The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - April 26, 2024


BC Conservatives are smashing David Eby's NDP in new poll!


Episode Stats

Length

8 minutes

Words per Minute

203.67879

Word Count

1,816

Sentence Count

78


Summary

The BC Conservatives are gaining ground in the polls and are on the edge of defeating the BC NDP in the upcoming election. In this episode, I break down what's going on and why you should vote for the BC Conservatives.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 British Columbia Premier David Eby and his NDP party are absolutely falling apart right now.
00:00:05.760 They assumed that they could do and say whatever they wanted and they would still win the next
00:00:09.720 provincial election. Nothing was going to come back to bite them because obviously we're so far
00:00:14.120 ahead in the polls, BC voters will put up with anything. They didn't realize that their voting
00:00:18.560 base was completely hollow. People were only selecting the BC NDP in the polls because it
00:00:24.160 seemed like it was the only party that could actually win the next provincial election,
00:00:27.180 and a lot of people tend to bandwagon. They want their MLA to be part of the government,
00:00:31.960 so even maybe moderate conservative voters were willing to say that they were going to vote BC
00:00:37.040 NDP provincially. But then the federal conservatives started getting extremely popular in British
00:00:41.760 Columbia and what never ends up holding up well in the long run in politics anywhere is split ballots.
00:00:49.120 People tend to vote the same way on federal, provincial, and even municipal levels. They
00:00:54.440 vote conservative down the line, they vote progressive down the line, they vote liberal down the line.
00:00:58.940 And so what David Eby was relying on is that a lot of people who are going to vote federal
00:01:03.780 conservative, which tended to be their more stronger preference between their preference between the
00:01:08.220 NDP and the federal conservatives, is that he was relying on a lot of crossover voters who liked
00:01:12.860 Polyev but were willing to vote for David Eby, even though the two men were complete opposites.
00:01:18.160 Really, people were only selecting Eby in these polls because he seemed like he was going to win.
00:01:21.980 And now that the opposition scene in British Columbia is becoming less cluttered and the BC
00:01:28.100 conservatives and John Rusted have obviously defeated Kevin Falconson's BC United party and are
00:01:33.460 moving on to beat the NDP, now voters are all starting to consolidate towards the BC conservatives.
00:01:39.480 It's not just that John Rusted and the BC conservatives are taking votes from the United,
00:01:44.180 they're also taking votes from the NDP, all those people who were just defaulting to them because,
00:01:48.280 you know, David Eby is going to be our premier anyway, so I guess I can say I voted for him.
00:01:52.520 That was never going to hold, especially with the carbon tax issue and the drug issue.
00:01:57.100 And so now, since the last Main Street poll that came out showed that the BC conservatives were down
00:02:02.280 six points on the NDP. Not an amazing result, but it showed that the BC conservatives had momentum.
00:02:07.900 And now in this poll that Main Street just released today, the BC conservatives and NDP are now
00:02:13.260 tied at 38%, with BC United at 15%. And before I move on, I just quickly want to urge anyone who lives
00:02:21.180 in British Columbia, vote BC conservative. I don't care if in your downtown Montreal or Victoria riding,
00:02:27.680 technically the United polls better in your specific area, it doesn't matter. In three months,
00:02:32.740 that's not going to be true. Vote BC conservatives because it's only, you're never going to have
00:02:36.680 this strange victory over the BC NDP, where it relies on people in rural areas and suburban areas
00:02:42.220 voting BC conservatives, but in urban areas, you got to vote United and that's how you get rid of the
00:02:46.620 BC NDP. The only way that the BC NDP are going to go away is if the BC conservatives get enough
00:02:51.840 support that they can smash them. It's not going to be this divided up victory like we've seen in
00:02:56.760 the past where two parties in different parts of the province need to kind of team up in order to
00:03:01.300 win enough seats to overcome the bigger party. It's not going to happen here. Vote British Columbia
00:03:06.740 conservative because the 15% that the United have here is going to keep falling. As their voters,
00:03:12.140 because the BC United spend a lot of money, as their voters realize that the ad campaign is not
00:03:16.680 reflective of their support, they will consolidate to the BC conservatives, the BC conservatives will
00:03:21.580 have more money than them, and they will be able to smash probably both the NDP and the United's
00:03:27.160 campaign spending. So just go for the BC conservatives, I urge you. But things get worse for the BC NDP
00:03:33.640 when you look under the surface of this poll, and I'm going to start off with the less bad one for
00:03:38.000 them. Because in this poll, and this is, again, just all voters, these are people who are leaning
00:03:42.000 one party or decisively in favor of a party or undecided. You'll notice that there's 17% of people
00:03:48.540 still undecided on who they're going to vote for in British Columbia. This means that the BC NDP
00:03:53.540 obviously are not considered like, you know, the biggest guy on the block right now. A lot of people
00:03:58.540 are very unsure about who they want to go for, and there's a lot of votes still up for grabs. But then when
