The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Carney Liberal FLOP - Budget polls poorly with Canadians!

00:00:00.080 Ahoy everyone, Wyatt Claypool here back on the whiteboard again to talk about Canadian polling numbers.

00:00:07.020 Today we are going to discuss the general public's reaction to the budget that Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government put out.

00:00:15.420 Before we get into the specific numbers, I just want to say, as a general overview,

00:00:20.880 what we are going to talk about today really validates my perspective that the media seem to be deliberately not talking about the budget

00:00:28.420 and deflecting towards the supposed leadership crisis going on inside the Conservative Party?

00:00:34.060 Because the budget's not popular. Canadians, the more they hear about what's in the budget, the less they like it.

00:00:40.220 So we have all these panels on CBC and Global News and CTV discussing,

00:00:46.340 is Polyev going to survive as Conservative Party leader? Is he going to get ousted during his leadership review?

00:00:52.780 Are all the Conservative moderates going to leave with Chris Dantremont as he crosses the floor to the Liberals?

00:00:59.700 We will be discussing more of the media coverage of this and Chris Dantremont's just abysmal interview he did on the CBC just this morning,

00:01:08.360 or I think it might have been last night. That is a story worth discussing.

00:01:11.740 But the media is using that story as an excuse not to talk about the budget, because the budget sucks.

00:01:17.420 And so that is why we are going to now jump into the numbers here, and we will start off.

00:01:23.940 The survey came from Abacus Data. They do very good work.

00:01:26.820 We're going to start off with the most general question that they asked,

00:01:30.320 which actually tends to get you the best sort of like gauge of what Canadians think.

00:01:36.260 The thing with a budget, though, is that budgets are hard to hate.

00:01:40.360 Do that many people really follow politics closely enough that they're going to have an extremely informed perspective on the budget?

00:01:46.440 Or as long as the budget was literally not on fire in Mark Carney's hand as he presented it,

00:01:51.960 you're going to get a good amount of people who assume, well, they're smart.

00:01:54.920 They probably put together something OK.

00:01:57.660 But when you see a budget full that is this close, you know there are problems for the current government.

00:02:05.680 We're going to just talk about the right track, wrong track question that Abacus Data ended up asking people,

00:02:12.680 asking whether or not they thought this budget was bringing the country in the right direction or the wrong direction.

00:02:19.640 So right off the bat, we had only, and again, it is a majority, but I'm saying only for a reason,

00:02:27.720 only 52% of Canadians think that this budget is putting the country in the right direction.

00:02:36.500 For wrong direction, naturally, the rest of it is going there.

00:02:41.560 We have 48% of Canadians saying that this budget is putting the country in the wrong direction.

00:02:51.120 Now, again, you could say, well, it's 52 to 48.

00:02:54.060 That looks like it's a success.

00:02:56.760 Guys, even when Justin Trudeau was putting up budgets in 2023,

00:03:01.600 he could get most people to say, oh, that sounds about right.

00:03:04.280 If 48% of people are against your budget,

00:03:08.220 one of the most boring things that the government puts out is the budget numbers.

00:03:12.700 That means that you ticked off a lot of people for no reason.

00:03:16.320 This is a repudiation of Mark Carney's theory of politics,

00:03:20.740 that you can say things like, we're going to spend less and invest more.

00:03:24.740 Well, the spending less and investing more budget is deeply disliked.

00:03:29.340 And if you are a liberal strategist, you were so annoyed at what Mark Carney was doing here,

00:03:36.080 because it was calculated to tick off everybody who ended up switching their votes to the liberal

00:03:42.100 party in the last election.

00:03:43.480 Now, if you're a liberal stalwart, you will like anything the liberals are doing.

00:03:47.200 But if you were one of the NDP voters who switched over to the liberals,

00:03:50.900 or a Bloc Québécois voter who switched over to the liberals,

00:03:54.240 or a conservative who switched over to liberals for the 2025 election,

00:03:57.700 for whatever reason, I think the biggest one was they just wanted to stick it to Trump,

00:04:01.540 and they wanted to join the elbows-up brigade.

00:04:04.040 The problem is, is if you're on the left of those switch voters,

00:04:08.720 which is the NDP and the Bloc switch voters,

00:04:11.260 they're mad that Carney is reducing personnel spending.

