The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Dozens of senior Liberal MPs losing their seats! - Poilievre's Liberal opponent is delusional

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and I come bearing two hilarious stories for you today.

00:00:06.380 The first of which being all of the senior Liberal MPs projected to lose their very safe ridings

00:00:12.600 in the 2025 federal election thanks to the deep unpopularity of Justin Trudeau

00:00:18.240 and their enabling behavior. I think a lot of Canadians in the general public who don't follow

00:00:24.200 politics very closely would be shocked to know that the Liberals are not fighting for

00:00:29.020 second or even third place in this next federal election. They are fighting to actually stay an

00:00:35.120 official party. You need 12 seats to be an official party in Canada's Parliament, and the Liberals in

00:00:42.040 some projections, both from 338 Canada as well as PoliWave, are being shown to only win either

00:00:49.480 seven seats or ten seats. Absolutely pathetic. And you should see the sort of characters who are

00:00:56.100 actually shown to not only be losing safe ridings, but coming third place in safe ridings, some on

00:01:02.980 the island of Montreal. The second story I want to talk about is Bruce Fanjoy pretending that he can

00:01:09.580 beat Pierre Poliev in his riding of Carlton. Bruce Fanjoy, of course, is the Liberal candidate for the

00:01:16.380 riding of Carlton. Last year, I think it might have been like more than a year ago at this point,

00:01:21.060 the Liberals did this big rollout for Bruce Fanjoy pretending that he was some tough customer here to

00:01:26.840 come and fight Poliev for Carlton, riding that Poliev has easily won since 2004. Yeah, Bruce has

00:01:34.040 totally got him on this one. I'm going to get to that a bit later, but first, let's start with these

00:01:39.280 senior Liberals. I'm going to be using PoliWave and Sheree Attiste as mainly my source for this.

00:01:45.260 Sheree Attiste is actually a 16-year-old Canadian guy, but he does really good election models,

00:01:50.080 and he has been sometimes the only one to project by-elections correctly. So let's start with the

00:01:56.560 four MPs that he highlighted on Twitter, and then I want to jump over to some other ones, including

00:02:02.060 Jagmeet Singh himself. So here are four senior Liberals that Sheree Attiste is showing that can

00:02:07.840 lose their ridings in this next federal election. So he has Papineau here, which of course is the

00:02:13.560 riding of Justin Trudeau, where he is showing that Justin Trudeau might get narrowly edged out

00:02:20.040 by the NDP. And even then, the Bloc Quebecois is still on his tail pretty closely. Depending on who

00:02:26.960 works harder in Papineau, Trudeau could lose to either one of them. He could still win,

00:02:32.440 but this is a hilariously bad situation for Trudeau to be in, only coming in second in projections.

00:02:40.140 Maybe him being the leader gives him a little bit more cachet and makes it easier to win,

00:02:44.320 but still, we've seen that not work for other people in the past, most notably Kim Campbell.

00:02:51.040 Then we move on to University Rosedale. And if you didn't know, this is the riding of former

00:02:58.100 finance minister and deputy prime minister, Chrystia Freeland. And she is not only shown

00:03:04.300 losing the riding to the NDP, but coming in third place after the conservatives, who have a better

00:03:10.940 chance of catching the NDP and winning it themselves than Chrystia Freeland is, even coming

00:03:17.020 in second place. Absolutely wild. Then we have Kingston and the Islands. You could say that Mark

00:03:24.960 Gerritsen isn't really a senior liberal, but I consider him one of the most forward-facing liberal

00:03:31.400 MPs in the current caucus. And again, he is shown to come in third place with only 25% of the vote,

00:03:38.080 with the conservatives picking up this riding where he used to be the mayor. He was the mayor of

00:03:44.580 Kingston. His father, I believe, either was the mayor or the MP before him. And Mark Gerritsen is

00:03:50.060 still going to lose because the problem with the liberal party right now is they all might as well

00:03:54.880 be wearing face masks of Justin Trudeau because every single one of them is just a bot or Justin

00:04:00.800 Trudeau to push his views through. Yeah. And then we have Cartierville. I can't pronounce French

00:04:10.640 names sometimes. And this is the riding of Melanie Jolie. And she is projected to lose to the Bloc 0.71

00:04:16.980 Quebecois in her riding. This woman is considered a potential replacement for Justin Trudeau as the

00:04:23.140 leader of the liberal party. And she isn't even winning her riding. Chrystia Freeland too. She can't win

00:04:28.420 her riding based on the projections. And these projections are not particularly unfair.

