The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Conservatives polling surge - Debates Happening Soon!

00:00:00.000 ahoy everyone bit of a later stream but i am heading out to ottawa tomorrow the ottawa area

00:00:09.320 so i was thinking either tonight's better than me doing this in a horrible hotel room set

00:00:15.420 although i'll probably do a stream while i'm in ottawa at some point i think jasmine lane and some

00:00:21.580 other people had invited me to do some sort of a debate live stream so i'll probably be watching

00:00:27.340 the live the the debate live in some capacity maybe i'll be doing it solo maybe i'll be doing

00:00:32.720 it with a bunch of other people i have no clue but today we actually have some fun stuff to talk

00:00:38.660 about because the polls are looking quite good for the conservatives and we're talking about polls that

00:00:44.140 were never good for the conservatives in the sense that throughout the entire election the conservatives

00:00:49.320 were behind four or five to even eight points it was going to show in more than 200 liberal seat

00:00:55.120 victory and apparently main street research is now going to be showing a conservative lead tomorrow

00:01:01.240 and not an insignificant one i've heard it's like three or four point conservative lead today it was

00:01:07.100 effectively a tie with leaning voters added in the liberals were ahead by like 0.4 but if you take

00:01:13.620 out the leaners and you just assume anyone who's only leading leaning is kind of undecided at this

00:01:19.700 point actually the conservatives were ahead with certain to vote people uh hello frog kiss uh carny

00:01:28.080 sucks well i agree with that so uh hud do you think we're going to get a majority government wyatt

00:01:33.780 no i do not at this point i don't think the conservatives have enough support out there to be able to win a

00:01:41.140 majority i think that we are leaning into a conservative minority being more likely this is the bad news

00:01:48.240 if you're looking for a majority i would say that the liberals currently have a better track for

00:01:54.080 winning a majority for winning a government i think the conservatives have a better chance

00:01:58.480 that's the weird thing about this election i think the conservatives at the current moment and i'm not

00:02:03.520 just talking about the polls as they are because sometimes the polls um the polls don't really add

00:02:09.220 in turnout they don't add in momentum i think the conservatives have momentum i think with high

00:02:13.700 turnout young men will turn out that will help out a lot um so i would say the conservatives have a

00:02:18.880 better chance of winning a government but if we're talking about a majority i think the liberals actually

00:02:24.860 have the advantage for that but that's kind of always been true uh jonah k thank you for saying

00:02:31.880 this why does loki hilarious also the funny thing is when i first started making videos i wasn't even

00:02:36.680 attempting to be funny but it's just the way i say things sometimes i guess but now i lean into it

00:02:41.740 obviously uh knowing what people think is funny that i say uh bumpy johnson says niagara south is

00:02:48.240 dominated by cpc signs 330 at canada still shows libs ahead in this area uh signs ratio at this point

00:02:54.640 is 10 to 1 i was talking to an elected official in canada as of like a couple hours ago and they made

00:03:01.640 a really good point to me that in fact the conservatives even in the polling even in areas

00:03:07.960 where it seems like a more of a battleground you'll notice that the liberals have way fewer

00:03:12.580 signs than conservatives that doesn't exactly mean the conservatives will win the riding maybe they

00:03:17.920 just ordered 2 000 signs ahead of time the liberals being sluggish but the liberal still has more

00:03:22.060 support at the very least i think it's demonstrating what we know from the rally sizes and some other

00:03:28.580 indicators those who are saying they're voting conservative are like 90 likely to stick with

00:03:34.940 that whereas liberals it's more of a you know 65 35 in terms of confident voters and people who are

00:03:42.280 willing to move if things you know go pear shape for carny at the debate um palera pacific says i swear

00:03:49.920 it feels like the pollsters sample the same exact people you are kind of right about that they actually

00:03:55.220 do sample the same people in the sense that main street or ipsos or especially ecos with they are 0.96

00:04:03.240 online samples what they will end up doing is that uh they will have a sample of anywhere from like

00:04:10.460 10 000 people to 100 000 people that they ask political questions to and they will ask you know

00:04:16.320 1500 a thousand people a question that i think the average they should probably have a couple hundred

00:04:21.460 thousand people that they could potentially randomly draw from but they aren't always just getting more

00:04:26.620 people uh in their samples so the problem is if you have a bad sample you're never going to get a

00:04:33.000 real realistic result out of that bad sample except for complete happenstance that's the thing with

00:04:38.780 ecos ecos is a sample that is so bad that an outlier poll is in fact a realistic poll their average poll

00:04:46.800 sucks that's the problem when people call you a poll denier for saying this poll looks like crap

00:04:52.380 because how can you not be a poll denier to some extent if you are a poll truster i guess is the uh

00:04:59.400 the other opposite version of this you're delusional we have polls that have the conservatives up by like

00:05:05.380 two or three and we have polls that have the liberals up by 15 so are they both correct because that

00:05:12.140 doesn't seem right d-man wyatt for calgary west you know if it was ever honestly if it was ever

00:05:18.860 unoccupied i'd go for it but right now i think um i think mike ellis is somebody that you would you

00:05:24.980 could say that you wouldn't be able to find that many flaws with mike ellis is a good uh mla and also

00:05:30.060 of course he's the deputy premier so not exactly a big reason to get rid of him uh b says thoughts on

00:05:37.280 cory to nike i'm gonna get to that later i wanted to play some clips of him on cbc in general i don't

00:05:43.060 like cory to nike i don't like a lot of inside uh campaign operatives who are lifers because the

00:05:49.400 lifer campaign operatives tend to skew very red tory maybe they didn't start off that way but i

00:05:55.600 think there is something that happens when you're in ottawa too long in fact i'm actually going to

00:06:00.160 ottawa tomorrow i'm going to be helping on the nepean campaign canada maybe i'll do a day in carlton

00:06:05.320 i mentioned this my last video um marco peruza thank you for the ten dollar super chat looks like the

00:06:11.780 conservatives are quietly building a new base especially among 18 to 24 year old males and union

00:06:16.940 workers i don't think the polls are fully picking that up curious what you think and you are right

00:06:21.920 there it's not that the polls are rigged exactly and this is what i always say a poll can be very

00:06:27.360 good quality and still be off because certain types of people are not going to take your poll

00:06:32.440 a good example is south asians and muslims and filipinos those tend to be very low turnout voting

00:06:40.920 bases that also never answer polls they even those groups of people especially filipinos actually

00:06:47.180 are very unlikely to vote and then they are even more unlikely to take a poll sometimes they do turn

00:06:54.280 out sometimes they do turn out in very big numbers especially if it's like you're running in a riding

00:06:58.940 with a high filipino population and a filipino conservative or liberal guy is running that a lot

00:07:03.900 of people in the community know then you'll get higher turnout same thing if you south asian community

00:07:08.520 can sometimes really turn out if they are really up in arms about an issue and then sometimes they're

00:07:13.720 only you know turning out 30 especially muslim voters i've always heard that their turnout rates

00:07:18.320 are like 15 very very low unless there's a big issue that the community really cares about and then

00:07:24.600 they'll turn out so in a high turnout election like this with certain communities and certain

00:07:29.200 demographic groups like 18 to 24 year olds very unlikely to take polls and the ones who do take

00:07:34.840 polls are the ones who have been politically active for years then you're gonna you could

00:07:39.240 potentially see a big swing on election day when these groups do turn out who don't usually take

00:07:43.900 polls and that is a very key difference that 18 to 24 year olds who take a lot of polls who have been

00:07:50.180 taking polls for several years now i would actually bump it up to 18 to 28 year olds is probably a more

00:07:55.180 realistic chunk the thing is that those people don't take a lot of polls uh or the ones who do take a lot

00:08:01.540 of polls have been doing it for years it's going to be the more liberal ones who've gotten used to

00:08:05.360 being part of the samples and taking polls but you're not going to pick up on the guys who are

00:08:09.700 wearing jeans and big sweaters they work on construction sites they just got off their

00:08:14.100 electrician job and they're going to go see the poly of rally those people are not taking polls at all

00:08:18.340 but they're a very real big movement arctic ian evening wyatt i always like to see arctic ian

00:08:25.300 because he's like one of the guys uh he's what he's like my one viewer from none of it um ouch that

00:08:32.920 hurts why it got a haircut because he knows the cons will be winning yeah or or it's just that i'm

00:08:37.840 just extremely cheap and i wait like two and a half months between haircuts and i finally got it

00:08:43.000 trevor alibi says oh why i missed hey it's why it clip here i always say ahoy whenever it's a live

00:08:50.840 stream honestly it's weird that that's now a thing that people like that i say that hey guys

00:08:55.920 it's wyatt claypool here i have had videos where i've wanted to take like this thing especially the

00:09:02.280 this heavy object and like throw it at the back wall because it's been like 50 times me literally

00:09:09.120 sometimes 50 times me trying to get the first minute and a half of the video right and it's just

00:09:14.060 not working out sometimes you gotta get the cartridge angled right okay a boy in his blob

00:09:20.940 chart cartridge is not cooperating right now okay there's no glare but sometimes it will literally

00:09:29.680 be 50 times me trying to get the first minute and a half right and i'm saying hey guys that's

00:09:33.800 why i claypool here so many times i start like making fun of myself subtly between takes because

00:09:38.960 i'm like because i just start making sounds because you've done it so many times your muscles

00:09:44.040 are getting so used to it you're kind of mumbling it out so i'm like hey guys go here and i have to

00:09:48.940 like do a mental reset go walk upstairs do a lap and then come back so i stopped doing like

00:09:53.660 yeah uh dman says what do you do for work wyatt i do some communication stuff actually i have

00:10:02.820 technically three jobs including the youtube channel so uh i do get out i used to work at a liquor

00:10:08.300 store for like five years um straight that was a tough job and since a lot of crime a lot of lifting

00:10:15.980 heavy objects because i'm mentioning this because i had someone the other day like oh why it's never

00:10:19.640 worked a real difficult job in his life like that that was that was tough and i was like literally

00:10:24.780 giving 90 percent of my paycheck in a month to um or every couple weeks 90 percent of my paycheck was

00:10:31.400 going towards uh legal fees because of that crazy lawsuit that's still going on we're now having to

00:10:36.820 pursue that guy who's suing me because he won't even submit his evidence that he's supposed to

00:10:41.980 submit like his lawyers are like we'll take it under advisement if we're going to give it to you or not

00:10:45.540 like you kind of have to because it's like your entire case um so yeah now we're it's hilarious the

00:10:51.400 guy's a billionaire and we're having to chase him down for for uh submitting stuff uh ariel says me and

00:10:59.020 my decent sized family never get pulled not even once this okay and now i'm going to snake back into

00:11:04.380 the polling sample issue here's something that you guys might not know and it says something about

00:11:09.380 the angus reed uh pollster angus reed himself i've heard is a conservative at least a red tory

00:11:15.280 conservative and that guy has a crap sample in my opinion and somebody point blank called me who

00:11:22.440 also used to be an elected official and he told me why angus reed's polls are so swingy it's a very

00:11:29.340 specific group of people that he polls angus reed he gets his data i've heard it might be this

00:11:35.120 institution it might be never the one but he's using old our current air miles data and the problem

00:11:41.740 with air miles data is the people who are most likely to want an air miles card fly a lot and the

00:11:47.700 type of person who flies a lot or at least flies more than the average person is a very different

00:11:53.300 kind of human being than somebody who gets like a scene card for cineplex or somebody who has some

00:12:00.420 other sort of like gift like rewards based uh credit card that's that's a problem is that you don't want

00:12:07.460 to um have a group of people who are like you know the more likely to travel internationally the less

00:12:15.260 likely to go camping crowd obviously you are talking to people who work you're not going to

00:12:21.200 get a lot of electricians who travel a lot or you're not going to get a lot of plumbers or people

00:12:26.620 who work in construction who are like the jet set variety not that people maybe don't like to travel

00:12:31.900 who work those jobs but you're more likely to get a lot of guys who work in finance people who work in

00:12:39.140 hr people who work for the government who have air miles cards which shows you why the air miles

00:12:45.380 sample that angus reed has swings so hard when the economy's down all those finance guys with

00:12:51.860 those air miles cards get really mad but whenever there's tariffs because these people live in more

00:12:56.040 metropolitan areas they're like they swing super hard anti-trump and start saying they're voting

00:13:00.520 liberal uh brett baker 1399 super chat thank you thanks wyatt really appreciate your work well i appreciate

00:13:08.360 you guys watching sometimes it's not that uh honestly it's really easy to make videos in a day

00:13:14.260 and it's not because i'm like dumb or lazy and i'm just like farting out stuff but usually i'm following

00:13:20.300 the news so much that i don't have to like read like five articles before i start up the thing i've been

00:13:26.160 listening to some other people talk about the topic i've seen the topic on twitter i've read one article

00:13:31.120 on it i've seen this movie before kind of a thing and so i can do commentary sometimes just based on that

00:13:38.360 uh darren rousseau says in your opinion what happened to the media that would find

