The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Conservatives leads Liberals in new poll - Carney approval goes negative!

00:00:00.240 Ahoy everyone, Wyatt Claypool here, back again to break down some Canadian national polling numbers.

00:00:06.520 Before I get into the content of the video today, I do just quickly want to thank everyone who signed up for the channel's membership program.

00:00:14.680 It makes the channel far more sustainable for me and makes me less reliant on YouTube's notoriously fickle algorithm.

00:00:21.940 So if you haven't joined, I would encourage you to do it. It does make the channel far more viable for me.

00:00:27.560 But now, let's get into the numbers, and you will quickly realize why Prime Minister Mark Carney wants to try and get a majority government without facing a new federal election.

00:00:38.920 Because he probably wouldn't win a new federal election, and I can assure you, even if another conservative crosses the floor giving the liberals a majority,

00:00:48.300 there would still likely be a new election sometime in 2026 or early 2027.

00:00:54.940 The problem is, is that currently the conservatives and liberals have a pairing agreement.

00:01:01.080 That means if one liberal decides that they just can't vote, they have to go on vacation, they have to go on medical leave or something like that for a couple of weeks,

00:01:10.100 what will happen is on the other side, a conservative will also agree to not vote,

00:01:16.020 which means that nothing's actually changing in terms of the balance of power.

00:01:20.280 However, if the liberals got another conservative to sort of pathetically cross the floor and join their ranks to give them a majority,

00:01:28.460 the conservatives would rip up this agreement, meaning that if a liberal cannot make it to parliament to vote,

00:01:34.460 a conservative is not pairing off with them, and the conservatives will get very aggressive

00:01:39.080 and fight every single thing the liberals are doing tooth and nail.

00:01:42.360 Unlike provincial legislatures, in the federal parliament, an opposition, even if there is a majority liberal government,

00:01:50.520 they can actually stall their agenda quite well.

00:01:53.880 They can throw a lot of amendments at them, a lot of motions at them,

00:01:57.240 they can constantly vote on tiny little things about the liberals' legislation,

00:02:01.000 and unless the liberals have a big supermajority of like 200 seats, it's very difficult for them to shut this stuff down,

00:02:08.480 especially when the conservatives are not allowing the liberals to pair off any of their MPs who cannot make it to vote.

00:02:14.360 Remember, the liberals are actually quite an old party at this point,

00:02:18.260 they have a lot of MPs who are actually over the age of 70,

00:02:21.560 and yeah, a lot of 70-year-olds can absolutely do the job fine,

00:02:25.400 but the problem is when you can't even take a break,

00:02:27.720 yeah, some of these people are going to be living through a fairly torturous time in parliament if that ends up happening.

00:02:35.360 But now, let's get into the numbers that just came out from Main Street Research today

00:02:39.540 that should be worrying for Prime Minister Mark Carney.

00:02:43.460 So, Main Street Research's new poll of around 1,000 people, I think it's like 1,300 people or so,

00:02:49.500 it has Mark Carney's liberals currently at 41% of the vote.

00:02:56.180 Now, I don't want to write down the conservatives yet,

00:02:59.080 I want to go to the other parties just to show that we are still very much in the same two-party race

00:03:05.600 that we were back in the last federal election.

00:03:09.040 The NDP, who still doesn't have an official leader right now, is only at 6% in the vote.

00:03:16.860 And then the Bloc Québécois, doing actually a little bit better,

00:03:20.140 especially considering they only run in Quebec, are actually at 7% now,

00:03:25.200 but that only represents a national 1% growth since the last federal election.

00:03:31.180 Now, 7% is actually quite good for the Bloc, 1.00

00:03:33.480 they may actually be able to scrape back a handful of seats from the liberals in Quebec

00:03:37.340 with that sort of performance.

00:03:39.220 But the real thing that should be worrying the liberals here

00:03:42.400 is obviously the number I have not yet written down for the conservatives.

00:03:45.420 Now, in all previous mainstream research polling that's been done since the election,

00:03:52.360 the conservatives have been trailing, and sometimes trailing by quite a bit.

00:03:56.900 Six or seven points, five points, three points, but they've been trailing.