00:04:14.560 He's reducing the amount of public sector employees.

00:04:16.900 He's not investing enough in old-age pensions and other services.

00:04:21.240 And if you're on the right, you don't care about Carney saying,

00:04:24.300 well, I'm investing more in infrastructure.

00:04:26.200 You just see a $78 billion deficit, $54 billion in the budget just going to debt servicing.

00:04:34.700 And so you don't care about the limited amounts of tax relief for corporations for a single year

00:04:39.380 or them doing other things to try and spur the economy,

00:04:42.620 because the overall picture of the budget is bloated, it's debt-ridden,

00:04:48.280 and if you're on the left, you're saying that this isn't doing enough in order to create jobs.

00:04:53.340 In fact, it's getting rid of jobs and all this.

00:04:55.460 So Carney has put himself in a position where, on his left and right flank of his own party,

00:05:00.580 there is going to be a lot of grumbling.

00:05:03.580 But anyways, now I'm going to clear this,

00:05:05.520 and we are going to talk about the word association that people are doing with the budget.

00:05:10.440 Abacus Data put out basically a bunch of words,

00:05:13.060 select which ones you think apply to the budget,

00:05:15.200 and the problem for him is that they are mostly negative on the top end.

00:05:22.220 Okay, we are back for the word association part of the poll.

00:05:26.240 I want to go through maybe the top five words here that people use to describe the budget,

00:05:31.220 because what you'll notice is that the people who didn't like it are more sure as to why they don't like it,

00:05:37.880 whereas the positive words tend to be more spread out and vague,

00:05:42.020 which means that there's probably no general sense of why it's good.

00:05:46.440 You know, I'm a liberal voter, or I'm generally positive about the country,

00:05:51.260 so I think it's bold or something like that.

00:05:53.620 But when you actually go through the people who are sure why they don't like it,

00:05:57.800 and the people who are unsure,

00:05:59.160 the people who are sure are more negative,

00:06:00.900 and the people who are unsure are more positive,

00:06:02.700 which is not a great sign for the liberals.

00:06:04.280 But topping the list of words people are using to describe the budget is disappointing.

00:06:12.180 That is the top-cited word by people of what they thought of the budget,

00:06:18.860 and that is representing, of the browned 1,300, 1,200 people poll,

00:06:23.900 that is representing 30% of people who ended up selecting that word

00:06:28.740 as one of the words they would use to describe the budget.

00:06:31.180 But after disappointing, it doesn't get better.

00:06:35.400 It actually gets scary.

00:06:38.160 Scary, hence of being the next word people use to describe the budget,

00:06:43.080 with 27% of people using that word.

00:06:47.960 And I'm not really sure who would be using it.

00:06:50.000 That actually strikes me as something that left-leaning liberal voters

00:06:53.700 and NDP and block voters would be saying,

00:06:55.860 because, oh my goodness, it's cutting jobs.

00:06:57.880 And the funny thing is it's actually probably not even going to really cut jobs,

00:07:01.180 because when you reduce $1 billion of personnel spending and service spending over here,

00:07:07.380 and it could result in layoffs,

00:07:09.060 but you create $5 billion more of spending over here on infrastructure projects,

00:07:14.300 a lot of those people are probably just going to get absorbed by the departments

00:07:17.180 carrying out those new big bloated infrastructure projects.

00:07:22.160 Now, it does get a little bit more positive for Carney's budget.

00:07:26.960 The next word that people associate most with it is hopeful.

00:07:32.980 Wow, aren't we so hopeful?

00:07:34.600 We spent $78 billion, and I guess that means hope.

00:07:39.380 We get 26% of people saying it's hopeful.

00:07:43.760 After that, we go back to negativity, and it is out of touch.

00:07:51.380 The budget is out of touch.

00:07:55.820 And that was garnering 25% of people choosing that word out of the word cloud.

00:08:02.600 We do go after that to another word that is positive,

00:08:09.900 and that word being responsible, which is a giant laugh,

00:08:13.360 but, you know, if you put a bunch of liberal,

00:08:16.440 if you give a bunch of liberal supporters options of what to say about the budget,

00:08:20.660 they will just say generally vaguely nice things.

