The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Carney Liberals create fake success narrative for NEW election in 2026!

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. I don't think enough Canadians realize that right now Prime

00:00:06.720 Minister Mark Carney and his Liberal government are in re-election mode. Now if someone wants to

00:00:12.640 be pedantic they could say that all governments are always in re-election mode, but I mean more

00:00:17.440 specifically, Carney and his government are acting like there will be an election in the spring of

00:00:23.640 2026 because it is in fact likely to happen. Unless polling really starts to go against him,

00:00:30.760 I do believe that Carney thinks he can get a majority government and I also think the

00:00:35.080 Conservatives also believe that they could win the next election if it happens in the spring.

00:00:40.080 Now some have been speculating that there could be a winter election if the budget doesn't pass.

00:00:44.820 I guess if it doesn't pass we would have a winter election, but I just do not see it in the cards.

00:00:49.960 The NDP kind of have to vote for the budget even if they have a lot of deep critiques of it from a

00:00:56.740 more left-wing perspective, but the problem is the NDP is a combination of broke and without a

00:01:02.700 permanent leader. But by February or March of 2026, whenever the NDP leadership race ends,

00:01:10.340 they will have a lot more money because leadership races tend to generate a lot of money and of course

00:01:16.060 they will have a new permanent leader. Now depending on who that person is actually raises

00:01:22.040 or lowers the ability for the Liberals to win by quite a bit. The good thing for the Conservatives

00:01:27.220 though is I would say it's basically a two-to-one odds that the new leader of the NDP is going to

00:01:33.900 hurt the Liberals more than it will hurt the Conservatives. The person the Conservatives should

00:01:38.300 not want to become NDP leader is Rob Ashton. He's like a blue-collar trade unionist type guy who would

00:01:46.260 appeal a lot in places like Windsor that the Conservatives have just won for the first time

00:01:51.180 since the 1930s. The Conservatives have become a far more blue-collar populist party over the past few

00:01:58.620 years and that has dug into the NDP heavily. We used to be able to win that hardhat vote.

00:02:04.880 Now the thing is I think Rob Ashton is more of the dark horse of the riding of the leadership race

00:02:11.960 for the NDP. I don't see him winning. The person I actually see winning is either Heather McPherson

00:02:17.400 or Avi Lewis and I think the advantage goes to Heather McPherson as a current incumbent NDP MP.

00:02:24.980 There are not very many of them considering there are only seven and that's also why the NDP is likely

00:02:30.160 to go to an election no matter who ends up becoming a leader. They only have seven seats so they don't

00:02:35.940 actually need all that much money to be able to target 14 seats to try and double their seat count.

00:02:41.800 Obviously they will spend across the country but a smaller party like the NDP much like the Greens

00:02:47.620 just concentrates their money where they think they can win and that's pretty much it. They'll throw a few

00:02:53.000 thousand dollars around in other ridings with paper candidates but for the most part if they spend a

00:02:58.880 couple million dollars 90 percent of that money is going to be in a very select few ridings.

00:03:05.040 And so I want to show you guys a little bit of the polling and then also Carney's re-election strategy.

00:03:10.620 So actually we'll do the strategy first and then we'll go into the polling. We'll kind of flip-flop

00:03:14.900 between them. Talk about Carney, talk about the polling and then I want to talk about Pierre

00:03:19.160 Polyev setting his narrative out for a spring election. So this is what I mean when I say that

00:03:25.560 Carney is currently in re-election mode. He says in this post, it's time to build the

00:03:31.640 major projects that will move us from reliance to resilience, strengthen our economy, and create

00:03:37.840 high-paying careers across the country. And this is over a headline graphic of the CBC that says Carney

00:03:44.720 recommends seven major projects for approval including new mines, LNG, and hydro development.

