The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Guilbeault Is Out - Carney's Liberals losing 3 MPs and their Majority!

00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and welcome back to the National Telegraph YouTube channel.

00:00:06.260 There's a new political headache for Prime Minister Mark Carney this morning,

00:00:10.400 as former Environment Minister Stephen Gilboa announced to the Liberal Caucus, as well as

00:00:16.240 online, that he is going to be resigning from office sometime this summer, presumably in June,

00:00:22.540 alongside Jonathan Wilkinson and Nate Erskine-Smith, bringing the total number of liberals

00:00:28.160 resigning up to three, turning Mark Carney's majority liberal government into effectively a

00:00:34.300 non-functioning liberal majority because the liberals still need to put up the speaker,

00:00:39.500 meaning that unless they want to slowly tie-break every vote, they really don't have a majority.

00:00:45.780 Now, previously the strong rumor was that Gilboa may just resign from the liberal caucus

00:00:50.960 and continue sitting as an independent and could even cross the floor to the Bloc Québécois

00:00:56.640 or the NDP, but it seems like after some cajoling was done behind the scenes,

00:01:02.520 Gilboa has been convinced just to leave office entirely, which may be possibly the worst outcome 0.99

00:01:09.560 for Carney after his very stupid comments on separatism yesterday and whether or not he would 0.98

00:01:16.800 recognize a majority vote for a province to separate from Canada, ticking off a lot of 0.99

00:01:22.800 people in Quebec. Now, if you don't know it, Gilbeau's writing used to be a Bloc Québécois

00:01:29.140 writing, but let's get into all those details a little bit later. I first want to start off with

00:01:34.260 the letter that he put out online just a bit ago and Mark Carney's farewell post, but before we

00:01:40.020 get into that, I just want to tell you guys, if you live in British Columbia, I'm going to be

00:01:44.940 going around with Dallas Brody at a few events this June. On June 7th, we will be in Kamloops.

00:01:51.100 on the 10th we'll be in Prince George and on the 14th we will be in Kelowna. If you want to pop by

00:01:56.920 hear about the 1BC party and say hi to me in Dallas make sure you check out the events link

00:02:02.440 that I have pinned at the top of the comments of this video for the 1BC events. Make sure you

00:02:07.560 register and show up and it will be a great time to hear about what 1BC is doing for British Columbia

00:02:13.260 and how the party is growing. Also of course if you like the channel make sure to leave a like

00:02:18.220 on this video, subscribe, leave a comment, and of course, consider hitting the join button and

00:02:23.680 becoming a member of the channel to help make it all more sustainable for me. But now let's get

00:02:29.140 into what you guys are actually here for, the resignation of Stephen Gilbeau. Of course, I will

00:02:33.880 only be reading the English side of his post because I do not speak en français. So he says

00:02:39.800 here, this morning, during the Liberal National Caucus meeting, I announced to my colleagues that

00:02:45.620 I will be stepping down from my seat as Member of Parliament for the riding of Laurier-Saint-Marie

00:02:50.440 later this summer. I will remain as a Member of the Liberal Caucus until then. I will make a

00:02:56.100 statement in the House of Commons around 4 p.m. this afternoon. This decision is a result of

00:03:00.480 careful consideration. After almost seven years as a Member of Parliament and a Minister,

00:03:05.240 I have come to the conclusion that it is time for me to pursue my fight for environmental protection

00:03:09.880 and the fight against climate change in a different way. Now, we don't need to read the

00:03:14.720 rest of it because it's just kind of boilerplate a boilerplate i love the people of my riding and

00:03:19.520 they're so amazing and i like that you supported me but isn't that such a peculiar comment to say

00:03:25.040 that i have decided that i'm going to pursue my fight for the environment and the climate elsewhere

00:03:30.600 okay well are you admitting that you were never really a member of parliament you were just

00:03:35.900 always an environmental activist that snuck into government because like is that your only agenda

00:03:41.800 item. You didn't care about any other issues. But this is the problem in government right now.

00:03:47.200 We have far too many activists. We don't have enough people who just want to actually build

00:03:53.580 a well-rounded, good country. There's people who are hyper-fixated on woke issues,

00:03:59.980 hyper-fixated on the environment, hyper-fixated on indigenous politics and whatnot. Not enough

00:04:07.740 people who just you know want to build a good economy make the streets safer all that stuff but

00:04:12.820 never mind that that's a just i guess a little detail at this point but i want to now go to

00:04:18.940 mark carney's response to gilbo saying that he's resigning of course he's going to happy talk this

00:04:24.020 thing because it would be stupid for him not to but uh mark carney here says steven gilbo was

00:04:31.760 has devoted his career to protecting our environment and fighting climate change

00:04:36.080 As he prepares to step down from his seat in Parliament this summer, I want to thank him for his service to the people of Laurier, St. Marie, and Canada.

