Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party have been doing everything they can to suppress the Conservative vote. They know the Conservatives are winning, and that s why everything they do is undergirded with an attempt to hurt the Conservatives. That s why they keep passing policies like Pharmacare, universal dental care, and $10 a day childcare.
00:00:00.000Welcome back to the Wyatt Claypool Show. Like I've said many times in the past, and it's not really something I've even said, it's something a lot of people have said, when you're talking about your opponent constantly in politics, it's probably because you're not winning.
00:00:13.420And that's what Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party have been doing constantly over the past year. It's not a recent phenomenon over the past month or two. It is what they've been doing over the entire past year.
00:00:25.540They know the Conservatives are winning, and that's why everything that they do is undergirded with an attempt to try and hurt the Conservatives, whether it's passing policies, whether it's direct attacks on the Conservatives, all it's trying to do is suppress the Conservative vote and bring up their vote.
00:00:40.980And you could say, well, that's how politics works. Well, yes, that's generally the goal in politics, all the time to sort of boost your popularity and suppress the popularity of your opponents.
00:00:51.080But these days, it's not like the Liberals are trying to construct really good policies, do really good community outreach, and then attack the Conservatives for not being as good.
00:00:59.400Like, no, no, no. Everything is like a backhanded attempt to just hurt the Conservatives. The policy doesn't matter.
00:01:05.020That's why they keep rolling out these bloated boondoggles of policies like Pharmacare, Universal Dental, $10 a day childcare.
00:01:12.960All this stuff is not actually geared at trying to work and make them popular in the long run.
00:01:18.280These are short-term policies that the Liberals can lean on the fact that within a year of them being passed, you can't really expect that the policy is fully up to speed yet.
00:01:28.660And then they can fearmonger against the Conservatives cutting these programs, even though right now most people are actually pretty favorable towards the idea of cutting certain programs that are just wasted money when people can't even afford groceries and want inflation brought down.
00:01:43.240Like, this is the poll I talked about yesterday. It's 44% Conservatives, 25% Liberal, and 16% NDP.
00:01:50.600And like I highlighted yesterday, the really scary thing about this poll is not just that the Liberals aren't doing that well.
00:01:56.88025% isn't their worst result ever, but paired up with the fact that the NDP isn't doing well either actually puts the Liberals in a worse situation.
00:02:05.260Like, to put it this way, if the Liberals could choose between having 30% in the polls and the NDP at 15, or that they could be at 29% in the polls but the NDP could be at 20, they would take the second option because they actually need the NDP to be a little bit more powerful.
00:02:21.840Because a lot of ridings that the Conservatives win, it's either ones that they're competing against the NDP for, or the Liberals.
00:02:28.520The Liberals being at 30% and the NDP at 15% would just throw a lot of seats towards the Conservatives.
00:02:34.120So, and this is how arbitrary a lot of Liberal Party powers in Canada, for the Liberals to do well, they need other parties to also be doing well.
00:02:41.760They need to rely on a vote split occurring so that they can win a lot of these ridings where the Conservatives and NDP do somewhat well, but the Liberals can pull it out with just 40% or 37% of the vote.
00:02:54.480Like, that's unheard of for a lot of Conservative seats.
00:02:56.680The vast majority of Conservative seats in the country are like 50, 60, 70% seats.
00:03:03.300A lot of the Liberal seats are like 42% seats.
00:03:10.520There's very few seats that you would describe as just hardcore Liberal safe seats outside of deep downtown Montreal, where Justin Trudeau is in Papadale.
00:03:20.700But now I just want to do a little bit of a tour through Liberal social media, because I find that their social media is the most revealing about how their party is doing.
00:03:30.120When, again, constantly every video they upload, every post they make is talking about how bad Pierre Polyev is.
00:03:35.840When we're not even in the writ period of an election, demonstrates that the thing that is constantly on Justin Trudeau's mind is pure poly and the Conservatives beating him.
00:03:47.080So not only is he releasing these Hail Mary attempts to try and boost himself, I think he's trying to secure his legacy right now.
00:03:53.540As many people are speculating that they might swap in Mark Carney.
