The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - September 23, 2024


Jagmeet Singh likely to lose his riding to the Conservatives!


Episode Stats

Length

12 minutes

Words per Minute

169.10963

Word Count

2,069

Sentence Count

141

Misogynist Sentences

2


Summary

Jagmeet Singh is running for re-election in Burnaby Central, BC in the upcoming federal election. I break down why he's not going to win, and why it's not even close to a close race between him and his opponent.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 You guys have heard me say it before, but I think it bears repeating.
00:00:05.180 Federal NDP leader Jagmeet Singh is one of the most incompetent politicians in Canadian history.
00:00:13.580 Justin Trudeau and the federal liberals are absolutely collapsing right now.
00:00:19.220 There is no better way of saying it other than collapsing.
00:00:22.360 They used to be at 34% support.
00:00:24.280 Now they're hovering around 22, 23.
00:00:27.380 If they're lucky, they sometimes get a 25, and Jagmeet Singh has not capitalized on any of it.
00:00:34.460 Jagmeet Singh is in basically a shooting gallery full of opportunities to actually score points and gain popularity.
00:00:41.380 And recently he's taken a couple of those by breaking away from the liberals by shredding the Supply and Confidence Agreement
00:00:48.240 and saying that he's generally not in line with the consumer carbon tax.
00:00:51.680 But still, he just said that he's going to vote with the liberals to retain their government
00:00:56.880 and he's not joining with the conservatives to collapse the government,
00:01:00.160 which makes his whole display of ripping up the Supply and Confidence Agreement completely useless.
00:01:05.800 And now, I am happy to report that Jagmeet Singh is getting exactly what he deserves.
00:01:13.440 He is right now slated in his riding of Burnaby Central.
00:01:16.900 It used to be Burnaby South, but the boundaries have changed a little bit, so the name's changed.
00:01:21.140 In Burnaby Central, he is slated to lose to the conservatives.
00:01:24.660 He is right now running a projected race of 34% with the conservatives to 33% for him and the NDP.
00:01:33.160 That gives the conservatives a 59% chance of winning the riding, 39% to the NDP,
00:01:39.160 and a token 2% over to the federal liberals.
00:01:43.020 But, like, let's be fair, the federal liberals are not going to invest a cent in this riding.
00:01:48.280 They know they're not going to win, so they're not going to invest the resources.
00:01:51.480 And some may say, well, he's the leader of the party.
00:01:55.000 Obviously, he's going to still be able to pull out a win.
00:01:57.880 I wouldn't go that far.
00:01:59.720 Yes, usually leader seats are pretty safe.
00:02:02.740 You're the incumbent, and oftentimes, people like to vote for a leader.
00:02:06.800 Just simply, they like to vote for a leader.
00:02:08.800 There's this kind of idea that because you're voting for the leader of a party,
00:02:12.060 you're going to get super good representation.
00:02:14.260 Even though, in a certain sense, the leader doesn't have any time for you.
00:02:18.180 Yes, they usually will visit the riding, and they will try and give special attention to that area of Canada.
00:02:24.840 But overall, they're busy trying to, like, you know, lead an entire political apparatus.
00:02:30.180 They're not going to care about your public park being revitalized or anything.
00:02:35.200 And Jagmeet Singh also isn't even from there.
00:02:38.280 So while, yes, usually being a leader is an advantage, he does not live in Burnaby.
00:02:43.000 Yes, he technically lives in Burnaby for the appearance,
00:02:45.720 but he's a politician from Brampton.
00:02:48.220 He lost election back in 2011, and then he was an MPP a little bit after that for a short while.
00:02:54.700 And then when he saw the NDP's political chances in Ontario falling apart provincially,
00:03:00.140 he jumped federal, became the leader of the NDP,
00:03:03.020 and then scrounged around for a new riding and settled on Burnaby South,
00:03:06.940 which is now called Burnaby Central.
00:03:08.240 Do you think that many people in Burnaby Central think that he's, like, their savior?
00:03:14.800 He's their political savior who was here to deliver all of the needs,
00:03:19.020 or deliver for all of the needs that the people in his riding wanted?
00:03:22.700 Not a chance.
00:03:24.000 They don't care about him.
00:03:25.680 Honestly, he's almost in the exact same position as the NDP leader in BC, David Eby is.
00:03:32.200 David Eby is in a riding that's famous at this point for throwing out premiers.
00:03:38.220 They got rid of Christy Clark for David Eby.
00:03:41.200 What says they won't get rid of David Eby or Paul Ranchford,
