And that one was such a nail-biter, I don't think that that one can be considered me being

01:16:14.860 wrong, considering that it's like, one, the NDP may have won because of voter fraud in

01:16:20.100 one riding, and then in the other ridings, it was like, separated by like 43 votes, 100

01:16:26.220 votes.

01:16:27.060 That's like, did the party call through its lists well enough to get people out to vote?

01:16:32.280 That's something like, you couldn't predict.

01:16:35.180 And then federally, I said it was a coin toss on who was going to win a minority government,

01:16:39.300 which was basically true.

01:16:41.020 Even the federal Conservatives only lost, they would have won the minority government

01:16:45.620 if they gained 8,300 votes in the ridings that they lost by the closest margin.

01:16:51.780 So if the federal Conservatives gained a half a percent more, or even just a third of a

01:16:56.940 percent more, they'd probably end up winning some of those ridings.

01:16:59.700 And this gets either extremely close with the Liberals barely winning a minority, or the

01:17:04.040 Conservatives could have won a minority vote.

01:17:09.300 BlacksXSkull101 says, why didn't I see anything about where to vote for this?

01:17:15.480 I would have definitely been there, feel bad now.

01:17:17.700 Well, was the by-election in your riding, though?

01:17:19.840 The by-election is only in some areas.

01:17:23.260 Marty Pitt says, why you lie a lot?

01:17:25.400 What are you talking about?

01:17:28.580 About what have I lied about?

01:17:30.080 People seem to put words in my mouth where I'll be optimistic about something happening,

01:17:38.380 and I'll still give the- I'll even say, it's not guaranteed, but I give an edge to this,

01:17:42.980 or I think this is the ratio of chance that this happens, or this happens.

01:17:47.120 And then someone will only hear, the Conservatives can win.

01:17:50.200 And that translates to, the Conservatives are 100% going to win, when I've literally never

01:17:55.020 said anything close to that.

01:17:56.300 In fact, even during the election, I was pretty open about certain things about the campaign

01:18:00.540 I didn't like.

01:18:01.880 Obviously, it wasn't the time to start fragging your own people and saying, I don't like this,

01:18:06.340 and I don't like that in every video.

01:18:08.280 But I'd point out, they need to do this a little more and whatnot.

01:18:10.760 But then people will say, like, oh my goodness, you said they were going to win, and you were

01:18:13.780 pumping them up, and then they didn't.

01:18:15.060 I'm like, what do you want from me?

01:18:16.740 At the same time, these are the same people who'd, like, attack me, because why are you being

01:18:19.800 negative?

01:18:20.260 Yeah, Mackie Colvin says, I worked by-election for Edmonton Ellerslie, and it wasn't advertised

01:18:31.940 much.

01:18:32.300 That's the problem in by-elections in general.

01:18:34.060 They're very low turnout.

01:18:38.380 BCDC78 says, for $279, thank you for that.

01:18:41.220 Next time, bring Brittany.

01:18:43.280 Well, it depends on what she's doing.

01:18:44.940 I don't know.

01:18:45.900 She's not always the biggest live stream person.

01:18:47.580 Yeah.

01:18:50.260 One thing, video records are there.

01:18:59.700 Okay, well then, cite me the thing I was, like, lying about.

01:19:06.800 I'd be surprised to hear I lied about something.

01:19:14.880 If you're going to say I'm wrong about something, obviously I could be wrong about something.

01:19:19.220 That's not a lie, my goodness.

01:19:21.240 Anyways, okay, now we have 51 out of 55 in Ellerslie, and 2449 NDP to 1781 UCP.

01:19:30.580 And in Old Didsbury, Three Hills, we still have the Republican Party of Alberta behind.

01:19:37.640 I now want to see what this percentage is for the vote.

01:19:40.040 7320 for the UCP, plus 146 for the Wild Rose Loyalty Coalition, plus 2446, or 2445 for the NDP, plus 2029 for the Republican Party.

01:19:53.820 11940.

01:19:54.460 And the Republicans currently have 16.9% of the vote in that riding.

01:20:06.040 So that's not amazing for them.

01:20:10.260 Again, they're going to claim this was a big coup, but if you look at their campaign, they were putting a lot of effort into this.

01:20:16.660 And here's the thing.

01:20:17.860 I will never fault people for trying.

01:20:19.960 At the same time, I don't think the Republican Party of Alberta has thought this through enough.

01:20:24.140 Even the leader admitted, Cam Davies, said people get confused, and they're thinking, are you in the wrong country because we don't have a Republican Party?

01:20:31.880 Like, no, no, we do, and we mean Republican by we want a republic.

01:20:35.660 They probably should have just been called Independent Alberta or something like that.

01:20:39.100 I know there's already an Alberta Independence Party, but this is the problem with the separatist movement.

01:20:43.640 There's like five separatist parties, Wild Rose Loyalty Coalition, Independence Party of Alberta.

01:20:47.880 I think there's like Western Canadian concepts still exists, and like Republican Party.

01:20:52.660 It's kind of silly.

01:20:54.140 And Spoon of Nutella for five bucks, thank you for that, says more realistic things couldn't have been said by Polyev in the campaign.

01:21:05.920 Maybe he was too transparent.

01:21:08.480 More realistic things couldn't have been said by Polyev.

01:21:10.920 I don't think Polyev did a bad campaign.

01:21:12.740 In fact, Polyev was the big, like, he's a big asset for the party.

01:21:17.980 Very charismatic.

01:21:19.260 People like him.

01:21:20.220 He gets attention on issues.

01:21:21.380 I think it's more so the back office of the campaign let him down.

01:21:25.000 I heard within the first week of the campaign, the HQ of the party, of the party campaign, was not even properly staffed up yet.

01:21:32.420 Because there was too many just, you know, futzing around in the back.

01:21:37.580 People like only hiring friends and whatnot.

01:21:40.340 And it was just dragging the whole campaign.

01:21:43.240 Polyev was doing a good job.

01:21:44.200 I think that they advised him to go mild on too many things, saying, just, you know, just hold it out here.

01:21:49.700 Keep it, you know, just keep it consistent.

01:21:51.480 Don't say anything controversial.

01:21:52.660 And it's like, you've got to say something controversial.

01:21:54.720 You've got to rip the attention away from Carney, and you've got to be the star of the show.

01:21:59.020 That's what you have to do.

01:22:00.080 And then also the campaigns from HQ were micromanaging the riding level campaigns.

01:22:05.900 I've heard, and I've confirmed this with my friend Scott Hayward from the organization right now, that candidates were told that they are not allowed to leave their riding boundaries outside of about five people.

01:22:18.320 Five people were allowed to go where they wanted.

01:22:20.600 Anyone else was basically banned unless you got express written permission that you could leave your riding to go help out in another riding.

01:22:27.460 Which is stupid, because some of these people are in super safe ridings, and they could go down the street to go help out a non-safe riding or a liberal riding that we could flip, but they weren't allowed to do it.

01:22:38.660 Or, if you were a candidate, you weren't allowed to go to events without getting written permission.

01:22:42.480 You weren't allowed to go and meet community leaders.

01:22:45.020 You weren't allowed to go to the local debates.

01:22:46.780 And guess what?

01:22:47.460 A lot of the candidates who ended up winning close ridings ignored HQ and did whatever they wanted.

01:22:53.180 But the problem is a lot of people won't think that because they're thinking that they would have gotten kicked out if they started doing their own thing.

01:22:59.460 And maybe they did run the risk of getting kicked if they defied orders, but they took the risk, defied orders, took risks on the ground, and they won, which demonstrates risks help.

01:23:08.620 And...

01:23:09.120 Third tooth was mentioning about, can you blame me, though, for kind of taking more optimistic interpretations of what I was saying?

01:23:32.620 I don't blame you for that, absolutely.

01:23:34.860 Obviously, I keep the show more positive because it would be pathetic to do a show where I'm like, bad things could happen.

01:23:44.860 I don't want it to be, like, the hope for the best, expect the worst kind of a show.

01:23:48.800 I think that it should be more focused on, here's the path to victory, here's what we need to do to get that path to victory, and it's absolutely realistic.

01:23:55.940 I can't control the campaigns, so when I'm saying, this is the path to victory, and they start going on another path that there's not a victory at the end of the road for, like...

01:24:04.860 I can't do anything about that. Not that anyone is saying that I can, obviously.

01:24:13.700 Rotten says, good thing you don't have the writing names on your screen, lol, worst election coverage ever.

01:24:17.860 Okay, well, do you want me to have them on screen? Because this is what it would look like, Rotten.

01:24:23.020 You can't see anything now.

01:24:25.600 This is why I don't have them on screen.

01:24:27.900 It is extremely tiny because the Elections Alberta website is not designed for people streaming the election results.

01:24:36.040 So, but yeah, top line is Ellerslie, middle line is Strathcona, third line is Olds Didsbury Three Hills.

01:24:42.140 So, there you go.

01:24:45.100 Hopefully, that is satisfactory to you.

01:24:47.080 And no, this is not the Crowfoot election with Polyev.

01:24:53.640 That's not going to probably be until early or mid-April because, of course, there's a mandatory amount of time for the election.

