The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Carney's tariff strategy is FAILING - 208+ names on Battle River ballot in Pierre's byelection

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. I want to go over a few stories today on the show with you guys, but I want to start off with the most shocking one of them all, which is that, my goodness, I actually have good lighting right now.

00:00:14.440 It's like I'm a real person. I actually invested in something and it got better. Who would have guessed? And we even now have a whiteboard that I will be using in the future when we're talking about stats and polling. I think that's going to be fun.

00:00:29.300 But today on the show, the actual main issues are again the Battle River Crowfoot by-election ballot length, as well as Mark Carney and the Liberals, both online Liberal defenders as well as the Liberal Party, starting to front-run the idea they are not going to be getting a trade deal signed with Donald Trump and the Americans on August 1st.

00:00:51.360 It's almost like it was a stupid thing for them to promise, considering that they were not actually willing to negotiate fully with the Americans.

00:01:00.000 Now, obviously, I don't want Canada to have a tariff applied to its imports into the United States. At the same time, we have to live in reality. We cannot say, I don't like that Donald Trump put a tariff on us. That's not a position. 0.95

00:01:14.300 That's an emotional reaction to something that happened out of our control. We can only control things that are at our fingertips in this country.

00:01:23.620 And Mark Carney and the Liberals are effectively only sitting down with the Americans to say, will you take the tariffs off and then nothing else?

00:01:31.040 That's because they're not willing to put up supply management on the table as something they are willing to get rid of or at least soften in order for the Americans to remove tariffs on their side.

00:01:41.260 We're going to be getting that story later. People are trying to make excuses for the Liberals, online Liberal activists saying, actually, it's not that bad if we have a 35% tariff applied to us. It's silly.

00:01:51.240 So let's start off with our first story. By the way, reminder, like this video, subscribe if you're not a subscriber, as well as leave a comment on what you think.

00:02:01.160 This is the Battle River Crowfoot ballot. It's not the literal ballot, but it's the people registered as candidates.

00:02:09.620 And as we see, the number of candidates that are being put forward by this Thomas person have increased drastically.

00:02:17.400 Let's actually just look up how many candidates right now have Thomas as their official agent.

00:02:24.380 Now, I just command F'd it, so I shouldn't be picking up anyone but the guy who is the registered agent because he has a very specific spelling.

00:02:31.460 It's not T-H-O-M-A-S Thomas. It's just T-O-M-A-S Thomas. It's like a Polish version. 1.00

00:02:37.340 And there are currently 199 candidates who Thomas is the official agent for.

00:02:47.400 This is not Democratic, but let's take a trip down the ballot to see just how many names are on this thing.

00:02:57.200 We're still going. We are still going.

00:03:03.700 We are still going.

00:03:04.780 Like the Energizer Bunny, we are still going.

00:03:10.820 Here's Pierre Pauly of like halfway down the list of candidates in the P's.

00:03:14.620 You keep going. You keep going.

00:03:16.360 And then you eventually reach the bottom.

00:03:19.000 This is 208 candidates.

00:03:22.760 And again, you're supposed to be registered for this by-election on July 28th.

00:03:28.460 That's today.

00:03:29.300 That didn't mean, though, that the deadline was 12 a.m. today.

00:03:33.380 Typically, I find that the deadline is either 3 p.m.

00:03:37.240 because it's mountain time and it usually bases off 5 p.m. Eastern,

00:03:41.040 or it's going to be 5 p.m. mountain time because it's the only by-election happening

00:03:44.820 and Elections Canada is pretty much operating from Alberta right now. 1.00

00:03:47.920 So, this is just stupid. 0.99

00:03:51.460 The Longest Ballot Committee, all of its organizers, should obviously be fined. 1.00

00:03:55.740 Northern Perspectives has been doing great work showing that this is basically fraudulent.

00:04:01.560 And what I want to talk about is this ridiculous post-Elections Canada put out,

00:04:06.840 which I do not believe was actually directed at the Longest Ballot Committee.

00:04:11.420 It was directed at people complaining about the 121,000 ballots that were lost during the federal election.

00:04:19.180 I know they are saying, well, in some cases, it's a reasonable explanation

00:04:22.880 that they just didn't quite get to Elections Canada in time.

00:04:25.700 So, they arrived, but it was like two days later, so we can't count them.

00:04:28.980 But in other cases, it was like special ballots that were turned in early

00:04:32.800 that went missing and they never counted them.

00:04:35.580 Elections Canada says in this post,

00:04:37.080 hashtag, did you know, my goodness, who is in their comms department still using hashtags?

