The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - June 30, 2024


Justin Trudeau dances while his party collapses!

Topics
Justin Trudeau dancing while party collapses legal costs
Hosted by
Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
Justin Trudeau Frank Graves Mark Gerritsen
Justin Trudeau and the Liberals are in Chaos! Justin Trudeau is running away from his own Liberal MPs

Episode Stats


Length

8 minutes

Words per minute

181.84

Word count

1,547

Sentence count

96

Harmful content

Toxicity

10

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Justin Trudeau seems to have no idea what he's in a position of power, and it's making him even less likely to win re-election. I talk about why this is a problem, and why he needs to do something about it.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 So, as many of you might already know, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party are not in a very good place right now.
00:00:08.880 Not only did they lose that by-election on Monday, but the whole party seems like it's going after Justin Trudeau now.
00:00:15.460 Although not many Liberal MPs have put their names to calls for Justin Trudeau to either have a leadership review or just outright step down as leader,
00:00:23.700 there are a lot of rumblings that a large portion of the party wants Justin Trudeau gone.
00:00:29.860 And let's be fair, a lot of the people who are not calling for Justin Trudeau to go are begging him for cabinet seats like Mark Gerritsen
00:00:36.780 or other people who are trying to hold on to their cabinet positions.
00:00:40.760 Right now, though, it seems like Justin Trudeau might be the only man in Canada who's unaware of his vulnerable position.
00:00:47.720 Like, I usually consider him to be not such a smart man, but at least half decent at politics.
00:00:55.260 Not good enough to actually be at the head in the polls right now.
00:00:58.640 He is way, way, way down the polls.
00:01:00.980 But, like, enough to have some self-awareness that maybe right now he should be, you know, making sure he looks as professional as possible
00:01:07.700 and he looks, you know, ready to govern.
00:01:09.840 He should have been looking ready to govern for the last eight years,
00:01:12.320 but now would be a good time to figure out that maybe putting on a bit more of a serious face was a good idea.
00:01:18.340 But no, he's, like, dancing while his entire party is collapsing around him, or at least they're trying to knife him. 0.99
00:01:24.240 This happened at an Asian festival in Markham where Justin Trudeau was dancing around like a moron. 0.99
00:01:30.180 But, you know, what's changed? 1.00
00:01:31.960 Instead of dancing, what about health care?
00:01:44.760 Okay, I like that then.
00:01:46.440 Oh, instead of dancing, what about health care?
00:01:49.320 He's, legitimately, I just don't think he understands the position he's at.
00:01:54.360 That he survived so many scandals, so how could he possibly lose now?
00:01:58.700 I'll just play this clip right here while I talk because it gets another angle on him doing, like, this weird, broken-back, funky chicken.
00:02:08.220 But, goodness, I don't know how he thinks he's going to recover from any of this.
00:02:13.860 Like, it legitimately just seems like he's just unaware of the position he's in.
00:02:18.680 And I'm going to get to the polling in a second.
00:02:20.140 The polling is absolutely abysmal.
00:02:22.920 He's, like, not just, like, 15 points down the polls.
00:02:26.260 I have a poll here that puts him, like, 24 points down, and he doesn't get it.
00:02:31.600 The man thinks that he's still on top of the world, or at least he's just ignoring all the problems, hoping they'll go away,
00:02:37.220 which really is, you know, in line with the way that he deals with the debt and balancing budgets.
00:02:42.300 We'll just simply wait until things get better.
00:02:45.780 But this is what the current polling landscape looks like right now.
00:02:49.400 And I have a half bad one, and I have a super bad one.
00:02:53.120 So here's the one from ECOS Polling that shows the Liberals are down 16 points on the Conservatives, 41 to 25, with the NDP having 17 points.
00:03:03.840 That would be an obvious Conservative majority government.
00:03:07.780 Like, I would say if the Liberals can tighten it up to about 7 points or 8 points,
00:03:12.360 they might be able to keep the Conservatives to a minority government.
00:03:15.440 I'd like the Conservatives to have a majority government.
00:03:17.500 I'm obviously a Conservative myself, but from the perspective of what the Conservatives, you know,
00:03:23.040 how close it would need to be for the Liberals to at least pull off an upset, then they're just nowhere close.
00:03:30.120 They're literally 10 points away from even making this look like a half-close election.
00:03:35.300 But now I want to jump to another poll right here.
00:03:38.480 This is also done by ECOS, but this was done over a slightly longer period of time,
