Mark Carney is the favourite to replace Justin Trudeau as the next Prime Minister of Canada, but what does that actually mean for the Liberal Party of Canada? Is this a good or bad thing? Is it a good thing? And is it bad?
00:00:00.000I genuinely believe that the Liberal Party is going to do worse in the 2025 federal election with Mark Carney leading them than if they had just kept on Justin Trudeau.
00:00:11.940If you look at the Liberals polling about eight or nine months ago, they're around 26-27% in the polls, but they only took the dive when they started trying to remove Justin Trudeau so they could install somebody like Mark Carney.
00:00:26.640And now with Mark Carney set to potentially win the Liberal Party's leadership, they're really only going to get up into the mid to maybe middle-high 20s in terms of their overall support, which, why did you bother doing all of this if all of this movement in the leadership was just going to bring you slightly below default?
00:00:46.980I need to show you a video that Mark Carney posted to his own social media account that's supposed to promote him as a serious leader that the Liberal Party and Canada needs right now. Check this out. It will put you into a coma.
00:01:02.980Now, let me be clear. This situation, unfortunately, could not be more serious. And at times like these, we need serious leadership and a serious plan. I'm ready to stand up for Canada. Who's with me?
00:01:25.980I don't know what kind of hard drugs the crowd's on, but who is reacting like that to that absolutely Eeyore-like speech?
00:01:38.480This is the thing. Obviously, I don't like Justin Trudeau. He's corrupt. He's an awful leader. He's a nasty person. Everything that you guys could think about him that's negative, I probably would agree with.
00:01:50.240The thing with Trudeau, though, in terms of if I was trying to make the Liberal Party do as well as they could in the 2025 election, not that I want them to do very well, that Trudeau has energy. He has, like, any amount of energy.
00:02:05.920Mark Carney doesn't. He feels like you're reading a textbook while he's speaking. But the problem is he's not even very experienced at actually getting good things done.
00:02:15.580All of his experience is just holding bureaucratic positions. The governor of the Bank of England, governor of the Bank of Canada, in which he really didn't do all that much.
00:02:25.380It would be really difficult to even explain to a Canadian how he was significant at all in the 2008 market crisis, because he really wasn't.
00:02:33.980It was overall government policy that saved Canada from a deep recession. But Mark Carney, for some reason, I guess, gets credit because he was there.
00:02:44.360But it was all Harper's doing that made Canada better off. But regardless, getting back to this video, though, that is genuinely worse than having a scandal break in the middle of your leadership.
00:02:55.800Because a scandal would make people talk about you. The only people who are talking about this video are, like, lamenting the fact that this guy is really the top prospect for the Liberal Party?
00:03:07.860Really? We're going to have to make snappy, energetic, exciting advertisements for the 2025 federal election with this guy at the helm?
00:03:17.420And it kind of gives away the game a little bit when Mark Carney doing things on his own looks like this, that it's really Team Trudeau who's propping the entire guy's campaign up.
00:03:29.940There's nothing about Mark Carney that compels people inside the Liberal caucus to want to run out in the streets and back him up.
00:03:37.240Nobody actually wants this guy as the leader. It's simply that Team Trudeau wants him.
00:03:42.300And really, are you going to get Team Trudeau on your butt, having them all over you because you backed Freeland or backed Gould instead of Carney?
00:03:51.500So all of his support's fake. Do you think that Gerald Butts and Katie Telford are just there by happenstance?
00:03:58.380No, it's Team Trudeau. Mark Carney is Justin Trudeau's fourth term because Trudeau had taken way too many shots from his own people and couldn't be a leader anymore.
00:04:07.020And so by having Mark Carney come in, Justin Trudeau and all of his people still basically get full control on what the government does, even as Trudeau is stepping down as prime minister and not running for re-election.
00:04:19.840Even Trudeau's entire wedding party, all of the people who are involved in Liberal politics, who are in that famous photo carrying Justin Trudeau on his wedding day, are all endorsing Mark Carney.
00:04:30.840Mark Miller, you have Seamus O'Regan, Gerald Butts, I believe there's a couple more there.
00:04:36.400Nothing about this guy is real at all. And here's a great clip to prove it to you.
