Carney in Trouble as 2nd Liberal resigns seat - Bill Blair is OUT!
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Summary
Bill Blair resigns his seat in the House of Commons. Does this spell trouble for Prime Minister Mark Carney's leadership? And what does it mean for the rest of the party? And why the liberal media won't cover it.
Transcript
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Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and welcome back to the National Telegraph YouTube channel.
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I was originally going to cover a different story, but naturally, this was big breaking news,
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so I suspended what I was originally going to talk about, because we need to talk about
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Liberal MP and former Public Safety Minister Bill Blair resigning his seat.
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Right here, you can see on Trending Politics, breaking Bill Blair to resign his seat in the
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House of Commons later today. Staff at Canada's High Commission in London have been told Blair
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will arrive shortly as the new High Commissioner, and so I believe in that position he is replacing
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the other former Liberal MP, Ralph Goodale, for it. But let's notice one thing that's not going to be
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talked about this week. Is Prime Minister Mark Carney's leadership at risk? Because previously
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in the Conservative Party, when Chris Dontremont and Michael Ma crossed the floor from the
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Conservatives to the Liberals, there was all of these different think pieces and coverage on
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neutral shows about how Pierre Polyev is in trouble going into his leadership review at the Conservative
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Party convention. And then two days ago, Polyev got 87.4% approval in his leadership vote. It had
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absolutely nothing to do with Polyev's leadership that those two hacky blue Liberals ended up crossing
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the floor. But with first Chrystia Freeland resigning her seat, now Bill Blair, and we're probably going
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to see people like Jonathan Wilkinson, Stephen Gilbeau, as well as Nate Erskine-Smith leaving,
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there will not be an ounce of coverage. They don't care. And by the way, I also don't really think that
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this is a big leadership problem for Mark Carney. I think it might be a personality problem. I think
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these people don't like that they were stuck at the back of the caucus. They didn't have any
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influence. They were no longer cabinet ministers. But does this mean suddenly Mark Carney might get
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thrown out as prime minister? No. No, it does not. But at the same time, it does mean that we are far
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more likely to go into a snap election in the year 2026. Because every time Mark Carney loses another MP,
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it makes it just that much harder to actually pass anything in the House of Commons. Oftentimes,
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when you have a majority government on the provincial level, you can just slam your legislation
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through all day long. In the federal government, even if Carney had a majority, you can still get
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stopped up by your opposition a lot more. But Carney doesn't even have a majority. He has a minority
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with no partner. Yes, the NDP have kind of agreed to sometimes help them pass some stuff. But it's an
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extremely mild agreement. And the NDP has been positioning itself in its leadership race, that
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they're going to be far more aggressive with the liberals. And they kind of have to be because if the
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NDP doesn't, they're going to take a dirt nap and never recover. Because what's the point of being
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a Canadian on the political left, and basically just having the NDP vote with everything the liberals
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want? Now, I'm a conservative, but I could understand the frustration if you're an NDP voter,
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and your party basically just serves as the orange version of the liberals. Anyways, what I want to,
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I want to jump to some other things that I ended up saving on my computer that I thought was
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interesting. I want to show you this because it's really, well, I guess we'll first start off with
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Prime Minister Mark Carney's post about all this. But then I want to jump into one article from CTV News
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that's proving my point about how I think the liberal media is going to cover this all. But
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starting off with Prime Minister Mark Carney, he says, proud to announce that the Honorable Bill Blair
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will serve as the next High Commissioner for Canada in the United Kingdom, and Natalie G. Drouin will
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serve as the next ambassador to France and Monaco. With their extensive careers in public service,
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Mr. Blair and Ms. Drouin have proven expertise, judgment, and leadership to deepen
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Canada's relationship with two of our closest and most reliable partners. The other woman who was
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appointed, of course, was not a liberal MP. But they kind of just, he kind of glosses over the
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fact that he resigned his seat. And I obviously think that we are going to see Carney pressed on
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this in future interviews, not by a liberal journalist, but someone from a more conservative
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outlet, maybe like the Toronto Sun or the National Post. And he'll probably just like, oh, well,
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you know, we always knew that they were going to be resigning and moving on to this other role. And
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we're not going to actually investigate probably, or at least Carney's never going to admit to whether
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or not these people and himself actually got along well. And that was always the rumor with someone
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like Chrystia Freeland. She genuinely, even though one of her children, one of her children's
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stepfather is Mark Carney, they seem to not get along because she got thrown under the bus for a lot of
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stupid things that Carney did as the economic advisor to Justin Trudeau. Because Carney was
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actually basically suggesting a lot of the stupid things that were done between when, between like
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around 2020 and when Justin Trudeau ended up resigning. But the thing is that Freeland was stuck
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with the bag because she had to implement it all. Bill Blair, again, he's, I believe, like 68 years
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old, 67 years old. He's a bit of an older MP for Canadian politics. And he was not even in cabinet
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to my knowledge, maybe some sort of parliamentary secretary. But as a former cop, the former chief
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of police in Toronto, he's not even sitting as like an adjunct to the public safety minister.
