The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - September 23, 2024


Jagmeet Singh likely to lose his riding to the Conservatives!


Episode Stats


Length

12 minutes

Words per minute

169.10963

Word count

2,069

Sentence count

141

Harmful content

Misogyny

2

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Jagmeet Singh is running for re-election in Burnaby Central, BC in the upcoming federal election. I break down why he's not going to win, and why it's not even close to a close race between him and his opponent.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
00:00:00.000 You guys have heard me say it before, but I think it bears repeating.
00:00:05.180 Federal NDP leader Jagmeet Singh is one of the most incompetent politicians in Canadian history.
00:00:13.580 Justin Trudeau and the federal liberals are absolutely collapsing right now.
00:00:19.220 There is no better way of saying it other than collapsing.
00:00:22.360 They used to be at 34% support.
00:00:24.280 Now they're hovering around 22, 23.
00:00:27.380 If they're lucky, they sometimes get a 25, and Jagmeet Singh has not capitalized on any of it.
00:00:34.460 Jagmeet Singh is in basically a shooting gallery full of opportunities to actually score points and gain popularity.
00:00:41.380 And recently he's taken a couple of those by breaking away from the liberals by shredding the Supply and Confidence Agreement
00:00:48.240 and saying that he's generally not in line with the consumer carbon tax.
00:00:51.680 But still, he just said that he's going to vote with the liberals to retain their government
00:00:56.880 and he's not joining with the conservatives to collapse the government,
00:01:00.160 which makes his whole display of ripping up the Supply and Confidence Agreement completely useless.
00:01:05.800 And now, I am happy to report that Jagmeet Singh is getting exactly what he deserves.
00:01:13.440 He is right now slated in his riding of Burnaby Central.
00:01:16.900 It used to be Burnaby South, but the boundaries have changed a little bit, so the name's changed.
00:01:21.140 In Burnaby Central, he is slated to lose to the conservatives.
00:01:24.660 He is right now running a projected race of 34% with the conservatives to 33% for him and the NDP.
00:01:33.160 That gives the conservatives a 59% chance of winning the riding, 39% to the NDP,
00:01:39.160 and a token 2% over to the federal liberals.
00:01:43.020 But, like, let's be fair, the federal liberals are not going to invest a cent in this riding.
00:01:48.280 They know they're not going to win, so they're not going to invest the resources.
00:01:51.480 And some may say, well, he's the leader of the party.
00:01:55.000 Obviously, he's going to still be able to pull out a win.
00:01:57.880 I wouldn't go that far.
00:01:59.720 Yes, usually leader seats are pretty safe.
00:02:02.740 You're the incumbent, and oftentimes, people like to vote for a leader.
00:02:06.800 Just simply, they like to vote for a leader.
00:02:08.800 There's this kind of idea that because you're voting for the leader of a party,
00:02:12.060 you're going to get super good representation.
00:02:14.260 Even though, in a certain sense, the leader doesn't have any time for you.
00:02:18.180 Yes, they usually will visit the riding, and they will try and give special attention to that area of Canada.
00:02:24.840 But overall, they're busy trying to, like, you know, lead an entire political apparatus.
00:02:30.180 They're not going to care about your public park being revitalized or anything.
00:02:35.200 And Jagmeet Singh also isn't even from there.
00:02:38.280 So while, yes, usually being a leader is an advantage, he does not live in Burnaby.
00:02:43.000 Yes, he technically lives in Burnaby for the appearance,
00:02:45.720 but he's a politician from Brampton.
00:02:48.220 He lost election back in 2011, and then he was an MPP a little bit after that for a short while.
00:02:54.700 And then when he saw the NDP's political chances in Ontario falling apart provincially,
00:03:00.140 he jumped federal, became the leader of the NDP,
00:03:03.020 and then scrounged around for a new riding and settled on Burnaby South,
00:03:06.940 which is now called Burnaby Central.
00:03:08.240 Do you think that many people in Burnaby Central think that he's, like, their savior?
00:03:14.800 He's their political savior who was here to deliver all of the needs,
00:03:19.020 or deliver for all of the needs that the people in his riding wanted?
00:03:22.700 Not a chance.
00:03:24.000 They don't care about him.
00:03:25.680 Honestly, he's almost in the exact same position as the NDP leader in BC, David Eby is.
00:03:32.200 David Eby is in a riding that's famous at this point for throwing out premiers.
00:03:38.220 They got rid of Christy Clark for David Eby.
00:03:41.200 What says they won't get rid of David Eby or Paul Ranchford,