01:25:01.940 And we didn't have Damian Couric step down as that ridings MP until basically the end of session.

01:25:08.680 Because there was no chance that Polyev was going to be able to be included in that session.

01:25:13.020 There wasn't enough time within that session for him to get elected and show up.

01:25:16.780 So, I think they let Damian Couric serve out at least until the end of spring session.

01:25:21.140 Then he stepped down.

01:25:22.480 And Damian Couric, by the way, who's a great MP, he's actually going to be coming back in the next election.

01:25:29.560 JJMK says, why ignore those haters?

01:25:33.160 I love your channel.

01:25:33.820 I don't really get bothered by people.

01:25:35.320 If anything, I kind of find it fun when people don't like what I'm doing.

01:25:37.980 It gives me something to chew on.

01:25:42.820 And Scotty was saying, that's Jenny's fault.

01:25:44.660 And I assume that you're talking about a lot of the election mistakes was Jenny Byrne's fault.

01:25:49.420 And that's absolutely true.

01:25:56.080 Why it has nearly as many viewers on YouTube as Rebel News coverage, FYI.

01:26:00.680 Well, that's sad for them.

01:26:02.060 They probably are doing a better job than me.

01:26:04.460 I like Rebel.

01:26:05.360 Especially Drea Humphrey has been doing a really, really good job covering the scandal of the AGM in British Columbia.

01:26:14.180 I should actually bring that up.

01:26:15.200 There's going to be a part two, but John Rustad recently put out this long, rambling letter to his voters to basically justify what happened and pretending nothing bad happened.

01:26:33.600 And I'll link the video for you guys here if you guys want to go check out the Drea Humphrey report.

01:26:39.740 It's really great.

01:26:40.420 I'll just spam it into the chat a couple times.

01:26:42.700 But here's the thing.

01:26:47.120 John claims that you can't...

01:26:51.360 Because the thing is that they were kicking people out of the AGM.

01:26:54.520 If you applied to be a member, if they seemingly didn't think that you were going to vote for John Slate,

01:26:59.920 or they knew some people were obviously going to vote against John Slate,

01:27:03.520 and they were going to vote for the independent board member candidates because they wanted more accountability, transparency, more respect to the grassroots.

01:27:10.020 They let a bunch of those people in, but it was obviously that they probably had a ledger in the back where they knew how many people were on their side and how many people were against them.

01:27:20.880 And if you were against them and you were applying to be a delegate and they wanted to keep the ratio of people against them down,

01:27:26.620 they were either not letting you know whether you were a delegate or not and you lived so far away you didn't even bother showing up because you had no confirmation that you were supposed to show up,

01:27:34.900 or they were just saying that you've been denied as a delegate, even though some of these people were literally nominated by their ridings to show up and be a delegate.

01:27:44.680 John denied that he did that.

01:27:46.420 And his evidence that he didn't do that and he's actually super popular is that his slate won, which is the definition of begging the question.

01:27:54.660 Well, obviously, I didn't rig the AGM to make myself seem popular because I won the AGM and that means I was super popular.

01:28:02.440 It's like, what is wrong with you? That is the worst defense I've ever heard in my life.

01:28:10.060 Canada Bud 23 says Carney isn't conservative and obviously he's not a conservative.

01:28:15.460 And I would say that when Winter says Carney is conservative with brains, I disagree with that, but I understand the sentiment that Carney is conservative compared to Trudeau,

01:28:27.480 like a more conservative liberal in his temperament, which is maybe why he may be more formidable as a prime minister to go up against than Trudeau was,

01:28:38.940 although Trudeau still ended up winning three elections, so you can't really say he's not formidable.

01:28:43.120 But right now in this moment in time, I could see it being more difficult to beat Carney than Trudeau because Carney gives off an attitude that he is here to stabilize the country.

01:28:54.400 Just as Trudeau was hard to beat when he first came in because you could say that Harper's government had become more, I don't dislike Harper, but you could say it was sluggish.

01:29:04.920 It felt boring and Trudeau at a time when things were good and people had, I guess, the luxury to vote in silly ways because everything was going well.

01:29:13.780 Because of, in many cases, because of Harper's policies, that what you ended up having was a lot of people voted for Trudeau because they wanted some excitement.

01:29:21.680 And so at the time in 2015, 2019, and then 2021 was more of a COVID thing.

01:29:27.520 But in 2015, 2019, Trudeau had energy and he had charisma and style and you had people who were, you know, fat and happy.

01:29:34.460 So they'll vote for that.

01:29:35.480 And then as, you know, the, you know, the hangover started like setting in over Trudeau's government, a lot of people didn't want him around anymore, understandably.

01:29:45.460 And then, then people now want the steady, sober-minded view of Carney, even though in many ways he's a lot like Trudeau.

01:29:55.020 But again, so many people vote on Vibes, which is very concerning and sad.

01:29:59.420 G-Max says Carney admires Marxism law, which is, yeah, like he actually does basically plug Marx in his own, in his own book.

01:30:13.160 CanadaBud23 says, yeah, he gives that, the, the illusion, which is the illusion of competence, but he hasn't done anything for us yet.

01:30:24.360 He has passed some legislation and he has done things that aesthetically will make Canadians happy about the G7 and whatnot.

01:30:32.560 His new Major Projects Act, if he actually started doing it, using it to promote new projects or to get new projects going, he is going to get some policy wins off of that.

01:30:41.420 So far, he hasn't done anything with it. The Conservatives have called his bluff by voting in favor of it, saying, okay, you have the powers now to speed up projects.

01:30:48.520 Now, go speed up projects. And if he doesn't actually approve mines and oil and gas projects or the National Energy Corridor for oil and gas products, that's going to hurt him.

01:30:58.800 That's really going to hurt him because it's going to prove that he's lying.

01:31:03.600 Mark H says for $6.99, thank you for that.

01:31:06.180 Do you think the men of Owlzut will cross the Diddy line in the next federal election?

01:31:13.060 I don't know what that means at all.

01:31:16.140 Do you think...

01:31:19.180 I don't even know what that means. You're going to have to fill me in on what that means, Mark.

01:31:24.960 I will, I will await the thing, your explanation.

01:31:29.500 GMAC says, I'm out of here, too depressing. There's nothing really depressing about what's going on here.

01:31:39.360 This is pretty standard election results for Alberta, but you see the NDP kind of weakening.

01:31:44.160 Oh, that's actually an interesting thing to bring up.

01:31:49.740 Air India terror attack, kind of surprised that Ipsos poll shows that 9 out of 10 Canadians didn't know of it.

01:31:56.260 It was 17% who knew it was Canada's biggest terror attack.

01:32:00.180 But yeah, that's crazy just how undereducated a lot of Canadians are,

01:32:05.500 that people don't even know what the biggest terror attack in Canadian history is.

01:32:09.520 Anna K says, I just watched the Rob Ford documentary on Netflix, so wild.

01:32:16.260 I'll probably end up watching that at some point.

01:32:18.800 Of course, Doug Ford doesn't like it, but at the end of the day,

01:32:22.140 the one thing I could see the documentary not capturing

01:32:25.020 is how much people actually really liked Rob Ford,

01:32:27.820 because Rob Ford was actually a good mayor.

01:32:39.520 Tom Duke says, no way they will change that EV mandate.

01:32:42.720 On the contrary, they feel it's totally justified.

01:32:45.660 The one problem, though, or the one thing about it,

01:32:48.260 is that the Liberals always put their big goals for, like, climate stuff out 20 years or 15 years.

01:32:55.800 And it's always something like, this one's 10 years away.

01:32:58.220 I think they committed to it, like, five years ago in 2020.

01:33:00.960 It's always something far enough away where their government might not survive that long,

01:33:05.420 and it will get basically trashed by the next government.

01:33:09.240 And so they get to run on the idea that they want to do it,

01:33:12.060 but they never actually have to do it.

01:33:15.920 Jay Man 2 says, Air India was, like, 40 years ago.

01:33:19.220 Well, and that's why it's kind of, it's not that old of an attack.

01:33:22.620 And the problem is, we don't even talk about that in schools.

01:33:25.540 And that's how a lot of the Calistani nutcases get to go around pretending

01:33:29.480 that they represent the Sikh community,

01:33:31.780 because nobody actually informs Canadians.

01:33:34.900 The Sikh community doesn't even like, they don't even like these people.

01:33:43.440 The Cat in the Hat says,

01:33:44.680 That crazy Rob Ford rant was about me and our charity boxing match.

01:33:48.700 It started on Twitter.

01:33:50.180 Did I see, what, did you go on a rant?

01:33:54.820 Well, I'll go find that later.

01:33:56.060 Lena Key says, Rob Ford, who I really like,

01:34:03.780 is on video saying my brother is a commie.

01:34:05.860 Well, he'd refer to his brother as a pinko,

01:34:07.880 at least behind the scenes.

01:34:09.960 Have we had any more progress on the by-election results?

01:34:13.740 Not really.

01:34:14.640 Okay, there's a lot more to go in old Didsbury 3 Hill.

01:34:17.820 So that election got way more attention than the other ones,

01:34:21.480 considering how many votes there are in that one comparatively.

01:34:26.080 And there was still way less counted.

