The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Conservatives crushing Liberals with 21% lead

00:00:00.000 The old adage is correct. No matter how bad you think it currently is, it can always get worse.

00:00:06.520 And a new mainstream poll is out showing that the Conservatives are not just up like they've

00:00:12.060 normally been on the Liberals anywhere from 12 to 17 points. They are above the Liberals by 21

00:00:19.180 points. This is the largest lead that the Conservative Party has ever had since 2018.

00:00:25.040 It is currently 2024. So the biggest lead they've had in six years, and even back then in 2018,

00:00:31.120 that was with SNC-Lavalin and other scandals pushing the Conservatives up in the polls.

00:00:36.400 We are right now pretty much scandalous. I know that the arrive can thing is still going on, 1.00

00:00:42.320 arrive scam, but a lot of public doesn't really know too much about that one. I don't think it's

00:00:46.940 really peaked in the same way SNC-Lavalin is. So I think there's still room for the Conservatives to

00:00:52.080 gain even more share of the vote. Right now, they're at 46% according to Main Street, and they

00:00:57.900 tend to be quite accurate. They're only 4% away from getting literally majority territory in terms

00:01:04.320 of the popular vote. And when you take Quebec out, because they're only around 29% in Quebec in this

00:01:09.420 Main Street poll, which still actually puts them in first in Quebec because of how divided things are,

00:01:14.260 this, that put them above 50% in Anglo-Canada. English-Canada, the Conservatives are above 50%.

00:01:21.740 That poll literally put the Conservatives in the lead in the riding of Spadina Fort York in the

00:01:28.500 downtown area of Toronto. It is like the third or fourth most densely populated riding in the country.

00:01:35.460 And the Conservatives have the edge based on the last couple of polls that have come out. I'd love

00:01:40.180 to see Kevin Vong be the MP candidate there for the Conservatives or somewhere else. I'd love to see

00:01:45.260 Kevin stay in Parliament, and I really hope he does. And if he can stay in his own riding,

00:01:49.300 that would be amazing. But now I want to jump over to Abacus's data, a more deeper dive on what people

00:01:55.980 think of Justin Trudeau's performance when it comes to different areas of government, because

00:02:00.660 this is the most telling portion. The national polling numbers can say whatever they want,

00:02:05.580 because at the end of the day, most people just don't really, like, the national poll numbers can

00:02:10.620 change. People's emotions change about the government, and they maybe will go back to voting

00:02:15.020 Liberal before the next election, unless they have a fundamental belief that the current government

00:02:20.220 is just horrible at their jobs, and they don't trust them. This is why Trudeau was able to recover

00:02:25.340 from his, you know, from his, like, deficit in the polls back in 2018, because after SNC-Lavalin

00:02:31.380 ended, there was enough Canadians who still thought the Liberals had their best interests in mind

00:02:35.540 that they migrated back over. Not anymore. But before I get to that, I just quickly want to plug

00:02:41.200 the fact that I, Wyatt Claypool, I'm running for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party

00:02:45.900 nomination. If you live in these riding boundaries in Calgary, make sure you buy a membership vote for

00:02:51.660 me. My website's in the description below this video, wyattclaypool.com. If you know anyone in

00:02:58.180 this riding, get them to sign up. We want real conservatives representing strong conservative

00:03:02.120 ridings. I'm running against, like, 14 other people, most of whom don't live in the riding and are

00:03:06.980 barely conservative. A lot of Erin O'Toole types where all they'll say is they're against, like,

00:03:11.440 Justin Trudeau as a person. That's really it. Anyways, but here are the abacus data results.

00:03:18.020 The only thing right now that Justin Trudeau and the Liberals are above water on is responding to

00:03:23.980 Russia's invasion of Ukraine. And even then, I would argue that they've done a terrible job when 0.86

00:03:28.780 you actually know that they've basically deprived Ukraine of any actual useful aid. They've basically

00:03:34.700 just been sending cash and drones, which is kind of useless to Ukraine. So regardless of what you

00:03:39.760 think on Ukraine, they haven't even been great allies of them. They've been mostly just giving

00:03:44.240 them useless aid. And now what we have below that is working with the provinces. This one was close,

00:03:51.160 but we still have 50% of Canadians saying that the Liberals have done a terrible job and only 44%

00:03:57.020 saying they've done a good job. And even that's a very nebulous category. What does working with the

00:04:01.680 provinces really mean at the end of the day? And then we have running an ethical government.

00:04:06.740 54% of Canadians say they've done a terrible job and 40% of Canadians say that they've been doing a

00:04:12.740 good or acceptable job. Horrifying for them. Managing the economy. And this is where it basically just

00:04:18.520 wrecks and nobody likes them anymore. 61% they're doing a terrible job, bad or terrible job. Responding to

00:04:24.540 the crisis in healthcare. 61% poor or terrible. Managing the government's finances. 62% bad or terrible.

00:04:31.120 Addressing the rising costs of inflation. 71% bad or terrible. Making housing more affordable and

00:04:37.480 acceptable. 73% poor and terrible with only 23% saying good or acceptable. That is a death knell for

00:04:46.720 this government because they've staked all of their future electoral chances on the housing issue.

