BREAKING: Freeland resigns Friday - Other Liberal MPs may leave too!
Episode Stats
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Summary
We have some major breaking news that we need to discuss, including a rumor that, if true, could be very damaging for Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government. Chrystia Freeland has now moved up the timeline for when she plans to resign her seat, from a few weeks to a few days. And a rumor has surfaced that other Liberal MPs may end up resigning, as well.
Transcript
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We have some major breaking news that we need to discuss, including a rumor that, if true, could be very damaging for Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government.
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So first off, on the things that we absolutely know are true, Chrystia Freeland has very quickly moved up the timeline for when she plans on resigning her seat.
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Before, she vaguely just said in the coming weeks she plans on resigning her seat, but because of outcry from the opposition saying it feels unethical that she just took a job with the Ukrainian government and she may be sitting as an MP for a few weeks longer, she has now made the date for leaving January 9th, this Friday.
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But the thing that is a big piece of news, if it ends up being true, is the rumor that other Liberal MPs may end up resigning alongside Chrystia Freeland.
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Before we get into that rumor, I do just want to go through the statement that Chrystia Freeland just released, and then we will talk about the rumor and the implications of what we know is true, and then what could end up happening.
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Before I get into it, guys, I do just quickly want to plug the membership program for the channel.
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But here we have Chrystia Freeland's statement on her resignation.
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So that's a very big change from a few weeks to literally just a couple of days.
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Obviously, the Conservatives and the NDP putting pressure on her to leave faster probably either got Freeland to realize she should make it sooner than later,
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or Carney ended up basically telling her she better make it sooner than later if they want to not have more bad blood than they already do.
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One of the roles I will be taking on is an unpaid advisor.
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One of the roles I will be taking on is as an unpaid advisor on economic issues to the president of Ukraine.
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This is a volunteer position, and I have consulted throughout with the ethics commissioner and followed his advice.
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Going forward, I will continue to support and help build Canada in every way I can,
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while championing the brave fight of the people of Ukraine, a cause I have been committed to my entire life.
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She probably still should have probably been making it clear she was going to step down far before this point.
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Because if you're negotiating a new role while you're still in Parliament,
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well, you know, you might want to first step down before you actually confirm that position.
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Because, you know, there's a lot of private information, a lot of, like, confidential information that MPs have access to.
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And if you're effectively an employee, even if it's an unpaid volunteer position for another government,
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you probably shouldn't have access to the sort of information that other people have.
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But now we need to get into where this rumor came from that Chrystia Freeland may end up resigning alongside other Liberal MPs.
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The rumors ended up originating from journalist and commentator Brian Lilly,
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who just an hour ago, before Chrystia Freeland had actually put out that statement,
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her statement's only been up for about 30 minutes at this point,
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Brian Lilly posted an hour ago, hearing that Chrystia Freeland is about to announce that she will resign on January 9th.
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Other MPs may go at the same time as well, developing more to come.
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And as you see up here, he posted, as I was just saying, Chrystia Freeland will resign her role as MP on January 9th.
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So obviously, he has some sort of inside lane on what's going on.
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And as you can see, Brian Lilly actually has me blocked on X.
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I think he was mad that people were criticizing him at one point,
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because he was, like, dating Doug Ford's press secretary and living with them
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at a time when he was, like, reporting on the Ontario government.
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But whatever, I guess I'm a bad guy for having ever mentioned that to him, and then he blocked me.
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But the thing with all this is that I could absolutely see people using Chrystia Freeland
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as effectively their shield to get out of government as well.
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Because if anyone else resigns, there's going to be a big media circus around them
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And there's always strength in numbers, even if you are indeed fleeing.
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So Stephen Gilbeau could absolutely end up leaving.
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Jonathan Wilkinson could leave, who also has roles outside of Canada that he wants to pursue.
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He wants to be Canada's High Commissioner to the United Kingdom and replace Ralph Goodale.
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You could have somebody like Nate Erskine-Smith end up leaving,
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being very confident that he's going to run and win the Ontario Liberal Party leadership,
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and he doesn't want to retain the seat and cause drama by still technically sitting as a Liberal MP
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at the same time he wants to run for something else.
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All of these people are options on the table, including people even like Melanie Jolie,
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who is kind of like a dark horse option for somebody who may be upset with Mark Carney
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and wants to leave with her old friend Chrystia Freeland.
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But in general, Mark Carney right now is in a very, very awkward position.
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I had just made a video before making this video on the Liberals being rejected once again
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by another MP they tried to get to cross the floor.
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This time it was the NDP MP from Nunavut, which is really desperate.