00:03:42.760 from May 22nd to June 11th, and this had the sample size of 3,000 people over this period of time.
00:03:50.520 This poll shows 45% Conservative to 21 points for the Liberals.
00:03:56.980 That's insane.
00:03:58.060 Even if you doubled the Liberals' polling, they would still be behind by a few points.
00:04:03.300 That's insane.
00:04:03.880 And the NDP's also down.
00:04:05.480 And the Block's also down.
00:04:06.920 The only people that are up are the Conservatives and the Greens.
00:04:10.880 The PPC's down.
00:04:11.940 This is absolutely insane that you can be this bad at Canadian politics as the Liberals.
00:04:18.400 The Liberals just need to hand out a few subsidies around Ontario, around Quebec,
00:04:22.880 and then just call it a day and they're fine. 0.99
00:04:24.840 But they've done so many stupid and unnecessary things that the country's finances have plummeted into the floor 0.98
00:04:31.620 that his usual safe bases of people are not showing up for them anymore. 0.98
00:04:36.040 Also, it doesn't help that in places like Toronto and Montreal,
00:04:38.880 they've openly antagonized the Jewish community by just basically caving to pro-Hamas protesters.
00:04:45.120 It's wacky what's going on.
00:04:47.340 And we have Abacus right here showing 42 to 23, a 19-point lead for the Conservatives.
00:04:52.520 And this is across the board.
00:04:53.760 Like, let me even point out, ECOS, which I can give Frank Graves some credit,
00:04:58.220 when he put out these polls, the 45 to 21 and the 41 to 25, Frank Graves is a massive Liberal.
00:05:07.100 And so if there's anyone who is going to skew a poll towards the Liberals, it was him.
00:05:11.420 And he can't escape the numbers.
00:05:12.960 And so this is probably a very realistic snapshot of what things look like.
00:05:17.700 It's between the 41 to 25 or it's the 45 to 21.
00:05:22.540 It's either one of those.
00:05:24.300 Like, again, I think the polls are actually very accurate that the different polling firms put out.
00:05:29.180 Again, they do free polling in order to basically show that they're good at market research
00:05:34.140 so that companies will hire them to find out what people's opinion is on, like, cereal.
00:05:38.540 But public polling for politics is a great thing to track and that you can check how accurate you are
00:05:44.760 when elections come by, that you can show that you're polling towards the end of the election
00:05:49.080 basically matched up with the election results.
00:05:52.120 So this is, like, what I would consider pretty unbiased.
00:05:56.600 All of this is completely unbiased and all of this is showing that the Liberals don't have any support.
00:06:01.060 And you might be thinking to yourself, because there's always someone who leaves a comment,
00:06:04.560 well, the Liberals, it's still too high for them to be at 21%. 0.99
00:06:08.120 Not necessarily, although the Liberals are a dumpster fire.
00:06:12.840 You have to remember how many people the Liberal Party currently employs in government.
00:06:18.160 The amount of people who work in government has expanded, like, 40 to 50%.
00:06:23.140 There are 50% more public employees in the federal government since the Liberals took over in 2015 till now.
00:06:32.380 And I believe that's not even counting crown corporations.
00:06:34.700 That's just people directly working for the federal government in some capacity.
00:06:39.920 Usually a bunch of fake jobs that nobody actually needed anyone to do, but they're employed.
00:06:44.840 And because they have a cushy position, they're willing to vote Liberal.
00:06:48.300 So think about it that way.
00:06:49.880 Think about the fact that they can only pull off 23%, 21%, 25%.
00:06:55.140 And they are employing a large portion of the country at this point.
00:06:59.060 And even some of those people are probably not even voting for them. 1.00
00:07:02.460 They will vote technically against their best interests because Justin Trudeau is such an idiot. 1.00
00:07:08.100 But I guess that's a good place to end this off. 1.00
00:07:10.900 Justin Trudeau is dancing while his entire party collapses around him,
00:07:15.000 or they are planning a palace coup.
00:07:17.100 One or the other.
00:07:17.940 I think I would argue that both are basically happening at the same time now.
00:07:22.800 But anyways, so that's it for me today, guys.
00:07:25.280 I'll quickly plug the Give, Send, Go link I have in the description below.
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00:07:52.340 Like, this is costing, the legal costs are cost more than equipment.
00:07:56.860 It costs more than website fees.
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00:08:02.140 It's nuts.
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00:08:04.840 And then if you want, if you want any of my recommendations for different races, different nomination contests,
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00:08:28.340 But other than that, I'll see you guys next time.