00:13:43.120 opposition to the poll results wait sorry i'm gonna have to restart this in your opinion what

00:13:48.520 happened to the media that would find opposition to the poll results for ratings to find the opposition

00:13:54.920 position why is it that they all seem to fall in line nowadays um

00:13:59.480 you mean in terms of like there's nobody that they're having on who disagrees with the polls

00:14:09.120 honestly it's because frankly the media if that's your question it's very stacked a lot of the panel

00:14:14.760 shows are stacked with people who are themselves lobbyists or strategists or work for uh strategy

00:14:21.540 firms that do polling so it's more so that there's an entire system of people who will not doubt a poll

00:14:27.240 when everyone on those panels knows frank graves and ecos is full of crap every single person knows

00:14:34.320 about it

00:14:35.000 to uh payload uh oh two colleges says hey guys why cleveland here has an alarm uh you mean like

00:14:45.300 whenever i say that they're like an alarm signals that there's something going on

00:14:48.360 a five dollar super chat from celtic blue says vote blue well vote for the conservative party i know

00:14:55.320 the new blue party doesn't have a federal version but just in case someone thought that

00:15:00.040 i love west side way pool that's odd andre phillips says do you know less clay pool i do not know him

00:15:11.460 personally but effectively if someone has the last name clay pool i am related to him in some way

00:15:16.880 because it's not like it's not like um the name smith where there's a lot of smiths there's not

00:15:22.780 that many clay pools so pretty much every clay pool is related to one another not that i've ever met

00:15:27.760 less clay pool or chase clay pool or any of these people frank rue five dollars says are you in signal

00:15:33.440 hill volunteer to help out greg mcclain's campaign in calgary center battleground riding yeah i think

00:15:39.360 actually greg mcclain is more secure than jeremy nixon is in calgary confederation uh it's just the

00:15:45.600 neighborhood sprawl i'll probably help out greg when i'm coming back from uh ottawa so yeah although

00:15:52.400 there were some people who actually helped screw me over who were working greg's campaign uh but

00:15:56.660 greg's great guy greg's actually a very very good guy uh greg mcclain and greg dan mcclain uh in calgary

00:16:03.260 as well raptor fan 500 says do you think nepean can flip blue i would genuinely not be going out to

00:16:10.860 the ottawa area to help out nepean unless i thought there was a chance it could flip it doesn't mean

00:16:15.720 it's like a heavy chance it's not a coin toss that carney's going to lose it's probably like a 10

00:16:20.220 5 chance that carney could lose if we put a lot of effort into winning that riding there is a good

00:16:25.680 chance that it could be one for the conservatives the real reason to go super inside baseball and

00:16:30.920 why you sometimes target a leader seat is it gets the leader to freak out and suck money and

00:16:37.240 volunteers away from other ridings to come save themselves because if carney sniffs a 20 shot

00:16:44.000 that he's going to lose even 5 shot that he's going to lose he's going to rip people from canada he's

00:16:49.120 going to rip people from ottawa south he's going to rip people from the gta to come up and help him 0.99

00:16:53.140 because who wants to be the guy whose government wins but they don't win and maybe some of the people

00:16:59.800 in the party don't really like mark carney that much and they're not gonna you know they're not going

00:17:04.100 to abandon their own seat so that he can have a seat and they can just go pick a new leader

00:17:07.780 that could happen sherry fleming says no one i know has ever been pulled including myself i actually

00:17:14.580 have been pulled by a couple different firms it depends on where your information is posted because

00:17:20.460 again polling companies purchase batches of data and like i was saying with angus reed they will

00:17:26.120 sometimes purchase very specific batches like air miles user data and then they will call those people

00:17:32.280 up so maybe you just have never been signed up for any organization that has sold data to pollsters

00:17:38.560 tony guerrera says i worked at a liquor store in detroit we had thick bulletproof glass

00:17:47.300 got robbed twice in one week i joined the military after that because it was safer we never got like

00:17:52.640 rob robbed but in five years there was tons of shoplifting one person tried to take a swing at

00:17:58.340 um swing at me with a bottle one time but i i pushed that person out it was a woman so it wasn't 0.83

00:18:04.100 like it was some like big five like six foot uh five guy who was going to try and kill me it was

00:18:09.100 just some person mad that i was kicking them out we tried to like you know take a swing

00:18:12.740 michael says i'm a muslim and i think the main reason why most muslims don't vote is because i do

00:18:20.180 they they ideologically agree with the conservatives but conservatives are usually war hawks who are against

00:18:25.500 their fellow muslims um i find muslim voters are also kind of in between a couple of issues where

00:18:33.380 they're socially conservative but they're more fiscally liberal so there's no real party that

00:18:38.120 represents that sort of stuff honestly maritime voters in a strange way can kind of sometimes be

00:18:44.140 like that because things are economically depressed in the maritimes often so people tend to be more

00:18:49.540 warm towards government support financially but they also tend to be much more religious

00:18:55.160 so they don't really like that um few people are saying you're getting sued why who's suing you

00:19:00.760 why a chinese billionaire is suing me uh because our publication talked about him giving people or

00:19:08.120 giving erin o'toole a maxed out donation in the 22 and the 2020 leadership race and he had a

00:19:14.540 bit of a history of funding both trudeau as well as conservatives and working with a lot of ccp front 0.98

00:19:21.660 groups effectively and even though all of our reporting was based on like globe and mail reports

00:19:26.660 uh when we mentioned him he's suing anyways because obviously he's not he doesn't like

00:19:32.200 anyone saying naked things about him even though it's true but so he can't sue the big guy so he's

00:19:37.520 trying to sue us as a small guy um i'm trying to okay oh hey thank you aiden 699 super chat and you

00:19:45.060 didn't even say anything so whenever i someone says nothing i'll try to make up something to talk about

00:19:50.300 the nes game in the background of this video today is a boy in his blob i know there is a certain

00:19:56.460 contingent in the comments of every video who like to try and identify what the game is even if it's

00:20:02.640 kind of far away and you can't see it that well i have like a good looking over at the box i have

00:20:08.180 like a good another like 35 to 40 games i still have to get through before i don't have a unique

00:20:14.520 nes game to go put up there and then i can go into like snes and like ps1 stuff later just a fun

00:20:22.600 little thing i added a hat up here if you guys noticed i have now a united conservative hat too bad

00:20:28.060 it's a white one because it like really really soaks up the lighting um okay i want to try and

00:20:34.920 get up to i want to bring up the the um the cory to nike footage that people are posting online

00:20:44.600 because i find it so hypocritical it drives me up a wall uh the sort of things that people are are

00:20:51.080 the commentary around cory to nike fighting with cpchq it is such a stupid sideshow but it's a super

00:20:57.820 stupid sideshow that the media really likes airbone phantom double zero says chances is nenshi beat

00:21:03.680 smith in the provincial election i give him like a 30 chance of winning and it's just because it's a

00:21:11.100 two-party province so naturally it's going to be um naturally the ndp always has a chance of winning

00:21:18.420 uh so and i think it's he used to be the calgary mayor so people shouldn't foolishly think that oh

00:21:28.620 like nobody likes the ndp or look how ahead the conservatives are in the polls conservatives

00:21:32.980 have to win a popular vote by probably like eight or nine percent provincially in order to hold on to a

00:21:38.040 government uh i'm just pulling up something actually just for this question that aiden asks for 699 thank you

00:21:45.520 for the 699 super chat he says do you think my riding niagara west is safe based on the numbers

00:21:52.580 i'm now looking at in front of me that i'm pulling up on screen from 338 it looks pretty safe it's

00:21:58.600 giving you a 87 chance of the conservatives holding on to the riding projecting a 47 to 40

00:22:04.760 conservative victory and this is with the fact baked in that i think right now the liberals are still

00:22:10.720 being over pulled by a little bit i'm going to get into the polling as the video goes on or the

00:22:15.700 stream goes on we have main street saying that it's swinging towards the conservatives tomorrow

00:22:21.200 ipsos which had the liberals down or the conservatives down by like 11 points now only has them down by

00:22:26.880 six that's still not good but i think what that proves to me is that there's momentum even a bad

00:22:33.640 pollster can show you a momentum shift happening yeah their stamp is still way too liberal but if they

00:22:39.320 went from like a plus 13 liberal to like a plus six liberal probably conservatives might be ahead

00:22:45.560 uh virinder sidhu here says two for two dollars thank you for that how long will carny last if

00:22:52.000 he wins the election if he wins the election i think he would be able to last as long as he wants

00:22:57.460 yeah sam trendy j for two dollars says why the retro video game fascination favorite games well

00:23:05.100 there's one game i'm really trying to find it's more rare and i can probably just go out right and

00:23:10.200 buy it at this point like it was expensive for me when i was like a teenager and that seemed like a

00:23:14.000 lot of money to drop i really want to go get a gun neck hot cartridge really good uh really good

00:23:19.740 shooter for the nes i i like retro games because i grew up watching like um i grew up watching like

00:23:26.720 angry video game nerd on youtube and other video game uh channels that were really big in like the

00:23:32.360 later 2000s in the 2010s i think a lot of people my age watched a lot of stuff like that

00:23:37.960 connor salisbury says what is your opinion on the new blue party i voted for them on the last election

00:23:43.520 hopefully they have a stronger turnout as the provincial conservatives bleed support i really

00:23:48.580 like the new blue party in fact i went to ontario in february to help them out and hit as many doors as

00:23:54.880 i possibly could it was mostly lit dropping just trying to get as many other words out so yeah um

00:24:01.220 i really like them i hope that they start gaining a lot um yeah i hope they gain a lot of uh support

00:24:08.460 they're going to probably yeah start i think they could probably get six or seven percent in the next

00:24:14.720 year here if they play their cards right and by the next election maybe they'll be in a position to

00:24:19.200 start winning seats i think they really for again inside baseball strategy they should really start

00:24:24.940 exploiting the fact that the four uh pcs have been really cozying up with the liberals

00:24:30.100 make yourself as the new blue party the better allies of the federal conservatives i say this to

00:24:36.360 people all the time you don't have to agree with everything the federal party says but show that

00:24:41.500 you play ball better than the provincial pcs do and that's not difficult yes caroline malrooney came

00:24:48.640 out to endorse poly of the conservatives but obviously the general party infrastructure

00:24:53.100 is not just not helping poly of it is helping the liberals out

00:24:57.280 um

00:25:00.000 paul singh says we are screwed guys i hate liberals i don't think we're screwed

00:25:09.380 d man says do the liberals win any seats in calgary

00:25:13.200 um i think they at least win one or two in calgary the funny thing is it might not matter so

00:25:18.320 they'll gain a seat in calgary but because the lib the conservatives have been gaining in working

00:25:23.280 class neighborhoods the conservatives could win a lot of out-of-the-box ridings that they've never

00:25:28.660 won even in the reform days simply because a lot of construction workers electricians union guys

00:25:35.560 auto workers are starting to vote conservative and are abandoning the liberals and the ndp

00:25:40.920 so you could lose a calgary confederation and still win a minority government at least

00:25:46.120 yes i agree blue sky fantasy it would be epic if nepean flipped

00:25:52.100 uh mr kush 699 super chat thank you for that why i think you are forgetting about the corporate bros who

00:26:00.740 are tied uh who are tired of the last 10 years of liberals we will be voting conservative and i that is

00:26:06.660 another group of people who i think the liberals have lost innovative research does good polling on

00:26:12.900 this where they'll break their polls down into personalities sometimes i still think they over

00:26:18.280 poll liberals a little bit but they give people who they pull a personality test to show the proportions

00:26:23.500 of types of people who answered the poll the one group of people that the liberals used to win by

00:26:28.580 large numbers who are now a very tight demographic are who you would call business liberals there are

00:26:35.000 people who are probably socially liberal or at least they don't care about social issues and they may

00:26:39.880 not even care about cultural issues but if the economy sucks per capita incomes are down growth is

00:26:46.380 sluggish those guys refuse to vote liberal anymore or at least a good portion of them will not vote

00:26:52.400 liberal anymore i want to bring up this video now of cory to nike because i think it's um interesting

00:26:59.680 this uh video of these kind of like like these kind of party activists or not activists but kind of like

00:27:07.140 these party hatchet men trying to go after the conservative parties campaign the cbc and ctv news

00:27:14.160 have been doing a lot of this where they platform anyone who wants to sit on santa's knee and say that

00:27:19.260 jenny byrne and the cbc hq aren't doing a good job do i think in certain aspects the party hq is doing a

00:27:24.880 bad job you better believe it i think they've done certain things very badly this campaign but i find

00:27:30.300 it so hypocritical when you have these red tory strategists come on and say they're messing it all

00:27:35.720 up when these guys would have messed it up even worse caught up in the minutiae of the campaign

00:27:41.780 but i do think we need to remind ourselves that it is trump that is driving a lot of attitudes on the

00:27:48.420 part of voters and they still haven't figured out how to manage the trump question the guy uh the cory

00:27:54.220 to nike is the guy on the left side of the screen i actually don't know specifically who this uh