00:04:00.640 If another election happened with those previous numbers, they would lose.

00:04:04.400 In this poll, the conservatives are actually leading, in fact,

00:04:08.360 not by a massive margin, but they're leading by 1%,

00:04:12.000 and they are sitting at 42%, yes, it is in the margin of error.

00:04:17.040 But the problem is, for the liberals,

00:04:19.200 is that the conservative vote has become far more efficient than theirs is.

00:04:23.820 What that means is that if each party had 100,000 votes nationally,

00:04:29.800 you would maybe say that that would turn into, for the conservatives,

00:04:33.880 I'm trying to ballpark this, like, let's say,

00:04:36.040 for the liberals, it's four and a half seats or whatever.

00:04:38.800 Every 100,000 votes they get, it's equal to about four and a half seats

00:04:43.100 that they're winning across the country.

00:04:44.780 For the conservatives, that may mean they're actually winning

00:04:46.920 five seats across the country for every 100,000 votes they're getting.

00:04:51.160 Now, that's not an exact science, but you get my point.

00:04:54.280 The conservatives are winning a lot more votes every time they go up a little bit,

00:04:58.780 or they're winning a lot more seats every time they go up a little bit in the polls

00:05:01.440 compared to the liberals.

00:05:02.900 So if the conservatives are leading by one point,

00:05:05.220 that means they're winning a lot more seats than the liberals

00:05:07.640 because they already had the more efficient vote,

00:05:09.960 and now they're winning the national popular vote.

00:05:13.560 I even want to bring up what Sheree Attiste said that this poll

00:05:16.860 would result in in terms of the seat count.

00:05:19.260 He is a very good polling projectionist.

00:05:21.840 I believe he's only 17 years old,

00:05:24.120 and my hat goes off to that guy because he's fantastic at what he does.

00:05:28.360 But right now, he currently shows that this result would end up giving,

00:05:34.380 if I can bring this back on the screen for myself,

00:05:36.840 this would mean that the liberals would end up getting 139 seats.

00:05:42.480 The conservatives would get 173 seats.

00:05:49.840 The NDP would actually fall more to just three seats down from the seven

00:05:54.160 that they currently have.

00:05:55.740 And the Bloc Québécois would get 27 seats,

00:05:59.500 with one more seat going to the Green Party.

00:06:02.520 That would be a majority government for the conservatives

00:06:06.060 with an extra one just in case.

00:06:08.900 Obviously, you want a big majority,

00:06:10.520 but that is a majority government.

00:06:13.780 Now, I want to quickly just erase the board here,

00:06:16.500 and we'll come back and we'll go over the regional numbers

00:06:18.980 because the regionals is where things are really not going well for the liberals.

00:06:23.200 If it was this close, depending on the regionals,

00:06:26.060 the liberals actually could, in fact, be doing better.

00:06:28.800 The problem is the conservatives are doing well

00:06:31.340 in the places they need to be doing well

00:06:33.220 in order to win the next election.

00:06:36.860 We're back, and I want to show you guys the regional polling

00:06:40.340 specifically in three regions that are considered swing areas

00:06:44.780 for a federal election.

00:06:46.920 I didn't want to include Atlantic Canada

00:06:48.800 because it can get a little bit complicated.

00:06:50.980 Atlantic Canada polling is also kind of difficult

00:06:53.000 because the population is so low,

00:06:54.680 which is why we never do territorial polling

00:06:57.460 because the territories all combined are like the equivalent

00:07:00.720 of like maybe a little bit more than the population

00:07:03.620 of a single riding in somewhere like Ontario or Alberta.

00:07:08.380 But let's go through Ontario, BC, and Quebec,

00:07:10.920 and I will write down the results for each of the parties

00:07:13.300 in these regions according to the new Main Street poll.

00:07:16.960 So right now, Carney's Liberal Party has 43% in Ontario.

00:07:27.420 In BC, they have 42% of the vote,

00:07:32.480 which isn't too bad for them out there.

00:07:35.980 42.

00:07:37.100 And in Quebec, they have 39%.

00:07:41.060 Now, the Conservative Party, let's go in reverse order.

