The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Donors are fleeing from Trudeau's Liberals (Liberals look broke)

00:00:00.000 Even more potent than polling, fundraising numbers have always been the best indicator

00:00:04.320 of a Canadian political party's potential success or failure at the ballot box.

00:00:09.300 For an example, the federal NDP might be able to punch up into the low to mid-20s in terms of

00:00:15.420 polling, but on election day, they always end up with only mid to high teens in terms of the

00:00:20.620 popular vote. The problem for the federal NDP is that while maybe a quarter of Canadians will

00:00:25.880 consider voting for them, they don't have the money to actually run enough competent campaigns

00:00:30.520 across the country to realize that amount of support at the ballot box. And now, hilariously

00:00:36.240 enough, Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party are actually going to face some of the same problems

00:00:41.300 that the NDP has historically faced. The Liberal Party is having donors run away from them screaming.

00:00:47.660 They cannot attract flies these days, and it's because donors do not want to throw good money

00:00:52.660 after bad. They do not have confidence that Justin Trudeau can win, they would like a different

00:00:57.580 leader for the Liberal Party, and they, in the face of pure Polly's popularity, do not see Justin

00:01:02.980 Trudeau as being someone who is going to do them any favors in terms of policy. I'm not sure if you've

00:01:09.200 seen this story. It's quite hilarious. Justin Trudeau and the Liberals couldn't get 90 supporters to show

00:01:15.600 up to a fundraiser in Vancouver. Vancouver being a city that the Liberals have historically done pretty

00:01:21.220 well in. It's one of their best major cities. It would be like if the Conservatives couldn't do

00:01:25.740 a good fundraiser in Saskatoon, Winnipeg, or somewhere like London or Kitchener. It's insane.

00:01:32.540 Pure Polly has been having larger donor rallies in ridings that the Conservatives haven't won in 20

00:01:37.960 years, and Justin Trudeau can't even get 90 people to show up to a donor event in Vancouver.

00:01:44.340 Vancouver. It's insane. And just to show you how bad the deficit between the Conservatives and Liberals

00:01:51.040 are for fundraising, just listen to this. In 2024, based on the numbers that we currently have,

00:01:56.900 it's still probably going to estimate a little bit upward as they get the fourth quarter numbers in,

00:02:01.320 the Conservatives, as we know today, have raised $23.3 million in the year 2023. The Liberals have

00:02:10.480 only raised $9.8 million, and I believe that the NDP raised around $7 million, $7.3 million, or whatever.

00:02:17.120 The Liberals are closer to the NDP in terms of fundraising than they are to the Conservatives.

00:02:22.520 The Conservatives are more than doubling them. The Conservatives, based on that money, could pretty

00:02:27.060 much run a candidate in every single riding fully funded up to the $150,000 that you're legally allowed

00:02:34.340 to spend in each race. The Liberals just do not have the money to actually run candidates all over the

00:02:40.680 country with big budgets, let alone actually give all their incumbent MPs the budgets to run. I guarantee

00:02:47.920 you, when the next federal election comes, you're going to have a lot of Liberal MPs not being given more

00:02:53.660 than $50,000 for their re-election campaigns, and the Liberals are just going to say, you've got to get

00:02:58.200 money from locals or we're not giving you any more. They're probably going to be cutting people like

00:03:03.580 Porch Pirate George Chahal loose in Calgary Skyview. They're probably not going to invest much money at

00:03:09.180 all into Alberta, let alone Saskatchewan. They're going to be extremely concentrated with where they

00:03:16.780 spend money, probably around the GTA area to try and hold up their firewall, which I really do not

00:03:22.380 think is going to hold. Because the problem with money, and even though donor money is an indicator of

00:03:27.540 who's going to win, when it actually comes down to it, money doesn't actually buy votes. Money just

00:03:32.500 chases the party that's most likely going to win in the first place, or basically fund it so that they

00:03:37.640 can have a competent campaign. The money itself doesn't mean you're actually going to do well, it

00:03:42.880 just means that you might be better at turning up those who might actually support you on Election

00:03:47.080 Day. So with the Liberals, what are they really going to spend the money on, other than more

00:03:52.120 volunteers, more signs, maybe making sure that they get their base out? The problem is, is that those who

00:03:58.040 have left the party, which is a significant amount of the voters who voted for them in 2021,

00:04:02.500 is that they don't have a message to use that money to advertise that would bring anyone back.