00:04:03.740 we move on to seeing what decided voters think, the BC conservatives are now at 40%, with Eby's NDP
00:04:10.860 only at 34%. Even when with Kevin Falconson's United, even if you swap in the name Liberal,
00:04:17.100 because it's the name more people know the United Party by, they still only do 1% better. That is a
00:04:22.340 dead party. It's going absolutely nowhere. And so David Eby is having to rely on some extremely fickle
00:04:29.880 voters in order to win this next election. And does he think he's really going to be able to hold
00:04:33.920 on to them for another six months to actually show up and vote for him when all those voters are
00:04:38.920 planning on voting federal conservative? Because remember, the federal conservatives poll, depending
00:04:44.200 on the pollster, anywhere from like 43% to 52% in British Columbia. That means for BC, like for
00:04:51.380 Premier David Eby to win, either he has to be getting every single anti-conservative federal voter to go
00:04:56.700 his way, which is not going to happen because of the United and the Green Party also take some
00:05:01.040 liberal voters in. He is going to have to rely on at least some federal conservative voters. As I said
00:05:06.660 before, it's not going to happen, especially with Pierre Polyev and David Eby feuding. It's not going
00:05:12.540 to happen. It's especially not going to happen because everyone knows that Pierre Polyev is going
00:05:16.820 to be the new prime minister of Canada. And do they really want David Eby there blocking pipelines,
00:05:22.100 holding up federal legislation by not complying on a provincial level and whatnot? No, they're going
00:05:27.720 to want someone who is working well with the new prime minister and somebody who doesn't remind them
00:05:32.640 of Justin Trudeau. And the fact that David Eby is like the only premier next to, I think,
00:05:37.960 is it Anthony Fury? No, not Anthony Fury. It's like, whatever. It doesn't matter. Some guy in the
00:05:41.500 Maritimes. The fact that David Eby is basically the only premier in the country upholding his provincial
00:05:47.780 carbon tax means that he actually tracks very closely to Justin Trudeau for people. He's not
00:05:52.400 like Wob Canoe in Manitoba, where he, even though he's NDP and the liberals federally are in coalition
00:05:58.240 with the NDP, he seems like a populist left figure who's very different from Justin Trudeau. He's the
00:06:03.080 type of guy on the side of the road who's changing his own tire, wearing a suit, and he seems like the
00:06:07.620 sort of like non-stuck-up corporate type guy like Justin Trudeau is. David Eby is very much like
00:06:14.160 Justin Trudeau. He's very obsessed with having fashionable policy rather than good policy.
00:06:21.380 That's exactly what's underlying all the policies like the drug decriminalization,
00:06:26.040 safe supply, SOGI123, creating the bubble zones around abortion clinics. All this stuff is just
00:06:32.240 things that David Eby supports because it's fashionable. He is still an anti-police guy,
00:06:36.720 a defund the police guy. He literally wrote books on how to sue the police in small claims courts on
00:06:41.240 frivolous grounds and win money. The man is a complete clown and a radical. And so in BC,
00:06:47.320 the conservatives are going to end up winning all those moderate middle-class voters who want to see
00:06:51.600 tax reform. They want to see the healthcare system fixed. They don't care about throwing away their
00:06:56.840 votes to protect a dream that somehow, if we spend enough money on safe supply, we're going to get all
00:07:02.260 the drug addicts off the street and everyone's going to clean themselves up because a social worker
00:07:05.820 came by and gave them a pamphlet at their tent. It's not going to happen. David Eby will basically
00:07:10.920 destroy this province. And for the good of the rest of the country, if BC voters throw at the NDP
00:07:17.180 and they vote British Columbia conservatives, they will make sure that the flow of hyper-progressive
00:07:22.320 far-left policy stops flowing from British Columbia into the rest of the country. Because BC,
00:07:27.800 under the NDP and the liberals before them, were like the experimental hyper-progressive part of the
00:07:32.820 country where every single bad idea was put into policy and eventually adopted on the federal level
00:07:38.180 by Justin Trudeau. We can stop this flow by getting rid of the NDP and David Eby. Anyways,
00:07:44.440 so this is all great news. Again, vote BC conservatives if you're in that province.
00:07:48.760 I expect that in the next poll, we're going to see that David Eby's personal approval ratings start
00:07:52.880 turning south on him and that the only stronghold he's going to have left is the most downtown parts
00:07:58.060 of Vancouver. Because you can't survive forever being a complete radical clown assuming that you're
00:08:03.300 not going to have an actual opposition to run against in the next federal election. Anyways,
00:08:07.860 well, if you guys live in the riding of Calgary Signal Hill in my city of Calgary, straight west
00:08:12.660 of the city center, I'm running for the Conservative Party nomination for Calgary Signal Hill. If you live
00:08:17.540 in this area, buy a membership and visit my website, wyattclaypool.com. Or if you don't live in my riding or if you live in British
00:08:23.820 Columbia, you can also donate to our legal fund, which is in the Give, Send, Go link in the description
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00:08:52.920 National Telegraph. Have a good one, everyone.