01:34:27.720 46 out of 60 poll stations counted,

01:34:30.080 where all the other ones are far more counted.

01:34:31.620 And there's more votes in the other one.

01:34:33.600 So I guess like maybe the separatists running

01:34:35.280 got a lot more people out to vote

01:34:37.340 because they wanted to demonstrate

01:34:38.560 that they didn't support the Republicans.

01:34:41.200 But again, a third place finish for them in this riding

01:34:44.920 is just bad, considering that,

01:34:47.060 again, I know a lot of people who support separatism

01:34:50.520 still support the UCP.

01:34:52.500 But if you're in old Didsbury 3 Hills

01:34:56.140 and you're coming in third place as the Republicans

01:34:59.660 in an area where in theory,

01:35:02.040 well more than a majority of people

01:35:04.240 would vote for separatism or for independence,

01:35:07.740 that's not good.

01:35:08.640 If you're being beaten by the progressive trade unionist

01:35:12.060 party out there.

01:35:14.160 But yeah.

01:35:17.060 Oh my goodness.

01:35:32.080 Chris Johnson says,

01:35:33.660 I'm genuinely curious.

01:35:34.980 What is the draw to the left in this extreme?

01:35:37.980 Why?

01:35:38.440 I don't get it.

01:35:39.200 Do we see this crazy?

01:35:40.380 Do we seem this crazy to the left

01:35:42.000 as they seem to us on this question?

01:35:44.680 Well, I think the left will always highlight

01:35:46.840 actual nut jobs on the right

01:35:49.160 to pretend that that's what most conservatives are.

01:35:52.080 And you get conservatives who pretend

01:35:53.660 every person who's a liberal or NDP supporter

01:35:56.340 is that hyper-progressive downtown activist.

01:35:59.660 And it's inaccurate.

01:36:00.980 I would say extremism is far more common on the left.

01:36:04.700 Yeah, you get extreme nut cases on the right too.

01:36:07.540 But I find that the amount of leftists

01:36:10.060 who think that we should just, you know,

01:36:12.180 do away with landlords

01:36:13.400 or that basically certain companies

01:36:15.280 should be nationalized

01:36:16.480 or that we should cut off

01:36:17.920 diplomatic ties with the U.S.

01:36:19.660 because Trump sucks.

01:36:21.140 That's far greater

01:36:22.360 than you'll ever find stuff on the right.

01:36:25.180 I find you've got a lot of loud people

01:36:26.800 on the right who are extreme

01:36:28.220 and they're not even usually on the right.

01:36:29.800 It's like Jeremy McKenzie

01:36:30.920 and the Diaglon guys.

01:36:32.540 They're not even on the right.

01:36:34.060 Look at their actual individual policy stances.

01:36:37.220 Being racist is not right wing.

01:36:39.320 Being like anti-Semitic is not right wing.

01:36:41.140 Those are just gross attitudes.

01:36:45.920 When you actually look at those guys' policies,

01:36:48.160 yeah, sometimes they're more like small government,

01:36:50.320 but a lot of those guys are like

01:36:51.440 big government people who,

01:36:55.300 they're like woke right

01:36:56.360 in the sense they believe the government

01:36:57.940 should be super big to do things they like,

01:37:00.660 which is not what an actual person

01:37:02.720 on the right should believe.

01:37:03.680 But yeah,

01:37:10.700 and as someone people are bringing up

01:37:12.160 the EV mandates again,

01:37:13.600 the problem with the EV mandates too,

01:37:15.360 the biggest problem,

01:37:16.660 not only should we not be subsidizing

01:37:18.500 like the car purchases of individual people

01:37:21.440 because it's lower emissions,

01:37:23.460 the main problem is that like

01:37:24.860 we also don't have grid space

01:37:27.380 for all these chargers.

01:37:29.060 One, there's not enough charging infrastructure out there.

01:37:31.120 Two, we do not have grids

01:37:33.000 that were made to handle people

01:37:35.040 not only getting electricity for their homes,

01:37:37.860 but their cars as well.

01:37:39.300 Charging a car is more than your home

01:37:41.220 is going to use in a few days.

01:37:42.580 If you're charging a car from zero to a hundred,

01:37:45.140 your car is not going to be able to handle,

01:37:48.480 like the grid cannot handle that.

01:37:50.860 Like doubling grid usage across the city

01:37:53.780 from everyone having two EVs

01:37:55.620 and their house is insane.

01:37:58.080 And obviously we should not be doing that at all.

01:38:01.120 Do we have any more results?

01:38:04.580 Come on guys, you can do it.

01:38:08.560 This may be,

01:38:09.440 this is maybe as far as we're going to go

01:38:10.980 because it doesn't look like

01:38:11.740 we're really going to get too many more.

01:38:14.500 It looks like it's kind of stalling out a little bit,

01:38:16.600 but I think this is generally

01:38:17.580 where we're probably going to see

01:38:18.580 the results settle out.

01:38:20.780 The UCP basically maintained

01:38:22.960 their vote in Ellerslie at 36%,

01:38:26.220 disappointing.

01:38:26.960 Although the Liberals running

01:38:28.960 and the Alberta party running

01:38:30.440 ended up causing the NDP to fall down

01:38:33.180 by 10% of the vote there.

01:38:35.080 And then the Republican party had

01:38:37.380 what I would consider pretty disappointing

01:38:39.120 start for their party

01:38:41.280 in the riding where they chunked

01:38:42.960 all of the,

01:38:43.560 they put most of the resources into.

01:38:46.780 Coming third place

01:38:47.860 is nothing to sneeze at,

01:38:49.500 but considering that they,

01:38:51.240 this should be prime ground

01:38:52.680 for them to,

01:38:53.640 you know,

01:38:53.980 potentially give the UCP

01:38:55.540 a run for their money.

01:38:56.420 I don't think this is a good result at all.

01:38:59.340 So yeah.

01:38:59.960 DC Frank says,

01:39:09.900 hubris and greed

01:39:10.660 have finally taken their toll.

01:39:12.480 I mean,

01:39:13.060 the last 10 years

01:39:14.080 as well as the last election

01:39:15.700 would have gotten,

01:39:16.960 would have not happened

01:39:18.080 if greed and hubris

01:39:19.100 were stopped

01:39:20.300 or slapped down

01:39:21.040 as they should be.

01:39:21.800 Absolutely.

01:39:22.560 Well,

01:39:22.700 I think so many people,

01:39:24.240 I think in the last election

01:39:25.640 what you saw,

01:39:26.700 and it's like,

01:39:27.180 if you guys are obviously

01:39:28.200 above the age of 50

01:39:29.320 watching my show,

01:39:30.220 it's not you guys

01:39:31.220 who are the problem

01:39:31.880 because you guys

01:39:32.340 probably voted conservative,

01:39:33.800 but there are a lot of people

01:39:35.340 who are retired,

01:39:36.380 who live comfortably,

01:39:37.700 already own their own home.

01:39:39.000 They live in safe parts of the city

01:39:40.460 who voted liberal

01:39:41.520 because they're,

01:39:42.760 they don't have to suffer

01:39:43.540 the consequences

01:39:44.260 of their policies.

01:39:45.240 It actually really grosses me out

01:39:47.560 when I go into a,

01:39:50.280 when it really grosses me out

01:39:52.120 when I go into like

01:39:53.060 a fast food restaurant

01:39:54.280 and it's like only TFW workers

01:39:56.620 and nobody seems to care.

01:39:59.220 Like a lot of people

01:39:59.960 don't seem to care.

01:40:00.840 It's like,

01:40:01.300 guys,

01:40:02.080 it's like a lot of older people

01:40:03.280 sitting around like McDonald's

01:40:05.080 or Tim Hortons

01:40:05.560 and it's all TFW employees.

01:40:07.140 It's like,

01:40:07.360 guys,

01:40:08.260 like stop voting liberal.

01:40:09.820 Stop letting your kids' jobs

01:40:11.460 get taken by people

01:40:12.980 who don't have any skin

01:40:14.240 in the game in Canada,

01:40:15.700 who are not going to be here

01:40:16.640 in the long run

01:40:17.140 or are only working there

01:40:18.480 to basically get a citizenship

01:40:20.160 one day.

01:40:21.140 Stop it.

01:40:22.280 Like the thing is,

01:40:23.300 TFW programs,

01:40:24.400 temporary foreign workers

01:40:25.200 and permanent residents

01:40:27.300 immigrating to your country

01:40:28.340 to add to the population

01:40:29.500 and foreign students,

01:40:30.380 that should be supplementary.

01:40:32.600 But it has become like

01:40:33.900 the main way

01:40:34.820 for employers to get employees.

01:40:36.260 It's become the main way

01:40:37.320 for universities

01:40:37.900 to generate dollars.

01:40:39.200 It's become the main way

01:40:40.360 for us to add to our population.

01:40:41.680 It's ridiculous.

01:40:43.040 And this is the pro-life point

01:40:44.440 I'll make.

01:40:45.180 Everyone who's saying,

01:40:46.020 look,

01:40:46.180 don't talk about pro-life stuff.

01:40:47.940 It's not very popular.

01:40:49.240 One,

01:40:49.620 it's far more popular

01:40:50.480 than you actually think.

