The National Telegraph - Wyatt Claypool - December 18, 2024


Justin Trudeau's approval rating hit record low! Cancels year end interviews

Topics
Justin Trudeau rating low
Hosted by
Wyatt Claypool
Mentioned
Justin Trudeau Jagmeet Singh Pierre Poilievre Erin O'Toole Mark Carney Chrystia Freeland J.J. McCullough Dominic LeBlanc Tristan Hopper Mike Lindell Stephen Harper Andrew Scheer Donald Trump
Is this the end of Justin Trudeau？ Trudeau extremely angry at Liberal Party event - ＂Families have fights sometimes＂

Episode Stats


Length

17 minutes

Words per minute

173.95

Word count

3,108

Sentence count

210

Harmful content

Misogyny

5

sentences flagged

Toxicity

13

sentences flagged

Hate speech

1

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party are in a leadership crisis, and it's getting worse by the day. The PM's approval rating has dropped to its lowest point ever, and his disapproval rating is also at its worst point ever at 63%. Is there any hope that things will turn around?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 Hey guys, Wyatt Claypool here.
00:00:02.880 To say that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberals are hated at this point would be a massive understatement.
00:00:10.120 They are in the midst of a leadership crisis that is hitting hard and fast,
00:00:14.300 and they have nothing to actually correct their way out of this thing.
00:00:18.640 Justin Trudeau seems to be just pulling the same trick he's done in the past to try and recover from scandals.
00:00:23.820 Go radio silence, call a break in government for a month, and then shuffle the cabinet and pretend that he's reset things.
00:00:31.820 That's not going to work this time because there is literally nobody left.
00:00:35.680 Every single new face in cabinet is really just an old face he's pulling from somewhere else,
00:00:41.240 and everyone knows what the game is at this point.
00:00:44.480 Every single one of these cabinet ministers just does what Trudeau says,
00:00:48.000 and every time he swaps one person in for another, he is basically just trying to erase his past mistakes
00:00:53.760 by pretending it was that minister who was causing all the problems.
00:00:58.040 Abacus Data now has a poll out directly in the aftermath of former finance minister and deputy prime minister Christia Freeland resigning
00:01:06.980 that shows Canadians instant reactions to what's gone on here, and it is extremely negative.
00:01:13.520 Like again, Canadians hated these people before, and somehow they're going lower.
00:01:18.400 Despite the fact that there obviously is a hardcore liberal base who will never turn on the Liberals,
00:01:22.900 somehow there were still people holding on until all of this happened.
00:01:27.340 I'm about to get into that data right now, but I'm just going to remind you guys,
00:01:30.880 if you're not yet a subscriber of this channel, go and hit that subscribe button, like this video,
00:01:35.220 and leave a comment if you notice anything that you want me to speak on in a future video or something like that.
00:01:41.860 But this is the current government approval rating according to Abacus Data.
00:01:45.960 They did this poll in the 24 hours after Christia Freeland had resigned, so it was like an instant reaction from the Canadian public without other days mixed in.
00:01:56.820 And so we see here that the government's approval rating, this is government approval first,
00:02:02.520 went from 25% at the beginning of December.
00:02:06.860 Actually, Abacus released a poll in December 16th, and this poll was conducted on December 17th.
00:02:14.280 And their approval rating went from 25% to 22%.
00:02:19.580 A 3% drop is actually pretty insane, considering that people tend to have to usually take a while
00:02:26.200 to make up their minds about something like this.
00:02:28.460 And now their disapproval rating is at 62%.
00:02:32.420 But who cares?
00:02:34.100 Most people say that they don't like the government because it's one of those generic things that you can dislike.
00:02:39.100 But it's harder to dislike a specific person, unless that person is Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
00:02:44.860 So on December 16th, he had an approval rating of 23%.
