The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - August 31, 2024


David Eby's NDP campaign is failing - BC Conservatives set up to win!


Episode Stats


Length

15 minutes

Words per minute

191.92076

Word count

2,887

Sentence count

191

Harmful content

Hate speech

2

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Wyatt talks about the collapse of the BC United Conservative Party and why it's a good thing for the BC Conservative Party. Also, the latest polls are starting to come in and things are looking up for the Tories.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt here, and I just wanted to make a quick video on what is going on in British Columbia provincial politics,
00:00:08.180 because it's been absolutely wild, and not one aspect of all the crazy change going on has gone the way of BC NDP Premier David Eby.
00:00:19.040 His party, at least in my opinion, from my perspective, is on the ropes.
00:00:23.720 Because I had been advocating for the last several months that a merger between BC United and the BC Conservatives would not be good for anybody.
00:00:33.240 It would end up just having more of the people who drove the BC United Party into the ground,
00:00:38.700 joining the Conservatives, and then probably watering down the campaign and, you know, doing a lot of damage.
00:00:44.280 And with Kevin Falcon just basically saying, we're not going to run anymore, you know, go vote BC Conservative, that's perfect.
00:00:50.940 That's perfect. None of the incompetent people from BC United are encouraged to come and join and help out on the campaign for the Conservatives.
00:00:58.460 We can just keep doing our thing over in the BC Conservative camp. That's great.
00:01:03.880 And we can actually push on to victory. We don't have to make any stupid compromises over policy.
00:01:08.880 We can just keep focusing on the policies people have been liking that have been pushing us up in the polls.
00:01:13.820 So that's great. It was also just kind of funny to see Kevin Falcon almost just through online teasing,
00:01:20.060 just basically saying, yep, I'm out of here. I'm going to pack it in, guys.
00:01:25.240 Didn't ask for, like, a cabinet position, not going to run again.
00:01:28.780 He just kind of got on the phone with his caucus saying, yeah, we're, you know, we're going to pack it in.
00:01:33.900 And even they're like, well, you should resign first.
00:01:36.040 And he says, no.
00:01:37.920 And then just kind of hangs up the phone, walks out into a press conference,
00:01:41.200 and stands behind John Rustad, the man he kicked out of the party, the BC United Party, a year ago,
00:01:47.120 or a year and a half ago, and is now conceding that John Rustad is the only person who can save the province.
00:01:53.460 And, again, this has all been horrible for the BC NDP and David Eby,
00:01:58.040 because they wanted to make this whole hoopla, this whole kit and caboodle over the fact that,
00:02:03.340 oh, the United and the Conservatives are coming together to merge,
00:02:06.100 and all the lobbyists and consultants are coming after us because we're pure socialists fighting capitalist dogs or something like that.
00:02:12.340 Whatever David Eby would say, he's a complete nutcase.
00:02:14.940 That didn't happen.
00:02:16.180 Just United said we can't win, so we're leaving.
00:02:18.600 And because of the Falcon endorsement, I think that we're actually going to get way more of the United voter base coming over to the Conservatives
00:02:25.400 than we would have if the party just stopped existing without the endorsement.
00:02:29.240 Because the problem with the United base, and this is always something you've got to be careful with,
00:02:32.880 just because they're not the NDP, if they go away, that doesn't exactly benefit the Conservatives.
00:02:38.160 I would say that, if anything, there was more federal Liberals who were voting BC United than there were still federal Conservatives.
00:02:44.700 So, if the party just went away, good chance a lot of those people would then go vote BC NDP.
00:02:49.720 But the Falcon endorsement, I think, loosens it up a bit to where I think we're going to now capture more than 50%
00:02:55.660 of the BC United's voter base who doesn't just stay home.
00:02:59.020 A lot of them probably will stay home, and I'm perfectly fine with that.
00:03:02.780 Because I think, right now, the Conservatives have a very good chance when it comes to just winning on turnout.
00:03:08.560 Because some new polls are out, and, of course, I'm always talking about polls.
00:03:12.140 The polls are, can I just say, amazing?
00:03:16.080 I've already talked about the two previous polls from Main Street, and then I think the other one from, it doesn't really matter.
00:03:22.460 But one of them showed the BC Conservatives up three, and one of them showed the BC Conservatives up by one.
00:03:29.080 Both of those polls have been consistently showing an upward trend.