00:04:07.400 What are they going to say? Well, we're running on the exact same failed policies as last time,

00:04:11.380 but with 25% larger budgets. That's not an appealing thing. And now a bigger indicator,

00:04:18.220 not bigger, but an equally big indicator of the coming Liberal doom is the fact that even Liberals in

00:04:24.240 safe Liberal seats are just deciding they don't want to really run again. There is this man,

00:04:29.900 former Liberal leadership candidate for the Ontario Liberals, but he's a federal MP,

00:04:34.960 Erickson Smith is not going to be running in the next federal election. He is the candidate or he

00:04:39.960 is the MP for Beaches East York. It is a safe seat. I have it up here on 338. He has a 99% chance of

00:04:48.240 winning and 338 is projecting him to win with 43% of the vote. This is a riding that the Conservatives

00:04:53.500 usually come third in. The reason that Erickson Smith is probably leaving is because he knows that

00:04:59.200 the Liberals are not going to form government. And based on the fact that he ran for Ontario

00:05:02.900 Liberal leadership, he's at least slightly ambitious and probably wanted a cabinet position.

00:05:07.500 And he knows that hanging around here is just going to get him into the opposition. He's just

00:05:11.800 going to sit around doing nothing for four years. This is why Carolyn Bennett left. And now she's going 0.98

00:05:16.440 to be like the candidate diplomat or representative in Denmark. A lot of Liberals are deciding to retire.

00:05:22.960 There are some Conservatives retiring. My own MP, Ron Leapert's not running for re-election. So

00:05:26.940 shameless plug, I am running in the Calgary Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination. If you live in

00:05:32.480 this area, vote for me. There's like 12, 14 candidates. It's really packed full of red stories. 0.98

00:05:38.060 There's even a lady who is in charge of censorship or policy on censorship on Canadian Facebook who's 0.93

00:05:44.940 running for the nomination. There's a lot of people who aren't particularly Conservative trying to pick

00:05:48.960 up strong Conservative seats like Signal Hill. Anyways, even other than that, when I can go back

00:05:55.220 to the polling showing that the Conservatives are up 14 points, 17 points. The difference is,

00:06:00.540 is that when the Liberals are not able to get 90 donors in a room, it means that someone even

00:06:05.300 leaving their house, putting gas in their car and going down to a hotel was not worth it to see the

00:06:10.140 Prime Minister. When you're the Prime Minister and you have less star power than your opposition leader,

00:06:14.220 it's kind of time to pack it in. Justin Trudeau, though, is kind of too narcissistic and egotistical 0.90

00:06:20.140 to reverse course on this. I've given the Liberal Party a ton of advice. Not like literally, I'm not 0.82

00:06:25.920 calling up anyone. I'm not calling up Gerald Butts and giving them my hot taker, Katie Telford. I just

00:06:31.200 sort of give general advice on this show about how people should run in politics, what kind of

00:06:35.320 messaging works, even if I hate the Liberal platform. If the Liberals want to succeed, and I'll repeat this

00:06:40.200 piece of advice, the Liberals want to succeed, they need to admit that they've made a lot of mistakes,

00:06:45.240 and then show a better path forward. The problem is, is that the Trudeau Liberals have gotten too

00:06:50.920 used to the legacy media propping them up, saying that they're doing great, patting them on the back,

00:06:55.440 that they don't understand that voters actually like a little bit of honesty sometimes. You can't

00:07:00.140 just say that your opponents are evil, racist, homophobic, or homophobic individuals and expect that

00:07:05.800 people are going to come home to the Liberal Party. Eventually, people realize that they can't afford 0.65

00:07:09.420 food, and they don't care about all the woke Liberal pandering anymore. That's the problem

00:07:13.840 for the Liberal Party. Justin Trudeau became the leader off of the back of very orange Liberal

00:07:18.440 supporters, the type of supporters who do not care about economic issues. So in order to keep his base

00:07:23.540 together, he's been playing to his majority, which are the social Liberals. So yes, the Liberals won't be

00:07:29.200 able to fall below 20% in terms of the polling or popular vote. But the problem is, is that

00:07:35.580 Justin Trudeau has alienated about the 10-13% of other Liberal voters who were there because at

