The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - April 03, 2025


Exclusive： 75% of Canada support slashing immigration to 100,000!


Episode Stats

Length

11 minutes

Words per Minute

177.11066

Word Count

2,116

Sentence Count

123

Hate Speech Sentences

6


Summary

A new poll from Kolosovski Strategies shows that 75% of Canadians support reducing Canada's immigration rate from 450,000 to 100,000 permanent residents per year. I break down the results and explain why this is a good idea for the Conservative Party of Canada.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. I have a bit of an exclusive for you guys today because I recently partnered up with Kolosovski Strategies to put out a poll question that I thought was going to be interesting for this federal election, specifically on the issue of immigration.
00:00:17.640 In Canada, we already know that the vast majority of Canadians think that immigration is too high. That is old news. The real question going forward is what should the new immigration rate be? How many new permanent residents should be able to enter the country per year to get on a path to becoming Canadian citizens?
00:00:37.560 Because we all know that $500,000 a year like it used to be and right now around $400,000 is still way too high. And it's going to not only make housing unaffordable, but it ends up destroying the social cohesion of the country when you constantly have hundreds of thousands of people entering the country every year who we don't really know if they actually care about Canada.
00:01:00.720 They might just be coming here because it was a better opportunity than where they came from.
00:01:06.020 So I want to get into the specific results we got because they are very, very telling about Canadians' attitudes about immigration reform right now.
00:01:14.200 But before I get into that, guys, I just want to remind you, make sure to like this video, subscribe if you like my federal election coverage and you want to keep up with it, as well as leave a comment.
00:01:24.180 What do you think about immigration? What do you think the permanent residency number should be per year on people allowed to come into the country to get on a pathway to citizenship?
00:01:33.440 That will be our comment section question of the day, I guess.
00:01:38.060 So now I want to get into it. So I have two charts to show here.
00:01:41.960 The first is just the overall, what do Canadians think about the proposal that I had made?
00:01:47.380 The proposal is that what if we took our current immigration rate, which over the past five years has been an average of 450,000 permanent residents per year, and we brought that down to just around 100,000.
00:02:01.200 Is that acceptable to most Canadians?
00:02:03.440 Because I've been told by so many experts, people who very much, I would say, have overdosed on conventional political wisdom would say that's too low.
00:02:12.600 Most people are going to chafe at that number because it sounds too restrictionist.
00:02:18.000 I can tell you, most Canadians want it to be that way.
00:02:21.520 So here is the first chart from Kolesovsky Strategies, and this is an online panel that had 1,196 respondents.
00:02:32.360 So this is a big poll.
00:02:34.040 So the question is, in the last four years, Canada has brought in approximately 450,000 permanent immigrants per year.
00:02:41.720 Would you support or oppose reducing this number to approximately 100,000 per year?
00:02:48.000 And the people that are supportive of that is 75% of Canadians.
00:02:53.740 It's 75 to 25.
00:02:56.280 You couldn't get a clearer issue to run on if you're the Conservative Party of Canada right now.
00:03:02.160 Because currently, Conservative Party leader, Pierre Polyev, is running on a PR immigration rate of 200,000 to 250,000 per year, depending on how many houses were built.
00:03:14.860 Now, that, in normal years, I would say is a perfectly fine policy to take.
00:03:19.440 The problem is, is that we are so underwater when it comes to the amount of people in the country compared to the amount of dwellings that are actually affordable.
00:03:29.920 So we need to have multiple years where we actually have a deficit of new permanent residents compared to houses being built.
00:03:37.560 Because there are so many Canadians, especially younger Canadians, who can't even get into their first house and they are stuck living with their parents.
00:03:45.500 Because the amount of money it takes to even be able to rent in this country makes it impossible to move out.
00:03:51.240 So that's why we need that deficit.
00:03:53.800 And that, again, is insane.
00:03:55.880 That, again, I'm going to say it again.