00:04:52.460 That's why they won't stop promoting how great of a job Sean Frazier is doing with his new housing

00:04:57.100 plan despite the fact that they're going to try and release a new housing plan this year

00:05:01.080 because the one they just rolled out didn't do very well. But you know, who's counting at this

00:05:06.220 point? But this is an issue that if I was advising the liberals, either they should actually try and do

00:05:11.760 a actually good job and lower immigration so that we can afford houses again. They're not going to do 1.00

00:05:16.980 that because they're ideologically committed to mass immigration. Or ignore the issue. But for some

00:05:22.840 reason, they won't ignore it. So every single day, Justin Trudeau, Chrystia Freeland and Sean Frazier

00:05:28.280 just sound a giant alarm and roll down the red flags around the housing issue so that everybody

00:05:34.240 knows how bad that they're doing. And it just came out the other day too, that really what the liberals

00:05:40.100 are doing with their stupid housing acceleration fund is bribing provinces or bribing cities in order 0.99

00:05:46.560 for them to eliminate all of their zoning laws. So they're not actually making it cheaper to build 0.99

00:05:51.320 homes in terms of lowering the amount of inspections that need to be done, speeding up the process so

00:05:56.280 that they can actually get to laying down foundations and building homes. No, no, no, they're just going

00:06:00.940 to get rid of zoning in order to try and reduce the cost. And if they do that, then the government

00:06:04.940 might throw a city like Calgary, you know, like $100 million in the next couple of years. It's not

00:06:10.860 actually going to make housing actually more affordable. And if anything, I guarantee that the

00:06:15.440 liberals are going to now take their leverage they have on cities in the next couple of years and start

00:06:20.280 trying to jam down even more environmental regulations onto the building of new homes that

00:06:25.960 you must build a home like this, that, or the other thing, or you don't get any of your federal

00:06:30.460 money. You might have solar panels on it, or you're not getting your housing acceleration fund cash.

00:06:36.020 And the conservatives and conservative counselors in different cities are basically saying this could

00:06:40.320 ruin our cities in favor of barely building any more homes. And again, the housing is not the problem.

00:06:46.260 It's the immigration that's the problem. I wish they actually would have pulled immigration on this 0.67

00:06:51.040 thing in abacus, because I don't think that they would be getting very good grades on immigration,

00:06:57.160 but I think the liberals are happy to not know how bad they're doing on immigration.

00:07:02.080 Is there anything else I can mention? Nothing really else other than the conservatives are still

00:07:06.320 stomping the liberals in every single demographic group. They're leading with young people,

00:07:11.480 middle-aged people, as well as the elderly, 18 to 29, 30 to 44, 45 to 59, 60 plus. The conservatives

00:07:19.380 smallest lead is with the Gen Z and younger millennials. 36% is what their share is. That's

00:07:28.420 insane. And the problem for the liberals is that they have no obvious base yet. At least the NDP

00:07:33.300 is in a solid second place with 18 to 29-year-olds. Everywhere else, the liberals do not punch in any sort

00:07:40.940 of significant degree of that demographic group. They have 28% of 60 plus, but the conservatives also

00:07:46.740 have 41%. So proportionately, the liberals are doing way worse with competing for older voters

00:07:53.340 than the NDP are doing competing for younger voters alongside the CPC. It's basically over. I don't think

00:08:01.080 I could put a finer point on it. But that should be it for me today. Again, reminder, I, Wyatt Claypool,

00:08:06.680 I'm running for the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination. I know there's usually at least

00:08:11.180 3,000 of you, 4,000 of you who are watching me from the city of Calgary. So as a practice for the

00:08:17.480 channel, go check which riding that you live in. See if you live in these riding boundaries. The riding

00:08:22.120 boundaries are changing. So if you generally live in this side of Calgary on the west side, check where

00:08:27.520 you live, buy a membership, vote for me. I guarantee a bunch of you live here and you don't even know it.

00:08:32.040 And then also, if you want to contribute to the National Telegraph's legal fund, there's a

00:08:37.140 Give, Send, Go link in the description below. We're being sued by a billionaire developer for

00:08:42.020 defamation. Defamation that he cannot prove and has submitted no evidence to prove. But he's still

00:08:46.720 been dragging out this court case for over two years because a guest writer of ours once mentioned him

00:08:52.260 in an article about where Erin O'Toole was getting fundraising money from. And in referencing this

00:08:56.680 man, she just happened to just mention like a Globe and Mail report about him. So we literally

00:09:03.020 reported nothing new about him other than he was donating to Erin O'Toole and then just linked a

00:09:07.540 Globe and Mail article that was an in-depth investigation of him. And he apparently never

00:09:11.620 sued them for investigating him because he knew the Globe and Mail would stomp him in court, but he just

00:09:16.380 didn't assume that, I was 21 at the time, that a 21-year-old would actually fight back.

00:09:21.140 So we're over $26,000 deep in that lawsuit. So anything you can contribute, oh goodness,

00:09:27.200 my talking, anything you can contribute really helps us reduce the burden of our costs.

00:09:32.080 Anyways, thanks for watching guys. See you next time. Like, share, and subscribe.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - March 11, 2024

Conservatives crushing Liberals with 21% lead

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