00:08:23.660 And I'm going to go on and just kind of read you the other ones that were around,

00:08:27.700 but that ends up getting just 24% of people selecting it.

00:08:32.300 Naturally, it's a bit of a car crash at the top of the list

00:08:35.000 just simply because there are so many words,

00:08:36.860 and you are allowed to pick multiple words out of the cloud.

00:08:40.480 But after that, it goes ambitious, and then it goes inflationary, reckless,

00:08:46.680 focused, bold, balanced, fair, timid.

00:08:49.080 But the problem is the upper side of the words people are using,

00:08:55.420 because it starts to slip into the high teens to the lower teens

00:08:58.940 on the last about five words if we go a little bit deeper,

00:09:02.820 and I assume there were other words that they just didn't end up placing

00:09:05.360 because only like 4% or 5% of people selected them.

00:09:08.980 But overall, when you actually look at the top,

00:09:11.840 we have three out of five of the words that were used at the top,

00:09:15.580 the most used words are negative,

00:09:18.240 and they tend to be far more decisive words

00:09:21.100 than the ones that were used that were positive.

00:09:24.040 Later on, saying something's ambitious doesn't necessarily mean that it's good.

00:09:29.320 You know, people use the word responsible,

00:09:30.980 but ambitious doesn't necessarily mean responsible,

00:09:33.380 and I don't really know what the definition of responsible here is.

00:09:36.280 I'm not trying to disagree with the people, the selections that people make,

00:09:39.720 but overall, disappointing, scary, and out of touch

00:09:42.620 are probably going to rule the day over the 50% of people,

00:09:47.180 give or take, who say it's hopeful or responsible.

00:09:49.860 Overall, even here, only 55% of the words that were selected by respondents

00:09:56.600 were positive words, or 55% of respondents used positive words,

00:10:02.160 but at the same time, 53% of respondents ended up selecting negative words.

00:10:09.080 So, obviously, there is a lot of crossover here.

00:10:14.320 And then, I had about 28% of people used both positive and negative sounding words,

00:10:20.640 kind of in an equal amount to describe the budget,

00:10:23.700 which probably tells me that a lot of the people who said that it's the right track

00:10:28.080 are kind of lying.

00:10:30.700 They're kind of lying to the pollster.

00:10:32.360 Again, they'd like to think we're going on in the right track,

00:10:34.440 so they'll say that we're going along in the right track.

00:10:36.960 That is the problem here.

00:10:38.380 When you poll the budget, and it's this close,

00:10:42.320 the issue with that is that people naturally like to assume the government's doing a good job,

00:10:48.220 and when it's effectively 50-50 between right track and wrong track,

00:10:52.480 it means the budget is flopping really hard.

00:10:56.500 But now, I do want to move on to just a couple other numbers here,

00:11:00.620 just so we can sort of wrap this up

00:11:02.680 and just sort of demonstrate my point about what people think of the budget.

00:11:05.620 But I'm just going to clear the board quickly,

00:11:08.240 and we will come back with one more statistic I want to show you guys.

00:11:13.260 Okay, we are back again,

00:11:15.180 and I want to take you guys through the results,

00:11:17.460 asking people basically, more specifically,

00:11:21.120 more than just right track or wrong track,

00:11:23.600 did the budget meet your expectations,

00:11:25.980 exceed them, fall short,

00:11:27.180 or are you just not certain?

00:11:28.400 And I'm just going to write off not certain right now.

00:11:31.860 Not certain ended up getting in this poll 28%.

00:11:35.480 28% of people overall were not certain about their opinion on the budget.

00:11:40.340 Generally speaking, when people say not certain or undecided,

00:11:44.120 they're probably going to end up falling into the other categories

00:11:48.120 at the proportion that people in those categories are already in.

00:11:52.220 So like, you know, if outside of the not certain,

00:11:55.880 if there's two other options,

00:11:58.340 and one option is 30%,

00:11:59.520 and one option is 70%,

00:12:00.920 the not sure's are probably going to split 70 to 30 as well.

00:12:04.500 But let's go over the general population

00:12:07.480 for those who the budget exceeded the expectations of,

00:12:10.940 then those who it met the expectations of,

00:12:13.320 and finally, those who it fell short of.

