The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - Justin Trudeau knows he's going to lose in 2025

00:00:00.000 Welcome back to the Wyatt Claypool Show. Like I've said many times in the past, and it's not really something I've even said, it's something a lot of people have said, when you're talking about your opponent constantly in politics, it's probably because you're not winning.

00:00:13.420 And that's what Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party have been doing constantly over the past year. It's not a recent phenomenon over the past month or two. It is what they've been doing over the entire past year.

00:00:25.540 They know the Conservatives are winning, and that's why everything that they do is undergirded with an attempt to try and hurt the Conservatives, whether it's passing policies, whether it's direct attacks on the Conservatives, all it's trying to do is suppress the Conservative vote and bring up their vote.

00:00:40.980 And you could say, well, that's how politics works. Well, yes, that's generally the goal in politics, all the time to sort of boost your popularity and suppress the popularity of your opponents.

00:00:51.080 But these days, it's not like the Liberals are trying to construct really good policies, do really good community outreach, and then attack the Conservatives for not being as good.

00:00:59.400 Like, no, no, no. Everything is like a backhanded attempt to just hurt the Conservatives. The policy doesn't matter.

00:01:05.020 That's why they keep rolling out these bloated boondoggles of policies like Pharmacare, Universal Dental, $10 a day childcare. 0.99

00:01:12.960 All this stuff is not actually geared at trying to work and make them popular in the long run.

00:01:18.280 These are short-term policies that the Liberals can lean on the fact that within a year of them being passed, you can't really expect that the policy is fully up to speed yet.

00:01:28.660 And then they can fearmonger against the Conservatives cutting these programs, even though right now most people are actually pretty favorable towards the idea of cutting certain programs that are just wasted money when people can't even afford groceries and want inflation brought down.

00:01:43.240 Like, this is the poll I talked about yesterday. It's 44% Conservatives, 25% Liberal, and 16% NDP.

00:01:50.600 And like I highlighted yesterday, the really scary thing about this poll is not just that the Liberals aren't doing that well.

00:01:56.880 25% isn't their worst result ever, but paired up with the fact that the NDP isn't doing well either actually puts the Liberals in a worse situation.

00:02:05.260 Like, to put it this way, if the Liberals could choose between having 30% in the polls and the NDP at 15, or that they could be at 29% in the polls but the NDP could be at 20, they would take the second option because they actually need the NDP to be a little bit more powerful.

00:02:21.840 Because a lot of ridings that the Conservatives win, it's either ones that they're competing against the NDP for, or the Liberals.

00:02:28.520 The Liberals being at 30% and the NDP at 15% would just throw a lot of seats towards the Conservatives.

00:02:34.120 So, and this is how arbitrary a lot of Liberal Party powers in Canada, for the Liberals to do well, they need other parties to also be doing well.

00:02:41.760 They need to rely on a vote split occurring so that they can win a lot of these ridings where the Conservatives and NDP do somewhat well, but the Liberals can pull it out with just 40% or 37% of the vote.

00:02:54.480 Like, that's unheard of for a lot of Conservative seats.

00:02:56.680 The vast majority of Conservative seats in the country are like 50, 60, 70% seats.

00:03:03.300 A lot of the Liberal seats are like 42% seats.

00:03:06.880 Same thing kind of with the NDP.

00:03:08.740 They win very marginal seats.

00:03:10.520 There's very few seats that you would describe as just hardcore Liberal safe seats outside of deep downtown Montreal, where Justin Trudeau is in Papadale.

00:03:20.700 But now I just want to do a little bit of a tour through Liberal social media, because I find that their social media is the most revealing about how their party is doing.

00:03:30.120 When, again, constantly every video they upload, every post they make is talking about how bad Pierre Polyev is.

00:03:35.840 When we're not even in the writ period of an election, demonstrates that the thing that is constantly on Justin Trudeau's mind is pure poly and the Conservatives beating him.

00:03:44.740 He knows he's going to lose in 2025.

00:03:47.080 So not only is he releasing these Hail Mary attempts to try and boost himself, I think he's trying to secure his legacy right now.