00:03:44.760 who is the current conservative candidate for the BC Conservatives in that riding?
00:03:50.060 Right now, David Eby, or actually this isn't right now,
00:03:53.640 but a week ago, he was given a 66% chance of winning his race.
00:03:57.740 Now, he only has a 58% chance of winning his race.
00:04:02.880 It's not looking good for the NDP in British Columbia right now,
00:04:06.280 and frankly, just people don't see the NDP as that much different from the Liberals.
00:04:11.080 Jagmeet Singh can shred the supply and confidence agreement,
00:04:15.320 but that's not going to convince people that the NDP solutions are markedly different from the Liberals.
00:04:20.520 The Liberals' plan is usually to spend a billion dollars on nonsense.
00:04:24.500 An NDP plan is to spend 1.2 billion dollars on nonsense.
00:04:29.360 They don't actually have a difference in philosophy to the Liberals,
00:04:33.400 other than they are technically a little bit more radical.
00:04:36.880 But now, I just want to go over to some NDP propaganda that they've been posting recently.
00:04:42.480 I like doing this.
00:04:43.720 I find political advertising so funny,
00:04:46.560 because it's oftentimes,
00:04:48.820 it gives you great insight into the way that the party activists are thinking.
00:04:52.840 And the party activists inside the NDP are now trying to get into a climate war with Justin Trudeau,
00:05:00.780 who's also trying to get into a climate war with them. 0.96
00:05:03.840 I would suggest they look at the current federal conservative polling,
00:05:09.260 realizing that the conservatives are polling at 45% for a reason,
00:05:12.940 and it's not because they talk about climate change all day.
00:05:15.740 But this is an actual post from the federal NDP.
00:05:19.220 In the header, it says,
00:05:21.140 Justin Trudeau's climate plan.
00:05:23.020 In this graphic, it says,
00:05:24.180 Justin Trudeau's climate plan.
00:05:25.740 Buy a pipeline.
00:05:27.200 Hand out dollars to big oil and gas.
00:05:29.940 Protect big oil and gas companies from paying their fair share.
00:05:33.920 Delay $15 billion in climate funding while the planet burns.
00:05:39.060 Fail to meet every single climate target.
00:05:42.160 Jagmeet, you've been sitting in the jacuzzi
00:05:44.900 with Justin Trudeau this entire time since 2019.
00:05:49.040 Do you not think that you bear some responsibility for the things that you're hitting Justin Trudeau with?
00:05:54.100 In a certain sense, I don't really care what he says about Justin Trudeau,
00:05:57.700 because it's still wrong.
00:05:59.400 But it's just two basically far-left parties fighting.
00:06:03.300 I know the Liberal Party used to be considered a centrist party.
00:06:06.880 It's not the same thing anymore.
00:06:08.400 It's no longer Chrétien or Paul Martin's party.
00:06:10.620 It is a party full of left-wing progressive activists.
00:06:14.640 And now the NDP is trying to, like, out left-wing progressive activists to the Liberals,
00:06:19.780 and it's not going to connect with the voters.
00:06:22.660 I'm not sure why I have to say this.
00:06:24.840 Turns out voters actually care about not falling into poverty.
00:06:28.440 Turns out voters don't care about the climate when they can't even afford rent.
00:06:33.140 But the Liberals and the NDP both think their path to victory is attacking each other over not being the real climate activists.
00:06:42.160 I don't know who they think this is appealing to,
00:06:45.300 but it proves to me once again that party activists and consultants for parties are utterly incompetent.
00:06:53.040 They don't know what people want because they all live in tiny bubbles.
00:06:57.360 Every once in a while, you'll bump into it,
00:06:59.060 and you'll be amazed that these people actually think that this activist stuff is appealing to anybody.
00:07:06.560 Here's Justin Trudeau speaking in Parliament,
00:07:08.680 talking about the fact that pure polyev or whatever is going to cut spending.
00:07:12.860 All he's doing here is threatening Canadians with a good time.
00:07:16.560 Canadians want the budget cut because the budget is overblown.
00:07:21.100 It's not delivering any real services.
00:07:23.700 People are not getting the quality of service for what they're paying.
00:07:26.900 The opposition has spent any time listening to Canadians over the summer.
00:07:30.860 He would have heard that they need solutions.
00:07:33.280 They need answers to the challenges they're facing.
00:07:35.640 That's not what he's offering.
00:07:36.980 Indeed, he doesn't care about Canadians.
00:07:38.760 He just cares about himself and his own political interests.
00:07:42.200 We're going to keep focused on doing the things that he refuses to do,
00:07:45.740 whether it's him voting against dental care,
00:07:48.060 whether it's him voting against child care,