00:04:33.120 He was, like, Sherey Attiste, the guy who makes this website, was the most accurate in Toronto,

00:04:38.600 St. Paul, and I believe it was, like, La Salle, Lamar, Verdun in Montreal. Both ridings,

00:04:46.100 the liberals lost to the conservatives and the Bloc Quebecois. Sherey Attiste is not talking out of

00:04:51.580 his hat here. He knows what he's talking about. The liberals, these senior liberals,

00:04:56.520 these potential leadership campaign candidate liberals, are going to lose. And now I want to

00:05:03.260 move on to some other characters that I wanted to highlight myself. First, let's start off with

00:05:09.660 Francois-Philippe Champagne, another person considered, like, leadership material for some reason.

00:05:17.080 He, if I can bring this up right here, is... Which one is it? Okay. It's this one. He,

00:05:24.880 in St. Maurice Champlain, is slated to lose to the Bloc Quebecois by a 9-point margin, being closely

00:05:33.420 followed in third place by the conservatives. Again, this is a riding that he easily won last

00:05:39.160 time with more than a 20% margin of victory. Okay, let's move on to another one. Well, it didn't

00:05:45.860 work out for any of those people. Do any of these improve? Let's check this one out. This one is

00:05:53.600 Stephen Gilbeau and Laurier Saint-Marie. He is going to lose to not only the NDP, but he is going

00:06:00.720 to come in third place behind the Bloc Quebecois. Again, another Montreal riding. This is embarrassing.

00:06:08.680 I shouldn't have to tell anyone this, but again, so many people in the general public right now

00:06:12.980 don't know that this is how bad the liberals are doing. They think after the next election,

00:06:18.320 conservatives are going to have a majority of like 20 or 30 seats, liberals around 100,

00:06:23.200 and the world's going to kind of spin on as we've seen it in the past. This is, again,

00:06:28.320 an extinction-level event for the liberals. They are being viciously rejected by the general public,

00:06:34.740 and part of it is because not only is Trudeau hated, but what's the point of voting for a liberal

00:06:40.340 who is only a mouthpiece for the prime minister? You expect, even though Canadian politics can be

00:06:45.900 very leadership-centered, that the leader tends to basically declare he wants something done and

00:06:51.080 everyone tends to carry it out. There is not even that. People don't even carry things out through

00:06:56.740 their own style and through their own means. People just do point for point exactly what Trudeau

00:07:02.080 wants in the way he wants it. So why would you vote for a liberal MP? They don't do a good job,

00:07:07.720 but they just do what Trudeau wants. Anyways, like you get way more personalities inside the federal

00:07:13.600 conservative party. There are no personalities in the liberal party, other than Mark Gerritsen,

00:07:18.620 but for all the wrong reasons. This is all the Burnaby ridings, and I brought this up for a specific

00:07:24.420 reason. Jagmeet Singh, the leader of the NDP, is of course a Burnaby MP. He is the MP for the

00:07:33.500 riding of Burnaby South. The problem is after all of the ridings get redistricted, Jagmeet Singh is

00:07:40.600 going to be without a riding, and he's going to have to pick where he wants to run. Now, you notice

00:07:46.120 New West Minister Burnaby Mallardville looks like a good place for Jagmeet Singh to run. It's an NDP

00:07:53.060 seat that is projected to stay NDP. The problem with that is it's Peter Julian's riding, and I'm pretty

00:07:59.280 sure that Peter Julian is still running in the next election, and in fact, that actually has no overlap

00:08:05.580 with Singh's old riding. Singh's riding basically got cut in half between Burnaby Central and Burnaby

00:08:12.700 North Seymour, both ridings that are shown to be being won by the Conservatives. Burnaby Central is not

00:08:19.200 too bad. It's only a couple points behind, but that's pretty sad if we're considering a couple of

00:08:24.540 points behind the Conservatives to be a good riding for the leader of the NDP. In Burnaby North Seymour,

00:08:31.280 the Conservatives are cleaning up, and in Vancouver Fraser View South Burnaby, the Conservatives are

00:08:36.280 also winning by eight points. It actually might be Vancouver Fraser View South Burnaby. That's the

00:08:41.540 other riding that heavily overlapped with Singh's. I actually believe it overlapped more than with

00:08:47.980 Burnaby Central, and I believe Burnaby Central is also currently being held by an NDP MP.

