The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - October 06, 2025


Carney Liberals' ＂Trump＂ card is gone - Polls show Canadians have had enough!

Topics
rising cost of living
Hosted by
Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
Justin Trudeau Keurig Machine Donald Trump Mark Carney Pierre Pauly John Rustad Polyev
Gondek is Losing! Polls shows A Conservative can win! Carney screwed up trade negotiation with Trump! Capitulates for nothing!

Episode Stats


Length

10 minutes

Words per minute

168.04

Word count

1,683

Sentence count

96


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode, Wyatt talks about how the Liberal Party of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is losing ground to the Conservative Party of Canada, and why it may be because Canadians are no longer prioritizing the issues that put the Liberals in office anymore.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. I am back on the road once again here in Victoria working at the
00:00:07.860 legislature for the 1BC party, so hopefully you guys are not going to be too annoyed with my sets
00:00:14.980 looking like this for a little while in various hotel rooms. I will still have the same quality
00:00:21.480 of rambling hopefully, but without the knickknacks behind me and the better lighting. But we do have
00:00:28.820 the addition of my co-host, the Keurig machine, sitting next to me while I talk about polling
00:00:34.800 stats. And so today I want to walk through the current approval rating issues that Mark Carney
00:00:41.760 and his liberal government are having, because they started off very good after the last election.
00:00:48.060 A lot of people were willing to give him a chance, and although right now both Carney and the liberal
00:00:53.620 government still have a net positive approval rating, things are starting to change quickly.
00:00:59.760 More and more Canadians are starting to realize this government really doesn't feel any different
00:01:04.740 than Justin Trudeau's liberal government. Naturally, many liberals will say they think this government
00:01:10.120 feels new, but really the majority of the population is not buying it at this point. So I want to take
00:01:17.520 you guys through a couple of recent statistics that were released by Abacus Data that is demonstrating
00:01:24.020 the political environment slipping out of the hands of the liberal party. So first off, I want to show
00:01:30.640 you guys these stats right here for the top issues facing Canadians. Now this is a chart from Abacus Data
00:01:38.940 where Canadians back in July were picking the top three issues for them. And in this chart, it shows
00:01:46.640 at the top 59% rated the rising cost of living as being one of their top three issues, followed behind
00:01:54.480 at 43% with Donald Trump and his administration. Now back during the federal election, that was even
00:02:02.100 closer to 50%, which was a big problem for the conservative party. The liberals had cornered the
00:02:07.920 market on being the anti-Trump party. And even though people were rating that as one of their top three
00:02:13.720 issues in reality for a lot of voters, that was their only issue, which really hurt the conservatives.
00:02:20.440 But this is in mid-July, still a pretty strong issue for a lot of Canadians. But now I want to take you
00:02:27.640 guys to the Abacus Data poll that was just released today, showing the fortunes of the liberals slipping
00:02:34.840 away. Canadians do not care about the issues that put the liberals into office anymore. And now the issues
00:02:40.920 are mostly siding with the conservatives. We're not going to go over the top-line national numbers,
00:02:46.680 but just for your context, this last poll by Abacus Data showed that the conservatives were
00:02:52.680 leading nationally by one percent. Basically within the margin of error, they are tied with the liberals,
00:02:59.240 but considering again the liberals should still be in a honeymoon period right now, that's fantastic to be
00:03:05.320 neck and neck with the liberal party, who really should be about six or seven points up if they
00:03:10.200 played their cards right. But now let's look at these numbers that show not only has the rising cost
00:03:18.360 of living bumped up a little bit, which is a big, which is a very good issue for Pierre Polly and the
00:03:23.400 conservatives now at 62% of Canadians saying it's one of their top three issues. But Trump and his
00:03:29.560 administration is not just no longer in second place. It's not in third place. It's not in fourth
00:03:35.720 place. It is now in fifth place. It was previously at 43% of people choosing it as one of their top three
00:03:43.640 issues. And now it's down to only 33% of Canadians are choosing it as one of their top three issues.
00:03:50.760 And I also assume that if you were to dig into the stats more and do more of a qualitative survey of
00:03:57.080 asking people why it slipped away, it's probably also become less of an intense issue for even
00:04:03.320 those people who are still even ranking it in the top three. This is a big deal. Remember, it used to
00:04:10.040 be a top two issue for people. It used to be near 50% of people rated it as a top three issue. So it was
00:04:18.520 in second place overall and a lot of people were picking it within their top three. To have that fall 10%
00:04:24.760 since July is massive. And in reality, since the election has probably fallen more like 20%
00:04:31.560 since then. And this isn't where it ends for the Liberals. Not only have the new issues basically all