00:07:45.120 Naturally, they don't do extremely well in Quebec,

00:07:47.940 and they have 20% in Quebec.

00:07:50.620 In British Columbia, they have 42%, tying with the Liberals.

00:07:55.360 And in Ontario, they are in fact leading,

00:07:58.620 and they have 48% of the vote.

00:08:03.340 With the NDP, I'll just quickly fill in their performance.

00:08:07.820 It doesn't really matter so much.

00:08:09.520 In Quebec, they're only at 4%.

00:08:11.860 In British Columbia, they have 9%.

00:08:15.420 And in Ontario, they are at 5%.

00:08:18.980 And then we will just quickly say what the Bloc Quebecois is

00:08:21.980 in Quebec, as they are obviously the second biggest player

00:08:25.300 when it comes to that particular province.

00:08:31.260 And in there, they have 31% in Quebec.

00:08:37.820 Which means that they would actually be clawing

00:08:39.520 quite a bit of the vote back from the Liberals.

00:08:42.340 Now, this might not mean much to you right now,

00:08:45.000 but I want to show you what the Liberals,

00:08:46.480 or I want to tell you what the Liberals had

00:08:47.980 in the previous election, in the actual last election

00:08:51.160 in these different regions.

00:08:53.240 So, in Ontario, this would in fact be,

00:08:57.380 I believe, an underperformance for them.

00:08:59.340 Yes.

00:08:59.980 In Ontario, they would be down.

00:09:02.460 They had 49% of the vote in the last federal election.

00:09:06.220 They are down by 6 points in Ontario.

00:09:10.540 In BC, they ended up getting, in the last election,

00:09:14.840 41% of the vote.

00:09:16.240 So, this is effectively held holding stable.

00:09:18.960 They're at 41.8% last time.

00:09:21.300 This is effectively no change for both the Conservatives

00:09:23.680 and the Liberals since the last election.

00:09:25.740 And in Quebec, the Liberals' last election

00:09:28.420 had 42% of the vote.

00:09:30.000 And so, they have fallen by 3%.

00:09:33.680 Now, these are not earth-shattering changes.

00:09:37.280 They're not, like, going down by, like, 40%

00:09:40.060 of what they had in these different regions.

00:09:41.980 They're going down marginally,

00:09:44.020 but marginal, these marginal differences

00:09:46.660 is what decides who's actually winning.

00:09:49.680 Sometimes people see numbers like this,

00:09:51.920 and they're like, oh, my goodness.

00:09:53.180 How could, when you go back to the national numbers,

00:09:55.600 how could 41% of people be voting Liberal?

00:09:58.520 Well, there's a lot of federal employees.

00:10:00.960 There's a lot of people who live in safe neighborhoods

00:10:03.520 and who already own their own homes.

00:10:05.560 So, they don't really care that the economy sucks.

00:10:07.720 They don't notice it.

00:10:08.680 They don't notice that crimes and drugs are really bad.

00:10:10.880 They live in a nice area.

00:10:12.260 Hey, they work for the federal government.

00:10:13.640 They're incentivized to vote for the Liberals.

00:10:15.320 But if the Liberals start falling behind,

00:10:17.680 especially in places like Ontario,

00:10:20.020 where they've fallen behind by five points

00:10:22.580 behind the Conservatives,

00:10:23.960 when in Ontario, in the federal election,

00:10:26.500 they, in fact, beat the Conservatives

00:10:28.140 by about five or six points,

00:10:31.860 yes, this is going to be a big reversal

00:10:34.120 in the next election.

00:10:35.080 Effectively, the Conservatives are now

00:10:36.920 where Carney was back in April.

00:10:39.660 But in just a second here,

00:10:41.160 I need to show you the most shocking numbers

00:10:42.860 that came out of this Main Street poll,

00:10:44.680 and that is Canadians seemingly turning

00:10:47.400 on Mark Carney himself.

00:10:49.320 A lot of people are getting kind of sick of him.

00:10:51.540 It seems like all of his big promises

00:10:53.400 not actually coming to fruition

00:10:55.180 is making a lot of people think

00:10:56.900 they've been ripped off.

