Dozens of senior Liberal MPs losing their seats! - Poilievre's Liberal opponent is delusional
Episode Stats
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Summary
All of the senior Liberal MPs are projected to lose their safe ridings in the next federal election, thanks to the deep unpopularity of Justin Trudeau. The second story is about Bruce Fanjoy pretending that he can beat Pierre Poliev in his riding of Carlton.
Transcript
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Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and I come bearing two hilarious stories for you today.
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The first of which being all of the senior Liberal MPs projected to lose their very safe ridings
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in the 2025 federal election thanks to the deep unpopularity of Justin Trudeau
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and their enabling behavior. I think a lot of Canadians in the general public who don't follow
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politics very closely would be shocked to know that the Liberals are not fighting for
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second or even third place in this next federal election. They are fighting to actually stay an
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official party. You need 12 seats to be an official party in Canada's Parliament, and the Liberals in
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some projections, both from 338 Canada as well as PoliWave, are being shown to only win either
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seven seats or ten seats. Absolutely pathetic. And you should see the sort of characters who are
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actually shown to not only be losing safe ridings, but coming third place in safe ridings, some on
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the island of Montreal. The second story I want to talk about is Bruce Fanjoy pretending that he can
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beat Pierre Poliev in his riding of Carlton. Bruce Fanjoy, of course, is the Liberal candidate for the
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riding of Carlton. Last year, I think it might have been like more than a year ago at this point,
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the Liberals did this big rollout for Bruce Fanjoy pretending that he was some tough customer here to
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come and fight Poliev for Carlton, riding that Poliev has easily won since 2004. Yeah, Bruce has
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totally got him on this one. I'm going to get to that a bit later, but first, let's start with these
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senior Liberals. I'm going to be using PoliWave and Sheree Attiste as mainly my source for this.
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Sheree Attiste is actually a 16-year-old Canadian guy, but he does really good election models,
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and he has been sometimes the only one to project by-elections correctly. So let's start with the
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four MPs that he highlighted on Twitter, and then I want to jump over to some other ones, including
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Jagmeet Singh himself. So here are four senior Liberals that Sheree Attiste is showing that can
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lose their ridings in this next federal election. So he has Papineau here, which of course is the
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riding of Justin Trudeau, where he is showing that Justin Trudeau might get narrowly edged out
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by the NDP. And even then, the Bloc Quebecois is still on his tail pretty closely. Depending on who
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works harder in Papineau, Trudeau could lose to either one of them. He could still win,
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but this is a hilariously bad situation for Trudeau to be in, only coming in second in projections.
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Maybe him being the leader gives him a little bit more cachet and makes it easier to win,
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but still, we've seen that not work for other people in the past, most notably Kim Campbell.
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Then we move on to University Rosedale. And if you didn't know, this is the riding of former
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finance minister and deputy prime minister, Chrystia Freeland. And she is not only shown
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losing the riding to the NDP, but coming in third place after the conservatives, who have a better
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chance of catching the NDP and winning it themselves than Chrystia Freeland is, even coming
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in second place. Absolutely wild. Then we have Kingston and the Islands. You could say that Mark
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Gerritsen isn't really a senior liberal, but I consider him one of the most forward-facing liberal
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MPs in the current caucus. And again, he is shown to come in third place with only 25% of the vote,
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with the conservatives picking up this riding where he used to be the mayor. He was the mayor of
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Kingston. His father, I believe, either was the mayor or the MP before him. And Mark Gerritsen is
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still going to lose because the problem with the liberal party right now is they all might as well
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be wearing face masks of Justin Trudeau because every single one of them is just a bot or Justin
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Trudeau to push his views through. Yeah. And then we have Cartierville. I can't pronounce French
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names sometimes. And this is the riding of Melanie Jolie. And she is projected to lose to the Bloc
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Quebecois in her riding. This woman is considered a potential replacement for Justin Trudeau as the
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leader of the liberal party. And she isn't even winning her riding. Chrystia Freeland too. She can't win
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her riding based on the projections. And these projections are not particularly unfair.
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He was, like, Sherey Attiste, the guy who makes this website, was the most accurate in Toronto,
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St. Paul, and I believe it was, like, La Salle, Lamar, Verdun in Montreal. Both ridings,
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the liberals lost to the conservatives and the Bloc Quebecois. Sherey Attiste is not talking out of
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his hat here. He knows what he's talking about. The liberals, these senior liberals,
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these potential leadership campaign candidate liberals, are going to lose. And now I want to
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move on to some other characters that I wanted to highlight myself. First, let's start off with
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Francois-Philippe Champagne, another person considered, like, leadership material for some reason.