00:03:44.760 who is the current conservative candidate for the BC Conservatives in that riding?
00:03:50.060 Right now, David Eby, or actually this isn't right now,
00:03:53.640 but a week ago, he was given a 66% chance of winning his race.
00:03:57.740 Now, he only has a 58% chance of winning his race.
00:04:02.880 It's not looking good for the NDP in British Columbia right now,
00:04:06.280 and frankly, just people don't see the NDP as that much different from the Liberals.
00:04:11.080 Jagmeet Singh can shred the supply and confidence agreement,
00:04:15.320 but that's not going to convince people that the NDP solutions are markedly different from the Liberals.
00:04:20.520 The Liberals' plan is usually to spend a billion dollars on nonsense.
00:04:24.500 An NDP plan is to spend 1.2 billion dollars on nonsense.
00:04:29.360 They don't actually have a difference in philosophy to the Liberals,
00:04:33.400 other than they are technically a little bit more radical.
00:04:36.880 But now, I just want to go over to some NDP propaganda that they've been posting recently.
00:04:42.480 I like doing this.
00:04:43.720 I find political advertising so funny,
00:04:46.560 because it's oftentimes,
00:04:48.820 it gives you great insight into the way that the party activists are thinking.
00:04:52.840 And the party activists inside the NDP are now trying to get into a climate war with Justin Trudeau,
00:05:00.780 who's also trying to get into a climate war with them.
00:05:03.840 I would suggest they look at the current federal conservative polling,
00:05:09.260 realizing that the conservatives are polling at 45% for a reason,
00:05:12.940 and it's not because they talk about climate change all day.
00:05:15.740 But this is an actual post from the federal NDP.
00:05:19.220 In the header, it says,
00:05:21.140 Justin Trudeau's climate plan.
00:05:23.020 In this graphic, it says,
00:05:24.180 Justin Trudeau's climate plan.
00:05:25.740 Buy a pipeline.
00:05:27.200 Hand out dollars to big oil and gas.
00:05:29.940 Protect big oil and gas companies from paying their fair share.
00:05:33.920 Delay $15 billion in climate funding while the planet burns.
00:05:39.060 Fail to meet every single climate target.
00:05:42.160 Jagmeet, you've been sitting in the jacuzzi
00:05:44.900 with Justin Trudeau this entire time since 2019.
00:05:49.040 Do you not think that you bear some responsibility for the things that you're hitting Justin Trudeau with?
00:05:54.100 In a certain sense, I don't really care what he says about Justin Trudeau,
00:05:57.700 because it's still wrong.
00:05:59.400 But it's just two basically far-left parties fighting.
00:06:03.300 I know the Liberal Party used to be considered a centrist party.
00:06:06.880 It's not the same thing anymore.
00:06:08.400 It's no longer Chrétien or Paul Martin's party.
00:06:10.620 It is a party full of left-wing progressive activists.
00:06:14.640 And now the NDP is trying to, like, out left-wing progressive activists to the Liberals,
00:06:19.780 and it's not going to connect with the voters.
00:06:22.660 I'm not sure why I have to say this.
00:06:24.840 Turns out voters actually care about not falling into poverty.
00:06:28.440 Turns out voters don't care about the climate when they can't even afford rent.
00:06:33.140 But the Liberals and the NDP both think their path to victory is attacking each other over not being the real climate activists.
00:06:42.160 I don't know who they think this is appealing to,
00:06:45.300 but it proves to me once again that party activists and consultants for parties are utterly incompetent.
00:06:53.040 They don't know what people want because they all live in tiny bubbles.
00:06:57.360 Every once in a while, you'll bump into it,
00:06:59.060 and you'll be amazed that these people actually think that this activist stuff is appealing to anybody.
00:07:06.560 Here's Justin Trudeau speaking in Parliament,
00:07:08.680 talking about the fact that pure polyev or whatever is going to cut spending.
00:07:12.860 All he's doing here is threatening Canadians with a good time.
00:07:16.560 Canadians want the budget cut because the budget is overblown.
00:07:21.100 It's not delivering any real services.
00:07:23.700 People are not getting the quality of service for what they're paying.
00:07:26.900 The opposition has spent any time listening to Canadians over the summer.
00:07:30.860 He would have heard that they need solutions.
00:07:33.280 They need answers to the challenges they're facing.
00:07:35.640 That's not what he's offering.
00:07:36.980 Indeed, he doesn't care about Canadians.
00:07:38.760 He just cares about himself and his own political interests.
00:07:42.200 We're going to keep focused on doing the things that he refuses to do,
00:07:45.740 whether it's him voting against dental care,
00:07:48.060 whether it's him voting against child care,
00:07:50.240 whether it's him voting against a national school food program.