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It's a super desperate move to be trying to invite over an anti-oil and gas reconciliation industry MP
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to join you guys when at the same time you're trying to champion your Major Projects Act
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It's almost like the pipeline agreement that Carney signed with Daniel Smith basically means nothing
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because he's still willing to court over people who absolutely do not want that pipeline ever built
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and probably would have guarantees that it will never be built in order for them to cross the floor.
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And the only way he can do that is by having a majority.
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Because if he has a majority, then the opposition cannot gang up on him
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and force him out of office, triggering a new election.
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Right now, Carney is going to have a gap not just of one MP,
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he's going to have a gap of two MPs at the very least if Chrystia Freeland's the only one to resign.
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If another one or two people end up leaving with her, he has a gap of more like four or five people.
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And that's not the end of who may end up leaving office.
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Plus, if he calls by-elections and any of these people end up getting replaced by someone other than a Liberal,
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And whichever party wins that by-election is going to have a lot of regional momentum
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Like, if the NDP ends up picking up Freeland's seat,
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it's going to turn Toronto into a bit of a knife fight.
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If Stephen Gilbeau ends up being one of the people to leave
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and the Bloc Québécois wins that Montreal riding,
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that's also a really, really bad sign for the Liberals in a new election.
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And that will empower those two parties to want even more to join with the federal Conservatives
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to trigger a new election because, as we went over in another video on the whiteboard,
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every single party's supporters wants a new election except for the Liberals
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The other category not even being a very big category,
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but those are the only two party supporters, Other and Liberal,
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who are at a negative net rating for whether they wanted a new election or not.
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The Conservatives were like a plus 63 or 65 or something like that.
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I can see the NDP voters being apprehensive a little bit
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but it's pretty definitive that we're probably going to have an election
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if even the NDP voters are a net positive in favor of having a new race.
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If they want their official party status back, they better trigger an election.
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If the Bloc Québécois does not want to become irrelevant,
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especially with the party Québécois on a provincial level in Quebec becoming more popular.
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Why wouldn't the Bloc Québécois want to ride, what is his name?
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I think he tried like Pierre Palimo, something, something, something.
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I forget what the PQ leader's name is right now.
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Quebec politics are like a different planet at this point.
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It's a country with a completely different language and culture in a lot of ways.
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I wish they would stop taking Alberta's oil and gas money as much,
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But if Francois Blanchet is smart, he will ride the PQ's provincial dominance
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into a new federal election before the next Quebec provincial election.
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And so all those PQ voters will be super motivated as almost a trial run
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They're obviously motivated because the PQ is a separatist party
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and the BQ is the federal separatist party for Quebec.
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It's not like they only somewhat align and one party doesn't usually result
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No, if anything, the PQ actually started reviving because the BQ revived first.
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And now that the PQ is actually outpacing the BQ in popularity,
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it's going to pull up the block even higher if a new federal election gets triggered
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and they actually may be able to win back the neighborhoods of Montreal
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I don't even care if the conservatives end up losing some seats in Quebec.
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Obviously, I'd like the conservatives to have as many seats as possible,
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but I'd rather the liberals just end up losing more seats in Quebec.
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I would sacrifice a conservative seat or two for the liberals to lose five or seven seats
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to the Bloc Québécois, because obviously the Bloc are not going to form a majority government.
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And the conservatives should be focusing on southwestern Ontario, the Maritimes,
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Make sure you just pick good candidates, have good open nominations.
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Don't pick some guy who declares that he's a community leader and you should trust him.
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Pick a really good grassroots candidate in that area that all the communities like
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and then focus on like the Vancouver, Lower Mainland, Fraser Valley area.
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And you're golden, maybe win an extra seat on the island.
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But at that point, you're golden, overperforming in the Maritimes,
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overperforming southwestern Ontario, the GTA, Lower Mainland,
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pick up about 25 seats and you have at least a minority government.
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Actually, I think it's only a minority government,
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even if the conservatives just steal 15 seats from the liberals
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because the net difference will pop them above.
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But even if the conservatives just want a minority, it's a start.
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And then if the opposition starts preventing him from implementing popular policy,
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he would then have the ability to trigger an election, get the full majority
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because Canadians are going to be like, well, he's trying to cut our taxes heavily
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If Polyev calls an election, I'm going to vote conservative to make sure I get that tax cut.
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But now I'm just getting into gamifying this hypothetical scenario too much.
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But anyways, with that all being said, thank you guys for watching.
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Thank you for listening to me ramble about speculative rumors.
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And I hope you will come back and watch the channel again.