The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - June 01, 2024


BC Conservatives smash United, on to beat Eby's NDP

Hosted by
Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
David Eby John Rustad Polyev Justin Trudeau Lauren Dirksen Lorne Dirksen Kevin Falcon Angus Reid
Trudeau Liberals flailing while falling in the polls! Trudeau's Liberals try and woke-scold Poilievre over pride flag raising

Episode Stats


Length

9 minutes

Words per minute

191.26

Word count

1,731

Sentence count

93

Harmful content

Toxicity

5

sentences flagged

Hate speech

1

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

John Rustad and the BC Conservatives have defeated BC United in the latest vote count, which means United is no longer a problem for the BC Tories. This is a huge victory for John Rustad, who now has a solid majority government in British Columbia, and is well on his way to becoming Prime Minister of Canada.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 It's been a really good week for John Rustad and the BC Conservatives.
00:00:03.920 In British Columbia politics, the NDP and David Eby were having to heavily rely on the idea that there was going to be a fight to the finish line between the BC Conservatives and BC United on who represents the anti-NDP voters the best.
00:00:19.880 Obviously, it was going to be the BC Conservatives after some length of time.
00:00:24.140 They were already way up in the polls, and despite having less seats in the legislature on the issues, voters agreed with them far more than they agreed with the United Party.
00:00:34.040 But now, it looks like John Rustad and the Conservatives have effectively vanquished United by taking their own caucus chair and having him defect over to their party.
00:00:44.000 So the BC Conservatives went from two seats to three seats, with Lorne Dirksen moving over to their side of the aisle.
00:00:52.180 This, in my opinion, basically means United's no longer a problem.
00:00:56.320 Because over the past couple weeks to a month, there's been open warfare between United and the Conservatives.
00:01:03.340 Kevin Falcon is trying to flex his muscles and show, I'm still in the race.
00:01:07.620 This is going to be a fight between me and John Rustad to see who's the real opposition leader to the NDP.
00:01:13.320 It was not a useful debate, and the talks of a merger were obviously just rigged in order to try and make sure that the United Party still got to limp along and live past this next election.
00:01:24.940 They should shut down as a party before this election.
00:01:28.340 It's a worthless party.
00:01:29.960 But with the Conservatives taking Lorne Dirksen to their side, it's effectively been decided that the Conservatives already won.
00:01:37.880 If you were fighting really hard for three weeks, trying to dig back support from the Conservatives, and the result of that is you lost an MLA to the Conservatives, no.
00:01:49.680 You're done, and people know it.
00:01:51.580 And in fact, in a certain sense at this point, it might be better that Falcon and the BC United Party stick around.
00:01:58.320 Because there's no way that any federal Conservative Party voters are going to be voting for United.
00:02:03.640 They're all going to vote for BC Conservatives.
00:02:05.660 I couldn't imagine the sort of voter who votes for pure Polyev or wants to vote for pure Polyev federally, who then votes for United or, you know, the NDP or the Greens.
00:02:16.340 Obviously, there is almost going to be 100% vote transfer from the federal Conservatives to the BC Conservatives.
00:02:24.000 And remember, the federal Conservatives in British Columbia are polling at 44% all the way up to 52%, depending on the poll you look at.
00:02:34.460 That's all the BC Conservatives would need to be able to win a pretty good majority government.
00:02:38.460 And they're about six, seven, eight points away from being within that range to be able to win.
00:02:43.980 And that is easily surmountable.
00:02:46.420 The NDP and David Eby, like I've said in so many past videos, have been moving, like they've been kind of moving into this next election in this majority position, purely off of political inertia.
00:02:57.120 Because the opposition really hadn't sort of culminated behind the BC Conservatives enough.
00:03:02.960 Well, there was enough voters who were going to vote NDP because I guess they're going to win anyways.
00:03:07.080 And I want my MLA to be part of the government because, you know, people inherently like the idea that if they call up their local constituency office,
00:03:13.940 that that person actually does represent the Premier in their community, rather than being someone opposed to them.
00:03:20.500 That's no longer the case.
00:03:22.140 It's no longer the case that you have to vote for the NDP if you want your MLA to be part of the government.
00:03:27.680 The BC Conservatives can win.
00:03:29.640 And when you look at the individual issue polling in British Columbia, nobody likes what David Eby is doing on the major issues that matter. 0.97
00:03:36.780 Like the only issue David Eby is like above water on, it's pretty pathetic.
00:03:40.900 Like, it's like, like, does your Premier do a good job interacting with the federal government? 0.92
00:03:46.380 Who cares?
00:03:47.900 Justin Trudeau is not long for this world anymore on the federal level.
00:03:51.720 Polyev is obviously going to become the next Prime Minister of Canada.
00:03:55.700 And so if you stick with Eby, if anything, within a year's time, you're going to have a Premier who's going to be extremely combative with the person who's extremely popular to become Prime Minister.
00:04:07.140 That's not a great look for British Columbia, and it's going to hold up needed reforms from the federal level trickling down into British Columbia.
