The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - December 02, 2023


Canada's Biggest Loser： Justin Trudeau or Jagmeet Singh？


Episode Stats


Length

9 minutes

Words per minute

195.0558

Word count

1,870

Sentence count

108

Harmful content

Hate speech

2

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Justin Trudeau and Jagmeet Singh are tied in the polls, but who's the bigger loser? Is it the Liberals or the NDP? And why is it such a bad deal for Justin Trudeau that he's tied with the other party?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Well, it's been a few days since I made my last video because I was horrifyingly sick for a few days.
00:00:05.520 I've gotten over it for the most part, but my voice still sounds like complete garbage.
00:00:10.080 And excuse me if I have to cough halfway through this video and mute myself.
00:00:13.560 That's just how it is. I will try and sound as good as humanly possible.
00:00:18.180 Anyways, well, since coming back, I made sure to look at some of the Canadian polling because I love to talk about polling.
00:00:23.860 And what I noticed was that outside of just that one poll that showed the Liberals and the NDP tied for second place at 22 percent,
00:00:32.960 overall, the Liberals are actually way closer to the NDP than they'd probably like to be in most of the polling coming out these days.
00:00:40.760 So this was the poll that I was talking about, the 22 percent one that came up from Nanos.
00:00:45.300 You know, you have the Conservatives at 41 and then the Liberals and the NDP both tied at 22 percent.
00:00:50.240 Now, even I, at the time when I saw that, like actually has been happening a lot with the polls, I assumed, well, this must be some extreme outlier.
00:00:59.420 Not that I don't believe the polling, but every once in a while you see a crazy result and it probably isn't really representative of the general picture of the country.
00:01:08.180 But just look at this. This is just 338's website of all the federal polls.
00:01:11.820 And it shows so many polls in the last couple of weeks or last week or so where the Liberals are only up about like, you know, five to five, like two to five points above the NDP,
00:01:24.840 which is not a fantastic place to be when you should be the party.
00:01:28.660 You're like, again, the Liberals are the natural governing party of Canada.
00:01:32.820 The NDP is some third party afterthought.
00:01:35.640 The NDP is never going to come close to winning an election.
00:01:39.220 These like the Liberals should always be like nine to ten points above the NDP.
00:01:45.280 The fact that the Liberals are this close is extremely sad.
00:01:49.180 And it's in telling about how much people just do not like the Liberals anymore.
00:01:53.120 They're deeply out of touch.
00:01:54.260 Whenever you look at any of the issues that Canadians care about, it's like you get down to like the fifth or sixth most important issue to Canadians.
00:02:01.200 And that's the first issue that the that the Liberals technically do better than the Conservatives.
00:02:06.080 They're in a horrible electoral position.
00:02:09.220 But what I want to talk about today is who is, in a certain sense, the biggest loser in Canada between Justin Trudeau and Jagmeet Singh.
00:02:17.380 You might think, well, it's Justin Trudeau.
00:02:19.180 He's tied with Jagmeet Singh.
00:02:20.660 And Jagmeet Singh's party isn't really ever supposed to come in a higher position than third or fourth in terms of the vote count or seat count,
00:02:28.280 if you include the block seat count in there.
00:02:30.660 But why I'm going to make the case that it's actually kind of hard to tell about who's the bigger loser is because despite the fact that Justin Trudeau is obviously going to lose next election and his polling looks awful.
00:02:42.500 Think about being in Jagmeet Singh's position.
00:02:46.060 Think about the fact that the guy that you are in a, I think it's what is a supply and confidence coalition or agreement with the Liberals.
00:02:54.420 You have all the power right now because you can basically threaten to break up the Liberal government whenever you want.
00:03:00.880 And you will benefit a lot by grabbing on to a lot of the left-wing voters who have left the Liberals, seeing them as a dead, lame duck government, and they'll automatically come over to you.
00:03:11.060 And while Jagmeet Singh and the NDP has kind of benefited a little bit from the Liberals' bleeding out support, they haven't really benefited that much.
00:03:19.460 He's playing on easy mode right now.
00:03:21.840 All Jagmeet Singh has to do is every once in a while tell his MPs to abstain from a couple votes here or there, vote against some stuff, and make the Liberals look bad.
00:03:30.600 You know, kill a piece of their legislation, look like he's holding Trudeau's feet to the fire, and he will benefit immensely.
00:03:37.820 Like, Jagmeet Singh has two, like, two federal election losses under his belt, and yet he's basically been gifted this amazing moment where he can frame Justin Trudeau as another Michael Ignatieff who's dead in the water,
00:03:49.820 and that if left-wing voters want a place to park their vote to really be able to stop the Conservatives, then they should come over to the NDP.
00:03:56.880 And he's not doing that.
00:03:58.220 So while Justin Trudeau is failing, mostly because he lacks the ability to ever admit to a mistake, so Canadians see him as, you know, unable to learn from his mistakes and he's not going to turn the country around,
00:04:10.780 Jagmeet Singh is not then making that case himself.
00:04:13.960 The cases against Justin Trudeau are so obvious.
00:04:17.160 And what Jagmeet Singh does is every once in a while he comes out and says, you know, Justin Trudeau isn't doing a good job.
00:04:23.520 You know, he's letting, you know, the grocery store chains get away with price gouging.
00:04:27.900 They're not, but whatever.
00:04:28.960 That's Jagmeet Singh's case.
00:04:30.100 Every once in a while he'll come out and say, you know, Justin Trudeau's a, you know, a pawn of big business or something like that.
