The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - November 10, 2025


Carney Liberal FLOP - Budget polls poorly with Canadians!


Episode Stats

Length

22 minutes

Words per Minute

167.76888

Word Count

3,856

Sentence Count

183

Hate Speech Sentences

4


Summary

Wyatt Clunock is back on the whiteboard to talk about Canadian polling numbers, and why the media seems to be more interested in talking about the supposed leadership crisis going on inside the Conservative Party, rather than the budget itself.


Transcript

00:00:00.080 Ahoy everyone, Wyatt Claypool here back on the whiteboard again to talk about Canadian polling numbers.
00:00:07.020 Today we are going to discuss the general public's reaction to the budget that Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government put out.
00:00:15.420 Before we get into the specific numbers, I just want to say, as a general overview,
00:00:20.880 what we are going to talk about today really validates my perspective that the media seem to be deliberately not talking about the budget
00:00:28.420 and deflecting towards the supposed leadership crisis going on inside the Conservative Party?
00:00:34.060 Because the budget's not popular. Canadians, the more they hear about what's in the budget, the less they like it.
00:00:40.220 So we have all these panels on CBC and Global News and CTV discussing,
00:00:46.340 is Polyev going to survive as Conservative Party leader? Is he going to get ousted during his leadership review?
00:00:52.780 Are all the Conservative moderates going to leave with Chris Dantremont as he crosses the floor to the Liberals?
00:00:59.700 We will be discussing more of the media coverage of this and Chris Dantremont's just abysmal interview he did on the CBC just this morning,
00:01:08.360 or I think it might have been last night. That is a story worth discussing.
00:01:11.740 But the media is using that story as an excuse not to talk about the budget, because the budget sucks.
00:01:17.420 And so that is why we are going to now jump into the numbers here, and we will start off.
00:01:23.940 The survey came from Abacus Data. They do very good work.
00:01:26.820 We're going to start off with the most general question that they asked,
00:01:30.320 which actually tends to get you the best sort of like gauge of what Canadians think.
00:01:36.260 The thing with a budget, though, is that budgets are hard to hate.
00:01:40.360 Do that many people really follow politics closely enough that they're going to have an extremely informed perspective on the budget?
00:01:46.440 Or as long as the budget was literally not on fire in Mark Carney's hand as he presented it,
00:01:51.960 you're going to get a good amount of people who assume, well, they're smart.
00:01:54.920 They probably put together something OK.
00:01:57.660 But when you see a budget full that is this close, you know there are problems for the current government.
00:02:05.680 We're going to just talk about the right track, wrong track question that Abacus Data ended up asking people,
00:02:12.680 asking whether or not they thought this budget was bringing the country in the right direction or the wrong direction.
00:02:19.640 So right off the bat, we had only, and again, it is a majority, but I'm saying only for a reason,
00:02:27.720 only 52% of Canadians think that this budget is putting the country in the right direction.
00:02:36.500 For wrong direction, naturally, the rest of it is going there.
00:02:41.560 We have 48% of Canadians saying that this budget is putting the country in the wrong direction.
00:02:51.120 Now, again, you could say, well, it's 52 to 48.
00:02:54.060 That looks like it's a success.
00:02:56.760 Guys, even when Justin Trudeau was putting up budgets in 2023,
00:03:01.600 he could get most people to say, oh, that sounds about right.
00:03:04.280 If 48% of people are against your budget,
00:03:08.220 one of the most boring things that the government puts out is the budget numbers.
00:03:12.700 That means that you ticked off a lot of people for no reason.
00:03:16.320 This is a repudiation of Mark Carney's theory of politics,
00:03:20.740 that you can say things like, we're going to spend less and invest more.