00:03:53.540 As many people are speculating that they might swap in Mark Carney.

00:03:56.980 They're not going to do it that would look like a retreating move that would actually probably damage the Liberals with many of its more orange Liberal base that they have. 0.55

00:04:04.800 The Liberal base is super progressive.

00:04:06.860 So throwing in Mark Carney would actually kind of be a slap at that part of the party who really likes Justin Trudeau.

00:04:12.740 So they're not going to swap him out.

00:04:14.240 But what Trudeau is trying to do here is that he knows that he'll probably lose in 2025.

00:04:18.580 So at least he wants it to make it a righteous loss that I've stood up for all the good things and poly have stood up for all the bad things.

00:04:25.600 And this enables Justin Trudeau to go on all the interview shows, you know, write a book and talk about how, you know, the evil far right Nazi Conservatives beat me.

00:04:35.220 And all I was trying to do was give people dental care, stand up for the LGBTQ, like IA plus community or whatever.

00:04:42.280 I'm trying to, you know, stand for women's rights.

00:04:46.340 This is what he's trying to do.

00:04:47.580 And you can kind of tell by the recent posts they've been making.

00:04:50.320 And I'm going to go through a few of them.

00:04:51.520 This is them, a clip of Trudeau speaking in Parliament that the Liberals posted.

00:04:56.020 Here's a perfect example of where the Conservatives stand.

00:04:59.860 They stood and voted against our Dental Care for Seniors program.

00:05:04.180 As of today, over 2 million seniors have signed up.

00:05:07.420 And in the 22 days since May 1st, close to 100,000 seniors have gotten free dental care.

00:05:16.760 That's in just 22 days.

00:05:18.360 On a program that he voted against and that he campaigned against across the country over the past number of months.

00:05:25.600 We will be there to invest in supporting Canadians with a national school food program, with dental care, with more child care spaces, despite him voting against.

00:05:34.700 Goodness, he's way more breathy than even I am.

00:05:37.420 Sometimes he's like, throw out his statements.

00:05:41.000 And I'm just going to say, I don't believe him that 100,000 seniors have gotten dental care.

00:05:45.580 What that probably is, is them screwing with metrics and saying, well, we handed out toothbrushes to 80,000 seniors.

00:05:52.340 And then 20,000 of them did end up getting some form of dental care.

00:05:55.960 It's a new program.

00:05:57.120 The Liberals are jamming the most money into it right now.

00:05:59.920 So you're naturally going to have some people thinking like, wow, I just got free dental care.

00:06:03.560 The problem is many of these people already had dental care because usually in your later years, you have decent insurance.

00:06:09.840 You have a built up amount of wealth.

00:06:11.580 And on top of that, the program is basically just trying to underpay dentists.

00:06:16.200 So you might get some desperate dentists who don't have a lot of clients these days willing to take part.

00:06:20.420 But this is not a part of a healthy dental system in a country to have dentists only doing it because they basically have no one else to treat because nobody has money to actually pay for dental care.

00:06:32.020 So these free dental care programs, in the short run, they look sort of good.

00:06:36.660 But in the long run, really, this isn't going to be a failing program.

00:06:40.660 But Trudeau just wants to run on the idea that everyone's trying to cut your dental care.

00:06:45.260 They're trying to take away your dental care when really his dental care program is not delivering that much more dental care than we used to have.

00:06:52.760 And here is Justin Trudeau.

00:06:54.260 And I think this is very telling that now he's going to these union events because in 2019 and 21, he didn't really campaign that hard for union votes.

00:07:02.560 He assumed that middle class progressives in eastern Canada were going to gird up his government so that he could at least get a minority government.

00:07:09.920 Now, when you look at the polling with unionized workers, the vast majority of them, not maybe the majority, but like the large plurality of them, like 40 percent, are voting for the conservatives.

00:07:19.880 This is like crazy, considering that the liberals tend to give a lot of big fat contracts to unionized labor firms.

00:07:28.340 And then we also have the NDP, who is a flat out trade unionist party.