00:03:56.980They're not going to do it that would look like a retreating move that would actually probably damage the Liberals with many of its more orange Liberal base that they have.
00:04:04.800The Liberal base is super progressive.
00:04:06.860So throwing in Mark Carney would actually kind of be a slap at that part of the party who really likes Justin Trudeau.
00:04:14.240But what Trudeau is trying to do here is that he knows that he'll probably lose in 2025.
00:04:18.580So at least he wants it to make it a righteous loss that I've stood up for all the good things and poly have stood up for all the bad things.
00:04:25.600And this enables Justin Trudeau to go on all the interview shows, you know, write a book and talk about how, you know, the evil far right Nazi Conservatives beat me.
00:04:35.220And all I was trying to do was give people dental care, stand up for the LGBTQ, like IA plus community or whatever.
00:04:42.280I'm trying to, you know, stand for women's rights.
00:05:18.360On a program that he voted against and that he campaigned against across the country over the past number of months.
00:05:25.600We will be there to invest in supporting Canadians with a national school food program, with dental care, with more child care spaces, despite him voting against.
00:05:34.700Goodness, he's way more breathy than even I am.
00:05:37.420Sometimes he's like, throw out his statements.
00:05:41.000And I'm just going to say, I don't believe him that 100,000 seniors have gotten dental care.
00:05:45.580What that probably is, is them screwing with metrics and saying, well, we handed out toothbrushes to 80,000 seniors.
00:05:52.340And then 20,000 of them did end up getting some form of dental care.
00:06:11.580And on top of that, the program is basically just trying to underpay dentists.
00:06:16.200So you might get some desperate dentists who don't have a lot of clients these days willing to take part.
00:06:20.420But this is not a part of a healthy dental system in a country to have dentists only doing it because they basically have no one else to treat because nobody has money to actually pay for dental care.
00:06:32.020So these free dental care programs, in the short run, they look sort of good.
00:06:36.660But in the long run, really, this isn't going to be a failing program.
00:06:40.660But Trudeau just wants to run on the idea that everyone's trying to cut your dental care.
00:06:45.260They're trying to take away your dental care when really his dental care program is not delivering that much more dental care than we used to have.
00:06:54.260And I think this is very telling that now he's going to these union events because in 2019 and 21, he didn't really campaign that hard for union votes.
00:07:02.560He assumed that middle class progressives in eastern Canada were going to gird up his government so that he could at least get a minority government.
00:07:09.920Now, when you look at the polling with unionized workers, the vast majority of them, not maybe the majority, but like the large plurality of them, like 40 percent, are voting for the conservatives.
00:07:19.880This is like crazy, considering that the liberals tend to give a lot of big fat contracts to unionized labor firms.
00:07:28.340And then we also have the NDP, who is a flat out trade unionist party.
00:07:32.120And yet the conservatives are winning them.
00:07:34.200Trudeau realizes that because he's lost so many middle class voters who, even if they're progressive, can't bring themselves to vote for them because of how bad the economy is.
00:07:42.040And so now he's trying to go back to bandering to like public sector union workers who themselves don't even like Trudeau.
00:07:50.000And I think this whole video just comes off very desperate on the part of Justin Trudeau.
00:07:55.080Strong unions mean strong paychecks, mean strong communities.
00:07:59.780You might as well just steal Pure Polly's powerful paychecks line because that's what he was trying to go for there.
00:08:47.160So he has to show up to all these events that he's gotten oddly uncomfortable with going to.
00:08:51.300But he can't survive without having at least 30% of unionized workers on his side.
00:08:57.400And so he's now coming as this keynote speaker to these organizations like, which one was this?
00:09:02.600The Surface Employment International Union, which is one that represents a lot of public sector union workers in Canada, considering that she was a nurse.
00:09:11.980And that is obviously indicating that it's a union with a lot of public sector nurses and whatnot working for them.
00:09:18.740But I want to get to this other clip because I found it funny of independent MP Kevin Vong going after the liberals.
00:10:09.800He's actually a very good MP considering he's in one of the reddest districts in the entire country.
00:10:14.820I'd really like to see him in the Conservative Party.
00:10:17.240Obviously, he would have to run for a nomination, but I think he'd be a great asset in Toronto.
