The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Carney losing his grip

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. Yesterday I said Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier

00:00:06.860 Daniel Smith's memorandum of understanding is going to get no pipelines built. It's effectively

00:00:13.920 a complete nothing burger. Yeah, there's other stuff in it like they're going to remove the

00:00:18.180 emissions cap and get rid of the clean energy standard on Alberta's oil and gas industry,

00:00:23.420 but at the same time the industrial carbon tax is doubling and there's some other things that

00:00:27.680 Alberta oil and gas companies have to do. Effectively, it's a draw. It's important for

00:00:32.440 Daniel Smith to still do to demonstrate she's not being the unreasonable one. She's willing to sign

00:00:36.960 on to anything that Carney says will actually get a pipeline built, but like Conservative Party

00:00:42.540 leader Pierre Polyev has pointed out, this is basically only getting us towards maybe having

00:00:49.380 a committee that will think about building a pipeline for two years and by the time they're

00:00:53.680 finished. Like really, are we building a pipeline or are we just wasting time? Because Carney could

00:00:58.240 just say let's build a pipeline and he could just sign an agreement saying in this general corridor we

00:01:04.180 will build a pipeline, we will remove Bill C-69, Bill C-48, all the other anti-pipeline legislation.

00:01:10.280 It would be extremely easy for him to do it. The fact we're farting around means it's not going to

00:01:14.520 happen. But the funniest thing happened yesterday, despite the memorandum of understanding being

00:01:20.960 probably useless. We still had Stephen Gilbeau, the green freak, decide that he has, this has been

00:01:29.020 too much and he resigned from Mark Carney's cabinet over this. I love it. It's so petulant and stupid

00:01:37.060 that over nothing, he's suddenly leaving. Let's just get right into this, guys. Hey, like, share, subscribe,

00:01:45.020 do all that fun stuff. I also want to later on get into the different liberals I think may actually be

00:01:49.940 leaving cabinet now. Because Stephen Gilbeau leaving was kind of a shock to me. I assumed that

00:01:54.900 he thought he could kind of control the government a little bit from his current position. Even if he

00:01:59.660 doesn't agree with everything, you know, he'll have his impact. But right here, it says on Stephen

00:02:06.640 Gilbeau's post, it says, this afternoon I informed the prime minister of my decision to resign as a

00:02:11.600 minister of Canadian identity and culture, minister responsible for official languages, minister of

00:02:17.020 nature and parks Canada, as well as his lieutenant in Quebec. You can find my full statement below.

00:02:23.580 Now, most of this is just dumb prattle. So I'm just going to go to page two where he actually starts

00:02:30.060 to vocalize what his problems are. This is going to take me a little bit so you can just rest easy

00:02:36.200 knowing that I'm reading this. Maybe I'll even take it off screen because you guys don't really need

00:02:39.860 to stare at the text here. So it says, first, there was no consultation with the indigenous nations of

00:02:47.500 the west coast of British Columbia, or with the provincial government would be greatly affected

00:02:52.240 by this agreement. Furthermore, a pipeline to the west coast would have a major environment would have

00:02:58.660 major environmental impacts, particularly as it could cross the Great Bear rainforest contributing to

00:03:04.980 a significant increase in climate pollution and move Canada further away from its greenhouse gas

00:03:10.660 reduction targets. And this is the funny thing about Carney. He's like really splitting the baby. He keeps saying

00:03:16.180 that, absolutely, I'm trying to hit the Paris climate targets. And then he kind of just prattles along the

00:03:21.300 same way Trudeau did, hurting the economy, passing green legislation. But he's never actually going to go full

00:03:27.260 born to try to make us hit those targets. We'd have to destroy the economy to hit those targets. But Stephen

00:03:32.680 Gilbo wants us to do it. By the way, someone can like tell me if I'm wrong, but I've heard the Great

00:03:38.040 Bear Rainforest is like this monstrously large piece of land. It's so arbitrarily arbitrary in its size.