00:08:54.520 But yeah, it's not looking good for even the leader of the NDP, because even though he is the leader

00:09:01.600 of a different party other than the Liberals, he is Justin Trudeau's executive assistant and has done

00:09:07.560 pretty much everything Trudeau's wanted in the past two and a half years. Anyways, let's move on once

00:09:14.140 again, and let's talk about a man that you might not know that much about, Bruce Fanjoy. Frankly, you don't

00:09:20.980 need to know much about him. You just need to know the fact that he, if he tries to run against

00:09:25.560 Pierre Polyev, is going to get, as the kids say, absolutely shrecked. Pierre Polyev is slated to win

00:09:33.500 68% of the vote in Carlton. This is a riding where he actually had a more close victory back in 2004

00:09:39.580 to beat an incumbent Liberal, but since then, the riding has been pretty comfortable to keep re-electing

00:09:45.580 Pierre Polyev. The Liberals might get 17% in this riding based on the projections by Sheree Attiste,

00:09:52.540 and again, I will emphasize, he's generally pretty accurate.

00:09:57.600 Now, Bruce Fanjoy is having a little bit of a meltdown over all this, because apparently it's

00:10:03.480 very bad that projection websites try and make election projections, because apparently they're

00:10:08.920 lying to everybody, you know, to undermine the Liberals, apparently. Very strange, but before

00:10:14.540 I get into what he tweeted, guys, I'm trying to get to 100,000 subscribers before December of this year.

00:10:21.100 Help a boy out. Subscribe to the channel. Like this video. Leave a comment. Maybe leave a comment if

00:10:26.420 you've seen anything about Bruce Fanjoy before this video. I really doubt many of you have, other than

00:10:31.980 maybe a bunch of you are about to tell me, you're also blocked like me by Bruce Fanjoy. I can bring up

00:10:37.440 tweets, but I can't actually bookmark them or do anything else with them. But here is Sheree Attiste,

00:10:43.340 sorry, not Sheree Attiste, Bruce Fanjoy. He is commenting on this poll put out by Polling Canada,

00:10:50.240 or this projection put out by Polling Canada. They're specifically using the 338 projections.

00:10:56.140 338 shows Carlton having a more than 99% chance of going to Pierre Polyev and the Conservatives.

00:11:04.020 Polling Canada says, Polling Canada's seat in Carlton is about as safe as you can get on the

00:11:08.940 current numbers. And Bruce Fanjoy, Polling Canada's daring opponent, says, if you had any integrity,

00:11:17.480 you would share the sample size of Carlton voters you pulled to reach this conclusion,

00:11:22.040 but we both know you don't have a sample size of Carlton voters. The fact you're specifically

00:11:27.320 targeting Carlton for disinformation tells a different story. Carlton is a contest. Welcome to

00:11:33.440 Democracy. Fanjoy versus Polyev hashtag. Hashtag together we can. Hashtag Carlton deserves better.

00:11:41.180 Oh my goodness. This is as delusional as like certain PPC candidates, not all of them, but PPC

00:11:48.820 candidates who do like no work and they just assume that there's going to be a purple wave and

00:11:53.040 they're going to win despite doing no campaign work. This is a bubble. This is like the most bubbled

00:12:00.040 you can possibly get in politics. To believe that in Carlton, Polyev is deeply hated, or at least 0.90

00:12:05.980 there are mixed reviews on Polyev and that Bruce Fanjoy has a angle of winning, beating pure Polyev in

00:12:13.640 this riding. Um, yeah, uh, the comments were not very good to Bruce Fanjoy. Uh, that's the thing too

00:12:28.020 is here. He's also complaining at Polling Canada. Polling Canada is run by a former Ontario NDP candidate.

00:12:36.660 Uh, this guy is not a righty. He is not trying to pump up pure Polyev. It's just the numbers. 0.69

00:12:44.000 338, in fact, in Cloverdale, Langley City, in the by-election just at the beginning of, or midway

00:12:51.860 through December, the Conservatives won that riding by far more than 338 projected. They showed the

00:12:59.340 Conservatives winning that riding by 26%, a massive victory considering it used to be John Aldag's

00:13:06.720 riding, like, you know, a Liberal riding, and now it flipped Conservatives by more than 26%. It, in fact,

00:13:13.620 flipped, uh, Conservative by 50%. There is a 50% lead that Tamara Jensen had over her Liberal opponent. 0.93