00:03:50.760 And then underneath that there was another post from him that said it's not just what we build it's how

00:03:57.520 we build. We're building major projects sustainably in partnership with indigenous people in solidarity

00:04:04.480 with union workers and we are building Canadian with Canadian materials and technology. Sorry the way

00:04:13.420 he phrased that at the end was a bit awkward. All these major project announcements much like a lot of

00:04:18.680 the fake trade deals he is signing right now in Europe and Asia are all for show. There are some

00:04:24.220 of those, they're kind of like those achievements where nobody can tell, you know, nobody can accuse

00:04:29.220 him of faking it because it's going to, like the next election is going to happen so soon after all

00:04:34.940 these major projects are announced to be potentially fast-tracked that he can run on the fact that,

00:04:40.560 hey look, I've approved 60 new major projects across the country, even though none of them have been

00:04:46.440 completed yet and many of them were projects that were already underway and in some cases basically

00:04:52.060 already done. And he's just saying, hey, let's fast-track the last month of this project to pretend

00:04:57.200 we're doing stuff. And he's doing this because he doesn't actually have real achievements so far. The

00:05:01.980 budget sucks. He hasn't gotten a trade deal with the U.S. He's in fact taken the worst stance possible 0.99

00:05:07.180 with trying to negotiate a trade deal with the U.S., both thumbing his nose at Trump and begging.

00:05:12.600 So he's an annoying weakling in Trump's mind and Trump doesn't feel like he needs to sign a trade

00:05:18.120 deal with him. Although Trump may want to sign a trade deal for his own reasons, just simply to

00:05:22.700 help himself out in the midterms by trying to lower prices, but that's just a different conversation

00:05:27.460 for another day. Carney has already blown his promise on the trade deal considering that he had

00:05:32.820 set two different deadlines for getting a deal signed and he blew past both of them. And then there

00:05:38.140 is a lot of other stuff that's happened with the liberals where it's just kind of been a bit of a

00:05:42.320 bait and switch of what they said during the election. You know, that they're going to build

00:05:45.900 pipelines and so far we don't have a pipeline. And you now have D.C. Premier David Eby saying that he

00:05:52.140 will not allow a pipeline on the West Coast and Carney is not coming up to contradict him in any way.

00:05:57.980 It's all been very, very annoying to watch because you know that Carney is just mothing generally the

00:06:04.080 right words to keep a lot of his base on side, knowing that if he gets to a majority government in

00:06:08.960 the spring, he can just kind of ignore everyone and then do exactly what he wants. The funny thing

00:06:13.960 is the only way, the only thing that's making it even somewhat possible the liberals will build a

00:06:19.520 new pipeline, like an entirely new pipeline, is if they're in a minority government and they kind of

00:06:24.600 have to to bolster their popularity. But this is why I think that they're not even going to have to

00:06:29.500 bother trying to announce a pipeline because they think that they are going to have the support

00:06:34.400 needed to win another election. This is a Main Street poll with leaning and undecided voters

00:06:41.360 mostly taken out. Right now, Main Street has the polling 43% liberal, 39% conservative, 5% NDP,

00:06:50.980 5% block, and then you have two green, two PPC, although I do not think the PPC is going to be

00:06:56.060 getting 2%. They'll probably basically not even exist in the next election. But this is what the liberals

00:07:01.920 would be hoping the results would look like in a spring election. Now, I think this is probably

00:07:08.740 underpolling both the NDP and the bloc by a bit because unlike the April election, the thing is the

00:07:15.960 NDP is going to have a much stronger narrative to vote for them because they can say that the liberals

00:07:20.920 are betraying the blue-collar working-class voter, the public sector employee because they are cutting

00:07:27.680 service spending, they're cutting personnel in Ottawa-Gatineau and whatnot, they may be able to

00:07:33.320 make, spin that narrative in order to, you know, pick up a bunch of more, a bunch more seats. And

00:07:38.440 the Bloc Quebecois, because of the way they've been treated in the budget, they could say, oh, Quebec's

00:07:42.380 being ignored and Carney is spending a bunch of money, but it's all for Ontario and it's all for

00:07:47.140 Alberta and British Columbia. No matter how inaccurate that may be, that's a BQ narrative that can 0.95

00:07:52.820 actually get them more votes. So this is what Carney is looking at, thinking that this could

00:07:58.280 actually be a good opportunity for him to win re-election. I want to go down to show you the

00:08:03.700 results with all the undecides removed. 44 to 40 would, in fact, give the liberals potentially a

00:08:11.560 majority government. I'm not trying to freak anyone out, that's just the reality of the situation there.

00:08:16.540 Obviously, again, if they call the election, I think their polling will fall. If the opposition calls

00:08:21.800 the election, then I think it depends on what the opposition basically called no confidence for.