00:12:15.880 And then I want to give you guys a small party breakdown of this,

00:12:20.640 because it's quite telling that even inside the Liberal Party,

00:12:23.740 this was not a very well-received budget.

00:12:27.120 So let's go to exceeded expectations.

00:12:29.880 How many Canadians did it exceed the expectations of?

00:12:33.140 Well, 5% of Canadians overall had their expectations exceeded.

00:12:40.420 Met your expectations,

00:12:42.140 which is kind of a bit of a neutral answer in a lot of ways.

00:12:44.700 That is, 28% of people said that it met their expectations,

00:12:52.080 which isn't exactly a glowing endorsement.

00:12:55.100 Gee, sorry about that, guys.

00:12:56.180 It's a bit of a too light of a marker there.

00:12:59.040 You got to experiment sometimes, see what works.

00:13:01.060 I'm actually going to end up making this one a bit darker.

00:13:03.480 So 28% of people said that the budget had met their expectations.

00:13:09.180 Now let's go one further down

00:13:11.340 to who said that the budget fell short of their expectations.

00:13:16.020 Well, if you're doing the math and you're adding these up,

00:13:18.380 you know that this one's going to be a big number.

00:13:21.020 39% of Canadians polled said that the budget fell short in their opinion.

00:13:28.620 So if we redistributed the not sure people

00:13:32.280 to fell short met and exceeded,

00:13:34.840 you know, maybe exceeded is going to go up to seven.

00:13:38.520 Met might go up to like, you know, 35 or something like that.

00:13:42.760 And then fell short is going to get pretty close.

00:13:45.100 If not, actually it would get past 50%

00:13:47.460 because if you add met and exceeded together,

00:13:50.760 that's only getting them to 33%

00:13:52.980 and fell short is still higher.

00:13:55.380 And now I just want to take you guys through

00:13:58.700 of the fell short,

00:14:00.740 do you want to know how many liberals

00:14:02.420 specifically said that it had fallen short?

00:14:05.980 Liberals said 19% of them,

00:14:11.060 of the LPC,

00:14:12.960 19% said that the budget fell short for them.

00:14:17.640 Even then,

00:14:18.720 they're not even that positive on the budget.

00:14:20.980 43% said the budget met their expectations.

00:14:26.580 And then those who had their expectations exceeded

00:14:30.080 was only actually 7% of Liberal Party supporters.

00:14:36.280 That's pretty bad.

00:14:37.300 Maybe it's because they just are really good at clocking

00:14:39.820 Mark Carney and they're all super happy,

00:14:42.060 but they're like,

00:14:42.560 oh, he, you know,

00:14:43.560 he met my expectations.

00:14:45.700 Absolutely.

00:14:46.720 I assumed it was going to be brilliant.

00:14:48.700 And it was,

00:14:49.180 and there was no way of exceeding my expectations.

00:14:50.980 But still,

00:14:52.120 this ain't exactly a super healthy amount of people

00:14:54.920 on side with the budget.

00:14:56.860 And even then,

00:14:57.720 the Liberals had 31% of people undecided.

00:15:00.940 They're literally more undecided

00:15:02.780 than the average Canadian

00:15:04.220 of what they think about the budget.

00:15:07.360 Now,

00:15:08.140 that tells me that the budget wasn't very good.

00:15:10.780 That people who in the last election voted Liberal

00:15:13.220 got ticked off

00:15:14.600 because they thought that,

00:15:16.360 you know,

00:15:16.880 they put a lot of their hopes and dreams into Mark Carney,

00:15:19.180 but because he's trying to keep this kind of shaky coalition together

00:15:23.920 of former Conservative and former NDP voters,

00:15:27.140 he ended up making a budget

00:15:28.500 that ticked off both groups of those people.

00:15:31.120 And there's quite a few of them,

00:15:32.920 19% of the Liberal coalition from last election,

00:15:36.200 who don't like what they're doing.

00:15:37.800 That at least it fell short of their expectations.

00:15:40.420 Maybe they don't exactly hate it,

00:15:42.260 but they don't exactly love it

00:15:44.140 or they're not even exactly happy with it either.

00:15:46.220 But now I'm just going to erase this stuff

00:15:48.480 because I want to go over

00:15:49.760 some of the regional data

00:15:51.760 of what did people in certain regions think.