00:04:36.040 And then he doesn't actually do anything to hold Justin Trudeau accountable.
00:04:38.480 Again, Jagmeet Singh's criticisms of Justin Trudeau are completely fallacious.
00:04:43.440 And most of the time it just results in him saying, Justin Trudeau sucks, but I wish Justin Trudeau would do his policies even harder than he was before.
00:04:50.940 Because that's really what the NDP represents.
00:04:52.940 It's just a more left-wing purist version of the liberals.
00:04:57.080 But I digress.
00:04:58.040 Because Justin Trudeau, the case for him being the biggest loser is not only the fact that obviously he's way down the polls right now, but just the fact that, again, with the two-time loser, Jagmeet Singh, acting as his main opponent for left-wing voters, Justin Trudeau could easily, easily kind of push Jagmeet Singh around and be able to demonstrate that Jagmeet Singh has no power and he's completely incompetent.
00:05:23.280 Justin Trudeau, if he wanted to beat Jagmeet Singh right now, he would dare him to call an election.
00:05:28.960 Jagmeet Singh would not do it.
00:05:30.460 And then Jagmeet Singh would lose all the support because people realize he's a complete coward.
00:05:34.860 Justin Trudeau happens to also be a complete coward.
00:05:37.460 So we have these two cowards basically doing nothing in this very silly stalemate where neither one is actually launching any shots against one another.
00:05:45.640 This is one of those moments where, as someone who really likes focusing on and talking about political strategy, I don't understand what each party is trying to do.
00:05:55.420 Each one of them could land really good hits against each other to be able to gain the upper hand going into the next federal election.
00:06:01.700 But they refuse to do it.
00:06:03.220 And obviously, Polyev is going to be the next Prime Minister of Canada.
00:06:06.380 I hope he is.
00:06:07.280 I'm literally running for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination.
00:06:11.340 Shameless plug.
00:06:12.160 Buy a membership and vote for me if you live in that riding.
00:06:14.120 But just because Polyev is going to win doesn't mean that the NDP can't benefit from it.
00:06:20.160 The NDP, if they were smart, they would actually want a federal election.
00:06:24.240 But Jagmeet Singh is doing this weird thing where he's like more beholden to trying to prevent Polyev from becoming Prime Minister one year earlier than he will.
00:06:33.420 Simply to be able to like, so he basically wants to hold up Polyev inevitably becoming Prime Minister.
00:06:39.460 Because I guess that's like a public service to left-wing Canadians to not let a federal election get called early.
00:06:45.320 But if Jagmeet Singh helped trigger a federal election, he could then basically frame himself as the strong man who helped take down Justin Trudeau.
00:06:53.800 And then he could try and get into second position in terms of seat count.
00:06:57.660 And then even though I think, again, all of his arguments against Polyev would be silly, fallacious, and completely incompetent in terms of his policy recommendations.
00:07:07.400 He could at least make himself the new opposition to the Conservative Party.
00:07:11.860 But because Jagmeet Singh lacks any political instincts at all, he's basically laid down and died two years out before an election.
00:07:21.560 And Jagmeet Singh and Justin Trudeau's financial situation in terms of their fundraising is horrifyingly bad.
00:07:27.800 We talked about those in previous videos.
00:07:29.820 The Liberals have only raised about $9 million this year.
00:07:32.980 And I think the NDP has raised like $4.8 million or $5 million.
00:07:36.980 And the Conservatives have raised $23 million.
00:07:40.380 Both of these parties are completely broke.
00:07:43.680 And it seems like all what they're doing is very circular right now is that because they're broke, they're acting more cowardly and pushing away a new federal election.
00:07:53.880 Even like the Trudeau Liberals made making a lot of dishonest pot shots at pure Polyev. 0.96
00:07:59.300 But they've never been really taking him on in a direct manner because they're really scared of pure Polyev. 1.00
00:08:04.300 So they make these like weird, oh, I know Polyev's a mega conservative or whatever.
00:08:09.200 But they'll never actually criticize any of Polyev's real policies because that might actually damage the Liberals because it would demonstrate what the Liberals value or don't value.
00:08:19.060 So they're just trying to stay out of it as much as possible.
00:08:21.580 Same with the NDP.
00:08:23.100 But if each party actually got more aggressive, they could solve their fundraising problems.
00:08:27.040 So because their fundraising sucks, they're trying to avoid the next federal election.
00:08:31.320 But because they're trying to just avoid the next federal election, everyone sees them as both lame duck parties.
00:08:36.560 So they're not fundraising them.
00:08:38.420 But anyways, that's just one of my voice is giving out a little bit here.
00:08:41.240 So I'm probably going to end it here.
00:08:42.300 But like this is one of those things where you don't have to like the NDP or the Liberals.
00:08:47.380 I definitely don't.
00:08:48.580 But you almost get frustrated at seeing people running these parties who don't understand just political strategy or how to play a political game properly.
00:08:58.720 Anyways, so I still have my fundraiser linked in the description of this video below for my give, send, go.
00:09:04.320 I'm in an ongoing lawsuit with a billionaire.
00:09:06.980 I'm winning that lawsuit.
00:09:07.900 It's a stupid defamation gaze against myself and the National Telegraph.
00:09:11.820 We're winning because they have no evidence against us for whatever we said that was supposedly defamatory.
00:09:18.040 And so but despite the fact that we're winning, if you chip in some money, it really helps me out with costs.
00:09:23.580 I've had to pay over $25,000 into defending myself.
00:09:27.160 So even $5 really helps ease the burden on myself.
00:09:31.320 And other than that, I'll see everyone on a day where I sound less crappy.