It's Day 2 of Canada's federal election campaign, and so far, it's not looking good for the Liberals. After a disastrous day one, Mark Carney and his campaign are back at it again, but this time with a bang.
00:00:00.080Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here. It's day two of Canada's federal election campaign, and man, if you were to base how this is going to go on how day one went, Mark Carney and the federal liberals are screwed. They had a terrible day one.
00:00:15.940It turns out running an awkward robot who looks like Mr. Burns as your candidate for prime minister is a bad idea. So after Carney gave a very sleepy announcement to the start of Canada's federal election, he then tried to have a dueling rally with Pierre Polyev and the conservatives, where the liberals tried to have a rally in St. John's, where the conservatives had one in the Toronto area.
00:00:40.000And naturally, it is easier to bring people out in the GTA because the population concentration is stronger, but Polyev has shown that he can do a rally in Sudbury and still have over 1,000 people show up, whereas Mark Carney's St. John's rally, an area that should be an easy win for the liberals, only had about 200, 300 people out.
00:01:01.520And when you take all the media and staffers out of the room, you're probably down to about 100 actual people who live in St. John's who showed up, whereas Pierre Polyev and the conservatives had 2,500 people packed into a ballroom to listen to Polyev's speech, and then there were still hundreds of people left outside.
00:01:20.960In fact, this had so much attention, not only in real life, but online, that fellow content creator, the Pleb Reporter, had his phone crash while streaming it because there was so much activity on his stream from chats and whatnot.
00:01:34.960Absolutely insane. I want to get into this issue a little bit more in just a second, but I want to remind you guys, if you like my election coverage and you want to keep up, make sure to like the video, leave a comment, because it does help us on the algorithm.
00:01:46.800I like to scroll through and see what people think. And then make sure to subscribe if you're not yet a subscriber. As you can see down here, you're trying to get to 100,000 subscribers, and I'm trying to do that by mid-December, and right now we are on track, so thank you all who are subscribing.
00:02:02.680Let's jump over to talking about Mark Carney's rally, because while Mark Carney had about 250, 300 people inside, he had probably another 150 people outside who were protesting him, and this is a very key demographic.
00:02:19.720It's not a bunch of conservative trolls showing up just to make Mark Carney's life difficult. These are fishermen in Newfoundland who showed up to protest Mark Carney's own Minister of Fisheries for basically passing a bunch of new regulations that makes it harder to harvest snow crabs.
00:02:37.360I think it actually is reducing the harvest by 25% this year, which means the economy is going to be absolutely devastated in fishing communities, and when I say fishing communities, I'm talking about Newfoundland because it is effectively a giant fishing community with some oil and gas.
00:02:53.920Good job, Mark Carney. Like, my goodness, you'd think his people, if they were smarter, would have him avoid this area like the plague, or at least do it, like, at the very end when people aren't expecting him to show up?
00:03:05.480And this is what Mark Carney sounded like at his rally. The man is a broken record. Apparently, he is still running for a liberal leader because he hasn't adjusted his script at all, and it wasn't a good script to begin with.
00:03:18.660Over the years, I've learned a few things about how to manage crisis. And the important thing when you're in a crisis is to know the difference between what you can change and what you can't. We can't change Donald Trump.
00:03:35.480And a person who worships Donald Trump, like Pierre Polyev, will kneel down before him, not stand up.
00:03:44.320Well, it's contradicted by the facts, which is that Donald Trump, in fact, didn't endorse Pierre Polyev, but he endorsed the liberals because he sized up Mark Carney, like Gumby Mr. Burns, and thought, yeah, I can negotiate with this guy.
00:04:00.600He doesn't want to negotiate with somebody who he likes who's tough. He would rather negotiate with someone he doesn't like if he can get what he wants out of them.
00:04:09.800Because guess what? Donald Trump is the president of the United States. He doesn't have to care about Canadian domestic policy.
00:04:15.840If anything, the liberals destroying the economy is a good thing for Donald Trump in the U.S.