00:04:37.720 been leaning conservatives, all the new top issues are really good issues for Polyev, but even the
00:04:43.080 government's approval rating has started to fall. But before we get to that, I just want to look at some
00:04:48.120 of these top issues. Rising cost of living, 62%. Health care, 35%. Economy, 35%. Housing affordability
00:04:57.000 and accessibility, 34%. Then Trump. Then immigration at 27%. Crime and public safety at 21%. Crime and public
00:05:04.520 safety has also been crawling up over time. Because sometimes, you know, if crime isn't directly
00:05:09.480 affecting people at the moment, it stops being an issue. You live in a gated community,
00:05:15.000 you live in a nice suburb. So typically that issue is only around 13 or 15%. 27% means the headlines are
00:05:22.280 really affecting people's sense of safety in this country. But now I need to switch back to the old
00:05:27.960 chart so we can see what the government's approval rating used to look like. I think it's the more
00:05:33.080 honest chart between Carney's approval rating and the government approval rating. Because, you know,
00:05:38.360 if you don't know much about Carney, and I still think a lot of Canadians don't really know that much
00:05:42.360 about him or what his agenda is, it's easier to just assume he's a good guy. So this was the approval
00:05:49.800 rating of the government up until mid-July. Obviously, you see the intensely high disapproval rating back
00:05:56.280 when Justin Trudeau was Prime Minister. But let's zoom in to Carney becomes PM and afterwards. So in mid-July,
00:06:05.560 we had the Liberals at 52% positive and only 27% negative, which gives them a very, very good net
00:06:15.320 approval rating overall. But now let's jump back to the new stats that were just released today.
00:06:22.520 These ones are not nearly as friendly. They are still positive, but considering the overall drop-off,
00:06:28.520 it's pretty bad. So now right here you can see Carney becomes Prime Minister. Back, this is back then,
00:06:37.800 without him kind of circling on screen right now, you can kind of see it, that giant pile up of 52%,
00:06:43.000 where it goes 53, 52, 52, 52. Since then, it's slipped down six points to 46%, and the disapproval has gone
00:06:52.360 from 27% to 31%, meaning that there has been, what is that? That's a 10% swing over time.
00:07:00.120 Because disapproval is up four, approval is down by six. Usually, people don't go from approval to
00:07:06.840 disapproval. What they will do is go from approval to unsure, and then they will go to disapproval if
00:07:13.080 things persist over time. Naturally, if you add up 46% and 31%, it doesn't reach 100% because the others
00:07:21.080 are undecided or they say, you know, I don't know, you know, neutral, I don't know, something like that.
00:07:27.960 But yeah, overall speaking, the thing is that Canadians are starting to realize that the Liberal
00:07:33.720 government has not actually changed in the way it does stuff. Another stat that came out of the
00:07:39.480 new survey, I don't need to show this on screen, is that only 36% of Canadians actually consider this
00:07:46.600 to be a markedly different Liberal government than the one that Justin Trudeau was running.
00:07:52.280 So they see only 36% of people see this government as different. Everyone else basically sees this as
00:07:59.240 effectively the same. And if you are effectively the same as the guys who used to have this disapproval
00:08:05.640 rating, this is more of like a prophecy than it is like just a stat. That is basically saying,
00:08:12.840 if only 36% of people think you're different, you are eventually destined to have the disapproval
00:08:18.680 and approval ratings swap as they look like they are beginning to. I don't think that this is going
00:08:23.720 to slow down over time. Because as bad as Justin Trudeau was, we all have to remember that typically
00:08:30.440 speaking, a normal day in politics is kind of boring. Nothing that flashy is going on. What happens
00:08:35.960 is the malaise sets in, where everything feels slow. Everything feels sluggish. Nothing really
00:08:42.120 good is happening. Maybe nothing horrible is happening, but nothing good is happening. And so
00:08:47.160 eventually people want change. And I think that that is on the story arc that we are on again.
00:08:52.200 But the Trump issue can't save Carney this time. It's just not available anymore. It is shrinking down,
00:08:57.880 and it's not a trick you can pull off twice getting people to freak out about the American.
00:09:03.000 But anyways, that should be it for this video, or that should be it for this video for me.
00:09:08.440 Sometimes you phrase stuff and it sounds bad. Keurig Machine, do you have anything to say on your way out?
00:09:16.520 Wow, he's such a card. Oh, anyways, I will be back probably later in the coming days to break down
00:09:23.480 new polling stats. I hear that we have polling coming out for the British Columbia provincial politics
00:09:29.800 out tomorrow. That shows a doubling in support for other party, which basically means one BC. And
00:09:37.320 also there may be a caucus meeting tomorrow where either John Rustad once again fends off his opponents
00:09:42.600 from inside the BC Conservative Party, or he gets thrown out and the BC Conservatives probably pick
00:09:47.880 another Liberal to end up being their new leader. But anyways, until next time, you know, stay tuned,
00:09:54.120 like the video, subscribe, share it with your friends, leave a comment, do all that great stuff.
00:09:59.480 See you guys later.