00:07:32.120 And yet the conservatives are winning them.

00:07:34.200 Trudeau realizes that because he's lost so many middle class voters who, even if they're progressive, can't bring themselves to vote for them because of how bad the economy is.

00:07:42.040 And so now he's trying to go back to bandering to like public sector union workers who themselves don't even like Trudeau.

00:07:50.000 And I think this whole video just comes off very desperate on the part of Justin Trudeau.

00:07:55.080 Strong unions mean strong paychecks, mean strong communities.

00:07:59.780 You might as well just steal Pure Polly's powerful paychecks line because that's what he was trying to go for there. 1.00

00:08:04.380 That's what we can always agree on.

00:08:08.020 Thank you, Gloria, for everything you're doing.

00:08:10.460 Never, never.

00:08:11.100 Let's skip around this because I feel like this music's copyrighted in some way.

00:08:14.620 But I just want to get to this one point where some woman was saying, I'm a COVID nurse.

00:08:18.880 And he's like, God bless you.

00:08:20.240 And it's so pandering and like silly considering I don't feel like he actually says that to anyone on a normal basis.

00:08:26.120 I'm a nurse.

00:08:26.820 I blew out her health in starting out.

00:08:28.220 And I was a COVID nurse.

00:08:29.660 I'm a COVID nurse.

00:08:31.220 Thank you.

00:08:31.940 I appreciate everything that you do.

00:08:33.420 Goodness.

00:08:33.780 Did he just close his eyes? 0.99

00:08:35.900 That's so silly. 0.99

00:08:37.400 He just closed his eyes. 0.98

00:08:38.680 God bless you.

00:08:39.380 He's like, no, I don't feel like Justin Trudeau prays just throwing it out there.

00:08:45.600 But he needs union workers.

00:08:47.160 So he has to show up to all these events that he's gotten oddly uncomfortable with going to.

00:08:51.300 But he can't survive without having at least 30% of unionized workers on his side.

00:08:57.400 And so he's now coming as this keynote speaker to these organizations like, which one was this?

00:09:02.600 The Surface Employment International Union, which is one that represents a lot of public sector union workers in Canada, considering that she was a nurse.

00:09:11.980 And that is obviously indicating that it's a union with a lot of public sector nurses and whatnot working for them.

00:09:18.740 But I want to get to this other clip because I found it funny of independent MP Kevin Vong going after the liberals.

00:09:26.240 I thought this was a good line. 0.98

00:09:27.440 Obviously, anyone can just get up and say, wow, the liberals really suck at their jobs. 0.99

00:09:32.200 Justin Trudeau can resign.

00:09:33.680 But I think the way that Kevin Vong did this was very creative.

00:09:36.340 Also, I heard today that Kevin Vong is actually seeking to become a MP in the Conservative Party.

00:09:43.040 He is currently an independent, used to be a liberal.

00:09:45.760 He was never actually sitting as a liberal MP since the liberals kicked him out of their caucus before he was even elected.

00:09:52.420 But he still ended up winning simply because he was the liberal on the ballot in that riding.

00:09:56.180 Since then, he's been probably one of the most staunchly anti-communist MPs.

00:10:03.320 He's actually stood up to anti-Semites in the city of Toronto.

00:10:06.660 He's against the carbon tax.

00:10:08.340 He's against the expansion of MAID.

00:10:09.800 He's actually a very good MP considering he's in one of the reddest districts in the entire country.

00:10:14.820 I'd really like to see him in the Conservative Party.

00:10:17.240 Obviously, he would have to run for a nomination, but I think he'd be a great asset in Toronto.

00:10:21.980 But I thought he just did a really good job here of saying that the Liberal Party should maybe start throwing up leadership posters for Mark Carney and move on from Trudeau.

00:10:31.420 Mr. Speaker, congratulations to the Liberal government.

00:10:34.000 Congratulations on achieving the highest interest rates in two decades, on sustained high food prices not seen since the 80s, and reducing Canadian living standards to almost the lowest levels in 40 years.

00:10:45.600 Mr. Speaker, spread out over 20 years and beyond the next election, Budget 2024 solves nothing.