00:03:24.740 Well, the spending less and investing more budget is deeply disliked.
00:03:29.340 And if you are a liberal strategist, you were so annoyed at what Mark Carney was doing here,
00:03:36.080 because it was calculated to tick off everybody who ended up switching their votes to the liberal
00:03:42.100 party in the last election.
00:03:43.480 Now, if you're a liberal stalwart, you will like anything the liberals are doing.
00:03:47.200 But if you were one of the NDP voters who switched over to the liberals,
00:03:50.900 or a Bloc Québécois voter who switched over to the liberals,
00:03:54.240 or a conservative who switched over to liberals for the 2025 election,
00:03:57.700 for whatever reason, I think the biggest one was they just wanted to stick it to Trump,
00:04:01.540 and they wanted to join the elbows-up brigade.
00:04:04.040 The problem is, is if you're on the left of those switch voters,
00:04:08.720 which is the NDP and the Bloc switch voters,
00:04:11.260 they're mad that Carney is reducing personnel spending.
00:04:14.560 He's reducing the amount of public sector employees.
00:04:16.900 He's not investing enough in old-age pensions and other services.
00:04:21.240 And if you're on the right, you don't care about Carney saying,
00:04:24.300 well, I'm investing more in infrastructure.
00:04:26.200 You just see a $78 billion deficit, $54 billion in the budget just going to debt servicing.
00:04:34.700 And so you don't care about the limited amounts of tax relief for corporations for a single year
00:04:39.380 or them doing other things to try and spur the economy,
00:04:42.620 because the overall picture of the budget is bloated, it's debt-ridden,
00:04:48.280 and if you're on the left, you're saying that this isn't doing enough in order to create jobs.
00:04:53.340 In fact, it's getting rid of jobs and all this.
00:04:55.460 So Carney has put himself in a position where, on his left and right flank of his own party,
00:05:00.580 there is going to be a lot of grumbling.
00:05:03.580 But anyways, now I'm going to clear this,
00:05:05.520 and we are going to talk about the word association that people are doing with the budget.
00:05:10.440 Abacus Data put out basically a bunch of words,
00:05:13.060 select which ones you think apply to the budget,
00:05:15.200 and the problem for him is that they are mostly negative on the top end.
00:05:22.220 Okay, we are back for the word association part of the poll.
00:05:26.240 I want to go through maybe the top five words here that people use to describe the budget,
00:05:31.220 because what you'll notice is that the people who didn't like it are more sure as to why they don't like it,
00:05:37.880 whereas the positive words tend to be more spread out and vague,
00:05:42.020 which means that there's probably no general sense of why it's good.
00:05:46.440 You know, I'm a liberal voter, or I'm generally positive about the country,
00:05:51.260 so I think it's bold or something like that.
00:05:53.620 But when you actually go through the people who are sure why they don't like it,
00:05:57.800 and the people who are unsure,
00:05:59.160 the people who are sure are more negative,
00:06:00.900 and the people who are unsure are more positive,
00:06:02.700 which is not a great sign for the liberals.
00:06:04.280 But topping the list of words people are using to describe the budget is disappointing.
00:06:12.180 That is the top-cited word by people of what they thought of the budget,
00:06:18.860 and that is representing, of the browned 1,300, 1,200 people poll,
00:06:23.900 that is representing 30% of people who ended up selecting that word
00:06:28.740 as one of the words they would use to describe the budget.
00:06:31.180 But after disappointing, it doesn't get better.
00:06:35.400 It actually gets scary.
00:06:38.160 Scary, hence of being the next word people use to describe the budget,
00:06:43.080 with 27% of people using that word.
00:06:47.960 And I'm not really sure who would be using it.
00:06:50.000 That actually strikes me as something that left-leaning liberal voters
00:06:53.700 and NDP and block voters would be saying,