00:08:29.360 If they call no confidence for a silly reason, then it actually may help the liberals. If there

00:08:34.800 is some stupid piece of legislation that comes up and no confidence gets called in the liberals, it 0.99

00:08:39.940 actually may even help the opposition that they were the ones who called the election effectively. 0.99

00:08:44.680 But now I want to jump over to Pierre Polyev at a press conference yesterday, kind of laying out

00:08:50.420 his oppositional narrative against the liberals when it comes to something started playing on my

00:08:58.080 computer. I don't like that. This is Pierre Polyev setting up his oppositional narrative to why the

00:09:03.660 liberals are doing such a bad job on the economy.

00:09:06.940 49.6. Now, those are a lot of numbers, but here's let's cut right down to it. To be a double A rated

00:09:12.980 country, on average, your debt to GDP is 49.6%. Carney's on track to bring ours to nearly 100%.

00:09:22.760 In other words, our debt as a share of GDP will be almost twice the size of the average double A 0.95

00:09:28.360 country. That's the kind of fiscal mess that Mark Carney and the liberals are creating so much for

00:09:34.680 the he's gone from promising to be a brilliant economist to being the most costly, reckless and

00:09:41.300 risky prime minister in Canadian history. And that is why conservatives will oppose it. But we not

00:09:46.440 only oppose, we propose. Our proposal is to cut bureaucracy, consultants, foreign aid, corporate

00:09:54.300 welfare, handouts to phony refugees and other wasted money so we can bring down debt, taxes and inflation.

00:10:01.720 We would get rid of the industrial carbon tax to unlock the industrial engine of our nation and to

00:10:09.440 reduce the price of everything made with steel, aluminum, cement, concrete, glass. That is

00:10:15.620 everything that we buy. We will cap government spending for a dollar for dollar law requiring

00:10:20.720 we find one dollar of savings for every new dollar of spending. We'll make this the fastest place on

00:10:25.860 earth to get a building permit.

00:10:27.080 I don't need to have him going on too much there. But effectively, what Polyev is doing is really,

00:10:36.720 really trying to differentiate himself compared to how he ran back in April of 2025. My biggest ongoing

00:10:42.780 criticism with how the conservatives ran the 2025 election was they ran too much as tinkerers rather

00:10:49.220 than transformational change makers in the sense that they're like, well, if you put us into government,

00:10:53.940 we'll lower tax a little bit more than Carney is under $50,000. We're going to change a little bit

00:11:00.200 of the immigration system. We're going to change a little bit of this. But since that election,

00:11:04.220 I can give Polyev a lot of credit that he has significantly lowered how much he would want

00:11:09.300 immigration down. He wants it to now be net negative migration, that he wants more people 1.00

00:11:14.000 leaving the country every year than coming into the country. That doesn't mean zero immigration. So if

00:11:18.680 someone has a skill that we want, we can still bring them in. But in general, we need more TFWs,

00:11:24.220 we need more foreign students, we need more criminal permanent residents leaving than we were 1.00

00:11:30.120 bringing in. Now on fiscal issues, he's actually talking about slashing spending, which is great.

00:11:37.220 Yes, people are going to attack him for wanting to lower spending. But with the voters that the

00:11:41.940 conservatives need, they are not scared about the fact that you're going to be reducing the amount

00:11:46.360 of spending in government. They are in fact, happy that you will reduce the amount of spending.

00:11:50.880 And I think that the promise especially of reducing all of the funding of fake refugees 0.91

00:11:55.120 is a fantastic one. Immigration is a fantastic issue for the conservatives. And affordability is

00:12:00.880 a great issue for the conservatives. They need to run on a 15-20% tax cut across all brackets. They

00:12:08.740 need to run on a very, very strong immigration reduction. He generally already is. And then I think 0.99

00:12:15.100 what they also need to do is run on anti-corruption. Because Carney has actually given the conservatives

00:12:22.260 and the NDP and the bloc a very good narrative to run on, both when it comes to his conflicts of

00:12:28.340 interest, which are another issue to cover on another day. You know, one of the LNG projects that Carney

00:12:33.200 approved was with Blackstone and another company, Northern Perspectives, went over this. And those are

00:12:38.780 two of the companies. The two companies that basically fully, like, making up the majority

00:12:44.160 of the capital for one of the LNG projects that his major projects office may fast-track

00:12:49.340 is literally one that is a conflict of interest with Carney's investments. Now, I don't know how much

00:12:55.880 money he actually has at stake. I disagree a little bit when Northern Perspectives says, oh, he might be

00:13:01.160 fast-tracking these projects because it could make him very, very rich. When you have as many investments