00:03:57.120 75% of Canadians would prefer to reduce the immigration rate down to 100,000.
00:04:04.840 So it's basically 400,000 right now.
00:04:07.200 Used to be around 500,000, averaging it to 450.
00:04:11.200 People would be very, 75% of people support reducing it from 450,000 to 100,000.
00:04:19.960 The Conservatives should run on this.
00:04:21.820 It is a very clear ballot question.
00:04:25.060 And guess who cannot win on this issue?
00:04:27.120 Mark Carney, the man who is employing members of the Century Initiative on his campaign.
00:04:33.160 The organization that wants to get Canada's population to literally 100,000,000 by the year 2100.
00:04:42.180 That is absolutely insane.
00:04:43.900 That would be like having record high immigration every year on the year up until the year 2100.
00:04:50.860 Here is the breakdown of what members of different parties think of this.
00:04:56.180 And you can even tell this is a realistic poll result because things do shift in a predictable way depending on which party supporters you poll.
00:05:04.040 At the same time, even people in the NDP are generally in favor.
00:05:08.900 Look at this.
00:05:09.960 New Democrats.
00:05:11.240 I believe that is, it's a little fuzzy, sorry guys.
00:05:14.060 58% of New Democrats would support that policy.
00:05:17.840 73% of liberals.
00:05:19.720 83% of conservatives.
00:05:22.000 The only people who are against this either don't know the issue or they work for some massive corporation and they like the cheap labor that comes with a lot of permanent residents constantly entering the country.
00:05:34.600 Other than that, and guess what?
00:05:35.760 You can solve those corporations' issues by just lowering taxes.
00:05:40.240 Lower corporate taxes, lower income taxes overall, and then you can reduce immigration and everything will balance out completely fine.
00:05:47.140 Think about it.
00:05:48.140 Think about it.
00:05:48.760 If Pierre Polyev and the federal conservative party run on this issue, they have to gain 73% of liberals and 58% of New Democrats.
00:05:59.120 Now obviously that's not actually how these things work.
00:06:02.540 Just because 73% of people agree with you who are voting liberal on an issue doesn't mean they're going to move over.
00:06:08.120 But this is obviously one of those issues that when going to doors, when messaging and advertising, it's very easy to speak to those people on something where your opponent cannot match you on it.
00:06:19.860 Because right now, not only is Carney at the very least currently committed to the current rate the liberal government has of 400,000 permanent residents a year,
00:06:29.600 but the fact of who he is employing on this campaign speaks to the idea that he may actually raise it again.
00:06:36.100 Remember, the man fired Mark Miller as immigration minister, the first liberal immigration minister over the past 10 years to actually reduce immigration,
00:06:45.900 because 500,000 was so insane, they had to move it back to 400,000, which again, by my estimation, is 300,000 too many a year.
00:06:54.800 This doesn't mean it has to be the immigration rate for 50 years.
00:06:59.060 Just make it 100,000 for five years, and then see where we're at, and then we will reevaluate if Canada wants to have a higher rate of immigration.
00:07:08.120 The problem with the way that this issue has been dealt with over the years is that we have had this false consensus that people are like immigration.
00:07:16.520 It does good things for our country, and multiculturalism is great.
00:07:19.860 Can a certain amount of multiculturalism be good?
00:07:22.300 Sure, but the thing is, the math disagrees that it needs to be half a million entering the country a year permanently,
00:07:31.640 or else for some reason we are not committed to being open to immigration.
00:07:35.960 You can be open to immigration and have it be a lower rate, because guess who this high immigration rate is most hard on?
00:07:43.540 New immigrants.
00:07:44.900 Having people enter the country and having a crush of people behind them doesn't help them settle down.
00:07:49.360 It basically keeps them as economic serfs.
00:07:52.420 There is a reason that Canada's per capita income, since Trudeau entered office to this point where now Mark Carney is the prime minister,
00:08:00.600 per capita incomes in Canada have only risen by 0.5%.
00:08:05.560 0.5 in 10 years.
00:08:08.520 The second worst country in the G7 is at, I believe it's like 10%.
00:08:15.200 Their wages have gone up substantially.
00:08:16.860 No place has suffered as badly as Canada because of mass immigration.
00:08:21.820 And then, in the last five years, I believe, actually our per capita incomes have been going down since then,