00:02:48.940 This is what we would colloquially call gutter trash results.
00:02:53.860 You go back to 2023, and he still had like a 33% approval rating, which isn't very good,
00:03:00.320 because he still had 48% of the public disliking him.
00:03:03.780 But you come a day after December 16th, and they poll Canadians on December 17th,
00:03:09.380 and he has tumbled now to his lowest approval rating ever at just 20%.
00:03:15.120 And now his disapproval rating is also at its highest point ever at 63%.
00:03:21.820 The idea that this guy can stay on as Prime Minister and things are going to maybe get better
00:03:27.220 is the most delusional thinking I've ever heard in my life.
00:03:31.360 Not in any fantasy of Justin Trudeau.
00:03:33.780 Not in any, like, Quaaludes-fueled fantasy of Justin Trudeau.
00:03:38.740 It is anyone coming back to the Liberal Party.
00:03:42.240 There is always the hardcore, like, psycho base of people who are, like, posting that 0.92
00:03:47.400 they stand with Trudeau right now and that Chrystia Freeland is a backstabbing weasel 1.00
00:03:52.380 and she should have been fired years ago and all this stuff. 0.96
00:03:54.980 But they do not represent many people.
00:03:57.660 And also, as Tristan Hopper from the National Post pointed out on Twitter this morning,
00:04:02.920 that there is always going to be a base of about probably 40% to 50% of people
00:04:08.220 who vote for the NDP and the Liberals combined.
00:04:11.860 Not because they even like them, but because they are so disconnected from political reality
00:04:16.600 that they can vote for the parties that keep their pensions, you know, like, indexed to inflation.
00:04:23.060 They can vote for the government that employs them and whatnot if they're a public sector worker.
00:04:28.220 And all of this seems fine.
00:04:29.840 And it just seems like people are whining at the government for no reason
00:04:33.140 because they don't run businesses.
00:04:34.800 They don't work in the private sector.
00:04:36.060 They're not trying to buy a house, all of this other stuff.
00:04:39.420 But let's jump down to see what this did to Pierre Polyev and Jagmeet Singh's approval rating
00:04:44.200 because almost that's the more interesting question about what's going on right now.
00:04:48.840 And then I want to get into the national polling numbers
00:04:51.320 because those are pretty horrific as well for the Liberals.
00:04:54.940 So Jagmeet Singh has absolutely stagnated over the past month
00:04:59.360 since he declared that he was ripping up his agreement with the Liberals.
00:05:03.060 He was at 31% or 33% right when he ripped it up.
00:05:07.980 It dropped down to 29% because I think, honestly, that put Jagmeet Singh in the news more
00:05:13.320 and people don't like hearing from Jagmeet Singh at all.
00:05:16.500 And so after that, I think he ended up getting more unpopular.
00:05:19.480 But he's just been stagnating.
00:05:21.300 Nobody likes Jagmeet Singh any more than they used to, even in this poll.
00:05:25.080 But Pierre Polyev, what's going on with him?
00:05:29.100 Well, for some reason, his disapproval is going up.
00:05:32.000 I actually don't know why this is.
00:05:34.040 I'm wondering if there's just kind of a, and I'm not trying to be rude here,
00:05:38.480 a middle-class reaction to everything feels very politically icky right now.
00:05:42.860 Everything's unstable.
00:05:44.320 People are being negative.
00:05:45.500 And so you have kind of like this weird knee-jerk reaction to not like Justin Trudeau
00:05:50.540 and not like Pierre Polyev.
00:05:52.700 Although Polyev still has at least a neutral approval rating or slightly positive net approval rating,
00:05:58.880 but still you always have that kind of strange feeling where things feel like chaotic right now.
00:06:04.120 And so they don't like anyone even associated with the chaos,
00:06:07.060 even if Pierre Polyev is the one standing off to the side saying,
00:06:10.480 what the heck is going on with Trudeau and the Liberals right now?
00:06:12.860 We should replace them.
00:06:13.800 People are like, eh, I just don't want to talk about politics at the moment.
00:06:18.480 Now I just want to move on to this polling on why did,
