The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Carney in Trouble as 2nd Liberal resigns seat - Bill Blair is OUT!

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and welcome back to the National Telegraph YouTube channel.

00:00:05.960 I was originally going to cover a different story, but naturally, this was big breaking news,

00:00:11.320 so I suspended what I was originally going to talk about, because we need to talk about

00:00:15.660 Liberal MP and former Public Safety Minister Bill Blair resigning his seat.

00:00:21.380 Right here, you can see on Trending Politics, breaking Bill Blair to resign his seat in the

00:00:26.620 House of Commons later today. Staff at Canada's High Commission in London have been told Blair

00:00:31.880 will arrive shortly as the new High Commissioner, and so I believe in that position he is replacing

00:00:37.420 the other former Liberal MP, Ralph Goodale, for it. But let's notice one thing that's not going to be

00:00:45.180 talked about this week. Is Prime Minister Mark Carney's leadership at risk? Because previously

00:00:52.300 in the Conservative Party, when Chris Dontremont and Michael Ma crossed the floor from the

00:00:57.840 Conservatives to the Liberals, there was all of these different think pieces and coverage on

00:01:03.500 neutral shows about how Pierre Polyev is in trouble going into his leadership review at the Conservative

00:01:10.260 Party convention. And then two days ago, Polyev got 87.4% approval in his leadership vote. It had

00:01:18.840 absolutely nothing to do with Polyev's leadership that those two hacky blue Liberals ended up crossing 0.84

00:01:24.420 the floor. But with first Chrystia Freeland resigning her seat, now Bill Blair, and we're probably going

00:01:30.520 to see people like Jonathan Wilkinson, Stephen Gilbeau, as well as Nate Erskine-Smith leaving,

00:01:36.240 there will not be an ounce of coverage. They don't care. And by the way, I also don't really think that

00:01:41.840 this is a big leadership problem for Mark Carney. I think it might be a personality problem. I think

00:01:46.780 these people don't like that they were stuck at the back of the caucus. They didn't have any

00:01:52.500 influence. They were no longer cabinet ministers. But does this mean suddenly Mark Carney might get

00:01:57.900 thrown out as prime minister? No. No, it does not. But at the same time, it does mean that we are far

00:02:03.880 more likely to go into a snap election in the year 2026. Because every time Mark Carney loses another MP,

00:02:11.520 it makes it just that much harder to actually pass anything in the House of Commons. Oftentimes,

00:02:18.540 when you have a majority government on the provincial level, you can just slam your legislation

00:02:22.940 through all day long. In the federal government, even if Carney had a majority, you can still get

00:02:28.560 stopped up by your opposition a lot more. But Carney doesn't even have a majority. He has a minority

00:02:34.500 with no partner. Yes, the NDP have kind of agreed to sometimes help them pass some stuff. But it's an

00:02:41.880 extremely mild agreement. And the NDP has been positioning itself in its leadership race, that

00:02:47.760 they're going to be far more aggressive with the liberals. And they kind of have to be because if the

00:02:52.120 NDP doesn't, they're going to take a dirt nap and never recover. Because what's the point of being

00:02:57.360 a Canadian on the political left, and basically just having the NDP vote with everything the liberals

00:03:02.720 want? Now, I'm a conservative, but I could understand the frustration if you're an NDP voter,

00:03:08.320 and your party basically just serves as the orange version of the liberals. Anyways, what I want to,

00:03:14.940 I want to jump to some other things that I ended up saving on my computer that I thought was

00:03:18.280 interesting. I want to show you this because it's really, well, I guess we'll first start off with

00:03:23.400 Prime Minister Mark Carney's post about all this. But then I want to jump into one article from CTV News

00:03:29.400 that's proving my point about how I think the liberal media is going to cover this all. But

00:03:34.640 starting off with Prime Minister Mark Carney, he says, proud to announce that the Honorable Bill Blair

00:03:40.640 will serve as the next High Commissioner for Canada in the United Kingdom, and Natalie G. Drouin will

00:03:46.800 serve as the next ambassador to France and Monaco. With their extensive careers in public service,