00:27:59.220 individual is who's speaking right now i guess his name's scott i'm not sure scott who and trump was

00:28:05.980 on our minds and on our phones and on our television screens all week long and i think that's the

00:28:11.460 essential part and then when they are getting a moment of airspace on their own what is he doing

00:28:17.780 he's having a trumpy like talk back with a female reporter probably yeah or he's holding giant

00:28:24.380 rallies that evoke trump feel like trump smell like mega and they actually have people with sweatshirts

00:28:29.880 that say don't believe the polls now there's a confident message don't believe the polls we're not

00:28:34.140 losing don't measure the size of our vote measure the size of the hall it's um if this was supposed to

00:28:40.760 be the week where they were making an adjustment and a move it has not shown up well people keeps

00:28:47.740 preemptively saying this when a week isn't even over they'll be saying the conservatives need to

00:28:51.960 adjust and then like two days later they'll be on a news show saying they haven't adjusted and they're

00:28:55.440 losing well things are adjusting pretty hard here but is this guy going to give a retraction

00:28:59.100 not a chance by the way is it if you're wondering how much of a hack some of these people are

00:29:04.560 who are pretending that they're giving objective campaign advice look over his right shoulder or

00:29:10.300 left side of the screen uh your left he has a he has a joe biden bobblehead

00:29:15.900 i think what's informing a lot and not to justify it necessarily cory but there are and i'm sure

00:29:23.280 you've talked to them as well but there are a lot of conservatives who feel like the modeling that

00:29:27.580 polls are based on is based on for example 2019 and 2021 that the polyev base is not the sheer and

00:29:34.040 tool base it's not fully being captured obviously the manifestation of that has differed at some of

00:29:38.920 these rallies but there are thousands of people coming out and they're saying like how do you you

00:29:43.380 know those two things are difficult to reconcile are they at all difficult for you to reconcile

00:29:47.860 by the way i honestly have been very impressed with uh vashi capellos's hosting of shows i used to be so

00:29:54.140 skeptical of her like a year ago thinking guys she's gonna swivel when it's convenient to help out the

00:29:59.900 liberals and she's honestly been pretty good the entire time this is the type of 0.95

00:30:03.880 person like kate mccann at the cbc if the cbc and ctv news suddenly lost all their subsidies

00:30:09.580 they would actually probably still be employed somewhere because they're actually good at what

00:30:13.380 they do the cbc and ctv news and other corporate media subsidies they are mostly for employing

00:30:20.160 dullards for employing people who if they started a youtube channel or they started their own online 1.00

00:30:25.220 publication would have no viewership or readers because they got nothing going on

00:30:29.420 i don't think so i think that there's a very uh hardened activist component to the conservative

00:30:35.920 uh uh party particularly under polyev uh and we've seen it since this uh since this leadership

00:30:42.360 campaign uh he's tapped into uh i think a lot of the frustration and animosity uh that has been out

00:30:49.220 there uh uh on a range of issues but uh you know if you're looking at his leadership campaign you know

00:30:55.260 the size of the rallies that he was getting in i think were were unprecedented we get

00:30:59.840 well they're like okay mr molasses mouth cory tonight you're saying well no i i don't think that

00:31:07.560 they have a new base of support it's like yeah because you've put your bet on the fact that he's

00:31:11.560 gonna live on you think he's gonna lose what cory tonight he's really doing here against jenny burn

00:31:17.160 is i think he is just trying to basically bet against the conservatives so if they lose he will seem

00:31:21.740 like some political genius when his idea for the campaign was they should attack trump harder

00:31:26.200 no no it's not because there are tons and tons of people in the conservative base who like trump

00:31:32.400 there is a good amount of people who like trump i don't mind trump at all but the thing is like no

00:31:36.480 do you know why it's stupid attack trump just because it works for the liberals doesn't mean if 0.64

00:31:41.140 the conservatives start doing it it's going to work at all because the conservative voter wants

00:31:46.080 domestic issues taken seriously they don't want to hear about trump all day long because they want

00:31:50.900 to talk about what the liberals have done that have failed i'm gonna get to the other video here

00:31:54.940 but i'll quickly jump over to david edwards here saying asked ai to predict the election using polls

00:32:00.180 sm impressions uh rallies history momentum and it says liberals have the advantage in the polls but

00:32:06.100 there is a high turnout uh high voter turnout for the cpc will win or if there is a high turnout yeah i

00:32:11.280 would agree with that i think that's about right ask gaming hq for 15 says why you helped me get

00:32:17.880 into politics thank you for everything you do well thank you for watching what's the ask gaming hq thing

00:32:23.760 do you make like video game content or maybe just watch that i don't know um le chignon chanoyen

00:32:33.040 i'm bad with anything french uh thank you for the ten dollar super chat i find it baffling that debates

00:32:39.240 and advance polls are on the holiest day for christians i can't catch the english debates

00:32:44.600 i'll be on uh i'll be um at maudi thursday service uh well to be fair there's multiple days of early

00:32:53.280 voting and you can even early vote now if you go down to your electoral office honestly i'd even

00:32:58.600 recommend you guys go down to your electoral uh like office or the returning officer's office

00:33:03.980 in your riding you can cast a early ballot whenever you want there you just show up with

00:33:09.480 your voter information they'll let you do it um yeah this is actually kind of a key thing that

00:33:17.860 blue sky fantasy saying also the french debate is during a montreal uh i assume that you may mean

00:33:23.860 the uh montreal canadians game yeah and i think that that's why carney's okay with doing that french

00:33:31.120 debate but he won't do the tva debate the cbc's french debate is going to have far less viewership than

00:33:36.940 a tva french debate would have it's like how ctv news and global news have always had better

00:33:42.340 viewership than the cbc what carney's doing is signing up for the debate that's going to have

00:33:47.480 fewer eyes on it because he has to do the debate or he's a coward so he's hoping that he gains more

00:33:53.560 or loses less by doing the debate but he wants to do a debate that not many people are going to see

00:33:58.820 so he doesn't want to be able to be called a coward but he also doesn't want people seeing that he

00:34:03.680 out of all five leaders on the stage has easily the worst french in fact it's actually kind of 1.00

00:34:09.440 great that they leave the the french leaders showing up not the french leader the green leader

00:34:14.460 who is french is showing up because he is also going to make mark carney look like his french is

00:34:18.920 awful plus the greens could maybe because it's a new guy on stage is not elizabeth may kind of

00:34:24.820 surprise people by how well spoken he is or whatever and then rip away some liberal voters who

00:34:29.760 were maybe not impressed by mark carney or maybe they defect over to the bloc quebecois

00:34:34.740 um okay

00:34:37.480 nazica for two dollars says or nazis nazica i'm always trying to get the names right pierre did

00:34:46.000 great on tl mep on radio canada i haven't seen i haven't seen that interview but he's been doing a

00:34:52.620 bit more of a sir uh of a media tour as of recently so that's very good to see and people

00:34:59.700 are saying what surge in the polls i i actually will go right now to the polling on main street

00:35:04.940 a main street's website we don't have day 22's pull out which is today they usually release it

00:35:10.320 around midnight but i'll show you what today's poll looked like i always keep the undecideds added in

00:35:16.500 until like the last week of the race undecideds in the last week are probably not going to vote at

00:35:21.000 all i just have to quickly upload the screenshot of their poll but it's been a big transformation

00:35:29.000 for the conservatives in the main street polling i get ipsos it doesn't and a surge does not mean

00:35:35.540 that the conservatives are necessarily going to be in ahead in the polls where i'm saying they

00:35:40.280 surged ipsos again has the conservatives still down by five or six points but considering their

00:35:46.420 last poll had them down by like 12 points and now they're only behind by five or six is in fact a

00:35:52.040 surge so this is day one polling for this federal election with the undecideds added in 36 conservative

00:36:00.660 41 liberal uh six ndp six bloc quebecois this is actually why i kind of doubt the main street polling

00:36:08.540 a little bit i don't think the ndp is only going to get six percent and the good thing about that is

00:36:14.140 it's mostly going to be ripping away votes from the liberals in terms of the overall turnout and i

00:36:18.620 also don't think the ppc is going to get even two i think they're going to get like a half a point of

00:36:23.140 of the vote or 0.8 of the vote because they're not even running candidates in a quarter of the ridings

00:36:28.400 they've gotten really tired with the conservatives aren't as pure as us rhetoric but so what we see

00:36:34.620 here day one conservatives are five points behind the liberals now today day 21 or yesterday day

00:36:43.880 21 it's now 42 42 and in fact the conservatives had a couple decimal points edge that really

00:36:51.540 doesn't matter it's effectively a tie and based on what kudo maggie from main street research has said

00:36:56.780 it is now going to be a lead for the conservatives when the new poll comes out for tomorrow or today or

00:37:02.780 whatever um bcd 78 for 279 thank you for that just how unpleasant is jenny burn uh unpleasant enough 0.82

00:37:16.200 that she kicked me out of the calgary signal hill race or she directed that happening uh for no other

00:37:21.520 reason than she wanted somebody else to win uh the pleb reporter thank you for tuning into the

00:37:30.360 live stream for ten dollars thank you man uh vote for pure polyevs yeah so there better be no

00:37:35.680 i don't know ppc people in chat it's fine if you want to vote ppc but yeah guys definitely show up and

00:37:42.520 vote if i hear somebody was like a lot of sick i couldn't show up i was sick you can go to the

00:37:48.000 returning officers uh like office in your riding and vote today palera pacific says wavgn fan

00:37:56.500 absolutely uh saul goodman two dollar super chat thoughts on tim upple uh my thoughts on tim upple is

00:38:03.480 tim upple needs to get into his own lane again i think he has been messing with too many nominations

00:38:10.520 trying to push friends through him and just raj halan both and i do not fear retaliation saying that

00:38:17.800 from inside politics because a lot of people in the conservative circles are very tired of their

00:38:22.560 meddling airborne phantom double zero says if lpc wins chances alberta actually separates

00:38:29.480 i don't think it's more than like a five percent chance alberta separates no matter what happens 0.99

00:38:34.400 it's just difficult the pleb reporter for another ten dollars says canada strong or stong

00:38:40.920 you said canada strong well that's okay uh but thank you for the ten dollar super chat because

00:38:47.200 it's ten dollars i will assume it was canada strong isn't like the isn't that technically the liberal

00:38:53.200 slogan goodness the fact that their slogan is just canada strong is utterly pathetic like tell us

00:39:01.220 something real tell us something that actually like have a point it's great for the listener

00:39:09.960 the thing is that the liberals it's just an anti it all it is is an anti-trump anti-conservative

00:39:18.240 election they have nothing going on other than that jay says for 279 come to simon fraser

00:39:25.080 university simon fraser university in the ottawa area

00:39:28.100 this is how ignorant i am i don't even know where that is located 0.52

00:39:34.100 hey that's in british columbia um i don't i'm not in british columbia right now i'm mostly in alberta

00:39:42.480 but i do joel i do go there quite a bit yeah blue sky fantasy says so even if they get calgary center

00:39:49.800 it won't screw us uh no and but i also don't think they're going to get calgary center they'll probably

00:39:55.060 hold on to calgary mcknight and calgary confederation maybe they can get calgary skyview

00:40:00.160 i actually think calgary center is more solid than you would think even if it is the center of the

00:40:05.240 city scotian just gives two dollars well thank you scotian um

00:40:10.660 club reporter probably signaling that he's making a lot of money on on poly wave because of his

00:40:19.540 generous donations of three times ten dollars so far says pure poly of a surging on poly market he's up

00:40:24.960 11 points in the last four days carny is falling off a cliff yeah he was at only 20 percent at one

00:40:30.860 point and now he's at like 30 percent or maybe 34 percent poly market in canada is don't i'm gonna

00:40:38.580 tell i'm gonna tell people probably don't gamble don't gamble at the same time if you you could

00:40:44.080 probably bet on some very obvious political outcomes in poly market um on poly market because

00:40:49.880 the problem with poly market in canada is there's such there's so there's way less data to go on in

00:40:56.520 canadian politics so when the polls surge for the liberals tons of people dump money on the on the

00:41:00.760 liberals when polls surge for the conservatives tons of people will donate will bet on the

00:41:07.040 conservatives because the problem is that other than polling data there's not like a good indicators

00:41:12.460 from inside campaigns or anything that somebody can use in order to um like nobody can really use

00:41:20.140 it to like there's no other information to really use to determine where the parties are at where the

00:41:24.380 united states it's a wash with information on how the different um with how uh the the different

00:41:30.220 parties and candidates are doing

00:41:34.300 chandrick penner says or chadrick penner says i think a lot of liberal voters voted liberal all because

00:41:39.500 of the weed thing will now vote conservative a lot of the younger voters will the people who are now

00:41:44.860 uh you know 30s and 40s who voted maybe because the marijuana issue in 2015 are probably very over it

00:41:51.980 at this point milo and od uh the boston and frenchie for 20 dollars i assume that's an entire

00:41:58.860 channel about your dogs and i think i commented on that last time uh milo and od says how do you think