00:10:21.980But I thought he just did a really good job here of saying that the Liberal Party should maybe start throwing up leadership posters for Mark Carney and move on from Trudeau.
00:10:31.420Mr. Speaker, congratulations to the Liberal government.
00:10:34.000Congratulations on achieving the highest interest rates in two decades, on sustained high food prices not seen since the 80s, and reducing Canadian living standards to almost the lowest levels in 40 years.
00:10:45.600Mr. Speaker, spread out over 20 years and beyond the next election, Budget 2024 solves nothing.
00:10:51.440Yes, Mr. Speaker, Canada has come a long way since 2015.
00:10:55.640Unfortunately, it's in the wrong direction.
00:10:58.080Given a long list of failures, will the Finance Minister resign, take the entire Cabinet with her, and go paint leadership posters for Mark Carney?
00:11:05.840The Honorable President of the Treasury Board.
00:11:14.040Mr. Speaker, our government is focused on keeping inflation low so that interest rates can come down.
00:11:20.440We have a fiscally responsible plan, and we will continue to maintain strong economic indicators, a AAA credit rating, the lowest net debt to GDP ratio in the G7.
00:11:30.580Can I just say, I hate this kind of stuff.
00:11:35.780Whenever the economy sucks, the economy is doing bad, we all know the economy is doing bad.
00:11:40.920And then you get some hacky liberal minister coming out and say, do you know that we have actually the best net debt to GDP ratio in the world, or whatever in the G7?
00:12:45.320At the end of the day, I actually care about the financial health of individuals, not the financial health of the government.
00:12:51.780The financial health of the government matters.
00:12:54.140But in terms of the order of importance, it goes families, then it goes like businesses, then it goes government, and then it goes like, I don't know, like Justin Trudeau personally.
00:13:05.200I don't care about our net debt to GDP ratio.
00:13:09.120I don't care about these stupid metrics about how if you really twist the numbers, child poverty is down to its lowest levels in history.
00:13:17.080How is that so when food bank usage is at its highest rates in what you've seen in like 20 years?
00:13:24.540That's just lying by omission of the metrics that you're using.
00:13:28.500They're saying, well, you know, more young people have iPhones than ever, and we are using smartphone usage as a sign of not being impoverished.
00:13:38.020And ergo, look, no kid is impoverished.
00:13:40.780Yeah, sure, that makes you look good from what the country was like 10 years ago.
00:13:44.260Well, when you actually base it on the health, the financial health of the families those kids live in, obviously, it's not actually true.
00:13:51.540But now I do want to move over to even another video of Justin Trudeau going and talking to volunteers, which I just find silly.
00:13:59.640Justin Trudeau trying to make himself seem like this dynamic leader who's still with it and people are cheering for and love to see.
00:14:07.900And I love this video because there's like so many cuts in it to make it look like extra dynamic.
00:14:13.020Oh, he's entering this room and there's like all these people cheering for him.
00:14:16.240And we have like five different camera angles we keep cutting like back and forth from to emphasize the momentum and the action that is inherent in Justin Trudeau's character.
00:14:29.540Our organization runs on volunteers as you get out there and knock doors.
00:14:36.060And make phone calls and mobilize and bring people together.
00:14:40.480Sorry, but that was such a fake setup with the lady standing there by the phone.
00:14:43.740Like they're like really playing to the camera like she's sitting here kind of like angling in so the camera still sees her and he's sitting there like leaning over and talking to her.
00:14:52.880Like obviously political optics exist, but whenever I see the liberals, because they have so little going for them, I only see the optical tricks to make themselves look good.
00:15:01.320And none of the actual, I don't see any of the actual like point.
00:15:05.400Create communities and groups and movements across the country.
00:15:09.980We bring together that sense of optimism and hope that will leave Canadians choosing the kind of country we are, the kind of country.
00:15:20.640I'd love to see them filming this at the doors.
00:15:23.220How many doors they have to have Justin Trudeau go to before there's someone willing to like fake laugh at his jokes on camera.