00:13:21.500 And someone, someone could just say, well, that's just how by-elections work. By-elections have weird

00:13:25.840 results. Well, the other projections tended to line up pretty decently well in other by-elections. I

00:13:33.580 think that we've hit the corner where nobody thinks the Liberals are doing well anymore. Nobody

00:13:38.940 thinks they can win. That by-election happened the day after, I think the same day as the Freeland

00:13:44.460 resignation. I think that is actually the new atmosphere that we are in, that the Liberals are

00:13:50.680 falling apart, so why bother showing up and voting for them? Do you think that Bruce Fanjoy has the

00:13:56.720 secret sauce of knocking doors and telling people, you know, that Polyev is actually an evil far-right, 0.61

00:14:02.420 like, woman-hater or something like that, and they're suddenly going to vote for you? No. Bruce Fanjoy

00:14:08.860 probably walks around talking to people who talk a lot like Bruce Fanjoy, and he thinks that because he

00:14:14.600 knows a bunch of Liberal people who live in Carleton, that that must be all Carleton residents. If you do enough

00:14:20.240 door-knocking and you interact in enough environments, you will realize how many people disagree with you.

00:14:25.880 Even if you're in a safe riding, you will find a lot of people who disagree with you, but if you're in an

00:14:29.920 unsafe riding for yourself, you will quickly realize that most people disagree with you or don't really care

00:14:35.840 about your message. What's the actual hit on pure Polyev at this point? I don't even know. Oh, we won't get a

00:14:41.300 security clearance. Do you, have you, none of these people have ever investigated the reason why Polyev

00:14:47.300 doesn't get it? Every single person is, like, wading into this combat, having never actually

00:14:52.120 looked up the discourse on it, that Polyev doesn't want to get it because there's no point in getting

00:14:57.700 it. And they get to do a background check, not just on him. He's done background checks before,

00:15:02.580 tons of them, because he's been on other committees that require it. He doesn't want to have every single

00:15:07.460 member of his family, a bunch of his friends, all have to go through CSIS background checks

00:15:11.900 for literally no benefit, because if he gets it and he reads the Nisekopp report on foreign

00:15:17.220 interference, he gets to never speak about it again, because that's the rule. So why subject

00:15:22.200 tons of members of your family and probably the family dog to invasive searching through their

00:15:27.440 backgrounds? Not that any of them have done anything wrong, but just the rigmarole of doing

00:15:31.780 this for literally not a single ounce of benefit for yourself or your party or anything that you can use

00:15:38.360 to hold the liberals accountable. That is the reason he does not get it. Trudeau knows who the

00:15:43.280 traitors are, and yet he does nothing with it. None of these people ever investigate that because

00:15:47.860 they'd rather just say, hey, did you know that Pierre Polyev doesn't have a security clearance?

00:15:54.600 I guess I didn't know that. Wow, I didn't know you didn't have a security clearance. I guess we

00:15:59.640 should just elect Trudeau again. We should elect the guy actively involved in foreign interference

00:16:04.320 because he knows all the liberal MPs who are basically acting as puppets for foreign governments

00:16:08.980 and does nothing about it because Polyev won't get a security clearance. Oh, okay, let's throw the

00:16:13.940 country down the drain because you found a really stupid gotcha that doesn't even work if you actually

00:16:19.180 know the background. Goodness. Anyways, that should be enough for me in this video. I'm not going to say

00:16:27.680 for me today that's a bad habit because I still might make a second video today. But again, make sure you

00:16:33.600 subscribe if you like this channel, like the video, share it with your friends, recommend it to

00:16:38.080 people. Again, I'm on my trail to 100,000. I'm going to try and do more edited content in the future

00:16:44.600 on subjects where I know I can't really talk about it without editing for 20 minutes straight because

00:16:50.360 I need to pull up a lot of clips and a lot of information and it's hard to balance all that.

00:16:54.400 Like, you know, literally just talking 20 minutes straight with not a single edit in the middle.

00:16:59.320 Other than I did pause this video because my mouth was getting super dry and the charger was,

00:17:05.680 I didn't have my charger plugged in because I forget things all the time. People don't realize I am

00:17:10.260 terrible with organization. I just kind of make it work. But that should be it. We still have the

00:17:17.120 good ship and the National Telegraph together. So hopefully it will all work out in the long run.

00:17:21.400 Anyways, see you guys later.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - January 05, 2025

Dozens of senior Liberal MPs losing their seats! - Poilievre's Liberal opponent is delusional

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