00:04:42.760 But they say, hashtag, did you know that purposely spreading false or inaccurate information

00:04:47.700 about the election process can be a form of election interference?

00:04:51.480 We all have a role to play in securing elections.

00:04:54.100 Make sure you have the accurate info you need to register and vote.

00:04:58.540 And this is all about voter registration.

00:05:01.260 It's about who can vote, who can't vote,

00:05:03.420 because I guess they're trying to counter rumors about, you know,

00:05:06.060 how non-citizens are voting and how, you know, like people are double voting or whatever

00:05:12.720 and there's ballots going missing.

00:05:14.460 This is directed at people taking issue with things that happened during the federal election.

00:05:18.480 Do I think that issues in the federal election would have swung the result

00:05:22.580 and actually the conservatives won?

00:05:24.300 No, I don't.

00:05:25.560 In writings like Terrebonne in Quebec,

00:05:28.180 where the Bloc Québécois have only lost to the liberals by one vote,

00:05:32.840 and we know many people tried to send in votes for the Bloc to the Elections Canada district office in the area

00:05:40.620 and they had the wrong address on it and so the letters bounced back.

00:05:43.620 Naturally, that leaves a really big question mark on who actually won.

00:05:48.600 It's just a legitimate thing to say that when a party wins by one vote

00:05:54.080 and we can at least count probably a half a dozen votes that we don't know who they were cast for,

00:06:00.080 or the people are saying it was for the other guy that they tried to send in in good faith

00:06:04.840 and because of an Elections Canada mistake, they didn't arrive in time,

00:06:07.680 that that's not really a legitimate win for the liberals.

00:06:10.400 That's not a writing where I think the Bloc won.

00:06:12.780 That's a writing where I would just say you just got to put a big question mark around who won

00:06:16.760 and you should rerun the race.

00:06:18.860 Same thing in British Columbia provincially in that Surrey-Guilford writing.

00:06:22.860 You have Hanvir Randhawa, the B.C. Conservative candidate, who came in 21 votes shy of Mike Farnworth,

00:06:30.440 but we're just apparently going to let Mike Farnworth win for the NDP

00:06:36.180 because, well, who cares that 48 ballots were potentially sent in fraudulently

00:06:41.300 where someone's name was accidentally registered twice, they were handed two ballots,

00:06:45.040 they sent two in and two were counted.

00:06:47.080 Maybe they vote for the Conservatives, so it doesn't matter.

00:06:49.700 We don't know who they vote for.

00:06:51.320 Well, that means there's a big question mark around it and we should solve this.

00:06:54.900 And this whole longest ballot committee thing is creating a lot of issues around the election.

00:07:00.740 One, for people voting, and then two, for just the legitimacy of the democratic process

00:07:06.800 on whether or not these people are acting like a party or acting like an unofficial third-party advertiser

00:07:13.560 because apparently they're promoting proportional representation.

00:07:16.900 So at the very least, they should be having to register as a third-party organization.

00:07:22.280 And if they're registering as a third-party organization, they cannot be helping candidates run for election.

00:07:27.860 There are so many areas here where they're obviously violating the law.

00:07:32.280 Ryan at Northern Perspectives had a great point that he made

00:07:35.900 that when you see these guys holding up signature forms for candidates

00:07:40.040 and the name of the candidate and everything else on the top that you're supposed to have filled in preemptively

00:07:43.960 is not filled in and they are telling prospective longest ballot candidates,

00:07:48.300 don't worry, just sign with your personal information and we already have your signatures for you.

00:07:53.600 How?

00:07:54.500 That's illegal.

00:07:55.720 You can't get people to sign up for a candidate that they don't know who that is.

00:07:59.680 And now we have the libertarian candidate, Michael Harris.

00:08:02.300 I really feel bad for a guy like that.

00:08:04.440 He's actually campaigning. 1.00

00:08:06.080 He actually gives a crap. 0.99

00:08:07.780 And now he's going to get completely washed out on the ballot by all these fake names. 1.00

00:08:12.180 And we've been hearing that people have been going around impersonating the libertarian party,

00:08:17.020 pretending like other candidates are the libertarian.

00:08:19.900 And can you just sign right here so we can get the libertarian on the ballot?

00:08:23.080 Don't worry, we're not long this ballot committee.

00:08:24.820 Because obviously, people in a riding like Battle River Crowfoot, 0.87

00:08:28.040 after this crap has been pulled in other ridings multiple times before, 0.97

00:08:31.580 don't care anymore. 0.98

00:08:32.660 And then it also leads us to talking about how I think this is all a little bit of a tactic

00:08:37.980 to try and embarrass Pollyoff. 1.00

00:08:39.500 These people are not promoting proportional representation.