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We have Gary Amasangri, some random chipmunk as our new public safety minister who didn't even know
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what a pal and an RPAL was. Or, you know, if Gary Amasangri is watching this and he forgot already,
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that's Canadian gun license. Imagine being Bill Blair and being replaced by that guy. And this is the
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same story. Let's move on to another person. This is the same story to Nate Erskine-Smith, who is
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likely to be leaving the party. He's just going to probably sit as a Liberal MP while he runs for
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Ontario Liberal leadership. But once that's all done, he'll just resign his seat once he's on to the new
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gig. He was somebody who wanted to be housing minister. And to be fair, Mark Carney did make him
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housing minister. He was trying to bring Nate Erskine-Smith back to run for another term because he was
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originally not going to do it. And Erskine-Smith served as housing minister for three weeks.
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And then after the election, he was just replaced by Gregor Robertson, which should be a really big
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kick in the butt considering the fact that Gregor Robertson was like a failure on housing back when
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he was the Vancouver mayor. And some of the other people who are also leaving, I feel like either
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they've been snubbed for position or they've been mistreated in said position or, you know, basically asked to
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do an impossible task by Carney and then they're going to get thrown under the bus later. So they'd
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rather just leave now. But anyways, let's before I actually want to get into the I want to show you
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the CTV news headline that went along with the story came up 40 minutes ago. But before I get into
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it, I just want to now halfway through the video, unlike I usually do just remind you that if you like
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I think views are. And of course, also leave a comment in the comment section below on what you
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think about all this. But now, here is the CTV news headline that goes along with this story.
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Lifetime, longtime Liberal MP Bill Blair appointed Canada's High Commissioner to the UK.
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Okay, okay, well, we're really burying the lead on this one. A Liberal MP has resigned. Now,
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I would be fine with that headline if we hadn't been watching whether or not Mark Carney was going
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to get a majority through floor crossers up until a little bit after Christmas. And then a bunch of
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people started publicly rejecting the Liberals, including an NDP MP. And then suddenly that story
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kind of dried up and we weren't kind of like watching to see if he was going to get his majority
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anymore. But shouldn't we then be covering this kind of in reverse that now Carney is two steps away
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back from where he started and trying to get a new, he was trying to get a majority because he got two
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steps forward with Don Tremont and Michael Ma and then he took two steps backward with Freeland and Bill
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Blair. And he's even a bit of a half a step back further because Nate Erskine Smith, as he's running
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for the Ontario Liberal leadership, is obviously going to be pretty distracted. Not like he's going
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to show up to Parliament and waste his time on the campaign trail trying to get his new gig and maybe
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be the Premier of Ontario. He's not going to like show up to Parliament all the time in order to save
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Carney. He could care less. Plus, it's not like Carney's close to a majority anyways at this point. So why
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should he bother even showing up? But yeah, there were some outlets that genuinely did cover this
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fine. I just wanted to show you I'm not I'm not trying to say that the CTV news was the only one but
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it's indicative. It's not shocking when I see a CTV news do it. Globe Politics says Bill Blair resigns
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Toronto seat will become next High Commissioner of UK. I am perfectly fine with that the way that's covered.