00:03:53.500 Mr. Blair and Ms. Drouin have proven expertise, judgment, and leadership to deepen

00:03:59.300 Canada's relationship with two of our closest and most reliable partners. The other woman who was 0.99

00:04:05.180 appointed, of course, was not a liberal MP. But they kind of just, he kind of glosses over the

00:04:10.720 fact that he resigned his seat. And I obviously think that we are going to see Carney pressed on

00:04:16.020 this in future interviews, not by a liberal journalist, but someone from a more conservative

00:04:20.800 outlet, maybe like the Toronto Sun or the National Post. And he'll probably just like, oh, well,

00:04:25.900 you know, we always knew that they were going to be resigning and moving on to this other role. And

00:04:30.780 we're not going to actually investigate probably, or at least Carney's never going to admit to whether

00:04:35.240 or not these people and himself actually got along well. And that was always the rumor with someone

00:04:41.180 like Chrystia Freeland. She genuinely, even though one of her children, one of her children's

00:04:46.680 stepfather is Mark Carney, they seem to not get along because she got thrown under the bus for a lot of

00:04:52.360 stupid things that Carney did as the economic advisor to Justin Trudeau. Because Carney was

00:04:57.800 actually basically suggesting a lot of the stupid things that were done between when, between like

00:05:03.700 around 2020 and when Justin Trudeau ended up resigning. But the thing is that Freeland was stuck

00:05:09.760 with the bag because she had to implement it all. Bill Blair, again, he's, I believe, like 68 years

00:05:15.300 old, 67 years old. He's a bit of an older MP for Canadian politics. And he was not even in cabinet

00:05:22.280 to my knowledge, maybe some sort of parliamentary secretary. But as a former cop, the former chief

00:05:28.680 of police in Toronto, he's not even sitting as like an adjunct to the public safety minister.

00:05:34.080 We have Gary Amasangri, some random chipmunk as our new public safety minister who didn't even know 1.00

00:05:40.640 what a pal and an RPAL was. Or, you know, if Gary Amasangri is watching this and he forgot already,

00:05:46.460 that's Canadian gun license. Imagine being Bill Blair and being replaced by that guy. And this is the

00:05:51.860 same story. Let's move on to another person. This is the same story to Nate Erskine-Smith, who is

00:05:57.140 likely to be leaving the party. He's just going to probably sit as a Liberal MP while he runs for

00:06:02.580 Ontario Liberal leadership. But once that's all done, he'll just resign his seat once he's on to the new

00:06:07.480 gig. He was somebody who wanted to be housing minister. And to be fair, Mark Carney did make him

00:06:13.180 housing minister. He was trying to bring Nate Erskine-Smith back to run for another term because he was

00:06:18.140 originally not going to do it. And Erskine-Smith served as housing minister for three weeks.

00:06:23.980 And then after the election, he was just replaced by Gregor Robertson, which should be a really big

00:06:29.700 kick in the butt considering the fact that Gregor Robertson was like a failure on housing back when

00:06:35.420 he was the Vancouver mayor. And some of the other people who are also leaving, I feel like either

00:06:40.200 they've been snubbed for position or they've been mistreated in said position or, you know, basically asked to

00:06:46.140 do an impossible task by Carney and then they're going to get thrown under the bus later. So they'd

00:06:49.880 rather just leave now. But anyways, let's before I actually want to get into the I want to show you

00:06:55.580 the CTV news headline that went along with the story came up 40 minutes ago. But before I get into

00:07:00.980 it, I just want to now halfway through the video, unlike I usually do just remind you that if you like

00:07:06.040 the show, leave a like on this video, subscribe if you're not yet a subscriber, join the membership if

00:07:11.960 you want to help financially support the show month to month, it really does help me be less reliant on

00:07:17.020 the YouTube algorithm and talk a little bit more about whatever I want without having to chase where

00:07:22.160 I think views are. And of course, also leave a comment in the comment section below on what you

00:07:28.020 think about all this. But now, here is the CTV news headline that goes along with this story.