00:42:04.780 pure should represent himself at the debate also do you think he should vote uh we should vote in

00:42:10.140 advanced polls i am in niagara south absolutely vote in advanced polls because we don't want the

00:42:16.860 lower propensity voters who might come out to vote conservative on election day to be dissuaded by the

00:42:22.700 size of the line so if you know you're voting conservative make sure you vote early for the

00:42:27.420 conservatives to make sure those election day lineups are not too long for people because there is that

00:42:33.100 concept in actually theme parks that people will show up and vote if it's a 30 minute line if it's

00:42:39.980 a 45 minute line maybe they balk at it and think they're gonna win anyways what's the point of showing

00:42:45.260 up um pleb reporter for ten dollars says read my super chats i am reading your super chats pleb i am just

00:42:54.460 very very far behind i'm trying to go through even like non super chatted things if i see something

00:42:59.500 uh so yeah well so yeah so like i'm i'm getting through all them hold your horses here if you're

00:43:06.380 now hearing me say this so don't don't super chat like 50 things uh tanner l says how do you know so

00:43:14.380 much about canadian politics also thank you for helping us through the dark days after the election

00:43:18.220 was called and we got buried in the polls um well thanks for the ten dollar super chat i i just follow

00:43:24.620 politics in general a lot my background academically is politics i watch tons of history and that ends up

00:43:32.060 overlapping heavily with politics so my my bachelor degree is policy studies my minor is history my

00:43:39.100 master's degree is public policy and i specifically focused on crime for my research and so yeah it's

00:43:45.100 just something i just generally like as well yeah the pleb reporter says the vast she is the best in

00:43:51.900 the business at the moment she is at least for mainstream news really really good host honestly

00:43:58.220 um marco peruza says even bricker from ipso says affordability 41 tops trump the u.s 24 i see me

00:44:07.660 mean on the issue polling carney stuck on u.s crisis if trump fades in two weeks carney is in trouble

00:44:14.540 abacus seems to have a huge confirmation bias abacus also seems to just be in a weird place

00:44:21.740 this moment not that their polls are wrong because every pollster who's doing the right things can

00:44:26.140 sometimes have a strange sample in a week or two uh their poll showing that carney's approval was rising

00:44:32.540 might just be them having a longer poll period i'm not sure maybe they do all their polling in one day

00:44:39.660 sometimes a pollster will poll people for four days before they release a poll

00:44:43.500 so if a big issue came up on one of the days and it made the liberals pick up the phone more

00:44:48.780 that can throw off the whole sample and i think what abacus and innovative who i trust actually

00:44:55.260 what they were probably picking up on when they had that big swing for the liberals last week

00:44:59.980 was probably just the fact that because the liberation day announcements by donald trump

00:45:05.900 it ended up um it ended up causing the uh the like a lot of liberals to suddenly become very active

00:45:13.020 or maybe even swing voters like i'm voting i'm voting liberal because screw donald trump

00:45:17.100 that is an irrational thought but that is how some people think um okay

00:45:27.260 i'm trying to catch up here

00:45:30.700 on super chats now uh war allied says for two dollars there is the number one uh quebec talk

00:45:37.260 show earlier pierre over carney oh he actually so that's the one that uh that polly have went on

00:45:43.260 yeah he's been doing really well with the the podcast this is where i disagree with people

00:45:47.660 actually like um like uh pleb where i don't think he would have been smart for polly have to even

00:45:53.740 consider going on joe rogan's show but i do think he should go on more podcasts so people like pleb and

00:46:00.060 i would agree that more podcasts is better but it still really depends because i think rogan

00:46:06.940 would have i think it would have just feeded into anti-american rhetoric conservatives are currently

00:46:13.020 being hit with right now by the liberals that they're too pro-american if anything the people

00:46:18.620 who do more american-style politics more than anyone is the liberals even then i don't even like the term

00:46:23.100 american-style politics sometimes it's just smart politics sometimes it's sleazy and canadian

00:46:29.100 politics has been full of it for years but the funny thing is the liberals run down south to get

00:46:34.380 their speakers and to go on shows far more often than the conservatives do but just because it's not

00:46:40.140 fair doesn't mean that poly of should suddenly go on rogan uh

00:46:51.260 ivan matthews hey why you said ndp is at 15 percent is a 15 party and now you recently said no more than

00:46:58.700 eight to nine percent what changed because you said strategic voting isn't possible i i just think

00:47:03.260 strategic voting is overrated especially after the debate the ndp might rocket back up to being at 12 or

00:47:09.740 13 percent i think that when i back when i was saying that they are a party that's not going to

00:47:14.860 fall below 15 that was me back before the election reacting to what i assumed was going

00:47:21.980 to be more lead-up time for the ndp more time for for singh to say i'm going to defeat the government and

00:47:27.740 pretend to be strong to try and buoy himself he's just been running a crap campaign i still don't agree

00:47:33.900 when people think they're a six percent party i just don't think that they are necessarily

00:47:39.260 um they're just a party that has a very dedicated base of people because every election the ndp is not

00:47:45.740 relevant and yet they can still get their 15 to even sometimes 22 percent of the vote with like

00:47:51.260 malcare around so that's just my skepticism there i just don't think the ndp is ever going to fall down

00:47:57.740 to six maybe with a really bad campaign and a really bad debate singh could fall even further

00:48:04.540 the pleb reporter again says canada strong or stong or maybe he's saying something to us and he's

00:48:10.060 giving me a subliminal message okay well thank you pleb for ten dollars and nate nate says five dollars

00:48:17.740 what are roughly the percentage odds of conservative victory the polls had me worried and out of curiosity

00:48:23.340 are you a pal holder i want to get a pal i just don't have one yet uh the percentage chances of

00:48:29.820 victory you always have to remember are currently based on what i consider to be a lot of bad polling

00:48:36.140 in the system so make sure yeah you don't um there's a lot of bad polling in the system so those

00:48:42.220 percentage charts aren't exactly realistic at the moment and even the percentage charts that

00:48:47.260 main street puts out is based on their polls that i think are currently underestimating the bloc

00:48:51.740 quebecois especially very hard as well as the ndp by the way guys because he keeps super chatting i

00:48:58.620 should probably do this because it's probably a good idea anyways uh pleb has been doing really

00:49:03.500 good live streams of all the of all the rallies with poly of so i'll be linking his channel if

00:49:08.140 you're not yet a subscriber of him although i kind of doubt it based on how big his channel is make

00:49:11.740 sure you go check that stuff out if you can't attend a rally but you want somebody there on the

00:49:16.060 ground representing you that's something that the pleb can definitely do the plug for another ten

00:49:20.860 dollar says canda stong hopefully someone didn't steal his phone and is now just super chatting me

00:49:25.740 all of his life savings um although i doubt it the pleb's been fairly successful over the past year

00:49:31.500 the club reporter for another ten dollars says too big to rig canada uh canda stong or strong

00:49:39.100 i kind of like canda stong better because i canda strong reminds me of something the liberals would say

00:49:44.780 david edward says i will buy you a pint uh in when you are in ottawa well that will be tomorrow so

00:49:52.860 maybe i'll say hi to you at some point i'll be at the nepean conservative office around on the 15th

00:49:57.900 like not hanging out there because obviously i'll go hit doors but i'll be around noco for five dollars

00:50:04.700 says how many early conservative ballots do you think get shredded when the early ballot boxes get put

00:50:08.860 into liberal garbage overnight you don't have to worry about that it's just not going to happen

00:50:14.060 every party sends its people out early no nobody would start screwing with ballot boxes thinking

00:50:19.660 that the demographics who voted early might be more conservative it's going to be frankly hard to

00:50:25.340 tell in this election because the voters or the the the environment has changed so much

00:50:32.460 mylonody boston frenchie for five dollars says you forgot to answer the first part of my super chat

00:50:36.780 how do you think pierre should present himself at the debates i love your channel by the way i'm so

00:50:41.740 sorry i missed that um so yeah very very good question because i think i started trying to answer

00:50:47.900 it and i got tied up and talking about the green party guy i think what polio needs to do and i'm not

00:50:53.660 trying to sound too generic about it is he needs to be very firm against the liberal record without

00:50:58.780 coming off as a bully not that he is a bully and not that i've ever seen him bully anyone but he is 0.77

00:51:04.780 going to be talking to a group of voters who the liberals have really revved up with rhetoric that

00:51:10.300 he's mean he's condescending he's trump-like in some way so polio should probably come off more

00:51:17.180 light-hearted thinking more so not like you can't really elect these guys they're a bunch of like

00:51:23.340 you know failures whatnot i'm better he has to kind of be more jokey about the fact that this guy

00:51:29.100 was literally carney's economic advisor for four five years and after five years he ended up moving

00:51:34.220 his business down to the united states he was so unconfident in his own economy he should take

00:51:39.100 shots at carney but then he should always pivot and saying and my plan is because again the stupid 0.77

00:51:45.180 media narrative the stupid ndp liberal narrative about polio is he doesn't have policies absurd because

00:51:52.220 he's kind of the guy who's been releasing the most policies out of all the leaders maybe the ndp

00:51:56.860 releases more than him it doesn't really matter it just depends on what the liberals are doing and

00:52:01.500 carney has released basically nothing and most of his policies are just microwaved liberal nonsense

00:52:08.380 and so that's where um uh what was i going to say like that that's where so that's where if he keeps

00:52:16.940 saying my policy is after jabbing the liberals that will probably be the best approach be firm jab the

00:52:23.660 liberal uh record be light-hearted about it and then always pivot to and this is my plan

00:52:28.940 and always connect carney back to the failures by noting his connections to the previous liberal

00:52:33.980 government with trudeau sad fat dragon says for ten dollars thank you for that as an american i'm

00:52:40.380 curious about how you think polyev should negotiate with trump as much as i like most of trump's policies

00:52:45.660 he seems like a sycophant um do you think that polyev is a sycophant to trump i wouldn't say that that

00:52:52.620 would be uh oh you think he likes sycophants that is that is a besetting sin you could say of donald trump

00:53:00.700 that he deeply wants politicians to come and tell him that he's great and that works in the us when

00:53:08.300 it makes sense for republicans to come and say hey you're doing a great job and oftentimes he is doing

00:53:12.460 a great job and someone should probably mention it to him especially on domestic policy it's not going

00:53:17.420 to work in canada when there is such an anti-american kind of bent to canadian politics as well as it's

00:53:25.180 a two-party system effectively as well so it doesn't help a conservative to cozy up to trump when so many

00:53:31.020 people hate him the parties in europe might want trump's endorsement because it's a proportional

00:53:36.060 representation system so it doesn't matter if 70 of the population hates trump in germany the afd is in a

00:53:42.620 proportional representation system where getting above 20 of the vote is a big coup for them

00:53:48.380 and they'll gladly want to exploit the 30 of people in the country who do like trump

00:53:53.980 and so i think that polyev when he's negotiating with trump should basically be constantly pushing

00:54:01.100 the rhetoric of the win-win i want a win-win i want to strengthen canada and have america benefit

00:54:07.020 at the same time that is how to probably work with trump you talk in the terms of deal making with

00:54:13.660 trump and you talk about how he can get a win out of it because trump is motivated by the win

00:54:21.020 some guy in canada for 6.99 says what do you think of the burlington riding more liberal signs but not by

00:54:27.020 a lot 60 40 i think that i do think emily brown's going to be able to pull that one out burlington

00:54:33.740 is a working class city riding and so if the working class is definitely swinging towards the

00:54:39.900 conservatives i think that that one's going to do well you also have to remember that that one the

00:54:44.540 liberals know is a battleground so if you see a disparity in the signs in the riding like that

00:54:49.420 it's probably deliberate that the liberals really want their people to put up signs because it's a

00:54:54.380 riding prone to swinging away from the liberals where in other ridings that they weren't expecting to

00:54:59.340 have as hard of a fight for that's where maybe there's more conservative signs than liberal signs

00:55:04.700 because they weren't expecting the conservatives to come out as strongly

00:55:09.180 donald mcfain for 1399 thank you for that says your shows are informative and entertaining well i hope

00:55:15.500 that they are informative i make sure i'm because i like being entertaining i hope i am always informative

00:55:22.220 in some way it's commentary so naturally i'm not reporting something to you that's not already out

00:55:27.740 there every once in a while i will get an exclusive like the kosovo ski uh polling outcome where i worked

00:55:34.060 with them to put out a poll on immigration that showed that 75 of canadians support a 75 reduction

00:55:41.500 in immigration i think it's a great policy i hope the conservatives would take it from me i don't think

00:55:46.700 they're going to do it this late in the campaign but a lot of people support reducing new permanent

00:55:51.740 residency caps down to 100 000 people a year but yeah i try and be informative i try and have

00:55:57.500 anecdotes that will you know teach people something about politics it's always hard in commentary not

00:56:03.340 to feel like you might be spinning your wheels video to video because naturally things don't change

00:56:08.220 as much as they stay the same brian kerr for ten dollars thank you for that says ndp not even