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But I would say the narrative as time goes on is just going to be Oh, he became the UK High
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Commissioner. What does that mean? I am waiting for the power and politics episode to come out on this
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because I know David Cochran, and I know Greg, Greg McKecker and Fred DeLore and whoever the NDP lady is on
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the show, they are going to severely drop the ball on this issue. They are not going to talk about it
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properly. Because of course, they don't want to talk about this one with any level of actual
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investigation. They don't want to talk about what this means for Carney, what this means for a potential
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future election. They just want it to be the surface level story that that Bill Blair has
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moved on. Why did Carney lose this veteran liberal MP? Why was he not sitting in his cabinet? Why is
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Gary Amasangri, who I suspect is a humanoid chipmunk sitting in that seat instead? I don't know why it
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was the chief of police no longer public safety minister. Well, either they're gonna have to
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basically acknowledge the fact that Bill Blair sucked his job when he was doing that. Although Gary
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Amasangri sucks at him more. Or they're gonna have to realize that Mark Carney doesn't treat
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his own people well. Here's the thing with Carney. I don't want to spiral too much in this video and
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just talk about constant little things that are kind of like rumor mill type stuff. But Carney is the
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type of guy he likes hanging out with people who, you know, he would go and have dinner with. And so
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the problem is for him, at the very least, in terms of caucus management, he tends to step on a lot of
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toes simply because he shuffles people in and out. And he kind of brings people into his inner circle
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based on, you know, who wears a really nice suit, who would maybe, you know, like the same wine as he
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does, who would dine at the same places. Nate Erskine Smith would not make a good housing minister, but he
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would probably be politically effective. He's more progressive. He's more charismatic. A lot of people like
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him, you know, he would maybe have new ideas on housing. Again, bad ideas. As a conservative,
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I think he's hands on head crazy when it comes to the way that he would want to do housing policy.
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He would be like putting Zoran Mamdani in charge of housing policy. But it's not like Gregor Robertson
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is some sort of like clean cut professional. Other than the fact that he looks clean cut,
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he sucks at his job. But Carney likes the cut of that guy's jib. So he put him in that position
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rather than Nate Erskine Smith, even though he did originally put Erskine Smith as housing minister
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up until the election was called. And I guess he's technically still the housing minister during
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the election and then dumps him at the side of the road right afterwards. Like Mark Carney keeps
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making all these extremely short term decisions in order to get himself ahead. And I think a lot of
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them could come back to bite him on the butt here. I just want to highlight one more thing before we
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move on. And it's just a post from Pierre Paulyev. I no doubt we'll be talking about it a little bit
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later. But the thing is that this is also not great news for Mark Carney while the conservatives
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are regaining their footing post the convention. So we have Pierre Paulyev right here who's saying
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this isn't about Bill Blair, but it's just about the kind of messaging that the conservative party is
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now going down and the record that Carney's having to run on while people are resigning.
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Paulyev here says, liberals gave Canada the worst decade of growth in the G7.
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Mark Carney promised change, but it's all an illusion. Canada's economy is shrinking while
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other G7 economies continue to grow. Conservatives will get government out of the way and off the
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backs of workers to deliver the affordable future Canadians have earned. And the graphic here says
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Canada's economy on track to shrink 0.5% in the fourth quarter. Now we will still technically have
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positive growth in 2025. But positive growth in this sense, it's going to be 1.7%, which is going
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to be underneath, I believe, the two and a half or a little bit above 2% overall inflation. So in fact,
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in basically real GDP terms, we have actually a shrinking economy. We literally shrank in the fourth
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corner, which is embarrassing. And then we are also going to be shrinking as a sort of real on a real
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GDP level as well. All this, I think, is moving up the timeline for a new federal election quite
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aggressively. If Carney thought he was going to get a majority government and he was going to get a few
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more floor crossers, he when he was asked about a week ago, are you planning on triggering a snap
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election in spring 2026? He would have said no. Because by not saying no, you are raising the
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anxieties of Canadians. Because unlike you and I, most people don't really like following politics
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that much. And they are going to groan hard if there's a new election. But Carney needs one. So he
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couldn't say no. So he's at least testing the waters to see what the public reaction would be like
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if he dodged that one. Obviously, he's never going to say yes, there is a new election coming because
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you know, you never let your opposition know that you're absolutely thinking about it. It might not
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be a spring election. He dodged the question, but the dodge could also mean summer or fall.