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He, if I can bring this up right here, is... Which one is it? Okay. It's this one. He,
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in St. Maurice Champlain, is slated to lose to the Bloc Quebecois by a 9-point margin, being closely
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followed in third place by the conservatives. Again, this is a riding that he easily won last
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time with more than a 20% margin of victory. Okay, let's move on to another one. Well, it didn't
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work out for any of those people. Do any of these improve? Let's check this one out. This one is
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Stephen Gilbeau and Laurier Saint-Marie. He is going to lose to not only the NDP, but he is going
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to come in third place behind the Bloc Quebecois. Again, another Montreal riding. This is embarrassing.
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I shouldn't have to tell anyone this, but again, so many people in the general public right now
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don't know that this is how bad the liberals are doing. They think after the next election,
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conservatives are going to have a majority of like 20 or 30 seats, liberals around 100,
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and the world's going to kind of spin on as we've seen it in the past. This is, again,
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an extinction-level event for the liberals. They are being viciously rejected by the general public,
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and part of it is because not only is Trudeau hated, but what's the point of voting for a liberal
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who is only a mouthpiece for the prime minister? You expect, even though Canadian politics can be
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very leadership-centered, that the leader tends to basically declare he wants something done and
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everyone tends to carry it out. There is not even that. People don't even carry things out through
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their own style and through their own means. People just do point for point exactly what Trudeau
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wants in the way he wants it. So why would you vote for a liberal MP? They don't do a good job,
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but they just do what Trudeau wants. Anyways, like you get way more personalities inside the federal
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conservative party. There are no personalities in the liberal party, other than Mark Gerritsen,
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but for all the wrong reasons. This is all the Burnaby ridings, and I brought this up for a specific
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reason. Jagmeet Singh, the leader of the NDP, is of course a Burnaby MP. He is the MP for the
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riding of Burnaby South. The problem is after all of the ridings get redistricted, Jagmeet Singh is
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going to be without a riding, and he's going to have to pick where he wants to run. Now, you notice
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New West Minister Burnaby Mallardville looks like a good place for Jagmeet Singh to run. It's an NDP
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seat that is projected to stay NDP. The problem with that is it's Peter Julian's riding, and I'm pretty
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sure that Peter Julian is still running in the next election, and in fact, that actually has no overlap
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with Singh's old riding. Singh's riding basically got cut in half between Burnaby Central and Burnaby
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North Seymour, both ridings that are shown to be being won by the Conservatives. Burnaby Central is not
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too bad. It's only a couple points behind, but that's pretty sad if we're considering a couple of
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points behind the Conservatives to be a good riding for the leader of the NDP. In Burnaby North Seymour,
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the Conservatives are cleaning up, and in Vancouver Fraser View South Burnaby, the Conservatives are
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also winning by eight points. It actually might be Vancouver Fraser View South Burnaby. That's the
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other riding that heavily overlapped with Singh's. I actually believe it overlapped more than with
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Burnaby Central, and I believe Burnaby Central is also currently being held by an NDP MP.
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But yeah, it's not looking good for even the leader of the NDP, because even though he is the leader
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of a different party other than the Liberals, he is Justin Trudeau's executive assistant and has done
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pretty much everything Trudeau's wanted in the past two and a half years. Anyways, let's move on once
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again, and let's talk about a man that you might not know that much about, Bruce Fanjoy. Frankly, you don't
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need to know much about him. You just need to know the fact that he, if he tries to run against
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Pierre Polyev, is going to get, as the kids say, absolutely shrecked. Pierre Polyev is slated to win
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68% of the vote in Carlton. This is a riding where he actually had a more close victory back in 2004
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to beat an incumbent Liberal, but since then, the riding has been pretty comfortable to keep re-electing
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Pierre Polyev. The Liberals might get 17% in this riding based on the projections by Sheree Attiste,
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and again, I will emphasize, he's generally pretty accurate.
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Now, Bruce Fanjoy is having a little bit of a meltdown over all this, because apparently it's
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very bad that projection websites try and make election projections, because apparently they're
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lying to everybody, you know, to undermine the Liberals, apparently. Very strange, but before
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I get into what he tweeted, guys, I'm trying to get to 100,000 subscribers before December of this year.
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Help a boy out. Subscribe to the channel. Like this video. Leave a comment. Maybe leave a comment if
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you've seen anything about Bruce Fanjoy before this video. I really doubt many of you have, other than
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maybe a bunch of you are about to tell me, you're also blocked like me by Bruce Fanjoy. I can bring up
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tweets, but I can't actually bookmark them or do anything else with them. But here is Sheree Attiste,
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sorry, not Sheree Attiste, Bruce Fanjoy. He is commenting on this poll put out by Polling Canada,
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or this projection put out by Polling Canada. They're specifically using the 338 projections.
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338 shows Carlton having a more than 99% chance of going to Pierre Polyev and the Conservatives.
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Polling Canada says, Polling Canada's seat in Carlton is about as safe as you can get on the
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current numbers. And Bruce Fanjoy, Polling Canada's daring opponent, says, if you had any integrity,
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you would share the sample size of Carlton voters you pulled to reach this conclusion,
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but we both know you don't have a sample size of Carlton voters. The fact you're specifically
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targeting Carlton for disinformation tells a different story. Carlton is a contest. Welcome to
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Democracy. Fanjoy versus Polyev hashtag. Hashtag together we can. Hashtag Carlton deserves better.