00:03:33.200 This has been very good for the Conservatives.
00:03:35.000 But what's even better is just today, Angus Reid released a poll.
00:03:39.520 Now, I'm going to take you back on a little bit of, you know, a time machine journey three months ago.
00:03:44.760 Angus Reid released a poll three months ago in May.
00:03:47.840 This isn't January, this isn't February, this isn't, like, months and months and months ago.
00:03:51.520 This is just a few months ago, May.
00:03:54.480 Angus Reid put out a poll where the BC NDP and David Eby had an 11-point lead, an 11-point lead over the BC Conservatives.
00:04:02.020 So it was, like, 42 to, like, 31.
00:04:04.800 It was horrific for the BC Conservatives if the election was about to happen.
00:04:09.520 I knew that those numbers weren't going to stay, so I wasn't, you know, too panicked about it.
00:04:13.720 Yeah, a lot of the pollsters take a little bit more time to catch up to the trends.
00:04:16.760 Different polling methodologies and sampling styles tend to capture different voters.
00:04:21.520 But the new poll that they just released, and now fast forward to today, is BC Conservatives are up one point on the BC NDP.
00:04:30.180 So since Angus Reid's last poll, there has been a 12-point swing towards the BC Conservatives.
00:04:38.040 That's insane.
00:04:38.680 And I know there's all those polling, like, those seat projection models some people are putting out, usually more on the left, saying,
00:04:45.520 well, even if the BC NDP are down one or two points, they can still win on seats by, like, three, four, or five seats.
00:04:52.200 It's like, no, no, because what you guys are doing is the same mistake that American pollsters make every single election.
00:04:58.420 There are some good American pollsters.
00:05:00.180 A lot of them are push polls because there's so much money in American politics.
00:05:03.660 Parties do indeed pay for push polls.
00:05:06.660 A poll showing you so far ahead to try and demoralize the other side,
00:05:10.160 or show you neck and neck, even though you're really far down, to try and get your voters out.
00:05:14.940 But a lot of the mistakes these people are making by doing models is they're assuming the people who showed up last time are going to be showing up this time.
00:05:23.760 So the same demographic group, same demographies, every single different person, like, every single person who showed up and voted last time,
00:05:31.280 that's the exact same group of people who's going to show up and vote this time.
00:05:34.840 It's simple.
00:05:35.960 Different elections have different results, and it's partially based on who chooses to show up and vote.
00:05:42.040 It's not the same 60% of people showing up to vote every single election.
00:05:47.340 A John Horgan NDP voter is very different from a David Eby NDP voter,
00:05:52.220 and this is where I want to get into the other terrible thing going on for the BC NDP.
00:05:58.040 The crack pipe vending machine.
00:06:00.640 That's lightening a bottle for the BC Conservatives.
00:06:03.260 Rightfully so.
00:06:03.980 That's insane.
00:06:05.060 We just have, you know, illicit drug, you know, smoking and, like, snorting tools
00:06:10.300 being given out in vending machines in front of ERs.
00:06:13.220 That's insane.
00:06:14.220 We have the Mission Memorial ER closing, I think, for, like, the sixth or seventh time in just a few weeks.
00:06:21.020 It's insane.
00:06:21.700 And their MLA in that area, their NDP MLA for Abbotsford Mission,
00:06:25.860 Pam Alexis, can't even acknowledge it happened.
00:06:28.220 I think one time it closed, she says,
00:06:30.180 Thanks for the call, Frazier Health, quote, tweeting them saying that we've just notified all authorities about the closure.
00:06:35.640 That's all she said.
00:06:36.620 They have nothing.
00:06:37.460 Every, their record's bad.
00:06:39.000 And David Eby, because he has terrible political instincts,
00:06:42.380 I think the only person with worse political instincts in BC politics than David Eby,
00:06:47.540 who's currently in office,
00:06:48.960 is Ravi Parmar, who is the replacement NDP MLA in Juan de Fuca to replace John Horgan.
00:06:55.280 Ravi Parmar has the political timing of a bowling ball going through a plate glass window.
00:07:01.820 He's terrible.
00:07:02.740 But David Eby is, like, right up there with him.
00:07:05.380 So David Eby, in the midst of all this radical garbage,
00:07:08.500 their terrible record and performance on many issues,
00:07:11.540 it's not just that they have a more radical perspective,
00:07:14.380 it's that the results suck. 0.54
00:07:16.120 The results plainly suck.
00:07:18.100 And David Eby is now coming out and saying,
00:07:20.340 well, you can't vote for the conservatives because they're radical.
00:07:23.940 They might do some crazy stuff.
00:07:26.360 What?
00:07:27.280 This is like if we're in the Soviet Union
00:07:29.640 and Stalin is the current premier of the USSR,