00:07:34.960 Lifetime, longtime Liberal MP Bill Blair appointed Canada's High Commissioner to the UK.

00:07:40.820 Okay, okay, well, we're really burying the lead on this one. A Liberal MP has resigned. Now,

00:07:50.140 I would be fine with that headline if we hadn't been watching whether or not Mark Carney was going

00:07:56.160 to get a majority through floor crossers up until a little bit after Christmas. And then a bunch of 0.99

00:08:02.080 people started publicly rejecting the Liberals, including an NDP MP. And then suddenly that story

00:08:07.060 kind of dried up and we weren't kind of like watching to see if he was going to get his majority

00:08:10.880 anymore. But shouldn't we then be covering this kind of in reverse that now Carney is two steps away

00:08:17.060 back from where he started and trying to get a new, he was trying to get a majority because he got two

00:08:23.900 steps forward with Don Tremont and Michael Ma and then he took two steps backward with Freeland and Bill

00:08:29.580 Blair. And he's even a bit of a half a step back further because Nate Erskine Smith, as he's running

00:08:34.980 for the Ontario Liberal leadership, is obviously going to be pretty distracted. Not like he's going

00:08:39.520 to show up to Parliament and waste his time on the campaign trail trying to get his new gig and maybe

00:08:44.440 be the Premier of Ontario. He's not going to like show up to Parliament all the time in order to save

00:08:49.500 Carney. He could care less. Plus, it's not like Carney's close to a majority anyways at this point. So why

00:08:55.200 should he bother even showing up? But yeah, there were some outlets that genuinely did cover this

00:09:00.880 fine. I just wanted to show you I'm not I'm not trying to say that the CTV news was the only one but

00:09:05.820 it's indicative. It's not shocking when I see a CTV news do it. Globe Politics says Bill Blair resigns

00:09:11.100 Toronto seat will become next High Commissioner of UK. I am perfectly fine with that the way that's covered.

00:09:17.100 But I would say the narrative as time goes on is just going to be Oh, he became the UK High

00:09:22.340 Commissioner. What does that mean? I am waiting for the power and politics episode to come out on this

00:09:27.100 because I know David Cochran, and I know Greg, Greg McKecker and Fred DeLore and whoever the NDP lady is on 0.99

00:09:34.180 the show, they are going to severely drop the ball on this issue. They are not going to talk about it

00:09:40.300 properly. Because of course, they don't want to talk about this one with any level of actual

00:09:45.580 investigation. They don't want to talk about what this means for Carney, what this means for a potential

00:09:50.480 future election. They just want it to be the surface level story that that Bill Blair has

00:09:55.320 moved on. Why did Carney lose this veteran liberal MP? Why was he not sitting in his cabinet? Why is

00:10:01.700 Gary Amasangri, who I suspect is a humanoid chipmunk sitting in that seat instead? I don't know why it 1.00

00:10:08.380 was the chief of police no longer public safety minister. Well, either they're gonna have to

00:10:12.520 basically acknowledge the fact that Bill Blair sucked his job when he was doing that. Although Gary

00:10:17.480 Amasangri sucks at him more. Or they're gonna have to realize that Mark Carney doesn't treat 0.82

00:10:22.740 his own people well. Here's the thing with Carney. I don't want to spiral too much in this video and

00:10:27.580 just talk about constant little things that are kind of like rumor mill type stuff. But Carney is the

00:10:34.040 type of guy he likes hanging out with people who, you know, he would go and have dinner with. And so

00:10:39.860 the problem is for him, at the very least, in terms of caucus management, he tends to step on a lot of

00:10:46.320 toes simply because he shuffles people in and out. And he kind of brings people into his inner circle

00:10:51.120 based on, you know, who wears a really nice suit, who would maybe, you know, like the same wine as he

00:10:58.200 does, who would dine at the same places. Nate Erskine Smith would not make a good housing minister, but he

00:11:04.660 would probably be politically effective. He's more progressive. He's more charismatic. A lot of people like

00:11:10.860 him, you know, he would maybe have new ideas on housing. Again, bad ideas. As a conservative,

00:11:15.740 I think he's hands on head crazy when it comes to the way that he would want to do housing policy.