00:06:55.860 because, oh my goodness, it's cutting jobs.
00:06:57.880 And the funny thing is it's actually probably not even going to really cut jobs,
00:07:01.180 because when you reduce $1 billion of personnel spending and service spending over here,
00:07:07.380 and it could result in layoffs,
00:07:09.060 but you create $5 billion more of spending over here on infrastructure projects,
00:07:14.300 a lot of those people are probably just going to get absorbed by the departments
00:07:17.180 carrying out those new big bloated infrastructure projects.
00:07:22.160 Now, it does get a little bit more positive for Carney's budget.
00:07:26.960 The next word that people associate most with it is hopeful.
00:07:32.980 Wow, aren't we so hopeful?
00:07:34.600 We spent $78 billion, and I guess that means hope.
00:07:39.380 We get 26% of people saying it's hopeful.
00:07:43.760 After that, we go back to negativity, and it is out of touch.
00:07:51.380 The budget is out of touch.
00:07:55.820 And that was garnering 25% of people choosing that word out of the word cloud.
00:08:02.600 We do go after that to another word that is positive,
00:08:09.900 and that word being responsible, which is a giant laugh,
00:08:13.360 but, you know, if you put a bunch of liberal,
00:08:16.440 if you give a bunch of liberal supporters options of what to say about the budget,
00:08:20.660 they will just say generally vaguely nice things.
00:08:23.660 And I'm going to go on and just kind of read you the other ones that were around,
00:08:27.700 but that ends up getting just 24% of people selecting it.
00:08:32.300 Naturally, it's a bit of a car crash at the top of the list
00:08:35.000 just simply because there are so many words,
00:08:36.860 and you are allowed to pick multiple words out of the cloud.
00:08:40.480 But after that, it goes ambitious, and then it goes inflationary, reckless,
00:08:46.680 focused, bold, balanced, fair, timid.
00:08:49.080 But the problem is the upper side of the words people are using,
00:08:55.420 because it starts to slip into the high teens to the lower teens
00:08:58.940 on the last about five words if we go a little bit deeper,
00:09:02.820 and I assume there were other words that they just didn't end up placing
00:09:05.360 because only like 4% or 5% of people selected them.
00:09:08.980 But overall, when you actually look at the top,
00:09:11.840 we have three out of five of the words that were used at the top,
00:09:15.580 the most used words are negative,
00:09:18.240 and they tend to be far more decisive words
00:09:21.100 than the ones that were used that were positive.
00:09:24.040 Later on, saying something's ambitious doesn't necessarily mean that it's good.
00:09:29.320 You know, people use the word responsible,
00:09:30.980 but ambitious doesn't necessarily mean responsible,
00:09:33.380 and I don't really know what the definition of responsible here is.
00:09:36.280 I'm not trying to disagree with the people, the selections that people make,
00:09:39.720 but overall, disappointing, scary, and out of touch
00:09:42.620 are probably going to rule the day over the 50% of people,
00:09:47.180 give or take, who say it's hopeful or responsible.
00:09:49.860 Overall, even here, only 55% of the words that were selected by respondents
00:09:56.600 were positive words, or 55% of respondents used positive words,
00:10:02.160 but at the same time, 53% of respondents ended up selecting negative words.
00:10:09.080 So, obviously, there is a lot of crossover here.
00:10:14.320 And then, I had about 28% of people used both positive and negative sounding words,
00:10:20.640 kind of in an equal amount to describe the budget,
00:10:23.700 which probably tells me that a lot of the people who said that it's the right track
00:10:28.080 are kind of lying.
00:10:30.700 They're kind of lying to the pollster.
00:10:32.360 Again, they'd like to think we're going on in the right track,
00:10:34.440 so they'll say that we're going along in the right track.
00:10:36.960 That is the problem here.
00:10:38.380 When you poll the budget, and it's this close,
00:10:42.320 the issue with that is that people naturally like to assume the government's doing a good job,