00:07:50.240 whether it's him voting against a national school food program.
00:07:53.940 We're going to still deliver the things that matter to Canadians,
00:07:57.500 like food in kids' bellies, child care spaces,
00:08:00.380 and support for seniors to go to the dentist,
00:08:02.460 many of them first time in years.
00:08:04.140 I've got to say, don't say food in kids' bellies.
00:08:10.620 That's just weird.
00:08:11.260 Never bring up anatomy when you're describing the services that you're providing people.
00:08:15.720 But he's only delivering for his own political interests.
00:08:21.320 As Trudeau looked at the polls recently,
00:08:24.300 apparently Pierre Paulio's selfish political interests are also in line with what 45% of Canadians want.
00:08:30.600 So, you know, his play.
00:08:33.360 He can literally double his polling in many of these polls,
00:08:35.840 and he wouldn't be at where the Conservatives are.
00:08:37.900 Maybe he should change tactics because he's currently losing the game.
00:08:42.300 And the thing is, I'd actually like for all Canadian parties,
00:08:45.440 including the Greens, no matter how irrelevant they are, to moderate.
00:08:49.860 When I say moderate, oftentimes when you hear moderation in Conservative circles,
00:08:53.860 you're like, oh goodness, somebody's going to try and convince me that we should all become progressive activists
00:08:58.560 who are going to, like, attack the oil and gas industry
00:09:01.040 because that's what we heard a red Tory think tank say is going to win us the election or whatever.
00:09:05.740 Erin O'Toole proved that Canadians don't want light, you know, liberal light-type politicians. 0.92
00:09:11.740 When I say that Canadian politics needs to moderate,
00:09:14.500 I mean it needs to moderate back to the right,
00:09:17.680 because we are so far left right now in Canada.
00:09:20.140 The Conservative Party is genuinely to the centre-right.
00:09:24.080 Pollyon is giving a centre-right vision of the country.
00:09:27.460 But the other two parties, it would be hard to describe any of them.
00:09:31.640 I guess there's the Greens too, as I just mentioned.
00:09:34.360 The Liberals, NDP, and Greens, every single plan they have is not centre-right.
00:09:38.720 It's just on, sorry, it's not centre-left.
00:09:41.060 It's just on the left.
00:09:42.920 They are simply either left or far left.
00:09:46.260 The Liberals and NDP just both represent a further monopolisation of the economy by the government.
00:09:53.040 There's a reason why over 44% of the GDP in Canada is government spending.
00:09:59.740 Yes, some of that's provincial spending.
00:10:01.700 Obviously, I know that provinces technically spend more combined than the federal government.
00:10:06.880 But still, it's just proving the point that there is way too much government spending in this country.
00:10:12.460 And it's not appealing to Canadians anymore.
00:10:14.440 So trying to attack the Conservatives for cutting spending is just saying that I can't believe the Conservatives would even do the things that Canadians are asking them to do.
00:10:23.460 Because parties, in a large sense, don't come up with their own policy.
00:10:27.420 They respond to incentives of the public.
00:10:30.340 O'Toole was basically denying the incentives that the public was laying down.
00:10:34.420 That's why he fell on his face.
00:10:36.120 And Pollyon is succeeding because he's actually following the things that people are saying that they want from him.
00:10:41.820 Anyways, that should be it for me today.
00:10:43.960 I'm not going to drag this out too long.
00:10:45.760 I am currently filming this at 1 a.m. and need to go to sleep.
00:10:49.860 Thank you guys for watching the show.
00:10:51.900 Donate to the Give, Send, Go if you want.
00:10:54.440 I have a Chinese billionaire suing me for basically no reason.
00:10:58.040 Defamation.
00:10:58.640 He's suing the National Telegraph for defamation.
00:11:01.000 And still, in two and a half years, or almost on three years,
00:11:04.720 has not been able to actually provide any evidence that we defamed him.
00:11:07.880 But he still sued us for $900,000.
00:11:10.560 And we've had to pay more than $32,000 defending ourselves.
00:11:14.320 So anything you guys can contribute there really helps us out.
00:11:17.760 Thank you for everybody who's reached out to me while I've been in BC helping the BC Conservatives campaign.
00:11:24.100 Eva and Dimitrios, thank you for letting me drop off a sign at your house.
00:11:28.160 And anyone else who lives in Abbotsford South, make sure to apply for a lawn sign.
00:11:32.020 They'll swing by your house and say hi while I'm doing my grunt labor for the party trying to get rid of the BC NDP.
00:11:38.760 I enjoy it, but obviously it's always, you know, still work to do out here.
00:11:43.260 Have a good one, everyone.
00:11:44.100 Have a good one.