01:40:51.520 Actually look at the polling

01:40:52.520 on individual practices

01:40:53.680 if you were to ban them.

01:40:55.160 Sex-selective abortion

01:40:56.040 is like a 95% prospect.

01:40:58.240 95% of people

01:40:59.280 would vote to ban it.

01:41:00.720 Many people don't even realize

01:41:01.800 it's even legal.

01:41:02.960 A lot of the stuff

01:41:03.560 you could easily win votes on.

01:41:05.100 But guys,

01:41:06.140 immigration

01:41:06.640 is being justified.

01:41:08.860 Massive amounts of people

01:41:09.800 entering the country

01:41:10.420 every year

01:41:10.840 is being justified

01:41:12.140 in part because of

01:41:13.280 low birth rates,

01:41:14.140 which has not helped

01:41:15.000 when you start eliminating

01:41:16.040 unborn children.

01:41:17.320 Just saying.

01:41:18.260 Just saying.

01:41:19.300 And it would be good

01:41:19.820 to have more of a pro-family culture

01:41:21.280 where people actually

01:41:22.400 raise their kids.

01:41:24.340 Well, whatever.

01:41:24.840 Maybe I'm being controversial.

01:41:27.460 Oh, hey, Hershey,

01:41:28.480 YY,

01:41:29.300 hearsay,

01:41:30.300 or heresy,

01:41:32.580 YYC.

01:41:32.960 I keep reading it wrong

01:41:34.020 every time I see your name.

01:41:35.100 But heresy,

01:41:36.020 YYC,

01:41:36.560 I think it would be good

01:41:37.320 for Alberta

01:41:38.660 to have a separatist party

01:41:39.980 with a seat.

01:41:40.720 It would show how close

01:41:41.980 the center,

01:41:42.900 to the center

01:41:44.300 the UCP truly is.

01:41:46.080 And yeah,

01:41:46.700 I don't think maybe,

01:41:47.620 I don't think the UCP

01:41:49.560 is exactly to the center.

01:41:50.740 It depends on the issue.

01:41:52.220 But I don't think

01:41:53.260 it would be a bad thing

01:41:54.440 for the separatists

01:41:55.420 to have a seat.

01:41:56.540 The problem is that

01:41:57.220 they're really bad

01:41:58.480 at getting,

01:42:00.540 they're just really bad

01:42:01.700 at getting organized.

01:42:03.580 That's the problem.

01:42:04.520 They just are not

01:42:05.280 well organized.

01:42:06.380 There's a reason why

01:42:07.200 Peter Guthrie

01:42:07.940 has not joined

01:42:08.940 who's the independent,

01:42:09.860 one of the independent

01:42:10.600 MLAs in Alberta.

01:42:13.380 There's a reason why

01:42:14.080 he hasn't joined that party.

01:42:15.560 Probably because

01:42:16.060 he doesn't believe in it.

01:42:17.620 Patty Elliott

01:42:20.280 sends in $6.99

01:42:21.300 with no messages attached.

01:42:22.620 But thank you,

01:42:23.260 Patty Elliott.

01:42:23.840 Thanks for supporting the show.

01:42:26.160 And Basement Banter says,

01:42:27.560 with the amount of money

01:42:28.420 the West contributes

01:42:29.520 in equalization payments,

01:42:31.000 we deserve equal seats

01:42:32.120 to the East.

01:42:34.360 In general,

01:42:35.280 I actually wouldn't mind

01:42:36.580 how,

01:42:38.400 the problem is that

01:42:39.340 things are not proportional.

01:42:41.240 If things were proportional,

01:42:44.040 actually Ontario

01:42:45.280 may have an extra seat,

01:42:46.460 but the Maritimes

01:42:47.580 would have less seats.

01:42:48.740 Quebec would have less seats.

01:42:51.080 I think that,

01:42:52.140 like,

01:42:52.320 and that's really,

01:42:53.180 if you just sorted out

01:42:54.320 those things,

01:42:54.860 it would be way easier

01:42:56.020 for the Conservatives to win.

01:42:57.320 But we give the Quebec

01:42:58.900 a guaranteed proportion

01:43:00.040 of the seats

01:43:00.600 and then the,

01:43:01.300 like,

01:43:02.460 places like PEI,

01:43:04.060 their seats only have,

01:43:04.840 like,

01:43:04.940 35,000 people in them each.

01:43:07.060 And Alberta Riding

01:43:07.860 has, like,

01:43:08.240 136,000 people in them.

01:43:10.240 I believe Ontario Riding

01:43:12.180 have, like,

01:43:12.480 142,000.

01:43:13.700 So,

01:43:14.120 in theory,

01:43:14.860 they actually deserve

01:43:15.860 more seats.

01:43:16.820 But it is a problem

01:43:17.920 when the average

01:43:19.220 Quebec Riding

01:43:19.840 only has, like,

01:43:20.540 100,000 or 93,000

01:43:22.500 people per Riding.

01:43:23.780 And if we actually

01:43:24.800 did it proportionately,

01:43:26.140 they would end up

01:43:26.900 losing, like,

01:43:27.520 10 Riding's or so.

01:43:28.900 I think PEI

01:43:29.640 would go down

01:43:30.080 to a single Riding.

01:43:31.820 You know,

01:43:32.080 Nova Scotia

01:43:32.700 would lose two.

01:43:33.920 New Brunswick

01:43:34.420 would lose two.

01:43:35.880 Newfoundland

01:43:36.300 would lose two.

01:43:37.420 That does add up

01:43:38.400 after a while.

01:43:38.940 That's almost the margin

01:43:39.940 of the Liberals'

01:43:41.120 election victory.

01:43:43.900 And then the Conservatives

01:43:44.660 would probably,

01:43:45.120 and then the Alberta

01:43:46.520 would probably go up

01:43:47.600 by one even then.

01:43:49.940 Hunter says,

01:43:50.580 didn't even know

01:43:51.200 that this was happening.

01:43:52.120 Good results.

01:43:53.140 The results are just

01:43:53.980 kind of what they are.

01:43:55.120 It's not that different

01:43:56.000 from the 2023

01:43:56.860 election in Alberta.

01:44:00.000 So,

01:44:00.380 I was assuming

01:44:01.240 the UCP

01:44:01.900 could win

01:44:02.600 Ellerslie.

01:44:03.940 It looks like

01:44:04.440 not as much

01:44:05.200 has changed

01:44:05.740 in Ellerslie,

01:44:06.320 which sucks.

01:44:08.000 the NDP

01:44:08.600 have fallen down

01:44:09.680 because of the

01:44:10.540 presence of the Liberals

01:44:11.720 and all of the Alberta

01:44:12.460 Party in that election.

01:44:14.240 But it is still

01:44:15.340 a problem

01:44:15.780 when you end up

01:44:16.760 losing votes

01:44:17.740 in a by-election

01:44:18.620 when it should be

01:44:19.320 very easy

01:44:19.860 to turn out

01:44:20.380 your hardcore supporters

01:44:21.320 as the NDP.

01:44:22.580 And they've gone

01:44:23.220 from 61% of the vote

01:44:24.680 in that riding

01:44:25.220 to 50.

01:44:26.840 You know,

01:44:27.240 not great.

01:44:28.680 It's fine

01:44:29.540 for the UCP.

01:44:30.360 Basically,

01:44:30.740 it demonstrates

01:44:31.180 that Daniel Smith

01:44:32.740 probably would win

01:44:33.760 a general election

01:44:34.620 and probably gain seats.

01:44:35.940 If the NDP

01:44:37.060 is struggling

01:44:37.940 in an Edmonton

01:44:39.820 by-election

01:44:40.360 to maintain

01:44:41.200 its vote

01:44:41.740 and losing 10%

01:44:42.740 of its portion

01:44:44.620 of the vote,

01:44:45.460 that probably means

01:44:46.240 in Calgary,

01:44:47.400 the UCP

01:44:47.940 could probably

01:44:48.460 pick up

01:44:49.000 one to three

01:44:49.960 more seats.

01:44:50.680 They already had

01:44:51.340 a decent seat margin

01:44:52.280 in the last election.

01:44:53.380 It came close

01:44:54.820 in terms of

01:44:55.660 the actual vote

01:44:56.440 count

01:44:56.840 in Calgary

01:44:57.980 in terms of

01:44:58.560 the seats

01:44:58.920 the UCP

01:44:59.660 won

01:44:59.980 that they

01:45:00.280 needed to win.

01:45:00.940 At the same

01:45:01.800 time,

01:45:02.560 with the results

01:45:03.300 going the way

01:45:03.840 they are

01:45:04.220 and the polling

01:45:04.680 going the way

01:45:05.200 they are,

01:45:05.560 I think

01:45:05.880 Daniel Smith

01:45:06.480 and the Conservatives

01:45:07.160 can rest

01:45:07.640 pretty easy.

01:45:09.380 Even with the

01:45:10.140 Republican Party

01:45:10.800 of Alberta

01:45:11.260 running in

01:45:12.200 Ellerslie,

01:45:13.140 it didn't really

01:45:13.600 hurt them that mad.