00:03:46.340 It goes through different biomes. And it basically is a way of saying you can't do anything in northwest

00:03:51.760 Ontario. Everything is the Great Bear Rainforest. Like last time I saw it, like it's both on the island and

00:03:57.580 not on the island. And it expands like the size of a European country or whatever. This isn't like

00:04:03.280 some very small sacred bit of land that we should be protecting. This is like a massive swath of

00:04:08.580 property. But now going on to his next point. Lifting the tanker ban on the west coast would also

00:04:16.280 significantly increase the risk of accidents in the region. The moratorium was established in 1972,

00:04:23.520 following a unanimous vote in the House of Commons, notably because navigation in the Hectate Strait

00:04:29.220 is highly dangerous. Its removal would also hinder the creation of a maritime conservation area

00:04:34.640 in the Great Bear Sea. A project of our government has been actively developing with indigenous partners

00:04:40.940 and the government of British Columbia for several years, protecting more than 100,000 square

00:04:46.720 kilometers of this ecologically sensitive region. 100,000 square kilometers. So yes, the Great Bear Sea

00:04:54.320 and the Great Bear Rainforest is effectively a giant grift. It can just be as big as you want it to be

00:05:00.020 in order to just stop development. And again, we don't even need to keep reading. It's just high-pitched

00:05:06.800 whining from Stephen Gilboa over nothing. Nothing's going to be gotten done. Do you think Polyev would just be

00:05:14.280 saying there's not going to be a pipeline if there was going to be? Because he'd look like an idiot

00:05:17.940 within a few weeks if there was actually a big pipeline agreement signed and a bunch of oil and

00:05:24.060 gas companies were blanking Carney as they talk about the possibilities of different routes they're

00:05:29.560 going to go on. That would be a different story. Polyev's team has no doubt seen everything that the

00:05:36.840 government has said and done and said, yeah, these guys are not serious about actually getting a

00:05:41.780 pipeline done. That's why Carney still gives a veto on any plan to David Eby and First Nations in

00:05:49.360 British Columbia, which are mainly represented by hard-left activists, even though most First

00:05:54.440 Nations people wouldn't be perfectly fine building a pipeline because it turns out most people aren't

00:05:58.600 hard-left activists, but it's just who ends up getting into their governments and representing them.

00:06:03.060 So, yeah, this is a bit awkward for Carney. He just did his big fake pipeline agreement. Not only is it

00:06:13.180 effectively already being called out as not doing anything by the conservatives, but you also have

00:06:17.900 his own people saying, I'm done. This government isn't environmentalist enough. So he's basically,

00:06:23.640 and I've said this before, Mark Carney is brilliant at triangulating the exact thing to do to make

00:06:30.360 everybody mad at him. And this is just another example. The last time I brought this up was

00:06:35.920 probably the Air Canada strike. He found the perfect way to make the business industry, to make public

00:06:41.960 sector unions, to make liberal voters ticked at him, which is why one of the MPs we're going to be

00:06:47.840 talking about a bit actually criticized him over that too. But let's just quickly jump over to what

00:06:54.300 Mark Carney said upon Stephen Gilbeau's exit. No doubt, I'm actually at the Alberta UCPA GM this

00:07:00.960 weekend. No doubt Daniel Smith is going to be like beaming at the fact that Stephen Gilbeau is gone

00:07:06.840 since they were like personal enemies. Again, I think that Daniel Smith probably very well knows

00:07:12.960 that this MOU is not going to do anything. But again, for media strategy's sake, she has to be as

00:07:20.520 open as humanly possible to working with Mark Carney. Because if she even gives 1% of the

00:07:26.320 impression she doesn't want to work with him, well, the media and the liberals will say, see,

00:07:30.660 there's no pipeline that Daniel Smith was not sweet and nice enough. So she has to be as nice as

00:07:35.920 humanly possible. And then when there's no pipeline after maybe another four or five months, and

00:07:40.420 there's everything's completely broken down, then she can slam him being fully justified in doing it.