00:10:58.180 And so now his positive ratings

00:11:00.380 are starting to be overwhelmed

00:11:01.860 by the people who really don't like him anymore.

00:11:05.420 But I'm just going to clear the board

00:11:06.400 and then we will come back with that stuff.

00:11:09.680 So now let's do Prime Minister Mark Carney's approval.

00:11:13.640 We'll also move on to pure poly of afterwards,

00:11:17.080 although I will say it really doesn't matter

00:11:19.760 what the opposition leader's approval rating

00:11:22.100 and disapproval rating are

00:11:23.280 unless it's catastrophically bad.

00:11:25.500 You have to be in a really bad place

00:11:27.220 as the opposition leader

00:11:28.560 before it's actually going to start

00:11:30.140 damaging your, I guess, your prospects,

00:11:33.780 because it really just,

00:11:35.080 the main thing that matters, frankly,

00:11:36.840 is just, is the leader of the country,

00:11:38.800 is the leader of the province doing a good job?

00:11:40.580 Yes or no, the opposition leader

00:11:42.840 is just kind of where automatically people vote.

00:11:45.560 The opposition leader's party

00:11:46.660 is where people just go and put their votes

00:11:48.400 if they don't like the performance

00:11:49.640 of the guy currently in office,

00:11:50.920 even if they don't love the guy in opposition.

00:11:53.880 But we have Carney right here

00:11:55.960 and we will go first

00:11:57.260 through his positive approval rating.

00:12:00.680 They break it down at Main Street

00:12:02.320 between strongly in favor

00:12:04.360 and somewhat in favor of him.

00:12:06.420 So with strongly in favor,

00:12:08.760 we have Mark Carney

00:12:10.080 currently sitting with

00:12:11.560 about 17% of Canadians

00:12:15.200 who think that he is doing a very good job.

00:12:18.400 They are strongly in favor of him.

00:12:21.060 And that is followed by

00:12:23.140 a larger group of people

00:12:25.920 who are somewhat in favor of him.

00:12:30.800 Someone tried to call me.

00:12:32.500 I can't take up the phone right now.

00:12:34.240 with 27% of people somewhat in favor.

00:12:38.120 And after that, though,

00:12:40.100 we go into the disfavorable numbers.

00:12:43.400 I'm dropping stuff now.

00:12:44.640 Goodness, people.

00:12:46.220 I don't like this marker.

00:12:47.900 It does not show up very well,

00:12:49.360 but you can kind of see

00:12:50.020 what I'm going for here, guys.

00:12:52.160 27.

00:12:52.780 I think you guys can kind of see that on camera.

00:12:56.480 It's going to force me to write it

00:12:57.620 with a different thing.

00:12:59.800 I feel like a teacher right now

00:13:01.680 and I don't want to feel like a teacher.

00:13:04.060 I know why teachers get frustrated.

00:13:06.980 We'll just have to write this with that one.

00:13:09.200 So 27 are somewhat in favor.

00:13:11.840 But now let's go to disapproval.

00:13:14.940 So with somewhat disapproval,

00:13:17.740 people who are somewhat not in favor of Carney,

00:13:20.560 that is also 17% of voters.

00:13:25.500 But you will notice going through this

00:13:27.940 that there seems to be a larger number

00:13:30.200 not yet here.

00:13:31.580 And that is people very much strongly

00:13:34.560 not in favor of Mark Carney,

00:13:36.660 which is a number that is higher

00:13:39.180 than all the others at 32%.

00:13:42.580 So right now, Carney is, I believe,

00:13:45.760 four points underwater overall.

00:13:48.380 This is the first time

00:13:49.940 in an approval rating poll

00:13:52.280 that Mark Carney has not actually had

00:13:54.680 a positive approval rating.

00:13:56.520 And Mainstream, Main Street Research

00:13:59.040 is a very consistent pollster.

00:14:01.200 They were very accurate in the last election.

00:14:03.100 I don't think they've suddenly become inaccurate.

00:14:05.420 Their numbers look pretty realistic to me.

00:14:09.040 If we now go to Polyev,

00:14:11.780 let's just look at his numbers

00:14:12.880 just for comparison here.

00:14:14.040 It's always such a weird name to write down.