00:11:20.740 He would be like putting Zoran Mamdani in charge of housing policy. But it's not like Gregor Robertson

00:11:26.100 is some sort of like clean cut professional. Other than the fact that he looks clean cut,

00:11:30.840 he sucks at his job. But Carney likes the cut of that guy's jib. So he put him in that position

00:11:35.800 rather than Nate Erskine Smith, even though he did originally put Erskine Smith as housing minister

00:11:42.320 up until the election was called. And I guess he's technically still the housing minister during

00:11:46.700 the election and then dumps him at the side of the road right afterwards. Like Mark Carney keeps

00:11:51.720 making all these extremely short term decisions in order to get himself ahead. And I think a lot of

00:11:57.460 them could come back to bite him on the butt here. I just want to highlight one more thing before we

00:12:02.460 move on. And it's just a post from Pierre Paulyev. I no doubt we'll be talking about it a little bit

00:12:08.220 later. But the thing is that this is also not great news for Mark Carney while the conservatives

00:12:13.620 are regaining their footing post the convention. So we have Pierre Paulyev right here who's saying

00:12:18.760 this isn't about Bill Blair, but it's just about the kind of messaging that the conservative party is

00:12:23.400 now going down and the record that Carney's having to run on while people are resigning.

00:12:27.860 Paulyev here says, liberals gave Canada the worst decade of growth in the G7.

00:12:32.020 Mark Carney promised change, but it's all an illusion. Canada's economy is shrinking while

00:12:37.240 other G7 economies continue to grow. Conservatives will get government out of the way and off the

00:12:42.320 backs of workers to deliver the affordable future Canadians have earned. And the graphic here says

00:12:48.060 Canada's economy on track to shrink 0.5% in the fourth quarter. Now we will still technically have

00:12:55.180 positive growth in 2025. But positive growth in this sense, it's going to be 1.7%, which is going

00:13:04.540 to be underneath, I believe, the two and a half or a little bit above 2% overall inflation. So in fact,

00:13:11.400 in basically real GDP terms, we have actually a shrinking economy. We literally shrank in the fourth

00:13:18.400 corner, which is embarrassing. And then we are also going to be shrinking as a sort of real on a real

00:13:24.700 GDP level as well. All this, I think, is moving up the timeline for a new federal election quite

00:13:31.780 aggressively. If Carney thought he was going to get a majority government and he was going to get a few

00:13:36.920 more floor crossers, he when he was asked about a week ago, are you planning on triggering a snap 0.51

00:13:42.440 election in spring 2026? He would have said no. Because by not saying no, you are raising the

00:13:47.620 anxieties of Canadians. Because unlike you and I, most people don't really like following politics

00:13:53.480 that much. And they are going to groan hard if there's a new election. But Carney needs one. So he

00:13:59.340 couldn't say no. So he's at least testing the waters to see what the public reaction would be like

00:14:03.860 if he dodged that one. Obviously, he's never going to say yes, there is a new election coming because

00:14:08.440 you know, you never let your opposition know that you're absolutely thinking about it. It might not

00:14:12.760 be a spring election. He dodged the question, but the dodge could also mean summer or fall.

00:14:18.960 Basically, sooner than later. And with the current, like, and you can even just tell that the liberals

00:14:25.220 won a new election based on the way they're positioning themselves with this new GST rebate.

00:14:30.160 They are attempting to buy people's votes by sending out checks right before a vote would occur.