00:08:42.680 I went over this on the show the other day.

00:08:45.060 There has been a total of seven electoral reform referendums held in Canadian provinces.

00:08:52.460 Three in British Columbia, three in Prince Edward Island, and one in Ontario.

00:08:57.620 And I got to say, if you can't win in British Columbia or PEI, 0.96

00:09:01.340 your movement sucks, very progressive, or very, what I would at least say, 0.95

00:09:06.860 granola democratic kind of provinces, where people may actually like the idea of electoral reform. 0.99

00:09:12.980 You know, let's have new ideas, or let's have progressive ideas.

00:09:15.600 And I would consider proportional representation tends to be more in vogue on the progressive side of things.

00:09:21.320 They've been washed out in every single referendum.

00:09:24.460 The only one that got close in 2005 in British Columbia was only close because the side against it

00:09:31.820 wasn't allowed to campaign against it because there was no way of them collecting and spending money fairly.

00:09:37.180 And so when they, even then, the proportional representation or single transferable vote side lost.

00:09:44.240 They didn't get the 60% needed because obviously you're not going to change the electoral system based on 51% versus 49%.

00:09:51.560 They still fell short of the 60% mark.

00:09:55.000 And then when they re-ran the referendum four years later, but they actually allowed the no side to campaign against the change,

00:10:03.440 the yes side got demolished, got only like 35% of the vote when they needed 60%.

00:10:10.240 It's a bit of a hard loss when you got 35% and you needed another 25% in order to win.

00:10:17.680 But that issue is neither here nor there.

00:10:20.300 Obviously, we need to change the system.

00:10:22.980 We need to make some rules in order so that people can't do this.

00:10:26.640 One guy cannot be the official agent for all the candidates.

00:10:29.300 Candidates cannot be official agents for one another.

00:10:31.980 And also, you should probably have to put some amount of money down to run.

00:10:35.880 But that's not fair for people who don't have money.

00:10:37.900 Well, then get some people who believe in you and collect like $1,000 or something like that.

00:10:43.860 If you can't get 10 people who believe in you to give you $100 when it's tax deductible if you do it the right way, don't run.

00:10:53.020 It's not for fun.

00:10:55.000 Elections.

00:10:55.760 And I think that I've said this in another video.

00:10:57.920 This is becoming me repeating things I said like three weeks ago, two weeks ago, and like just a few days ago all in one video.

00:11:04.000 I think back in the day, like the 1970s, 1960s, 1980s, there was a lot more seriousness around elections where if you put your name on a ballot, even not as a party candidate, even as an independent, there was a little bit of a moment where people were like, oh, what's he all about?

00:11:22.520 What's his idea?

00:11:23.520 Why did he put his name on the ballot as an independent?

00:11:26.260 What idea does he have that he thinks is not being represented right now?

00:11:29.380 Now, if you put your name on the ballot as an independent, people probably think you're a loon or a prankster because people have cheapened what it means to run for election.

00:11:38.820 Just putting your name on a ballot every single time.

00:11:41.300 There's that guy, I think, John or John the Machine Turmel, and all he does is puts his name on ballots for every single election to get a Guinness Book of World Records achievement because he's been on like 122 ballots or whatever for different elections.

00:11:57.000 Screw him.

00:11:57.660 Well, it's a funny joke. 1.00

00:12:00.420 Shut up. 1.00

00:12:01.720 It's an election. 1.00

00:12:02.480 It's not about your jokes.

00:12:03.600 Stop it.

00:12:04.740 Go on social media.

00:12:05.980 Tell jokes on social media, not on people's ballots.

00:12:09.100 Stop putting your name on ballots when you're not attempting to win or even promote yourself.

00:12:13.540 You're not going door to door.

00:12:14.540 You show up at the candidates debate, ramble about nothing, and then you go on to the next election.

00:12:20.480 But that's my rant for that today.

00:12:22.400 And now I do need, oh, actually, I do want to highlight this post that the pleb reporter made about all this.

00:12:28.020 He says, the ballot in Pierre Polyev's by-election has so many names on it, it has now reached over seven feet long.

00:12:33.460 The ballot is now the same size as NBA legend Shaquille O'Neal.

00:12:37.040 It's going to take forever to count these votes.

00:12:39.200 What a disgrace to our democracy. 0.70

00:12:40.680 It's probably not going to end up being that long, but the pleb is right that the ballot in Polyev's former riding of Carleton that was 91 names long was a meter long.