00:14:20.540 I'm sorry, Pierre.

00:14:21.980 But Polyev is actually doing relatively well

00:14:25.260 considering all of the flack

00:14:26.820 he ends up usually getting in the media.

00:14:29.360 He currently has an approval rating.

00:14:32.020 Let's go to blue for Polyev.

00:14:34.360 The people who are very favorable towards Polyev

00:14:38.100 are 26%.

00:14:40.500 Those somewhat in favor of Polyev

00:14:43.800 are at 19%.

00:14:46.940 And then after that,

00:14:51.100 we only actually have

00:14:52.840 11% somewhat not in favor.

00:14:58.880 And then, obviously,

00:15:00.840 there's a lot of hatred for Pierre Polyev

00:15:02.460 in left-wing circles.

00:15:04.080 He does have a disapproval rating of 34%.

00:15:06.940 But overall,

00:15:08.560 he ain't doing that bad.

00:15:10.800 I'm actually not sure.

00:15:11.840 I'd have to add that up

00:15:12.580 because I'm not great at math

00:15:13.620 of which one is bigger here.

00:15:16.080 That's 45% for the disapproval,

00:15:19.220 10%.

00:15:20.100 Yeah, so like he's only underwater

00:15:22.140 by about five points or so overall

00:15:24.680 compared to Mark Carney

00:15:26.280 who's underwater by four.

00:15:27.940 That's a great improvement

00:15:29.220 if you're pure Polyev.

00:15:31.120 Again, this is why Mark Carney

00:15:32.840 does not want a new federal election.

00:15:35.100 Compared to Polyev,

00:15:35.820 he's not doing that well

00:15:37.180 even in the favorability numbers.

00:15:39.320 And nationally,

00:15:40.100 people don't like his party

00:15:41.500 because, again,

00:15:42.820 they ended up in the last election

00:15:44.660 promising that they were going to

00:15:46.220 get the trade deal done

00:15:47.500 with Donald Trump,

00:15:48.280 that they were going to be

00:15:48.840 more fiscally responsible,

00:15:50.360 that they were going to get

00:15:51.140 major projects done.

00:15:52.600 And anyone who's been paying attention,

00:15:55.020 whose vote is changeable,

00:15:56.760 is generally not liking

00:15:58.120 what they're seeing

00:15:58.740 with the Carney liberal government.

00:16:00.420 It's a lot of sort of theatrics,

00:16:02.820 but nothing really substantially

00:16:05.000 that's changed

00:16:05.920 in the positive direction.

00:16:07.720 Again, we have no trade deal.

00:16:09.280 In fact, we have Carney

00:16:10.120 chasing around Trump

00:16:11.000 trying to just get him

00:16:11.800 back to the table at this point.

00:16:13.860 The actual budget

00:16:14.860 was just full of more

00:16:16.360 entitlement spending,

00:16:18.100 more operational budget spending

00:16:19.680 that they were trying to pretend

00:16:20.700 was somehow a big investment.

00:16:22.540 It's not.

00:16:23.380 A lot of people in the business community

00:16:24.700 were not going to be impressed by that.

00:16:26.420 And that's the main demographic.

00:16:27.880 The liberals are at risk

00:16:29.140 of losing on their right flank.

00:16:31.200 They may start losing their green left

00:16:33.560 because of the MOU

00:16:35.000 they signed with Premier Daniel Smith,

00:16:36.800 even though it's not going to result

00:16:38.040 in a pipeline,

00:16:38.780 it's meant to never result

00:16:40.000 in a pipeline.

00:16:41.300 But then on his right flank,

00:16:43.360 Carney is at risk of losing

00:16:44.920 what we call the business liberals.

00:16:48.260 And I have to address something

00:16:49.680 before the end of this video,

00:16:50.960 because it honestly gets under my skin

00:16:52.820 when people look at the numbers

00:16:55.100 and they say,

00:16:56.000 well, in preferred prime minister polling,

00:16:58.380 actually, Polyev isn't that popular.

00:17:00.140 So we had, for some reason,

00:17:03.500 Rupa Supramania has become

00:17:04.880 a massive Mark Carney cheerleader here.