00:06:22.940 or people who paid attention to Chrystia Freeland resigning.
00:06:26.400 Because this indicates that there absolutely can be more damage being done to the Liberals in the future.
00:06:32.860 Because the question here is, attention paid to Freeland's resignation.
00:06:37.200 How closely have you been following the news about Chrystia Freeland's resignation
00:06:41.780 as Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance?
00:06:45.580 Did not hear about it is 19%.
00:06:47.940 So 19% of people who took this poll had not yet heard about it.
00:06:51.880 39% had heard about it, but did not follow it closely.
00:06:55.140 22% followed it fairly closely.
00:06:57.200 And 20% followed it very closely.
00:07:00.300 And I do find it funny that followed it very closely is very low for the Liberals here and the NDP.
00:07:06.820 And then we have followed it fairly closely.
00:07:09.560 It goes up a bit.
00:07:10.800 But there's a lot of Liberals pretending and NDP people pretending that they don't know what's going on here.
00:07:15.700 Or maybe they genuinely are that out of touch with the state of the country that they just didn't follow it all that closely.
00:07:22.760 And also, I think this is just indicating to me that Conservatives are very turned up about politics these days.
00:07:28.020 So even these smaller, more specific issues, they're following day to day more so.
00:07:33.520 So here's the polling on whether Justin Trudeau should stay on or resign.
00:07:38.020 Liberal supporters, only 56% of people think that he should stay on. 0.96
00:07:43.060 7% of Conservative supporters, and they're probably just people who want Pierre Polyev to kick Justin Trudeau's butt in October.
00:07:50.100 And they don't want Mark Carney to step in or Chrystia Freeland to step in. 0.60
00:07:53.820 Because, you know, maybe it's less satisfying to beat one of them.
00:07:57.760 But the Liberals, 26% specifically want him to resign.
00:08:02.200 60% of NDP supporters.
00:08:04.340 And my goodness, who are these self-loathing NDP supporters who are like 24% of them still say,
00:08:09.660 no, Justin Trudeau is the right man to keep leading our leader Jagmeet Singh around by the nose.
00:08:15.900 There is something about the NDP that they never, they just love losing.
00:08:21.340 They love having their party constantly get talked down to and, like, abused by the Liberals.
00:08:28.000 But I don't get it.
00:08:29.500 They're just, it's weird.
00:08:31.400 And then here's another poll question.
00:08:33.200 Should there be a federal election now?
00:08:35.780 Liberal supporters, 35%, masochists apparently, say yes.
00:08:40.340 There should be an election right now. 0.94
00:08:43.680 45% of Liberal supporters say no.
00:08:46.220 3% say don't care.
00:08:47.960 Conservatives, 83% want an election now.
00:08:51.200 Only 9% say they don't want an election now.
00:08:53.640 And then the NDP, and this is really showing how out of touch Jagmeet Singh is.
00:08:57.800 47% of his base wants an election now.
00:09:00.560 Only 27, a little bit more than a quarter, don't want an election.
00:09:04.700 And then 20% are undecided.
00:09:06.960 You think that Jagmeet Singh would realize that if he actually wants to send out donation emails
00:09:12.780 and get any money in, I sign up for NDP donation emails just to see what they're saying. 0.94
00:09:18.160 And it's all pathetic bagging for money. 0.79
00:09:19.980 And you think they'd have to beg less if Jagmeet Singh was, you know, doing his job, opposing, 0.96
00:09:27.060 because he is in opposition, or at least extracting gains out of the Liberals.
00:09:33.360 Like, I guess from my perspective as a Conservative, 1.00
00:09:37.480 like, I'm happy that Jagmeet Singh is skull-crushingly stupid and gets nothing that he wants 1.00
00:09:43.880 because everything he wants is terrible. 1.00
00:09:45.940 It's somehow worse than whatever the Liberals are proposing.
00:09:48.460 But, goodness, if I was an NDP advisor, I would be just screaming at Jagmeet Singh
00:09:54.460 to, like, demand stuff from Justin Trudeau, or you will absolutely call a vote of no confidence.
00:10:01.180 He doesn't even rhetorically bluff.
00:10:03.880 He just always cracks and says,