01:45:15.360 And again,

01:45:15.720 Ellerslie is not

01:45:16.400 a riding they even

01:45:17.080 need in the next

01:45:17.900 general election.

01:45:18.720 And the Republican

01:45:19.420 Party of Alberta,

01:45:20.560 as you see

01:45:21.280 in the bottom,

01:45:22.100 in the rural

01:45:22.680 riding of Olds,

01:45:24.260 Didsbury,

01:45:24.740 Three Hills,

01:45:25.820 did not really

01:45:26.820 do as well

01:45:27.440 as probably

01:45:28.120 they would want

01:45:28.880 to have done.

01:45:30.280 It's about 17%,

01:45:31.940 16.5%

01:45:33.420 of the vote.

01:45:34.640 It's the

01:45:35.240 proportion of the

01:45:36.540 vote they can

01:45:37.040 pretend that

01:45:38.440 they did really

01:45:39.040 well,

01:45:39.480 even though they

01:45:40.000 put in way too

01:45:40.940 much effort

01:45:41.420 into that

01:45:41.780 by-election

01:45:42.280 to be coming

01:45:42.860 in third

01:45:43.260 place behind

01:45:44.300 the NDP.

01:45:45.340 I think they

01:45:45.720 needed to show

01:45:46.280 that they were

01:45:46.660 a second place

01:45:47.320 party in a

01:45:48.020 rural area

01:45:49.220 where separatist

01:45:50.660 sentiments are

01:45:51.220 the highest.

01:45:52.160 They can't

01:45:52.580 come in third.

01:45:55.300 Actually,

01:45:55.820 I will be on

01:45:56.560 Juneau News

01:45:57.580 tomorrow talking

01:45:58.440 about

01:45:58.820 those by-election

01:45:59.780 results with

01:46:00.600 Candice Malcolm,

01:46:01.440 so go check

01:46:01.980 us out there.

01:46:04.480 And Jennifer

01:46:05.080 Varangi,

01:46:06.320 I hope I'm

01:46:08.180 saying that

01:46:08.580 right,

01:46:09.060 Jennifer Varangi

01:46:09.860 says,

01:46:10.560 congratulations

01:46:10.960 on reaching

01:46:11.620 70,000

01:46:12.320 followers.

01:46:13.420 I have been

01:46:14.260 watching since

01:46:14.860 at least

01:46:15.400 February when

01:46:16.460 you had

01:46:16.820 37,000.

01:46:18.900 Well,

01:46:19.200 fantastic.

01:46:20.460 Back when I

01:46:21.340 was nearly

01:46:22.080 only half the

01:46:22.920 size.

01:46:24.700 And by the

01:46:25.140 way,

01:46:25.340 guys,

01:46:25.880 if you're

01:46:27.020 not yet

01:46:27.520 subscribers,

01:46:28.140 make sure to

01:46:28.460 go hit that

01:46:28.860 subscribe button.

01:46:29.740 Again,

01:46:30.000 trying to hit

01:46:30.420 100,000 by

01:46:31.640 mid-December

01:46:32.980 or I end

01:46:33.680 up owing

01:46:36.080 all my

01:46:37.480 friends dinner.

01:46:38.520 I'm fine if

01:46:39.260 I lose.

01:46:39.780 I'll lose

01:46:40.200 fair and

01:46:40.580 square.

01:46:41.580 Obviously,

01:46:42.140 the channel

01:46:42.400 slowed down a

01:46:43.140 lot since

01:46:43.600 after the

01:46:44.000 election.

01:46:44.360 It's not

01:46:44.580 because people

01:46:45.220 hate my guts

01:46:45.820 or anything

01:46:46.180 probably.

01:46:46.700 It's just

01:46:46.900 because naturally

01:46:47.940 Canadian

01:46:48.480 political news

01:46:49.300 is not as

01:46:49.780 hot on the

01:46:50.340 algorithm,

01:46:50.920 so naturally

01:46:51.520 everything slumps

01:46:52.320 a little bit,

01:46:52.820 which sucks

01:46:53.220 because most

01:46:54.160 of the people

01:46:54.560 your videos get

01:46:55.200 service to are

01:46:55.880 people who are

01:46:56.480 already

01:46:56.840 subscribers,

01:46:57.920 so naturally

01:46:58.460 subscribers go

01:47:00.880 down over time

01:47:01.720 or you don't

01:47:02.200 get as many

01:47:02.600 new ones.

01:47:03.220 By the way,

01:47:03.620 guys,

01:47:03.840 also sign up

01:47:04.320 on the

01:47:04.500 website

01:47:04.900 wyattclaypool.com

01:47:06.140 if you want to

01:47:07.140 get on my

01:47:07.700 data list.

01:47:08.700 I want to start

01:47:09.560 recommending in

01:47:10.600 new cycles in

01:47:11.720 the future,

01:47:13.860 sorry, election

01:47:15.180 cycles in the

01:47:15.760 future, good

01:47:16.780 candidates in

01:47:17.920 conservative

01:47:18.360 nominations,

01:47:19.240 provincially,

01:47:19.880 federally, in

01:47:20.580 leadership races.

01:47:21.320 I want to do

01:47:21.840 more of that.

01:47:22.980 I wish Wally

01:47:23.920 Daldrich's people

01:47:24.840 in the Manitoba

01:47:25.640 PC leadership

01:47:26.400 would have worked

01:47:26.860 with me more.

01:47:27.420 He only lost

01:47:28.000 by like 43

01:47:28.660 votes.

01:47:29.460 I was trying

01:47:29.880 to help them.

01:47:30.560 I tried to

01:47:30.920 reach out.

01:47:31.440 They never

01:47:31.660 really ever

01:47:32.120 reached out

01:47:32.560 back to me.

01:47:33.560 I plugged

01:47:34.120 them a bunch

01:47:34.580 of times,

01:47:35.080 but I was

01:47:35.500 never really

01:47:35.880 given away

01:47:36.520 or any

01:47:37.260 indication of

01:47:38.100 how I should

01:47:38.840 have him on

01:47:39.520 the show or

01:47:40.020 anything like

01:47:40.500 that.

01:47:41.140 I wish he

01:47:41.840 would have

01:47:42.020 done it because

01:47:42.520 we would have

01:47:42.840 probably gotten

01:47:43.300 him over the

01:47:43.700 finish line,

01:47:44.440 and I didn't

01:47:45.640 have enough

01:47:46.020 individual data

01:47:46.820 myself to call

01:47:47.580 people, but

01:47:48.200 whatever.

01:47:49.120 I'm going to

01:47:49.680 try and do

01:47:50.220 that.

01:47:52.460 refresh the

01:47:52.820 results on

01:47:53.500 the website,

01:47:54.180 so hopefully

01:47:54.680 once I do

01:47:55.840 that, oh my

01:47:56.700 goodness, thank

01:47:57.220 you for saying

01:47:57.720 that.

01:47:58.720 The results

01:47:59.160 actually are

01:47:59.640 coming in

01:48:00.100 better now.

01:48:01.460 Okay, so

01:48:03.580 now we have

01:48:04.900 Ellerslie with

01:48:05.660 31,007 votes

01:48:07.260 for the NDP,

01:48:08.380 23,052 for

01:48:09.880 the UCP,

01:48:11.040 Republican Party

01:48:11.960 in Ellerslie's

01:48:13.360 2020, but we

01:48:16.380 care mostly

01:48:17.040 about the

01:48:17.620 bottom, which

01:48:18.180 is Olds,

01:48:19.020 Didsbury,

01:48:19.640 Three Hills,

01:48:20.800 which is where

01:48:21.440 the Republican

01:48:22.020 Party of

01:48:22.560 Alberta made

01:48:23.160 its debut.

01:48:24.040 They are

01:48:24.360 still in

01:48:25.480 third place

01:48:26.060 in this

01:48:26.600 by-election,

01:48:27.440 which again

01:48:27.940 is not great

01:48:28.640 for them

01:48:28.960 considering that

01:48:29.660 they should

01:48:30.760 want to be

01:48:31.200 in second

01:48:31.620 place in a

01:48:32.260 rural area,

01:48:32.960 but they

01:48:33.260 are behind

01:48:33.800 the NDP,

01:48:35.140 who have

01:48:35.440 gotten only

01:48:35.960 more progressive

01:48:36.820 and obnoxious

01:48:37.520 since Nenshi

01:48:38.680 took over.

01:48:39.520 I'm just

01:48:39.840 calculating the

01:48:41.060 results in

01:48:41.660 that writing,

01:48:42.080 seeing what

01:48:42.360 the Republican

01:48:42.860 Party got as

01:48:43.700 a percentage.

01:48:44.860 Hasn't been

01:48:45.420 fully calculated

01:48:46.300 yet.

01:48:47.200 14,956.

01:48:52.020 So right

01:48:54.560 now the

01:48:54.940 Republican

01:48:55.260 Party has

01:48:55.820 17.5%

01:48:57.240 in that

01:48:58.040 riding.