00:17:07.800 And I need to show this

00:17:08.760 just to show the point

00:17:09.760 that some people are trying to make.

00:17:12.040 So when she has quote tweeted

00:17:13.960 the numbers from Philip J. Fournier

00:17:17.380 going over the federal numbers,

00:17:19.700 sort of starting to shift

00:17:20.760 more towards the conservatives

00:17:22.540 or at the very least

00:17:23.500 the liberal support softening.

00:17:25.440 And she says,

00:17:26.380 the CPC and liberals

00:17:28.000 are in a dead heat in many polls,

00:17:29.540 but people seem to prefer

00:17:30.760 Carney as prime minister

00:17:31.800 over Polyev.

00:17:33.000 This is puzzling

00:17:33.740 because if you don't like Polyev,

00:17:35.340 you shouldn't be inclined

00:17:36.300 to vote for the CPC,

00:17:37.840 right?

00:17:38.480 Thoughts.

00:17:39.280 And she's been extremely critical

00:17:40.700 of Polyev

00:17:41.480 and been very praised,

00:17:43.100 giving a lot of praise

00:17:44.100 to Mark Carney

00:17:44.800 over the last few weeks.

00:17:46.160 And I would just tell her,

00:17:47.040 like, it's almost like

00:17:47.760 preferred prime minister polling

00:17:49.120 doesn't mean much.

00:17:50.340 I care more so

00:17:51.260 what people think of them

00:17:52.160 as individuals,

00:17:53.280 not who you prefer

00:17:54.460 as prime minister.

00:17:55.160 Because people will select Carney

00:17:57.340 saying they prefer him

00:17:58.880 based on completely

00:18:00.020 different metrics.

00:18:01.340 You're an NDP

00:18:02.080 or you're a Bloc Quebecois voter

00:18:03.880 and you say you prefer Carney

00:18:05.340 because you know

00:18:05.760 your guy's never going to be

00:18:06.900 prime minister.

00:18:07.820 Or you're a conservative

00:18:08.960 who thinks,

00:18:10.080 hey, you don't understand

00:18:10.960 the question.

00:18:11.540 You're like,

00:18:11.880 why?

00:18:12.200 I think that Carney

00:18:13.080 should be prime minister

00:18:13.860 because he has the most seats.

00:18:15.140 It's a very dumb question

00:18:17.860 to ask voters.

00:18:19.420 Ask them a simple question.

00:18:20.780 Do you like Carney?

00:18:21.620 Do you not like Carney?

00:18:22.400 Do you like Polyev?

00:18:22.960 Do you not like Polyev?

00:18:23.780 If you start matching them up

00:18:25.680 and pairing them up together,

00:18:27.140 it ends up just muddying

00:18:29.220 the entire thing.

00:18:30.140 Ask them which party

00:18:31.020 they're voting for

00:18:31.760 because that is actually

00:18:32.880 their voting intention.

00:18:35.280 Voting conservative

00:18:36.040 but liking Carney's personality

00:18:38.080 more than Polyev

00:18:38.840 doesn't prevent your

00:18:39.880 conservative vote

00:18:40.840 from being counted.

00:18:42.180 It's just a dumb metric

00:18:43.360 that allows the media

00:18:44.120 to point to it

00:18:44.800 to try and shame Polyev.

00:18:45.780 Oh, look,

00:18:46.560 more people on the left

00:18:47.660 like him more than you.

00:18:49.460 And it's like,

00:18:50.060 well, that's not surprising.

00:18:51.180 We're in a country

00:18:52.040 where it's pretty polarized

00:18:53.140 between left and right.

00:18:54.740 And so conservatives

00:18:55.480 will say they like Polyev

00:18:56.700 and then everyone on the left

00:18:58.240 will say they like Carney

00:18:59.060 because he's the only one

00:19:00.160 of the lefty leaders

00:19:01.260 who can actually

00:19:02.000 end up becoming prime minister.

00:19:04.220 But anyways,

00:19:05.300 you don't need me

00:19:06.460 to ramble on about that again.

00:19:08.220 But hopefully you've liked

00:19:09.220 this breakdown of the numbers.

