The collapse of the BC United Party is a perfect example of how Canadian electoral politics works, from the perspective of what not to do, and how to fix it. The BCU has become the party for nobody, because Kevin Falcon can't pick up a glass of water and decide to take a sip from it without three focus groups telling him it's a good idea. Are the voters going to be alienated by me drinking five-alive orange juice? Is that too radical for people?
00:00:00.000Welcome back to the Wyatt Claypool Show, everyone, and today I want to talk about how Canadian electoral politics works from the perspective of what not to do with the perfect example that's currently playing out in British Columbia, that being the utter collapse of the British Columbia United Party, formerly known as the BC Liberals.
00:00:24.040The BC provincial election has come down to being a race between the BC NDP and the BC Conservatives, and then the Greens are sort of in there. They're competitive in two or three seats. You know, they're a player.
00:00:37.240The BC Liberals used to be one of the big two parties. For a long time, they used to be absolutely dominant in BC politics.
00:00:45.780In the early 2000s, I think there was one of those elections where they won every seat except for like three or four of them. It was an absolute walkover for the BC Liberals.
00:00:56.820But then, after John Horgan won in 2017 and became the premier, BC Liberals just didn't know what to do.
00:01:04.860They didn't know what direction to go in, whether they should lean more liberal, whether they should sort of go back to its more conservative roots, because despite the name being BC Liberals, it was fundamentally a big tent party meant to serve many different constituents on their needs, generally people wanting smaller government, just more responsible government.
00:01:26.500They're not big bloated trade unions, the way that the NDP tend to be. But Kevin Falcon, when he became the new leader of the party, they kicked Aaron Gunn out of that leadership race, who would have made a very good BC Liberal leader.
00:01:40.780Kevin Falcon took over the party, and as a sign of things to come, he decided that, you know what, we're down in the polls. We lost the last two elections effectively, not because we just ignored our own base's wants for a party to fight back against the carbon tax that we technically did implement back in the day, not to fight SOGI, not to push back on decriminalization or safe supply, none of those things.
00:02:07.740What the voters put us, you know, what they vote for us for is consultants nonsense, random lobbyist nonsense. The BCU has become the party for nobody, because Kevin Falcon can't pick up a glass of water and decide to take a sip from it without three focus groups telling him it's a good idea.
00:02:29.380Are the voters going to be alienated by me drinking Five Alive? Should I just stick to an orange juice? Is that too radical for people? That is Kevin Falcon's problem.
00:02:39.480The man's entire career, and I've heard a lot of good things about him back in the day, that he was an actual very good politician back in the early 2010s, 2000s, and then he took some time off from politics and came back.
00:02:52.500But the problem is, and frankly, this was actually the problem of Jason Kenney in Alberta as the premier of Alberta, when you are, when your entire career is basically being a follower, as soon as you become the leader of your party, or even the premier in Kenney's case, you don't know what to do.
00:03:09.760You stall out, and you can't make tough decisions, because in Kenney's case, he was used to going up and asking Harper for help when he was in a hard place.
00:03:19.740So during COVID, he just relied on anything the AHS directors recommended, even if it actually made him less and less popular with the voters that put him in office.
00:03:28.980Same thing with Kevin Falcon. He wants to be able to go and ask a Gordon Campbell or a Christy Clark what to do, and he can't these days.
00:03:36.360And so now, he's just been flailing about, frankly, copying his conservative opponents.
00:03:42.980But the entire collapse of the BC United Party started when he tried to initially stop the bleeding of support and kicked John Rustad out of the party for standing up against the carbon tax.
00:03:56.720Imagine that. The BC NDP, even though the liberals were the ones who started the carbon tax back in the day, they were the ones who established it,
00:04:03.920the BC NDP have fully embraced the carbon tax. They are the party of the carbon tax, the party who will always aggressively push for provincial carbon tax increases.
00:04:13.760And now, the BC liberals, who then, Kevin Falcon, changed the name to the BC United Party in a very stupid internal party referendum.
00:04:21.160Now, they're just kind of also the party that wants the carbon tax to stay, but just in a slightly, you know, slower to increase form.
00:04:30.580Absolutely stupid. John Rustad, who can read a room, understood that the carbon tax was deeply unpopular.
00:04:38.580And then so, Kevin Falcon decided to plant the seeds of his own destruction, kicked John Rustad out,
00:04:44.780knowing that there's just an empty, brand new, shiny political vehicle that's always been sitting there since Social Credit collapsed,
00:04:51.420being the British Columbia Conservative Party.
00:04:53.640Since Social Credit collapsed very quickly, most of the Conservatives and Liberals, you know, soft federal Liberals,
00:04:59.800and then Conservatives all joined the provincial, like, provincial Liberal Party,
00:05:04.040there just has not been enough momentum to get the Conservatives off the ground in all that time.
00:05:08.720But he's created a great political moment and proven that his party is useless.
00:05:13.940So Rustad joined the Conservatives and then immediately started rocketing upward in terms of his support.
00:05:19.480As soon as it had a leader, as soon as it had an MLA, it became a legitimate political vehicle.
00:05:25.300And then the current MLA I'm helping out in his re-election, Bruce Bandman,
00:05:30.460after they said that he wasn't, he should just leave the room if he doesn't want to vote to condemn the trucker convoy
00:05:36.740and say that Bonnie Henry's doing a great job, he then decided to cross the floor making an official party.
00:05:41.560I believe that was actually a change that the NDP had put into place.
00:05:45.920So it's also John Horgan and David Eby that have also caused the Conservatives to skyrocket
00:05:51.200because I believe that they changed the rules so you only need two seats to be an official opposition party
00:05:56.020so that they could give the Greens a little bit more money for their legislative duties.
00:06:00.420And so as soon as that happened, they started increasing even faster.
00:06:04.860And then because the Conservatives kept getting on a roll,
00:06:08.220they kept gaining more people from crossing the floor,
00:06:11.200Lauren Dirksen, Eleanor Sturko, and then just recently, Teresa Watt.
00:06:15.180I've even heard it rumored that there's some other people who might be crossing the floor
00:06:18.940and, you know, might not even be the United Party that they're coming from.
00:06:23.640But just to quickly do a plug just before I move on to what the BC United Party has been doing recently,
00:06:29.640since I'm out here in Abbotsford helping the BC Conservative Party,
00:06:33.640I just want to let all of you know who are living in British Columbia,
00:06:36.800you know, the only thing that the NDP has an advantage over the Conservatives on right now,