00:56:14.220 trying in my riding are ndp strategically not contesting some ridings to help the liberals and stop

00:56:18.940 conservatives potentially i think more of what it is for jagmeet singh and the ndp is that they have

00:56:26.140 a tight budget and they are spending that tight budget to hold on to incumbents because like in

00:56:31.900 ontario in this last snap election the ndp wasn't going to go anywhere so maybe if they spend all their

00:56:37.820 money in specific ridings they can at least hold on to what they have and even if they lose the popular

00:56:43.740 vote by more than what they had previously done they'll at least be able to keep their power their power

00:56:48.300 base maybe it's so that the liberals can warm win more seats i think they're in desperation mode right

00:56:53.020 now and they're mostly making decisions to hold like to to gird themselves up thank you len brooks for

00:56:59.340 the five dollar super chat um i'm trying to work with my friend because i always try and do the thing

00:57:05.500 where if somebody doesn't super chat me anything but they still sent money which is very you know very

00:57:10.140 generous of you guys honestly these these streams i should do a stream at some point where i legitimately

00:57:14.300 turn off super chats because so many people say like you know are very nice and send me stuff

00:57:19.020 um and i should do one where i just want to talk to normal chat everyone's great i just don't want to

00:57:23.820 make it seem like oh if you get on here you have to send something for me to answer question but

00:57:27.500 obviously if you do i'm going to say something about what you said but uh since lynn brooks didn't say

00:57:32.780 anything i am trying to work with a friend right now to try and actually develop some products for

00:57:38.060 the channel like some coffee cups um i like i like i have like a big variety of coffee cups that i

00:57:44.300 drink out of so if i ever released products i'd make sure that they're very unique i wouldn't want

00:57:48.860 to do anything where it's like a 30 t-shirt and it just has my logo on it in fact i'd probably use

00:57:54.540 t public which has very very cheap products in terms of they're very good quality products and they're

00:58:00.540 like i i bought them stuff from them before for other creators and they're great but they make sure

00:58:05.340 that people aren't like on a red bubble store trying to make t-shirts 45 it's like 15 bucks for

00:58:10.140 a t-shirt which i think is reasonable and that's canadian uh by the way so if you see that i'm going

00:58:16.300 to try and get it going in a about a next year here or so bcd c or bcdc 78 for 279 says how long

00:58:26.460 will jegmeet last after election not a day i think that that guy is fully on his way out at this point

00:58:32.380 he cannot kick his way out of this thing the base of the ndp doesn't like him anymore even if they've

00:58:37.660 really done this to themselves patch dress 27.99 super chat thank you for that patch a lot of

00:58:44.940 canadians in my riding with their liberal lawn signs it's easy to say they want poverty censorship

00:58:50.700 uh islamism political and cultural weakness and uh pdf ally and education uh but they don't know what

00:58:58.540 they want i think you're right i don't think these people oh and as as patch dress always says for 279

00:59:06.300 his follow-up also comment for the progressive algorithm i think he is correct that i don't

00:59:12.780 think liberals most liberals hardcore liberals like laura babcock is definitely voting because she 1.00

00:59:19.180 likes the garbage the liberals are doing but i think most people are voting liberal not actually knowing

00:59:25.740 why where i think that if they express to you why they're voting liberal it will be for the same

00:59:30.940 reasons you're voting for the conservatives they'll probably even say they want change that they want

00:59:36.700 economy with less regulations and lower taxes but so many people can convince themselves whatever

00:59:42.300 choice that they pick to vote for represents everything they want even though if you've read their

00:59:47.340 platform or lack thereof and you just based on their statements you would know that these people in

00:59:52.540 fact are not actually in favor of the things that you want uh programmer x for 10 says i'm in canada

01:00:01.100 the conservatives who come to my door were in their 20s and 30s and knew so much the one liberal

01:00:06.620 person who was like 90 and i didn't know anything other than vote carny uh and that's and that's the

01:00:11.500 thing the good thing for the conservatives in this election is by having a younger base you also have

01:00:16.780 younger volunteers and i think that that's going to be and also i think the canada riding candidate

01:00:22.300 for the conservative is a fairly young guy too so that would make sense he's also um attracting a lot

01:00:27.180 of young volunteers to help him out john zoidberg for 279 says why is bill c69 not part of the

01:00:34.780 conversation it definitely is especially after we saw um especially after we saw the like carney basically

01:00:44.140 promise danielle smith the premier of alberta that he'd get rid of it and then immediately

01:00:48.460 went to come back and say well of course i'm not getting rid of bill c69 and since then he stuck to

01:00:53.340 that position saying we can somehow make it faster to approve resource projects without getting rid of

01:00:59.180 c69 and he makes vague insinuations he might change it in some way but he's never really being serious

01:01:06.140 about it because he won't name the specific measures that need to be taken out and then he said well if

01:01:10.700 you don't if you want to get rid of bill c69 you don't care about indigenous people you don't care 0.96

01:01:16.700 about indigenous people if you want to keep 69 around because that is what is destroying the 1.00

01:01:22.380 prospect of resource projects on indigenous lands that could actually get them a lot of money that

01:01:28.140 aren't just from the government the club reporter for five dollars says please save the ostriches

01:01:33.820 why i don't live in bc so i can't save those ostriches but i do agree that we need uh i do

01:01:40.460 i've never covered that story but it is wild that the government in british columbia just wants to

01:01:44.380 execute a bunch of ostriches not even for any really good reason they're like oh there's bird

01:01:49.260 flu around like well ostriches can't get bird flu it was like well the piece of paper says we're

01:01:53.900 going to kill the ostriches so we're going to do that it's like no that's stupid but yeah also just 0.51

01:02:01.260 because pleb keeps super chatting stuff guys that's the link to his channel you should go

01:02:05.900 subscribe to him and watch his uh streams of all the of all the rallies that have been going on

01:02:10.780 they've even been giving pleb a big uh ladder sort of platform to stand on so he can get a

01:02:16.460 better view of the giant crowds and guys the crowds are big yes if you have some guy do a head count of

01:02:22.540 the room at night might not be 10 000 people who are at the edmonton rally maybe the surrey rally

01:02:28.140 wasn't 5 500 people well that's what the registration said and it's such a big room of

01:02:33.500 people if you're debating how many people are in the room you're wrong you're just wrong if you're

01:02:38.460 saying well it wasn't that many people at the poly of rally it was a lot it was so many thousands

01:02:42.620 of people we can have a debate whether it was 10 000 or just 8 000 so the media is not doing

01:02:47.980 themselves any favors and the liberals aren't doing themselves any favors by trying to dispute the numbers

01:02:52.700 bridalberry acres for 6.99 are you guys like a lifestyle channel who does like

01:03:00.300 farming or gardening videos because that sounds fun uh for 6.99 bridalberry acres says do you have

01:03:06.620 a suggestion for a calgary riding to volunteer for my riding is 75 to go blue sounds like you live in

01:03:13.340 my riding of calgary signal hill too bad i didn't get to be the candidate but whatever um good can good

01:03:19.580 ridings to help volunteer for would be calgary mcknight calgary skyview or calgary center i do not

01:03:26.700 recommend calgary confederation for a reason and that is a deep reason of i'm not even going to get

01:03:32.380 into it but there's a reason why i wouldn't go and help the conservative candidate in calgary uh confederation

01:03:39.500 or should i just say it i don't know a person involved with getting me kicked out of signal hills

01:03:43.420 running in uh in in confederation so there you go the pleb reporter for five to bucks says we are

01:03:50.460 going to win in two weeks canada canada strong well heck yeah we are a five fee for five dollars

01:03:58.860 says look at the ad of jagmeet singh boxing he's not fighting for you he's fighting for his political

01:04:03.500 career and he's losing it well i think another way of putting it is that he's fighting for the camera

01:04:08.380 because that man loves the camera that man even more than his pension likes being on camera that is

01:04:16.540 the real reason he is stuck on as the ndp leader despite being wildly incompetent jagmeet singh

01:04:22.700 actually kind of like justin trudeau is a tlc politician he likes being involved in the drama

01:04:28.380 he likes making statements he likes going on fashionable political shows with nothing to say

01:04:33.580 by the way um and that's why he's fighting so hard he wants to stay relevant for as long as

01:04:38.860 humanly possible chris corpus says uh for a ten dollar super chat nothing so i'm going to make up

01:04:48.300 something that you asked that you didn't actually ask you probably asked wyatt what is the strangest

01:04:54.220 thing that you own for the nes well i will tell you actually it's not even that strange but uh for ten

01:05:00.300 dollars i'm gonna go do something for you and that is um

01:05:09.100 we're gonna put the game genie on the on the the boy on his blob game just for the fun of it

01:05:18.380 there we go the game genie is now on the boy in his blob congratulations for sending in ten dollars

01:05:26.380 not knowing that that was what it was going to unlock there is now i'm now this game in the

01:05:31.340 background is now cheating uh the pleb reporter for five bucks says do you think pierre is running a

01:05:37.980 straw a strong enough campaign generally speaking yes i think he should do more podcasts um i don't know

01:05:46.380 if he wants to do the podcast i've heard jj mccullough saying he's asked all you have to be on the show i'm

01:05:51.580 not sure if he said yes or no he actually should have 100 percent go on jj mccullough's show jj mccullough

01:05:59.020 has an outsized viewership in the 18 to 35 demographic it is such a smart show to go on

01:06:06.380 there's a lot of sort of squishy red tory type people who might watch jj because he does a lot of

01:06:11.100 cultural stuff so naturally he kind of gets the average person in that age bracket who watches him

01:06:17.900 and a lot of those people are ndp and liberal soft voters and a poly of came on and he they see uh

01:06:25.180 poly of speaking with their favorite youtuber there's a good chance that they would swing over

01:06:29.340 just for that plus if poly of has good answers to questions there's no reason that he doesn't

01:06:34.140 convince people himself even minus the jj factor lisa miller 69 99 super chat thank you for that as a

01:06:43.340 massive donation you are a hero of the chat tonight including the pleb who i i think might have you

01:06:48.460 beat based on just this just the uh the sheer amount of of super chats he sends in but lisa miller says

01:06:55.500 thank you for all you do for our democracy we watch you every day well thank you for that and i assume

01:07:01.100 you probably also recommend me to your friends and whatnot hopefully we will be getting to a hundred

01:07:05.900 thousand subscribers by the end of the year i don't want to have to buy my friends dinner not because

01:07:11.980 i'm tight and i don't like spending money for people i i'm usually decently generous with people

01:07:17.740 i know just as they are with me because you tend to be like the friends you hang out right but i don't

01:07:22.300 want to lose for the bragging rights of it i made the dumbest bet ever where if i win i owe all four or

01:07:29.260 five of them depending on how many show up i owe all them dinner but if i win they only owe me dinner

01:07:35.020 and the good thing is none of our none of us actually spend that much money when we go out

01:07:38.780 uh pleb reporter five bucks says here probably have had a stong campaign week we are so back i

01:07:46.540 feel like you are now doing this intentionally

01:07:50.780 pleb report five bucks says bro read the super chats first i am doing that i just didn't want to

01:07:55.660 start off ignoring everyone who got in early but thanks for the five bucks you says just nothing for

01:08:03.020 two dollars so i have to do something now if it's two dollars um what else are we going to do

01:08:17.980 for two dollars we are putting this green party piece of lit i got in ontario on the set for carla

01:08:24.860 johnson good work carla you have now made it onto my set for some reason uh everyone vote for carla

01:08:34.940 johnson except you can't because that election's over and she did terribly uh and i don't like the

01:08:39.740 green party i did there just happened to be one of those on the ground while i was helping the new

01:08:43.260 blue party out uh five bucks from uh pleb says thank you for caring about the ostriches why yeah i like

01:08:51.100 ostriches plus don't kill the ostriches because you know i don't know we should you know what i

01:08:57.100 want to eat an ostrich burger and if the government executes them we can't have that

01:09:05.420 the club reporter says i said candace stong why please learn how to read stong i'm pretty sure that's

01:09:14.060 what you're saying now i don't know what direction you're going in like you're correcting me for

01:09:17.660 for saying strong and i i should be saying stong well every time pleb does that i'm putting the the

01:09:26.060 this link to his channel there john robert says nothing for 279. dang now i have to think what i'm

01:09:33.740 going to do huh there's another piece of lid over there we usually don't get this into detail in

01:09:46.780 politics honestly the best political literature makers in the game are the new blue party honestly

01:09:54.780 these people have like crazy high quality pieces of lit the not blue new blue thing is so good

01:10:01.900 and it sucks that they had to use it in a snap election where they had to use this in a snap

01:10:07.820 election where in fact uh trudeau was basically gone by this point it was like right on the verge

01:10:13.020 right when the campaign was basically didn't get underway and they print up their literature

01:10:16.940 that's when trudeau stepped down but like guys if you're ever starting a political party

01:10:21.660 hunt down the lady who makes the literature for the new blue party it looks actually pretty amazing

01:10:28.060 they they do a really good job for the new blue party for their lit so let's put that right there