01:48:59.280 And then I

01:49:00.140 want to see

01:49:00.420 what the

01:49:00.880 UCP

01:49:01.740 currently has

01:49:02.680 as a

01:49:03.520 portion of

01:49:04.900 the Edmonton

01:49:07.120 Ellerslie

01:49:07.740 by-election,

01:49:08.800 which is the

01:49:09.500 top line here,

01:49:10.340 only one poll

01:49:11.140 station away

01:49:11.780 from being

01:49:12.580 finished, so

01:49:13.140 I doubt the

01:49:13.860 result rate

01:49:14.660 percentages are

01:49:15.460 going to change

01:49:15.940 much from

01:49:16.320 here.

01:49:16.540 So 282

01:49:18.160 plus 3107

01:49:19.700 plus 166

01:49:21.620 plus 220

01:49:23.340 plus 2352

01:49:26.180 plus 31

01:49:27.660 equals

01:49:28.780 And so

01:49:43.420 the UCP

01:49:44.060 are at 38%

01:49:45.320 in Ellerslie,

01:49:46.120 so they've

01:49:46.460 at least

01:49:46.720 gone up

01:49:47.240 by 3%

01:49:48.160 since the

01:49:48.840 general election.

01:49:50.160 The NDP

01:49:50.560 have fallen

01:49:51.200 down, I

01:49:51.920 believe,

01:49:53.460 a little

01:49:54.960 bit.

01:50:03.060 Yeah, so

01:50:03.800 the NDP

01:50:04.240 are at 50%

01:50:05.220 of the vote

01:50:05.680 in Ellerslie.

01:50:06.920 Not bad

01:50:07.640 for the UCP

01:50:08.580 considering the

01:50:09.300 NDP in

01:50:10.780 the last

01:50:11.360 general election

01:50:12.480 in Edmonton

01:50:13.440 Ellerslie

01:50:13.840 was at 61.9%.

01:50:15.320 So not

01:50:16.540 too bad.

01:50:25.160 Someone else

01:50:25.860 was promoting

01:50:26.500 my or

01:50:27.100 justifying

01:50:28.340 my slurring

01:50:29.660 of Calgary

01:50:30.400 because I

01:50:30.800 can't say

01:50:31.160 my own city's

01:50:32.080 name properly.

01:50:34.400 No,

01:50:34.920 the Chisel,

01:50:35.600 this is not

01:50:36.180 the Pierre

01:50:36.620 election.

01:50:37.120 That will

01:50:37.340 probably be

01:50:37.980 sometime

01:50:38.380 in

01:50:39.140 August

01:50:41.900 or so.

01:50:45.320 So that

01:50:45.920 will be,

01:50:46.500 I don't

01:50:47.040 think that

01:50:47.300 one will

01:50:47.620 be as

01:50:47.900 interesting

01:50:48.320 because

01:50:48.540 it will

01:50:48.680 probably be,

01:50:49.360 obviously,

01:50:50.220 Polyev will

01:50:50.640 probably win.

01:50:52.820 It's a super

01:50:53.580 conservative

01:50:53.960 riding, but

01:50:54.520 again, I

01:50:54.900 criticize

01:50:55.360 Naheed

01:50:55.820 Nenshi,

01:50:56.400 the NDP

01:50:57.120 Alberta leader,

01:50:58.620 because that

01:50:59.420 guy could have

01:51:00.100 run in

01:51:00.380 Ellerslie to

01:51:01.060 prove that,

01:51:01.760 hey, I can

01:51:02.500 take a

01:51:02.840 riding that's

01:51:03.300 not as safe

01:51:03.820 as Strathcona

01:51:04.640 and keep

01:51:05.140 it safe.

01:51:05.880 He ran

01:51:06.340 in the

01:51:06.700 safest of

01:51:07.300 safe

01:51:07.560 ridings.

01:51:08.480 Strathcona,

01:51:09.140 Edmonton

01:51:09.540 Strathcona,

01:51:10.160 was an

01:51:10.840 NDP

01:51:11.220 riding

01:51:11.660 forever.

01:51:12.320 Actually, I

01:51:12.860 should bring

01:51:13.200 that up

01:51:13.460 on screen

01:51:14.020 just for

01:51:14.400 the fun

01:51:14.640 of it.

01:51:20.500 So, do

01:51:21.280 you want,

01:51:21.600 okay, Edmonton

01:51:22.300 Strathcona

01:51:23.080 hasn't been

01:51:24.900 won by

01:51:25.620 anyone but

01:51:26.380 the NDP

01:51:26.960 since 1993

01:51:29.440 and it was

01:51:30.000 won by a

01:51:30.540 liberal.

01:51:33.400 And so,

01:51:34.640 and it

01:51:35.860 hadn't been

01:51:36.200 won by a

01:51:36.720 conservative

01:51:37.100 since 1982.

01:51:39.980 So, that's

01:51:40.720 pretty pathetic.

01:51:41.740 And it's

01:51:42.020 been NDP

01:51:42.460 in every

01:51:43.240 single election

01:51:43.860 previously before

01:51:45.740 the liberal

01:51:46.380 won that one

01:51:47.160 election and

01:51:47.860 it's been

01:51:48.200 NDP since

01:51:49.120 then.

01:51:49.840 So, yeah,

01:51:50.320 it's always

01:51:51.240 been like the

01:51:51.760 leader seat.

01:51:52.780 So, that's

01:51:53.220 not, it's

01:51:54.240 pathetic.

01:51:55.000 It's pathetic

01:51:55.700 to consider

01:51:56.300 any of this

01:51:56.920 like, to

01:51:59.560 be like a

01:52:00.500 win for

01:52:00.940 Nenshi.

01:52:01.300 He ran in

01:52:01.860 the easiest

01:52:02.220 place possible.

01:52:04.640 Dallas

01:52:08.920 Wells, I'll

01:52:09.440 bring up the

01:52:09.880 Republican

01:52:10.260 Party.

01:52:10.820 So, it's

01:52:11.080 bottom is

01:52:12.440 where they're

01:52:12.880 at.

01:52:13.580 That's the,

01:52:14.280 I'll just

01:52:14.720 quickly refresh

01:52:15.460 in case they're

01:52:15.980 done counting.

01:52:17.500 Now, basically

01:52:18.540 they're getting

01:52:18.980 17.5%, but

01:52:20.880 the problem is

01:52:21.440 they're coming

01:52:21.780 in third

01:52:22.240 place behind

01:52:23.080 the UCP.

01:52:24.100 And again, I

01:52:25.160 think they

01:52:25.480 should be doing

01:52:25.920 better than

01:52:26.340 that if they

01:52:26.840 want to prove

01:52:27.480 that they're

01:52:27.860 here to

01:52:28.260 stay.

01:52:28.560 Okay,

01:52:28.620 but yeah, so

01:52:35.140 I'll be on

01:52:35.560 with Candace

01:52:36.460 Malcolm tomorrow.

01:52:37.860 Every once in

01:52:38.520 a while, I

01:52:38.840 almost call her

01:52:39.480 Candace Owens,

01:52:40.200 but it's just

01:52:40.560 because she's a

01:52:41.340 very big

01:52:42.340 Candace in

01:52:43.000 media, so I

01:52:43.600 accidentally,

01:52:44.480 sometimes I

01:52:44.940 almost call

01:52:45.540 Candace Malcolm

01:52:46.280 the evil

01:52:48.180 Candace.

01:52:49.400 But yeah, so

01:52:49.820 I'll be going

01:52:50.640 on with Candace

01:52:51.140 Malcolm to

01:52:51.660 talk about

01:52:52.380 the by-election

01:52:53.580 results on

01:52:54.320 Juneau News

01:52:54.980 tomorrow.

01:52:56.000 That should

01:52:56.480 probably be out

01:52:57.180 midday or so.

01:52:58.640 Again, I can

01:52:59.160 probably preview

01:52:59.780 what I already

01:53:00.420 think.

01:53:01.420 Republican Party

01:53:02.200 could be a

01:53:02.720 thorn in the

01:53:03.320 UCP side.

01:53:04.660 In general, the

01:53:05.220 by-election results

01:53:06.060 here show Daniel

01:53:07.240 Smith is pretty

01:53:07.900 formidable still.

01:53:09.360 I would say

01:53:09.680 Nenshi's probably

01:53:10.480 at least stagnating

01:53:12.000 in support for

01:53:12.540 the NDP if not

01:53:13.380 going down a

01:53:14.240 little bit.

01:53:15.180 And the UCP

01:53:16.340 already had a

01:53:17.000 big seat advantage

01:53:17.960 over the NDP.

01:53:19.360 Again, it was

01:53:19.820 tight when it came

01:53:20.760 to the vote

01:53:21.320 percentage in

01:53:21.980 Calgary.

01:53:22.820 But since Daniel

01:53:23.600 Smith started

01:53:24.080 doing things like

01:53:24.680 cutting taxes and

01:53:25.660 deregulating in

01:53:26.540 certain areas, I

01:53:27.620 think you're going

01:53:28.060 to have a lot

01:53:28.540 of those sort

01:53:29.400 of finance guys

01:53:30.460 in Calgary show

01:53:31.620 back up for the

01:53:32.340 UCP because I

01:53:33.400 would say that the

01:53:34.100 problem for the

01:53:34.580 UCP in 2023 is on

01:53:36.140 financial issues.