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Basically, sooner than later. And with the current, like, and you can even just tell that the liberals
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won a new election based on the way they're positioning themselves with this new GST rebate.
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They are attempting to buy people's votes by sending out checks right before a vote would occur.
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And I actually think this could end up backfiring on the liberals. Because let me paint a picture for
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you. Your house burns down, or let's say your friend's house is on fire. And you show up and
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you're like, oh my goodness, this is so awful. You know what, I always said I was going to help you
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if something like this happened. Let me get my checkbook. And you get your checkbook and your pen
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and your writing. And then in a few seconds, the guy's like, oh my goodness, he's actually coming
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through for me. And you crack the check off and you hand him $20. He would kill you. That person
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would kill you. Because don't do nothing. Do nothing or help a lot. This is the problem with
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the GST rebate. I actually think it might end up insulting more people. It might actually end up
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insulting the people it's being given to. Plus, there's about 60% or 66% of Canadians who aren't
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getting the rebate. And so they're going to be ticked off they didn't get it. The bottom 30% of earners
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who do get it might be insulted by the fact that, hey, we can't have good jobs, we can't have lower
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inflation, but here's $200 or $250 per person. That's where I think that this whole thing could
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collapse. I've been telling the conservative, like conservative MPs, I was running around the
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convention floor. And in I think I didn't, I wasn't really trying to hunt people down. But I talked
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like about a dozen or so conservative MPs. And I kept making the point on the GST rebate. Do not
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talk about the cost. Who cares, guys? I think the deficit's bad. I think most Canadians think the
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deficit is bad. I've shown as much on the on the whiteboard, we went over the dev, the news about
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the deficit, most people think it's not acceptable. It's bad that we have a deficit. But no Canadian
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is I don't even really know the nuanced difference between a $78 billion deficit, and like an $85
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billion deficit. I know it's worse. But I already hated them on the issue of public finance. I already
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knew they sucked at it. Don't highlight that thing. Highlight instead, the story of the liberals
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basically doing the bare minimum for you, the sort of cracking off a $20 check while your house is
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burning down kind of an angle here. That is what the conservatives should be doing. The liberals are
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doing the bare minimum, and they're giving you a little bit of money to make you go and sit back at
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the kids table. They just want you to leave them alone. Like the whole idea that Canadians are
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running up to Carney saying like, I can't afford my groceries. My job, my wage growth has been
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terrible. That's my you know, my meal in my my region for like my my paper mill to shut down all
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the stuff. And Carney's like, Oh my goodness, really this again? Here's $300. I'm not even sure. I think
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that's the price of milk these days. Anyways, bye. And then he wants to go back to talking to all of
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his insider friends at the adult table. That is the painting that the conservatives and pure poly of
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should be creating for Canadians is creating the image that you are a fool. If you let Carney bribe
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you this way. And you are kind of a fool if you let him bribe you this way. 6.9% or 6.1% food inflation,
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the GDP of the country falling in the fourth quarter of 2025. And you're going to be satisfied by another
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giveaway program. And the giveaway program doesn't even apply to everybody. So there are already going to
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a lot of people feeling spurned. The conservatives then need to counter because they can't just say
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this is bare minimum. They then have to counter and say, we want a 20% tax cut across every income
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bracket, including corporate and including taking a point off the GST, which is 20%. So I'm not sure
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I clarified a point off it. But anyways, you get my point. I just like to keep hammering that home.
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If you know a conservative MP, make sure they hear me saying that or you say it in your own way.
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Do not talk about the numbers. People are bored by the numbers. People already know that the budget
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sucks. The deficit sucks. Emphasizing that it's increased, the deficit's increased by another
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7% is not going to be a big vote getter. Point out the fact that they think you're stupid,
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the liberals, and they think giving you a few hundred dollars is going to make you go away
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and leave them alone and maybe even buy your loyalty in a new election. But anyways, thank you guys for
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