00:07:34.340 and then someone, like, proposes maybe getting rid of them,
00:07:37.560 and then you say, like, well, you know,
00:07:40.060 someone else more radical might get in than Stalin.
00:07:43.260 I'm like, okay, yeah, maybe there's a Pol Pot in Russia 0.66
00:07:45.960 sitting somewhere around the corners,
00:07:47.980 but we're as bad as it could possibly get.
00:07:50.800 David Eby is as bad as you could possibly get.
00:07:54.500 So, like, trying to scare BC residents into thinking that
00:07:57.820 John Rustad might cut, you know, healthcare spending.
00:08:01.440 He might push your grandmother down the stairs.
00:08:03.040 No one believes it.
00:08:03.860 No one believes he's actually going to do something like that.
00:08:06.160 No government, since the federal liberals under Kretchen,
00:08:09.320 have cut healthcare spending.
00:08:11.040 It's because, like, and that only was happening
00:08:13.160 because we were in a massive debt crisis.
00:08:14.560 If we don't want to run into that
00:08:17.500 where we have to cut healthcare spending,
00:08:18.860 we need a conservative government
00:08:19.820 who can manage the budget better,
00:08:21.200 and that doesn't require any cutting to healthcare spending.
00:08:23.780 It just means we have to cut garbage.
00:08:26.480 Just nonsense.
00:08:28.400 DEI crap.
00:08:29.500 We just need that stuff out.
00:08:31.160 We need the carbon tax regime
00:08:32.780 and all the administration that goes along with it out.
00:08:34.880 We need the massive amounts of just nonsensical digging holes
00:08:39.800 just to fill them in type public jobs gotten rid of.
00:08:42.420 There's a lot of garbage that we can get rid of easily
00:08:44.820 to actually balance this budget
00:08:46.400 and start paying down the provincial debt.
00:08:48.060 Cut taxes.
00:08:48.840 If we reduce personal income taxes,
00:08:51.100 business income taxes,
00:08:52.280 across the board,
00:08:53.280 we will actually bring in more revenue
00:08:54.700 because BC is so overtaxed,
00:08:56.720 we are chasing people out of the province.
00:08:58.620 But I want to talk a little bit more
00:09:00.660 about just David Eby as a person now
00:09:02.340 because it's almost like the BC Conservatives,
00:09:05.560 like if John Rustad,
00:09:06.680 I could believe John Rustad's a wizard.
00:09:08.980 He forced Falcon to kick him out of the BC United Caucus
00:09:12.600 so then he could become the Conservative leader
00:09:14.060 and have a lot of momentum
00:09:15.540 and inject some new entry into BC politics.
00:09:19.340 And he must have also been the one behind
00:09:21.220 getting David Eby in
00:09:23.520 as the new NDP leader after John Horgan.
00:09:26.520 He got the NDP to foolishly appoint him
00:09:29.200 as the new NDP leader
00:09:30.460 and Premier of the province.
00:09:32.620 He's literally an acclaimed Premier.
00:09:34.760 It's so sad.
00:09:36.040 He is the worst.
00:09:37.440 Nobody likes him.
00:09:38.220 And this is the problem for the NDP.
00:09:40.860 They can try and fear monger about,
00:09:43.140 oh, this BC Conservative candidate
00:09:44.640 said this thing five years ago.
00:09:46.140 Guys, who cares?
00:09:47.400 Guys, who cares?
00:09:48.200 Our current Premier is a crazy person.
00:09:51.260 He's actually insane.
00:09:53.040 He does not know what he's doing.
00:09:55.080 His only prescription in any time of crisis,
00:09:59.940 and whenever there's a problem,
00:10:00.960 he just wants to do the same policies more with more money.
00:10:04.820 He's a nutcase.
00:10:06.360 The guy also just has no charisma.
00:10:08.400 David Eby walks around.
00:10:10.020 I have bad posture.
00:10:11.560 And he makes me look like I can walk perfectly straight
00:10:14.180 and carry a book on my head.
00:10:15.800 Because that guy walks around like he's Gumby mixed with a vulture.
00:10:19.220 The guy doesn't have any charisma.
00:10:20.620 His only claim to fame is beating Christy Clark in the 2013 provincial election,
00:10:26.420 which is not difficult.
00:10:28.420 Christy Clark is just the provincial version of Kim Campbell.
00:10:33.560 It's not difficult.
00:10:34.720 So the NDP acclaimed him because of his claim to fame
00:10:37.980 that he took out the former Premier,
00:10:40.520 the former Liberal Premier of British Columbia in an election.
00:10:44.640 David Eby barely got any more votes than any other NDP candidates
00:10:48.060 ever gotten in Point Grey.
00:10:49.780 All of Gordon Campbell's opponents usually were around the 10,000 vote mark.
00:10:55.320 I think David Eby got 11,000 votes.
00:10:57.320 He did not actually increase the appeal of the NDP in that riding.
00:11:01.780 But he just won by default because Kim Campbell,
00:11:04.200 not Kim Campbell,
00:11:05.360 Christy Clark is the worst.
00:11:07.580 And now they think that because David Eby beat the worst possible person,
00:11:12.980 that that means that he's like going to be a unifier