01:10:33.900 becoming a very full set i'm not sure if i want to go in the full jj mccullough direction where like

01:10:38.300 everything is like absolutely packed to the gills behind me but maybe i'll do that

01:10:44.620 maybe i'll put the not blue thing over there if you guys can still see it no that's horrible

01:10:49.100 i hate it okay putting that back over there hopefully that doesn't glare hard okay there we go

01:10:58.140 and then uh patch dress for 13.99 says last super chat of the night it's blue majority or bust i care 0.98

01:11:03.900 about canadian culture and prosperity i don't care about the bad orange emperor or dei or international

01:11:09.980 day or xyz or globalism uh yeah i i i don't actually think the conservatives need to win a

01:11:17.420 majority to win this election i know that's a narrative that if the conservatives don't win a

01:11:21.900 majority the bloc québécois and the ndp and the greens are all going to support carny as prime minister

01:11:27.180 the problem is canadian precedent is that whoever wins the most seats pretty much always gets to be the

01:11:33.660 prime minister so if the conservatives win 155 seats and the liberals come in what 140 or 134

01:11:41.340 they're probably going to let paulia be the prime minister because again that's always been the 0.82

01:11:45.260 precedent and the problem is too the bloc québécois survival as a party really rests on them being

01:11:52.860 different than the liberals if they just start supporting the liberals and carny again so many

01:11:57.580 people who decide to cast a block ballot this election will think well what the heck guys

01:12:03.420 we the whole point is that we don't want the liberals we've had the liberals for three terms

01:12:08.060 if we wanted them again we would have voted liberal not bloc so i think the bloc is actually

01:12:12.860 going to have more survivability in the long run if they start supporting the conservatives to at

01:12:18.700 least pass some legislation the bloc is a weird party and i think that they are actually capable of

01:12:25.100 making a big enough pivot to make this whole thing work with the conservatives where they'll let

01:12:30.620 the conservatives do some of the things that they want to do as long as they don't touch equalization

01:12:35.660 which paulia isn't even pledging to do anyways and by the way for anyone in the west who criticizes

01:12:40.620 paulia and the conservatives for not touching equalization sorry i need some copy you'll be

01:12:45.820 you'll be stuck in suspense on this answer

01:12:52.540 so for anyone in the west who criticizes paulia for not touching equalization

01:12:56.460 i will tell you it's just a second term thing maybe paulia never touches it if he becomes a

01:13:02.940 three or four term prime minister but at the very least that is not something that you tackle in first

01:13:08.460 term that is something that you tackle in like a second term even ryan malroney didn't go for full

01:13:15.340 free trade until his second term you kind of have to earn the right to do something that big and in fact

01:13:21.820 you actually waste less political capital doing equalization reform later on when you make the

01:13:28.140 economy better and you have far less or you have far more provinces that become have provinces rather

01:13:34.540 than have nots there are so many have not provinces right now you would be causing a lot of friction to

01:13:39.980 change equalization right now make the economy good and then change equalization

01:13:46.060 uh zesty mordent for five dollars says speaking of ndp leaders who loves the camera

01:13:53.980 look at jack leighton elbowing a woman on live tv at wayne gretzky's bar in 2010 during the gold medal game

01:14:01.500 that happened

01:14:11.820 we have this

01:14:16.060 oh it looks like i can't find it but it looks like it's going to be like a very very shaky uh

01:14:24.780 video looks like it was like filmed in like like 270p back in the day

01:14:32.300 ask gaming hd for five bucks is canda stong he's he is following in the footsteps of uh plable thank you

01:14:39.180 for the five bucks ask oh hey clyde do something is here can't wait to see pierre join you on this show

01:14:46.060 uh yeah totally pierre poly of would totally show up on this show uh because the party's not totally uh

01:14:53.500 you know

01:14:54.140 completely oriented against acknowledging my existence by the way because clyde

01:14:59.660 uh popped up and he sent in a super chat guys if you aren't yet subscribed to clyde do something go check him out

01:15:06.140 i was actually on his show recently when we were both in austin texas so if you didn't see the live stream i did with uh

01:15:13.100 clyde do something you can go back into his live uh show tab on his channel and go check out uh

01:15:19.580 when we sat down in an actual professional studio and uh talked about the election

01:15:25.980 john roberts for 6.99 i assume you're not the supreme court justice in the united states

01:15:31.580 says can they destroy our ballots i'm so worried if we vote early they will destroy ballots or count it as

01:15:36.220 a liberal vote no chance of that happening and by the way all things are hand counted in canada and there are

01:15:42.060 scrutineers present when you do vote and no doubt a there is not a chance that a

01:15:48.140 conservative scrutineer is going to let anything hinky go on in this election

01:15:52.860 patch your s 1399 super chat patch i thought you went to to sleep buddy i know patch in real life just as i know a couple of the other people in real life so

01:16:02.220 but patch says nice white you got the pleb and clyde to super chat double down on your mid-december bet and

01:16:07.900 let's make it to 100 000 subs by the end of the summer and comment for the progressive algorithm

01:16:13.660 well thank you patch maybe i can use all the money that you super chat and run ads to gain more subs

01:16:20.300 uh cmz 699 says how how has the liberal party conceivably changed into the pro canada party when the

01:16:27.900 past years they've said uh we live in a post-national country and i wish more people knew about those

01:16:33.980 comments that different liberals including justin trudeau have made carney has even said things like

01:16:39.900 it he acts like it because he constantly acts like canada deserves nothing we don't deserve energy

01:16:45.660 development but other countries do we need to shut down our economy but it's fine if china develops um 0.99

01:16:52.060 but yeah they're hypocrites they also called the canadian flag like an extremist symbol during the

01:16:57.420 freedom convoy but now it's okay now that they're using the flag to like attack the americans and

01:17:03.820 that's the thing that drives me up a wall these canadians don't suddenly care about canada they

01:17:08.140 just care about not being american it's pathetic and all these people if you offered them a free

01:17:14.460 passport and a free citizenship to the u.s i don't think that a lot of i think a lot of them would say yes

01:17:18.940 and they'd do it uh fifi says for ten dollars i have a feeling a lot of lefties are just voting lib

01:17:26.300 not for any policy reason but just to ensure their worldview culture remains relevant because the

01:17:31.980 sjw stuff is losing steam in other places and a lot of people do it for elitism type signaling

01:17:38.860 that i'm smart so i'm voting liberal you get a lot of people who have this ridiculous perspective that

01:17:45.900 conservatism equals stupid so i'm voting liberal conservatism equals uh mega extremism but so i'm

01:17:53.340 i'm voting liberal and it's tiring it's stupid and all these people they only ever are anti-american 0.88

01:17:59.420 when there's a republican president by the way all these people are totally fine with obama interfering

01:18:04.940 in the 2015 election but get all very up in arms when suddenly donald trump says something

01:18:11.580 and also he endorsed uh carney which they're not very happy with manav karana for two dollars says

01:18:18.220 who is more suspicious harjit singh or carney um i would say both i would say that harjit singh gill and

01:18:25.500 mark carney are both equally suspicious individuals if you guys know harjit singh gill ran for the

01:18:31.340 ndp in 2019 in surrey guilford and in the year 2025 is running for the conservatives in surrey guilford

01:18:39.100 i don't think he had a road to damascus moment and became a conservative i think this is just

01:18:43.420 stupid community politics where people party jump to whatever they think they can get a better chance

01:18:48.620 at winning with programmers says block and conservatives can meet on immigration for sure

01:18:55.100 yeah and see that's one where they can kind of marry the two parties for a short-term minority 0.85

01:19:00.220 government on that issue and if the conservatives get a minority they can just re-roll it within a

01:19:05.420 year and a half for a majority they just need to get a few things done eventually the block will

01:19:10.380 get obstinate and not help them pass something and then polyev has the perfect excuse to shove

01:19:15.340 things into a new election nancy for 1399 thank you for that i'm in bc and not sure what's going to

01:19:22.940 become of the vancouver become of vancouver as long as evie is doing a whole lot of what is he exactly

01:19:30.060 doing what's your thoughts um i assume that this is what you're meaning in terms of what my answer is

01:19:35.900 going to be um yeah if eb sticks around i think that you're just going to see the further

01:19:40.700 deterioration of vancouver which is sad because every day the bc ndp is in power legitimately people

01:19:47.900 are dying because of their awful drug policies their awful stance on crime their lack of prosecution

01:19:53.580 of criminals there needs to be something different in bc and the problem is so many people have

01:20:00.300 like in the bc conservatives they've they've really destroyed their ability to win because

01:20:05.100 of all the fitter uh the the the fumbling around of john rustad kicking out dallas brody

01:20:11.260 and having two other mlas walk out on him i've even heard right now the bc conservatives are telling

01:20:16.780 their own mlas to vote against dallas brody's private members bill proposing to cut taxes heavily in the

01:20:23.660 province and people are going to say well it's too much you're they're going to cut taxes 50 for

01:20:28.620 people making under 100 000 and for corporations and everyone above 100 000 they're going to cut

01:20:33.420 it 25 that's unsustainable it is absolutely realistic to cut taxes that much because taxes

01:20:39.900 are so bleedingly high in bc it's actually causing revenues to fall from all the people fleeing the

01:20:45.020 province either west or not not west but east or south it's it's weird for me to think of alberta as

01:20:52.300 east because usually i always refer to alberta as being west of other provinces but it's east of bc

01:20:57.740 but bc is losing so many jobs east and south that if you just lower taxes you would actually bring

01:21:05.020 in more government revenue and you can easily find the savings to cut taxes that much in wasteful

01:21:10.940 spending because the bc government is almost just committing fraud every single day with how poorly

01:21:16.940 they spend money bcdc 78 for 279 says when are you collaborating again with britney uh me and

01:21:25.340 britney will probably do another episode of the white and britney show one day it's just that we both live 1.00

01:21:30.140 in different parts of the country and the last times we've seen each other at events just like when i see

01:21:35.740 other creators we've just been busy um so minty cad says what do you think of delta riding jesse

01:21:42.940 sohota and thank you for the 699 super chat i think that one is actually in play uh jesse sohota is

01:21:49.500 somebody i would vote for i think that one is definitely in play has the right mix of demographics

01:21:55.020 it's not too metropolitan it's mostly a suburban area good working class votes a certain amount of

01:22:00.700 south asian people who will be voting for the conservatives for socially conservative reasons

01:22:05.180 so i think there is a lot of uh stuff out there

01:22:10.460 f hawk 595 there are lib supporters at the colonna rally that spelled canda stong on their sign and

01:22:16.860 pleb interviewed her and she didn't know what she had spelling mistake lol oh i think we've all been

01:22:22.300 there so thank you for solving the mystery f hawk i did not know that i was wondering if pleb was

01:22:27.660 just messing with me personally uh dash one dash two says carney went on a french talk show in quebec

01:22:35.340 tonight and said the private sector is more simple pays better and is and is more docile what carney

01:22:42.700 went on a french talk show in quebec tonight and said the private sector is more simple pays better and

01:22:48.060 is more docile what does he even mean by that i think that's just his bad french coming into play if

01:22:53.820 he said something that obtuse sounding but the thing is he loves the private sector he's been

01:22:58.620 backing all the big uh stupid bloated uh spending programs of the liberals over the past several years

01:23:05.900 he was again the economic advisor for five years polyev should just keep hammering that you were the

01:23:11.500 economic advisor for five years why didn't you tell uh trudeau to implement any of this stuff and

01:23:16.220 we know you didn't because freeland said she wasn't allowed to make any decisions because it was

01:23:20.540 carney and trudeau telling her everything to do and do you think in that pair between trudeau and

01:23:25.660 carney that trudeau was calling the shots it was probably that carney was telling him what to do

01:23:30.380 and true trudeau so shallow he was just implementing whatever he was told to implement

01:23:40.300 jason curling says for five bucks thank you for that what is the difference ndp and green

01:23:45.180 i would say that the ndp is a trade unionist left-wing party but has become a hyper socially

01:23:53.420 progressive party over time it's less uniony these days just because of how anti-worker uh jagmeet is

01:24:01.260 in his rhetoric is he a strong pro-worker guy in the left-wing sense of that kind of phrase of being

01:24:08.220 pro-worker he is technically pro-worker again i don't think it's actually pro-worker because i don't think

01:24:13.420 killing the economy to jack up union wages is actually good for people and that's actually

01:24:18.780 why i think a lot of unions have been endorsing polyev is because i think that a lot of these

01:24:24.220 union bosses are realizing if you keep pushing on the private sector if you keep pushing for higher

01:24:28.780 wages and bigger benefits at the same time the economy is going downhill eventually we'll all be

01:24:33.980 out of a job so we need to lower taxes and regulations and get back to just like building a

01:24:39.580 good economy so the ndp used to be the more trade unionist party that's very much what like a jack

01:24:45.340 layton or a john horgan or even a wab canoe represents more of jagmeet is just a college town

01:24:52.940 progressive though he is a metropolitan progressive a free palestine progressive and that's really it