01:53:38.080 They hadn't maybe

01:53:38.640 moved strongly

01:53:39.460 enough to kind of

01:53:40.220 gird up their

01:53:40.780 support in Calgary,

01:53:41.680 which is a very

01:53:42.220 big finance city.

01:53:43.940 I would say

01:53:44.360 Edmonton is a

01:53:45.340 union government

01:53:46.060 worker city.

01:53:47.240 Calgary is a

01:53:48.080 suburban finance

01:53:49.340 city.

01:53:49.980 And then the rural

01:53:50.520 areas are the rural

01:53:51.300 areas.

01:53:52.180 UCP basically wins

01:53:53.280 all the rural areas

01:53:54.040 except for one of the

01:53:54.720 Lethbridge Ridings and

01:53:55.720 that's it.

01:53:56.200 And then they lost

01:53:56.980 Banff,

01:53:57.380 Kananaskis, which

01:53:58.160 they can probably

01:53:59.080 win it back pretty

01:53:59.780 easily this time.

01:54:00.880 The UCP has been

01:54:01.940 doing good work on

01:54:02.800 forests and, you

01:54:04.220 know, fighting forest

01:54:04.920 fires and going after

01:54:05.760 the liberals federally

01:54:06.640 for having done

01:54:07.280 terrible things to

01:54:08.700 the forest management

01:54:09.580 of those like

01:54:10.880 federal lands.

01:54:12.200 And so I think

01:54:13.860 they'll win those

01:54:14.380 back.

01:54:14.780 But with the UCP

01:54:15.880 cutting taxes,

01:54:16.900 they'll get more

01:54:17.620 popular.

01:54:19.340 Frankly, the UCP's

01:54:20.760 biggest asset, other

01:54:21.760 than the fact that the

01:54:22.640 economy is doing

01:54:23.240 pretty well under

01:54:24.080 Danielle Smith

01:54:24.700 relative to the

01:54:25.500 other provinces, is

01:54:26.800 Nenshi's a terrible

01:54:27.920 MVP leader.

01:54:29.120 And I'll even admit,

01:54:30.180 I was wrong on

01:54:30.920 this.

01:54:31.080 I assumed Nenshi may

01:54:33.420 have actually been

01:54:33.980 more formidable than

01:54:35.000 I assumed.

01:54:37.120 Yeah, so I would say

01:54:38.820 that the Edmonton

01:54:40.860 Ellerslie polling

01:54:41.700 shows that maybe he's

01:54:43.640 going to be able to

01:54:44.060 hold on to all of

01:54:44.840 Edmonton in the next

01:54:46.240 general election.

01:54:47.260 But I think that Nenshi

01:54:48.680 is going to start losing

01:54:49.700 seats in Calgary despite

01:54:51.060 being the former mayor.

01:54:52.100 He's just whiny,

01:54:54.260 obnoxious.

01:54:55.400 He comes off like a

01:54:56.860 sensitive know-it-all,

01:54:58.380 and I think that's not

01:54:59.160 going to do very well.

01:54:59.900 It doesn't matter if he

01:55:00.580 used to be popular as

01:55:01.740 Calgary mayor.

01:55:03.200 You've got to remember,

01:55:04.140 even as he was leaving

01:55:04.980 as mayor, his popularity

01:55:07.020 was starting to slump.

01:55:08.500 And then the problem

01:55:10.620 is that for Nenshi, he

01:55:13.060 has changed a lot.

01:55:14.680 There's a reason why he

01:55:15.600 started slumping towards

01:55:16.440 the end, because he

01:55:17.080 started becoming the

01:55:18.060 hyper-progressive, BLM,

01:55:20.080 defund-the-police type of

01:55:21.980 progressive.

01:55:22.980 And so what you're

01:55:24.120 going to probably see is

01:55:24.840 a lot of people saying

01:55:25.680 that that's not the

01:55:26.360 Nenshi I remember, and

01:55:27.360 then voting UCP again,

01:55:28.960 especially if, again, the

01:55:30.480 UCP is making progress on

01:55:32.740 areas of policy that people

01:55:34.440 have been asking for.

01:55:35.280 Because, again, in the AGM

01:55:37.180 for the UCP in 2024 in

01:55:38.900 November, I voted no on

01:55:41.060 Danielle Smith's leadership

01:55:42.580 review.

01:55:43.260 I knew she was going to

01:55:44.140 win it, but I voted no to

01:55:45.640 basically signal, guys,

01:55:47.140 you've got to deregulate.

01:55:48.520 There's some shake-ups you

01:55:49.760 have to make in your

01:55:51.100 government.

01:55:52.020 You've got to move

01:55:52.540 faster when it comes to

01:55:53.540 AHS reform.

01:55:55.220 You've got to cut taxes.

01:55:57.120 And on a bunch of those

01:55:57.820 things, they started

01:55:58.580 moving faster.

01:55:59.780 They've started getting

01:56:00.460 rid of all of the, they

01:56:01.820 started fixing the

01:56:02.680 curriculum in Alberta

01:56:03.580 schools, implementing

01:56:04.840 parental rights

01:56:05.780 legislation faster.

01:56:08.000 Good.

01:56:08.500 They didn't go soft on

01:56:09.700 the parental rights

01:56:10.420 side of things, which is

01:56:11.500 great.

01:56:12.480 My friend, MLA, Chantal

01:56:14.640 DeYoung, was impartially in

01:56:16.040 charge of that.

01:56:16.480 She's doing a very good

01:56:17.580 job.

01:56:17.960 Many MLAs, like my MLA,

01:56:19.960 who's the Deputy Premier,

01:56:21.100 Mike Ellis, is doing a

01:56:22.100 very good job.

01:56:23.160 And I think that's where

01:56:24.020 the UCP has girded up

01:56:25.040 their popularity, while

01:56:26.040 the NDP has just seemed

01:56:27.760 like a party that's only

01:56:28.840 interested in winning

01:56:29.640 people who live in

01:56:30.700 downtown core areas of

01:56:32.100 cities.

01:56:36.580 Sia Cowboy says,

01:56:38.100 what's wrong with

01:56:38.560 Edmonton?

01:56:39.200 It's a union government

01:56:40.720 city.

01:56:41.160 That's just what it is.

01:56:42.900 The UCP could end up

01:56:44.360 winning there, but I

01:56:45.040 think they got a,

01:56:45.760 I don't even know,

01:56:47.080 do they have to change

01:56:47.620 tactics?

01:56:48.500 Who knows?

01:56:49.740 So here are the final

01:56:50.720 results now for old

01:56:52.060 Dinsbury three holes.

01:56:53.120 I just want to see if

01:56:53.680 anything's changed in

01:56:54.440 terms of the ratios

01:56:55.240 here.

01:56:56.200 2,705 for the

01:56:58.040 Republican Party.

01:57:10.420 So yeah, the

01:57:11.580 Republican Party ends

01:57:12.960 with 17.6% of the

01:57:15.420 vote.

01:57:16.500 And so yeah, that's a

01:57:17.780 generally a good

01:57:19.360 improvement overall.

01:57:20.480 So yeah, well, that's

01:57:22.260 like, blah, not an

01:57:23.260 improvement.

01:57:23.860 That's generally like

01:57:24.860 obviously like the

01:57:26.440 Republican Party didn't

01:57:27.680 exist before this.

01:57:28.780 But overall, I'd say

01:57:29.660 that the, I was, I was

01:57:31.400 looking at Ellerslie and

01:57:32.180 that's why I said an

01:57:32.720 improvement.

01:57:33.060 It's an improvement for

01:57:33.940 the UCP in a minor way

01:57:35.420 in Ellerslie.

01:57:36.220 It was more of a fall for

01:57:37.300 the NDP in Ellerslie, but

01:57:38.440 they still held on to it.

01:57:39.500 And I don't think the

01:57:40.920 Republican Party, the

01:57:41.820 Republican Party is

01:57:42.780 probably going to be able

01:57:43.380 to justify to their

01:57:44.480 donors that that was a

01:57:45.820 good enough performance

01:57:46.580 to keep donating.

01:57:47.720 But overall, I'm not

01:57:50.460 really sure if this is

01:57:52.300 really like great stuff

01:57:54.980 for them.

01:57:55.540 I don't know why they

01:57:56.480 really exist.

01:57:57.960 I understand a lot of

01:57:58.960 people support separatism

01:58:00.080 or independence, however

01:58:01.240 you want to phrase it.

01:58:02.180 But no, I don't think

01:58:03.680 the Republican Party is

01:58:04.680 the, I don't think it's

01:58:07.140 the vehicle.

01:58:09.180 Adventures in Health and

01:58:11.080 Wellbeing says, when are

01:58:12.260 you running?

01:58:13.380 Well, as you know, I did

01:58:14.540 run for the Calgary

01:58:15.420 Federal nomination for

01:58:16.880 Calgary Signal Hill.

01:58:18.840 I could always run

01:58:19.740 Federal again in maybe

01:58:21.040 Calgary Confederation,

01:58:22.540 which is the next door

01:58:23.500 riding where the

01:58:24.080 Liberals won.