00:11:15.540 and he can reach out to the moderate middle class.
00:11:18.160 He's not a moderate.
00:11:18.820 He was just in the right place at the right time running against the worst Premier possible.
00:11:24.260 Like, Ujjal Dessange was the last NDP Premier to lose an election.
00:11:29.620 But you could say that Ujjal Dessange has real virtues.
00:11:32.720 A lot of flaws, but some virtues too.
00:11:35.040 David Eby doesn't have any virtues to run as a person.
00:11:37.260 He's a career, useless person.
00:11:40.540 He is a freeloader.
00:11:41.860 He is somebody who's just worked for government-funded and active-funded organizations,
00:11:46.260 making problems worse.
00:11:47.520 He's never solved a problem for anybody.
00:11:49.220 He's never done anything for anybody.
00:11:51.300 Maybe he's helped an old lady walk across the street one time.
00:11:54.720 Maybe.
00:11:55.180 I don't even know about that.
00:11:56.180 But overall, his entire career at the Pivot Legal Society and working in government has
00:12:00.660 only been to make problems worse, demonize people actually doing a good job, and make
00:12:07.400 unvert you signaling.
00:12:08.480 He's an idiot.
00:12:09.280 He's horrible.
00:12:10.140 He is anti-police.
00:12:11.480 He's trying to chase every single person who has any money left out of British Columbia.
00:12:15.280 He thinks that the way that we end up creating more affordable housing is just demanding that
00:12:21.120 people provide the housing for cheaper.
00:12:23.500 It's just 18-year-old sociology-type solutions to problems.
00:12:28.860 This is stupid.
00:12:30.680 This is a stupid premier, and this is why British Columbians need to vote for the Conservatives.
00:12:35.220 I assume every single one of you watching this video right now is going to, but reach
00:12:39.080 out to friends, neighbors.
00:12:41.180 The BCNDP has a massive money advantage because the one thing that David Eby is very good
00:12:45.160 at is government corruption.
00:12:47.100 And so he has made it that all of the incumbent parties, they all get $1, I think, $56 per
00:12:53.320 vote that they got in the last election.
00:12:55.160 And they get that taxpayer handout every year on the year.
00:12:59.660 So for four years, the BCNDP has been able to get $1.56 per vote that they got in the 2020
00:13:06.120 election.
00:13:07.080 The Conservatives technically get it too, but they only had like less than 50,000 votes.
00:13:11.080 They had nothing.
00:13:11.760 So they don't get very much money at all.
00:13:13.160 And the BCNDP, and I believe it's that if you get more than 10% in a riding, you get
00:13:17.860 33% of your money back.
00:13:19.540 It's just to advantage incumbents and make their governments and parties more rigid in
00:13:24.400 the polls.
00:13:25.260 The BCNDP, nobody likes them, but they have a lot of money.
00:13:28.520 So guys, if you live in BC, I'm going to link the Abbotsford South EDA in the description
00:13:34.380 below.
00:13:34.760 That's where I'm the campaign manager for Bruce Bandman.
00:13:37.620 Just donate at least $100 to it.
00:13:39.780 You get 75% of your money back up to $100, 50% of it up to $550, and 33% up to $1450,
00:13:47.480 I believe.
00:13:48.440 If you, you got to donate because the BC Conservatives are at a money disadvantage.
00:13:52.940 Money does not, like, money doesn't basically guide political outcomes.
00:13:57.480 It helps a little bit, but it doesn't guide them.
00:13:59.740 This is truly a test between grassroots campaigning and a bloated, overfunded socialist trade unionist
00:14:07.320 party.
00:14:08.100 But the money does help.
00:14:09.440 So make sure you donate.
00:14:11.000 Go to see that, the link in the description below.
00:14:13.100 What we're going to do is we're going to make sure Abbotsford South is fully funded.
00:14:15.920 It's not going to be that difficult.
00:14:17.160 Our United candidate that we are up against already dropped out.
00:14:20.900 And so what we're going to do is just take a small bit of the money, and then we're going
00:14:24.020 to package the rest up and send it out to other ridings that need it, where there is
00:14:27.960 a chance to be able to get rid of an NDP incumbent, or put in a BC Conservative candidate to replace
00:14:34.480 a United MLA who's retiring.
00:14:36.980 So yeah, everything's going very well.
00:14:38.660 Just make sure to do your part so we can actually, you know, get David Eby out of office.
00:14:42.580 He's the worst.
00:14:43.460 He's the worst.
00:14:44.120 And if we all don't try really hard right now, and we can't be that upset if we're
00:14:48.780 going to have to try and move in the next year or two because the BC NDP got back in.
00:14:52.920 Anyways, see you guys all later.
00:14:54.860 You can also check out my website in the description below, wyattclaypool.com, sign up on to the
00:14:59.240 organizing list I have nationally, and I'll see you guys later.