00:15:55.020 So in,

00:15:56.100 let's just do some of the battlegrounds.

00:15:57.920 Frankly,

00:15:58.460 and I'm from Alberta,

00:15:59.420 I'm sitting in Alberta right now,

00:16:00.840 Alberta's opinion on the budget

00:16:02.040 doesn't really matter in a lot of ways.

00:16:04.560 Here is the problem.

00:16:06.080 We will go over

00:16:07.180 first Quebec,

00:16:10.160 UC,

00:16:11.320 then we will go over BC,

00:16:12.780 and then we will go over Ontario.

00:16:17.000 In Quebec,

00:16:18.420 you end up having

00:16:19.540 only 4% of people

00:16:22.580 say that the budget

00:16:23.640 had exceeded

00:16:24.600 their expectations.

00:16:27.120 After that,

00:16:28.360 you had only 27% of people

00:16:30.640 say that had met their expectations

00:16:32.480 and 40%,

00:16:35.060 a little bit more

00:16:35.980 than the general public,

00:16:38.220 said that it had fallen short

00:16:40.200 with the amount of people

00:16:42.180 undecided on this question.

00:16:43.500 It doesn't really matter

00:16:44.020 as we go into the regionals.

00:16:45.760 But yeah,

00:16:46.560 so in the liberal heartland,

00:16:48.260 they actually may be

00:16:49.060 throwing some more vote

00:16:50.120 over to

00:16:50.900 the Bloc Québécois

00:16:52.620 because the budget

00:16:53.420 did not do so hot

00:16:54.840 in the province

00:16:56.040 that the liberals

00:16:56.640 really need to run up

00:16:57.900 the score in.

00:16:58.960 Now,

00:16:59.600 let's jump over

00:17:00.800 to British Columbia.

00:17:02.960 This is a province

00:17:03.900 that actually liked

00:17:04.880 the budget

00:17:05.300 quite a bit more

00:17:06.280 than others.

00:17:07.280 We had 8%

00:17:08.180 say that it had exceeded.

00:17:09.640 their expectations.

00:17:11.740 Like Quebec, 1.00

00:17:12.940 27% had said

00:17:14.620 it met their expectations

00:17:15.860 and a little bit less

00:17:17.680 said it fell short

00:17:18.580 with 37%

00:17:20.100 saying that the budget

00:17:21.260 had fallen short.

00:17:23.220 But now,

00:17:23.940 let's go to

00:17:24.780 a really big

00:17:25.720 battleground province

00:17:26.860 and that is,

00:17:27.860 of course,

00:17:28.160 Ontario.

00:17:29.460 4%

00:17:30.300 thought the budget

00:17:31.620 had exceeded

00:17:32.380 their expectations

00:17:33.480 or met expectations.

00:17:36.140 We have

00:17:36.620 33% of people

00:17:38.620 saying that

00:17:39.520 it had met

00:17:40.280 their expectations

00:17:41.220 so a little bit

00:17:41.920 higher overall.

00:17:43.520 And then,

00:17:44.040 we had

00:17:44.540 35% of people

00:17:46.460 say that it

00:17:47.320 had fallen short.

00:17:48.960 Now,

00:17:49.560 this is very telling

00:17:50.640 because the liberal budget

00:17:51.960 dumps a lot of money

00:17:53.500 into Ontario.

00:17:54.640 A lot of subsidies

00:17:55.560 for the auto industry,

00:17:57.680 a lot of just

00:17:58.460 employment kind of

00:17:59.840 initiatives

00:18:00.240 are being done

00:18:01.080 in Ontario.

00:18:01.780 A lot of the infrastructure

00:18:02.520 projects are being done

00:18:03.540 in Ontario.

00:18:04.540 So naturally,

00:18:05.620 this one is pulling

00:18:06.540 better than it is

00:18:07.620 in Quebec

00:18:08.000 where the Bloc 0.85

00:18:09.000 Ébécois had made

00:18:09.820 a big stink

00:18:10.460 about the liberals

00:18:11.140 not putting enough

00:18:11.880 money into services

00:18:13.380 and specifically services

00:18:14.900 that Quebec voters

00:18:15.820 value the most

00:18:16.600 in their budget.

00:18:18.240 And in fact,

00:18:18.700 they are cutting back

00:18:19.520 on personnel

00:18:20.220 and public sector

00:18:21.480 employees.