00:07:41.540 least the Liberals seem to have somewhat of an economics plan that you could have some confidence

00:07:45.520 in. A lot of pensioners who assumed that the Liberals could keep their pensions safe and grow

00:07:49.600 their benefits. Now they're scared of the Liberals, even though the party they were historically scared

00:07:53.940 of was the NDP. And of course, these people are not going to vote NDP because they're just the

00:07:58.160 Liberals plus a bunch of extra dollar signs. They're all going towards the Conservatives because at this

00:08:04.180 point, even if the media tries to make it out that pure Polyev's chaotic, he's not. He's just critical

00:08:09.500 of a Liberal policy and that's considered chaotic and extreme these days. That all these people are

00:08:13.960 going over to Polyev because it doesn't matter if he's loud and he's critical. The thing is, he gives

00:08:17.780 you a sense of stability because he very much tells you what he is going to do, what he's not going to

00:08:22.140 do. The Liberals actually are only ever basically acting in vague ways of trying to help you, but they

00:08:28.040 won't tell you how. All the housing plan, their economic, their economics plans to try and stabilize the

00:08:33.260 economy is actually very vague. They used to be very direct with, we're going to deficit spend and we're

00:08:38.480 going to do this infrastructure project and we have this work program and we have this other thing and we're

00:08:41.980 going to bring this car company to Ontario doing this subsidy. They're not even telling you what they're

00:08:47.700 doing anymore because they know every time they announce more spending, people groan, they roll their eyes

00:08:52.580 and they know it's just a bunch of inflation for a bunch of subsidy jobs. People do not like living in a

00:08:57.660 subsidy economy where you got to know a Liberal official in order to actually be able to start a

00:09:02.560 successful business. It's not how an economy should work and that's where everyone who's even historically

00:09:07.620 scared of the Conservatives, I don't think for legitimate reasons, but the people who are historically 0.98

00:09:11.500 concerned or scared of Conservative cuts don't care when the Liberals are going after the Conservatives

00:09:17.040 over cuts because everyone knows that they're spending too much. Nobody in their own personal finances

00:09:21.980 sees themselves increasingly falling into debt and all with all this useless crap around them and 0.98

00:09:26.600 thinks, you know what, it would be a travesty if we cut spending to all this nonsense. People are not 0.98

00:09:31.680 scared of cuts when the economy is this bad and the government can't get control of its own spending.

00:09:36.700 Anyways, that should be it for me today. You can donate to my legal fund in the description below.

00:09:42.500 It's the Give, Send, Go link. I'm in a legal fight on behalf of the National Telegraph in defense

00:09:47.140 against a billionaire who's suing us for defamation. His case makes literally no sense. He

00:09:51.920 doesn't even have evidence he filed. He filed four pieces of evidence which did not actually

00:09:55.840 back up his claims against us. It was just basically saying I'm mad in four different

00:10:00.220 evidentiary forms. He literally submitted his LinkedIn profile as a piece of evidence against

00:10:05.180 us. That was one of four pieces of evidence. Ridiculous. Anyways, so other than that, if you

00:10:09.920 want to donate, it really helps me out. I've paid over $25,000 in defending us. We will win this case,

00:10:15.060 but any donations do help take the burden off of us. Then also, again, I'm running in the Calgary

00:10:20.120 Signal Hill Conservative Party nomination. So if you live in Calgary, check which federal riding

00:10:25.000 that you live in. Who's your MP? If your current MP is Ron Liepert, I am running to replace him for

00:10:29.720 the nomination. So buy a Conservative Party membership. Go to my website in the description

00:10:34.340 below, wyatclaybool.com. Sign up for the email list. Buy a membership. Subscribe to this YouTube

00:10:39.380 channel and follow my campaign. You can even go look up my Facebook page. It really helps me out.

00:10:44.140 Any activity you can generate on those pages. Go sign up your friends. And even if you don't live

00:10:49.820 in Calgary Signal Hill, buy a Conservative Party membership. You should be involved in the nominations

00:10:54.220 in your area. Even if you have a Conservative incumbent, make sure you're involved because

00:10:58.100 you never want a red Tory taking over your riding and turning it red over time while they're pretending

00:11:03.020 to be blue. So other than that, I hope everyone has a great day and I'll see you in my next video.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - January 19, 2024

Donors are fleeing from Trudeau's Liberals (Liberals look broke)

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