00:10:51.440 Yes, Mr. Speaker, Canada has come a long way since 2015.

00:10:55.640 Unfortunately, it's in the wrong direction.

00:10:58.080 Given a long list of failures, will the Finance Minister resign, take the entire Cabinet with her, and go paint leadership posters for Mark Carney?

00:11:05.840 The Honorable President of the Treasury Board.

00:11:14.040 Mr. Speaker, our government is focused on keeping inflation low so that interest rates can come down.

00:11:20.440 We have a fiscally responsible plan, and we will continue to maintain strong economic indicators, a AAA credit rating, the lowest net debt to GDP ratio in the G7.

00:11:30.580 Can I just say, I hate this kind of stuff.

00:11:35.780 Whenever the economy sucks, the economy is doing bad, we all know the economy is doing bad.

00:11:40.920 And then you get some hacky liberal minister coming out and say, do you know that we have actually the best net debt to GDP ratio in the world, or whatever in the G7?

00:11:50.280 I don't care.

00:11:53.780 What?

00:11:54.580 Who cares?

00:11:55.280 Everyone has a terrible financial situation right now in Canada, and we're going to brag about our net debt to GDP ratio.

00:12:01.920 I'm a conservative who's not allergic to deficits.

00:12:04.880 It's not that I want deficits.

00:12:06.380 I'd love to have a balanced budget, if not a surplus.

00:12:09.300 But the liberals pretending like, hey, we're technically in the long run in the forecast.

00:12:13.480 We're bringing down our net debt to GDP ratio because we increased taxes.

00:12:19.700 That's why.

00:12:20.480 Debt is not increasing as fast as other countries because we jacked up taxes.

00:12:25.180 So that's where people have to realize in the Soviet Union, at no point did they have a deficit.

00:12:30.680 They might have, but you get my point.

00:12:32.180 It's a communist government.

00:12:33.100 They controlled everything, so they never had to issue bonds to the Russian people.

00:12:39.800 They just took whatever they wanted.

00:12:41.020 They probably had a great debt to GDP ratio.

00:12:44.240 Who cares?

00:12:45.320 At the end of the day, I actually care about the financial health of individuals, not the financial health of the government.

00:12:51.780 The financial health of the government matters.

00:12:54.140 But in terms of the order of importance, it goes families, then it goes like businesses, then it goes government, and then it goes like, I don't know, like Justin Trudeau personally.

00:13:05.200 I don't care about our net debt to GDP ratio.

00:13:09.120 I don't care about these stupid metrics about how if you really twist the numbers, child poverty is down to its lowest levels in history. 0.78

00:13:17.080 How is that so when food bank usage is at its highest rates in what you've seen in like 20 years? 0.99

00:13:23.560 That's foolish. 0.87

00:13:24.540 That's just lying by omission of the metrics that you're using. 0.97

00:13:28.500 They're saying, well, you know, more young people have iPhones than ever, and we are using smartphone usage as a sign of not being impoverished.

00:13:38.020 And ergo, look, no kid is impoverished.

00:13:40.780 Yeah, sure, that makes you look good from what the country was like 10 years ago.

00:13:44.260 Well, when you actually base it on the health, the financial health of the families those kids live in, obviously, it's not actually true.

00:13:51.540 But now I do want to move over to even another video of Justin Trudeau going and talking to volunteers, which I just find silly.

00:13:59.640 Justin Trudeau trying to make himself seem like this dynamic leader who's still with it and people are cheering for and love to see.

00:14:06.060 It's all very put on.

00:14:07.900 And I love this video because there's like so many cuts in it to make it look like extra dynamic.

00:14:13.020 Oh, he's entering this room and there's like all these people cheering for him.

00:14:16.240 And we have like five different camera angles we keep cutting like back and forth from to emphasize the momentum and the action that is inherent in Justin Trudeau's character.

00:14:29.540 Our organization runs on volunteers as you get out there and knock doors.

00:14:36.060 And make phone calls and mobilize and bring people together.