01:24:59.900 the greens share a lot of similarities with the ndp what i would say about them is that they're like

01:25:05.180 the granola version of the ndp and the liberals they are people who are extremely anti-establishment

01:25:12.940 and are political purists where even the ndp or the liberals do not satisfy them

01:25:19.100 i always call the greens farmers market communists that's kind of what defines them it's the type of

01:25:24.540 person who might own a beeswax candle business but they also hate capitalism that's a good way of

01:25:32.220 putting it uh they're kind of again the the flip side of the ppc at least these days i even voted ppc

01:25:39.580 in 2021 because there was a reason to erin o'toole was an awful conservative leader and he represented

01:25:44.300 basically no change from the liberals but the type of person voting ppc in 2025 is a lot like the right

01:25:51.420 wing version of the person voting uh green in 2025 you are just too good to vote for any of the other

01:25:58.300 options scotian for 18 thank you for that i'm thank you for everyone who uh who ends up sending

01:26:05.580 in super chats is extremely nice uh and i know i don't even have to basically pay for my flight you

01:26:10.940 guys have easily paid for my flight uh there is a there i bought you the wharf price for a lobster

01:26:17.500 currently fishermen in nova scotia watching get out and vote please advance poll please absolutely yes

01:26:23.900 guys vote early like scotian is saying and thank you for the lobster spending money maybe i'll head

01:26:29.420 out to uh nova scotia or newfoundland and get lobster to fulfill uh your credit that you've given

01:26:37.180 me i actually might go to a law school at some point in uh in newfoundland who knows in saint john

01:26:43.420 specifically bridalberry acre says what happens if someone votes now and their candidate drops out

01:26:50.700 is your vote gone i voted early and had uh write the name i think that is technically true that you

01:26:57.420 might have to go and vote again although if it's the party candidate they may just count it as the

01:27:02.700 party's vote because the party's candidate kind of fills a slot more than they're just they're not like

01:27:08.300 an independent candidate that the conservatives endorse this is the conservative candidate so it might

01:27:12.620 be transferable that is like the one i guess draw that is the one problem with early voting maybe

01:27:20.060 but once once actual advance polls are open that is when the uh that is when the the ballots are

01:27:27.580 solidified if you go to the returning office on the first day of the election that's when it's a bit

01:27:32.940 different uh icam says for 6.99 nothing so what am i gonna do i try and do something

01:27:40.620 what do i got going on here

01:27:47.980 i'm a fairly boring person honestly what do i even pull up here

01:27:52.780 my weird shoes i should wear these out at an event someday but i actually i'm a proud owner of victorian

01:27:58.700 style button boots where you have to take a hook and you actually have to hook them together they're

01:28:03.180 extremely comfortable and they never come off because they're not laced up you just kind of button them

01:28:06.940 up so well thank you for your 6.99 super chat and giving me an excuse to talk about some random object

01:28:12.700 in the room but yeah i i am an owner of button boots for some reason i actually have a too big of a shoe

01:28:18.780 collection for any man i think i own like 15 pairs of shoes or something ridiculous or 16. i buy them on

01:28:27.500 sale to be fair um and t ryan for five bucks says how long do you think it'll take for canada recover

01:28:35.020 for the last decade if a conservative government is elected i honestly think canada could recover

01:28:40.700 in six months if we cut the taxes if we reduce regulations make it easier to build housing reduce

01:28:46.620 immigration severely we could be back immediately it's like javier mele in argentina are they back 0.73

01:28:53.500 to the relative heights they were in the early 1900s where it was like one of the most fashionable

01:28:57.660 places to be and they were extremely prosperous and had i believe at the time almost a higher gdp

01:29:03.260 per capita than the united states yeah they're not there but argentina is definitely better than it

01:29:09.100 was in like 20 years so things can change very quickly if you if you the if the right policies are

01:29:14.700 put into place hokey 5587 says uh the knowledge project uh the knowledge project podcast just dropped

01:29:23.980 a peer interview your show uh like your show why you inspired me to get involved in canadian politics

01:29:29.900 well thank you for saying that i inspired you hopefully that i'm inspiring in some way uh you

01:29:37.020 know maybe don't do some things like me i don't know i'm trying to be self-deprecating i didn't have

01:29:42.620 anything so now i'm just trailing off but yeah i haven't watched that podcast i actually should watch

01:29:47.020 more of the podcast that polyev has been doing i've been seeing clips but it would be good to see what

01:29:51.340 his long form a presentation has been like since the election started because i assume it's different

01:29:57.420 than how he appeared on the jordan peterson podcast peterson by the way did a really really good

01:30:02.220 takedown of uh of carney in a new video in a new long form video where he went over his philosophy

01:30:08.860 the policies he's championed and all that sort of stuff cgr902 for five bucks says i got offered a

01:30:15.820 role on the board of my eda not sure i even wanted if they decide to replace pierre after the election

01:30:21.900 um well i don't think polyev will get replaced unless he gets absolutely stomped out and the

01:30:27.100 conservatives lose seats compared to 21 i think that polyev will stick around because even if the

01:30:31.980 conservatives lose i don't think anyone will blame polyev there are people in hq who should be

01:30:37.020 partially blamed but there's also the trump issue and the stupid tariffs that get people to swing

01:30:41.740 irrationally back towards the conservatives

01:30:43.740 yeah thank you now more people are filling me in now uh dan lorden says the pleb stong reference was

01:30:53.260 due to a liberal pro uh protester misspelling their tagline at a pure poly of rally you'll love to see

01:31:00.220 it you'll love to see it drotten roberts says for 279 you think the u.s 2020 is a fraud one that the

01:31:08.380 u.s presidential election was a fraudulent election my perspective on the 2020 united states

01:31:14.140 presidential election is just that it wasn't much of an election because the covid rules made it so

01:31:19.980 that ballot harvesting was effectively illegal that the votes were the votes but it was also a

01:31:26.620 very gamified election who do you think is going to be better at harvesting ballots when the democrats

01:31:33.420 disproportionately do well in very tightly populated urban ridings or not ridings but urban

01:31:40.220 districts whereas republicans do very well in areas with spread out acreages obviously who is going to

01:31:46.300 be better at getting people to mail in ballots the people who can go door to door where every single

01:31:51.980 door is like five feet away from each other in an area with brownstones in philadelphia or the areas

01:31:58.860 in like coffee not coffee county but some of these counties where it's spread out acreages

01:32:03.260 in small towns where republicans are going to have a hard time getting people to fill in their mail

01:32:07.500 in ballots nathan for 279 says do you think london west can switch conservative i'm gonna say actually

01:32:15.660 no i i think of all the london ridings london west i believe is like a hardcore liberal area it's not

01:32:23.020 something that is subject to swinging yeah right now they give it a like uh uh the 338 i'm not

01:32:32.620 going to bring up on screen but they give it a a likely liberal rating and they only give a

01:32:37.260 conservative a one percent chance of winning if it swings really hard towards the conservatives maybe

01:32:41.740 but i just don't see it in this race paul proud canadian for 50 thank you for that paul says hello

01:32:50.220 wyatt thank you for your stellar research analysis of our canadian political landscape and this

01:32:54.700 election in particular question can alberta ever separate without approval from our accountability

01:33:01.660 without approval or accountability to the federal government thanks that's uh actually a really good

01:33:07.820 question because no alberta can't actually separate even if a referendum is held unless the federal

01:33:14.380 government is willing to recognize it as legitimate and so if there was ever a separation

01:33:20.860 referendum that went on whoever is in charge of it would be smart to first go in front of some sort

01:33:26.460 of a court to get approval on whether or not the federal government will have to recognize it as

01:33:32.300 legitimate if the referendum passes by a certain amount i would say let's say if carney is the prime

01:33:39.180 minister or really if anyone's prime minister if separation gets passed with 55 of the vote in

01:33:45.340 somewhere like alberta or saskatchewan my suspicion is that they would not actually recognize it as

01:33:51.420 legitimate and they would find some reason to say well you know you just caught a moment let's do another

01:33:56.860 one in a year and see if this is actually where people still stand i think that there will be a lot of

01:34:03.100 legal tricks to say well the question wasn't clear enough or this had happened or that has happened

01:34:09.500 so we're not going to let entire province leave just because of a 55 to 45 vote

01:34:16.460 ask gaming hq says for five bucks will you ever come out with merch i will attempt to in the next few

01:34:21.900 months i'm getting my friend who's an artist to make up like more interesting product designs because

01:34:28.300 i don't want to again just throw the national telegraph logo on a mug like this is neat and

01:34:33.980 maybe i'll have something where it's just this is the logo but if i make a mug i'd want to be like a

01:34:38.220 full wrap design and i want a t-shirt with a big really good vinyl uh pattern that will machine wash

01:34:45.340 well i don't want to make it where it's just some crappy scratchy red bubble shirt that just has my

01:34:51.420 logo not very big on it i want it to be like interesting and i don't want it to make it like

01:34:55.580 affordable um okay i have to catch up with comments sam's son says i can see alberta and sask flirting

01:35:04.140 with separation maybe parts of bc too and that's the thing is is that do counties that vote for

01:35:10.140 separation are they only allowed to leave or is it that um the entire province would based on a

01:35:16.220 majority vote honestly i'm not even i'm not really much of a separatist and it's not because i would

01:35:21.180 never vote for it it just really depends on how things go

01:35:30.540 hmm

01:35:33.100 um here is arish walia walla walla says um i think this is right arish while the uh says can someone

01:35:41.820 ask if brampton will go blue don't worry i will answer your question right here because i am just

01:35:46.540 caught up to normal chat brampton absolutely can go blue generally the demographics that make up

01:35:52.620 brampton south asian mostly that group tends to swing back and forth people assumed because of

01:35:59.260 previous elections that in british columbia surrey was going to be solidly orange and then it turned

01:36:04.860 out they went actually very blue in certain areas because it's a community that has very very strong

01:36:10.140 feelings about certain issues so with like parental rights and so gee in british columbia south asians

01:36:15.260 voted conservative because they didn't like the ndp stance on it so in brampton the same thing could

01:36:19.900 easily happen depending on what mix of issues become really big in certain south asian communities in the

01:36:26.300 that area um yeah see april water says my area of brampton it's all blue signs that's also something i

01:36:37.180 always find south asian ridings also have heavy heavy amounts of signs because people are not

01:36:42.860 nervous they will uh they will put up a sign to tell you who they're voting for if they are voting

01:36:48.780 yeah that's actually a good uh question from a rush uh april which area of brampton are you in

01:36:56.540 uh so i'm gonna i'm gonna i'm holding out to see what she's gonna say

01:37:00.300 tracy walker says in red deer alberta i haven't seen one liberal ndp sign anywhere

01:37:08.700 that is probably just an area where they're not even going to try it it's it's a waste of money

01:37:15.740 april get back to us oh daniel huang says nothing for one dollar uh

01:37:23.500 april says chingua kusi i don't even know what that means

01:37:27.420 well thank you for the one dollar what do i do

01:37:33.340 i got bongo drums down here so that's something that i'm showing you for one dollar i got nothing

01:37:38.540 though i i'm actually running out of things to comment on other than i can talk about or take

01:37:45.020 suggestions for other things i can put on the set

01:37:47.020 uh patricia says for 6.99 thanks for teaching us how to get involved i'm going to help out barbara

01:37:58.540 balls campaign in a p in this week too hope to meet you there yes definitely i'm so i'm flying in

01:38:03.260 tomorrow maybe i'll be in the office tomorrow a little bit but you know it takes a while to fly

01:38:07.820 out from calgary to uh ontario and then the the time difference means that it'll probably be the later

01:38:12.780 afternoon so i told people i'll be there on the 15th so that people wouldn't show up tomorrow

01:38:19.820 fish world says did you ever play ghost and goblins on nes yes i have made it to level i think

01:38:25.740 i made it to level three one time i think just i'm gonna be not super confident say i made it to level

01:38:32.380 two i think i've put up ghost and goblins on the left at some point i think i did yeah

01:38:39.100 yeah game genie for the win

01:38:46.300 michael thomas says i live in toronto st paul several liberal signs going up without people's

01:38:50.460 consent and maybe this is also what's going on in burlington uh with the liberal there it's um

01:38:57.900 what's her name she's the one who ran 1.00

01:39:01.580 it's the it's the lady who ran for the leadership 1.00

01:39:12.780 what's her name okay karina ghoul there you go it's karina ghoul's writing and i could see

01:39:17.180 the liberals just dumping signs on people's lawns who are liberal supporters from previous

01:39:22.700 elections and kind of daring them you know take it down if you want

01:39:25.420 uh someone said play the drums i actually think i had had to tighten the bongo drums to make it

01:39:32.300 actually work i think they're a bit um yeah i i don't think they're in tune if that's how that works

01:39:40.780 cassidy ireland says i'm nervous to doorknock i'm not the smartest i'll probably just end up saying i

01:39:45.180 vote tori because i'm not gay um i i was nauseous the first time i went doorknocking because i

01:39:52.460 was genuinely just that bad in front of people you get into the into the uh uh you get into the