00:18:22.600 To give you an impression

00:18:23.460 of what the other

00:18:25.000 numbers around the

00:18:25.660 country were like,

00:18:27.580 Alberta fell short

00:18:29.000 was 55%.

00:18:30.300 So that was running

00:18:31.380 up the score

00:18:32.000 a little bit more

00:18:32.980 when it came

00:18:33.920 to the overall number.

00:18:37.680 But in Quebec,

00:18:38.800 the number of people

00:18:39.880 who thought it fell short

00:18:40.900 was a little bit higher

00:18:41.780 than the average.

00:18:42.980 And in British Columbia,

00:18:44.520 it was slightly below

00:18:45.640 by just a couple points.

00:18:47.380 And in Ontario,

00:18:48.080 it was down by about four.

00:18:50.180 The places that the budget

00:18:51.500 was actually popular

00:18:53.060 was like,

00:18:54.160 I don't even,

00:18:54.800 I'm trying to look at it.

00:18:57.700 Really,

00:18:58.340 the place that the budget

00:18:59.300 was most popular in

00:19:00.620 was Ontario.

00:19:02.300 And even then,

00:19:03.280 you still had

00:19:04.060 the amount of people

00:19:05.000 only in that province

00:19:06.260 did you actually have

00:19:07.660 those who the budget

00:19:08.940 exceeded the expectations

00:19:10.120 of and met

00:19:10.900 the expectations of

00:19:12.120 being outweighing

00:19:13.820 the amount of people

00:19:14.940 that it fell short for.

00:19:16.600 Because if you had

00:19:17.020 the rest of these up,

00:19:18.260 it's falling very short.

00:19:20.000 31% of people liked it

00:19:21.720 in Quebec

00:19:22.540 compared to 40%

00:19:23.820 who disliked it.

00:19:25.180 And then in Ontario,

00:19:26.820 in BC,

00:19:27.640 you have it getting

00:19:28.360 to like 35%

00:19:29.760 and 37%

00:19:31.460 said they didn't like it.

00:19:33.000 So this is effectively

00:19:35.060 what I'm saying here.

00:19:36.620 The liberal budget

00:19:37.740 ended up being this thing

00:19:39.020 where they could have

00:19:40.260 basically started off

00:19:41.360 with a big confidence

00:19:42.420 building budget

00:19:43.120 where maybe they cut

00:19:44.000 people's taxes

00:19:44.860 and they make it seem

00:19:45.740 like we're back in business.

00:19:47.280 But it was just another

00:19:48.460 Trudeau liberal budget.

00:19:50.400 And the thing is that

00:19:51.100 the left of the liberals,

00:19:53.280 the MDP and the Bloc

00:19:55.240 and the Greens,

00:19:56.340 are going to have

00:19:56.920 a very easy time

00:19:58.040 demonizing

00:19:58.820 any shift back

00:20:00.120 to the right

00:20:00.560 because the liberals

00:20:01.420 have been demonizing

00:20:03.220 the conservatives

00:20:03.860 for being the party

00:20:04.800 that would cut spending

00:20:05.700 for so long

00:20:06.400 that they're now

00:20:07.260 going to be eaten

00:20:08.060 by their own people

00:20:08.940 who see the budget

00:20:09.940 as too conservative.

00:20:11.200 At the same time,

00:20:12.200 the budget is not

00:20:13.000 conservative at all.

00:20:14.240 $78 billion deficit,

00:20:16.080 $54 billion

00:20:17.120 of debt servicing alone.

00:20:18.960 Yeah, there's

00:20:19.280 some positive elements.

00:20:20.280 They're slashing

00:20:20.860 the amount of TFWs

00:20:22.060 per year and a half.

00:20:23.300 That's nice.

00:20:24.040 But the problem is

00:20:25.540 it's such mixed news

00:20:27.260 for so many people

00:20:28.500 that I think

00:20:29.180 all they've done here

00:20:30.260 is alienated

00:20:31.100 a lot of their voters.

00:20:32.140 The budget was not

00:20:32.900 something that girded

00:20:33.920 up their support.

00:20:35.080 In fact,

00:20:35.820 if the budget

00:20:36.440 doesn't strengthen

00:20:37.320 your party,

00:20:38.360 you've done it wrong.