00:04:21.500because it ends up sending a lot more high-skilled workers over their border, and it makes sure that they end up inheriting a lot of the industries that are falling apart in Canada.
00:04:30.980And that leads me to also wanting to talk about, right after I get to this fisheries thing, the whole tax issue.
00:04:36.120Because this tax issue is going to be a major element of the campaign, and that is Carney and Polyev both announcing tax cuts, one obviously being a better plan than the other.
00:04:48.440And I think that it needs to get out there just how little Mark Carney is willing to give back.
00:04:53.820After five years of being the economic advisor and saying nothing about doing any of this stuff, suddenly he's in favor of tax cuts.
00:04:59.900And when I say tax cuts, I mean like literally reducing taxes by the smallest possible amount just to get through the election campaign.
00:05:07.900But here are the fishermen outside that they weren't letting into the rally to be able to ask questions about the whole fisheries issue.
00:05:15.860And hilariously enough, the St. John's candidate the liberals are running is the minister of fisheries.
00:05:20.460So not only are they mad at the government, but they're mad at their local MP.
00:05:24.660I could see St. John's going down hard.
00:05:27.040And in fact, I will bring up the 338 numbers in just a second here.
00:05:42.600And you can even tell the real guys like just I'm not trying to be stereotypical, but you look at that crowd of people and you're like, yeah, those are fishermen.
00:05:55.720This is not like a bunch of conservative agitators showing up just to mess with them.
00:06:00.280Those were actual fishermen who obviously just it's not like they don't they don't think it's ideal, the liberal policies, or maybe they could be a little bit less, you know, a little less critical.
00:06:11.220No, these are people who like their lives are being destroyed by bad liberal regulations.
00:06:16.800I just want to quickly jump over these 338 numbers right now.
00:06:20.080Right now, St. John's East is a safe riding, but a riding that the liberals do need to be picking up if they want to be able to win a minority or majority government is St. John's East croaks, which is now currently going towards the conservatives with a 79% chance of winning.
00:06:35.620And remember, these are projections based off of polling I don't even particularly agree with the pollsters I follow are innovative research as well as abacus data innovative research admittedly does show the liberals plus one at the moment.
00:06:49.640And then abacus data shows the conservatives plus three.
00:06:53.240But again, I think we are now currently leaving the liberal honeymoon.
00:06:56.840The liberal honeymoon pretty much ends as soon as you call an election because people are willing to have artificially nice feelings about you because you're the new prime minister.
00:07:43.420So a lot of people who aren't thinking like very critically about it are just going to be like, oh, yeah, probably a nice boy.
00:07:49.520Not realizing that the man was literally the economic advisor for five straight years and didn't do anything good.
00:07:57.000And in fact, Chrystia Freeland eventually resigned as finance minister because she was never allowed to make her own decisions as finance minister because it was all being done by Mark Carney.
00:08:06.440Do you believe that Trudeau is making these calls?
00:08:09.100I don't think Trudeau makes calls on what he eats for breakfast in the morning and he's going to somehow be the man in charge of finance policy.
00:09:49.800Obviously, you can't slash at 50% or anything like that.
00:09:53.380You know, the government still needs revenues until it finally cuts taxes and gets its spending under control.
00:09:59.340So it is always going to be a controlled burn.
00:10:02.060I would like Polyev in four years to eventually, or maybe in a second term, if he gets a first term, to push for like a 25% overall tax burden reduction.
00:10:12.680And this on top of the fact he's getting rid of the consumer carbon tax and the industrial carbon tax means that when you actually add up all your tax savings and the fact that food prices are going to go down, it's going to have a doubling effect.
00:10:25.100Well, Carney's increasing the industrial carbon tax while he's kind of getting rid of the consumer carbon tax, but also taking away the rebate, which again, the rebate was never paying for itself, but it was sort of reducing the pain.
00:10:36.460It was nonsensical because are you trying to reduce emissions?
00:10:40.000Because if you're giving people their money back, what's the point?
00:10:42.180And then they'd be like, no, you're actually making money on the carbon tax, which was false, but it doesn't matter.