00:12:53.040 And so a ballot that's 208 names long currently and could expand even further, yeah, if you printed it the same way, the thing would be over two meters long.

00:13:05.280 And, yeah, it would be the size of Shaquille O'Neal.

00:13:08.000 The difference, though, is now, because it's gotten so bad, Elections Canada, although they're typically mandated to make the names all a standardized size that's legible to the average Canadian,

00:13:18.920 they may either have to drastically lower the font size in order to make it fit all on that Carleton-sized ballot, but with even more names,

00:13:29.160 or what Ryan at Northern Perspectives has said, which may be the best way of doing it, because most people are just going to be voting for Polyev.

00:13:35.640 It's going to be Polyev, the Liberal, the NDP, the PPC, the Green, the Libertarian, or Bonnie Crickley.

00:13:42.600 Those are basically the only candidates anyone's even thinking of voting for.

00:13:45.640 Maybe there's a few Grant Abraham, United, Canada Party voters, but for the most part, you could basically turn the ballot into, like, eight names,

00:13:52.720 and you'd pretty much capture 99.9% of who people are voting for.

00:13:57.200 But what they may do, and this is why I'm saying it might be a good way of doing it, people might just be able to write down the names.

00:14:02.180 Because what maybe you can do is you can ask for a sheet of some of the names where you know your candidate's on if you need to copy it down, and that would be it.

00:14:10.720 If you don't know how to spell their names, you know, some people don't have the easiest names to spell compared to, like, a Bob Smith, you know,

00:14:16.820 if your name is, like, the Thomas Hugh Czech guy, or I don't know how to pronounce his last name.

00:14:22.320 Yeah, that could be a little tougher, but that may be the thing we need to do at this point.

00:14:26.800 And then ban these people, fine them, they're obviously running what effectively acts like a party, but also is acting as an unregistered third party,

00:14:35.760 but is also, again, basically violating the law by getting people signed forms where they don't even know who the candidate is, and they're lying to you.

00:14:43.940 Yeah.

00:14:45.060 So anyways, let's move on to the issue of tariffs.

00:14:48.840 I do want to start off with this.

00:14:51.740 Actually, we're giving the pleb some love today because he has a couple of good posts, although this is actually made by Made in Canada.

00:14:59.460 And he says,

00:15:00.140 To the elbows up people, being number one at this is actually a bad thing.

00:15:04.580 This is what losing looks like.

00:15:06.700 And it's over top of this image from Made in Canada that posts the household debt as share of GDP chart.

00:15:14.220 And by the way, you can blame this in large part on Mark Carney.

00:15:19.900 It is not dishonest to do.

00:15:22.400 He was the economic advisor to former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, not for five minutes, not for five months, not for a year, for five years.

00:15:32.360 Since 2020, up until Trudeau stepped down, Mark Carney was advising Justin Trudeau on finance and economic policy.

00:15:39.860 And now Canada has a household debt rate or household debt as a share of GDP of 103%.

00:15:47.780 All of the household debt in Canada combined is 103% of our GDP.

00:15:54.320 UK, it's 80.

00:15:55.240 US, 73.

00:15:56.340 France, 63.

00:15:57.680 China, 62.

00:15:58.720 Germany, 52.

00:15:59.900 Spain, 48.

00:16:00.760 Italy, 39.

00:16:01.820 So yeah, a lot of people are doing much better than we are.

00:16:05.540 Some of this is a little dishonest.

00:16:07.420 Like Russia, Indonesia, and Turkey, and Mexico are not low because they're very fiscally responsible.

00:16:13.840 It's because nobody would give people loans in those countries because it is so economically depressed in many of those areas.

00:16:20.180 You don't trust someone's going to pay you back.

00:16:22.280 In Canada, we are still higher trust and people generally pay things back so you can lend this much money out.

00:16:27.840 But it's not a sign of economic health when you're at 103%.

00:16:32.720 What was it?

00:16:34.940 103%?

00:16:35.740 Yeah, 103% compared to the United States' 673% or France's 63%.

00:16:40.980 But let's now talk about Mark Carney's approach on tariffs, which, in my opinion, maybe your opinion differs, has not been great.

00:16:51.260 It's been mostly, in my opinion, been basically trying to pretend like not caving, I guess, to any U.S. demands is what Canadians wanted.

00:17:02.760 Canadians elected this guy in the election on the promise that he knew how to deal with Donald Trump.

00:17:08.120 I made fun of it during the election because it was just a comically childish thing for Mark Carney to say.