00:13:05.720 as Carney, it could be that he only has, like, a few thousand dollars or ten thousand dollars in

00:13:10.860 those companies. And in general, even if those companies go up by, you know, five or six percent

00:13:15.380 in the stock market, it's not exactly making him money hand over fist. The problem is, are they

00:13:20.600 friends of his? And is he giving them special treatment because they are friends? Because, you

00:13:24.020 know, he's an investor and he's met them and now they can go straight to the PMO in order to get

00:13:28.480 special favors. That's more of the problem for me. I don't think he's exactly becoming

00:13:32.420 fabulously wealthy off of that deal. Again, it's the conflict of allowing people that you know to

00:13:38.760 potentially get a fast-track other people aren't allowed to have. But this is the other thing that

00:13:43.580 every party should be seizing on the Conservatives are. I will read this post by Polyev and then

00:13:50.200 we will move on to kind of, like, why I think this will be a big election issue.

00:13:55.720 So here Polyev says,

00:13:59.880 the budget watchdog who called Carney's deficit stupefying and sounded the alarm

00:14:05.560 on his questionable accounting, Carney's response after releasing the costliest budget ever

00:14:11.160 is to remove him. Canadians deserve independent oversight, not a government that avoids scrutiny

00:14:16.880 while piling on debt, deficits, and inflation. So here you can see the headlines from the Hill

00:14:22.940 Times and the Global News about Carney dumping Jason Jocks as the interim PBO. Now, your interim

00:14:33.040 PBO obviously is not going to be the permanent PBO unless you then appoint him as the permanent

00:14:38.160 one. But the person's term is six months. I believe Jason Jocks has only been the interim

00:14:47.280 PBO since, like, September or maybe October. He hasn't been in the role for very long. And he's

00:14:53.960 supposed to be in the role for six months to give you ample time to find a suitable permanent

00:14:59.700 replacement. You don't speedrun this thing. You want it to be a very slow and deliberate decision.

00:15:07.860 And this guy has been the assistant to the former PBO for a while. He has been working in government

00:15:12.920 and nonpartisan roles. He's not some sort of fire-breathing conservative. I'm not sure what

00:15:17.860 his politics are. But because, and I talked about this in a video yesterday, because he called out

00:15:24.040 the Liberals for having just shockingly bad spending, sounding the alarm about how much debt servicing

00:15:30.400 costs are going to cost Canadian taxpayers in the next few years, they are now removing him because

00:15:35.580 they don't want any opposition. Carney, this is actually one of those things that kind of reveals

00:15:41.360 Carney's attitude towards accountability. He really dislikes people questioning him. That's also why he

00:15:48.440 hates being in a minority government situation so much. He hates having to ask permission. He hates

00:15:54.380 people being able to critique his work. And so I think Polyev in an election and all the other parties

00:16:00.040 need to just keep needling Carney about running this massive budget, having the failing on trade,

00:16:07.040 and now trying to cover up how bad they're doing by firing the PBO. They fired the PBO should be one

00:16:14.180 of the biggest, like, should be just a constant news headline, should be a constant, like, talking point

00:16:20.240 by the conservatives. They ran a massive deficit with $55 billion per year in debt servicing costs,

00:16:27.920 55, 54, somewhere around there. And then they got rid of the PBO because they didn't want people to

00:16:33.080 know about it. They didn't want the watchdog for financial spending to actually be able to call

00:16:39.600 them out. That is absolutely ridiculous. And this is absolutely part of Carney's re-election plan, 0.98

00:16:45.340 but I think the conservatives can turn it around on him. Carney is trying to clear the decks, get

00:16:50.060 everyone out of his way because he wants only happy-sounding news for the next six months before

00:16:54.840 an election may be called. He just needs it to just sound like nothing's wrong. Look at all these

00:17:00.680 new projects I've announced. Look at all these fake trade deals. Everything's great. Hey, look,

00:17:05.400 we just gave you $400 back on your taxes, which is obviously, like, nothing. But he wants to just

00:17:12.020 kind of nickel and dime you with a lot of miniature fake achievements, as if it matters at all. He's,

00:17:18.020 look, oh, look, 200 things I've done since I became prime minister. No doubt if you go through a list

00:17:23.600 of anything he'll say he achieved, he'll be like 90% either completely unsubstantial or fake. But

00:17:30.420 remember, a lot of voters don't pay that much attention. And when we looked at that polling,

00:17:35.080 a lot of people are willing to just throw in with the government they just re-elected because, oh,

00:17:39.320 well, you know, they've only been given six months or eight months. So as a Canadian, it's kind of your

00:17:44.020 duty to inform more people around you that they haven't actually achieved anything. They announce a lot

00:17:50.420 of stuff. But announcing a project doesn't make the project happen. It's deeply cynical,

00:17:56.080 this new major projects office, because all it effectively is a propaganda ministry.

