Israel vs Iran - How did the political Left incentivize terrorism
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Summary
What's the difference between Iran and Israel? What are the differences between them? What do they have in common? What does Israel have to fear from Iran? And what does Iran have to worry about from Israel? In this episode, we will cover all of these questions and more.
Transcript
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It's Iran vs. Israel. What do you need to know? Because if you've watched the CBC or CTV or CNN
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or any real mainstream media news in the last 48 hours over what happened, you've probably
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learned less and you've become a bit dumber. Sorry that happened to you. Not my fault. This
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is what we're here to fix in 10 minutes or less. Okay. How can you understand more about the
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conflict than 99% of anyone who's ever been on the CBC? And it's easy. You just have to acknowledge
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reality. And there's two separate realities here that we have to go over. One is Iran. Second is
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Israel. So how does Iran function? And what is the makeup of Iran right now? It is the Islamic Republic
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of Iran. And that's a very important distinction. If you've ever followed an Iranian on Twitter who
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isn't a jihadi, they've been telling you, hey, we are not the regime. We are different. We are the
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Iranian people. They are the regime. You've seen this for the last two years, hopefully, when it's
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gotten really big in the Mashlameini thing, you have the lion and son Iranians versus the Allahu
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Akbar symbol regimes. Now, why is this very important? It's not just a, they're not the
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people, blah, blah, blah. They're nice rhetoric. That's true. And it will play a thing. And the
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Israelis have acknowledged this. If you've seen Naftali Bennett's statement, Netanyahu has been very
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big in pushing Israeli-Iranian solidarity among the people. You see it in Paris. You see it in the UK.
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You saw it here in Toronto. There is a sentiment. That's very important because when you're talking
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about a war between Iran and Israel, what are Iran's military capabilities? You saw them.
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Ballistic missiles. They fired missiles and drones at Israel. What they fail to have is Iranians.
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All right. So the Islamic Republic and Iran are fundamentally different here. And they're actually
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at odds, which is the big thing. And this is the key thing going forward for anything in this
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conflict right now. It is the fissure between the Islamic Republic and the Iranian people.
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Why? If you want to draft people into the military, which is Iran's current system, who do you have to
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draft? Iranians. Who doesn't want to fight for the Islamic Republic right now? Iranians. They've been
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in an open revolt against the regime. You're telling me that you trust, if you're the regime, would you
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trust an 18-year-old kid you just drafted right now to hold a weapon? They don't. They're not holding
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weapons. The people sort of enforcing laws on them are the besieges. These are like their hardcore
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lunatic ideologue brown shirts. And there's reports of a lot of Arab militants that they have. Why?
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Because the Islamic Republic fights with proxies. That is the number one way they fight. And all
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these proxies are connected by the IRGC, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. It should be listed as a
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terrorist entity in its entirety. But their international force, the Quds Force, Soleimani's thing. And
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Israel has been very, very good at making cutlets, as we say, taking a different IRGC top commanders,
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which hurts their ability to coordinate all these different global terrorist organizations.
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You saw this on their attack. Yes, they fired hundreds of missiles and drones from territorial
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Iran into Israel. But who joined them? The Houthis in Yemen, who they control, Hezbollah in Lebanon,
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which they control. So what you need to know is any war, real war fought between Iran and Israel
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would be fought with proxies. Which brings us to number two reality.
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There's going to be a regional war. What is this? Escalation, de-escalation. Guys,
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we're already in the middle of a wider regional war. What are you afraid is going to happen?
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Are you afraid that Hezbollah is just going to start firing rockets at Israel? They did that on
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October 7th. You're afraid that the Houthis are going to start firing rockets at Israel and start
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terrorizing global shipping? Because, you know, there's a bunch of Filipino sailors
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on top of Italian ship owned by a Portuguese guy. This is how we're going to fight the Zionist entity.
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That's already happening. Are you afraid that a bunch of terrorist organizations linked to the
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IRGC are going to start firing weapons at Americans and killing them? That's already
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been happening. All of this has been happening since October 7th. So we're now just pretending
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this isn't happening because it's more fun and more sensational to analyze and get experts in
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because we like doing escalation, de-escalation, dick for tax, right? We get to bring up all the
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terms we learned in university. Yay. Oh, there's a reason you're wearing a pseudo TV right now. You feel
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special, right? So I'm going to go on the CBC or CBC as Mr. Expert McNoah et al. And I'm going to say,
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oh, there was an attack by the Israelis on the consulate. And this is a response. And we will
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see if there's a response and we'll see if there's an escalation or a de-escalation. Can the Biden
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administration mitigate this and this and this? And we're pretending it's like we're playing
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chess or something. And this is war. Okay. So the war is already going on, which means how do the
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Israelis deter this from happening again? The reason why the Islamic Republic has been getting
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more and more and more aggressive is because Biden's given the green light too. Okay. The U.S.