00:17:13.160 Not that it was, like, immature. 0.99

00:17:15.000 It just sounded really stupid when he says, I know how to deal with Donald Trump. 0.99

00:17:19.840 I know how to negotiate. 0.99

00:17:21.760 He'd always just throw his hands out.

00:17:22.880 I know how to negotiate.

00:17:24.500 What does that mean?

00:17:25.660 It's like if I walk into a room and just say, we should use our diplomacy.

00:17:29.840 Oh, there's a situation.

00:17:31.120 Let's engage in diplomacy.

00:17:32.760 It's like that doesn't mean anything.

00:17:34.320 And when Mark Carney kept saying meaningless things like that, you'd hope the average person would catch on and think, he doesn't have anything.

00:17:40.800 Even some of the other people he was running against in the fake liberal leadership election actually had some ideas.

00:17:47.840 Maybe not good ideas, but they actually detailed out what they would specifically do if they became prime minister.

00:17:53.540 Maybe Mark Carney was smart because he played coy and said absolutely nothing about what he would do.

00:17:57.980 And Canadians gave him a mandate.

00:17:59.620 And now we're finding out nothing was not a great plan.

00:18:02.920 And so this headline from the CBC says,

00:18:06.380 Canada-U.S. trade negotiations at, quote, intense phase, unquote, Carney says, as deadline looms.

00:18:14.920 Here we see Prime Minister Mark Carney said Monday trade negotiations with the U.S. are an intense phase ahead of Friday's deadline to reach an agreement.

00:18:24.160 Quote, Canadians don't deserve the uncertainty that's been thrust upon them.

00:18:28.160 They want the right kind of resolution.

00:18:29.740 They want a deal that makes sense for Canada, Carney said during a news conference in Prince Country PEI.

00:18:36.780 Quote, the negotiations are in a tense phase.

00:18:38.880 It's a complex negotiation.

00:18:41.180 Can we know anything?

00:18:44.240 Here he goes on to say, quote, we have really had a lot of luck with, oh, this is what Trump says.

00:18:49.620 We haven't had really had a lot of luck with Canada, Trump told reporters Friday outside the White House in response to a question about the state of tariff talks with U.S. trade partners.

00:18:58.000 Quote, I think Canada could be one where there's just a tariff, not really a negotiation.

00:19:04.180 And again, people can moan, people can complain that the tariffs from the U.S. are unfair.

00:19:11.480 I even have liberals in the comments of these videos saying, well, Wyatt, you're Maple, Mega, whatever, you're supporting Trump's tariffs.

00:19:19.360 What do you want me to do?

00:19:20.620 Say they're bad?

00:19:21.880 Go to the White House and tell him what for?

00:19:24.060 Or are we going to have an actual coherent, mature trade position on what we are willing to do if they do something back?

00:19:32.520 We're not putting some stuff on the table to be sacrificed and nothing happens.

00:19:36.760 We would be saying, hey, we will get rid of the supply management system or we will heavily soften the rules if you lower tariffs.

00:19:43.740 And now we have liberals actively saying, well, it wouldn't be that bad if we had a tariff placed on us.

00:19:50.220 I'm going to bring up a tweet I made earlier today because it was just, I think I at least put it in a succinct manner on why this is actually kind of a big deal as much as people are trying to pretend otherwise.

00:20:00.640 I'll first start off with what one of these liberals was saying, trying to defend the current state of play with the U.S.

00:20:10.680 Basically saying, if tariffs are put on us, no biggie.

00:20:14.280 Don't blame Mark Carney because it actually doesn't hurt us that bad.

00:20:17.820 This Robert Glasgow person says, this is disingenuous for two reasons.

00:20:23.240 One, the 50% steel and aluminum applies to everyone.

00:20:27.100 He's saying that the aluminum and steel tariffs the U.S. has are applied to everybody. 0.99

00:20:32.320 I'll get to why this is stupid later. 0.81

00:20:34.100 And he's just responding to Kevin Wong, the former MP, pointing out that right now Canada is going to end up with a much higher tariff than countries overseas do. 0.95

00:20:44.820 But Robert Glasgow in his second point says, two, once proper preferential rates are claimed, you're looking at about 60 to 80% of trade going to be USMCA compliant.

00:20:55.920 2024 levels are massively understated for administrative reasons.

00:21:02.200 No.

00:21:03.240 Okay, here's the problem.

00:21:04.760 This is the issue with this.

00:21:07.020 When people claim, well, it's 35%, but it's only 35% on very specific goods.