00:10:06.120 Well, I'm going to ask for it and be really mean to you, Justin.
00:10:09.160 So you better give it to me, or I'm going to keep voting for you, like I would have done anyways. 1.00
00:10:13.360 Anyways, it's absolutely stupid. 0.99
00:10:16.300 Okay, let's go to the other. 0.99
00:10:18.900 Oh, let's go back to the national polling, because I think this has been absolutely crazy.
00:10:23.680 This is the overall national polling.
00:10:26.980 The Conservatives are at 47% in this poll.
00:10:31.000 The Liberals are at 18.
00:10:33.080 NDP at 18. 0.57
00:10:34.100 Block at 11, which means that the Block might actually start sweeping most of Montreal.
00:10:40.200 It's crazy.
00:10:41.320 The Liberals are at 18.
00:10:43.100 It's embarrassing.
00:10:44.920 I probably don't even need to tell you that.
00:10:46.820 These guys are dead in the water.
00:10:49.860 There's no coming back.
00:10:51.440 Mark Carney.
00:10:52.040 Do you think that Mark Carney would be a good choice right now?
00:10:55.500 Oh, yeah, let's run a central banker at the time when politics are most populist. 0.80
00:11:04.960 We are at the most populist moment in Canadian politics, and you're going to run the guy who used to run the Bank of England as the Liberals candidate.
00:11:15.400 That is Mike Lignotiev all over again, and that might even be, it's hard to say at this point, but that might be a worse option than Justin Trudeau.
00:11:22.860 Look at BC, 45% Conservative.
00:11:25.820 They have a current BC NDP government, and the NDP is only at 27.
00:11:30.860 Let's go to Ontario, 44% Conservative in Ontario, 27% Liberal.
00:11:36.380 So I guess they still probably win half of Toronto at least, but you've got to win most of it as the Liberals.
00:11:43.580 You've got to basically win all of it if you want even a minority government, even a slim minority.
00:11:49.260 Atlantic Canada, 53% Conservative.
00:11:52.860 That was a place, let's all go back in history.
00:11:56.720 In 2015, when Justin Trudeau beat Stephen Harper, he didn't win most of Atlantic Canada.
00:12:03.220 He didn't win, like, all of Atlantic Canada, maybe two seats.
00:12:07.120 He literally won all of it.
00:12:08.640 And now he literally might not win a single seat in Atlantic Canada outside of, like, St. John's or something like that.
00:12:16.300 Maybe the more French part of New Brunswick.
00:12:18.920 Even that, I very much doubt.
00:12:20.700 And now this is what's led Justin Trudeau to cancel all of his year-end interviews.
00:12:26.640 I don't need to bring up anything on screen for this.
00:12:28.860 A lot of people have been pointing out how insane this is.
00:12:31.780 J.J. McCullough had a good take saying that, like, even if he was planning on resigning or not,
00:12:37.240 he owes the country an explanation at this point.
00:12:40.400 And I know he doesn't literally owe us an explanation in the sense that he doesn't have to say anything.
00:12:45.720 But why would you signal weakness at this point if you're going to stay on?
00:12:51.020 And if you're going to resign, you should still probably pop up on TV at least once or twice and, you know,
00:12:56.520 explain yourself over the past nine years, maybe say sorry, maybe say absolutely anything.
00:13:03.520 And, like, why, again, if you're going to stay on, why wouldn't you want to appear on all the shows,
00:13:09.580 project some fake strength or whatever?
00:13:12.060 Because Justin Trudeau usually cannot stay away from cameras.
00:13:15.440 But now, suddenly, when, in theory, he should be on camera a lot, he's just nowhere to be seen.
00:13:22.540 Like, I don't think a trip to, like, a vacation to Hawaii is going to solve all this,
00:13:27.600 which is the rumored place he might take a vacation at during the winter break.
00:13:32.100 You know, I guess he's going to go and get protected by President Donald Trump
00:13:35.820 because he, of course, is the governor of Canada.
00:13:38.800 And Hawaii, the state of Hawaii, the great state of Hawaii,
00:13:41.940 should, in theory, be a sanctuary for an American governor like Justin Trudeau.
00:13:47.500 But he can't wait this out.
00:13:50.160 What, are you going to just have, like, a mojito and assume that everything's cool? 1.00