01:39:59.980 um uh you can get into a rhythm over time you realize you're just talking to people that once

01:40:06.700 you get to their door and they know what party you're from they already kind of know what you're

01:40:10.220 going to say so you don't have to feel like you have to justify yourself too much i always keep it

01:40:14.220 super light you know uh hey how are you doing i'm whatever whatever from this party we're just seeing

01:40:19.660 how are like people are feeling about the election and if there's any big issues for you guys i never

01:40:24.300 ask people who they're voting for because there's so many people who kind of get offended by that like

01:40:28.780 i wouldn't be offended if someone asked me obviously some people even if they're voting for

01:40:33.180 you they'll never tell you they're voting for you i always keep it light at the door and really

01:40:37.020 your goal is to have a pleasant interaction with them and make them feel like you know what i

01:40:41.340 liked that person and they're voting conservative maybe i'll do that too sometimes you do have to

01:40:46.300 answer a lot of questions sometimes there's misinformation they believe they had to correct

01:40:51.500 but generally yeah you can uh you'll get you'd get used to it maybe go with someone door knocking

01:40:55.900 and just watch them just stand as their backup lynn brooks says which podcast do you think pierre

01:41:02.380 should do again i would say jg mccullough would be a good one honestly northern perspectives would be a

01:41:07.980 good one i'm not saying like honestly like usually i would say so but from uh the more conservative

01:41:14.300 uh type podcasts i'd go maybe northern perspective would be a smart one to do

01:41:20.860 maybe he could do jasmine lane another one i'm thinking of

01:41:31.020 he should go on bridge city news that would be a smart idea go on the national post

01:41:34.540 uh arish wallace says about london west wyatt i'm here and let me tell you there's a solid chance

01:41:45.020 arielle loses london central center is the more liberal seat okay then i maybe got that a bit

01:41:50.380 backwards um what is london center's chances right now i'm on 338 still yeah never mind yeah that's the

01:41:58.380 one that's the one that they give the liberals the over 99 chance of winning

01:42:12.060 try to catch up on some stuff um blah blah blah

01:42:29.980 daniel huang gave another dollar so i will pull up the other set of bongos that happens to be down

01:42:35.260 here because he didn't superchain anything so there's another set of bongos here i'm a musician

01:42:45.740 thank you for the dollar daniel

01:42:49.020 haven't heard of this vac offering veterans made uh oh yeah i've heard the the the yeah the

01:42:56.060 veterans affairs doing that that's disgusting yellowhead homestead says will there be any uh 0.98

01:43:03.180 repercussions for button gate i think there will be at the very least it's embarrassing and

01:43:08.780 based on how badly the liberals have been doing in front of the media these days there is a there

01:43:13.660 there is a way of this hurting um ocean blue says mr sunshine baby moose on the loose i think people are

01:43:22.940 giving um suggestions pleb and elevate well the the problem with going on some of these podcasts

01:43:29.980 including myself is that we can kind of go pretty hard at the left in a way where there's clips of me

01:43:35.500 insulting people on the left there's clips of pleb doing that there's clips of moose sunshine

01:43:39.820 clyde do something doing that elevate probably so that's where you know you got to you to be careful

01:43:44.940 with us in the middle of an election you can come on our shows probably before an election like

01:43:50.540 six months before an election you could do uh a podcast where the people are a little bit more uh

01:43:55.980 you know attacky but yeah who shot ashley babbitt says bring back britney at some point definitely 1.00

01:44:03.900 we will definitely have her back on to talk about stupid things going on on social media for the fun 1.00

01:44:08.860 of it sorry i was trying to find some cold pond northern says have you heard of the vac offering veterans

01:44:23.900 made yeah you said that before but yeah definitely and thank you for the super chatting even more to

01:44:28.620 ask the same thing but yeah they have been doing that i've seen the clips of it like obviously i think

01:44:33.820 we've all seen like the the i think people were secretly taping someone being offered it just simply

01:44:38.620 because they had like a problem walking or whatever but uh yeah there's a reason people make the joke

01:44:43.660 about how there's about the wait times in the uk and and the expensiveness of health care in the

01:44:49.260 u.s and then how in canada the problem is that they'll just try and kill you

01:44:55.020 michael thomas says would you consider boxing frank dominic for charity like justin trudeau did

01:45:00.060 uh no not really i'm probably bigger and taller than frank dominic but you know there's always that

01:45:06.220 chance you lose and if you go in as not the underdog then you're really screwed because if you win who cares

01:45:11.900 plus frank dominic is apparently a uh an apologist for luigi mangioni so i wouldn't want to show up and

01:45:21.340 have him shoot me to death um 0.96

01:45:32.540 so okay now we're pretty much done here when i say done here i mean like i'm through all the super chats

01:45:39.420 and we're like an hour 45 into this thing so i'll probably start moving on oh someone says 338 isn't

01:45:45.660 trustworthy is 338 not trustworthy i wouldn't put it in that way i would just say that i disagree with

01:45:51.900 the polls that they mix into their averages i do want to throw this in here guys though 338 has a

01:45:57.340 great simulator if you want to play around with it actually what i should do here before we go

01:46:02.700 is i want to quickly we're not going to go right away but i want to actually pull up the simulator and i

01:46:08.380 want to show you guys kind of how it works because it's kind of interesting

01:46:14.380 uh daniel huang says hello haven't figured out how to send a super chat my riding of sackville bedford

01:46:20.060 preston new boundaries possibly to flip can sign advantage conservative sign advantage well i want

01:46:25.820 to look that up now sackville bedford preston

01:46:38.860 okay let's see this thing

01:46:44.620 okay i can't find the 338 for sack phil

01:46:46.780 you're right that that could be a liberal a flip because right now the uh the liberal in 2021 only

01:46:59.180 won with 41 percent of the vote the only problem is the ndp and the conservative both had 26 percent

01:47:06.540 so if a bunch of that ndp goes towards the liberals even if some of the liberal vote goes to the

01:47:11.580 conservative they might be able to hold on to it but with a good campaign and if

01:47:14.780 the the signs are leaning conservative maybe again that that does sound like it's probably more of a

01:47:20.940 of a working class area

01:47:24.540 david bell for ten dollars says what's your take on the does uh

01:47:28.860 desiree fixler interview by the way thanks for all your great info

01:47:32.540 desiree fixler is that another podcast appear to be dev

01:47:38.780 who is that again i'm gonna i'm actually gonna copy paste that for later

01:47:41.820 okay it doesn't allow me to copy paste that okay that's annoying um

01:48:02.060 i haven't seen that yet i i do not know what that uh interview is

01:48:05.100 let let me know who that is was that somebody on northern perspective because i looked up the name

01:48:12.700 and the first thing that popped up was northern perspective so it's something about an investment

01:48:17.420 banker um trying to figure out who this is

01:48:25.340 foster says joe rogan has no clue what's going on in canada and that's that's where i that's where

01:48:29.900 i've told people never go on an interview where the person you're who is interviewing you doesn't

01:48:34.700 know about the issue because they will eventually say some really stupid things and ask you stupid

01:48:39.420 question making you look stupid by association okay so she did an interview with a fourth

01:48:47.580 northern perspective

01:48:51.260 mike trader uh trainer says love joe but he doesn't exactly know much about canadian politics and only

01:48:57.180 give cbc ammo to take things out of context and that's my thing it doesn't mean that joe rogan is

01:49:02.220 bad it just means that it's not the right time to go on a show like his poly of when he's the prime

01:49:07.180 minister or maybe a year ago could go on because you just need that kind of run-up time

01:49:13.980 someone said something i definitely agree with darth trudeau says rob ford over doug ford yeah rob

01:49:19.260 ford was great and doug ford sucks it's simple as 0.75

01:49:26.860 so i'll go look up that uh that fixler interview and i'll go check that out later because that

01:49:32.060 sounds interesting anyway so this is the simulator so in the simulator this is the default confidence

01:49:40.780 intervals they haven't updated their numbers yet so this is based on three or four days ago where

01:49:45.660 most of the polls were pretty nasty to the to the conservatives this is what their current confidence

01:49:51.100 defaults show as being the outcome well you really don't need to care about anyone but the

01:49:56.380 conservatives and liberals here so they don't give you a lot of variety of how much you can turn the

01:50:01.500 different parties up and down but i if i was to say i don't think this election is going to be an

01:50:06.700 under 40 election for the conservatives and i also think that the liberals are kind of over polled at

01:50:12.380 the moment so this is the point i made on another video if the liberals fall to like 41 of the vote

01:50:19.260 and the conservatives have 40 and then you know ndp does 88.8 percent uh greens do 2.1

01:50:29.900 block does like 6.1 or so and also i don't think the ppz is going to get more than one percent of the

01:50:35.100 vote uh you know the block at six and a half percent or whatever which is quite good for them

01:50:39.660 uh i'll give the ndp a little bit more let's give them nine if this is the outcome because usually 0.89

01:50:46.620 0.4 percent is probably going to go towards other parties or independents if this is what the votes

01:50:53.420 look like on election day for the popular vote based on the 338 model you would actually get a

01:50:58.780 conservative minority government 156 conservative seats to 144 liberal but the problem for the liberals is

01:51:05.580 that with the ndp and the greens combined they cannot they can still not pass anything they would

01:51:12.780 need the block to do that but the problem is is again the block even said when carney became the

01:51:18.380 prime minister that it doesn't matter who's the liberal leader they're going to be defeating the

01:51:22.780 government so i would say that we're currently in a situation where if the conservatives win a

01:51:28.940 minority it becomes a very functional government because the block has all the incentives to make it work 0.81

01:51:34.220 uh and let's even do this even more if the if it's the liberals who are only at 40 and the 0.97

01:51:39.740 conservatives can get even 40.5 and we're well i won't even adjust anything else going here let's

01:51:46.700 even just give the ppc some more vote just for the fun of it if this is what the votes look like 40 to 40.5

01:51:54.380 the seats would then be 165 conservative and then 132 liberal i know someone could say this looks like

01:52:01.340 wish casting but this is all within confidence intervals confidence intervals that are in fact

01:52:07.340 being kind of moved or they're kind of being artificially um what i would consider they're being

01:52:15.020 artificially not manipulated that's not the right word but they're being influenced by ecos pulling 1.00

01:52:20.140 and angus reed who i think are way way way over pulling the liberals right now

01:52:24.460 that's all goodman says i think the 338 model is broken i don't usually it's the conservatives

01:52:32.220 who have the less efficient vote than the liberals but you could find that in this election the liberals

01:52:37.340 are mostly just doubling down on urban metropolitan writings and they're going to do super well there

01:52:42.780 but these working class writings that are kind of in the middle of all the parties the conservatives

01:52:47.660 end up winning them by 37 or 40 so yeah

01:52:55.580 sleeping bag says i'm i'm first time voting blue in vancouver center good you're voting for elaine allen

01:53:01.820 elaine allen by the way is actually a viewer of the show so good luck to elaine allen in vancouver center

01:53:09.420 but yeah so i should probably be moving on from here because i actually have to do some extra packing

01:53:14.060 since i go to to ottawa early tomorrow thank you guys all for watching i'm going to drop the link

01:53:21.020 in for the simulator down there below if you guys want to save the simulator link and look at it in

01:53:25.660 the future but thanks for watching guys thanks everyone for super chatting it you know that's

01:53:31.260 extremely generous i'm always very blown away with how much people are willing to send in for answering

01:53:36.940 questions or asking questions considering i actually don't solicit people to do it it's just people

01:53:41.100 doing it for fun even cmz here thank you says will you sell your pin as merch probably yes i i can i

01:53:49.900 can probably do that because t t public has pins that you can sell and they're like full metal pins

01:53:55.260 i was going to order pins for when i went to ottawa but i forgot to and i was going to like hand them

01:53:59.820 out to people if they wanted them maybe i can even still do that and then just have them like ship to

01:54:04.860 the i don't know like ship to the hotel who knows i'll figure it out but i'll add the pins to

01:54:09.980 that if people like the pins i just didn't want to put like a bunch of merch on it thinking like

01:54:15.340 oh you think people want to buy that wyatt

01:54:21.740 maybe on my website i'll do like a poll where people can like vote on what they want sold

01:54:26.940 so i don't just have a bunch of like tat there that nobody actually wants but i want to make sure

01:54:31.980 that when i sell a cup i actually want it kind of modeled on the true north cup that they used to sell

01:54:36.460 because it's like a really big nice coffee cup these ones are a little small because like

01:54:41.980 honestly when i drink coffee it's like it's out of like a tank or like this i tend to drink a lot of

01:54:46.380 coffee in a day i think i'm actually to like more than a pot of coffee at this point but yeah thank you

01:54:52.940 guys for all watching been super nice hanging out with y'all i'll see you in ottawa i might try and

01:54:57.980 stream when i'm in ottawa at some point but you will see me making videos while i'm out in uh no man's

01:55:03.740 land in that in that part of the country but see you guys all later bye

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - April 14, 2025

Conservatives polling surge - Debates Happening Soon!

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