00:21:12.080 And, oh, well, aluminum and steel tariffs apply to everybody.

00:21:16.080 But who was the main country that was exporting steel into the United States?

00:21:22.760 It was Canada.

00:21:23.660 I don't care that Ghana also has it on them. 1.00

00:21:27.040 I care that it's affecting our steel and aluminum.

00:21:30.520 Acting like, well, it's hurting everybody, so it's still a level playing field.

00:21:34.280 No, it isn't.

00:21:34.980 Because U.S. firms that produce steel in Pittsburgh don't have to pay for it.

00:21:40.040 And so U.S. firms seeing a massive spike in the cost of steel and aluminum are going to start basically biting the bullet and buying more expensive U.S. steel because it's at least still cheaper than buying cheaper Canadian steel that has a massive tariff placed on it.

00:21:55.680 So, yeah, it's a big deal.

00:21:57.320 Saying it applies to everybody does not explicate, I think that's the right word, Mark Carney from actually getting a deal done that gets us out of this nonsense.

00:22:06.060 But on the other point, it's like, yeah, okay, a lot of things are going to be exempt under USMCA.

00:22:13.480 But there's more to it there.

00:22:15.680 And what I said here is, yes, but 80% of our trade is with the United States.

00:22:20.560 Yes, it's only 35% on all Canadian goods and applied to nobody else.

00:22:25.740 But I don't want 35% tariffs on 30% of our exports to the U.S. because Carney won't touch supply management.

00:22:32.420 We can stop trying to convince.

00:22:33.840 Can we stop trying to convince Canadians this is okay?

00:22:36.620 I just went on to say, also, 85% to 90% of exports are USMCA compliant in part because we are trying to adapt to the tariffs.

00:22:45.720 In 2024, only 35% of goods were USMCA compliant since the added cost of border duties was less than what it would cost to become fully compliant with USMCA regulations.

00:22:56.680 Now companies are eating the regulatory costs to dodge the tariffs.

00:23:00.400 So this Glasgow guy, Robert Glasgow, can say all day, well, you know, it's undercounted in 2024.

00:23:06.800 Okay, let's pretend the 35% USMCA compliance rate is an overcount.

00:23:12.680 Um, who cares?

00:23:16.820 Let's say it's actually 50.

00:23:18.140 Let's say it's 60.

00:23:19.700 Is that good?

00:23:21.420 Is it okay now that we're going to have a 35% tariff applied to us because Carney will not touch supply management?

00:23:28.540 And by the way, even as goods are coming under compliance, they're only doing so to dodge the tariffs.

00:23:36.460 It costs money to fall in line with regulatory regimes like the USMCA.

00:23:41.140 Hey, there's duties on non-USMCA goods right now.

00:23:44.740 But before Trump implemented the 15, 20% tariff that he's now going to try up to 35%, the thing is that you still had to pay a small tariff on things that were not USMCA compliant.

00:23:56.780 That would include, you know, if you were producing textiles or T-shirts that were not made in Canada.

00:24:02.260 If they were shipped into Canada and then shipped into the US, you'd have to pay a tariff on that of, you know, like 10% or whatever.

00:24:07.740 You could get out of it if your, you know, your cotton or your wool or your other materials were produced in a USMCA country.

00:24:15.920 So the US, Mexico, and Canada.

00:24:19.140 Or, and it would have to be produced here and the materials would have to be made here.

00:24:23.340 A car, an automobile would, if it was made 60 to 70% within Canada, the US, or Mexico, it would also be exempt of tariffs under that plan.

00:24:34.380 So with a lot of products now becoming USMCA compliant, that one probably means some companies just stop shipping into the US so they, because they just couldn't do it anymore.

00:24:45.520 Or what it is, is that they're looking at the 35% rate and then they're looking at the cost of doing all the extra paperwork, trying to source materials from within the country and all this other stuff.

00:24:57.240 And they're seeing that as the lower cost option.

00:24:59.800 That doesn't mean it's a good option. That doesn't mean it's good for Canada and especially the Canadian consumer.

00:25:05.240 It's just the slightly less bad way of doing this.

00:25:08.760 In fact, I'd rather push that we have free trade and you can trade stuff into America freely,

00:25:13.720 as long as it's maybe not coming from a hostile third country like China or Iran or somewhere like that.

00:25:20.720 That's fine with me, but I'd like free trade.

00:25:22.820 But everyone pretending like it's actually not that bad because it's only applying to like 15% of our products.

00:25:30.820 Even if those products all become USMCA compliant, it still means the products are going up in cost because it costs more to become compliant.