00:04:45.140 Stephen's many contributions in civil society and public service have always been guided by his conviction and driven by his pursuit of a stronger, more inclusive, and more sustainable future in government.

00:04:56.460 He helped establish the 2022 Kunming Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework to protect 30% of Canada's land and waters, implemented Canada's first emissions reduction plan, and championed landmark efforts to protect Canada's culture and identity, including establishing the National Day of Truth and Reconciliation.

00:05:15.520 Oh, what a legacy.

00:05:16.580 we started a holiday based on the Kamloops Brave hoax, which today is actually the five-year

00:05:22.820 anniversary of. Dallas Brody will be giving a speech on the steps of the BC legislature today

00:05:28.560 on that particular issue. But yeah, Stephen Gilbeau's entire legacy is environmental regulation

00:05:35.600 and helping push forward a national holiday based on a hoax. Good job. Good for him. But whatever,

00:05:45.180 Let's talk about the part of this that's funny, the way that Mark Carney may have screwed himself, because previously, as of 24 hours ago, it was assumed that the worst outcome for Mark Carney would be Gilbo sticking around as an independent or becoming a block MP and being a thorn in his side.

00:06:04.580 And that was my perspective, until I saw what Mark Carney said about separatism, because Mark Carney thinks right here in the clip I'm going to show you that he's scoring big points by opposing the boogeyman that is Alberta separatism.

00:06:21.500 But he forgot that there is another province where separatism is popular, that being Quebec, and saying that he's just going to not respect a vote on separatism, even if they get a majority, is absolutely insane and ticking off a lot of Quebecers.

00:06:39.580 So check out this clip from Mark Carney that the Western Standard posted about would he respect a 50% plus one vote majority for separatism.

00:06:48.860 Is 50 plus one enough?

00:06:50.820 No, it is not.

00:06:51.500 uh it is not an eye for under a clarity act it is absolutely not and i would just recommend that

00:06:56.540 you read the clarity act it's very clear not surprisingly the clarity act is very clear

00:07:00.700 uh and determination uh and there's two conditions which i responded in the house

00:07:05.100 uh for the record is 50 plus one another very clear it's 50 plus i gave i gave a very i gave

00:07:12.300 it sorry just to be clear um the uh because it is a question about a question i mean it's uh

00:07:19.580 it it it doesn't it's not a buy it's explicit in the question that it's not a binding referendum

00:07:24.700 this is what i expected but i uh you know as i said uh now what you can see he's doing there i'm

00:07:30.700 going to make another entire video on just that alone uh he's trying to weasel out of it at the

00:07:35.500 end of saying well well i'm only saying that because the question that albert is putting

00:07:39.500 forward is a question about having a binding question on separation no your previous statement

00:07:45.260 was clear that 50% plus one is not good enough to actually be able to separate from Canada.

00:07:51.640 And the Bloc Quebecois MPs, all of them pretty much only asked questions about this yesterday,

00:07:57.600 because the Bloc Quebecois is a Quebec nationalist, like slash separatist party. The PQ,

00:08:05.280 I think it's PSPP, Pierre Saint-Palamondant, or something like that, the leader of the

00:08:11.180 Parti Québécois in Quebec, the leading party, also ripped into Kearney on this. And this riding

00:08:17.660 wasn't just formally a bloc riding. At one point, it was even an NDP riding. Gilbeau, I'll show you

00:08:24.560 the record on Wikipedia here, Gilbeau won with a sizable majority in this last election. But you

00:08:30.140 also have to remember, it's 2025, where the only party that really mattered was the Liberal Party.

00:08:34.760 So in 2025, Stephen Gilbeau won with 52% of the vote. The NDP got 18.8, which is a really good result considering the fact that that was a horrible election campaign for the NDP. They did terrible in Quebec, and they still pulled off 18.8 in this Montreal riding despite only getting 6.6 nationally.

00:08:56.260 The Bloc got only 15% of the vote, Conservatives 9%.

00:09:00.120 Not a great riding, obviously, for them.

00:09:02.860 Back in 2021, he won with 37% of the vote,

00:09:07.140 showing you what the riding tends to be more like,

00:09:09.280 with the NDP getting 32% and the Bloc getting 20%.

00:09:12.680 2019, he won with 41%.

00:09:16.120 The Bloc and the NDP very split between each other.