00:08:27.460 because for the first few years of the Trudeau government, we were going up,
00:08:31.220 and it's only 0.5% growth right now, because then we've gone down so much,
00:08:35.940 it's basically wiped out all of the gains that were previously made.
00:08:39.560 I don't want to sound like a broken record.
00:08:42.840 This is an extremely smart policy to be running on.
00:08:47.520 Cap immigration at $100,000 to $150,000 per year.
00:08:51.600 Have a values test in place.
00:08:53.460 Have a strict point system.
00:08:54.960 You don't get to bring in 10 dependents with you.
00:08:57.800 You basically get to bring in your immediate family, and that is it.
00:09:01.260 If other people want to come behind you, they have to apply on their own.
00:09:04.260 We don't do chain migration, because it is hurting our country, and it's not even good for the economy.
00:09:08.720 Because when you bring in dependents, especially older dependents,
00:09:11.920 you're bringing in people who aren't working, who are not contributing to the tax pool.
00:09:15.780 Why do you think the ERs are lined up?
00:09:17.860 It's a lot of people who have not paid into the healthcare system,
00:09:20.940 who hear they're free healthcare, and will show up for pretty much anything.
00:09:25.100 The nurses who work at hospitals will tell you it's a lot of new immigrants
00:09:27.900 who actually tend to take up a lot of space in ERs,
00:09:31.160 because they just don't understand the system is effectively there for emergency services.
00:09:36.240 Not that I want to see the doctor right now.
00:09:38.400 It's just a different culture.
00:09:40.340 So anyways, that should be mostly it for me today on this one.
00:09:44.080 I know this is a very insular or small issue to be talking about for a single video.
00:09:49.040 But, you know, sometimes we need to dig down on a specific policy like this.
00:09:53.080 Thank you, Kolosowski Strategies, for covering this for me.
00:09:56.460 They just offered to do a question that I suggested, and it worked out well.
00:10:00.340 I think it was interesting.
00:10:01.780 Hopefully, they'll do really some more stats when it comes to the federal election.
00:10:06.420 And by the way, I want to do a little bit more polling coverage this week,
00:10:09.860 because again, I've been predicting it.
00:10:12.780 It's been taking longer, and I will admit it's been taking longer than I thought to happen.
00:10:17.400 But we are now seeing a bunch of polls starting to reverse their trends.
00:10:21.420 Even Liaison is starting to show a reversal.
00:10:24.720 And they're the polling company that was recently linked to a bunch of CCP front groups.
00:10:29.740 And even they're showing things tighten up for the conservatives.
00:10:32.620 Innovative Research, who I actually like a lot.
00:10:35.160 For a little bit, they showed the liberals leading by a couple points.
00:10:37.860 They used to show the conservatives ahead by like 10 points about a month and a half ago.
00:10:42.620 And then it really tightened up.
00:10:44.280 The liberals took a small lead.
00:10:45.540 Now the CPC is back, plus one in their poll.
00:10:48.640 I don't expect that the conservatives are going to jump ahead super massively right away.
00:10:55.160 But when you then factor in a lot of non-voters are going to be showing up for the conservatives,
00:11:00.160 this election could look very different on election day than what we will see in the polling.
00:11:05.260 Polling is still useful.
00:11:06.800 Obviously, don't look at ECOS.
00:11:08.280 Don't look at Angus Reid.
00:11:09.460 Their polls are crap, at least in my opinion.
00:11:11.560 But what I would say, though, is polling tells you the general vibe of the election.
00:11:18.180 Where is the momentum?
00:11:19.600 Where are the sands shifting?
00:11:21.780 It doesn't mean the numbers are going to be exactly accurate to what's happening on election day.
00:11:26.580 But obviously, if we start seeing the conservatives slide up in these polls,
00:11:31.220 if you assume that the conservatives are going to do better than the polls are saying,
00:11:34.520 it's still useful to know that these polls who are maybe overestimating the liberals
00:11:38.460 are starting to move towards the conservatives.
00:11:41.220 They are picking up something happening,
00:11:43.400 even if they are not one-to-one accurate with what's going to go down on election day.
00:11:48.340 Anyways, so that should be it for me today, guys.
00:11:51.640 Make sure to like this video, subscribe to the channel, leave a comment, do all that great stuff,
00:11:55.540 and I'll see you next time.