00:10:47.820I just want to jump over to Polyev announcing this policy.
00:10:50.140This was at the rally last night, and again, it's a very good point.
00:10:55.040It's just a very good thing to be running on.
00:10:57.960It's something that every person who especially is making higher levels of income will sit down and they'll have to stop if they were thinking of voting liberal and think, well, I'm going to save 1% of my tax, but with them, I'm going to save two and a quarter, which is substantially better.
00:11:13.900And the cost savings with this are like $1,800 in terms of your actual tax savings per year.
00:11:20.060The father and a son sitting in a park on a bench, and the son said, Dad, what is an income tax form?
00:11:30.080And the father looked at him and said, well, son, it's the opposite of your report card.
00:11:34.940The better you do, the more you get punished.
00:11:38.500It's the fine you pay for the crime of working hard.
00:11:43.260And that's on top of all the other taxes you pay.
00:11:46.440There's the GST and PST and HST, capital gains tax, the carbon tax on top of the gas tax, property tax, payroll tax, tax on imports, tax on exports, sin tax, the list.
00:11:56.920I don't need to show you this whole thing, but I think his approach on this is brilliant.
00:12:04.300Polyev, he's good with slogans, and I'm fine with that.
00:12:07.260I'm not a big slogans guy, so I don't like when politicians overuse them because eventually it does become the parody of itself that we're going to ax the tax, we're going to build the homes, we're going to verb the noun.
00:12:19.400But Polyev is very good long form in terms of, yeah, that's only a two-minute ad.
00:12:24.440But he's better in two minutes than he is in 30 seconds.
00:12:27.740He's kind of a young Ross Perot, if you know what I'm saying for people who are a bit older and remember Ross Perot.
00:12:33.960I'm 25 going on 86, so of course I know who Ross Perot is.
00:12:38.400But Polyev, he needs to be given a little pointy wooden stick, and he needs to be pointing at a chart in his ads and showing how much taxes have gone up, showing how little per capita incomes have gone up.
00:12:49.500It needs to be a campaign of big, audacious ideas and a lot of technical information, because Carney is supposedly the expert and goes after pure Polyev for not having a long resume.
00:13:02.580I care about what you're actually going to do.
00:13:04.360And Polyev should fire back by actually showing that he can explain the stuff that Mark Carney is basically just absolutely flagellant on.
00:13:12.700Mark Carney doesn't have anything to say.
00:13:14.120We saw in that clip, he's just repeating microwaved leadership points about how we've got to stand up strong to Donald Trump, not sit down weakly, I guess, and hope for death.
00:13:51.500And I hope, and I know that you will, but I hope we continue to be the good guys.
00:13:58.760I like somebody who worked for Hollywood for years, an industry known for bullies and sexual abusers and people not calling it out, is here to say, we stand up to bullies.
00:14:09.720By the way, in one of my last videos, I played a clip of you were sent in of Mike Myers back in 2015, saying, like, endorsing the idea that Obama endorsed Justin Trudeau.
00:14:20.580And he said, I'm in favor of foreign interference because it's the Canadian way of, like, he made a joke about how, like, we're so nice, we let other people endorse our politicians from other countries.
00:14:30.980But now Mike Myers and liberals are super, super offended that Donald Trump has endorsed them, in fact, because they are weak.
00:14:40.060Now that Donald Trump has said a word about Canada, even though he's mostly just talking about Canada from his own position of currently being, having trade tensions, that is foreboding.
00:14:51.840That is wrong, but Obama can do it because, of course, he can.
00:14:56.100These people have no consistency at all.
00:14:58.700And I think this was a great post by Steve Deason, a great way of summing up the current problems with Mark Carney as a potential prime minister.
00:15:07.120I know he's technically the prime minister now, but he hasn't really served a second on the actual job.
00:15:13.280But Steve Deason here says, fundamental problems for Mark Carney.
00:15:17.020He advised Trudeau during COVID leading to record inflation.
00:15:20.220The only policies he's proposed were already proposed by Polyev.
00:15:23.760Bullied and harassed staff during his time at the Bank of England.