00:15:29.780Dude, they might as they probably are in like a Montreal riding at the safest of safe seats in order to get this footage because it's not hard to find even people who are former liberal voters who hate Justin Trudeau's guts who would throw them off his lawn if he actually approached their door.
00:15:45.760But yeah, these people know they're losing Justin Trudeau is merely trying to make the loss look good.
00:15:51.900By leaning into all of his really, really progressive instincts by pushing even bigger programs so that in 10 years he can say, look at how much the conservatives have devastated our social security, like infrastructure, our benefit structures, our safety nets.
00:16:10.120And whenever there's ever an economic downturn in the future as a conservative, he's going to say, well, look how uncompassionate they are because they got rid of whatever program and they're not spending as much as I did on this.
00:16:22.680A lot of people say like, well, Justin Trudeau is obviously going to cheat to win.
00:16:26.800You can even tell when the incumbent government looks and sounds like they know they're losing.
00:16:31.460It's not because they're confident that they're going to win through cheating.
00:16:34.020Justin Trudeau, unlike what popular opinion thinks in some circles, did not cheat to win in 21 and 2019.
00:16:42.380Yes, the CCP interfered in a few ridings, but that's not what won Justin Trudeau those elections or got him the minority government.
00:16:49.840It was because he was up against someone like Aaron O'Toole who did not drive out the conservative base to vote for him because he was just a weakling who didn't really offer that much of a difference to Justin Trudeau.
00:16:59.820Because no one was going to come out and campaign with Aaron O'Toole and vote for him when he was only really promising to make the country like 10% better.
00:17:07.980People want things to actually get substantially better.
00:17:11.100And so people stayed home for O'Toole.
00:17:14.960Andrew Scheer could have actually been a great leader and prime minister.
00:17:18.100But I think at the time in 2019, there was a lot of dumb conventional wisdom in the background of the party that Pierre Polyev has cleared up a lot,
00:17:25.420which put a lot of focus on focus groups, polling and expert advisors telling you what you need to say on different issues.
00:17:33.800So I didn't think that Scheer got to be his own man during that entire election.
00:17:37.440Because I remember when Andrew Scheer stopped being the leader of the party and he did his first exit interview with Andrew Lawton from True North, immediately natural.
00:18:13.080But by not saying anything on that issue at all, Andrew Scheer ended up hurting himself because the media got to pretend that he's hiding something.
00:18:21.860As soon as he just came out and said, I'm pro-life late in the campaign, those questions went away.
00:18:26.100Because as much as the liberals and the leftist media likes to pretend it's such a pro-choice country, such a pro-abortion country, that if you even have a slightly pro-life opinion, everyone's going to hate you.
00:18:36.920More people are pro-life than they let on.
00:18:38.860When you actually pull people on individual practices, like individual abortion practices, far more people have very reasonable in-the-middle opinions.
00:18:46.640So nobody's that offended by someone who's pro-life, just as nobody's really that offended by someone who's pro-choice.
00:18:52.120People are just looking for someone who has very, you know, concretely stated positions.
00:18:57.900That is what generally wins you all elections, actually, is just confidence.
00:19:02.740O'Toole was the prime example of someone who had no confidence because he kept switching his positions up to election day.
00:19:08.800Even 10 days before election day, he was making promises that contradicted what he had previously said, and it immediately gave him an untrustworthy vibe.
00:19:17.380And that's what caused people to stay home.
00:19:19.220There's people out there who say, O'Toole's far right, and they don't know a thing about the guy.
00:19:23.280They don't know that he's basically a liberal.
00:19:25.360It's just that he gave you that untrustworthy feel.
00:19:28.020And ergo, any negative label stuck to him that the liberals and the NDP threw at him were naturally going to actually stick to him since everyone has bad vibes about the guy.
00:19:38.900So you're willing to believe any bad thing you hear about him.
00:19:43.480You can't throw mud at the guy and actually make it stick because the problem with Polyev for the liberals and the NDP is he actually tells you what he thinks.
00:19:52.260And you can't fear monger about very clear and coherent positions.
00:19:55.440The liberals and NDP always rely on the idea that there's this inkling he might do something wrong and he won't tell you about it.
00:20:02.200But with Polyev, when he just comes out right and says, I'm in favor of parental rights.
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