00:10:48.220 and when it's effectively 50-50 between right track and wrong track,
00:10:52.480 it means the budget is flopping really hard.
00:10:56.500 But now, I do want to move on to just a couple other numbers here,
00:11:00.620 just so we can sort of wrap this up
00:11:02.680 and just sort of demonstrate my point about what people think of the budget.
00:11:05.620 But I'm just going to clear the board quickly,
00:11:08.240 and we will come back with one more statistic I want to show you guys.
00:11:13.260 Okay, we are back again,
00:11:15.180 and I want to take you guys through the results,
00:11:17.460 asking people basically, more specifically,
00:11:21.120 more than just right track or wrong track,
00:11:23.600 did the budget meet your expectations,
00:11:25.980 exceed them, fall short,
00:11:27.180 or are you just not certain?
00:11:28.400 And I'm just going to write off not certain right now.
00:11:31.860 Not certain ended up getting in this poll 28%.
00:11:35.480 28% of people overall were not certain about their opinion on the budget.
00:11:40.340 Generally speaking, when people say not certain or undecided,
00:11:44.120 they're probably going to end up falling into the other categories
00:11:48.120 at the proportion that people in those categories are already in.
00:11:52.220 So like, you know, if outside of the not certain,
00:11:55.880 if there's two other options,
00:11:58.340 and one option is 30%,
00:11:59.520 and one option is 70%,
00:12:00.920 the not sure's are probably going to split 70 to 30 as well.
00:12:04.500 But let's go over the general population
00:12:07.480 for those who the budget exceeded the expectations of,
00:12:10.940 then those who it met the expectations of,
00:12:13.320 and finally, those who it fell short of.
00:12:15.880 And then I want to give you guys a small party breakdown of this,
00:12:20.640 because it's quite telling that even inside the Liberal Party,
00:12:23.740 this was not a very well-received budget.
00:12:27.120 So let's go to exceeded expectations.
00:12:29.880 How many Canadians did it exceed the expectations of?
00:12:33.140 Well, 5% of Canadians overall had their expectations exceeded.
00:12:40.420 Met your expectations,
00:12:42.140 which is kind of a bit of a neutral answer in a lot of ways.
00:12:44.700 That is, 28% of people said that it met their expectations,
00:12:52.080 which isn't exactly a glowing endorsement.
00:12:55.100 Gee, sorry about that, guys.
00:12:56.180 It's a bit of a too light of a marker there.
00:12:59.040 You got to experiment sometimes, see what works.
00:13:01.060 I'm actually going to end up making this one a bit darker.
00:13:03.480 So 28% of people said that the budget had met their expectations.
00:13:09.180 Now let's go one further down
00:13:11.340 to who said that the budget fell short of their expectations.
00:13:16.020 Well, if you're doing the math and you're adding these up,
00:13:18.380 you know that this one's going to be a big number.
00:13:21.020 39% of Canadians polled said that the budget fell short in their opinion.
00:13:28.620 So if we redistributed the not sure people
00:13:32.280 to fell short met and exceeded,
00:13:34.840 you know, maybe exceeded is going to go up to seven.
00:13:38.520 Met might go up to like, you know, 35 or something like that.
00:13:42.760 And then fell short is going to get pretty close.
00:13:45.100 If not, actually it would get past 50%
00:13:47.460 because if you add met and exceeded together,
00:13:50.760 that's only getting them to 33%
00:13:52.980 and fell short is still higher.
00:13:55.380 And now I just want to take you guys through
00:13:58.700 of the fell short,
00:14:00.740 do you want to know how many liberals
00:14:02.420 specifically said that it had fallen short?
00:14:05.980 Liberals said 19% of them,
00:14:11.060 of the LPC,
00:14:12.960 19% said that the budget fell short for them.
00:14:17.640 Even then,
00:14:18.720 they're not even that positive on the budget.
00:14:20.980 43% said the budget met their expectations.
00:14:26.580 And then those who had their expectations exceeded
00:14:30.080 was only actually 7% of Liberal Party supporters.
00:14:36.280 That's pretty bad.