00:25:40.380 Because regulations also add cost to products, not just taxes.

00:25:46.000 Turns out.

00:25:47.460 But anyways.

00:25:48.060 Anyways, so I now want to jump over long episodes.

00:25:51.700 So sorry, guys.

00:25:52.720 I want to jump over to Mark Carney's social media account because at the time that he's saying things are intense and they're very complex.

00:26:00.240 These negotiations, they're so difficult.

00:26:02.920 You walk in there and you assume you're just going to go and shake the guy's hand and say, let's have a deal.

00:26:07.960 And it turns out people have stipulations and demands.

00:26:12.060 Bluch.

00:26:12.960 Bluch.

00:26:13.400 I can't believe that Trump would want something from us. 1.00

00:26:16.640 Disgusting. 0.97

00:26:17.120 But here is Mark Carney's social media. 0.76

00:26:20.640 So at the time, things are tense.

00:26:23.280 He's meeting with Robert Latz, the new premier of Prince Edward Island.

00:26:29.700 And they're celebrating lowering the cost of crossing Confederation Bridge.

00:26:34.000 Good job, guys.

00:26:36.180 Sounded a nice thing?

00:26:37.640 Sure.

00:26:38.840 We're celebrating a $30 savings on very few drivers who drive over that bridge every day.

00:26:44.400 And I'm not downplaying this at all.

00:26:46.920 But this ain't exactly the big achievement you want to be ballyhooing right now when it's July 28th and the deadline for the trade deal is August 1st.

00:26:57.580 Maybe they pull a rabbit out of the hat.

00:26:59.220 Maybe they finally do slash supply management at the end of the day.

00:27:01.920 Maybe Trump gets cold feet and it's all been a negotiating tactic from Mark Carney that he's going to sit there stoically not doing anything.

00:27:08.920 And Trump's going to be like, I give in.

00:27:10.380 No tariffs.

00:27:11.680 Trump at least does things for a few months before pulling back.

00:27:14.740 It's his personality.

00:27:16.180 He will correct if a policy like tariffs is hurting him.

00:27:18.920 But he doesn't do it tomorrow.

00:27:21.280 He usually waits a couple months, tries to get a win, and then he moves on.

00:27:25.920 And even if he just moves on without us doing anything, we still ended up having our businesses get really damaged for two months in the year 2025.

00:27:33.120 But going down, it's a lot of stuff where he's like, effective August 1st, we're cutting tolls on the Confederation Bridge from $50 to $20 and cutting the fares on the interprovincial ferries in half in Atlantic Canada.

00:27:47.280 Canada's new government is bringing down costs and building one strong Canadian economy.

00:27:51.540 Except British Columbia is now going to have CCP-built ferries because this is actually an area where I agree with David Eby on.

00:27:58.580 It's kind of silly that British Columbia, like Alberta, now actually sends transfer payments to other provinces.

00:28:05.060 I know people say they don't actually send transfer payments.

00:28:07.280 It's just taking another portion of federal taxes.

00:28:09.580 Same difference, man.

00:28:11.400 That BC is sending transfer payments to the federal government, but the federal government doesn't actually fund the ferry system in BC, but they do fund the ferry system in the Maritimes that put $0 towards their own ferry system.

00:28:23.220 Or I think they do put money towards it, but the whole point is that they get lots more money in transfers, and then the federal government also sponsors the ferry system.

00:28:34.680 Here's him announcing it, cutting costs.

00:28:37.100 Look, he's hanging out with some guy from whatever, New Brunswick.

00:28:42.340 I don't know why he needs to go to a heritage site or whatever and talk to reenactors.

00:28:51.220 Apparently, this is deeply necessary for getting a deal with Donald Trump.

00:28:54.520 He's very impressed that he's making smoothies in the Northwest Territories in a place that he used to grow up in.

00:29:00.440 Great, great photo op.

00:29:02.980 Doesn't get us out of tariffs.

00:29:04.560 I wish there was just seriousness from the government.

00:29:07.040 And I don't like the friendly fire from some more moderate conservative saying, you shouldn't be saying that, like, you should just be sitting around criticizing Trump all the time.

00:29:15.820 Why are you criticizing the liberals?

00:29:17.100 Why are you attacking our team?

00:29:18.760 I'm not attacking your team.

00:29:19.740 I'm saying our team should play the game.

00:29:21.740 The game is set out in front of them.

00:29:23.260 We are an economy less than a tenth of the size in the United States, even though we should be bigger than the tenth because we have more than the tenth of their population.