00:07:46.180 Anyways, so here's what Mark Carney said about Gilbeau leaving. He said,

00:07:51.500 whether it's civil society or in cabinet, Stephen Gilbeau's leadership to advance sustainability has

00:07:56.360 consistently shaped a more hopeful horizon for future generations. As Prime Minister, I have been

00:08:02.060 deeply grateful for his counsel and contributions to our new government, which shares his fundamental

00:08:07.700 commitment to climate ambition and climate competitiveness for Canada. I like how even in

00:08:13.280 this statement basically saying bye to Stephen Gilbeau, he still has to ham, you know, shoehorn the

00:08:18.340 idea in that this is a new government, guys, not like that old stupid Trudeau government. This is a

00:08:23.200 new government because Mark Carney's in it. And pretty much everyone else is the same. Oh, well,

00:08:29.020 they have Gregor Roberts, guys, big win there. They have the former mayor of Vancouver who screwed up

00:08:33.940 housing as the housing minister. And that's also leading us into talking about some of the people who may

00:08:38.420 leave. Because I'm hinting heavily at Nate Erskine-Smith. He was the one who criticized the liberals

00:08:43.240 previously over how they dealt with the flight attendance union's issue with Air Canada. And he

00:08:52.660 has been highly critical of the MOU as well. And a lot of other things. He's been critical of the

00:08:59.540 budget. It's been bad. But I was skeptical of this trending politics graphic when it came out a few

00:09:06.280 days ago. I still don't fully agree with it. But Stephen Gilbeau would have been somebody whose

00:09:11.800 faces on this graphic, I would have disagreed with putting it on. And I have been proven wrong that

00:09:17.060 Stephen Gilbeau was absolutely willing to leave. So right here, it says rumored liberal MPs set to

00:09:24.500 leave caucus. And so they have Bill Blair, Mark Miller, Jonathan Wilkinson, Melanie Jolie, Nate Erskine-Smith,

00:09:31.420 Stephen Gilbeau, Christy Freeland, and Karina Gould. So right off the bat, I just want to

00:09:36.060 eliminate the three, I think, are still just not leaving. Maybe I'm going to be proven wrong,

00:09:39.740 and I will be pleasantly surprised if I'm proven wrong. Karina Gould, Melanie Jolie,

00:09:45.160 Mark Miller, I don't think any of those are going. The rest, actually highly likely to leave. These

00:09:50.540 guys may end up piling out of the clown car with Stephen Gilbeau. And although Stephen Gilbeau is

00:09:55.360 still a backbench MP, and he says, oh, I'm going to keep representing from my, you know, like the

00:10:01.980 prime minister saying, oh, he's going to be a great asset to our team, still in our caucus.

00:10:05.380 I don't see Stephen Gilbeau as being the type of guy who sits in the back benches for three and a

00:10:10.740 half years. I think he leaves. Like, it's more likely that he puts on the orange jumpsuit again

00:10:16.360 and climbs the CN Tower than he actually, you know, sticks around for three and a half years,

00:10:21.760 just making no more noise. And the NDP have said at their leadership race that they would not accept

00:10:27.980 Stephen Gilbeau if he wanted to cross the floor. Nobody asked, like Stephen Gilbeau did not ask,

00:10:32.640 but that was a question asked to the NDP leadership candidates. And the fact that the union universally

00:10:39.440 said no, it's like, guys, are you stupid? If there's a first round draft pick to be an NDP MP who

00:10:45.940 is currently in a liberal caucus, it's like Stephen Gilbeau followed behind shortly thereafter by

00:10:51.660 Nate Erskine-Smith. But let's go through the ones here that are actually potentially going to leave.

00:10:56.200 So Bill Blair sitting currently, I believe, with no cabinet position. The man is in his 60s. If

00:11:03.740 you're in your 60s and you're in politics and this is not your first term, leave politics. You're in

00:11:09.400 your 60s and you're a backbencher, just leave. It doesn't always happen. You know, some people can be

00:11:14.800 like really great just representatives of their constituents. But Bill Blair is an ambitious

00:11:18.940 person. If you're an ambitious politician in multiple terms and you're in your mid-60s,

00:11:23.180 you should probably just resign. And we have had rumors that he will go take some ambassador

00:11:27.000 position, some European country, Germany or something like that, or I think maybe even the

00:11:31.840 United States. So yeah, he'd be out. Jonathan Wilkinson on the other right side, he may actually

00:11:38.800 resign because Ralph Goodale may resign as the UK High Commissioner for Canada. And he actually left

00:11:44.940 the cabinet with Trudeau and stopped running back in 2019. And so he never was defeated. He just didn't

00:11:51.540 run again. But he's like 86 years old or something like that. And so he's probably going to be wanting