00:20:39.700 And Carney has done

00:20:40.520 it entirely wrong.

00:20:42.060 His best province

00:20:42.860 still has 35%

00:20:44.500 of those who responded

00:20:45.460 saying it fell short.

00:20:47.040 And yes,

00:20:47.760 exceeded and met

00:20:48.560 combined

00:20:49.400 does overcome that.

00:20:50.660 But Ontario is

00:20:52.140 like the best province

00:20:53.540 for the Liberals.

00:20:54.760 It's Atlantic Canada

00:20:56.140 is very liberal

00:20:56.980 in terms of the place

00:20:58.360 where they need

00:20:58.880 the most seats.

00:20:59.800 The Liberals beat

00:21:00.880 the Conservatives

00:21:01.700 provincially in terms

00:21:03.260 of like just looking

00:21:04.500 at Ontario.

00:21:05.160 In the federal election

00:21:05.960 in Ontario,

00:21:07.460 they had beaten

00:21:08.040 the Conservatives

00:21:08.600 by like eight or nine points.

00:21:10.780 And in this,

00:21:11.840 it's getting a little bit

00:21:12.720 tight for the Liberals.

00:21:13.900 Ontario should have been

00:21:15.200 much more positive.

00:21:16.520 You'd want the fell short

00:21:17.660 to be more like at 30

00:21:19.260 or maybe even in the 20s

00:21:20.980 rather than this

00:21:22.040 extremely mixed score

00:21:23.740 across the board

00:21:24.500 and particularly negative

00:21:26.180 in places like Quebec

00:21:27.040 where if the Bloc 0.83

00:21:28.260 comes back

00:21:29.220 and at the Liberals

00:21:31.100 in a big way

00:21:31.740 in the next election,

00:21:32.520 they could end up

00:21:33.140 having the Liberals

00:21:34.060 lose five to ten seats

00:21:36.120 back over to

00:21:37.020 the Bloc Québécois.

00:21:38.760 But anyways,

00:21:39.940 that should be it

00:21:40.740 for this video, guys.

00:21:41.820 Hopefully you like me

00:21:42.780 breaking down the numbers

00:21:43.720 like this.

00:21:44.320 And if you do,

00:21:45.240 if you are not yet

00:21:46.340 a subscriber,

00:21:47.200 please hit that

00:21:47.840 subscribe button.

00:21:48.580 If you are already

00:21:49.760 a subscriber,

00:21:50.420 hit the notification bell

00:21:51.500 as well just so you're

00:21:52.640 notified whenever I put

00:21:53.760 out a new video.

00:21:55.220 We will be breaking down

00:21:56.440 more of the media's

00:21:57.560 obsession with this

00:21:58.920 internal leadership

00:22:01.200 crisis story

00:22:02.320 for Pierre Polyev.

00:22:03.920 It is kind of trumped up.

00:22:05.820 There's not really

00:22:06.400 that much going on

00:22:07.320 with it.

00:22:08.020 It's more of like

00:22:09.160 political intrigue

00:22:10.620 than a real story

00:22:11.680 at this point.

00:22:12.840 And the more they

00:22:13.860 actually talk to

00:22:14.760 Chris Dantremont

00:22:15.620 and have him

00:22:16.320 complain about

00:22:17.280 Pierre Polyev,

00:22:18.340 the worse it actually

00:22:19.160 makes Chris Dantremont

00:22:20.400 look because he ends

00:22:21.580 up just seeming

00:22:22.160 like more of a whiner, 0.95

00:22:23.720 like more of a liar

00:22:24.780 who ended up just

00:22:25.640 drifting his way

00:22:26.620 into being

00:22:27.340 conservative MP

00:22:28.180 when he doesn't

00:22:28.800 really believe

00:22:29.500 that many

00:22:29.880 conservative things.

00:22:31.560 Anyways,

00:22:32.040 but with that all

00:22:33.040 being said,

00:22:33.640 thank you guys

00:22:34.140 for watching

00:22:34.680 and I will see

00:22:35.400 you guys all

00:22:36.060 later.

00:22:36.660 Thank you.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - November 10, 2025

Carney Liberal FLOP - Budget polls poorly with Canadians!

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