00:14:34.720 And I actually think this could end up backfiring on the liberals. Because let me paint a picture for

00:14:40.900 you. Your house burns down, or let's say your friend's house is on fire. And you show up and

00:14:46.560 you're like, oh my goodness, this is so awful. You know what, I always said I was going to help you

00:14:50.920 if something like this happened. Let me get my checkbook. And you get your checkbook and your pen

00:14:55.000 and your writing. And then in a few seconds, the guy's like, oh my goodness, he's actually coming

00:14:59.440 through for me. And you crack the check off and you hand him $20. He would kill you. That person

00:15:04.940 would kill you. Because don't do nothing. Do nothing or help a lot. This is the problem with

00:15:11.160 the GST rebate. I actually think it might end up insulting more people. It might actually end up

00:15:16.000 insulting the people it's being given to. Plus, there's about 60% or 66% of Canadians who aren't

00:15:22.560 getting the rebate. And so they're going to be ticked off they didn't get it. The bottom 30% of earners

00:15:28.240 who do get it might be insulted by the fact that, hey, we can't have good jobs, we can't have lower

00:15:33.160 inflation, but here's $200 or $250 per person. That's where I think that this whole thing could

00:15:38.720 collapse. I've been telling the conservative, like conservative MPs, I was running around the

00:15:42.880 convention floor. And in I think I didn't, I wasn't really trying to hunt people down. But I talked

00:15:48.180 like about a dozen or so conservative MPs. And I kept making the point on the GST rebate. Do not

00:15:55.140 talk about the cost. Who cares, guys? I think the deficit's bad. I think most Canadians think the

00:16:01.700 deficit is bad. I've shown as much on the on the whiteboard, we went over the dev, the news about

00:16:06.340 the deficit, most people think it's not acceptable. It's bad that we have a deficit. But no Canadian 0.97

00:16:11.980 is I don't even really know the nuanced difference between a $78 billion deficit, and like an $85

00:16:19.160 billion deficit. I know it's worse. But I already hated them on the issue of public finance. I already

00:16:25.580 knew they sucked at it. Don't highlight that thing. Highlight instead, the story of the liberals

00:16:31.220 basically doing the bare minimum for you, the sort of cracking off a $20 check while your house is

00:16:35.840 burning down kind of an angle here. That is what the conservatives should be doing. The liberals are

00:16:40.740 doing the bare minimum, and they're giving you a little bit of money to make you go and sit back at

00:16:45.980 the kids table. They just want you to leave them alone. Like the whole idea that Canadians are 1.00

00:16:51.160 running up to Carney saying like, I can't afford my groceries. My job, my wage growth has been

00:16:55.680 terrible. That's my you know, my meal in my my region for like my my paper mill to shut down all

00:17:01.360 the stuff. And Carney's like, Oh my goodness, really this again? Here's $300. I'm not even sure. I think

00:17:07.400 that's the price of milk these days. Anyways, bye. And then he wants to go back to talking to all of

00:17:11.720 his insider friends at the adult table. That is the painting that the conservatives and pure poly of

00:17:17.520 should be creating for Canadians is creating the image that you are a fool. If you let Carney bribe

00:17:24.020 you this way. And you are kind of a fool if you let him bribe you this way. 6.9% or 6.1% food inflation,

00:17:29.920 the GDP of the country falling in the fourth quarter of 2025. And you're going to be satisfied by another

00:17:35.680 giveaway program. And the giveaway program doesn't even apply to everybody. So there are already going to

00:17:40.460 a lot of people feeling spurned. The conservatives then need to counter because they can't just say

00:17:45.060 this is bare minimum. They then have to counter and say, we want a 20% tax cut across every income

00:17:51.640 bracket, including corporate and including taking a point off the GST, which is 20%. So I'm not sure

00:17:56.760 I clarified a point off it. But anyways, you get my point. I just like to keep hammering that home.

00:18:02.860 If you know a conservative MP, make sure they hear me saying that or you say it in your own way.

00:18:07.420 Do not talk about the numbers. People are bored by the numbers. People already know that the budget

00:18:12.360 sucks. The deficit sucks. Emphasizing that it's increased, the deficit's increased by another

00:18:16.860 7% is not going to be a big vote getter. Point out the fact that they think you're stupid,

00:18:22.580 the liberals, and they think giving you a few hundred dollars is going to make you go away

00:18:26.900 and leave them alone and maybe even buy your loyalty in a new election. But anyways, thank you guys for

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00:19:46.040 you all next time.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - February 03, 2026

Carney in Trouble as 2nd Liberal resigns seat - Bill Blair is OUT!

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