Wyatt talks about the collapse of the BC United Conservative Party and why it's a good thing for the BC Conservative Party. Also, the latest polls are starting to come in and things are looking up for the Tories.
00:00:00.000Hey guys, Wyatt here, and I just wanted to make a quick video on what is going on in British Columbia provincial politics,
00:00:08.180because it's been absolutely wild, and not one aspect of all the crazy change going on has gone the way of BC NDP Premier David Eby.
00:00:19.040His party, at least in my opinion, from my perspective, is on the ropes.
00:00:23.720Because I had been advocating for the last several months that a merger between BC United and the BC Conservatives would not be good for anybody.
00:00:33.240It would end up just having more of the people who drove the BC United Party into the ground,
00:00:38.700joining the Conservatives, and then probably watering down the campaign and, you know, doing a lot of damage.
00:00:44.280And with Kevin Falcon just basically saying, we're not going to run anymore, you know, go vote BC Conservative, that's perfect.
00:00:50.940That's perfect. None of the incompetent people from BC United are encouraged to come and join and help out on the campaign for the Conservatives.
00:00:58.460We can just keep doing our thing over in the BC Conservative camp. That's great.
00:01:03.880And we can actually push on to victory. We don't have to make any stupid compromises over policy.
00:01:08.880We can just keep focusing on the policies people have been liking that have been pushing us up in the polls.
00:01:13.820So that's great. It was also just kind of funny to see Kevin Falcon almost just through online teasing,
00:01:20.060just basically saying, yep, I'm out of here. I'm going to pack it in, guys.
00:01:25.240Didn't ask for, like, a cabinet position, not going to run again.
00:01:28.780He just kind of got on the phone with his caucus saying, yeah, we're, you know, we're going to pack it in.
00:01:33.900And even they're like, well, you should resign first.
00:02:16.180Just United said we can't win, so we're leaving.
00:02:18.600And because of the Falcon endorsement, I think that we're actually going to get way more of the United voter base coming over to the Conservatives
00:02:25.400than we would have if the party just stopped existing without the endorsement.
00:02:29.240Because the problem with the United base, and this is always something you've got to be careful with,
00:02:32.880just because they're not the NDP, if they go away, that doesn't exactly benefit the Conservatives.
00:02:38.160I would say that, if anything, there was more federal Liberals who were voting BC United than there were still federal Conservatives.
00:02:44.700So, if the party just went away, good chance a lot of those people would then go vote BC NDP.
00:02:49.720But the Falcon endorsement, I think, loosens it up a bit to where I think we're going to now capture more than 50%
00:02:55.660of the BC United's voter base who doesn't just stay home.
00:02:59.020A lot of them probably will stay home, and I'm perfectly fine with that.
00:03:02.780Because I think, right now, the Conservatives have a very good chance when it comes to just winning on turnout.
00:03:08.560Because some new polls are out, and, of course, I'm always talking about polls.
00:03:12.140The polls are, can I just say, amazing?
00:03:16.080I've already talked about the two previous polls from Main Street, and then I think the other one from, it doesn't really matter.
00:03:22.460But one of them showed the BC Conservatives up three, and one of them showed the BC Conservatives up by one.
00:03:29.080Both of those polls have been consistently showing an upward trend.
00:03:33.200This has been very good for the Conservatives.
00:03:35.000But what's even better is just today, Angus Reid released a poll.
00:03:39.520Now, I'm going to take you back on a little bit of, you know, a time machine journey three months ago.
00:03:44.760Angus Reid released a poll three months ago in May.
00:03:47.840This isn't January, this isn't February, this isn't, like, months and months and months ago.
00:05:06.660A poll showing you so far ahead to try and demoralize the other side,
00:05:10.160or show you neck and neck, even though you're really far down, to try and get your voters out.
00:05:14.940But a lot of the mistakes these people are making by doing models is they're assuming the people who showed up last time are going to be showing up this time.
00:05:23.760So the same demographic group, same demographies, every single different person, like, every single person who showed up and voted last time,
00:05:31.280that's the exact same group of people who's going to show up and vote this time.