00:09:19.720 And in 2015, it was won, even though that was, again,

00:09:23.300 not a great campaign for the NDP. They lost their opposition status, and then obviously Justin

00:09:30.260 Trudeau won a sizable majority. They won it with 38% of the vote, with the Bloc coming in second

00:09:36.000 and the Liberals coming in third. In 2011, of course, the NDP won it. 2008, Gilles Decepte,

00:09:42.840 the BQ leader, was the guy who held the riding, and he held that riding for multiple elections.

00:09:49.640 Like, since 1990, in a by-election as an independent, he won with 66% of the vote in 1990 as an independent.

00:10:01.300 Now, obviously, Gilles Decept is not coming back to reclaim his riding, and probably the former NDP MP is not coming back to secure the riding again.

00:10:10.460 But you have Stephen Gilbeau resigning because he didn't like Mark Carney on the climate.

00:10:15.460 He didn't like, even though Kearney hasn't basically changed anything, because he's even willing to say he's interested in a pipeline, even though all of his pipeline plans are deliberately made in such a way that it's never actually going to build a pipeline.

00:10:28.620 That was too much for Gilbeau.

00:10:31.140 So he's leaving and slagging Kearney on the way out in a subtle way over the climate.

00:10:36.820 In a riding where the climate is a big issue, a riding where the Bloc Québécois can win the riding.

00:10:44.300 Avi Lewis and the NDP are obviously going to throw everything at the wall at every by-election

00:10:48.840 to prove that they're not dead anymore and they can do better than they did in the last

00:10:53.040 election.

00:10:54.600 Yeah, I could actually see Mark Carney losing this riding now.

00:10:58.300 He could lose it to either the NDP or the Bloc Québécois, who have no incentive to

00:11:03.940 be cooperative with him like they were previously in other parliaments with Justin Trudeau,

00:11:10.260 Because if they are cooperative with the liberals these days, their parties are dead. That's why the NDP almost died under Jagmeet Singh. Because what was the point of voting NDP when he basically just propped up Justin Trudeau, no matter what? Jagmeet Singh is like a notorious bad leader at this point. I think other countries should study him in terms of how to not be a small party opposition leader.

00:11:34.240 But yeah, so this is a bit of an awkward situation for Monsieur Mark Carney. He actually may have turned what could have been a very easy swap out of Stephen Gilbeau with another Liberal into a fight that is going to be a tooth and nail by-election, because by-elections tend to be very different from general elections.

00:11:59.860 A by-election turnout tends to be fanatics.

00:12:03.420 Now, they did hold on to the La Salle Amarde Verdun, or no, it was a different one.

00:12:08.920 There was another by-election for Terrebonne that they ended up beating the bloc in, but

00:12:14.720 that one kind of made sense because Mark Carney was flying high early on in the year,

00:12:19.380 getting into these little fights with Donald Trump and doing his whole elbows-up thing,

00:12:24.140 and he still only won that one by like three or four points.

00:12:27.080 the previous election was decided by one vote and was nullified, and they won it by 3%.

00:12:32.000 But that was Mark Carney flying really high, only winning it by 3%.

00:12:35.780 Now, he's about to go into a by-election where the Quebec populace either hates him

00:12:40.080 because he's not a climate fanatic enough, or because he is anti-separatist in a way

00:12:45.580 where he doesn't even care if you vote for a majority, he's just going to go tell you to pack

00:12:49.740 sand because the Clarity Act says it's not a clear enough majority, a completely arbitrary

00:12:55.240 standard because there's no line saying what is a clear majority and what is not a clear majority.

00:13:01.420 But I'm going to save that argument for another video later on today. But anyways, with all that

00:13:07.460 being said, that should be it for today's video. This should be fun to watch. And of course, if you

00:13:13.380 want to support the channel, make sure to like, share, subscribe. And if you live in any of those

00:13:18.000 BC cities where 1BC is doing town halls, check out the events link in the description and the

00:13:23.200 comment section below and sign up and show up if you are available on those days. I'd love to see

00:13:28.520 you guys all come out. Buy a 1BC hat. Do something like that. We're very much strongly growing right

00:13:34.460 now. In fact, we just had a new poll come out that puts us at 11% provincially and growing. That is

00:13:41.700 up since the last poll the exact same firm did, which means that we are on a positive trajectory

00:13:47.640 to being able to start winning a lot of seats. So anyways, with all that being said, thank you

00:13:52.400 guys for watching and I'll see you all later.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - May 27, 2026

Guilbeault Is Out - Carney's Liberals losing 3 MPs and their Majority!

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