00:15:27.260Was wrong about the UK housing bubble.
00:15:29.100Brexit, now they have record inflation.
00:15:31.220Tried to take credit for Harper Flaherty fiscal policy when he himself said he's a monetary policy guy.
00:18:02.900It's emotionally satisfying to say zero.
00:18:04.880But zero in and of itself is actually inflexible.
00:18:08.360What happens if you actually do find a bunch of skilled workers who want to work in, like, a new mine that you have?
00:18:15.280That you have a bunch of people who are miners from out in Nigeria or people who work in Europe in different sectors that you'll want to bring into Canada,
00:18:23.020and you can't because the immigration rate is zero.
00:18:25.840I think that you need a number that allows you to be flexible while also having a strict point system and a value test.
00:18:32.620If we only find 50,000 people in a year who fit the bill, we only found 50,000 people, and that's just how it goes.
00:18:38.920But, yeah, so I hope that Polyev doesn't have to run on my ideal, but he's currently running on an immigration rate of 200,000, 250,000.
00:18:46.760The problem is you don't want to run on a number that Carney could technically effectively match you with, taking that away from you.
00:18:53.040You run on something your opponent would never run on, and that's why Polyev running on getting rid of the industrial carbon tax is brilliant,
00:19:00.000because Carney won't commit to it, which means that you can actually draw a contrast.
00:19:03.680If Polyev runs on 150,000 immigration cap, immediately Carney is the mass immigration guy decisively,
00:19:11.660where right now Carney's only really running on about 100,000 more people than Polyev is, 250,000 compared to 350,000.
00:19:18.720So go half of what Carney's saying, because he's the guy employing someone from the Century Initiative.
00:19:24.520Anyways, that was a bit of a pit stop there, but I want to move on to his second post here.
00:19:28.980The CPC base hates their country and their fellow Canadians.
00:19:32.520Is that why the Freedom Convoy is flying Canadian flags and wanting them to represent freedom?
00:19:37.720They hate it. The Liberals hated the Canadian flag when it was representing freedom.
00:19:41.460They like it now when it just represents anti-Americanism.
00:19:44.960They adore authoritarian leaders like Trump and Putin. Oh my goodness, no.
00:19:48.840Like, Trump's fine. Trump's mostly a generic conservative overall, so I understand why people like Trump.
00:19:53.940I like Trump on a lot of stuff, but how many conservatives like Putin?
00:19:57.420You're an idiot if you think that. Oh, the conservatives like Idi Amin. The conservatives like Hitler.
00:20:02.560Shut up. You guys actually have people wearing hammer and sickle t-shirts who are currently MPs like Jamie Batsy.
00:20:08.880I always find NDP and Liberal candidates every election when I dig into them who have pictures of Mao and Che Guevara on their own social media timelines.
00:20:17.360Because they're leftists. Which conservative candidate has pictures of Franco on his social media timeline?
00:22:05.120On day one, Carney performatively went to a church in the morning to pretend that he goes to church or he has any religious values.
00:22:15.480Like, I don't want to, like, I know people are saying you're attacking his daughter.
00:22:19.080Juno News showed that his daughter, who is trans apparently, went to the Tavistock Institute in the UK.
00:22:24.620That actually should be a sort of minor campaign issue, that your daughter went to an area that was shut down for child abuse because of how insane their, like, transgender, gender theory type services were.
00:23:40.300I don't, uh, speak, I don't speak about these matters.
00:23:44.380Um, I think what's relevant, uh, when I say matters, my personal faith or spirituality, but I'll say what's relevant is that, uh, it informs my sense of, uh, responsibility and service.
00:24:00.720Uh, I feel, uh, you know, that I should, uh, notice how he didn't say morality there should serve our country the best I can.
00:24:10.420And if I go back to, uh, my journey to be standing in front of you here, um, I did feel at the turn of the, uh, at the turn of the year, uh, as the crisis bore down on us and the need for big change, uh, that I should put my hand up, uh, and be part of that change.
