In this episode, I discuss the impact Jagmeet Singh has had on the rest of the New Democratic Party, and why he will likely lose in the upcoming by-election in Burnaby, B.C., where he is now running in a riding split into two ridings.
00:00:00.000Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here, and I am happy to announce to you all today that hard work and dedication still pays off here in Canada.
00:00:09.500A great example of this is federal NDP leader Jagmeet Singh, because that man has been dedicatedly working hard to make sure that every single Canadian thinks he's an insufferable idiot.
00:00:22.820That guy has been absolutely grinding it out, both in Parliament and social media, to make sure that not a single Canadian doesn't think that he has no spine, and that he will always capitulate to Justin Trudeau when the chips are down, even if he has all of the control.
00:00:41.220And now, his hard work has paid off, and he is slated to lose his re-election in whatever riding he chooses to run in in the Burnaby area, because his riding in redistribution has been split into two different ridings, and regardless of which one he chooses to run in, he has a not very good chance of being re-elected.
00:01:03.680But before we get into the current projections, I just want to go back and look at his past election results to show that he was never even in that good of a position to begin with.
00:01:14.420But before I do that, I just want to remind you guys, if you're not yet a subscriber of this channel, go and hit that subscribe button and like this video.
00:01:21.680Well, let's start back in 2019 in the by-election.
00:01:25.940This is why people are saying that after February, we might have a federal election, because that's when Jagmeet Singh will qualify for his pension.
00:01:35.420I don't think we're going to have a snap election after February, because Singh also has other NDP MPs breathing down his neck who don't get their pensions until October.
00:01:56.160That's a pretty good showing for Jagmeet Singh, considering that he's actually a Brampton politician, and he moved out to BC looking for a riding.
00:02:04.620Then in the 2019 general election, he got 37% of the vote, 37.6, and his conservative opponent got 30.92.
00:02:13.200Then in 2021, he actually improved quite a bit, got 40.3% of the vote, and his liberal opponent got 30.4.
00:02:23.740Now, not only is he losing heavily in one of these ridings, and the other one's more of a 50-50, but he's actually losing to a conservative, even though it showed that his main opponent was more likely to be a liberal in past elections.
00:02:40.900Only in one out of the three did a conservative come second place.
00:02:46.860So this is Vancouver, Fraser View, South Burnaby, and this actually makes up more of his original riding than the other one we're going to look at, which is Burnaby Center.
00:02:56.460So in this Vancouver, Fraser View, South Burnaby, we see that they're projecting if an election was held today, the conservative would get 36% of the vote, the liberal would get 32, which is surprising considering the liberals are heavily down in BC, but this is generally a not-so-bad area for them.
00:03:16.600And Jagmeet Singh would get 28% of the vote.
00:03:20.100And the percent chances they then give to each party to win the race, they give 74% to the conservative, 22% to the liberal, and Jagmeet Singh gets a substantial 4%.
00:03:32.520And let me preface all these results by saying that obviously a leader is going to dump a lot of resources into their own riding if they ever think they're in danger, so I don't think that Jagmeet Singh would truly be at just a 4% chance of winning.
00:03:46.940But the fact that if we just assume a generic NDP is running in this riding, that they would get wiped out, that the floor would get mopped with their limp body,
00:03:59.060demonstrates how bad of an effect Jagmeet Singh has had on the NDP.
00:04:02.960Like, obviously, Justin Trudeau has also been a terrible leader, but Jagmeet Singh somehow takes the cake.
00:04:08.620Because Justin Trudeau's in charge of the government.
00:04:11.360He's done a terrible job, obviously, but Jagmeet Singh's only job is to sit there and criticize Trudeau and hold his feet to the fire and try and extract benefits for his side.
00:04:22.520Even with no pressure, he cannot function with no pressure.
00:04:26.740Okay, but maybe he has a chance in another riding.
00:04:30.840So let's check out what's happening with Burnaby Central, which I believe is coming mostly from the riding of Burnaby North Seymour.
00:04:39.160So part of old Burnaby South is in this riding, and then some of Burnaby North Seymour.
00:04:44.420This one is more beneficial for Jagmeet Singh because it is a more left-wing riding historically.
00:04:50.140This is a riding where it's basically just the Liberals and the NDP fighting over it with only the Conservatives coming in at like 21%, 22%.
00:04:57.920But even this one is terrible for Jagmeet Singh, and the Conservatives are still on top, a riding that typically most of it would be leaning heavily Liberal.
00:05:09.620So the Liberals, I believe, yeah, Terry Beach won this riding with 39% of the vote back in 2021.
00:05:16.880A NDP candidate came in with 29%, and a Conservative was behind with 25%.
00:05:21.920And now, Jagmeet Singh, if he decided to run here, which again is not exactly a guarantee considering that then they would have to replace somebody for his, like, swap someone in for his old riding,
00:05:34.680and that this riding is a large portion of it is, like, mostly people who don't know who Jagmeet Singh is, so he'd be starting from scratch once again.
00:05:42.760This is horrible. He shouldn't be at 50-50. He should be at, if you're a leader, like 90-10. At worst, this is demonstrating that people think that Jagmeet Singh is just a terrible leader.
00:05:57.080It's not just that the Conservatives are surging. If the Conservatives were surging, yeah, Jagmeet Singh would be in some trouble.
00:06:02.980But it's that the Liberals are falling. So the Liberals are falling, and somehow Jagmeet Singh is not capturing any of that support.
00:06:11.580Jagmeet Singh is getting none of it, because nobody likes Jagmeet Singh.
00:06:15.600And it's his positioning on the issues. It's that he can't actually ever hold down an attack on Justin Trudeau for more than five seconds.
00:06:23.660Remember the GST holiday thing that just happened? Jagmeet Singh was supporting the Liberal legislation,
00:06:28.800and then suddenly, at the last moment, he says he doesn't support it, because it doesn't go far enough.
00:06:33.880And then the Liberals just say, eh, who cares? And then the Liberals and Conservatives defeat his motion to have,
00:06:40.580or his, like, change to the piece of legislation to make certain aspects of the GST holiday permanent.
00:06:46.840And then after that gets defeated, he sort of, you know, gets snippy with Trudeau and Polly for five seconds.
00:06:53.700And then he just votes for the Liberals' GST holiday anyways.
00:06:57.760And then he attacks the Conservatives for not voting for it. He cannot stick to a position.
00:07:02.640He is the politician for absolutely nobody, let alone a Conservative person.
00:07:07.160He has never attempted to get a moderate, centre-right voter.
00:07:10.500He only keeps pushing more and more left, and there's no more left to go.