00:14:40.480 Sorry, but that was such a fake setup with the lady standing there by the phone. 1.00

00:14:43.740 Like they're like really playing to the camera like she's sitting here kind of like angling in so the camera still sees her and he's sitting there like leaning over and talking to her.

00:14:51.800 It's not a real setup.

00:14:52.880 Like obviously political optics exist, but whenever I see the liberals, because they have so little going for them, I only see the optical tricks to make themselves look good.

00:15:01.320 And none of the actual, I don't see any of the actual like point.

00:15:05.400 Create communities and groups and movements across the country.

00:15:09.980 We bring together that sense of optimism and hope that will leave Canadians choosing the kind of country we are, the kind of country.

00:15:20.640 I'd love to see them filming this at the doors.

00:15:23.220 How many doors they have to have Justin Trudeau go to before there's someone willing to like fake laugh at his jokes on camera.

00:15:29.780 Dude, they might as they probably are in like a Montreal riding at the safest of safe seats in order to get this footage because it's not hard to find even people who are former liberal voters who hate Justin Trudeau's guts who would throw them off his lawn if he actually approached their door.

00:15:45.760 But yeah, these people know they're losing Justin Trudeau is merely trying to make the loss look good.

00:15:51.900 By leaning into all of his really, really progressive instincts by pushing even bigger programs so that in 10 years he can say, look at how much the conservatives have devastated our social security, like infrastructure, our benefit structures, our safety nets.

00:16:10.120 And whenever there's ever an economic downturn in the future as a conservative, he's going to say, well, look how uncompassionate they are because they got rid of whatever program and they're not spending as much as I did on this.

00:16:22.680 A lot of people say like, well, Justin Trudeau is obviously going to cheat to win.

00:16:26.000 He's not.

00:16:26.800 You can even tell when the incumbent government looks and sounds like they know they're losing.

00:16:31.460 It's not because they're confident that they're going to win through cheating.

00:16:34.020 Justin Trudeau, unlike what popular opinion thinks in some circles, did not cheat to win in 21 and 2019.

00:16:42.380 Yes, the CCP interfered in a few ridings, but that's not what won Justin Trudeau those elections or got him the minority government.

00:16:49.840 It was because he was up against someone like Aaron O'Toole who did not drive out the conservative base to vote for him because he was just a weakling who didn't really offer that much of a difference to Justin Trudeau.

00:16:59.820 Because no one was going to come out and campaign with Aaron O'Toole and vote for him when he was only really promising to make the country like 10% better.

00:17:07.980 People want things to actually get substantially better.

00:17:11.100 And so people stayed home for O'Toole.

00:17:13.160 People stayed home for Andrew Scheer.

00:17:14.960 Andrew Scheer could have actually been a great leader and prime minister.

00:17:18.100 But I think at the time in 2019, there was a lot of dumb conventional wisdom in the background of the party that Pierre Polyev has cleared up a lot,

00:17:25.420 which put a lot of focus on focus groups, polling and expert advisors telling you what you need to say on different issues.

00:17:33.800 So I didn't think that Scheer got to be his own man during that entire election.

00:17:37.440 Because I remember when Andrew Scheer stopped being the leader of the party and he did his first exit interview with Andrew Lawton from True North, immediately natural.

00:17:47.240 He's funny.

00:17:48.220 He's actually quippy in how he talks.

00:17:50.620 He talks like a very orthodox conservative.

00:17:52.880 He talks like somebody who I think a lot of Canadians would have voted for.

00:17:56.700 But during the 2019 election, he talked very stiffly.

00:18:01.200 It felt like he was nervous one of his advisors was going to come over and throttle him for talking about specific issues.

00:18:06.960 It was his advisor saying, don't say you're pro-life.

00:18:09.860 Don't say anything about being pro-life.

00:18:11.380 That's going to alienate people.

00:18:13.080 But by not saying anything on that issue at all, Andrew Scheer ended up hurting himself because the media got to pretend that he's hiding something.

00:18:20.660 Oh, he won't answer the questions.