00:19:10.800 We've had more polls

00:19:11.900 coming out

00:19:12.460 from places like Abacus Data

00:19:13.880 that I want to break down

00:19:15.200 as well in the future

00:19:16.140 because they have some

00:19:16.860 issue by issue polling

00:19:18.040 where they show

00:19:18.720 which party Canadians

00:19:20.160 trust more with

00:19:21.040 some of these major issues.

00:19:22.580 And although the liberals

00:19:23.500 do rank higher

00:19:24.500 than the conservatives

00:19:25.340 on many of the issues,

00:19:27.200 the conservatives rank

00:19:28.180 higher than the liberals

00:19:29.300 on just as many issues

00:19:31.040 and their leads

00:19:32.100 tend to be far more robust

00:19:33.820 than the leads

00:19:34.500 that the liberals have

00:19:35.460 on the issues

00:19:36.340 where they have a minor edge

00:19:37.580 over the conservatives.

00:19:39.400 But anyways,

00:19:40.280 with that all being said,

00:19:41.560 again,

00:19:41.960 thank you for those

00:19:42.620 who have signed up

00:19:43.400 for the membership

00:19:44.360 for this channel.

00:19:45.300 I will be coming back

00:19:46.940 with another video tomorrow,

00:19:48.280 potentially breaking down

00:19:49.140 the polls as well

00:19:50.100 as some of the other news

00:19:51.380 we've been having

00:19:52.020 come out of federal politics

00:19:53.780 around controversy

00:19:54.900 over floor crossings

00:19:56.060 and whatnot.

00:19:57.300 And on 1BC stuff,

00:19:58.840 I know people want me

00:19:59.620 to talk about that.

00:20:00.740 We are currently in a situation

00:20:02.720 where I am backing

00:20:04.220 Dallas Brody

00:20:05.040 against those who

00:20:06.100 are effectively trying

00:20:07.420 to steal the party

00:20:08.760 from her

00:20:09.260 and we are in a phase

00:20:10.440 of negotiating

00:20:11.220 and in a bit

00:20:12.020 of a ceasefire here.

00:20:13.440 So we have agreed

00:20:14.340 to stop posting things

00:20:15.740 that are negative

00:20:16.560 against the people 0.98

00:20:17.360 who are wronging us,

00:20:19.280 mostly because they

00:20:20.060 did not bargain

00:20:20.960 for as much heat

00:20:21.820 as they ended up getting.

00:20:23.380 And so we are in the process

00:20:24.900 of trying to actually

00:20:25.820 come to an amicable end

00:20:27.700 that allows for Dallas Brody

00:20:29.160 to remain as the leader

00:20:30.500 of the party.

00:20:31.280 And if they don't play ball well,

00:20:33.080 there is going to be

00:20:33.700 one way or another

00:20:34.420 that Dallas Brody

00:20:35.240 is going to get back control

00:20:36.840 of what is rightfully hers

00:20:38.300 and I am going to support her

00:20:39.640 absolutely to the end on this

00:20:41.680 and she is not going

00:20:42.400 to be desisting

00:20:43.460 from her mission

00:20:44.180 in any way whatsoever.

00:20:46.120 In fact,

00:20:46.440 she has been doing events

00:20:47.520 over these past few days

00:20:48.620 at the same time

00:20:49.720 that the looters

00:20:50.760 who have taken over

00:20:51.620 her party

00:20:52.160 are sitting around

00:20:53.220 just complaining at her.

00:20:54.720 It is almost like

00:20:55.220 she is the real deal 0.75

00:20:56.280 and they are sitting around

00:20:57.400 basically trying

00:20:58.300 to control her

00:20:59.220 and when they couldn't

00:21:00.140 they tried to basically

00:21:01.180 nuke everything

00:21:02.080 on their way out.

00:21:03.220 But that is as much

00:21:04.480 as I can say at this point.

00:21:06.240 Anyways,

00:21:06.960 with all that being said,

00:21:07.940 thank you guys for watching

00:21:08.760 and I will see you all

00:21:09.740 later.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - December 17, 2025

Conservatives leads Liberals in new poll - Carney approval goes negative!

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