00:29:31.040 But our politicians are incompetent. 0.99

00:29:33.240 Our policy and tax system sucks. 1.00

00:29:34.760 We do not have the position to fight back. 0.99

00:29:37.920 I've said it before, but Carney in the election made it sound like he was going to ride down to Washington, D.C. in an Abrams tank, jump out of it, and just slap Trump across the face while standing on the turd of the tank.

00:29:50.540 Was not going to happen.

00:29:51.900 There's no, like, pounding on the desk saying, I'm Mark Carney, hear me roar.

00:29:56.360 You know, I know how to deal with men like Donald Trump.

00:29:58.880 No, you don't, because apparently you're not negotiating.

00:30:00.960 By the way, getting rid of supply management would be good for Canada in general, even without doing anything else, because it's actually restricting the agricultural sectors in other provinces.

00:30:11.860 It buoys the sectors in Quebec and Ontario, making them less efficient, because when you're farming on quota, you can afford to be more inefficient.

00:30:20.260 But in Alberta, where 12% of the population is, there's only 7% of the quota given to it.

00:30:26.200 It's like the Soviet Union. 0.80

00:30:28.140 Different, more favorite states have higher amounts of wheat that they have to hand into the government, and other ones don't have to hand as much over.

00:30:34.800 So some areas do really well, and some areas are basically forced into poverty.

00:30:39.360 So that should be it for me today, guys, with this video.

00:30:45.220 I'm probably going to be back later on with reviews of some of the other stuff the Liberal Party is doing.

00:30:50.540 I also want to make more videos comparing Pierre Polyev and Mark Carney's approval rating.

00:30:56.480 There's this interesting abacus data study where they were going over what different people think about Mark Carney.

00:31:03.040 You know, what qualities they value in a leader, and do they think Mark Carney has one of those values?

00:31:08.400 It was telling that, like, the lowest value that people rated Mark Carney is having is the ability to change his mind if proven wrong on a policy.

00:31:17.760 Even 22% of Liberals actually agree that they don't think that Mark Carney changes his mind easily when presented with new evidence.

00:31:26.240 And that's at a time when he has a honeymoon bump to his approval.

00:31:31.560 He just became Prime Minister, he's up against Trump, so a lot of people are willing to think nice things about the guy.

00:31:37.180 But still, nearly a quarter of Liberals are saying, yeah, if he's wrong about something, he's not going to admit it or change his mind.

00:31:43.860 And I think that's what we've effectively seen on pipelines.

00:31:46.680 He made some noises about how he may want to prove a pipeline, but he really just set up the social infrastructure for somebody else to say no for himself.

00:31:54.240 And then he can say, oh, someone said no, I guess we can't do it, and then he runs away.

00:31:57.740 Same thing with Wab Canu.

00:31:59.080 Same thing with David Eby.

00:32:00.160 Same thing with Francois Legault.

00:32:01.940 They say yes on the surface, but they say, well, but the whole pipeline has to be privately funded, even though the government has made doing something a complete boondoggle.

00:32:10.200 Nobody would ever put private money into this because the government constantly pulls the rug out from under your feet.

00:32:15.540 So you'd have to have certain government guarantees for people to put money in.

00:32:19.060 Or you'll have Wab Canu saying, no, we need to consult with First Nations bands first.

00:32:22.740 And then Carney says the same thing as Wab, and then he also says, oh, but we also are going to do the same environmental inspections.

00:32:28.440 So basically, Bill C-5 doesn't mean anything.

00:32:31.160 The whole Get Stuff Done Act, which is what I call it, is not actually meant to get stuff done.

00:32:35.580 It's meant to pretend he wants to get stuff done while never getting stuff done.

00:32:39.040 But this is why the Conservatives voted with the Liberals for it, because they were giving Mark Carney the keys and saying, then do it.

00:32:45.920 And they're not doing it.

00:32:47.120 They're coming up with every excuse now as to why they shouldn't do it.

00:32:50.260 But that truly, it should be it for me.

00:32:55.080 But aren't you guys impressed?

00:32:56.380 Aren't you guys impressed that I actually have a set now?

00:32:58.680 And we can, if I can turn this quickly, we can actually go and draw things on the board.

00:33:04.900 I can, you know, Mark Carney.

00:33:10.740 Look at that.

00:33:12.040 It's like a real show, except you can barely see that.

00:33:14.240 But we'll sort that out at another time, another context, in order to actually make it usable.

00:33:20.900 But with that being said, see you guys all later.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - July 28, 2025

Carney's tariff strategy is FAILING - 208+ names on Battle River ballot in Pierre's byelection

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