00:13:53.840 You're just going to get a daiquiri and be like, well, you know, people will forget about what I did.
00:13:58.840 Like, that's just not how it works.
00:14:01.060 People kind of forgot in 25th, 2019.
00:14:05.240 But even then, he lost votes.
00:14:07.280 There was kind of this myth that people always have that voting doesn't work.
00:14:11.220 And you'll see it in the comment sections.
00:14:12.620 Oh, you can't even vote because Justin Trudeau is going to win anyways like he did in the last two elections.
00:14:17.240 Guys, we ran the worst possible Conservative Party leader as our prime minister candidate last time, Aaron O'Toole.
00:14:24.820 Andrew Scheer, I actually think he's a good guy and could have been a good leader.
00:14:27.480 He had way too many strategy firm people around him telling him exactly what to say and sucked all of the energy out of him.
00:14:34.500 And those two guys still technically made gains on Justin Trudeau.
00:14:40.300 Justin Trudeau lost, I'm not even kidding, between 2015 and 2019.
00:14:45.800 We are not a big country.
00:14:47.080 I don't think I have to tell you that.
00:14:48.040 And it's a multi-party system.
00:14:49.680 He lost around 700,000 to 800,000 votes between 2015 and 2019.
00:14:55.460 Part of that is just lower voter turnout.
00:14:57.940 But again, usually if you're losing votes as an incumbent government, that's a bad sign.
00:15:03.060 Even between 2019 and 2021, he lost a further 300,000 votes across the country.
00:15:10.120 But because we ran Aaron O'Toole, the most liberal Conservative leader ever, we ended up becoming like the party for absolutely nobody.
00:15:18.820 And so Justin Trudeau still got in again.
00:15:20.780 I even voted PPC in 2021 because I couldn't stand O'Toole and I'm also in a safe seat for the Conservatives.
00:15:28.500 So it wasn't really like it's a knife-said decision to throw a good Conservative MP to the wolves or anything like that.
00:15:36.020 And that's where I also go after the PPC.
00:15:37.680 Guys, what are you doing?
00:15:38.980 What are you doing?
00:15:40.160 Figure it out.
00:15:41.080 Figure out how to doorknock.
00:15:42.540 Figure it out.
00:15:43.200 I am not telling you you got to pack it in because I'm scared that the PPC is going to hurt Polly.
00:15:47.940 I don't care.
00:15:49.000 I actually would invite you guys to stick around if you were doing better because I like seeing people effort and get things done, even if I don't agree with everything that they say.
00:15:58.180 Try.
00:15:59.460 That's my PPC aside for today.
00:16:02.000 But so Justin Trudeau is just canceling meetings, going on vacation.
00:16:07.500 And like what?
00:16:08.500 Like Dominic LeBlanc is going to come out next month and just say that the deficit doesn't matter?
00:16:12.660 They're like, are they going to solve anything?
00:16:14.320 Like if I was Justin Trudeau, I'd almost love to be his advisor right now because I just, for the challenge, like to see if I could pump him up in the polls a little bit.
00:16:21.700 Because at this point, if you're Trudeau, you just got to go balls to the wall and just start like slash immigration three quarters.
00:16:28.860 You know, just do a bunch of crazy stuff and just see if you can save yourself.
00:16:32.900 It's obviously not going to happen because Trudeau cannot be helped at this point.
00:16:36.720 But, you know, we can all dream of crazy stuff happening just for the political fiction of it all.
00:16:42.660 Now I just want to quickly play a clip of Justin Trudeau at the, or do I have that?
00:16:48.840 I'll do that clip in another video.
00:16:51.200 Justin Trudeau was at like a liberal Christmas party and he tried to pretend that he still has like strength and vigor and it just didn't work at all.
00:16:59.040 But I guess this should be it for me today, guys.
00:17:02.380 Remember, if you watched my videos and you're not yet a subscriber, go and hit the subscribe button.
00:17:07.740 I have a bet.
00:17:08.500 I have to hit 100,000 subscribers by sometime in next December or I owe a bunch of people dinner.
00:17:14.920 So if you don't want to have to make me pay like 200 bucks, make sure you subscribe so I can get to that goal.
00:17:21.080 I'll see you guys all later.
00:17:22.040 I'll see you guys all later.