The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - June 30, 2024


Justin Trudeau dances while his party collapses!


Episode Stats

Length

8 minutes

Words per Minute

181.836

Word Count

1,547

Sentence Count

94


Summary

Justin Trudeau seems to have no idea what he's in a position of power, and it's making him even less likely to win re-election. I talk about why this is a problem, and why he needs to do something about it.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 So, as many of you might already know, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party are not in a very good place right now.
00:00:08.880 Not only did they lose that by-election on Monday, but the whole party seems like it's going after Justin Trudeau now.
00:00:15.460 Although not many Liberal MPs have put their names to calls for Justin Trudeau to either have a leadership review or just outright step down as leader,
00:00:23.700 there are a lot of rumblings that a large portion of the party wants Justin Trudeau gone.
00:00:29.860 And let's be fair, a lot of the people who are not calling for Justin Trudeau to go are begging him for cabinet seats like Mark Gerritsen
00:00:36.780 or other people who are trying to hold on to their cabinet positions.
00:00:40.760 Right now, though, it seems like Justin Trudeau might be the only man in Canada who's unaware of his vulnerable position.
00:00:47.720 Like, I usually consider him to be not such a smart man, but at least half decent at politics.
00:00:55.260 Not good enough to actually be at the head in the polls right now.
00:00:58.640 He is way, way, way down the polls.
00:01:00.980 But, like, enough to have some self-awareness that maybe right now he should be, you know, making sure he looks as professional as possible
00:01:07.700 and he looks, you know, ready to govern.
00:01:09.840 He should have been looking ready to govern for the last eight years,
00:01:12.320 but now would be a good time to figure out that maybe putting on a bit more of a serious face was a good idea.
00:01:18.340 But no, he's, like, dancing while his entire party is collapsing around him, or at least they're trying to knife him.
00:01:24.240 This happened at an Asian festival in Markham where Justin Trudeau was dancing around like a moron.
00:01:30.180 But, you know, what's changed?
00:01:31.960 Instead of dancing, what about health care?
00:01:44.760 Okay, I like that then.
00:01:46.440 Oh, instead of dancing, what about health care?
00:01:49.320 He's, legitimately, I just don't think he understands the position he's at.
00:01:54.360 That he survived so many scandals, so how could he possibly lose now?
00:01:58.700 I'll just play this clip right here while I talk because it gets another angle on him doing, like, this weird, broken-back, funky chicken.
00:02:08.220 But, goodness, I don't know how he thinks he's going to recover from any of this.
00:02:13.860 Like, it legitimately just seems like he's just unaware of the position he's in.
00:02:18.680 And I'm going to get to the polling in a second.
00:02:20.140 The polling is absolutely abysmal.
00:02:22.920 He's, like, not just, like, 15 points down the polls.
00:02:26.260 I have a poll here that puts him, like, 24 points down, and he doesn't get it.
00:02:31.600 The man thinks that he's still on top of the world, or at least he's just ignoring all the problems, hoping they'll go away,
00:02:37.220 which really is, you know, in line with the way that he deals with the debt and balancing budgets.
00:02:42.300 We'll just simply wait until things get better.
00:02:45.780 But this is what the current polling landscape looks like right now.
00:02:49.400 And I have a half bad one, and I have a super bad one.
00:02:53.120 So here's the one from ECOS Polling that shows the Liberals are down 16 points on the Conservatives, 41 to 25, with the NDP having 17 points.
00:03:03.840 That would be an obvious Conservative majority government.
00:03:07.780 Like, I would say if the Liberals can tighten it up to about 7 points or 8 points,
00:03:12.360 they might be able to keep the Conservatives to a minority government.
00:03:15.440 I'd like the Conservatives to have a majority government.
00:03:17.500 I'm obviously a Conservative myself, but from the perspective of what the Conservatives, you know,
00:03:23.040 how close it would need to be for the Liberals to at least pull off an upset, then they're just nowhere close.
00:03:30.120 They're literally 10 points away from even making this look like a half-close election.