00:18:21.860 As soon as he just came out and said, I'm pro-life late in the campaign, those questions went away.

00:18:26.100 Because as much as the liberals and the leftist media likes to pretend it's such a pro-choice country, such a pro-abortion country, that if you even have a slightly pro-life opinion, everyone's going to hate you.

00:18:36.920 More people are pro-life than they let on.

00:18:38.860 When you actually pull people on individual practices, like individual abortion practices, far more people have very reasonable in-the-middle opinions.

00:18:46.640 So nobody's that offended by someone who's pro-life, just as nobody's really that offended by someone who's pro-choice.

00:18:52.120 People are just looking for someone who has very, you know, concretely stated positions.

00:18:57.900 That is what generally wins you all elections, actually, is just confidence.

00:19:01.220 Confidence in your positions.

00:19:02.740 O'Toole was the prime example of someone who had no confidence because he kept switching his positions up to election day.

00:19:08.800 Even 10 days before election day, he was making promises that contradicted what he had previously said, and it immediately gave him an untrustworthy vibe.

00:19:17.380 And that's what caused people to stay home.

00:19:19.220 There's people out there who say, O'Toole's far right, and they don't know a thing about the guy.

00:19:23.280 They don't know that he's basically a liberal.

00:19:25.360 It's just that he gave you that untrustworthy feel.

00:19:28.020 And ergo, any negative label stuck to him that the liberals and the NDP threw at him were naturally going to actually stick to him since everyone has bad vibes about the guy.

00:19:38.900 So you're willing to believe any bad thing you hear about him.

00:19:41.500 That's the thing with pure Polyev.

00:19:43.480 You can't throw mud at the guy and actually make it stick because the problem with Polyev for the liberals and the NDP is he actually tells you what he thinks.

00:19:52.260 And you can't fear monger about very clear and coherent positions.

00:19:55.440 The liberals and NDP always rely on the idea that there's this inkling he might do something wrong and he won't tell you about it.

00:20:02.200 But with Polyev, when he just comes out right and says, I'm in favor of parental rights.

00:20:07.820 I think immigration is too high. 1.00

00:20:09.400 I think we need to reduce taxes, scrap the carbon tax.

00:20:11.820 We need to defund the CBC.

00:20:13.220 You can't fear monger about that because you have to just argue that those are bad positions and they're not bad positions.

00:20:18.440 And so all the liberals have left is now saying, but pure Polyev might, you know, attack women's rights based on what? 0.64

00:20:26.440 Based on what?

00:20:27.140 And which which right?

00:20:28.220 You actually have to explain what you're talking about.

00:20:30.020 They don't want to because by being specific, they actually can be they can be attacked back.

00:20:35.280 So they want to stay as vague as possible.

00:20:36.760 And it's not working evident by polls like this where the conservatives are at 44%.

00:20:41.700 So that should be pretty much it for me today, guys.

00:20:45.500 If you're on Twitter or X, I guess, I would be great if you went to the description of this video below and went to the Kevin Vong link.

00:20:52.740 I want people to vote in this poll that's out there on whether or not Kevin Vong should be added to the Conservative Party caucus.

00:20:58.540 I think you should vote yes.

00:20:59.660 I think he's done a very good job in Parliament.

00:21:02.040 He's like the ideal person you'd want to be an MP.

00:21:04.480 He represents his constituents, votes the way he and his constituents agree is the best way of doing it.

00:21:10.660 He is very responsive to local issues as well as federal issues.

00:21:15.420 And so I would be sad that he wouldn't be rewarded for being the ideal MP in Parliament and not being brought into the Conservative Party.

00:21:23.400 So go vote in that.

00:21:24.440 You can donate to my legal fund in the description of this video below.

00:21:28.060 It's the Give, Send, Go link.

00:21:28.980 And then you can also join the TNT Telegram channel also linked in the description below.

00:21:33.800 So you can get every post from us in chronological order and not have to rely on a big tech algorithm to show you when we have a new video out.

00:21:41.300 Have a good one, everyone.

The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - May 24, 2024

Justin Trudeau knows he's going to lose in 2025

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