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has lost all deterrence. We could do the rant of why Trump is a better foreign policy decision maker
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than Biden. We've been there. We've done that. Moving on. Okay. The Biden administration has no
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interest in setting any legitimate deterrence. And they might have even tacitly endorsed this attack
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from Iran on Israel. Not good. So Israel needs to set deterrence because you can't just set the
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precedent that you're allowed to send missiles into Israel, even if it's a failure. Right?
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There's the obvious morality of like, oh, someone stabbed you in the alley, but you didn't die
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because you went to the hospital and managed to escape your attacker. So there's no crime that
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happened. No, someone who stabs people and tries to kill them is still, that's still a crime. It might
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not be murder, but it's still attempted murder. So you still have to push back at that. You can't
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just set the new precedent and let the regime just sit on this because they put significant resources
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into this. Estimates have this about five to 10% of the missile capabilities and they weren't able
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to do any real damage. They got one casualty and, and, and some missiles that got through the
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interceptors, but they showed that they're not really capable of defeating Israel legitimately,
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unless they go full all in, in a full out push. Like it's, it's pretty clear that they're not going to be
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able to win a prolonged war. Their only way to, to win is, is a full on push and they've already spent
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other capabilities. So the, the resource crunch that the regime is going under, you can't sort
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of just give them this win and then let them build up to full strength because then they'll do it
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again. Right. If there's a precedent that there's no retaliation for this, they'll just keep doing it.
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Right. There was a precedent that Biden didn't want to escalate war when, when IRGC proxy started
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firing missiles at Arrhenius, didn't want to escalate. So didn't shoot back and shoot back. And they kept
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firing missiles and more and more missiles. And then they fired back once and it stopped for a bit.
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And then they fired missiles again. And he's like, Biden didn't want to escalate.
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So then they killed an American. And so how can they get away with that? Yes, they can. So they
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just kept firing and firing and firing and go back in time. Oh, what can you get away with? Can we just
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get away with, you know, taking random cargo ships for Palestine? We can get away with that. Let's
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keep going, keep going. Where's the line? Where's the line? Where's the line? Can we fire hundreds of
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missiles into Israel? They need to find the line. They need to find the line. And the reason they had to
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fire back is because they were facing such internal strife again. The people inside Iran were mocking them
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because their great vaunted force of the IRGC looked like clowns and the Israelis are getting
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the better of them. This hurt their reputation. If you want to be a totalitarian regime and enforce
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your will on your people who don't like you, they need to be scared of you. For them to be scared of
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you, they need to think you're tough. So the regime has a big win right now where they can say,
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we attacked the Zionist entity and they didn't do anything about it. They lose that the second
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Israel does something about that and they lose face to the Iranian people. The difficulty the IDF
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faces going forward is sort of navigating this complex social structure where their number one asset
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is the Iranian people, right? Because the entire war calculus changes if the Iranian people say,
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you know what, we're going to start fighting for Iran no matter who's in charge, right? That's a very
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scary scenario. The best case scenario for the Israelis is current Iranian attitudes are even more of,
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we hate the regime, we want freedom, women, life, freedom, men, nation, prosperity. That's what's
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keeping, that's what's preventing a war. The attitudes of the Iranian people are the primary
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thing deterring a full-scale Middle Eastern war. So you have to cultivate that, right? So you can't
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just do what the regime did and just start fighting missiles willy-nilly at Tehran to kill as many
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people as possible. That's a bad idea. But the Israelis need to hit Iran in a clever way that
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really shows that they want to punch the regime and not the people. If they are able to sell that
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message, you will see a very, very consequential loss domestically for the regime, which will
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inhibit their ability, right? If they're more focused internally, they can't spend as much
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resources on their proxies and their proxies are the ones currently instigating and fighting and
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actively shooting missiles during this conflict. So we can pretend these people aren't lunatics
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shooting missiles right now that are funded by the IRGC and use Iranian taxpayer dollars who Iranians
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don't want to be going to this. We can pretend this is all not happening and it's all Israel's fault,
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or we can live in reality. And if you live in reality and you understand the motivations of
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everyone going on, and then there's just some lunatic jihadis, communists, and neo-Nazis running
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around our streets, you'll be less scared of the impending World War III every time CNN or the CBC gets