01:58:25.320 Who, it was funny, the

01:58:26.840 guy that they were trying

01:58:27.540 to prop up in my

01:58:28.480 nomination, who they

01:58:29.320 kicked me out to try and

01:58:30.360 help win, was Jeremy

01:58:31.700 Nixon.

01:58:32.600 I moved all my supporters

01:58:33.900 to voting everyone but

01:58:35.300 Jeremy.

01:58:35.680 Jeremy, he lost the

01:58:36.660 nomination, and then he

01:58:37.640 tried to run in Calgary

01:58:38.660 Confederation because the

01:58:39.580 party appointed him into

01:58:40.640 that riding, and then he

01:58:42.420 still lost it.

01:58:43.340 So maybe I'll have to

01:58:44.260 clean up Jeremy's mess and

01:58:45.480 go run there.

01:58:46.820 And then, or I could go

01:58:48.960 run somewhere else, who

01:58:50.000 knows.

01:58:50.320 I'll try and do something

01:58:51.740 someday.

01:58:52.260 It doesn't mean I'm going

01:58:52.920 to jump for any race

01:58:54.860 that's even nearby me.

01:58:56.040 I don't think that's

01:58:56.580 exactly, I don't think

01:58:58.040 that's the right thing to

01:58:58.740 do in politics in general.

01:59:00.240 Don't run for things

01:59:01.420 just for the sake of it.

01:59:03.000 You can quickly become a

01:59:04.200 perennial candidate.

01:59:05.680 But yeah, I think that's

01:59:08.660 probably where I'm going to

01:59:10.060 leave people here.

01:59:11.960 But yeah, so this is

01:59:14.300 generally where we're

01:59:15.080 keeping the results.

01:59:17.000 NDP fall by 10% in

01:59:18.760 Edmonton Ellerslie.

01:59:19.800 UCP gained three.

01:59:21.340 Part of this is because the

01:59:22.460 Liberals in the Alberta

01:59:23.240 party ran, but they didn't

01:59:25.300 really get that many votes.

01:59:27.220 And the UCP still gained

01:59:29.020 3% despite the Republican

01:59:30.960 party of Alberta having run a

01:59:33.000 candidate there.

01:59:33.660 Republican party did 17, like

01:59:36.440 came in third in Olds,

01:59:38.740 Didsbury, Three Hills, which

01:59:40.460 is, should be a disappointing

01:59:41.500 result for them, but they'll

01:59:42.500 probably spin it as a success.

01:59:44.060 And of course, NECI won

01:59:45.580 Edmonton Strathcona, which is

01:59:47.080 in the middle there.

01:59:48.340 But that was obvious.

01:59:49.640 It is the most NDP riding in

01:59:51.680 the entire province.

01:59:52.740 What's the point of this

01:59:55.480 by-election?

01:59:56.180 Well, Rob La Jolla had

01:59:58.580 resigned to run for the

01:59:59.560 Liberals and lost.

02:00:01.760 And so, not lost, but the

02:00:03.560 Liberals originally made them

02:00:05.900 their candidate, and then they

02:00:07.120 kicked him out because he was

02:00:08.260 such a nutcase.

02:00:09.820 And then, so he's now been

02:00:11.280 deprived of a rioting

02:00:12.680 completely, which is good

02:00:13.780 because Rob La Jolla was a

02:00:14.800 flat-out communist, like

02:00:16.000 literal communist.

02:00:17.580 And so, they need to

02:00:18.540 replace him.

02:00:19.760 And then, Rachel Notley

02:00:21.000 had stepped down because

02:00:22.020 naturally, when leaders

02:00:23.000 stop being the leader of

02:00:23.820 the party, they don't

02:00:24.480 usually want to stick around

02:00:25.500 as MLAs, especially if

02:00:27.400 they don't really have

02:00:28.000 anything else to do in

02:00:28.800 politics past that point.

02:00:30.320 Riding and Strathcona need

02:00:31.620 to be replaced.

02:00:32.280 And then, Nathan Cooper, who

02:00:34.100 has moved on to be

02:00:35.160 Alberta's envoy to the

02:00:37.440 United States, needed to be

02:00:39.440 replaced in Olds, Didsbury,

02:00:40.900 Three Hills.

02:00:41.500 So, that's why we end up

02:00:42.440 having these.

02:00:43.040 Gord Crawfoot said,

02:00:47.860 would you consider running

02:00:48.740 in 2027 for the UCP?

02:00:51.000 Maybe.

02:00:51.540 Depends on what needs to

02:00:52.880 be done provincially, and

02:00:54.020 if I think that I'm a good

02:00:56.300 person to help do that.

02:00:59.220 The problem is, in Alberta,

02:01:01.720 the UCP's rules, and I

02:01:03.200 understand why they have

02:01:04.080 them, is that they're pretty

02:01:05.340 strict on you only running

02:01:06.940 and the rioting that you

02:01:08.460 live in.

02:01:09.240 And I'm sitting on my UCP

02:01:10.880 board in Calgary West, my

02:01:12.420 MLA is very good, Mike

02:01:13.900 Ellis, and he's not

02:01:15.020 resigning, probably.

02:01:16.420 And so, if he resigned,

02:01:17.560 maybe I'd run, maybe I

02:01:18.800 wouldn't, I don't really

02:01:19.780 know.

02:01:20.860 You know, you don't want to

02:01:21.560 force yourself into place

02:01:23.580 just because you want to

02:01:24.440 be elected.

02:01:25.000 If your guy's good, you

02:01:26.220 know, don't compete with

02:01:27.480 him.

02:01:28.340 And so, yeah, that's where

02:01:29.620 I'm at right now in terms

02:01:32.260 of that.

02:01:33.160 I'm going to be trying to

02:01:34.180 help out when it comes to

02:01:35.160 Calgary for the mayoral

02:01:36.920 election.

02:01:37.400 By the way, any

02:01:37.980 Calgarians in chat?

02:01:39.320 I'm just going to drop the

02:01:39.960 link to Sonia Sharpe's

02:01:42.400 request link or signs.

02:01:45.180 Get yourself a Sonia Sharpe

02:01:46.240 for mayor sign because she's

02:01:47.400 probably the most conservative

02:01:48.420 candidate right now who can

02:01:50.000 actually win.

02:01:51.480 Goodness, the other guys

02:01:53.720 pretending to be

02:01:54.380 conservative in the Calgary

02:01:55.500 mayoral election are

02:01:56.680 ticking me up.

02:01:57.660 Jeff Davison literally has a

02:02:00.240 land acknowledgement on his

02:02:01.560 landing page.

02:02:02.680 It's so silly.

02:02:03.740 The man's not that

02:02:04.520 conservative.

02:02:05.640 The man voted for every

02:02:06.780 tax increase when he was on

02:02:07.940 council.

02:02:08.680 That guy should not be

02:02:09.680 mayor.

02:02:10.220 I don't think he can win.

02:02:11.360 They're trying to market

02:02:12.660 around some sort of a poll

02:02:13.980 showing that he's in second

02:02:15.080 or third place with 17% of

02:02:17.400 the vote.

02:02:18.220 Polls for mayoral elections

02:02:19.840 this far out of the election

02:02:21.340 are worthless because not that

02:02:23.260 many people are engaged in the

02:02:24.820 election.

02:02:25.220 So when you pull them on the

02:02:26.580 names, it's just a name

02:02:28.320 recognition test.

02:02:29.260 Even Kamala Harris in DNC

02:02:32.080 primaries, Democratic primaries

02:02:34.480 in the United States, still

02:02:35.820 comes out in first most of the

02:02:37.340 time because nobody knows who

02:02:38.960 else to vote for right now

02:02:40.060 because most people don't know

02:02:41.500 other state senators and

02:02:43.800 Congress people who are putting

02:02:45.060 their names forward or who are

02:02:46.760 being basically like just thrown

02:02:48.220 in there to see what people

02:02:49.180 think.

02:02:49.620 Most people don't know who

02:02:51.300 Cory Booker is in the United

02:02:53.080 States.

02:02:53.880 Most people don't know who like

02:02:56.060 Pete Buttigieg is.

02:02:57.160 They kind of do, but not

02:02:58.500 really.

02:02:59.220 So when you pull people this

02:03:00.700 late from an election,

02:03:02.160 especially for something that's

02:03:03.700 like semi-nonpartisan, like a

02:03:06.540 municipal race, they'll be like,

02:03:08.120 I know who Jeremy Farkas is and

02:03:09.600 they'll pick him, even though

02:03:11.220 he's not at all conservative

02:03:12.320 anymore.

02:03:12.820 He's a full-on progressive.

02:03:14.260 Anyways, so that's it for me

02:03:16.340 today, guys.

02:03:17.160 Thanks for tuning in for the

02:03:18.200 live stream.

02:03:18.880 Make sure to subscribe if you're

02:03:20.040 not a subscriber yet.

02:03:21.680 And yeah, I'll see you guys

02:03:22.800 next time.

02:03:23.400 Catch me on Candace Malcolm's

02:03:24.780 show tomorrow talking about

02:03:26.040 these results.

02:03:27.160 And of course, I will have more

02:03:28.340 content coming in the future

02:03:29.760 for my own channel.

02:03:31.480 See you guys later.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - June 24, 2025

Alberta by-election results stream!

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