00:03:35.300 But now I want to jump to another poll right here.
00:03:38.480 This is also done by ECOS, but this was done over a slightly longer period of time,
00:03:42.760 from May 22nd to June 11th, and this had the sample size of 3,000 people over this period of time.
00:03:50.520 This poll shows 45% Conservative to 21 points for the Liberals.
00:03:56.980 That's insane.
00:03:58.060 Even if you doubled the Liberals' polling, they would still be behind by a few points.
00:04:03.300 That's insane.
00:04:03.880 And the NDP's also down.
00:04:05.480 And the Block's also down.
00:04:06.920 The only people that are up are the Conservatives and the Greens.
00:04:10.880 The PPC's down.
00:04:11.940 This is absolutely insane that you can be this bad at Canadian politics as the Liberals.
00:04:18.400 The Liberals just need to hand out a few subsidies around Ontario, around Quebec,
00:04:22.880 and then just call it a day and they're fine.
00:04:24.840 But they've done so many stupid and unnecessary things that the country's finances have plummeted into the floor
00:04:31.620 that his usual safe bases of people are not showing up for them anymore.
00:04:36.040 Also, it doesn't help that in places like Toronto and Montreal,
00:04:38.880 they've openly antagonized the Jewish community by just basically caving to pro-Hamas protesters.
00:04:45.120 It's wacky what's going on.
00:04:47.340 And we have Abacus right here showing 42 to 23, a 19-point lead for the Conservatives.
00:04:52.520 And this is across the board.
00:04:53.760 Like, let me even point out, ECOS, which I can give Frank Graves some credit,
00:04:58.220 when he put out these polls, the 45 to 21 and the 41 to 25, Frank Graves is a massive Liberal.
00:05:07.100 And so if there's anyone who is going to skew a poll towards the Liberals, it was him.
00:05:11.420 And he can't escape the numbers.
00:05:12.960 And so this is probably a very realistic snapshot of what things look like.
00:05:17.700 It's between the 41 to 25 or it's the 45 to 21.
00:05:22.540 It's either one of those.
00:05:24.300 Like, again, I think the polls are actually very accurate that the different polling firms put out.
00:05:29.180 Again, they do free polling in order to basically show that they're good at market research
00:05:34.140 so that companies will hire them to find out what people's opinion is on, like, cereal.
00:05:38.540 But public polling for politics is a great thing to track and that you can check how accurate you are
00:05:44.760 when elections come by, that you can show that you're polling towards the end of the election
00:05:49.080 basically matched up with the election results.
00:05:52.120 So this is, like, what I would consider pretty unbiased.
00:05:56.600 All of this is completely unbiased and all of this is showing that the Liberals don't have any support.
00:06:01.060 And you might be thinking to yourself, because there's always someone who leaves a comment,
00:06:04.560 well, the Liberals, it's still too high for them to be at 21%.
00:06:08.120 Not necessarily, although the Liberals are a dumpster fire.
00:06:12.840 You have to remember how many people the Liberal Party currently employs in government.
00:06:18.160 The amount of people who work in government has expanded, like, 40 to 50%.
00:06:23.140 There are 50% more public employees in the federal government since the Liberals took over in 2015 till now.
00:06:32.380 And I believe that's not even counting crown corporations.
00:06:34.700 That's just people directly working for the federal government in some capacity.
00:06:39.920 Usually a bunch of fake jobs that nobody actually needed anyone to do, but they're employed.
00:06:44.840 And because they have a cushy position, they're willing to vote Liberal.
00:06:48.300 So think about it that way.
00:06:49.880 Think about the fact that they can only pull off 23%, 21%, 25%.
00:06:55.140 And they are employing a large portion of the country at this point.
00:06:59.060 And even some of those people are probably not even voting for them.
00:07:02.460 They will vote technically against their best interests because Justin Trudeau is such an idiot.
00:07:08.100 But I guess that's a good place to end this off.
00:07:10.900 Justin Trudeau is dancing while his entire party collapses around him,
00:07:15.000 or they are planning a palace coup.
00:07:17.100 One or the other.
00:07:17.940 I think I would argue that both are basically happening at the same time now.
00:07:22.800 But anyways, so that's it for me today, guys.
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