00:14:37.300 Maybe it's because they just are really good at clocking
00:14:39.820 Mark Carney and they're all super happy,
00:14:42.060 but they're like,
00:14:42.560 oh, he, you know,
00:14:43.560 he met my expectations.
00:14:45.700 Absolutely.
00:14:46.720 I assumed it was going to be brilliant.
00:14:48.700 And it was,
00:14:49.180 and there was no way of exceeding my expectations.
00:14:50.980 But still,
00:14:52.120 this ain't exactly a super healthy amount of people
00:14:54.920 on side with the budget.
00:14:56.860 And even then,
00:14:57.720 the Liberals had 31% of people undecided.
00:15:00.940 They're literally more undecided
00:15:02.780 than the average Canadian
00:15:04.220 of what they think about the budget.
00:15:07.360 Now,
00:15:08.140 that tells me that the budget wasn't very good.
00:15:10.780 That people who in the last election voted Liberal
00:15:13.220 got ticked off
00:15:14.600 because they thought that,
00:15:16.360 you know,
00:15:16.880 they put a lot of their hopes and dreams into Mark Carney,
00:15:19.180 but because he's trying to keep this kind of shaky coalition together
00:15:23.920 of former Conservative and former NDP voters,
00:15:27.140 he ended up making a budget
00:15:28.500 that ticked off both groups of those people.
00:15:31.120 And there's quite a few of them,
00:15:32.920 19% of the Liberal coalition from last election,
00:15:36.200 who don't like what they're doing.
00:15:37.800 That at least it fell short of their expectations.
00:15:40.420 Maybe they don't exactly hate it,
00:15:42.260 but they don't exactly love it
00:15:44.140 or they're not even exactly happy with it either.
00:15:46.220 But now I'm just going to erase this stuff
00:15:48.480 because I want to go over
00:15:49.760 some of the regional data
00:15:51.760 of what did people in certain regions think.
00:15:55.020 So in,
00:15:56.100 let's just do some of the battlegrounds.
00:15:57.920 Frankly,
00:15:58.460 and I'm from Alberta,
00:15:59.420 I'm sitting in Alberta right now,
00:16:00.840 Alberta's opinion on the budget
00:16:02.040 doesn't really matter in a lot of ways.
00:16:04.560 Here is the problem.
00:16:06.080 We will go over
00:16:07.180 first Quebec,
00:16:10.160 UC,
00:16:11.320 then we will go over BC,
00:16:12.780 and then we will go over Ontario.
00:16:17.000 In Quebec,
00:16:18.420 you end up having
00:16:19.540 only 4% of people
00:16:22.580 say that the budget
00:16:23.640 had exceeded
00:16:24.600 their expectations.
00:16:27.120 After that,
00:16:28.360 you had only 27% of people
00:16:30.640 say that had met their expectations
00:16:32.480 and 40%,
00:16:35.060 a little bit more
00:16:35.980 than the general public,
00:16:38.220 said that it had fallen short
00:16:40.200 with the amount of people
00:16:42.180 undecided on this question.
00:16:43.500 It doesn't really matter
00:16:44.020 as we go into the regionals.
00:16:45.760 But yeah,
00:16:46.560 so in the liberal heartland,
00:16:48.260 they actually may be
00:16:49.060 throwing some more vote
00:16:50.120 over to
00:16:50.900 the Bloc Québécois
00:16:52.620 because the budget
00:16:53.420 did not do so hot
00:16:54.840 in the province
00:16:56.040 that the liberals
00:16:56.640 really need to run up
00:16:57.900 the score in.
00:16:58.960 Now,
00:16:59.600 let's jump over
00:17:00.800 to British Columbia.
00:17:02.960 This is a province
00:17:03.900 that actually liked
00:17:04.880 the budget
00:17:05.300 quite a bit more
00:17:06.280 than others.
00:17:07.280 We had 8%
00:17:08.180 say that it had exceeded.
00:17:09.640 their expectations.
00:17:11.740 Like Quebec,
00:17:12.940 27% had said
00:17:14.620 it met their expectations
00:17:15.860 and a little bit less
00:17:17.680 said it fell short
00:17:18.580 with 37%
00:17:20.100 saying that the budget
00:17:21.260 had fallen short.
00:17:23.220 But now,
00:17:23.940 let's go to
00:17:24.780 a really big
00:17:25.720 battleground province
00:17:26.860 and that is,
00:17:27.860 of course,
00:17:28.160 Ontario.
00:17:29.460 4%
00:17:30.300 thought the budget
00:17:31.620 had exceeded
00:17:32.380 their expectations
00:17:33.480 or met expectations.
00:17:36.140 We have
00:17:36.620 33% of people
00:17:38.620 saying that