00:24:28.960Um, I'm humbled that notice how in that entire interaction where he's talking about faith, he doesn't even invoke God because he doesn't actually obviously have any faith.
00:24:43.380It is just performative civic religion that he takes part in.
00:24:47.020And again, for the most part, like as a Baptist who are actually very pro separation of church and state, just don't even mention it.
00:24:54.600If it doesn't actually matter to you, stop bringing it up.
00:24:59.280He should have his hand waved it away because he obviously doesn't really care.
00:25:02.860It's just gross whenever people do this, like suddenly he's like attending services or whatever.
00:25:08.540You know, I'm joking a little bit here, but maybe Oliver Cromwell was a hundred percent right.
00:25:13.240Um, but here's also one thing that I wanted to highlight as a good piece of news on the polling front.
00:25:19.380This was from the Abacus data poll where the conservatives were only ahead by three points, a little bit of an uncomfortable lead.
00:25:25.440They'll want to be about five to six points ahead to actually have a chance at a majority.
00:25:30.900Ideally, if they pull ahead eight points, this thing's wrapped up.
00:25:34.220If they fall back a point and a half, then it's like a liberal minority because the liberals do, in fact, still have what is a more efficient vote.
00:25:43.400Where the conservatives win by Saddam Hussein numbers in places like Battle River, Alberta.
00:25:48.580But then when you go to the GTA, the liberals are winning seats with like 37 percent of the vote.
00:25:53.620Very slim, minor wins, but it's a win is a win.
00:25:57.420But this poll does have a good piece of news for the conservatives.
00:26:00.440So the conservatives naturally have a smaller base of people who consider voting for them, but it's more likely to turn out.
00:26:06.780And since 2021, the pool of voters considering voting conservative has gone from 44 percent to 50 percent, whereas the liberals, and naturally it's a default party because it's between the NDP and the conservatives, their accessible voters have gone from 54 percent to 52.
00:26:23.800We can maybe call that not much of a change.
00:26:26.200But the whole point is that conservatives and liberals are effectively within the margin of error of consideration for most people.
00:26:31.940And then the new Democrats, this is the real story of the election.
00:26:36.540They went from 50 percent in 2021 to 38 percent now in 2025.
00:26:41.920This is the one thing that's helping the liberals a lot is the sheer weakness of the Singh NDP.
00:26:48.640Hopefully the NDP gets their traction, starts winning back their socialistic voters again to deprive them from going to the liberals, but still.
00:26:56.240And then over here, actually, the bloc has went from 44 and 21 to 46 percent in 2025.
00:27:02.640That's probably with a very small sample size because that's only counting Quebec.
00:27:06.360But that's why I was always skeptical whenever I see polls saying that the bloc Quebecois are going to go from seven and a half percent in 2021 to like five or six.
00:27:18.340Nothing that Blanchet has done indicates to me that Quebecers don't like him.
00:27:23.080In fact, provincially, the CAQ and the PQ, two separatist or very nationalistic parties, are the two top parties with a combined vote over 50 percent.
00:27:33.080And then the PCQ, the conservatives, are actually doing pretty well on the provincial polling level in Quebec.
00:27:38.560So I don't see Quebec swinging hard liberal this election.
00:27:41.880On top of the fact that Carney sucks at French, it will come out that he sucks at French.
00:27:47.960Paulyev should want two French debates rather than if he could choose between having two English debates and one French debate and two French debates and one English, I'd go for the two French because they need to see that Carney sound like imagine someone with a really heavy accent in English and you can't quite understand them.
00:28:05.880You can know the words, but it's clunky and it sounds rusty.
00:28:09.620And they should just be demonstrating that this guy did not learn French in all of his years in government, which actually does seem like a bit of a disrespect that the guy had nothing better to do.
00:28:18.460He was working for the federal government and could not pick up a solid French accent the entire time.
00:28:23.820So anyways, that should be it for me today, guys.
00:28:27.940Looking pretty good for the conservatives so far.
00:28:30.140I do hope that they come out with very audacious policies.
00:28:33.620If you want to win the election, you'll want people talking about your policies.