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Oh my goodness. This is as delusional as like certain PPC candidates, not all of them, but PPC
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candidates who do like no work and they just assume that there's going to be a purple wave and
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they're going to win despite doing no campaign work. This is a bubble. This is like the most bubbled
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you can possibly get in politics. To believe that in Carlton, Polyev is deeply hated, or at least
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there are mixed reviews on Polyev and that Bruce Fanjoy has a angle of winning, beating pure Polyev in
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this riding. Um, yeah, uh, the comments were not very good to Bruce Fanjoy. Uh, that's the thing too
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is here. He's also complaining at Polling Canada. Polling Canada is run by a former Ontario NDP candidate.
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Uh, this guy is not a righty. He is not trying to pump up pure Polyev. It's just the numbers.
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338, in fact, in Cloverdale, Langley City, in the by-election just at the beginning of, or midway
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through December, the Conservatives won that riding by far more than 338 projected. They showed the
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Conservatives winning that riding by 26%, a massive victory considering it used to be John Aldag's
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riding, like, you know, a Liberal riding, and now it flipped Conservatives by more than 26%. It, in fact,
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flipped, uh, Conservative by 50%. There is a 50% lead that Tamara Jensen had over her Liberal opponent.
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And someone, someone could just say, well, that's just how by-elections work. By-elections have weird
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results. Well, the other projections tended to line up pretty decently well in other by-elections. I
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think that we've hit the corner where nobody thinks the Liberals are doing well anymore. Nobody
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thinks they can win. That by-election happened the day after, I think the same day as the Freeland
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resignation. I think that is actually the new atmosphere that we are in, that the Liberals are
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falling apart, so why bother showing up and voting for them? Do you think that Bruce Fanjoy has the
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secret sauce of knocking doors and telling people, you know, that Polyev is actually an evil far-right,
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like, woman-hater or something like that, and they're suddenly going to vote for you? No. Bruce Fanjoy
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probably walks around talking to people who talk a lot like Bruce Fanjoy, and he thinks that because he
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knows a bunch of Liberal people who live in Carleton, that that must be all Carleton residents. If you do enough
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door-knocking and you interact in enough environments, you will realize how many people disagree with you.
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Even if you're in a safe riding, you will find a lot of people who disagree with you, but if you're in an
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unsafe riding for yourself, you will quickly realize that most people disagree with you or don't really care
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about your message. What's the actual hit on pure Polyev at this point? I don't even know. Oh, we won't get a
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security clearance. Do you, have you, none of these people have ever investigated the reason why Polyev
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doesn't get it? Every single person is, like, wading into this combat, having never actually
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looked up the discourse on it, that Polyev doesn't want to get it because there's no point in getting
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it. And they get to do a background check, not just on him. He's done background checks before,
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tons of them, because he's been on other committees that require it. He doesn't want to have every single
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member of his family, a bunch of his friends, all have to go through CSIS background checks
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for literally no benefit, because if he gets it and he reads the Nisekopp report on foreign
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interference, he gets to never speak about it again, because that's the rule. So why subject
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tons of members of your family and probably the family dog to invasive searching through their
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backgrounds? Not that any of them have done anything wrong, but just the rigmarole of doing
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this for literally not a single ounce of benefit for yourself or your party or anything that you can use
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to hold the liberals accountable. That is the reason he does not get it. Trudeau knows who the
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traitors are, and yet he does nothing with it. None of these people ever investigate that because
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they'd rather just say, hey, did you know that Pierre Polyev doesn't have a security clearance?
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I guess I didn't know that. Wow, I didn't know you didn't have a security clearance. I guess we
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should just elect Trudeau again. We should elect the guy actively involved in foreign interference
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because he knows all the liberal MPs who are basically acting as puppets for foreign governments
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and does nothing about it because Polyev won't get a security clearance. Oh, okay, let's throw the
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country down the drain because you found a really stupid gotcha that doesn't even work if you actually
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know the background. Goodness. Anyways, that should be enough for me in this video. I'm not going to say
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for me today that's a bad habit because I still might make a second video today. But again, make sure you
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subscribe if you like this channel, like the video, share it with your friends, recommend it to
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people. Again, I'm on my trail to 100,000. I'm going to try and do more edited content in the future
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on subjects where I know I can't really talk about it without editing for 20 minutes straight because
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I need to pull up a lot of clips and a lot of information and it's hard to balance all that.
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Like, you know, literally just talking 20 minutes straight with not a single edit in the middle.
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Other than I did pause this video because my mouth was getting super dry and the charger was,
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I didn't have my charger plugged in because I forget things all the time. People don't realize I am
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terrible with organization. I just kind of make it work. But that should be it. We still have the
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good ship and the National Telegraph together. So hopefully it will all work out in the long run.