00:07:53.940 We're going to still deliver the things that matter to Canadians,
00:07:57.500 like food in kids' bellies, child care spaces,
00:08:00.380 and support for seniors to go to the dentist,
00:08:02.460 many of them first time in years.
00:08:04.140 I've got to say, don't say food in kids' bellies.
00:08:10.620 That's just weird.
00:08:11.260 Never bring up anatomy when you're describing the services that you're providing people.
00:08:15.720 But he's only delivering for his own political interests.
00:08:21.320 As Trudeau looked at the polls recently,
00:08:24.300 apparently Pierre Paulio's selfish political interests are also in line with what 45% of Canadians want.
00:08:30.600 So, you know, his play.
00:08:33.360 He can literally double his polling in many of these polls,
00:08:35.840 and he wouldn't be at where the Conservatives are.
00:08:37.900 Maybe he should change tactics because he's currently losing the game.
00:08:42.300 And the thing is, I'd actually like for all Canadian parties,
00:08:45.440 including the Greens, no matter how irrelevant they are, to moderate.
00:08:49.860 When I say moderate, oftentimes when you hear moderation in Conservative circles,
00:08:53.860 you're like, oh goodness, somebody's going to try and convince me that we should all become progressive activists
00:08:58.560 who are going to, like, attack the oil and gas industry
00:09:01.040 because that's what we heard a red Tory think tank say is going to win us the election or whatever.
00:09:05.740 Erin O'Toole proved that Canadians don't want light, you know, liberal light-type politicians.
00:09:11.740 When I say that Canadian politics needs to moderate,
00:09:14.500 I mean it needs to moderate back to the right,
00:09:17.680 because we are so far left right now in Canada.
00:09:20.140 The Conservative Party is genuinely to the centre-right.
00:09:24.080 Pollyon is giving a centre-right vision of the country.
00:09:27.460 But the other two parties, it would be hard to describe any of them.
00:09:31.640 I guess there's the Greens too, as I just mentioned.
00:09:34.360 The Liberals, NDP, and Greens, every single plan they have is not centre-right.
00:09:38.720 It's just on, sorry, it's not centre-left.
00:09:41.060 It's just on the left.
00:09:42.920 They are simply either left or far left.
00:09:46.260 The Liberals and NDP just both represent a further monopolisation of the economy by the government.
00:09:53.040 There's a reason why over 44% of the GDP in Canada is government spending.
00:09:59.740 Yes, some of that's provincial spending.
00:10:01.700 Obviously, I know that provinces technically spend more combined than the federal government.
00:10:06.880 But still, it's just proving the point that there is way too much government spending in this country.
00:10:12.460 And it's not appealing to Canadians anymore.
00:10:14.440 So trying to attack the Conservatives for cutting spending is just saying that I can't believe the Conservatives would even do the things that Canadians are asking them to do.
00:10:23.460 Because parties, in a large sense, don't come up with their own policy.
00:10:27.420 They respond to incentives of the public.
00:10:30.340 O'Toole was basically denying the incentives that the public was laying down.
00:10:34.420 That's why he fell on his face.
00:10:36.120 And Pollyon is succeeding because he's actually following the things that people are saying that they want from him.
00:10:41.820 Anyways, that should be it for me today.
00:10:43.960 I'm not going to drag this out too long.
00:10:45.760 I am currently filming this at 1 a.m. and need to go to sleep.
00:10:49.860 Thank you guys for watching the show.
00:10:51.900 Donate to the Give, Send, Go if you want.
00:10:54.440 I have a Chinese billionaire suing me for basically no reason.
00:10:58.040 Defamation.
00:10:58.640 He's suing the National Telegraph for defamation.
00:11:01.000 And still, in two and a half years, or almost on three years,
00:11:04.720 has not been able to actually provide any evidence that we defamed him.
00:11:07.880 But he still sued us for $900,000.
00:11:10.560 And we've had to pay more than $32,000 defending ourselves.
00:11:14.320 So anything you guys can contribute there really helps us out.
00:11:17.760 Thank you for everybody who's reached out to me while I've been in BC helping the BC Conservatives campaign.
00:11:24.100 Eva and Dimitrios, thank you for letting me drop off a sign at your house.
00:11:28.160 And anyone else who lives in Abbotsford South, make sure to apply for a lawn sign.
00:11:32.020 They'll swing by your house and say hi while I'm doing my grunt labor for the party trying to get rid of the BC NDP.
00:11:38.760 I enjoy it, but obviously it's always, you know, still work to do out here.
00:11:43.260 Have a good one, everyone.
00:11:44.100 Have a good one.