00:17:39.520 it had met
00:17:40.280 their expectations
00:17:41.220 so a little bit
00:17:41.920 higher overall.
00:17:43.520 And then,
00:17:44.040 we had
00:17:44.540 35% of people
00:17:46.460 say that it
00:17:47.320 had fallen short.
00:17:48.960 Now,
00:17:49.560 this is very telling
00:17:50.640 because the liberal budget
00:17:51.960 dumps a lot of money
00:17:53.500 into Ontario.
00:17:54.640 A lot of subsidies
00:17:55.560 for the auto industry,
00:17:57.680 a lot of just
00:17:58.460 employment kind of
00:17:59.840 initiatives
00:18:00.240 are being done
00:18:01.080 in Ontario.
00:18:01.780 A lot of the infrastructure
00:18:02.520 projects are being done
00:18:03.540 in Ontario.
00:18:04.540 So naturally,
00:18:05.620 this one is pulling
00:18:06.540 better than it is
00:18:07.620 in Quebec
00:18:08.000 where the Bloc
00:18:09.000 Ébécois had made
00:18:09.820 a big stink
00:18:10.460 about the liberals
00:18:11.140 not putting enough
00:18:11.880 money into services
00:18:13.380 and specifically services
00:18:14.900 that Quebec voters
00:18:15.820 value the most
00:18:16.600 in their budget.
00:18:18.240 And in fact,
00:18:18.700 they are cutting back
00:18:19.520 on personnel
00:18:20.220 and public sector
00:18:21.480 employees.
00:18:22.600 To give you an impression
00:18:23.460 of what the other
00:18:25.000 numbers around the
00:18:25.660 country were like,
00:18:27.580 Alberta fell short
00:18:29.000 was 55%.
00:18:30.300 So that was running
00:18:31.380 up the score
00:18:32.000 a little bit more
00:18:32.980 when it came
00:18:33.920 to the overall number.
00:18:37.680 But in Quebec,
00:18:38.800 the number of people
00:18:39.880 who thought it fell short
00:18:40.900 was a little bit higher
00:18:41.780 than the average.
00:18:42.980 And in British Columbia,
00:18:44.520 it was slightly below
00:18:45.640 by just a couple points.
00:18:47.380 And in Ontario,
00:18:48.080 it was down by about four.
00:18:50.180 The places that the budget
00:18:51.500 was actually popular
00:18:53.060 was like,
00:18:54.160 I don't even,
00:18:54.800 I'm trying to look at it.
00:18:57.700 Really,
00:18:58.340 the place that the budget
00:18:59.300 was most popular in
00:19:00.620 was Ontario.
00:19:02.300 And even then,
00:19:03.280 you still had
00:19:04.060 the amount of people
00:19:05.000 only in that province
00:19:06.260 did you actually have
00:19:07.660 those who the budget
00:19:08.940 exceeded the expectations
00:19:10.120 of and met
00:19:10.900 the expectations of
00:19:12.120 being outweighing
00:19:13.820 the amount of people
00:19:14.940 that it fell short for.
00:19:16.600 Because if you had
00:19:17.020 the rest of these up,
00:19:18.260 it's falling very short.
00:19:20.000 31% of people liked it
00:19:21.720 in Quebec
00:19:22.540 compared to 40%
00:19:23.820 who disliked it.
00:19:25.180 And then in Ontario,
00:19:26.820 in BC,
00:19:27.640 you have it getting
00:19:28.360 to like 35%
00:19:29.760 and 37%
00:19:31.460 said they didn't like it.
00:19:33.000 So this is effectively
00:19:35.060 what I'm saying here.
00:19:36.620 The liberal budget
00:19:37.740 ended up being this thing
00:19:39.020 where they could have
00:19:40.260 basically started off
00:19:41.360 with a big confidence
00:19:42.420 building budget
00:19:43.120 where maybe they cut
00:19:44.000 people's taxes
00:19:44.860 and they make it seem
00:19:45.740 like we're back in business.
00:19:47.280 But it was just another
00:19:48.460 Trudeau liberal budget.
00:19:50.400 And the thing is that
00:19:51.100 the left of the liberals,
00:19:53.280 the MDP and the Bloc
00:19:55.240 and the Greens,
00:19:56.340 are going to have
00:19:56.920 a very easy time
00:19:58.040 demonizing
00:19:58.820 any shift back
00:20:00.120 to the right
00:20:00.560 because the liberals
00:20:01.420 have been demonizing
00:20:03.220 the conservatives
00:20:03.860 for being the party
00:20:04.800 that would cut spending
00:20:05.700 for so long
00:20:06.400 that they're now
00:20:07.260 going to be eaten
00:20:08.060 by their own people
00:20:08.940 who see the budget
00:20:09.940 as too conservative.
00:20:11.200 At the same time,
00:20:12.200 the budget is not