00:04:41.240Here is him on the BBC talking about how he is getting briefings and keeping up to date with ministers in Trudeau's cabinet.
00:04:49.120He's not even a member of the government.
00:04:50.620Why is he getting special briefings and speaking to ministers when he is just some random guy who's not an elected MP just running for the Liberal Party leadership?
00:05:00.140Does Ruby Dalla get to be informed by all this stuff?
00:05:24.720Those decisions are for the current government.
00:05:27.220I've been in close contact with our main negotiators, our foreign affairs minister, our finance minister who've been in Washington, our public safety minister.
00:05:44.140And if he then comes back and counters and says, hey, whoa, whoa, whoa, I was the economic advisor for a while, so they're fully in their rights to keep me up to date or it's appropriate.
00:06:22.760I think it's reasonable to expect in the immediate term that we will match dollar for dollar the U.S. tariffs.
00:06:29.860We will target our tariffs against those goods and services that will most affect the United States and least affect Canada.
00:06:39.540But to be clear, this will have an impact on the Canadian economy and that impact will be felt more quickly and to a greater extent than the U.S.
00:06:49.560So this is basically saying that he was already in the know about what the tariffs were going to be targeting because everyone expected it was just going to be a flat dollar for dollar tariff.
00:06:59.120The U.S. is going to put a 25 percent tariff on our exports.
00:07:02.100Then we're going to put a 25 percent tariff on their exports.
00:07:05.800And so what Mark Carney is saying is that he already knew it was only going to be targeted to specific types of goods and it wasn't going to actually be full dollar for dollar.
00:07:17.520The only reason is because he's Trudeau's pick and they are basically giving him every piece of information, every resource he needs to beat Chrystia Freeland.
00:07:25.100And by the way, it is not even a done deal that he's going to beat Chrystia Freeland.
00:07:28.580There were some abacus data polls out showing he was at like 57 percent among liberal supporters.
00:07:34.800The problem is the liberal supporter category is a bit vague because that isn't members.
00:07:40.360Only about 400,000 Canadians have liberal memberships who can vote in the leadership.
00:07:44.400That is what that's just like less than one percent of people currently in the country.
00:07:49.580And not all the members are even permanent residents can regularly vote.
00:07:53.400And so that would suggest if it's 57 percent, he's easily going to win.
00:07:58.240But then another poll, I believe it was Angus Reid or when it might have been Nanos came out, showing that, in fact, Mark Carney is only around the mid-30s, which when there's five or six candidates, some of which who actually have very strong regional support, even though they're not big players and can throw that to Freeland.
00:08:15.800And 36 percent is not doing so hot because he's the guy to beat.
00:08:20.640And if you're the guy to beat, you want to be a monster.
00:09:18.660Who respects their trading arrangements?
00:09:21.860Who, for example, earlier today, we made some major, proposed some major changes to our climate policy, enhancing our climate change policy, our emissions policy here in Canada.
00:09:32.840Is this man actually going to beat Paliyev?
00:10:25.160Even Freeland, because she's been the deputy prime minister and the finance minister, she actually, as much as she's a kind of twitchy, nervous person, comes off more prime ministerial, comes off as a bigger figure.
00:10:38.980And bigger than all of them would be Justin Trudeau, because he was the prime minister.
00:10:43.820This is why I'm saying it would have been smarter for the liberals just to keep him around, even if you're going to lose the next election, you would have kept more support with him around.
00:10:51.200But then even bigger than him is Pierre Polyev right now, because he's actually well-liked, unlike Trudeau.
00:10:57.460He actually has a very unique personality that clashes with Justin Trudeau's more doofy energy.
00:11:03.420He's very serious, but he's also very theatrical with how he talks.
00:11:20.320It's the worst kind of seminars-type speeches I've ever seen.
00:11:25.080It's the type of thing where people are waiting until they're allowed to go to the buffet after this guy's done talking about mergers and acquisitions.
00:11:32.980Anyways, that should be it for this video, guys.
00:11:36.260Make sure to support the channel, like this video, subscribe to the channel, leave a comment, do all that great stuff, and I'll see you guys next time.