00:18:01.540 All these projects could have been fast-tracked by the PMO. But he just wanted to create a new

00:18:06.180 major projects office to make it sound like he's taking things seriously. And I'm going to bring up

00:18:10.440 this global news story. Oh, my goodness, guys. Losing my voice very late in the video. But I wanted

00:18:18.800 to show you this line from this global news article that I actually was trying to show yesterday. But

00:18:25.680 I was just trying to find the exact line from it. And I think I found it. We had the CEO right here,

00:18:33.240 the CEO of the major projects office kind of gave the game away when it came to all of these

00:18:38.220 announcements. Right here in the global news story, it says, appearing before the House of

00:18:43.180 Commons standing committee on environment and sustainable development last month, major projects

00:18:48.120 office CEO Don Farrell told MPs the stage at which a particular project sits will be one of the

00:18:54.940 factors considered when it is reviewed. They don't mean like a project that has not been started yet

00:19:01.360 maybe needs some priority to be fast-tracking because it could save the most time to fast-track

00:19:06.300 a new project rather than try and fast-track an old project that's kind of already underway.

00:19:11.780 No, no, no. Don Farrell means the reverse. They are fast-tracking projects that are least in need

00:19:17.740 of a fast-track. Maybe, yeah, you could say that they've been moth, these projects have been

00:19:22.660 mothballed and they've been sitting around a lot. No, they're not, fast-tracking a project has not 0.64

00:19:27.920 been able to be begun for five years or ten years. They're fast-tracking projects that in many cases

00:19:33.740 are almost done anyways. It's just the final stage and they're going to fast-track the final stage of

00:19:39.480 some project that was probably going to be approved pretty quickly anyways. It is just trying to get

00:19:44.820 good news slapped up on the walls of Paris to make the people happy. Oh, wow, guys, look, the

00:19:50.260 revolution's going great because we fast-tracked a new LNG, like a terminal expansion that we were

00:19:57.020 already going to do anyways and which was already halfway done. Or the one new project they're

00:20:02.580 actually fast-tracking from the start is the Blackstone project, which is kind of sketchy that

00:20:07.960 Carney's friends are the only ones who are actually getting a brand new proposed project from 2024

00:20:13.500 Fast Track now, where all the other ones are these minor expansions and things that had been begun

00:20:19.040 back in like 2015, 2017, 2013 in some cases. They're also trying to build a new port in Surrey or

00:20:25.920 something like that, or not in Surrey, but like off the coast of British Columbia, nearby Surrey.

00:20:32.980 And it's like some new pier they're going to build and it's like next to a perfectly functional pier

00:20:38.560 that doesn't need to be replaced. But they're just throwing stuff out. They're trying to appeal

00:20:43.680 to strategic demographics around the country because they're trying to cobble together

00:20:47.980 a re-election narrative that, look at all the great stuff we've done for your community.

00:20:52.840 Well, yeah, it's only like four or five years away from actually being complete. And yes,

00:20:56.680 we actually haven't done anything other than just announce that we're taking it seriously.

00:21:00.840 Hey, but think about it. We've done, look, if we turn all these announcements into bullet points,

00:21:05.520 it looks like we're doing a really good job here, even though many of these projects were already

00:21:09.900 underway under Trudeau. Yes, they were very slow and Carney's barely going to speed them up.

00:21:14.600 But think about it. It's a long list of random stuff. Anyways, so that should be it for this video,

00:21:21.200 guys. Thank you for watching. I just wanted to kind of do this general overview to get some thoughts

00:21:25.460 out on just the kind of, I guess, political terrain, the geography that currently we're sitting on

00:21:31.860 and how Carney is trying to like maneuver his way around it in order to try and arrive at like

00:21:38.340 justifying why he needs a majority government. Don't be fooled by it. All the headlines,

00:21:43.400 all the announcements at this point are effectively fake.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - November 15, 2025

Carney Liberals create fake success narrative for NEW election in 2026!

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