00:20:13.000 conservative at all.
00:20:14.240 $78 billion deficit,
00:20:16.080 $54 billion
00:20:17.120 of debt servicing alone.
00:20:18.960 Yeah, there's
00:20:19.280 some positive elements.
00:20:20.280 They're slashing
00:20:20.860 the amount of TFWs
00:20:22.060 per year and a half.
00:20:23.300 That's nice.
00:20:24.040 But the problem is
00:20:25.540 it's such mixed news
00:20:27.260 for so many people
00:20:28.500 that I think
00:20:29.180 all they've done here
00:20:30.260 is alienated
00:20:31.100 a lot of their voters.
00:20:32.140 The budget was not
00:20:32.900 something that girded
00:20:33.920 up their support.
00:20:35.080 In fact,
00:20:35.820 if the budget
00:20:36.440 doesn't strengthen
00:20:37.320 your party,
00:20:38.360 you've done it wrong.
00:20:39.700 And Carney has done
00:20:40.520 it entirely wrong.
00:20:42.060 His best province
00:20:42.860 still has 35%
00:20:44.500 of those who responded
00:20:45.460 saying it fell short.
00:20:47.040 And yes,
00:20:47.760 exceeded and met
00:20:48.560 combined
00:20:49.400 does overcome that.
00:20:50.660 But Ontario is
00:20:52.140 like the best province
00:20:53.540 for the Liberals.
00:20:54.760 It's Atlantic Canada
00:20:56.140 is very liberal
00:20:56.980 in terms of the place
00:20:58.360 where they need
00:20:58.880 the most seats.
00:20:59.800 The Liberals beat
00:21:00.880 the Conservatives
00:21:01.700 provincially in terms
00:21:03.260 of like just looking
00:21:04.500 at Ontario.
00:21:05.160 In the federal election
00:21:05.960 in Ontario,
00:21:07.460 they had beaten
00:21:08.040 the Conservatives
00:21:08.600 by like eight or nine points.
00:21:10.780 And in this,
00:21:11.840 it's getting a little bit
00:21:12.720 tight for the Liberals.
00:21:13.900 Ontario should have been
00:21:15.200 much more positive.
00:21:16.520 You'd want the fell short
00:21:17.660 to be more like at 30
00:21:19.260 or maybe even in the 20s
00:21:20.980 rather than this
00:21:22.040 extremely mixed score
00:21:23.740 across the board
00:21:24.500 and particularly negative
00:21:26.180 in places like Quebec
00:21:27.040 where if the Bloc
00:21:28.260 comes back
00:21:29.220 and at the Liberals
00:21:31.100 in a big way
00:21:31.740 in the next election,
00:21:32.520 they could end up
00:21:33.140 having the Liberals
00:21:34.060 lose five to ten seats
00:21:36.120 back over to
00:21:37.020 the Bloc Québécois.
00:21:38.760 But anyways,
00:21:39.940 that should be it
00:21:40.740 for this video, guys.
00:21:41.820 Hopefully you like me
00:21:42.780 breaking down the numbers
00:21:43.720 like this.
00:21:44.320 And if you do,
00:21:45.240 if you are not yet
00:21:46.340 a subscriber,
00:21:47.200 please hit that
00:21:47.840 subscribe button.
00:21:48.580 If you are already
00:21:49.760 a subscriber,
00:21:50.420 hit the notification bell
00:21:51.500 as well just so you're
00:21:52.640 notified whenever I put
00:21:53.760 out a new video.
00:21:55.220 We will be breaking down
00:21:56.440 more of the media's
00:21:57.560 obsession with this
00:21:58.920 internal leadership
00:22:01.200 crisis story
00:22:02.320 for Pierre Polyev.
00:22:03.920 It is kind of trumped up.
00:22:05.820 There's not really
00:22:06.400 that much going on
00:22:07.320 with it.
00:22:08.020 It's more of like
00:22:09.160 political intrigue
00:22:10.620 than a real story
00:22:11.680 at this point.
00:22:12.840 And the more they
00:22:13.860 actually talk to
00:22:14.760 Chris Dantremont
00:22:15.620 and have him
00:22:16.320 complain about
00:22:17.280 Pierre Polyev,
00:22:18.340 the worse it actually
00:22:19.160 makes Chris Dantremont
00:22:20.400 look because he ends
00:22:21.580 up just seeming
00:22:22.160 like more of a whiner,
00:22:23.720 like more of a liar
00:22:24.780 who ended up just
00:22:25.640 drifting his way
00:22:26.620 into being
00:22:27.340 conservative MP
00:22:28.180 when he doesn't
00:22:28.800 really believe
00:22:29.500 that many
00:22:29.880 conservative things.
00:22:31.560 Anyways,
00:22:32.040 but with that all
00:22:33.040 being said,
00:22:33.640 thank you guys
00:22:34.140 for watching
00:22:34.680 and I will see
00:22:35.400 you guys all
00:22:36.060 later.
00:22:36.660 Thank you.