00:04:15.920 So having John Rustad as the BC Premier is going to make sure that pure Polyev can do his work federally, and you can get rid of all the crazy policies David Eby's been forcing down the throats of British Columbians for the past, like, three, four years. 0.95
00:04:31.380 There's, you know, decriminalization, SOGI one, two, three, high taxes, high rates of crime, no crackdowns on crime at all.
00:04:39.040 All this garbage can actually end.
00:04:41.120 So I think the situation right now is United exists, but it's mostly just going to be pulling votes away from the Greens and the NDP because no one in their right mind who's voting federal conservative in the next two months is still going to be saying they're voting for the United Party.
00:04:55.160 And then I think that at this point the Conservatives, the BC Conservatives, can just move on to focusing on smashing David Eby.
00:05:02.860 They do not owe a response to Kevin Falcon and United.
00:05:07.340 Again, they're completely dead.
00:05:09.260 They have won this duel with them, and Lauren Dirksen is now part of their party.
00:05:14.560 United just lost their caucus chair. 0.99
00:05:16.940 That's pretty pathetic. 0.93
00:05:17.960 The fact that you lost your chair, a fairly high position in the party, prove that this is not just a party where backbenchers are trying to move over to it to get some more exposure. 0.94
00:05:27.220 Lauren Dirksen did not have to struggle to get exposure in United.
00:05:31.460 He was pretty prominent.
00:05:32.600 And when you take a prominent MLA from United and have them cross the floor to Conservatives during the fight where Falcon is trying to, like, reestablish himself as the real force against the NDP, you're done.
00:05:47.960 You're done, but I hope you stick around because it's funnier if you guys do stick around.
00:05:52.360 So at this point, there are polls showing that the NDP are still ahead of the Conservatives by 8 to 11 points.
00:05:59.040 If anything, those polls are actually still really good news because if you followed the previous polls those firms did, I believe it was Angus Reid who had that plus 11 result for the NDP.
00:06:09.440 The previous result they had was, like, plus 22 for the NDP.
00:06:13.040 So things are improving.
00:06:14.520 All pollsters have their own models, and some models change slower over time to meet with the new sort of geography of politics in the province.
00:06:23.720 And so why I think what we're probably going to see is something a little bit closer to what Main Street has been showing, that the NDP and the Conservatives are going to be within the next two months in a statistical tie, and then it's going to become a turnout election.
00:06:36.400 I believe by Election Day, the Conservatives can be well and above the NDP.
00:06:41.380 I think they might have to be above them by 3 or 4% to be able to win, since the NDP does have their votes so concentrated in the Victoria and the Vancouver area.
00:06:51.260 So if you live in British Columbia, I'm going to do the pitch and the spiel.
00:06:55.100 They do not pay me to do this.
00:06:56.700 I am not associated with BC Conservative Central Party communications headquarters or whatever.
00:07:02.420 But I still want to tell you guys, please donate to the BC Conservative Party.
00:07:06.300 I have the donation link in the description below.
00:07:08.840 Or go and volunteer for them.
00:07:10.620 Join a campaign.
00:07:11.320 Because what I always get annoyed with is when people see a terrible government in place, Justin Trudeau's federal liberal government, or David Eby's BC NDP government, they say, well, you can't change anything.
00:07:24.560 The fact that they won last election proves that nothing can be done.
00:07:28.120 And the thing is, the same people who say that stuff don't volunteer.
00:07:31.420 They do not donate.
00:07:32.340 They do not actually help out.
00:07:33.680 You have to help out or things do not get done.
00:07:36.080 Obviously, nothing happens if you sit at home and don't do anything.
00:07:39.360 You actually might have to risk standing up and leaving your house to actually engage in politics rather than just from behind a computer screen.
00:07:46.920 And I say that from behind a computer screen, but I go out all the time door knocking, doing social media campaigning, donating.
00:07:53.380 I've donated to campaigns when I was effectively bankrupt.
00:07:56.460 So if you have any chunk of change on you, you get a 75% tax credit back if you donate $100 in British Columbia.
00:08:04.140 So it costs you $25 to give the BC Conservatives $100 so that they can hopefully get rid of the David Eby NDP and lower your taxes.
00:08:13.920 You will save money if you donate to them.
00:08:16.620 I know I'm not trying to sound like desperate for the party.
00:08:19.900 I just want people to take this stuff more seriously.
00:08:22.980 That is kind of the whole thesis of my channel for people to have a realistic view of politics, take it seriously, know how to communicate about politics, and know how they can take part in changing the country.
00:08:33.120 So if you can donate to them, if you live in British Columbia, that's great.
00:08:36.920 You can also donate to my legal fund in the description below.
00:08:39.920 It's the Give, Send, Go link right there.
00:08:42.200 And then you can also go check out my campaign website if you live in my riding of Calgary Signal Hill.
00:08:46.840 I'm running for the Federal Conservative Party nomination, and the vote will probably happen before June 24th or on June 24th.
00:08:54.100 So if you live in my riding, Calgary Signal Hill, make sure to mark me number one on your ballot so we can have a real conservative representing a very blue riding.
00:09:02.480 Have a good one.