00:11:57.620 to leave as UK High Commissioner at some point. And there's been rumors that Jonathan Wilkinson

00:12:02.480 would be interested as another guy I don't believe has any important position in the government right

00:12:06.920 now. He may end up leaving. Plus, Jonathan Wilkinson, I believe he's actually a British Columbia

00:12:13.020 MP, correct me if I'm wrong. And he's also opposing of the pipeline in the MOU. He has a very clear

00:12:20.420 reason to leave. He has a very good opportunity to go to do something else now. So now we have

00:12:26.780 Nate Erskine-Smith. If you remember the story of Erskine-Smith, I told it before, he wanted to be

00:12:32.340 housing minister. So after Carney became prime minister before the last election when he wasn't

00:12:37.860 even an MP himself, he made Erskine-Smith the housing minister in his mini cabinet. And he got to be

00:12:44.140 minister for three weeks until after the election. And then he, yeah, he was just thrown aside and

00:12:51.060 he's a backbench MP again. And he's been very jaded about it, completely chapped. And so he's probably

00:12:56.980 going to want to go and run for Ontario Liberal leader. Because if you remember, he came very close

00:13:01.740 to beating Bonnie Crombie in the last Ontario Liberal leadership race. Crombie's gone. So he's kind of like

00:13:08.100 the heir apparent out there. And so like, what is he going to do? Whine at the back of the Liberal

00:13:13.520 Party forever? Or is he going to go do something real? He's an ambitious guy. And right now there's

00:13:18.600 nothing for him in the Liberal cabinet. He didn't like the budget. He didn't like the MOU. He didn't

00:13:23.400 like the way that they've done labor disputes. And so him as a more progressive, greeny Liberal like

00:13:29.000 Stephen Gilbeau has a good reason to leave. He hasn't left yet, even though the Ontario Liberal

00:13:33.220 leadership race started on the 19th. That's more of a consequence of just the fact that you're not

00:13:39.680 going to leave mid-budget vote. You're not going to leave before the session's ended, because you're

00:13:43.800 going to get all these people attacking you because you're not enough of a team player and all that

00:13:47.680 stuff. And you'll have a lot of jaded Liberal MPs maybe like endorsing all of your opponents.

00:13:52.920 So Stephen Gilbeau, we've already talked about him. I don't see him sticking around for like

00:13:56.820 three and a half years for nothing. And Chrystia Freeland, quite literally, wants to like be the

00:14:02.980 CEO and the president of the Rhodes Society and the Rhodes Foundation, like the Rhodes Scholarship

00:14:08.600 Foundation. And she already has the job. She is going to be the new CEO and president or new warden

00:14:15.400 of it on July 1st of 2026. And I don't think that she won't want a vacation before that. So I see her

00:14:22.840 resigning from cabinet well before July 1st, maybe over the winter break, because what's she going to

00:14:28.560 do sit through another spring session, another like winter session in like February or March?

00:14:34.180 For what? She has no position. She literally doesn't have a cabinet role. She resigned from

00:14:38.540 them months ago. And so I think that you're going to find that that Freeland is also going to be

00:14:43.420 leaving over the winter or maybe a little bit into the next year alongside Erskine Smith, because

00:14:49.840 Erskine Smith does need to leave pretty soon because he needs to run for the Ontario Liberal

00:14:53.720 leadership. And he can't exactly do it while he's stuck in Ottawa all the time. But anyways,

00:14:59.500 that should be it for me today, guys. In this video, hopefully you found it interesting. I will

00:15:04.020 be back probably tomorrow talking about 1BC and British Columbia politics again, because there was

00:15:09.640 a hilarious exchange in the legislature once again, this time not with Dallas Brody, the 1BC leader,

00:15:15.480 this time with 1BC house leader, Tara Armstrong, asking the NDP about the BC Teachers Federation

00:15:23.220 curriculum suggestion or teaching suggestion of teaching children about queering the outdoors.

00:15:29.720 That is real. That is not fake. That is a true thing that they want to teach kids.

00:15:33.900 Anyways, with all being said, thank you guys for watching. See you all later.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - November 28, 2025

Carney losing his grip - How many Liberal MPs will resign？!？

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